Increased incidence of subarachnoid hemorrhage during cold temperatures and influenza epidemics

Vitamin D deficiency promotes intracranial aneurysm rupture

Intracranial aneurysm rupture causes severe disability and high mortality. Epidemiological studies show a strong association between decreased vitamin D levels and an increase in aneurysm rupture. However, the causality and mechanism remain largely unknown. In this study, we tested whether vitamin D deficiency promotes aneurysm rupture and examined the underlying mechanism for the protective role of vitamin D against the development of aneurysm rupture utilizing a mouse model of intracranial aneurysm. Mice consuming a vitamin D-deficient diet had a higher rupture rate than mice with a regular diet. Vitamin D deficiency increased proinflammatory cytokines in the cerebral arteries. Concurrently, vitamin D receptor knockout mice had a higher rupture rate than the corresponding wild-type littermates. The vitamin D receptors on endothelial and vascular smooth muscle cells, but not on hematopoietic cells, mediated the effect of aneurysm rupture. Our results establish that vitamin D protects against the development of aneurysmal rupture through the vitamin D receptors on vascular endothelial and smooth muscle cells. Vitamin D supplementation may be a viable pharmacologic therapy for preventing aneurysm rupture.

Association of Global Ultraviolet Radiation With the Incidence of Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Inflammation is a key pathomechanism for growth and rupture of intracranial aneurysms. Anti-inflammatory mechanisms may reduce rupture of intracranial aneurysms and the incidence of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). Ultraviolet (UV) radiation from sunlight exposure induces systemic anti-inflammatory responses through immunosuppressive mechanisms. We studied whether SAH incidence is associated with UV radiation.

METHODS

Global SAH incidence, time trends, and regional differences from 32 countries were linked to UV radiation data from the Tropospheric Emission Monitoring Internet Service. Odds between low vs high UV exposure and SAH incidence were calculated. Correlation analysis was performed using R (R 4.1.2).

RESULTS

SAH incidences ranged from 1.3 to 27 per 100 000 patient-years (p-y) and UV index from 1.76 to 11.27. The correlation coefficient (rho) between SAH incidence and UV index was -0.48 (P = .012). SAH incidence was highest in Japan (13.7-27.9 p-y) with an UV index 6.28. UV index was highest in Chile 11.27 with a lower SAH incidence (3.8-4.8 p-y). The lowest UV index 1.76 was seen in Iceland with higher SAH incidence (9.8 p-y).Within Europe, regions with higher UV indices reported lower SAH incidences (Northwest Europe: SAH incidence p-y 8.61/UV index 2.85; Southeast Europe: SAH incidence p-y 7.37/UV index 4.65) with a significant inverse correlation (rho = -0.68, P = .004) and not a significant correlation between non-European countries (rho = -0.43, P = .19). Low exposure of UV radiation in global regions predicted higher than median incidences of SAH with an odds ratio 5.13 (95% CIs 1.02-31.5).

CONCLUSION

The incidence of SAH is inversely associated with UV radiation. Further studies should assess the actual UV exposure in relation to SAH incidence and potential biological explanations for the relation we found.

The relationship between the level of vitamin D and ruptured intracranial aneurysms among patients with high sun exposure

Non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) accounts for 3-5% of acute strokes. Intracranial aneurysm is the most common cause of non-traumatic SAH. Vitamin D influences the cardiovascular system, including the formation and rupture of cerebral aneurysms. To evaluate the serum vitamin D level in patients living in the tropical zone who suffered aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage and its correlation with demographic and neurological characteristics. This is an analytical cross-sectional study to assess the serum level of vitamin D in a study population of 99 patients treated and diagnosed with aSAH in a public hospital in Recife-PE over a period of 12 months. In the study sample, composed of individuals with high sun exposure due to the lifestyle they lead in a tropical region, we observed hypovitaminosis D (85.9%), with a median of 19.9 ng/ml, although the majority of individuals are skin with high concentration of melanin (Fitzpatrick skin type IV and V). In addition, rates of sun exposure are high to all patients (Solar Index 9.03 P50). Most individuals were female (79.8%); there was no statistical difference in solar exposure/solar index between genders. As for the neurological repercussions, there was no statistical relevance in the clinical prognostic scales evaluated. As the sample was composed mainly of individuals whose economic activity is agriculture, the values of solar index found are vastly higher than those of other studies conducted in high latitude regions. In line with the literature review, some aspects were raised with the objective of justifying such findings that go from the base of the poor diet of these individuals, the increase of melanin in the skin and genetic alterations that directs us to possible mechanisms of natural photoprotection to high sun exposure. Thus, we had a vast majority (85%) of hypovitaminosis D, which in fact makes us wonder if there is any influence of calcitriol on vitamin D receptors in vascular walls and in the cardiovascular system as a whole, which influence bleeding events of this nature. As for the neurological repercussions, measured using assessment scales (Glasgow coma scale, WFNS scale, Hunt-Hess and Fisher's tomographic scale) there was no significant difference in the results. As it is only a descriptive study, the causal relationship of the facts cannot be established. However, in a population exposed to high sun exposure and affected by aneurysmal SAH, there is a significant rate of hypovitaminosis D, which supports the hypothesis that vitamin D plays a role in vascular pathologies, such as cerebral aneurysms and SAH.

