Trends in Incidence and Mortality of Stroke in China From 1990 to 2019

Understanding the stroke burden in Saudi Arabia: Trends from 1990 to 2019 and forecasting through time series analysis

OBJECTIVES

To describe age-standardized incidence and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of ischemic stroke (IS), intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), and subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) from 1990 to 2019 and forecast these variables using the Global Burden of Diseases (GBD) data over the next years (2020-2030).

METHODS

Poisson regression models were employed to identify significant changes in incidence rate ratios (IRRs) and DALY rates for different stroke types. For time series models, the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and exponential smoothing state space (ETS) models were used for forecasting.

RESULTS

The study demonstrated an increasing trend in the age-standardized incidence rate per 100,000 different types of strokes over the last 30 years, with a slight decrease in ICH and SAH types in 2015, followed by a continued increase. The prediction models indicated a sustained increase in the 3 types of strokes, accompanied by a decrease in DALYs. As regards DALYs, the trend for IS and ICH has been slowly and steadily increasing; however, there will be a modest decrease in DALYs rates for SAH during the next decade.

CONCLUSION

Stroke rates in KSA have increased over 3 decades, mainly among women and older individuals, and have a slow sustained increase over the forecasted period (2020-2030); thus, proactive strategies and healthcare interventions are required.

Relationship Between Subclavian Artery Stenosis Lesions and Posterior Circulation Infarction: A Preliminary Study

BACKGROUND

To investigate the correlation between subclavian steal syndrome and posterior circulation infarction using magnetic resonance imaging.

METHODS

A total of 294 patients diagnosed with subclavian steal syndrome using carotid Doppler ultrasonography were retrospectively included. According to the magnetic resonance imaging results, they were divided into posterior circulation infarction group and nonposterior circulation infarction group. Clinical indicators and carotid Doppler ultrasound parameters of patients were collected, and they were screened to establish a multiple logistic regression model. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis of the established multiple logistic regression model was performed, and the area under the curve was calculated to evaluate the predictive efficiency of the model.

RESULTS

After statistical analysis of all parameters of the 2 groups of patients, a total of 10 parameters were included in multiple logistic regression to establish a model. The results showed a correlation between posterior circulation infarction and subclavian artery occlusion, grade III subclavian steal syndrome, gender, vulnerable plaques, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, and age. After the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis of the model, the area under the curve for the multiple logistic regression model was 0.773.

CONCLUSIONS

The multiparameter composite model based on clinical baseline data and carotid Doppler ultrasonography parameters can effectively predict posterior circulation infarction and offer novel insight for clinical diagnosis.

Temporal trends of the burden of ischemic stroke attributable to high low-density lipoprotein cholesterol in China from 1999 to 2019

BACKGROUND

High levels of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) can lead to the occurrence and development of atherosclerosis, which is one of the important risk factors for ischemic stroke (IS). However, details regarding the evolution of the IS burden attributable to high LDL-C in China has not been available. The objective of this study was to examine the changes over time, from 1990 to 2019, in the burden of IS attributed to high levels of LDL-C in China and to estimate the individual impacts of age, period, and cohort on the burden of IS associated with high LDL-C.

METHODS

Detailed data on IS burden attributable to high LDL-C from 1990 to 2019 in China were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2019. The numbers and age-standardized rates of IS-related mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) attributable to high LDL-C were assessed by age and sex. The annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percentage change (AAPC) in the burden of IS due to high LDL-C were analyzed using Joinpoint regression model. The age-period-cohort analysis was carried out to assess the individual impacts of age, period, and cohort on the trends over time of mortality and DALY rate.

RESULTS

The number of IS-related deaths and DALYs due to high LDL-C in China were 182.7 thousand and 4.43 million in 2019, respectively, both more than double the corresponding numbers reported in 1990. However, despite these increased, the age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and age-standardized DALY rate (ASDR) remained unchanged. In 2019, men under 84 years of age had higher death and under 79 years of age had higher DALYs than women. However, above these ages, the gender disparities were reversed. Furthermore, age-specific rates of death, as well as DALY of IS attributable to high LDL-C in 2019 increased with age for both women and men, except for death in adults over 95 years old; and were greater in men than in women. From 1990 to 2019, males consistently had a higher ASMR and ASDR than females in China. During 1990-2019, the ASMR in women slightly decreased before 1997, sharply increased from 1997 to 2004, and then continuously decreased from 2004 to 2019, with an overall AAPC value of -0.4% (95% CI -0.8%, -0.0%). However, for the ASMR of men in China, the overall trend is upward and the AAPC is 0.5%(95% CI 0.1%, 0.8%). The ASDR in women and men had the similar trend as the ASMR over the time, with an AAPC of -0.4% (95% CI -0.7%, -0.1%) and 0.3% (95% CI 0.1%, 0.5%), respectively. The age-period-cohort analysis indicated a rise in period effects and a decline in cohort effects on mortality and DALY rate associated with IS caused by high LDL-C in both genders. Age effect on mortality rates from IS due to high LDL-C showed an exponential increased with age in all women and men except for the 60-69 age group and over 95 age group. The age relative risk of IS DALY rate due to high LDL-C increased with age in both genders except for 65-74 age group and over 95 age group.

CONCLUSIONS

From 1990 to 2019, the burden of IS caused by high LDL-C in China significantly increased among both sexes combined and among men, while significantly decreased among women. Elderly have a substantial burden of IS attributable to high LDL-C. Therefore, effective and tailored strategies based on gender and age for IS primary prevention and management of IS and high LDL-C are urgently needed in China.

Multimodal human computer interaction of wheelchairs supporting lower limb active rehabilitation

Currently, an important challenge in stroke rehabilitation is how to effectively restore motor functions of lower limbs. This paper presents multimodal human computer interaction (HCI) of wheelchairs supporting lower limb active rehabilitation. First, multimodal HCI incorporating motor imagery electroencephalography (EEG), electromyography (EMG) and speech is designed. Second, prototype supporting wheelchair active rehabilitation method is illustrated in details. Third, the preliminary brain-computer interfaces (BCI) and speech recognition task experiments are carried out respectively, and the results are obtained. Finally, discussion is conducted and conclusion is drawn. This study has important practical significance in auxiliary movements and neurorehabilitation for stroke patients.

Safety and Effectiveness Analysis of Endovascular Treatment versus Standard Medication Treatment in Patients with Progressive Acute Ischemic Stroke with Large Vessel Occlusion Stroke in the Ultra-Late Time Window: A Propensity Score Matched Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

The time from onset to symptom deterioration in ischemic stroke often exceeds 24 hours, and this ultra-late time window is excluded from the endovascular treatment (EVT) guideline. This study aimed to explore the safety and efficacy of EVT in progressive acute ischemic stroke with large vessel occlusion stroke patients with onset to symptom deterioration times of 24 hours-7 days.

