Exacerbations Predict Severe Cardiovascular Events in Patients with COPD and Stable Cardiovascular Disease–A Nationwide, Population-Based Cohort Study

CT-based whole lung radiomics nomogram: a tool for identifying the risk of cardiovascular disease in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the value of CT-based whole lung radiomics nomogram for identifying the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 974 patients with COPD were divided into a training cohort (n = 402), an internal validation cohort (n = 172), and an external validation cohort (n = 400) from three hospitals. Clinical data and CT findings were analyzed. Radiomics features of whole lung were extracted from the non-contrast chest CT images. A radiomics signature was constructed with algorithms. Combined with the radiomics score and independent clinical factors, multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to establish a radiomics nomogram. ROC curve was used to analyze the prediction performance of the model.

RESULTS

Age, weight, and GOLD were the independent clinical factors. A total of 1218 features were extracted and reduced to 15 features to build the radiomics signature. In the training cohort, the combined model (area under the curve [AUC], 0.731) showed better discrimination capability (p < 0.001) than the clinical factors model (AUC, 0.605). In the internal validation cohort, the combined model (AUC, 0.727) performed better (p = 0.032) than the clinical factors model (AUC, 0.629). In the external validation cohort, the combined model (AUC, 0.725) performed better (p < 0.001) than the clinical factors model (AUC, 0.690). Decision curve analysis demonstrated the radiomics nomogram outperformed the clinical factors model.

CONCLUSION

The CT-based whole lung radiomics nomogram has the potential to identify the risk of CVD in patients with COPD.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

This study helps to identify cardiovascular disease risk in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease on chest CT scans.

KEY POINTS

• To investigate the value of CT-based whole lung radiomics features in identifying the risk of cardiovascular disease in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients. • The radiomics nomogram showed better performance than the clinical factors model to identify the risk of cardiovascular disease in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. • The radiomics nomogram demonstrated excellent performance in the training, internal validation, and external validation cohort (AUC, 0.731; AUC, 0.727; AUC, 0.725).

The Effect of Pulmonary Rehabilitation on Cardiovascular Risk, Oxidative Stress and Systemic Inflammation in Patients with COPD

PURPOSE

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a leading cause of death, and cardiovascular (CV) comorbidities play a role. Evidence of the pulmonary rehabilitation (PR) effect in reducing the CV risk (CVR) in COPD patients is limited. In this study, we aimed to determine the impact of an 8-week PR program (PRP) on the CVR of the overall population and to compare the impact on the exacerbator versus non-exacerbator patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This was a prospective study that included adults who had post-bronchodilator forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) to forced vital capacity (FVC) (FEV1/FVC) ratio <70% and FEV1 <80% predicted, had quit smoking for at least 1 year and had a history of tobacco consumption greater than 10 packs/year, and were clinically stable in the last 8 weeks. Pre- and post-PRP assessments included respiratory function evaluation, laboratory tests, and exercise capacity assessment (6-minute walking test [6MWT]). CVR was assessed using different risk prediction models.

RESULTS

A total of 50 patients (28 exacerbators and 22 non-exacerbators) completed the PRP (median age: 64.5 years, men: 72%; arterial hypertension: 70%, dyslipidemia: 30%, diabetes: 20%; CV disease (CVD): 24%. After the PRP, exacerbator patients showed a significant decrease in the CVR calculated by the COPDCoRi model (p<0.001); patients with ≥30-meter increase on the 6MWT showed statistically significant lower levels of glucose (p=0.004), HbA1c (p=0.004) and BODE index score (p=0.026) compared to patients with <30-meter increase.

CONCLUSIONS

PR reduced certain modifiable CVR factors and CVD risk, especially in exacerbator patients.

Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Exacerbations Increase the Risk of Subsequent Cardiovascular Events: A Longitudinal Analysis of the COPDGene Study

