Cohort profile: ESPRESSO (Epidemiology Strengthened by histoPathology Reports in Sweden)

Bidirectional association between inflammatory bowel disease and type 1 diabetes: a nationwide matched cohort and case-control study

Background

Co-occurrence of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and type 1 diabetes (T1D) has been linked to poor clinical outcomes, but evidence on their bidirectional associations remain scarce. This study aims to investigate their bidirectional associations.

Methods

A nationwide matched cohort and case-control study with IBD patients identified between 1987 and 2017. The cohort study included 20,314 IBD patients (≤28 years; Crohn's disease [CD, n = 7277], ulcerative colitis [UC, n = 10,112], and IBD-unclassified [IBD-U, n = 2925]) and 99,200 individually matched reference individuals, with a follow-up until December 2021. The case-control study enrolled 87,001 IBD patients (no age restriction) and 431,054 matched controls. We estimated adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) of incident T1D in the cohort study with flexible parametric survival model and adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of having a prior T1D in the case-control study with conditional logistic regression model, with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

Findings

During a median follow-up of 14 years, 116 IBD patients and 353 reference individuals developed T1D. Patients with IBD had a higher hazard of developing T1D (aHR = 1.58 [95% CI = 1.27-1.95]). The hazard was increased in UC (aHR = 2.02 [1.51-2.70]) but not in CD or IBD-U. In the case-control study, a total of 1018 (1.2%) IBD patients and 3496 (0.8%) controls had been previously diagnosed with T1D. IBD patients had higher odds of having prior T1D (aOR = 1.36 [1.26-1.46]). Such positive association was observed in all IBD subtypes. The sibling comparison analyses showed similar associations between IBD and T1D (aHR = 1.44 [0.97-2.15] and aOR = 1.32 [1.18-1.49]).

Interpretation

Patients with IBD had a moderately increased hazard of developing T1D and higher odds of having prior T1D. Their bidirectional associations may be partially independent of shared familial factors.

Funding

European Crohn's and Colitis Organisation, Stiftelsen Professor Nanna Svartz Fond, SSMF (project#: PG-23-0315-H-02), Ruth and Richard Julin Foundation; and FORTE (project#: 2016-00424).

Risk of Kidney Failure in Patients With Inflammatory Bowel Disease Undergoing Colectomy: A Nationwide Cohort Study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is frequently accompanied by kidney complications. Potential triggers or subpopulations at high-risk of kidney problems are not well-elucidated. We hypothesized that surgical interventions, specifically colectomy, might in part explain this risk.

METHODS

This study was a nationwide Swedish cohort study comprising 82,051 individuals with biopsy-proven IBD diagnosed during 1965 to 2017, with follow-up until 2019. We investigated the association between incident colectomy (time-varying exposure) and future risk of acute kidney injury (AKI) and kidney failure (diagnosis of end-stage kidney disease or death due to chronic kidney disease) using Cox proportional hazard models. We also examined the impact of partial vs total colectomy and the presence/duration of a stoma. Covariates included demographics, education level, and selected comorbidities.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up of 14 years, 16,479 individuals underwent colectomy, and 2556 AKI and 1146 kidney failure events occurred. Colectomy was associated with an increased relative risk of both AKI (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.37; 95% confidence interval, 2.17-2.58) and kidney failure (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.54; 95% confidence interval, 1.34-1.76). Compared with pre-colectomy periods, undergoing total colectomy and colectomy with prolonged stoma showed higher risks of both kidney outcomes versus partial colectomy or colectomy with a temporary stoma, respectively. Subgroup analyses suggested higher risks in patients with ulcerative colitis.

CONCLUSIONS

In people with IBD, rates of AKI and kidney failure are higher among those undergoing colectomy, particularly among those following total colectomy, or colectomy with a prolonged stoma. This study identifies a high-risk population that may benefit from established protocols for kidney function monitoring/surveillance and referral to nephrologist care.

Economic Burden of Eosinophilic Esophagitis: A Nationwide Cost-of-Illness Study

INTRODUCTION

Despite its increasing prevalence, the economic impact of eosinophilic esophagitis (EoE) is understudied.

METHODS

We estimated the societal economic burden of EoE by using real-world data from Swedish health registers.

RESULTS

Patients with EoE had 45% higher societal cost ($6,290 vs $4,349) compared with the general population, primarily driven by increased healthcare costs ($2,414 vs $1,022), which accounted for 72% of the excess societal cost in EoE.

DISCUSSION

EoE is associated with a considerable economic burden to society. With the prevalence of EoE still rising, the economic burden of EoE is expected to continue to grow.

Inflammatory eye disease is a risk factor for future microscopic colitis: A nationwide population-based matched case control study

BACKGROUND

Microscopic colitis (MC) is an inflammatory disorder of the colon. To date, the relationship between inflammatory eye diseases and MC is unclear.

OBJECTIVE

To assess whether inflammatory eye disease (iridocyclitis and episcleritis) is a risk factor for MC.

METHODS

We conducted a nationwide matched case control study in Sweden leveraging the ESPRESSO-study (a Swedish database containing data on all biopsies from the gastrointestinal tract from 1965 to 2017). In total, we identified 14,338 patients with biopsy-verified MC (diagnosed from 1981 to 2017). Patients with MC were matched (by age, sex, county and year of birth) with 68,753 controls from the general population and the occurrence of preceding inflammatory eye diseases (defined as diagnosis of episcleritis or iridocyclitis) in the two groups was compared. Multivariable adjusted odds ratios (aORs) were calculated using conditional logistic regression conditioned on the matching variables.

RESULTS

A majority of patients with MC were women (71.9%) and the median age at MC diagnosis was 63.3 years (interquartile range (IQR) = 50.7-72.6). Some 225 (1.6%) MC patients had an earlier record of inflammatory eye disease compared with 614 (0.9%) in controls. These figures corresponded to an aOR of 1.77 (95% CI = 1.52-2.07) for inflammatory eye diseases in patients with MC. Compared to siblings, the aOR for previous inflammatory eye diseases in MC was 1.52 (95% CI = 1.17-1.98) and patients treated with budesonide, as a proxy for clinically significant disease, had a somewhat higher aOR for previous inflammatory eye diseases.

CONCLUSION

Inflammatory eye diseases are more common in patients subsequently being diagnosed with MC. Our findings highlight that these conditions may have shared causes and inflammatory pathways and are of clinical interest to gastroenterologists, ophthalmologists and general practitioners.

Spondyloarthritis in First-Degree Relatives and Spouses of Patients with Inflammatory Bowel Disease: A Nationwide Population-based Cohort Study from Sweden

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Register-based research suggests a shared pathophysiology between inflammatory bowel disease [IBD] and spondyloarthritis [SpA], but the role of familial [genetic and environmental] factors in this shared susceptibility is largely unknown. We aimed to compare the risk of SpA in first-degree relatives [FDRs] and spouses of IBD patients with FDRs and spouses of matched, population-based, reference individuals.

METHODS

We identified 147 080 FDRs and 25 945 spouses of patients with incident IBD [N = 39 203] during 2006-2016, and 1 453 429 FDRs and 258 098 spouses of matched reference individuals [N = 390 490], by linking nationwide Swedish registers and gastrointestinal biopsy data. Study participants were followed 1987-2017. Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios [HRs] of SpA.

RESULTS

During follow-up, 2430 FDRs of IBD patients [6.5/10 000 person-years] and 17 761 FDRs of reference individuals [4.8/10 000 person-years] were diagnosed with SpA, corresponding to an HR of 1.35 [95% CI:1.29, 1.41]. In subgroup analyses, the increased risk of SpA was most pronounced in FDRs of Crohn's disease patients [HR = 1.44; 95% CI:1.34,1.5 6] and of IBD patients aged <18 years at diagnosis [HR = 1.46; 95% CI: 1.27, 1.68]. IBD patients' spouses also had a higher SpA rate than reference individuals' spouses, but the difference was less pronounced [4.3 vs 3.5/10 000 person-years; HR = 1.22; 95% CI:1.09, 1.37]. No subgroup-specific risk pattern was identified among spouses.

CONCLUSIONS

The observed shared familial risks between IBD and SpA support shared genetic factors in their pathogenesis. However, spouses of IBD patients were also at increased risk for SpA, reflecting the influence of environmental exposures or similarities in health-seeking patterns.

Diverticular disease and risk of incident major adverse cardiovascular events: A nationwide matched cohort study

BACKGROUND

An increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) has been reported in patients with diverticular disease (DD). However, there are knowledge gaps about specific risks of each major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) component.

METHODS

This nationwide cohort study included Swedish adults with DD (1987-2017, N=52,468) without previous CVD. DD was defined through ICD codes in the National Patient Register and colorectal histopathology reports from the ESPRESSO study. DD cases were matched by age, sex, calendar year and county of residence to ≤5 population reference individuals (N=194,525). Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) for MACE up until December 2021 were calculated using stratified Cox proportional hazard models.

RESULTS

Median age at DD diagnosis was 62 years and 61% were females. During a median follow-up of 8.6 years, 16,147 incident MACE occurred in individuals with DD, and 48,134 in reference individuals (incidence rates (IRs)=61.4 vs. 43.8/1,000 person-years) corresponding to an aHR of 1.24 (95%CI=1.22-1.27), equivalent to one extra case of MACE for every 6 DD patients followed for 10 years. The risk was increased for ischemic heart disease (IR=27.9 vs. 18.6; aHR=1.36, 95%CI=1.32-1.40), congestive heart failure (IR=23.2 vs. 15.8; aHR=1.26, 95%CI=1.22-1.31), and stroke (IR=18.0 vs. 13.7; aHR=1.15, 95%CI=1.11-1.19). DD was not associated with cardiovascular mortality (IR=18.9 vs. 15.3; aHR=1.01, 95%CI=0.98-1.05). Results remained robust in sibling-controlled analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with DD had a 24% increased risk of MACE compared with reference individuals, but no increased cardiovascular mortality. Future research should confirm these data and examine underlying mechanisms and shared risk factors between DD and CVD.

Coeliac disease and type 2 diabetes risk: a nationwide matched cohort and Mendelian randomisation study

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

While the association between coeliac disease and type 1 diabetes is well documented, the association of coeliac disease with type 2 diabetes risk remains undetermined. We conducted a nationwide cohort and Mendelian randomisation analysis to investigate this link.

