Value of α-fetoprotein in association with clinicopathological features of hepatocellular carcinoma

Drug-eluting bead transarterial chemoembolization as neoadjuvant therapy pre-liver transplantation for advanced-stage hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The objectives of this study were to assess the safety and efficacy of drug-eluting bead transarterial chemoembolization (DEB-TACE) as neoadjuvant therapy before liver transplantation (LT) for advanced-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and to analyze the prognostic factors.

AIM

To determine whether DEB-TACE before LT is superior to LT for advanced-stage HCC.

METHODS

A total of 99 individuals diagnosed with advanced HCC were studied retrospectively. The participants were categorized into the following two groups based on whether they had received DEB-TACE before LT: DEB-TACE group (n = 45) and control group (n = 54). The participants were further divided into two subgroups based on the presence or absence of segmental portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT). The DEB-TACE group consisted of two subgroups: Group A (n = 31) without PVTT and group B (n = 14) with PVTT. The control group also had two subgroups: Group C (n = 37) without PVTT and group D (n = 17) with PVTT. Data on patient demographics, disease characteristics, therapy response, and adverse events (AEs) were collected. The overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates were assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were conducted to determine the parameters that were independently related to OS and RFS.

RESULTS

The DEB-TACE group exhibited an overall response rate of 86.6%. Following therapy, there was a significant decrease in the median alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level (275.1 ng/mL vs 41.7 ng/mL, P < 0.001). The main AE was post-embolization syndrome. The 2-year rates of RFS and OS were significantly higher in the DEB-TACE group than in the control group (68.9% vs 38.9%, P = 0.003; 86.7% vs 63.0%, P = 0.008). Within the subgroups, group A had higher 2-year rates of RFS and OS compared to group C (71.0% vs 45.9%, P = 0.038; 83.8% vs 62.2%, P = 0.047). The 2-year RFS rate of group B was markedly superior to that of group D (64.3% vs 23.5%, P = 0.002). Results from multivariate analyses showed that pre-LT DEB-TACE [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.73, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.44-5.14, P = 0.04], overall target tumor diameter ≤ 7 cm (HR = 1.98, 95%CI: 1.05-3.75, P = 0.035), and AFP level ≤ 400 ng/mL (HR = 2.34; 95%CI: 1.30-4.19, P = 0.009) were significant risk factors for RFS. Additionally, pre-LT DEB-TACE (HR = 3.15, 95%CI: 1.43-6.96, P = 0.004) was identified as a significant risk factor for OS.

CONCLUSION

DEB-TACE is a safe and efficient therapy for advanced-stage HCC and also enhances patient survival after LT.

Drug-eluting bead transarterial chemoembolization as neoadjuvant therapy pre-liver transplantation for advanced-stage hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The objectives of this study were to assess the safety and efficacy of drug-eluting bead transarterial chemoembolization (DEB-TACE) as neoadjuvant therapy before liver transplantation (LT) for advanced-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and to analyze the prognostic factors.

AIM

To determine whether DEB-TACE before LT is superior to LT for advanced-stage HCC.

METHODS

A total of 99 individuals diagnosed with advanced HCC were studied retrospectively. The participants were categorized into the following two groups based on whether they had received DEB-TACE before LT: DEB-TACE group (n = 45) and control group (n = 54). The participants were further divided into two subgroups based on the presence or absence of segmental portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT). The DEB-TACE group consisted of two subgroups: Group A (n = 31) without PVTT and group B (n = 14) with PVTT. The control group also had two subgroups: Group C (n = 37) without PVTT and group D (n = 17) with PVTT. Data on patient demographics, disease characteristics, therapy response, and adverse events (AEs) were collected. The overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates were assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were conducted to determine the parameters that were independently related to OS and RFS.

RESULTS

The DEB-TACE group exhibited an overall response rate of 86.6%. Following therapy, there was a significant decrease in the median alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level (275.1 ng/mL vs 41.7 ng/mL, P < 0.001). The main AE was post-embolization syndrome. The 2-year rates of RFS and OS were significantly higher in the DEB-TACE group than in the control group (68.9% vs 38.9%, P = 0.003; 86.7% vs 63.0%, P = 0.008). Within the subgroups, group A had higher 2-year rates of RFS and OS compared to group C (71.0% vs 45.9%, P = 0.038; 83.8% vs 62.2%, P = 0.047). The 2-year RFS rate of group B was markedly superior to that of group D (64.3% vs 23.5%, P = 0.002). Results from multivariate analyses showed that pre-LT DEB-TACE [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.73, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.44-5.14, P = 0.04], overall target tumor diameter ≤ 7 cm (HR = 1.98, 95%CI: 1.05-3.75, P = 0.035), and AFP level ≤ 400 ng/mL (HR = 2.34; 95%CI: 1.30-4.19, P = 0.009) were significant risk factors for RFS. Additionally, pre-LT DEB-TACE (HR = 3.15, 95%CI: 1.43-6.96, P = 0.004) was identified as a significant risk factor for OS.

CONCLUSION

DEB-TACE is a safe and efficient therapy for advanced-stage HCC and also enhances patient survival after LT.

Evaluation of surgical strategies and long-term outcomes in pediatric hepatocellular carcinoma

PURPOSE

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the second most common pediatric malignant liver tumor after hepatoblastoma, represents 1% of all pediatric tumors.

METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted on children with HCC treated at our center from March 2002 to October 2022, excluding those with inadequate follow-up or records. Demographic data, initial complaints, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) values, underlying disease, size and histopathological features of the masses, chemotherapy, and long-term outcomes were analyzed.

RESULTS

Fifteen patients (8 boys, 7 girls) with a mean age of 11.4 ± 4.1 years (0.8-16.4 years) were analyzed. The majority presented with abdominal pain, with a median AFP of 3.9 ng/mL. Hepatitis B cirrhosis in one patient (6.6%) and metabolic disease (tyrosinemia type 1) in two patients (13.3%) were the underlying diseases. Histopathological diagnoses were fibrolamellar HCC (n:8; 53.3%), HCC (n:6; 40%). Four of the 15 patients underwent liver transplantation, and 9 underwent surgical resection. Due to late diagnosis, two patients were considered inoperable (13.3%). The survival rate for the four patients who underwent liver transplantation was found to be 75%.

CONCLUSION

Surgical treatment of various variants of HCC can be safely performed in experienced centers with a multidisciplinary approach, and outcomes are better than in adults.

Preoperative assessment of microvascular invasion risk using gadoxetate-enhanced MRI for predicting outcomes after liver transplantation for single hepatocellular carcinoma within the Milan criteria

OBJECTIVE

To compare therapeutic outcomes after liver transplantation (LT) between hepatocellular carcinomas (HCC) with low and high risk for microvascular invasion (MVI) within the Milan criteria evaluated preoperatively.

METHODS

Eighty patients with a single HCC who underwent LT as the initial therapy between 2008 and 2017 were included from two tertiary referral medical centers in a HBV-predominant population. A preoperative MVI-risk model was used to identify low- and high-risk patients. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) after LT between the two risk groups was compared using Kaplan-Meier curves with the log-rank test. Prognostic factors for RFS were identified using a multivariable Cox hazard regression analysis.

RESULTS

Eighty patients were included (mean age, 51.8 years +/- 7.5 [standard deviation], 65 men). Patients were divided into low-risk (n = 64) and high-risk (n = 16) groups for MVI. The RFS rates after LT were significantly lower in the MVI high-risk group compared to the low-risk group at 1 year (75.0% [95% CI: 56.5-99.5%] vs. 96.9% [92.7-100%], p = 0.048), 3 years (62.5% [42.8-91.4%] vs. 95.3% [90.3-100%], p = 0.008), and 5 years (62.5% [42.8-91.4%] vs. and 95.3% [90.3-100%], p = 0.008). In addition, multivariable analysis showed that MVI high risk was the only significant factor for poor RFS (p = 0.016).

CONCLUSION

HCC patients with a high risk of MVI showed significantly lower RFS after LT than those without. This model could aid in selecting optimal candidates in addition to the Milan criteria when considering upfront LT for patients with HCC if alternative treatment options are available.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

High risk for microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma patients lowered recurrence-free survival after liver transplantation, despite meeting the Milan criteria. Identifying MVI risk could aid candidate selection for upfront liver transplantation, particularly if alternative treatments are available.

KEY POINTS

• A predictive model-derived microvascular invasion (MVI) high- and low-risk groups had a significant difference in the incidence of MVI on pathology. • Recurrence-free survival after liver transplantation (LT) for single hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) within the Milan criteria was significantly different between the MVI high- and low-risk groups. • The peak incidence of tumor recurrence was 20 months after liver transplantation, probably indicating that HCC with high risk for MVI had a high risk of early (≤ 2 years) tumor recurrence.

A Nomogram of Magnetic Resonance Imaging for Preoperative Assessment of Microvascular Invasion and Prognosis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is a predictor of recurrence and overall survival in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the preoperative diagnosis of MVI through noninvasive methods play an important role in clinical treatment.

AIMS

To investigate the effectiveness of radiomics features in evaluating MVI in HCC before surgery.

METHODS

We included 190 patients who had undergone contrast-enhanced MRI and curative resection for HCC between September 2015 and November 2021 from two independent institutions. In the training cohort of 117 patients, MVI-related radiomics models based on multiple sequences and multiple regions from MRI were constructed. An independent cohort of 73 patients was used to validate the proposed models. A final Clinical-Imaging-Radiomics nomogram for preoperatively predicting MVI in HCC patients was generated. Recurrence-free survival was analyzed using the log-rank test.

