Country of infection among HIV-infected patients born abroad living in French Guiana

Forty Years of HIV Research in French Guiana: Comprehend to Combat

The drivers of the HIV epidemic, the viruses, the opportunistic infections, the attitudes and the resources allocated to the fight against HIV/AIDS, vary substantially across countries. French Guiana, at the crossroads between Amazonian South America and the Caribbean, constitutes a singular context with poor populations and rich country health funding, which has allowed researchers to gather lots of information on the particulars of our epidemic. We aimed to focus on the little known story of forty years of HIV research in French Guiana and emphasize how local research intertwined with public health action has yielded continuous progress, despite the difficult social conditions of the affected population. We searched Web of Science and associated local experts who worked through much of the epidemic in selecting the most meaningful products of local research for clinical and public health outcomes in French Guiana. Research tools and facilities included, from 1991 onwards, the HIV hospital cohort and the HIV-histoplasmosis cohort. Ad hoc studies funded by the ANRS or the European Regional Development fund shed light on vulnerable groups. The cumulative impact of prospective routine collection and focused efforts has yielded a breadth of knowledge, allowing for informed decisions and the adaptation of prevention, testing and care in French Guiana. After this overview, we emphasize that the close integration of research and public health was crucial in adapting interventions to the singular context of French Guiana.

Thirty years of HIV pregnancies in French Guiana: prevention successes and remaining obstetrical challenges

Introduction

In a context of high HIV prevalence, poor pregnancy follow-up, frequent poverty, preeclampsia, and preterm delivery, we aimed to describe the characteristics and outcomes of pregnancies among women living with HIV in French Guiana.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study was conducted on HIV-infected pregnancies enrolled between January 1st 1992 to 31st July 2022. Overall, there were 1,774 pregnancies in 881 women living with HIV.

Results

For 75.1% of pregnancies, the HIV diagnosis was already known before pregnancy and in 67.6% of women, HIV follow-up predated pregnancy. Nearly half of women, 49.6%, only had one pregnancy since having been diagnosed with HIV. Although most women received antiretroviral therapy during pregnancy, for those with the available information we found only 48.5% had an undetectable viral load at delivery. Overall, 15.3% of pregnancies ended with an abortion. There were a total of 110 newborns infected with HIV representing an overall transmission rate of 6.2% (110/1,771). Between 1993 and 2002, the transmission rate was 34%, between 2003 and 2012 it was 1.3%, and between 2013 and 2022 it was 0.7%. Overall, in Cayenne, since 2008, 106 of 581 HIV-infected pregnancies (18.2%) with available information were premature before 37 weeks of pregnancy; of these, 33 (5.7%) were very preterm deliveries and 73 (13.3%) were late preterm deliveries. Over time, in Cayenne, preterm delivery declined significantly.

Conclusions

The present study emphasizes that, despite spectacular progress in reducing mother to child transmission, pregnancy outcomes among women living with HIV are still preoccupying with high incidence of preterm delivery and low birth weight. Teasing out what fraction is linked to HIV and what fraction is linked to social precariousness and poor follow-up was not possible in this study. Despite the high incidence of very preterm delivery recent progress suggests that coordination efforts to improve follow-up may also have improved obstetrical outcomes.

Migration in French Guiana: Implications in health and infectious diseases

In French Guiana, more than a third of the population, and nearly half of the adults, are of foreign origin. This immigration is explained by the French standard of living, which is attractive to nationals of surrounding countries. Infectious diseases remain in the top 10 causes of premature death, often in the most precarious populations. In this context we aimed to synthesize the state of the knowledge regarding immigration and infectious diseases in French Guiana and the general implications that follow this diagnosis. For HIV, although the majority of patients are of foreign origin, estimates of the presumed date of infection based on CD4 erosion modelling and from molecular analyses suggest that the majority of transmissions in foreign-born individuals occur in French Guiana and that the Guiana shield has been a crossroad between Latin America and the Caribbean. Among key populations bridging these regions illegal gold miners are very mobile and have the greatest proportion B Caribbean HIV viruses. Gold miners have been a key vulnerable population for falciparum malaria and other tropical diseases such as leishmaniasis, leprosy, or leptospirosis. The complex history of migrations in French Guiana and on the Guiana Shield is also reflected in the fingerprinting of mycobacterium tuberculosis and the high incidence of tuberculosis in French Guiana, notably in immigrants, reflects the incidences in the countries of origin of patients. The high burden of infectious diseases in immigrants in French Guiana is first and foremost a reflection of the precarious living conditions within French Guiana and suggests that community-based proactive interventions are crucial to reduce transmission, morbidity, and mortality from infectious diseases.

