Epidemiology and treatment patterns for locally advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma: a systematic literature review and gap analysis

Treatment of metastatic urothelial carcinoma in the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy, and Spain

INTRODUCTION

The treatment landscape of metastatic urothelial carcinoma (mUC) has evolved with the emergence of programmed cell death protein 1/ligand 1 (PD-1/L1) inhibitors. This study assessed mUC treatment patterns in Europe.

METHODS

Data were derived from the Adelphi mUC Disease Specific Programme™ (November 2020 to April 2021), a large, cross-sectional, patient record-based survey of physicians in France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the United Kingdom. Patient characteristics, treatment patterns across lines of therapy, and treatment durations were assessed.

RESULTS

Physicians (N = 232) provided data for 1922 patients with mUC. Mean (SD) patient age at the time of data collection was 69.1 (7.9) years, and 81% presented with bladder tumors. Most patients received platinum-based chemotherapy in first-line (cisplatin plus gemcitabine, 43%; carboplatin plus gemcitabine, 28%), followed by PD-1/L1 inhibitors in second-line (pembrolizumab, 35%; atezolizumab, 19%). In third-line, 41% received best supportive care and 36% received single-agent chemotherapies. Mean treatment duration was longer in second-line than first-line (6.1 vs 4.8 months).

CONCLUSIONS

Most patients received platinum-based chemotherapy in first-line, followed by a PD-1/L1 inhibitor. A substantial proportion received best supportive care after second-line. Findings indicate unmet need for the later-line treatment of mUC and provide important context for the emergence of novel therapies.

Patient Preferences for First-Line Treatment of Locally Advanced or Metastatic Urothelial Carcinoma: An Application of Multidimensional Thresholding

OBJECTIVES

Patient preferences have the potential to influence the development of new treatments for locally advanced/metastatic urothelial carcinoma (la/mUC), and therefore we explored how patients with la/mUC value different attributes of first-line treatments.

METHODS

An online preference survey and multidimensional thresholding (MDT) exercise were developed following a targeted literature review and qualitative interviews with physicians, patients with la/mUC, and their caregivers. Treatment attributes included two benefits (overall response rate [ORR], pain related to bladder cancer [scored 0-100; 100 being the worst pain possible]) and four treatment-related risks (peripheral neuropathy, severe side effects, mild to moderate nausea, mild to moderate skin reactions). A Dirichlet regression was used to estimate average preference weights. Marginal utility and the reduction in ORR that patients would accept in exchange for a 10-point decrease or a 10% decrease in other attributes were calculated.

RESULTS

A total of 100 patients were recruited and self-completed the survey and MDT. Mean patient age was 64.9 years (standard deviation, 7.6), 54% were female, and 38% identified as white. All included treatment attributes had a statistically significant impact on preferences. Changes in ORR had the largest impact, followed by cancer-related pain and treatment-related risks. Patients were willing to accept an 8.4% decrease in ORR to reduce their pain level by 10 points or a 7.8% decrease in ORR to reduce the risk of peripheral neuropathy by 10%. For a 10% decrease in severe side effects, mild to moderate nausea, or skin reaction, patients would accept decreases in ORR of 5.5%, 3.7%, or 3.4%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Of the attributes tested, changes in ORR were most important to patients. Patients made tradeoffs between treatment attributes indicating that a lower ORR may be acceptable for an improvement in other attributes such as reduced cancer-related pain or the risk of treatment-related adverse events.

Use of inpatient systemic chemotherapy and/or radiotherapy and related predictive factors, healthcare resource utilization, and direct hospitalization costs for metastatic urothelial cancer: findings from a real-world retrospective observational study derived from the national hospital discharge claims database in Italy

BACKGROUND

Recent real-world studies revealed high proportions of patients with metastatic urothelial cancer (mUC) do not receive any systemic therapy. This study describes the demographics, clinical characteristics, treatment rate and related predictive factors, healthcare resource utilization, and direct medical costs of patients with mUC receiving systemic therapy (or not) in the inpatient setting in Italy.