RESULTS

For tumor-extracted features, the performance of signatures in fat-suppressed T1-weighted images and hepatobiliary phase was superior to that of other sequences in a single-sequence model. The radiomics signatures demonstrated better discriminatory ability than that of the Clinical-Imaging model for MVI. The nomogram incorporating clinical, imaging and radiomics signature showed excellent predictive ability and achieved well-fitted calibration curves, outperforming both the Radiomics and Clinical-Radiomics models in the training and validation cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

The Clinical-Imaging-Radiomics nomogram model of multiple regions and multiple sequences based on serum alpha-fetoprotein, three MRI characteristics, and 12 radiomics signatures achieved good performance for predicting MVI in HCC patients, which may help clinicians select optimal treatment strategies to improve subsequent clinical outcomes.

Validation of combined AFP, AFP-L3, and PIVKA II for diagnosis and monitoring of hepatocellular carcinoma in Chinese patients

Background

In this study, we aimed to investigate the performance of GALAD, GALAD-C, and GAAP models in Chinese population in comparison to our newly build statistical model.

Methods

In this study, we built the AALP model based on age, α-fetoprotein (AFP), AFP-L3, and prothrombin induced by vitamin K absence-II (PIVKA II) to differentiate between patients with HCC and patients with CLD. We then compared the serum levels of AFP-L3 and PIVKA II in patients with HCC who were defined as remission or progression and showed the prognostic value of combined biomarkers.

Results

The AUC value of the AALP model for HCC detection was 0.939 and AALP model exhibited a sensitivity of 81 % and a high specificity of 95 %. AALP model also exhibited good performance in the subgroups of patients with CLD. Furthermore, we demonstrated the consistency between imaging results and serum levels of AFP-L3 and PIVKA II.

Conclusions

The AALP model achieved a good diagnostic performance and a high sensitivity for predicting HCC patients. Our research also showed that AFP-L3 and PIVKA II are complementary to each other but irreplaceable in the clinical detection and monitoring of HCC.

Combination of AFP vaccine and immune checkpoint inhibitors slows hepatocellular carcinoma progression in preclinical models

Many patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) do not respond to the first-line immune checkpoint inhibitor treatment. Immunization with effective cancer vaccines is an attractive alternative approach to immunotherapy. However, its efficacy remains insufficiently evaluated in preclinical studies. Here, we investigated HCC-associated self/tumor antigen, α-fetoprotein-based (AFP-based) vaccine immunization for treating AFP (+) HCC mouse models. We found that AFP immunization effectively induced AFP-specific CD8+ T cells in vivo. However, these CD8+ T cells expressed exhaustion markers, including PD1, LAG3, and Tim3. Furthermore, the AFP vaccine effectively prevented c-MYC/Mcl1 HCC initiation when administered before tumor formation, while it was ineffective against full-blown c-MYC/Mcl1 tumors. Similarly, anti-PD1 and anti-PD-L1 monotherapy showed no efficacy in this murine HCC model. In striking contrast, AFP immunization combined with anti-PD-L1 treatment triggered significant inhibition of HCC progression in most liver tumor nodules, while in combination with anti-PD1, it induced slower tumor progression. Mechanistically, we demonstrated that HCC-intrinsic PD-L1 expression was the primary target of anti-PD-L1 in this combination therapy. Notably, the combination therapy had a similar therapeutic effect in the cMet/β-catenin mouse HCC model. These findings suggest that combining the AFP vaccine and immune checkpoint inhibitors may be effective for AFP (+) HCC treatment.

Role of Biomarkers in Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Their Disease Progression

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the third leading and common lethal cancers worldwide. Early detection of tumorigenesis of hepatocellular carcinoma is through ultrasonography, computerized tomography (CT) scans, and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans; however, these methods are not up to the mark, so a search for an efficient biomarker for early diagnosis and treatment of hepatocarcinogenesis is important. Proteomic and genomic approaches aid to develop new promising biomarkers for the diagnosis of HCC at the early stages. These biomarkers not only help in prognosis but also provide better therapeutic intervention against HCC. Among the different biomarker candidates, liquid biopsy [including circulating tumor cells (CTCs) and circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA)] has recently emerged as a noninvasive detection technique for the characterization of circulating cells, providing a strong basis and early diagnosis for the individualized treatment of patients. This review provides the current understanding of HCC biomarkers that predict the risk of HCC recurrence.

Clinical value of combined preoperative-postoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in predicting hepatocellular carcinoma prognosis after radiofrequency ablation

OBJECTIVE

Previous studies focused on the prognostic significance of the pre- or post-operative neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR); the significance of combined pre- and post-operative NLR (PP-NLR) remains unknown. Therefore, we investigated the value of PP-NLR for predicting prognosis after radiofrequency ablation (RFA) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) to improve treatment and prolong survival.

METHODS

We investigated pre- and post-operative NLR and PP-NLR in predicting prognosis after RFA in patients with HCC. Optimal thresholds for leukocytes, lymphocytes, neutrophils, and NLR before and after RFA were retrospectively assessed in patients with HCC who had undergone RFA between January 2018 and June 2019 in Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital. Risk factors for early HCC recurrence and those affecting recurrence-free survival (RFS) were analyzed.

RESULTS

The respective pre- and post-operative optimal thresholds were as follows: neutrophils, 3.431 and 4.975; leukocytes, 5.575 and 6.61; lymphocytes, 1.455 and 1.025; and NLR, 1.53 and 4.36. Univariate analysis revealed tumor number; alpha-fetoprotein level; post-operative leukocytes, lymphocytes, NLR, and neutrophils; pre-operative neutrophils and NLR; and PP-NLR as factors influencing early recurrence and RFS. Multivariate analysis indicated PP-NLR as an independent risk factor for poor RFS and early recurrence.

CONCLUSION

PP-NLR was more effective for predicting prognosis than pre- or post-operative NLR alone for patients with HCC.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

The novelty of this study lies in the combination of pre- and post-operative NLR, namely PP-NLR, to study its prognostic value for HCC patients after RFA, which has not been found in previous studies. The contribution of our study is that PP-NLR can provide clinicians with a new reference index to judge the prognosis of patients and make timely treatment to help patients improve their prognosis.

Estimating postsurgical outcomes of patients with a single hepatocellular carcinoma using gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI: risk scoring system development and validation

OBJECTIVES

To develop and validate risk scoring systems using gadoxetic acid-enhanced liver MRI features and clinical factors that predict recurrence-free survival (RFS) of a single hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

Consecutive 295 patients with treatment-naïve single HCC who underwent curative surgery were retrospectively enrolled from two centers. Cox proportional hazard models developed risk scoring systems whose discriminatory powers were validated using external data and compared to the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) or American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging systems using Harrell's C-index.

RESULTS

Independent variables-tumor size (per cm; hazard ratio [HR], 1.07; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.02-1.13; p = 0.005), targetoid appearance (HR, 1.74; 95% CI: 1.07-2.83; p = 0.025), radiologic tumor in vein or tumor vascular invasion (HR, 2.59; 95% CI: 1.69-3.97; p < 0.001), the presence of a nonhypervascular hypointense nodule on the hepatobiliary phase (HR, 4.65; 95% CI: 3.03-7.14; p < 0.001), and pathologic macrovascular invasion (HR, 2.60; 95% CI: 1.51-4.48; p = 0.001)-with tumor markers (AFP ≥ 206 ng/mL or PIVKA-II ≥ 419 mAU/mL) derived pre- and postoperative risk scoring systems. The risk scores showed comparably good discriminatory powers in the validation set (C-index, 0.75-0.82) and outperformed the BCLC (C-index, 0.61) and AJCC staging systems (C-index, 0.58; ps < 0.05). The preoperative scoring system stratified the patients into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk for recurrence, whose 2-year recurrence rate was 3.3%, 31.8%, and 85.7%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The developed and validated pre- and postoperative risk scoring systems can estimate RFS after surgery for a single HCC.

KEY POINTS

• The risk scoring systems predicted RFS better than the BCLC and AJCC staging systems (C-index, 0.75-0.82 vs. 0.58-0.61; ps < 0.05). • Five variables-tumor size, targetoid appearance, radiologic tumor in vein or vascular invasion, the presence of a nonhypervascular hypointense nodule on the hepatobiliary phase, and pathologic macrovascular invasion-combined with tumor markers derived risk scoring systems predicting postsurgical RFS for a single HCC. • In the risk scoring system using preoperatively-available factors, patients were classified into three distinct risk groups, with 2-year recurrence rates in the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups being 3.3%, 31.8%, and 85.7% in the validation set.

