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Pearse AT, Szymanski ML, Anchor CA, Anteau MJ, Murano RM, Brandt DA, Stafford JD. Factors influencing autumn-winter movements of midcontinent Mallards and consequences for harvest and habitat management. Ecol Evol 2023; 13:e10605. [PMID: 37899883 PMCID: PMC10600409 DOI: 10.1002/ece3.10605] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/02/2023] [Revised: 09/15/2023] [Accepted: 09/25/2023] [Indexed: 10/31/2023] Open
Abstract
Annual phenology and distributions of migratory wildlife have been noticeably influenced by climate change, leading to concerns about sustainable populations. Recent studies exploring conditions influencing autumn migration departure have provided conflicting insights regarding factors influencing the movements of Mallards (Anas platyrhynchos), a popular game species. We determined factors affecting timing and magnitude of long-distance movements of 97 juvenile Mallards during autumn-winter across the midcontinent of North America marked with implanted transmitters in North and South Dakota, 2018-2019. Factors influencing variation in movement timing, along with direction and magnitudes, depended on type of movement (i.e., regional [25-310 km], initial migration, or subsequent migration movements [>310 km]). Photoperiod influenced probability of initiating all movements, although the effect was most influential for regional movements. Minimum temperature most influenced initial migration events (probability of movement increased 29% for each 1°C decrease); favorable winds also increased likelihood of initial migration events. Probability of subsequent migration events increased 80% for each 1 cm increase in depth of snow. Subsequent migration movements also were 2.0 times more likely to occur on weekend days, indicating disturbance from humans may influence movements. Migration distances increased 166 km for each 1°C reduction in minimum temperature. We also observed markedly different autumn-winter distributions of marked birds between years. Median locations during autumn-winter 2018-2019 were ~250 km farther north and ~300 km farther west during mid-December-January compared to the same time in 2019-2020. Concurrently, harvest rates for marked females and males were 10% and 26% during autumn-winter 2018-2019 and 26% and 31% during autumn-winter 2019-2020. Climate-related changes may result in increasingly variable autumn-winter distributions, with implications for wildlife recreationalists, conservation planners, and harvest managers.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aaron T. Pearse
- U.S. Geological Survey, Northern Prairie Wildlife Research CenterJamestownNorth DakotaUSA
| | | | - Cynthia A. Anchor
- Department of Natural Resources ManagementSouth Dakota State UniversityBrookingsSouth DakotaUSA
| | - Michael J. Anteau
- U.S. Geological Survey, Northern Prairie Wildlife Research CenterJamestownNorth DakotaUSA
| | | | - David A. Brandt
- U.S. Geological Survey, Northern Prairie Wildlife Research CenterJamestownNorth DakotaUSA
| | - Joshua D. Stafford
- U.S. Geological Survey, South Dakota Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research UnitBrookingsSouth DakotaUSA
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2
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Gaget E, Galewski T, Brommer JE, Le Viol I, Jiguet F, Baccetti N, Langendoen T, Molina B, Moniz F, Moussy C, Zenatello M, Guillemain M. Habitat management favouring hunted waterbird species prevents distribution changes in response to climate warming. Anim Conserv 2023. [DOI: 10.1111/acv.12872] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/29/2023]
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3
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The impact of climate change and potential distribution of the endangered white winged wood duck (Asarcornis scutulata, 1882) in Indian eastern Himalaya. J Nat Conserv 2022. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jnc.2022.126279] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
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4
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Large-scale changes in marine and terrestrial environments drive the population dynamics of long-tailed ducks breeding in Siberia. Sci Rep 2022; 12:12355. [PMID: 35853919 PMCID: PMC9296647 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-16166-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/26/2021] [Accepted: 07/05/2022] [Indexed: 11/08/2022] Open
Abstract
Migratory animals experience very different environmental conditions at different times of the year, i.e., at the breeding grounds, during migration, and in winter. The long-tailed duck Clangula hyemalis breeds in the Arctic regions of the northern hemisphere and migrates to temperate climate zones, where it winters in marine environments. The breeding success of the long-tailed duck is affected by the abundances of predators and their main prey species, lemmings Lemmus sibiricus and Dicrostonyx torquatus, whose population fluctuation is subject to climate change. In the winter quarters, long-tailed ducks mainly eat the blue mussel Mytilus edulis. We examined how North-west Siberian lemming dynamics, assumed as a proxy for predation pressure, affect long-tailed duck breeding success and how nutrient availability in the Baltic Sea influences long-tailed duck population size via mussel biomass and quality. Evidence suggests that the long-tailed duck population dynamics was predator-driven on the breeding grounds and resource-driven on the wintering grounds. Nutrients from fertilizer runoff from farmland stimulate mussel stocks and quality, supporting high long-tailed duck population sizes. The applied hierarchical analysis combining several trophic levels can be used for evaluating large-scale environmental factors that affect the population dynamics and abundance of migrants from one environment to another.
