Conceptual and Practical Implications of Breast Tissue Geometry: Toward a More Effective, Less Toxic Therapy

A Thermodynamic Perspective of Cancer Cells' Volume/Area Expansion Ratio

The constructal law is used to improve the analysis of the resonant heat transfer in cancer cells. The result highlights the fundamental role of the volume/area ratio and its role in cancer growth and invasion. Cancer cells seek to increase their surface area to facilitate heat dissipation; as such, the tumour expansion ratio declines as malignant cells start to migrate and the cancer expands locally and systemically. Consequently, we deduce that effective anticancer therapy should be based on the control of some ion transport phenomena in an effort to increase the volume/area ratio. This emphasises restricting the local and systemic spatial expansion of the tumour system and thus gives further credence to the superior role of novel anti-migratory and anti-invasive treatment strategies over conventional anti-proliferative options only.

Immune-checkpoint inhibitor therapy response evaluation using oncophysics-based mathematical models

The field of oncology has transformed with the advent of immunotherapies. The standard of care for multiple cancers now includes novel drugs that target key checkpoints that function to modulate immune responses, enabling the patient's immune system to elicit an effective anti-tumor response. While these immune-based approaches can have dramatic effects in terms of significantly reducing tumor burden and prolonging survival for patients, the therapeutic approach remains active only in a minority of patients and is often not durable. Multiple biological investigations have identified key markers that predict response to the most common form of immunotherapy-immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI). These biomarkers help enrich patients for ICI but are not 100% predictive. Understanding the complex interactions of these biomarkers with other pathways and factors that lead to ICI resistance remains a major goal. Principles of oncophysics-the idea that cancer can be described as a multiscale physical aberration-have shown promise in recent years in terms of capturing the essence of the complexities of ICI interactions. Here, we review the biological knowledge of mechanisms of ICI action and how these are incorporated into modern oncophysics-based mathematical models. Building on the success of oncophysics-based mathematical models may help to discover new, rational methods to engineer immunotherapy for patients in the future. This article is categorized under: Therapeutic Approaches and Drug Discovery > Nanomedicine for Oncologic Disease.

Survival outcomes for dose-dense paclitaxel plus carboplatin neoadjuvant versus standard adjuvant chemotherapy in stage II to III triple-negative breast cancer: a prospective cohort study with propensity-matched analysis

There is a scarcity of data exploring the long-term benefits of platinum-based (anthracycline-free) neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) for triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC). The prospective cohort study was conducted at Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences. Patients with TNBC in stage II-III were enrolled to receive NACT of dose-dense paclitaxel (175mg/m² ) plus carboplatin (AUC 4.0) biweekly (ddPCb) for 6 cycles, and matched patients during the same period who received standard adjuvant chemotherapy for survival comparison. From January 2014 to July 2021, 264 patients were included in the primary non-matched analysis (neoadjuvant 99, adjuvant 165). Compared with those in the adjuvant group, patients receiving NACT had larger tumors, higher degrees of nodal burden, and more advanced disease (P<0.001). Almost all patients in the adjuvant group received epirubicin plus cyclophosphamide followed by paclitaxel. Within a median follow-up of 44.9 months, the 4-year recurrence-free survival (RFS, 82.6% vs 75.4%) and overall survival (OS, 86.6% vs 80.5%) were higher for patients in the neoadjuvant group without statistical difference. In the matched cohort of 134 patients (67 pairs), the 4-year RFS (84.9% vs 60.9%; hazard ratio [HR], 0.32; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.15-0.69; P=0.003) and OS (88.0% vs 65.9%; HR, 0.30; 95% CI, 0.12-0.75; P=0.010) were significantly superior for platinum-based neoadjuvant than standard adjuvant chemotherapy. Compared with standard chemotherapy, ddPCb was related to less neutropenia and more thrombocytopenia. These results support the consideration of ddPCb as NACT for TNBC in stage II-III. Randomized data and predictive biomarkers for platinum-based chemotherapy are needed to be further investigated. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Gefitinib induction followed by chemoradiotherapy in EGFR-mutant, locally advanced non-small-cell lung cancer: LOGIK0902/OLCSG0905 phase II study

Background

The role of epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR)-tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) induction coupled with standard concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CRT) is unclear in unresectable, stage III, EGFR-mutant non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Therefore, a phase II trial was conducted to evaluate the efficacy and safety of gefitinib induction followed by CRT in this disease setting.

Patients and methods

Patients with unresectable, EGFR-mutant, stage III NSCLC were administered gefitinib monotherapy (250 mg/day) for 8 weeks. Subsequently, patients without disease progression during induction therapy were administered cisplatin and docetaxel (40 mg/m² each) on days 1, 8, 29, and 36 with concurrent radiotherapy at a total dose of 60 Gy. The primary endpoint was the 2-year overall survival (OS) rate, which was hypothesized to reach 85%, with a threshold of the lower limit of 60%.

Results

Twenty patients (median age: 66 years; male/female: 9/11; histology: 20 adenocarcinoma; stage IIIA/IIIB: 9/11; and exon 19/21: 10/10) were enrolled. The 2-year OS rate was 90% (90% confidence interval: 71.4% to 96.8%), indicating that this trial met the primary objective. The overall response rate and 1- and 2-year progression-free survival rates were 85.0%, 58.1%, and 36.9%, respectively. Grade ≥3 adverse events (>10%) included hepatic toxicity during the induction phase and neutropenia and febrile neutropenia in the CRT phase. Radiation pneumonitis grade ≥3 or treatment-related death did not occur.

Conclusions

This is the first prospective study to demonstrate the favorable efficacy and safety of EGFR-TKI induction followed by standard CRT in EGFR-mutant, stage III NSCLC. Further confirmatory studies are needed.

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This is the first prospective study evaluating gefitinib induction followed by CRT in EGFR-mutated, locally advanced NSCLC.

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The 2-year OS rate was 90% (90% confidence interval: 71.4% to 96.8%), indicating that this trial met the primary objective.

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The objective response rate throughout the treatment protocol was 85.0% (17 of 20).

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The safety findings were consistent with the known safety profiles of all agents administered.

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Our results might raise a critical point that needs to be evaluated in further studies to improve the cure rate.

Physics approaches to the spatial distribution of immune cells in tumors

The goal of immunotherapy is to mobilize the immune system to kill cancer cells. Immunotherapy is more effective and, in general, the prognosis is better, when more immune cells infiltrate the tumor. We explore the question of whether the spatial distribution rather than just the density of immune cells in the tumor is important in forecasting whether cancer recurs. After reviewing previous work on this issue, we introduce a novel application of maximum entropy to quantify the spatial distribution of discrete point-like objects. We apply our approach to B and T cells in images of tumor tissue taken from triple negative breast cancer patients. We find that the immune cells are more spatially dispersed in good clinical outcome (no recurrence of cancer within at least 5 years of diagnosis) compared to poor clinical outcome (recurrence within 3 years of diagnosis). Our results highlight the importance of spatial distribution of immune cells within tumors with regard to clinical outcome, and raise new questions on their role in cancer recurrence.

