Cerebrovascular Events in Patients Undergoing Transfemoral Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation: A Pooled Patient-Level Study

BACKGROUND

Cerebrovascular events remain one of the most devastating complications of transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). Data from real-world contemporary cohorts on longitudinal trends and outcomes remain limited. The aim of this study was to assess incidence, temporal trends, predictors, and outcomes of cerebrovascular events following transfemoral TAVI.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The CENTER2 (Cerebrovascular Events in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation With Balloon-Expandable Valves Versus Self-Expandable Valves 2) study includes patients undergoing TAVI between 2007 and 2022. The database contains pooled patient-level data from 10 clinical studies. A total of 24 305 patients underwent transfemoral TAVI (mean age 81.5±6.7 years, 56% women, median Society of Thoracic Surgeon Predicted Risk of Mortality 4.9% [3.1%-8.5%]). Of these patients, 2.2% (n=534) experienced stroke in the first 30 days after TAVI, and 40 (0.4%) had a transient ischemic attack. Stroke rates remained stable during the treatment period (2007-2010: 2.1%, 2011-2014: 2.5%, 2015-2018: 2.1%, 2019-2022: 2.1%; Ptrend=0.28). Moreover, 30-day cerebrovascular event rates were similar across Society of Thoracic Surgeon Predicted Risk of Mortality risk categories: 2.1% in low-risk, 2.6% in intermediate-risk, and 2.5% in high-risk patients (P=0.21). Mortality was higher in patients with 30-day stroke than without at 30 days (20.3% versus 4.7%; odds ratio, 5.1 [95% CI, 4.1-6.5]; P<0.001) and at 1 year (44.1% versus 15.0%; hazard ratio, 3.5 [95% CI, 3.0-4.2]; P<0.001). One-year mortality rates for stroke did not decline over time (2007-2010: 46.9%, 2011-2014: 46.0%, 2015-2018: 43.0%, 2019-2022: 39.1%; Ptrend=0.32). At 1 year, 7.0% of patients undergoing TAVI had a stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

In 24 305 patients who underwent transfemoral TAVI, 30-day cerebrovascular event incidence remained ≈ 2.2% between 2007 and 2022. Thirty-day stroke rates were similar throughout Society of Thoracic Surgeon Predicted Risk of Mortality risk categories. Mortality rates after stroke remain high.

REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT03588247.

The role of Matrix Metalloproteinase-2 and Galectin-3 as predictive biomarkers for all-cause mortality in patients undergoing transfemoral transcatheter aortic valve implantation

BACKGROUND

Currently available risk scores fail to accurately predict morbidity and mortality in patients with severe symptomatic aortic stenosis who undergo transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). In this context, biomarkers like matrix metalloproteinase-2 (MMP-2) and Galectin-3 (Gal-3) may provide additional prognostic information.

METHODS

Patients with severe aortic stenosis undergoing consecutive, elective, transfemoral TAVI were included. Baseline demographic data, functional status, echocardiographic findings, clinical outcomes and biomarker levels were collected and analysed.

RESULTS

The study cohort consisted of 89 patients (age 80.4 ± 5.1 years, EuroScore II 7.1 ± 5.8%). During a median follow-up period of 526 d, 28 patients (31.4%) died. Among those who died, median baseline MMP-2 (alive: 221.6 [170.4; 263] pg/mL vs. deceased: 272.1 [225; 308.8] pg/mL, p < 0.001) and Gal-3 levels (alive: 19.1 [13.5; 24.6] pg/mL vs. deceased: 25 [17.6; 29.5] pg/mL, p = 0.006) were higher than in survivors. In ROC analysis, MMP-2 reached an acceptable level of discrimination to predict mortality (AUC 0.733, 95% CI [0.62; 0.83], p < 0.001), but the predictive value of Gal-3 was poor (AUC 0.677, 95% CI [0.56; 0.79], p = 0.002). Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses showed that patients with MMP-2 and Gal-3 concentrations above the median at baseline had significantly impaired long-term survival (p = 0.004 and p = 0.02, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with severe aortic stenosis undergoing transfemoral TAVI, MMP-2 and to a lesser extent Gal-3, seem to have additive value in optimizing risk prediction and streamlining decision-making.