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5
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Andersson K, Davis CA, Harris G, Haukos DA. Changes in waterfowl migration phenologies in central North America: Implications for future waterfowl conservation. PLoS One 2022; 17:e0266785. [PMID: 35584125 PMCID: PMC9116660 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0266785] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/02/2021] [Accepted: 03/25/2022] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Globally, migration phenologies of numerous avian species have shifted over the past half-century. Despite North American waterfowl being well researched, published data on shifts in waterfowl migration phenologies remain scarce. Understanding shifts in waterfowl migration phenologies along with potential drivers is critical for guiding future conservation efforts. Therefore, we utilized historical (1955–2008) nonbreeding waterfowl survey data collected at 21 National Wildlife Refuges in the mid- to lower portion of the Central Flyway to summarize changes in spring and autumn migration phenology. We examined changes in the timing of peak abundance from survey data at monthly intervals for each refuge and species (or species group; n = 22) by year and site-specific temperature for spring (Jan–Mar) and autumn (Oct–Dec) migration periods. For spring (n = 187) and autumn (n = 194) data sets, 13% and 9% exhibited statistically significant changes in the timing of peak migration across years, respectively, while the corresponding numbers for increasing temperatures were 4% and 9%. During spring migration, ≥80% of significant changes in the timing of spring peak indicated advancements, while 67% of significant changes in autumn peak timing indicated delays both across years and with increasing temperatures. Four refuges showed a consistent pattern across species of advancing spring migration peaks over time. Advancements in spring peak across years became proportionally less common among species with increasing latitude, while delays in autumn peak with increasing temperature became proportionally more common. Our study represents the first comprehensive summary of changes in spring and autumn migration phenology for Central Flyway waterfowl and demonstrates significant phenological changes during the latter part of the twentieth century.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kent Andersson
- Department of Natural Resource Ecology and Management, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, Oklahoma, United States of America
- * E-mail:
| | - Craig A. Davis
- Department of Natural Resource Ecology and Management, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, Oklahoma, United States of America
| | - Grant Harris
- U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Albuquerque, New Mexico, United States of America
| | - David A. Haukos
- U.S. Geological Survey, Kansas Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, Kansas State University, Manhattan, Kansas, United States of America
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6
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Compensating freshwater habitat loss—duck productivity and food resources in man-made wetlands. EUR J WILDLIFE RES 2022. [DOI: 10.1007/s10344-022-01577-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/04/2022]
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7
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Pöysä H. Local variation in the timing and advancement of lake ice breakup and impacts on settling dynamics in a migratory waterbird. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2022; 811:151397. [PMID: 34740659 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.151397] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/30/2021] [Revised: 10/29/2021] [Accepted: 10/30/2021] [Indexed: 06/13/2023]
Abstract
Timing of ice-out is important to fundamental hydrological and ecological processes in freshwater ecosystems at high northern latitudes. While earlier ice-out in lakes during the last century is a well-documented phenomenon across the Northern Hemisphere, local variation in the rate of advancement of ice-out has received little attention. Here, records of ice-out date in 1991-2020 from 37 small lakes in a boreal catchment area in southeastern Finland were used to study variation in the timing of ice-out and its advancement. In addition, data of settling phenology of migratory common goldeneyes (Bucephala clangula) at the study lakes were used to examine how between-year and within-season variation in the timing of ice-out affects lake settlement of the species. Overall, ice-out date (IOD, the timing of ice break-up in the spring) advanced 9.8 days during the 30-year study period, April temperature being more important than winter temperature (severity) in determining the IOD. Rate of the advancement of IOD in individual lakes varied from 1.5 to 16.1 days, having advanced more in relatively larger lakes. Lakes at higher elevations had later mean IOD than lakes at lower elevations. Within-season differences among the lakes in IOD increased from 1991 to 2020, this variation being mainly driven by temperature during the ice melting period. Lakes with late mean IOD were settled later in a season by breeding common goldeneyes than lakes with early IOD. The faster the ice melting progressed within a season, the faster common goldeneyes settled the breeding lakes. The results demonstrate how global warming differently affects IOD in boreal lakes even within the same catchment area. More research in the landscape context is needed to enhance our understanding of changes in IOD in boreal lakes and how differently advancing IOD affects local dynamics of species dependent on open water.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hannu Pöysä
- Natural Resources Institute Finland, Yliopistokatu 6, FI 80100 Joensuu, Finland.
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8
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Weller FG, Beatty WS, Webb EB, Kesler DC, Krementz DG, Asante K, Naylor LW. Environmental drivers of autumn migration departure decisions in midcontinental mallards. MOVEMENT ECOLOGY 2022; 10:1. [PMID: 34986903 PMCID: PMC8729067 DOI: 10.1186/s40462-021-00299-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/27/2021] [Accepted: 12/19/2021] [Indexed: 06/10/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The timing of autumn migration in ducks is influenced by a range of environmental conditions that may elicit individual experiences and responses from individual birds, yet most studies have investigated relationships at the population level. We used data from individual satellite-tracked mallards (Anas platyrhynchos) to model the timing and environmental drivers of autumn migration movements at a continental scale. METHODS We combined two sets of location records (2004-2007 and 2010-2011) from satellite-tracked mallards during autumn migration in the Mississippi Flyway, and identified records that indicated the start of long-range (≥ 30 km) southward movements during the migration period. We modeled selection of departure date by individual mallards using a discrete choice model accounting for heterogeneity in individual preferences. We developed candidate models to predict the departure date, conditional on daily mean environmental covariates (i.e. temperature, snow and ice cover, wind conditions, precipitation, cloud cover, and pressure) at a 32 × 32 km resolution. We ranked model performance with the Bayesian Information Criterion. RESULTS Departure was best predicted (60% accuracy) by a "winter conditions" model containing temperature, and depth and duration of snow cover. Models conditional on wind speed, precipitation, pressure variation, and cloud cover received lower support. Number of days of snow cover, recently experienced snow cover (snow days) and current snow cover had the strongest positive effect on departure likelihood, followed by number of experienced days of freezing temperature (frost days) and current low temperature. Distributions of dominant drivers and of correct vs incorrect prediction along the movement tracks indicate that these responses applied throughout the latitudinal range of migration. Among recorded departures, most were driven by snow days (65%) followed by current temperature (30%). CONCLUSIONS Our results indicate that among the tested environmental parameters, the dominant environmental driver of departure decision in autumn-migrating mallards was the onset of snow conditions, and secondarily the onset of temperatures close to, or below, the freezing point. Mallards are likely to relocate southwards quickly when faced with snowy conditions, and could use declining temperatures as a more graduated early cue for departure. Our findings provide further insights into the functional response of mallards to weather factors during the migration period that ultimately determine seasonal distributions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Florian G Weller
- Missouri Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, School of Natural Resources, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO, 65211, USA.