METHODS

This retrospective observational study used the national hospital discharge database (Scheda di Dimissione Ospedaliera) to describe incident adult (≥ 18 years) patients with a first hospitalization for mUC (index) from 2017-2018, identified by a combination of ICD-9-CM (International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification), medical procedure, and diagnosis-related group codes. A model was fitted to identify factors associated with receiving inpatient chemotherapy and/or radiotherapy.

RESULTS

Of 3674 patients with mUC identified, 1014 (27.6%) were treated with inpatient chemotherapy and/or radiotherapy and 2660 (72.4%) were not treated. The median age at index was 71 and 78 years for treated and untreated patients, and the mean (SD) Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) score was 0.3 (0.8) and 0.6 (1.1), respectively. Primary tumor location was the bladder in 87.2% of patients. Cardiovascular disease and renal function impairment were more prevalent in untreated (22.6% and 13.2%) vs treated (16.7% and 7.8%) patients. Older age (odds ratio [p-value]) (0.94 [< 0.001]), female sex (0.82 [0.035]), and higher CCI score (0.82 [< 0.001]) were all associated with a lower likelihood of receiving inpatient systemic treatment. The first year was the costliest: estimated national projected costs during the 36-month follow-up from first hospitalization for mUC were €34.3 million (95% CI, €30.3-€60.0 million) and €31.8 million (95% CI, €28.1-€56.0 million) when estimated after 1 year.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings indicate a low rate of inpatient systemic therapy for patients with mUC in Italy (driven by older age, female sex, and high comorbidity burden), with a large economic burden despite a high nontreatment rate. Although this study provides a partial capture of the treatment pathway in Italy, the results are consistent with other European studies with similar designs and highlight the need to better identify the reasons for not administering inpatient systemic chemotherapy and/or radiotherapy.

Evaluating nivolumab plus gemcitabine-cisplatin's cost-effectiveness for aUC in China

Aims

Assessing the cost-effectiveness of Nivolumab with Gemcitabine-Cisplatin for Advanced Urothelial Carcinoma (aUC) treatment from the perspective of Chinese payers.

Methods

A Markov model assessed economic outcomes, estimating health outcomes in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the impact of uncertainties on the results.

Results

The base-case analysis showed Nivolumab plus Gemcitabine-Cisplatin yielded 0.59 QALYs at an extra cost of $78,780.61, leading to an incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) of $133,526.46/QALY. One-way sensitivity analysis highlighted Nivolumab's cost as the key factor, while probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed a 0% chance of cost-effectiveness for Nivolumab plus Gemcitabine-Cisplatin in aUC treatment.

Conclusion

Nivolumab plus Gemcitabine-Cisplatin is not cost-effective in the treatment of aUC.

Phase 2 Trial of Enfortumab Vedotin in Patients With Previously Treated Locally Advanced or Metastatic Urothelial Carcinoma in China

BACKGROUND

Enfortumab vedotin, a fully human monoclonal antibody-drug conjugate (ADC) directed to Nectin-4, prolonged overall survival (OS) versus standard chemotherapy in patients with previously treated locally advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma (mUC) previously receiving a programmed cell death protein 1/ligand 1 (PD-1/L1) inhibitor and platinum-based chemotherapy in the pivotal, phase 3 EV-301 clinical trial, supporting global approvals of enfortumab vedotin monotherapy. This bridging study was the first to evaluate enfortumab vedotin monotherapy in previously treated Chinese patients with locally advanced or mUC.

METHODS

EV-203 was a multicenter, open-label, phase 2 study (NCT04995419) assessing efficacy, safety/tolerability, pharmacokinetics (PK), and immunogenicity of enfortumab vedotin in 40 Chinese patients (PK analysis set, n = 13) with previously treated locally advanced or mUC. Patients received enfortumab vedotin 1.25 mg/kg (Days 1, 8, and 15). Primary endpoints included confirmed objective response rate (ORR) by the independent review committee (IRC) and PK parameters of ADC, total antibody (TAb), and free monomethyl auristatin E (MMAE). Secondary endpoints included investigator-assessed confirmed ORR; investigator-/IRC-assessed duration of response (DOR), disease control rate (DCR), and progression-free survival (PFS); OS; immunogenicity; and safety/tolerability.