Diabetes in a hospital cohort of persons living with HIV: a descriptive and comparative study in French Guiana

BACKGROUND

In French Guiana (population 294,000) the prevalence of type 2 diabetes (10%) and of HIV(1.1%) are very high. Our objective was to determine the prevalence of diabetes and its complications in a HIV cohort.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We enrolled HIV-infected persons followed in Cayenne, Kourou, and Saint Laurent du Maroni hospitals between January 1, 1992 and December 31, 2021 in the French Hospital Database for HIV (FHDH) a national database compiling data from all French regions.

RESULTS

There was no difference of diabetes prevalence between men (8.2%) and women (8.8%), P = 0.4. Patients with diabetes were older (56 years ± 13.4) than those without diabetes (44.7 years ± 13.6) and prevalence increased with age. The proportion of persons with diabetes was greater among virologically suppressed persons (10%) than those with a detectable viral load under antiretroviral treatment (5.8%). Persons with diabetes had substantially greater CD4 counts at diagnosis than persons without diabetes. The majority of macro and microvascular complications were observed in people with diabetes. Persons with diabetes and HIV were significantly less likely to have had AIDS (1.6 versus 2.2 per 100 person-years, respectively). Overall, 374 persons living with HIV of 4167 had died (9%) the proportion of persons with diabetes among the dead was greater than those who did not die 11.7% versus 8.1%, respectively, p = 0.017. However, persons with diabetes were older and hence died older, 62.3 years (SD = 1.9) for deceased persons with diabetes versus 50.4 years (SD = 0.8), P < 0.0001. However, using Cox regression to adjust for age, initial CD4 count, country of birth there was no significant difference in the Hazard for death between persons with diabetes and persons without diabetes (aHR = 0.99, 95%CI = 0.65-1.5), P = 0.9.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of diabetes in our HIV cohort was high. Persons with diabetes had greater CD4 counts, earlier care, and greater virological suppression than persons without diabetes. There were no significant differences between persons with diabetes and without diabetes in terms of survival.

A population-level application of a method for estimating the timing of HIV acquisition among migrants to Australia

INTRODUCTION

Australia has set the goal for the virtual elimination of HIV transmission by the end of 2022, yet accurate information is lacking on the level of HIV transmission occurring among residents. We developed a method for estimating the timing of HIV acquisition among migrants, relative to their arrival in Australia. We then applied this method to surveillance data from the Australian National HIV Registry with the aim of ascertaining the level of HIV transmission among migrants to Australia occurring before and after migration, and to inform appropriate local public health interventions.

METHODS

We developed an algorithm incorporating CD4⁺ T-cell decline back-projection and enhanced variables (clinical presentation, past HIV testing history and clinician estimate of the place of HIV acquisition) and compared it to a standard algorithm which uses CD4⁺ T-cell back-projection only. We applied both algorithms to all new HIV diagnoses among migrants to estimate whether HIV infection occurred before or after arrival in Australia.

RESULTS

Between 1 January 2016 and 31 December 2020, 1909 migrants were newly diagnosed with HIV in Australia, 85% were men, and the median age was 33 years. Using the enhanced algorithm, 932 (49%) were estimated to have acquired HIV after arrival in Australia, 629 (33%) before arrival (from overseas), 250 (13%) close to arrival and 98 (5%) were unable to be classified. Using the standard algorithm, 622 (33%) were estimated to have acquired HIV in Australia, 472 (25%) before arrival, 321 (17%) close to arrival and 494 (26%) were unable to be classified.

CONCLUSIONS

Using our algorithm, close to half of migrants diagnosed with HIV were estimated to have acquired HIV after arrival in Australia, highlighting the need for tailored culturally appropriate testing and prevention programmes to limit HIV transmission and achieve elimination targets. Our method reduced the proportion of HIV cases unable to be classified and can be adopted in other countries with similar HIV surveillance protocols, to inform epidemiology and elimination efforts.

