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Nabias J, Barbaro L, Fontaine B, Dupuy J, Couzi L, Vallé C, Lorrilliere R. Reassessment of French breeding bird population sizes using citizen science and accounting for species detectability. PeerJ 2024; 12:e17889. [PMID: 39221279 PMCID: PMC11363910 DOI: 10.7717/peerj.17889] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/10/2024] [Accepted: 07/18/2024] [Indexed: 09/04/2024] Open
Abstract
Higher efficiency in large-scale and long-term biodiversity monitoring can be obtained through the use of Essential Biodiversity Variables, among which species population sizes provide key data for conservation programs. Relevant estimations and assessment of actual population sizes are critical for species conservation, especially in the current context of global biodiversity erosion. However, knowledge on population size varies greatly, depending on species conservation status and ranges. While the most threatened or restricted-range species generally benefit from exhaustive counts and surveys, monitoring common and widespread species population size tends to be neglected or is simply more challenging to achieve. In such a context, citizen science (CS) is a powerful tool for the long-term monitoring of common species through the engagement of various volunteers, permitting data acquisition on the long term and over large spatial scales. Despite this substantially increased sampling effort, detectability issues imply that even common species may remain unnoticed at suitable sites. The use of structured CS schemes, including repeated visits, enables to model the detection process, permitting reliable inferences of population size estimates. Here, we relied on a large French structured CS scheme (EPOC-ODF) comprising 27,156 complete checklists over 3,873 sites collected during the 2021-2023 breeding seasons to estimate the population size of 63 common bird species using hierarchical distance sampling (HDS). These population size estimates were compared to the previous expert-based French breeding bird atlas estimations, which did not account for detectability issues. We found that population size estimates from the former French breeding bird atlas were lower than those estimated using HDS for 65% of species. Such a prevalence of lower estimations is likely due to more conservative estimates inferred from semi-quantitative expert-based assessments used for the previous atlas. We also found that species with long-range songs such as the Common Cuckoo (Cuculus canorus), Eurasian Hoopoe (Upupa epops) or the Eurasian Blackbird (Turdus merula) had, in contrast, higher estimated population sizes in the previous atlas than in our HDS models. Our study highlights the need to rely on sound statistical methodology to ensure reliable ecological inferences with adequate uncertainty estimation and advocates for a higher reliance on structured CS in support of long-term biodiversity monitoring.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jean Nabias
- Muséum National d’Histoire Naturelle, Centre d’Ecologie et des Sciences de la Conservation, Paris, France
- Ligue Pour la Protection des Oiseaux, Rochefort, France
| | - Luc Barbaro
- Muséum National d’Histoire Naturelle, Centre d’Ecologie et des Sciences de la Conservation, Paris, France
- Institut National de la Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE), Auzeville-Tolosane, France
| | - Benoît Fontaine
- Muséum National d’Histoire Naturelle, Centre d’Ecologie et des Sciences de la Conservation, Paris, France
- Patrimoine Naturel, Office Français de la Biodiversité, Paris, France
| | - Jérémy Dupuy
- Ligue Pour la Protection des Oiseaux, Rochefort, France
| | - Laurent Couzi
- Ligue Pour la Protection des Oiseaux, Rochefort, France
| | - Clément Vallé
- Muséum National d’Histoire Naturelle, Centre d’Ecologie et des Sciences de la Conservation, Paris, France
| | - Romain Lorrilliere
- Muséum National d’Histoire Naturelle, Centre d’Ecologie et des Sciences de la Conservation, Paris, France
- Centre de Recherches sur la Biologie des Populations d’Oiseaux, Paris, France
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2
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Leroy F, Reif J, Storch D, Keil P. How has bird biodiversity changed over time? A review across spatio-temporal scales. Basic Appl Ecol 2023. [DOI: 10.1016/j.baae.2023.03.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/09/2023]
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3
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Beissinger SR, MacLean SA, Iknayan KJ, de Valpine P. Concordant and opposing effects of climate and land-use change on avian assemblages in California's most transformed landscapes. SCIENCE ADVANCES 2023; 9:eabn0250. [PMID: 36812325 PMCID: PMC9946348 DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.abn0250] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/28/2021] [Accepted: 01/26/2023] [Indexed: 06/18/2023]
Abstract
Climate and land-use change could exhibit concordant effects that favor or disfavor the same species, which would amplify their impacts, or species may respond to each threat in a divergent manner, causing opposing effects that moderate their impacts in isolation. We used early 20th century surveys of birds conducted by Joseph Grinnell paired with modern resurveys and land-use change reconstructed from historic maps to examine avian change in Los Angeles and California's Central Valley (and their surrounding foothills). Occupancy and species richness declined greatly in Los Angeles from urbanization, strong warming (+1.8°C), and drying (-77.2 millimeters) but remained stable in the Central Valley, despite large-scale agricultural development, average warming (+0.9°C), and increased precipitation (+11.2 millimeters). While climate was the main driver of species distributions a century ago, the combined impacts of land-use and climate change drove temporal changes in occupancy, with similar numbers of species experiencing concordant and opposing effects.
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Affiliation(s)
- Steven R. Beissinger
- Department of Environmental Science, Policy and Management, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA
- Museum of Vertebrate Zoology, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA
| | - Sarah A. MacLean
- Department of Environmental Science, Policy and Management, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA
- Museum of Vertebrate Zoology, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA
- Department of Biology, University of La Verne, La Verne, CA, USA
| | - Kelly J. Iknayan
- Department of Environmental Science, Policy and Management, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA
- Museum of Vertebrate Zoology, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA
- San Francisco Estuary Institute, Richmond, CA, USA
| | - Perry de Valpine
- Department of Environmental Science, Policy and Management, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA
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4
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Socolar JB, Mills SC, Haugaasen T, Gilroy JJ, Edwards DP. Biogeographic multi-species occupancy models for large-scale survey data. Ecol Evol 2022; 12:e9328. [PMID: 36203629 PMCID: PMC9526027 DOI: 10.1002/ece3.9328] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/09/2022] [Revised: 07/29/2022] [Accepted: 08/30/2022] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Ecologists often seek to infer patterns of species occurrence or community structure from survey data. Hierarchical models, including multi-species occupancy models (MSOMs), can improve inference by pooling information across multiple species via random effects. Originally developed for local-scale survey data, MSOMs are increasingly applied to larger spatial scales that transcend major abiotic gradients and dispersal barriers. At biogeographic scales, the benefits of partial pooling in MSOMs trade off against the difficulty of incorporating sufficiently complex spatial effects to account for biogeographic variation in occupancy across multiple species simultaneously. We show how this challenge can be overcome by incorporating preexisting range information into MSOMs, yielding a "biogeographic multi-species occupancy model" (bMSOM). We illustrate the bMSOM using two published datasets: Parulid warblers in the United States Breeding Bird Survey and entire avian communities in forests and pastures of Colombia's West Andes. Compared with traditional MSOMs, the bMSOM provides dramatically better predictive performance at lower computational cost. The bMSOM avoids severe spatial biases in predictions of the traditional MSOM and provides principled species-specific inference even for never-observed species. Incorporating preexisting range data enables principled partial pooling of information across species in large-scale MSOMs. Our biogeographic framework for multi-species modeling should be broadly applicable in hierarchical models that predict species occurrences, whether or not false absences are modeled in an occupancy framework.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jacob B. Socolar
- Faculty of the Environment and Natural Resources ManagementNorwegian University of Life SciencesÅsNorway
- Cornell Lab of OrnithologyCornell UniversityIthacaNew YorkUSA
| | - Simon C. Mills
- Ecology and Evolutionary BiologySchool of Biosciences, University of SheffieldSheffieldUK
| | - Torbjørn Haugaasen
- Faculty of the Environment and Natural Resources ManagementNorwegian University of Life SciencesÅsNorway
| | - James J. Gilroy
- School of Environmental SciencesUniversity of East AngliaNorwichUK
| | - David P. Edwards
- Ecology and Evolutionary BiologySchool of Biosciences, University of SheffieldSheffieldUK
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5
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Trew BT, Early R, Duffy JP, Chown SL, Maclean I. Using near‐ground leaf temperatures alters the projected climate change impacts on the historical range of a floristic biodiversity hotspot. DIVERS DISTRIB 2022. [DOI: 10.1111/ddi.13540] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/29/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Brittany T. Trew
- Environment and Sustainability Institute University of Exeter Penryn Campus Penryn Cornwall UK
| | - Regan Early
- Centre for Ecology and Conservation College of Life and Environmental Sciences University of Exeter Penryn Campus Penryn Cornwall UK
| | - James P. Duffy
- Environment and Sustainability Institute University of Exeter Penryn Campus Penryn Cornwall UK
| | - Steven L. Chown
- School of Biological Sciences Monash University Melbourne Victoria Australia
| | - Ilya Maclean
- Environment and Sustainability Institute University of Exeter Penryn Campus Penryn Cornwall UK
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6
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Fidino M, Limbrick K, Bender J, Gallo T, Magle SB. Strolling through a Century: Replicating Historical Bird Surveys to Explore 100 Years of Change in an Urban Bird Community. Am Nat 2022; 199:159-167. [DOI: 10.1086/717052] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/03/2022]
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7
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Lerman SB, Narango DL, Avolio ML, Bratt AR, Engebretson JM, Groffman PM, Hall SJ, Heffernan JB, Hobbie SE, Larson KL, Locke DH, Neill C, Nelson KC, Padullés Cubino J, Trammell TLE. Residential yard management and landscape cover affect urban bird community diversity across the continental USA. ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS : A PUBLICATION OF THE ECOLOGICAL SOCIETY OF AMERICA 2021; 31:e02455. [PMID: 34523195 DOI: 10.1002/eap.2455] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/10/2021] [Accepted: 04/06/2021] [Indexed: 05/20/2023]
Abstract
Urbanization has a homogenizing effect on biodiversity and leads to communities with fewer native species and lower conservation value. However, few studies have explored whether or how land management by urban residents can ameliorate the deleterious effects of this homogenization on species composition. We tested the effects of local (land management) and neighborhood-scale (impervious surface and tree canopy cover) features on breeding bird diversity in six US metropolitan areas that differ in regional species pools and climate. We used a Bayesian multiregion community model to assess differences in species richness, functional guild richness, community turnover, population vulnerability, and public interest in each bird community in six land management types: two natural area park types (separate and adjacent to residential areas), two yard types with conservation features (wildlife-certified and water conservation) and two lawn-dominated yard types (high- and low-fertilizer application), and surrounding neighborhood-scale features. Species richness was higher in yards compared with parks; however, parks supported communities with high conservation scores while yards supported species of high public interest. Bird communities in all land management types were composed of primarily native species. Within yard types, species richness was strongly and positively associated with neighborhood-scale tree canopy cover and negatively associated with impervious surface. At a continental scale, community turnover between cities was lowest in yards and highest in parks. Within cities, however, turnover was lowest in high-fertilizer yards and highest in wildlife-certified yards and parks. Our results demonstrate that, across regions, preserving natural areas, minimizing impervious surfaces and increasing tree canopy are essential strategies to conserve regionally important species. However, yards, especially those managed for wildlife support diverse, heterogeneous bird communities with high public interest and potential to support species of conservation concern. Management approaches that include the preservation of protected parks, encourage wildlife-friendly yards and acknowledge how public interest in local birds can advance successful conservation in American residential landscapes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Susannah B Lerman
- USDA Forest Service, Northern Research Station, Amherst, Massachusetts, 01003, USA
| | - Desirée L Narango
- Advanced Science Research Center at the Graduate Center, City University of New York, New York, New York, 10031, USA
- Department of Biology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Massachusetts, 01003, USA
| | - Meghan L Avolio
- Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, 21218, USA
| | - Anika R Bratt
- Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, 27708, USA
- Department of Environmental Studies, Davidson College, Davidson, North Carolina, 28035, USA
| | - Jesse M Engebretson
- Department of Forest Resources, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, Minnesota, 55108, USA
- Department of Fisheries, Wildlife, and Conservation Biology, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, Minnesota, 55108, USA
| | - Peter M Groffman
- Advanced Science Research Center at the Graduate Center, City University of New York, New York, New York, 10031, USA
- Cary Institute of Ecosystem Studies, Millbrook, New York, 12545, USA
| | - Sharon J Hall
- School of Life Sciences, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona, 85287, USA
| | - James B Heffernan
- Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, 27708, USA
| | - Sarah E Hobbie
- Department of Ecology, Evolution and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, Minnesota, 55108, USA
| | - Kelli L Larson
- School of Geographical Sciences and Urban Planning, School of Sustainability, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona, 85287, USA
| | - Dexter H Locke
- USDA Forest Service, Northern Research Station, Baltimore, Maryland, 21228, USA
| | - Christopher Neill
- Woodwell Climate Research Center, Falmouth, Massachusetts, 02540, USA
| | - Kristen C Nelson
- Department of Forest Resources, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, Minnesota, 55108, USA
- Department of Fisheries, Wildlife, and Conservation Biology, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, Minnesota, 55108, USA
| | - Josep Padullés Cubino
- Department of Ecology, Evolution and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, Minnesota, 55108, USA
- Department of Botany and Zoology, Masaryk University, Brno, 62500, Czech Republic
| | - Tara L E Trammell
- Department of Plant and Soil Sciences, University of Delaware, Newark, Delaware, 19716, USA
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8
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Beissinger SR, Riddell EA. Why Are Species’ Traits Weak Predictors of Range Shifts? ANNUAL REVIEW OF ECOLOGY, EVOLUTION, AND SYSTEMATICS 2021. [DOI: 10.1146/annurev-ecolsys-012021-092849] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
Abstract
We examine the evidence linking species’ traits to contemporary range shifts and find they are poor predictors of range shifts that have occurred over decades to a century. We then discuss reasons for the poor performance of traits for describing interspecific variation in range shifts from two perspectives: ( a) factors associated with species’ traits that degrade range-shift signals stemming from the measures used for species’ traits, traits that are typically not analyzed, and the influence of phylogeny on range-shift potential and ( b) issues in quantifying range shifts and relating them to species’ traits due to imperfect detection of species, differences in the responses of altitudinal and latitudinal ranges, and emphasis on testing linear relationships between traits and range shifts instead of nonlinear responses. Improving trait-based approaches requires a recognition that traits within individuals interact in unexpected ways and that different combinations of traits may be functionally equivalent.