Fractional SIR epidemiological models

The purpose of this work is to make a case for epidemiological models with fractional exponent in the contribution of sub-populations to the incidence rate. More specifically, we question the standard assumption in the literature on epidemiological models, where the incidence rate dictating propagation of infections is taken to be proportional to the product between the infected and susceptible sub-populations; a model that relies on strong mixing between the two groups and widespread contact between members of the groups. We contend, that contact between infected and susceptible individuals, especially during the early phases of an epidemic, takes place over a (possibly diffused) boundary between the respective sub-populations. As a result, the rate of transmission depends on the product of fractional powers instead. The intuition relies on the fact that infection grows in geographically concentrated cells, in contrast to the standard product model that relies on complete mixing of the susceptible to infected sub-populations. We validate the hypothesis of fractional exponents (1) by numerical simulation for disease propagation in graphs imposing a local structure to allowed disease transmissions and (2) by fitting the model to the JHU CSSE COVID-19 Data for the period Jan-22-20 to April-30-20, for the countries of Italy, Germany, France, and Spain.

Current Treatment Considerations for Osteosarcoma Metastatic at Presentation

Approximately one-fourth of osteosarcoma patients have metastases at presentation. The best treatment options for these patients include chemotherapy, surgery, and radiotherapy; however, the optimal scheme has not yet been defined. Standard chemotherapy for osteosarcoma metastatic at presentation is based on high-dose methotrexate, doxorubicin, and cisplatin (the MAP regimen), with the possible addition of ifosfamide. Surgical treatment continues to be fundamental; complete surgical resection of all sites of disease (primary and metastatic) remains essential for survival. In patients whose tumors do not respond to neoadjuvant chemotherapy, early surgical resection of the primary tumor with limb-salvage surgery or amputation and multiple metastasectomies, if feasible, after the completion of adjuvant chemotherapy is a reasonable option, as the reduction of the tumor volume could probably increase the effect of chemotherapy. Advanced radiotherapy techniques, such as carbon ion radiotherapy and stereotactic radiosurgery, and molecular targeted chemo-therapy with drugs such as pazopanib or apatinib have improved the dismal prognosis, especially for patients who are medically inoperable or who refuse surgery. Given that the presence of metastatic disease at diagnosis of a patient with osteosarcoma is a poor prognostic factor, a multidisciplinary approach by surgeons, medical oncologists, and radiotherapists is important. [Orthopedics. 2020;43(5):e345-e358.].

Fractional SIR Epidemiological Models

The purpose of this work is to make a case for epidemiological models with fractional exponent in the contribution of sub-populations to the transmission rate. More specifically, we question the standard assumption in the literature on epidemiological models, where the transmission rate dictating propagation of infections is taken to be proportional to the product between the infected and susceptible sub-populations; a model that relies on strong mixing between the two groups and widespread contact between members of the groups. We content, that contact between infected and susceptible individuals, especially during the early phases of an epidemic, takes place over a (possibly diffused) boundary between the respective sub-populations. As a result, the rate of transmission depends on the product of fractional powers instead. The intuition relies on the fact that infection grows in geographically concentrated cells, in contrast to the standard product model that relies on complete mixing of the susceptible to infected sub-populations. We validate the hypothesis of fractional exponents i) by numerical simulation for disease propagation in graphs imposing a local structure to allowed disease transmissions and ii) by fitting the model to a COVID-19 data set provided by John Hopkins University (JHUCSSE) for the period Jan-31–20 to Mar-24–20, for the countries of Italy, Germany, Iran, and France.

Quantitative Mechanistic Modeling in Support of Pharmacological Therapeutics Development in Immuno-Oncology

Following the approval, in recent years, of the first immune checkpoint inhibitor, there has been an explosion in the development of immuno-modulating pharmacological modalities for the treatment of various cancers. From the discovery phase to late-stage clinical testing and regulatory approval, challenges in the development of immuno-oncology (IO) drugs are multi-fold and complex. In the preclinical setting, the multiplicity of potential drug targets around immune checkpoints, the growing list of immuno-modulatory molecular and cellular forces in the tumor microenvironment-with additional opportunities for IO drug targets, the emergence of exploratory biomarkers, and the unleashed potential of modality combinations all have necessitated the development of quantitative, mechanistically-oriented systems models which incorporate key biology and patho-physiology aspects of immuno-oncology and the pharmacokinetics of IO-modulating agents. In the clinical setting, the qualification of surrogate biomarkers predictive of IO treatment efficacy or outcome, and the corresponding optimization of IO trial design have become major challenges. This mini-review focuses on the evolution and state-of-the-art of quantitative systems models describing the tumor vs. immune system interplay, and their merging with quantitative pharmacology models of IO-modulating agents, as companion tools to support the addressing of these challenges.

The importance of ion fluxes for cancer proliferation and metastasis: A thermodynamic analysis

Following a thermodynamic approach, we develop a new theoretical analysis of ion transfer across cell membranes. Supported also by experimental data from the literature, we highlight that ion channels determine the typical features of cancer cells, i.e. independence from growth-regulatory signals, avoidance of apoptosis, indefinite proliferative potential, and the capability of inducing angiogenesis. Specifically, we analyse how ion transport, with particular regards to Ca²⁺ fluxes, modulates cancer cell proliferation, and regulates cell cycle checkpoints. Finally, our analysis also suggests that in malignant tumours aerobic glycolysis is the more efficient metabolic process when taking the required solvent capacity into account.

Modeling of Interactions between Cancer Stem Cells and their Microenvironment: Predicting Clinical Response

Mathematical models of cancer stem cells are useful in translational cancer research for facilitating the understanding of tumor growth dynamics and for predicting treatment response and resistance to combined targeted therapies. In this chapter, we describe appealing aspects of different methods used in mathematical oncology and discuss compelling questions in oncology that can be addressed with these modeling techniques. We describe a simplified version of a model of the breast cancer stem cell niche, illustrate the visualization of the model, and apply stochastic simulation to generate full distributions and average trajectories of cell type populations over time. We further discuss the advent of single-cell data in studying cancer stem cell heterogeneity and how these data can be integrated with modeling to advance understanding of the dynamics of invasive and proliferative populations during cancer progression and response to therapy.

Parameters Estimation in Phase-Space Landscape Reconstruction of Cell Fate: A Systems Biology Approach

The thermodynamical formalism of irreversible processes offers a theoretical framework appropriate to explain the complexity observed at the macroscopic level of dynamic systems. In this context, together with the theory of complex systems and systems biology, the thermodynamical formalism establishes an appropriate conceptual framework to address the study of biological systems, in particular cancer.The Chapter is organized as follows: In Subheading 1, an integrative view of these disciplines is offered, for the characterization of the emergence and evolution of cancer, seen as a self-organized dynamic system far from the thermodynamic equilibrium. Development of a thermodynamic framework, based on the entropy production rate, is presented in Subheading 2. Subheading 3 is dedicated to all tumor growth, as seen through a "phase transitions" far from equilibrium. Subheading 4 is devoted to complexity of cancer glycolysis. Finally, some concluding remarks are presented in Subheading 5.

