Time to progression is the main predictor of survival in patients with high-risk nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer: Results from a machine learning-based analysis of a large multi-institutional database

BACKGROUND

In patients affected by high-risk nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer (HR-NMIBC) progression to muscle invasive status is considered as the main indicator of local treatment failure. We aimed to investigate the effect of progression and time to progression on overall survival (OS) and to investigate their validity as surrogate endpoints.

METHODS

A total of 1,510 patients from 18 different institutions treated for T1 high grade NMIBC, followed by a secondary transurethral resection and BCG intravesical instillation. We relied on random survival forest (RSF) to rank covariates based on OS prediction. Cox's regression models were used to quantify the effect of covariates on mortality.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 49.0 months, 485 (32.1%) patients progressed to MIBC, while 163 (10.8%) patients died. The median time to progression was 82 (95%CI: 78.0-93.0) months. In RSF time-to-progression and age were the most predictive covariates of OS. The survival tree defined 5 groups of risk. In multivariable Cox's regression models accounting for progression status as time-dependent covariate, shorter time to progression (as continuous covariate) was associated with longer OS (HR: 9.0, 95%CI: 3.0-6.7; P < 0.001). Virtually same results after time to progression stratification (time to progression ≥10.5 months as reference).

CONCLUSION

Time to progression is the main predictor of OS in patients with high risk NMIBC treated with BCG and might be considered a coprimary endpoint. In addition, models including time to progression could be considered for patients' stratification in clinical practice and at the time of clinical trials design.

Intra-arterial chemotherapy plus BCG, a promising combination adjuvant treatment for high-risk NMIBC

PURPOSE

To develop a novel combination therapy for high-risk nonmuscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) after transurethral resection of bladder tumor (TURBT), namely, intra-arterial chemotherapy (IAC) plus BCG immunotherapy, and to compare the feasibility and safety of the 2 therapies.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted on the data of 119 patients who were diagnosed with high-risk NMIBC and underwent TURBT in the past 5 years. Those who did not complete the treatment were excluded, and the remaining 98 patients were divided into 2 groups: both groups received intravesical BCG immunotherapy, while the BCG+IAC group received 4 courses of extra intra-arterial chemotherapy. Clinical and follow-up data were processed using statistical software.

RESULTS

The recurrence rate was 22.2% in the BCG+IAC group and 35.8% in the BCG group, whereas the progression rates were 8.9% and 24.5%, respectively. In the Kaplan-Meier plot, a statistically significant difference was observed with respect to recurrence-free survival (p = 0.025), as well as the progression-free survival of the two groups was similar (p = 0.019). A total of 22.2% of the patients with adverse effects of IAC and 79.6% of patients suffered from adverse reactions to BCG immunotherapy, and most of the adverse effects were mild and tolerable. Univariate and multivariate analysis indicated that multifocal and treatment were independent risk factors for recurrence, while the history of recurrence and treatment were independent risk factors for progression.

CONCLUSION

IAC could be a promising auxiliary treatment for BCG immunotherapy in decreasing the recurrence and progression rate of high-risk NMIBC with little additional toxicity.

The vaccine journey for COVID-19: a comprehensive systematic review of current clinical trials in humans

INTRODUCTION

Since December 2019, there has been an outbreak of a novel beta-Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) in Wuhan, China. On March 11, 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared COVID-19 as a pandemic, with over 118,000 cases in more than 110 countries around the world. In response to the global Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) emergency, clinical trial research assessing the efficacy and safety of experimental vaccines to prevent COVID-19 are emerging at an unprecedented rate. The aim of this systematic review was to summarize the preliminary experiences and ongoing clinical trials of the major candidates and challenges of the vaccine strategies in humans.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

After a-priori protocol registration with PROSPERO (181483), systematic research of the published literature was conducted on April 24, 2020, using Medline (via PubMed), Embase (via Ovid), and WHO databases. Moreover, to explore the more recent literature we also searched the preprint server medRxiv. Finally, we scrutinized the Cochrane COVID-19 study register and the COVID-19 section of ClinicalTrials.gov database to identify relevant ongoing clinical trials. Thereafter we selected the articles according to the PRISMA Guidelines. Animal or in-vitro experimental studies were excluded. Moreover editorials, commentaries, abstracts, reviews, book chapters, and articles not in English were not included.