Predicting 5-Year Clinical Outcomes After Transcatheter or Surgical Aortic Valve Replacement (a Risk Score from the SURTAVI Trial)

Risk prediction scores for long-term outcomes after transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) or surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) are lacking. This study aimed to develop preprocedural risk scores for 5-year clinical outcomes after TAVI or SAVR. This analysis included 1,660 patients at an intermediate surgical risk with severe aortic stenosis randomly assigned to TAVI (n = 864) or SAVR (n = 796) from the SURTAVI (Surgical Replacement and Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation) trial. The primary end point was a composite of all-cause mortality or disabling stroke at 5 years. The secondary end point was a composite of cardiovascular mortality or hospitalizations for valve disease or worsening heart failure at 5 years. Preprocedural multivariable predictors of clinical outcomes were used to calculate a simple risk score for both procedures. At 5 years, the primary end point occurred in 31.3% of the patients with TAVI and 30.8% of the patients with SAVR. Preprocedural predictors differed between TAVI and SAVR. Baseline anticoagulant use was a common predictor for events in both procedures, whereas male sex and a left ventricular ejection fraction <60% were significant predictors for events in patients with TAVI and SAVR, respectively. A total of 4 simple scoring systems were created based on these multivariable predictors. The C-statistics of all models were modest but performed better than the contemporary risk scores. In conclusion, preprocedural predictors of events differ between TAVI and SAVR, necessitating separate risk models. Despite the modest predictive value of the SURTAVI risk scores, they appeared superior to other contemporary scores. Further research is needed to strengthen and validate our risk scores, possibly by including biomarker and echocardiographic parameters.

Assessment of TVT and STS Risk Score Performances in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement

Background

The Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) score has been used to risk stratify patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). The Transcatheter Valve Therapy (TVT) score was developed to predict in-hospital mortality in high/prohibitive-risk patients. Its performance in low and intermediate-risk patients is unknown. We sought to compare TVT and STS scores' ability to predict clinical outcomes in all-surgical-risk patients undergoing TAVR.

Methods

Consecutive patients undergoing TAVR from 2012-2020 within a large health care system were retrospectively reviewed and stratified by STS risk score. Predictive abilities of TVT and STS scores were compared using observed-to-expected mortality ratios (O:E) and area under the receiver operating characteristics curves (AUCs) for 30-day and 1-year mortality.

Results

We assessed a total of 3270 patients (mean age 79 ± 9 years, 45% female), including 191 (5.8%) low-risk, 1093 (33.4%) intermediate-risk, 1584 (48.4%) high-risk, and 402 (5.8%) inoperable. Mean TVT and STS scores were 3.5% ± 2.0% and 6.1% ± 4.3%, respectively. Observed 30-day and 1-year mortality were 2.8% (92/3270; O:E TVT 0.8 ± 0.16 vs STS 0.46 ± 0.09), and 13.2% (432/3270), respectively. In the all-comers population, both TVT and STS risk scores showed poor prediction of 30-day (AUC: TVT 0.68 [0.62-0.74] vs STS 0.64 [0.58-0.70]), and 1-year (AUC: TVT 0.65 [0.62-0.58] vs STS 0.65 [0.62-0.58]) mortality. After stratifying by surgical risk, discrimination of the TVT and STS scores remained poor in all categories at 30 days and 1 year.

Conclusions

An updated TAVR risk score with improved predictive ability across all-surgical-risk categories should be developed based on a larger national registry.