Lambda cyhalothrin and chlorantraniliprole caused biochemical, histological, and immunohistochemical alterations in male rabbit liver: Ameliorative effect of vitamins A, D, E, C mixture

Pesticides can cause serious environmental and human health consequences such as metabolic disruption and even cancers. Preventive molecules such as vitamins can be an effective solution. The present study aimed to investigate the toxic effect of an insecticide mixture formulation of lambda cyhalothrin and chlorantraniliprole (Ampligo® 150 ZC), on the liver of male rabbits (Oryctolagus cuniculus) and the possible ameliorative effect of vitamins A, D3, E, and C mixture. For that, 18 male rabbits were divided into 3 equal groups: Control (distilled water), AP (20 mg/Kg bw of the insecticide mixture every other day, orally for 28 days), AP+ADEC (20 mg/Kg bw of the insecticide mixture + 0,5 ml of vitamin AD3E+ 200 mg/kg bw of vitamin C every other day). The effects were evaluated on body weight, food intake changes, biochemical parameters, liver histology, and immunohistochemical expression of AFP, Bcl2, E-cadherin, Ki67, and P53. Results indicated that AP reduced weight gain (6.71%) and feed intake, increased ALT, ALP, and TC plasma levels, and caused hepatic tissular damages such as dilatation and congestion of the central vein, sinusoidal dilatation, inflammatory cells infiltration, and collagen deposition. Hepatic immunostaining showed an increase in the tissular expression of AFP, Bcl2, Ki67, and P53 and a significant (p < 0,05) decrease in E-cadherin expression. In contrast, supplementation of vitamins A, D3, E, and C mixture improved the previous observed alterations. Our study revealed that a sub-acute exposure to an insecticide mixture of lambda cyhalothrin and chlorantraniliprole induced numerous functional and structural disorders in the rabbit liver and the addition of vitamins ameliorated these damages.

Identification of tumor-specific neoantigens and immune clusters of hepatocellular carcinoma for mRNA vaccine development

BACKGROUND

To screen efficacious neoantigens for the development of LIHC mRNA vaccines, construct LIHC immune clusters, and therefore select patients who might benefit from vaccination.

METHODS

RNA-seq data and clinical information of 371 TCGA-LIHC and 231 ICGC-LIHC cohorts were downloaded. Differentially expressed genes and their associations with prognosis were analyzed by GEPIA, genetic alterations were examined in the cBioPortal portal, and the association between genes and immune infiltrating cells was explored by TIMER. The immune clusters were constructed by consistency clustering, and the immune landscape was described using CIBERSORT.

RESULTS

POLR3C and KPNA2 were identified as LIHC tumor neoantigens related to inferior prognosis and antigen-presenting cell infiltration. In addition, three immune clusters (IC1, IC2 and IC3) with significant differences in molecular, immune cytological, and clinical features were identified in both the TCGA and ICGC LIHC cohorts. Immune "hot" phenotype IC3 displayed a better survival than IC2, and immune "cold" phenotype IC1 exhibited a high tumor mutation burden.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, for the development of anti-LIHC mRNA vaccines, we identified efficacious neoantigens POLR3C and KPNA2, profiled the tumor microenvironment of LIHC, and identified IC1 patients as the subgroup who might not most benefit from vaccination.

A web-based nomogram model for predicting the overall survival of hepatocellular carcinoma patients with external beam radiation therapy: A population study based on SEER database and a Chinese cohort

BACKGROUND

External beam radiation therapy (EBRT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is rarely used in clinical practice. This study aims to develop and validate a prognostic nomogram model to predict overall survival (OS) in HCC patients treated with EBRT.

METHOD

We extracted eligible data of HCC patients between 2004 and 2015 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Those patients were randomly divided into a training cohort (n=1004) and an internal validation cohort (n=429), and an external validation cohort composed of a Chinese cohort (n=95). A nomogram was established based on the independent prognostic variables identified from univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. The effective performance of the nomogram was evaluated using the concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), and calibration curves. The clinical practicability was evaluated using decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

T stage, N stage, M stage, AFP, tumor size, surgery, and chemotherapy were independent prognostic risk factors that were all included in the nomogram to predict OS in HCC patients with EBRT. In the training cohort, internal validation cohort, and external validation cohort, the C-index of the prediction model was 0.728 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.716-0.740), 0.725 (95% CI:0.701-0.750), and 0.696 (95% CI:0.629-0.763), respectively. The 6-, 12-,18- and 24- month areas under the curves (AUC) of ROC in the training cohort were 0.835 、0.823 、0.810, and 0.801, respectively; and 0.821 、0.809 、0.813 and 0.804 in the internal validation cohort, respectively; and 0.749 、0.754 、0.791 and 0.798 in the external validation cohort, respectively. The calibration curves indicated that the predicted value of the prediction model performed well. The DCA curves showed better clinical practicability. In addition, based on the nomogram, we established a web-based nomogram to predict the OS of these patients visually.

CONCLUSION

Based on the SEER database and an independent external cohort from China, we established and validated a nomogram to predict OS in HCC patients treated with EBRT. In addition, for the first time, a web-based nomogram model can help clinicians judge the prognoses of these patients and make better clinical decisions.

Prediction Model and Nomogram of Early Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Radiofrequency Ablation Based on Logistic Regression Analysis

The purpose of this study was to screen for high-risk factors leading to the early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after radiofrequency ablation (RFA) and to construct a prediction model and nomogram. This retrospective study included 108 patients with primary HCC who underwent RFA treatment at the Harbin Medical University Cancer Hospital between January 2018 and June 2019. Four risk factors were screened for using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses: number of tumors (hazard ratio [HR] = 14.684, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.099-196.215, p = 0.042), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (HR = 2.178, 95% CI: 1.003-4.730, p = 0.049), contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) performance (HR = 6.482, 95% CI: 1.161-36.184, p = 0.033) and α-fetoprotein (AFP) level (HR = 1.001, 95% CI: 1.000-1.003, p = 0.040). We established a prediction model: Logit(p) = -3.096 + 2.827 × (number of tumors >1 = 1) + 1.851 × (CEUS revealing rapid enhancement of blood flow signal in the arterial phase and clearance in the portal phase = 1) + 1.941 × (NLR >1.55 = 1) + 0.257 × (AFP >32.545 = 1). Through clinical decision curve analysis, the model's threshold was 0.043-0.873, indicating a high clinical value. Patients with a high AFP level, typical CEUS enhancement pattern, multiple tumors and elevated NLR are more likely to relapse early.

Lipid-Based Factors: A Promising New Biomarker for Predicting Prognosis and Conditional Survival Probability in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Purpose

Abnormalities in lipid metabolism play a vital role in the development of cancer. This retrospective study aimed to evaluate the survival prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in terms of (free fatty acid: high-density lipoproteins) ratio (FF-HL) and to compare it with conditional probability and annual death hazard.

Patients and Methods

Patients (n=300) were enrolled. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to determine the predictive ability of survival. Survival probabilities were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and Log rank tests were performed for statistical significance.

Results

The area under the ROC curve for FF-HL, which predicts overall survival (OS), was superior to other markers. Patients in the high FF-HL (>840.3) showed poorer OS and progress-free survival (PFS). In multivariable analysis, FF-HL was an independent marker in predicting OS. Younger people and those with intrahepatic metastasis in higher FF-HL groups, as well as older men without vascular invasion in higher AHLR groups showed shorter OS and PFS. 3-year conditional disease-free survival (CDFS3) was slightly higher than those with actuarial survival. The death risk for 3-year conditional OS (COS3) was stable in the group with low FF-HL and (albumin: high-density lipoproteins) ratio (AHLR) and more pronounced in high subgroups. However, risk stratification using the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer approach and Child-Pugh score might not accurately predict COS3.

Conclusion

FF-HL and AHLR are not only promising biomarkers in terms of predictive ability of OS and PFS but also provide time-dependent prognostic information for HCC patients.

Utility of PIVKA-II and AFP in Differentiating Hepatocellular Carcinoma from Non-Malignant High-Risk Patients

Background and Objectives: We aim to compare the diagnostic performance of Protein induced by vitamin K absence-II (PIVKA-II), a biomarker for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) in differentiating HCC and non-malignant high-risk (NMHR) groups and to determine their cut-off values. Materials and Methods: A total of 163 patients, including 40 with HCC and 123 with NMHR (100 with liver cirrhosis and 23 with non-cirrhotic high-risk patients) were prospectively enrolled. The levels of AFP and PIVKA-II were measured, and their cut-off values were determined. We calculated and compared the areas under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curves of PIVKA-II, AFP, and their combination. Results: The levels of PIVKA-II and AFP were found to be significantly higher in the HCC compared to NMHR patients (p < 0.0001). For the differentiation of HCC from NMHR, the optimal cutoff values for PIVKA-II and AFP were 36.7 mAU/mL (90% sensitivity; 82.1% specificity) and 14.2 ng/mL (75% sensitivity; 93.5% specificity), respectively. The AUROC of PIVKA-II (0.905, p < 0.0001) was higher compared to AFP (0.869, p < 0.0001), but the combination of PIVKA−II and AFP gave the highest AUROC value (0.911, p < 0.0001). However, their differences were not statistically significant (AFP vs. PIVKA; p = 0.4775, AFP vs. Combination; p = 0.3808, PIVKA vs. Combination; p = 0.2268). Conclusions: PIVKA-II and AFP showed equal performance in detecting HCC in high-risk patients. AFP as a screening marker for HCC may be adequate, and replacing or adding the PIVKA-II test in current clinical practice may be of little value.

The impact of tumor burden at the initial hepatectomy on the recurrence-to-death survival after repeat surgical resection/radiofrequency ablation: a retrospective study

Background

Previous studies have reported the surgical resection (SR) and radiofrequency ablation (RFA) could achieve comparable recurrence-to-death survival (RTDS). However, the impact of primary tumor burden on RTDS of patients with recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following SR or RFA has not been clarified.

Methods

From January 2009 to March 2015, 171 patients who underwent initial hepatectomy and second curative treatments in West China Hospital were retrospectively analyzed. Survival analysis was performed by the Kaplan–Meier method. Risk factors were identified using the Cox proportional hazard model.