[Overview of infectious and non-infectious diseases in French Guiana in 2022]

Source of many myths, French Guiana represents an exceptional territory due to the richness of its biodiversity and the variety of its communities. The only European territory in Amazonia, surrounded by the Brazilian giant and the little-known Suriname, Ariane 6 rockets are launched from Kourou while 50% of the population lives below the poverty line. This paradoxical situation is a source of health problems specific to this territory, whether they be infectious diseases with unknown germs, intoxications or chronic pathologies.Some infectious diseases such as Q fever, toxoplasmosis, cryptococcosis or HIV infection are in common with temperate countries, but present specificities leading to sometimes different management and medical reasoning. In addition to these pathologies, many tropical diseases are present in an endemic and / or epidemic mode such as malaria, leishmaniasis, Chagas disease, histoplasmosis or dengue. Besides, Amazonian dermatology is extremely varied, ranging from rare but serious pathologies (Buruli ulcer, leprosy) to others which are frequent and benign such as agouti lice (mites of the family Trombiculidae) or papillonitis. Envenomations by wild fauna are not rare, and deserve an appropriate management of the incriminated taxon. Obstetrical, cardiovascular and metabolic cosmopolitan pathologies sometimes take on a particular dimension in French Guiana that must be taken into account in the management of patients. Finally, different types of intoxication are to be known by practitioners, especially due to heavy metals.European-level resources offer diagnostic and therapeutic possibilities that do not exist in the surrounding countries and regions, thus allowing the management of diseases that are not well known elsewhere.Thanks to these same European-level resources, research in Guyana occupies a key place within the Amazon region, despite a smaller population than in the surrounding countries. Thus, certain pathologies such as histoplasmosis of the immunocompromised patient, Amazonian toxoplasmosis or Q fever are hardly described in neighboring countries, probably due to under-diagnosis linked to more limited resources. French Guiana plays a leading role in the study of these diseases.The objective of this overview is to guide health care providers coming to or practicing in French Guiana in their daily practice, but also practitioners taking care of people returning from French Guiana.

Sexual vulnerability of migrant women in the multicultural context of French Guiana: A societal issue

Background

French Guiana is a multicultural French territory in Amazonia with an old migration history and a high prevalence of HIV infection. The objective of this study was to evaluate situations of sexual vulnerability and their associated factors among migrant women in French Guiana.

Methods

A cross-sectional epidemiological study was carried out in 2021 in the French Red Cross Prevention and Health Centers of the two main cities of French Guiana (Cayenne and Saint Laurent du Maroni). Analysis was performed with multivariate stepwise logistic regression using Stata 15.0 software.

Findings

A total of 382 migrant women were included, with a median age of 31 years, mainly born in Haiti (80%), Suriname (9%), or Dominican Republic (6%), undocumented (71%), and with financial difficulties (77%). Among the 20% having casual partners, 57% reported unprotected sexual intercourse, more often the Haitian and Surinamese women. A history of rape was reported by 20% of women, most often in the country of origin (71%). Lifetime rape was associated with being threatened [aOR = 3.69 (1.96-6.96)] or being physically abused [aOR = 12.95 (6.51-25.75)] in the multivariate analysis. Among the women surveyed, 30% reported having ever exchanged sex for money, food, or shelter in their lifetime. Transactional sex is more common among Dominican women [aOR = 5.59 (1.84-16.95)] and women living in French Guiana for more than 2 years [aOR = 2.32 (1.38-3.92)]. Transactional sex is also associated with alcohol misuse [aOR = 2.57 (1.46-4.53)], history of threats [aOR = 2.03 (1.14-3.63)], history of rape [aOR = 1.92 (1.03-3.60)], and depressive disorders [aOR = 2.08 (1.21-3.60)].

Interpretation

Migrant women in French Guiana are in a situation of sexual vulnerability. An intervention focused on sexual education and the promotion of prevention tools among Haitian women is advisable. Better prevention and support for transactional sex are needed to prevent violence and its mental health and alcohol misuse consequences for all women, especially Dominican women.

What can lead to late diagnosis of HIV in an illegal gold mining environment? A qualitative study at the French Guiana's border with Brazil

OBJECTIVE

The present study aimed to understand what factors can lead to late HIV diagnosis of illegal gold miners at French Guiana's border with Brazil.

DESIGN

An exploratory qualitative study with in-depth interviews and observations was conducted between November 2019 and February 2020.

SETTING

The study was conducted in the main medical healthcare service and two non-governmental organisation premises in the Oyapock border region, which is a supply area for illegal gold mining sites.

PARTICIPANTS

Fifteen people living with HIV diagnosed with CD4 count <350 cells 106/L were interviewed. Seven women and eight men participated; they were between 31 and 79 years old, and the median time since HIV diagnosis was 6 years. Eight had links to illegal gold mining.

