Predictors of In-Hospital Mortality in Patients Admitted with Acute Myocardial Infarction in a Developing Country

Management and clinical outcome of myocardial infarction in Kosovo: A cross-sectional study

Background and Aims

Myocardial infarction (MI) is a major cause of mortality worldwide, irrespective of its presentation as non-ST-segment elevation MI (NSTEMI) or ST-segment elevation MI (STEMI). The objective of this study was to assess national results of management and clinical outcome of acute MI patients in Kosovo.

Methods

This cross-sectional descriptive study, conducted at the Clinic of Cardiology of the University Clinical Center of Kosovo, in Prishtina, included all patients hospitalized with acute MI over a period of 7 years (2014-2020). The primary outcome of the study was in-hospital mortality.

Results

Among 7353 admitted patients with acute MI (mean age 63 ± 12 years, 29% female) and according to the final diagnosis, 4436 (59.4%) patients had STEMI, and 2987 (40.6%) NSTEMI. More patients with STEMI received primary percutaneous intervention (PPCI) than those with NSTEMI (50% vs. 41%, p < 0.001). In-hospital mortality was higher in no PPCI patients compared to PPCI both in NSTEMI (10.7% vs. 2.6%, p < 0.001) and STEMI (20.9% vs. 6.8%, p < 0.001). Age ≥65 years [0.399 (0.267-0.597), p ˂ 0.001], hemoglobin level [0.889 (0.815-0.970), p = 0.008], STEMI [0.491 (0.343-0.704), p ˂ 0.001], lack of PPCI [2.636 (1.798-3.866), p ˂ 0.001], cardiogenic shock [0.002 (0.001-0.006), p < 0.001], reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LV EF) [0.966 (0.951-0.980), p < 0.001], and heart rate at admission [1.009 (1.000-1.017), p = 0.047], independently predicted mortality. In STEMI, cardiogenic shock (p ˂ 0.001), lack of PPCI (p = 0.006), female gender (p = 0.01), and low LV EF (p = 0.04) predicted mortality but age ≥65 years (p = 0.02), female gender (p = 0.02), low LV EF (p = 0.007), and low hemoglobin (p = 0.04) predicted mortality in NSTEMI.

Conclusion

Between 2014 and 2020, half of patients with acute MI were not treated with PPCI, who had high mortality, particularly when presenting with STEMI. Age, cardiogenic shock, anemia, low LV EF, STEMI and no PPCI independently predicted mortality. Cardiogenic shock and lack of PPCI independently predicted mortality, only in STEMI.

Predictors of prolonged hospital stay and in-hospital mortality in female patients with acute myocardial infarction with specific reference to diabetes

This study aimed to determine predictors of prolonged length of stay (LOS) and mortality in female STEMI patients with diabetes in comparison to female STEMI patients without diabetes. This retrospective single-center study was conducted between 2015 and 2020 as part of the STEMI registry in our center and included all STEMI patients. RESULTS: Out of 3081 STEMI patients, 16% (N = 498) were female, and 64% (n = 318) of them had diabetes. Diabetic patients were less commonly presented with anterior wall myocardial infarction (AWMI) (47% vs 65%, p = 0.001), but tended to have a higher prevalence of left main (LM) significant disease compared to non-diabetic patients (4% vs 1%, p = 0.06). Of the patients, 36% had prolonged LOS (≥5 days), and they were more obese with a higher incidence of hemoglobin drop ≥ 3 g/dL, higher admission troponin, and peak creatinine. 22% of patients with prolonged LOS came to the hospital after receiving lytic therapy and showed a higher prevalence of multivessel stenosis. Prolonged LOS patients had a higher incidence of pulmonary edema and cardiac arrest, which necessitated ventilation, although they did not show a significant difference in mortality from the group with LOS < 5 days. Our study found a significant negative correlation between glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) (p = 0.02), but a positive correlation was noticed between HbA1c and LOS (p < 0.001). Regression analysis showed that diabetes mellitus, hemoglobin drop, creatinine level, and LVEF were significant predictors of prolonged LOS among females, although HbA1c, BMI ≥ 30, STEMI type, and peak creatinine level were independent predictors of prolonged LOS among female diabetic patients. Age ≥ 65 years and LVEF were significant independent predictors of mortality (p = 0.04, 0.02 respectively) in STEMI female patients. CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes mellitus, bleeding, renal impairment, and LVEF were found to be significant independent predictors of prolonged LOS among STEMI females. Age ≥ 65 years and LVEF were significant predictors of mortality among STEMI female patients.

