Monitoring and Risk Assessment of Lead and Cadmium in Milks from East of Iran Using Monte Carlo Simulation Method

Nitrate concentrations and health risks in cow milk from Iran: Insights from deterministic, probabilistic, and AI modeling

Excessive nitrate consumption has been linked to potential health risks in humans. Thus, understanding nitrate levels in staple foods such as cow milk can provide insights into their health implications. This study meticulously examined nitrate concentrations in 70 cow milk samples from traditional and industrialized cattle farming systems in Fars province, Iran. A combination of deterministic modeling, a probabilistic approach, and six artificial intelligence algorithms was employed to determine health risk assessments. The data disclosed average nitrate concentrations of 32.63 mg/L in traditional farming and 34.95 mg/L in industrialized systems, presenting no statistically significant difference (p > 0.05). The Hazard Quotient (HQ) was deployed to gauge potential health threats, underscoring heightened vulnerability in children, who exhibited HQ values ranging from 0.05 to 0.58 (mean = 0.19) in contrast to adults, whose values spanned 0.01 to 0.16 (mean = 0.05). Monte Carlo simulations enriched the risk assessment, demarcating the 5th and 95th percentile nitrate concentrations for children at 0.07 and 0.39, respectively. In children, pivotal interactions that influenced HQ encompassed those between nitrate concentration and consumption rate, as well as nitrate concentration and body weight. The interplay between nitrate concentration and consumption rate was most consequential for the adult cohort. Among the algorithms assessed for HQ prediction, Gaussian Naive Bayes (GNB) was optimal for children and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) for adults, with nitrate concentration being a key determinant. The results underscore the imperative for rigorous oversight of milk nitrate concentrations, highlighting the enhanced susceptibility of children and emphasizing the need for preventive strategies and enlightened consumption.

Studying the concentration of xenobiotics in milk and developing the biosensor method for their rapid determination

In this article the content of toxic xenobiotics (heavy metals and pesticides) in cow milk collected from 5 districts of Eastern Kazakhstan was examined and their cumulative properties were determined. The content of organochlorine pesticides (HCCH, DDT) was not detected in the analyzed milk. The content of mercury and arsenic in milk samples does not exceed the maximum allowable concentration (0.005 and 0.05 mg/kg, respectively). The content of cadmium above the maximum allowable concentration (0.03 mg/kg) was found in milk sampled from Shemonaikha and Katon-Karagai districts. The content of lead and zinc above the maximum allowable concentration (0.1 and 5.0 mg/kg, respectively) was found in milk samples taken from all 5 studied districts. The content of copper above the maximum allowable concentration (1.0 mg/kg) was found in milk samples collected from 4 districts under study (Borodulikha, Beskaragai, Shemonaikha and Katon-Karagai). Based on the analysis of information data the need to develop an accelerated method of determining toxic xenobiotics in milk was substantiated. The basic directions of modernization of the biosensor for determination of cadmium and lead salts in milk and dairy products were selected. A new approach to the process of immobilization of the enzyme on the surface of a substrate for cadmium and lead salts determination in milk has been developed. The efficiency of using a polymeric plate with a graphite conducting layer as a basis for the enzyme biosensor was established.

Melamine in Iranian foodstuffs: A systematic review, meta-analysis, and health risk assessment of infant formula

The presence of melamine in food is one of the most significant threats to consumer health and food safety now confronting the communities. The goal of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to determine the melamine content of different food products available on the Iranian market. The pooled melamine concentration (95% confidence interval) on 484 samples of animal-based foodstuffs was as follows: 0.22 (0.08, 0.36 mg kg^-1) for milk, 0.39 (0.25, 0.53 mg kg^-1) for coffee mate, 1.45 (1.36, 1.54 mg kg^-1) for dairy cream, 0.90 (0.50, 1.29 mg kg^-1) for yoghurt, 1.25 (1.20, 1.29 mg kg^-1) for cheese, 0.81 (-0.16, 1.78 mg kg^-1) for hen eggs, 1.28 (1.25, 1.31 mg kg^-1) for poultry meat, 0.58 (0.35, 0.80 mg kg^-1) for chocolates, and 0.98 (0.18, 1.78 mg kg^-1) for infant formula. Based on the results of health risk assessment study on toddlers under 2 years old who ingested infant formula (as a melamine-sensitive group), all groups of toddlers are at an acceptable level of non-carcinogenic risk (THQ ≤ 1). Toddlers were classified according to their ILCR (carcinogenic risk) levels due to infant formula consumption as follows: under 6 months (0.0000056), 6-12 months (0.0000077), 12-18 months (0.0000102), and 18-24 months (0.0000117). The melamine carcinogenicity in infant formula for children had an ILCR value of 0.000001-0.0001 in the investigation, which was considerable risk. According to the findings, Iranian food products (notably infant formula) should be analyzed for melamine contamination on a regular basis.

