Early pH Change Predicts Intensive Care Unit Mortality

Hierarchical Capability in Distinguishing Severities of Sepsis via Serum Lactate: A Network Meta-Analysis

Background: Blood lactate is a potentially useful biomarker to predict the mortality and severity of sepsis. The purpose of this study is to systematically review the ability of lactate to predict hierarchical sepsis clinical outcomes and distinguish sepsis, severe sepsis and septic shock. Methods: We conducted an exhaustive search of the PubMed, Embase and Cochrane Library databases for studies published before 1 October 2022. Inclusion criteria mandated the presence of case-control, cohort studies and randomized controlled trials that established the association between before-treatment blood lactate levels and the mortality of individuals with sepsis, severe sepsis or septic shock. Data was analyzed using STATA Version 16.0. Results: A total of 127 studies, encompassing 107,445 patients, were ultimately incorporated into our analysis. Meta-analysis of blood lactate levels at varying thresholds revealed a statistically significant elevation in blood lactate levels predicting mortality (OR = 1.57, 95% CI 1.48-1.65, I2 = 92.8%, p < 0.00001). Blood lactate levels were significantly higher in non-survivors compared to survivors in sepsis patients (SMD = 0.77, 95% CI 0.74-0.79, I2 = 83.7%, p = 0.000). The prognostic utility of blood lactate in sepsis mortality was validated through hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic curve (HSROC) analysis, yielding an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.72 (95% CI 0.68-0.76), accompanied by a summary sensitivity of 0.65 (95% CI 0.59-0.7) and a summary specificity of 0.7 (95% CI 0.64-0.75). Unfortunately, the network meta-analysis could not identify any significant differences in average blood lactate values' assessments among sepsis, severe sepsis and septic shock patients. Conclusions: This meta-analysis demonstrated that high-level blood lactate was associated with a higher risk of sepsis mortality. Lactate has a relatively accurate predictive ability for the mortality risk of sepsis. However, the network analysis found that the levels of blood lactate were not effective in distinguishing between patients with sepsis, severe sepsis and septic shock.

Prognosis of patients with extreme acidosis on admission to the emergency department: A retrospective cohort study

AIM OF THE STUDY

The development of acidosis in critically ill patients is considered to be a negative prognostic factor, and when extreme, even incompatible with life. We aimed to test the prognosis of patients with a pH lower than 6.9 on emergency department admission.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study in adult patients admitted to two emergency departments with a pH < 6.9 during the first 12 h of admission. Primary outcome was mortality within 24 h from emergency department admission. We performed a regression analysis of clinical and laboratory data in order to identify factors associated with mortality in this population.

RESULTS

We analyzed data of 206 admissions to the emergency departments between 2008 and 2018 with extreme acidosis. pH Values ranged from 6.898 to 6.35 (mean 6.8 and median 6.83). 60 (29%) of the patients survived the first 24 h. 35 patients (58%) of those also survived to hospital discharge, and of them 80% have returned to their previous functional status. Patient's age, type of acidosis, cardio-pulmonary resuscitation on arrival, and diagnosis on admission were correlated with survival.

CONCLUSIONS

A small but significant portion of patients with extreme acidosis on emergency department admission survive at least to 24 h and until hospital discharge. The clinical decision making should be based on other prognostic factors rather than pH value by itself.

pH Quantification in Human Dermal Interstitial Fluid Using Ultra-Thin SOI Silicon Nanowire ISFETs and a High-Sensitivity Constant-Current Approach

In this paper, we propose a novel approach to utilize silicon nanowires as high-sensitivity pH sensors. Our approach works based on fixing the current bias of silicon nanowires Ion Sensitive Field Effect Transistors (ISFETs) and monitor the resulting drain voltage as the sensing signal. By fine tuning the injected current levels, we can optimize the sensing conditions according to different sensor requirements. This method proves to be highly suitable for real-time and continuous measurements of biomarkers in human biofluids. To validate our approach, we conducted experiments, with real human sera samples to simulate the composition of human interstitial fluid (ISF), using both the conventional top-gate approach and the optimized constant current method. We successfully demonstrated pH sensing within the physiopathological range of 6.5 to 8, achieving an exceptional level of accuracy in this complex matrix. Specifically, we obtained a maximum error as low as 0.92% (equivalent to 0.07 pH unit) using the constant-current method at the optimal current levels (1.71% for top-gate). Moreover, by utilizing different pools of human sera with varying total protein content, we demonstrated that the protein content among patients does not impact the sensors' performance in pH sensing. Furthermore, we tested real-human ISF samples collected from volunteers. The obtained accuracy in this scenario was also outstanding, with an error as low as 0.015 pH unit using the constant-current method and 0.178 pH unit in traditional top-gate configuration.