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the most important comorbidity in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). COPD exacerbations not only contribute to COPD progression but may also elevate the risk of CVD. This study aimed to determine whether COPD exacerbations increase the risk of subsequent CVD events using up to 15 years of prospective longitudinal follow-up data from the COPDGene (Genetic Epidemiology of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease) study.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The COPDGene study is a large, multicenter, longitudinal investigation of COPD, including subjects at enrollment aged 45 to 80 years with a minimum of 10 pack-years of smoking history. Cox proportional hazards models and Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to assess the risk of a composite end point of CVD based on the COPD exacerbation rate. Frequent exacerbators exhibited a higher cumulative incidence of composite CVD end points than infrequent exacerbators, irrespective of the presence of CVD at baseline. After adjusting for covariates, frequent exacerbators still maintained higher hazard ratios (HRs) than the infrequent exacerbator group (without CVD: HR, 1.81 [95% CI, 1.47-2.22]; with CVD: HR, 1.92 [95% CI, 1.51-2.44]). This observation remained consistently significant in moderate to severe COPD subjects and the preserved ratio impaired spirometry population. In the mild COPD population, frequent exacerbators showed a trend toward more CVD events.

CONCLUSIONS

COPD exacerbations are associated with an increased risk of subsequent cardiovascular events in subjects with and without preexisting CVD. Patients with COPD experiencing frequent exacerbations may necessitate careful monitoring and additional management for subsequent potential CVD.

REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT00608764.

Rate of severe exacerbations, healthcare resource utilisation and clinical outcomes in patients with COPD in low-income and middle-income countries: results from the EXACOS International Study

INTRODUCTION

The EXAcerbations of Chronic obstructive lung disease (COPD) and their OutcomeS (EXACOS) International Study aimed to quantify the rate of severe exacerbations and examine healthcare resource utilisation (HCRU) and clinical outcomes in patients with COPD from low-income and middle-income countries.

METHODS

EXACOS International was an observational, cross-sectional study with retrospective data collection from medical records for a period of up to 5 years. Data were collected from 12 countries: Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Dominican Republic, Guatemala, Hong Kong, Mexico, Panama, Russia and Taiwan. The study population comprised patients ≥40 years of age with COPD. Outcomes/variables included the prevalence of severe exacerbations, the annual rate of severe exacerbations and time between severe exacerbations; change in lung function over time (measured by the forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1)); peripheral blood eosinophil counts (BECs) and the prevalence of comorbidities; treatment patterns; and HCRU.

RESULTS

In total, 1702 patients were included in the study. The study population had a mean age of 69.7 years, with 69.4% males, and a mean body mass index of 26.4 kg/m2. The mean annual prevalence of severe exacerbations was 20.1%, and 48.4% of patients experienced ≥1 severe exacerbation during the 5-year study period. As the number of severe exacerbations increased, the interval between successive exacerbations decreased. A statistically significant decrease in mean (SD) FEV1 from baseline to post-baseline was observed in patients with ≥1 severe exacerbation (1.23 (0.51) to 1.13 (0.52) L; p=0.0000). Mean BEC was 0.198 x109 cells/L, with 64.7% of patients having a BEC ≥0.1 x109 cells/L and 21.3% having a BEC ≥0.3 x109 cells/L. The most common comorbidity was hypertension (58.3%). An increasing number of severe exacerbations per year was associated with greater HCRU.

DISCUSSION

The findings presented here indicate that effective treatment strategies to prevent severe exacerbations in patients with COPD remain a significant unmet need in low-income and middle-income countries.

Temporal Risk of Nonfatal Cardiovascular Events After Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Exacerbation: A Population-based Study

Rationale: Cardiovascular events after chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbations are recognized. Studies to date have been post hoc analyses of trials, did not differentiate exacerbation severity, included death in the cardiovascular outcome, or had insufficient power to explore individual outcomes temporally.Objectives: We explore temporal relationships between moderate and severe exacerbations and incident, nonfatal hospitalized cardiovascular events in a primary care-derived COPD cohort.Methods: We included people with COPD in England from 2014 to 2020, from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink Aurum primary care database. The index date was the date of first COPD exacerbation or, for those without exacerbations, date upon eligibility. We determined composite and individual cardiovascular events (acute coronary syndrome, arrhythmia, heart failure, ischemic stroke, and pulmonary hypertension) from linked hospital data. Adjusted Cox regression models were used to estimate average and time-stratified adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs).Measurements and Main Results: Among 213,466 patients, 146,448 (68.6%) had any exacerbation; 119,124 (55.8%) had moderate exacerbations, and 27,324 (12.8%) had severe exacerbations. A total of 40,773 cardiovascular events were recorded. There was an immediate period of cardiovascular relative rate after any exacerbation (1-14 d; aHR, 3.19 [95% confidence interval (CI), 2.71-3.76]), followed by progressively declining yet maintained effects, elevated after one year (aHR, 1.84 [95% CI, 1.78-1.91]). Hazard ratios were highest 1-14 days after severe exacerbations (aHR, 14.5 [95% CI, 12.2-17.3]) but highest 14-30 days after moderate exacerbations (aHR, 1.94 [95% CI, 1.63-2.31]). Cardiovascular outcomes with the greatest two-week effects after a severe exacerbation were arrhythmia (aHR, 12.7 [95% CI, 10.3-15.7]) and heart failure (aHR, 8.31 [95% CI, 6.79-10.2]).Conclusions: Cardiovascular events after moderate COPD exacerbations occur slightly later than after severe exacerbations; heightened relative rates remain beyond one year irrespective of severity. The period immediately after an exacerbation presents a critical opportunity for clinical intervention and treatment optimization to prevent future cardiovascular events.