Probabilistic health risk assessment of potentially toxic elements in the traditional and industrial olive products

Iran is recognized as one of the top olive producers globally, and it forms an integral part of the countries agriculture, particularly in Zanjan province. This study measured Hg, As, Pb, Cd, and Zn concentrations and evaluated probabilistic health risk in olive products. Results showed that Zn had the highest concentration (traditional and industrial table olive, Parvardeh, and olive oil: 4.912 ± 3.957 and 9.181 ± 6.385; 16.139 ± 6.986 and 18.330 ± 8.700; 41.385 ± 7.480 and 46.043 ± 15.773 μg g^-1, respectively) compared to other potentially toxic elements (PTEs). Additionally, Cd in table olive (traditional: 0.137 ± 199 and industrial: 0.059 ± 0.041 μg g^-1) and Parvardeh (traditional: 0.014 ± 0.009 and industrial: 0.019 ± 0.006 μg g^-1), and As in olive oil (traditional: 0.025 ± 0.006 and industrial: 0.026 ± 0.009 μg g^-1) had the lowest concentrations, respectively. As and Hg in table olive (0.224 ± 0.214 and 1.158 ± 0.974 μg g^-1) and Hg in Parvardeh (0.210 ± 0.213 μg g^-1) samples were significantly higher in traditional than industrial products (p < 0.05). Cd in Parvardeh (0.019 ± 0.006 μg g^-1) and Zn in table olive (9.181 ± 6.385 μg g^-1) samples were substantially more in industrial than traditional products (p < 0.05). Results suggest that industrially processed olive products are more likely to introduce higher levels of PTEs into the body. Nevertheless, based on the health risk assessment criteria, industrial products' hazard index (HI) values were lower than traditional types due to high Hg concentrations (HI = 0.01227 and 0.2708, respectively). Adults' total carcinogenic risk (TCR) in traditional olive products was higher than in industrial (sum TCR = 0.00016 and 0.00007, respectively). In conclusion, the results indicated that the consumption of olive products in the study area offered an increased non-carcinogenic and cancer risk to the population of this region owing to PTEs exposure, especially Hg.

The assessment of lead concentration in raw milk collected from some major dairy farms in Iran and evaluation of associated health risk

Milk is one of the most consumed sources among people, especially children. hence, its contamination with heavy metals can pose a serious risk to children. Therefore, this study aimed to measure the lead concentration as one of the most dangerous heavy metals in the raw milk of several major animal husbandries in Tehran province from Iran. A total of 57 raw milk samples were collected from different regions of Tehran province. The lead contents were measured using a graphite furnace atomic absorption spectrometer. To evaluate the risk of the samples and hazard quotient (HQ) were calculated. The results showed that HQ for all samples was lower than 1 which was found within the acceptable level. Because the absorption of Pb is higher in children and this metal has a cumulative property in the body, even its small weekly intake can be dangerous in long-term consumption.

The Occurrence of Lead in Animal Source Foods in Iran in the 2010s Decade: A Systematic Review

Lead is a toxic, non-biodegradable, and accumulative heavy metal released into the environment by natural and anthropogenic activities. Despite health concerns due to the consumption of lead-contaminated foods, no systematic and comprehensive review studies have been published about the lead occurrence in animal source foods in Iran. The present study aimed to review the papers investigating the Pb contamination in animal-based food groups (including meat, fish, milk and dairy products, egg and honey) in Iran. A comprehensive search was performed with selected keywords in databases of Scopus, Web of science, and Magiran to find articles that had been published from January 2010 to December 2019. Of 371 identified articles on Pb contaminations in foods, 60 articles were selected using PRISMA. The lead concentrations were higher than the maximum recommended limits in 3 of 9 studies on meat and meat products, 12 of 26 studies on fish and canned fish, and 5 of 18 studies on milk and dairy products. However, the Pb contamination observed in studies on honey and egg was not comparable due to the lack of national and international standards. These results represent the importance of environmental monitoring and assessment for reducing exposure of animals to Pb, resulting in an improvement of food safety.