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Affiliation(s)
- Steven R. Beissinger
- Department of Environmental Science, Policy, and Management, University of California, Berkeley, California 94720, USA
- Museum of Vertebrate Zoology, University of California, Berkeley, California 94720, USA
| | - Eric A. Riddell
- Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Organismal Biology, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa 50050, USA
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9
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Vale CG, Arenas F, Barreiro R, Piñeiro‐Corbeira C. Understanding the local drivers of beta‐diversity patterns under climate change: The case of seaweed communities in Galicia, North West of the Iberian Peninsula. DIVERS DISTRIB 2021. [DOI: 10.1111/ddi.13361] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/03/2023] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Cândida Gomes Vale
- CIIMARCentro Interdisciplinar de Investigação Marinha e Ambiental Matosinhos Portugal
| | - Francisco Arenas
- CIIMARCentro Interdisciplinar de Investigação Marinha e Ambiental Matosinhos Portugal
| | - Rodolfo Barreiro
- BioCost Research Group Facultad de Ciencias and Centro de Investigaciones Científicas Avanzadas (CICA)Universidad de A Coruña A Coruña Spain
| | - Cristina Piñeiro‐Corbeira
- BioCost Research Group Facultad de Ciencias and Centro de Investigaciones Científicas Avanzadas (CICA)Universidad de A Coruña A Coruña Spain
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10
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Mouser JB, Brewer SK, Niemiller ML, Mollenhauer R, Van Den Bussche RA. Refining sampling protocols for cavefishes and cave crayfishes to account for environmental variation. SUBTERRANEAN BIOLOGY 2021. [DOI: 10.3897/subtbiol.39.64279] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Subterranean habitats represent focal habitats in many conservation strategies; however, these environments are some of the most difficult to sample. New sampling methods, such as environmental DNA (eDNA), show promise to improve stygobiont detection, but sources of sampling bias are poorly understood. Therefore, we determined the factors affecting detection probability using traditional visual surveys and eDNA surveys for both cavefishes and cave crayfishes and demonstrated how detection affects survey efforts for these taxa. We sampled 40 sites (179 visual and 183 eDNA surveys) across the Ozark Highlands ecoregion. We estimated the detection probability of cave crayfishes and cavefishes using both survey methods under varying environmental conditions. The effectiveness of eDNA or visual surveys varied by environmental conditions (i.e., water volume, prevailing substrate, and water velocity) and the target taxa. When sampling in areas with average water velocity, no flow, and coarse substrate, eDNA surveys had a higher detection probability (0.49) than visual surveys (0.35) for cavefishes and visual surveys (0.67) had a higher detection probability than eDNA surveys (0.40) for cave crayfishes. Under the same sampling conditions, 5 visual surveys compared to 10 eDNA surveys would be needed to confidently detect cave crayfishes and 9 visual surveys compared to 4 eDNA surveys for cavefishes. Environmental DNA is a complementary tool to traditional visual surveys; however, the limitations we identified indicate eDNA currently cannot replace visual surveys in subterranean environments. Although sampling designs that account for imperfect sampling are particularly useful, they may not be practical; thus, increasing sampling efforts to offset known detection bias would benefit conservation strategies.
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11
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Colella JP, Tigano A, Dudchenko O, Omer AD, Khan R, Bochkov ID, Aiden EL, MacManes MD. Limited Evidence for Parallel Evolution Among Desert-Adapted Peromyscus Deer Mice. J Hered 2021; 112:286-302. [PMID: 33686424 PMCID: PMC8141686 DOI: 10.1093/jhered/esab009] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/25/2020] [Accepted: 02/27/2021] [Indexed: 01/14/2023] Open
Abstract
Warming climate and increasing desertification urge the identification of genes involved in heat and dehydration tolerance to better inform and target biodiversity conservation efforts. Comparisons among extant desert-adapted species can highlight parallel or convergent patterns of genome evolution through the identification of shared signatures of selection. We generate a chromosome-level genome assembly for the canyon mouse (Peromyscus crinitus) and test for a signature of parallel evolution by comparing signatures of selective sweeps across population-level genomic resequencing data from another congeneric desert specialist (Peromyscus eremicus) and a widely distributed habitat generalist (Peromyscus maniculatus), that may be locally adapted to arid conditions. We identify few shared candidate loci involved in desert adaptation and do not find support for a shared pattern of parallel evolution. Instead, we hypothesize divergent molecular mechanisms of desert adaptation among deer mice, potentially tied to species-specific historical demography, which may limit or enhance adaptation. We identify a number of candidate loci experiencing selective sweeps in the P. crinitus genome that are implicated in osmoregulation (Trypsin, Prostasin) and metabolic tuning (Kallikrein, eIF2-alpha kinase GCN2, APPL1/2), which may be important for accommodating hot and dry environmental conditions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jocelyn P Colella
- Department of Molecular, Cellular, and Biomedical Sciences, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH.,Hubbard Genome Center, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH.,Biodiversity Institute, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS
| | - Anna Tigano
- Department of Molecular, Cellular, and Biomedical Sciences, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH.,Hubbard Genome Center, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH
| | - Olga Dudchenko
- Center for Genome Architecture, Department of Molecular and Human Genetics, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX.,Center for Theoretical and Biological Physics, Rice University, Houston, TX.,Department of Computer Science, Department of Computational and Applied Mathematics, Rice University, Houston, TX
| | - Arina D Omer
- Center for Genome Architecture, Department of Molecular and Human Genetics, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX
| | - Ruqayya Khan
- Center for Genome Architecture, Department of Molecular and Human Genetics, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX.,Department of Computer Science, Department of Computational and Applied Mathematics, Rice University, Houston, TX
| | - Ivan D Bochkov
- Center for Genome Architecture, Department of Molecular and Human Genetics, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX.,Department of Computer Science, Department of Computational and Applied Mathematics, Rice University, Houston, TX
| | - Erez L Aiden
- Center for Genome Architecture, Department of Molecular and Human Genetics, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX.,Center for Theoretical and Biological Physics, Rice University, Houston, TX.,Department of Computer Science, Department of Computational and Applied Mathematics, Rice University, Houston, TX.,Shanghai Institute for Advanced Immunochemical Studies, ShanghaiTech University, Shanghai 201210, China.,School of Agriculture and Environment, University of Western Australia, Perth, WA, Australia
| | - Matthew D MacManes
- Department of Molecular, Cellular, and Biomedical Sciences, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH.,Hubbard Genome Center, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH
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12
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Steel ZL, Fogg AM, Burnett R, Roberts LJ, Safford HD. When bigger isn’t better—Implications of large high‐severity wildfire patches for avian diversity and community composition. DIVERS DISTRIB 2021. [DOI: 10.1111/ddi.13281] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/22/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Zachary L. Steel
- Department of Environmental Science and Policy University of California Davis CA USA
- Department of Environmental Science, Policy, and Management University of California–Berkeley Berkeley CA USA
| | | | | | | | - Hugh D. Safford
- Department of Environmental Science and Policy University of California Davis CA USA
- United States Department of Agriculture Forest ServicePacific Southwest Region Vallejo CA USA
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13
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Riddell EA, Iknayan KJ, Hargrove L, Tremor S, Patton JL, Ramirez R, Wolf BO, Beissinger SR. Exposure to climate change drives stability or collapse of desert mammal and bird communities. Science 2021; 371:633-636. [DOI: 10.1126/science.abd4605] [Citation(s) in RCA: 47] [Impact Index Per Article: 15.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/23/2020] [Accepted: 01/05/2021] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- E. A. Riddell
- Museum of Vertebrate Zoology, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA
- Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Organismal Biology, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50010, USA
| | - K. J. Iknayan
- Department of Environmental Science, Policy, and Management, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA
- San Francisco Estuary Institute, Richmond, CA 94804, USA
| | - L. Hargrove
- Department of Birds and Mammals, San Diego Natural History Museum, San Diego, CA 92101, USA
| | - S. Tremor
- Department of Birds and Mammals, San Diego Natural History Museum, San Diego, CA 92101, USA
| | - J. L. Patton
- Museum of Vertebrate Zoology, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA
| | - R. Ramirez
- Department of Biology, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM 87131, USA
| | - B. O. Wolf
- Department of Biology, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM 87131, USA
| | - S. R. Beissinger
- Museum of Vertebrate Zoology, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA
- Department of Environmental Science, Policy, and Management, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA
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14
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Romero-Muñoz A, Fandos G, Benítez-López A, Kuemmerle T. Habitat destruction and overexploitation drive widespread declines in all facets of mammalian diversity in the Gran Chaco. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY 2021; 27:755-767. [PMID: 33258510 DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15418] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/15/2020] [Accepted: 09/14/2020] [Indexed: 06/12/2023]
Abstract
Global biodiversity is under high and rising anthropogenic pressure. Yet, how the taxonomic, phylogenetic, and functional facets of biodiversity are affected by different threats over time is unclear. This is particularly true for the two main drivers of the current biodiversity crisis: habitat destruction and overexploitation. We provide the first long-term assessment of multifaceted biodiversity changes caused by these threats for any tropical region. Focussing on larger mammals in South America's 1.1 million km2 Gran Chaco region, we assessed changes in multiple biodiversity facets between 1985 and 2015, determined which threats drive those changes, and identified remaining key areas for all biodiversity facets. Using habitat and threat maps, we found, first, that between 1985 and 2015 taxonomic (TD), phylogenetic (PD) and functional (FD) diversity all declined drastically across over half of the area assessed. FD declined about 50% faster than TD and PD, and these declines were mainly driven by species loss, rather than species turnover. Second, habitat destruction, hunting, and both threats together contributed ~57%, ~37%, and ~6% to overall facet declines, respectively. However, hunting pressure increased where TD and PD declined most strongly, whereas habitat destruction disproportionally contributed to FD declines. Third, just 23% of the Chaco would have to be protected to safeguard the top 17% of all three facets. Our findings uncover a widespread impoverishment of mammal species richness, evolutionary history, and ecological functions across broad areas of the Chaco due to increasing habitat destruction and hunting. Moreover, our results pinpoint key areas that should be preserved and managed to maintain all facets of mammalian diversity across the Chaco. More generally, our work highlights how long-term changes in biodiversity facets can be assessed and attributed to specific threats, to better understand human impacts on biodiversity and to guide conservation planning to mitigate them.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alfredo Romero-Muñoz
- Geography Department, Humboldt-University Berlin, Berlin, Germany
- Fundación Cohabitar, Sucre, Bolivia
| | - Guillermo Fandos
- Geography Department, Humboldt-University Berlin, Berlin, Germany
- Institute for Biochemistry and Biology, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany
| | - Ana Benítez-López
- Integrative Ecology Group, Estación Biológica de Doñana (EBD-CSIC), Sevilla, Spain
| | - Tobias Kuemmerle
- Geography Department, Humboldt-University Berlin, Berlin, Germany
- Integrative Research Institute on Transformations of Human-Environment Systems (IRI THESys), Berlin, Germany
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15