Neoadjuvant dose-dense chemotherapy for locally advanced breast cancer: a meta-analysis of published studies

Large operable or locally advanced breast cancers (BCs) are usually treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (CT) before surgery. However, there is no evidence to support an improvement in efficacy with dose-dense (DD) CT in this setting. We, therefore, carried out a meta-analysis to investigate whether DD-CT was more effective than the reference (every 3 weeks anthracyclines±taxanes) standard-dose CT as neoadjuvant treatment for BC. We searched Pubmed, SCOPUS, EMBASE, the Web of Science, CINAHL, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials for randomized trials comparing conventional versus DD neoadjuvant CT for BC. Odds ratios (ORs) for pathologic complete responses (ypT0N0M0: pCR) and hazard ratios (HRs) of death and recurrence [overall survival (OS), and disease-free survival (DFS)] were estimated and pooled. A QUADAS-2 report for all studies included in the final analysis was tabulated for the risk of bias and applicability. A total of six randomized trials fulfilled the inclusion criteria. The pooled rates of the pCR were 13.5 and 9.2% in the experimental and control arms. A significant increase in the pCR [OR=1.55, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.18-2.02, P=0.001] was noted with neoadjuvant DD-CT. However, the patients who received DD-CT did not have significantly better DFS and OS rates (DFS: HR=0.88, 95% CI 0.76-1.01, P=0.06; OS: HR=0.89, 95% CI 0.78-1.02, P=0.08). Even with the limitation of a relatively short follow-up period, this meta-analysis shows that DD neoadjuvant CT, despite not leading to a significant increase in survival, increases by 46.7% the possibility of achieving a pCR in operable and locally advanced BC. This treatment should thus be considered one of the backbone treatments of choice when neoadjuvant therapy is planned.

In Surgical Colon Cancer Patients Extended-Duration Thromboprophylaxis (30 days) with the Highest Dose of Tinzaparin (4,500 IU s.c./q.d.) Normalizes the Postoperative VEGF Levels

Background/Purpose: In colon cancer (CC) patients preoperative (pre-op) levels of VEGF-A₁₆₅ (VEGF) is a strong predictor for disease recurrence. Elevated postoperative (post-op) VEGF levels could have undesirable effects by enhancing tumor growth and metastasis formation. It has been suggested that thromboprophylaxis with a Low Molecular Weight Heparin (LMWH) in surgical cancer patients, further to thromboembolic protection, may exert some anti-neoplastic properties, as well. The aim of our study was to assess the potential impact of the LMWH Tinzaparin (Innohep® - Leo Pharma, Copenhagen, Denmark), given at different doses and for different perioperative (peri-op) periods, upon the post-op variability of serum VEGF levels in surgical CC patients. Methods: A total of 54 consecutive CC patients who underwent a curative resection were randomized in four groups according to their peri-op thromboprophylaxis scheme, which was based on administrating Tinzaparin in different doses and at different periods, as follows: group I: 3,500 IU for 10 days, group II: 3,500 IU for 30 days, group III: 4,500 IU for 10 days and group IV: 4,500 IU for 30 days. Serum VEGF concentrations were evaluated on the pre-op day (Day 0) and on the 10^th and 30^th post-op days (Day 10 and Day 30, respectively). For statistical analyses the mixed design ANOVA was used. P < 0.05 was considered significant. Results: On Day 0, VEGF didn't differ between groups I, II, III and IV (p>0.05, for every comparison). On Day 10, VEGF was increased in all groups. Between Day 10 and Day 30, VEGF remained stable in groups I (p=0.031) and II (p=1.000) and increased significantly in group III (p=0.005). On the contrary, VEGF decreased significantly in group IV (p<0.001). The most remarkable finding was observed when we compared VEGF between Day 0 and Day 30: while in groups I, II and III, VEGF remained significantly higher compared to Day 0 (p<0.001, p=0.041 and p<0.001, respectively), on the contrary, in group IV (extended-duration with the highest dose of 4,500 IU of tinzaparin) it was comparable to Day 0 (p=1.000). Conclusions: In surgical CC patients only the recommended thromboprophylaxis scheme with the highest prophylactic dose of Tinzaparin (4,500 IU) for extended-duration (30 days) normalizes VEGF levels at the end of the first post-op month by reducing them to the pre-op levels.

Use of Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Patients with Advanced Bladder Cancer after Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy

Objectives:

To compare the outcomes of adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) versus observation in patients with non-organ confined disease after neoadjuvant chemotherapy and radical cystectomy (RC).

Materials and methods:

Using the National Cancer Database, we identified patients who received NAC prior to RC and had advanced stage (pT3/4) or pathologically involved nodes (pN+) at the time of surgery from 2004–2013. We determined whether patients then received AC or were managed with observation only and used multivariable proportional hazards regression to estimate the impact of AC on overall survival.

Results:

Overall 34% (N = 705) of patients who received NAC and underwent RC were pT3/4 and/or pN+. Of these patients, 24% (N = 168) received subsequent chemotherapy and the rest were observed. Median survival for the entire cohort was 21 months (IQR 12–45). There was not a statistically significant difference in median survival between the AC and observation groups (23 months [IQR 14–46] versus 20 months [IQR 12–46], log-rank p = 0.52). On multivariate analysis there was no survival advantage for the AC cohort. Subgroup analysis of pN+ patients who received AC also did not show a survival advantage.

Conclusions:

Patients who are pT3/4 and/or pN+ after NAC and RC have a poor prognosis. The addition of AC does not seem to be beneficial. Further research should focus identifying patients who may benefit from additional chemotherapy.

The dose-dense principle in chemotherapy

Chemotherapy is a cancer treatment modality that uses drugs to kill tumor cells. A typical chemotherapeutic protocol consists of several drugs delivered in cycles of three weeks. We present mathematical analyses demonstrating the existence of a maximum time between cycles of chemotherapy for a protocol to be effective. A mathematical equation is derived, which relates such a maximum time with the variables that govern the kinetics of the tumor and those characterizing the chemotherapeutic treatment. Our results suggest that there are compelling arguments supporting the use of dose-dense protocols. Finally, we discuss the limitations of these protocols and suggest an alternative.

Decay Dynamics of Tumors

The fractional cell kill is a mathematical expression describing the rate at which a certain population of cells is reduced to a fraction of itself. We investigate the mathematical function that governs the rate at which a solid tumor is lysed by a cell population of cytotoxic lymphocytes. We do it in the context of enzyme kinetics, using geometrical and analytical arguments. We derive the equations governing the decay of a tumor in the limit in which it is plainly surrounded by immune cells. A cellular automaton is used to test such decay, confirming its validity. Finally, we introduce a modification in the fractional cell kill so that the expected dynamics is attained in the mentioned limit. We also discuss the potential of this new function for non-solid and solid tumors which are infiltrated with lymphocytes.