Transapical TAVI: Survival, Hemodynamics, Devices and Machine Learning. Lessons Learned After 10-Year Experience

Aim of this single-center, retrospective study was to assess early and long-term clinical and hemodynamic results of transapical aortic valve implantation (TA-TAVI), and to identify predictors of survival at follow-up. All patients undergoing TA-TAVI for severe aortic valve stenosis at our institution were reviewed. A hybrid approach based on machine-learning techniques was employed to identify survival predictors, using a Bagging-Decision-Tree algorithm and a Random-Forest algorithm, respectively. Two-hundred-thirty-four consecutive patients underwent TA-TAVI (March 2009-May 2019). All-cause 30-day mortality was 5.1%. Device success was 95.7%. Median follow-up time was 35.2 months. Kaplan-Meier overall survival rates at 2, 5, and 8 years were 75%, 44%, and 15%, respectively. Structural-valve-deterioration occurred in 25 patients (11.3%) overall. The strongest predictors of survival at follow-up were age, body-mass-index, and ejection fraction. TA-TAVI provided valid early and long-term outcomes. These data support its choice as an optimal alternative access whenever the transfemoral route is not feasible.

Emergency transcatheter aortic valve implantation for acute heart failure due to severe aortic stenosis in critically ill patients with or without cardiogenic shock

AIMS

Severe aortic stenosis can cause acute heart failure and cardiogenic shock (CS). Transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) is the standard therapy for aortic stenosis in inoperable patients. However, its role in this setting is poorly evaluated. The study purpose was to explore clinical characteristics of these patients and to assess predictors of mortality.

METHODS AND RESULTS

All 2930 patients undergoing transfemoral TAVI at our centre between 2013 and 2019 were screened for critically ill patients, receiving intensive care therapy and emergency TAVI. Selected patients were subdivided into two groups, according to the presence or absence of CS. Remaining patients undergoing elective TAVI served as a comparison. Primary outcome was 90-day mortality. Out of 179 critically ill patients, 47 fulfilled criteria of CS (shock group) and 132 did not despite a severe decompensation (no shock group). Shock patients were more often male and had higher Society of Thoracic Surgeons scores [15.6, interquartile range (8.0-32.1) vs. 5.5 (3.9-8.5), P < 0.01] compared with severely decompensated patients. Ninety-day mortality was: shock group, 42.6%, vs. no shock group, 15.9%, vs. elective group, 5.3% (P < 0.01). A landmark analysis from day 90 showed similar mortality (P = 0.29). Compared with elective patients, 30-day composite endpoint device failure was higher in critically ill groups [shock group, odds ratio, 2.86 (1.43-5.36), no shock group, odds ratio, 1.74 (1.09-2.69)]. Multivariable regression revealed mechanical ventilation, haemofiltration, elevated C-reactive protein or bilirubin, and hypotension before TAVI as 90-day mortality predictors.

CONCLUSION

Ninety-day mortality after TAVI in critically ill patients is increased but survivors have similar outcomes as elective patients.

Diabetes mellitus in transfemoral transcatheter aortic valve implantation: a propensity matched analysis

BACKGROUND

Diabetes Mellitus (DM) affects a third of patients with symptomatic severe aortic valve stenosis undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). DM is a well-known risk factor for cardiac surgery, but its prognostic impact in TAVI patients remains controversial. This study aimed to evaluate outcomes in diabetic patients undergoing TAVI.

METHODS

This multicentre registry includes data of > 12,000 patients undergoing transfemoral TAVI. We assessed baseline patient characteristics and clinical outcomes in patients with DM and without DM. Clinical outcomes were defined by the second valve academic research consortium. Propensity score matching was applied to minimize potential confounding.