The significance of APACHE II as a predictor of mortality in paraquat poisoning: A systematic review and meta-analysis

The Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) scoring system is utilised as a prognostic method in paraquat poisoning; however, current evidence shows ambiguity. Although some studies have shown APACHE II to be a superior tool, others have reported it inferior to other prognostic markers, such as lactate, severity index of paraquat poisoning and urine paraquat concentration. Hence, to address this ambiguity, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to analyse prognostic accuracy of APACHE II score in predicting mortality in paraquat poisoning. We included twenty studies with 2524 paraquat poisoned patients in the systematic review, after a comprehensive literature search in databases PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Scopus and Cochrane Library, from which 16 studies were included in the meta-analysis. The survivors of paraquat poisoning were found to have significantly lower APACHE II scores (Mean Difference (MD): -5.76; 95% CI: -7.93 to -3.60 p < 0.0001; n = 16 studies) compared to non-survivors. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio (PLR), negative likelihood ratio (NLR) and diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) for APACHE II score <9 was found to be 74%, 68%, 2.58, 0.38 and 7.10, respectively (n = 5 studies). The area under the curve (AUC) of the bivariate summary receiver operating characteristic (SROC) curve was found to be 0.80. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, PLR, NLR and DOR for APACHE II score ≥9 was found to be 73%, 86%, 4.69, 0.33 and 16.42, respectively (n = 9 studies). The AUC of the SROC curve was found to be 0.89. Pairwise AUC comparison of APACHE II with other prognostic markers showed serum presepsin to have a significantly better discriminatory ability than APACHE II. Through the findings of this study, we conclude that APACHE II was found to be a good indicator of death in paraquat poisoning patients. However, higher APACHE II scores (≥9) depicted greater specificity in predicting mortality in paraquat poisoning. Thus, APACHE II can be used as a practical tool in the hand of physicians to prognose patients with paraquat poisoning to aid clinical decisions.

Long-Term Outcome of Severe Metabolic Acidemia in ICU Patients, a BICAR-ICU Trial Post Hoc Analysis

OBJECTIVES

Long-term prognosis of ICU survivors is a major issue. Severe acidemia upon ICU admission is associated with very high short-term mortality. Since the long-term prognosis of these patients is unknown, we aimed to determine the long-term health-related quality of life and survival of these patients.

DESIGN

Post hoc analysis of a multicenter, randomized, controlled trial.

SETTING

Twenty-six French ICUs.

PATIENTS

Day 28 critically ill survivors admitted with severe acidemia and enrolled in the BICAR-ICU trial.

INTERVENTION

Sodium bicarbonate versus no sodium bicarbonate infusion according to the randomization group.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

The primary outcome was health-related quality of life (HRQoL) measured with the 36-item Short Form Health Survey and the EuroQol 5-D questionnaires. Secondary outcomes were mortality, end-stage renal disease treated with renal replacement therapy or renal transplantation, place of residence, professional status, and ICU readmission. HRQoL was reduced with no significant difference between the two groups. HRQoL was reduced particularly in the role-physical health domain (64/100 ± 41 in the control group and 49/100 ± 43 in the bicarbonate group, p = 0.28), but it was conserved in the emotional domains (96/100 ± 19 in the control group and 86/100 ± 34 in the bicarbonate group, p = 0.44). Forty percent of the survivors described moderate to severe problems walking, and half of the survivors described moderate to severe problems dealing with usual activities. Moderate to severe anxiety or depression symptoms were present in one third of the survivors. Compared with the French general population, HRQoL was decreased in the survivors mostly in the physical domains. The 5-year overall survival rate was 30% with no significant difference between groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Long-term HRQoL was decreased in both the control and the sodium bicarbonate groups of the BICAR-ICU trial and was lower than the general population, especially in the physical domains.

Venous blood gases in pediatric patients: a lost art?

Blood oximetry provides a fundamental approach to blood gases for inpatients. Arterial blood gases (ABG) have been considered the gold standard for blood oximetry assessment. Venous blood gas (VBG) evaluation is frequently available and provides a source of a more comfortable method for the assessment of blood oximetry in pediatric patients. Some data provided by the venous blood gas can be additive and offer insights apart from the arterial blood gas. The purpose of this review was to provide an assessment of the performance of VBG in pediatric patients. The study concludes that VBG are helpful tools in assessing oxygenation and ventilation in critically ill children and can be used as a marker of adequacy of systemic oxygen delivery. In the setting of systemic oxygen delivery decrease or oxygen extraction increase, the partial pressure of oxygen on the VBG will decrease. Thus, the partial pressure of oxygen and the corresponding venous saturation can be a marker of systemic oxygen delivery in a variety of illnesses. Simultaneous ABG and VBG comparison can actually lend great insight to not only the respiratory status of a patient but provide an assessment of the adequacy of cardiac output and systemic oxygen delivery.