The Natural History of Hemorrhage in Brain Arteriovenous Malformations-Poisson Regression Analysis of 1066 Patients in a Single Institution

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Natural history of hemorrhage in brain arteriovenous malformations (bAVM) is reported at 2%-4% per year. Published studies using survival analysis fail to account for recurrent hemorrhagic events. In this study, we present a large, single institution series to elucidate the natural history of bAVM using multivariable Poisson regression.

METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study. All patients with bAVM seen at our institution from 1990 to 2021 were included. Hemorrhages after detection of bAVM during the untreated interval were recorded. Natural history of hemorrhage was calculated by dividing number of hemorrhages by untreated interval. The frequency of hemorrhages followed a Poisson distribution. Multivariable Poisson regression with an offset variable of untreated interval in patient-years was constructed. Model selection was through a stepwise Akaike information criterion method. Stratified hemorrhagic rate was presented using different combinations of significant factors.

RESULTS

A total of 1066 patients with nonhereditary hemorrhagic telangiectasia harboring a single bAVM were included. Ninety (8.44%) patients had 101 hemorrhages during an untreated interval of 3596.3344 patient-years, translating to an overall hemorrhagic rate of 2.81% per year. Significant factors increasing hemorrhage risk included ruptured presentation ( P < .001), increasing age ( P < .001), female sex ( P = .043), and deep location ( P = .040). Adult male patients with ruptured presentation and deep bAVMs sustained the highest annual risk at 10.81%, whereas no hemorrhages occurred in unruptured pediatric male patients or ruptured pediatric (younger than 18 years) male patients with superficial bAVMs.

CONCLUSION

Hemorrhage after bAVM detection occurs in 8.41% of all patients, and the rate averages 2.81% per year. However, this risk varies from 0.00% to 10.81% per year depending on various risk factor combinations. Efforts should be made to stratify bAVM hemorrhage rate by risk factors for more precise estimation of bleeding risk if left untreated.

Low ambient temperature increases the risk and burden of atrial fibrillation episodes: A nationwide case-crossover study in 322 Chinese cities

BACKGROUND

Non-optimum ambient temperature has recently been acknowledged as an independent risk factor for disease burden, but its impact on atrial fibrillation (AF) episodes was rarely evaluated.

OBJECTIVES

To examine the associations between ambient non-optimum temperature and symptom onset of AF episodes and calculate the corresponding disease burden.

METHODS

We conducted an individual-level, time-stratified, case-crossover analysis based on a nationwide registry, which comprises of 94,711 eligible AF patients from 1993 hospitals in 322 Chinese cities from January 2015 to December 2021. Multiple moving 24 h average temperatures prior to the symptom onset of AF episodes were calculated as lag days. The associations were analyzed using conditional logistic regression combined with distributed lag non-linear models with a duration of lag 0-7 days, after controlling for criteria air pollutants. Stratification analyses were performed to explore possible effect modifiers.

RESULTS

There was a monotonically increasing relationship of AF onset risk with decreasing temperature. The excess AF risk occurred at lag 1 d and lasted for 5 days. Nationally, the cumulative relative risk of AF episode onset associated with extremely low temperature (-9.3 °C) over lag 0-7 d was 1.25 (95 % confidence interval: 1.08, 1.45), compared with the reference temperature (31.5 °C). The exposure-response curve was steeper in the south than in the north where there was levelling-off at lower temperature. Nationally, 7.59 % of acute AF episodes could be attributable to non-optimum temperatures. The attributable fraction was larger for southern residents, males and patients <65 years.

CONCLUSION

This nationwide study provides novel and robust evidence that declining ambient temperature could increase the risk of AF episode onset. We also provide the first-hand evidence that a considerable proportion of acute AF episodes could be attributable to non-optimum temperatures.

The relationship between air pollutant levels and aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

The relationship between air pollutants, including fine particles (particulate matter [PM] < 10 μm and < 2.5 μm), and aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) has been inadequately studied, and the results remain inconclusive. In this study, we attempted to investigate the relationship between air pollutant levels and aneurysmal SAH.