Results

At initial hepatectomy, 96 patients (56.1%) were diagnosed with HCC within the Milan criteria (MC), and 75 patients (43.9%) were HCC beyond the MC. The clinicopathological features and re-treatment methods of recurrent HCC were similar between patients with primary HCC within or beyond the MC. Patients with primary HCC within the MC had longer recurrence time (31.4 ± 24.2 months vs. 20.2 ± 16 months, P < 0.001). The 1- and 3- year RTDS within and beyond the MC group were 88.8%, 57.6% and 79.0%, 46.3%, respectively (P = 0.093). In multivariate analysis, the recurrence time, tumor size and AFP > 400 ng/mL at the time of recurrence were associated with RTDS.

Conclusions

The primary tumor burden had no impact on RTDS, but had an impact on recurrence time. The recurrence time had an impact on RTDS and might be a good index to reflect the biology of recurrent HCC.

Using Systemic Inflammatory Markers to Predict Microvascular Invasion Before Surgery in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background

Mounting studies reveal the relationship between inflammatory markers and post-therapy prognosis. Yet, the role of the systemic inflammatory indices in preoperative microvascular invasion (MVI) prediction for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains unclear.

Patients and Methods

In this study, data of 1,058 cases of patients with HCC treated in the First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University from February 2002 to May 2018 were collected. Inflammatory factors related to MVI diagnosis in patients with HCC were selected by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis and were integrated into an “Inflammatory Score.” A prognostic nomogram model was established by combining the inflammatory score and other independent factors determined by multivariate logistic regression analysis. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the curve (AUC) were used to evaluate the predictive efficacy of the model.

Results

Sixteen inflammatory factors, including neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, etc., were selected by LASSO regression analysis to establish an inflammatory score. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that inflammatory score (OR = 2.14, 95% CI: 1.63–2.88, p < 0.001), alpha fetoprotein (OR = 2.02, 95% CI: 1.46–2.82, p < 0.001), and tumor size (OR = 2.37, 95% CI: 1.70–3.30, p < 0.001) were independent factors for MVI. These three factors were then used to establish a nomogram for MVI prediction. The AUC for the training and validation group was 0.72 (95% CI: 0.68–0.76) and 0.72 (95% CI: 0.66–0.78), respectively.

Conclusion

These findings indicated that the model drawn in this study has a high predictive value which is capable to assist the diagnosis of MVI in patients with HCC.

The Serious Challenge of Occult Hepatitis B Virus Infection-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma in China

Background

It is unknown how many people in China have chronic occult hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection (OBI) [chronic HBV infection with negative serum hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) (N-HBsAg)]. Their clinical and virological characteristics, especially the correlation between the OBI and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), are still elusive and need to be investigated, including prevention, early diagnosis, and treatment strategies.

Methods

138 patients with HCC related to OBI were screened from 698 patients of HCC associated with HBV infection, their characteristics of epidemiology, clinical, biochemistry, virology, diagnostics, and therapeutics were analyzed retrospectively. Furthermore, the correlation between virological features and clinical features was investigated.

Results

It was found that 19.8% (138/698) of patients with HBV-related HCC were OBI, of which 79.7% (110/138) were men, and 20.3% (28/138) were women. Most of the patients with OBI-related HCC were older men, and the median age was 63.2 years. In total 78.3% (108/138) of the patients had apparent right upper abdomen discomfort and/or pain and then sought medical examination, while 21.7% (30/138) of the patients were identified by health examination. A total of 10.9% (15/138) of the patients were admitted with chronic infection of HBV, and 2.2% (3/138) of the patients were admitted with a family history of hepatitis B. The alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) serum-positive rate was 39.1% (54/138). Tumor lesions >5.0 cm, with intrahepatic and/or extrahepatic metastasis, were found in 72.5% (100/138) of the patients. The diameter of the tumor in the Group of hepatitis B core antibody-positive [HBcAb(+)] and hepatitis B surface antibody-positive [HBsAb(+)] was 7.03 ± 3.76 cm, which was much smaller than 8.79 ± 4.96 cm in the Group of HBcAb(+) and HBsAb(−) (P = 0.035).

Conclusion

It is estimated that at least 21 million OBI patients live in China. HBcAb(+) was not only the evidence of chronic HBV infection but also a dangerous mark for surface antigen-negative patients. A semi-annual or annual medical checkup is essential for all OBI patients to identify HCC as early as possible. The hypothesis underlying our analysis was that hepatitis B surface antibody would prevent the progress of HCC and facilitate the clearance of HBV in patients with OBI. Thereby, the hepatitis B vaccine could be used to prevent severe disease consequences.

Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: How Should We Improve the Thresholds?

Simple Summary

The ideal treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is liver transplantation (LT), which both eliminates the HCC and cures the diseased liver. Once considered an experimental treatment with dismal survival rates, LT for HCC entered a new era with the establishment of the Milan criteria over 20 years ago. However, over the last two decades, the Milan criteria, which are based on tumor morphology, have come under intense scrutiny and are now largely regarded as too restrictive, and limit the access of transplantation for many patients who would otherwise achieve good clinical outcomes. The liver transplant community has been making every effort to reach a goal of establishing more reliable selection criteria. This article addresses how the criteria have been extended, as well as the concept of pre-transplant down-staging to maximize the eligibility.

Abstract

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the third highest cause of cancer-related mortality, and liver transplantation is the ideal treatment for this disease. The Milan criteria provided the opportunity for HCC patients to undergo LT with favorable outcomes and have been the international gold standard and benchmark. With the accumulation of data, however, the Milan criteria are not regarded as too restrictive. After the implementation of the Milan criteria, many extended criteria have been proposed, which increases the limitations regarding the morphological tumor burden, and incorporates the tumor’s biological behavior using surrogate markers. The paradigm for the patient selection for LT appears to be shifting from morphologic criteria to a combination of biologic, histologic, and morphologic criteria, and to the establishment of a model for predicting post-transplant recurrence and outcomes. This review article aims to characterize the various patient selection criteria for LT, with reference to several surrogate markers for the biological behavior of HCC (e.g., AFP, PIVKA-II, NLR, 18F-FDG PET/CT, liquid biopsy), and the response to locoregional therapy. Furthermore, the allocation rules in each country and the present evidence on the role of down-staging large tumors are addressed.

New Thresholds for AFP and Des-γ-Carboxy Prothrombin in Chronic Liver Disease Depending on the Use of Nucleoside Analogs and an Integrated Nomogram

Background

The thresholds of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (PIVKA-II) when detecting hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with antiviral nucleoside analog (NA) remain controversial. A relevant integrated nomogram needs to be developed.

Methods

We enrolled a consecutive series of 5666 cases diagnosed with CHB either with or without antiviral agents and randomly allocated them to the training set (n=3966, 70.00%) and the validation set (n=1700, 30.00%).

Results

In the training set, the levels of AFP and PIVKA-II of NA-treated patients were significantly lower than those of untreated patients. The most appropriate cut-off values of AFP and PIVKA-II were 151.40 ng/mL (a sensitivity of 39.77% and a specificity of 92.17%) and 35.50 mAU/mL (a sensitivity of 84.85% and a specificity of 69.43%) for NA-treated patients. As for BCLC-0/A HCC, the most appropriate cut-off values of AFP and PIVKA-II were 151.40 ng/mL and 32.50 mAU/mL for NA-treated patients, respectively. A logistic regression model composed of AFP, PIVKA-II and other clinical parameters to predict the risk of HBV-related HCC for NA-treated patients was established and verified to have an AUROC of 0.868 (95% CI, 0.827–0.909) for all-stage HCC and an AUROC of 0.856 (95% CI, 0.809–0.903) for BCLC-0/A HCC.

Conclusion

The new detection thresholds of AFP and PIVKA-II might lead to the ability to perform early detection for hepatoma in NA-treated patients and the innovative risk prediction model is a valuable tool for identifying high-risk CHB patients.

Application of Immunotherapy in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma is one of the most common malignancies globally. It not only has a hidden onset but also progresses rapidly. Most HCC patients are already in the advanced stage of cancer when they are diagnosed, and have even lost the opportunity for surgical treatment. As an inflammation-related tumor, the immunosuppressive microenvironment of HCC can promote immune tolerance through a variety of mechanisms. Immunotherapy can activate tumor-specific immune responses, which brings a new hope for the treatment of HCC. At the present time, main immunotherapy strategies of HCC include immune checkpoint inhibitors, tumor vaccines, adoptive cell therapy, and so on. This article reviews the application and research progress of immune checkpoint inhibitors, tumor vaccines, and adoptive cell therapy in the treatment of HCC.

Preoperative Prediction of Microvascular Invasion in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma Based on Radiomics Nomogram Using Contrast-Enhanced Ultrasound

PURPOSE

This study aimed to develop a radiomics nomogram based on contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) for preoperatively assessing microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients.

METHODS

A retrospective dataset of 313 HCC patients who underwent CEUS between September 20, 2016 and March 20, 2020 was enrolled in our study. The study population was randomly grouped as a primary dataset of 192 patients and a validation dataset of 121 patients. Radiomics features were extracted from the B-mode (BM), artery phase (AP), portal venous phase (PVP), and delay phase (DP) images of preoperatively acquired CEUS of each patient. After feature selection, the BM, AP, PVP, and DP radiomics scores (Rad-score) were constructed from the primary dataset. The four radiomics scores and clinical factors were used for multivariate logistic regression analysis, and a radiomics nomogram was then developed. We also built a preoperative clinical prediction model for comparison. The performance of the radiomics nomogram was evaluated via calibration, discrimination, and clinical usefulness.