METHODS

This nationwide matched cohort used data from the Swedish ESPRESSO cohort including 46,150 individuals with coeliac disease and 219,763 matched individuals in the comparator group selected from the general population, followed up from 1969 to 2021. Data from 9053 individuals with coeliac disease who underwent a second biopsy were used to examine the association between persistent villous atrophy and type 2 diabetes. Multivariable Cox regression was employed to estimate the associations. In Mendelian randomisation analysis, 37 independent genetic variants associated with clinically diagnosed coeliac disease at p<5×10-8 were used to proxy genetic liability to coeliac disease. Summary-level data for type 2 diabetes were obtained from the DIAGRAM consortium (80,154 cases) and the FinnGen study (42,593 cases).

RESULTS

Over a median 15.7 years' follow-up, there were 6132 (13.3%) and 30,138 (13.7%) incident cases of type 2 diabetes in people with coeliac disease and comparator individuals, respectively. Those with coeliac disease were not at increased risk of incident type 2 diabetes with an HR of 1.00 (95% CI 0.97, 1.03) compared with comparator individuals. Persistent villous atrophy was not associated with an increased risk of type 2 diabetes compared with mucosal healing among participants with coeliac disease (HR 1.02, 95% CI 0.90, 1.16). Genetic liability to coeliac disease was not associated with type 2 diabetes in DIAGRAM (OR 1.01, 95% CI 0.99, 1.03) or in FinnGen (OR 1.01, 95% CI 0.99-1.04).

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Coeliac disease was not associated with type 2 diabetes risk.

Association of celiac disease with eosinophilic esophagitis: Nationwide register-based cohort study with sibling analyses

Background

Celiac disease (CeD) is associated with several immune-mediated disorders, but it is unclear whether it is associated with eosinophilic esophagitis (EoE).

Objective

We sought to examine the risk of EoE in patients with biopsy-verified CeD compared with matched controls and siblings.

Methods

Using nationwide population-based histopathology data, we identified 27,338 patients with CeD diagnosed in the period 2002 to 2017 in Sweden. Patients with CeD were age- and sex-matched with up to 5 reference individuals (n = 134,987) from the general population. Cox Regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for developing biopsy-verified EoE. In a secondary analysis, we used unaffected siblings of patients with CeD as comparators to adjust for intrafamilial confounding.

Results

The median age at CeD diagnosis was 27 years, and 63.3% were female patients. During a median follow-up of 8.1 years, 17 patients with CeD and 13 matched reference individuals were diagnosed with EoE. This corresponded to incidence rates of 0.08 versus 0.01 per 1000 person-years, respectively, and an adjusted HR for EoE of 6.65 (95% CI, 3.26-13.81). Compared with their siblings without CeD, patients with CeD were however at a no increased risk of EoE (HR, 1.39; 95% CI, 0.55-3.51).

Conclusions

In this study, individuals with CeD were at a 6.6-fold increased risk of later EoE compared with the general population. This association might be explained by an altered health-seeking behavior or through shared genetic or early environmental factors because the excess risk disappeared in sibling analyses.

Risk of heart failure in inflammatory bowel disease: a Swedish population-based study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Dysregulation of inflammatory and immune responses has been implicated in the pathogenesis of heart failure (HF). But even if inflammation is a prerequisite for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), little is known about HF risk in IBD.

METHODS

In this Swedish nationwide cohort, patients with biopsy-confirmed IBD were identified between 1969 and 2017 [n = 81 749, Crohn's disease (CD, n = 24 303), ulcerative colitis (UC, n = 45 709), and IBD-unclassified (IBD-U, n = 11 737)]. Each patient was matched with up to five general population reference individuals (n = 382 190) and IBD-free full siblings (n = 95 239) and followed until 31 December 2019. Flexible parametric survival models estimated the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) and standardized cumulative incidence for HF, with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

There were 5582 incident HF identified in IBD patients (incidence rate [IR]: 50.3/10 000 person-years) and 20 343 in reference individuals (IR: 37.9) during a median follow-up of 12.4 years. IBD patients had a higher risk of HF than reference individuals (aHR 1.19, 95% CI 1.15-1.23). This increased risk remained significant ≥20 years after IBD diagnosis, leading to one extra HF case per 130 IBD patients until then. The increased risk was also observed across IBD subtypes: CD (IR: 46.9 vs. 34.4; aHR 1.28 [1.20-1.36]), UC (IR: 50.1 vs. 39.7; aHR 1.14 [1.09-1.19]), and IBD-U (IR: 60.9 vs. 39.0; aHR 1.28 [1.16-1.42]). Sibling-controlled analyses showed slightly attenuated association (IBD: aHR 1.10 [1.03-1.19]).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with IBD had a moderately higher risk of developing HF for ≥20 years after IBD diagnosis than the general population.

Psychiatric Disorders Among 5,800 Patients With Microscopic Colitis: A Nationwide Population-Based Matched Cohort Study

INTRODUCTION

Microscopic colitis (MC) is an inflammatory condition of the large intestine. Primarily diagnosed in middle-aged and older adults, the incidence of the disease has increased markedly during the past few decades. While MC is associated with a reduced quality of life, large-scale studies on the association with future psychiatric disorders are lacking.

METHODS

We conducted a nationwide matched cohort study in Sweden from 2006 to 2021. Through a nationwide histopathology database (the Epidemiology Strengthened by histoPathology Reports in Sweden study), we identified 5,816 patients with a colorectal biopsy consistent with MC. These patients were matched with 21,509 reference individuals from the general population all of whom with no previous record of psychiatric disorders.

RESULTS

From 2006 to 2021, 519 patients with MC (median age 64.4 years [interquartile range = 49.5-73.3]) and 1,313 reference individuals were diagnosed with psychiatric disorders (9.9 vs 6.5 events per 1,000 person-years), corresponding to 1 extra case of psychiatric disorder in 29 patients with MC over 10 years. After adjustments, the hazard ratio for psychiatric disorders was 1.57 (95% confidence interval = 1.42-1.74). We found significantly elevated estimates up to 10 years after MC diagnosis and a trend toward higher risk with increasing age. Specifically, we observed increased risks for unipolar depression, anxiety disorders, stress-related disorders, substance abuse, and suicide attempts. In sibling-controlled analysis, the adjusted hazard ratio was 1.76 (95% confidence interval = 1.44-2.15).

DISCUSSION

Patients with MC are at increased risk of incident psychiatric disorders compared with the general population.

Eosinophilic esophagitis and risk of incident major adverse cardiovascular events: a nationwide matched cohort study

BACKGROUND

Inflammatory diseases have been associated with an increased cardiovascular risk. However, data on incident major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) from large population-based cohorts of patients with eosinophilic esophagitis (EoE) is lacking.

METHODS

This study included all Swedish adults with EoE without a record of previous cardiovascular disease (CVD) (1990-2017, N = 1546) with follow-up until 2019. Individuals with EoE were identified from prospectively recorded histopathology reports from all Swedish pathology departments (n = 28). EoE patients were matched at index date for age, sex, calendar year and county with up to five general population reference individuals (N = 7281) without EoE or CVD. Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) for MACE (ischemic heart disease, congestive heart failure, stroke and cardiovascular mortality) were calculated using Cox proportional hazards models. Full sibling comparisons and adjustment for cardiovascular medication were performed.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 6.0 years, we observed 65 incident MACE in patients with EoE (6.4/1000 person-years (PY)) and 225 in reference individuals (4.7/1000 PY). EoE was not associated with a higher risk of MACE (aHR = 1.14, 95% CI = 0.86-1.51) or any of its components. No differences between age, sex and follow-up time were observed. The results remained stable in sensitivity analyses, including when adjusting for relevant cardiovascular medications and a full sibling comparison.

CONCLUSIONS

In this large population-based cohort study, patients with EoE had no increased risk of MACE compared to reference individuals and full siblings. The results are reassuring for patients with EoE.

Association Between Celiac Disease and Irritable Bowel Syndrome: A Nationwide Cohort Study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The aim of this study was to determine the risk of irritable bowel syndrome (IBS) diagnosis in patients with celiac disease (CD) compared with general population comparators.

METHODS

Using Swedish histopathology and register-based data, we identified 27,262 patients with CD diagnosed in 2002-2017 and 132,922 age- and sex-matched general population comparators. Diagnoses of IBS were obtained from nationwide inpatient and non-primary outpatient records. Cox regression estimated hazard ratios (aHRs) for IBS adjusted for education level and Charlson Comorbidity Index. To reduce potential surveillance bias our analyses considered incident IBS diagnosis ≥1 year after CD diagnosis. Using conditional logistic regression, secondary analyses were calculated to estimate odds ratios (ORs) for IBS diagnosis ≥1 year before CD diagnosis.

RESULTS

During an average of 11.1 years of follow-up, 732 celiac patients (2.7%) were diagnosed with IBS vs 1131 matched general population comparators (0.9%). Overall (≥1-year of follow-up), the aHR for IBS was 3.11 (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.83-3.42), with aHR of 2.00 (95% CI, 1.63-2.45) after ≥10 years of follow-up. Compared with siblings (n = 32,010), celiac patients (n = 19,211) had ≥2-fold risk of later IBS (aHR, 2.42; 95% CI, 2.08-2.82). Compared with celiac patients with mucosal healing, those with persistent villus atrophy on follow-up biopsy were less likely to be diagnosed with IBS (aHR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.46-0.95). CD was also associated with having an earlier IBS diagnosis (OR, 3.62; 95% CI, 3.03-4.34).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with CD, the risk of IBS is increased long before and after diagnosis. Clinicians should be aware of these long-term associations and their implications on patient management.

Predominantly antibody deficiency and the association with celiac disease in Sweden: A nationwide case-control study

BACKGROUND

Predominantly antibody deficiency (PAD) is associated with noninfectious inflammatory gastrointestinal disease. Population estimates of celiac disease (CeD) risk in those with PAD are limited.

OBJECTIVE

To estimate population risk of PAD in individuals with CeD.

METHODS

We conducted a nationwide case-control study in Swedish individuals who received a diagnosis of CeD between 1997 and 2017 (n = 34,980), matched to population comparators by age, sex, calendar year, and county. The CeD was confirmed through the Epidemiology Strengthened by histopathology Reports in Sweden study, which provided information on biopsy specimens from each of Sweden's pathology departments. PAD was identified using International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision coding and categorized according to the International Union of Immunologic Societies. Logistic regression was used to calculate adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and 95% CIs.

RESULTS

PAD was more prevalent in CeD than in population controls (n = 105 [0.3%] vs n = 57 [0.033%], respectively). This translated to an aOR of 8.23 (95% CI 5.95-11.48). The association was strongest with common variable immunodeficiency (aOR 17.25; 95% CI 6.86-52.40), and slightly lower in other PAD (aOR 8.39; 95% CI 5.79-12.32). The risk of CeD remained increased at least 5 years after diagnosis of PAD (aOR 4.79; 95% CI 2.89-7.97, P-heterogeneity ≤ 0.001).