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

Our search identified 1359 published papers, 478 preprint articles and 367 ongoing clinical trials. Finally, only ten ongoing clinical trials met the inclusion criteria. Specifically, seven developed vaccines for the S protein of SARS-CoV-2 and three clinical trials assessed the protective role of BCG vaccine against COVID-19. The first group included phase I/II trials with different types of molecules (DNA or mRNA vaccine, bacterial plasmid or viral vectors), the latter were phase III/IV trials designed on the basis of a heterologous lymphocyte activation by the BCG vaccine.

CONCLUSIONS

This new disease is pushing the scientific community to develop swiftly a safe and effective vaccine. Notwithstanding the limitations of our analysis, given by the absence of available results, we try to provide a comprehensive view of the ongoing clinical trials in humans. Our analysis reveals a worldwide effort of both scientists and enterprises to achieve one of the most challenging goals of our century.

Risk Stratification for the Rate and Location of Residual Bladder Tumor for the Decision of Re-Transurethral Resection of Bladder Tumor

Introduction

To assess the rate and location of residual tumor in re-transurethral resection of bladder tumor (re-TURBT) and develop a risk stratification tool to assist clinicians in making treatment decisions.

Patients and Methods

The data of 144 patients with high-risk bladder cancer who received re-TURBT were retrospectively reviewed. The rate and location of residual tumors was recorded. Logistic regression was performed to explore risk factors for residual tumors, and a risk classification tool was developed.

Results

Among the 144 patients, the rates of residual tumor and tumor location at the base of the primary tumor were 22.2% and 10.4%, respectively. Non-urothelial carcinoma subspecialist, piecemeal resection and the absence of detrusor muscle in the first specimen were defined as risk factors. Patients were categorized into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups according to the number of risk factors. The rate of residual tumor in the high-risk group was significantly higher than that in the low- and intermediate-risk groups (50% vs. 7.8%, P=0.001; 50% vs. 18.6%, P=0.002). Moreover, high-risk patients benefitted more from a second resection at the base of the primary tumor due to the high rate of residual tumor located at this site than low- and intermediate-risk patients (23.5% vs. 2.0%, P=0.002; 23.5% vs. 10.2%, P=0.083).

Conclusions

Risk stratification based on the subspecialist category, operative method, and presence or absence of detrusor muscle in the first specimen could help identify patients who benefit from re-TURBT and second resection the base of the primary tumor.

Predictors of response to BCG therapy in non-muscle invasive bladder cancer

Intravesical BCG (Bacillus Calmette-Guerin) therapy represents the therapy of choice for intermediary and high risk NMIBC after transurethral resection. However, up to 40% of these patients do not show adequate response to the therapy (BCG failure) and 15% of them experience the progression of the disease to muscle-invasive bladder cancer. In such cases, radical cystectomy is indicated. Studies suggest that early radical cystectomy in patients with BCG failure is followed by better survival compared to delayed radical cystectomy. The prediction of response to BCG therapy could enable early identification of patients on which this therapy would have no effect and who should undergo early radical cystectomy.

Critical shortage in BCG immunotherapy: How did we get here and where will it take us?

Intravesical Bacillus Calmette-Guérin vaccine, one of the most successful bio-therapies to date, has been the gold standard treatment for non-muscle invasive bladder cancer for 44 years. International shortages have necessitated rationing this life-saving medication with deleterious effects on the primary treatment of high-grade non-muscle invasive bladder cancer. Understanding the history of intravesical Bacillus Calmette-Guérin gives us insight into the current shortages and future perspectives for novel immunotherapy opportunities against this deadly disease.