RESULTS

Multivariate analysis indicated that the PVP and DP Rad-score, tumor size, and AFP (alpha-fetoprotein) level were independent risk predictors associated with MVI. The radiomics nomogram incorporating these four predictors revealed a superior discrimination to the clinical model (based on tumor size and AFP level) in the primary dataset (AUC: 0.849 vs. 0.690; p < 0.001) and validation dataset (AUC: 0.788 vs. 0.661; p = 0.008), with a good calibration. Decision curve analysis also confirmed that the radiomics nomogram was clinically useful. Furthermore, the significant improvement of net reclassification index (NRI) and integrated discriminatory improvement (IDI) implied that the PVP and DP radiomics signatures may be very useful biomarkers for MVI prediction in HCC.

CONCLUSION

The CEUS-based radiomics nomogram showed a favorable predictive value for the preoperative identification of MVI in HCC patients and could guide a more appropriate surgical planning.

Screening, clinical features and prognostic analysis of liver cirrhosis-related hepatocellular carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To explore the impact of the screening interval and methods on cirrhosis-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) detection and to analyse the clinical features and prognosis of HCC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We recruited 3000 patients diagnosed with liver cirrhosis, who had been treated at the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University from January 2016 to January 2020. The time of admission was divided into 3- (group A, 539 cases), 6- (group B, 1012 cases), and 12-month screening groups (group C, 1449 cases). We compared the detection rate of small HCCs in each group and analysed the clinical characteristics and prognosis of the patients with HCC.

RESULTS

We detected a total of 124 HCC cases, including 41 cases of small HCC: 21, 14, and 6 cases in groups A, B, and C, respectively. The detection rate was 3.9% (21/539) in group A, which was significantly higher than that in groups B and C (χ² = 31.186, p < .001). Single small, right liver lobe, and alpha-fetoprotein-negative HCCs accounted for 90.2%, 73.2%, and 68.3%, respectively. We detected vascular invasion and lymph node metastasis in one and three cases, respectively. The average survival time of patients in the small HCC group was significantly higher than that in the non-small-HCC group (35.68 ± 12.95 vs. 22.87 ± 11.42 months) (t = 5.623, p < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Screening patients with a history of liver cirrhosis at intervals of 3 months can increase the detection rate of small HCCs. Early detection can provide more patients with an opportunity for radical treatment and prolong their survival.

Prognostic Values of Alpha-Fetoprotein and Des-Gamma-Carboxyprothrombin in Hepatocellular Carcinoma in China: An Analysis of 4792 Patients

Background

The importance of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and des-gamma-carboxyprothrombin (DCP) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has been studied extensively in Japan, where hepatitis C virus is the predominant aetiology of HCC. The clinical profiles of HCC regarding the state of AFP and DCP in a hepatitis B virus epidemic area have not been comprehensively investigated, and the value of these tumour markers in evaluating the response to treatment and the detection of recurrence has yet to be determined.

Patients and Methods

A total of 4792 patients treated in our centre were continuously analysed regarding accessible AFP and DCP data pre- and posttreatment. Baseline characteristics were summarized, and comparisons of progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) rates were made independently. The prognostic significance of each factor was tested with the Cox proportional hazards model. Patients who had AFP and DCP data pretreatment, pre- and posttreatment, and those who were continuously monitored more than twice were analysed separately.

Results

A total of 2600 patients (53.4%) were positive for AFP and DCP; 362 (7.6%) and 1211 (25.3%) patients were AFP- or DCP-positive, respectively, and 619 patients (12.9%) were negative for both AFP and DCP. Patients in the AFP single-positive or double-negative groups had the best OS (P<0.001). Patients with less than 50% responses in AFP and DCP after treatments suffered from worse prognostic survival (P<0.001). In the multivariate analysis, elevated AFP and DCP were identified as independent prognostic factors of PFS and OS. In addition, different tumour markers were related to different clinical and pathological traits.

Conclusion

The present study comprehensively explored the clinical value of classical tumour markers for HCC using the “point-to-line” method. Positivity of pretreatment AFP and DCP or less than 50% treatment response rates exhibited more aggressive HCC, resulting in poor PFS and OS in HCC patients.

MRI Features of Hepatic Sarcomatoid Carcinoma Different From Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma

Introduction

Hepatic sarcomatoid carcinoma (HSC) is a rare type of liver cancer with a high malignant grade and poor prognosis. This study compared the clinical characteristics and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) features of HSCs with those of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC), aiming to identify valuable features for HSC diagnosis.

Methods

In total, 17 pathologically confirmed HSC cases, 50 HCC cases and 50 common ICC cases were enrolled from two hospitals. The clinical characteristics and MRI features of all cases were summarized and statistically analyzed.

Results

On the one hand, the incidence rates of elevated carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 and elevated carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) were significantly higher in the HSC cases than in the HCC cases (29.4% vs. 0%; 17.6% vs. 0%). The HSC enhancement patterns, primarily including progressive enhancement, were also significantly different from HCC cases. The incidence rates of heterogeneous signals on T2-weighted imaging and during the arterial phase were significantly higher in the HSC cases than in the HCC cases (94.1% vs. 66.0%; 100.0% vs. 72.0%). The diameter of HSCs was significantly larger than that in the HCC cases (6.12 cm vs. 4.21 cm), and the incidence rates of adjacent cholangiectasis, intrahepatic metastasis and lymph node enlargement were considerably higher in the HSC cases than in the HCC cases (52.9% vs. 6.0%; 47.1% vs. 12.0%; 41.2% vs. 2.0%). On the other hand, the incidence rate of elevated CA199 was significantly lower in the HSC cases than in the ICC cases (29.4% vs. 60.0%). The incidence rates of intratumoral necrosis and pseudocapsules were significantly higher in the HSC cases than in the HCC cases (35.3% vs. 8.0%; 47.1% vs. 12.0%). However, the incidence rates of target signs were significantly lower in the HSC cases than in the HCC cases (11.8% vs. 42.0%). In addition, there was no significant difference in the enhancement patterns between HSC cases and ICC cases.

Conclusions

HSCs were frequently seen in elderly men with clinical symptoms and elevated CA199 levels. The MRI features, including large size, obvious heterogeneity, hemorrhage, progressive enhancement, pseudocapsule and lymph node enlargement, contributed to the diagnosis of HSC.

Prediction of Prognosis for cHCC-CC Patients After Surgery: Comparison of Tumor Marker Score Based on AFP, CEA, CA19-9, and Other Clinical Stages

BACKGROUND

The effectiveness of clinical stage as a prognostic factor in combined hepatocellular carcinoma and cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC-CC) patients is controversial.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Medical records of all pathologically confirmed cHCC-CC patients from 2000 to 2017 at West China Hospital were retrieved. Tumor marker score (TMS) was determined from optimal AFP, CEA, and CA19-9 cutoff values. Interaction and subgroup analysis were conducted according to potential confounders. Prognostic value of TMS and other prognostic models were evaluated by Kaplan-Meier (K-M) analysis, c-index, and time-dependent receiver operating curves (td-ROC).

RESULTS

Optimal cutoff values for preoperative AFP, CEA, and CA19-9 were 10.76 ng/mL, 5.24 ng/mL, and 31.54 U/mL, respectively. Among 128 patients, 24, 58, and 46 were classified into TMS 0, TMS 1, and TMS ≥ 2, respectively. TMS could stratify our series into groups of statistically different prognosis. Subgroup analysis according to potential confounders and test for interactions showed that TMS 1 and TMS ≥ 2 were stable risk factors relative to TMS 0. Univariate (HR: TMS1 = 2.30, p = 0.014; TMS ≥ 2 = 5.1, p < 0.001) and multivariate Cox regression analyses (HR: TMS1 = 1.72, p = 0.124; TMS ≥ 2 = 4.15, p < 0.001) identified TMS as an independent prognostic risk factor. TMS had good discrimination (c-index 0.666, 95% CI 0.619-0.714), and calibration plots revealed favorable consistency. Area under the curve (AUC) value of td-ROC for TMS and integrated AUC was higher than for other clinical stages at any month within 5 years postoperation.

CONCLUSION

TMS exhibited optimal prognostic value over other widely used clinical stages for cHCC-CC after surgery and may guide clinicians in prognostic prediction.

Effect of Microvascular Invasion Risk on Early Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Surgery and Radiofrequency Ablation

OBJECTIVE

We compared surgical resection (SR) and radiofrequency ablation (RFA) as first-line treatment in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) based on the risk of microvascular invasion (MVI).

BACKGROUND

The best curative treatment modality between SR and RFA in patients with HCC with MVI remains unclear.

METHODS

Data from 2 academic cancer center-based cohorts of patients with a single, small (≤3 cm) HCC who underwent SR were used to derive (n = 276) and validate (n = 101) prediction models for MVI using clinical and imaging variables. The MVI prediction model was developed using multivariable logistic regression analysis and externally validated. Early recurrence (<2 years) based on risk stratification between SR (n = 276) and RFA (n = 240) was evaluated via propensity score matching.