Decreased gastrointestinal toxicity associated with a novel capecitabine schedule (7 days on and 7 days off): a systematic review

Capecitabine is widely used in the management of metastatic breast cancer; however, drug delivery is limited by gastrointestinal and other toxicity. We employed mathematical modeling to rationally design an optimized dose and schedule for capecitabine of 2,000 mg twice daily, flat dosing, 7 days on, 7 days off. Preclinical data suggested increased efficacy and tolerability with this novel dosing, and three early-phase clinical trials have suggested a favorable toxicity profile. To further define the tolerability of this regimen, we conducted a systematic review of the gastrointestinal adverse events of patients on these studies. This review demonstrated a favorable gastrointestinal toxicity profile with capecitabine in this novel schedule when given as single agent or in combination therapy with either bevacizumab or lapatinib. No patients discontinued therapy for gastrointestinal toxicity, and there were no grade 4 or 5 gastrointestinal toxicities reported. Grade 3 or greater diarrhea occurred in two (2%); grade 2 or greater mucositis, constipation, and vomiting were reported in three (4%) patients. We conclude that capecitabine administered on a 7 days on, 7 days off schedule has limited gastrointestinal toxicity. Our methodology was based on an analysis of individual patient toxicity data from one phase I single-agent capecitabine and two phase II capecitabine combination studies (with bevacizumab and lapatinib, respectively), focusing specifically on gastrointestinal toxicity.

Inflammatory breast cancer: unique biological and therapeutic considerations

Through the concerted efforts of many patients, health-care providers, legislators, and other supporters, the past decade has seen the development of the first clinics dedicated to the care of patients with inflammatory breast cancer in the USA and other countries. Together with social networking, advocacy, and education, a few specialised centres have had substantial increases in patient numbers (in some cases ten times higher), which has further expanded the community of science and advocacy and increased the understanding of the disease process. Although inflammatory breast cancer is considered rare, constituting only 2-4% of breast cancer cases, poor prognosis means that patients with the disease account for roughly 10% of breast cancer mortality annually in the USA. I propose that the unique presentation of inflammatory breast cancer might require specific, identifiable changes in the breast parenchyma that occur before the tumour-initiating event. This would make the breast tissue itself a tumour-promoting medium that should be treated as a component of the pathology in multidisciplinary treatment and should be further studied for complementary targets to inhibit the pathobiology that is specific to inflammatory breast cancer.

A phase II trial of dose-dense (biweekly) paclitaxel plus carboplatin as neoadjuvant chemotherapy for operable breast cancer

The aim of the present study is to investigate the efficacy and safety of dose-dense (biweekly) carboplatin and paclitaxel as a neoadjuvant treatment for operable breast cancer. Patients with previously untreated breast cancer (stages Ic-III) were treated with four cycles of paclitaxel (175 mg/m(2), intravenous drip, D1) and carboplatin (area under the curve of 5, D1). Patients with HER2+ disease simultaneously received trastuzumab (6 mg/kg initial dose with subsequent doses of 4 mg/kg biweekly). The primary endpoint was a pathologically complete response (pCR). Between January 2012 and February 2014, 110 patients were enrolled. The overall pCR rate was 35.45 % (39 of 110). The pCR rates for the different cancer subtypes were as follows: 10.53 % (2 of 19) among the patients with the luminal A subtype, 12.50 % (5 of 40) among the patients with the luminal B (HER2-) subtype, 58.33 % (14 of 24) among the patients with the luminal B (HER2+) subtype, 57.14 % (8 of 14) among the patients with the triple-negative subtype, and 76.92 % (10 of 13) among the patients with the HER2+ subtype. The patients experienced the following toxicity side effects: grade 3/4 neutropenia (N = 27, 24.55 %), grade 3/4 anemia (N = 6, 5.45 %), grade 3/4 thrombocytopenia (N = 2, 1.82 %), grade 3 alanine aminotransferase (ALT) elevation (N = 1, 0.91 %), grade 3 neuropathy (N = 3, 2.73 %), grade 3 pain (N = 2, 1.82 %), and grade 3 fatigue (N = 1, 0.91 %). In total, 19.09 % of the patients experienced treatment delay or discontinuation due to hematological toxicity, and one patient discontinued treatment due to non-hematological toxicity. Neoadjuvant biweekly paclitaxel plus carboplatin is a feasible therapy that achieved high pCR rates in patients with the HER2+, triple-negative, and luminal B (HER2+) cancer subtypes (NCT0205986).

Abscopal Benefits of Localized Radiotherapy Depend on Activated T-cell Trafficking and Distribution between Metastatic Lesions

It remains unclear how localized radiotherapy for cancer metastases can occasionally elicit a systemic antitumor effect, known as the abscopal effect, but historically, it has been speculated to reflect the generation of a host immunotherapeutic response. The ability to purposefully and reliably induce abscopal effects in metastatic tumors could meet many unmet clinical needs. Here, we describe a mathematical model that incorporates physiologic information about T-cell trafficking to estimate the distribution of focal therapy-activated T cells between metastatic lesions. We integrated a dynamic model of tumor-immune interactions with systemic T-cell trafficking patterns to simulate the development of metastases. In virtual case studies, we found that the dissemination of activated T cells among multiple metastatic sites is complex and not intuitively predictable. Furthermore, we show that not all metastatic sites participate in systemic immune surveillance equally, and therefore the success in triggering the abscopal effect depends, at least in part, on which metastatic site is selected for localized therapy. Moreover, simulations revealed that seeding new metastatic sites may accelerate the growth of the primary tumor, because T-cell responses are partially diverted to the developing metastases, but the removal of the primary tumor can also favor the rapid growth of preexisting metastatic lesions. Collectively, our work provides the framework to prospectively identify anatomically defined focal therapy targets that are most likely to trigger an immune-mediated abscopal response and therefore may inform personalized treatment strategies in patients with metastatic disease.

Constructal approach to cell membranes transport: Amending the 'Norton-Simon' hypothesis for cancer treatment

To investigate biosystems, we propose a new thermodynamic concept that analyses ion, mass and energy flows across the cell membrane. This paradigm-shifting approach has a wide applicability to medically relevant topics including advancing cancer treatment. To support this claim, we revisit ‘Norton-Simon’ and evolving it from an already important anti-cancer hypothesis to a thermodynamic theorem in medicine. We confirm that an increase in proliferation and a reduction in apoptosis trigger a maximum of ATP consumption by the tumor cell. Moreover, we find that positive, membrane-crossing ions lead to a decrease in the energy used by the tumor, supporting the notion of their growth inhibitory effect while negative ions apparently increase the cancer’s consumption of energy hence reflecting a growth promoting impact. Our results not only represent a thermodynamic proof of the original Norton-Simon hypothesis but, more concretely, they also advance the clinically intriguing and experimentally testable, diagnostic hypothesis that observing an increase in negative ions inside a cell in vitro, and inside a diseased tissue in vivo, may indicate growth or recurrence of a tumor. We conclude with providing theoretical evidence that applying electromagnetic field therapy early on in the treatment cycle may maximize its anti-cancer efficacy.

Estimating Tumor Growth Rates In Vivo

In this paper, we develop methods for inferring tumor growth rates from the observation of tumor volumes at two time points. We fit power law, exponential, Gompertz, and Spratt’s generalized logistic model to five data sets. Though the data sets are small and there are biases due to the way the samples were ascertained, there is a clear sign of exponential growth for the breast and liver cancers, and a 2/3’s power law (surface growth) for the two neurological cancers.