| | - William S Beatty
- U.S. Geological Survey, Upper Midwest Environmental Sciences Center, La Crosse, WI, 54601, USA
| | - Elisabeth B Webb
- U.S. Geological Survey, Missouri Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, Columbia, MO, 65211, USA
| | - Dylan C Kesler
- The Institute for Bird Populations, PO Box 1346, Point Reyes Station, CA, 94956, USA
| | - David G Krementz
- Arkansas Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, Department of Biological Sciences, University of Arkansas, Fayetteville, AR, 72701, USA
| | - Kwasi Asante
- Environmental Systems Research Institute (Esri), 3325 Springbank Ln # 200, Charlotte, NC, 28226, USA
| | - Luke W Naylor
- Arkansas Game and Fish Commission, Little Rock, AR, 72205, USA
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9
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Guillemain M, Vallecillo D, Grzegorczyk E, Mouronval JB, Gauthier-Clerc M, Tamisier A, Champagnon J. Consequences of shortened hunting seasons by the Birds Directive on late winter teal Anas crecca abundance in France. WILDLIFE BIOLOGY 2021. [DOI: 10.2981/wlb.00845] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/01/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Matthieu Guillemain
- M. Guillemain (https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0354-771X) ✉ , Office Français de la Biodiversité, Unité Avifaune Migratrice, Arles, France
| | - David Vallecillo
- D. Vallecillo, M. Gauthier-Clerc and J. Champagnon, Tour du Valat, Research Inst. for Conservation of Mediterranean Wetlands, Arles, France. MG-C also at: UMR Chrono-environnement (CNRS/UFC 6249), Besançon, France
| | - Emilienne Grzegorczyk
- E. Grzegorczyk, Office Français de la Biodiversité, Unité Avifaune Migratrice, Villiers-en-Bois, France
| | | | - Michel Gauthier-Clerc
- D. Vallecillo, M. Gauthier-Clerc and J. Champagnon, Tour du Valat, Research Inst. for Conservation of Mediterranean Wetlands, Arles, France. MG-C also at: UMR Chrono-environnement (CNRS/UFC 6249), Besançon, France
| | - Alain Tamisier
- A. Tamisier, Centre d'Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive, CNRS, Montpellier, France
| | - Jocelyn Champagnon
- D. Vallecillo, M. Gauthier-Clerc and J. Champagnon, Tour du Valat, Research Inst. for Conservation of Mediterranean Wetlands, Arles, France. MG-C also at: UMR Chrono-environnement (CNRS/UFC 6249), Besançon, France
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10
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Meehan TD, Kaminski RM, Lebaron GS, Michel NL, Bateman BL, Wilsey CB. Half‐Century Winter Duck Abundance and Temperature Trends in the Mississippi and Atlantic Flyways. J Wildl Manage 2021. [DOI: 10.1002/jwmg.22023] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Affiliation(s)
| | - Richard M. Kaminski
- James C. Kennedy Waterfowl and Wetlands Conservation Center, Belle W. Baruch Institute of Coastal Ecology and Forest Science Clemson University P.O. Box 596 Georgetown SC 29442 USA
| | | | - Nicole L. Michel
- National Audubon Society 225 Varick Street New York NY 10014 USA
| | | | - Chad B. Wilsey
- National Audubon Society 225 Varick Street New York NY 10014 USA
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11
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Lehikoinen A, Lindström Å, Santangeli A, Sirkiä PM, Brotons L, Devictor V, Elts J, Foppen RPB, Heldbjerg H, Herrando S, Herremans M, Hudson MAR, Jiguet F, Johnston A, Lorrilliere R, Marjakangas EL, Michel NL, Moshøj CM, Nellis R, Paquet JY, Smith AC, Szép T, van Turnhout C. Wintering bird communities are tracking climate change faster than breeding communities. J Anim Ecol 2021; 90:1085-1095. [PMID: 33496011 DOI: 10.1111/1365-2656.13433] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/14/2020] [Accepted: 12/09/2020] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
Global climate change is driving species' distributions towards the poles and mountain tops during both non-breeding and breeding seasons, leading to changes in the composition of natural communities. However, the degree of season differences in climate-driven community shifts has not been thoroughly investigated at large spatial scales. We compared the rates of change in the community composition during both winter (non-breeding season) and summer (breeding) and their relation to temperature changes. Based on continental-scale data from Europe and North America, we examined changes in bird community composition using the community temperature index (CTI) approach and compared the changes with observed regional temperature changes during 1980-2016. CTI increased faster in winter than in summer. This seasonal discrepancy is probably because individuals are less site-faithful in winter, and can more readily shift their wintering sites in response to weather in comparison to the breeding season. Regional long-term changes in community composition were positively associated with regional temperature changes during both seasons, but the pattern was only significant during summer due to high annual variability in winter communities. Annual changes in community composition were positively associated with the annual temperature changes during both seasons. Our results were broadly consistent across continents, suggesting some climate-driven restructuring in both European and North American avian communities. Because community composition has changed much faster during the winter than during the breeding season, it is important to increase our knowledge about climate-driven impacts during the less-studied non-breeding season.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aleksi Lehikoinen
- Finnish Museum of Natural History, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Åke Lindström
- Department of Biology, Biodiversity Unit, Lund University, Lund, Sweden
| | - Andrea Santangeli
- Finnish Museum of Natural History, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Päivi M Sirkiä
- Finnish Museum of Natural History, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Lluís Brotons
- CREAF, Cerdanyola del Vallès, Spain.,InForest Jru (CTFC-CREAF), Solsona, Spain.,CSIC, Cerdanyola del Vallès, Spain
| | - Vincent Devictor
- Institut des Sciences de l'Evolution, Université de Montpellier, CNRS, IRD, EPHE, Montpellier, France
| | - Jaanus Elts
- Department of Zoology, Institute of Ecology and Earth Sciences, University of Tartu, Tartu, Estonia.,Estonian Ornithological Society, Tartu, Estonia
| | - Ruud P B Foppen
- Sovon Dutch Centre for Field Ornithology, GA Nijmegen, The Netherlands.,Department of Animal Ecology & Physiology, Institute for Water and Wetland Research, Radboud University, GL Nijmegen, The Netherlands.,European Bird Census Council, GA Nijmegen, The Netherlands
| | - Henning Heldbjerg
- Department of Bioscience, Aarhus University, Roende, Denmark.,DOF-BirdLife Denmark, Copenhagen V, Denmark
| | - Sergi Herrando
- CREAF, Cerdanyola del Vallès, Spain.,Catalan Ornithological Institute, Natural History Museum of Barcelona, Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain
| | | | - Marie-Anne R Hudson
- Canadian Wildlife Service, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada
| | - Frédéric Jiguet
- UMR7204 Centre d'Ecologie et des Sciences de la Conservation (CESCO UMR 7204), MNHN CNRS Sorbonne Université, Paris, France
| | - Alison Johnston
- Cornell Lab of Ornithology, Ithaca, NY, USA.,Conservation Science Group, Dept of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Romain Lorrilliere
- UMR7204 Centre d'Ecologie et des Sciences de la Conservation (CESCO UMR 7204), MNHN CNRS Sorbonne Université, Paris, France.,Lab of Ecologie, Systematique & Evolution, UMR CNRS 8079, University Paris-Sud, Paris, France
| | | | | | | | - Renno Nellis
- Birdlife Estonia/Estonian Ornithological Society, Tartu, Estonia
| | | | - Adam C Smith
- Canadian Wildlife Service, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada
| | - Tibor Szép
- University of Nyíregyháza, Nyíregyháza, Hungary.,MME/BirdLife Hungary, Budapest, Hungary
| | - Chris van Turnhout
- Sovon Dutch Centre for Field Ornithology, GA Nijmegen, The Netherlands.,Department of Animal Ecology & Physiology, Institute for Water and Wetland Research, Radboud University, GL Nijmegen, The Netherlands
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12
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Herbert JA, Chakraborty A, Naylor LW, Krementz DG. Habitat associations of wintering dabbling ducks in the Arkansas Mississippi Alluvial Valley: implications for waterfowl management beyond the mallard. WILDLIFE BIOLOGY 2021. [DOI: 10.2981/wlb.00792] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/01/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- John A. Herbert