RESULTS

As of May 13, 2022, the median follow-up was 6.5 months. Confirmed ORR was 37.5% (n/N = 15/40; 95% CI: 22.7%-54.2%) by IRC and 42.5% (n/N = 17/40; 95% CI: 27.0%-59.1%) by investigator assessment. By IRC, DCR was 72.5% (n = 29), median DOR was not reached, and median PFS was 4.7 months. Median OS was not reached. Endpoints assessed by investigators were consistent with IRC assessments. Two patients discontinued treatment for treatment-related adverse events. No new safety signals were identified. ADC, TAb, and free MMAE were characterized in Chinese patients and consistent with previously characterized populations. The incidence of positive antitherapeutic antibodies postbaseline was 0%.

CONCLUSION

Enfortumab vedotin demonstrated meaningful clinical activity with a manageable safety profile in Chinese patients with previously treated locally advanced or mUC.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT04995419.

Development and Optimization of a Bladder Cancer Algorithm Using SEER-Medicare Claims Data

PURPOSE

Categorizing patients with cancer by their disease stage can be an important tool when conducting administrative claims-based studies. As claims databases frequently do not capture this information, algorithms are increasingly used to define disease stage. To our knowledge, to date, no study has used an algorithm to categorize patients with bladder cancer (BC) by disease stage (non-muscle-invasive BC [NMIBC], muscle-invasive BC [MIBC], or locally advanced/metastatic urothelial carcinoma [la/mUC]) in a US-based health care claims database.

METHODS

A claims-based algorithm was developed to categorize patients by disease stage on the basis of the administrative claims portion of the SEER-Medicare linked data. The algorithm was validated against a reference SEER registry, and the algorithm's parameters were iteratively modified to improve its performance. Patients were included if they had an initial diagnosis of BC between January 2016 and December 2017 recorded in SEER registry data. Medicare claims data were available for these patients until December 31, 2019. The algorithm was evaluated by assessing percentage agreement, Cohen's kappa (κ), specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) against the SEER categorization.

RESULTS

A total of 15,484 patients with SEER-confirmed BC were included: 10,991 (71.0%) with NMIBC, 3,645 (23.5%) with MIBC, and 848 (5.5%) with la/mUC. After multiple rounds of algorithm optimization, the final algorithm had an agreement of 82.5% with SEER, with a κ of 0.58, a PPV of 87.0% for NMIBC, and 76.8% for MIBC and a high NPV for la/mUC of 98.0%.

CONCLUSION

This claims-based algorithm could be a useful approach for researchers conducting claims-based studies categorizing patients with BC at diagnosis.

Matching-Adjusted Indirect Comparison of the Efficacy and Safety of Erdafitinib vs Enfortumab Vedotin in Patients with Locally Advanced Metastatic Urothelial Carcinoma

Background: For patients with locally advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma (la/mUC), prognosis is poor and effective treatment options are limited. Erdafitinib is an oral fibroblast growth factor receptor (FGFR) kinase inhibitor approved by the FDA for the treatment of adults with la/mUC harboring FGFR alterations whose disease progressed following at least 1 prior line of therapy, including a PD-1 or PD-L(1) inhibitor, based on the phase 3, randomized THOR trial (NCT03390504, Cohort 1). Objective: To compare the efficacy and safety of erdafitinib vs enfortumab vedotin-ejfv (EV) in the absence of head-to-head comparison via an anchored matching-adjusted indirect comparison (MAIC). Methods: An anchored MAIC was conducted according to the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence Decision Support Unit guidance, with physician's choice of chemotherapy (docetaxel/paclitaxel and vinflunine) as the common comparator. Individual patient data from THOR were adjusted to match published key eligibility criteria and average baseline characteristics of EV-301, such as Bellmunt risk score, liver or visceral metastases, primary site, among others. Erdafitinib was then indirectly compared with EV using the relative treatment effects for the reweighted THOR population and those published for EV-301. Results: After matching, the effective sample size for THOR was 126 patients. The MAIC-recalculated hazard ratio (95% credible interval) for erdafitinib vs EV was 0.92 (0.54, 1.57) for overall survival and 0.93 (0.55, 1.56) for progression-free survival, yielding Bayesian probabilities of erdafitinib being better than EV of 62.1% and 60.5%, respectively. For response outcomes, the MAIC-recalculated risk ratio was 1.49 (0.56, 3.90) for confirmed objective response rate and 2.89 (0.27, 30.33) for confirmed complete response with probabilities of 72.6% and 81.3% for erdafitinib being better than EV, respectively. For safety, MAIC-yielded risk ratios of 1.09 (0.99, 1.21) for any treatment-related adverse events, 0.86 (0.57, 1.28) for grade 3+ TRAEs, and 1.02 (0.98, 1.06) for any treatment-emergent adverse events. Conclusion: The MAIC indicates comparable efficacy of erdafitinib vs EV for overall survival and progression-free survival, with erdafitinib showing a higher probability of achieving deep responses. While erdafitinib is associated with slightly more adverse events compared with EV, these events seem to be less severe.

