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Horsdal HT, Pedersen MG, Schullehner J, Østergaard CS, Mcgrath JJ, Agerbo E, Timmermann A, Closter AM, Brandt J, Christensen JH, Frohn LM, Geels C, Ketzel M, Khan J, Ørby PV, Olsen Y, Levin G, Svenning JC, Engemann K, Gyldenkærne S, Hansen B, Hertel O, Sabel CE, Erikstrup C, Sigsgaard T, Pedersen CB. Perspectives on environment and health research in Denmark. Scand J Public Health 2024; 52:741-751. [PMID: 37278162 PMCID: PMC11308320 DOI: 10.1177/14034948231178076] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/17/2023] [Revised: 05/04/2023] [Accepted: 05/08/2023] [Indexed: 06/07/2023]
Abstract
AIMS We provide an overview of nationwide environmental data available for Denmark and its linkage potentials to individual-level records with the aim of promoting research on the potential impact of the local surrounding environment on human health. BACKGROUND Researchers in Denmark have unique opportunities for conducting large population-based studies treating the entire Danish population as one big, open and dynamic cohort based on nationally complete population and health registries. So far, most research in this area has utilised individual- and family-level information to study the clustering of disease in families, comorbidities, risk of, and prognosis after, disease onset, and social gradients in disease risk. Linking environmental data in time and space to individuals enables novel possibilities for studying the health effects of the social, built and physical environment. METHODS We describe the possible linkage between individuals and their local surrounding environment to establish the exposome - that is, the total environmental exposure of an individual over their life course. CONCLUSIONS The currently available nationwide longitudinal environmental data in Denmark constitutes a valuable and globally rare asset that can help explore the impact of the exposome on human health.
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Affiliation(s)
- Henriette T. Horsdal
- National Centre for Register-based Research, Aarhus University, Denmark
- Big Data Centre for Environment and Health, Aarhus University, Denmark
| | - Marianne G. Pedersen
- National Centre for Register-based Research, Aarhus University, Denmark
- Centre for Integrated Register-based Research, Aarhus University, Denmark
| | - Jörg Schullehner
- Big Data Centre for Environment and Health, Aarhus University, Denmark
- Department of Public Health, Aarhus University, Denmark
- Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland, Denmark
| | - Cecilie S. Østergaard
- National Centre for Register-based Research, Aarhus University, Denmark
- Big Data Centre for Environment and Health, Aarhus University, Denmark
- Department of Public Health, Aarhus University, Denmark
| | - John J. Mcgrath
- National Centre for Register-based Research, Aarhus University, Denmark
- Queensland Brain Institute, The University of Queensland, Australia
- Queensland Centre for Mental Health Research, Australia
| | - Esben Agerbo
- National Centre for Register-based Research, Aarhus University, Denmark
- Centre for Integrated Register-based Research, Aarhus University, Denmark
| | - Allan Timmermann
- National Centre for Register-based Research, Aarhus University, Denmark
- Big Data Centre for Environment and Health, Aarhus University, Denmark
- Centre for Integrated Register-based Research, Aarhus University, Denmark
| | - Ane Marie Closter
- National Centre for Register-based Research, Aarhus University, Denmark
- Big Data Centre for Environment and Health, Aarhus University, Denmark
- Centre for Integrated Register-based Research, Aarhus University, Denmark
| | - Jørgen Brandt
- Department of Environmental Science, Aarhus University, Denmark
| | | | - Lise M. Frohn
- Department of Environmental Science, Aarhus University, Denmark
| | - Camilla Geels
- Department of Environmental Science, Aarhus University, Denmark
| | - Matthias Ketzel
- Department of Environmental Science, Aarhus University, Denmark
- Global Centre for Clean Air Research, University of Surrey, UK
| | - Jibran Khan
- Big Data Centre for Environment and Health, Aarhus University, Denmark
- Department of Environmental Science, Aarhus University, Denmark
| | - Pia V. Ørby
- Big Data Centre for Environment and Health, Aarhus University, Denmark
- Department of Environmental Science, Aarhus University, Denmark
| | - Yulia Olsen
- Big Data Centre for Environment and Health, Aarhus University, Denmark
- Department of Public Health, Aarhus University, Denmark
| | - Gregor Levin
- Department of Environmental Science, Aarhus University, Denmark
| | - Jens-Christian Svenning
- Center for Ecological Dynamics in a Novel Biosphere & Center for Biodiversity Dynamics in a Changing World, Department of Biology, Aarhus University, Denmark
| | - Kristine Engemann
- Center for Ecological Dynamics in a Novel Biosphere & Center for Biodiversity Dynamics in a Changing World, Department of Biology, Aarhus University, Denmark
| | | | | | - Ole Hertel
- Big Data Centre for Environment and Health, Aarhus University, Denmark
- Department of Ecoscience, Aarhus University, Denmark
| | - Clive E. Sabel
- Big Data Centre for Environment and Health, Aarhus University, Denmark
- Department of Public Health, Aarhus University, Denmark
| | - Christian Erikstrup
- Big Data Centre for Environment and Health, Aarhus University, Denmark
- Department of Clinical Immunology, Aarhus University Hospital, Denmark
| | - Torben Sigsgaard
- Big Data Centre for Environment and Health, Aarhus University, Denmark
- Department of Public Health, Aarhus University, Denmark
| | - Carsten B. Pedersen
- National Centre for Register-based Research, Aarhus University, Denmark
- Big Data Centre for Environment and Health, Aarhus University, Denmark
- Centre for Integrated Register-based Research, Aarhus University, Denmark
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Zhai G, Liang X, Tian Y, Zhang J. Effects of apparent temperature on hospitalization rates for cardiovascular diseases: a case study of different rural areas in Northwest China. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH RESEARCH 2024:1-13. [PMID: 39023237 DOI: 10.1080/09603123.2024.2380354] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/24/2024] [Accepted: 07/11/2024] [Indexed: 07/20/2024]
Abstract
Apparent temperature (AT) is a composite index that combines ambient temperature, humidity, wind speed and other meteorological factors, and reflects heat perception more accurately than raw temperature. This is the first study to investigate the association between AT and CVD in rural areas of Jiuquan and Longnan, Gansu Province, China. In this study, the distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) was used to examine the exposure-response relationship between AT and the 21 days relative risk (RR) of CVD admission. The results showed that the exposure risk of the gender group in Jiuquan was opposite to that of Longnan under the influence of cold effect. Under the influence of heat effect, it has a protective effect on all groups in Jiuquan area, which is harmful to males and adults in Longnan area. The results of this study can help local governments to formulate public policies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Guangyu Zhai
- School of Economics and Management, Lanzhou University of Technology, Lanzhou, China
| | - Xuejie Liang
- School of Economics and Management, Lanzhou University of Technology, Lanzhou, China
| | - Yiwen Tian
- School of Economics and Management, Lanzhou University of Technology, Lanzhou, China
| | - Jing Zhang
- School of Economics and Management, Lanzhou University of Technology, Lanzhou, China
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Jin J, Meng X, Wang D, Han B, Wu T, Xie J, Zhang Q, Xie D, Zhang Z. Association between ambient temperature and cardiovascular diseases related hospital admissions in Lanzhou, China. Heliyon 2023; 9:e12997. [PMID: 36747948 PMCID: PMC9898685 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e12997] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/09/2022] [Revised: 01/04/2023] [Accepted: 01/11/2023] [Indexed: 01/19/2023] Open
Abstract
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains the leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide, ranking first in the global disease burden. Evidence on association between temperature and cardiovascular disease is insufficient and inconsistent in developing countries. In this study, a distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) was used to determine the association between daily mean temperature and cardiovascular diseases (CVD) related admission in Lanzhou 2015-2019. We included 41,389 patients with CVD in this study. The relative risk (RR) of CVD admission increased significantly with temperature in lag 5-10 days, and we found harvesting effect of temperature in the study, shown as decreased RR in lag 15-30 days. The maximum RR was 1.15 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.03-1.30), corresponding to 24 °C. Both cold and heat effects of temperature could impact the CVD admission. Compared with the 25th percentile of temperature (2 °C), the cumulative relative risk (cumRR) of extreme cold (-5 °C, the 2.5th percentile of the temperature) was 0.69 (95% CI: 0.51-0.94) in lag 0-14, whereas the cumRR of moderate cold (-2 °C, the 10th percentile) was 0.83 (95% CI:0.71-0.97). Compared with the 75th percentile of temperature (20-°C), the cumRR of extreme heat (27 °C, the 97.5th percentile) was 0.93 (95% CI: 0.78-1.10) in lag 0, whereas the cumRR of moderate heat (24 °C, the 90th percentile) was 1.01 (95% CI: 0.94-1.08). In the stratified analysis, cold decreased RR significantly in female and ≥65 years, whereas heat increased it more obviously in male and ≥65 years. Ambient temperature and CVD admissions were positively associated, with the harvesting effect. Our findings demonstrate the adaption of residents in Lanzhou to cold temperature. Public and environmental policies and measures aimed at moderate heat may minimize CVD burden effectively.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jianjian Jin
- The First Clinical Medical School, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
| | - Xiaoxue Meng
- The First Clinical Medical School, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
- Heart Center, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
- Key Laboratory for Cardiovascular Disease of Gansu Province, Lanzhou, China
- Cardiovascular Clinical Research Center of Gansu Province, China
| | - Dongmei Wang
- Department of Cardiology, Zhang Ye People's Hospital Affiliated to Hexi University, Zhangye, China
| | - Bing Han
- The First Clinical Medical School, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
- Heart Center, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
- Key Laboratory for Cardiovascular Disease of Gansu Province, Lanzhou, China