- J. A. Herbert (https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2912-2226) ✉ , Arkansas Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, Dept of Biological Sciences, Univ. of Arkansas, Fayetteville, AR, USA, and Dept of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology,
| | - Avishek Chakraborty
- A. Chakraborty, Dept of Mathematical Sciences, Univ. of Arkansas, Fayetteville, AR, USA
| | - Luke W. Naylor
- L. W. Naylor, Arkansas Game and Fish Commission, Little Rock, AR, USA
| | - David G. Krementz
- D. G. Krementz (https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5661-4541), U.S. Geological Survey, Arkansas Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, Dept of Biological Sciences, Univ. of Arkansas, Fayetteville, AR, USA
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13
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Adde A, Darveau M, Barker N, Imbeau L, Cumming S. Environmental covariates for modelling the distribution and abundance of breeding ducks in northern North America: a review. ECOSCIENCE 2021. [DOI: 10.1080/11956860.2020.1802933] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/23/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Antoine Adde
- Département des sciences du bois et de la forêt, Université Laval, Québec, QC, Canada
| | - Marcel Darveau
- Département des sciences du bois et de la forêt, Université Laval, Québec, QC, Canada
- Canards Illimités Canada, Québec, QC, Canada
| | - Nicole Barker
- Canadian Wildlife Service, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Edmonton, AB, Canada
| | - Louis Imbeau
- Institut de recherche sur les forêts, Université du Québec en Abitibi-Témiscamingue, Rouyn-Noranda, QC, Canada
| | - Steven Cumming
- Département des sciences du bois et de la forêt, Université Laval, Québec, QC, Canada
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14
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Rushing CS, Rubenstein M, Lyons JE, Runge MC. Using value of information to prioritize research needs for migratory bird management under climate change: a case study using federal land acquisition in the United States. Biol Rev Camb Philos Soc 2020; 95:1109-1130. [PMID: 32302051 DOI: 10.1111/brv.12602] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/12/2019] [Revised: 03/25/2020] [Accepted: 03/27/2020] [Indexed: 12/28/2022]
Abstract
In response to global habitat loss, many governmental and non-governmental organizations have implemented land acquisition programs to protect critical habitats permanently for priority species. The ability of these protected areas to meet future management objectives may be compromised if the effects of climate change are not considered in acquisition decisions. Unfortunately, the effects of climate change on ecological systems are complex and plagued by uncertainty, making it difficult for organizations to prioritize research needs to improve decision-making. Herein, we demonstrate the use of qualitative value of information analysis to identify and prioritize which sources of uncertainty should be reduced to improve land acquisition decisions to protect migratory birds in the face of climate change. The qualitative value of information analysis process involves four steps: (i) articulating alternative hypotheses; (ii) determining the magnitude of uncertainty regarding each hypothesis; (iii) evaluating the relevance of each hypothesis to acquisition decision-making; and (iv) assessing the feasibility of reducing the uncertainty surrounding each hypothesis through research and monitoring. We demonstrate this approach using the objectives of 3 U.S. federal land acquisition programs that focus on migratory bird management. We used a comprehensive literature review, expert elicitation, and professional judgement to evaluate 11 hypotheses about the effect of climate change on migratory birds. Based on our results, we provide a list of priorities for future research and monitoring to reduce uncertainty and improve land acquisition decisions for the programs considered in our case study. Reducing uncertainty about how climate change will influence the spatial distribution of priority species and biotic homogenization were identified as the highest priorities for future research due to both the value of this information for improving land acquisition decisions and the feasibility of reducing uncertainty through research and monitoring. Research on how changes in precipitation patterns and winter severity will influence migratory bird abundance is also expected to benefit land acquisition decisions. By contrast, hypotheses about phenology and migration distance were identified as low priorities for research. By providing a rigorous and transparent approach to prioritizing research, we demonstrate that qualitative value of information is a valuable tool for prioritizing research and improving management decisions in other complex, high-uncertainty cases where traditional quantitative value of information analysis is not possible. Given the inherent complexity of ecological systems under climate change, and the difficulty of identifying management-relevant research priorities, we expect this approach to have wide applications within the field of natural resource management.
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Affiliation(s)
- Clark S Rushing
- Department of Wildland Resources and the Ecology Center, Utah State University, Logan, UT, 84322, U.S.A.,Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, U.S. Geological Survey, Laurel, MD, 20708, U.S.A
| | - Madeleine Rubenstein
- National Climate Adaptation Science Center, U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA, 20192, U.S.A
| | - James E Lyons
- Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, U.S. Geological Survey, Laurel, MD, 20708, U.S.A
| | - Michael C Runge
- Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, U.S. Geological Survey, Laurel, MD, 20708, U.S.A
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15
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Sharikov AV, Volkov SV, Sviridova TV, Buslakov VV. Cumulative Effect of Trophic and Weather–Climatic Factors on the Population Dynamics of the Vole-Eating Birds of Prey in Their Breeding Habitats. BIOL BULL+ 2020. [DOI: 10.1134/s1062359019090139] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
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16
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Avilova KV. The Structure and Numbers Dynamics of the Urban Goldeneye (Bucephala clangula, Anseriformes, Anatidae) Population in Moscow. BIOL BULL+ 2019. [DOI: 10.1134/s1062359019090036] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
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17
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Raquel AJ, Devries JH, Howerter DW, Clark RG. Reproductive consequences of climate variability in migratory birds: evidence for species-specific responses to spring phenology and cross-seasonal effects. Oecologia 2019; 191:217-229. [PMID: 31435755 DOI: 10.1007/s00442-019-04481-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/07/2018] [Accepted: 08/03/2019] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Abstract
Climate change is altering global temperature and precipitation regimes, and the ability of species to respond to these changes could have serious implications for population dynamics. Flexible species may adjust breeding dates in response to advances in spring phenology. Furthermore, in migratory bird species, conditions experienced during the non-breeding season may have cross-seasonal effects during the subsequent breeding season. We evaluated species-specific responses to antecedent non-breeding (winter) and current breeding (spring) conditions. We used a data set composed of 21,230 duck nests from 164 sites in the Canadian Prairie Pothole Region, 1993-2011, to determine how environmental conditions influenced timing of nesting and subsequent nest survival in eight duck species representing varying life-histories. We tested how species responded in timing of nesting and nest survival, respectively, to El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions experienced during the preceding non-breeding season (winter; Dec-Feb), and spring (Mar-Jun) temperature and moisture conditions on the breeding grounds. Ducks tended to nest earlier in warmer springs; however, in El Niño winters, with warmer spring temperatures, nesting tended to be later. We did not find evidence for direct effects of environmental variables on nest survival; however, evidence of indirect effects of winter conditions on nest survival for some species via strong direct effects on timing of nesting provides new insights into mechanisms for cross-seasonal effects on reproductive success.