RESULTS

Of the 11,440 patients included, 31% (n = 3550) had DM and 69% (n = 7890) did not have DM. Diabetic patients were younger but had an overall worse cardiovascular risk profile than non-diabetic patients. All-cause mortality rates were comparable at 30 days (4.5% vs. 4.9%, RR 0.9, 95%CI 0.8-1.1, p = 0.43) and at one year (17.5% vs. 17.4%, RR 1.0, 95%CI 0.9-1.1, p = 0.86) in the unmatched population. Propensity score matching obtained 3281 patient-pairs. Also in the matched population, mortality rates were comparable at 30 days (4.7% vs. 4.3%, RR 1.1, 95%CI 0.9-1.4, p = 0.38) and one year (17.3% vs. 16.2%, RR 1.1, 95%CI 0.9-1.2, p = 0.37). Other clinical outcomes including stroke, major bleeding, myocardial infarction and permanent pacemaker implantation, were comparable between patients with DM and without DM. Insulin treated diabetics (n = 314) showed a trend to higher mortality compared with non-insulin treated diabetics (n = 701, Hazard Ratio 1.5, 95%CI 0.9-2.3, p = 0.08). EuroSCORE II was the most accurate risk score and underestimated 30-day mortality with an observed-expected ratio of 1.15 in DM patients, STS-PROM overestimated actual mortality with a ratio of 0.77 and Logistic EuroSCORE with 0.35.

CONCLUSION

DM was not associated with mortality during the first year after TAVI. DM patients undergoing TAVI had low rates of mortality and other adverse clinical outcomes, comparable to non-DM TAVI patients. Our results underscore the safety of TAVI treatment in DM patients.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The study is registered at clinicaltrials.gov (NCT03588247).

Similar clinical outcomes with transcatheter aortic valve implantation and surgical aortic valve replacement in octogenarians with aortic stenosis

Background

Transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) is the preferred treatment option for severe aortic stenosis in the elderly and in patients with comorbidities. We sought to compare outcomes after TAVI and surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) in octogenarians.

Methods

In this retrospective cohort study conducted at our tertiary center, clinical data were gathered before and after TAVI and SAVR procedures performed from January 2013 to May 2019; follow-up completed in March 2021. The primary outcome was 1-year mortality. Patients were stratified according to Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) score and procedure type. Propensity score-based matching was also performed.

Results

Of 542 patients who matched the inclusion criteria, 273 underwent TAVI and 269 SAVR. TAVI patients were older (85.8 ± 3.0 vs. 82.2 ± 2.2 years; P &lt; 0.001) and had a higher mean STS score (5.0 ± 4.0 vs. 2.8 ± 1.3; P &lt; 0.001) and EuroSCORE II (5.3 ± 4.1 vs. 2.8 ± 6.0; P &lt; 0.001). Rates of postoperative permanent pacemaker insertion (15.0% vs. 9.3%; P = 0.040) and paravalvular leak (9.9% vs. 0.8%; P &lt; 0.001) were higher and acute kidney injury lower (8.8% vs. 32.7%; P &lt; 0.001) after TAVI, with no difference between treatment groups for major bleeding (11.0% vs. 6.7%; P = 0.130) or 30-day mortality (5.5% vs. 3.7%; P = 0.315). A statistically significant difference was found between TAVI and SAVR in low- and intermediate-risk groups when it came to occurrence of paravalvular leak, acute kidney injury, and new onset AF (all P &lt; 0.001).

Conclusion

This analysis of an octogenarian “real-life” population undergoing TAVI or SAVR (with a biological valve) showed similar outcomes regarding clinical endpoints in low- and medium-risk (STS score) groups.

A Risk Model for 1-Year Mortality After Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement From the J-TVT Registry

Background

Although transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) has demonstrated favorable outcomes in randomized studies, there remains a sizable group of patients in whom TAVR may be futile. Characterizing the survival rate in a wide array of patients undergoing TAVR can help develop effective strategies for improving the allocation of medial resources.

Objectives

The aim of this study was to develop a risk model to estimate 1-year mortality after TAVR from a representative nationwide registry in Japan.

