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Ju C, Liu H, Gong Y, Guo M, Ge Y, Liu Y, Luo R, Yang M, Li X, Liu Y, Li X, He T, Liu X, Huang C, Xu Y, Liu J. Changes in patterns of multimorbidity and associated with medical costs among Chinese middle-aged and older adults from 2013 to 2023: an analysis of repeated cross-sectional surveys in Xiangyang, China. Front Public Health 2024; 12:1403196. [PMID: 39171301 PMCID: PMC11335498 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1403196] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/19/2024] [Accepted: 07/25/2024] [Indexed: 08/23/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Multimorbidity has become a major public health problem among Chinese middle-aged and older adults, and the most costly to the health care system. However, most previous population-based studies of multimorbidity have focused on a limited number of chronic diseases, and diagnosis was based on participants' self-report, which may oversimplify the problem. At the same time, there were few reports on the relationship between multimorbidity patterns and health care costs. This study analyzed the multimorbidity patterns and changes among middle-aged and older people in China over the past decade, and their association with medical costs, based on representative hospital electronic medical record data. Methods Two cross-sectional surveys based on representative hospital data were used to obtain adults aged 45 years and older in Xiangyang in 2013 (n = 20,218) and 2023 (n = 63,517). Latent Class Analysis was used to analyze changes in the patterns of multimorbidity, gray correlation analysis and ordered logistics model were used to assess the association of multimorbidity patterns with medical expenses. The diagnosis and classification of chronic diseases were based on the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision codes (ICD-10). Results The detection rate of chronic disease multimorbidity has increased (70.74 vs. 76.63%, p < 0.001), and multimorbidity patterns have increased from 6 to 9 (2013: Malignant tumors pattern, non-specific multimorbidity pattern, ischemic heart disease + hypertension pattern, cerebral infarction + hypertension pattern, kidney disease + hypertension pattern, lens disease + hypertension pattern; new in 2023: Nutritional metabolism disorders + hypertension pattern, chronic lower respiratory diseases + malignant tumors pattern, and gastrointestinal diseases pattern) in China. The medical cost of all multimorbidity patients have been reduced between 2013 and 2023 (RMB: 8216.74 vs. 7247.96, IQR: 5802.28-15,737 vs. 5014.63-15434.06). The top three specific multimorbidity patterns in both surveys were malignancy tumor pattern, ischemic heart disease + hypertension pattern, and cerebral infarction + hypertension pattern. Hypertension and type 2 diabetes are important components of multimorbidity patterns. Compared with patients with a single disease, only lens disorders + hypertension pattern were at risk of higher medical costs in 2013 (aOR:1.23, 95% CI: 1.03, 1.47), whereas all multimorbidity patterns were significantly associated with increased medical costs in 2023, except for lens disorders + hypertension (aOR:0.35, 95% CI: 0.32, 0.39). Moreover, the odds of higher medical costs were not consistent across multimorbidity patterns. Among them, ischemic heart disease + hypertension pattern [adjusted odds ratio (aOR):4.66, 95%CI: 4.31, 5.05] and cerebral infarction + hypertension pattern (aOR: 3.63, 95% CI: 3.35, 3.92) were the two patterns with the highest risk. Meanwhile, men (aOR:1.12, 95CI:1.09, 1.16), no spouse (aOR:1.09, 95CI: 1.03, 1.16) had a positive effect on medical costs, while patients with total self-pay (aOR: 0.45, 95CI: 0.29, 0.70), no surgery (aOR: 0.05, 95CI: 0.05, 0.05), rural residence (aOR: 0.92, 95CI: 0.89, 0.95), hospitalization days 1-5 (aOR: 0.04, 95CI: 0.04, 0.04), and hospitalization days 6-9 (aOR: 0.15, 95CI: 0.15, 0.16) had a negative impact on medical costs. Conclusion Multimorbidity patterns among middle-aged and older adults in China have diversified over the past decade and are associated with rising health care costs in China. Smart, decisive and comprehensive policy and care interventions are needed to effectively manage NCDS and their risk factors and to reduce the economic burden of multimorbidity on patients and the country.
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Affiliation(s)
- Changyu Ju
- Party Office (United Front Work Department, Youth League Committee), Xiangyang Central Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Hubei University of Arts and Science, Xiangyang, China
| | - Hongjia Liu
- School of Accounting, Hunan University of Technology and Business, Changsha, China
| | - Yongxiang Gong
- Department of Medical Records and Statistics, Xiangyang Central Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Hubei University of Arts and Science, Xiangyang, China
| | - Meng Guo
- Division of Cardiac Surgery, Wuhan Asia Heart Hospital Affiliated with Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China
| | - Yingying Ge
- Human Resources Department, Xiangyang Central Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Hubei University of Arts and Science, Xiangyang, China
| | - Yuheng Liu
- Department of Medical Records and Statistics, Xiangyang Central Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Hubei University of Arts and Science, Xiangyang, China
| | - Rui Luo
- Department of Medical Records and Statistics, Xiangyang Central Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Hubei University of Arts and Science, Xiangyang, China
| | - Meng Yang
- Department of Medical Records and Statistics, Xiangyang Central Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Hubei University of Arts and Science, Xiangyang, China
| | - Xiuying Li
- Department of Medical Records and Statistics, Xiangyang Central Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Hubei University of Arts and Science, Xiangyang, China
| | - Yangwenhao Liu
- Information Center, Xiangyang Central Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Hubei University of Arts and Science, Xiangyang, China
| | - Xiangbin Li
- Neurology Department, Xiangyang Central Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Hubei University of Arts and Science, Xiangyang, China
| | - Tiemei He
- Department of Medical Records and Statistics, Xiangyang Central Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Hubei University of Arts and Science, Xiangyang, China
| | - Xiaodong Liu
- Information Center, Xiangyang Central Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Hubei University of Arts and Science, Xiangyang, China
| | - Chunrong Huang
- Department of Medical Records and Statistics, Xiangyang Central Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Hubei University of Arts and Science, Xiangyang, China
| | - Yihua Xu
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science & Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Juming Liu
- Department of Medical Records and Statistics, Xiangyang Central Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of Hubei University of Arts and Science, Xiangyang, China