Heart Failure at Admission Complicating ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction in a Middle-Income Country. Experience of the ARGEN-IAM-ST Registry

Despite advances in the management of ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), when associated with heart failure (HF) its prognosis remains ominous. This study assessed the differences in admission and mortality of HF complicating STEMI at admission (HFad) in a middle-income country. Data from the National Registry of STEMI of Argentina (ARGEN-IAM-ST) from January 1, 2016, to September 30, 2020, were analyzed. HFad was defined by the identification of Killip/Kimball ≥2 at admission. About 3174 patients were analyzed (22.3% had HFad). Patients with HFad were older, more often women, hypertensive, and diabetic. Received less reperfusion (87.6% vs 92.6%, P < 0.001) and had increased in-hospital mortality (28.4% vs 3.0%, P < 0.001). In multivariate analysis HFad was an independent predictor of death (OR: 4.88 [95%CI: 3.33-7.18], P < 0.001) and reperfusion adjusted to HFad was associated with lower mortality (OR: 0.57 [95%CI: 0.34-0.95], P = 0.03). HFad in STEMI is associated with a worse clinical profile, receives fewer reperfusion strategies, and carries a higher risk of in-hospital mortality while reperfusion reduces mortality.

Data Modeling Using Vital Sign Dynamics for In-hospital Mortality Classification in Patients with Acute Coronary Syndrome

OBJECTIVES

This study compared feature selection by machine learning or expert recommendation in the performance of classification models for in-hospital mortality among patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

METHODS

A dataset of 1,123 patients with ACS who underwent PCI was analyzed. After assigning 80% of instances to the training set through random splitting, we performed feature scaling and resampling with the synthetic minority over-sampling technique and Tomek link method. We compared two feature selection.

METHODS

recursive feature elimination with cross-validation (RFECV) and selection by interventional cardiologists. We used five simple models: support vector machine (SVM), random forest, decision tree, logistic regression, and artificial neural network. The performance metrics were accuracy, recall, and the false-negative rate, measured with 10-fold cross-validation in the training set and validated in the test set.

RESULTS

Patients' mean age was 66.22 ± 12.88 years, and 33.63% had ST-elevation ACS. Fifteen of 34 features were selected as important with the RFECV method, while the experts chose 11 features. All models with feature selection by RFECV had higher accuracy than the models with expert-chosen features. In the training set, the random forest model had the highest accuracy (0.96 ± 0.01) and recall (0.97 ± 0.02). After validation in the test set, the SVM model displayed the highest accuracy (0.81) and a recall of 0.61.

CONCLUSIONS

Models with feature selection by RFECV had higher accuracy than those with feature selection by experts in identifying patients with ACS at high risk for in-hospital mortality.

Shedding Light on the Causes and Characteristics of Stroke in Lebanon: A Systematic Review of Literature

BACKGROUND

The prevalence and severity of stroke in Lebanon has increased over the past decade and stroke is currently the second leading cause of death in the country.

METHODS

We systematically reviewed existing research on stroke prevalence, risk factors, mortality and morbidity of stroke, stroke treatment, and stroke education to assess the epidemiology of stroke in Lebanon. A literature search was conducted on the PubMed database for articles presenting data in any of these 5 categories in Lebanon, as well as articles discussing the Middle East and North Africa region generally.

RESULTS

A high prevalence of modifiable risk factors (cigarette and waterpipe smoking) and risk factors that could be mitigated by lifestyle changes (obesity and hypertension) were found in Lebanon. Stroke mortality rates and risk factors of mortality were consistent with global trends, though the cost of treatment in Lebanon was significantly higher than in other developing nations.