Influence of cooking process on the content of water-soluble B vitamins in rice marketed in Iran

The aim of this study was to analyze the effect of cooking method on thiamin (B1), riboflavin (B2), and pyridoxine (B6) vitamin content of rice samples consumed in Iran by using high-performance liquid chromatography technique. The amount of B1, B2, and B6 obtained ranged from 2.98 to 15.89, 1.15 to 22.19, and 0.96 to 4.44 μg/g, respectively, for the boiling method. In the traditional method, these vitamins had a concentration between 4.09 and 29.55, 4.87 and 16.19, and 1.52 and 12.18 μg/g, respectively. However, limit of detection (LOD) values for B1, B2, and B6 vitamins were 0.159, 0.090, and 0.041 μg/ml, respectively. Multivariate methods and heatmap visualization were applied to estimate the correlation among the type and amount of vitamins and cooking methods. According to heatmap findings, B1 and B6 vitamins and the cooking method had the closest accessions, representing that this variable had similar trends. Nevertheless, it can be concluded that the traditional cooking method can maintain more vitamins in rice samples.

Analysis and health risk assessment of nitrosamines in meat products collected from markets, Iran: with the approach of chemometric

The aim of study was evaluate of the concentration and health risk of nitrosamines in 150 meat products samples by using gas chromatography coupled with mass spectrometry (GC/MS), with the chemometric approach. Among the identified nitrosamines, the levels of N-nitrosopyrrolidine (NPYR), N-nitrosopiperidine (NPIP), and total nitrosamines in meat sausages samples were significantly higher than chicken sausages (p < 0.05). Principal component analysis and heat map visualization confirmed meat percentage and sausages type (meat or chicken) which had significant effects on nitrosamines content. The NPIP and NPYR intake was 1.17E-07 and 2.12E-07 mg/kg bw/day, respectively. The Monte Carlo simulation results indicated that the 95th percentile from NPIP and NPYR based on ILCR index were 9.07E-07 and 4.72E-07, respectively. In conclusion, the carcinogenic risk of nitrosamines was considerably lower than the safe risk limit (CR > 1E-4) recommended by United States Environmental Protection Agency for Iranian population.

Determination of Lead Level in Pasteurized Milk and Dairy Products Consumed In Tehran and Evaluation of Associated Health Risk

Background: Milk and dairy products are the main sources of essential nutrients particularly for children. However, milk and dairy products can be contaminated with chemical hazards and contaminants which pose serious health risks for consumers. These toxic compounds are entered into the food chain through contaminated soil, water, and air and their presence even at low levels would result in metabolic disorders. Objectives: The aim of this study was to determine the level of lead in pasteurized milk and different dairy products in high-consumed brands in Tehran. Methods: A total of 38 samples (18 pasteurized milk and 20 dairy products from the most-consumed brands) were analyzed using graphite furnace atomic absorption spectroscopy for quantification of lead level. Hazard quotient (HQ) and carcinogenic risk (CR) were used to assess health risk and carcinogenic risk. Results: The results showed that the levels of lead in all pasteurized milk samples and dairy products were below the allowable limit. HQ was less than 1 in all samples and CR was in the range of 10-8 to 10-7 and both were at acceptable levels. Conclusions: It can be concluded that there was no risk of carcinogenicity in pasteurized milk samples and dairy products for children and adults. However, due to the higher consumption of milk by children and their greater susceptibility, the level of heavy metals should be monitored by health agencies.

Quantitative measurement of toxic metals and assessment of health risk in agricultural products food from Markazi Province of Iran

The current study aims to investigate the levels of the toxic metal in agricultural products (legumes, wheat, and potato) collected in Markazi province, Iran, and human health risk by using inductively coupled plasma - optical emission spectrometry (ICP-OES). The levels of arsenic (As) and cadmium (Cd) in all samples were lower than the limit of detection (LOD), while the level of Cd in potato samples was lower than the maximum permisible level (MPL) of the European commission (EC). The non-carcinogenic and carcinogenic risk assessment by direct ingestion of agricultural products was calculated using the United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) method. The highest mean of toxic metals was observed for lead (Pb) in legume samples (562.17 μg kg− 1). Mercury (Hg) and Pb levels in all samples were higher than LOD, while Pb level in wheat samples were lower than of EC. The rank order of Hg and Pb levels in all samples based on target hazard quotient (THQ) value was wheat> potato>legume. The THQ index of Hg and Pb by the deterministic method in wheat was 1.37 and 0.454; in potato 0.139 and 0.104; in legume 0.092 and 0.41, respectively. The carcinogenic risk index was at an acceptable range. The high hazard index values were estimated and the THQ index for Hg in wheat suggests a non-negligible health risk.