- Cardiovascular Clinical Research Center of Gansu Province, China
| | - Tingting Wu
- The First Clinical Medical School, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
| | - Jing Xie
- Department of Ultrasound Medicine, Lanzhou First People's Hospital, Lanzhou, China
| | - Qi Zhang
- Department of Geriatrics, Gansu Provincial People's Hospital, Lanzhou, China
| | - Dingxiong Xie
- Gansu Provincial Institute of Cardiovascular Diseases, Lanzhou, China
- The Second Clinical Medical School, Gansu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Lanzhou, China
| | - Zheng Zhang
- The First Clinical Medical School, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
- Heart Center, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
- Key Laboratory for Cardiovascular Disease of Gansu Province, Lanzhou, China
- Cardiovascular Clinical Research Center of Gansu Province, China
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Oudin Åström D, Bjursten H, Oudin A, Nozohoor S, Ahmad K, Tang M, Bjurbom M, Hansson EC, Jeppsson A, Holdflod Møller CJ, Jormalainen M, Juvonen T, Mennander A, Olsen PS, Olsson C, Ahlsson A, Pan E, Raivio P, Wickbom A, Sjögren J, Geirsson A, Gudbjartsson T, Zindovic I. Temperature effects on incidence of surgery for acute type A aortic dissection in the Nordics. Glob Health Action 2022; 15:2139340. [PMID: 36345977 PMCID: PMC9648372 DOI: 10.1080/16549716.2022.2139340] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
We aimed to investigate a hypothesised association between daily mean temperature and the risk of surgery for acute type A aortic dissection (ATAAD). For the period of 1 January 2005 until 31 December 2019, we collected daily data on mean temperatures and date of 2995 operations for ATAAD at 10 Nordic cities included in the Nordic Consortium for Acute Type A Aortic Dissection (NORCAAD) collaboration. Using a two-stage time-series approach, we investigated the association between hot and cold temperatures relative to the optimal temperature and the rate of ATAAD repair in the selected cities. The relative risks (RRs) of cold temperatures (≤-5°C) and hot temperatures (≥21°C) compared to optimal temperature were 1.47 (95% CI: 0.72-2.99) and 1.43 (95% CI: 0.67-3.08), respectively. In line with previous studies, we observed increased risk at cold and hot temperatures. However, the observed associations were not statistically significant, thus only providing weak evidence of an association.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniel Oudin Åström
- Division of Sustainable Health, Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden
- Division of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, Department of Laboratory Medicine, Lund University, Lund, Sweden
| | - Henrik Bjursten
- Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Skåne University Hospital, Lund University, Lund, Sweden
| | - Anna Oudin
- Division of Sustainable Health, Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden
- Division of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, Department of Laboratory Medicine, Lund University, Lund, Sweden
| | - Shahab Nozohoor
- Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Skåne University Hospital, Lund University, Lund, Sweden
| | - Khalil Ahmad
- Department of Cardiothoracic and Vascular Surgery, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark
| | - Mariann Tang
- Department of Cardiothoracic and Vascular Surgery, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark
| | - Markus Bjurbom
- Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Emma C Hansson
- Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden
- Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | - Anders Jeppsson
- Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden
- Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Gothenburg, Sweden
| | | | - Miko Jormalainen
- Heart and Lung Center, Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Tatu Juvonen
- Heart and Lung Center, Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland
- Research Unit of Surgery, Anesthesia, and Critical Care, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland
| | - Ari Mennander
- Heart Centre, Tampere University Hospital and University of Tampere, Tampere, Finland
| | - Peter S Olsen
- Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Centre for Cardiac, Vascular, Pulmonary and Infectious Diseases. Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Christian Olsson
- Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Anders Ahlsson
- Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Emily Pan
- Heart Center, Turku University Hospital, Turku, Finland
- Cardiovascular Medicine Division, Brigham and Women’s Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Peter Raivio
- Heart and Lung Center, Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Anders Wickbom
- Department of Cardiothoracic and Vascular Surgery, Orebro University Hospital, Orebro, Sweden
| | - Johan Sjögren
- Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Skåne University Hospital, Lund University, Lund, Sweden
| | - Arnar Geirsson
- Division of Cardiac Surgery, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - Tomas Gudbjartsson
- Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Landspitali University Hospital and Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland
| | - Igor Zindovic
- Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Skåne University Hospital, Lund University, Lund, Sweden
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Zhai G, Qi J, Zhang X, Zhou W, Wang J. A comparison of the effect of diurnal temperature range and apparent temperature on cardiovascular disease among farmers in Qingyang, Northwest China. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2022; 29:28946-28956. [PMID: 34988800 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-021-17785-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/20/2021] [Accepted: 11/23/2021] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Abstract
Climate change is increasing the incidence of extreme weather events which have a significant impact on public health. Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are the number one cause of death globally (40%). Apparent temperature (AT) and diurnal temperature range (DTR) have been extensively used to evaluate the effects of temperature on cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, the relevant information is quite limited from analysis and comparison of effects and differing pathogenesis of DTR and AT on CVD especially in less-developed, rural areas of China. This is the first attempt to analyze different effects between AT and DTR on CVD using distributed lag nonlinear modeling (DLNM) in rural area. Data on CVD hospital admission in Qingyang (Northwest China) in 2014-2017 originated from the New Rural Cooperative Medical System (NRCMS) of Gansu Province, and meteorological variables were provided by the Meteorological Science Data Sharing Service. Both AT and DTR had significant nonlinear and delayed impacts on hospital admissions for CVD. DTR had a stronger and more persistent effect on CVD incidence than AT. Females were more affected by high AT and low DTR than were males, while males were more vulnerable to low AT and high DTR. Temperature effects were not significantly different between people above and below 65 years of age. These findings provide local public health authorities with reference concerning sensitive temperature indices for susceptible populations with a view to improve CVD preventive strategies in rural areas.
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Affiliation(s)
- Guangyu Zhai
- School of Economics and Management, Lanzhou University of Technology, Lanzhou, 730050, China
- School of Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China
| | - Jintao Qi
- School of Economics and Management, Lanzhou University of Technology, Lanzhou, 730050, China.
| | - Xuemei Zhang
- School of Economics and Management, Lanzhou University of Technology, Lanzhou, 730050, China
| | - Wenjuan Zhou
- Gansu Provincial Hospital, Lanzhou, 730000, China
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Alsaiqali M, De Troeyer K, Casas L, Hamdi R, Faes C, Van Pottelbergh G. The Effects of Heatwaves on Human Morbidity in Primary Care Settings: A Case-Crossover Study. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2022; 19:832. [PMID: 35055653 PMCID: PMC8775418 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph19020832] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/06/2021] [Revised: 01/03/2022] [Accepted: 01/06/2022] [Indexed: 02/04/2023]
Abstract
PURPOSE This study assesses the potential acute effects of heatwaves on human morbidities in primary care settings. METHODS We performed a time-stratified case-crossover study to assess the acute effects of heatwaves on selected morbidities in primary care settings in Flanders, Belgium, between 2000 and 2015. We used conditional logistic regression models. We assessed the effect of heatwaves on the day of the event (lag 0) and X days earlier (lags 1 to X). The associations are presented as Incidence Density Ratios (IDR). RESULTS We included 22,344 events. Heatwaves are associated with increased heat-related morbidities such as heat stroke IDR 3.93 [2.94-5.26] at lag 0, dehydration IDR 3.93 [2.94-5.26] at lag 1, and orthostatic hypotension IDR 2.06 [1.37-3.10] at lag 1. For cardiovascular morbidities studied, there was only an increased risk of stroke at lag 3 IDR 1.45 [1.04-2.03]. There is no significant association with myocardial ischemia/infarction or arrhythmia. Heatwaves are associated with decreased respiratory infection risk. The IDR for upper respiratory infections is 0.82 [0.78-0.87] lag 1 and lower respiratory infections (LRI) is 0.82 [0.74-0.91] at lag 1. There was no significant effect modification by age or premorbid chronic disease (diabetes, hypertesnsion). CONCLUSION Heatwaves are associated with increased heat-related morbidities and decreased respiratory infection risk. The study of heatwaves' effects in primary care settings helps evaluate the impact of heatwaves on the general population. Primary care settings might be not suitable to study acute life-threatening morbidities.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mahmoud Alsaiqali
- Epidemiology and Social Medicine (ESOC), University of Antwerp, 2610 Antwerp, Belgium;
| | - Katrien De Troeyer
- Department of Public Health and Primary Care, KU Leuven, 3000 Leuven, Belgium; (K.D.T.); (G.V.P.)
| | - Lidia Casas
- Epidemiology and Social Medicine (ESOC), University of Antwerp, 2610 Antwerp, Belgium;
| | - Rafiq Hamdi
- Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium, B-1180 Brussels, Belgium;
| | - Christel Faes
- Data Science Institute (DSI), I-BioStat, Hasselt University, BE-3500 Hasselt, Belgium;
| | - Gijs Van Pottelbergh
- Department of Public Health and Primary Care, KU Leuven, 3000 Leuven, Belgium; (K.D.T.); (G.V.P.)