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Wang Y, He R, Ren X, Huang K, Lei J, Niu H, Li W, Dong F, Li B, Yang T, Wang C. Developing and validating prediction models for severe exacerbations and readmissions in patients hospitalised for COPD exacerbation (SERCO) in China: a prospective observational study. BMJ Open Respir Res 2024; 11:e001881. [PMID: 38719500 PMCID: PMC11086534 DOI: 10.1136/bmjresp-2023-001881] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/09/2023] [Accepted: 04/26/2024] [Indexed: 05/12/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND There is a lack of individualised prediction models for patients hospitalised with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) for clinical practice. We developed and validated prediction models of severe exacerbations and readmissions in patients hospitalised for COPD exacerbation (SERCO). METHODS Data were obtained from the Acute Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Inpatient Registry study (NCT02657525) in China. Cause-specific hazard models were used to estimate coefficients. C-statistic was used to evaluate the discrimination. Slope and intercept were used to evaluate the calibration and used for model adjustment. Models were validated internally by 10-fold cross-validation and externally using data from different regions. Risk-stratified scoring scales and nomograms were provided. The discrimination ability of the SERCO model was compared with the exacerbation history in the previous year. RESULTS Two sets with 2196 and 1869 patients from different geographical regions were used for model development and external validation. The 12-month severe exacerbations cumulative incidence rates were 11.55% (95% CI 10.06% to 13.16%) in development cohorts and 12.30% (95% CI 10.67% to 14.05%) in validation cohorts. The COPD-specific readmission incidence rates were 11.31% (95% CI 9.83% to 12.91%) and 12.26% (95% CI 10.63% to 14.02%), respectively. Demographic characteristics, medical history, comorbidities, drug usage, Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease stage and interactions were included as predictors. C-indexes for severe exacerbations were 77.3 (95% CI 70.7 to 83.9), 76.5 (95% CI 72.6 to 80.4) and 74.7 (95% CI 71.2 to 78.2) at 1, 6 and 12 months. The corresponding values for readmissions were 77.1 (95% CI 70.1 to 84.0), 76.3 (95% CI 72.3 to 80.4) and 74.5 (95% CI 71.0 to 78.0). The SERCO model was consistently discriminative and accurate with C-indexes in the derivation and internal validation groups. In external validation, the C-indexes were relatively lower at 60-70 levels. The SERCO model discriminated outcomes better than prior severe exacerbation history. The slope and intercept after adjustment showed close agreement between predicted and observed risks. However, in external validation, the models may overestimate the risk in higher-risk groups. The model-driven risk groups showed significant disparities in prognosis. CONCLUSION The SERCO model provides individual predictions for severe exacerbation and COPD-specific readmission risk, which enables identifying high-risk patients and implementing personalised preventive intervention for patients with COPD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ye Wang
- School of Population Medicine and Public Health, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Ruoxi He
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, National Key Clinical Specialty, Branch of National Clinical Research Center for Respiratory Disease, Xiangya Hospital Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Xiaoxia Ren
- Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Center of Respiratory Medicine, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China
- National Center for Respiratory Medicine, Beijing, China
- Institute of Respiratory Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Respiratory Diseases, Beijing, China
| | - Ke Huang
- Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Center of Respiratory Medicine, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China
- National Center for Respiratory Medicine, Beijing, China
- Institute of Respiratory Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Respiratory Diseases, Beijing, China
| | - Jieping Lei
- National Center for Respiratory Medicine, Beijing, China
- Institute of Respiratory Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Respiratory Diseases, Beijing, China
- Department of Clinical Research and Data Management, Center of Respiratory Medicine, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Hongtao Niu
- Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Center of Respiratory Medicine, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China
- National Center for Respiratory Medicine, Beijing, China
- Institute of Respiratory Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Respiratory Diseases, Beijing, China
| | - Wei Li
- Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Center of Respiratory Medicine, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China
- National Center for Respiratory Medicine, Beijing, China
- Institute of Respiratory Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Respiratory Diseases, Beijing, China
| | - Fen Dong
- National Center for Respiratory Medicine, Beijing, China
- Institute of Respiratory Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Respiratory Diseases, Beijing, China
- Department of Clinical Research and Data Management, Center of Respiratory Medicine, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Baicun Li
- Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Center of Respiratory Medicine, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China
- National Center for Respiratory Medicine, Beijing, China
- Institute of Respiratory Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Respiratory Diseases, Beijing, China
| | - Ting Yang
- Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Center of Respiratory Medicine, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China
- National Center for Respiratory Medicine, Beijing, China
- Institute of Respiratory Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Respiratory Diseases, Beijing, China
| | - Chen Wang
- School of Population Medicine and Public Health, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
- National Center for Respiratory Medicine, Beijing, China
- Institute of Respiratory Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
- National Clinical Research Center for Respiratory Diseases, Beijing, China
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Kassa Y, Geremew H, Gashu C. Modelling the longitudinal measurement of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease outpatient follow-up in the northwestern Ethiopia. Sci Rep 2023; 13:21526. [PMID: 38057425 PMCID: PMC10700296 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-48945-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/17/2023] [Accepted: 12/01/2023] [Indexed: 12/08/2023] Open
Abstract
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease is a condition which can be prevented and treated and is characterized by difficulty of breathing that is not entirely curable. The overall objective of this study was to model the variation of longitudinal measurement over time for outpatients with chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases at the University of Gondar referral hospital. From February 1, 2019, to February 1, 2022, a retrospective study of outpatients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease was conducted in a hospital. The data was extracted from all patients' data records from the patient's chart. The information includes the fundamental demographic and clinical details of each outpatients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Mixed linear model were used to investigate the determinant factor of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. From a total of 266 outpatients, Averages of the ratio of forced expiratory volume to forced vital capacity among chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients were 0.65, with a standard deviation of 0.043. Comorbidities (average = 2.18, 95% CI 0.43:3.9, P = 0.0133), HIV(average = 4.83, 95% CI 1.94:7.72, P = 0.0012), education (average = 2.98; 95% CI 0.75:4.8, P = 0.008), and weight (average = 0.178, 95% CI 0.045:0.311, P = 0.009) are risk factors for change in forced vital capacity. This study clearly shows that there is a high COPD prevalence in Ethiopia. The risk factors for chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases are the smoking status, comorbidities, HIV, education status of the patient, weight, and time of the visit.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yoseph Kassa
- Department of Statistics, College of Natural and Computational Science, Oda Bultum University, Chiro, Ethiopia.
