Red Blood Cell Distribution Width (RDW) as a Predictor of In-Hospital Mortality in COVID-19 Patients; a Cross Sectional Study

Indicators of stress hematopoiesis in the blood predict COVID-19 progression in patients over 65 years old

OBJECTIVES

Advanced age is a well-established risk factor for severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Exacerbated inflammation affects multiple organs, among which hematopoiesis responds by increased output of various cells. We aimed to determine the association between COVID-19 progression and large immature cell (LIC) counts, changes in erythrocyte and platelet distribution widths (RDW, PDW) with reference to patients' age.

METHODS

A total of 755 patients with complete blood cell (CBC) analysis in the first 24 h of hospitalization were enrolled. Patients were divided into two groups: under and above 65 years of age.

RESULTS

The LIC counts were different in both groups (p < 0.003). However, only the senior patients had markedly different values of RDW and PDW (p < 0.001). The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis provided increased LIC (AUC = 0.600), RDW (AUC = 0.609), PDW (AUC = 0.556), and platelet to LIC ratio (AUC = 0.634) as significant in discriminating outcome in the older group. Importantly, these results were not repeated in the younger patients. In the elderly, the progression was predicted with LIC cut-off at ≥ 0.305 × 109/L (OR = 3.166) and RDW over 12.15% (OR = 2.081).

DISCUSSION

Aging is characterized by a decline in immunological competence with a compromised control of inflammation leading to a proinflammatory state. This background together with the actions of pathogens may lead to emergency myelopoiesis.

CONCLUSION

Our results point to the important differences between age groups regarding CBC-related parameters of stress hematopoiesis during severe infection. Higher LIC, RDW and PDW levels were reliable in the early identification of COVID-19 progression only in the elderly.

Construction of Survival Nomogram for Ventilator-Associated Pneumonia Patients: Based on MIMIC Database

Objective: To construct and validate a predictive nomogram model for the survival of patients with ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) to enhance prediction of 28-day survival rate in critically ill patients with VAP. Methods: A total of 1,438 intensive care unit (ICU) patients with VAP were screened through Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC)-IV. On the basis of multi-variable Cox regression analysis data, nomogram performance in predicting survival status of patients with VAP at ICU admission for 7, 14, and 28 days was evaluated using the C-index and area under the curve (AUC). Calibration and decision curve analysis curves were generated to assess clinical value and effectiveness of model, and risk stratification was performed for patients with VAP. Result: Through stepwise regression screening of uni-variable and multi-variable Cox regression models, independent prognostic factors for predicting nomogram were determined, including age, race, body temperature, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, anion gap, bicarbonate concentration, partial pressure of carbon dioxide, mean corpuscular hemoglobin, and liver disease. The model had C-index values of 0.748 and 0.628 in the train and test sets, respectively. The receiver operating characteristic curve showed that nomogram had better performance in predicting 28-day survival status in the train set (AUC = 0.74), whereas it decreased in the test set (AUC = 0.66). Calibration and decision curve analysis curve results suggested that nomogram had favorable predictive performance and clinical efficacy. Kaplan-Meier curves showed significant differences in survival between low, medium, and high-risk groups in the total set and training set (log-rank p < 0.05), further validating the effectiveness of the model. Conclusion: The VAP patient admission ICU 7, 14, and 28-day survival prediction nomogram was constructed, contributing to risk stratification and decision-making for such patients. The model is expected to play a positive role in supporting personalized treatment and management of VAP.

Relation between red blood cell distribution width and 30-day in-hospital mortality of patients with ventilator-associated pneumonia

BACKGROUND

Epidemiological studies have demonstrated an association between red blood cell distribution width (RDW) and the prognosis of pneumonia-associated diseases. However, prognostic value of RDW in patients with ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) has yet to be investigated. This study aimed to explore the association between RDW and in-hospital mortality in VAP patients and explore predictive value of RDW for VAP patients.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 1,543 VAP patients from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV database 2008-2019. The primary outcome was considered to 30-day in-hospital mortality of VAP patients in this study. Non-high RDW level group was defined as <15 %, and high RDW level group as ≥15%. The possible confounding factors were screened by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression. Univariate and multivariate COX regression analyses were used for the assessment on the association of RDW and 30-day in-hospital mortality in VAP patients. We also performed subgroup analyses. Furthermore, a comparative analysis of RDW and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score and simplified acute physiology score II (SAPS II) were performed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

RESULTS

The 30-day in-hospital mortality of VAP patients was approximately 19.05%. After adjusting all confounding factors, high RDW was associated with 30-day in-hospital mortality among VAP patients by using non-high RDW as the reference [hazard ratio (HR) =1.29, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.01-1.63]. Additionally, the relationship was also robust in several populations, such as patients were younger than 60 years, or had not a history of congestive heart failure, or had a history of sepsis, or had not received renal replacement therapy, or had a duration of mechanical ventilation for more than 7 days. The result of ROC indicated that RDW had a better prognostic value in predicting 30-day in-hospital mortality for VAP patients than SOFA score and SAPS II score.

