Economic evaluation of the hepatitis C elimination strategy in Greece in the era of affordable direct-acting antivirals

Cost effectiveness of hepatitis C direct acting agents

INTRODUCTION

Introduction of direct acting antivirals (DAA) has transformed treatment of chronic hepatitis C (HCV) and made the elimination of HCV an achievable goal set forward by World Health Organization by 2030. Multiple barriers need to be overcome for successful eradication of HCV. Availability of pan-genotypic HCV regimens has decreased the need for genotype testing but maintained high efficacy associated with DAAs.

AREAS COVERED

In this review, we will assess the cost-effectiveness of DAA treatment in patients with chronic HCV disease, with emphasis on general, cirrhosis, and vulnerable populations.

EXPERT OPINION

Multiple barriers exist limiting eradication of HCV, including cost to treatment, access, simplified testing, and implementing policy to foster treatment for all groups of HCV patients. Clinically, DAAs have drastically changed the landscape of HCV, but focused targeting of vulnerable groups is needed. Public policy will continue to play a strong role in eliminating HCV. While we will focus on the cost-effectiveness of DAA, several other factors regarding HCV require on going attention, such as increasing public awareness and decreasing social stigma associated with HCV, offering universal screening followed by linkage to treatment and improving preventive interventions to decrease spread of HCV.

Hepatitis C screening in Lithuania: first-year results and scenarios for achieving WHO elimination targets

BACKGROUND

The World Health Organization (WHO) has outlined a set of targets to achieve eliminating hepatitis C by 2030. In May 2022, Lithuanian health authorities initiated a hepatitis C virus (HCV) screening program to start working towards elimination. In the program, bonus was given to general practitioners (GPs) to promote and conduct anti-HCV tests for two situations: (1) one time testing for individuals born in 1945-1994 and (2) annual HCV testing for persons who inject drugs or are living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) regardless of age. This study aimed to model the current viral hepatitis C epidemiological status in Lithuania and to outline the requirements for WHO elimination targets using the first-year HCV screening results.

METHODS

Individuals were invited to participate in the anti-HCV screening by GPs during routine visits. Patients who tested positive were then referred to a gastroenterologist or infectious disease doctor for further confirmatory testing. If a patient received a positive RNA test and a fibrosis staging result of ≥ F2, the doctor prescribed direct-acting antivirals. Information on the patients screened, diagnosed, and treated was obtained from the National Health Insurance Fund. The Markov disease progression model, developed by the CDA Foundation, was used to evaluate the screening program results and HCV elimination progress in Lithuania.

RESULTS

Between May 2022 and April 2023, 790,070 individuals underwent anti-HCV testing, with 11,943 individuals (1.5%) receiving positive results. Anti-HCV seroprevalence was found to be higher among males than females, 1.9% and 1.2%, respectively. Within the risk population tested, 2087 (31.1%) seropositive individuals were identified. When comparing the screening program results to WHO elimination targets through modelling, 2180 patients still need to be treated annually until 2030, along with expanding fibrosis restrictions. If an elimination approach was implemented, 1000 new infections would be prevented, while saving 150 lives and averting 90 decompensated cirrhosis cases and 110 hepatocellular carcinoma cases.

CONCLUSIONS

During the first year of the Lithuanian screening program, GPs were able to screen 44% of the target population. However, the country will not meet elimination targets as it currently stands without increasing treatment levels and lifting fibrosis restrictions.

Hepatitis C Elimination: Opportunities and Challenges in 2023

Hepatitis C Virus (HCV) infection is a leading etiology of liver cirrhosis and its associated complications, namely, decompensated cirrhosis. As such, hepatitis C potentially necessitates liver transplantation and may result in death. Recently, HCV treatment has evolved. Current HCV treatment is effective in curing HCV; some of the agents are pan-genotypic. Numerous countries have adopted an initiative to eliminate HCV. Achieving elimination poses many challenges; it requires improved availability and accessibility of pan-genotypic therapy. Barriers exist at the level of the collective healthcare system and at the level of the individual healthcare providers and patients. Therefore, organized national and local efforts are needed. Surmounting these barriers calls for interventions concerning screening, linkage to care, and treatment delivery. Pertinent barriers include inadequate availability of screening, ill-equipped laboratory testing before treatment, and insufficient access to treatment. Interventions should seek to decentralize laboratory testing and treatment provision, increase funding for resources and personnel, and spread awareness. Special consideration should be allocated to at-risk populations, such as intravenous drug users, refugees, and prisoners. Computerized medical filing and telemedicine have the potential to refine HCV management by enhancing detection, availability, accessibility, and cost-effectiveness.