| | - Habtamu Geremew
- Department of Nursing College of Health Science, Oda Bultum University, Chiro, Ethiopia
| | - Chalachew Gashu
- Department of Statistics, College of Natural and Computational Science, Oda Bultum University, Chiro, Ethiopia
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Kassa Y, Melese D, Asmare A, Workneh G. Joint modeling of forced vital capacity measures with time to onset of polycythemia among chronic obstructive pulmonary outpatients follows-up: A case of University of Gondar Referral Hospital. Health Sci Rep 2023; 6:e1587. [PMID: 37779661 PMCID: PMC10539680 DOI: 10.1002/hsr2.1587] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/10/2022] [Revised: 08/25/2023] [Accepted: 09/15/2023] [Indexed: 10/03/2023] Open
Abstract
Background and Aims Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) causes airflow obstruction and respiratory problems. Thus, the main objective of this study was to determine the risk factors for the progression of COPD using longitudinally measured forced vital capacity with time to onset of polycythemia outpatients follow-up. Methods A retrospective study design was used to gather the related data on longitudinal change of forced vital capacity and time to onset of polycythemia from the medical charts. The joint model consists of a longitudinal submodel for the change of forced vital capacity and a survival submodel for the time to onset of polycythemia of chronic obstructive pulmonary patients. Results From the total of 266 patient's estimated value of forced vital capacity of chronic obstructive pulmonary patients was 74.45 years with a standard deviation of 8.59. The estimated value of the association parameter was -0.006, which indicates that the lower value for a forced vital capacity measure was associated with the higher risk of polycythemia and vice versa "Based on the joint model analysis found that the predictor smoking, comorbidities, marital status, weight, and HIV" jointly affected the two responses, which are change of forced vital capacity and time to onset of polycythemia among chronic obstructive pulmonary patients. Conclusion The overall performance of separate and joint models, joint modeling of longitudinal measures with the time-to-event outcome was the best model due to smaller standard errors and statistical significance of both the association parameters.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yoseph Kassa
- Department of Statistics, College of Natural and Computational ScienceOda Bultum UniversityChiroEthiopia
| | - Dessie Melese
- Department of Statistics, College of Natural and Computational ScienceUniversity of GondarGondarEthiopia
| | - Anteneh Asmare
- Department of Statistics, College of Natural and Computational ScienceUniversity of GondarGondarEthiopia
| | - Gashu Workneh
- Department of Statistics, College of Natural and Computational ScienceUniversity of GondarGondarEthiopia
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Li W, Yan J, Xu J, Zhu L, Zhai C, Wang Y, Wang Y, Feng Y, Cao H. Vardenafil alleviates cigarette smoke-induced chronic obstructive pulmonary disease by activating autophagy via the AMPK/mTOR signalling pathway: an in vitro and in vivo study. In Vitro Cell Dev Biol Anim 2023; 59:717-728. [PMID: 37957534 DOI: 10.1007/s11626-023-00820-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/06/2023] [Accepted: 10/14/2023] [Indexed: 11/15/2023]
Abstract
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) has always attracted global attention with its high prevalence, incidence rate, and mortality. Exposure to cigarette smoke is one of main causes of COPD. Therefore, it is still necessary to study its pathogenesis and find new therapeutic strategies for early COPD prevention and treatment. Vardenafil, a type 5 phosphodiesterase (PDE5) inhibitor, is known to have an efficient therapy in some cardiovascular, pulmonary, and vascular diseases, which is an important mechanism for COPD. However, it still loss relevant research on whether vardenafil is effective in COPD and its mechanism. In this study, the cigarette smoke inhalation was performed to establish cigarette smoke-induced COPD model using C57BL/6 mice and 16HBE cells were treated with cigarette smoke extract (CSE). Mice were treated with vardenafil for 30 d. Then condition of lung injury was evaluated using histological analysis. The content of cytokines and the number of inflammatory cells in lung tissues or bronchoalveolar lavage fluid were measured. Additionally, western blot analysis was employed to evaluate the activation of adenosine 5'-monophosphate (AMP)-activated protein kinase (AMPK)/mechanistic target of rapamycin (mTOR)-mediated autophagy in vitro. The results showed that vardenafil abolished CSE's effect by activating autophagy via the AMPK/mTOR signalling pathway in vitro. Vardenafil attenuated cigarette smoke-induced lung injury and inflammation response by activating autophagy via the AMPK/mTOR signalling pathway in vivo. These results provide valuable insights into the molecular mechanisms underlying vardenafil's beneficial effects in cigarette smoke-induced COPD treatment. In conclusion, vardenafil alleviates cigarette smoke-induced experimental COPD by activating autophagy via the AMPK/mTOR signalling pathway.
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Affiliation(s)
- Weihao Li
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Medicine, Jing'an District Centre Hospital of Shanghai, Huashan Hospital Fudan University, Jing'an Branch, No. 259, XiKang Road, Jing'an District, Shanghai, 200040, China
| | - Jingxia Yan
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Medicine, Jing'an District Centre Hospital of Shanghai, Huashan Hospital Fudan University, Jing'an Branch, No. 259, XiKang Road, Jing'an District, Shanghai, 200040, China
| | - Jing Xu
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Medicine, Jing'an District Centre Hospital of Shanghai, Huashan Hospital Fudan University, Jing'an Branch, No. 259, XiKang Road, Jing'an District, Shanghai, 200040, China
| | - Liqin Zhu
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Medicine, Jing'an District Centre Hospital of Shanghai, Huashan Hospital Fudan University, Jing'an Branch, No. 259, XiKang Road, Jing'an District, Shanghai, 200040, China
| | - Cuijuan Zhai
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Medicine, Jing'an District Centre Hospital of Shanghai, Huashan Hospital Fudan University, Jing'an Branch, No. 259, XiKang Road, Jing'an District, Shanghai, 200040, China
| | - Yajuan Wang
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Medicine, Jing'an District Centre Hospital of Shanghai, Huashan Hospital Fudan University, Jing'an Branch, No. 259, XiKang Road, Jing'an District, Shanghai, 200040, China
| | - Yuxin Wang
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Medicine, Jing'an District Centre Hospital of Shanghai, Huashan Hospital Fudan University, Jing'an Branch, No. 259, XiKang Road, Jing'an District, Shanghai, 200040, China
| | - Ying Feng
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Medicine, Jing'an District Centre Hospital of Shanghai, Huashan Hospital Fudan University, Jing'an Branch, No. 259, XiKang Road, Jing'an District, Shanghai, 200040, China.
| | - Huifang Cao
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Medicine, Jing'an District Centre Hospital of Shanghai, Huashan Hospital Fudan University, Jing'an Branch, No. 259, XiKang Road, Jing'an District, Shanghai, 200040, China.