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Zamora-Marín JM, Zamora-López A, Calvo JF, Oliva-Paterna FJ. Comparing detectability patterns of bird species using multi-method occupancy modelling. Sci Rep 2021; 11:2558. [PMID: 33510205 PMCID: PMC7844255 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-81605-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/09/2020] [Accepted: 12/22/2020] [Indexed: 01/30/2023] Open
Abstract
A robust knowledge of biodiversity distribution is essential for designing and developing effective conservation actions. The choice of a suitable sampling method is key to obtaining sufficiently accurate information of species distribution and consequently to improve biodiversity conservation. This study applies multi-method occupancy models to 36 common bird species associated with small ponds in the province of Murcia (south-eastern Spain), one of the most arid regions of Europe, in order to compare their effectiveness for detecting different bird species: direct observation, combined observation and video monitoring and mist netting captures. The results showed that the combined method and direct observation were similar and most effective than mist netting for detecting species occupancy, although detection rates ranged widely among bird groups, while some large species were poorly detected by all the methods used. Average detectability did not increase during the breeding period. The chosen approach is particularly applicable to both single- and multi-species bird monitoring programmes. However, we recommend evaluating the cost-effectiveness of all the available methods in order to reduce costs and improve the success of sampling designs.
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Affiliation(s)
- José M Zamora-Marín
- Departamento de Zoología y Antropología Física, Facultad de Biología, Universidad de Murcia, Murcia, Spain.
| | - Antonio Zamora-López
- Departamento de Zoología y Antropología Física, Facultad de Biología, Universidad de Murcia, Murcia, Spain
| | - José F Calvo
- Departamento de Ecología e Hidrología, Facultad de Biología, Universidad de Murcia, Murcia, Spain
| | - Francisco J Oliva-Paterna
- Departamento de Zoología y Antropología Física, Facultad de Biología, Universidad de Murcia, Murcia, Spain
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16
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17
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Sevillano-Ríos CS, Rodewald AD. Responses of Polylepis birds to patch and landscape attributes in the High Andes. NEOTROPICAL BIODIVERSITY 2021. [DOI: 10.1080/23766808.2020.1869900] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/22/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- C. Steven Sevillano-Ríos
- Department of Natural Resources, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York, USA
- Cornell Lab of Ornithology, Ithaca, New York, USA
| | - Amanda D. Rodewald
- Department of Natural Resources, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York, USA
- Cornell Lab of Ornithology, Ithaca, New York, USA
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18
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Iknayan KJ, Beissinger SR. In transition: Avian biogeographic responses to a century of climate change across desert biomes. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY 2020; 26:3268-3284. [PMID: 32027429 DOI: 10.1111/gcb.15030] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/08/2019] [Revised: 11/14/2019] [Accepted: 12/11/2019] [Indexed: 06/10/2023]
Abstract
Transition zones between biomes, also known as ecotones, are areas of pronounced ecological change. They are primarily maintained by abiotic factors and disturbance regimes that could hinder or promote species range shifts in response to climate change. We evaluated how climate change has affected metacommunity dynamics in two adjacent biomes and across their ecotone by resurveying 106 sites that were originally surveyed for avian diversity in the early 20th century by Joseph Grinnell and colleagues. The Mojave, a warm desert, and the Great Basin, a cold desert, have distinct assemblages and meet along a contiguous, east-west boundary. Both deserts substantially warmed over the past century, but the Mojave dried while the Great Basin became wetter. We examined whether the distinctiveness and composition of desert avifaunas have changed, if species distributions shifted, and how the transition zone impacted turnover patterns. Avifauna change was characterized by (a) reduced occupancy, range contractions, and idiosyncratic species redistributions; (b) degradation of historic community structure, and increased taxonomic and climatic differentiation of the species inhabiting the two deserts; and (c) high levels of turnover at the transition zone but little range expansion of species from the warm, dry Mojave into the cooler, wetter Great Basin. Although both deserts now support more drier and warmer tolerant species, their bird communities still occupy distinct climatological space and differ significantly in climatic composition. Our results suggest a persistent transition zone between biomes contributes to limiting the redistribution of birds, and highlight the importance of understanding how transition zone dynamics impact responses to climate change.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kelly J Iknayan
- Department of Environmental Science, Policy, and Management, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA
- Museum of Vertebrate Zoology, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA
| | - Steven R Beissinger
- Department of Environmental Science, Policy, and Management, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA
- Museum of Vertebrate Zoology, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA
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19
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Mosher BA, Saab VA, Lerch MD, Ellis MM, Rotella JJ. Forest birds exhibit variable changes in occurrence during a mountain pine beetle epidemic. Ecosphere 2019. [DOI: 10.1002/ecs2.2935] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/05/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Brittany A. Mosher
- Department of Ecology Montana State University P.O. Box 173460 Bozeman Montana 59717 USA
- Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources University of Vermont 81 Carrigan Drive Burlington Vermont 05405 USA
| | - Victoria A. Saab
- U.S. Forest Service Rocky Mountain Research Station 1648 S. 7th Avenue, Montana State University Campus Bozeman Montana 59717 USA
| | - Michael D. Lerch
- Department of Mathematical Sciences Montana State University P.O. Box 172400 Bozeman Montana 59717 USA
| | - Martha M. Ellis
- U.S. Forest Service Rocky Mountain Research Station 1648 S. 7th Avenue, Montana State University Campus Bozeman Montana 59717 USA
| | - Jay J. Rotella
- Department of Ecology Montana State University P.O. Box 173460 Bozeman Montana 59717 USA
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20
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Duclos TR, DeLuca WV, King DI. Direct and indirect effects of climate on bird abundance along elevation gradients in the Northern Appalachian mountains. DIVERS DISTRIB 2019. [DOI: 10.1111/ddi.12968] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/05/2023] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Timothy R. Duclos
- Department of Environmental Conservation University of Massachusetts Amherst Massachusetts
| | - William V. DeLuca
- Department of Environmental Conservation University of Massachusetts Amherst Massachusetts
| | - David I. King
- Northern Research Station USDA Forest Service Amherst Massachusetts
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21
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Betts MG, Gutiérrez Illán J, Yang Z, Shirley SM, Thomas CD. Synergistic Effects of Climate and Land-Cover Change on Long-Term Bird Population Trends of the Western USA: A Test of Modeled Predictions. Front Ecol Evol 2019. [DOI: 10.3389/fevo.2019.00186] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
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22
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Echeverri A, Frishkoff LO, Gomez JP, Zook JR, Juárez P, Naidoo R, Chan KMA, Karp DS. Precipitation and tree cover gradients structure avian alpha diversity in North‐western Costa Rica. DIVERS DISTRIB 2019. [DOI: 10.1111/ddi.12932] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/30/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Alejandra Echeverri
- Institute for Resources, Environment, and Sustainability University of British Colombia Vancouver British Colombia Canada
| | - Luke O. Frishkoff
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology University of Toronto Toronto Ontario Canada
- Department of Biology University of Texas at Arlington Arlington Texas
| | - Juan Pablo Gomez
- Departamento de Química y Biología Universidad del Norte Barranquilla Colombia
| | - Jim R. Zook
- Unión de Ornitólogos de Costa Rica Naranjo de Alajuela Costa Rica
| | - Pedro Juárez
- Departamento de Historia Natural Herbario Nacional de Costa Rica, Museo Nacional de Costa Rica San José Costa Rica
| | - Robin Naidoo
- Institute for Resources, Environment, and Sustainability University of British Colombia Vancouver British Colombia Canada
- World Wildlife Fund Washington District of Columbia
| | - Kai M. A. Chan
- Institute for Resources, Environment, and Sustainability University of British Colombia Vancouver British Colombia Canada
| | - Daniel S. Karp
- Department of Wildlife, Fish, and Conservation Biology University of California Davis California
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23
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Bi K, Linderoth T, Singhal S, Vanderpool D, Patton JL, Nielsen R, Moritz C, Good JM. Temporal genomic contrasts reveal rapid evolutionary responses in an alpine mammal during recent climate change. PLoS Genet 2019; 15:e1008119. [PMID: 31050681 PMCID: PMC6519841 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pgen.1008119] [Citation(s) in RCA: 50] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/29/2018] [Revised: 05/15/2019] [Accepted: 04/01/2019] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Many species have experienced dramatic changes in their abundance and distribution during recent climate change, but it is often unclear whether such ecological responses are accompanied by evolutionary change. We used targeted exon sequencing of 294 museum specimens (160 historic, 134 modern) to generate independent temporal genomic contrasts spanning a century of climate change (1911-2012) for two co-distributed chipmunk species: an endemic alpine specialist (Tamias alpinus) undergoing severe range contraction and a stable mid-elevation species (T. speciosus). Using a novel analytical approach, we reconstructed the demographic histories of these populations and tested for evidence of recent positive directional selection. Only the retracting species showed substantial population genetic fragmentation through time and this was coupled with positive selection and substantial shifts in allele frequencies at a gene, Alox15, involved in regulation of inflammation and response to hypoxia. However, these rapid population and gene-level responses were not detected in an analogous temporal contrast from another area where T. alpinus has also undergone severe range contraction. Collectively, these results highlight that evolutionary responses may be variable and context dependent across populations, even when they show seemingly synchronous ecological shifts. Our results demonstrate that temporal genomic contrasts can be used to detect very recent evolutionary responses within and among contemporary populations, even in the face of complex demographic changes. Given the wealth of specimens archived in natural history museums, comparative analyses of temporal population genomic data have the potential to improve our understanding of recent and ongoing evolutionary responses to rapidly changing environments.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ke Bi
- Museum of Vertebrate Zoology, University of California, Berkeley, California, United States of America
- Computational Genomics Resource Laboratory (CGRL), California Institute for Quantitative Biosciences (QB3), University of California, Berkeley, California, United States of America
| | - Tyler Linderoth
- Museum of Vertebrate Zoology, University of California, Berkeley, California, United States of America
- Department of Integrative Biology, University of California, Berkeley, California, United States of America
| | - Sonal Singhal
- Museum of Vertebrate Zoology, University of California, Berkeley, California, United States of America
- Department of Integrative Biology, University of California, Berkeley, California, United States of America
| | - Dan Vanderpool
- Division of Biological Sciences, University of Montana, Missoula, Montana, United States of America
| | - James L. Patton
- Museum of Vertebrate Zoology, University of California, Berkeley, California, United States of America
- Department of Integrative Biology, University of California, Berkeley, California, United States of America
| | - Rasmus Nielsen
- Department of Integrative Biology, University of California, Berkeley, California, United States of America
| | - Craig Moritz
- Museum of Vertebrate Zoology, University of California, Berkeley, California, United States of America
- Department of Integrative Biology, University of California, Berkeley, California, United States of America
- Research School of Biology and Centre for Biodiversity Analysis, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT, Australia
| | - Jeffrey M. Good
- Division of Biological Sciences, University of Montana, Missoula, Montana, United States of America
- Wildlife Biology Program, University of Montana, Missoula, MT, United States of America
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24