Bladder perforation during transurethral resection of the bladder: a comprehensive algorithm for diagnosis, management and follow up

INTRODUCTION

Despite bladder perforation (BP) is a frequent complication during transurethral resection of bladder (TURB) for bladder cancer (BCa), literature lacks systematic reviews focusing on this issue. We aimed to investigate incidence, diagnosis, therapy, and prognosis after BP during TURB for BCa; therapy was distinguished between conservative (without the need for bladder repair) and surgical management (requiring bladder wall closure).

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

A systematic search was conducted up to April 2021 using PubMed, Scopus, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, and Web of Science to identify articles focusing on incidence, detection, management, or survival outcomes after iatrogenic BP. The selection of articles followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analyses process.

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

We included 41 studies, involving 21,174 patients. Overall, 521 patients experienced BP during TURB for BCa, with a mean incidence of 2.4%, up to 58.3% when post-operative cystography is routinely performed after all TURB procedures. Risk factors were low body mass index (BMI) (p=0.01), resection depth (p=0.006 and p=0.03), and low surgical experience (p=0.006). Extraperitoneal BP (68.5%) were treated conservatively in 97.5% of patients; intraperitoneal BP were managed with surgical bladder closure in 56% of cases. Overall, three immediate BP-related deaths were recorded due to septic complications. Extravesical tumour seeding was observed after 6 intraperitoneal and 1 extraperitoneal BP (median time: 6.2 months). Intraperitoneal BP (p=0.0003) and bladder closure (p<0.001) were found as independent predictors of extravesical tumour recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

BP is more frequent than expected when proper diagnosis is routinely performed after all TURB procedures. Risk factors include low BMI, resection depth, and unexperienced surgeon. The risk of sepsis after BP suggests empirical antibiotic prophylaxis after BP.

Association of statin use and oncological outcomes in patients with first diagnosis of T1 high grade non-muscle invasive urothelial bladder cancer: results from a multicenter study

BACKGROUND

We aimed to test the hypothesis that the immune-modulatory effect of statins may improve survival outcomes in patients with non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC). We focused on a cohort of patients diagnosed with high risk NMIBC, that were treated with intravesical BCG immunotherapy.

METHODS

We included patients at first diagnosis of T1 high grade NMIBC after transurethral resection of bladder (TURB). All procedures were performed at 18 different tertiary institutions between January 2002 and December 2012. Univariable and multivariable models were used to test differences in terms of residual tumor, disease recurrence, disease progression and overall mortality (OM) rates.

RESULTS

Overall, 1510 patients with T1 high grade NMIBC at TURB were included in our analyses. Of these, 402 (26.6%) were statin users. At multivariable analysis, statin use was associated with a higher rate of high-grade BC at re-TURB (OR: 1.37, 95%CI: 1.04-1.78; P=0.022), while at follow-up it was not independently associated with OM (HR: 0.71, 95%CI: 0.50-1.03; P=0.068) and disease progression rates (HR: 0.97, 95%CI: 0.79-1.19; P=0.753). Conversely, statin use has been shown to be independently associated with a lower risk of recurrence (HR:0.80, 95%CI: 0.67-0.95; P=0.009). The median recurrence-free survival was 47 (95%CI 40-49) months for those classified as non-statin users vs. 53 (95%CI 48-68) months in those classified as statin users.

CONCLUSIONS

Statin daily intake do not compromise oncological outcomes in high risk NMIBC patients treated with BCG. Moreover, statin may have a beneficial effect on recurrence rates in this cohort of patients.

Novel anticancer therapy in BCG unresponsive non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer

INTRODUCTION

Many patients with non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) failed intravesical BCG therapy. Currently, radical cystectomy is the recommended standard of care for those patients. There is unfortunately no effective other second-line therapy recommended.

AREAS COVERED

In this review, we present the topics of BCG unresponsive NMIBC; definition, prognosis, and further treatment options: immunotherapy, intravesical chemotherapy, gene therapy, and targeted individualized therapy.

