Too much? Mortality and health service utilisation among Danish children 1999-2016: A register-based study

Pediatric health service utilization at tertiary hospitals in Denmark 2000-2018

Pediatric health service differs between and within countries. To prioritize limited resources, data-driven studies on pediatric tertiary hospital contacts are warranted. This population-based register study identified all contacts with four Danish tertiary hospitals 2000-2018 by 0-17-year-old patients. During 2000-2018, 2,496,001 individuals resided in Denmark while 0-17 years old, and the study described 829,562 inpatient and 3,932,744 outpatient contacts at tertiary hospitals by hospital, sex, age, diagnosis, department, and residence. Male patients accounted for more contacts overall (inpatient 55.51%, outpatient 52.40%) and more contacts with severe chronic disease (inpatient 56.24%, outpatient 54.41%). Median (interquartile range) patient age was 3.09 (0.26-9.96) and 8.48 (2.78-13.70) years for in- and outpatient contacts. Overall, 28.23% and 21.02% of in- and outpatient contacts included a diagnosis of a severe chronic disease, but the proportions differed across hospitals. A pattern of pediatric healthcare directed towards less severe diseases was observed: While the total number of outpatient visits at tertiary hospitals increased from 2000 to 2018, the proportion of these contacts which had a diagnosis of a severe chronic disease decreased. Future comparisons between hospitals regarding pediatric outcomes should consider potential differences in terms of uptake and diagnosis severity. Such findings may have implications for future pediatric organization, nationally and internationally.

Antimicrobials use and infection hospital contacts as proxies of infection exposure at ages 0-2 years and risk of infectious mononucleosis

Infectious mononucleosis (IM) often results from late primary infection with Epstein-Barr virus (EBV). Exposure to EBV at ages 0-2 years from, e.g., siblings therefore protects against IM. Using Danish registers, we therefore followed children born in 1997 through 2015 from age 3 years for a hospital contact with an IM diagnosis as outcome with the number of antimicrobial prescriptions filled before age 3 years as a proxy of infection pressure and the main exposure in stratified Cox regressions. The main analyses used sibships as strata primarily to adjust for health-seeking behaviour with further possible adjustments for age, sex, calendar period and sibship constellation. In these analyses we followed 7087 children, exposed on average to 3.76 antimicrobials prescriptions. We observed a crude hazard ratio for IM per unit increase in cumulative antimicrobial use of 1.00 (95% confidence interval 0.99, 1.02), with similar results in adjusted analyses. The hypothesis that children with the largest use of antimicrobials at ages 0-2 years would subsequently have the lowest risk of IM within a sibship was not corroborated by the data. Furthermore, sibship-matched analyses provided no support for some common early-life immune system characteristics being predictive of IM.

Socioeconomic background affects mortality in Danish children with severe chronic disease

AIM

To assess the association between socioeconomic factors and mortality in Danish children diagnosed with different types of severe chronic disease, including cancer.

METHODS

National cohort study 1994-2020 including Danish children with chronic disease. Inclusion was based on diagnoses in The National Patient Register, socioeconomic information was obtained from Statistics Denmark and mortality was ascertained from the Cause of Death Register. Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were based on Cox regression. The factors were combined in one common risk score and the association with disease-specific mortality was analysed overall and by ethnicity status.

RESULTS

Overall, non-Danish ethnicity (HR = 1.96 (95% CI 1.69-2.28)) was associated with all-cause mortality in 128 129 children (69 435 male and 58 694 female) with chronic disease. Median age at first diagnosis was 1.42 years (range 0-18 years). Low family income was associated with mortality regardless of ethnicity status, and young maternal age was also a notable risk factor across ethnicities. The socioeconomic association was more pronounced in children with cancer.

CONCLUSION

In the high-income setting of Denmark, ethnicity and differences in socioeconomic background were associated with child mortality even among children with severe chronic disease. The pattern was more pronounced in paediatric cancer patients.

Childcare attendance and risk of infections in childhood and adolescence

Background

It has been suggested that the transiently increased infection risk following childcare enrolment is compensated by decreased infection risk later in childhood and adolescence. We investigated how childcare enrolment affected rates of antimicrobial-treated infections during childhood and adolescence.

Methods

In a register-based cohort study of all children born in Denmark 1997–2014 with available exposure information (n = 1 007 448), we assessed the association between childcare enrolment before age 6 years and infection risks up to age 20 years, using antimicrobial exposure as proxy for infections. Nationwide childcare and prescription data were used. We estimated infection rates and the cumulative number of infections using adjusted Poisson regression models.

Results

We observed 4 599 993 independent episodes of infection (antimicrobial exposure) during follow-up. Childcare enrolment transiently increased infection rates; the younger the child, the greater the increase. The resulting increased cumulative number of infections associated with earlier age at childcare enrolment was not compensated by lower infection risk later in childhood or adolescence. Accordingly, children enrolled in childcare before age 12 months had experienced 0.5–0.7 more infections at age 6 years (in total 4.5–5.1 infections) than peers enrolled at age 3 years, differences that persisted throughout adolescence. The type of childcare had little impact on infection risks.

Conclusions

Early age at childcare enrolment is associated with a modest increase in the cumulative number of antimicrobial-treated infections at all ages through adolescence. Emphasis should be given to disrupting infectious disease transmission in childcare facilities through prevention strategies with particular focus on the youngest children.

The match between need and use of health services among healthy under-fives in Denmark: A register-based national cohort study

OBJECTIVES

To study a potential positive association (referred to as 'a match') between the need for health service (expressed by a mortality risk score) and observed health service utilisation among healthy Danish under-fives. Further, municipal differences in the match were examined to motivate focused comparisons between the organisation of regional health services.

DESIGN

Register-based national cohort study.

PARTICIPANTS

The population of 1,246,599 Danish children born 1997-2016 who survived until date of first discharge to the home after birth without a diagnosis of severe chronic disease.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Hazard ratios (HR) for a doubling of the mortality rate were calculated for the following health services: total contacts, inpatient contacts (admission > 1 day), outpatient contacts, general practitioner contacts, specialist contacts, medication use, and vaccinations.

RESULTS

The use of total contacts, inpatient contacts (> 1 day) and general practitioner contacts as well as medication matched with the mortality risk score, HRs between 1.027 (1.026 to 1.028) and 1.111 (1.108 to 1.113), whereas outpatient and specialist contacts as well as vaccinations did not, HRs between 0.913 (0.912 to 0.915) and 0.991 (0.991 to 0.991). There were some remarkable differences among the 98 Danish municipalities.

CONCLUSIONS

We found some match between need and use for total contacts, inpatient contacts (> 1 day), contacts with general practitioner, and medication use although the associations were relatively weak. For outpatient and specialist contacts, the mismatch may be related to services not addressing potentially fatal disease whereas for vaccination there was a small mismatch. Our results indicate local discrepancies in diagnosis, and a low adjusted utilisation of hospital admissions in Aarhus compared to the other three major cities in Denmark suggests that a comparison of the organisation of services could be useful.