Intradermal Glycine Detection with a Wearable Microneedle Biosensor: The First In Vivo Assay

Glycine (GLY) is gaining importance in medical diagnoses due to its relationship with multiple physiological functions. Today, GLY is exclusively analyzed using instrumentation centralized in clinical labs, and a tangible point-of-care tool that gathers real-time data from the patient for effective and fast evaluations is lacking. Relevant clinical advances are expected as soon as the rapid provision of both punctual and continuous measurements is possible. In that context, this work presents a microneedle (MN)-based biosensor for intradermal GLY detection in interstitial fluid (ISF). The MN tip is externally tailored to detect GLY levels through the hydrogen peroxide formed in its reaction with a quinoprotein-based GLY oxidase enzyme. The analytical performance of the MN biosensor indicates a fast response time (<7 s); acceptable reversibility, reproducibility, and stability; as well as a wide linear range of response (25–600 μM) that covers the physiological levels of GLY in ISF. The MN biosensor conveniently exhibits high selectivity for GLY over other compounds commonly found in ISF, and the response is not influenced by temperature, pH, or skin insertions. Validated intradermal measurements of GLY were obtained at the in vitro (with pieces of rat skin), ex vivo (on-body tests of euthanized rats) and in vivo (on-body tests of anesthetized rats) levels, demonstrating its ability to produce accurate physiological data. The developed GLY MN biosensor is skin-wearable and provides reliable, real-time intradermal GLY measurements in ISF by means of a minimally invasive approach.

Course of lactate, pH and base excess for prediction of mortality in medical intensive care patients

Introduction

As base excess had shown superiority over lactate as a prognostic parameter in intensive care unit (ICU) surgical patients we aimed to evaluate course of lactate, base excess and pH for prediction of mortality of medical ICU patients.

Materials and methods

For lactate, pH and base excess, values at the admission to ICU, at 24 ± 4 hours, maximum or minimum in the first 24 hours and in 24–48 hours after admission were collected from all patients admitted to the Medical ICU of the University Hospital Tübingen between January 2016 until December 2018 (N = 4067 at admission, N = 1715 with ICU treatment > 48 h) and investigated for prediction of in-hospital-mortality.

Results

Mortality was 22% and significantly correlated with all evaluated parameters. Strongest predictors of mortality determined by ROC were maximum lactate in 24 h (AUROC 0.74, cut off 2.7 mmol/L, hazard ratio of risk group with value > cut off 3.20) and minimum pH in 24 h (AUROC 0.71, cut off 7.31, hazard ratio for risk group 2.94). Kaplan Meier Curves stratified across these cut offs showed early and clear separation. Hazard ratios per standard deviation increase were highest for maximum lactate in 24 h (HR 1.65), minimum base excess in 24 h (HR 1.56) and minimum pH in 24 h (HR 0.75).

Conclusion

Lactate, pH and base excess were all suitable predictors of mortality in internal ICU patients, with maximum / minimum values in 24 and 24–48 h after admission altogether stronger predictors than values at admission. Base excess and pH were not superior to lactate for prediction of mortality.

Assessing predictors of futility in patients receiving massive transfusions

BACKGROUND

Massive transfusions are associated with a high mortality rate, but there is little evidence indicating when such efforts are futile. The purpose of this study was to identify clinical variables that could be used as futility indicators in massively transfused patients.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 138 adult surgical patients at our institution receiving a massive transfusion (2016-2019). Peak lactate and nadir pH within 24 h of massive transfusion initiation, along with other clinical variables, were assessed as predictors of the primary outcome, in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

The overall rate of in-hospital mortality among our patient population was 52.9% (n = 73). Increasing lactate and decreasing pH were associated with greater mortality among massively transfused patients. Mortality rates were ~2-fold higher for patients in the highest lactate category (≥10.0 mmol/L: 25 of 37; 67.6%) compared to the lowest category (0.0-4.9 mmol/L: 17 of 48; 35.4%) (p = .005), and ~2.5-fold higher for patients in the lowest pH category (<7.00: 8 of 9; 88.9%) compared to the highest category (≥7.40: 8 of 23; 34.7%) (p = .016). Increasing age was also associated with higher mortality (≥65 years: 24 of 33; 72.7%) when compared to younger patients (18-64 years: 49 of 105; 46.7%) (p = .010).