EXPERT OPINION

There are major challenges of the management of NMIBC who failed BCG therapy as many patients refuse or are unfit for radical cystectomy. Multiple new modalities currently under investigation in ongoing clinical trials to better treat this category of patients. Immunotherapy, especially PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors, offers exciting and potentially effective strategies for the treatment of BCG unresponsive NMIBC. As the data expands, it is sure that soon there will be established new guidelines for NMIBC.

Forecasting the Future of Urology Practice: A Comprehensive Review of the Recommendations by International and European Associations on Priority Procedures During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Context

The unprecedented health care scenario caused by the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has revolutionized urology practice worldwide.

Objective

To review the recommendations by the international and European national urological associations/societies (UASs) on prioritization strategies for both oncological and nononcological procedures released during the current emergency scenario.

Evidence acquisition

Each UAS official website was searched between April 8 and 18, 2020, to retrieve any document, publication, or position paper on prioritization strategies regarding both diagnostic and therapeutic urological procedures, and any recommendations on the use of telemedicine and minimally invasive surgery. We collected detailed information on all urological procedures, stratified by disease, priority (higher vs lower), and patient setting (outpatient vs inpatient). Then, we critically discussed the implications of such recommendations for urology practice in both the forthcoming “adaptive” and the future “chronic” phase of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Evidence synthesis

Overall, we analyzed the recommendations from 13 UASs, of which four were international (American Urological Association, Confederation Americana de Urologia, European Association of Urology, and Urological Society of Australia and New Zealand) and nine national (from Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Poland, Portugal, The Netherlands, and the UK). In the outpatient setting, the procedures that are likely to impact the future burden of urologists’ workload most are prostate biopsies and elective procedures for benign conditions. In the inpatient setting, the most relevant contributors to this burden are represented by elective surgeries for lower-risk prostate and renal cancers, nonobstructing stone disease, and benign prostatic hyperplasia. Finally, some UASs recommended special precautions to perform minimally invasive surgery, while others outlined the potential role of telemedicine to optimize resources in the current and future scenarios.

Conclusions

The expected changes will put significant strain on urological units worldwide regarding the overall workload of urologists, internal logistics, inflow of surgical patients, and waiting lists. In light of these predictions, urologists should strive to leverage this emergency period to reshape their role in the future.

Patient summary

Overall, there was a large consensus among different urological associations/societies regarding the prioritization of most urological procedures, including those in the outpatient setting, urological emergencies, and many inpatient surgeries for both oncological and nononcological conditions. On the contrary, some differences were found regarding specific cancer surgeries (ie, radical cystectomy for higher-risk bladder cancer and nephrectomy for larger organ-confined renal masses), potentially due to different prioritization criteria and/or health care contexts. In the future, the outpatient procedures that are likely to impact the burden of urologists’ workload most are prostate biopsies and elective procedures for benign conditions. In the inpatient setting, the most relevant contributors to this burden are represented by elective surgeries for lower-risk prostate and renal cancers, nonobstructing stone disease, and benign prostatic hyperplasia.

Biomarkers predicting oncological outcomes of high-risk non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer

INTRODUCTION

The European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) and the Spanish Urological Club for Oncological Treatment (CUETO) scoring systems show limited accuracy for the prediction of disease recurrence and progression of non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC). This aspect is even more relevant in the category of HR NMIBC. Biomarkers might potentially help to further categorize the outcomes of these patients. Therefore, we sought to review the evidence available on tissue-based, urinary, and serum biomarkers for the prediction of recurrence, progression, and survival in HR NMIBC.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

A systematic literature review without time restrictions was performed using PubMed/EMBASE, Web of Science, SCOPUS, and the Cochrane Libraries. The search was filtered for articles in the English, Italian, German, French, and Spanish languages, involving patients with more than 18 years of age. Relevant papers on tissue-based, serum and urinary biomarkers related to the prediction of oncological outcomes for high-risk bladder cancer patients were included in the analyses.