METHODS

Progressive stroke patients with time window of 24 hours-7 days treated at our hospital over the past 6 years were retrospectively collected. Patients were categorized into EVT and standard medication treatment (SMT) groups based on the treatment approach. Patients were matched using propensity score matching. Safety outcomes primarily included 3-month mortality and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage; efficacy outcome primarily included functional independence (3-month modified Rankin scale ≤ 2).

RESULTS

A total of 396 patients were included in the study, with 86 (21.7%) in EVT and 310 (78.3%) in SMT group. There were 140 remaining after propensity score matching, with 70 in each group (50%). Compared to SMT group, EVT group had higher functional independence (52.9% vs. 15.7%, odds ratio [OR] = 7.504, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.141-14.093, P < 0.001) and lower 3-month mortality (14.3% vs. 40.0%, OR = 0.412, 95% CI 0.099-0.856, P < 0.001). EVT was also associated with higher symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (25.7% vs. 5.7%, OR = 9.926, 95% CI 1.874-36.547, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

For patients with progressive acute ischemic stroke with large vessel occlusion in the ultra-late time window, EVT remains a viable treatment approach.

Exercise preconditioning mitigates brain injury after cerebral ischemia-reperfusion injury in rats by restraining TIMP1

BACKGROUND

Cerebral ischemic disease is a common cerebrovascular disease, especially ischemic stroke. Exercise has protective functions on brain tissues following cerebral ischemia-reperfusion injury (CIRI), but its preventive effects and mechanisms in CIRI remain unclear. We aimed to investigate the effects and mechanisms of exercise preconditioning on CIRI.

METHODS

The middle cerebral artery occlusion (MCAO) operation was prepared to establish CIRI rats. All rats were randomized into the MCAO, exercise (exercise preconditioning plus MCAO operation), vector (exercise preconditioning, MCAO operation plus intraventricular injection of empty vector), and tissue inhibitor of metalloprotease 1 overexpression (OE-TIMP1, exercise preconditioning, MCAO operation plus intraventricular injection of OE-TIMP1) groups.

RESULTS

The results indicated that exercise preconditioning suppressed approximately 66.67% of neurological deficit scores and 73.79% of TIMP1 mRNA expression in MCAO rats, which were partially offset by OE-TIMP1. The protective effects of exercise against neuron death status and cerebral infarction size in MCAO rats were reversed by OE-TIMP1. It also confirmed that exercise weakened apoptosis and oxidative stress damage, with notable increases of B-cell lymphoma-2, superoxide dismutase, and glutathione peroxidase production, and evident decreases of BCL2-associated X, caspase 3, and malondialdehyde in MCAO rats, while these effects were partially reversed by OE-TIMP1. Additionally, the inhibitory effects of exercise on the protein levels of TIMP1, hypoxia-inducible factor-alpha, vascular endothelial growth factor receptor 2, vascular endothelial growth factor, and neurogenic locus notch homolog protein 1 in MCAO rats were partially reversed by OE-TIMP1.

CONCLUSION

Altogether, exercise preconditioning had protective effects on CIRI by restraining TIMP1, which provided new therapeutic strategies for preventing CIRI.

Trends in Mortality Due to Stroke in South America between 1990 and 2019

Stroke is the second leading cause of death and disability in Latin America; however, few epidemiological studies have been conducted in South America. An observational study was conducted to analyze trends in stroke mortality in South American (SA) countries. Age-standardized mortality rates and proportional mortality due to stroke in the populations of SA countries between 1990 and 2019 were assessed by extracting data from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study. Joinpoint regression models were employed to identify trends in the annual percentage change in mortality rates for each segment. Considering the data collected over the 30 years that were studied, the age-standardized stroke mortality trend decreased in Argentina (-1.6%), Uruguay (-0.6%), Brazil (-0.5%), Guyana (-0.5%), and Bolivia (-0.4%), while Venezuela (+1.6%) and Suriname (+1.0%) showed an increasing trend. The proportional stroke mortality trend decreased in Argentina (-1.7%), Paraguay (-0.9%), Uruguay (-0.7%), Guyana (-0.7%), Brazil (-0.5%), and Chile (-0.5%), whereas Bolivia (+1.0%), Suriname (+0.6%), and Peru (+0.4%) exhibited an increasing trend. The trends in stroke mortality between 1990 and 2019 demonstrated considerable variability. While most SA countries experienced significant decreases in stroke mortality trends, Venezuela and Suriname showed increases in age-standardized mortality rates, and Bolivia, Suriname, and Peru exhibited increases in proportional mortality rates. No decreasing stroke mortality trend was observed in the segment after the last joinpoint, highlighting the need for improvement in prevention and treatment.

Association of α-HBDH levels with the severity and recurrence after acute ischemic stroke

OBJECTIVE

α-HBDH serves as a biomarker of myocardial damage and is implicated in adverse outcomes across various critical illnesses. Our study aimed to assess the correlation between α-HBDH levels, and severity and recurrence of acute ischemic stroke (AIS).

METHODS

We enrolled patients with mild-to-moderate AIS within 72 h of onset. Based on the baseline score of the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (bNIHSS) at registration, patients were categorized into mild (bNIHSS ≤ 4 points) and moderate AIS groups (4 < bNIHSS ≤ 10 points). Subsequently, based on the normal upper limit of α-HBDH, patients were divided into low-level α-HBDH (≤ 180 U/L) and high-level α-HBDH (> 180 U/L) groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis and Cox proportional hazard regression analysis were employed to evaluate the relationship between α-HBDH levels and bNIHSS scores as well as the risk of recurrent AIS within 90 days.

RESULTS

We observed a significant association between higher baseline levels of α-HBDH and increased bNIHSS scores, indicating a more severe AIS (odds ratio = 24.449; 95% confidence interval [CI], 8.749-68.324; p < 0.01). Additionally, the risk of recurrent AIS within 90 days was 4.666 times higher in the high-level α-HBDH group compared to the low-level group (hazard ratio = 4.666; 95% CI, 2.481-8.777; p < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

The baseline level of α-HBDH is significantly correlated with the severity of AIS and the risk of recurrent AIS within 90 days.

