Association of Evaluated Glomerular Filtration Rate and Incident Diabetes Mellitus: A Secondary Retrospective Analysis Based on a Chinese Cohort Study

Association between estimated glomerular filtration rate and reversion to normoglycemia in people with impaired fasting glucose: a 5-year retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVES

The present body of evidence regarding the correlation between the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and the reversal of impaired fasting glucose (IFG) to normoglycemia remains constrained. Consequently, the objective of our study is to examine the relationship between eGFR and the restoration of normoglycemia in individuals with IFG.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study consecutively collected data from 24,541 non-selective participants with IFG at Rich Healthcare Group in China from January 2010 to 2016. We aimed to investigate the association between baseline eGFR and reversion to normoglycemia using the Cox proportional-hazards regression model. Through the utilization of a Cox proportional hazards regression model featuring cubical spline smoothing, we were able to ascertain the non-linear correlation between eGFR and the return to normoglycemia. Furthermore, various sensitivity and subgroup analyses were carried out, and a competing risk multivariate Cox regression was employed to examine the progression to diabetes as a competing risk for the reversal of normoglycemic events.

RESULTS

In our study, comprising 24,541 participants, the average age was 49.25 ± 13.77 years, with 66.28% being male. The baseline eGFR mean was 104.16 ± 15.78 ml/min per 1.73 m2. During a median follow-up period of 2.89 years, we observed a reversion rate to normoglycemia of 45.50%. Upon controlling for covariates, our findings indicated a positive correlation between eGFR and the probability of returning to normoglycemia (HR = 1.008, 95% CI 1.006-1.009). In addition, a non-linear association was observed between eGFR and the likelihood of transitioning from IFG to normoglycemia. The inflection point of eGFR was found to be 111.962 ml/min per 1.73 m2, with HRs of 1.003 (95% CI 1.001, 1.005) on the left side of the point and 1.019 (95% CI 1.015, 1.022) on the right side. Our robust results were supported by competing risks multivariate Cox's regression and sensitivity analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings of our investigation indicate a favorable and non-linear correlation between eGFR and the restoration of normoglycemia in Chinese individuals with IFG. Specifically, a reduction in renal function at an early stage in these patients may considerably diminish the likelihood of attaining normoglycemia.

Association between high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and reversion to normoglycemia from prediabetes: an analysis based on data from a retrospective cohort study

The available evidence on the connection between high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) levels and the reversion from prediabetes (Pre-DM) to normoglycemia is currently limited. The present research sought to examine the connection between HDL-C levels and the regression from Pre-DM to normoglycemia in a population of Chinese adults. This historical cohort study collected 15,420 Pre-DM patients in China who underwent health screening between 2010 and 2016. The present research used the Cox proportional hazards regression model to investigate the connection between HDL-C levels and reversion from Pre-DM to normoglycemia. The Cox proportional hazards regression model with cubic spline functions and smooth curve fitting was employed to ascertain the nonlinear association between HDL-C and reversion from Pre-DM to normoglycemia. Furthermore, a set of sensitivity analyses and subgroup analyses were employed. Following the adjustment of covariates, the findings revealed a positive connection between HDL-C levels and the likelihood of reversion from Pre-DM to normoglycemia (HR 1.898, 95% CI 1.758-2.048, P < 0.001). Furthermore, there was a non-linear relationship between HDL-C and the reversion from Pre-DM to normoglycemia in both genders, and the inflection point of HDL-C was 1.540 mmol/L in males and 1.620 mmol/L in females. We found a strong positive correlation between HDL-C and the reversion from Pre-DM to normoglycemia on the left of the inflection point (Male: HR 2.783, 95% CI 2.373-3.263; Female: HR 2.217, 95% CI 1.802-2.727). Our sensitivity analysis confirmed the robustness of these findings. Subgroup analyses indicated that patients with SBP < 140 mmHg and ever smoker exhibited a more pronounced correlation between HDL-C levels and the reversion from Pre-DM to normoglycemia. In contrast, a less robust correlation was observed among patients with SBP ≥ 140 mmHg, current and never smokers. This study provides evidence of a positive and nonlinear association between HDL-C levels and the reversion from Pre-DM to normoglycemia in Chinese patients. Implementing intensified intervention measures to control the HDL-C levels of patients with Pre-DM around the inflection point may substantially enhance the likelihood of regression to normoglycemia.