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Wu DL, Luo CL, Du X, Li PP, Jiang M, Liu T, Sun Y. Current Status and Influencing Factors of Readiness for Discharge of Elderly Patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease. Patient Prefer Adherence 2023; 17:1323-1333. [PMID: 37255947 PMCID: PMC10226539 DOI: 10.2147/ppa.s410725] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/01/2023] [Accepted: 05/03/2023] [Indexed: 06/01/2023] Open
Abstract
Objective Readiness for hospital discharge is an important indicator of patients' transition from illness to health and can predict rehabilitation and prognosis. Identifying factors that influence readiness for discharge is crucial for developing effective nursing interventions. Therefore, this study aims to investigate the current status of discharge readiness and its influencing factors in elderly patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Methods A total of 311 elderly inpatients diagnosed with COPD were enrolled in this investigation at a tertiary hospital in Chengdu between December 2021 and June 2022. Questionnaires were designed to collect general information, disease-related information, and responses to the Readiness for Hospital Discharge Scale (RHDS) and the Quality of Discharge Teaching Scale (QDTS). Univariate and multivariate linear regression analyses were employed to further analyze factors related to discharge readiness and the correlation between discharge readiness and the quality of discharge guidance. Results The total score of discharge readiness of elderly COPD patients was 77.72 ± 11.86 with a mean score of 6.48 ± 0.19 for each item. The quality of discharge instructions was 110.54 ± 15.66, with a mean score of 6.12 ± 0.15 for each item. Discharge preparation was positively correlated with the quality of discharge guidance. Multivariate analysis showed that marital status, admission mode, length of stay in hospital, Classification of Severity of Airflow Limitation, mMRC classification, number of medications taken with discharge, presence of inhalers in medication orders, mode of home oxygen therapy, and quality of discharge guidance were independent factors of discharge readiness in elderly COPD patients (P < 0.05). Conclusion Both discharge readiness and the quality of discharge guidance for elderly COPD patients in China are currently suboptimal and need further improvement. The survey findings provide valuable insights that can guide future management practices and interventions aimed at improving discharge readiness.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dao-Lin Wu
- School of Nursing, Chengdu Medical College, Chengdu, Sichuan, People’s Republic of China
- Clinical Medical College and the First Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu Medical College, Chengdu, Sichuan, People’s Republic of China
| | - Chun-Li Luo
- School of Nursing, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, People’s Republic of China
| | - Xu Du
- School of Nursing, Chengdu Medical College, Chengdu, Sichuan, People’s Republic of China
| | - Pei-Pei Li
- School of Nursing, Chengdu Medical College, Chengdu, Sichuan, People’s Republic of China
| | - Min Jiang
- School of Nursing, Chengdu Medical College, Chengdu, Sichuan, People’s Republic of China
| | - Tao Liu
- Clinical Medical College and the First Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu Medical College, Chengdu, Sichuan, People’s Republic of China
- Department of Oncology, Clinical Medical College and the First Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu Medical College, Key Clinical Specialty of Sichuan, Chengdu, Sichuan, People’s Republic of China
| | - Yun Sun
- School of Nursing, Chengdu Medical College, Chengdu, Sichuan, People’s Republic of China
- Clinical Medical College and the First Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu Medical College, Chengdu, Sichuan, People’s Republic of China
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Zhang B, Sun D, Niu H, Dong F, Lyu J, Guo Y, Du H, Chen Y, Chen J, Cao W, Yang T, Yu C, Chen Z, Li L. Development of a prediction model to identify undiagnosed chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients in primary care settings in China. Chin Med J (Engl) 2023; 136:676-682. [PMID: 37027436 PMCID: PMC10129090 DOI: 10.1097/cm9.0000000000002448] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/01/2022] [Indexed: 04/08/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND At present, a large number of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients are undiagnosed in China. Thus, this study aimed to develop a simple prediction model as a screening tool to identify patients at risk for COPD. METHODS The study was based on the data of 22,943 subjects aged 30 to 79 years and enrolled in the second resurvey of China Kadoorie Biobank during 2012 and 2013 in China. We stepwisely selected the predictors using logistic regression model. Then we tested the model validity through P-P graph, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), ten-fold cross validation and an external validation in a sample of 3492 individuals from the Enjoying Breathing Program in China. RESULTS The final prediction model involved 14 independent variables, including age, sex, location (urban/rural), region, educational background, smoking status, smoking amount (pack-years), years of exposure to air pollution by cooking fuel, family history of COPD, history of tuberculosis, body mass index, shortness of breath, sputum and wheeze. The model showed an area under curve (AUC) of 0.72 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.72-0.73) for detecting undiagnosed COPD patients, with the cutoff of predicted probability of COPD=0.22, presenting a sensitivity of 70.13% and a specificity of 62.25%. The AUROC value for screening undiagnosed patients with clinically significant COPD was 0.68 (95% CI: 0.66-0.69). Moreover, the ten-fold cross validation reported an AUC of 0.72 (95% CI: 0.71-0.73), and the external validation presented an AUC of 0.69 (95% CI: 0.68-0.71). CONCLUSION This prediction model can serve as a first-stage screening tool for undiagnosed COPD patients in primary care settings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Buyu Zhang
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, China
| | - Dong Sun
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, China
| | - Hongtao Niu
- Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Center of Respiratory Medicine, China–Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing 100029, China
- National Center for Respiratory Medicine and National Clinical Research Center for Respiratory Diseases, Beijing 100029, China
- Institute of Respiratory Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing 100007, China
| | - Fen Dong
- National Center for Respiratory Medicine and National Clinical Research Center for Respiratory Diseases, Beijing 100029, China
- Institute of Respiratory Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing 100007, China
| | - Jun Lyu
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, China
- Peking University Center for Public Health and Epidemic Preparedness and Response, Beijing 100191, China
- Key Laboratory of Molecular Cardiovascular Sciences (Peking University), Ministry of Education, Beijing 100191, China
| | - Yu Guo