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Affiliation(s)
- Amelia J Raquel
- Department of Biology, University of Saskatchewan, 112 Science Place, Saskatoon, SK, S7N 5E2, Canada. .,Ducks Unlimited, Inc., 3074 Gold Canal Drive, Rancho Cordova, CA, 95670, USA.
| | - James H Devries
- Institute for Wetland and Waterfowl Research, Ducks Unlimited Canada, P.O. Box 1160, Stonewall, MB, R0C 2Z0, Canada
| | - David W Howerter
- Institute for Wetland and Waterfowl Research, Ducks Unlimited Canada, P.O. Box 1160, Stonewall, MB, R0C 2Z0, Canada
| | - Robert G Clark
- Department of Biology, University of Saskatchewan, 112 Science Place, Saskatoon, SK, S7N 5E2, Canada.,Environment and Climate Change Canada, 115 Perimeter Road, Saskatoon, SK, S7N 0X4, Canada
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18
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Avilova KV. Structure and Long-Term Fluctuations in the Wintering Mallard (Anas platyrhynchos, Anseriformes, Anatidae) Population in the City of Moscow. BIOL BULL+ 2019. [DOI: 10.1134/s1062359018090030] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
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19
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Sullivan JD, Takekawa JY, Spragens KA, Newman SH, Xiao X, Leader PJ, Smith B, Prosser DJ. Waterfowl Spring Migratory Behavior and Avian Influenza Transmission Risk in the Changing Landscape of the East Asian-Australasian Flyway. Front Ecol Evol 2018. [DOI: 10.3389/fevo.2018.00206] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
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20
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Associations between duck harvest, hunting wing ratios and measures of reproductive output in Northern Europe. EUR J WILDLIFE RES 2018. [DOI: 10.1007/s10344-018-1227-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
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21
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Pavón-Jordán D, Clausen P, Dagys M, Devos K, Encarnaçao V, Fox AD, Frost T, Gaudard C, Hornman M, Keller V, Langendoen T, Ławicki Ł, Lewis LJ, Lorentsen SH, Luigujoe L, Meissner W, Molina B, Musil P, Musilova Z, Nilsson L, Paquet JY, Ridzon J, Stipniece A, Teufelbauer N, Wahl J, Zenatello M, Lehikoinen A. Habitat- and species-mediated short- and long-term distributional changes in waterbird abundance linked to variation in European winter weather. DIVERS DISTRIB 2018. [DOI: 10.1111/ddi.12855] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/09/2023] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Diego Pavón-Jordán
- The Helsinki Lab of Ornithology; Finnish Museum of Natural History; Helsinki Finland
- Helsinki Institute of Sustainability Science; University of Helsinki; Helsinki Finland
| | - Preben Clausen
- Department of Biosciences; Aarhus University; Rønde Denmark
| | | | - Koen Devos
- Research Institute for Nature and Forest; Brussel Belgium
| | - Vitor Encarnaçao
- Instituto da Conservação da Natureza e da Biodiversidade; Lisboa Portugal
| | | | | | | | - Menno Hornman
- Sovon Dutch Centre for Field Ornithology; Nijmegen The Netherlands
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Leho Luigujoe
- Department of Zoology; Estonian University of Life Sciences; Tartu Estonia
| | - Wlodzimierz Meissner
- Avian Ecophysiology Unit; Department of Vertebrate Ecology & Zoology; Faculty of Biology; University of Gdańsk; Gdańsk Poland
| | - Blas Molina
- Sociedad Española de Ornitología (SEO/BirdLife); Madrid Spain
| | - Petr Musil
- Department of Ecology; Faculty of Environmental Sciences; Czech University of Life Sciences; Praha Czech Republic
| | - Zuzana Musilova
- Department of Ecology; Faculty of Environmental Sciences; Czech University of Life Sciences; Praha Czech Republic
| | - Leif Nilsson
- Department of Biology; University of Lund; Lund Sweden
| | | | | | - Antra Stipniece
- Institute of Biology; University of Latvia; Salaspils Latvia
| | | | - Johannes Wahl
- Dachverband Deutscher Avifaunisten e.V. (DDA); Federation of German Avifaunists; Münster Germany
| | - Marco Zenatello
- Istituto Superiore per la Protezione e la Ricerca Ambientale (ISPRA); Ozzano dell'Emilia Italy
| | - Aleksi Lehikoinen
- The Helsinki Lab of Ornithology; Finnish Museum of Natural History; Helsinki Finland
- Helsinki Institute of Sustainability Science; University of Helsinki; Helsinki Finland
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22
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Ross MV, Alisauskas RT, Douglas DC, Kellett DK. Decadal declines in avian herbivore reproduction: density-dependent nutrition and phenological mismatch in the Arctic. Ecology 2018; 98:1869-1883. [PMID: 28403519 DOI: 10.1002/ecy.1856] [Citation(s) in RCA: 50] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/17/2016] [Revised: 03/08/2017] [Accepted: 03/31/2017] [Indexed: 11/10/2022]
Abstract
A full understanding of population dynamics depends not only on estimation of mechanistic contributions of recruitment and survival, but also knowledge about the ecological processes that drive each of these vital rates. The process of recruitment in particular may be protracted over several years, and can depend on numerous ecological complexities until sexually mature adulthood is attained. We addressed long-term declines (23 breeding seasons, 1992-2014) in the per capita production of young by both Ross's Geese (Chen rossii) and Lesser Snow Geese (Chen caerulescens caerulescens) nesting at Karrak Lake in Canada's central Arctic. During this period, there was a contemporaneous increase from 0.4 to 1.1 million adults nesting at this colony. We evaluated whether (1) density-dependent nutritional deficiencies of pre-breeding females or (2) phenological mismatch between peak gosling hatch and peak forage quality, inferred from NDVI on the brood-rearing areas, may have been behind decadal declines in the per capita production of goslings. We found that, in years when pre-breeding females arrived to the nesting grounds with diminished nutrient reserves, the proportional composition of young during brood-rearing was reduced for both species. Furthermore, increased mismatch between peak gosling hatch and peak forage quality contributed additively to further declines in gosling production, in addition to declines caused by delayed nesting with associated subsequent negative effects on clutch size and nest success. The degree of mismatch increased over the course of our study because of advanced vegetation phenology without a corresponding advance in Goose nesting phenology. Vegetation phenology was significantly earlier in years with warm surface air temperatures measured in spring (i.e., 25 May-30 June). We suggest that both increased phenological mismatch and reduced nutritional condition of arriving females were behind declines in population-level recruitment, leading to the recent attenuation in population growth of Snow Geese.