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Walsh ES, Vierling KT, Strand E, Bartowitz K, Hudiburg TW. Climate change, woodpeckers, and forests: Current trends and future modeling needs. Ecol Evol 2019; 9:2305-2319. [PMID: 30847111 PMCID: PMC6392386 DOI: 10.1002/ece3.4876] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/29/2018] [Revised: 10/24/2018] [Accepted: 11/27/2018] [Indexed: 01/20/2023] Open
Abstract
The structure and composition of forest ecosystems are expected to shift with climate-induced changes in precipitation, temperature, fire, carbon mitigation strategies, and biological disturbance. These factors are likely to have biodiversity implications. However, climate-driven forest ecosystem models used to predict changes to forest structure and composition are not coupled to models used to predict changes to biodiversity. We proposed integrating woodpecker response (biodiversity indicator) with forest ecosystem models. Woodpeckers are a good indicator species of forest ecosystem dynamics, because they are ecologically constrained by landscape-scale forest components, such as composition, structure, disturbance regimes, and management activities. In addition, they are correlated with forest avifauna community diversity. In this study, we explore integrating woodpecker and forest ecosystem climate models. We review climate-woodpecker models and compare the predicted responses to observed climate-induced changes. We identify inconsistencies between observed and predicted responses, explore the modeling causes, and identify the models pertinent to integration that address the inconsistencies. We found that predictions in the short term are not in agreement with observed trends for 7 of 15 evaluated species. Because niche constraints associated with woodpeckers are a result of complex interactions between climate, vegetation, and disturbance, we hypothesize that the lack of adequate representation of these processes in the current broad-scale climate-woodpecker models results in model-data mismatch. As a first step toward improvement, we suggest a conceptual model of climate-woodpecker-forest modeling for integration. The integration model provides climate-driven forest ecosystem modeling with a measure of biodiversity while retaining the feedback between climate and vegetation in woodpecker climate change modeling.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eric S. Walsh
- Forest, Rangeland, and Fire Sciences DepartmentUniversity of IdahoMoscowIdaho
| | - Kerri T. Vierling
- Department of Fish and Wildlife SciencesUniversity of IdahoMoscowIdaho
| | - Eva Strand
- Forest, Rangeland, and Fire Sciences DepartmentUniversity of IdahoMoscowIdaho
| | - Kristina Bartowitz
- Forest, Rangeland, and Fire Sciences DepartmentUniversity of IdahoMoscowIdaho
| | - Tara W. Hudiburg
- Forest, Rangeland, and Fire Sciences DepartmentUniversity of IdahoMoscowIdaho
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25
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Jiménez‐Franco MV, Kéry M, León‐Ortega M, Robledano F, Esteve MA, Calvo JF. Use of classical bird census transects as spatial replicates for hierarchical modeling of an avian community. Ecol Evol 2019; 9:825-835. [PMID: 30766672 PMCID: PMC6362445 DOI: 10.1002/ece3.4829] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/17/2018] [Revised: 09/24/2018] [Accepted: 10/04/2018] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
New monitoring programs are often designed with some form of temporal replication to deal with imperfect detection by means of occupancy models. However, classical bird census data from earlier times often lack temporal replication, precluding detection-corrected inferences about occupancy. Historical data have a key role in many ecological studies intended to document range shifts, and so need to be made comparable with present-day data by accounting for detection probability. We analyze a classical bird census conducted in the region of Murcia (SE Spain) in 1991 and 1992 and propose a solution to estimating detection probability for such historical data when used in a community occupancy model: the spatial replication of subplots nested within larger plots allows estimation of detection probability. In our study, the basic sample units were 1-km transects, which were considered spatial replicates in two aggregation schemes. We fit two Bayesian multispecies occupancy models, one for each aggregation scheme, and evaluated the linear and quadratic effect of forest cover and temperature, and a linear effect of precipitation on species occupancy probabilities. Using spatial rather than temporal replicates allowed us to obtain individual species occupancy probabilities and species richness accounting for imperfect detection. Species-specific occupancy and community size decreased with increasing annual mean temperature. Both aggregation schemes yielded estimates of occupancy and detectability that were highly correlated for each species, so in the design of future surveys ecological reasons and cost-effective sampling designs should be considered to select the most suitable aggregation scheme. In conclusion, the use of spatial replication may often allow historical survey data to be applied formally hierarchical occupancy models and be compared with modern-day data of the species community to analyze global change process.
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Affiliation(s)
- María V. Jiménez‐Franco
- Departamento de Biología AplicadaUniversidad Miguel Hernández de ElcheElcheSpain
- Departamento de Ecología e HidrologíaUniversidad de MurciaMurciaSpain
| | - Marc Kéry
- Swiss Ornithological InstituteSempachSwitzerland
| | - Mario León‐Ortega
- Departamento de Ecología e HidrologíaUniversidad de MurciaMurciaSpain
| | | | - Miguel A. Esteve
- Departamento de Ecología e HidrologíaUniversidad de MurciaMurciaSpain
| | - José F. Calvo
- Departamento de Ecología e HidrologíaUniversidad de MurciaMurciaSpain
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26
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Guillera‐Arroita G, Kéry M, Lahoz‐Monfort JJ. Inferring species richness using multispecies occupancy modeling: Estimation performance and interpretation. Ecol Evol 2019; 9:780-792. [PMID: 30766668 PMCID: PMC6362448 DOI: 10.1002/ece3.4821] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/06/2018] [Accepted: 08/17/2018] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Multispecies occupancy models can estimate species richness from spatially replicated multispecies detection/non-detection survey data, while accounting for imperfect detection. A model extension using data augmentation allows inferring the total number of species in the community, including those completely missed by sampling (i.e., not detected in any survey, at any site). Here we investigate the robustness of these estimates. We review key model assumptions and test performance via simulations, under a range of scenarios of species characteristics and sampling regimes, exploring sensitivity to the Bayesian priors used for model fitting. We run tests when assumptions are perfectly met and when violated. We apply the model to a real dataset and contrast estimates obtained with and without predictors, and for different subsets of data. We find that, even with model assumptions perfectly met, estimation of the total number of species can be poor in scenarios where many species are missed (>15%-20%) and that commonly used priors can accentuate overestimation. Our tests show that estimation can often be robust to violations of assumptions about the statistical distributions describing variation of occupancy and detectability among species, but lower-tail deviations can result in large biases. We obtain substantially different estimates from alternative analyses of our real dataset, with results suggesting that missing relevant predictors in the model can result in richness underestimation. In summary, estimates of total richness are sensitive to model structure and often uncertain. Appropriate selection of priors, testing of assumptions, and model refinement are all important to enhance estimator performance. Yet, these do not guarantee accurate estimation, particularly when many species remain undetected. While statistical models can provide useful insights, expectations about accuracy in this challenging prediction task should be realistic. Where knowledge about species numbers is considered truly critical for management or policy, survey effort should ideally be such that the chances of missing species altogether are low.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Marc Kéry
- Swiss Ornithological InstituteSempachSwitzerland
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27
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Bálint M, Pfenninger M, Grossart HP, Taberlet P, Vellend M, Leibold MA, Englund G, Bowler D. Environmental DNA Time Series in Ecology. Trends Ecol Evol 2018; 33:945-957. [DOI: 10.1016/j.tree.2018.09.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 77] [Impact Index Per Article: 12.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/13/2018] [Revised: 07/28/2018] [Accepted: 09/05/2018] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
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28
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MacLean SA, Rios Dominguez AF, de Valpine P, Beissinger SR. A century of climate and land-use change cause species turnover without loss of beta diversity in California's Central Valley. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY 2018; 24:5882-5894. [PMID: 30267548 DOI: 10.1111/gcb.14458] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/13/2018] [Revised: 07/28/2018] [Accepted: 08/24/2018] [Indexed: 06/08/2023]
Abstract
Climate and land-use changes are thought to be the greatest threats to biodiversity, but few studies have directly measured their simultaneous impacts on species distributions. We used a unique historic resource-early 20th-century bird surveys conducted by Joseph Grinnell and colleagues-paired with contemporary resurveys a century later to examine changes in bird distributions in California's Central Valley, one of the most intensively modified agricultural zones in the world and a region of heterogeneous climate change. We analyzed species- and community-level occupancy using multispecies occupancy models that explicitly accounted for imperfect detection probability, and developed a novel, simulation-based method to compare the relative influences of climate and land-use covariates on site-level species richness and beta diversity (measured by Jaccard similarity). Surprisingly, we show that mean occupancy, species richness and between-site similarity have remained remarkably stable over the past century. Stability in community-level metrics masked substantial changes in species composition; occupancy declines of some species were equally matched by increases in others, predominantly species with generalist or human-associated habitat preferences. Bird occupancy, richness and diversity within each era were driven most strongly by water availability (precipitation and percent water cover), indicating that both climate and land-use are important drivers of species distributions. Water availability had much stronger effects than temperature, urbanization and agricultural cover, which are typically thought to drive biodiversity decline.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sarah A MacLean
- Department of Environmental Science, Policy and Management, University of California, Berkeley, California
- Museum of Vertebrate Zoology, University of California, Berkeley, California
| | - Andrea F Rios Dominguez
- Department of Environmental Science, Policy and Management, University of California, Berkeley, California
- Museum of Vertebrate Zoology, University of California, Berkeley, California
| | - Perry de Valpine
- Department of Environmental Science, Policy and Management, University of California, Berkeley, California
| | - Steven R Beissinger
- Department of Environmental Science, Policy and Management, University of California, Berkeley, California
- Museum of Vertebrate Zoology, University of California, Berkeley, California
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29
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Schmitt CJ, Cook JA, Zamudio KR, Edwards SV. Museum specimens of terrestrial vertebrates are sensitive indicators of environmental change in the Anthropocene. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 2018; 374:20170387. [PMID: 30455205 PMCID: PMC6282080 DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2017.0387] [Citation(s) in RCA: 49] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 09/14/2018] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Natural history museums and the specimen collections they curate are vital scientific infrastructure, a fact as true today as it was when biologists began collecting and preserving specimens over 200 years ago. The importance of museum specimens in studies of taxonomy, systematics, ecology and evolutionary biology is evidenced by a rich and abundant literature, yet creative and novel uses of specimens are constantly broadening the impact of natural history collections on biodiversity science and global sustainability. Excellent examples of the critical importance of specimens come from their use in documenting the consequences of environmental change, which is particularly relevant considering the alarming rate at which we now modify our planet in the Anthropocene. In this review, we highlight the important role of bird, mammal and amphibian specimens in documenting the Anthropocene and provide examples that underscore the need for continued collection of museum specimens.This article is part of the theme issue 'Biological collections for understanding biodiversity in the Anthropocene'.