METHODS

Ninety-two patients diagnosed with aneurysmal SAH were retrospectively included in the study. Medical records were reviewed, and levels of pollutants, including those of sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), ozone (O3), carbon monoxide (CO), and PM with an aerodynamic diameter < 10 and 2.5 μm (PM10 and PM2.5), were collected from the open-source Air Korea website for a period of 4 days. Independent t-tests were conducted to identify the difference in the pollutant levels between the data obtained on the day of aneurysm rupture (D-0) and the other 3 days (D-7, D-2, and D-1).

RESULTS

A majority (40.2%) of the patients experienced aneurysm rupture during the fall season when the mean daily pollutant levels were 0.004 ± 0.001 (ppm, SO2), 0.517 ± 0.218 (ppm, CO), 0.02056 ± 0.012 (ppm, O3), 0.02628 ± 0.015 (ppm, NO2), 36.36957 ± 24.538 (μg/m3, PM10), and 19.75581 ± 13.494 (μg/m3, PM2.5), respectively. The level of NO2 was significantly higher on the day of aneurysm rupture (P = .035) than on the other days, while the levels of CO and O3 were nonsignificantly higher (P = .081, P = .055, respectively) on the day of aneurysm rupture than on the other days. There was no significant differences in the PM levels between the 4 days.

CONCLUSION

A relationship between PM levels and aneurysm rupture was not identified. Only the levels of classic air pollutant (CO, O3, and NO2) were higher on the aneurysm rupture day than on the other days.

Analysis of Variation in Incidence of Optic Disc Hemorrhage According to Seasonal and Temperature Changes

PURPOSE

To investigate seasonal variation in optic disc hemorrhage (DH) by review of fundus photographs representative of 2 calendar years (2019 and 2020).

DESIGN

Retrospective, observational trend study.

METHODS

Patients who visited the Glaucoma Clinic of Seoul National University Hospital and underwent fundus photography were included. All available stereo disc photographs and red-free retinal nerve fiber layer photographs taken between January 1, 2019 and December 31, 2020 were retrospectively reviewed. The monthly incidence rate of DH was determined by reference to the photographs. Seasonal temperature information and patients' intraocular pressure (IOP) information were obtained, organized, and analyzed.

RESULTS

Fundus images of 13,514 eyes were reviewed, and 454 eyes were confirmed to have DH. Poisson regression analyses revealed that as the temperature (T) increased by 1 °C, the DH risk ratio was reduced to 0.979 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.969-0.989, P < .01). The DH incidence ratio was 1.53 (95% CI 1.23-1.91, P < .01) for the T <10 °C group relative to the T ≥20 °C group. The IOP of the patients with DH in winter was significantly higher than that measured in summer.

CONCLUSION

DH is affected by temperature, and as such, shows seasonal variability. This variability is believed to be caused by temperature-related factors such as IOP or hematological factors. © 2022 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage during the Shutdown for COVID-19

The aim was to evaluate hospitalization rates for aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) within an interdisciplinary multicenter neurovascular network (NVN) during the shutdown for the COVID-19 pandemic along with its modifiable risk factors. In this multicenter study, admission rates for SAH were compared for the period of the shutdown for the COVID-19 pandemic in Germany (calendar weeks (cw) 12 to 16, 2020), the periods before (cw 6–11) and after the shutdown (cw 17–21 and 22–26, 2020), as well as with the corresponding cw in the years 2015–2019. Data on all-cause and pre-hospital mortality within the area of the NVN were retrieved from the Department of Health, and the responsible emergency medical services. Data on known triggers for systemic inflammation, e.g., respiratory viruses and air pollution, were analyzed. Hospitalizations for SAH decreased during the shutdown period to one-tenth within the multicenter NVN. There was a substantial decrease in acute respiratory illness rates, and of air pollution during the shutdown period. The implementation of public health measures, e.g., contact restrictions and increased personal hygiene during the shutdown, might positively influence modifiable risk factors, e.g., systemic inflammation, leading to a decrease in the incidence of SAH.

Chronobiological Patterns of Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage in Central China

Background:

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is an acute and sometimes fatal cerebrovascular disease. The chronobiological patterns of aSAH are still unclear worldwide. This 15-year time-series study aims to clarify the chronobiological patterns including seasonal, monthly, weekly, and circadian distributions of aSAH.

Methods:

We retrospectively analyzed the medical records of aSAH patients in central China. To investigate seasonal and weekly distributions, we used the χ2 goodness-of-fit test to analyze the uniformity of the onset time. To explore monthly and circadian distributions, we established Fourier models to show the rhythmicity in chronobiological patterns. Subgroup analyses were conducted to assess the impact of age, gender, hypertension statuses, and aneurysmal characteristics (number, size, and location) on the chronobiological patterns of aSAH.