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Impact of Heat Waves on Hospitalisation and Mortality in Nursing Homes: A Case-Crossover Study. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2021; 18:ijerph182010697. [PMID: 34682444 PMCID: PMC8536121 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph182010697] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/26/2021] [Revised: 10/05/2021] [Accepted: 10/09/2021] [Indexed: 01/01/2023]
Abstract
Climate change leads to more days with extremely hot temperatures. Previous analyses of heat waves have documented a short-term rise in mortality. The results on the relationship between high temperatures and hospitalisations, especially in vulnerable patients admitted to nursing homes, are inconsistent. The objective of this research was to examine the discrepancy between heat-related mortality and morbidity in nursing homes. A time-stratified case-crossover study about the impact of heat waves on mortality and hospitalisations between 1 January 2013 and 31 December 2017 was conducted in 10 nursing homes over 5 years in Flanders, Belgium. In this study, the events were deaths and hospitalisations. We selected our control days during the same month as the events and matched them by day of the week. Heat waves were the exposure. Conditional logistic regression models were applied. The associations were reported as odds ratios at lag 0, 1, 2, and 3 and their 95% confidence intervals. In the investigated time period, 3048 hospitalisations took place and 1888 residents died. The conditional logistic regression showed that odds ratios of mortality and hospitalisations during heat waves were 1.61 (95% confidence interval 1.10–2.37) and 0.96 (95% confidence interval 0.67–1.36), respectively, at lag 0. Therefore, the increase in mortality during heat waves was statistically significant, but no significant changes in hospitalisations were obtained. Our result suggests that heat waves have an adverse effect on mortality in Flemish nursing homes but have no significant effect on the number of hospitalisations.
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Amiri M, Peinkhofer C, Othman MH, De Vecchi T, Nersesjan V, Kondziella D. Global warming and neurological practice: systematic review. PeerJ 2021; 9:e11941. [PMID: 34430087 PMCID: PMC8349167 DOI: 10.7717/peerj.11941] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/28/2021] [Accepted: 07/19/2021] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Climate change, including global warming, will cause poorer global health and rising numbers of environmental refugees. As neurological disorders account for a major share of morbidity and mortality worldwide, global warming is also destined to alter neurological practice; however, to what extent and by which mechanisms is unknown. We aimed to collect information about the effects of ambient temperatures and human migration on the epidemiology and clinical manifestations of neurological disorders. Methods We searched PubMed and Scopus from 01/2000 to 12/2020 for human studies addressing the influence of ambient temperatures and human migration on Alzheimer’s and non-Alzheimer’s dementia, epilepsy, headache/migraine, multiple sclerosis, Parkinson’s disease, stroke, and tick-borne encephalitis (a model disease for neuroinfections). The protocol was pre-registered with PROSPERO (2020 CRD42020147543). Results Ninety-three studies met inclusion criteria, 84 of which reported on ambient temperatures and nine on migration. Overall, most temperature studies suggested a relationship between increasing temperatures and higher mortality and/or morbidity, whereas results were more ambiguous for migration studies. However, we were unable to identify a single adequately designed study addressing how global warming and human migration will change neurological practice. Still, extracted data indicated multiple ways by which these aspects might alter neurological morbidity and mortality soon. Conclusion Significant heterogeneity exists across studies with respect to methodology, outcome measures, confounders and study design, including lack of data from low-income countries, but the evidence so far suggests that climate change will affect the practice of all major neurological disorders in the near future. Adequately designed studies to address this issue are urgently needed, requiring concerted efforts from the entire neurological community.
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Affiliation(s)
- Moshgan Amiri
- Department of Neurology, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Costanza Peinkhofer
- Department of Neurology, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark.,Medical Faculty, University of Trieste, Trieste, Italy
| | - Marwan H Othman
- Department of Neurology, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Teodoro De Vecchi
- Department of Neurology, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark.,Medical Faculty, University of Trieste, Trieste, Italy
| | - Vardan Nersesjan
- Department of Neurology, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Daniel Kondziella
- Department of Neurology, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark.,Department of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
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Pasquini L, van Aardenne L, Godsmark CN, Lee J, Jack C. Emerging climate change-related public health challenges in Africa: A case study of the heat-health vulnerability of informal settlement residents in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2020; 747:141355. [PMID: 32777515 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.141355] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/12/2020] [Revised: 07/14/2020] [Accepted: 07/27/2020] [Indexed: 06/11/2023]
Abstract
Heat has the potential to become one of the most significant public health impacts of climate change in the coming decades. Increases in temperature have been linked to both increasing mortality and morbidity. Cities have been recognized as areas of particular vulnerability to heat's impacts on health, and marginalized groups, such as the poor, appear to have higher heat-related morbidity and mortality. Little research has examined the heat vulnerability of urban informal settlements residents in Africa, even though surface temperatures across Africa are projected to increase at a rate faster than the global average. This paper addresses this knowledge gap through a mixed-methods analysis of the heat-health vulnerability of informal settlement residents in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. The heat exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity of informal settlement residents were assessed through a combination of climate analyses, semi-structured interviews with local government actors and informal settlement residents, unstructured interviews with health sector respondents, a health impacts literature review, and a stakeholder engagement workshop. The results suggest that increasing temperatures due to climate change will likely be a significant risk to human health in Dar es Salaam, even though the city does not reach extreme temperature conditions, because informal settlement residents have high exposure, high sensitivity and low adaptive capacity to heat, and because the heat-health relationship is currently an under-prioritized policy issue. While numerous urban planning approaches can play a key role in increasing the resilience of citizens to heat, Dar es Salaam's past and current growth and development patterns greatly complicate the implementation and enforcement of such approaches. For African cities, the findings highlight an urgent need for more research on the vulnerability and resilience of residents to heat-health impacts, because many African cities are likely to present similar characteristics to those in Dar es Salaam that increase resident's vulnerability.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lorena Pasquini
- Climate System Analysis Group, University of Cape Town, Private Bag X3, Rondebosch 7701, South Africa; African Climate and Development Initiative, University of Cape Town, Private Bag X3, Rondebosch 7701, South Africa.
| | - Lisa van Aardenne
- Climate System Analysis Group, University of Cape Town, Private Bag X3, Rondebosch 7701, South Africa.
| | - Christie Nicole Godsmark
- School of Public Health, University College Cork, Western Gateway Building, Western Road, Cork T12 XF62, Ireland; Environmental Research Institute, University College Cork, Lee Road, Cork T23 XE10, Ireland.
| | - Jessica Lee
- Climate System Analysis Group, University of Cape Town, Private Bag X3, Rondebosch 7701, South Africa.
| | - Christopher Jack
- Climate System Analysis Group, University of Cape Town, Private Bag X3, Rondebosch 7701, South Africa.