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Affiliation(s)
- Megan V Ross
- Department of Biology, University of Saskatchewan, 112 Science Place, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, S7N 5E2, Canada
| | - Ray T Alisauskas
- Department of Biology, University of Saskatchewan, 112 Science Place, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, S7N 5E2, Canada.,Environment and Climate Change Canada, 115 Perimeter Road, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, S7N 0X4, Canada
| | - David C Douglas
- U.S. Geological Survey Alaska Science Center, 250 Egan Drive, Juneau, Alaska, 99801, USA
| | - Dana K Kellett
- Department of Biology, University of Saskatchewan, 112 Science Place, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, S7N 5E2, Canada.,Environment and Climate Change Canada, 115 Perimeter Road, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, S7N 0X4, Canada
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23
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English MD, Robertson GJ, Peck LE, Pirie-Hay D, Roul S, Mallory ML. Body condition of American Black Ducks (Anas rubripes) wintering in Atlantic Canada using carcass composition and a scaled mass index. CAN J ZOOL 2018. [DOI: 10.1139/cjz-2017-0329] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/22/2022]
Abstract
Body condition is commonly used in ecology to assess the physiological health of an organism or population and can be used to predict individual survival or breeding success. Waterfowl have been the focus of much research on body condition, and we studied body condition via carcass composition and using a scaled mass index (SMI) in American Black Ducks (Anas rubripes Brewster, 1902) wintering in coastal, agricultural, and urban areas of Atlantic Canada. Carcass composition varied between sexes and body mass decreased through winter as fat reserves depleted. Carcass composition was compared with American Black Ducks wintering in the United States, and American Black Ducks wintering in Atlantic Canada were structurally smaller yet proportionally fatter than those wintering in the United States, likely as a mechanism to survive Atlantic Canada’s harsher winters. SMI did not differ between coastal, agricultural, or urban American Black Ducks, indicating that despite known differences in the diets of the Black Ducks from these three areas, they can maintain similar body conditions capable of surviving the winter. We show that the SMI is a nondestructive alternative to study body condition in waterfowl. Our research highlights the adaptability and hardiness of American Black Ducks at the northern limit of their winter range.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Gregory J. Robertson
- Wildlife Research Division, Environment and Climate Change Canada, 6 Bruce Street, Mount Pearl, NL A1N 4T3, Canada
| | - Liam E. Peck
- Department of Biology, Acadia University, Wolfville, NS B4P 2R6, Canada
| | - Donald Pirie-Hay
- Wildlife Research Division, Environment and Climate Change Canada, 6 Bruce Street, Mount Pearl, NL A1N 4T3, Canada
| | - Sheena Roul
- Wildlife Research Division, Environment and Climate Change Canada, 6 Bruce Street, Mount Pearl, NL A1N 4T3, Canada
| | - Mark L. Mallory
- Department of Biology, Acadia University, Wolfville, NS B4P 2R6, Canada
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24
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Folliot B, Guillemain M, Champagnon J, Caizergues A. Patterns of spatial distribution and migration phenology of common pochards Aythya ferina in the Western Palearctic: a ring-recoveries analysis. WILDLIFE BIOLOGY 2018. [DOI: 10.2981/wlb.00427] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/03/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Benjamin Folliot
- B. Folliot A. Caizergues, Office National de la Chasse et de la Fau
| | - Matthieu Guillemain
- M. Guillemain, Office National de la Chasse et de la Faune Sauvage, Unité Avifaune Migratrice, Arles
| | | | - Alain Caizergues
- B. Folliot A. Caizergues, Office National de la Chasse et de la Fau
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25
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Holopainen S, Arzel C, Elmberg J, Fox AD, Guillemain M, Gunnarsson G, Nummi P, Sjöberg K, Väänänen VM, Alhainen M, Pöysä H. Sustainable management of migratory European ducks: finding model species. WILDLIFE BIOLOGY 2018. [DOI: 10.2981/wlb.00336] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/10/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Sari Holopainen
- S. Holopainen , C. Arzel, P. Nummi and V.-M. Väänänen, Dept of Forest S
| | - Céline Arzel
- S. Holopainen , C. Arzel, P. Nummi and V.-M. Väänänen, Dept of Forest S
| | - Johan Elmberg
- J. Elmberg and G. Gunnarsson, Faculty of Science, Kristianstad Univ., Kristianstad, Sweden
| | - Anthony D. Fox
- A. D. Fox, Dept of Bioscience, Aarhus Univ., Kalø, Rønde, Denmark
| | - Matthieu Guillemain
- M. Guillemain, Office National de la Chasse et de la Faune Sauvage, Unité Avifaune Migratrice, La To
| | - Gunnar Gunnarsson
- J. Elmberg and G. Gunnarsson, Faculty of Science, Kristianstad Univ., Kristianstad, Sweden
| | - Petri Nummi
- S. Holopainen , C. Arzel, P. Nummi and V.-M. Väänänen, Dept of Forest S
| | - Kjell Sjöberg
- K. Sjöberg, Dept of Wildlife, Fish, and Environmental Studies, Swedish Univ. of Agricultural Science
| | | | | | - Hannu Pöysä
- H. Pöysä, Management and Production of Renewable Resources, Natural Resources Inst. Finland, Joensuu
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26
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Henden JA, Ims RA, Fuglei E, Pedersen ÅØ. Changed Arctic-alpine food web interactions under rapid climate warming: implication for ptarmigan research. WILDLIFE BIOLOGY 2017. [DOI: 10.2981/wlb.00240] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/01/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- John-André Henden
- J.-A. Henden and R. A. Ims, Dept. of Arctic and Marine Biology, UiT- The
| | - Rolf Anker Ims
- J.-A. Henden and R. A. Ims, Dept. of Arctic and Marine Biology, UiT- The
| | - Eva Fuglei
- E. Fuglei and Å. Ø. Pedersen, Norwegian Polar Institute, FRAM Centre, NO-9296 Tromsø, Norway
| | - Åshild Ønvik Pedersen
- E. Fuglei and Å. Ø. Pedersen, Norwegian Polar Institute, FRAM Centre, NO-9296 Tromsø, Norway
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27
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Griffiths JR, Kadin M, Nascimento FJA, Tamelander T, Törnroos A, Bonaglia S, Bonsdorff E, Brüchert V, Gårdmark A, Järnström M, Kotta J, Lindegren M, Nordström MC, Norkko A, Olsson J, Weigel B, Žydelis R, Blenckner T, Niiranen S, Winder M. The importance of benthic-pelagic coupling for marine ecosystem functioning in a changing world. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY 2017; 23:2179-2196. [PMID: 28132408 DOI: 10.1111/gcb.13642] [Citation(s) in RCA: 112] [Impact Index Per Article: 16.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/19/2016] [Revised: 12/22/2016] [Accepted: 01/06/2017] [Indexed: 05/12/2023]
Abstract