The analysis and probabilistic health risk assessment of acrylamide level in commercial nuggets samples marketed in Iran: effect of two different cooking methods

The aim of current study was to evaluate the acrylamide level in chicken, meat and shrimp nugget samples cooked in both traditional and industrial methods using "Quick, Easy, Cheap, Effective, Rugged, and Safe" QuEChERS extraction and gas chromatography-flame-ionization detection (GC-FID). Results revealed the traditional frying method has significant effect on the increase of acrylamide compared to industrial frying method and it was also found that the different cooking temperatures and time have significant effect on increase of acrylamide formation (p < 0.05), but type of edible oils had no significant effect. The highest acrylamide level found in shrimp nuggets (27 ± 1.5 ng/g) which fried by colza oil and traditional cooking method (6 min at 220 °C), while the lowest content of acrylamide found in chicken nuggets (7.3 ± 0.1 ng/g) which fried by corn oil and industrial method (3 min at 180 °C). Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) results indicated that the trend of potential non-carcinogenic risks on THQ for children was chicken nugget (3.51E-3) > meat nugget (1.36E-3) > shrimp nugget (1.43E-4) and for adults was chicken nugget (3.49E-4) > meat nugget (1.35E-4) > shrimp nugget (1.38E-5). The health risk of acrylamide for adults and children, was considerably lower than the safe risk limits (HQ >1 and CR > 1E-4) for Iranian population.

Concentration and health risk assessment of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in commercial tea and coffee samples marketed in Iran

The aim of the current study was to evaluate the probabilistic health risk and the concentration of 16 polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in commercial tea and coffee samples. For determining the mentioned contaminants in sixty-four samples, a reliable and sensitive technique was validated and developed. The technique is established on magnetic solid-phase extraction and gas chromatography-mass spectrometry analysis (MSPE/GC-MS). The maximum mean of ƩPAHs in coffee samples was 13.75 ± 2.90 μg kg^-1, while the minimum mean ƩPAHs in tea samples was 4.77 ± 1.01 μg kg^-1. The mean concentration of benzo(a)pyrene (BaP) in samples ranged from 0.64 to 2.07 μg kg^-1 which was lower than that of standard levels (10 μg kg^-1) established by the European Union (EU). The Monte Carlo simulation results showed that the actual target hazard quotient (THQ) for the adult and children was equal to 1.63E-04 and 1.67E-04, respectively; hence, non-carcinogenic health risk for consumers is negligible. The result of actual incremental lifetime cancer risk (ILCR) was lower than the limits of safe risk (1E-4), indicating no notable possibility of cancer risk due to the digestion of tea and coffee for children and adults. Therefore, it can be concluded that the amount of contamination of popular commercial coffee and tea available in the Iranian market with PAHs is often similar to that found in other countries and was lower than the standard of EU. Thus, the processing conditions of these products must be controlled to prevent the formation of PAHs due to the suspicion of carcinogenicity and mutation.

The Concentration and Probabilistic Health Risk of Potentially Toxic Elements (PTEs) in Edible Mushrooms (Wild and Cultivated) Samples Collected from Different Cities of Iran

The present study was devoted to investigate the PTE concentrations including cadmium (Cd), chromium (Cr), copper(Cu), iron (Fe), mercury (Hg), manganese (Mn), nickel (Ni), lead (Pb), arsenic(As), and zinc (Zn) among six types of edible wild, 23 cultivated mushroom samples collected from Iran's market by the aid of an inductively coupled plasma-optical emission spectrometry (ICP-OES). Also, the related health risk assessment was established by the aid of the Monte Carlo simulation method (MSC). The limit of detection (LOD) and limit of quantification (LOQ) were ranged 0.001-0.048 and 0.003-0.160 ppm, respectively. The concentrations of As, Cd, Cr, Cu, Fe, Hg, Mn, Ni, Pb, and Zn were determined in the ranges of 0.003-11. 5, 0.0008-5.89, 0.32-26.32, 9.15-110.08, 15.25-751.17, 0.16-2.24, 2.1-60.47, 1.21-24.22, 0.16-8.92, and 37.13-268.11 mg kg^-1, respectively. According to findings, highest mean concentration of Cr in both types of mushrooms (cultivated and wild) was lower than recommended level by Codex Alimentarius/Food and Agriculture Organization/World Health Organization (CODEX/FAO/WHO) while the corresponding values for Hg (0.87 mg kg^-1), As (1.39 mg kg^-1), Ni (10.08 mg kg^-1), Cu (36.65 mg kg^-1), Cr (10.44 mg kg^-1), Cd (0.589 mg kg^-1), Fe (201.04 mg kg^-1), Mn (10.30 mg kg^-1), Zn (2266.43 mg kg^-1), and Pb (3.81 mg kg^-1) were higher than related standard levels. According to the health risk assessment, no concern regarding the non-carcinogenic risk due to the ingestion of PTEs via the consumption of the edible mushrooms, except Hg in wild mushrooms for children, was noted.