Epidemiology and current management of cerebrovascular disease in China

The Annual Report on Cardiovascular Health and Diseases in China (2022) intricate landscape of cardiovascular health in China. In connection with the previous section, this fifth section of the report continues the dissection on the management of cardiovascular diseases (CVD). Cerebrovascular disease is the leading cause of death and loss of healthy life among Chinese residents. Based on the results of GBD 2019, from 1990 to 2019, the years of life lost due to premature death caused by stroke showed a decreasing trend, while the years lived with disability still increased continuously. At present, national mortality surveillance system can provide national and provincial representative annual death data on cerebrovascular disease, but the national representative data on some other important epidemiological indicators (such as incidence, prevalence, disability rate, and case fatality rate) are scarce in China. With the construction of large cohort population and extension of follow-up time, research on stroke-related risk factors is increasing, providing a basis for the prevention and control of risk factors. Due to limited large-scale population-based intervention studies, there is a lack of epidemiological evidence to transform into feasible intervention strategies and measures. In recent years, great progress in endovascular treatment for basilar-artery occlusion has been achieved in China, but there is still much room for improvement of guideline-based anticoagulant treatment and lipid-lowering treatment, as well as standardized diagnosis and treatment among patients with ischemic stroke.

Relative and absolute inequalities in cerebrovascular disease mortality rates: exploring the influence of socioeconomic status and urbanization levels in Taiwan

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE

Limited evidence exists regarding the socioeconomic inequalities in cerebrovascular disease (CBD) mortality at different urbanization levels. Therefore, this study was conducted to assess the socioeconomic inequalities and urbanization levels in township-based CBD mortality in Taiwan.

METHODS

Socioeconomic variables, including the percentages of low-income households, individuals with a university education and above, and tax payments, were measured at the township level from 2011 to 2020. Urbanization was also determined by the national survey and divided into seven levels. Age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) of CBD was calculated using a Geographic Information System (GIS) in 358 townships. The effects of socioeconomic variables and urbanization levels on relative and absolute inequalities in township-based CBD mortality rates were examined.

RESULTS

Significant differences in ASMR of CBD were observed across all socioeconomic status indicators over the years. Higher proportions of low-income households were associated with higher ASMR of CBD. Conversely, there were negative correlations between higher proportions of individuals with a university education and above and tax payments with ASMR of CBD. The regression analysis indicated significant impacts of relative and absolute socioeconomic inequalities on ASMR of CBD. Additionally, a moderation effect of socioeconomic variables and urbanization on CBD mortality rates was observed, with rural areas showing sensitivity to these factors.

CONCLUSION

Although ASMR of CBD showed significant decreases over time, socioeconomic inequalities in CBD mortality rates persist. Interventions targeting socioeconomic inequalities in health outcomes, especially in rural areas, are needed to address this issue.

Association between socioeconomic status and post-stroke depression in middle-aged and older adults: results from the China health and retirement longitudinal study

INTRODUCTION

Post-stroke depression (PSD) is a common neuropsychiatric complication that affects approximately one-third of stroke patients. The treatment and prognosis of this disease are poor. Socioeconomic status (SES) is closely related to health outcomes; however, only a few previous studies have focused on the association between SES and PSD. Given the substantial population of stroke patients in China, it is crucial to examine the potential risk factors associated with PSD. Conducting studies on this population and investigating the influence of economic conditions can provide valuable guiding theoretical insights into PSD prevention and management.

METHODS

We used data from the 2018 China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study and selected appropriate samples for analysis. Depression was estimated using the Center of Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale-10, a validated tool for assessing depression in the general population. Multiple logistic regression analysis was employed to assess the association between SES and PSD and to evaluate any urban-rural differences.

RESULTS

Of the 749 respondents, 370 (49.4%) had depression. Stroke patients with a middle school education demonstrated a greater risk of developing depression than those with a primary school education or below after adjusting for all control variables (odds ratio (OR) = 1.60, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.03-2.51, P = 0.036). However, stroke patients with a high school education or above had a lower risk of developing depression than those with a primary school education or below (OR = 0.50, 95% CI: 0.28-0.88, P = 0.016). In rural areas, stroke patients with a high school or above education level had lower rates of depression than those with a primary school education or below (OR = 0.44, 95% CI: 0.21-0.91, P = 0.027). This difference was not significant in urban areas.

CONCLUSIONS

SES significantly influences the occurrence of PSD, which is reflected by education attainment and annual household expenditures. Education attainment was an independent influence on PSD, with a more pronounced effect in rural versus urban areas. We hope to reduce the prevalence of PSD and enhance the comprehensive management of this disease by modifying the influencing factors. Sex, self-reported health status, activities of daily living, night-time sleep duration, and life satisfaction also influenced the occurrence of PSD.

Trends in hemorrhagic stroke incidence and mortality in a National Stroke Registry of a multi-ethnic Asian population

INTRODUCTION

High-quality epidemiological data on hemorrhagic stroke (HS) and its subtypes, intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), remains limited in Asian ethnicities. We investigated the trends in HS incidence and 30-day mortality from 2005 to 2019 in a multi-ethnic Asian population from a national registry.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Data on all stroke cases from the Singapore Stroke Registry from 2005 to 2019 were collected. Cases were defined using centrally adjudicated review of diagnosis codes. Death outcomes were obtained by linkage with the national death registry. Incidence (per 100,000 people) and 30-day mortality (per 100 people) were measured as crude and age-standardized rates. Trends were analyzed using linear regression.

RESULTS

We analyzed 19,017 cases of HS (83.9% ICH; 16.1% SAH). From 2005 to 2019, age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR) for HS remained stable from 34.4 to 34.5. However, age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) decreased significantly from 29.5 to 21.4 (p < 0.001). For ICH, ASIR remained stable while ASMR decreased from 30.4 to 21.3 (p < 0.001); for SAH, ASIR increased from 2.7 to 6.0 (p = 0.006) while ASMR remained stable. In subgroup analyses, HS incidence increased significantly in persons <65 years (from 18.1 to 19.6) and Malays (from 39.5 to 49.7).

DISCUSSION

From 2005 to 2019, ASIR of HS remained stable while ASMR decreased. Decreasing ASMR reflects improvements in the overall management of HS, consistent with global trends.

CONCLUSION

Population health efforts to address modifiable risk factors for HS in specific demographic subgroups may be warranted to reduce incidence and mortality of HS.

Cost-effectiveness of edaravone dexborneol versus dl-3-n-butylphthalide for the treatment of acute ischemic stroke: a Chinese health care perspective

BACKGROUND

Edaravone dexborneol and dl-3-n-butylphthalide are two innovative brain cytoprotective drugs from China that have been approved and widely prescribed for acute ischemic stroke, and the cost of the two drugs are partially paid by the Chinese medical insurance system. This study aimed to investigate and compare the cost-effectiveness of edaravone dexborneol versus dl-3-n-butylphthalide for acute ischemic stroke from the Chinese healthcare system's perspective.