CHOP-like-14 compared to CHOP-like-21 for patients with aggressive lymphoma--a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

BACKGROUND

R-CHOP-21 has remained the standard chemotherapy for aggressive non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. It was suggested that decreasing the treatment interval from three weeks (CHOP-21) to two weeks (CHOP-14) may improve survival and disease control of patients with aggressive lymphoma.

PURPOSE

To evaluate the effect of CHOP-like-14 (with or without rituximab) compared to standard CHOP-like -21 on overall survival (OS), disease control and toxicity of patients with aggressive non-Hodgkin lymphoma.

METHODS

Systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs. In October 2014 we searched The Cochrane Library, MEDLINE, LILACS, conference proceedings, and databases of ongoing trials. Authors were contacted for complementary data. The primary outcome was OS.

RESULTS

We identified seven trials (4073 patients), conducted between the years 1999 and 2008. Trials were at low or unclear risk for selection bias, and at low or unclear risk of attrition bias. CHOP-like-14 improved OS of patients with aggressive lymphoma compared to the same regimen given every 21 days (all trials): HR of death 0.86, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.77-0.97. There was no OS difference between rituximab-CHOP-like 14 to rituximab-CHOP-like-21 (3 trials): HR 0.93 95% CI 0.78-1.10. The rates of progression or death, complete response, treatment-related mortality, grade 3-4 infection, and discontinuation were similar between groups.

CONCLUSION

R-CHOP-21 remains the standard of care for patient with aggressive B-cell lymphoma. CHOP-14 can be considered as in case rituximab is omitted.

An agent-based model of cancer stem cell initiated avascular tumour growth and metastasis: the effect of seeding frequency and location

It is very important to understand the onset and growth pattern of breast primary tumours as well as their metastatic dissemination. In most cases, it is the metastatic disease that ultimately kills the patient. There is increasing evidence that cancer stem cells are closely linked to the progression of the metastatic tumour. Here, we investigate stem cell seeding to an avascular tumour site using an agent-based stochastic model of breast cancer metastatic seeding. The model includes several important cellular features such as stem cell symmetric and asymmetric division, migration, cellular quiescence, senescence, apoptosis and cell division cycles. It also includes external features such as stem cell seeding frequency and location. Using this model, we find that cell seeding rate and location are important features for tumour growth. We also define conditions in which the tumour growth exhibits decremented and exponential growth patterns. Overall, we find that seeding, senescence and division limit affect not only the number of stem cells, but also their spatial and temporal distribution.

Adjuvant dose-dense chemotherapy in breast cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized trials

Dose-dense (DD) chemotherapy (CT) aimed at achieving a higher rate of cancer cell destruction has been adopted as an adjuvant therapy in high-risk breast cancer (BC), with the goal being to improve outcomes. We performed an updated systematic review and meta-analysis of the existing data from randomized phase III trials regarding the efficacy and toxicity of this adjuvant DD-CT strategy in early BC. Randomized-controlled trials that compared a DD with a standard adjuvant CT schedule in adult women with resected BC were identified by searching the databases of Pubmed, the Cochrane Cancer Register of Controlled Trials, SCOPUS, EMBASE, and the Web of Science up to March 2015. Hazard ratios (HRs) of death and recurrence, and the relative risks of adverse events, were estimated and pooled. A total of 8 phase III trials encompassing 17,188 randomized patients met the inclusion criteria. The patients who received DD-CT had better overall survival (OS: HR 0.86, 95 % confidence interval [CI] 0.79-0.93, P = 0.0001) and disease-free survival (DFS: HR 0.84, 95 % CI 0.77-0.91, P < 0.0001) than those on the conventional schedule. A statistically significant OS benefit was observed in patients with hormone receptor-negative (ER-) tumors (HR 0.8, P = 0.002), but not in those with ER-positive BC (HR 0.93, 95 % CI 0.82-1.05; P = 0.25). DD-CT leads to better OS and DFS, particularly in women with ER- early BC. These results suggest that the DD strategy should be the standard care offered to high-risk ER- BC patients.

Evolution and phenotypic selection of cancer stem cells

Cells of different organs at different ages have an intrinsic set of kinetics that dictates their behavior. Transformation into cancer cells will inherit these kinetics that determine initial cell and tumor population progression dynamics. Subject to genetic mutation and epigenetic alterations, cancer cell kinetics can change, and favorable alterations that increase cellular fitness will manifest themselves and accelerate tumor progression. We set out to investigate the emerging intratumoral heterogeneity and to determine the evolutionary trajectories of the combination of cell-intrinsic kinetics that yield aggressive tumor growth. We develop a cellular automaton model that tracks the temporal evolution of the malignant subpopulation of so-called cancer stem cells(CSC), as these cells are exclusively able to initiate and sustain tumors. We explore orthogonal cell traits, including cell migration to facilitate invasion, spontaneous cell death due to genetic drift after accumulation of irreversible deleterious mutations, symmetric cancer stem cell division that increases the cancer stem cell pool, and telomere length and erosion as a mitotic counter for inherited non-stem cancer cell proliferation potential. Our study suggests that cell proliferation potential is the strongest modulator of tumor growth. Early increase in proliferation potential yields larger populations of non-stem cancer cells(CC) that compete with CSC and thus inhibit CSC division while a reduction in proliferation potential loosens such inhibition and facilitates frequent CSC division. The sub-population of cancer stem cells in itself becomes highly heterogeneous dictating population level dynamics that vary from long-term dormancy to aggressive progression. Our study suggests that the clonal diversity that is captured in single tumor biopsy samples represents only a small proportion of the total number of phenotypes.

We present an in silico computational model of tumor growth and evolution according to the cancer stem cell hypothesis. Inheritable traits of cells may be genetically or epigenetically altered, and traits that confer increased fitness to the cell will be selected for on the population level. Phenotypic evolution yields aggressive tumors with large heterogeneity, prompting the notion that the cancer stem cell population per se is highly heterogeneous. Within aggressive tumors cancer stem cells with low tumorigenic potential may be isolated. Simulations of our model suggest that the cells harvested in core needle biopsies represent less than 10% of the phenotypic heterogeneity of the total tumor population. Dependent on the cells captured in the sample, xenografted tumors may exhibit aggressive growth or long-term dormancy—dynamics that may suggest opposing treatment approaches for the same tumor when translated into clinical decision-making.

Cancer stem cells: small subpopulation or evolving fraction?

This review discusses quantitative modeling studies of stem and non-stem cancer cell interactions and the fraction of cancer stem cells.

Characteristics of 18 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma who obtained a complete response after treatment with sorafenib

AIM

Sorafenib, a multi-targeted tyrosine kinase inhibitor, is a first-line systemic treatment for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, possible predictors of the efficacy of sorafenib treatment in HCC patients remain unclear.

METHODS

We conducted a nationwide survey to examine the situation of patients with HCC treated with sorafenib who obtained a complete response (CR) according to the modified response evaluation criteria in solid tumors (mRECIST). The investigation was intended to collect clinical information regarding CR patients and to compare this data with an interim report examining all-patient surveillance for sorafenib use in Japan, which was released in May 2012.