Methods

The J-TVT (Japan Transcatheter Valve Therapies) registry contains complete data, including 1-year outcomes, on patients undergoing TAVR in Japan. A total of 17,655 patients underwent TAVR between 2013 and 2018. They were randomly divided into 2 groups in a 7:3 ratio to form a derivation cohort of 12,316 patients and a validation cohort of 5,339 patients. A risk model was constructed for 1-year mortality in the derivation cohort, and its discrimination and calibration were assessed in the validation cohort.

Results

The mean age of all registered patients was 84.4 years, and 68.8% were women. The mean body size area was 1.43 m2, and the mean Society of Thoracic Surgeons Predicted Risk of Mortality score was 7.3%. The estimated 1-year survival was 91.8%; 202 and 1,316 deaths were observed at 30 days and 1 year, respectively; The estimated C index for the developed model was 0.733 (95% CI: 0.709-0.757) in the validation cohort, with good calibration.

Conclusions

A prediction model for 1-year survival following TAVR derived from a national clinical database performed well and should aid physicians managing TAVR patients.

Clinical Factors and Outcomes When Real-World Heart Teams Overruled STS Risk Scores in TAVR Cases

Objectives

This study was conducted to determine why heart teams recommended transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) versus surgical AVR (SAVR) for patients at low predicted risk of mortality (PROM) and describe outcomes of these cases.

Background

Historically, referral to TAVR was based predominately on the Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) risk model's PROM >3%. In selected cases, heart teams had latitude to overrule these scores. The clinical reasons and outcomes for these cases are unclear.

Methods

Retrospective data were gathered for all TAVR and SAVR cases conducted by 9 hospitals between 2013 and 2017.

Results

Cases included TAVR patients with STS PROM >3% (n = 2,711) and ≤3% (n = 415) and SAVR with STS PROM ≤3% (n = 1,438). Leading reasons for recommending TAVR in the PROM ≤3% group were frailty (57%), hostile chest (22%), severe lung disease (16%), and morbid obesity (13%), and 44% of cases had multiple reasons. Most postoperative and 30-day outcomes were similar between TAVR groups, but the STS PROM ≤3% group had a one-day shorter length of stay (2.5 ± 3.4 vs. 3.5 ± 4.7 days; p ≤ 0.001) and higher one-year survival (91.6% vs. 86.0%, p=0.002). In patients with STS PROM ≤3%, 30-day mortality was higher for TAVR versus SAVR (2.0% vs. 0.6%; p < 0.001).

Conclusions

Heart teams recommended TAVR in patients with STS PROM ≤3% primarily due to frailty, hostile chest, severe lung disease, and/or morbid obesity. Similar postoperative outcomes between these patients and those with STS PROM >3% suggest that decisions to overrule STS PROM ≤3% were merited and may have reduced SAVR 30-day mortality rate.

C-Reactive Protein to Albumin Ratio in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate whether the serum C-reactive protein to albumin ratio (CAR) could be used for risk stratification of patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) for severe aortic stenosis (AS).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Frailty is a predictor of poor outcomes in patients undergoing AS interventions. The CAR reflects key components of frailty (systemic inflammation and nutrition) and could potentially be implemented into assessment and management strategies for patients with AS. From March 1, 2010, through February 29, 2020, 1836 patients were prospectively enrolled in an observational TAVR database. Patients (prospective development cohort, n=763) were grouped into CAR quartiles to compare the upper quartile (CAR Q4) with the lower quartiles (CAR Q1-3). Primary end point was all-cause mortality. Results were verified in an independent retrospective cohort (n=1403).

RESULTS

The CAR Q4 had a higher prevalence of impaired left ventricular function, atrial fibrillation, diabetes, and cerebrovascular disease and a higher median logistic European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) vs CAR Q1-3. After median follow-up of 15.0 months, all-cause mortality was significantly higher in CAR Q4 vs CAR Q1-3 (P<.001). In multivariable analyses, risk factors for all-cause mortality were CAR Q4 (>0.1632; hazard ratio, 1.45; 95% confidence interval, 1.05 to 2.00; P=.03), N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide Q4 (>3230 pg/mL [to convert to ng/L, multiply by 1), high-sensitivity troponin T Q4 (>0.0395 ng/mL [to convert to μg/L, multiply by 1]), above-median logistic EuroSCORE (16.1%), myocardial infarction, Acute Kidney Injury Network stage 3, and life-threatening bleeding.