CONCLUSION

Urgent public health initiatives are needed to educate the public about the dangers of modifiable stroke risk factors and to reduce the burden of stroke in Lebanon.

Predictors of in-hospital mortality in diabetic patients with non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction

Background

There have been little data about the additive effects of coronary risk factors on mortality in diabetic patients presenting with non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI). This study aimed to evaluate the predictors of mortality in diabetic patients presenting with NSTEMI. All patients admitted to Tehran Heart Center (THC) with a confirmed diagnosis of NSTEMI and a history of diabetes mellitus (DM) type 2 between September 2003 and April 2017 were included. Clinical characteristics and paraclinical data such as lipid profiles, creatinine, hemoglobin, and hemoglobin A1C (HbA1C) were evaluated in these patients to predict in-hospital mortality. The approach for model calibration was a logistic regression with the backward elimination method.

Results

Of a total of 9158 patients with non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction, 3133 had diabetes mellitus type 2 and met our criteria to enter the final analysis. In the multivariable analysis, age, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and a severely reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) significantly increased the rate of in-hospital mortality, whereas mildly and moderately reduced left ventricular ejection fraction did not increase the rate of mortality.

Conclusions

Age, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and severely reduced LVEF (< 30%) independently increased in-hospital mortality in our diabetic patients with a confirmed diagnosis of NSTEMI. Severely reduced LVEF had the strongest relationship with in-hospital mortality, whereas the mean HbA1C level and the type of DM management exerted no significant effect on in-hospital mortality.

Predictors of Mortality and Long-Term Outcome in Patients with Anterior STEMI: Results from a Single Center Study

Anterior ST segment elevation myocardial infarction (A-STEMI) has the worst prognosis among all infarct sites due to larger infarct size and the higher cardiac enzyme release. We retrospectively analyzed 584 A-STEMI undergoing urgent coronary angiography from October 2008 to April 2019. The median follow-up time was 1774 days with a minimum of a 1-year follow-up for 498 patients. In-hospital mortality was 8.6%, while long-term, all-cause mortality and 1-year mortality were 18.8% and 6.8%, respectively. The main predictors for in-hospital mortality were ejection fraction (LV-EF), baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), female gender and cardiogenic shock (CS) at admission, while long-term predictors of mortality were age, coronary artery disease (CAD) extension and LV-EF. Patients presenting with CS (6.5%) showed a higher mortality rate (in-hospital 68.4%, long term 41.7%). Among 245 patients (42%) with multivessel disease (MVD), complete revascularization (CR) during the index procedure was performed in 42.8% of patients and more often in patients with CS at admission (19.1% vs. 6.1%, p = 0.008). Short- and long-term mortality were not significantly influenced by the revascularization strategy (CR/culprit only). Our study confirmed the extreme fragility of A-STEMI patients, especially in case of CS at admission. LV-EF is a powerful predictor of a poor outcome. In MVD, CR during p-PCI did not show any advantage for either long- or short-term mortality compared to the culprit-only strategy.

Factors Associated with In-Hospital Death in Patients with Killip Class 3 Acute Myocardial Infarction

The clinical outcomes in acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients with Killip class 3 are often inconsistent with those in the literature, and the factors associated with poor outcomes have not been sufficiently investigated. The purpose of this study was to identify factors associated with in-hospital death in AMI patients with Killip class 3. We included 205 AMI patients with Killip class 3, and divided them into a survived group (n = 189) and in-hospital death group (n = 16). The primary objective was to identify factors associated with in-hospital death using multivariate analysis. Age was significantly younger in the survived group than in the in-hospital death group (73.1 ± 11.2 versus 83.2 ± 6.2 years, P < 0.001). Systolic blood pressure (SBP) was significantly higher in the survived group than in the in-hospital death group (150.0 ± 31.2 versus 124.8 ± 25.3 mmHg, P = 0.002). The prevalence of TIMI thrombus grade ≥ 2 was significantly greater in the in-hospital death group than in the survived group (56.3 versus 22.2%, P = 0.005). In multivariate logistic regression analysis, in-hospital death was significantly associated with age [odds ratio (OR) 1.168, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.061-1.287, P = 0.002] and TIMI thrombus grade ≥ 2 (versus ≤ 1: OR 5.743, 95% CI 1.717-19.214, P = 0.005), and inversely associated with SBP on admission (per 10 mmHg increase: OR 0.764, 95% CI 0.613-0.953, P = 0.017). In conclusion, in-hospital death was associated with age and coronary thrombus burden, and was inversely associated with SBP on admission in patients with Killip class 3. It may be important to recognize these high risk features to improve the clinical outcomes of patients with Killip class 3.