Real-world treatment patterns and quality of life among patients with locally advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma living in Saudi Arabia, South Korea, Taiwan, and Turkey

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate demographic and clinical characteristics, treatment patterns, and quality of life in patients with locally advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma in Asia.

METHODS

Data were drawn from the Adelphi Real World Metastatic Urothelial Carcinoma Disease Specific Programme™, a cross-sectional survey of medical oncologists/urologists and their adult patients in Saudi Arabia, South Korea, Taiwan, and Turkey. Exploratory patient-reported outcomes included the EQ-5D visual analog scale, European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life of Patient Questionnaire global health, and Brief Pain Inventory. Analyses were descriptive.

RESULTS

Overall, 175 physicians reported data for 988 patients. Mean (standard deviation) patient age was 66.3 (10.8) years, 77% were men, and 82% had bladder tumors at diagnosis. Of patients receiving first- (n = 988), second- (n = 290), and third-line (n = 87) treatments, 81%, 35%, and 59% received chemotherapy, respectively, and 17%, 63%, and 34% received programmed cell death protein 1/ligand 1 inhibitors, respectively. Patient-reported (n = 319) mean (standard deviation) EQ-5D visual analog scale score was 51.8 (15.6), European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life of Patient Questionnaire global health status score was 44.6 (19.9), and Brief Pain Inventory score was 6.5 (1.9; n = 315).

CONCLUSION

The most common first- and second-line treatments for locally advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma were chemotherapy and programmed cell death protein 1/ligand inhibitors, respectively. At third line, 10% of patients received best supportive care alone, underscoring an unmet need for effective third-line treatment options. Patients in all regions reported quality-of-life impairment.

Advancements in First-Line Treatment of Metastatic Bladder Cancer: EV-302 and Checkmate-901 Insights and Future Directions

Advanced bladder cancer patients have historically failed to achieve prolonged duration of response to conventional chemotherapy and needed better first-line treatment regimens. The approval of nivolumab in combination with gemcitabine and cisplatin and pembrolizumab with antibody-drug conjugate enfortumab vedotin has revolutionized the first-line treatment of advanced bladder cancer in many countries. In this review, we summarize the intricate differences between the two landmark clinical trials that led to their incorporation into the current standard of care for advanced bladder cancer. We further discuss newer novel treatment options in the second and subsequent lines of treatment on progression, like immunotherapy in combination with other agents, including fibroblast growth factors receptor inhibitors, human epidermal growth factor inhibitors, antibody-drug conjugates, tyrosine kinase inhibitors, and novel antibodies. Finally, we discuss the integration of these novel therapies into current clinical practice amidst the rapidly evolving landscape of advanced bladder cancer treatment, aiming to enhance patient outcomes.

Evaluating Oncologists' Practice Patterns and Decision-Making in Locally Advanced or Metastatic Urothelial Carcinoma: The US Physician PARADIGM Study

BACKGROUND

The treatment landscape for locally advanced/metastatic urothelial carcinoma (la/mUC) has evolved. This study examined US prescribing patterns and clinical decision-making for first-line (1L) and first-line maintenance (1LM) treatment.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

US-based oncologists (N = 150) completed an online survey on patient demographics, practice patterns, and important factors considered in 1L/1LM selection. Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess factors associated with more vs less frequent 1L/1LM prescribing.