CONCLUSION

Elevated CAR was associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality in patients undergoing transfemoral TAVR. The CAR, a simple, objective tool to assess frailty, could be incorporated into assessing patients with AS being considered for TAVR.

Diagnostic Work-Up of the Aortic Patient: An Integrated Approach toward the Best Therapeutic Option

Aortic stenosis (AS) is the most common valvular heart disease. In the last decade, transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) has become the standard of care for symptomatic patients at high surgical risk. Recently, indications to TAVI have also been extended to the low surgical risk and intermediate surgical risk populations. Consequently, in this setting, some aspects acquire greater relevance: surgical risk evaluation, clinical assessment, multimodality imaging of the valve, and management of coronary artery disease. Moreover, future issues such as coronary artery re-access and valve-in-valve interventions should be considered in the valve selection process. This review aims to summarize the principal aspects of a multidimensional (multidisciplinary) and comprehensive preprocedural work-up. The Heart Team is at the center of the decision-making process of the management of aortic valve disease and bears responsibility for offering each patient a tailored approach based on an individual evaluation of technical aspects together with the risks and benefits of each modality. Considering the progressive expansion in TAVI indication and technological progress, the role of a work-up and multidisciplinary Heart Team will be even more relevant.

Dissemination of Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement in the United States

BACKGROUND

Societal guidelines and payor coverage decisions for transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) attempt to strike a balance between providing access and maintaining quality. The extent to which dissemination of TAVR has achieved these ideals remains unknown.

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to define patterns of TAVR dissemination in the United States and their influence on outcomes.

METHODS

Using data from the TVT (Transcatheter Valvular Therapy) registry, this study identified TAVR sites from 2011 to 2018 and calculated drive-times from existing to new sites. In a contemporary cohort, this study compared site and patient characteristics by annual case volume and density of sites per million Medicare beneficiaries. Using hierarchical regression and Cox methods, this study determined the association between case volumes, site density, and changes in volume and density with patient risk profiles and outcomes.

RESULTS

TAVR sites participating in the TVT registry increased from 198 to 556 from 2011 to 2018. Median drive-time from existing to new sites decreased from 403 minutes (interquartile range: 211-587 minutes) to 26 minutes (interquartile range: 17-48 minutes). In a contemporary cohort, higher site density was associated with lower procedural risk as well as with an increased hazard of 30-day risk-adjusted mortality (P = 0.017). Similarly, longitudinal increases in site density over time were associated with a higher hazard of 30-day (P = 0.011) and 1-year (P = 0.013) mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

TAVR has expanded significantly over time, but with regional clustering of sites. Although procedural risk is lower at higher density sites, these sites demonstrate an increased hazard of mortality. These findings suggest that the expansion of TAVR services in the United States may have had unintended consequences on procedural quality.

A novel, comprehensive tool for predicting 30-day mortality after surgical aortic valve replacement

OBJECTIVES

We sought to develop and validate a novel risk assessment tool for the prediction of 30-day mortality after surgical aortic valve replacement incorporating a patient's frailty.

METHODS

Overall, 4718 patients from the multicentre study OBSERVANT was divided into derivation (n = 3539) and validation (n = 1179) cohorts. A stepwise logistic regression procedure and a criterion based on Akaike information criteria index were used to select variables associated with 30-day mortality. The performance of the regression model was compared with that of European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) II.