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Aklilu D, Wang T, Amsalu E, Feng W, Li Z, Li X, Tao L, Luo Y, Guo M, Liu X, Guo X. Short-term effects of extreme temperatures on cause specific cardiovascular admissions in Beijing, China. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2020; 186:109455. [PMID: 32311528 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2020.109455] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/04/2020] [Revised: 03/21/2020] [Accepted: 03/26/2020] [Indexed: 06/11/2023]
Abstract
Extreme temperature-related cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) have become a growing public health concern. However, the impact of temperature on the cause of specific CVDs has not been well studied in the study area. The objective of this study was to assess the impact of temperature on cause-specific cardiovascular hospital admissions in Beijing, China. We obtained data from 172 large general hospitals from the Beijing Public Health Information Center Cardiovascular Case Database and China. Meteorological Administration covering 16 districts in Beijing from 2013 to 2017. We used a time-stratified case crossover design with a distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) to derive the impact of temperature on CVD in hospitals back to 27 days on CVD admissions. The temperature data were stratified as cold (extreme and moderate ) and hot (moderate and extreme ). Within five years (January 2013-December 2017), a total of 460,938 (male 54.9% and female 45.1%) CVD admission cases were reported. The exposure-response relationship for hospitalization was described by a "J" shape for the total and cause-specific. An increase in the six-day moving average temperature from moderate hot (30.2 °C) to extreme hot (36.9 °C) resulted in a significant increase in CVD admissions of 16.1%(95% CI = 12.8%-28.9%). However, the effect of cold temperature exposure on CVD admissions over a lag time of 0-27 days was found to be non significant, with a relative risk of 0.45 (95% CI = 0.378-0.55) for extreme cold (-8.5 °C)and 0.53 (95% CI = 0.47-0.60) for moderate cold (-5.6 °C). The results of this study indicate that exposure to extremely high temperatures is highly associated with an increase in cause-specific CVD admissions. These finding may guide to create and raise awareness of the general population, government and private sectors regarding on the effects of current weather conditions on CVD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Deginet Aklilu
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Tianqi Wang
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Beijing Municipal Commission of Health and Family Planning Information Center, China
| | - Endwoke Amsalu
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Wei Feng
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
| | - Zhiwei Li
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Xia Li
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics, La Trobe University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Lixin Tao
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Yanxia Luo
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Moning Guo
- Beijing Municipal Commission of Health and Family Planning Information Center, China
| | - Xiangtong Liu
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
| | - Xiuhua Guo
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China; Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
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Pourshaikhian M, Moghadamnia MT, Yekaninejad MS, Ghanbari A, Rashti AS, Afraz Kamachli S. The effects of meteorological variables on ambulance attendance for cardiovascular diseases in Rasht, Iran. J Therm Biol 2019; 83:150-156. [PMID: 31331513 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtherbio.2019.05.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/04/2018] [Revised: 03/13/2019] [Accepted: 05/05/2019] [Indexed: 11/19/2022]
Abstract
Climate change has a devastating effect on human societies, including their economic, cultural and health conditions. Our objective was to investigate the association between meteorological variables and ambulance attendance in the event of cardiovascular diseases using time-series analyses. We used a time series analysis to investigate the relationship between meteorological variables and ambulance attendance in the event of cardiovascular diseases from 2010 to 2015. To examine the effect of high temperatures on ambulance attendance, we investigated the relative risk of the daily volume of high temperature attendance, the 99th temperature percentile compared to the 75th temperature percentile. Upon examining the effect of cold temperatures on ambulance attendance, or the relative risk of the daily volume of attendance with low temperatures, the 1st temperature percentile compared to the 25th temperature percentile. In 1826 days, from March 21, 2010 to March 19, 2015, there were 7051 emergency calls for cardiovascular diseases. Significant variations were identified in the monthly (P < 0.001) and seasonal (P < 0.001) distributions. The highest seasonal incidence occurred in the winter and lowest was observed in the summer. With regard to association between cold temperature and calls for ambulance attendance in the event of cardiovascular diseases according to lag days, our findings showed a significant increase in lag 7 ((RR, 1.026; 95% CI, 1.003 to 1.050), lag 8 (RR, 1.023; 95% CI, 1.005to 1.041) and lag 9 (RR, 1.019; 95% CI, 1.002 to 1.036) respectively. These results suggest that the demand for an ambulance for cardiovascular diseases was higher in the cold weather and that humidity can increase this demand in the warm seasons.
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Affiliation(s)
- Majid Pourshaikhian
- Department of Medical - Surgical Nursing, School of Nursing and Midwifery, Guilan University of Medical Sciences, Rasht, Iran.
| | - Mohammad Taghi Moghadamnia
- Department of Medical-Surgical Nursing, Nursing and Midwifery School, Guilan University of Medical Sciences, Rasht, Iran.
| | - Mir Saeed Yekaninejad
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
| | - Ali Ghanbari
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Ali Saadat Rashti
- School of Medicine, Guilan University of Medical Sciences, Rasht, Iran
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Moghadamnia MT, Ardalan A, Mesdaghinia A, Naddafi K, Yekaninejad MS. The Effects of Apparent Temperature on Cardiovascular Mortality Using a Distributed Lag Nonlinear Model Analysis: 2005 to 2014. Asia Pac J Public Health 2018; 30:361-368. [PMID: 29671331 DOI: 10.1177/1010539518768036] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/15/2022]
Abstract
The relationship between apparent temperature and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality was studied in Rasht, Iran, from 2005 to 2014. The effects of apparent temperature on CVD mortality were investigated using the distributed lag nonlinear model. Data on all types of cardiovascular mortality cases according to the International Classification of Diseases were collected from the only cardiovascular hospital in Rasht, and the meteorological variables were obtained from Rasht Meteorological Center during the period of study. Our findings showed that low temperatures had significant impacts on CVD mortality, and a reverse J-shaped temperature-mortality relationship was found. Moreover, immediate effects of hot temperatures on CVD mortality with the strongest effects on the same day but delayed effects of cold temperature was observed. This study showed that exposure to both hot and cold apparent temperatures was associated with increased cardiovascular mortality in Rasht.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mohammad Taghi Moghadamnia
- 1 Guilan University of Medical Sciences, Rasht, Iran.,2 Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Ali Ardalan
- 2 Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.,3 Harvard Humanitarian Initiative, Cambridge, MA, USA
| | | | - Kazem Naddafi
- 2 Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
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Mohammadi R, Soori H, Alipour A, Bitaraf E, Khodakarim S. The impact of ambient temperature on acute myocardial infarction admissions in Tehran, Iran. J Therm Biol 2018; 73:24-31. [DOI: 10.1016/j.jtherbio.2018.02.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/25/2017] [Revised: 02/06/2018] [Accepted: 02/11/2018] [Indexed: 12/27/2022]
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Moghadamnia MT, Ardalan A, Mesdaghinia A, Keshtkar A, Naddafi K, Yekaninejad MS. Ambient temperature and cardiovascular mortality: a systematic review and meta-analysis. PeerJ 2017; 5:e3574. [PMID: 28791197 PMCID: PMC5546177 DOI: 10.7717/peerj.3574] [Citation(s) in RCA: 102] [Impact Index Per Article: 14.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/04/2017] [Accepted: 06/23/2017] [Indexed: 01/18/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Our study aims at identifying and quantifying the relationship between the cold and heat exposure and the risk of cardiovascular mortality through a systematic review and meta-analysis. MATERIAL AND METHODS A systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted based on the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guideline. Peer-reviewed studies about the temperature and cardiovascular mortality were retrieved in the MEDLINE, Web of Science, and Scopus databases from January 2000 up to the end of 2015. The pooled effect sizes of short-term effect were calculated for the heat exposure and cold exposure separately. Also, we assessed the dose-response relationship of temperature-cardiovascular mortality by a change in units of latitudes, longitude, lag days and annual mean temperature by meta-regression. RESULT After screening the titles, abstracts and full texts, a total of 26 articles were included in the meta-analysis. The risk of cardiovascular mortality increased by 5% (RR, 1.055; 95% CI [1.050-1.060]) for the cold exposure and 1.3% (RR, 1.013; 95% CI [1.011-1.015]) for the heat exposure. The short-term effects of cold and heat exposure on the risk of cardiovascular mortality in males were 3.8% (RR, 1.038; 95% CI [1.034-1.043]) and 1.1%( RR, 1.011; 95% CI [1.009-1.013]) respectively. Moreover, the effects of cold and heat exposure on risk of cardiovascular mortality in females were 4.1% (RR, 1.041; 95% CI [1.037-1.045]) and 1.4% (RR, 1.014; 95% CI [1.011-1.017]) respectively. In the elderly, it was at an 8.1% increase and a 6% increase in the heat and cold exposure, respectively. The greatest risk of cardiovascular mortality in cold temperature was in the 14 lag days (RR, 1.09; 95% CI [1.07-1.010]) and in hot temperatures in the seven lag days (RR, 1.14; 95% CI [1.09-1.17]). The significant dose-response relationship of latitude and longitude in cold exposure with cardiovascular mortality was found. The results showed that the risk of cardiovascular mortality increased with each degree increased significantly in latitude and longitude in cold exposure (0.2%, 95% CI [0.006-0.035]) and (0.07%, 95% CI [0.0003-0.014]) respectively. The risk of cardiovascular mortality increased with each degree increase in latitude in heat exposure (0.07%, 95% CI [0.0008-0.124]). CONCLUSION Our findings indicate that the increase and decrease in ambient temperature had a relationship with the cardiovascular mortality. To prevent the temperature- related mortality, persons with cardiovascular disease and the elderly should be targeted. The review has been registered with PROSPERO (registration number CRD42016037673).