METHODS

A model combining a short-term decision tree model with 90 days and a long-term Markov model with a life-time horizon (40 years) was developed to simulate the cost-effectiveness of edaravone dexborneol versus dl-3-n-butylphthalide for acute ischemic stroke over a lifetime horizon. Since the absence of a head-to-head clinical comparison of two therapies, an unanchored matching-adjusted indirect comparison (MAIC) was conducted by adjusting the patient characteristics using individual patient data from pivotal phase III trial of edaravone dexborneol and published aggregated data of dl-3-n-butylphthalide. Health outcomes were measured in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Utilities and costs (Chinese Yuan, CNY) were derived from publications and open-access database. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate the robustness of results.

RESULTS

Compared with patients in dl-3-n-butylphthalide arm, edaravone dexborneol arm was found to be cost-effective in 90 days and highly cost-effective as the study horizons extended. With a similar direct medical cost, patients in edaravone dexborneol arm slightly gained an additional 0.1615 QALYs in life-time. In the long term (40 years), patients in edaravone dexborneol arm and dl-3-n-butylphthalide arm yielded 8.0351 and 7.8736 QALYs with the overall direct medical cost of CNY 29,185.23 and CNY 29,940.28, respectively. The one-way sensitivity analysis suggested that the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was most sensitive to the price of edaravone dexborneol and dl-3-n-butylphthalide.

CONCLUSION

Edaravone dexborneol is a cost-effective alternative compared with dl-3-n-butylphthalide for acute ischemic stroke patients in current medical setting of China.

Design and Optimization of an Adaptive Knee Joint Orthosis for Biomimetic Motion Rehabilitation Assistance

In this paper, an adaptive knee joint orthosis with a variable rotation center for biomimetic motion rehabilitation assistance suitable for patients with knee joint movement dysfunction is designed. Based on the kinematic information of knee joint motion obtained by a motion capture system, a Revolute-Prismatic-Revolute (RPR) model is established to simulate the biomimetic motion of the knee joint, then a corresponding implementation for repetitively driving the flexion-extension motion of the knee joint, mainly assembled by a double-cam meshing mechanism, is designed. The pitch curve of each cam is calculated based on the screw theory. During the design process, size optimization is used to reduce the weight of the equipment, resulting in a reduction from 1.96 kg to 1.16 kg, achieving the goal of lightweight equipment. Finally, a prototype of the designed orthosis with the desired biomimetic rotation function is prepared and verified. The result shows that the rotation center of the prototype can achieve biomimetic motion coincident with the rotation center of an active knee joint, which can successfully provide rehabilitation assistance for the knee joint flexion-extension motion.

Serum IL-31 is related to the severity and 3-month prognosis of patients with Intracerebral hemorrhage

Interleukin (IL)-31/IL-33 axis has been proved to play an important role in the regulation of inflammation, and serum IL-33 was found to be a novel serum prognostic marker of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), while the value of serum IL-31 levels on prognosis in patients with ICH remains unknown. The present study was designed to study the value of serum IL-31 levels on prognosis in ICH patients. A total of 200 ICH patients and 50 healthy people were included in this study. We collected clinical data such as demographic data, laboratory data, admission disease scores and medical histories of these participants. We measured serum IL-31 levels using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay, and assessed the prognosis of ICH patients 3 months after onset by mRS scale, and mRS > 2 was defined as a 3-month poor outcome. The level of IL-31 in ICH patients were significantly higher than that in healthy control people (211.91 ± 61.61 vs 167.64 ± 27.45 pg/mL, P < .001), and levels of IL-31 in ICH patients with 3-month good outcome were significantly lower than that in ICH patients with 3-month poor outcome (196.09 ± 50.84 vs 248.05 ± 41.41 pg/mL, P < .001). Results of correlation analysis suggested that the level of serum IL-31 was positively related to admission NIHSS score (r = 0.627, P < .001), hematoma volume (r = 0.352, P < .001), mRS score (r = 0.515, P < .001), high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (r = 0.177, P = .012), serum C-reactive protein levels (r = 0.483, P < .001), and serum tumor necrosis factor α levels (r = 0.389, P < .001) in ICH patients, while the level of serum IL-31 was negatively related to the admission GCS score (r = -0.518, P < .001) and triglycerides (r = -0.147, P = .038). Results of multivariate regression analysis shows that serum IL-31 levels are an independent risk factor affecting NIHSS scores (OR = 1.023, 95% CI = 1.010-2.036) and 3-month prognosis (OR = 1.023, 95% CI = 0.982-1.747) in ICH patients. The receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed that the sensitivity and specificity of serum IL-31 level in evaluating the prognosis of ICH were 85.2% and 76.7%, respectively. A cutoff value of serum IL-31 level > 185.30 pg/mL may indicate a poor prognosis for ICH. Serum IL-31 levels on admission in ICH patients are associated with patient prognosis, and higher serum IL-31 levels are associated with a higher risk of poor prognosis in ICH patients.

Age-Period-Cohort Analysis of Long-Term Trends in Ischemic Stroke Mortality in China Caused by Specific Risk Factors from 1990 to 2019

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to study the primary risk factors for the long-term trends of mortality rates in ischemic stroke (IS) in China.

METHODS

Using the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019) database, research was conducted on the 11 primary risk factors for the mortality rates of IS in China from 1990 to 2019. This study employed joinpoint regression software and the age-period-cohort method to evaluate the trends of mortality rates divided by age, period, and cohort over time.

RESULTS

From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) caused by a diet high in red meat and high body mass index in China showed an upward trend. ASMR increased first and then decreased due to smoking, diet high in sodium, particulate matter pollution, high fasting plasma glucose, and high systolic blood pressure. Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), kidney dysfunction, low temperature, and lead exposure remained relatively stable during this period. In the 35-45 age group, the mortality rate of IS due to high LDL-C was up to about 60%, and smoking affected men more than women. Overall, high LDL-C, high systolic blood pressure, and particulate matter pollution were the most common risk factors in patients with IS. The risk of death rose with age. The period and cohort relative risks showed that metabolic risk factors had the greatest impact on the mortality of IS.

CONCLUSION

Metabolic risk factors have become the primary risk factors for the ASMR of IS in China. Relevant authorities should pay attention to their long-term effects on IS. Effective public health policies and interventions should be implemented to reduce the burden of IS.