RESULTS

In the multivariable analysis, alpha-fetoprotein (≥15 ng/mL), protein induced by vitamin K absence-II (≥48 mAU/mL), arterial peritumoral enhancement, and hepatobiliary peritumoral hypointensity on magnetic resonance imaging were associated with MVI. Incorporating these factors, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the predictive model was 0.87 (95% confidence interval: 0.82-0.92) and 0.82 (95% confidence interval: 0.74-0.90) in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. SR was associated with a lower rate of early recurrence than RFA based on the risk of MVI after propensity score matching (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Our model predicted the risk of MVI in patients with a small (≤ 3 cm) HCC with high accuracy. Patients with MVI who had undergone RFA were more vulnerable to recurrence than those who had undergone SR.

Methylene tetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) and vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) polymorphisms in Brazilian patients with Hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)

OBJECTIVE

The folate pathway is involved in hepatic carcinogenesis and angiogenesis. Polymorphisms in genes related to such processes, including methylene tetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) and vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF)] may play an important role in the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The objective of this study was to evaluate MTHFR and VEGF polymorphisms in Brazilian patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related HCC.

METHODS

A total of 119 patients diagnosed with confirmed HCC and HCV were included in the study. SNP genotyping assays were performed using real-time PCR. VEGFA (rs2010963, rs3025039, and rs833061) and MTHFRC677T (rs1801133, rs1801131) polymorphisms were evaluated.

RESULTS

The C alleles of MTHFR (rs1801131) and VEGF (rs2010963) were associated with protection against the development of multinodular HCC, while the T allele of MTHFR (rs1801133) was associated with a higher risk of multinodular presentation [p=0.04 OR 1.835 CI (1.022-3.297)]. Multivariate analysis revealed that the GG/GC genotypes of VEGF rs2010963 were independently associated with multinodular tumors at diagnosis (p=0.013; OR 4.78 CI (1.38-16.67)].

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that these polymorphisms may increase the risk of rapid tumor progression in patients with HCV infection. This subgroup of patients with HCC and who present polymorphism is more likely to be diagnosed with multinodular disease and not be amenable to receiving curative treatments. These data must be validated in larger cohorts, and the screening intervals can be customized based on genetic history.

Nomograms predicting extra- and early intrahepatic recurrence after hepatic resection of hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Extrahepatic recurrence and early intrahepatic recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatic resection are indicative of poor prognoses. We aimed to develop nomograms to predict extrahepatic recurrence and early intrahepatic recurrence after hepatic resection.

METHODS

The participants of this study were 1,206 patients who underwent initial and curative hepatic resection for hepatocellular carcinoma. Multivariate logistic regression analyses using the Akaike information criterion were used to construct nomograms to predict extrahepatic recurrence and early intrahepatic recurrence (within 1 year of surgery) at the first recurrence sites after hepatic resection. Performance of each nomogram was evaluated by calibration plots with bootstrapping.

RESULTS

Extrahepatic recurrence was identified in 95 patients (7.9%) and early intrahepatic recurrence in 296 patients (24.5%). Three predictive factors, α-fetoprotein >200 ng/mL, tumor size (3-5 cm or >5 cm vs ≤3 cm), and image-diagnosed venous invasion by computed tomography, were adopted in the final model of the extrahepatic recurrence nomogram with a concordance index of 0.75. Tumor size and 2 additional predictors (ie, multiple tumors and image-diagnosed portal invasion) were adopted in the final model of the early intrahepatic recurrence nomogram with a concordance index of 0.67. The calibration plots showed good agreement between the nomogram predictions of extrahepatic recurrence and early intrahepatic recurrence and the actual observations of extrahepatic recurrence and early intrahepatic recurrence, respectively.

CONCLUSION

We have developed reliable nomograms to predict extrahepatic recurrence and early intrahepatic recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatic resection. These are useful for the diagnostic prediction of extrahepatic recurrence and early intrahepatic recurrence and could guide the surgeon's selection of treatment strategies for hepatocellular carcinoma patients.

Type 2 diabetes mellitus worsens the prognosis of intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma after transarterial chemoembolization

AIMS

The aim of this study was to investigate the impact of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) on the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients following transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).

METHODS

Time to progression (TTP) and cancer-specific mortality (CSM) in competing risk model were compared in patients with (n = 289) or without (n = 763) T2DM. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to reduce bias between the two groups. Multivariate competing risk regression was used to evaluate independent risk factors for TTP and CSM.

RESULTS

The T2DM group showed significantly worse 5-year TTP and CSM rates than the non-T2DM group both in the whole cohort (n = 1052) and the PSM cohort (n = 514) (81.3% vs. 70.9%, P < 0.001, and 61.5% vs. 49.3%, P = 0.006; 81.4% vs. 68.6%, P = 0.003, and 61.7% vs. 43.2%, P = 0.014, respectively). Multivariate competing risk regression identified T2DM as an independent risk factor for TTP and CSM before and after PSM (hazard ratio: 1.37 [95% confidence interval: 1.07-1.77] and 1.36 [1.05-1.75]; 1.29 [1.04-1.60] and 1.24 [1.02-1.52], respectively). T2DM worsened the long-term outcomes of patients in the cirrhosis subgroup but not those in the noncirrhosis subgroup.

CONCLUSIONS

T2DM worsened the long-term survival of intermediate-stage HCC patients who underwent TACE, especially in patients with cirrhosis.

Development and validation of risk score for predicting spontaneous rupture of hepatocellular carcinoma

Purpose

Spontaneous rupture is a potentially serious complication of liver cancer. A risk score was developed and validated for predicting spontaneous rupture based on a retrospective study.

Methods

Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to study the relationship between clinical variables and spontaneous rupture. The independent rupture predictors were converted into a score based on the odds ratio. Predicted attributes of the developed scores were then verified using a dataset in 2019.

Results

The incidence of spontaneous rupture was 5.5% from 2002 to 2019. A 10-point score (α-FP of ≥400 µg/L, 1; protrusion from liver surface, 2; ascites, 3; tumor size of >5 cm, 4) was derived for prediction of rupture and area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve was 0.9 (95% confidence interval, 0.87–0.92). When applying a cutoff value of 5 points or more, the specificity was 0.87 and the sensitivity was 0.84. A validation cohort consisting of 202 hepatocellular carcinoma patients reproduces the predictive, identification, and calibration characteristics. The observed rate of spontaneous rupture according to risk stratification of the score was 0.6% for those with a score of 0–4, 21.6% for a score of 5–7, and 36.4% for a score of 8–10 in the validation cohort.

Conclusion

Here, based on routine clinical data, we determine the factors that affect prognosis and propose an effective tool for predicting spontaneous rupture, which may be useful in guiding priority treatment of high-risk patients or clinical routine preventive treatment.

NT5DC2 is a novel prognostic marker in human hepatocellular carcinoma

Reliable biomarkers for the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are rare, and novel biomarkers are required for the appropriate management of HCC. 5′-Nucleotidase domain containing 2 (NT5DC2) acts as an oncogene in various tumors, but its functions as a biomarker have not been confirmed. Therefore, the present study aimed to resolve these functions by analyzing the prognostic value of NT5DC2 in patients with HCC. A tissue microarray (TMA) was prepared and NT5DC2 expression was measured via IHC staining in TMA dots. The liver cancer (LIHC) cohort in The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) was enrolled as a secondary cohort. Kaplan-Meier survival analyses and Cox regression models were used for assessment of the prognostic value of NT5DC2. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) was performed in TCGA LIHC cohort. A total of 134 patients with HCC were retrospectively enrolled in the Peking Union Medical College Hospital cohort and clinical data were collected. A total of 359 patients with HCC in TCGA were enrolled as TCGA cohort. NT5DC2 was used as an indicator of overall survival (OS) and relapse-free survival (RFS) in multiple cohorts. In the multivariate Cox regression model, NT5DC2 upregulation was an independent prognostic factor of OS in both cohorts. GSEA indicated the enrichment of a series of survival- and metastasis-related gene-sets, such as LEE_LIVER_CANCER_SURVIVAL_UP and LIAO_METASTASIS. Collectively, it was suggested that NT5DC2 upregulation was associated with poor OS and RFS in HCC, and was a potential predictive marker for HCC stratification.

New Blood Biomarkers for the Diagnosis of AFP-Negative Hepatocellular Carcinoma

An early diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) followed by effective treatment is currently critical for improving the prognosis and reducing the associated economic burden. Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is the most widely used biomarker for HCC diagnosis. Based on elevated serum AFP levels as well as typical imaging features, AFP-positive HCC (APHC) can be easily diagnosed, but AFP-negative HCC (ANHC) is not easily detected due to lack of ideal biomarkers and thus mainly reliance on imaging. Imaging for the diagnosis of ANHC is probably insufficient in sensitivity and/or specificity because most ANHC tumors are small and early-stage HCC, and it is involved in sophisticated techniques and high costs. Moreover, ANHC accounts for nearly half of HCC and exhibits a better prognosis compared with APHC. Therefore, the diagnosis of ANHC in clinical practice has been a critical issue for the early treatment and prognosis improvement of HCC. In recent years, tremendous efforts have been made to discover new biomarkers complementary to AFP for HCC diagnosis. In this review, we systematically review and discuss the recent advances of blood biomarkers for HCC diagnosis, including DNA biomarkers, RNA biomarkers, protein biomarkers, and conventional laboratory metrics, focusing on their diagnostic evaluation alone and in combination, in particular on their diagnostic performance for ANHC.

Enhanced CT Textures Derived From Computer Mathematic Distribution Analysis Enables Arterial Enhancement Fraction Being an Imaging Biomarker Option of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Purpose: This study aims to explore the imaging–clinic relationship and an optional imaging biomarker of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) by using texture analysis on arterial enhancement fraction (AEF).