Benthic-pelagic coupling is manifested as the exchange of energy, mass, or nutrients between benthic and pelagic habitats. It plays a prominent role in aquatic ecosystems, and it is crucial to functions from nutrient cycling to energy transfer in food webs. Coastal and estuarine ecosystem structure and function are strongly affected by anthropogenic pressures; however, there are large gaps in our understanding of the responses of inorganic nutrient and organic matter fluxes between benthic habitats and the water column. We illustrate the varied nature of physical and biological benthic-pelagic coupling processes and their potential sensitivity to three anthropogenic pressures - climate change, nutrient loading, and fishing - using the Baltic Sea as a case study and summarize current knowledge on the exchange of inorganic nutrients and organic material between habitats. Traditionally measured benthic-pelagic coupling processes (e.g., nutrient exchange and sedimentation of organic material) are to some extent quantifiable, but the magnitude and variability of biological processes are rarely assessed, preventing quantitative comparisons. Changing oxygen conditions will continue to have widespread effects on the processes that govern inorganic and organic matter exchange among habitats while climate change and nutrient load reductions may have large effects on organic matter sedimentation. Many biological processes (predation, bioturbation) are expected to be sensitive to anthropogenic drivers, but the outcomes for ecosystem function are largely unknown. We emphasize how improved empirical and experimental understanding of benthic-pelagic coupling processes and their variability are necessary to inform models that can quantify the feedbacks among processes and ecosystem responses to a changing world.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jennifer R Griffiths
- Department of Ecology, Environment and Plant Sciences, Stockholm University, 10691, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Martina Kadin
- Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, 10691, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Francisco J A Nascimento
- Department of Ecology, Environment and Plant Sciences, Stockholm University, 10691, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Tobias Tamelander
- Tvärminne Zoological Station, University of Helsinki, J.A. Palméns väg 260, 10900, Hangö, Finland
| | - Anna Törnroos
- Environmental and Marine Biology, Åbo Akademi University, FI-20500, Turku, Finland
- Centre for Ocean Life, National Institute of Aquatic Resources, Technical University of Denmark, Kavalergården 6, 2920, Charlottenlund, Denmark
| | - Stefano Bonaglia
- Department of Geological Sciences, Stockholm University, 10691, Stockholm, Sweden
- Department of Geology, Lund University, 22362, Lund, Sweden
| | - Erik Bonsdorff
- Environmental and Marine Biology, Åbo Akademi University, FI-20500, Turku, Finland
| | - Volker Brüchert
- Department of Geological Sciences, Stockholm University, 10691, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Anna Gårdmark
- Department of Aquatic Resources, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Skolgatan 6, 74242, Öregrund, Sweden
| | - Marie Järnström
- Environmental and Marine Biology, Åbo Akademi University, FI-20500, Turku, Finland
| | - Jonne Kotta
- Estonian Marine Institute, University of Tartu, Mäealuse 14, 12618, Tallinn, Estonia
| | - Martin Lindegren
- Centre for Ocean Life, National Institute of Aquatic Resources, Technical University of Denmark, Kavalergården 6, 2920, Charlottenlund, Denmark
| | - Marie C Nordström
- Environmental and Marine Biology, Åbo Akademi University, FI-20500, Turku, Finland
| | - Alf Norkko
- Tvärminne Zoological Station, University of Helsinki, J.A. Palméns väg 260, 10900, Hangö, Finland
- Baltic Sea Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, 106 91, Sweden
| | - Jens Olsson
- Department of Aquatic Resources, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Skolgatan 6, 74242, Öregrund, Sweden
| | - Benjamin Weigel
- Environmental and Marine Biology, Åbo Akademi University, FI-20500, Turku, Finland
| | | | - Thorsten Blenckner
- Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, 10691, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Susa Niiranen
- Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, 10691, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Monika Winder
- Department of Ecology, Environment and Plant Sciences, Stockholm University, 10691, Stockholm, Sweden
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28
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Volkov SV, Grinchenko OS, Sviridova TV. The effects of weather and climate changes on the timing of autumn migration of the common crane (Grus grus) in the north of Moscow Region. BIOL BULL+ 2017. [DOI: 10.1134/s1062359016110170] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/22/2022]
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29
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Notaro M, Schummer M, Zhong Y, Vavrus S, Van Den Elsen L, Coluccy J, Hoving C. Projected Influences of Changes in Weather Severity on Autumn-Winter Distributions of Dabbling Ducks in the Mississippi and Atlantic Flyways during the Twenty-First Century. PLoS One 2016; 11:e0167506. [PMID: 27959911 PMCID: PMC5154525 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0167506] [Citation(s) in RCA: 26] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/20/2016] [Accepted: 11/15/2016] [Indexed: 12/02/2022] Open
Abstract
Projected changes in the relative abundance and timing of autumn-winter migration are assessed for seven dabbling duck species across the Mississippi and Atlantic Flyways for the mid- and late 21st century. Species-specific observed relationships are established between cumulative weather severity in autumn-winter and duck population rate of change. Dynamically downscaled projections of weather severity are developed using a high-resolution regional climate model, interactively coupled to a one-dimensional lake model to represent the Great Lakes and associated lake-effect snowfall. Based on the observed relationships and downscaled climate projections of rising air temperatures and reduced snow cover, delayed autumn-winter migration is expected for all species, with the least delays for the Northern Pintail and the greatest delays for the Mallard. Indeed, the Mallard, the most common and widespread duck in North America, may overwinter in the Great Lakes region by the late 21st century. This highlights the importance of protecting and restoring wetlands across the mid-latitudes of North America, including the Great Lakes Basin, because dabbling ducks are likely to spend more time there, which would impact existing wetlands through increased foraging pressure. Furthermore, inconsistency in the timing and intensity of the traditional autumn-winter migration of dabbling ducks in the Mississippi and Atlantic Flyways could have social and economic consequences to communities to the south, where hunting and birdwatching would be affected.