Thromboelastographic and Gene Polymorphism Bimodality Detection for Dual Antiplatelet Aggregation Therapy in Individuals with Clopidogrel-resistant Symptomatic Intracranial Artery Stenosis

BACKGROUND

Recent research indicates that clopidogrel resistance is connected with a patient's future ischemia risk, hence increasing the likelihood of recurrent ischemic cerebrovascular disease. Thromboelastographic and clopidogrel gene polymorphism testing can be used to see how a person responds to antiplatelet therapy and change the treatment plan accordingly. This may be a good way to make antiplatelet aggregation therapy more effective and safer.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to investigate the efficacy of dual antiplatelet aggregation therapy in patients with symptomatic intracranial large artery stenosis being resistant to clopidogrel tablets. The thromboelastographic and gene polymorphism bimodality detection techniques were used to analyze the clopidogrel resistance influencing factors.

METHODS

89 patients with symptomatic intracranial large arterial stenosis who were admitted to our hospital from February 2021 to February 2022 were selected, classified as large artery atherosclerotic type by TOAST, and confirmed as having severe intracranial large arterial stenosis (70 % to 99 %) by magnetic resonance angiography (MRA), computed tomographic angiography (CTA), and digital subtraction angiography (DSA). All patients were treated with dual antiplatelet therapy with aspirin and clopidogrel, and thromboelastography and clopidogrel gene polymorphism were monitored 1 week later.

RESULTS

44 of 89 patients were clopidogrel-resistant. Among 44 patients, 20 were ticagrelorresistant and 24 were cilostazol-resistant. Clopidogrel had a resistance rate of 49.4%. The recurrence of ischemic cerebrovascular disease in the three groups was statistically significant (P<0.05) after 3 months of follow-up treatment, but bleeding (intracranial, gastrointestinal, respiratory, urinary, and mucocutaneous) and dyspnea were not. The clopidogrel-resistant group had a higher number of females, as well as higher levels of hypertension, diabetes, and platelet count than the sensitive group (P<0.05), but there was no significant difference in age, smoking, alcohol consumption, previous stroke, glycosylated haemoglobin, creatinine, or low-density cholesterol.

CONCLUSION

Using thromboelastographic and gene polymorphism bimodality detection, we found switching to ticagrelor antiplatelet aggregation therapy as better than switching to cilostazol in patients with symptomatic intracranial large artery stenosis being resistant to clopidogrel tablets. The results may be biased due to the study being a single-centre study and having a limited sample size.

Global Trends in Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease

PURPOSE

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of morbidity and mortality, affecting over 523 million people globally. Atherosclerotic diseases, particularly ischemic heart disease (IHD) and stroke, are the primary mediators of CVD burden and trends, with half of CVD deaths attributed to IHD, and another quarter to ischemic stroke. The aim of this review was to provide an overview of world-wide trends in the burden of atherosclerotic CVD.

METHODS

A literature review of published studies reporting regional or global trends or burden of CVD was undertaken, with a specific focus on atherosclerotic-mediated CVDs.

FINDINGS

While long-term trends in age-standardized rates of CVD mortality and incidence indicate substantial declines in disease burden, the impact of population growth and ageing has contributed to a continued increase in the absolute number of people living with CVD. Additionally, when data are restricted to the most recent decade, there are indications that even declines in age-standardized CVD rates may have attenuated. Trends are also heterogeneous across countries and regions, with a relative increase in CVD burden in developing countries and differing trends within countries. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in substantial short-term reductions in hospitalization rates for major atherosclerotic CVDs including acute coronary syndromes and heart failure in some countries.

IMPLICATIONS

Recent attenuation of declines in atherosclerotic CVDs with increasing absolute burden has significant implications for health systems and resource availability, with the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on longer-term trends in CVD yet to be clearly established.

Is statin therapy after ischaemic stroke associated with increased intracerebral hemorrhage? The association may be dependent on intensity of statin therapy

BACKGROUND

There has been concern that statin therapy may be associated with an increased risk of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). We investigated whether the intensity and type of statin therapy instituted after ischemic stroke (IS) were associated with risk of future ICH in a region of northern China with a high incidence of stroke.

METHODS

Newly diagnosed IS patients who were not treated with lipid-lowering drugs in the Beijing Employee Medical Claims Data database from 2010 to 2017 were included. The primary exposure variable was any statin prescription within 1 month of the first documented stroke diagnosis. High-intensity statin therapy was defined as atorvastatin ⩾ 80 mg, simvastatin ⩾ 80 mg, pravastatin ⩾ 40 mg, and rosuvastatin ⩾ 20 mg per day or equivalent combination. An adjusted Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) for ICH during follow-up in groups exposed and not exposed to statins.

RESULTS

Of 62,252 participants with IS and 628 ICH readmissions were recorded during a median follow-up of 3.17 years. The risk of ICH among statin users (N = 43,434) was similar to that among nonusers (N = 18,818) with an adjusted HR and 95% confidence interval (CI) of 0.86 (0.73, 1.02). Compared with non-statin therapy, patients with low/moderate-intensity therapy had a lower risk of ICH (0.62: 0.52, 0.75), while patients with high-intensity therapy had a substantially higher risk (2.12: 1.72, 2.62). For patients with different types of statin therapy, adherence to rosuvastatin had the lowest risk of ICH compared to adherence to atorvastatin (0.46: 0.34, 0.63), followed by simvastatin (0.60: 0.45, 0.81).

CONCLUSION

In patients with IS, any statin therapy was not associated with an increased risk of ICH. However there appeared to be differential risk according to the dose of statin with high-intensity statin therapy being associated with an increased risk of ICH, while low/moderate-intensity therapy was associated with a lower risk.

Loss of life expectancy due to stroke and its subtypes in urban and rural areas in China, 2005-2020

Stroke is characterised by high mortality and disability rate in China. This study aimed to explore the temporal trends in years of life lost (YLL) and loss of life expectancy due to stroke and its subtypes in urban and rural areas in China during 2005-2020. Data were obtained from China National Mortality Surveillance System. Abbreviated life and stroke-eliminated life tables were generated to calculate loss of life expectancy. The YLL and loss of life expectancy due to stroke in urban and rural areas at both national and provincial level during 2005-2020 were estimated. In China, the age-standardised YLL rate due to stroke and its subtypes were higher in rural areas than in urban areas. The YLL rate due to stroke showed a downward trend in both urban and rural residents from 2005 to 2020, decreased by 39.9% and 21.5%, respectively. Loss of life expectancy caused by stroke decreased from 1.75 years to 1.70 years from 2005 to 2020. During which, loss of life expectancy due to intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) decreased from 0.94 years to 0.65 years, while that of ischaemic stroke (IS) increased from 0.62 years to 0.86 years. A slightly upward trend was observed in loss of life expectancy caused by subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH), from 0.05 years to 0.06 years. Loss of life expectancy due to ICH and SAH was always higher in rural areas than in urban areas, whereas that of IS was higher in urban areas than in rural areas. Rural males suffered the greatest loss of life expectancy due to ICH and SAH, while the highest loss of life expectancy caused by IS was found in urban females. Furthermore, Heilongjiang (2.25 years), Tibet (2.17 years) and Jilin (2.16 years) were found to have the highest loss of life expectancy caused by stroke in 2020. Loss of life expectancy caused by ICH and SAH was higher in western China, while the disease burden of IS was heavier in northeast China. Stroke remains a major public health problem in China, although the age-standardised YLL rate and loss of life expectancy due to stroke decreased. Evidence-based strategies should be conducted to reduce the premature death burden caused by stroke and prolong life expectancy in Chinese population.