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Affiliation(s)
- Mohammad Taghi Moghadamnia
- Department of Disaster Public Health, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Ali Ardalan
- Department of Disaster Public Health, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
- Harvard Humanitarian Initiative, Harvard University, Cambridge, United States of America
| | - Alireza Mesdaghinia
- Department of Environmental Health Engineering, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Abbas Keshtkar
- Department of Health Sciences Education Development, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Kazem Naddafi
- Department of Environmental Health Engineering, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Mir Saeed Yekaninejad
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
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15
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Mohammadi R, Khodakarim S, Alipour A, Bitaraf E, Soori H. Association between Air Temperature and Acute Myocardial Infarction Hospitalizations in Tehran, Iran: A Time-Stratified Case-Crossover. THE INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF OCCUPATIONAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL MEDICINE 2017; 8:143-152. [PMID: 28689211 PMCID: PMC6679627 DOI: 10.15171/ijoem.2017.1069] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/18/2017] [Accepted: 06/18/2017] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
Abstract
Background: Although the effect of temperature on the incidence of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) has been extensively documented, no study has previously investigated the association between temperature and AMI in the Middle Eastern countries. Objective: To examine the association between daily mean temperature and AMI admission rates in Tehran, Iran. Methods: Data on daily number of admissions of patients with AMI to Tehran hospitals between March 21, 2013 and March 19, 2016, were retrieved from the Iranian Myocardial Infarction Registry (IMIR). Over the same period, data on daily mean temperature and relative humidity were measured at Mehrabad International Airport weather station of the Islamic Republic of Iran Meteorological Organization. Time-stratified case-crossover design was employed to investigate the short-term association between the daily mean temperature and the number of daily admissions of patients with AMI, after adjusting for public holidays, relative humidity, and air pollution. Results: An interquartile range (IQR) increase in daily mean temperature was associated with 15.1% (95% CI 1.3 to 30.8%) and 13% (95% CI 1.9% to 25.4%) increase in the risk of AMI hospitalizations during the entire year, and in the warm months of the year, respectively. There were no significant associations between IQR increase in the two-day cumulative average up to the six-day cumulative average of the daily mean temperature and AMI during the entire year, and warm or cold months of the year. Conclusion: An increase in temperature would increase the rate of AMI hospitalization.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rasool Mohammadi
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Soheila Khodakarim
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Abbas Alipour
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Ehsan Bitaraf
- IT Office, Ministry of Health & Medical Education, Tehran, Iran
| | - Hamid Soori
- Safety Promotion and Injury Prevention Research Center, School of Public Health, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
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Wichmann J. Heat effects of ambient apparent temperature on all-cause mortality in Cape Town, Durban and Johannesburg, South Africa: 2006-2010. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2017; 587-588:266-272. [PMID: 28242220 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.02.135] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/29/2016] [Revised: 02/16/2017] [Accepted: 02/16/2017] [Indexed: 06/06/2023]
Abstract
Due to climate change, an increase of 3-4°C in ambient temperature is projected along the South African coast and 6-7°C inland during the next 80years. The objective of this study was to investigate the association between daily ambient apparent temperature (Tapp) and daily all-cause non-accidental mortality (hereafter mortality) in Cape Town, Durban and Johannesburg during a 5-year study period (2006-2010). Susceptibility by sex and age groups (<15years, 15-64years and ≥65years) was also investigated. The associations were investigated with the time-stratified case-crossover epidemiological design. Models were controlled for PM10, public holidays and influenza epidemics. City-specific Tapp thresholds were determined using quasi-Poisson generalised additive models. The pooled estimates by sex and age groups were determined in meta-analyses. The city-specific Tapp thresholds were 18.6°C, 24.8°C and 18.7°C, respectively for Cape Town, Durban and Johannesburg. A 3.3%, 2.6% and 2.8% increase in mortality per IQR increase in Tapp (lag0-1) was observed in Cape Town, Durban and Johannesburg, respectively above the city-specific thresholds. The elderly were more at risk in Cape Town and Johannesburg. No difference in risk was observed for males and females in the three cities. In the meta-analysis an overall significant increase of 0.9% in mortality per 1°C increase in Tapp (lag0-1) was observed for all age groups combined in the three cities. For the ≥65year group a significant increase of 2.1% in mortality was observed. In conclusion, the risks for all age groups combined and the elderly are similar to those reported in studies from developed and developing countries. The results can be used in present-day early warning systems and in risk assessments to estimate the impact of increased Tapp in the country due to climate change. Future research should investigate the association between Tapp and cause-specific mortality and also morbidity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Janine Wichmann
- School of Health Systems and Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Pretoria, Pretoria 0001, South Africa.
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17
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Climate Change and Simulation of Cardiovascular Disease Mortality: A Case Study of Mashhad, Iran. IRANIAN JOURNAL OF PUBLIC HEALTH 2017; 46:396-407. [PMID: 28435826 PMCID: PMC5395536] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/25/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Weather and climate play a significant role in human health. We are accustomed to affects the weather conditions. By increasing or decreasing the environment temperature or change of seasons, some diseases become prevalent or remove. This study investigated the role of temperature in cardiovascular disease mortality of city of Mashhad in the current decade and its simulation in the future decades under conditions of climate change. METHODS Cardiovascular disease mortality data and the daily temperatures data were used during (2004-2013) period. First, the correlation between cardiovascular disease mortality and maximum and minimum temperatures were calculated then by using General Circulation Model, Emissions Scenarios, and temperature data were extracted for the next five decades and finally, mortality was simulated. RESULTS There is a strong positive association between maximum temperature and mortality (r= 0.83, P-value<0.01), also observed a negative and weak but significant association between minimum temperatures and mortality. The results obtained from simulation show increased temperature in the next decades in Mashhad and a 1 °C increase in maximum temperature is associated with a 4.27% (95%CI: 0.91, 7.00) increase in Cardiovascular disease mortality. CONCLUSION By increasing temperature and the number of hot days the cardiovascular disease mortality increases and these increases will be intensified in the future decades. Therefore, necessary preventive measures are required to mitigate temperature effects with greater attention to vulnerable group.
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Short-Term Fluctuations in Air Pollution and Asthma in Scania, Sweden. Is the Association Modified by Long-Term Concentrations? PLoS One 2016; 11:e0166614. [PMID: 27861543 PMCID: PMC5115756 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0166614] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/07/2016] [Accepted: 11/01/2016] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Background and aims Asthma is one of the most common respiratory diseases in the world. Research has shown that temporal increases in air pollution concentrations can aggravate asthma symptoms. The aim of this study was to assess whether individuals living in areas with higher air pollution concentrations responded differently to short-term temporal exposure to air pollution than those living in lower air pollution areas. Method The study was designed as a case-crossover study in Scania, Sweden. Outcome data was visits to primary health care clinics with asthma as the main complaint during the years 2007 to 2010. Nitrogen dioxide levels were obtained from 21 different air pollution monitoring stations. Short-term exposure was defined as the average concentration four days prior to the visit. Data was pooled for areas above and below a two-year average NO2 concentration of 10 μg/m3, dispersion modelled with an emission database. Results The short-term association between NO2 and asthma visits seemed stronger in areas with NO2 levels below 10 μg/m3, with an odds ratio (OR) of 1.15 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.08–1.23) associated with a 10 μg/m3 increase in NO2 compared to areas above 10 μg/m3 NO2 levels, where corresponding OR of 1.09 (95% CI: 1.02–1.17). However, this difference was not statistically significant. (p = 0.13) Conclusions The study provided some evidence, although not statistically significant, that short-term associations between air pollution and asthma may depend on background air pollution levels. However, we cannot rule out that the association is due to other spatially dependent factors in Scania. The study should be reproduced in other study areas.
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Willers SM, Jonker MF, Klok L, Keuken MP, Odink J, van den Elshout S, Sabel CE, Mackenbach JP, Burdorf A. High resolution exposure modelling of heat and air pollution and the impact on mortality. ENVIRONMENT INTERNATIONAL 2016; 89-90:102-109. [PMID: 26826367 DOI: 10.1016/j.envint.2016.01.013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/19/2015] [Revised: 01/15/2016] [Accepted: 01/15/2016] [Indexed: 06/05/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Elevated temperature and air pollution have been associated with increased mortality. Exposure to heat and air pollution, as well as the density of vulnerable groups varies within cities. The objective was to investigate the extent of neighbourhood differences in mortality risk due to heat and air pollution in a city with a temperate maritime climate. METHODS A case-crossover design was used to study associations between heat, air pollution and mortality. Different thermal indicators and air pollutants (PM10, NO2, O3) were reconstructed at high spatial resolution to improve exposure classification. Daily exposures were linked to individual mortality cases over a 15year period. RESULTS Significant interaction between maximum air temperature (Tamax) and PM10 was observed. During "summer smog" days (Tamax>25°C and PM10>50μg/m(3)), the mortality risk at lag 2 was 7% higher compared to the reference (Tamax 15°C and PM10 15μg/m(3)). Persons above age 85 living alone were at highest risk. CONCLUSION We found significant synergistic effects of high temperatures and air pollution on mortality. Single living elderly were the most vulnerable group. Due to spatial differences in temperature and air pollution, mortality risks varied substantially between neighbourhoods, with a difference up to 7%.