- National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Fuwai Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing 100037, China
| | - Huaidong Du
- Medical Research Council Population Health Research Unit at the University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7LF, UK
- Clinical Trial Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7LF, UK
| | - Yalin Chen
- Maiji Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Tianshui, Gansu 741020, China
| | - Junshi Chen
- China National Center for Food Safety Risk Assessment, Beijing 100022, China
| | - Weihua Cao
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, China
| | - Ting Yang
- Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Center of Respiratory Medicine, China–Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing 100029, China
- National Center for Respiratory Medicine and National Clinical Research Center for Respiratory Diseases, Beijing 100029, China
- Institute of Respiratory Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing 100007, China
| | - Canqing Yu
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, China
- Peking University Center for Public Health and Epidemic Preparedness and Response, Beijing 100191, China
| | - Zhengming Chen
- Clinical Trial Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7LF, UK
| | - Liming Li
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing 100191, China
- Peking University Center for Public Health and Epidemic Preparedness and Response, Beijing 100191, China
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Yang J, Mosabbir AA, Raheem E, Hu W, Hossain MS. Demographic characteristics, clinical symptoms, biochemical markers and probability of occurrence of severe dengue: A multicenter hospital-based study in Bangladesh. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2023; 17:e0011161. [PMID: 36921001 PMCID: PMC10042364 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0011161] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/19/2022] [Revised: 03/27/2023] [Accepted: 02/10/2023] [Indexed: 03/16/2023] Open
Abstract
Establishing reliable early warning models for severe dengue cases is a high priority to facilitate triage in dengue-endemic areas and optimal use of limited resources. However, few studies have identified the complex interactive relationship between potential risk factors and severe dengue. This research aimed to assess the potential risk factors and detect their high-order combinative effects on severe dengue. A structured questionnaire was used to collect detailed dengue outbreak data from eight representative hospitals in Dhaka, Bangladesh, in 2019. Logistic regression and machine learning models were used to examine the complex effects of demographic characteristics, clinical symptoms, and biochemical markers on severe dengue. A total of 1,090 dengue cases (158 severe and 932 non-severe) were included in this study. Dyspnoea (Odds Ratio [OR] = 2.87, 95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 1.72 to 4.77), plasma leakage (OR = 3.61, 95% CI: 2.12 to 6.15), and hemorrhage (OR = 2.33, 95% CI: 1.46 to 3.73) were positively and significantly associated with the occurrence of severe dengue. Classification and regression tree models showed that the probability of occurrence of severe dengue cases ranged from 7% (age >12.5 years without plasma leakage) to 92.9% (age ≤12.5 years with dyspnoea and plasma leakage). The random forest model indicated that age was the most important factor in predicting severe dengue, followed by education, plasma leakage, platelet, and dyspnoea. The research provides new evidence to identify key risk factors contributing to severe dengue cases, which could be beneficial to clinical doctors to identify and predict the severity of dengue early.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jingli Yang
- Ecosystem Change and Population Health Research Group, School of Public Health and Social Work, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia
- College of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
| | - Abdullah Al Mosabbir
- Department of Emerging and Neglected Diseases, Biomedical Research Foundation, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Enayetur Raheem
- Department of Emerging and Neglected Diseases, Biomedical Research Foundation, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Wenbiao Hu
- Ecosystem Change and Population Health Research Group, School of Public Health and Social Work, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia
- * E-mail: (WH); (MSH)
| | - Mohammad Sorowar Hossain
- Department of Emerging and Neglected Diseases, Biomedical Research Foundation, Dhaka, Bangladesh
- School of Environment and Life Sciences, Independent University, Dhaka, Bangladesh
- * E-mail: (WH); (MSH)
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Yang T, Cai B, Cao B, Kang J, Wen F, Chen Y, Jian W, Wang C. REALizing and improving management of stable COPD in China: results of a multicentre, prospective, observational study (REAL). Ther Adv Respir Dis 2023; 17:17534666231178692. [PMID: 37318116 DOI: 10.1177/17534666231178692] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/16/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) management in China is far from adequate; underdiagnosis and undertreatment are major barriers to optimal care and improved patient outcomes. OBJECTIVE To generate reliable information on COPD management, outcomes, treatment patterns and adherence, and disease knowledge in China in a real-world setting. DESIGN A 52-week multicentre, prospective, observational study. METHODS Outpatients (⩾40 years old) diagnosed with COPD were enrolled from 50 secondary and tertiary hospitals across six geographical regions. Data were collected in routine clinical practice. RESULTS Between June 2017 and January 2019, 5013 patients were enrolled and 4978 included in the analysis. Mean [standard deviation (SD)] age was 66.2 (8.9) years, 79.5% were male and 90% had moderate-to-very-severe airflow limitation. Annual rates of overall and severe exacerbation were 0.56 and 0.31, respectively. During 1 year, 1536 (30.8%) patients experienced ⩾1 exacerbation and 960 (19.3%) patients had ⩾1 exacerbation requiring hospitalization/emergency visit. Mean (SD) COPD assessment test score was 14.6 (7.6) at baseline and 10.6 (6.8) at follow-up; however, 42-55% of patients had persistent dyspnoea, chest tightness and wheezing at 1 year. The most prescribed treatments were inhaled corticosteroid (ICS)/long-acting β2-agonist (LABA) (36.0%), ICS/LABA + long-acting muscarinic antagonist (LAMA) (17.7%) and LAMA monotherapy (15.3%). Among patients with high exacerbation risk (GOLD Groups C and D), 10.1% and 13.1%, respectively, did not receive any long-acting inhalers; only 53.8% and 63.6% of Group C and D patients with ⩾1 exacerbation during follow-up were prescribed ICS-containing therapy, respectively. Mean (SD) adherence for long-acting inhalers was 59.0% (34.3%). Mean (SD) score for the COPD questionnaire was 6.7 (2.4). CONCLUSION These results indicate a high burden of severe exacerbations and symptoms in Chinese outpatients with COPD, and low adherence with treatment guidelines, highlighting the need for more effective management nationwide. REGISTRATION The trial was registered on 20 March 2017 (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT03131362).