CONCLUSION

PAD was associated with an increased risk of CeD. A particularly strong association was seen in those with CVID, although this should be interpreted cautiously given the limited understanding of the mechanisms of histopathologic changes in these patients.

Celiac Disease-Related Conditions: Who to Test?

Celiac disease (CeD) is a chronic immune-mediated condition triggered by gluten consumption in genetically predisposed individuals. Approximately 1% of the general population is affected by the disorder. Disease presentation is heterogeneous and, despite growing awareness among physicians and the public, it continues to be underestimated. The most effective strategy for identifying undiagnosed CeD is proactive case finding through serologic testing in high-risk groups. We reviewed the most recent evidence on the association between CeD and more than 20 conditions. In light of this review, CeD screening is recommended in individuals with (1) autoimmune disease and accompanying symptoms suggestive of CeD; (2) diseases that may mimic CeD (eg, irritable bowel syndrome [IBS], inflammatory bowel disease [IBD], and microscopic colitis); and (3) among patients with conditions with a high CeD prevalence: first-degree relatives, idiopathic pancreatitis, unexplained liver enzyme abnormalities, autoimmune hepatitis, primary biliary cholangitis, hyposplenism or functional asplenia with severe bacterial infection, type 1 diabetes mellitus, Hashimoto's thyroiditis and Graves' disease, Sjögren's syndrome, dermatitis herpetiformis, recurrent aphthous syndrome and enamel defects, unexplained ataxia, peripheral neuropathy, delayed menarche or premature menopause, Down syndrome, Turner syndrome, Williams syndrome, chronic fatigue syndrome, IgA nephropathy, and IgA deficiency. CeD serology should be the initial step in the screening process. However, for patients with any of the aforementioned disorders who are undergoing upper endoscopy, biopsies should be performed to rule out CeD.

Histologic Remission in Inflammatory Bowel Disease and Female Fertility: A Nationwide Study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is linked to reduced female fertility, but it is unclear how fertility rates vary by histologic disease activity.

METHODS

Nationwide IBD cohort of Swedish women aged 15 to 44 years. We examined fertility rates during periods with vs without histologic inflammation (n = 21,046; follow-up, 1990-2016) and during periods with vs without clinical activity (IBD-related hospitalization, surgery, or treatment escalation) (n = 24,995; follow-up, 2006-2020). Accounting for sociodemographics and comorbidities, we used Poisson regression to estimate adjusted fertility rate ratios (aFRRs) for live births conceived during 12-month periods of histologic inflammation (vs histologic remission) and 3-month periods of clinically active IBD (vs quiescent IBD).

RESULTS

During periods with vs without histologic inflammation, there were 6.35 (95% confidence interval [CI], 5.98-6.73) and 7.09 (95% CI, 6.48-7.70) live births conceived per 100 person-years of follow-up, respectively, or 1 fewer child per 14 women with 10 years of histologic inflammation (aFRR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.81-1.00). In women with histologic inflammation, fertility was similarly reduced in ulcerative colitis (UC) (aFRR, 0.89 [95% CI, 0.78-1.02]) and Crohn's disease (CD) (aFRR, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.72-1.04]). Clinical IBD activity was associated with an aFRR of 0.76 (95% CI, 0.72-0.79) or 1 fewer child per 6 women with 10 years of clinical activity. Fertility was reduced in clinically active UC (aFRR, 0.75 [95% CI, 0.70-0.81]) and CD (aFRR, 0.76 [95% CI, 0.70-0.82]). Finally, among women with clinically quiescent IBD, histologic inflammation (vs histologic remission) was associated with reduced fertility (aFRR, 0.85 [95% CI, 0.73-0.98]).

CONCLUSIONS

An association between histologic and clinical activity and reduced female fertility in CD and UC was found. Notably, histologic inflammation was also linked to reduced fertility in women with clinically quiescent IBD.

Gastrointestinal cancer precursor risk and mortality in pancreatic intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms: a nationwide cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) of the pancreas is a precursor of pancreatic cancer. While earlier research has shown a high prevalence of synchronous/metachronous extrapancreatic tumors in IPMN patients, these studies have often been small with retrospective data collection. The aim of the study was to examine absolute and relative risks of non-pancreatic gastrointestinal (GI) cancer precursors and mortality in histologically confirmed IPMN.

METHODS

Through the nationwide ESPRESSO histopathology cohort, we retrieved data on IPMN between 1965 and 2016. Each index case was matched to ≤5 general population controls. Through Cox regression, we estimated hazard ratios (HRs) for future GI cancer precursors and death.

RESULTS

A total of 117 patients with IPMN and 539 age- and sex-matched controls were included. Over a median of 2.1 years of follow up, we confirmed two (1.7%) incident GI cancer precursors in IPMN vs. four (0.7%) in controls, corresponding to an HR of 1.89 (95%CI = 0.34-10.55). By contrast, IPMN patients were at increased risk of death (HR 3.61 (95%CI = 1.79-7.27)). The most common cause of death in IPMN was pancreatic cancer (n = 14; 45.2% of all deaths).

CONCLUSIONS

We found no association between IPMN and other GI cancer precursors. This argues against comprehensive routine surveillance for other GI cancer precursors in IPMN patients. Mortality was increased in IPMN with pancreatic cancer being the most common cause of death, indicating the need for lifelong follow up in all resected and non-resected patients with IPMN. However, results should be confirmed in larger cohorts.

Histologic Activity in Inflammatory Bowel Disease and Risk of Serious Infections: A Nationwide Study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Individuals with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) are at increased risk of serious infections, but whether this risk varies by histologic disease activity is unclear.

METHODS

This was a national population-based study of 55,626 individuals diagnosed with IBD in 1990 to 2016 with longitudinal data on ileocolorectal biopsy specimens followed up through 2016. Serious infections were defined as having an inpatient infectious disease diagnosis in the Swedish National Patient Register. We used Cox regression to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for serious infections in the 12 months after documentation of histologic inflammation (vs histologic remission), adjusting for social and demographic factors, chronic comorbidities, prior IBD-related surgery, and hospitalization. We also adjusted for IBD-related medications in sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

With histologic inflammation vs remission, there was 4.62 (95% CI, 4.46-4.78) and 2.53 (95% CI, 2.36-2.70) serious infections per 100 person-years of follow-up, respectively (adjusted HR [aHR], 1.59; 95% CI, 1.48-1.72). Histologic inflammation (vs remission) was associated with an increased risk of serious infections in ulcerative colitis (aHR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.51-1.87) and Crohn's disease (aHR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.40-1.80). The aHRs of sepsis and opportunistic infections were 1.66 (95% CI, 1.28-2.15) and 1.71 (95% CI, 1.22-2.41), respectively. Overall, results were consistent across age groups, sex, and education level, and remained largely unchanged after adjustment for IBD-related medications (aHR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.34-1.61).

CONCLUSIONS

Histologic inflammation of IBD was an independent risk factor of serious infections, including sepsis, suggesting that achieving histologic remission may reduce infections in IBD. The study was approved by the Stockholm Ethics Review Board (approval numbers 2014/1287-31/4, 2018/972-32, and 2021-06209-01).

Statins Are Associated With a Decreased Risk of Severe Liver Disease in Individuals With Noncirrhotic Chronic Liver Disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Little is known about the potential impact of statins on the progression of noncirrhotic chronic liver diseases (CLDs) to severe liver disease.

METHODS

Using liver histopathology data in a nationwide Swedish cohort, we identified 3862 noncirrhotic individuals with CLD and statin exposure, defined as a statin prescription filled for 30 or more cumulative defined daily doses. Statin users were matched to 3862 (statin) nonusers with CLD through direct 1:1 matching followed by propensity score matching. Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for the primary outcome of incident severe liver disease (a composite of cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and liver transplantation/liver-related mortality).

RESULTS

A total of 45.3% of CLD patients had nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, 21.9% had alcohol-related liver disease, 17.7% had viral hepatitis, and 15.1% had autoimmune hepatitis. During follow-up evaluation, 234 (6.1%) statin users vs 276 (7.1%) nonusers developed severe liver disease. Statin use was associated with a decreased risk of developing severe liver disease (HR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.48-0.74). Statistically significantly lower rates of severe liver disease were seen in alcohol-related liver disease (HR, 0.30; 95% CI, 0.19-0.49) and in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (HR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.45-1.00), but not in viral hepatitis (HR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.51-1.14) or autoimmune hepatitis (HR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.48-1.58). Statin use had a protective association in both prefibrosis and fibrosis stages at diagnosis. Statin use was associated with lower rates of progression to cirrhosis (HR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.49-0.78), hepatocellular carcinoma (HR, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.27-0.71), and liver-related mortality (HR, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.36-0.82).

CONCLUSIONS

Among individuals with noncirrhotic CLD, incident statin use was linked to lower rates of severe liver disease, suggesting a potential disease-modifying role.

Microscopic Colitis and Risk of Incident Psoriasis: A Nationwide Population-Based Matched Cohort Study

Background

Microscopic colitis (MC) has been associated with several immune-mediated diseases including psoriasis, but earlier research has been limited to psoriasis occurring before MC. Data from large-scale cohort studies investigating MC and risk of future psoriasis are lacking.

Objective

To examine the association between MC and psoriasis.

Methods

In a nationwide, population-based, matched cohort study in Sweden from 2007 to 2021, we identified 8404 patients with biopsy-verified MC (diagnosed in 2007-2017), 37,033 matched reference individuals, and 8381 siblings without MC. Information on MC was obtained through the ESPRESSO cohort (a Swedish histopathology database with nationwide coverage). Using Cox regression, we calculated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for psoriasis up until 2021.

Results

During a median follow-up of 9.2 years (interquartile range = 6.7-11.7), 179 MC patients and 440 reference individuals were diagnosed with psoriasis (241.1 vs 131.8 events per 100,000 person-years), corresponding to one extra case of psoriasis in 91 patients with MC over 10 years. After adjustment for the matching variables (birth year, sex, county of residence, and calendar period) and level of education, we computed an adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) of 1.82 (95% CI = 1.53-2.17). Stratified by sex, estimates were similar and when examining the aHR across different lengths of follow-up, we found significantly elevated estimates up to 10 years after MC diagnosis. Compared to MC-free siblings, the aHR was 1.85 (95% CI = 1.36-2.51).

Conclusion

Patients with MC are at an almost doubled risk of psoriasis compared to the general population. Clinicians need to consider psoriasis in MC patients with skin lesions.