Results:

A total of 1469 patients with aSAH were recruited in the study. The seasonal and monthly distribution exhibited significantly higher incidence in winter and January/December and lower incidence in summer and July. The weekly distribution of aSAH onset showed no significant uneven variation. The circadian distribution of aSAH exhibited a significant pattern (p = 0.0145), with a morning peak around 8:00, and a late afternoon peak at 16:00–20.00. The circadian rhythmicity varied in subgroups of different ages, genders, and aneurysmal locations.

Conclusion:

The occurrence of aSAH exhibits significant circannual and circadian patterns among the Chinese population. Patients with aSAH of different ages, genders, and aneurysmal locations would present different chronobiological patterns.

Comparison of the incidence of bleeding between baloxavir marboxil and other anti-influenza drugs among outpatients with influenza virus infection: A retrospective cohort study using an employment-based health insurance claims database in Japan

Purpose

Alerts for bleeding events are included in the Japanese package inserts of some anti‐influenza drugs, including baloxavir marboxil and oseltamivir. However, there are few reports on the incidence of bleeding events during treatment with anti‐influenza drugs. This large‐scale quantitative assessment compared the incidence of bleeding events in influenza patients treated with baloxavir and other anti‐influenza drugs and in untreated patients.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study used a large‐scale Japanese employment‐based health insurance claims database provided by JMDC Inc. and included outpatients diagnosed with influenza between October 1, 2018 and April 11, 2019. Bleeding events were identified by International Classification of Diseases 10th revision codes. Incidences were compared between patients treated with baloxavir or neuraminidase inhibitors and untreated patients. Odds ratios were calculated after exact matching to adjust for potential confounders.

Results

Among 529 201 influenza episodes, 30 964 were untreated and 498 237 were treated with anti‐influenza drugs: baloxavir, 207 630; oseltamivir, 143 722; zanamivir, 28 208; peramivir, 5304; laninamivir, 113 373. Crude incidence proportions for total bleeding up to 20 days after influenza diagnosis were similar among treated groups, with a slightly higher value for peramivir (0.21% vs. 0.19% for baloxavir, oseltamivir, zanamivir, and laninamivir), and 0.30% in untreated patients. After exact matching, the incidence of bleeding for baloxavir was similar to that for other anti‐influenza treatments (odds ratios for baloxavir were 0.90–0.99 compared to other therapies).

Conclusions

Based on real‐world observation using a large‐scale claims database, a similar incidence of bleeding events was observed in recipients of the different anti‐influenza drugs.

Association of bleeding symptoms during influenza infection and administered drugs

On March 1, 2019, the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare added bleeding symptoms to adverse reaction package inserts as a possible adverse event for a new anti-influenza drug, baloxavir marboxil, because 13 patients with bleeding symptoms were identified among influenza patients taking the drug. Nevertheless, aspects of the epidemiology of bleeding symptoms among influenza patients remain unclear. This study elucidated bleeding symptoms among influenza patients and hospitalized patients as severe cases. A survey was administered to all physicians in Japan during the 2019-2020 season for reporting of bleeding symptoms in influenza patients. The survey elicited information about outcomes, assuming associated underlying diseases and drugs in addition to administered drugs including acetaminophen and anti-influenza (antiviral) drugs. We received reports of 63 cases with bleeding symptoms, including 5 cases of hospitalized patients. Among all patients, 54% had been administered oseltamivir; 10% had been administered baloxavir marboxil. Among hospitalized patients, all had been administered acetaminophen; 40% of them had been administered oseltamivir, and one patient had been administered baloxavir marboxil. Accumulation of bleeding symptom cases is expected to be necessary to evaluate the association.

Associations between meteorological variation and rupture of intracranial aneurysm in Fujian, China: A 5-year multicenter study

OBJECTIVE

By exploring the exposure-response relationships between meteorological factors and rupture of intracranial aneurysm (IA) to reveal the influence of meteorological variation on IA rupture under the specific climate in Fujian, China.

METHOD

7515 cases of IA rupture from several municipal medical institutions in Fujian Province as well as local meteorological data during the same period were collected from 2013 to 2017. Poisson regression and Spearman correlation analysis were applied to explore the distribution characteristics of IA rupture and how it is associated with meteorological parameters. Poisson generalized additive model was established to further analyze the exposure-response relationships between meteorological factors and IA rupture, and its hysteresis effects.