FINDINGS

Three key themes for late HIV diagnosis emerged: (1) the presence of economic and political structural factors which constitute risks for this illegal activity, specifically the repression of gold mining sites by French Armed Forces and the distance from healthcare facilities; (2) representations of the body and health, related to the living conditions of this population; prioritisation of health emergencies and long-term self-medication; and (3) gender roles shaping masculinity and heterosexuality contributing to a perception of not being at risk of HIV and delaying testing.

CONCLUSION

This study highlights structural, group-based and individual factors that reduce access to HIV testing and healthcare in general for a population of migrant workers in an illegal gold mining area. Faced with harsh living conditions and state repression, these workers develop a vision of health which prioritises the functionality of the body. Associated with gender roles which are partly shaped both by the mining activity and its geographical location, this vision can lead to late HIV diagnosis.

The Evolution of HIV Patient Retention and Care in French Guiana: A Broader View From the Système National des Données de Santé

Background

Although the simplification of antiretroviral (AVR) treatment regimens and follow-up has led to fewer constraints for patients with HIV, their follow-up remains of paramount importance to optimize AVR therapy, to detect and prevent HIV-related morbidity, and prevent secondary infections. The problem of follow-up interruption in French Guiana has been persistent and seemingly impervious to efforts to alleviate it.

Objective

The objective was to follow the trend of follow-up interruptions and to test the hypothesis that an increasing number of patients was, in fact, followed by private practitioners.

Method

Using the complementary lenses of the hospital HIV cohort and the health insurance information system, we looked at the incidence of follow-up interruption and the proportion of patients followed by private practitioners.

Results

We tallied 803 persons that were not known to have died and who were lost to follow-up. Over time, hospital outpatients were lost to follow-up significantly sooner. By contrast, there was a significant trend with more and more patients exclusively followed by private practitioners.

Conclusion

While hospital outpatient care remains by far the most common mode of patient care, there seems to be a gradual erosion of this model in favor of private practice.

Using phylogenetic surveillance and epidemiological data to understand the HIV-1 transmission dynamics in French Guiana

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to understand the transmission dynamics of the HIV-1 subtype B epidemic in French Guiana and the factors that shaped the expansion of major phylogenetic transmission clusters.

DESIGN

HIV-1 subtype B pol sequences with associated epidemiological data obtained from 703 treatment-naive patients living in French Guiana between 2006 and 2012, which correspond to 91% of all HIV cases diagnosed in that period, were employed in this study.

METHODS

Maximum likelihood and Bayesian methods were used to construct phylogenetic trees, identify transmission clusters and estimate intervals between successive infections. Statistical analysis was performed to evaluate epidemiological characteristics associated with cluster membership.

RESULTS

HIV-1 subtype B pol sequences from French Guiana were distributed in 10 large/medium transmission clades (LMTC, n > 10, 55%), 19 small transmission clades (STC, n = 3-8, 10%), 36 dyads (10%) or were nonclustered (25%). The rate of clustering did not differ by sex or clinical stage, but sex workers, crack-cocaine users, young individuals (15-20 years) and nationals or migrants from neighbouring South American countries were more likely to cluster within LMTC than individuals from other groups. We estimated that 53-63% of immigrants were infected after the arrival in French Guiana and that 50% of HIV transmissions within LMTC occurred during the first 2 years after infection.

CONCLUSION

These findings reinforce the notion that high-risk sexual behaviours among young individuals and migrants (postmigration) combined with late HIV diagnosis are key drivers of onward dissemination of major HIV transmission clusters in French Guiana.

Increasing prevalence and local transmission of non-B HIV-1 subtypes in the French Antilles and French Guiana between 1995 and 2018