RESULTS

Physician reports estimated that 23% of patients with la/mUC had not received any systemic therapy in the previous 6 months; however, 46% received 1L, 32% received second-line, and 22% received subsequent-line systemic treatments. Of patients who were receiving 1L treatment, 72% were estimated to be receiving 1L platinum-based chemotherapy. Around 69% of patients eligible for 1LM received the treatment. Physicians categorized as frequent prescribers reported overall survival (OS), disease control rate (DCR), and rate of grade 3/4 adverse events (AEs) as factors associated with 1L treatment selection (all P < .05). OS, rate of grade 3/4 immune-mediated AEs, and inclusion in institutional guidelines were reported as attributes used in 1LM treatment selection (all P < .05). Multivariable analysis revealed OS, DCR, and rate of grade 3/4 AEs as important factors in oncologists' 1L treatment selection; academic practice setting and use of Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors version 1.1 were associated with 1LM use (all P < .05).

CONCLUSION

OS and AEs were found to be relevant factors associated with offering 1L and 1LM treatment. Variability exists in physicians' decision-making in the real-world setting for la/mUC.

Physician reported treatment patterns and outcomes in metastatic bladder cancer in the USA: the CancerMPact® Survey 2020

Aim: This study assessed physician-reported treatment patterns for metastatic bladder cancer. Materials & methods: A total of 106 USA-based physicians were surveyed in 2020 using the CancerMPact® online survey. Results: Among cisplatin-eligible patients, 86.1% received first-line (1L) platinum-containing chemotherapy, most commonly cisplatin plus gemcitabine, and 9.8% received immune checkpoint inhibitor monotherapy. Among cisplatin-ineligible patients, 46.5% received 1L platinum-containing chemotherapy, most commonly carboplatin plus gemcitabine and 46.2% received 1L immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy. Approximately 44% of patients who received 1L treatment received second-line (2L) therapy after progression. Conclusion: Platinum-containing chemotherapy was the most widely reported 1L treatment approach. A high proportion of patients received no 2L therapy. Validation in an updated dataset is warranted following the practice-changing approvals of avelumab 1L maintenance and additional 2L options.

Expression of HER2 in high-grade urothelial carcinoma based on Chinese expert consensus and the clinical effects of disitamab vedotin-tislelizumab combination therapy in the treatment of advanced patients

Background: A vast number of researchers have discovered high levels of human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 (HER2) expression in urothelial carcinoma (UC), but they do not use a uniform scoring system. Based on the 2021 edition of clinical pathological expert consensus on HER-2 testing in UC in China, we investigated the expression level and clinical significance of HER2 in high-grade UC. Furthermore, we looked at the prognosis of patients with locally advanced/metastatic UC after combining HER2 targeting antibody-drug conjugates (ADC) medication disitamab vedotin (DV) with programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) inhibitor tislelizumab. Patients and methods: From 2019 to 2022, we collected paraffin specimens of UC from the Department of Urology at the Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University. HER2 expression-related factors were investigated. Patients with advanced UC who have failed systemic chemotherapy at least once and had received immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) medication during second-line treatment were selected and treated with DV in combination with tislelizumab. We assessed the therapy's efficacy and safety. Results: 185 patients with high-grade UC were included in this investigation. 127 patients (68.7%) were HER2 positive (IHC 2+/3+) according to the 2021 Clinical pathological expert consensus on HER2 testing in UC in China. The clinical stage of UC differed statistically significantly between the HER2-and HER2+ groups (p = 0.019). Sixteen advanced UC patients were treated with DV and tislelizumab for a median of 14 months. The disease control rate was 87.5%, while the objective response rate (ORR) was 62.5%. The ORR of HER2+ individuals was higher than that of HER2-individuals (70.0% vs. 50.0%). The median progression-free survival or overall survival was not reached. In this study, the incidence of treatment-related adverse events was 68.8% (11/16), with all of them being grade 1 or 2 adverse reactions. Conclusion: HER2 protein expressed at a high percentage in UC, and 68.7% patients expressed HER2 positive (IHC 2+/3+). HER2+ expression is positively correlated with higher clinical stage of UC. HER2 targeted ADC drug disitamab vedotin combining with PD-1 inhibitor tislelizumab has shown efficacy, safety and controllable adverse reactions in the treatment of advanced UC.