Older age of celiac disease diagnosis and risk of autoimmune disease: A nationwide matched case-control study

OBJECTIVES

Celiac disease (CeD) has been linked to an increased risk of other autoimmune diseases, yet the impact of delayed CeD diagnosis on risk of developing additional autoimmune diseases remains uncertain. We investigated this through a nationwide matched case-control study.

METHODS

Using the ESPRESSO cohort with histophatology data from Sweden's 28 pathology departments, we assessed 46,575 biopsy-confirmed CeD cases from 1964 to 2017. We extracted 225,295 matched controls without histopathology information from the Swedish Total Population Register. Autoimmune disease was defined through diagnostic codes in the National Patient Register. Through conditional logistic regression we estimated odds ratio (OR) of autoimmune disease up until CeD diagnosis/matching date comparing CeD cases to controls across different age strata.

RESULTS

A total of 3059 (6.6 %) CeD patients and 4076 (1.8 %) controls had earlier autoimmune disease. The overall OR for autoimmune disease in CeD was 3.50 (95%CI 3.32-3.70). The risk of autoimmune disease did not escalate with increasing age at CeD diagnosis. Compared with controls, the OR of autoimmune disease in CeD patients was 7.70 (95%CI 4.71-12.57) in those diagnosed with CeD in 0-4 years, 19.02 (95%CI 13.80-26.23) in 5-9 years, 6.18 (95%CI 5.14-7.44) in 10-14 years, 4.80 (95%CI 3.97-5.79) in 15-19 years, 4.24 (95%CI 3.55-5.07) in 20-29 years, 4.65 (95%CI 3.93-5.51) in 30-39 years, 3.67 (95%CI 3.30-4.09) in 40-59 years, and 1.67 (95%CI 1.50-1.85) in ≥60 years.

CONCLUSIONS

This study revealed an increased risk of autoimmune disease among CeD patients compared with controls. However, older age at CeD diagnosis did not seem to escalate the risk of autoimmune diseases.

Atherosclerosis as a Risk Factor of Inflammatory Bowel Disease: A Population-Based Case-Control Study

INTRODUCTION

Data suggest atherosclerotic-related inflammation may play a role in the pathogenesis of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), but large-scale studies are missing.

METHODS

In this nationwide case-control study, we used the Swedish Patient Register and the Epidemiology Strengthened by histoPathology Reports in Sweden cohort to identify adult cases of incident IBD between 2002 and 2021, with each case matched to up to 10 general population controls. We used conditional logistic regression to calculate odds ratios (OR) for exposure to an atherosclerotic-related condition (myocardial infarction, thromboembolic stroke, or atherosclerosis itself) before being diagnosed with IBD.

RESULTS

There were a total of 56,212 individuals with IBD and 531,014 controls. Of them, 2,334 (4.2%) cases and 18,222 (3.4%) controls had a prior diagnosis of an atherosclerotic-related condition, corresponding to an OR of 1.30 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.24-1.37). Results were statistically significant for both Crohn's disease (OR 1.37, 95% CI 1.26-1.48) and ulcerative colitis (OR 1.27, 95% CI 1.20-1.35) and for individuals who developed IBD at 40-59 years of age and 60 years or older. In addition, associations persisted when adjusting for underlying comorbidities, including the presence of immune-mediated diseases and prior aspirin and/or statin use. The highest odds of an atherosclerotic-related condition were seen in the 6-12 months before IBD diagnosis, though odds were increased even ≥5 years before. A higher magnitude of odds was also observed when having 2 or more atherosclerotic-related conditions when compared with having only 1 condition.

DISCUSSION

A history of an atherosclerotic-related condition is associated with increased odds of developing IBD, particularly among older adults. Future studies should investigate whether drugs targeting atherosclerotic-related inflammation may prevent IBD in higher-risk individuals.

Incident cardiac arrhythmias associated with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: a nationwide histology cohort study

BACKGROUND

Prior studies suggest a link between metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and incident arrhythmias, including atrial fibrillation (AF). However, robust data are lacking from cohorts with liver histology, which remains the gold standard for staging MASLD severity.

METHODS

This population-based cohort included all Swedish adults with histologically-confirmed MASLD and without prior cardiac arrhythmias (1966-2016; n = 11,206). MASLD was defined from prospectively-recorded histopathology, and characterized as simple steatosis, non-fibrotic steatohepatitis (MASH), non-cirrhotic fibrosis, or cirrhosis. MASLD patients were matched to ≤ 5 controls without MASLD or arrhythmias, by age, sex, calendar year and county (n = 51,856). Using Cox proportional hazards modeling, we calculated multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) for incident arrhythmias (including AF, bradyarrhythmias, other supraventricular arrhythmias, ventricular arrhythmias/cardiac arrest).

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up of 10.8 years, incident arrhythmias were confirmed in 1351 MASLD patients (10.3/1000 person-years [PY]) and 6493 controls (8.7/1000PY; difference = 1.7/1000PY; aHR = 1.30, 95%CI 1.22-1.38), and MASLD patients had significantly higher rates of incident AF (difference = 0.9/1000PY; aHR = 1.26, 95%CI 1.18-1.35). Rates of both overall arrhythmias and AF were significantly elevated across all MASLD histological groups, particularly cirrhosis (differences, 8.5/1000PY and 5.3/1000PY, respectively). In secondary analyses, MASLD patients also had significantly higher rates of incident ventricular arrhythmias/cardiac arrest (aHR = 1.53, 95%CI 1.30-1.80), bradyarrhythmias (aHR = 1.26, 95%CI 1.06-1.48), and other supraventricular arrhythmias (aHR = 1.27, 95%CI 1.00-1.62), compared to controls.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared to matched controls, patients with biopsy-confirmed MASLD had modest but significantly higher incidence of cardiac arrhythmias, including AF, bradyarrhythmias, other supraventricular arrhythmias and ventricular arrhythmias/cardiac arrest. Excess risk was observed across all stages of MASLD and was highest with cirrhosis.

Risk of Severe Infection in Patients With Biopsy-proven Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease - A Population-based Cohort Study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

It has been suggested that patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) might be at increased risk of severe infections, but large-scale data from cohorts with biopsy-proven NAFLD are lacking.

METHODS

Population-based cohort study including all Swedish adults with histologically confirmed NAFLD (n = 12,133) from 1969 to 2017. NAFLD was defined as simple steatosis (n = 8232), nonfibrotic steatohepatitis (n = 1378), noncirrhotic fibrosis (n = 1845), and cirrhosis (n = 678). Patients were matched to ≤5 population comparators (n = 57,516) by age, sex, calendar year, and county. Swedish national registers were used to ascertain incident severe infections requiring hospital admission. Multivariable adjusted Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios in NAFLD and histopathological subgroups.

RESULTS

Over a median of 14.1 years, 4517 (37.2%) patients with NAFLD vs 15,075 (26.2%) comparators were hospitalized for severe infections. Patients with NAFLD had higher incidence of severe infections than comparators (32.3 vs. 17.0/1000 person-years; adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.71; 95% confidence interval, 1.63-1.79). The most frequent infections were respiratory (13.8/1000 person-years) and urinary tract infections (11.4/1000 person-years). The absolute risk difference at 20 years after NAFLD diagnosis was 17.3%, equal to one extra severe infection in every 6 patients with NAFLD. Risk of infection increased with worsening histological severity of NAFLD (simple steatosis [aHR, 1.64], nonfibrotic steatohepatitis [aHR, 1.84], noncirrhotic fibrosis [aHR, 1.77], and cirrhosis [aHR, 2.32]. Also compared with their full siblings, patients with NAFLD were at increased risk of severe infections (aHR, 1.54; 95% confidence interval, 1.40-1.70).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD were at significantly higher risk of incident severe infection requiring hospitalization both compared with the general population and compared with siblings. Excess risk was evident across all stages of NAFLD and increased with worsening disease severity.

Progression of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and long-term outcomes: A nationwide paired liver biopsy cohort study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

More data are needed regarding the long-term impact of the histological progression of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) on long-term outcomes, including end-stage liver disease (ESLD) and mortality.

METHODS

We included Swedish adults with biopsy-confirmed non-cirrhotic NAFLD and ≥2 liver biopsies >6 months apart (1969-2017; n = 718). NAFLD was categorized at initial biopsy as simple steatosis, non-fibrotic steatohepatitis (NASH), or non-cirrhotic fibrosis. NAFLD progression was defined by histological changes between biopsies (i.e. incident NASH, incident fibrosis, fibrosis progression, cirrhosis). Using Cox regression, we estimated multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% CIs for incident ESLD (i.e. hospitalization for decompensated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma or liver transplantation) and mortality, according to NAFLD progression vs. stable/regressed disease.

RESULTS

At initial biopsy, 497 patients (69.2%) had simple steatosis, 90 (12.5%) had non-fibrotic NASH, and 131 (18.2%) had non-cirrhotic fibrosis. Over a median of 3.4 years between biopsies, 30.4% (218/718) experienced NAFLD progression, including 12.5% (62/497) with incident non-fibrotic NASH, 24.0% (141/587) with incident fibrosis, and 5.6% (40/718) with cirrhosis. Compared to stable/regressed disease, NAFLD progression was associated with significantly higher rates of developing incident ESLD (23.8 vs. 11.4/1,000 person-years [PY]; difference = 12.4/1,000 PY; aHR 1.65, 95% CI 1.17-2.32). While the highest ESLD incidence occurred with progression to cirrhosis (difference vs. stable/regressed disease = 56.3/1,000 PY), significant excess risk was also found with earlier transitions, including from simple steatosis to incident fibrosis (difference vs. stable/regressed disease = 18.9/1,000 PY). In contrast, all-cause mortality rates did not appear to differ when NAFLD progression was compared to stable/regressed disease (difference = 4.7/1,000 PY; aHR 0.99, 95% CI 0.78-1.24).

CONCLUSIONS

In a nationwide, real-world cohort of patients with paired NAFLD biopsies, histological disease progression contributed to significantly higher rates of developing incident ESLD, but did not appear to impact all-cause mortality.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

Currently, data are scarce regarding the long-term impact of histological progression or regression of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) on subsequent risk of adverse clinical outcomes, including the development of end-stage liver disease and mortality. This is particularly important because randomized-controlled trials of NAFLD therapeutics currently focus on short-term histological endpoints as presumed surrogates for those major clinical outcomes. Thus, the results from this study can help inform the optimal design of future NAFLD therapeutic trials, while also providing the necessary evidence base for public health policies focused on preventing the development and progression of NAFLD.

Antibiotic use as a risk factor for irritable bowel syndrome: Results from a nationwide, case-control study

BACKGROUND

The microbiome plays an important role in the pathophysiology of irritable bowel syndrome (IBS). Antibiotic use can fundamentally alter gut microbial ecology. We examined the association of antibiotic use with IBS in a large population-based investigation.