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and cardiovascular disease: mechanistic links and implications for practice

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) are both significant burdens on the healthcare system and often coexist. Mechanistic links between the two conditions and their clinical impact are increasingly understood.

RECENT FINDINGS

Recent studies demonstrate multiple mechanisms by which the pathobiology of COPD may have negative effects on the cardiovascular system. These include extrapulmonary consequences of the COPD inflammatory state, cardiac autonomic dysfunction, which has been recently implicated in worsening respiratory symptoms and exacerbation risk, and mechanical effects of lung hyperinflation on left ventricular diastolic function.Clinical studies have consistently shown a high prevalence of CVD in COPD patients and worsened outcomes (and vice versa ). Exacerbations of COPD have also been demonstrated to dramatically increase the risk of cardiovascular events. While some safety concerns exist, medications for COPD and cardiovascular disease should be used in accordance with respective guidelines. However, real-world data show suboptimal management for patients with COPD and CVD.

SUMMARY

COPD and cardiovascular disease have complicated interrelationships. Further mechanistic studies may lead to defining better targets for interventions. Education for medical professionals and implementation of novel screening protocols should be encouraged to fill in the gaps in clinical care for these patients.

Risk of Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Hospitalizations after COPD Hospitalization among Older Adults

BACKGROUND

Meta-analyses have suggested the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) events is significantly higher after a chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbation. However, these studies have been limited to highly selected patient populations potentially not generalizable to the broader population of COPD.

METHODS

We assessed the risk of ASCVD hospitalizations after COPD hospitalization compared to before COPD hospitalization and identified patient factors associated with ASCVD hospitalizations after COPD hospitalization. This retrospective cohort study used claims data from 920,550 Medicare beneficiaries hospitalized for COPD from 2016-2019 in the US. The primary outcome was risk of a ASCVD hospitalization composite outcome (myocardial infarction, percutaneous coronary intervention, coronary artery by-pass graft surgery, stroke, or transient ischemic attack) in the 1 year after-COPD hospitalization relative to the 1 year before-COPD hospitalization. Time from discharge to a composite ASCVD hospitalization outcome was modeled using an extension of the Cox Proportional-Hazards model, the Anderson-Gill model with adjustment for patient characteristics. Additional analyses evaluated for interactions in subgroups and risk factors associated with the composite ASCVD hospitalization outcome.

RESULTS

Among 920,550 patients (mean age, 73 years) the hazard ratio estimate (HR; 95% CI) for the composite ASCVD hospitalization outcome after-COPD hospitalization vs before-COPD hospitalization was 0.99 (0.97, 1.02; p = 0.53) following adjustment. We observed 3 subgroups that were significantly associated with higher risk for ASCVD hospitalizations after COPD hospitalization: 76+ years old, women, COPD hospitalization severity. Among the 19 characteristics evaluated, 10 were significantly associated with higher risk of CVD events 1 year after COPD hospitalization with hyperlipidemia (2.78; 2.67, 2.90) and history of cardiovascular disease (1.77; 1.72 1.83) associated with the greatest risk.

CONCLUSION

Among Medicare beneficiaries hospitalized for COPD, the risk of ASCVD hospitalizations was not significantly increased after COPD-hospitalization relative to before-COPD hospitalization. Although, we identified age 76+ years old, female sex, and COPD hospitalization severity as high risk subgroups and 10 risk factors associated with increased risk of ASCVD events after-COPD hospitalization. Further research is needed to characterize the COPD exacerbation populations at highest ASCVD hospitalization risk.