NECTIN-4 targeted theranostics for urothelial cancer: getting ready for primetime?

Locally advanced and metastatic urothelial carcinoma (UC) presents a bleak prognosis, with limited treatment options. NECTIN-4, an overexpressed protein in UC, has become a target for therapy. Enfortumab vedotin (EV) gained Food and Drug Administration approval for advanced UC treatment, but patient selection based on NECTIN-4 expression remains challenging. In the study under evaluation, Duan et al. introduced a novel PET/CT imaging approach using 68Ga-N188, a molecular probe, to visualize NECTIN-4 expression in UC. Their study encompassed preclinical evaluations and translational assessments in both healthy individuals and UC patients. Results demonstrated the potential of 68Ga-N188 in identifying NECTIN-4 expression in UC lesions. Additionally, the study utilized long axial field-of-view (LAFOV) PET/CT, enhancing sensitivity and enabling dynamic studies for improved radiopharmaceutical evaluation. In summary, the study from Duan and colleagues introduces a promising molecular imaging technique that could aid in patient selection for EV therapy and the development of targeted drugs for UC. It also highlights the potential of LAFOV PET/CT in enhancing imaging precision and expanding future therapeutic possibilities for UC.

Nationwide Study of Real-World Treatment Patterns and Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Metastatic Urothelial Carcinoma in Hungary

INTRODUCTION

Data describing real-world treatment patterns in patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma (mUC) in Central-Eastern Europe are scarce, and data from Hungary have not been published. This retrospective, nationwide, real-world study investigated patient characteristics, treatment patterns, comorbidities, and clinical outcomes in patients with mUC in Hungary.

METHODS

Adults diagnosed with mUC from January 2016 through June 2021 were identified using the National Health Insurance Fund Administration database. Overall survival (OS) was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

In total, 2523 patients with mUC were identified. Median follow-up was 7.1 months. Overall, 50% of patients received an identified systemic anticancer treatment; within this subgroup, first-line treatment was platinum-based chemotherapy (PBC) in 86%, non-PBC in 8%, and immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) in 6%. The proportion of patients receiving treatment increased from 41% in 2016 to 59% in 2020, driven by increased use of first-line PBC or first-line ICI treatment. Comorbidities were more common in patients receiving first-line ICI treatment vs PBC or non-PBC and in patients receiving carboplatin + gemcitabine vs cisplatin + gemcitabine. Overall, only 24% received a second-line treatment. Unadjusted median OS from the start of first-line treatment in the PBC, non-PBC, and ICI subgroups was 12.8, 7.5, and 6.3 months, respectively. Median OS from date of diagnosis in untreated patients was 7.8 months. OS comparisons adjusted for differences in baseline characteristics between subgroups could not be performed.

CONCLUSION

To our knowledge, this is the first study to assess treatment patterns in patients with mUC in clinical practice in Hungary, using the national health insurance database. Rates of first- and second-line treatment were consistent with those observed in other countries. Avelumab first-line maintenance treatment became available for reimbursement in Hungary in late 2022, after the study period. Given the evolving landscape of reimbursed treatments in Hungary, further analyses are warranted.

U-CHANGE Project: a multidimensional consensus on how clinicians, patients and caregivers may approach together the new urothelial cancer scenario

Introduction

Advanced urothelial carcinoma remains aggressive and very hard to cure, while new treatments will pose a challenge for clinicians and healthcare funding policymakers alike. The U-CHANGE Project aimed to redesign the current model of care for advanced urothelial carcinoma patients to identify limitations ("as is" scenario) and recommend future actions ("to be" scenario).

Methods

Twenty-three subject-matter experts, divided into three groups, analyzed the two scenarios as part of a multidimensional consensus process, developing statements for specific domains of the disease, and a simplified Delphi methodology was used to establish consensus among the experts.