The Caribbean and South American French Overseas Territories (CSAFOT) are the regions most heavily affected by the Human Immunodeficiency Virus type 1 (HIV-1) epidemic in France. Although dominated by HIV-1 subtype B, the detection of non-B subtypes and the great proportion of HIV-positive persons born abroad demonstrated the potential for local spread of non-B subtype strains in CSAFOT. To reconstruct the epidemiologic dynamics of major non-B subtype clusters spreading in CSAFOT, we conducted phylogenetic and evolutionary analyses of 2,523 HIV-1 pol sequences collected from patients living in Martinique, Guadeloupe, and French Guiana from 1995 to 2018. A large variety of HIV-1 non-B subtype strains (eight subtypes, twelve CRFs, and multiple URFs) have been introduced in CSAFOT and their prevalence significantly increases over time in Martinique and Guadeloupe. We identified twelve major transmission networks of non-B subtypes (CRF02_AG and subtypes A3, C, D, and F1) that probably arose in Guadeloupe, Martinique, French Guiana, and mainland France between the late 1970s and the middle 2000s. Phylogeographic analyses support frequent non-B subtype viral transmissions within CSAFOT as well as transatlantic transmission between CSAFOT and mainland France. Domestic transmission networks of non-B subtype variants in CSAFOT comprise both men having sex with men and heterosexual individuals from different age groups. Different HIV-1 non-B subtype variants were sequentially introduced in CSAFOT between the late 1970s and the middle 2000s and are currently spreading through domestic, regional, and/or transatlantic networks of individuals from different age and risk groups.

Heterogeneity of Clinical Presentations and Paraclinical Explorations to Diagnose Disseminated Histoplasmosis in Patients with Advanced HIV: 34 Years of Experience in French Guiana

We aimed to describe the ways patients with disseminated histoplasmosis—a multifaceted and often lethal disease—present themselves and are explored. A retrospective, observational, multicentric study spanned the period between 1 January 1981 and 1 October 2014. Principal component analysis was performed for the sampling sites and for the clinical signs and symptoms. The factor loadings of the principal components were selected for eigenvalues > 1. The most frequent signs and symptoms were an alteration of the WHO general performance status, fever, digestive tract, respiratory signs and symptoms and lymphadenopathies. The most common sites sampled were bone marrow, respiratory tract, blood, lymph node and liver biopsies, with significant variations in the number of sites from which samples were taken to try to identify the pathogen. The principal component analysis clinical signs and symptoms leading to the diagnosis showed four main lines of variation. The factor loadings of the four main components were compatible with four broad types of clinical presentations and four types of exploration strategies. Extracting simple algorithms was difficult, emphasizing the importance of clinical expertise when diagnosis depends on obtaining a sample where Histoplasma can be seen or grown. Histoplasma antigen detection tests will help simplifying the algorithms.

Knowledge, attitudes, practices about HIV and implications in risk and stigma prevention among French Guianese and Brazilian border inhabitants : Beliefs about HIV among border inhabitants

BACKGROUND

The border area between French Guiana and Brazil is an active HIV-transmission zone. The aim of the present study was to describe HIV knowledge, risk and the level of stigma among inhabitants of this border area.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study was conducted among 621 inhabitants over 18 years of age in the border cities of Saint-Georges-de-l'Oyapock in French Guiana and Oiapoque in Brazil. It was conducted between October 2017 and February 2018. An anonymous standardized questionnaire was filled out by culturally-trained mediators, then analyzed using STATA 12.

RESULTS

Almost half (45.9%) of the individuals had a low education level. Participants whose native language was Portuguese or French demonstrated better HIV knowledge than other populations, notably native Amerindian and creole-speaking people. HIV risk behavior was more frequent in men and in younger age groups. People with good HIV knowledge reported having performed more HIV tests in the last year than participants with poor knowledge. The stigma level was high and reported in 74.8% of respondents.

CONCLUSIONS

These results illustrate the need for initiatives to improve HIV prevention among autochthonous populations on both sides of this border area. Cross-border collaboration on health policies could produce common key messages adapted to the education level and multi-linguistic populations who live in this area.

Temporal trend of the proportion of patients presenting with advanced HIV in French Guiana: stuck on the asymptote?

Objective

In French Guiana, the French territory with the most preoccupying HIV epidemic, there have been great efforts to intensify and diversify HIV testing strategies. The aim of the present study was to review the temporal trends of patients diagnosed with advanced HIV disease in French Guiana. Data trends from the HIV cohort of French Guiana between 1996 and 2016 were thus analyzed.