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Affiliation(s)
- Ting Yang
- Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, National Clinical Research Centre for Respiratory Diseases, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China
- Institute of Respiratory Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Science, Beijing, China
| | - Baiqiang Cai
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Bin Cao
- Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, National Clinical Research Centre for Respiratory Diseases, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China
- Institute of Respiratory Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Science, Beijing, China
| | - Jian Kang
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, The First Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, China
| | - Fuqiang Wen
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Yahong Chen
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Peking University Third Hospital, Beijing, China
| | - Wenhua Jian
- State Key Laboratory of Respiratory Disease, National Clinical Research Center for Respiratory Disease, Guangzhou Institute of Respiratory Disease, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Chen Wang
- Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, National Clinical Research Centre for Respiratory Diseases, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, No. 2, East Yinghua Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100029, China
- Institute of Respiratory Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
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Lv S, Liu X, Li Z, Lu F, Guo M, Liu M, Wei J, Wu Z, Yu S, Li S, Li X, Gao W, Tao L, Wang W, Xin J, Guo X. Causal effect of PM 1 on morbidity of cause-specific respiratory diseases based on a negative control exposure. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2023; 216:114746. [PMID: 36347395 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2022.114746] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/28/2022] [Revised: 10/27/2022] [Accepted: 11/04/2022] [Indexed: 06/16/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Extensive studies have linked PM2.5 and PM10 with respiratory diseases (RD). However, few is known about causal association between PM1 and morbidity of RD. We aimed to assess the causal effects of PM1 on cause-specific RD. METHODS Hospital admission data were obtained for RD during 2014 and 2019 in Beijing, China. Negative control exposure and extreme gradient boosting with SHapley Additive exPlanation was used to explore the causality and contribution between PM1 and RD. Stratified analysis by gender, age, and season was conducted. RESULTS A total of 1,183,591 admissions for RD were recorded. Per interquartile range (28 μg/m3) uptick in concentration of PM1 corresponded to a 3.08% [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.66%-4.52%] increment in morbidity of total RD. And that was 4.47% (95% CI: 2.46%-6.52%) and 0.15% (95% CI: 1.44%-1.78%), for COPD and asthma, respectively. Significantly positive causal associations were observed for PM1 with total RD and COPD. Females and the elderly had higher effects on total RD, COPD, and asthma only in the warm months (Z = 3.03, P = 0.002; Z = 4.01, P < 0.001; Z = 3.92, P < 0.001; Z = 2.11, P = 0.035; Z = 2.44, P = 0.015). Contribution of PM1 ranked first, second and second for total RD, COPD, and asthma among air pollutants. CONCLUSION PM1 was causally associated with increased morbidity of total RD and COPD, but not causally associated with asthma. Females and the elderly were more vulnerable to PM1-associated effects on RD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shiyun Lv
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Beijing, 100069, China
| | - Xiangtong Liu
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Beijing, 100069, China
| | - Zhiwei Li
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Beijing, 100069, China
| | - Feng Lu
- Beijing Municipal Health Commission Information Center, Beijing, 100034, China
| | - Moning Guo
- Beijing Municipal Health Commission Information Center, Beijing, 100034, China
| | - Mengmeng Liu
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Beijing, 100069, China; National Institute for Data Science in Health and Medicine, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Jing Wei
- Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20740, USA
| | - Zhiyuan Wu
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Beijing, 100069, China
| | - Siqi Yu
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Beijing, 100069, China
| | - Shihong Li
- Department of Respiratory, Beijing Chaoyang Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Xia Li
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics, La Trobe University, Melbourne, 3086, Australia
| | - Wenkang Gao
- State Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Boundary Layer Physics and Atmospheric Chemistry (LAPC), Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Lixin Tao
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Beijing, 100069, China
| | - Wei Wang
- School of Medical Sciences and Health, Edith Cowan University, WA6027, Perth, Australia
| | - Jinyuan Xin
- State Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Boundary Layer Physics and Atmospheric Chemistry (LAPC), Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
| | - Xiuhua Guo
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Beijing, 100069, China; National Institute for Data Science in Health and Medicine, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
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11
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Zhao Y, Anindya K, Atun R, Marthias T, Han C, McPake B, Duolikun N, Hulse E, Fang X, Ding Y, Oldenburg B, Lee JT. Provincial heterogeneity in the management of care cascade for hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidaemia in China: Analysis of nationally representative population-based survey. Front Cardiovasc Med 2022; 9:923249. [PMID: 36093142 PMCID: PMC9458474 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2022.923249] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/19/2022] [Accepted: 07/29/2022] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Background This study aims to examine (1) province-level variations in the levels of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk and behavioral risk for CVDs, (2) province-level variations in the management of cascade of care for hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidaemia, and (3) the association of province-level economic development and individual factors with the quality of care for hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidaemia. Methods We used nationally representative data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study in 2015, which included 12,597 participants aged 45 years. Using a care cascade framework, we examined the quality of care provided to patients with three prevalent NCDs: hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidaemia. The proportion of WHO CVD risk based on the World Health Organization CVD risk prediction charts, Cardiovascular Risk Score (CRS) and Behavior Risk Score (BRS) were calculated. We performed multivariable logistic regression models to determine the individual-level drivers of NCD risk variables and outcomes. To examine socio-demographic relationships with CVD risk, linear regression models were applied. Results In total, the average CRS was 4.98 (95% CI: 4.92, 5.05), while the average BRS was 3.10 (95% confidence interval: 3.04, 3.15). The weighted mean CRS (BRS) in Fujian province ranged from 4.36 to 5.72 (P < 0.05). Most of the provinces had a greater rate of hypertension than diabetes and dyslipidaemia awareness and treatment. Northern provinces had a higher rate of awareness and treatment of all three diseases. Similar patterns of regional disparity were seen in diabetes and dyslipidaemia care cascades. There was no evidence of a better care cascade for CVDs in patients who reside in more economically advanced provinces. Conclusion Our research found significant provincial heterogeneity in the CVD risk scores and the management of the cascade of care for hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidaemia for persons aged 45 years or more. To improve the management of cascade of care and to eliminate regional and disparities in CVD care and risk factors in China, local and population-based focused interventions are necessary.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yang Zhao
- The George Institute for Global Health, Beijing, China
- The George Institute for Global Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia
- *Correspondence: Yang Zhao ;