Hepatitis C virus: A critical approach to who really needs treatment

Introduction of effective drugs in the treatment of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection has prompted the World Health Organization to declare a global eradication target by 2030. Propositions have been made to screen the general population and treat all HCV carriers irrespective of the disease status. A year ago the new severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 virus appeared causing a worldwide pandemic of coronavirus disease 2019 disease. Huge financial resources were redirected, and the pandemic became the first priority in every country. In this review, we examined the feasibility of the World Health Organization elimination program and the actual natural course of HCV infection. We also identified and analyzed certain comorbidity factors that may aggravate the progress of HCV and some marginalized subpopulations with characteristics favoring HCV dissemination. Alcohol consumption, HIV coinfection and the presence of components of metabolic syndrome including obesity, hyperuricemia and overt diabetes were comorbidities mostly responsible for increased liver-related morbidity and mortality of HCV. We also examined the significance of special subpopulations like people who inject drugs and males having sex with males. Finally, we proposed a different micro-elimination screening and treatment program that can be implemented in all countries irrespective of income. We suggest that screening and treatment of HCV carriers should be limited only in these particular groups.

Planning the hepatitis C virus elimination in Cyprus: A modeling study

BACKGROUND

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is a major global public health problem. In the Republic of Cyprus, the estimated prevalence of chronic hepatitis C (CHC) among the general population is 0.6%, while the CHC prevalence among people who inject drugs (PWID) is estimated at 46%. Direct-acting antivirals that can eliminate HCV are not yet widely available in the Republic of Cyprus. However, when direct-acting antivirals become available, a long-term strategic plan to guide elimination efforts will be needed to maximize the effect of treatment.

AIM

To determine the programmatic targets to eliminate HCV in the Republic of Cyprus.

METHODS

A dynamic, stochastic, individual-based model of HCV transmission, disease progression, and cascade of care was calibrated to data from Cyprus. The model stratifies the population into the infected general population and the PWID population. A variety of test, prevention, and treatment strategies concerning the general population, PWID, or both were examined. The time horizon of the analysis was until 2034.

RESULTS

Under the status quo scenario, the model predicted that 75 (95% confidence interval (CI): 60, 91) and 575 (95%CI: 535, 615) liver-related deaths and new infections would occur by 2034, respectively. Launching an expanded treatment program, without screening interventions, would cause modest outcomes regarding CHC prevalence (16.6% reduction in 2034 compared to 2020) and liver-related deaths (10 deaths would be prevented compared to the status quo scenario by 2034). Implementing a test and treat strategy among the general population but without any intervention in the PWID population would suffice to meet the mortality target but not the incidence target. To achieve HCV elimination in Cyprus, 3080 (95%CI: 3000, 3200) HCV patients need to be diagnosed and treated by 2034 (2680 from the general population and 400 from PWID), and harm reduction coverage among PWID should be increased by 3% per year (from 25% in 2020 to 67% in 2034).

CONCLUSION

Elimination of HCV is a demanding public health strategy, which requires significant interventions both among the general population and high-risk groups.

The cost of a late-detected outbreak among people who inject drugs. A modeling study

BACKGROUND

People who inject drugs (PWID) are at risk for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV). In 2009 and 2011, Athens, Greece experienced an HCV and an HIV outbreak among PWID, respectively. Of these, only the 2011 HIV outbreak was detected. However, the public health interventions implemented in response to the HIV outbreak tackled also indirectly the undetected HCV outbreak. The aim of this study is to highlight the potential benefits of an efficient notification system using as a case study the undetected 2009 HCV outbreak among PWID of Athens. More specifically, the study assesses whether an earlier implementation of the same public responses could diminish the scale of the HCV outbreak and estimates the potential cost-savings.

METHODS

A previous dynamic, stochastic, individual-based model was used to simulate HCV transmission among PWID of Athens, Greece. We calibrated the model to reproduce the observed HCV prevalence. We examined the effect of the non-detection scenario, the 1- or 2-years earlier detection scenarios and compared them to the status quo scenario.