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

Overall, 71 studies were eligible for inclusion in this review. The majority of the investigations performed so far focused on immunohistochemical analyses on tumoral tissue. Overall, p53 was the most studied biomarker, but results regarding its prognostic and predictive role were contradictory. Ki67 seems to be a promising biomarker in the prediction of recurrence. Recently, PD-L1 has been associated with the prediction of recurrence free survival and of treatment-refractory disease. Markers developed un urine samples are focused on commercially available kits, which currently do not unequivocally show strongly superior levels of accuracy to cytology. However, they have demonstrated to be potentially helpful in the prediction of recurrence. Blood-based biomarkers represent an emerging reality with promising future applications.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite a long history of attempts to discover accurate biomarkers predicting oncological outcomes for HR NMIBC, contradictory or uncertain findings render the adoption of this ancillary techniques in clinical practice still unlikely. Future attempts should be directed to the development of prospective trials and the definition of standardized cut-off levels to render findings worthy of comparison.

En-bloc resection of bladder tumors for pathological staging: the value of lateral margins analysis

BACKGROUND

In endoscopic resection of colorectal tumors, the pathological assessment of the lateral margins is a strong predictor of tumor recurrence after resection. The aim of the current study is to evaluate the value of the peritumoral margins assessment in ERBT on tumor recurrence.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the data of 50 consecutive patients with NMIBC and treated by ERBT between January and December 2017.

RESULTS

The lateral margins showed dysplasia in 16 patients and malignancy in three patients. Local recurrence occurred in 14 (28%) patients. It was noted that 57% of patients with recurrence showed some degree of dysplasia or malignancy in the lateral margin; however, on multivariate logistic regression lateral margins lesions were not significantly associated with recurrence (OR 2.175, 95% CI: 0.430-10.996, P=0.35).

CONCLUSIONS

ERBT may improve the pathological report of bladder tumor. There was a trend toward increased rate of recurrence in patients with dysplasia or malignancy in their lateral margins; however, this was not statistically significant on multivariate analysis. Further studies with larger sample sizes are required to assess the value of lateral margin analysis.

Efficacy of fluorescent cystoscopy-assisted transurethral resection in patients with non-muscle invasive bladder cancer and quality of surgery: post-hoc analysis of а prospective randomized study

Introduction

This paper aims to evaluate the influence of quality of transurethral resection in patients with non-muscle invasive bladder cancer on the benefit of fluorescent cystoscopy-assisted transurethral resection in the post hoc analysis of the single-center randomized controlled trial.

Material and methods

We retrospectively analyzed the results of the prospective randomized study assessing the efficacy of fluorescent cystoscopy-assisted transurethral resection. The quality of transurethral resection was defined on the basis of a separate retrospective study estimating the variability in recurrence risk for the individual surgeon. The subgroup analysis of fluorescent cystoscopy-assisted transurethral resection efficacy depending on surgical experience was performed.

Results

Of 377 eligible patients, transurethral resection was performed in 365 (97%) by surgeons with available grading information. Two ‘experienced’ surgeons performed 238 (63%) of all transurethral resections and three ‘less experienced’ surgeons completed 127 (34%) surgeries. The two surgical groups were comparable with respect to basic prognostic factors and subsequent therapy. The median follow-up was 56 months.

In the total cohort of patients, fluorescent cystoscopy significantly decreased the risk of recurrence with hazard ratio 0.58 (p = 0.004). In the ‘experienced surgeons' subgroup the benefit of fluorescent cystoscopy was not significant (hazard ratio 0.81, p = 0.34), whereas the ‘less experienced’ subgroup showed a marked difference in favor of fluorescent cystoscopy-assisted transurethral resection (hazard ratio 0.31, p = 0.001), with a P-value for interaction of 0.021.

Conclusions

Baseline quality of surgery may be a significant interacting factor affecting the magnitude of the benefit of fluorescent cystoscopy-assisted transurethral resection in patients with non-muscle invasive bladder cancer.