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Affiliation(s)
- C Jonathan Schmitt
- Museum of Comparative Zoology and Department of Organismic and Evolutionary Biology, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA
| | - Joseph A Cook
- Museum of Southwestern Biology & Biology Department, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM 87131, USA
| | - Kelly R Zamudio
- Museum of Vertebrates and Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853, USA
| | - Scott V Edwards
- Museum of Comparative Zoology and Department of Organismic and Evolutionary Biology, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA
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30
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Frishkoff LO, de Valpine P, M'Gonigle LK. Phylogenetic occupancy models integrate imperfect detection and phylogenetic signal to analyze community structure. Ecology 2018; 98:198-210. [PMID: 28052384 DOI: 10.1002/ecy.1631] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/05/2016] [Revised: 09/12/2016] [Accepted: 10/17/2016] [Indexed: 11/10/2022]
Abstract
Biological communities are structured phylogenetically-closely related species are typically more likely to be found at the same sites. This may be, in part, because they respond similarly to environmental gradients. Accurately surveying biological communities is, however, made difficult by the fact that detection of species is not perfect. In recent years, numerous statistical methods have been developed that aim to overcome deficiencies in the species detection process. However, these methods do not allow investigators to assess phylogenetic community structure. Here, we introduce the phylogenetic occupancy model (POM), which accounts for imperfect species detection while assessing phylogenetic patterns in community structure. Using simulated data sets we show that the POM grants less biased estimates of phylogenetic structure than models without imperfect detection, and can correctly ascertain the effects of species traits on community composition while accounting for evolutionary non-independence of taxa. Integrating phylogenetic methods into widely used occupancy models will help clarify how evolutionary history influences modern day communities.
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Affiliation(s)
- Luke O Frishkoff
- Department of Biology, Stanford University, 371 Serra Mall, Stanford, California, 94305, USA.,Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Toronto, 25 Wilcocks, Toronto, Ontario, M5S 3B2, Canada
| | - Perry de Valpine
- Department of Environmental Science, Policy and Management, University of California, 130 Mulford Hall, Berkeley, California, 94720, USA
| | - Leithen K M'Gonigle
- Department of Biological Science, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida, 32306, USA
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31
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Ribeiro JW, Siqueira T, Brejão GL, Zipkin EF. Effects of agriculture and topography on tropical amphibian species and communities. ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS : A PUBLICATION OF THE ECOLOGICAL SOCIETY OF AMERICA 2018; 28:1554-1564. [PMID: 29729054 DOI: 10.1002/eap.1741] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/19/2017] [Revised: 02/27/2018] [Accepted: 04/10/2018] [Indexed: 06/08/2023]
Abstract
Habitat loss is the greatest threat to the persistence of forest-dependent amphibians, but it is not the only factor influencing species occurrences. The composition of the surrounding matrix, structure of stream networks, and topography are also important landscape characteristics influencing amphibian distributions. Tropical forests have high diversity and endemism of amphibians, but little is known about the specific responses of many of these species to landscape features. In this paper, we quantify the response of amphibian species and communities to landscape-scale characteristics in streams within the fragmented Brazilian Atlantic Forest. We surveyed amphibian communities during a rainy season in 50 independent stream segments using Standardized Acoustic and Visual Transect Sampling (active) and Automated Acoustic Recorders (passive) methods. We developed a hierarchical multi-species occupancy model to quantify the influence of landscape-scale characteristics (forest cover, agriculture, catchment area, stream density, and slope) on amphibian occurrence probabilities while accounting for imperfect detection of species using the two survey methods. At the community level, we estimated an overall mean positive relationship between amphibian occurrence probabilities and forest cover, and a negative relationship with agriculture. Catchment area and slope were negatively related with amphibian community structure (95% credible interval [CI] did not overlap zero). The species-level relationships with landscape covariates were highly variable but showed similar patterns to those at the community level. Species detection probabilities varied widely and were influenced by the sampling method. For most species, the active method resulted in higher detection probabilities than the passive approach. Our findings suggest that small streams and flat topography lead to higher amphibian occurrence probabilities for many species in Brazil's Atlantic Forest. Our results combined with land use and topographic maps can be used to make predictions of amphibian occurrences and distributions beyond our study area. Such projections can be useful to determine where to conduct future research and prioritize conservation efforts in human-modified landscapes.
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Affiliation(s)
- José Wagner Ribeiro
- Institute of Biosciences, São Paulo State University (Unesp), Avenida 24A 1515, Rio Claro, São Paulo, 13506-900, Brazil
- Department of Integrative Biology and Ecology, Evolutionary Biology, and Behavior Program, East Lansing, Michigan, 48824, USA
| | - Tadeu Siqueira
- Institute of Biosciences, São Paulo State University (Unesp), Avenida 24A 1515, Rio Claro, São Paulo, 13506-900, Brazil
| | - Gabriel Lourenço Brejão
- Institute of Biosciences, Humanities and Exact Sciences, São Paulo State University (Unesp), Rua Cristóvão Colombo 2265, São José do Rio Preto, São Paulo, 15054-000, Brazil
| | - Elise F Zipkin
- Department of Integrative Biology and Ecology, Evolutionary Biology, and Behavior Program, East Lansing, Michigan, 48824, USA
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32
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Changing Thermal Landscapes: Merging Climate Science and Landscape Ecology through Thermal Biology. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2018. [DOI: 10.1007/s40823-018-0034-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 37] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/17/2022]
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Abstract
Deserts, already defined by climatic extremes, have warmed and dried more than other regions in the contiguous United States due to climate change. Our resurveys of sites originally visited in the early 20th century found Mojave Desert birds strongly declined in occupancy and sites lost nearly half of their species. Declines were associated with climate change, particularly decreased precipitation. The magnitude of the decline in the avian community and the absence of species that were local climatological “winners” are exceptional. Our results provide evidence that bird communities in the Mojave Desert have collapsed to a new, lower baseline. Declines could accelerate with future climate change, as this region is predicted to become drier and hotter by the end of the century. Climate change has caused deserts, already defined by climatic extremes, to warm and dry more rapidly than other ecoregions in the contiguous United States over the last 50 years. Desert birds persist near the edge of their physiological limits, and climate change could cause lethal dehydration and hyperthermia, leading to decline or extirpation of some species. We evaluated how desert birds have responded to climate and habitat change by resurveying historic sites throughout the Mojave Desert that were originally surveyed for avian diversity during the early 20th century by Joseph Grinnell and colleagues. We found strong evidence of an avian community in collapse. Sites lost on average 43% of their species, and occupancy probability declined significantly for 39 of 135 breeding birds. The common raven was the only native species to substantially increase across survey sites. Climate change, particularly decline in precipitation, was the most important driver of site-level persistence, while habitat change had a secondary influence. Habitat preference and diet were the two most important species traits associated with occupancy change. The presence of surface water reduced the loss of site-level richness, creating refugia. The collapse of the avian community over the past century may indicate a larger imbalance in the Mojave and provide an early warning of future ecosystem disintegration, given climate models unanimously predict an increasingly dry and hot future.