Results

Recommended actions included increasing awareness of the disease, increased training of healthcare professionals, improvement of screening strategies and care pathways, increased support for patients and caregivers and relevant recommendations from molecular tumor boards when comprehensive genomic profiling has to be provided for appropriate patient selection to ad hoc targeted therapies.

Discussion

While the innovative new targeted agents have the potential to significantly alter the clinical approach to this highly aggressive disease, the U-CHANGE Project experience shows that the use of these new agents will require a radical shift in the entire model of care, implementing sustainable changes which anticipate the benefits of future treatments, capable of targeting the right patient with the right agent at different stages of the disease.

Epidemiology, treatments, and related biomarkers of locally advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma in Chinese population: A scoping review

OBJECTIVE

Bladder cancer is the 13th most common cancer in China with the predominant histologic type being urothelial carcinoma (UC). Locally advanced and metastatic (la/m) UC accounts for 12% of UC and the five-year survival rate is only 39.4%, imposing a significant disease and economic burden on the patients. The aim of this scoping review is to synthesize existing evidence of epidemiology, the landscape of treatment options and associated efficacy and safety profiles, as well as treatment-related biomarkers among Chinese la/mUC patients.

METHODS

A systematic search was conducted on five databases (PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Wanfang, and CNKI) from January 2011 to March 2022 based on the scoping review criteria in accordance with the guidelines of the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis Extension for Scoping Reviews.

RESULTS

A total of 6211 records were identified, and further review resulted in 41 relevant studies that met all criteria. Additional searches were conducted on epidemiology and treatment-related biomarkers of bladder cancer to supplement the evidence. Among 41 studies, 24 reported on platinum-based chemotherapy, eight on non-platinum-based chemotherapy, six on immunotherapy, two on targeted therapy, and one on surgery. Efficacy outcomes were summarized by line of therapy. Treatment-related biomarkers including PD-L1, HER2, and FGFR3 alterations were identified, and the alteration rate of FGFR3 of Chinese UC patients was lower than that of the western patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite chemotherapy has been the main treatment choice for decades, appealing new therapeutic strategies including ICIs, targeted therapies and ADCs were applied in clinical practice. Further research on epidemiology and treatment-related biomarkers of la/mUC patients is needed given only a limited number of studies have been identified thus far. High genomic heterogeneity and complexity of molecular features were observed among la/mUC patients; thus, further studies are required to identify critical drivers and promote potential precise therapies.

Oncology Simulation Model: A Comprehensive and Innovative Approach to Estimate and Project Prevalence and Survival in Oncology

OBJECTIVE

We demonstrate a new model framework as an innovative approach to more accurately estimate and project prevalence and survival outcomes in oncology.

METHODS

We developed an oncology simulation model (OSM) framework that offers a customizable, dynamic simulation model to generate population-level, country-specific estimates of prevalence, incidence of patients progressing from earlier stages (progression-based incidence), and survival in oncology. The framework, a continuous dynamic Markov cohort model, was implemented in Microsoft Excel. The simulation runs continuously through a prespecified calendar time range. Time-varying incidence, treatment patterns, treatment rates, and treatment pathways are specified by year to account for guideline-directed changes in standard of care and real-world trends, as well as newly approved clinical treatments. Patient cohorts transition between defined health states, with transitions informed by progression-free survival and overall survival as reported in published literature.

RESULTS

Model outputs include point prevalence and period prevalence, with options for highly granular prevalence predictions by disease stage, treatment pathway, or time of diagnosis. As a use case, we leveraged the OSM framework to estimate the prevalence of bladder cancer in the United States.

CONCLUSION

The OSM is a robust model that builds upon existing modeling practices to offer an innovative, transparent approach in estimating prevalence, progression-based incidence, and survival for oncologic conditions. The OSM combines and extends the capabilities of other common health-economic modeling approaches to provide a detailed and comprehensive modeling framework to estimate prevalence in oncology using simulation modeling and to assess the impacts of new treatments on prevalence over time.

HER2 expression in urothelial carcinoma, a systematic literature review

Background

Urothelial carcinoma (UC) is a common malignancy with significant associated mortality. Recent clinical trials suggest an emerging role for HER2-targeted therapy. Testing for HER2 expression in UC is not part of current routine clinical practice. In consequence, the prevalence of HER2 expression in UC is not well defined.