METHODS

A case-control study with prospectively collected data on 29,111 adult patients diagnosed with IBS in Sweden between 2007 and 2016 matched with 135,172 controls. Using a comprehensive histopathology cohort, the Swedish Patient Register, and the Prescribed Drug Register, we identified all consecutive cases of IBS in addition to cumulative antibiotic dispensations accrued until 1 year prior to IBS (exclusionary period) for cases and time of matching for up to five general population controls matched on the basis of age, sex, country and calendar year. Conditional logistic regression estimated multivariable-adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the risk of IBS.

RESULTS

Patients with IBS (n = 29,111) were more likely than controls (n = 135,172) to have used antibiotics up to 1 year prior to diagnosis (74.9% vs. 57.8%). After multivariable adjustment, this translated to a more than twofold increased odds of IBS (OR 2.21, 95% CI 2.14-2.28) that did not differ according to age, sex, year of IBS diagnosis or IBS subtype. Compared to none, 1-2 (OR 1.67, 95% CI 1.61-1.73) and ≥3 antibiotics dispensations (OR 3.36, 95% CI 3.24-3.49) were associated with increased odds of IBS (p for trend <0.001) regardless of the antibiotic class.

CONCLUSIONS

Prior antibiotics use was associated with an increased odds of IBS with the highest risk among people with multiple antibiotics dispensations.

Familial coaggregation of MASLD with hepatocellular carcinoma and adverse liver outcomes: Nationwide multigenerational cohort study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD; formerly NAFLD) is the fastest growing cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) worldwide. However, whether family members of individuals with MASLD also share an increased risk of developing HCC is unknown.

METHODS

This nationwide multigenerational cohort study involved family members of all Swedish adults diagnosed with biopsy-proven MASLD (1969-2017), and matched general population comparators. Using the Swedish Multi-generation Register, we identified 38,018 first-degree relatives (FDRs: parents, siblings, offspring) and 9,381 spouses of patients with MASLD, as well as 197,303 comparator FDRs and 47,572 comparator spouses. We used Cox proportional hazards models to calculate adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) for HCC, major adverse liver outcomes (cirrhosis, decompensated liver disease or liver transplantation), liver-related mortality, extrahepatic cancer, and non-liver-related mortality.

RESULTS

Over a median of 17.6 years, the rate of the primary outcome HCC was higher in MASLD FDRs vs. comparator FDRs (13 vs. 8/100,000 person-years [PY]; aHR 1.80, 95% CI 1.36-2.37). The HCC risk was further increased in FDRs of individuals with liver fibrosis/cirrhosis (aHR 2.14, 95% CI 1.07-4.27; PHeterogeneity = 0.03). MASLD FDRs also had higher rates of major adverse liver outcomes (73 vs. 51/100,000 PY; aHR 1.52, 95% CI 1.36-1.69) and liver-related mortality (20 vs. 11/100,000 PY; aHR 2.14, 95% CI 1.67-2.74). MASLD FDRs with any concomitant chronic liver condition experienced accelerated progression of liver disease (aHR 1.47, 95% CI 1.29-1.67). MASLD spouses were at higher risks of major adverse liver outcomes (86 vs. 74/100,000 PY; aHR 1.23, 95% CI 1.01-1.51) and liver-related mortality (25 vs. 19/100,000 PY; aHR 1.93, 95% CI 1.15-3.23), but not of HCC (aHR 1.43, 95% CI 0.87-2.35).

CONCLUSIONS

There is distinct familial clustering of adverse liver-related outcomes in families of individuals with biopsy-proven MASLD, with higher relative risks of HCC, progressive liver disease, and liver-related mortality, but absolute risks are low.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD; formerly termed NAFLD) clusters in families with high genetic susceptibility and shared environmental risk factors, but the risks of developing hepatocellular carcinoma and other major liver-related outcomes in family members of individuals with MASLD are largely unknown. This large nationwide multigenerational cohort study involving family members (first-degree relatives and spouses) of individuals with biopsy-proven MASLD and of matched general population comparators found slightly increased risks of hepatocellular carcinoma in first-degree relatives, and of developing cirrhosis and liver-related mortality in all family members of individuals with biopsy-proven MASLD. The findings of this study provide large-scale evidence to inform clinical practice guidelines for recommendations on the early identification of individuals at higher risk of liver-related morbidity and mortality.

Patients With Microscopic Colitis Are at Higher Risk of Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events: A Matched Cohort Study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Inflammatory diseases are associated with an increased risk of incident major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). However, data on MACE are lacking in large population-based histopathology cohorts of microscopic colitis (MC).

METHODS

This study included all Swedish adults with MC without previous cardiovascular disease (1990-2017; N = 11,018). MC and subtypes (collagenous colitis and lymphocytic colitis) were defined from prospectively recorded intestinal histopathology reports from all pathology departments (n = 28) in Sweden. MC patients were matched for age, sex, calendar year, and county with up to 5 reference individuals (N = 48,371) without MC or cardiovascular disease. Sensitivity analyses included full sibling comparisons, and adjustment for cardiovascular medication and healthcare utilization. Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios for MACE (any of ischemic heart disease, congestive heart failure, stroke, and cardiovascular mortality) were calculated using Cox proportional hazards modelling.

RESULTS

Over a median of 6.6 years of follow-up, 2181 (19.8%) incident cases of MACE were confirmed in MC patients and 6661 (13.8%) in reference individuals. MC patients had a higher overall risk of MACE outcomes compared with reference individuals (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.27; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.21-1.33) and higher risk of its components: ischemic heart disease (aHR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.28-1.48), congestive heart failure (aHR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.22-1.43), and stroke (aHR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.02-1.23) but not cardiovascular mortality (aHR, 1.07; 95% CI, 0.98-1.18). The results remained robust in the sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with reference individuals, MC patients had a 27% higher risk of incident MACE, equal to 1 extra case of MACE for every 13 MC patients followed for 10 years.

Microscopic colitis and risk of incident rheumatoid arthritis: A nationwide population-based matched cohort study

BACKGROUND

Microscopic colitis (MC) has been linked to several autoimmune conditions. Results from previous studies on the association with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) have been inconsistent.

AIM

To assess the risk of future RA in MC.

METHODS

We conducted a nationwide matched cohort study in Sweden of 8179 patients with biopsy-verified MC (diagnosed in 2007-2017), 36,400 matched reference individuals and 8202 siblings without MC, with follow-up until 2021. Information on MC was obtained from all of Sweden's regional pathology registers (n = 28) through the ESPRESSO cohort. Data on incident RA were collected from the National Patient Register. Using Cox regression, we calculated adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 9.1 years (interquartile range = 6.7-11.7), 73 MC patients and 183 reference individuals from the general population were diagnosed with RA (99 vs. 55 events per 100,000 person-years), equivalent to one extra case of RA in 226 patients with MC followed for 10 years. These rates corresponded to an aHR of 1.83 (95% CI = 1.39-2.41). The aHR was highest during the first year of follow-up (2.31 [95% CI = 1.08-4.97]) and remained significantly elevated up to 5 years after MC diagnosis (aHR 2.16; 95% CI = 1.42-3.30). Compared to siblings, without MC, the aHR was 2.04 (95% CI = 1.18-3.56).

CONCLUSION

Patients with MC are at a nearly two-fold risk of developing RA compared to the general population. Knowledge of this increased risk may expedite evaluation for RA in patients with MC presenting with joint symptoms and/or arthralgia, thus preventing delay until RA diagnosis.

Gastrointestinal biopsy of normal mucosa or nonspecific inflammation and risk of neurodegenerative disease: Nationwide matched cohort study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Evidence has accumulated to support the early involvement of altered gastrointestinal (GI) function in neurodegenerative disease. However, risk of Alzheimer disease (AD) and Parkinson disease (PD) among individuals with a GI biopsy of normal mucosa or nonspecific inflammation is unknown.

METHODS

This matched cohort study included all individuals in Sweden with a GI biopsy of normal mucosa (n = 480,346) or nonspecific inflammation (n = 655,937) during 1965-2016 (exposed group) as well as their individually matched population references and unexposed full siblings. A flexible parametric model and stratified Cox model were used to estimate hazard ratio (HR) and its 95% confidence interval (CI).

RESULTS

Individuals with normal mucosa or nonspecific inflammation had a higher risk of AD and PD during the 20 years after biopsy. Compared with the population references, individuals with normal mucosa had an increased risk of AD (incidence rate [IR] difference = 13.53 per 100,000 person-years, HR [95% CI] = 1.15 [1.11-1.20]) and PD (IR difference = 6.72, HR [95% CI] = 1.16 [1.10-1.23]). Elevated risk was also observed for nonspecific inflammation regarding AD (IR difference = 13.28, HR [95% CI] = 1.11 [1.08-1.14]) and PD (IR difference = 6.83, HR [95% CI] = 1.10 [1.06-1.14]). Similar results were observed in subgroup and sensitivity analyses and when comparing with their unexposed siblings.

CONCLUSIONS

Individuals with a GI biopsy of normal mucosa or nonspecific inflammation had an increased risk of AD and PD. This adds new evidence of the early involvement of GI dysfunction in neurodegenerative disease.

Microscopic Colitis and Risk of Incident Acute Pancreatitis: A Nationwide Population-Based Matched Cohort Study

INTRODUCTION

Several gastrointestinal diseases have been linked to acute pancreatitis, but the risk of acute pancreatitis in microscopic colitis (MC) has not been studied.

METHODS

We conducted a nationwide, population-based, matched cohort study in Sweden of 12,140 patients with biopsy-verified MC (diagnosed in 2003-2017), 57,806 matched reference individuals, and 12,781 siblings without MC with a follow-up until 2021. Data on MC were obtained from all of Sweden's regional pathology registers (n = 28) through the ESPRESSO cohort. Data on acute pancreatitis were collected from the National Patient Register. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using Cox regression.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up of 9.9 years (SD = 4.3), 146 patients with MC and 437 reference individuals were diagnosed with acute pancreatitis (127.8 vs 80.1 per 100,000 person-years), corresponding to an aHR of 1.57 (95% CI = 1.30-1.90). Moreover, we found a positive association between MC and acute nongallstone-related pancreatitis (aHR 1.99 [95% CI = 1.57-2.51]), but not with acute gallstone-related pancreatitis (aHR 1.08 [95% CI = 0.78-1.49]). Comparing patients with MC with their unaffected siblings yielded an aHR of 1.28 (95% CI = 0.92-1.78). The risk of acute pancreatitis remained elevated also for patients with MC with a follow-up exceeding 10 years (aHR 1.75 [95% CI = 1.14-2.67]).