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Si X, Cadotte MW, Zhao Y, Zhou H, Zeng D, Li J, Jin T, Ren P, Wang Y, Ding P, Tingley MW. The importance of accounting for imperfect detection when estimating functional and phylogenetic community structure. Ecology 2018; 99:2103-2112. [PMID: 29944742 DOI: 10.1002/ecy.2438] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/16/2018] [Revised: 05/25/2018] [Accepted: 06/11/2018] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Abstract
Incorporating imperfect detection when estimating species richness has become commonplace in the past decade. However, the question of how imperfect detection of species affects estimates of functional and phylogenetic community structure remains untested. We used long-term counts of breeding bird species that were detected at least once on islands in a land-bridge island system, and employed multi-species occupancy models to assess the effects of imperfect detection of species on estimates of bird diversity and community structure by incorporating species traits and phylogenies. Our results showed that taxonomic, functional, and phylogenetic diversity were all underestimated significantly as a result of species' imperfect detection, with taxonomic diversity showing the greatest bias. The functional and phylogenetic structure calculated from observed communities were both more clustered than those from the detection-corrected communities due to missed distinct species. The discrepancy between observed and estimated diversity differed according to the measure of biodiversity employed. Our study demonstrates the importance of accounting for species' imperfect detection in biodiversity studies, especially for functional and phylogenetic community ecology, and when attempting to infer community assembly processes. With datasets that allow for detection-corrected community structure, we can better estimate diversity and infer the underlying mechanisms that structure community assembly, and thus make reliable management decisions for the conservation of biodiversity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xingfeng Si
- College of Life Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 310058, China.,Department of Biological Sciences, University of Toronto-Scarborough, Toronto, Ontario, M1C 1A4, Canada
| | - Marc W Cadotte
- Department of Biological Sciences, University of Toronto-Scarborough, Toronto, Ontario, M1C 1A4, Canada.,Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, M5S 3B2, Canada
| | - Yuhao Zhao
- College of Life Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 310058, China
| | - Haonan Zhou
- College of Life Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 310058, China
| | - Di Zeng
- College of Life Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 310058, China
| | - Jiaqi Li
- College of Life Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 310058, China
| | - Tinghao Jin
- College of Life Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 310058, China
| | - Peng Ren
- College of Life Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 310058, China
| | - Yanping Wang
- College of Life Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 310058, China
| | - Ping Ding
- College of Life Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, 310058, China
| | - Morgan W Tingley
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Connecticut, Storrs, Connecticut, 06269, USA
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35
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Frishkoff LO, Echeverri A, Chan KMA, Karp DS. Do correlated responses to multiple environmental changes exacerbate or mitigate species loss? OIKOS 2018. [DOI: 10.1111/oik.05288] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Luke O. Frishkoff
- Dept of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology; Univ. of Toronto; Toronto ON M5S 1A1 Canada
| | - Alejandra Echeverri
- Inst. for Resources, Environment, and Sustainability; Univ. of British Columbia; Vancouver BC Canada
| | - Kai M. A. Chan
- Inst. for Resources, Environment, and Sustainability; Univ. of British Columbia; Vancouver BC Canada
| | - Daniel S. Karp
- Inst. for Resources, Environment, and Sustainability; Univ. of British Columbia; Vancouver BC Canada
- Dept of Wildlife, Fish and Conservation Biology; Univ. of California; Davis CA USA
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36
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Jarzyna MA, Jetz W. Taxonomic and functional diversity change is scale dependent. Nat Commun 2018; 9:2565. [PMID: 29967400 PMCID: PMC6028399 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-04889-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 52] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/16/2018] [Accepted: 05/04/2018] [Indexed: 11/09/2022] Open
Abstract
Estimates of recent biodiversity change remain inconsistent, debated, and infrequently assessed for their functional implications. Here, we report that spatial scale and type of biodiversity measurement influence evidence of temporal biodiversity change. We show a pervasive scale dependence of temporal trends in taxonomic (TD) and functional (FD) diversity for an ~50-year record of avian assemblages from North American Breeding Bird Survey and a record of global extinctions. Average TD and FD increased at all but the global scale. Change in TD exceeded change in FD toward large scales, signaling functional resilience. Assemblage temporal dissimilarity and turnover (replacement of species or functions) declined, while nestedness (tendency of assemblages to be subsets of one another) increased with scale. Patterns of FD change varied strongly among diet and foraging guilds. We suggest that monitoring, policy, and conservation require a scale-explicit framework to account for the pervasive effect that scale has on perceived biodiversity change.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marta A Jarzyna
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Yale University, New Haven, CT, 06520, USA.
| | - Walter Jetz
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Yale University, New Haven, CT, 06520, USA.,Department of Life Sciences, Imperial College London, Silwood Park Campus, Buckhurst Road, Ascot, Berks, SL5 7PY, UK
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37
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Montane-breeding Bird Distribution and Abundance Across National Parks of Southwestern Alaska. JOURNAL OF FISH AND WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT 2018. [DOI: 10.3996/062017-jfwm-050] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
Abstract
Abstract
Between 2004 and 2008, biologists conducted an inventory of breeding birds during May–June primarily in montane areas (>100 m above sea level) of Aniakchak National Monument and Preserve (Aniakchak NMP), Katmai National Park and Preserve (Katmai NPP), and Lake Clark National Park and Preserve (Lake Clark NPP) in southwestern Alaska. Observers conducted 1,021 point counts along 169 transects within 63 10-km × 10-km plots that were randomly selected and stratified by ecological subsection. We created hierarchical N-mixture models to estimate detection probability and abundance for 15 species, including 12 passerines, 2 galliforms, and 1 shorebird. We first modeled detection probability relative to observer, date within season, and proportion of dense vegetation cover around the point, then modeled abundance as a function of land cover composition (proportion of seven coarse-scale land cover types) within 300 m of the survey point. Land cover relationships varied widely among species but most showed selection for low to tall shrubs (0.2–5 m tall) and an avoidance of alpine and dwarf shrub–herbaceous cover types. After adjusting for species not observed, we estimated a minimum of 107 ± 9 species bred in the areas surveyed within the three parks combined. Species richness was negatively associated with elevation and associated land cover types. At comparable levels of survey effort (n = 721 birds detected), species richness was greatest in Lake Clark NPP (75 ± 12 species), lowest in Aniakchak NMP (45 ± 6 species), and intermediate at Katmai NPP (59 ± 10 species). Species richness was similar at equivalent survey effort (n = 973 birds detected) within the Lime Hills, Alaska Range, and Alaska Peninsula ecoregions (68 ± 8; 79 ± 11; 67 ± 11, respectively). Species composition was similar across all three parks and across the three major ecoregions (Alaska Range, Alaska Peninsula, Lime Hills) that encompass them. Our results provide baseline estimates of relative abundance and models of abundance and species richness relative to land cover that can be used to assess future changes in avian distribution. Additionally, these subarctic montane parks may serve as signals of landscape change and barometers for the assessment of population and distributional changes as a result of warming temperatures and changing precipitation patterns.
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38
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Gomez JP, Robinson SK, Blackburn JK, Ponciano JM. An efficient extension of N-mixture models for multi-species abundance estimation. Methods Ecol Evol 2018; 9:340-353. [PMID: 29892335 PMCID: PMC5992910 DOI: 10.1111/2041-210x.12856] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
In this study we propose an extension of the N-mixture family of models that targets an improvement of the statistical properties of rare species abundance estimators when sample sizes are low, yet typical for tropical studies. The proposed method harnesses information from other species in an ecological community to correct each species' estimator. We provide guidance to determine the sample size required to estimate accurately the abundance of rare tropical species when attempting to estimate the abundance of single species.We evaluate the proposed methods using an assumption of 50 m radius plots and perform simulations comprising a broad range of sample sizes, true abundances and detectability values and a complex data generating process. The extension of the N-mixture model is achieved by assuming that the detection probabilities are drawn at random from a beta distribution in a multi-species fashion. This hierarchical model avoids having to specify a single detection probability parameter per species in the targeted community. Parameter estimation is done via Maximum Likelihood.We compared our multi-species approach with previously proposed multi-species N-mixture models, which we show are biased when the true densities of species in the community are less than seven individuals per 100 hectares. The beta N-mixture model proposed here outperforms the traditional Multi-species N-mixture model by allowing the estimation of organisms at lower densities and controlling the bias in the estimation.We illustrate how our methodology can be used to suggest sample sizes required to estimate the abundance of organisms, when these are either rare, common or abundant. When the interest is full communities, we show how the multi-species approaches, and in particular our beta model and estimation methodology, can be used as a practical solution to estimate organism densities from rapid inventory datasets. The statistical inferences done with our model via Maximum Likelihood can also be used to group species in a community according to their detectabilities.
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Affiliation(s)
- Juan Pablo Gomez
- Department of Biology, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida
- Florida Museum of Natural History, Gainesville, Florida
- Spatial Epidemiology and Ecology Research Laboratory, Department of Geography, University of Florida, Gainesville Florida
- Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida
| | | | - Jason K Blackburn
- Spatial Epidemiology and Ecology Research Laboratory, Department of Geography, University of Florida, Gainesville Florida
- Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida
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Karp DS, Frishkoff LO, Echeverri A, Zook J, Juárez P, Chan KMA. Agriculture erases climate-driven β-diversity in Neotropical bird communities. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY 2018; 24:338-349. [PMID: 28833924 DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13821] [Citation(s) in RCA: 37] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/28/2017] [Accepted: 06/25/2017] [Indexed: 06/07/2023]
Abstract
Earth is experiencing multiple global changes that will, together, determine the fate of many species. Yet, how biological communities respond to concurrent stressors at local-to-regional scales remains largely unknown. In particular, understanding how local habitat conversion interacts with regional climate change to shape patterns in β-diversity-differences among sites in their species compositions-is critical to forecast communities in the Anthropocene. Here, we study patterns in bird β-diversity across land-use and precipitation gradients in Costa Rica. We mapped forest cover, modeled regional precipitation, and collected data on bird community composition, vegetation structure, and tree diversity across 120 sites on 20 farms to answer three questions. First, do bird communities respond more strongly to changes in land use or climate in northwest Costa Rica? Second, does habitat conversion eliminate β-diversity across climate gradients? Third, does regional climate control how communities respond to habitat conversion and, if so, how? After correcting for imperfect detection, we found that local land-use determined community shifts along the climate gradient. In forests, bird communities were distinct between sites that differed in vegetation structure or precipitation. In agriculture, however, vegetation structure was more uniform, contributing to 7%-11% less bird turnover than in forests. In addition, bird responses to agriculture and climate were linked: agricultural communities across the precipitation gradient shared more species with dry than wet forest communities. These findings suggest that habitat conversion and anticipated climate drying will act together to exacerbate biotic homogenization.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniel S Karp
- Department of Wildlife, Fish, and Conservation Biology, University of California, Davis, CA, USA
- Institute for Resources, Environment, and Sustainability, University of British Colombia, Vancouver, BC, USA
| | - Luke O Frishkoff
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, USA
| | - Alejandra Echeverri
- Institute for Resources, Environment, and Sustainability, University of British Colombia, Vancouver, BC, USA
| | - Jim Zook
- Unión de Ornitólogos de Costa Rica, Naranjo de Alajuela, Costa Rica
| | - Pedro Juárez
- Departamento de Historia Natural, Herbario Nacional de Costa Rica, Museo Nacional de Costa Rica, San José, Costa Rica
| | - Kai M A Chan
- Institute for Resources, Environment, and Sustainability, University of British Colombia, Vancouver, BC, USA
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40
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Phenological shifts conserve thermal niches in North American birds and reshape expectations for climate-driven range shifts. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2017; 114:12976-12981. [PMID: 29133415 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1705897114] [Citation(s) in RCA: 71] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Species respond to climate change in two dominant ways: range shifts in latitude or elevation and phenological shifts of life-history events. Range shifts are widely viewed as the principal mechanism for thermal niche tracking, and phenological shifts in birds and other consumers are widely understood as the principal mechanism for tracking temporal peaks in biotic resources. However, phenological and range shifts each present simultaneous opportunities for temperature and resource tracking, although the possible role for phenological shifts in thermal niche tracking has been widely overlooked. Using a canonical dataset of Californian bird surveys and a detectability-based approach for quantifying phenological signal, we show that Californian bird communities advanced their breeding phenology by 5-12 d over the last century. This phenological shift might track shifting resource peaks, but it also reduces average temperatures during nesting by over 1 °C, approximately the same magnitude that average temperatures have warmed over the same period. We further show that early-summer temperature anomalies are correlated with nest success in a continental-scale database of bird nests, suggesting avian thermal niches might be broadly limited by temperatures during nesting. These findings outline an adaptation surface where geographic range and breeding phenology respond jointly to constraints imposed by temperature and resource phenology. By stabilizing temperatures during nesting, phenological shifts might mitigate the need for range shifts. Global change ecology will benefit from further exploring phenological adjustment as a potential mechanism for thermal niche tracking and vice versa.