A nomogram model for predicting 5-year risk of prediabetes in Chinese adults

Early identification is crucial to effectively intervene in individuals at high risk of developing pre-diabetes. This study aimed to create a personalized nomogram to determine the 5-year risk of pre-diabetes among Chinese adults. This retrospective cohort study included 184,188 participants without prediabetes at baseline. Training cohorts (92,177) and validation cohorts (92,011) were randomly assigned (92,011). We compared five prediction models on the training cohorts: full cox proportional hazards model, stepwise cox proportional hazards model, multivariable fractional polynomials (MFP), machine learning, and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) models. At the same time, we validated the above five models on the validation set. And we chose the LASSO model as the final risk prediction model for prediabetes. We presented the model with a nomogram. The model's performance was evaluated in terms of its discriminative ability, clinical utility, and calibration using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, decision curve analysis, and calibration analysis on the training cohorts. Simultaneously, we also evaluated the above nomogram on the validation set. The 5-year incidence of prediabetes was 10.70% and 10.69% in the training and validation cohort, respectively. We developed a simple nomogram that predicted the risk of prediabetes by using the parameters of age, body mass index (BMI), fasting plasma glucose (FBG), triglycerides (TG), systolic blood pressure (SBP), and serum creatinine (Scr). The nomogram's area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.7341 (95% CI 0.7290-0.7392) for the training cohort and 0.7336 (95% CI 0.7285-0.7387) for the validation cohort, indicating good discriminative ability. The calibration curve showed a perfect fit between the predicted prediabetes risk and the observed prediabetes risk. An analysis of the decision curve presented the clinical application of the nomogram, with alternative threshold probability spectrums being presented as well. A personalized prediabetes prediction nomogram was developed and validated among Chinese adults, identifying high-risk individuals. Doctors and others can easily and efficiently use our prediabetes prediction model when assessing prediabetes risk.

Association between non-high-density lipoprotein to high-density lipoprotein ratio and reversion to normoglycemia in people with impaired fasting glucose: a 5-year retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

The relationship between the non-high-density lipoprotein to high-density lipoprotein ratio (non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio) and changes in glycemic status as well as the development of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) has been well established. However, there is a lack of evidence concerning the association between the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio and the reversal of normoglycemia in individuals with impaired fasting glucose (IFG). Therefore, this study aimed to examine the connection between the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio and the likelihood of reverting to normoglycemia among people with IFG.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study examined data collected from 15,524 non-selective participants with IFG at the Rich Healthcare Group in China between January 2010 and 2016. The Cox proportional-hazards regression model was used to investigate the connection between the baseline non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio and the probability of reverting to normoglycemia. We were able to discover the non-linear association between the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio and reversion to normoglycemia using a Cox proportional hazards regression model with cubical spline smoothing. We also performed several sensitivity and subgroup analyses. A competing risk multivariate Cox regression was utilized as well to examine the development to diabetes as a competing risk for the reversal of normoglycemic events.

RESULTS

In our study, a total of 15,524 individuals participated, with a mean age of 50.9 ± 13.5 years, and 64.7% were male. The average baseline non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio was 2.9 ± 0.9. Over a median follow-up period of 2.9 years, we observed a reversion rate to normoglycemia of 41.8%. After adjusting for covariates, our findings revealed a negative association between the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio and the likelihood of reverting to normoglycemia (HR = 0.71, 95% CI 0.69-0.74). Notably, we identified a non-linear relationship between the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio and the probability of transitioning from IFG to normoglycemia. We found an inflection point at a non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio of 3.1, with HRs of 0.63 (95% CI 0.69, 0.74) on the left side and 0.78 (95% CI 0.74, 0.83) on the right side of the point. Competing risks multivariate Cox's regression, sensitivity analysis, and subgroup analysis consistently supported our robust results.