Clinical outcomes in patients with acute myocardial infarction treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention stratified according to duration of pain-to-balloon time and type of myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND

Based on the clinical outcomes of patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI), treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention (pPCI), this study intended to assess mortality and major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular event (MACCE) rates according to duration of pain-to-balloon (PTB) time and type of MI.

METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study based on the prospectively collected ORPKI registry which covers PCIs performed in Poland chosen between January 2014 and December 2017. Under assessment were 1,994 STEMI and 923 NSTEMI patients. Study endpoints included mortality and MACCE rates (in-hospital, 30-day, 12- and 36-month). Predictors of all-cause mortality in the overall group, STEMI and NSTEMI were assessed by multivariable analysis.

RESULTS

Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis did not reveal significant differences between the STEMI and NSTEMI group for all-cause mortality or MACCE at the 36-month follow-up. While in the long PTB time group, MACCE rate was significantly greater in STEMI patients when compared to NSTEMI (p = 0.004). Among STEMI patients, the short, medium and long PTB time groups differed significantly in the rate of all-cause mortality (p = 0.006) and MACCE (p = 0.04) at 1,095 days of follow-up, which were the greatest in the long PTB time group.

CONCLUSIONS

Before considering the length of PTB time, there were no statistically significant differences in mortality or MACCE frequency between the STEMI and NSTEMI group at 36-month follow-up. Longer PTB times are related to significantly greater mortality at the 36-month follow-up in the STEMI, but not in the NSTEMI group.

Comprehensive Review of Cardiovascular Diseases, Diabetes, and Hypercholesterolemia in Lebanon

The Middle East and North Africa regions, including Lebanon, have recently witnessed rapid urbanization and modernization over the last couple of decades that has led to a dramatic transformation affecting lifestyle and diet. The World Health Organization reports that the leading cause of death in Lebanon is due to cardiovascular disease (CVD) at 47% of all-cause mortality. Over the last 30 years, especially the last 10, the population of Lebanon has changed dramatically due to the effect of wars in the region and refugees seeking asylum. With a population of around 4.5 million and a relatively high rate of consanguinity in Lebanon, a variety of novel mutations have been discovered explaining several familial causes of hypercholesterolemia, diabetes mellitus, congenital heart disease, and cardiomyopathies. Due to the Syrian civil war, 1.5 million Syrian refugees now reside in Lebanon in either low-income housing or tented settlements. A National Institutes of Health study is examining diabetes and CVD in Syrian refugees in comparison to native Lebanese. We provide the first review of CVD in Lebanon in its metabolic component including coronary artery disease and its risk factors, mainly hyperlipidemia and diabetes mellitus, and its structural component, including congenital heart disease, valvular heart disease, cardiomyopathies, and heart failure. The knowledge in this review has been compiled to guide clinicians and assist researchers in efforts to recognize risk factors for disease, improve delivery of health care, and prevent and treat CVDs in Lebanon, both for the native Lebanese and Syrian refugees.