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Affiliation(s)
- Michael Notaro
- Nelson Institute Center for Climatic Research, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, Wisconsin, United States of America
- * E-mail:
| | - Michael Schummer
- Department of Biological Sciences, State University of New York at Oswego, Oswego, New York, United States of America
| | - Yafang Zhong
- Space Science and Engineering Center, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, Wisconsin, United States of America
| | - Stephen Vavrus
- Nelson Institute Center for Climatic Research, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, Wisconsin, United States of America
| | | | - John Coluccy
- Ducks Unlimited, Ann Arbor, Michigan, United States of America
| | - Christopher Hoving
- Michigan Department of Natural Resources–Wildlife Division, Lansing, Michigan, United States of America
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30
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Avilova KV. The life cycle and number dynamics of the urban mallard population (Anas platyrhynchos, Anseriformes, Aves) in Moscow. BIOL BULL+ 2016. [DOI: 10.1134/s1062359016110029] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
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31
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Meller K, Vähätalo AV, Hokkanen T, Rintala J, Piha M, Lehikoinen A. Interannual variation and long-term trends in proportions of resident individuals in partially migratory birds. J Anim Ecol 2016; 85:570-80. [DOI: 10.1111/1365-2656.12486] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/14/2014] [Accepted: 11/25/2015] [Indexed: 11/27/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Kalle Meller
- The Helsinki Lab of Ornithology; The Finnish Museum of Natural History; University of Helsinki; PO Box 17, FI-00014 Helsinki Finland
| | - Anssi V. Vähätalo
- Department of Biological and Environmental Science; University of Jyväskylä; PO Box 35, FI-40014 Jyväskylä Finland
| | - Tatu Hokkanen
- Natural Resources Institute Finland; PO Box 18 Vantaa FI-01301 Finland
| | - Jukka Rintala
- Natural Resources Institute Finland; PO Box 2 Helsinki FI-00791 Finland
| | - Markus Piha
- The Helsinki Lab of Ornithology; The Finnish Museum of Natural History; University of Helsinki; PO Box 17, FI-00014 Helsinki Finland
| | - Aleksi Lehikoinen
- The Helsinki Lab of Ornithology; The Finnish Museum of Natural History; University of Helsinki; PO Box 17, FI-00014 Helsinki Finland
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32
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Improving the quantification of waterfowl migration with remote sensing and bird tracking. Sci Bull (Beijing) 2015. [DOI: 10.1007/s11434-015-0930-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/22/2022]
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33
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Ramo C, Amat JA, Nilsson L, Schricke V, Rodríguez-Alonso M, Gómez-Crespo E, Jubete F, Navedo JG, Masero JA, Palacios J, Boos M, Green AJ. Latitudinal-Related Variation in Wintering Population Trends of Greylag Geese (Anser Anser) along the Atlantic Flyway: A Response to Climate Change? PLoS One 2015; 10:e0140181. [PMID: 26465601 PMCID: PMC4605798 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0140181] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/25/2015] [Accepted: 09/21/2015] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
The unusually high quality of census data for large waterbirds in Europe facilitates the study of how population change varies across a broad geographical range and relates to global change. The wintering population of the greylag goose Anser anser in the Atlantic flyway spanning between Sweden and Spain has increased from 120 000 to 610 000 individuals over the past three decades, and expanded its wintering range northwards. Although population sizes recorded in January have increased in all seven countries in the wintering range, we found a pronounced northwards latitudinal effect in which the rate of increase is higher at greater latitudes, causing a constant shift in the centre of gravity for the spatial distribution of wintering geese. Local winter temperatures have a strong influence on goose numbers but in a manner that is also dependent on latitude, with the partial effect of temperature (while controlling for the increasing population trend between years) being negative at the south end and positive at the north end of the flyway. Contrary to assumptions in the literature, the expansion of crops exploited by greylag geese has made little contribution to the increases in population size. Only in one case (expansion of winter cereals in Denmark) did we find evidence of an effect of changing land use. The expanding and shifting greylag population is likely to have increasing impacts on habitats in northern Europe during the course of this century.
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Affiliation(s)
- Cristina Ramo
- Wetland Ecology Department, Estación Biológica de Doñana (EBD-CSIC), Sevilla, Spain
- * E-mail:
| | - Juan A. Amat
- Wetland Ecology Department, Estación Biológica de Doñana (EBD-CSIC), Sevilla, Spain
| | - Leif Nilsson
- Department of Biology, Lund University, Lund, Sweden
| | - Vincent Schricke
- Office National de la Chasse et de la Faune Sauvage, Nantes, France
| | | | - Enrique Gómez-Crespo
- Sección de Espacios Naturales y Especies Protegidas, Consejería de Fomento y Medio Ambiente, Junta de Castilla y León, Palencia, Spain
| | | | - Juan G. Navedo
- Instituto de Ciencias Marinas y Limnológicas, Universidad Austral de Chile, Valdivia, Chile
| | - José A. Masero
- Grupo de Biología de la Conservación, Universidad de Extremadura, Badajoz, Spain
| | - Jesús Palacios
- Servicio Territorial de Medio Ambiente de Zamora, Junta de Castilla León, Zamora, Spain
| | - Mathieu Boos
- Research Agency in Applied Ecology, Naturaconst@, Wilshausen, France
| | - Andy J. Green
- Wetland Ecology Department, Estación Biológica de Doñana (EBD-CSIC), Sevilla, Spain
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Lehikoinen A, Rintala J, Lammi E, Pöysä H. Habitat-specific population trajectories in boreal waterbirds: alarming trends and bioindicators for wetlands. Anim Conserv 2015. [DOI: 10.1111/acv.12226] [Citation(s) in RCA: 40] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- A. Lehikoinen
- The Helsinki Lab of Ornithology, Finnish Museum of Natural History; University of Helsinki; Helsinki Finland
| | - J. Rintala
- Natural Resources Institute Finland; Helsinki Finland
| | | | - H. Pöysä
- Natural Resources Institute Finland; Joensuu Finland
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Fox AD, Jónsson JE, Aarvak T, Bregnballe T, Christensen TK, Clausen KK, Clausen P, Dalby L, Holm TE, Pavón-Jordan D, Laursen K, Lehikoinen A, Lorentsen SH, Møller AP, Nordström M, Öst M, Söderquist P, Roland Therkildsen O. Current and Potential Threats to Nordic Duck Populations — A Horizon Scanning Exercise. ANN ZOOL FENN 2015. [DOI: 10.5735/086.052.0404] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/23/2022]
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36
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Holopainen S, Arzel C, Dessborn L, Elmberg J, Gunnarsson G, Nummi P, Pöysä H, Sjöberg K. Habitat use in ducks breeding in boreal freshwater wetlands: a review. EUR J WILDLIFE RES 2015. [DOI: 10.1007/s10344-015-0921-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/23/2022]
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