CONCLUSION

Our study has revealed a negative and non-linear relationship between the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio and reversion to normoglycemia in Chinese people with IFG. Specifically, when the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio was below 3.1, a significant and negative association with reversion to normoglycemia was observed. Furthermore, keeping the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio below 3.1 significantly elevated the probability of returning to normoglycemia.

Non-linear association of triglyceride-glucose index with prevalence of prediabetes and diabetes: a cross-sectional study

Background

The Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index has been acknowledged as a convenient, cost-effective, and relatively simple marker for insulin resistance (IR). Meanwhile, prediabetes, described as an asymptomatic, moderately hyperglycemic state, tends to be more prevalent than diabetes. Thus, the objective of this study was to explore the relationship between the TyG index and the prevalence of both prediabetes and diabetes within the U.S. population.

Methods

This study utilized a cross-sectional dataset derived from the National Health and Nutrition Survey (NHANES) spanning 1999 to 2018. The subjects were individuals aged 18 years and above, who had available fasting glucose and fasting triglyceride information, permitting a diagnosis of prediabetes or diabetes. The TyG index was computed using laboratory data, and participants were subsequently categorized into quartiles based on this information. The relationship between the TyG index and the prevalence of prediabetes and diabetes was investigated using logistic regression analysis.

Results

Out of the 25,159 participants, 23.88% were found to have prediabetes, while 16.22% were diagnosed with diabetes. After adjusting for confounding factors, a linear increase in relative odds was observed in Q2 (OR: 1.69; 95% CI: 1.52, 1.89), Q3 (OR: 2.57; 95% CI: 2.30, 2.88), and Q4 (OR: 4.88; 95% CI: 4.33, 5.49) groups in comparison to the reference group, Q1. In addition, a non-linear relationship was observed between the TyG index and the prevalence of prediabetes and diabetes. Specifically, patients with a TyG index greater than 8.00 overall exhibited a significantly higher risk of prediabetes and diabetes, confirming that an increase in the TyG index is associated with a corresponding increase in risk. However, this shift showed gender-specific variations; the threshold was observed at 8.00 in males but shifted to 9.00 in females.

Conclusion

The TyG index demonstrated a non-linear positive correlation with both prediabetes and diabetes. This suggests that maintaining the TyG index at a certain, reduced level could potentially aid in preventing the onset of prediabetes and diabetes.

The association between creatinine to body weight ratio and the risk of progression to diabetes from pre-diabetes: a 5-year cohort study in Chinese adults

OBJECTIVE

Evidence on the association between the creatinine to body weight (Cre/BW) ratio and the risk of pre-diabetes to diabetes development remains limited. Our study aimed to examine the association between the Cre/BW ratio and incident diabetes in pre-diabetic patients.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 24,506 pre-diabetic participants who underwent health checks from 2010 to 2016 in China. We used the Cox proportional-hazards regression model to explore the relationship between baseline Cre/BW ratio and diabetes risk in pre-diabetes patients. Using a Cox proportional hazards regression with cubic spline function and smooth curve fitting (cubical spline smoothing), we were able to determine the non-linear relationship between them. We also carried out a number of subgroup and sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