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Affiliation(s)
- Saskia M Willers
- Air Quality Department, DCMR Environmental Protection Agency Rijnmond, P.O. Box 843, 3100 AV Schiedam, The Netherlands; Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, P.O. Box 2040, 3000 CA Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
| | - Marcel F Jonker
- Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, P.O. Box 2040, 3000 CA Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
| | - Lisette Klok
- Netherlands Organisation for Applied Scientific Research TNO, Princetonlaan 6, 3584 CB Utrecht, The Netherlands.
| | - Menno P Keuken
- Netherlands Organisation for Applied Scientific Research TNO, Princetonlaan 6, 3584 CB Utrecht, The Netherlands.
| | - Jennie Odink
- Municipal Public Health Service Rotterdam-Rijnmond, Postbus 70032, 3000 LP Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
| | - Sef van den Elshout
- Air Quality Department, DCMR Environmental Protection Agency Rijnmond, P.O. Box 843, 3100 AV Schiedam, The Netherlands.
| | - Clive E Sabel
- School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, University Rd, Bristol BS8 1SS, UK.
| | - Johan P Mackenbach
- Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, P.O. Box 2040, 3000 CA Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
| | - Alex Burdorf
- Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, P.O. Box 2040, 3000 CA Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
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Urban A, Burkart K, Kyselý J, Schuster C, Plavcová E, Hanzlíková H, Štěpánek P, Lakes T. Spatial Patterns of Heat-Related Cardiovascular Mortality in the Czech Republic. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2016; 13:ijerph13030284. [PMID: 26959044 PMCID: PMC4808947 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph13030284] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/30/2015] [Revised: 01/31/2016] [Accepted: 02/23/2016] [Indexed: 01/28/2023]
Abstract
The study examines spatial patterns of effects of high temperature extremes on cardiovascular mortality in the Czech Republic at a district level during 1994–2009. Daily baseline mortality for each district was determined using a single location-stratified generalized additive model. Mean relative deviations of mortality from the baseline were calculated on days exceeding the 90th percentile of mean daily temperature in summer, and they were correlated with selected demographic, socioeconomic, and physical-environmental variables for the districts. Groups of districts with similar characteristics were identified according to socioeconomic status and urbanization level in order to provide a more general picture than possible on the district level. We evaluated lagged patterns of excess mortality after hot spell occurrences in: (i) urban areas vs. predominantly rural areas; and (ii) regions with different overall socioeconomic level. Our findings suggest that climatic conditions, altitude, and urbanization generally affect the spatial distribution of districts with the highest excess cardiovascular mortality, while socioeconomic status did not show a significant effect in the analysis across the Czech Republic as a whole. Only within deprived populations, socioeconomic status played a relevant role as well. After taking into account lagged effects of temperature on excess mortality, we found that the effect of hot spells was significant in highly urbanized regions, while most excess deaths in rural districts may be attributed to harvesting effects.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aleš Urban
- Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Czech Academy of Sciences, Boční II 1401, 14131 Prague 4, Czech Republic.
- Faculty of Science, Charles University, Albertov 6, 12843 Prague 2, Czech Republic.
| | - Katrin Burkart
- Department of Environmental Health Science, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, 722 W 168th Street, New York, NY 10032, USA.
| | - Jan Kyselý
- Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Czech Academy of Sciences, Boční II 1401, 14131 Prague 4, Czech Republic.
- Faculty of Environmental Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences, Kamýcká 129, 16521 Prague 6, Czech Republic.
- Global Change Research Centre, Czech Academy of Sciences, Bělidla 986, 60300 Brno, Czech Republic.
| | - Christian Schuster
- Department of Geography, Geoinformation Science Lab, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Unter den Linden 6, 10099 Berlin, Germany.
| | - Eva Plavcová
- Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Czech Academy of Sciences, Boční II 1401, 14131 Prague 4, Czech Republic.
| | - Hana Hanzlíková
- Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Czech Academy of Sciences, Boční II 1401, 14131 Prague 4, Czech Republic.
- Institute of Geophysics, Czech Academy of Sciences, Boční II 1401, 14131 Prague 4, Czech Republic.
| | - Petr Štěpánek
- Global Change Research Centre, Czech Academy of Sciences, Bělidla 986, 60300 Brno, Czech Republic.
- Czech Hydrometeorological Institute, Regional Office Brno, Kroftova 2578, 61667 Brno, Czech Republic.
| | - Tobia Lakes
- Department of Geography, Geoinformation Science Lab, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Unter den Linden 6, 10099 Berlin, Germany.
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Chen H, Wang J, Li Q, Yagouti A, Lavigne E, Foty R, Burnett RT, Villeneuve PJ, Cakmak S, Copes R. Assessment of the effect of cold and hot temperatures on mortality in Ontario, Canada: a population-based study. CMAJ Open 2016; 4:E48-58. [PMID: 27280114 PMCID: PMC4866918 DOI: 10.9778/cmajo.20150111] [Citation(s) in RCA: 31] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/03/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Ambient high temperature is associated with death; however, heat-related risk of death has not been quantified systematically in Ontario, the most populous province in Canada. Less is known about cold-related risk in this population. Our objective was to quantify the health impact from cold and hot temperatures in Ontario. METHODS The study population consisted of all residents of Ontario who died between Jan. 1, 1996, and Dec. 31, 2010, from any nonaccidental cause. A case-crossover analysis was applied to assess the relation between daily temperature fluctuation and deaths from nonaccidental and selected causes in cold (December-February) and warm (June-August) seasons, respectively, adjusting for various potential confounders. Risk estimates were obtained for each census division, then pooled across Ontario. We examined potential effect modification for selected comorbidities and sociodemographic characteristics. RESULTS In warm seasons, each 5°C increase in daily mean temperature was associated with a 2.5% increase in nonaccidental deaths (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.3% to 3.8%) on the day of exposure (lag 0). In cold seasons, each 5°C decrease in daily temperature was associated with a 3.0% (95% CI 1.8% to 4.2%) increase in nonaccidental deaths, which persisted over 7 days (lag 0-6). The cold-related effects (lag 0-6) were stronger for cardiovascular-related deaths (any cardiovascular death: 4.1%, 95% CI 2.3% to 5.9%; ischemic heart disease: 5.8%, 95% CI 3.6% to 8.1%), especially among people less than 65 years of age (8.0%, 95% CI 3.0% to 13.0%). Conversely, heat most strongly increased respiratory-related deaths during admission to hospital (26.0%, 95% CI 0% to 61.4%). Across Ontario, each 5°C change in daily temperature was estimated to induce 7 excess deaths per day in cold seasons and 4 excess deaths in warm seasons. INTERPRETATION Heat contributed to excess deaths in Ontario, although the effect of cold weather appeared to be greater. Further work is required to better define high-risk subgroups, which might include the homeless and people with inadequately heated housing.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hong Chen
- Public Health Ontario (Chen, Wang, Li, Copes); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Chen, Foty, Villeneuve, Copes), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (Chen), Toronto, Ont.; Climate Change and Health Office (Yagouti), Health Canada; Air Health Science Division (Lavigne), Health Canada; Department of Epidemiology and Community Medicine (Lavigne), University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ont.; Sick Kids Hospital (Foty), Toronto, Ont.; Population Studies Division (Burnett, Cakmak), Health Canada; Department of Health Sciences (Villeneuve), Carleton University, Ottawa, Ont
| | - Jun Wang
- Public Health Ontario (Chen, Wang, Li, Copes); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Chen, Foty, Villeneuve, Copes), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (Chen), Toronto, Ont.; Climate Change and Health Office (Yagouti), Health Canada; Air Health Science Division (Lavigne), Health Canada; Department of Epidemiology and Community Medicine (Lavigne), University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ont.; Sick Kids Hospital (Foty), Toronto, Ont.; Population Studies Division (Burnett, Cakmak), Health Canada; Department of Health Sciences (Villeneuve), Carleton University, Ottawa, Ont
| | - Qiongsi Li
- Public Health Ontario (Chen, Wang, Li, Copes); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Chen, Foty, Villeneuve, Copes), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (Chen), Toronto, Ont.; Climate Change and Health Office (Yagouti), Health Canada; Air Health Science Division (Lavigne), Health Canada; Department of Epidemiology and Community Medicine (Lavigne), University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ont.; Sick Kids Hospital (Foty), Toronto, Ont.; Population Studies Division (Burnett, Cakmak), Health Canada; Department of Health Sciences (Villeneuve), Carleton University, Ottawa, Ont
| | - Abderrahmane Yagouti
- Public Health Ontario (Chen, Wang, Li, Copes); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Chen, Foty, Villeneuve, Copes), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (Chen), Toronto, Ont.; Climate Change and Health Office (Yagouti), Health Canada; Air Health Science Division (Lavigne), Health Canada; Department of Epidemiology and Community Medicine (Lavigne), University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ont.; Sick Kids Hospital (Foty), Toronto, Ont.; Population Studies Division (Burnett, Cakmak), Health Canada; Department of Health Sciences (Villeneuve), Carleton University, Ottawa, Ont
| | - Eric Lavigne
- Public Health Ontario (Chen, Wang, Li, Copes); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Chen, Foty, Villeneuve, Copes), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (Chen), Toronto, Ont.; Climate Change and Health Office (Yagouti), Health Canada; Air Health Science Division (Lavigne), Health Canada; Department of Epidemiology and Community Medicine (Lavigne), University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ont.; Sick Kids Hospital (Foty), Toronto, Ont.; Population Studies Division (Burnett, Cakmak), Health Canada; Department of Health Sciences (Villeneuve), Carleton University, Ottawa, Ont
| | - Richard Foty