Results

The proportion of patients diagnosed with advanced disease did not decline over time. Males had lower CD4 counts at the time of diagnosis and there was a plateau for both males (around 40%) and females (around 25%) with no apparent reduction of the proportion of advanced disease. Older age groups and migrants presented more often with advanced disease. By contrast, the proportion of patients diagnosed with stage B and C disease declined over time and the CD4 count at antiretroviral initiation and the CD4 nadir increased over time. Despite some progress, the group of patients with advanced disease reached a plateau around 30% suggesting this particular group still has epidemiological importance in driving the epidemic and in fueling morbidity and mortality, and thus remains a challenge for testing strategies.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s13104-018-3944-y) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Estimation of the duration between HIV seroconversion and HIV diagnosis in different population groups in French Guiana: Strategic information to reduce the proportion of undiagnosed infections

BACKGROUND

Given the great efforts put into the strategic objective of reducing the proportion of HIV-infected patients that are undiagnosed, the aim of the present study was to review the temporal trends between 1997 and 2016 for median estimates of infection duration and median CD4 count at diagnosis for the main patient origins in French Guiana.

METHODS

CD4 cell count at HIV sero-conversion and square root of CD4 cell decline were obtained using the CD4 decline in a cohort of HIV-infected persons in the UK, fitting random effect (slope and intercept) multilevel linear regression models. Multivariate analysis used robust regression for modeling the delay between estimated HIV seroconversion and diagnosis and quantile regression for CD4 at HIV diagnosis.

RESULTS

The median interval between the estimated HIV seroconversion and HIV diagnosis was 8 years for patients fromBrazil, 4.5 years for those from Haiti, 6.6 years for those from Suriname, 3.3 years for patients from Guyana, and 3.1 years for French patients. A simple robust regression model with French patients as reference group adjusting for sex and age at the time of diagnosis showed that the interval was significantly longer for Brazilian (β = +3.7 years, P = 0.001), Surinamese (β = +4.2 years, P<0.0001), Haitian origins (β = +1.5 years, P = 0.049) but not for those originating from Guyana (β = -0.03 years, P = 0.9); Men independently had a longer interval than women (β = +3.5 years, P<0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Despite great efforts in French Guiana regarding HIV testing both in terms of diversification and intensification we still need to tailor the offer to better reach the communities in need. These results should help authorities scale up and optimize initiatives to reduce the proportion of patients who are unaware of their infection. They also raise the question of the role of stigma and discrimination as a barrier to HIV testing in small communities, and further emphasize the importance of reducing it.

Factors associated with sexual risk taking behavior by precarious urban migrants in French Guiana

Background

French Guiana is highly affected by HIV. The migrant population is particularly susceptible. The objective of this study was to evaluate the level of risk of HIV transmission and its perception among migrants in French Guiana and to identify predictive factors.

Methods

An HIV/AIDS Knowledge, Attitudes, Behaviors and Practices study was conducted in 2012 among migrants living in precarious neighborhoods of French Guiana.

Results

Of the 1039 participants surveyed, 893 were analyzed, of which 35.6% had risky sex during the past 12 months. Sexual risk taking was higher among the migrant population than in the general population. The predictors of sexual risk taking behavior were: younger age groups, males, having a job, not living with a spouse, having first had sex before age 16, using alcohol or drugs before sex, and having engaged in commercial sex recently. The factors associated with not being aware of one’s risk were: being a woman, being from Guyana or Suriname, non-systematic use of condoms with a regular partner, and never or not recently having been tested for HIV.

Conclusions

The results suggest there is still a need for information on HIV risks in a highly vulnerable population.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12914-018-0164-4) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Modeling of the HIV epidemic and continuum of care in French Guiana

Background

In order to compute the continuum of care for French Guiana, it is necessary to estimate the total number of persons living with HIV. The main objective was to determine how many persons were infected with HIV and how many were unaware of it.

Methods

We used 2 different models to calculate the total number of persons infected with HIV: Spectrum’s AIM module using CSAVR to compute incidence from case registration and vital statistics; and the ECDC model from the French Guiana HIV cohort data.

Result

The present results show that both models led to similar results regarding the incident number of cases (i.e. for 2016 174 versus 161) and the total HIV population (in 2016 3206 versus 3539) respectively. The ECDC modeling tool showed that the proportion of undiagnosed HIV infections declined from 50% in 1990 to 15% in 2015. This amounted to a stable or slightly increasing total number of undiagnosed patients of 520.

Conclusions

The estimations of the total HIV population by both models show that the HIV population is still growing. The incidence rate declined in 2000 and the decline of the number of newly acquired HIV infections, after a decline after 2003 is offset by population growth. The proportion of undiagnosed infections has declined to 15% but the number of undiagnosed infections remains stable. The HIV cascade shows that despite good results for treatment in care, reaching the 90*90*90 UNAIDS target may be difficult because a significant proportion of patients are lost to follow-up.