RESULT

The IA rupture exhibited a negative correlation with temperature (r_s = -0.323, 95% CI: -0.539 ~ -0.068) and a positive correlation with atmospheric pressure (r_s = 0.397, 95% CI: 0.152-0.597) or pressure difference (r_s = 0.296, 95% CI: 0.038-0.517), 21.05 ℃ and 1000.14 hPa were the risk thresholds for the onset ascribed to variation in temperature and atmospheric pressure, respectively. Temperature and atmospheric pressure also exerted hysteresis effects on IA rupture. Cold will increase the rupture risk in the subsequent 1-3 days, and high pressure will raise the morbidity in the next 1-2 days. Besides, drastic variations in temperature and atmospheric pressure were also associated with the higher risk of IA rupture in the next 2 days and 1 day, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Temperature and atmospheric pressure have a negative and positive correlation with IA rupture in Fujian, China, respectively. Variation in temperature and atmospheric pressure exert different degrees of hysteresis effects on IA rupture.

Stroke and neurointervention in the COVID-19 pandemic: a narrative review

Introduction: In this review, we will summarize the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on neurointerventional care for patients with cerebrovascular disease, with a particular emphasis on epidemiology, neurointerventional processes, and lessons learned from paradigm shifts in endovascular care.Areas covered: Peer-reviewed research is summarized regarding the complications of COVID-19 as related to the pandemic's impact on hospital admissions, imaging capabilities, treatment times, and outcomes of neurointerventional cases.Expert opinion: In the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, there was a global decline in neuroimaging, use of intravenous thrombolysis, thrombectomy, and coil embolization for ruptured intracranial aneurysms. An early recommendation to utilize general anesthesia and intubate all patients undergoing intervention to avoid an emergent aerosolizing procedure was found to have worse outcomes. The decline in new stroke and subarachnoid hemorrhage diagnoses may be related to patient and/or family fear of seeking acute medical care. A true shift in stroke epidemiology is also possible. As several vaccines become more readily available and the world rebounds from this pandemic, we hope to transform the neurointerventional experiences discussed in this paper into strategies that may improve care delivery of neurologically ill patients during a global crisis.

The Subarachnoid Hemorrhage-Weather Myth: A Long-Term Big Data and Deep Learning Analysis

Objective: The frequency of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) presents complex fluctuations that have been attributed to weather and climate changes in the past. In the present long-term big data and deep learning analysis, we have addressed this long-held myth.

Methods: Bleeding dates and basic demographic data for all consecutive patients (n = 1,271) admitted to our vascular center for treatment of aSAH between January 2003 and May 2020 (6,334 days) were collected from our continuously maintained database. The meteorological data of the local weather station, including 13 different weather and climate parameters, were retrieved from Germany's National Meteorological Service for the same period. Six different deep learning models were programmed using the Keras framework and were trained for aSAH event prediction with meteorological data from January 2003 to June 2017, with 10% of this dataset applied for data validation and model improvement. The dataset from July 2017 to May 2020 was tested for aSAH event prediction accuracy for all six models using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) as the metric.

Results: The study group comprised of 422 (33.2%) male and 849 (66.8%) female patients with an average age of 55 ± 14 years. None of the models showed an AUROC larger than 60.2. From the presented data, the influence of weather and climate on the occurrence of aSAH events is extremely unlikely.

Conclusion: The myth of special weather conditions influencing the frequency of aSAH is disenchanted by this long-term big data and deep learning analysis.

Effects of COVID-19 on the admissions of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: the West Greece experience

Background

Acute subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) due to aneurysmal rupture is a devastating vascular disease accounting for 5% of strokes. COVID-19 pandemic resulted in a decrease in elective and emergency admissions in the majority of neurosurgical centers. The main hypothesis was that fear of COVID-19 may have prevented patients with critical medical or surgical emergencies from actively presenting in emergency departments and outpatient clinics.

Methods

We conducted a single-center, retrospective, observational study searching our institutional data regarding the incidence of spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) and compare the admissions in two different periods: the pre COVID-19 with the COVID-19 period.

Results

The study cohort was comprised of a total of 99 patients. The mean (SD) weekly case rate of patients with SAH was 1.1 (1.1) during the pre-COVID-19 period, compared to 1.7 (1.4) during the COVID-19 period. Analysis revealed that the volume of admitted patients with SAH was 1.5-fold higher during the COVID period compared to the pre-COVID period and this was statistically significant (ExpB = 1.5, CI 95% 1–2.3, p = 0.044). Difference in mortality did not reach any statistical significance between the two periods (p = 0.097), as well as patients’ length of stay (p = 0.193).