- Public Health Ontario (Chen, Wang, Li, Copes); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Chen, Foty, Villeneuve, Copes), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (Chen), Toronto, Ont.; Climate Change and Health Office (Yagouti), Health Canada; Air Health Science Division (Lavigne), Health Canada; Department of Epidemiology and Community Medicine (Lavigne), University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ont.; Sick Kids Hospital (Foty), Toronto, Ont.; Population Studies Division (Burnett, Cakmak), Health Canada; Department of Health Sciences (Villeneuve), Carleton University, Ottawa, Ont
| | - Richard T Burnett
- Public Health Ontario (Chen, Wang, Li, Copes); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Chen, Foty, Villeneuve, Copes), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (Chen), Toronto, Ont.; Climate Change and Health Office (Yagouti), Health Canada; Air Health Science Division (Lavigne), Health Canada; Department of Epidemiology and Community Medicine (Lavigne), University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ont.; Sick Kids Hospital (Foty), Toronto, Ont.; Population Studies Division (Burnett, Cakmak), Health Canada; Department of Health Sciences (Villeneuve), Carleton University, Ottawa, Ont
| | - Paul J Villeneuve
- Public Health Ontario (Chen, Wang, Li, Copes); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Chen, Foty, Villeneuve, Copes), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (Chen), Toronto, Ont.; Climate Change and Health Office (Yagouti), Health Canada; Air Health Science Division (Lavigne), Health Canada; Department of Epidemiology and Community Medicine (Lavigne), University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ont.; Sick Kids Hospital (Foty), Toronto, Ont.; Population Studies Division (Burnett, Cakmak), Health Canada; Department of Health Sciences (Villeneuve), Carleton University, Ottawa, Ont
| | - Sabit Cakmak
- Public Health Ontario (Chen, Wang, Li, Copes); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Chen, Foty, Villeneuve, Copes), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (Chen), Toronto, Ont.; Climate Change and Health Office (Yagouti), Health Canada; Air Health Science Division (Lavigne), Health Canada; Department of Epidemiology and Community Medicine (Lavigne), University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ont.; Sick Kids Hospital (Foty), Toronto, Ont.; Population Studies Division (Burnett, Cakmak), Health Canada; Department of Health Sciences (Villeneuve), Carleton University, Ottawa, Ont
| | - Ray Copes
- Public Health Ontario (Chen, Wang, Li, Copes); Dalla Lana School of Public Health (Chen, Foty, Villeneuve, Copes), University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.; Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (Chen), Toronto, Ont.; Climate Change and Health Office (Yagouti), Health Canada; Air Health Science Division (Lavigne), Health Canada; Department of Epidemiology and Community Medicine (Lavigne), University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ont.; Sick Kids Hospital (Foty), Toronto, Ont.; Population Studies Division (Burnett, Cakmak), Health Canada; Department of Health Sciences (Villeneuve), Carleton University, Ottawa, Ont
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Li M, Gu S, Bi P, Yang J, Liu Q. Heat waves and morbidity: current knowledge and further direction-a comprehensive literature review. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2015; 12:5256-83. [PMID: 25993103 PMCID: PMC4454966 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph120505256] [Citation(s) in RCA: 133] [Impact Index Per Article: 14.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/22/2015] [Revised: 04/28/2015] [Accepted: 05/07/2015] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
Abstract
In the past few decades, several devastating heat wave events have significantly challenged public health. As these events are projected to increase in both severity and frequency in the future, it is important to assess the relationship between heat waves and the health indicators that can be used in the early warning systems to guide the public health response. Yet there is a knowledge gap in the impact of heat waves on morbidity. In this study, a comprehensive review was conducted to assess the relationship between heat waves and different morbidity indicators, and to identify the vulnerable populations. The PubMed and ScienceDirect database were used to retrieve published literature in English from 1985 to 2014 on the relationship between heat waves and morbidity, and the following MeSH terms and keywords were used: heat wave, heat wave, morbidity, hospital admission, hospitalization, emergency call, emergency medical services, and outpatient visit. Thirty-three studies were included in the final analysis. Most studies found a short-term negative health impact of heat waves on morbidity. The elderly, children, and males were more vulnerable during heat waves, and the medical care demand increased for those with existing chronic diseases. Some social factors, such as lower socioeconomic status, can contribute to heat-susceptibility. In terms of study methods and heat wave definitions, there remain inconsistencies and uncertainties. Relevant policies and guidelines need to be developed to protect vulnerable populations. Morbidity indicators should be adopted in heat wave early warning systems in order to guide the effective implementation of public health actions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mengmeng Li
- State Key Laboratory for Infectious Disease Prevention and Control, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China.
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Institute of Basic Medical Sciences, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences; School of Basic Medicine, Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100005, China.
- Climate Change and Health Center, Shandong University, Jinan 250012, China.
| | - Shaohua Gu
- State Key Laboratory for Infectious Disease Prevention and Control, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China.
- Climate Change and Health Center, Shandong University, Jinan 250012, China.
| | - Peng Bi
- Discipline of Public Health, School of Population Health, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide 5005, Australia.
| | - Jun Yang
- State Key Laboratory for Infectious Disease Prevention and Control, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China.
- Climate Change and Health Center, Shandong University, Jinan 250012, China.
| | - Qiyong Liu
- State Key Laboratory for Infectious Disease Prevention and Control, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China.
- Climate Change and Health Center, Shandong University, Jinan 250012, China.
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Abstract
BACKGROUND Previous studies have found relationships between DNA methylation and various environmental contaminant exposures. Associations with weather have not been examined. Because temperature and humidity are related to mortality even on non-extreme days, we hypothesized that temperature and relative humidity may affect methylation. METHODS We repeatedly measured methylation on long interspersed nuclear elements (LINE-1), Alu, and 9 candidate genes in blood samples from 777 elderly men participating in the Normative Aging Study (1999-2009). We assessed whether ambient temperature and relative humidity are related to methylation on LINE-1 and Alu, as well as on genes controlling coagulation, inflammation, cortisol, DNA repair, and metabolic pathway. We examined intermediate-term associations of temperature, relative humidity, and their interaction with methylation, using distributed lag models. RESULTS Temperature or relative humidity levels were associated with methylation on tissue factor (F3), intercellular adhesion molecule 1 (ICAM-1), toll-like receptor 2 (TRL-2), carnitine O-acetyltransferase (CRAT), interferon gamma (IFN-γ), inducible nitric oxide synthase (iNOS), and glucocorticoid receptor, LINE-1, and Alu. For instance, a 5°C increase in 3-week average temperature in ICAM-1 methylation was associated with a 9% increase (95% confidence interval: 3% to 15%), whereas a 10% increase in 3-week average relative humidity was associated with a 5% decrease (-8% to -1%). The relative humidity association with ICAM-1 methylation was stronger on hot days than mild days. CONCLUSIONS DNA methylation in blood cells may reflect biological effects of temperature and relative humidity. Temperature and relative humidity may also interact to produce stronger effects.
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Breitner S, Wolf K, Devlin RB, Diaz-Sanchez D, Peters A, Schneider A. Short-term effects of air temperature on mortality and effect modification by air pollution in three cities of Bavaria, Germany: a time-series analysis. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2014; 485-486:49-61. [PMID: 24704956 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2014.03.048] [Citation(s) in RCA: 92] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/14/2013] [Revised: 02/27/2014] [Accepted: 03/07/2014] [Indexed: 05/16/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Air temperature has been shown to be associated with mortality; however, only very few studies have been conducted in Germany. This study examined the association between daily air temperature and cause-specific mortality in Bavaria, Southern Germany. Moreover, we investigated effect modification by age and ambient air pollution. METHODS We obtained data from Munich, Nuremberg as well as Augsburg, Germany, for the period 1990 to 2006. Data included daily cause-specific death counts, mean daily meteorology and air pollution concentrations (particulate matter with a diameter<10 μm [PM10] and maximum 8-h ozone). We used Poisson regression models combined with distributed lag non-linear models adjusting for long-term trend, calendar effects, and meteorological factors. Air pollutant concentrations were categorized into three levels, and an interaction term was included to quantify potential effect modification of the air temperature effects. RESULTS The temperature-mortality relationships were non-linear for all cause-specific mortality categories showing U- or J-shaped curves. An increase from the 90th (20.0 °C) to the 99th percentile (24.8 °C) of 2-day average temperature led to an increase in non-accidental mortality by 11.4% (95% CI: 7.6%-15.3%), whereas a decrease from the 10th (-1.0 °C) to the 1st percentile (-7.5 °C) in the 15-day average temperature resulted in an increase of 6.2% (95% CI: 1.8%-10.8%). The very old were found to be most susceptible to heat effects. Results also suggested some effect modification by ozone, but not for PM10. CONCLUSIONS Results indicate that both very low and very high air temperature increase cause-specific mortality in Bavaria. Results also pointed to the importance of considering effect modification by age and ozone in assessing temperature effects on mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Susanne Breitner
- Helmholtz Zentrum München, German Research Center for Environmental Health (GmbH), Institute of Epidemiology II, Neuherberg, Germany.