Materials and Methods: The HCC patients treated in No. 2 Interventional Ward, ShengJing Hospital of China Medical University from June 2018 to June 2019 were enrolled, for whom tri-phasic enhanced CT scans were acquired. Perfusion analysis and texture analysis were then performed on the tri-phasic enhanced CT images. After the region of interest (ROI) of viable HCC was drawn, 13 AEF textures describing the values distribution were conducted. A between-groups comparison of AEF textures was made where the cases had grouping properties, a correlation analysis was made between AEF textures and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) as well as other clinical data which were digital, and regression analysis was made when a significant correlation was found. SPSS 19.0 (IBM) was utilized for statistical analysis; a significant difference was considered when P < 0.05.

Results: Twenty-five HCC patients were enrolled. Several AEF textures were found to have a correlation with clinical features, including previous surgery history, age, glutamic oxaloacetylase, indirect bilirubin, creatinine, and AFP. The majority of AEF textures (up to 9/13) were found to have a correlation with AFP (SD, variance, uniformity, energy, entropy, inertia, correlation, inverse difference moment, and cluster prominence), while six or seven textures have a linear or cubic relationship with AFP (SD, variance, uniformity, inertia, correlation, cluster prominence, plus inverse difference moment).

Conclusion: The AEF textures of HCC are strongly correlated with and are impacted by AFP, which may enable AEF to act as an optional imaging biomarker of HCC.

Efficacy and Safety of Ramucirumab in Asian and Non-Asian Patients with Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Elevated Alpha-Fetoprotein: Pooled Individual Data Analysis of Two Randomized Studies

OBJECTIVE

REACH-2 and REACH were randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind, multicenter phase 3 trials which showed survival benefits of ramucirumab treatment in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and elevated alpha-fetoprotein (AFP). We evaluated the efficacy and safety of ramucirumab in Asian and non-Asian patients with AFP ≥400 ng/mL from REACH-2 and REACH.

METHODS

We pooled Asian and non-Asian patients from the REACH-2 and REACH trials and performed an individual patient data meta-analysis. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival were evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated with a stratified Cox regression model.

RESULTS

In the pooled REACH-2 and REACH patient population, 291 Asian patients were randomly assigned to receive ramucirumab (n = 168) or placebo (n = 123), and 251 non-Asian patients received ramucirumab (n = 148) or placebo (n = 103). The median OS was significantly longer in the ramucirumab arm in comparison to the placebo arm for Asian patients (8.08 vs. 4.76 months, stratified HR 0.73 [95% CI 0.56-0.95], p = 0.0189) and non-Asian patients (7.98 vs. 5.22 months, stratified HR 0.65 [95% CI 0.49-0.86], p = 0.0028). The overall response rate (ORR) and disease control rate (DCR) were significantly higher in the ramucirumab arm compared to the placebo arm for Asian patients (ORR: 4.2 vs. 0.8%; DCR: 53.6 vs. 33.3%) and non-Asian patients (ORR: 6.8 vs. 1.0%; DCR: 59.5 vs. 41.7%). The most common grade ≥3 treatment-emergent adverse events reported in the ramucirumab arm were hypertension (7.7%), decreased appetite (1.2%), and ascites (1.2%) for Asian patients and hypertension (16.9%), ascites (8.8%), asthenia (4.7%), and fatigue (5.4%) for non-Asian patients.

DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION

This pooled analysis of the REACH-2/REACH trials demonstrates significant benefits, with a manageable safety profile, of ramucirumab treatment in Asian and non-Asian patients with advanced HCC and baseline AFP ≥400 ng/mL.

The alpha-fetoprotein serum is still reliable as a biomarker for the surveillance of hepatocellular carcinoma in Indonesia

Background and aims

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the most common type of liver cancer, is one of the leading causes of cancer-related death worldwide with an inferior prognosis. In Indonesia, the average life expectancy is less than 5 months, with most patients being in an advanced stage wherein the survival rate is very low. Early detection through surveillance program is very crucial. HCC guidelines worldwide have provided surveillance recommendation through the examination of α-fetoprotein (AFP) and ultrasound for patients at risk in developing HCC. However, there have been some controversies regarding the usage of AFP concerning its low sensitivity and specificity in detecting HCC. Therefore, the effectiveness of AFP in the surveillance of HCC patients and identifying the parameters most associated with the increase of AFP ≥ 10 ng/ml in Indonesia should be evaluated.

Methods

We analyzed medical records of HCC patients and those at high risk of developing HCC through cross-sectional study, including patients with cirrhosis and hepatitis B and C, from 2015 to 2017 who underwent treatment at the Cipto Mangunkusumo National General Hospital and Dharmais National Cancer Hospital, Indonesia.

Results

The sensitivity and specificity of AFP in the surveillance of HCC in Indonesia with a cut-off of 10 ng/ml were 82.6 and 71.2%, respectively. The parameters most associated with the increase of AFP ≥10 ng/ml according to multivariate analysis were the etiology of hepatitis B, the stage of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) B and C, and the presence of cirrhosis, respectively.

Conclusion

AFP can still be used in the surveillance of HCC in Indonesia for its high sensitivity value.

Predictors for hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after microwave ablation

Aim of the study

Microwave ablation (MWA) for treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a new promising modality. The prognosis after treatment is mainly linked to the recurrence. We aimed to investigate the predictive value of α-fetoprotein (AFP) score and Aurora B kinase (AURKB) in HCC recurrence after MWA.

Material and methods

A cross-sectional study where 25 early-stage HCC patients (Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer 0/A-B) were treated with MWA. Tumor biopsies were obtained just prior to MWA and assessed for WHO pathological grade and AURKB expression by immunohistochemistry. AFP score was calculated and a cut-off value of 2 classifies patients into high and low risk of recurrence. After achieving complete ablation, patients were followed every 3 months for 1 year by triphasic CT to detect recurrence.

Results

Child-Pugh classification has no significant impact on prognosis of HCC after MWA (χ² = 1.924, p = 0.165). Serum AFP level and AFP score can effectively predict the response to MWA among HCC patients (χ² = 6.451, ^MCp = 0.031) (χ² = 9.0, p = 0.003), respectively. AFP score was strongly associated with the pathological grade of the tumor (r = 0.467, p = 0.019). AURKB was over-expressed in tumoral more than non-tumoral specimens (p < 0.001). It was correlated with the size of the tumor, the number of tumor nodules and the pathological grade of the tumor (p < 0.05) but has no role in predicting recurrence after MWA (p = 0.869).

Conclusions

AFP score but not AURKB can predict the risk of recurrence of HCC after MWA.

Tumor-associated autoantibodies in combination with alpha-fetoprotein for detection of early stage hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) continues to be a leading challenge in modern oncology. Early detection via blood-based screening tests has the potential to cause a stage-shift at diagnosis and improve clinical outcomes. Tumor associated autoantibodies (TA-AAbs) have previously shown the ability to distinguish HCC from patients with high-risk liver disease. This research aimed to further show the utility of TA-AAbs as biomarkers of HCC and assess their use in combination with Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) for detection of HCC across multiple tumor stages.

METHODS

Levels of circulating G class antibodies to 44 recombinant tumor associated antigens and circulating AFP were measured in the serum of patients with HCC, non-cancerous chronic liver disease (NCCLD) and healthy controls via enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). TA-AAb cut-offs were set at the highest Youden's J statistic at a specificity ≥95.00%. Panels of TA-AAbs were formed using net reclassification improvement. AFP was assessed at a cut-off of 200 ng/ml.

RESULTS

Sensitivities ranged from 1.01% to 12.24% at specificities of 95.96% to 100.00% for single TA-AAbs. An ELISA test measuring a panel of 10 of these TA-AAbs achieved a combined sensitivity of 36.73% at a specificity of 89.89% when distinguishing HCC from NCCLD controls. At a cut-off of 200 ng/ml, AFP achieved a sensitivity of 31.63% at a specificity of 100.00% in the same cohort. Combination of the TA-AAb panel with AFP significantly increased the sensitivity for stage one (40.00%) and two (55.00%) HCC over the TA-AAb panel or AFP alone.

CONCLUSIONS

A panel of TA-AAbs in combination with AFP could be clinically relevant as a replacement for measuring levels of AFP alone in surveillance and diagnosis strategies. The increased early stage sensitivity could lead to a stage shift with positive prognostic outcomes.

Elucidating Binding Sites and Affinities of ERα Agonists and Antagonists to Human Alpha-Fetoprotein by In Silico Modeling and Point Mutagenesis

Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is a major embryo- and tumor-associated protein capable of binding and transporting a variety of hydrophobic ligands, including estrogens. AFP has been shown to inhibit estrogen receptor (ER)-positive tumor growth, which can be attributed to its estrogen-binding ability. Despite AFP having long been investigated, its three-dimensional (3D) structure has not been experimentally resolved and molecular mechanisms underlying AFP–ligand interaction remains obscure. In our study, we constructed a homology-based 3D model of human AFP (HAFP) with the purpose of molecular docking of ERα ligands, three agonists (17β-estradiol, estrone and diethylstilbestrol), and three antagonists (tamoxifen, afimoxifene and endoxifen) into the obtained structure. Based on the ligand-docked scoring functions, we identified three putative estrogen- and antiestrogen-binding sites with different ligand binding affinities. Two high-affinity binding sites were located (i) in a tunnel formed within HAFP subdomains IB and IIA and (ii) on the opposite side of the molecule in a groove originating from a cavity formed between domains I and III, while (iii) the third low-affinity binding site was found at the bottom of the cavity. Here, 100 ns molecular dynamics (MD) simulation allowed us to study their geometries and showed that HAFP–estrogen interactions were caused by van der Waals forces, while both hydrophobic and electrostatic interactions were almost equally involved in HAFP–antiestrogen binding. Molecular mechanics/Generalized Born surface area (MM/GBSA) rescoring method exploited for estimation of binding free energies (ΔG_bind) showed that antiestrogens have higher affinities to HAFP as compared to estrogens. We performed in silico point substitutions of amino acid residues to confirm their roles in HAFP–ligand interactions and showed that Thr132, Leu138, His170, Phe172, Ser217, Gln221, His266, His316, Lys453, and Asp478 residues, along with two disulfide bonds (Cys224–Cys270 and Cys269–Cys277), have key roles in both HAFP–estrogen and HAFP–antiestrogen binding. Data obtained in our study contribute to understanding mechanisms underlying protein–ligand interactions and anticancer therapy strategies based on ERα-binding ligands.