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41
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Virkkala R, Lehikoinen A. Birds on the move in the face of climate change: High species turnover in northern Europe. Ecol Evol 2017; 7:8201-8209. [PMID: 29075443 PMCID: PMC5648647 DOI: 10.1002/ece3.3328] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/24/2017] [Revised: 05/30/2017] [Accepted: 07/23/2017] [Indexed: 01/19/2023] Open
Abstract
Species richness is predicted to increase in the northern latitudes in the warming climate due to ranges of many southern species expanding northwards. We studied changes in the composition of the whole avifauna and in bird species richness in a period of already warming climate in Finland (in northern Europe) covering 1,100 km in south-north gradient across the boreal zone (over 300,000 km2). We compared bird species richness and species-specific changes (for all 235 bird species that occur in Finland) in range size (number of squares occupied) and range shifts (measured as median of area of occupancy) based on bird atlas studies between 1974-1989 and 2006-2010. In addition, we tested how the habitat preference and migration strategy of species explain species-specific variation in the change of the range size. The study was carried out in 10 km squares with similar research intensity in both time periods. The species richness did not change significantly between the two time periods. The composition of the bird fauna, however, changed considerably with 37.0% of species showing an increase and 34.9% a decrease in the numbers of occupied squares, that is, about equal number of species gained and lost their range. Altogether 95.7% of all species (225/235) showed changes either in the numbers of occupied squares or they experienced a range shift (or both). The range size of archipelago birds increased and long-distance migrants declined significantly. Range loss observed in long-distance migrants is in line with the observed population declines of long-distance migrants in the whole Europe. The results show that there is an ongoing considerable species turnover due to climate change and due to land use and other direct human influence. High bird species turnover observed in northern Europe may also affect the functional diversity of species communities.
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Affiliation(s)
- Raimo Virkkala
- Finnish Environment Institute Natural Environment Centre Helsinki Finland
| | - Aleksi Lehikoinen
- Finnish Museum of Natural History University of Helsinki Helsinki Finland
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42
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Frank HK, Frishkoff LO, Mendenhall CD, Daily GC, Hadly EA. Phylogeny, Traits, and Biodiversity of a Neotropical Bat Assemblage: Close Relatives Show Similar Responses to Local Deforestation. Am Nat 2017; 190:200-212. [DOI: 10.1086/692534] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/03/2022]
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43
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Jarzyna MA, Jetz W. A near half-century of temporal change in different facets of avian diversity. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY 2017; 23:2999-3011. [PMID: 27860064 DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13571] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/18/2016] [Revised: 11/07/2016] [Accepted: 11/09/2016] [Indexed: 06/06/2023]
Abstract
Assessments of spatial patterns of biodiversity change are essential to detect a signature of anthropogenic impacts, inform monitoring and conservation programs, and evaluate implications of biodiversity loss to humans. While taxonomic diversity (TD) is the most commonly assessed attribute of biodiversity, it misses the potential functional or phylogenetic implications of species losses or gains for ecosystems. Functional diversity (FD) and phylogenetic diversity (PD) are able to capture these important trait-based and phylogenetic attributes of species, but their changes have to date only been evaluated over limited spatial and temporal extents. Employing a novel framework for addressing detectability, we here comprehensively assess a near half-century of changes in local TD, FD, and PD of breeding birds across much of North America to examine levels of congruency in changes among these biodiversity facets and their variation across spatial and environmental gradients. Time-series analysis showed significant and continuous increases in all three biodiversity attributes until ca. 2000, followed by a slow decline since. Comparison of avian diversity at the beginning and end of the temporal series revealed net increase in TD, FD, and PD, but changes in TD were larger than those in FD and PD, suggesting increasing biotic homogenization of avian assemblages throughout the United States. Changes were greatest at high elevations and latitudes - consistent with purported effects of ongoing climate change on biodiversity. Our findings highlight the potential of combining new types of data with novel statistical models to enable a more integrative monitoring and assessment of the multiple facets of biodiversity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marta A Jarzyna
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Yale University, 165 Prospect Street, New Haven, CT, 06520, USA
| | - Walter Jetz
- Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Yale University, 165 Prospect Street, New Haven, CT, 06520, USA
- Department of Life Sciences, Imperial College London, Silwood Park Campus, Buckhurst Road, Ascot, Berks, SL5 7PY, UK
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Ray C, Saracco JF, Holmgren ML, Wilkerson RL, Siegel RB, Jenkins KJ, Ransom JI, Happe PJ, Boetsch JR, Huff MH. Recent stability of resident and migratory landbird populations in National Parks of the Pacific Northwest. Ecosphere 2017. [DOI: 10.1002/ecs2.1902] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Chris Ray
- The Institute for Bird Populations; Point Reyes Station California 94956 USA
| | - James F. Saracco
- The Institute for Bird Populations; Point Reyes Station California 94956 USA
| | - Mandy L. Holmgren
- The Institute for Bird Populations; Point Reyes Station California 94956 USA
| | - Robert L. Wilkerson
- The Institute for Bird Populations; Point Reyes Station California 94956 USA
| | - Rodney B. Siegel
- The Institute for Bird Populations; Point Reyes Station California 94956 USA
| | - Kurt J. Jenkins
- U.S. Geological Survey; Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center; Olympic Field Station Port Angeles Washington 98362 USA
| | - Jason I. Ransom
- North Cascades National Park Service Complex; Sedro-Woolley Washington 98284 USA
| | | | | | - Mark H. Huff
- Mount Rainier National Park; Ashford Washington 98304 USA
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45
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Batt RD, Morley JW, Selden RL, Tingley MW, Pinsky ML. Gradual changes in range size accompany long-term trends in species richness. Ecol Lett 2017; 20:1148-1157. [PMID: 28699209 DOI: 10.1111/ele.12812] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/30/2017] [Revised: 05/29/2017] [Accepted: 06/15/2017] [Indexed: 01/07/2023]
Abstract
Species richness has long been used as an indicator of ecosystem functioning and health. Global richness is declining, but it is unclear whether sub-global trends differ. Regional trends are especially understudied, with most focused on island regions where richness is strongly impacted by novel colonisations. We addressed this knowledge gap by testing for multi-decade trends in species richness in nine open marine regions around North America (197 region-years) while accounting for imperfect observations and grounding our findings in species-level range dynamics. We found positive richness trends in eight of nine regions, four of which were statistically significant. Species' range sizes generally contracted pre-extinction and expanded post-colonisation, but the ranges of transient species expanded over the long-term, slowly increasing their regional retention and driving increasing richness. These results provide more evidence that sub-global richness trends are stable or increasing, and highlight the utility of range size for understanding richness dynamics.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ryan D Batt
- Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Natural Resources, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ, 08901, USA
| | - James W Morley
- Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Natural Resources, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ, 08901, USA
| | - Rebecca L Selden
- Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Natural Resources, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ, 08901, USA
| | - Morgan W Tingley
- Department of Ecology and Evolution, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT, 06269, USA
| | - Malin L Pinsky
- Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Natural Resources, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ, 08901, USA
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Graham LJ, Weinstein BG, Supp SR, Graham CH. Future geographic patterns of novel and disappearing assemblages across three dimensions of diversity: A case study with Ecuadorian hummingbirds. DIVERS DISTRIB 2017. [DOI: 10.1111/ddi.12587] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/28/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Laura J. Graham
- Department of Ecology and Evolution Stony Brook University Stony Brook NY USA
- Geography and Environment University of Southampton Southampton UK
| | - Ben G. Weinstein
- Department of Ecology and Evolution Stony Brook University Stony Brook NY USA
| | | | - Catherine H. Graham
- Department of Ecology and Evolution Stony Brook University Stony Brook NY USA
- Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL Birmensdorf Switzerland
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47
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Loffland HL, Polasik JS, Tingley MW, Elsey EA, Loffland C, Lebuhn G, Siegel RB. Bumble bee use of post-fire chaparral in the central Sierra Nevada. J Wildl Manage 2017. [DOI: 10.1002/jwmg.21280] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/22/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Helen L. Loffland
- The Institute for Bird Populations; P.O. Box 1346, Point Reyes Station CA 94956 USA
| | - Julia S. Polasik
- The Institute for Bird Populations; P.O. Box 1346, Point Reyes Station CA 94956 USA
| | - Morgan W. Tingley
- Ecology and Evolutionary Biology; University of Connecticut; 75 N. Eagleville Road, Unit 3043, Storrs CT 06269 USA
| | - Erin A. Elsey
- Department of Biology; San Francisco State University; 1600 Holloway Avenue San Francisco CA 94132 USA
| | - Chuck Loffland
- Amador Ranger District; Eldorado National Forest, USDA Forest Service; 26820 Silver Drive Pioneer CA 95666 USA
| | - Gretchen Lebuhn
- Department of Biology; San Francisco State University; 1600 Holloway Avenue San Francisco CA 94132 USA
| | - Rodney B. Siegel
- The Institute for Bird Populations; P.O. Box 1346, Point Reyes Station CA 94956 USA
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48
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Scheffers BR, De Meester L, Bridge TCL, Hoffmann AA, Pandolfi JM, Corlett RT, Butchart SHM, Pearce-Kelly P, Kovacs KM, Dudgeon D, Pacifici M, Rondinini C, Foden WB, Martin TG, Mora C, Bickford D, Watson JEM. The broad footprint of climate change from genes to biomes to people. Science 2017; 354:354/6313/aaf7671. [PMID: 27846577 DOI: 10.1126/science.aaf7671] [Citation(s) in RCA: 488] [Impact Index Per Article: 69.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
Abstract
Most ecological processes now show responses to anthropogenic climate change. In terrestrial, freshwater, and marine ecosystems, species are changing genetically, physiologically, morphologically, and phenologically and are shifting their distributions, which affects food webs and results in new interactions. Disruptions scale from the gene to the ecosystem and have documented consequences for people, including unpredictable fisheries and crop yields, loss of genetic diversity in wild crop varieties, and increasing impacts of pests and diseases. In addition to the more easily observed changes, such as shifts in flowering phenology, we argue that many hidden dynamics, such as genetic changes, are also taking place. Understanding shifts in ecological processes can guide human adaptation strategies. In addition to reducing greenhouse gases, climate action and policy must therefore focus equally on strategies that safeguard biodiversity and ecosystems.