The age range of the participants included in this study was 20-99 years, with a majority of 16,232 individuals (66.24%) being men. The mean baseline Cre/BW ratio was 1.06 (SD 0.22) umol/L/kg. 2512 (10.25%) participants received a diabetes final diagnosis over a median follow-up period of 2.89 years. After adjusting for covariates, the Cre/BW ratio had a negative association with incident diabetes in participants with pre-diabetes, per umol/L/kg increase in Cre/BM ratio was accompanied by a 55.5% decrease in diabetes risk (HR = 0.445, 95%CI 0.361 to 0.548). The Cre/BW ratio and risk of diabetes had a non-linear connection, with 1.072 umol/L/kg serving as the ratio's inflection point. The HR were 0.294 (95%CI:0.208-0.414) and 0.712 (95%CI:0.492-1.029), respectively, on the left and right sides of the inflection point. The sensitivity analysis demonstrated the robustness of these results. Subgroup analyses indicated that the Cre/BW ratio was strongly associated with the risk of diabetes among participants who were younger than 50 years, as well as among those with diastolic blood pressure (DBP) < 90 mmHg and triglyceride (TG) < 1.7 mmol/L. In contrast, among participants 50 years of age or older, those with DBP ≥ 90 mmHg, and those with TG ≥ 1.7 mmol/L, the relationship between the Cre/BW ratio and the risk of diabetes was attenuated.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrates a negative, non-linear relationship between the Cre/BW ratio and the risk of diabetes among the Chinese population with pre-diabetes. From a therapeutic standpoint, it is clinically meaningful to maintain the Cre/BW ratio levels above the inflection point of 1.072 umol/L/kg.

Triglyceride affects the association between estimated glomerular filtration rate and the onset of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: A second analysis of a Chinese cohort study

Objective

The role of triglyceride (TG) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) effect modifiers on the risk of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is unknown. This study examined whether TG modifies the relationship between eGFR and incident NAFLD.

Methods

In a Chinese hospital from January 2010 to December 2014, 15,555 non-obese subjects were collected systematically for this retrospective cohort study. The target-independent and dependent variables were eGFR measured at baseline and NAFLD appearing during follow-up. The modified variable was TG measured at baseline. The multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to explore eGFR and TG’s association with NAFLD risk. We explored a priori interaction between eGFR and TG, and performed subgroup analyses to further assess whether the relationship between eGFR and incident NAFLD was modified by TG. We also explored the effect of TG and eGFR interaction on the risk of NAFLD.

Results

The mean age was 43.09 ± 14.92 years, and 8,131 (52.27%) were males. During a median follow-up time of 35.8 months, 2,077 (13.35%) individuals developed NAFLD. In the adjusted model, eGFR was negatively associated with incident NAFLD (HR = 0.984, 95% CI: 0.982, 0.987), while TG was positively related to NAFLD (HR = 1.582, 95% CI: 1.490, 1.681). TG could modify the relationship between eGFR and incident NAFLD. A stronger association between eGFR and NAFLD could be found in the participants without hypertriglyceridemia (HTG) (HR = 0.981, 95% CI: 0.978–0.984, P for interaction = 0.0139). In contrast, the weaker association was probed in the population with HTG (HR = 0.986, 95% CI: 0.983–0.989). At the same time, we also found an interaction between eGFR and TG in influencing NAFLD risk. In participants with decreased eGFR and HTG, the risk of NAFLD was significantly increased. Further, compared to non-HTG subjects with eGFR ≥ 116.56 ml/min/1.73 m², participants with HTG and eGFR < 82.88 ml/min/1.73 m² had about a fourfold increase in the risk (HR = 4.852 95% CI: 3.943–5.970) of NAFLD.

Conclusion

eGFR and TG is independently associated with NAFLD risk. The association of eGFR with incident NAFLD is likely to be modified by TG in the Chinese non-obese population. There was an interactive effect between eGFR and TG in affecting NAFLD risk. In participants with decreased eGFR and hypertriglyceridemia, the risk of NAFLD is significantly increased.

The Association Between Congestive Heart Failure and One-Year Mortality After Surgery in Singaporean Adults: A Secondary Retrospective Cohort Study Using Propensity-Score Matching, Propensity Adjustment, and Propensity-Based Weighting

Background

Although congestive heart failure (CHF) is considered a risk factor for postoperative mortality, reliable quantification of the relationship between CHF and postoperative mortality risk is limited. We aimed to investigate the association between CHF and 1-year mortality after surgery in a large cohort of the Singaporean population.