Conclusions

The presented data cover a more extended time period than so far published reports; it is reasonable that our recent experience may well be demonstrating a general realistic trend of overall increase in aneurysmal rupture rates during lockdown. Hospitalization of patients with SAH cannot afford any reductions in facilities, equipment, or personnel if optimum outcomes are desirable.

Intensive care of traumatic brain injury and aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage in Helsinki during the Covid-19 pandemic

Background

To ensure adequate intensive care unit (ICU) capacity for SARS-CoV-2 patients, elective neurosurgery and neurosurgical ICU capacity were reduced. Further, the Finnish government enforced strict restrictions to reduce the spread. Our objective was to assess changes in ICU admissions and prognosis of traumatic brain injury (TBI) and aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) during the Covid-19 pandemic.

Methods

Retrospective review of all consecutive patients with TBI and aneurysmal SAH admitted to the neurosurgical ICU in Helsinki from January to May of 2019 and the same months of 2020. The pre-pandemic time was defined as weeks 1–11, and the pandemic time was defined as weeks 12–22. The number of admissions and standardized mortality rates (SMRs) were compared to assess the effect of the Covid-19 pandemic on these. Standardized mortality rates were adjusted for case mix.

Results

Two hundred twenty-four patients were included (TBI n = 123, SAH n = 101). There were no notable differences in case mix between TBI and SAH patients admitted during the Covid-19 pandemic compared with before the pandemic. No notable difference in TBI or SAH ICU admissions during the pandemic was noted in comparison with early 2020 or 2019. SMRs were no higher during the pandemic than before.

Conclusion

In the area of Helsinki, Finland, there were no changes in the number of ICU admissions or in prognosis of patients with TBI or SAH during the Covid-19 pandemic.

Impact of temperature decline from the previous day as a trigger of spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhage: case-crossover study of prefectural stroke database

OBJECTIVE

Several environmental factors have been reported to correlate with incidence of spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). However, because of different patient selection and study designs among these studies, meteorological factors that trigger the incidence of SAH in a short hazard period remain unknown. Among meteorological factors, daily temperature changes may disrupt and violate homeostasis and predispose to cerebrovascular circulatory disturbances and strokes. The authors aimed to investigate whether a decline in the temperature from the highest of the previous day to the lowest of the event day (temperature decline from the previous day [TDP]) triggers SAH in the prefecture-wide stroke database.

METHODS

All 28 participating institutions with primary or comprehensive stroke centers located throughout Kochi Prefecture, Japan, were included in the study. Data collected between January 2012 and December 2016 were analyzed, and 715 consecutive SAH patients with a defined date of onset were enrolled. Meteorological data in this period were obtained from the Kochi Local Meteorological Observatory. A case-crossover study was performed to investigate association of TDP and other environmental factors with onset of SAH.

RESULTS

The increasing TDP in 1°C on the day of the SAH event was associated with an increased incidence of SAH (OR 1.041, 95% CI 1.007-1.077) after adjustment for other environmental factors. According to the stratified analysis, a significant association between TDP and SAH was observed in women, patients < 65 years old, and patients with weekday onset. Among these factors, increasing TDP had a great impact on SAH onset in patients < 65 years old (p = 0.028, Mann-Whitney U-test).

CONCLUSIONS

TDP, temperature decline from the highest of the previous day to the lowest of the day, was correlated with the incidence of spontaneous SAH, particularly in younger patients < 65 years old.

An Australian Response to the COVID-19 Pandemic and Its Implications on the Practice of Neurosurgery

OBJECTIVE

This study was designed to assess the impact of public health policy in Australia in response to the coronavirus disease identified in 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on the delivery of neurosurgical services. Being essential services, we postulated that there would not be a decrease in elective and emergency neurosurgical presentations and surgeries.

METHODS

This is a prospective, observational, epidemiologic study in strict adherence to the "STROBE" (Strengthening The Reporting of OBservational studies in Epidemiology) guidelines. It is a cross-sectional, multicentric study involving 5 tertiary neurosurgical centers to capture all public neurosurgical admissions in Queensland during the past 3 months (February-April, 2020) of significant public health policy changes to combat COVID-19.

RESULTS

An analysis of the 1298 admissions for the Queensland population of 5.07 million Australians demonstrated a decrease in the number of elective and emergency admissions. The decline in elective admissions, particularly degenerative spine, benign neoplasms, and vascular pathologies, was a direct response of government strategy to curb activity to urgent surgical interventions only. Moreover, a trend toward fewer emergency admissions was also noted, partly explained by less trauma and also a decline in vascular pathologies including subarachnoid hemorrhage.