DISCUSSION

This nationwide study of more than 12,000 patients with MC demonstrated an increased risk of acute pancreatitis after MC. Hence, clinicians should have a low threshold for the evaluation of acute pancreatitis in patients with MC. In addition, these patients should receive advice and care aimed at reducing the risk of acute pancreatitis.

Risk of Parkinson's Disease in Celiac Disease: A Swedish Population-Based Study

Using a population-based matched cohort design, we assessed the association of celiac disease (CeD) with risk of PD by comparing patients with biopsy-confirmed CeD in Sweden to a biopsy-free population and their unaffected siblings, separately. No overall association was observed but CeD diagnosed before age 60 associated positively with incident diagnosis of PD (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.29; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.02-1.62), which was mainly attributed to the significantly elevated risk detected after 10-15 years since biopsy (HR = 1.68; 95% CI: 1.05-2.68). Our findings imply an increased vulnerability to long-term PD development among patients with CeD diagnosed before 60s. ANN NEUROL 2023;94:911-916.

Inflammatory Bowel Disease and Risk of Colorectal Polyps: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study From Sweden

BACKGROUND

Inflammatory bowel disease [IBD] has been linked to an increased risk of colorectal neoplasia. However, the types and risks of specific polyp types in IBD are less clear.

METHODS

We identified 41 880 individuals with IBD (Crohn's disease [CD: n = 12 850]; ulcerative colitis [UC]: n = 29 030]) from Sweden matched with 41 880 reference individuals. Using Cox regression, we calculated adjusted hazard ratios [aHRs] for neoplastic colorectal polyps [tubular, serrated/sessile, advanced and villous] defined by histopathology codes.

RESULTS

During follow-up, 1648 [3.9%] IBD patients and 1143 [2.7%] reference individuals had an incident neoplastic colorectal polyp, corresponding to an incidence rate of 46.1 and 34.2 per 10 000 person-years, respectively. This correlated to an aHR of 1.23 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.12-1.35) with the highest HRs seen for sessile serrated polyps [8.50, 95% CI 1.10-65.90] and traditional serrated adenomas [1.72, 95% CI 1.02-2.91]. aHRs for colorectal polyps were particularly elevated in those diagnosed with IBD at a young age and at 10 years after diagnosis. Both absolute and relative risks of colorectal polyps were higher in UC than in CD [aHRs 1.31 vs 1.06, respectively], with a 20-year cumulative risk difference of 4.4% in UC and 1.5% in CD, corresponding to one extra polyp in 23 patients with UC and one in 67 CD patients during the first 20 years after IBD diagnosis.

CONCLUSIONS

In this nationwide population-based study, there was an increased risk of neoplastic colorectal polyps in IBD patients. Colonoscopic surveillance in IBD appears important, especially in UC and after 10 years of disease.

Antibiotic use and development of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: A population-based case-control study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Antibiotics affect the gut microbiome. Preclinical studies suggest a role of gut dysbiosis in the development of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), but data from large cohorts with liver histology are lacking.

METHODS

In this nationwide case-control study, Swedish adults with histologically confirmed early-stage NAFLD (total n = 2584; simple steatosis n = 1435; steatohepatitis (NASH) n = 383; non-cirrhotic fibrosis n = 766) diagnosed January 2007-April 2017 were included and matched to ≤5 population controls (n = 12 646) for age, sex, calendar year and county of residence. Data for cumulative antibiotic dispensations and defined daily doses were accrued until 1 year before the matching date. Using conditional logistic regression, multivariable-adjusted odds ratios (aORs) were calculated. In a secondary analysis, NAFLD patients were compared with their full siblings (n = 2837).

RESULTS

Previous antibiotic use was seen in 1748 (68%) NAFLD patients versus 7001 (55%) controls, corresponding to 1.35-fold increased odds of NAFLD (95% CI = 1.21-1.51) in a dose-dependent manner (pfor trend  < .001). Estimates were comparable for all histologic stages (p > .05). The highest risk of NAFLD was observed after treatment with fluoroquinolones (aOR 1.38; 95% CI = 1.17-1.59). Associations remained robust when patients were compared with their full siblings (aOR 1.29; 95% CI = 1.08-1.55). Antibiotic treatment was only linked to NAFLD in patients without metabolic syndrome (aOR 1.63; 95% CI = 1.35-1.91) but not in those with metabolic syndrome (aOR 1.09; 95% CI = 0.88-1.30).

CONCLUSIONS

Antibiotic use may be a risk factor for incident NAFLD, especially in individuals without the metabolic syndrome. The risk was highest for fluoroquinolones and remained robust in sibling comparisons with whom individuals share genetic and early environmental susceptibilities.

Long-term risk of arrhythmias in patients with inflammatory bowel disease: A population-based, sibling-controlled cohort study

BACKGROUND

Although previous evidence has suggested an increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), its association with arrhythmias is inconclusive. In this study, we aimed to explore the long-term risk of arrhythmias in patients with IBD.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

Through a nationwide histopathology cohort, we identified patients with biopsy-confirmed IBD in Sweden during 1969 to 2017, including Crohn's disease (CD: n = 24,954; median age at diagnosis: 38.4 years; female: 52.2%), ulcerative colitis (UC: n = 46,856; 42.1 years; 46.3%), and IBD-unclassified (IBD-U: n = 12,067; 43.8 years; 49.6%), as well as their matched reference individuals and IBD-free full siblings. Outcomes included overall and specific arrhythmias (e.g., atrial fibrillation/flutter, bradyarrhythmias, other supraventricular arrhythmias, and ventricular arrhythmias/cardiac arrest). Flexible parametric survival models estimated hazard ratios (aHR) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs), after adjustment for birth year, sex, county of residence, calendar year, country of birth, educational attainment, number of healthcare visits, and cardiovascular-related comorbidities. Over a median of approximately 10 years of follow-up, 1,904 (7.6%) patients with CD, 4,154 (8.9%) patients with UC, and 990 (8.2%) patients with IBD-U developed arrhythmias, compared with 6.7%, 7.5%, and 6.0% in reference individuals, respectively. Compared with reference individuals, overall arrhythmias were increased in patients with CD [54.6 versus 46.1 per 10,000 person-years; aHR = 1.15 (95% CI [1.09, 1.21], P < 0.001)], patients with UC [64.7 versus 53.3 per 10,000 person-years; aHR = 1.14 (95% CI [1.10, 1.18], P < 0.001)], and patients with IBD-U [78.1 versus 53.5 per 10,000 person-years; aHR = 1.30 (95% CI [1.20, 1.41], P < 0.001)]. The increased risk persisted 25 years after diagnosis, corresponding to 1 extra arrhythmia case per 80 CD, 58 UC, and 29 IBD-U cases over the same period. Patients with IBD also had a significantly increased risk of specific arrhythmias, except for bradyarrhythmias. Sibling comparison analyses confirmed the main findings. Study limitations include lack of clinical data to define IBD activity, not considering the potential role of IBD medications and disease activity, and the potential residual confounding from unmeasured factors for arrhythmias.

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, we observed that patients with IBD were at an increased risk of developing arrhythmias. The excess risk persisted even 25 years after IBD diagnosis. Our findings indicate a need for awareness of this excess risk among healthcare professionals.

Target trial emulation of aspirin after diagnosis of colorectal polyps

BACKGOUND AND AIMS

Previous research on the potential chemoprotective effect of aspirin for colorectal cancer (CRC) shows conflicting results. We aimed to emulate a trial of aspirin intiation in individuals with incident polyps.

METHODS

We identified individuals registered with their first colorectal polyp in the nationwide gastrointestinal ESPRESSO histopathology cohort in Sweden. Individuals aged 45-79 years diagnosed with colorectal polyps 2006-2016 in Sweden without CRC or contraindications for preventive aspirin (cerebrovascular disease, heart failure, aortic aneurysms, pulmonary emboli, myocardial infarction, gastric ulcer, dementia, liver cirrhosis, or any other metastatic cancer) registered until the month of first polyp detection were eligible. Using duplication and inverse probability weighting, we emulated a target trial of aspirin initiation within 2 years of initial polyp detection. The main outcome measures were incident CRC, CRC mortality and all-cause mortality registered until 2019.

RESULTS

Of 31,633 individuals meeting our inclusion criteria, 1716 (5%) initiated aspirin within 2 years of colon polyp diagnosis. Median follow-up was 8.07 years. The 10-year cumulative incidence in initiators versus non-initiators was 6% versus 8% for CRC incidence, 1% versus 1% for CRC mortality and 21% versus 18% for all-cause mortality. The corresponding hazard ratios were 0.88 (95% confidence interval, 95%CI = 0.86-0.90), 0.90 (95%CI = 0.75-1.06) and 1.18 (95%CI = 1.12-1.24).

CONCLUSION

Aspirin initiation in individuals with polyp removal was linked to 2% lower cumulative incidence of CRC after 10 years but did not alter CRC mortality. We also observed a 4% increased risk difference of all-cause mortality at 10 years after the initiation of aspirin.

Statin use and risk of colorectal cancer in patients with inflammatory bowel disease

Background

Statin use has been linked to a reduced risk of advanced colorectal adenomas, but its association with colorectal cancer (CRC) in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) - a high risk population for CRC - remains inconclusive.

Methods

From a nationwide IBD cohort in Sweden, we identified 5273 statin users and 5273 non-statin users (1:1 propensity score matching) from July 2006 to December 2018. Statin use was defined as the first filled prescription for ≥30 cumulative defined daily doses and followed until December 2019. Primary outcome was incident CRC. Secondary outcomes were CRC-related mortality and all-cause mortality. Cox regression estimated adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

Findings

During a median follow-up of 5.6 years, 70 statin users (incidence rate (IR): 21.2 per 10,000 person-years) versus 90 non-statin users (IR: 29.2) were diagnosed with incident CRC (rate difference (RD), -8.0 (95% CIs: -15.8 to -0.2 per 10,000 person-years); aHR = 0.76 (95% CIs: 0.61 to 0.96)). The benefit for incident CRC was duration-dependent in a nested case-control design: as compared to short-term use (30 days to <1 year), the adjusted odd ratios were 0.59 (0.25 to 1.43) for 1 to <2 years of use, 0.46 (0.21 to 0.98) for 2 to <5 years of use, and 0.38 (0.16 to 0.86) for ≥5 years of use (Pfor tread = 0.016). Compared with non-statin users, statin users also had a decreased risk for CRC-related mortality (IR: 6.0 vs. 11.9; RD, -5.9 (-10.5 to -1.2); aHR, 0.56 (0.37 to 0.83)) and all-cause mortality (IR: 156.4 vs. 231.4; RD, -75.0 (-96.6 to -53.4); aHR, 0.63 (0.57 to 0.69)).