| | - Kanya Anindya
- The Nossal Institute for Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | - Rifat Atun
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, United States
- Department of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Harvard University, Boston, MA, United States
| | - Tiara Marthias
- The Nossal Institute for Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
- Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Public Health and Nursing, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta, Indonesia
| | - Chunlei Han
- College of Public Health and Management, Binzhou Medical University, Yantai, China
| | - Barbara McPake
- The Nossal Institute for Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | | | - Emily Hulse
- Department of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Harvard University, Boston, MA, United States
| | - Xinyue Fang
- Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Yimin Ding
- School of Software, Tongji University, Shanghai, China
| | - Brian Oldenburg
- Baker Heart and Diabetes Institute, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
| | - John Tayu Lee
- The Nossal Institute for Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
- Public Health Policy Evaluation Unit, Department of Primary Care and Public Health, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
- Department of Health Service Research and Policy, Australian National University, Canberra, NSW, Australia
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12
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Hu W, Fang L, Zhang H, Ni R, Pan G. Global disease burden of COPD from 1990 to 2019 and prediction of future disease burden trend in China. Public Health 2022; 208:89-97. [PMID: 35728417 DOI: 10.1016/j.puhe.2022.04.015] [Citation(s) in RCA: 33] [Impact Index Per Article: 11.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/06/2021] [Revised: 04/15/2022] [Accepted: 04/29/2022] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES This study aimed to assess and predict the disease burden attributable to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in a timely, comprehensive, and reliable manner, thereby mitigating the health hazards of COPD. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS Data on the disease burden owing to COPD from 1990 to 2019 were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2019. Linear regression analysis was used to calculate the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) in the age-standardized rates. Non-parametric tests were used for subgroup analysis. The Bayesian age-period-cohot (BAPC) model integrated nested Laplace approximations to predict the disease burden over the next 25 years. Sensitivity analysis was performed using the Norpred APC model. RESULTS Globally, the COPD-related age-standardized incidence rate decreased from 216.48/100,000 in 1990 to 200.49/100,000 in 2019, with an EAPC of -0.33. But the number of new cases increased from 8,722,966 in 1990 to 16, 214, 828 in 2019. Trends in prevalence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were the same as incidence. There were significant differences in disease burden between the genders and all age groups (P < 0.05) in China. The projections suggested that the COPD-related number of new cases and deaths in China would increase by approximately 1.5 times over the next 25 years. CONCLUSIONS The number of incidence, prevalence, deaths, and DALYs had all increased in China in the past and would continue to grow over the next 25 years. Therefore, measures should be taken to target risk factors and high-risk groups.
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Affiliation(s)
- W Hu
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, Anhui, 230032, China
| | - L Fang
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, Anhui, 230032, China
| | - H Zhang
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, Anhui, 230032, China
| | - R Ni
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, Anhui, 230032, China
| | - G Pan
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, 81 Meishan Road, Hefei, Anhui, 230032, China.
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13
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Zhang P, Chen B, Lou H, Zhu Y, Chen P, Dong Z, Zhu X, Li T, Lou P. Predictors and outcomes of obstructive sleep apnea in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in China. BMC Pulm Med 2022; 22:16. [PMID: 34983482 PMCID: PMC8725359 DOI: 10.1186/s12890-021-01780-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 26] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/07/2021] [Accepted: 11/30/2021] [Indexed: 01/08/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND "Overlap syndrome" refers to obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) combined with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and has poorer outcomes than either condition alone. We aimed to evaluate the prevalence and possible predictors of overlap syndrome and its association with clinical outcomes in patients with COPD. METHODS We assessed the modified Medical Research Council dyspnea scale (mMRC), Epworth sleepiness scale (ESS), COPD assessment test (CAT), Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS), Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), and STOP-Bang questionnaire (SBQ) and performed spirometry and full overnight polysomnography in all patients. An apnea-hypopnea index (AHI) ≥ 5 events per hour was considered to indicate OSA. Risk factors for OSA in COPD patients were identified by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. RESULTS A total of 556 patients (66%) had an AHI ≥ 5 events per hour. There were no significant differences in age, sex ratio, mMRC score, smoking index, number of acute exacerbations and hospitalizations in the last year, and prevalence of cor pulmonale between the two groups (all p > 0.05). Body mass index (BMI), neck circumference, CAT score, CCI, ESS, HADS, and SBQ scores, forced expiratory volume (FEV)1, FEV1% pred, FEV1/forced vital capacity ratio, and prevalence of hypertension, coronary heart disease, and diabetes were all significantly higher and the prevalence of severe COPD was significantly lower in the COPD-OSA group compared with the COPD group (p < 0.05). BMI, neck circumference, ESS, CAT, CCI, HADS, hypertension, and diabetes were independent risk factors for OSA in COPD patients (p < 0.05). SBQ could be used for OSA screening in patients with COPD. Patients with severe COPD had a lower risk of OSA compared with patients with mild or moderate COPD (β = - 0.459, odds ratio = 0.632, 95% confidence interval 0.401-0.997, p = 0.048). CONCLUSION Patients with overlap syndrome had a poorer quality of life, more daytime sleepiness, and a higher prevalence of hypertension and diabetes than patients with COPD alone. BMI, neck circumference, ESS, CAT, CCI, HADS, hypertension, and diabetes were independent risk factors for OSA in patients with COPD. The risk of OSA was lower in patients with severe, compared with mild or moderate COPD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Pan Zhang
- Department of Control and Prevention of Chronic Non-communicable Diseases of Xuzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, 142 West Erhuan Road, Xuzhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Bi Chen
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, China
| | - Heqing Lou
- Department of Control and Prevention of Chronic Non-communicable Diseases of Xuzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, 142 West Erhuan Road, Xuzhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Yanan Zhu
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, China
| | - Peipei Chen
- Department of Control and Prevention of Chronic Non-communicable Diseases of Xuzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, 142 West Erhuan Road, Xuzhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Zongmei Dong
- Department of Control and Prevention of Chronic Non-communicable Diseases of Xuzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, 142 West Erhuan Road, Xuzhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Xuan Zhu
- Department of Control and Prevention of Chronic Non-communicable Diseases of Xuzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, 142 West Erhuan Road, Xuzhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Ting Li
- Department of Control and Prevention of Chronic Non-communicable Diseases of Xuzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, 142 West Erhuan Road, Xuzhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Peian Lou
- Department of Control and Prevention of Chronic Non-communicable Diseases of Xuzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, 142 West Erhuan Road, Xuzhou, Jiangsu, China.