CONCLUSIONS

In comparison with Europe and North America, this study demonstrates the impact of proactive public health measures in Australia that successfully flattened the COVID-19 curve while facilitating ongoing care of acutely unwell neurosurgical patients.

Meteorological factors for subarachnoid hemorrhage in the greater Düsseldorf area revisited: a machine learning approach to predict the probability of admission of patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Reported data regarding the relation between the incidence of spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) and weather conditions are conflicting and do so far not allow prognostic models.

METHODS

Admissions for spontaneous SAH (ICD I60.*) 2009-2018 were retrieved form our hospital data base. Historical meteorological data for the nearest meteorological station, Düsseldorf Airport, was retrieved from the archive of the Deutsche Wetterdienst (DWD). Airport is in the center of our catchment area with a diameter of approximately 100 km. Pearson correlation matrix between mean daily meteorological variables and the daily admissions of one or more patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage was calculated and further analysis was done using deep learning algorithms.

RESULTS

For the 10-year period from January 1, 2009 until December 31, 2018, a total of 1569 patients with SAH were admitted. No SAH was admitted on 2400 days (65.7%), 1 SAH on 979 days (26.7%), 2 cases on 233 days (6.4%), 3 SAH on 37 days (1.0%), 4 in 2 days (0.05%), and 5 cases on 1 day (0.03%). Pearson correlation matrix suggested a weak positive correlation of admissions for SAH with precipitation on the previous day and weak inverse relations with the actual mean daily temperature and the temperature change from the previous days, and weak inverse correlations with barometric pressure on the index day and the day before. Clustering with admission of multiple SAH on a given day followed a Poisson distribution and was therefore coincidental. The deep learning algorithms achieved an area under curve (AUC) score of approximately 52%. The small difference from 50% appears to reflect the size of the meteorological impact.

CONCLUSION

Although in our data set a weak correlation of the probability to admit one or more cases of SAH with meteorological conditions was present during the analyzed time period, no helpful prognostic model could be deduced with current state machine learning methods. The meteorological influence on the admission of SAH appeared to be in the range of only a few percent compared with random or unknown factors.

Role of bioclimate conditions on cerebral aneurysm rupture in the Brittany region of France

INTRODUCTION

Subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) from intracranial aneurysm rupture is an unpredictable event responsible for significant morbidity and mortality. Despite inconsistencies, some studies suggest a potential role of climate conditions in SAH onset. The purpose of this study was to determine the impact of climatic and lunar factors on onset of SAH in an oceanic climate such as that of Brittany, France.

METHODS

All adults with SAH admitted to the neurosurgery department and intensive care unit of the University Hospital of Rennes (France) between January 1st, 2011 and December 31st, 2012 were included. Meteorological variables, their variations, lunar phases and tidal coefficients were compared between days with and without SAH.

RESULTS

We retrospectively included 295 patients with SAH. Mean minimum temperature was significantly lower during days with SAH (7.7±4.7°C versus 8.3±4.6°C; P=0.039); temperature variation between 2 successive days was significantly greater for days with SAH (8.6±4.1°C versus 7.9±3.8°C; P<0.01). Multivariate analysis showed that a 2-day temperature drop greater than or equal to 8°C was associated with 35% increased risk of SAH (odds ratio 1.35 [1.03-1.77]). There were no significant effects of other meteorological variables, lunar phase or tidal coefficient on SAH occurrence.

CONCLUSION

Low temperature and sudden temperature drop were associated with increased occurrence of SAH in Brittany, France.

Atmospheric Pressure Variation is a Delayed Trigger for Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

There is an ongoing search for conditions that induce spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). The seasonal pattern of SAH is shown in a large meta-analysis of the literature, but its explanation remains undecided. There is a clear need for sound meteorologic data to further elucidate the seasonal influence on SAH. Because of the stable and densely monitored atmospheric situation in the north of the Netherlands, we reviewed our unique cohort on the seasonal incidence of SAH and the association between SAH and local atmospheric changes.

METHODS

Our observational cohort study included 1535 patients with spontaneous SAH admitted to our neurovascular center in the north of the Netherlands between 2000 and 2015. Meteorologic data could be linked to the day of the ictus. To compare SAH incidences over the year and to test the association with meteorologic conditions, incidence rate ratios (IRRs) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used, calculated by Poisson regression analyses.

RESULTS

Atmospheric pressure variations were significantly associated with aneurysmal SAH. In particular, the pressure change on the second and third day before the ictus was independently correlated to a higher incidence of aneurysmal SAH (IRR, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.00-1.23). The IRR for aneurysmal SAH in July was calculated 0.67 (95% CI, 0.49-0.92) after adjustment for temperature and atmospheric pressure changes.