CONCLUSION

High RDW level is associated with an increased 30-day in-hospital mortality. The RDW is a promising biomarker in predicting 30-day in-hospital mortality for patients admitted to the ICU, regardless of VAP.

The Relationship Between Prognosis and Red Cell Distribution Width (RDW) and RDW-Albumin Ratio (RAR) in Patients with Severe COVID-19 Disease

Purpose

The present study aimed to investigate the relationship between prognosis and the red cell distribution width (RDW) and the RDW-albumin ratio (RAR) in patients with coronavirus diseases 2019 (COVID-19), since serum albumin and RDW levels may reflect inflammatory conditions.

Patients and Methods

A total of 289 patients who had been diagnosed with severe COVID-19 in the emergency department were retrospectively analyzed. The RAR levels were calculated by dividing RDW-CV by albumin. Patient groups (survivors, dying patients, those who received mechanical ventilation (MV) support or not, and those who needed vasopressors or not) were compared with regard to RDW-SD, RDW-CV and the RAR levels.

Results

RDW-SD, RDW-CV and the RAR levels were found to be statistically significantly higher in patients who died, and who received MV and vasopressor support, compared to those who survived and did not receive support (p<0.001 for all). In addition, while the cut-off value of RAR was >5.43, the sensitivity was 91.6%, the specificity was 93.7%, NPV was 93.1% and the AUC was 0.965 in predicting mortality (p<0.001). Logistic regression analysis showed that RDW-SD and RAR were independent risk factors for mortality in patients with severe COVID-19.

Conclusion

Elevated RDW and RAR levels at the time of admission may independently predict mortality and the need for vasopressor or MV support.

Functional proteomic profiling links deficient DNA clearance with increased mortality in individuals with severe COVID-19 pneumonia

The factors that influence survival during severe infection are unclear. Extracellular chromatin drives pathology, but the mechanisms enabling its accumulation remain elusive. Here, we show that in murine sepsis models, splenocyte death interferes with chromatin clearance through the release of the DNase I inhibitor actin. Actin-mediated inhibition was compensated by upregulation of DNase I or the actin scavenger gelsolin. Splenocyte death and neutrophil extracellular trap (NET) clearance deficiencies were prevalent in individuals with severe COVID-19 pneumonia or microbial sepsis. Activity tracing by plasma proteomic profiling uncovered an association between low NET clearance and increased COVID-19 pathology and mortality. Low NET clearance activity with comparable proteome associations was prevalent in healthy donors with low-grade inflammation, implicating defective chromatin clearance in the development of cardiovascular disease and linking COVID-19 susceptibility to pre-existing conditions. Hence, the combination of aberrant chromatin release with defects in protective clearance mechanisms lead to poor survival outcomes.

The Association Between Bronchoscopy and the Prognoses of Patients With Ventilator-Associated Pneumonia in Intensive Care Units: A Retrospective Study Based on the MIMIC-IV Database

Background: In intensive care units (ICUs), the morbidity and mortality of ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) are relatively high, and this condition also increases medical expenses for mechanically ventilated patients, which will seriously affect the prognoses of critically ill patients. The purpose of this study was to determine the impact of bronchoscopy on the prognosis of patients with VAP undergoing invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV).

Methods: This was a retrospective study based on patients with VAP from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV database. The outcomes were ICU and in-hospital mortality. Patients were divided based on whether or not they had undergone bronchoscopy during IMV. Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival curves and Cox proportional-hazards regression models were used to analyze the association between groups and outcomes. Propensity score matching (PSM) and propensity score based inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) were used to further verify the stability of the results. The effect of bronchoscopy on prognosis was further analyzed by causal mediation analysis (CMA).

Results: This study enrolled 1,560 patients with VAP: 1,355 in the no-bronchoscopy group and 205 in the bronchoscopy group. The KM survival curve indicated a significant difference in survival probability between the two groups. The survival probabilities in both the ICU and hospital were significantly higher in the bronchoscopy group than in the no bronchoscopy group. After adjusting all covariates as confounding factors in the Cox model, the HRs (95% CI) for ICU and in-hospital mortality in the bronchoscopy group were 0.33 (0.20–0.55) and 0.40 (0.26–0.60), respectively, indicating that the risks of ICU and in-hospital mortality were 0.67 and 0.60 lower than in the no-bronchoscopy group. The same trend was obtained after using PSM and IPTW. CMA showed that delta-red blood cell distribution width (RDW) mediated 8 and 7% of the beneficial effects of bronchoscopy in ICU mortality and in-hospital mortality.

Conclusion: Bronchoscopy during IMV was associated with reducing the risk of ICU and in-hospital mortality in patients with VAP in ICUs, and this beneficial effect was partially mediated by changes in RDW levels.

Red cell distribution width and in-hospital mortality in septic shock: A public database research

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to explore the relationship between red cell distribution width (RDW) and in-hospital mortality in septic shock based on a large-scale public database.

METHODS

All patients with septic shock in MIMIC-IV were enrolled. Based on RDW values, the general characteristics of different groups were compared. Different models were constructed for exploring the association of RDW and in-hospital mortality. To assess the predictive value of RDW, receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was applied.