RESULTS

Under the non-detection scenario, 2800 additional PWID would have been infected with HCV compared to the status quo by 2019. On the contrary, if the outbreak was detected 1- or 2- years earlier with immediate interventions, 440 and 970 HCV cases could be averted by 2019, respectively. Non-detection of the outbreak would cost an additional 43.2 (95% Credible interval: 2.7, 59.4) million euros to the healthcare system, compared to the status quo. On the other hand, if there was an efficient notification system to detect the HCV outbreak 1 or 2 years earlier, 6.8-15.6 million euros could have been saved by 2019.

CONCLUSIONS

An efficient notification system among PWID is a cost-saving investment that could detect on time and contain future outbreaks, and save valuable resources of the healthcare system.

Implementation and evaluation of an educational intervention for safer injection in people who inject drugs in Europe: a multi-country mixed-methods study

BACKGROUND

Harm reduction (HR) interventions are essential to reduce human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) transmission in people who inject drugs (PWID). Preliminary testing of the Individually Tailored Support and Education for Safer Injection (ITSESI) evidence-based educational intervention for PWID was performed in France in 2011. We created the Eurosider project to implement and evaluate ITSESI at a wider European level, with a view to its future pan-European diffusion.

METHODS

We performed a mixed-methods study involving quantitative (a 6-month before-after study with PWID) and qualitative (focus groups with field workers) components. The study was conducted in 2018-2019 with 307 eligible PWID participating in four existing HR programmes in Bulgaria, Greece, Portugal, and Romania. ITSESI consists in trained field workers observing PWID injection practices and providing an educational exchange. For the present study, PWID participants were allocated to either the control group (i.e., they continued receiving only the current HR services) or the intervention group (i.e., current HR services plus ITSESI). We used the RE-AIM QuEST framework to assess the effectiveness of ITSESI and its acceptability by field workers. Effectiveness was defined as a reduction in both syringe sharing - the highest HIV/HCV transmission risk practice - and in cutaneous abscesses. We used a multivariable mixed logit model to analyse both effectiveness outcomes and to provide adjusted odds ratios (aOR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Field workers' acceptability of the intervention was described using a thematic analysis of the qualitative data.

RESULTS

Of the 307 PWID, 55% received ITSESI. Syringe sharing and cutaneous abscesses decreased during follow-up in the intervention group (from 25 to 16% and from 27 to 14%, respectively). Reductions were smaller in the control group (from 29 to 24% and from 23 to 18%, respectively). The multivariable analyses confirmed the effect of the intervention on both of these outcomes (aOR [95% CI]: 0.38 [0.17, 0.85]) and (aOR [95% CI]: 0.38 [0.16, 0.90], respectively). Our qualitative data on acceptability showed the feasibility of involving field workers as proactive research partners in making ITSESI more accessible and acceptable across Europe.

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrated both the effectiveness of ITSESI in reducing syringe sharing and cutaneous abscesses in four European countries, and a high level of intervention acceptability by field workers. Our findings provide important insights into how ITSESI can be adapted for pan-European implementation.

Hospital discharges of hepatocellular carcinoma and non-alcohol related cirrhosis in the EU/EEA and United Kingdom: a descriptive analysis of 2004-2015 data

BACKGROUND

Viral hepatitis is a leading cause of mortality globally, comparable to that of HIV and TB. Most hepatitis deaths are related to liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) associated with chronic hepatitis B and C infections. To examine the progress towards the elimination goals set in the global health sector strategy for viral hepatitis, we aimed to assess the impact of mortality-indicative morbidity.

METHODS

We retrieved inpatients and day cases hospital discharges data from the Eurostat hospital activities database, and analysed ICD-10 and ICD-9 specific codes related to primary HCC and non-alcohol related cirrhosis registered by European Union/European Economic Area (EU/EEA) countries and United Kingdom (UK) for 2004 to 2015.

RESULTS

In 2015, 20 countries (45.7% of total EU/EEA/UK population) reported 13,236 (Range 0-6294) day cases and 36,012 (4-9097) inpatients discharges of HCC. Romania, Croatia, Luxembourg and UK reported increasing day cases discharge rates between 2004 and 2015; while HCC inpatients discharge rates increased overall during this period. There were 13,865 (0-5918) day cases and 56,176 (3-29,118) inpatients discharges reported for cirrhosis across the 20 countries in 2015. Over the 12 years, day cases discharge rates for cirrhosis increased in Romania, Croatia and UK. Though higher than for day cases, cirrhosis inpatients discharge rates remained stable.