RESULTS

Among the 3047 patients who were treated at institutions belonging to the Liver Cancer Study Group of Japan, 18 patients (0.6%) obtained a CR. Significant factors in the CR group were a female sex, a low bodyweight (<59 kg), an early clinical stage and a small initial dose of sorafenib (P < 0.05). Furthermore, specific adverse events (palmar-plantar erythrodysesthesia syndrome, hypertension, diarrhea, alopecia, fatigue, nausea and anorexia) were frequently observed in the CR group (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

This study identified the characteristics of CR patients during sorafenib treatment. The evaluation of patients receiving sorafenib, including the investigation of biomarkers, warrants further exploration in future clinical studies to identify a population in which sorafenib treatment is remarkably effective.

Biphasic modulation of cancer stem cell-driven solid tumour dynamics in response to reactivated replicative senescence

OBJECTIVES

Cell senescence is a physiological programme of irreversible mitotic arrest that is triggered after a variety of intracellular and extracellular events. Its purpose is to protect tissue integrity by disabling mitosis in stressed or damaged cells. The senescence program serves as a tumour suppressor, and cancer cells are believed to bypass senescence to advance to malignancy. Recent studies have shown that senescence can be reactivated in cancer cells through a number of external perturbations, including oncogene activation, tumour suppressor gene withdrawal and irradiation.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We have developed an agent-based model of solid tumour growth whose input population composition is based on the cancer stem-cell hypothesis. It is used to show how cancer stem cells can drive tumour progression, while non-stem cancer cells (CCs) interfere with this by impeding cancer stem-cell dynamics.

RESULTS

Here we show that intratumoural competition between the two cell types may arise to modulate tumour progression and ultimately cancer presentation risk. Model simulations reveal that reactivation of the replicative senescence programme in CCs initially increases total tumour burden, as attrition from cell death is partially averted, but evolves to provide tumour control in the long-term through increasing constraints on stem-cell compartment kinetics.

CONCLUSIONS

Reactivation of replicative senescence can prolong CC competition with cancer stem cells, thereby ultimately inhibiting malignant progression regardless of tumour size.

Nonlinear growth kinetics of breast cancer stem cells: implications for cancer stem cell targeted therapy

Cancer stem cells (CSCs) have been identified in primary breast cancer tissues and cell lines. The CSC population varies widely among cancerous tissues and cell lines, and is often associated with aggressive breast cancers. Despite of intensive research, how the CSC population is regulated within a tumor is still not well understood so far. In this paper, we present a mathematical model to explore the growth kinetics of CSC population both in vitro and in vivo. Our mathematical models and supporting experiments suggest that there exist non-linear growth kinetics of CSCs and negative feedback mechanisms to control the balance between the population of CSCs and that of non-stem cancer cells. The model predictions can help us explain a few long-standing questions in the field of cancer stem cell research, and can be potentially used to predict the efficicacy of anti-cancer therapy.

Early detection of recurrent disease by FDG-PET/CT leads to management changes in patients with squamous cell cancer of the head and neck

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to compare the efficacy of surveillance high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) and physical examination/endoscopy (PE/E) with the efficacy of fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG)-positron emission tomography (PET)/HRCT for the detection of relapse in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) after primary treatment.

METHODS

This is a retrospective analysis of contemporaneously performed FDG-PET/HRCT, neck HRCT, and PE/E in 99 curatively treated patients with HNSCC during post-therapy surveillance to compare performance test characteristics in the detection of early recurrence or second primary cancer.

RESULTS

Relapse occurred in 19 of 99 patients (20%) during a median follow-up of 21 months (range: 9-52 months). Median time to first PET/HRCT was 3.5 months. The median time to radiological recurrence was 6 months (range: 2.3-32 months). FDG-PET/HRCT detected more disease recurrences or second primary cancers and did so earlier than HRCT or PE/E. The sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values for detecting locoregional and distant recurrence or second primary cancer were 100%, 87.3%, 56.5%, and 100%, respectively, for PET/HRCT versus 61.5%, 94.9%, 66.7%, and 93.8%, respectively, for HRCT versus 23.1%, 98.7%, 75%, and 88.6%, respectively, for PE/E. In 19 patients with true positive PET/HRCT findings, a significant change in the management of disease occurred, prompting either salvage or systemic therapy. Of the 14 curatively treated patients, 11 were alive with without disease at a median follow-up of 31.5 months.

CONCLUSION

FDG-PET/HRCT has a high sensitivity in the early detection of relapse or second primary cancer in patients with HNSCC, with significant management implications. Given improvements in therapy and changes in HNSCC biology, appropriate modifications in current post-therapy surveillance may be required to determine effective salvage or definitive therapies.

Status of targeted therapies in the adjuvant treatment of colon cancer

Colon cancer is the 4(th) most common malignancy with 80% of patients diagnosed with early stage disease that is potentially curable with surgery and the addition of adjuvant chemotherapy in select Stage II and all Stage III patients. Adjuvant chemotherapy with 5-flurouracil based regimens has been shown to have overall survival benefit in Stage III disease with some benefit shown in certain sub-populations in Stage II disease. In recent years, targeted therapies directed against vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) and epidermal growth factor receptor (EFGR) have shown improved survival in metastatic colon cancer. However, trials of these agents in the adjuvant setting showed no benefit. Reasons for failure of these agents in trials thus far include differences in the molecular biology of macrometastatic versus micrometastatic disease and the lack of biologic predictive markers to target the appropriate patient populations for these agents.

Intermittent tri-weekly docetaxel plus bicalutamide in patients with castration-resistant prostate cancer: a single-arm prospective study using a historical control for comparison

Whether continuous docetaxel (DTX) chemotherapy offers an advantage over intermittent therapy for castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) is unknown. In this study, we evaluated the efficacy, toxicity and quality of life (QoL) of intermittent tri-weekly DTX with bicalutamide in CRPC. Forty-two patients (group A) with CRPC were enrolled. The patients received intravenous DTX (75 mg m(-2)) once tri-weekly with oral bicalutamide (50 mg) once daily. Patients had a DTX holiday when the prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level declined ≥50%. DTX was restarted in patients with a PSA increase ≥25%. Sixty patients (group B) who had matching characteristics and had continuously received DTX without bicalutamide for 10-12 cycles were also enrolled. There were no statistically significant differences in progression-free survival (8 months vs. 9 months, P=0.866) or overall survival (19 months vs. 21 months, P=0.753) between groups A and B; however, the proportions of patients in group A with all grades of neutropenia (33% vs. 58%, P=0.013) and nausea/vomiting (11% vs. 29%, P=0.024) were significantly less compared to group B. A significant improvement in the global health and fatigue scores was recorded for group A post-chemotherapy compared to pre-chemotherapy (P<0.05). The fatigue, nausea/vomiting and appetite loss scores in group B were increased post-chemotherapy compared to pre-chemotherapy (P<0.05). In conclusion, intermittent tri-weekly DTX plus bicalutamide is well tolerated and has the potential to achieve comparable disease control with an improvement in QoL for patients with CRPC.