| | - Kathrin Wolf
- Helmholtz Zentrum München, German Research Center for Environmental Health (GmbH), Institute of Epidemiology II, Neuherberg, Germany
| | - Robert B Devlin
- United States Environmental Protection Agency, Environmental Public Health Division, National Health and Environmental Effects Research Laboratory, RTP, NC, USA
| | - David Diaz-Sanchez
- United States Environmental Protection Agency, Environmental Public Health Division, National Health and Environmental Effects Research Laboratory, RTP, NC, USA
| | - Annette Peters
- Helmholtz Zentrum München, German Research Center for Environmental Health (GmbH), Institute of Epidemiology II, Neuherberg, Germany
| | - Alexandra Schneider
- Helmholtz Zentrum München, German Research Center for Environmental Health (GmbH), Institute of Epidemiology II, Neuherberg, Germany
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Breitner S, Wolf K, Peters A, Schneider A. Short-term effects of air temperature on cause-specific cardiovascular mortality in Bavaria, Germany. Heart 2014; 100:1272-80. [DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2014-305578] [Citation(s) in RCA: 45] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/04/2022] Open
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Data mashups: potential contribution to decision support on climate change and health. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2014; 11:1725-46. [PMID: 24499879 PMCID: PMC3945564 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph110201725] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/14/2013] [Revised: 01/16/2014] [Accepted: 01/16/2014] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
Abstract
Linking environmental, socioeconomic and health datasets provides new insights into the potential associations between climate change and human health and wellbeing, and underpins the development of decision support tools that will promote resilience to climate change, and thus enable more effective adaptation. This paper outlines the challenges and opportunities presented by advances in data collection, storage, analysis, and access, particularly focusing on “data mashups”. These data mashups are integrations of different types and sources of data, frequently using open application programming interfaces and data sources, to produce enriched results that were not necessarily the original reason for assembling the raw source data. As an illustration of this potential, this paper describes a recently funded initiative to create such a facility in the UK for use in decision support around climate change and health, and provides examples of suitable sources of data and the purposes to which they can be directed, particularly for policy makers and public health decision makers.
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Urban A, Kyselý J. Comparison of UTCI with other thermal indices in the assessment of heat and cold effects on cardiovascular mortality in the Czech Republic. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2014; 11:952-67. [PMID: 24413706 PMCID: PMC3924484 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph110100952] [Citation(s) in RCA: 54] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/20/2013] [Revised: 12/10/2013] [Accepted: 12/30/2013] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
We compare the recently developed Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI) with other thermal indices in analysing heat- and cold-related effects on cardiovascular (CVD) mortality in two different (urban and rural) regions in the Czech Republic during the 16-year period from 1994–2009. Excess mortality is represented by the number of deaths above expected daily values, the latter being adjusted for long-term changes, annual and weekly cycles, and epidemics of influenza/acute respiratory infections. Air temperature, UTCI, Apparent Temperature (AT) and Physiologically Equivalent Temperature (PET) are applied to identify days with heat and cold stress. We found similar heat effects on CVD mortality for air temperature and the examined thermal indices. Responses of CVD mortality to cold effects as characterised by different indices were much more varied. Particularly important is the finding that air temperature provides a weak cold effect in comparison with the thermal indices in both regions, so its application—still widespread in epidemiological studies—may underestimate the magnitude of cold-related mortality. These findings are important when possible climate change effects on heat- and cold-related mortality are estimated. AT and PET appear to be more universal predictors of heat- and cold- related mortality than UTCI when both urban and rural environments are of concern. UTCI tends to select windy rather than freezing days in winter, though these show little effect on mortality in the urban population. By contrast, significant cold-related mortality in the rural region if UTCI is used shows potential for UTCI to become a useful tool in cold exposure assessments.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aleš Urban
- Institute of Atmospheric Physics AS CR, Boční II 1401, 141 31 Prague 4, Czech Republic.
| | - Jan Kyselý
- Institute of Atmospheric Physics AS CR, Boční II 1401, 141 31 Prague 4, Czech Republic.
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Utilizing Monitoring Data and Spatial Analysis Tools for Exposure Assessment of Atmospheric Pollutants in Denmark. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2013. [DOI: 10.1021/bk-2013-1149.ch006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/14/2023]
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Abstract
BACKGROUND The association between temperature and mortality has been widely researched, although the association between temperature and morbidity has been less studied. We examined the association between mean daily apparent temperature and emergency room (ER) visits in California. METHODS We used a time-stratified case-crossover design, restricting our data to the warm seasons of 2005-2008 in 16 climate zones. The study population included cases residing within 10 km of meteorologic monitors. Conditional logistic regression models with apparent temperature were applied by climate zone; these models were then combined in meta-analyses to estimate overall effects. Our analyses considered the effects by disease subgroup, race/ethnic group, age group, and potential confounding by air pollutants. RESULTS More than 1.2 million ER visits were included. Positive associations were found for same-day apparent temperature and ischemic heart disease (% excess risk per 10°F = 1.7 [95% confidence interval = 0.2 to 3.3]), ischemic stroke (2.8 [0.9 to 4.7]), cardiac dysrhythmia (2.8 [0.9 to 4.9]), hypotension (12.7 [8.3 to 17.4]), diabetes (4.3 [2.8 to 5.9]), intestinal infection (6.1 [3.3 to 9.0]), dehydration (25.6 [21.9 to 29.4]), acute renal failure (15.9 [12.7 to 19.3]), and heat illness (393.3 [331.2 to 464.5]). Negative associations were found for aneurysm, hemorrhagic stroke, and hypertension. Most of these estimates remained relatively unchanged after adjusting for air pollutants. Risks often varied by age or racial/ethnic group. CONCLUSIONS Increased temperatures were found to have same-day effects on ER admission for several outcomes. Age and race/ethnicity seemed to modify some of these impacts.
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Ambient air pollution exposure and respiratory, cardiovascular and cerebrovascular mortality in Cape Town, South Africa: 2001–2006. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2012. [PMID: 23202828 PMCID: PMC3524609 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph9113978] [Citation(s) in RCA: 37] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/21/2022]
Abstract
Little evidence is available on the strength of the association between ambient air pollution exposure and health effects in developing countries such as South Africa. The association between the 24-h average ambient PM10, SO2 and NO2 levels and daily respiratory (RD), cardiovascular (CVD) and cerebrovascular (CBD) mortality in Cape Town (2001–2006) was investigated with a case-crossover design. For models that included entire year data, an inter-quartile range (IQR) increase in PM10 (12 mg/m3) and NO2 (12 mg/m3) significantly increased CBD mortality by 4% and 8%, respectively. A significant increase of 3% in CVD mortality was observed per IQR increase in NO2 and SO2 (8 mg/m3). In the warm period, PM10 was significantly associated with RD and CVD mortality. NO2 had significant associations with CBD, RD and CVD mortality, whilst SO2 was associated with CVD mortality. None of the pollutants were associated with any of the three outcomes in the cold period. Susceptible groups depended on the cause-specific mortality and air pollutant. There is significant RD, CVD and CBD mortality risk associated with ambient air pollution exposure in South Africa, higher than reported in developed countries.
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Wichmann J, Ketzel M, Ellermann T, Loft S. Apparent temperature and acute myocardial infarction hospital admissions in Copenhagen, Denmark: a case-crossover study. Environ Health 2012; 11:19. [PMID: 22463704 PMCID: PMC3353865 DOI: 10.1186/1476-069x-11-19] [Citation(s) in RCA: 44] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/02/2012] [Accepted: 03/30/2012] [Indexed: 05/20/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The influence of temperature on acute myocardial infarction (AMI) has not been investigated as extensively as the effects of broader outcomes of morbidity and mortality. Sixteen studies reported inconsistent results and two considered confounding by air pollution. We addressed some of the methodological limitations of the previous studies in this study. METHODS This is the first study of the association between the daily 3-hour maximum apparent temperature (Tapp(max)) and AMI hospital admissions in Copenhagen. The study period covered 1 January 1999-31 December 2006, stratified in warm (April-September) and cold (October-March) periods. A case-crossover epidemiology study design was applied. Models were adjusted for public holidays and influenza, confounding by PM₁₀, NO₂ and CO was investigated, the lag and non-linear effects of Tapp(max) was examined, effect modification by age, sex and SES was explored, and the results of the case-crossover models were compared to those of the generalised additive Poisson time-series and generalised estimating equation models. RESULTS 14,456 AMI hospital admissions (12,995 people) occurred during the study period. For an inter-quartile range (6 or 7°C) increase in the 5-day cumulative average of Tapp(max), a 4% (95% CI:-2%; 10%) and 9% (95% CI: 3%; 14%) decrease in the AMI admission rate was observed in the warm and cold periods, respectively. The 19-65 year old group, men and highest SES group seemed to be more susceptible in the cold period. CONCLUSION An increase in Tapp(max) is associated with a decrease in AMI admissions during the colder months.
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Affiliation(s)
- Janine Wichmann
- Section of Environmental Health, Department of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
- Section of Environmental Health, Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Øster Farimagsgade 5A, 1014 Copenhagen K, Denmark
| | - Matthias Ketzel
- Department of Environmental Science, Aarhus University, Roskilde, Denmark
| | - Thomas Ellermann
- Department of Environmental Science, Aarhus University, Roskilde, Denmark
| | - Steffen Loft
- Section of Environmental Health, Department of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
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