Changing Patterns of Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Treatment with Direct Antiviral Agents

Introduction

The impact of direct antiviral agents (DAAs) on the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is controversial. One important aspect of this controversy is the changing pattern of HCC.

Objective

In this study, we attempted to assess the changes in the pattern of HCC after treatment with DAAs.

Methods

A total of 51 HCC patients after DAA treatment and 54 HCC patients without DAA treatment were included. The diagnosis of HCC was based on typical dynamic CT and/or MRI criteria in both groups. Liver status was assessed by means of the fibrosis 4 index (Fib-4), Child-Pugh classification, and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD). HCC infiltrative pattern, portal vein thrombosis (PVT), local and distant metastases, and α-fetoprotein (AFP) level were compared in the 2 groups. The staging of HCC and treatment decisions were made in both groups following the Milan criteria, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging, tumor-node-metastasis staging, and Cancer of the Liver Italian Program categorization.

Results

The mean age of the HCC patients after DAA treatment (59.1± 7.4 years) was older than that of the HCC patients without DAA treatment. There was no significant difference between groups regarding sex distribution. The mean Fib-4 score (4.84 ± 3.53) was significantly lower in HCC patients after DAA treatment than in those without DAA treatment. The frequency of the infiltrative HCC pattern, PVT, and regional lymph node metastasis was significantly higher in HCC patients after DAA treatment than in those without DAA treatment (p ≤ 0.05); mean AFP level (5,085.2 ± 11,883.2 ng/mL) was also significantly higher. HCC patients after DAA treatment had significantly advanced stages and limited treatment options (p ≤ 0.05).

Conclusion

The changing HCC pattern after DAA treatment may suggest the need for new HCC staging and treatment protocols.

Racial disparities in alpha-fetoprotein testing and alpha-fetoprotein status associated with the diagnosis and outcome of hepatocellular carcinoma patients

BACKGROUND

The use of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) testing for the surveillance, diagnosis, and prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains controversial. Here, we compared AFP testing rates, elevated AFP rates, factors associated with elevated AFP levels, and prognostic factors associated with overall survival (OS) in HCC patients from different ethnic groups.

METHODS

Patients with HCC were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registries. Race was categorized as white, black, and others. AFP testing rates and elevated AFP rates were analyzed. Multivariable logistic regression and Cox regression analyses were used to identify independent factors associated with elevated AFP levels and prognosis, respectively. All statistical tests were two sided.

RESULTS

A proportion of 79.2% of total HCC patients had AFP testing reports; 77.3% of white, 79.7% of black, and 81.2% of other races underwent AFP testing. Compared with white and other races, black HCC patients had a higher rate of elevated AFP levels among all patients and the early-stage HCC patient cohort. Elevated AFP level was a significant prognostic factor for all HCC patients in different race groups. Factors associated with elevated AFP level and prognostic factors associated with OS varied significantly by race.

CONCLUSIONS

AFP testing, elevated AFP rates, predictors of elevated AFP level, and prognostic factors associated with OS differed significantly according to race after adjusting for AFP levels among the three groups. AFP testing for the surveillance, diagnosis, and prognosis of HCC patients is strongly recommended, although racial disparities need to be considered.

Hepatitis viruses take advantage of traditional practices to increase the burden of hepatocellular carcinoma in Tunisia

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major public health issue in Africa. In Tunisia, hepatitis B virus (HBV) is known to be an important risk factor for HCC in the south of the country, but the role played by hepatitis C virus (HCV) still remains unclear. The aim of the current case-control study was to identify risk factors for HCC development in the northern part of the country. Clinical and biological data including viral hepatitis status (serological and molecular) and non-infectious risk factors from 73 patients with HCC and 70 control subjects without hepatic diseases were collected. The mean age of the patients was 63 ± 10 years, and the ratio of males to females was 1.1. HCC occurred in cirrhotic liver in 72.0% of the cases. HCV infection was the dominant risk factor (64.3% of cases); the presence of HBV was observed in 53.4% of the cases. Occult hepatitis B and C were implicated, respectively, in 30.1% and 9.6% of the cases. HCV genotype 1b was predominant. Patients originating from western Tunisia formed a homogeneous group, characterized by significantly higher rates of tattoos or scarifications (83%) and HCV infection (80%) than those from other parts of the country. Chronic HCV infection is currently the primary risk factor for HCC in Tunisia; HBV infection remains frequent in its overt or occult infection forms. Traditional esthetic practices apparently contribute to increasing the burden of terminal liver diseases in western Tunisia.

Hepatocellular carcinoma and macrovascular tumor thrombosis: treatment outcomes and prognostic factors for survival

PURPOSE

To determine the treatment outcome and prognostic factors for survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and macrovascular tumor thrombosis (MTT).

METHODS

Between January 2010 and December 2018, 66 patients diagnosed with HCC and MTT, who received specific treatment were included. Various clinical and imaging data, treatment methods, outcomes, prognostic factors, and overall survival were evaluated. Outcomes were compared with those of 24 patients treated with supportive care.

RESULTS

Most patients with HCC and MTT showed disease progression (80.3%) and a low 5-year survival rate. The median survival time after treatment was 13 months (vs. supportive care group 3 months, p < 0.001). Main branch MTT (p = 0.036), extent of tumor thrombus > 1 segment (p = 0.039), presence of ascites (p = 0.009) and among treatment methods, systemic therapy alone (p = 0.007), and supportive care (p < 0.001) compared with combined local with systemic therapies were prognostic factors for poor survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Although most patients with HCC and MTT showed disease progression, median survival time was significantly longer than that with supportive care. Main branch and > 1 segment involvement of MTT and presence of ascites were significant prognostic factors for poor survival. Combined local and systemic therapy over systemic therapy alone are recommended for patients with these advanced stage HCCs.

Prognostic role of serial alpha-fetoprotein levels in hepatocellular carcinoma treated with locoregional therapy

Background and aim: To evaluate early serial AFP changes in responders and non-responders to locoregional therapy and identify differences between significant AFP decliners and non-decliners post-treatment. Methods: Case records of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients having AFP ≥20 ng/ml and treated with locoregional therapy were examined retrospectively. Patients with complete details were included. Trends of serial AFP change (from baseline to post-treatment one month) in patients showing early tumor response (complete response (CR), partial response (PR), progressive disease (PD)) as assessed on multiphasic MRI/CT liver performed at one month following treatment. Receiver operating curves were drawn to estimate the best AFP reduction cut off for differentiating between responders (CR plus PR) from non-responders (PD). AFP decliners (those with AFP level reduction greater than 20% post-treatment) were identified and comparisons of their clinical parameters, tumor response and survival rate were made with AFP non-decliners. Results: HCC patients (n = 126) had mean age of 52.8 years, male:female ratio (4:1), Child's A 94, BCLC stage A/B/C HCC 49/65/12, respectively. On 4-6 weeks' MRI/CT, 46 patients developed CR, 55 PR and 25 PD. Reduction in median AFP level (83% in CR, 19% in PR) occurred in responders while 16% increase occurred in PD patients (non-responders). A 30% AFP reduction could differentiate responders from non-responders with 70% sensitivity and 68% specificity, AUROC 74% (CI 0.64-0.85). AFP decliners showed better survival and tumor response than non-decliners. Conclusions: Serial AFP change can predict tumor response to locoregional therapy in AFP producing HCC patients. AFP decliners have better survival and tumor response than AFP non-decliners.

A nomogram predicting the prognosis of young adult patients diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma: A population-based analysis

Background

Few studies have reported the clinical characteristics and outcomes of young adult patients diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to formulate a nomogram to predict the prognosis of young adult HCC patients.

Methods

Young adult patients diagnosed with HCC from 2004 to 2015 were screened from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Based on the multivariate analysis results, a nomogram was constructed. The concordance index (c-index) and calibration were used to assess the predictive performance of the nomogram. The clinical benefit was measured by using decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

The mean follow-up time of the patients was 25.0±34.0 months. Gender, race, AFP level, Edmondson–Steiner classification, treatment and TNM stage were selected as independent prognostic factors and integrated into the nomogram. The c-indexes of the two sets were 0.786 and 0.775, respectively. The calibration curves showed good agreement between the nomogram-predicted probability and the actual observations. Furthermore, the DCA indicated that the nomogram had positive net benefits compared with the conventional staging system.

Conclusions

The nomogram could accurately predict the prognosis of young adult HCC patients.