CONCLUSIONS

Atmospheric pressure variations are a delayed trigger for aneurysmal SAH. Also, a significantly decreased incidence of aneurysmal SAH was noted in July.

Monthly variations in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage incidence and mortality: Correlation with weather and pollution

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Although the effect of weather and air pollution on the occurrence of subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) has been investigated, results have remained inconsistent. The present study aimed to determine the seasonality of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage occurrence and mortality.

METHODS

We used the National Inpatient Sample database to evaluate the effect of meteorological factors and air pollutants on patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage in Korea between 2011 and 2014. Monthly variations in SAH occurrence and mortality were analyzed using locally weighted scatter plot smoothing curves. Multivariate Poisson generalized linear regression models were used to evaluate potential independent meteorological and pollutant variables associated with SAH occurrence and mortality.

RESULTS

In total, 21,407 patients who underwent clip or coil treatment owing to aneurysmal SAH in Korea from January 1, 2011, to December 31, 2014, were included. The crude incidence rate of SAH in Korea was 10.5 per 100,000 people per year. An approximately 0.5% lower risk of SAH was observed per 1°C increase in mean monthly temperature (relative risk, 0.995; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.992-0.997; p < 0.001), while an approximately 2.3% higher risk of SAH was observed per 1°C increase in mean monthly diurnal temperature.

CONCLUSIONS

We showed distinct patterns of seasonal and monthly variation in the occurrence and mortality of SAH. Our findings suggest that meteorological factors may play an important role in monthly variations in the occurrence of aneurysmal SAH.

The association between lunar phase and intracranial aneurysm rupture: Myth or reality? Own data and systematic review

Background

It is a common belief in medical community that lunar phases have an impact on human health. A growing body of evidence indicates that lunar phases can predict the risk to develop acute neurological and vascular disorders. The goal of present report was to present our institution data and to perform systematic review of studies examining the association of intracranial aneurysm rupture with moon phases.

Methods

We identified all patients admitted to our department for ruptured intracranial aneurysms in a period between November, 2011 and December, 2014. Patients with a known aneurysm rupture date were included. Lunar phases were determined by dividing lunar month (29.5 days) into eight equal parts, i.e., new moon, waxing crescent, first quarter, waxing gibbous, full moon, waning gibbous, last quarter and waning crescent. A systematic literature review was undertaken to identify studies that evaluated the association of lunar phases with the incident of intracranial aneurysm rupture.

Result

One hundred and eighty-six patients (62 men and 124 women, median age 56 years) were admitted to our department for treatment of ruptured intracranial aneurysms. The rate of intracranial aneurysm rupture was equally distributed across all phases of the lunar cycle (X² [7; 185] = 12.280, p = 0.092). We identified three studies that evaluated the association between incident intracranial aneurysm rupture and lunar phases with a total of 1483 patients. One study from Lebanon found that the incidence rate of intracranial aneurysm rupture was statistically significantly greater during the new moon phase (25% cases), relative to the other seven lunar phases (p < 0.001). Two subsequent studies from Austria and Germany in larger patient samples (n = 717 and n = 655, respectively) did not find an association between lunar phases and intracranial aneurysm rupture (p-values of 0.84 and 0.97, respectively). When analyzing all four studies together, we did not find an association between lunar phases and incidence of intracranial aneurysm rupture (X² [1668; 7] = 2.080, p = 0.955).

Conclusions

Moon phases are not associated with incidence of intracranial aneurysm rupture. Studies investigating the association of intracranial aneurysm rupture with lunar illumination defined using more sensitive approaches are encouraged.

Secular pattern of aneurismal rupture with the lunar cycle and season

Background The lunar cycle and seasons may be associated with rates of rupture of intracranial aneurysms, but the literature is mixed. Studies of the association between the lunar cycle and rates of aneurysm rupture used the eight qualitative moon phases. The purpose of this study was to assess any association of aneurysm rupture with the lunar cycle and with the season. Materials and methods We retrospectively reviewed all cases of subarachnoid haemorrhage secondary to ruptured intracranial aneurysm treated with endovascular coiling in our institution over a 10-year period. We included only cases with a known rupture date. We used the degree of illumination of the moon to quantitatively code the lunar cycle. Results A total of 212 cases were included in our analyses. The odds of aneurysm rupture were significantly greater ( p < 0.001) when the moon was least (new moon) and most (full moon) illuminated, as compared to the middle of the lunar cycle. The odds of rupture tended to be higher ( p = 0.059) in the summer, compared to autumn. Conclusions The odds of aneurysm rupture were greater when the moon was least illuminated (new moon) and most illuminated (full moon), compared to the middle of the lunar cycle.