RESULTS

A total of 3006 patients with septic shock were included and in-hospital mortality was 32.27% (n = 970). The results of the fully adjusted model demonstrated that RDW was positively associated with in-hospital mortality in septic shock patients after adjusting all confounders (OR = 1.12, 95% CI:1.08-1.17, p < .001). A linear relationship between RDW and in-hospital mortality was found. For predicting in-hospital mortality, the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of RDW was .602 and the best threshold of RDW was 17.25%.

CONCLUSION

RDW was associated with in-hospital mortality in septic shock. It could be a useful marker for predicting clinical outcomes in septic shock.

COVID-19, Cation Dysmetabolism, Sialic Acid, CD147, ACE2, Viroporins, Hepcidin and Ferroptosis: A Possible Unifying Hypothesis

Background: iron and calcium dysmetabolism, with hyperferritinemia, hypoferremia, hypocalcemia and anemia have been documented in the majority of COVID-19 patients at later/worse stages. Furthermore, complementary to ACE2, both sialic acid (SA) molecules and CD147 proved relevant host receptors for SARS-CoV-2 entry, which explains the viral attack to multiple types of cells, including erythrocytes, endothelium and neural tissue. Several authors advocated that cell ferroptosis may be the core and final cell degenerative mechanism. Methods: a literature research was performed in several scientific search engines, such as PubMed Central, Cochrane Library, Chemical Abstract Service. More than 500 articles were retrieved until mid-December 2021, to highlight the available evidence about the investigated issues. Results: based on COVID-19 literature data, we have highlighted a few pathophysiological mechanisms, associated with virus-based cation dysmetabolism, multi-organ attack, mitochondria degeneration and ferroptosis. Our suggested elucidated pathological sequence is: a) spike protein subunit S1 docking with sialylated membrane glycoproteins/receptors (ACE2, CD147), and S2 subunit fusion with the lipid layer; b) cell membrane morpho-functional changes due to the consequent electro-chemical variations and viroporin action, which induce an altered ion channel function and intracellular cation accumulation; c) additional intracellular iron concentration due to a deregulated hepcidin-ferroportin axis, with higher hepcidin levels. Viral invasion may also affect erythrocytes/erythroid precursors, endothelial cells and macrophages, through SA and CD147 receptors, with relative hemoglobin and iron/calcium dysmetabolism. AB0 blood group, hemochromatosis, or environmental elements may represent possible factors which affect individual susceptibility to COVID-19.     Conclusions: our literature analysis confirms the combined role of SA molecules, ACE2, CD147, viroporins and hepcidin in determining the cation dysmetabolism and final ferroptosis in the cells infected by SARS-CoV-2. The altered ion channels and electrochemical gradients of the cell membrane have a pivotal role in the virus entry and cell dysmetabolism, with subsequent multi-organ immune-inflammatory degeneration and erythrocyte/hemoglobin alterations.

COVID-19, Cation Dysmetabolism, Sialic Acid, CD147, ACE2, Viroporins, Hepcidin and Ferroptosis: A Possible Unifying Hypothesis

Background: iron and calcium dysmetabolism, with hyperferritinemia, hypoferremia, hypocalcemia and anemia have been documented in the majority of COVID-19 patients at later/worse stages. Furthermore, complementary to ACE2, both sialic acid (SA) molecules and CD147 proved relevant host receptors for SARS-CoV-2 entry, which explains the viral attack to multiple types of cells, including erythrocytes, endothelium and neural tissue. Several authors advocated that cell ferroptosis may be the core and final cell degenerative mechanism. Methods: a literature research was performed in several scientific search engines, such as PubMed Central, Cochrane Library, Chemical Abstract Service. More than 500 articles were retrieved until mid-December 2021, to highlight the available evidence about the investigated issues. Results: based on COVID-19 literature data, we have highlighted a few pathophysiological mechanisms, associated with virus-based cation dysmetabolism, multi-organ attack, mitochondria degeneration and ferroptosis. Our suggested elucidated pathological sequence is: a) spike protein subunit S1 docking with sialylated membrane glycoproteins/receptors (ACE2, CD147), and S2 subunit fusion with the lipid layer; b) cell membrane morpho-functional changes due to the consequent electro-chemical variations and viroporin action, which induce an altered ion channel function and intracellular cation accumulation; c) additional intracellular iron concentration due to a deregulated hepcidin-ferroportin axis, with higher hepcidin levels. Viral invasion may also affect erythrocytes/erythroid precursors, endothelial cells and macrophages, through SA and CD147 receptors, with relative hemoglobin and iron/calcium dysmetabolism. AB0 blood group, hemochromatosis, or environmental elements may represent possible factors which affect individual susceptibility to COVID-19.     Conclusions: our literature analysis confirms the combined role of SA molecules, ACE2, CD147, viroporins and hepcidin in determining the cation dysmetabolism and final ferroptosis in the cells infected by SARS-CoV-2. The altered ion channels and electrochemical gradients of the cell membrane have a pivotal role in the virus entry and cell dysmetabolism, with subsequent multi-organ immune-inflammatory degeneration and erythrocyte/hemoglobin alterations.