Prevalence and factors influencing cognitive impairment among the older adult stroke survivors: a cross-sectional study

Background

Cognitive impairment as a complication in post-stroke patients has high prevalence throughout the world. However, few studies have focused on the older adult stroke survivors and explored their prevalence and factors of post-stroke cognitive impairment (PSCI). The study aims to evaluate the cognitive status of stroke patients in Hunan Province, China and to determine the potential risk factors associated with PSCI in order to identify the older adult population in advance and promote healthy aging.

Methods

This cross-sectional study was carried out from August to December, 2021. A total of 520 stroke survivors from 6 tertiary hospitals were randomly selected. The information was collected using the general questionnaire, the Barthel Index Rating Scale and the Mini-mental State Examination (MMSE). Analysis was based on descriptive statistics, chi-square test and the significant variables were included in multivariate logistic regression. The reporting of this cross-sectional study followed the STROBE checklist.

Results

A total of 195 older adults (40.37%) were screened for cognitive impairment based on the results of the MMSE score. Patients in the PSCI group had a higher proportion of individuals aged 70 or older (35.90% vs. 24.65%, p<0.001). The potential risk factors for post-stroke cognitive impairment in older adults were being aged between 70 and 79 years old (OR = 3.973, 95% CI, 2.346-6.729, p<0.001), being aged 80 years or older (OR = 3.590, 95% CI, 1.373-9.387, p = 0.009), having a low level of education (OR = 9.183, 95% CI, 5.341-15.789, p<0.001), having hypertension (OR = 1.756, 95% CI, 1.121-2.753, p = 0.014), and having a dominant hemisphere lesion (OR = 1.880, 95% CI, 1.193-2.962, p<0.001).

Conclusion

The prevalence of PSCI was high among Chinese older adults, particularly those aged 80 years or older. The factors identified in our study could assist in the early identification of older adults at risk, develop personalized management plans, and promote healthy aging.

A systematic review and meta-analysis of health utility values among patients with ischemic stroke

Purpose

Ischemic stroke (IS) has a considerable impact on the health-related quality of life (HRQoL) of patients. A systematic review was conducted to summarize and synthesize the HRQoL reported from IS patients.

Methods

An electronic search was performed in PubMed, Web of Science, ScienceDirect, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases from inception to February 2022 for studies measuring utility values in IS patients. Basic information about the studies, patient characteristics, measurement of the utility values, and utility values were extracted and summarized. Utility values were pooled according to the time of evaluation, and disease severity was classified with modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores. The quality of the studies was assessed according to key criteria recommended by the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence.

Results

A total of 39 studies comprising 30,853 participants were included in the study. Measured with EQ-5D-3L, the pooled utility values were 0.42 [95% confidential interval (CI): 0.13 to 0.71], 0.55 (95% CI: 0.43 to 0.68), 0.65 (95% CI: 0.52 to 0.78), 0.60 (95% CI: 0.43 to 0.78), and 0.67 (95% CI: 0.60 to 0.74) for patients diagnosed with IS within 1, 3, 6, 12, and 24 months or above among poststroke patients. Four studies reported utility values classified by mRS scores where synthesized estimates stratified by mRS scores ranged from 0.91 (95% CI: 0.85 to 0.97) for patients with an mRS score of 1 to-0.04 (95% CI:-0.18 to 0.11) for those with an mRS score of 5. As for the health dimension profiles, usual activity was the most impacted dimension, while self-care was the least impacted one.

Conclusion

This study indicated that the utility values in IS patients kept increasing from stroke onset and became relatively stabilized at 6 months poststroke. Health utility values decreased significantly as mRS scores increased. These results facilitate economic evaluations in utility retrieval and selection. Further exploration was required regarding the factors that affect the HRQoL of IS patients.

Burden and attributable risk factors of ischemic stroke in China from 1990 to 2019: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Background

The epidemiologic characteristics and attributable risk factors of ischemic stroke in China have changed over the past three decades. An up-to-date analysis on deaths, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), prevalence, incidence, and attributable risk factors of ischemic stroke for China is needed. This study aims to provide a comprehensive analysis of burden and attributable risk factors of ischemic stroke at national level in China by sex from 1990 to 2019.

Methods

This is a secondary analysis of the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study 2019. All data used in this study was derived from the 2019 GBD study. Deaths, DALYs, prevalence, incidence, and attributable risk factors of ischemic stroke in China by sex from 1990 to 2019 were analyzed.

Results

From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized deaths rate decreased by 3.3%, age-standardized DALYs rate decreased by 4%, age-standardized prevalence rate increased by 33.5%, and age-standardized incidence rate of ischemic stroke in China increased by 34.7%. In 2019, ambient particulate matter pollution became an important risk factor, whereas household air pollution from solid fuels was no longer a major risk factor for ischemic stroke in China. Burden of ischemic stroke was higher in China compared to other regions. Ambient particulate matter pollution among men, and diet high in sodium, smoking, household air pollution from solid fuels among women account for the increased deaths/DALYs due to ischemic stroke in China.

Conclusion

Our study revealed that great changes have occurred in burden and attributable risk factors of ischemic stroke in China in the past three decades. Distinct sex-specific differences are observed in burden and attributable risk factors.