Interpretation

Statin use was associated with a lower risk of incident CRC, CRC-related mortality, and all-cause mortality. The benefit for incident CRC was duration-dependent, with a significantly lower risk after ≥2 years of statin use.

Funding

This research was supported by Forte (i.e., the Swedish Research Council for Health, Working Life and Welfare).

Long-term Risk of Stroke in Patients With Inflammatory Bowel Disease: A Population-Based, Sibling-Controlled Cohort Study, 1969-2019

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) are at an increased risk of thromboembolic events, but evidence on the long-term risk of stroke remains scarce. We aimed to explore whether patients with a biopsy-confirmed IBD had an increased long-term risk of stroke.

METHODS

This cohort included all patients with biopsy-confirmed IBD in Sweden between 1969 and 2019 and up to 5 matched reference individuals per patient who were randomly selected from the general population and IBD-free full siblings. The primary outcome was incident overall stroke; secondary outcomes were ischemic and hemorrhagic strokes. Stroke was identified from the Swedish National Patient Register by using both primary and secondary diagnoses. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) for stroke were estimated by flexible parametric survival models.

RESULTS

A total of 85,006 patients with IBD (including Crohn disease [CD, n = 25,257], ulcerative colitis [UC, n = 47,354], and IBD-unclassified [IBD-U, n = 12,395]), 406,987 matched reference individuals, and 101,082 IBD-free full siblings were included in the analysis. We observed 3,720 incident strokes in patients with IBD (incidence rate [IR] 32.6 per 10,000 person-years) and 15,599 in reference individuals (IR 27.7; aHR 1.13, 95% CI 1.08-1.17). The elevated aHR remained increased even 25 years after diagnosis, corresponding to 1 additional stroke case per 93 patients with IBD until then. The excess aHR was mainly driven by ischemic stroke (aHR 1.14; 1.09-1.18) rather than hemorrhagic stroke (aHR 1.06; 0.97-1.15). The risk of ischemic stroke was significantly increased across IBD subtypes (CD [IR 23.3 vs 19.2; aHR 1.19; 1.10-1.29], UC [IR 25.7 vs 22.6; aHR 1.09; 1.04-1.16], and IBD-U [IR 30.5 vs 22.8; aHR 1.22; 1.08-1.37]). Similar results were found when patients with IBD were compared with their siblings.

DISCUSSION

Patients with IBD were at an increased risk of stroke, especially of ischemic events, irrespective of the IBD subtype. The excess risk persisted even 25 years after diagnosis. These findings highlight the need for clinical vigilance about the long-term excess risk of cerebrovascular events in patients with IBD.

No Increased Risk of Cardiac Birth Defects in Infants of Mothers With Celiac Disease: A Population and Sibling Comparison

INTRODUCTION

Several earlier studies have indicated an increased risk of cardiac birth defects among infants born to mothers with celiac disease (CeD). Through linking nationwide Swedish health care registries, we aimed to investigate maternal CeD and risk of any or cardiac birth defects in their offspring.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study of infants born between 2002 and 2016 to women with biopsy-proven CeD (villous atrophy, Marsh III) matched to infants born to nonceliac women from the general population. Conditional logistic regression with odds ratios (OR) and their 95% confidence intervals (CI) was used to determine the association between maternal CeD and birth defects. To minimize the impact of intrafamilial confounding, we also compared infants born to mothers with CeD with infants born to their nonaffected sisters.

RESULTS

A total of 6,990 infants were born to mothers with diagnosed CeD compared with 34,643 infants born to reference mothers. Any birth defect was seen in 234 (33 per 1,000 infants) and 1,244 (36/1,000) reference infants corresponding to an OR of 0.93 (95% CI 0.81-1.08). Cardiac birth defects were seen in 113 (16/1,000) vs 569 (16/1,000) infants (OR 0.98, 95% CI 0.80-1.20). Similar OR for any and cardiac birth defects were also seen in sibling comparisons.

DISCUSSION

We found no statistically significant risk of any or cardiac birth defects in infants born to mothers with diagnosed CeD compared with the general population and to their nonaffected sisters.

Mortality in small bowel cancers and adenomas - A nationwide, population-based matched cohort study

BACKGROUND

Small bowel adenocarcinoma (SBA), neuroendocrine tumors (NET) and gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST) are neoplastic lesions of the small bowel while small bowel adenomas are precursors of SBA.

AIM

To examine mortality in patients diagnosed with SBA, small bowel adenomas, NET and GIST.

METHODS

We performed a population-based matched cohort study encompassing all individuals with SBA (n = 2289), adenomas (n = 3700), NET (n = 1884) and GIST (n = 509) in the small bowel diagnosed at any of Sweden's 28 pathology departments between 2000 and 2016 (the "ESPRESSO study"). Each case was matched by sex, age, calendar year and county of residence to up to 5 comparators from the general population. Through Cox regression we estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs) for death and cause-specific death adjusting for education.

RESULTS

During follow-up until December 31, 2017, 1836 (80%) deaths occurred in SBA patients, 1615 (44%) in adenoma, 866 (46%) in NET and 162 (32%) in GIST patients. This corresponded to incidence rates of 295, 74, 80 and 62/1000 person-years respectively and adjusted HRs of 7.60 (95%CI=6.95-8.31), 2.21 (2.07-2.36), 2.74 (2.50-3.01) and 2.33 (1.90-2.87). Adjustment for education had a substantial impact on the HR for death in SBA but not for other neoplasias. The predominant cause of excess death was cancer in all groups.

CONCLUSION

This study confirms earlier findings of increased death rates in patients with SBA and NET in a modern study population. We also demonstrate a more than 2-fold increased risk of death in both GIST and the SBA precursor adenoma.

Association of inflammatory bowel disease in first-degree relatives with risk of colorectal cancer: A nationwide case-control study in Sweden

This study aims to assess the association between inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) history in first-degree relatives (FDRs) and colorectal cancer (CRC) risk. We conducted a nationwide case-control study in Sweden among 69 659 CRC cases and 343 032 non-CRC controls matched on age, sex, birth year and residence county. Through linkage of multi-generation register and the nationwide ESPRESSO (Epidemiology Strengthened by histoPathology Reports in Sweden) cohort, we ascertained IBD diagnoses among parents, full siblings and offspring of the index individuals. Odds ratios (ORs) of CRC associated with IBD family history were calculated using conditional logistic regression. 2.2% of both CRC cases (1566/69659) and controls (7676/343027) had ≥1 FDR with IBD history. After adjusting for family history of CRC, we observed no increased risk of CRC in FDRs of IBD patients (OR, 0.96; 95%CI, 0.91-1.02). The null association was consistent according to IBD subtype (Crohn's disease or ulcerative colitis), number of FDRs with IBD (1 or ≥ 2), age at first IBD diagnosis in FDRs (<18, 18-39, 40-59 or ≥60 years), maximum location/extent of IBD or FDR relation (parent, sibling or offspring). The null association remained for early-onset CRC (diagnosed at age <50 years). In conclusion, IBD history in FDRs was not associated with an increased risk of CRC. Our findings suggest that extra screening for CRC may not be needed in the offspring, siblings or parents of IBD patients, and strengthen the theory that it is the actual inflammation or atypia of the colon in IBD patients that confers the increased CRC risk.

Colectomy in patients with ulcerative colitis is not associated to future diagnosis of primary sclerosing cholangitis

BACKGROUND

Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis (PSC) is a hepatobiliary disease closely related to ulcerative colitis (UC). In PSC patients, colectomy has been linked to improved prognosis, especially following liver transplantation. This suggests an involvement of the gut-liver axis in PSC etiology.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to investigate the association between colectomy and the risk of future PSC in an epidemiological setting.

METHOD

Through nationwide registers, we identified all adults diagnosed with UC in Sweden 1990-2018 and retrieved information on PSC diagnosis and colectomy. Within the UC cohort (n = 61,993 patients), we matched 5577 patients with colectomy to 15,078 without colectomy. Matching criteria were sex, age at UC onset (±5 years), year of UC onset (±3 years), and proctitis at the time of colectomy. Incidence rates of PSC per 1000-person year were calculated, and the Cox proportional hazard regression model estimated hazard ratios (HRs) for PSC until 31 December 2019.

RESULTS

During the follow-up, 190 (3.4%) colectomized UC patients and 450 (3.0%) UC comparators developed PSC, yielding incidence rates of 2.6 and 2.4 per 1000 person-years (HR 1.07 [95% CI 0.90-1.28]). The cumulative incidence of colectomy decreased remarkably over calendar periods, but the cumulative incidence of PSC remained unchanged. The risk of developing PSC in colectomized versus comparators changed over time (HR 0.68 [95% CI; 0.48-0.96] in 1990-97 and HR 2.10 [95% CI; 1.37-3.24] in 2011-18).

CONCLUSIONS

In UC patients, colectomy was not associated with a decreased risk of subsequent PSC. The observed differences in the risk of PSC development over calendar periods are likely due to changes in PSC-diagnosis and UC-treatment.

Predominant Antibody Deficiency and Risk of Microscopic Colitis: a Nationwide Case-Control Study in Sweden

PURPOSE : Predominant antibody deficiency (PAD) disorders, including common variable immunodeficiency (CVID), have been linked to increased risk of gastrointestinal infections and inflammatory bowel diseases. However, there are limited data on the relationship between PAD, specifically CVID, and risk of microscopic colitis (MC).

METHODS

We performed a nationwide case-control study of Swedish adults with MC diagnosed between 1997 and 2017 (n = 13,651). Data on biopsy-verified MC were retrieved from all of Sweden's pathology departments through the Epidemiology Strengthened by histoPathology Reports in Sweden (ESPRESSO) study. We defined predominant antibody deficiency using International Union of Immunologic Societies (IUIS) phenotypic classification. Individuals with MC were matched to population controls by age, sex, calendar year, and county. We used logistic regression to estimate adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

The prevalence of PAD in MC was 0.4% as compared to 0.05% in controls. After adjustment for potential confounders, this corresponded to an aOR of 7.29 (95%CI 4.64-11.63). The magnitude of the association was higher for CVID (aOR 21.01, 95% 5.48-137.44) compared to other antibody deficiencies (aOR 6.16, 95% CI 3.79-10.14). In exploratory analyses, the association between PAD and MC was particularly strong among males (aOR 31.73, 95% CI 10.82-135.04).

CONCLUSION

In this population-based study, predominant antibody deficiency was associated with increased risk of MC, particularly among males. Clinicians who encounter these patients should consider a detailed infectious history and screening for antibody deficiency.