Update on antiangiogenic therapy in colorectal cancer: aflibercept and regorafenib

Angiogenesis plays an important role in colorectal carcinogenesis and approaches targeting the vascular growth factor receptor (VEGF) signaling such as bevacizumab yielded significant survival improvement for metastatic colorectal cancer patients. Recent evidence demonstrated the benefit of continuing angiogenic suppression after first-progression following bevacizumab-containing cytotoxic regimen though no benefit was observed with the use of bevacizumab in adjuvant setting. Aflibercept, a soluble fusion protein with high affinity for VEGF-A, -B and PlGF, administered in combination with irinotecan-containing regimen improved the survival of metastatic colorectal cancer patients in second-line setting (VELOUR trial). Regorafenib, a small molecule multikinase inhibitor against various pro-angiogenic and -proliferation targets, improved the survival of metastatic colorectal cancer patients who had progressed on all standard therapy. These developments had renewed enthusiasm in the field and the role of aflibercept and regorafenib in other treatment settings will continue to be defined by on-going and future clinical trials. As other anti-angiogenic approaches are being tested clinically, other novel non-angiogenic targets deserve to be evaluated in our effort to improve the outcome of colorectal cancer patients.

Different chemical reaction times between normal and solid cancer cells

Entropy generation approach has been developed in order to use it for the analysis of complex systems with particular regards to biological systems in order to evaluate their stationary states. The entropy generation is related to the transport processes related to energy flows. Moreover, cancer can be described as an open complex dynamic and self-organizing system. Using the entropy generation approach it is possible to point out different chemical reaction time between normal and solid cancer cells.

Cancer Stem Cells: A Minor Cancer Subpopulation that Redefines Global Cancer Features

In recent years cancer stem cells (CSCs) have been hypothesized to comprise only a minor subpopulation in solid tumors that drives tumor initiation, progression, and metastasis; the so-called “cancer stem cell hypothesis.” While a seemingly trivial statement about numbers, much is put at stake. If true, the conclusions of many studies of cancer cell populations could be challenged, as the bulk assay methods upon which they depend have, by, and large, taken for granted the notion that a “typical” cell of the population possesses the attributes of a cell capable of perpetuating the cancer, i.e., a CSC. In support of the CSC hypothesis, populations enriched for so-called “tumor-initiating” cells have demonstrated a corresponding increase in tumorigenicity as measured by dilution assay, although estimates have varied widely as to what the fractional contribution of tumor-initiating cells is in any given population. Some have taken this variability to suggest the CSC fraction may be nearly 100% after all, countering the CSC hypothesis, and that there are simply assay-dependent error rates in our ability to “reconfirm” CSC status at the cell level. To explore this controversy more quantitatively, we developed a simple cellular automaton model of CSC-driven tumor growth dynamics. Assuming CSC and non-stem cancer cells (CC) subpopulations coexist to some degree, we evaluated the impact of an environmentally dependent CSC symmetric division probability and a CC proliferation capacity on tumor progression and morphology. Our model predicts, as expected, that the frequency of CSC divisions that are symmetric highly influences the frequency of CSCs in the population, but goes on to predict the two frequencies can be widely divergent, and that spatial constraints will tend to increase the CSC fraction over time. Further, tumor progression times show a marked dependence on both the frequency of CSC divisions that are symmetric and on the proliferation capacities of CC. Together, these findings can explain, within the CSC hypothesis, the widely varying measures of stem cell fractions observed. In particular, although the CSC fraction is influenced by the (environmentally modifiable) CSC symmetric division probability, with the former converging to unity as the latter nears 100%, the CSC fraction becomes quite small even for symmetric division probabilities modestly lower than 100%. In the latter case, the tumor exhibits a clustered morphology and the CSC fraction steadily increases with time; more so on both counts when the death rate of CCs is higher. Such variations in CSC fraction and morphology are not only consistent with the CSC hypothesis, but lend support to it as one expected byproduct of the dynamical interactions that are predicted to take place among a relatively small CSC population, its CC counterpart, and the host compartment over time.

Acute and fractionated irradiation differentially modulate glioma stem cell division kinetics

Glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) is one of the most aggressive human malignancies with a poor patient prognosis. Ionizing radiation either alone or adjuvant after surgery is part of standard treatment for GBM but remains primarily noncurative. The mechanisms underlying tumor radioresistance are manifold and, in part, accredited to a special subpopulation of tumorigenic cells. The so-called glioma stem cells (GSC) are bestowed with the exclusive ability to self-renew and repopulate the tumor and have been reported to be less sensitive to radiation-induced damage through preferential activation of DNA damage checkpoint responses and increased capacity for DNA damage repair. During each fraction of radiation, non-stem cancer cells (CC) die and GSCs become enriched and potentially increase in number, which may lead to accelerated repopulation. We propose a cellular Potts model that simulates the kinetics of GSCs and CCs in glioblastoma growth and radiation response. We parameterize and validate this model with experimental data of the U87-MG human glioblastoma cell line. Simulations are conducted to estimate GSC symmetric and asymmetric division rates and explore potential mechanisms for increased GSC fractions after irradiation. Simulations reveal that in addition to their higher radioresistance, a shift from asymmetric to symmetric division or a fast cycle of GSCs following fractionated radiation treatment is required to yield results that match experimental observations. We hypothesize a constitutive activation of stem cell division kinetics signaling pathways during fractionated treatment, which contributes to the frequently observed accelerated repopulation after therapeutic irradiation.

The tumor growth paradox and immune system-mediated selection for cancer stem cells

Cancer stem cells (CSCs) drive tumor progression, metastases, treatment resistance, and recurrence. Understanding CSC kinetics and interaction with their nonstem counterparts (called tumor cells, TCs) is still sparse, and theoretical models may help elucidate their role in cancer progression. Here, we develop a mathematical model of a heterogeneous population of CSCs and TCs to investigate the proposed "tumor growth paradox"--accelerated tumor growth with increased cell death as, for example, can result from the immune response or from cytotoxic treatments. We show that if TCs compete with CSCs for space and resources they can prevent CSC division and drive tumors into dormancy. Conversely, if this competition is reduced by death of TCs, the result is a liberation of CSCs and their renewed proliferation, which ultimately results in larger tumor growth. Here, we present an analytical proof for this tumor growth paradox. We show how numerical results from the model also further our understanding of how the fraction of cancer stem cells in a solid tumor evolves. Using the immune system as an example, we show that induction of cell death can lead to selection of cancer stem cells from a minor subpopulation to become the dominant and asymptotically the entire cell type in tumors.

Bevacizumab plus oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy as adjuvant treatment for colon cancer (AVANT): a phase 3 randomised controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Bevacizumab improves the efficacy of oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy in metastatic colorectal cancer. Our aim was to assess the use of bevacizumab in combination with oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy in the adjuvant treatment of patients with resected stage III or high-risk stage II colon carcinoma.