Exploring the mechanisms under Zuogui Pill's treatment of ischemic stroke through network pharmacology and in vitro experimental verification

Due to its high mortality, incidence and disability rates, ischemic stroke poses heavy economic burdens to families and society. Zuogui Pill (ZGP) is a classic Chinese medicine for tonifying the kidney, which is effective for the recovery of neurological function after ischemic stroke. However, Zuogui Pill has not been evaluated for its potential effects on ischemic strokes. Using network pharmacology, the research aimed to explore the mechanisms of Zuogui Pill on ischemic stroke, which were further validated in SH-SY5Y cells injured by oxygen and glucose deprivation/reperfusion (OGD/R). Network analysis of Zuogui Pill identified 86 active ingredients and 107 compound-related targets correlated with ischemic stroke. Additionally, 11 core active compounds were obtained, such as Quercetin, beta sitosterol, and stigmasterol. Most of the compounds have been proven to have pharmacological activities. Based on pathway enrichment studies, Zuogui Pill may exert neuroprotection through MAPK signaling, PI3K-Akt signaling and apoptosis, as well as enhance neurite outgrowth and axonal regeneration effect via mTOR signaling, p53 signaling and Wnt signaling pathways. In vitro experiment, the viability of ischemic neuron treated with Zuogui Pill was increased, and the ability of neurite outgrowth was significantly improved. Western blot assays shown that the pro-neurite outgrowth effect of Zuogui Pill on ischemic stroke may be relate to PTEN/mTOR signal pathway. The results of the study provided new insights into Zuogui Pill's molecular mechanism in treatment of ischemic stroke, as well as clinical references for its use.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of COVID-19 Inactivated Vaccines in Reducing the Economic Burden of Ischaemic Stroke after SARS-CoV-2 Infection

Due to significant economic burden and disability from ischaemic stroke and the relationship between ischaemic stroke and SARS-CoV-2 infection, we aimed to explore the cost-effectiveness of the two-dose inactivated COVID-19 vaccination program in reducing the economic burden of ischaemic stroke after SARS-CoV-2 infection. We constructed a decision-analytic Markov model to compare the two-dose inactivated COVID-19 vaccination strategy to the no vaccination strategy using cohort simulation. We calculated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) to evaluate the cost-effectiveness and used number of the ischaemic stroke cases after SARS-CoV-2 infection and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) to assess effects. Both one-way deterministic sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were performed to assess the robustness of the results. We found that the two-dose inactivated vaccination strategy reduced ischaemic stroke cases after SARS-CoV-2 infection by 80.89% (127/157) with a USD 1.09 million as vaccination program cost, saved USD 3675.69 million as direct health care costs and gained 26.56 million QALYs compared with no vaccination strategy among 100,000 COVID-19 patients (ICER < 0 per QALY gained). ICERs remained robust in sensitivity analysis. The proportion of older patients and the proportion of two-dose inactivated vaccination among older people were the critical factors that affected ICER. This study suggests the importance of COVID-19 vaccination is not only in preventing the spread of infectious diseases, but also in considering its long-term value in reducing the economic burden of non-communicable diseases such as ischaemic stroke after SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Global, regional, and national time trends in mortality for stroke, 1990-2019: An age-period-cohort analysis for the global burden of disease 2019 study and implications for stroke prevention

BACKGROUND

Despite the fact that stroke is the second leading cause of death globally, a comprehensive and comparable assessment of mortality, and epidemiologic trends has not been conducted for most regions.We estimated the global and regional burden of stroke from 1990 to 2019 using data from the 2019 Global Study of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors.

METHODS

For the period between 1990 and 2019, we used an age-period-cohort model to calculate the annual percentage changes in mortality (net drifts), local drifts, and period and cohort relative risks (period/cohort effects). Meanwhile, to quantify the temporal trends in stroke age-standardised mortality rate (ASMR), Average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) were determined by sex, area. With the potential to uncover disparities and treatment gaps in stroke care, this approach enables the examination and differentiation of age, period, and cohort effects in mortality trends.

FINDINGS

Global stroke deaths in 2019 were 6,552,725 (95% UI 5,995,200 to 7,015,139). Between 1990 and 2019, the ASMR declined globally by 36.43% (95% UI -41.65 to -31.2), with decreases in all SDI quintiles. The net drift in stroke mortality from 1990 to 2019 varied from -2.83% per year (95% confidence interval [CI]:-3.39 to -2.77) in countries with a high Socio-demographic Index (SDI) to -1.21% per year (95% CI: -1.26 to -1.16) in countries with a low SDI. During the past 30 years, favorable mortality reductions were generally found in high-SDI countries (net drift = -3.1% [95% CI: -3.4 to -2.8] per year) and high-middle SDI countries (-2.8% [-3.0 to -2.6]). However, 31 of 204 countries had either increasing trends (net drifts≥0.0%) or stagnated reductions (≥ - 0.5%) in mortality. The relative risk of mortality generally showed improving trends over time and in successively younger birth cohorts among high and high-middle SDI countries, with the exceptions of Kuwait, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Guam, RussianFederation, Lithuania, Turkey, Montenegro, Serbia, Bosnia and Herzegovin, and Bulgaria.

INTERPRETATION

Notwithstanding mortality from stroke has increased globally over the past 30 years, adverse period and cohort effects have been found in many countries, calling into question the adequacy of healthcare for stroke patients of all ages. These lapses have a significant impact on the likelihood of achieving the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) targets on mortality from age 60+ and NCDs.

A comparison of safety and efficacy between long-term DAPT and intensive statins combined with short-term DAPT for acute ischemic stroke

OBJECTIVES

The current study compared the safety and efficacy of long-term dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT, aspirin plus clopidogrel) and intensive rosuvastatin with short-term DAPT for acute ischemic stroke (AIS).

METHODS

A total of 220 patients were enrolled 72 h after the onset of mild to moderate AIS, and divided into a control group treated with 21-day DAPT and a study group treated with intensive rosuvastatin with 7-day DAPT on a voluntary basis. The primary outcome was recurrent ischemic stroke and hemorrhage during a 90-day follow-up period in an intention-to-treat analysis. The secondary outcome was clinical efficacy with respect to alleviating existing focal nerve defect symptoms. A Cox proportional-hazards model was used to evaluate treatment differences.

RESULTS

Clinical efficacy was evident in 87.3% of patients in the study group, compared with 84.3% in the control group (p = 0.042). Recurrent ischemic stroke occurred in 9 patients (7.6%) in the study group and in 9 (8.8%) in the control group (p = 0.767). Hemorrhage occurred in 6 patients (5.1%) in the study group and in 15 (14.7%) in the control group (p = 0.023). In comparisons of levels of ALT, AST, LDH, and CK in the two groups before and 2 weeks after therapy, only CK differed significantly (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Compared to long-term DAPT, intensive rosuvastatin with short-term DAPT was equivalent in reducing the risk of recurrent ischemic stroke. It alleviated symptoms more rapidly, and significantly reduced the risk of bleeding, without causing an increase in transaminase or muscle enzymes.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

China Clinical Trial Registration Center (ChiCTR1800017809).