Methods

A systematic literature review (SLR) was conducted to characterize HER2 expression in both locally advanced unresectable or metastatic (LA/mUC) and earlier stage UC, classified as HER2+, HER2-low, HER2-. HER2+ was defined as an immunohistochemistry (IHC) score of 3+ or IHC 2+ and ISH/FISH+. HER2-low was defined as an IHC score of 2+ and ISH/FISH- or IHC 1+. HER2- was defined as an IHC score of 0. Weighted averages were calculated to generate an estimate of the population prevalence.

Results

A total of 88 studies were identified, with 45, 30, and 13 studies investigating LA/mUC, earlier stage UC, and mixed stage/unspecified, respectively. The most common assays used were Dako HercepTest and Ventana Pathway anti-HER2/neu (4B5) for IHC to assess HER2 protein expression; Abbott PathVysion HER-2 DNA Probe Kit, FoundationOne CDx, and Guardant360 CDx for assessing HER2 gene amplification. The most frequently cited scoring guidelines were ASCO/CAP guidelines for breast cancer and gastric cancer, though most studies defined their own criteria for HER2 expression. Using the pre-specified definition, HER2+ prevalence ranged from 6.7% to 37.5% with a weighted average of 13.0% in LA/mUC. Only 1 study presented data that could be classified as HER2+ based on pre-specified criteria in earlier stage UC patients, and this study represented a likely outlier, at 76.0%.

Conclusion

The results from this SLR help to shed light on HER2 expression in UC, a potentially clinically relevant biomarker-driven subpopulation for emerging HER2-directed regimens. Results of this SLR illuminate the variability in how HER2+ status expression levels are being assessed and how HER2+ is defined. Consensus on standardized HER2 testing and scoring criteria is paramount to better understand the clinical relevance in patients with UC.

Oncological Outcomes in Patients with Metastatic Urothelial Carcinoma after Discontinuing Pembrolizumab as a Second-Line Treatment: A Retrospective Multicenter Real-World Cohort Study

The treatment options are currently limited, and the oncological outcomes remain unclear, for patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma (mUC) with or without third-line systemic therapy. We aimed to evaluate the oncological outcomes in real-world daily clinical practice after platinum-based chemotherapy followed by pembrolizumab for mUC. This retrospective, multicenter cohort study included patients with mUC who received second-line pembrolizumab in Japan. The patients were divided into the treatment group (those who received third-line treatment) and the BSC group (those who did not receive other treatments). The primary endpoint of this study was to evaluate the oncological outcomes. Of 126 patients enrolled in this study, 40 received third-line therapy. The median follow-up period was 8.0 months. The median overall survival (OS) times were nine months in the BSC group and 17 months in the treatment group (p < 0.001). The median progression-free survival (PFS) times were 4 months in the BSC group and 14 months in the treatment group (p < 0.001). In the multivariate analysis, performance status and liver metastasis were significantly associated with OS. Third-line therapy may have clinical potential advantages for improving the oncological outcomes in patients with mUC.

Real-world outcomes in locally advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma following platinum and PD-1/L1 inhibitor therapy

Aim: To investigate real-world overall survival (rwOS) and real-world progression-free survival (rwPFS) in locally advanced/metastatic urothelial carcinoma postplatinum and postprogrammed death receptor-1/death ligand 1 inhibitors. Patients & methods: Adult patients diagnosed with locally advanced/metastatic urothelial carcinoma from 1 January 2011 to 31 December 2018 and treated with taxane monotherapy or any therapy postplatinum and post-PD-1/L1 inhibitors were included from a nationwide electronic health record-derived oncology database. Results: Median rwOS among 72 patients treated with taxane monotherapy was 7.6 months (95% CI: 5.2-14.4) and rwPFS was 2.9 months (95% CI: 2.4-4.0). Among 208 patients treated with any therapy, median rwOS was 8.9 months (95% CI: 7.3-10.6) and rwPFS was 3.6 months (95% CI: 2.7-4.7). Conclusion: Short duration of rwOS and rwPFS were observed, highlighting the need for effective and safe treatments in this patient population.