CONCLUSIONS

The hospital burden of HCC and cirrhosis is high, with considerable inpatient load including sustained increasing trends in HCC discharge rates. Further interpretation in light of local health system contexts, and more robust harmonised data are needed to better understand the impact of the viral hepatitis epidemic in the region.

Epidemiology of hepatitis C virus infection in a country with universal access to direct-acting antiviral agents: Data for designing a cost-effective elimination policy in Spain

Accurate HCV prevalence estimates are necessary for guiding elimination policies. Our aim was to determine the HCV prevalence and assess the cost-effectiveness of a screen-and-treat strategy in the Spanish population. A population-based, cross-sectional study (PREVHEP-ETHON Cohort, Epidemiological sTudy of Hepatic infectiONs; NCT02749864) was performed from July 2015-April 2017. Participants from three Spanish regions were selected using two-stage conglomerate sampling, and stratified by age, with randomized subject selection. Anthropometric and demographic data were collected, and blood samples were taken to detect anti-HCV antibodies/quantify HCV RNA. The cost-effectiveness of the screening strategies and treatment were analysed using a Markov model. Among 12 246 participants aged 20-74 (58.4% females), the overall anti-HCV prevalence was 1.2% (95% CI 1.0-1.4), whereas the detectable HCV-RNA prevalence was 0.3% (0.2-0.4). Infection rates were highest in subjects aged 50-74 years [anti-HCV 1.6% (1.3-1.9), HCV RNA 0.4% (0.3-0.6]. Among the 147 anti-HCV + subjects, 38 (25.9%) had active infections while 109 (74.1%) had been cleared of infection; 44 (40.4%) had cleared after antiviral treatment, whereas 65 (59.6%) had cleared spontaneously. Overall, 59.8% of the anti-HCV + participants were aware of their serological status. Considering a cost of treatment of €7000/patient, implementing screening programmes is cost-effective across all age cohorts, particularly in patients aged 50-54 (negative incremental cost-effectiveness ratio which indicates a cost-saving strategy). The current HCV burden is lower than previously estimated, with approximately 25% of anti-HCV + individuals having an active infection. A strategy of screening and treatment at current treatment prices in Spain is cost-effective across all age cohorts.

Hepatitis C virus elimination in Indonesia: Epidemiological, cost and cost-effectiveness modelling to advance advocacy and strategic planning

BACKGROUNDS & AIMS

In Indonesia 1.9 million people are chronically infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV), but a national strategic plan for elimination has not yet been developed, despite the availability of low-cost treatments which could save many lives. We used epidemiological and cost modelling to estimate targets and resource requirements of a national elimination program and explore the potential impact and cost-effectiveness.

METHODS

To model the HCV epidemic, we used a dynamic model, parameterised with Indonesia-specific data, accounting for disease progression, injecting drug use and demographics. Future scale-up scenarios were designed for 2018-2050 to capture possible policy choices. Costs of an initial 5-year national strategy and of long-term elimination were estimated for the most feasible scenario, as agreed with government and local partners. Cost savings from reduced drug and diagnostics prices were also estimated. The cost-effectiveness of baseline predictions and those with drug price reductions were compared to the no treatment scenario.

RESULTS

Elimination by 2045, considered the most feasible path to scale-up, would prevent 739 000 new infections and avert 158 000 HCV-related deaths. The costs would be $5.6 billion (USD) using baseline prices but could fall to $2.7 billion if price reductions for HCV drugs and diagnostics are secured. With these price reductions, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for a 2045 elimination program would be cost-effective at $300 (USD) per year of life saved vs the no treatment scenario.

CONCLUSIONS

This study has underpinned advocacy efforts to secure Indonesian government commitment to HCV elimination, and provides further inputs for HCV strategic planning efforts.

Elimination of hepatitis C. Positioning document of the Spanish Association for the Study of the Liver (AEEH)

The Spanish Association for the Study of the Liver (AEEH) is convinced that the elimination of hepatitisC virus (HCV) in Spain is possible as long as we are able to use the resources and tools necessary for it. This document reflects the position of the AEEH regarding the elimination of HCV, establishing a wide range of recommendations that can be grouped into five categories: 1)Screening of HCV according to age, of the existence of classic acquisition risk factors of infection, active search of previously diagnosed patients and development of micro-elimination strategies in vulnerable populations; 2)Simplification of HCV diagnosis (one-step diagnosis and diagnosis at the point of patient care); 3)Simplification of patient treatment and improvement of care circuits; 4)Health policy measures, and, finally, 5)Establishment of HCV elimination indicators.