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Okui T, Park J. Geographical Differences and Their Associated Factors in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Mortality in Japan: An Ecological Study Using Nationwide Data. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2021; 18:ijerph182413393. [PMID: 34949002 PMCID: PMC8704528 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph182413393] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/14/2021] [Revised: 12/15/2021] [Accepted: 12/18/2021] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
Geographical differences in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) mortality have not been determined using municipal-specific data in Japan. This study determined the geographical differences in COPD mortality in Japan using municipal-specific data and identified associated factors. Data on COPD mortality from 2013 to 2017 for each municipality were obtained from the Vital Statistics of Japan. We calculated the standardized mortality ratio (SMR) of COPD by an empirical Bayes method for each municipality and located the SMRs on a map of Japan. In addition, an ecological study was conducted to identify factors associated with the SMR using demographic, socioeconomic, and medical characteristics of municipalities by a spatial statistics model. Geographical differences in the SMR were different in men and women, and municipalities with a low SMR tended to be more frequent in women. Spatial regression analysis identified that the total population and taxable income per capita were negatively associated with the SMR in men. In women, population density, the proportion of fatherless households, and the number of clinics per capita were positively associated with the SMR, whereas taxable income per capita was negatively associated with the SMR. There were some differences in regional characteristics associated with COPD mortality by sex.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tasuku Okui
- Medical Information Center, Kyushu University Hospital, Fukuoka 812-8582, Japan
- Correspondence:
| | - Jinsang Park
- Department of Pharmaceutical Sciences, International University of Health and Welfare, Fukuoka 831-8501, Japan;
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15
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Liao F, Tan Y, Wang Y, Zhou C, Wang Q, Li J, He L, Peng X. lncRNA AABR07005593.1 potentiates PM 2.5-induced interleukin-6 expression by targeting MCCC1. ECOTOXICOLOGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL SAFETY 2021; 226:112834. [PMID: 34619471 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoenv.2021.112834] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/15/2021] [Revised: 09/20/2021] [Accepted: 09/22/2021] [Indexed: 06/13/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Fine particle pollution, specifically pollution by fine particulate matter (PM2.5), remains a significant concern in developing countries and plays an important role in the development and progression of respiratory diseases. Increasing evidences have demonstrated that long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) may act as vital molecules by binding to specific RNA-binding protein (RBP); however, their relationship with PM2.5 pollution is largely unexplored. OBJECTIVE We investigated the association between lncRNA and respiratory system inflammation caused by PM2.5. METHODS PM2.5 components were detected by gas chromatography-mass spectrometry (GC-MS), inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry (ICP-MS), and ionic chromatography. We established an inflammation model of PM2.5-induced toxicity in vivo (male and female SD rats, 0, 25, 50 and 100 mg/k PM2.5, 1, 7 and 14 days, single non-invasive tracheal instillation) and in vitro (rat alveolar macrophage cell line (NR8383), 0, 50, 100, 200, 400 μM PM2.5 for 24, 48, and 72 h). lncRNA high-throughput sequencing (lncRNA-seq) was used to investigate lncRNA profiles in PM2.5-treated NR8383 cells, and RNA interference (RNAi) was applied to explore the function of the target lncRNA. The mechanisms associated with specific lncRNAs were explored using comprehensive identification of RNA-binding proteins by mass spectrometry (ChIRP-MS) and western blot. RESULTS PM2.5-treated NR8383 cells and SD rats exhibited respiratory inflammation. lncRNA AABR07005593.1 was a pro-inflammatory factor that regulated IL-6 levels. Mechanistically, ChIRP-MS and western blot analyses revealed that highly expressed lncRNA AABR07005593.1 interacted with MCCC1 to involve in the activation of NF-κB pathway, and ultimately promoted the expression of IL-6. CONCLUSION This study demonstrated that PM2.5 induced inflammation in vivo and in vitro. Furthermore, lncRNA AABR07005593.1 bound to MCCC1 to potentiated IL-6 expression. Therefore, lncRNA AABR07005593.1 may act as a potential biomarker for PM2.5 inflammation.
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Affiliation(s)
- FangPing Liao
- State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Environmental Pollution Health Risk Assessment, South China Institute of Environmental Sciences, Ministry of Ecology and Environment, Guangzhou 510535, China; School of Public Health, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, China
| | - Yi Tan
- State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Environmental Pollution Health Risk Assessment, South China Institute of Environmental Sciences, Ministry of Ecology and Environment, Guangzhou 510535, China
| | - YuYu Wang
- State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Environmental Pollution Health Risk Assessment, South China Institute of Environmental Sciences, Ministry of Ecology and Environment, Guangzhou 510535, China
| | - CaiLan Zhou
- School of Public Health and Management, YouJiang Medical University for Nationalities, Baise 533000, China
| | - QiuLing Wang
- School of Public Health, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, China
| | - JingLin Li
- School of Public Health, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning 530021, China
| | - LiMei He
- State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Environmental Pollution Health Risk Assessment, South China Institute of Environmental Sciences, Ministry of Ecology and Environment, Guangzhou 510535, China
| | - XiaoWu Peng
- State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Environmental Pollution Health Risk Assessment, South China Institute of Environmental Sciences, Ministry of Ecology and Environment, Guangzhou 510535, China.
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