CONCLUSIONS

Peak lactate ≥10.0 mmol/L, nadir pH <7.00, and age ≥65 years were significantly associated with higher rates of in-hospital mortality among massively transfused patients. Incorporating these clinical parameters into a futility index for massive transfusions will be useful in situations where blood products are scarce and/or mortality may be unavoidable.

Risk Potential for Organ Dysfunction Associated With Sodium Bicarbonate Therapy in Critically Ill Patients With Hemodynamic Worsening

Background: The role of sodium bicarbonate therapy (SBT) remains controversial. This study aimed to investigate whether hemodynamic status before SBT contributed to the heterogeneous outcomes associated with SBT in acute critically ill patients. Methods: We obtained data from patients with metabolic acidosis from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC)-III database. Propensity score matching (PSM) was applied to match the SBT group with the control group. Logistic regression and Cox regression were used to analyze a composite of newly "developed or exacerbated organ dysfunction" (d/eOD) within 7 days of ICU admission and 28-day mortality associated with SBT for metabolic acidosis. Results: A total of 1,765 patients with metabolic acidosis were enrolled, and 332 pairs obtained by PSM were applied to the final analyses in the study. An increased incidence of newly d/eOD was observed in the SB group compared with the control group (54.8 vs. 44.6%, p < 0.01). Multivariable logistic regression indicated that the adjusted OR of SBT for this composite outcome was no longer significant [OR (95% CI): 1.39 (0.9, 1.85); p = 0.164]. This effect of SBT did not change with the quintiles stratified by pH. Interestingly, SBT was associated with an increased risk of the composite of newly d/eOD in the subgroup of patients with worsening hemodynamics before SBT [adjusted OR (95% CI): 3.6 (1.84, 7.22), p < 0.001]. Moreover, the risk potential for this composite of outcomes was significantly increased in patients characterized by both worsening [adjusted OR (95% CI): 2.91 (1.54, 5.47), p < 0.001] and unchanged hemodynamics [adjusted OR (95% CI): 1.94 (1.01, 3.72), p = 0.046] compared to patients with improved hemodynamics before SBT. Our study failed to demonstrate an association between SBT and 28-day mortality in acute critically ill patients with metabolic acidosis. Conclusions: Our findings did not demonstrate an association between SBT and outcomes in critically ill patients with metabolic acidosis. However, patients with either worsening or unchanged hemodynamic status in initial resuscitation had a significantly higher risk potential of newly d/eOD subsequent to SBT.

Arterial blood gas as a prognostic indicator in patients with sepsis

Abnormal arterial blood gas (ABG) among patients with sepsis is an important prognostic indicator. All-cause mortality was the highest among patients with respiratory acidosis (4/9 = 44.4%), followed by those having metabolic acidosis (3/8 = 37.5%). Median length of hospital and intensive care unit stay was 15.75 days and 6.25 days for those with abnormal ABG and 11 and 3.5 days among those with normal ABG. Median health-care expenditure at the time of discharge or death of the patient was the highest in patients with respiratory acidosis ($14,473) and least in patients with normal ABG ($3,384) (average expenditure among patients with abnormal ABG was [$10,059]).

Natural History of Aerosol Induced Lassa Fever in Non‑Human Primates

Lassa virus (LASV), an arenavirus causing Lassa fever, is endemic to West Africa with up to 300,000 cases and between 5000 and 10,000 deaths per year. Rarely seen in the United States, Lassa virus is a CDC category A biological agent inasmuch deliberate aerosol exposure can have high mortality rates compared to naturally acquired infection. With the need for an animal model, specific countermeasures remain elusive as there is no FDA-approved vaccine. This natural history of aerosolized Lassa virus exposure in Macaca fascicularis was studied under continuous telemetric surveillance. The macaque response to challenge was largely analogous to severe human disease with fever, tachycardia, hypotension, and tachypnea. During initial observations, an increase trend of activated monocytes positive for viral glycoprotein was accompanied by lymphocytopenia. Disease uniformly progressed to high viremia followed by low anion gap, alkalosis, anemia, and thrombocytopenia. Hypoproteinemia occurred late in infection followed by increased levels of white blood cells, cytokines, chemokines, and biochemical markers of liver injury. Viral nucleic acids were detected in tissues of three non‑survivors at endpoint, but not in the lone survivor. This study provides useful details to benchmark a pivotal model of Lassa fever in support of medical countermeasure development for both endemic disease and traditional biodefense purposes.