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Affiliation(s)
- Brett R Scheffers
- Department of Wildlife Ecology and Conservation, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611-0430, USA.
| | - Luc De Meester
- Laboratory of Aquatic Ecology, Evolution and Conservation, KU Leuven, Ch. De Beriotstraat 32, 3000 Leuven, Belgium
| | - Tom C L Bridge
- Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University, Townsville QLD 4811, Australia.,Queensland Museum, Townsville, Queensland 4810, Australia
| | - Ary A Hoffmann
- Bio21 Institute, School of Biosciences, University of Melbourne, Victoria 3010, Australia
| | - John M Pandolfi
- School of Biological Sciences and the Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland 4072, Australia
| | - Richard T Corlett
- Center for Integrative Conservation, Xishuangbanna Tropical Botanical Gardens, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Yunnan 666303, China
| | - Stuart H M Butchart
- BirdLife International, David Attenborough Building, Pembroke Street, Cambridge CB2 3QZ, UK.,Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Downing Street, Cambridge CB2 3EJ, UK
| | | | - Kit M Kovacs
- Norwegian Polar Institute, FRAM Centre, 9296 Tromsø, Norway
| | - David Dudgeon
- School of Biological Sciences, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Michela Pacifici
- Global Mammal Assessment Program, Department of Biology and Biotechnologies, Sapienza Università di Roma, Viale dell'Università 32, I-00185 Rome, Italy
| | - Carlo Rondinini
- Global Mammal Assessment Program, Department of Biology and Biotechnologies, Sapienza Università di Roma, Viale dell'Università 32, I-00185 Rome, Italy
| | - Wendy B Foden
- Department of Botany and Zoology, University of Stellenbosch, P/Bag X1, Matieland, 7602 Stellenbosch, South Africa
| | - Tara G Martin
- Department of Forest and Conservation Sciences, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Camilo Mora
- Department of Geography, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, Hawaii, USA
| | - David Bickford
- Department of Biological Sciences, National University of Singapore, 14 Science Drive 4, 117543, Singapore
| | - James E M Watson
- School of Geography, Planning and Environmental Management, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland 4072, Australia.,Global Conservation Program, Wildlife Conservation Society, 2300 Southern Boulevard, Bronx, NY 10460, USA
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Verheyen K, De Frenne P, Baeten L, Waller DM, Hédl R, Perring MP, Blondeel H, Brunet J, Chudomelova M, Decocq G, De Lombaerde E, Depauw L, Dirnböck T, Durak T, Eriksson O, Gilliam FS, Heinken T, Heinrichs S, Hermy M, Jaroszewicz B, Jenkins MA, Johnson SE, Kirby KJ, Kopecký M, Landuyt D, Lenoir J, Li D, Macek M, Maes S, Máliš F, Mitchell FJG, Naaf T, Peterken G, Petřík P, Reczyńska K, Rogers DA, Schei FH, Schmidt W, Standovár T, Świerkosz K, Ujházy K, Van Calster H, Vellend M, Vild O, Woods K, Wulf M, Bernhard-Römermann M. Combining community resurvey data to advance global change research. Bioscience 2016; 67:73-83. [PMID: 30220729 PMCID: PMC6136644 DOI: 10.1093/biosci/biw150] [Citation(s) in RCA: 44] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Abstract
More and more ecologists have started to resurvey communities sampled in earlier decades to determine long-term shifts in community composition and infer the likely drivers of the ecological changes observed. However, to assess the relative importance of, and interactions among, multiple drivers joint analyses of resurvey data from many regions spanning large environmental gradients are needed. In this paper we illustrate how combining resurvey data from multiple regions can increase the likelihood of driver-orthogonality within the design and show that repeatedly surveying across multiple regions provides higher representativeness and comprehensiveness, allowing us to answer more completely a broader range of questions. We provide general guidelines to aid implementation of multi-region resurvey databases. In so doing, we aim to encourage resurvey database development across other community types and biomes to advance global environmental change research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kris Verheyen
- Forest & Nature Lab, Department of Forest & Water Management, Ghent University, Geraardsbergsesteenweg 267, 9090 Melle-Gontrode, Belgium
| | - Pieter De Frenne
- Forest & Nature Lab, Department of Forest & Water Management, Ghent University, Geraardsbergsesteenweg 267, 9090 Melle-Gontrode, Belgium,
| | - Lander Baeten
- Forest & Nature Lab, Department of Forest & Water Management, Ghent University, Geraardsbergsesteenweg 267, 9090 Melle-Gontrode, Belgium,
| | - Donald M Waller
- Botany Department, University of Wisconsin-Madison, 430 Lincoln Dr., Madison, WI 53706, USA,
| | - Radim Hédl
- Department of Vegetation Ecology, Institute of Botany, The Czech Academy of Sciences, Lidická 25/27, Brno, 60200, Czech Republic, ; Department of Botany, Palacky University in Olomouc, Slechtitelu 27, Olomouc, 78371, Czech Republic
| | - Michael P Perring
- Forest & Nature Lab, Department of Forest & Water Management, Ghent University, Geraardsbergsesteenweg 267, 9090 Melle-Gontrode, Belgium, ; Ecosystem Restoration and Intervention Ecology Research Group; School of Plant Biology, The University of Western Australia, 35, Stirling Highway, Crawley WA 6009, AUSTRALIA,
| | - Haben Blondeel
- Forest & Nature Lab, Department of Forest & Water Management, Ghent University, Geraardsbergsesteenweg 267, 9090 Melle-Gontrode, Belgium,
| | - Jörg Brunet
- Southern Swedish Forest Research Centre, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, PO Box 49, 230 53 Alnarp, Sweden,
| | - Markéeta Chudomelova
- Department of Vegetation Ecology, Institute of Botany, The Czech Academy of Sciences, Lidická 25/27, Brno, 60200, Czech Republic; Department of Botany and Zoology, Faculty of Sciences, Masaryk University, Kotlářská 2, Brno CZ-60200, Czech Republic,
| | - Guillaume Decocq
- UR "Ecologie et Dynamique des Systèmes Anthropisés" (EDYSAN, FRE 3498 CNRS-UPJV), Jules Verne University of Picardy, 1, rue des Louvels, 80037 Amiens Cédex, FRANCE,
| | - Emiel De Lombaerde
- Forest & Nature Lab, Department of Forest & Water Management, Ghent University, Geraardsbergsesteenweg 267, 9090 Melle-Gontrode, Belgium,
| | - Leen Depauw
- Forest & Nature Lab, Department of Forest & Water Management, Ghent University, Geraardsbergsesteenweg 267, 9090 Melle-Gontrode, Belgium,
| | - Thomas Dirnböck
- Department for Ecosystem Research, Environment Agency Austria, Spittelauer Lände 5, 1090 Vienna, Austria,
| | - Tomasz Durak
- Department of Botany, University of Rzeszów, Zelwerowicza 4, Rzeszów PL-35-601, Poland,
| | - Ove Eriksson
- Department of Ecology, Environment and Plant Sciences, Stockholm University, SE - 106 91 Stockholm, Sweden,
| | - Frank S Gilliam
- Department of Biological Sciences, Marshall University, 1 John Marshall Drive, Huntington, WV 25755-2510, USA,
| | - Thilo Heinken
- Biodiversity Research / Systematic Botany, Institute for Biochemistry and Biology, University of Potsdam, Maulbeerallee 1, 14469 Potsdam, Germany,
| | - Steffi Heinrichs
- Department Silviculture & Forest Ecology of the Temperate Zones, Georg-August-University Göttingen, Burckhardt Institute, Büsgenweg 1, 37077 Göttingen, Germany,
| | - Martin Hermy
- Dept Earth & Environmental Sciences, University of Leuven (KU Leuven), Celestijnenlaan 200E, Heverlee 3001, Belgium,
| | - Bogdan Jaroszewicz
- Białowieża Geobotanical Station, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Biology, Sportowa 19, Białowieża, 17-230, Poland
| | - Michael A Jenkins
- Department of Forestry and Natural Resources, Purdue University, 715 West State Street, West Lafayette, IN 47907-2061, USA,
| | - Sarah E Johnson
- Department of Natural Resources and Biology, Northland College, 1411 Ellis Avenue, Ashland, Wisconsin 54806, USA,
| | - Keith J Kirby
- Department of Plant Sciences, Oxford University, South Parks Road, Oxford OX1 3RB, UK,
| | - Martin Kopecký
- Department of Vegetation Ecology, Institute of Botany, The Czech Academy of Sciences, Lidická 25/27, Brno, CZ-602 00, Czech Republic, , : Department of Forest Ecology, : Faculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, : Kamýcká 129, CZ-165 21, Prague 6 - Suchdol, Czech Republic
| | - Dries Landuyt
- Forest & Nature Lab, Department of Forest & Water Management, Ghent University, Geraardsbergsesteenweg 267, 9090 Melle-Gontrode, Belgium,
| | - Jonathan Lenoir
- UR "Ecologie et dynamique des systems anthropisés" (EDYSAN, FRE 3498 CNRS-UPJV), Université de Picardie Jules Verne, 1 Rue des Louvels, 80000 Amiens, France,
| | - Daijiang Li
- Department of Botany, University of Wisconsin - Madison, 430 Lincoln Drive, Madison, WI 53706, USA,
| | - Martin Macek
- Dept. of GIS and RS, Institute of Botany of the Czech Academy of Sciences, Zámek 1, Průhonice 252 43, Czech Republic,
| | - Sybryn Maes
- Forest & Nature Lab, Department of Forest & Water Management, Ghent University, Geraardsbergsesteenweg 267, 9090 Melle-Gontrode, Belgium,
| | - Frantisek Máliš
- Department of Phytology, Faculty of Forestry, Technical University in Zvolen, T. G. Masaryka 24, 960 53 Zvolen, Slovakia,
| | | | - Tobias Naaf
- Institute of Land Use Systems, Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF), Eberswalder Straße 84, 15374 Müncheberg, Germany,
| | | | - Petr Petřík
- Department of GIS and Remote Sensing, Institute of Botany, Czech Academy of Sciences, Zámek 1, Průhonice 25243, Czech Republic,
| | - Kamila Reczyńska
- Wrocław University, Museum of Natural History, Sienkiewicza 21, Wrocław 50-335, Poland,
| | - David A Rogers
- Biological Sciences, University of Wisconsin - Parkside, 900 Wood Rd., Kenosha, Wisconsin 53141, USA,
| | - Fride Hoistad Schei
- Forestry and Forest Resources, Norwegian Institute of Bioeconomy Research, Fanaflaten 4, 5244 Fana, Norway,
| | - Wolfgang Schmidt
- Silviculture and Forest Ecology of the Temperate Zones, Faculty of Forestry and Forest Ecology, Georg-August-University Göttingen, Büsgenweg 1, 37077 Göttingen, Germany,
| | - Tibor Standovár
- Dept. Plant Systematics, Ecology and Theoretical Biology, Eötvös Loránd University, Pázmány sétány 1/C, H-1117 Budapest, Hungary,
| | - Krzystof Świerkosz
- Wrocław University, Museum of Natural History, Sienkiewicza 21, Wrocław 50-335, Poland,
| | - Karol Ujházy
- Department of Phytology, Technical University in Zvolen, T. G. Masaryka 24, SK-960 53 Zvolen, Slovakia,
| | - Hans Van Calster
- Biometry & Quality Assurance, Research Institute for Nature and Forest, Kliniekstraat 25, Brussels, 1070, Belgium,
| | - Mark Vellend
- Département de biologie, Université de Sherbrooke, 2500 boulevard de l'Université, Sherbrooke, Québec J1K 2R1, Canada,
| | - Ondřej Vild
- Department of Vegetation Ecology, Institute of Botany, The Czech Academy of Sciences, Lidická 25/27, Brno, 60200, Czech Republic, Department of Botany and Zoology, Faculty of Sciences, Masaryk University, Kotlářská 2, Brno CZ-60200, Czech Republic,
| | - Kerry Woods
- Natural Sciences, Bennington College, 1 College Drive, Bennington, VT 05201, USA,
| | - Monika Wulf
- Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF), Institute of Land Use Systems, Eberswalder Straße 84, Müncheberg, 15374, Germany,
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50
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Curtis JR, Robinson WD, McCune B. Time trumps habitat in the dynamics of an avian community. Ecosphere 2016. [DOI: 10.1002/ecs2.1575] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- J. R. Curtis
- Department of Fisheries and WildlifeOregon State University Corvallis Oregon 97331 USA
| | - W. D. Robinson
- Department of Fisheries and WildlifeOregon State University Corvallis Oregon 97331 USA
| | - B. McCune
- Department of Botany and Plant PathologyOregon State University Corvallis Oregon 97331 USA
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