METHODS

Patients from 330 centres in 34 countries were enrolled into this phase 3, open-label randomised trial. Patients with curatively resected stage III or high-risk stage II colon carcinoma were randomly assigned (1:1:1) to receive FOLFOX4 (oxaliplatin 85 mg/m(2), leucovorin 200 mg/m(2), and fluorouracil 400 mg/m(2) bolus plus 600 mg/m(2) 22-h continuous infusion on day 1; leucovorin 200 mg/m(2) plus fluorouracil 400 mg/m(2) bolus plus 600 mg/m(2) 22-h continuous infusion on day 2) every 2 weeks for 12 cycles; bevacizumab 5 mg/kg plus FOLFOX4 (every 2 weeks for 12 cycles) followed by bevacizumab monotherapy 7·5 mg/kg every 3 weeks (eight cycles over 24 weeks); or bevacizumab 7·5 mg/kg plus XELOX (oxaliplatin 130 mg/m(2) on day 1 every 2 weeks plus oral capecitabine 1000 mg/m(2) twice daily on days 1-15) every 3 weeks for eight cycles followed by bevacizumab monotherapy 7·5 mg/kg every 3 weeks (eight cycles over 24 weeks). Block randomisation was done with a central interactive computerised system, stratified by geographic region and disease stage. Surgery with curative intent occurred 4-8 weeks before randomisation. The primary endpoint was disease-free survival, analysed for all randomised patients with stage III disease. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT00112918.

FINDINGS

Of the total intention-to-treat population (n=3451), 2867 patients had stage III disease, of whom 955 were randomly assigned to receive FOLFOX4, 960 to receive bevacizumab-FOLFOX4, and 952 to receive bevacizumab-XELOX. After a median follow-up of 48 months (range 0-66 months), 237 patients (25%) in the FOLFOX4 group, 280 (29%) in the bevacizumab-FOLFOX4 group, and 253 (27%) in the bevacizumab-XELOX group had relapsed, developed a new colon cancer, or died. The disease-free survival hazard ratio for bevacizumab-FOLFOX4 versus FOLFOX4 was 1·17 (95% CI 0·98-1·39; p=0·07), and for bevacizumab-XELOX versus FOLFOX4 was 1·07 (0·90-1·28; p=0·44). After a minimum follow-up of 60 months, the overall survival hazard ratio for bevacizumab-FOLFOX4 versus FOLFOX4 was 1·27 (1·03-1·57; p=0·02), and for bevacizumab-XELOX versus FOLFOX4 was 1·15 (0·93-1·42; p=0·21). The 573 patients with high-risk stage II cancer were included in the safety analysis. The most common grade 3-5 adverse events were neutropenia (FOLFOX4: 477 [42%] of 1126 patients, bevacizumab-FOLFOX4: 416 [36%] of 1145 patients, and bevacizumab-XELOX: 74 [7%] of 1135 patients), diarrhoea (110 [10%], 135 [12%], and 181 [16%], respectively), and hypertension (12 [1%], 122 [11%], and 116 [10%], respectively). Serious adverse events were more common in the bevacizumab groups (bevacizumab-FOLFOX4: 297 [26%]; bevacizumab-XELOX: 284 [25%]) than in the FOLFOX4 group (226 [20%]). Treatment-related deaths were reported in one patient receiving FOLFOX4, two receiving bevacizumab-FOLFOX4, and five receiving bevacizumab-XELOX.

INTERPRETATION

Bevacizumab does not prolong disease-free survival when added to adjuvant chemotherapy in resected stage III colon cancer. Overall survival data suggest a potential detrimental effect with bevacizumab plus oxaliplatin-based adjuvant therapy in these patients. On the basis of these and other data, we do not recommend the use of bevacizumab in the adjuvant treatment of patients with curatively resected stage III colon cancer.

FUNDING

Genentech, Roche, and Chugai.

Immunoediting: evidence of the multifaceted role of the immune system in self-metastatic tumor growth

Background

The role of the immune system in tumor progression has been a subject for discussion for many decades. Numerous studies suggest that a low immune response might be beneficial, if not necessary, for tumor growth, and only a strong immune response can counter tumor growth and thus inhibit progression.

Methods

We implement a cellular automaton model previously described that captures the dynamical interactions between the cancer stem and non-stem cell populations of a tumor through a process of self-metastasis. By overlaying on this model the diffusion of immune reactants into the tumor from a peripheral source to target cells, we simulate the process of immune-system-induced cell kill on tumor progression.

Results

A low cytotoxic immune reaction continuously kills cancer cells and, although at a low rate, thereby causes the liberation of space-constrained cancer stem cells to drive self-metastatic progression and continued tumor growth. With increasing immune system strength, however, tumor growth peaks, and then eventually falls below the intrinsic tumor sizes observed without an immune response. With this increasing immune response the number and proportion of cancer stem cells monotonically increases, implicating an additional unexpected consequence, that of cancer stem cell selection, to the immune response.

Conclusions

Cancer stem cells and immune cytotoxicity alone are sufficient to explain the three-step “immunoediting” concept – the modulation of tumor growth through inhibition, selection and promotion.

Mathematical modeling of tumor growth and tumor growth inhibition in oncology drug development

INTRODUCTION

Approaches aiming to model the time course of tumor growth and tumor growth inhibition following a therapeutic intervention have recently been proposed for supporting decision making in oncology drug development. When considered in a comprehensive model-based approach, tumor growth can be included in the cascade of quantitative and causally related markers that lead to the prediction of survival, the final clinical response.

AREAS COVERED

The authors examine articles dealing with the modeling of tumor growth and tumor growth inhibition in both preclinical and clinical settings. In addition, the authors review models describing how pharmacological markers can be used to predict tumor growth and models describing how tumor growth can be linked to survival endpoints.

EXPERT OPINION

Approaches and success stories of application of model-based drug development centered on tumor growth modeling are growing. It is also apparent that these approaches can answer practical questions on drug development more effectively than that in the past. For modeling purposes, some improvements are still needed related to study design and data quality. Further efforts are needed to encourage the mind shift from a simple description of data to the prediction of untested conditions that modeling approaches allow.

Trends in neutropenia-related inpatient events

PURPOSE

Neutropenic complications (NCs) after myelosuppressive chemotherapy are associated with significant morbidity and mortality. We described NC rates by using US hospital discharge data.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This cross-sectional analysis used data from the US National Inpatient Sample database. Hospital discharges with cancer diagnoses (International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification [ICD-9-CM] code) from 1989 to 2007 were analyzed for the ICD-9-CM neutropenia code. NC rates per 10,000 discharges were calculated for all adult discharges without radiation therapy (study population, all cancers); lung cancer, breast cancer, and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL); and all three combined. The use of growth factors and myelosuppressive chemotherapy from 1994 to 2008 was estimated by using the IMS Health Drug Distribution Database.

RESULTS

Estimated lung cancer and breast cancer discharges remained relatively steady, whereas NHL discharges increased. NC rates for each study cancer increased two-fold until the late 1990s before stabilizing and/or declining. The average hospital stay for all three cancers decreased from 10.4 days to 7.1 days. The mortality rates for NCs for the three cancers combined decreased at a fairly constant rate from 10% in 1989 to 5.4% in 2007. Estimated discharges for NCs from 1989 to 2007 ranged from 111,000 to 169,000 for the study population, from 57,000 to 103,000 for all cancers, and from 21,000 to 40,000 for the three study cancers. The use of growth factors and myelosuppressive chemotherapy increased from 1994 to 2008.

CONCLUSION

Whereas the number of hospitalizations with cancer diagnoses has remained steady since 1989, hospitalizations for NCs increased approximately two-fold from 1989 to 1997 and then stabilized.