Evaluation of Birth by Cesarean Delivery and Development of Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer

Importance

The incidence of early-onset colorectal cancer (CRC), diagnosed younger than 50 years of age, has increased worldwide. Gut dysbiosis throughout the life course is hypothesized as a leading mechanism, yet epidemiologic data are limited.

Objective

To prospectively examine the association between birth by cesarean delivery and early-onset CRC among offspring.

Design, Setting, and Participants

In this population-based, nationwide case-control study in Sweden, adults diagnosed with CRC between 18 and 49 years of age from 1991 to 2017 were identified through the Epidemiology Strengthened by Histopathology Reports in Sweden (ESPRESSO) cohort. Up to 5 general population control individuals without CRC were matched with each case on age, sex, calendar year, and county of residence. Pathology-confirmed end points were linked with the Swedish Medical Birth Register and other national registers. Analyses were conducted from March 2022 through March 2023.

Exposure

Birth by cesarean delivery.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was development of early-onset CRC in the overall population and by sex.

Results

We identified 564 case patients with incident early-onset CRC (mean [SD] age, 32.9 [6.2] years; 284 [50.4%] male) and 2180 matched controls (mean [SD] age, 32.7 [6.3] years; 1104 [50.6%] male). Compared with vaginal delivery, birth by cesarean delivery was not associated with early-onset CRC in the overall population (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.28; 95% CI, 0.91-1.79) after multivariable adjustment for matching and maternal and pregnancy-related factors. A positive association was found for females (aOR, 1.62; 95% CI, 1.01-2.60), but there was no association for males (aOR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.64-1.72).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this nationwide, population-based case-control study, birth by cesarean delivery was not associated with early-onset CRC compared with birth by vaginal delivery in the overall population in Sweden. However, females born by cesarean delivery had greater odds of early-onset CRC compared with individuals born through vaginal delivery. This finding suggests that early-life gut dysbiosis may contribute to early-onset CRC in females.

Type 1 diabetes and microscopic colitis: A nationwide matched case-control study in Sweden

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Microscopic colitis (MC) is a colonic inflammatory condition associated with autoimmune dysfunction. Type 1 diabetes (T1D) is a chronic disease induced by autoimmune destruction of pancreatic β-cells. We aimed to examine the association between T1D and MC.

METHODS

A matched case-control study was conducted using the nationwide ESPRESSO cohort as study base. All biopsy-confirmed MC patients born after 1940 were identified and compared to biopsy-free individuals matched from the general population for T1D diagnosis using the Swedish National Patient Register. The T1D-MC association was estimated as odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) by conditional logistic models, considering differences by sex and MC subtype. Full sibling comparison and adjustment for MC-associated medications were also performed.

RESULTS

We identified 352 (3.7%) and 945 (2.0%) T1D diagnoses from 9,600 MC cases and 47,870 matched population controls, respectively, which corresponded to an overall OR of 1.79 (95% CI: 1.56-2.05). The association was stronger for collagenous colitis (OR, 2.15; 95% CI: 1.70-2.71) than lymphocytic colitis (OR, 1.62; 95% CI: 1.37-1.92) and remained statistically significant in full sibling comparison (OR, 1.46; 95%: 1.18-1.81). Medication adjustment attenuated the association to null among females (OR: 1.02; 95% CI: 0.82-1.27) but not among males (OR: 1.45; 95% CI: 1.11-1.90).

CONCLUSION

T1D diagnosis was almost 80% more prevalent in MC patients compared to general population. This positive association did not seem to be spurious due to residual confounding shared by full siblings but may relate to consumption of medications associated with MC onset.

Celiac disease and risk of microscopic colitis: A nationwide population-based matched cohort study

BACKGROUND

An association has been reported between celiac disease (CD) and microscopic colitis (MC). However, large, population-based cohort studies are rare.

OBJECTIVE

To systematically examine the association between CD and MC in a large, nationwide cohort.

METHODS

We conducted a nationwide population-based matched cohort study in Sweden of 45,138 patients with biopsy-verified CD (diagnosed in 1990-2016), 223,149 reference individuals, and 51,449 siblings of CD patients. Data on CD and MC were obtained from all (n = 28) pathology departments in Sweden. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) were calculated using Cox regression.

RESULTS

During follow-up, 452 CD patients and 197 reference individuals received an MC diagnosis (86.1 vs. 7.5 per 100,000 person-years). This difference corresponded to an aHR of 11.6 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 9.8-13.8) or eight extra MC cases in 1000 CD patients followed up for 10 years. Although the risk of MC was highest during the first year of follow-up (aHR 35.2; 95% CI = 20.1-61.6), it remained elevated even after 10 years (aHR 8.1; 95% CI = 6.0-10.9). Examining MC subtypes lymphocytic colitis (LC) and collagenous colitis (CC) separately, the aHR was 12.4 (95% CI = 10.0-15.3) for LC and 10.2 (95% CI = 7.7-13.6) for CC. MC was also more common before CD (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 52.7; 95% CI = 31.4-88.4). Compared to siblings, risk estimates decreased but remained elevated (CD and later MC: HR = 6.2; CD and earlier MC: aOR = 7.9).

CONCLUSION

Our study demonstrated a very strong association of MC with CD with an increased risk of future and previous MC in CD patients. The magnitude of the associations underscores the need to consider the concomitance of these diagnoses in cases in which gastrointestinal symptoms persist or recur despite a gluten-free diet or conventional MC treatment. The comparatively lower risk estimates in sibling comparisons suggest that shared genetic and early environmental factors may contribute to the association between CD and MC.

Cardiovascular disease risk in paediatric and young adult non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

OBJECTIVE

Longitudinal evidence is lacking regarding the long-term risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in children and young adults with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD).

DESIGN

This nationwide cohort study included all Swedish children and young adults ≤25 years old with histologically confirmed NAFLD and without underlying cardiovascular disease (CVD) at baseline (1966-2016; n=699). NAFLD was defined from prospectively recorded histopathology, and further categorised as simple steatosis or non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). NAFLD patients were matched to ≤5 population controls without NAFLD or CVD (n=3353). Using Cox proportional hazards modelling, we calculated multivariable-adjusted HRs (aHRs) and 95% CIs for incident MACE (ie, ischaemic heart disease, stroke, congestive heart failure or cardiovascular mortality). In secondary analyses, we also explored rates of incident cardiac arrhythmias.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up of 16.6 years, incident MACE was confirmed in 33 NAFLD patients and 52 controls. NAFLD patients had significantly higher rates of MACE than controls (3.1 vs 0.9/1000 person-years (PY); difference=2.1/1000 PY; aHR=2.33, 95% CI=1.43 to 3.78), including higher rates of ischaemic heart disease (difference=1.4/1000 PY; aHR=3.07, 95% CI 1.62 to 5.83) and congestive heart failure (difference=0.5/1000 PY; aHR=3.89, 95% CI=1.20 to 12.64). Rates of incident MACE outcomes appeared to be further augmented with NASH (aHR=5.27, 95% CI=1.96 to 14.19). In secondary analyses, NAFLD patients also had significantly higher rates of cardiac arrythmias (aHR=3.16, 95% CI=1.49 to 6.68).

CONCLUSION

Compared with matched population controls, children and young adults with biopsy-proven NAFLD had significantly higher rates of incident MACE, including ischaemic heart disease and congestive heart failure. Research to better characterise cardiovascular risk in children and young adults with NAFLD should be prioritised.

Long-term risk of inflammatory bowel disease after endoscopic biopsy with normal mucosa: A population-based, sibling-controlled cohort study in Sweden

BACKGROUND

Although evidence suggests a persistently decreased risk of colorectal cancer for up to 10 years among individuals with a negative endoscopic biopsy result (i.e., normal mucosa), concerns have been raised about other long-term health outcomes among these individuals. In this study, we aimed to explore the long-term risk of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) after an endoscopic biopsy with normal mucosa.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

In the present nationwide cohort study, we identified all individuals in Sweden with a lower or upper gastrointestinal (GI) biopsy of normal mucosa during 1965 to 2016 (exposed, n = 200,495 and 257,192 for lower and upper GI biopsy, respectively), their individually matched population references (n = 989,484 and 1,268,897), and unexposed full siblings (n = 221,179 and 274,529). Flexible parametric model estimated hazard ratio (HR) as an estimate of the association between a GI biopsy of normal mucosa and IBD as well as cumulative incidence of IBD, with 95% confidence interval (CI). The first 6 months after GI biopsy were excluded to avoid detection bias, surveillance bias, or reverse causation. During a median follow-up time of approximately 10 years, 4,853 individuals with a lower GI biopsy of normal mucosa developed IBD (2.4%) compared to 0.4% of the population references. This corresponded to an incidence rate (IR) of 20.39 and 3.39 per 10,000 person-years in the respective groups or 1 extra estimated IBD case among 37 exposed individuals during the 30 years after normal GI biopsy. The exposed individuals had a persistently higher risk of overall IBD (average HR = 5.56; 95% CI: 5.28 to 5.85), ulcerative colitis (UC, average HR = 5.20; 95% CI: 4.85 to 5.59) and Crohn's disease (CD, average HR = 6.99; 95% CI: 6.38 to 7.66) than their matched population references. In the sibling comparison, average HRs were 3.27 (3.05 to 3.51) for overall IBD, 3.27 (2.96 to 3.61) for UC, and 3.77 (3.34 to 4.26) for CD. For individuals with an upper GI biopsy of normal mucosa, the average HR of CD was 2.93 (2.68 to 3.21) and 2.39 (2.10 to 2.73), compared with population references and unexposed full siblings, respectively. The increased risk of IBD persisted at least 30 years after cohort entry. Study limitations include lack of data on indications for biopsy and potential residual confounding from unmeasured risk or protective factors for IBD.

CONCLUSIONS

Endoscopic biopsy with normal mucosa was associated with an elevated IBD incidence for at least 30 years. This may suggest a substantial symptomatic period of IBD and incomplete diagnostic examinations in patients with early IBD.

Autopsy histology data suggest cirrhosis is frequently under-reported on death certificates

BACKGROUND

Cirrhosis may be asymptomatic yet contribute to ill health. Here, we studied how often cirrhosis is discovered first at an autopsy. We also examined how frequent this finding was not reported on formal death certificates.

METHODS

We used register-based data from all liver biopsies in Sweden performed after death. Cross-linkage to national registers was performed to examine how often such patients had accurate coding for cirrhosis on their death certificates.

FINDINGS

A total of 6187 patients with a liver biopsy performed after death, showing cirrhosis. Of these, 2523 (41%) did not have a diagnosis corresponding to cirrhosis on their final death certificate.