Methods

In this retrospective cohort study, the study population included 69,032 adult patients who underwent surgery at Singapore General Hospital between 1 January 2012 and 31 October 2016. The target independent and dependent variables were CHF and 1-year mortality after surgery, respectively. Propensity score was estimated using a non-parsimonious multivariable logistic regression model. Multivariable adjustment, propensity score matching, propensity score adjustment, and propensity score-based weighting Cox proportional-hazards regression were performed to investigate the association between CHF and 1-year mortality after surgery.

Results

The multivariate-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) in the original cohort was 1.39 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.20–1.61, P < 0.001). In additional propensity score adjustment, the HR between CHF and 1-year mortality after surgery was 1.34 (95% CI: 1.15–1.56, P < 0.001). In the propensity score-matched cohort, the multivariate-adjusted Cox proportional hazard regression model analysis showed participants with CHF had a 54% increased risk of 1-year mortality after surgery (HR 1.54, 95% CI: 1.19–1.98, P < 0.001). The multivariate-adjusted HR of the inverse probability of treatment-weighted and standardised mortality ratio-weighted cohorts was 1.34 (95% CI: 1.10–1.62, P = 0.004) and 1.24 (95% CI: 1.17–1.32, P < 0.001), respectively.

Conclusion

CHF is an independent risk factor for 1-year mortality after surgery in patients undergoing surgery. Depending on the statistical method, patients with CHF had a 24–54% increased risk of 1-year all-cause mortality after surgery. This provides a reference for optimising clinical decision-making, improving preoperative consultation, and promoting clinical communication.

Association of estimated glomerular filtration rate and incident pre-diabetes: A secondary 5-year longitudinal cohort study in Chinese people

OBJECTIVE

There is still limited evidence regarding the relationship between the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and pre-diabetes. For that reason, our research aims to survey the association of eGFR with pre-diabetes.

METHODS

This study was a retrospective cohort study, which consecutively and non-selectively collected a total of 173301 participants from Rich Healthcare Group in China from January 2010 to 2016. We then used the Cox proportional-hazards regression model to explore the relationship between baseline eGFR and pre-diabetes risk. Using a Cox proportional hazards regression with cubic spline function and smooth curve fitting (cubical spline smoothing), we were able to determine the non-linear relationship between eGFR and pre-diabetes. Additionally, we also conducted a series of sensitivity analyses and subgroup analyses. The DATADRYAD website was updated with data.

RESULTS

The mean age of the included individuals was 40.95 ± 11.94 years old, and 92318 (53.27%) were male. The mean baseline eGFR was 111.40 ± 14.77 ml/min per 1.73 m². During a median follow-up time of 3.0 years, 18333 (10.58%) people experienced pre-diabetes. As a result of adjusting for covariates, eGFR had a negative association with incident pre-diabetes (HR=0.993, 95%CI: 0.992-0.995). There was also a U-shaped curve relationship between eGFR and pre-diabetes, and the inflection point of eGFR was 129.793 ml/min per 1.73 m². HRs on the left and right sides of the inflection point were respectively 0.993 (0.991-0.994) and 1.023 (1.010- 1.037). Our results were robust in the sensitivity analysis. Subgroup analyses indicated that eGFR was strongly associated with the risk of pre-diabetes among participants who were younger than 30 years and 40-70 years, as well as among those who had never smoked. In contrast, the association of eGFR with the risk of pre-diabetes was attenuated among participants who were 30-40 years of age and 70 years of age or older, and among those who currently smoked.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrates a negative and U-shaped curve association between eGFR and the risk of pre-diabetes among the general Chinese population. Either reduced renal function or glomerular hyperperfusion status may be associated with an increased risk of prediabetes.