Acute Myocardial Infarction among Hospitalizations for Heat Stroke in the United States

Background: This study aimed to assess the risk factors and impact of acute myocardial infarction on in-hospital treatments, complications, outcomes, and resource utilization in hospitalized patients for heat stroke in the United States. Methods: Hospitalized patients with a principal diagnosis of heat stroke were identified in the National Inpatient Sample dataset from the years 2003 to 2014. Acute myocardial infarction was identified using the hospital International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision (ICD-9), diagnosis of 410.xx. Clinical characteristics, in-hospital treatment, complications, outcomes, and resource utilization between patients with and without acute myocardial infarction were compared. Results: A total of 3372 heat stroke patients were included in the analysis. Of these, acute myocardial infarction occurred in 225 (7%) admissions. Acute myocardial infarction occurred more commonly in obese female patients with a history of chronic kidney disease, but less often in male patients aged <20 years with a history of hypothyroidism. The need for mechanical ventilation, blood transfusion, and renal replacement therapy were higher in patients with acute myocardial infarction. Acute myocardial infarction was associated with rhabdomyolysis, metabolic acidosis, sepsis, gastrointestinal bleeding, ventricular arrhythmia or cardiac arrest, renal failure, respiratory failure, circulatory failure, liver failure, neurological failure, and hematologic failure. Patients with acute myocardial infarction had 5.2-times greater odds of in-hospital mortality than those without myocardial infarction. The length of hospital stay and hospitalization cost were also higher when an acute myocardial infarction occurred while hospitalized. Conclusion: Acute myocardial infarction was associated with worse outcomes and higher economic burden among patients hospitalized for heat stroke. Obesity and chronic kidney disease were associated with increased risk of acute myocardial infarction, while young male patients and hypothyroidism were associated with decreased risk.

Self-reported sleep quality and depression in post myocardial infarction patients attending cardiology outpatient clinics in Oman

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to examine the sleep quality and prevalence of depression in post myocardial infarction patients attending cardiology outpatient clinics of selected hospitals in Oman.

METHODS

A descriptive cross-sectional design was used to collect data from patients (n = 180) who were at least 4 weeks post myocardial infarction diagnosis and receiving follow-up care in the outpatient clinic. The Arabic version of the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index and Patient Health Questionnaire-9 were used to assess sleep quality and depressive symptoms, respectively.

RESULTS

The sample mean age was 62.0 ± 11.3 years. Poor sleep quality affected 61.1% of the participants. The significant predictors of poor sleep quality were gender (P ≤ 0.05), body mass index (P ≤ 0.05), and self-reported regular exercise (P ≤ 0.01). The most impacted domains of sleep quality were sleep latency, sleep duration, and sleep disturbances. The prevalence of major depression was low (5%) and the rate of re-infarction was 27.2%. The prevalence of minimal to mild major depression with a potential of transitioning into major depression overtime was very high. Self-reported regular exercise (P ≤ 0.01) was the only significant predictor of depressive symptoms.

CONCLUSION

The sleep quality of post myocardial infarction patients was poor and the prevalence of depression was low. There was no significant relationship between sleep quality or depression with re-infarction.

Predictors of left ventricle ejection fraction and early in-hospital mortality in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction: Single-center data from a tertiary referral university hospital in Istanbul

Background:

Little is known about the management and mortality rates of ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction patients in developing countries. In this study, to expose independent predictors of early (24 h) in-hospital mortality and ejection fraction, we report our experience with 362 ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction patients admitted to the Istanbul Medical Faculty, Istanbul University, a tertiary referral university hospital, and treated with primary percutaneous intervention.

Methods:

This is a retrospective study that enrolled all patients (362) admitted with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction to Department of Cardiology, Istanbul Medical Faculty, Istanbul University, between January 2015 and December 2016. The clinical characteristics of patients were collected retrospectively from medical chart review. Collected data were analyzed using IBM SPSS Statistics (version 21).

Results:

In the forward stepwise logistic regression analysis, target vessel diameter (p = 0.001), systolic blood pressure (p < 0.001), and troponin T levels (p = 0.007) were independent predictors for early in-hospital mortality, while target vessel diameter (p = 0.03), troponin T level (p < 0.001), heart rate (p = 0.001), and chest pain (p = 0.001) duration were the independent predictors for ejection fraction of 50% and above.

Conclusion:

Our study is one of the few studies to investigate the predictors of early in-hospital mortality among patients hospitalized with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction in a tertiary referral university hospital in a developing country. The identified predictors for mortality (including left ventricle ejection fraction and troponin T levels), left ventricle ejection fraction (including troponin T level, chest pain duration), and heart rate are consistent with what has been described in large registries in the United States and Europe.