Imaging and Hemodynamic Characteristics of Vulnerable Carotid Plaques and Artificial Intelligence Applications in Plaque Classification and Segmentation

Stroke is a massive public health problem. The rupture of vulnerable carotid atherosclerotic plaques is the most common cause of acute ischemic stroke (AIS) across the world. Currently, vessel wall high-resolution magnetic resonance imaging (VW-HRMRI) is the most appropriate and cost-effective imaging technique to characterize carotid plaque vulnerability and plays an important role in promoting early diagnosis and guiding aggressive clinical therapy to reduce the risk of plaque rupture and AIS. In recent years, great progress has been made in imaging research on vulnerable carotid plaques. This review summarizes developments in the imaging and hemodynamic characteristics of vulnerable carotid plaques on the basis of VW-HRMRI and four-dimensional (4D) flow MRI, and it discusses the relationship between these characteristics and ischemic stroke. In addition, the applications of artificial intelligence in plaque classification and segmentation are reviewed.

Research progress on the role of hormones in ischemic stroke

Ischemic stroke is a major cause of death and disability around the world. However, ischemic stroke treatment is currently limited, with a narrow therapeutic window and unsatisfactory post-treatment outcomes. Therefore, it is critical to investigate the pathophysiological mechanisms following ischemic stroke brain injury. Changes in the immunometabolism and endocrine system after ischemic stroke are important in understanding the pathophysiological mechanisms of cerebral ischemic injury. Hormones are biologically active substances produced by endocrine glands or endocrine cells that play an important role in the organism's growth, development, metabolism, reproduction, and aging. Hormone research in ischemic stroke has made very promising progress. Hormone levels fluctuate during an ischemic stroke. Hormones regulate neuronal plasticity, promote neurotrophic factor formation, reduce cell death, apoptosis, inflammation, excitotoxicity, oxidative and nitrative stress, and brain edema in ischemic stroke. In recent years, many studies have been done on the role of thyroid hormone, growth hormone, testosterone, prolactin, oxytocin, glucocorticoid, parathyroid hormone, and dopamine in ischemic stroke, but comprehensive reviews are scarce. This review focuses on the role of hormones in the pathophysiology of ischemic stroke and discusses the mechanisms involved, intending to provide a reference value for ischemic stroke treatment and prevention.

Cost-effectiveness of edaravone dexborneol versus edaravone for the treatment of acute ischemic stroke in China: Based on the TASTE study

Background and purpose: The TASTE trial indicated that patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) using edaravone dexborneol have a significantly higher proportion of 90-day good functional outcomes (mRS 0–1) than those using edaravone. This study compared the cost-effectiveness of the aforementioned interventions in treating AIS in the Chinese setting, aiming to inform treatment decisions in clinical practice.

Methods: A model combining a decision tree and a Markov model was developed to assess the cost-effectiveness of edaravone dexborneol versus edaravone for AIS over a 30-year time horizon from the Chinese healthcare system’s perspective. Both efficacy and safety data were extracted from the TASTE study. Local costs and utilities were derived from publications and open-access databases; both cost and effectiveness were discounted at a rate of 5% per year. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to ensure robustness and identify the main drivers of the result.

Results: Compared with edaravone, edaravone dexborneol for AIS was found to be cost-effective in the first year and highly cost-effective as the study time horizons extended. In the long term (30 years), edaravone dexborneol yielded a lifetime gain of 0.25 (0.07–0.45) quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) at an additional cost of CNY 2201.07 (-3,445.24–6,637.23), yielding an ICER of CNY 8823.41 per QALY gained under the willingness-to-pay (WTP) of 1.5 times per capita GDP (121,464 CNY). The result is robust in both deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) methods, with the advantage of the edaravone dexborneol strategy increasing over time. Specifically, the probability of edaravone dexborneol dominant dexborneol is 76.30%, 98.90%, and 99.50% over 1-, 5-, and 30-year time horizons.

Conclusion: Both short- and long-term economic analyses suggest that edaravone dexborneol is highly likely to be a cost-effective alternative to treat AIS compared with edaravone in China.

Spontaneous internal carotid artery pseudoaneurysm complicated with ischemic stroke in a young man: A case report and review of literature

BACKGROUND

Carotid artery pseudoaneurysm (PSA) is infrequently encountered in clinical settings. Internal carotid artery (ICA) PSA complicated with ischemic stroke is rare. PSAs are typically caused by iatrogenic injury, trauma, or infection. The underlying mechanisms of spontaneous PSA formation are not well characterized. We report a healthy young man who presented with stroke as a complication of spontaneous PSA of the left ICA.

CASE SUMMARY

A 30-year-old man working as a ceiling decoration worker was hospitalized due to sudden-onset speech disorder and right lower extremity weakness. Medical history was unremarkable. Brain computed tomography revealed ischemic stroke. Digital subtraction angiography showed a left ICA PSA with mild stenosis. The patient was conservatively managed with oral anticoagulation and antiplatelet therapy. He recovered well and was discharged. The patient was in good condition during follow-up.

CONCLUSION

The occupational history of patient should be taken into consideration while evaluating the etiology of spontaneous ICA PSA in young people with stroke.

Combining modified Graeb score and intracerebral hemorrhage score to predict poor outcome in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage undergoing surgical treatment

Objective

Spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH) is a frequently encountered neurosurgical disease. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the relationship between modified Graeb Score (mGS) at admission and clinical outcomes of sICH and to investigate whether the combination of ICH score could improve the accuracy of outcome prediction.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of 511 patients who underwent surgery for sICH between January 2017 and June 2021. Patient outcome was evaluated by the Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS) score at 3 months following sICH, where a GOS score of 1–3 was defined as a poor prognosis. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to determine risk factors for unfavorable clinical outcomes. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to detect the optimal cutoff value of mGS for predicting clinical outcomes. An ICH score combining mGS was created, and the performance of the ICH score combining mGS was assessed for discriminative ability.

Results

Multivariate analysis demonstrated that a higher mGS score was an independent predictor for poor prognosis (odds ratio [OR] 1.207, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.130–1.290, p < 0.001). In ROC analysis, an optimal cutoff value of mGS to predict the clinical outcome at 3 months after sICH was 11 (p < 0.001). An increasing ICH-mGS score was associated with increased poor functional outcome. Combining ICH score with mGS resulted in an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.790, p < 0.001.

Conclusion

mGS was an independent risk factor for poor outcome and it had an additive predictive value for outcome in patients with sICH. Compared with the ICH score and mGS alone, the ICH score combined with mGS revealed a significantly higher discriminative ability for predicting postoperative outcome.