RESULTS

At 30 days, 90 (2.54%) and 35 (2.97%) patients died in the development and validation data sets, respectively. Age, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, concomitant coronary revascularization, frailty stratified according to the Geriatric Status Scale, urgent procedure and estimated glomerular filtration rate were independent predictors of 30-day mortality. The estimated OBS AVR score showed higher discrimination (area under curve 0.76 vs 0.70, P < 0.001) and calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow P = 0.847 vs P = 0.130) than the EuroSCORE II. The higher performances of the OBS AVR score were confirmed by the decision curve, net reclassification index (0.46, P = 0.011) and integrated discrimination improvement (0.02, P < 0.001) analyses. Five-year mortality increased significantly along increasing deciles of the OBS AVR score (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The OBS AVR risk score showed high discrimination and calibration abilities in predicting 30-day mortality after surgical aortic valve replacement. The addition of a simplified frailty assessment into the model seems to contribute to an improved predictive ability over the EuroSCORE II. The OBS AVR risk score showed a significant association with long-term mortality.

Asia Pacific TAVI registry (an APSIC initiative): initial report of early outcomes: Asia Pacific TAVI registry

AIMS

The aim of the study was to report the clinical experience, 30-day mortality and acute outcomes of patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) in the Asia Pacific region.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The Asia Pacific TAVI registry is an international, multicentre, prospective, observational registry managed under the auspices of the Asian Pacific Society of Interventional Cardiology (APSIC). Patients undergoing TAVI in seven centres from Hong Kong, Japan, Philippines, Singapore and Taiwan, treated with TAVI devices for severe symptomatic aortic stenosis, were assessed. This first review presents the acute results and 30-day mortality. A multivariable analysis was also performed to identify independent predictors of early all-cause mortality. The enrolment was from 2009 to 2017 and a total of 1,125 patients were recruited. The 30-day mortality rate was 2.5%. Baseline logistic EuroSCORE more than 16 was independently associated with a 2.8-times increased risk of 30-day all-cause mortality (p=0.016). Post-procedural stroke (HR 4.9, p=0.008) was also associated with increased mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

This initial report of the Asia Pacific TAVI registry demonstrated good acute success and low 30-day mortality. The preprocedural logistic EuroSCORE and post-procedural stroke incidence were strongly associated with acute mortality. Further attempts to reduce post-procedural stroke should be explored.

Current Therapeutic Options in Aortic Stenosis

Aortic stenosis is the most common valvular disease requiring valve replacement. Valve replacement therapies have undergone progressive evolution since the 1960s. Over the last 20 years, transcatheter aortic valve replacement has radically transformed the care of aortic stenosis, such that it is now the treatment of choice for many, particularly elderly, patients. This review provides an overview of the pathophysiology, presentation, diagnosis, indications for intervention, and current therapeutic options for aortic stenosis.

Assessing the Best Prognostic Score for Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation (from the RISPEVA Registry)

The ACC/TVT score is a specific predictive model of in-hospital mortality for patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). The aim of this study was to test its predictive accuracy in comparison with standard surgical risk models (Logistic Euroscore, Euroscore II, and STS-PROM) in the population of TAVI patients included in the multicenter RISPEVA (Registro Italiano GISE sull'impianto di Valvola Aortica Percutanea) registry. The study cohort included 3293 patients who underwent TAVI between 2008 and 2019. The 4 risk scores were calculated for all patients. For all scores, the capability to predict 30-day mortality was assessed by means of several analyses testing calibration and discrimination. The ACC/TVT score showed moderate discrimination, with a C-statistics for 30-day mortality of 0.63, not significantly different from the standard surgical risk models. The ACC/TVT score demonstrated, in contrast, better calibration compared with the other scores, as proved by a greater correspondence between estimated probabilities and the actual observations. However, when the ACC/TVT score was tested in the subgroup of patients treated in a more contemporary period (from 2016 on), it revealed a slight tendency to lose discrimination and to overestimate mortality risk. In conclusion, in comparison with the standard surgical risk models, the ACC/TVT score demonstrated better prediction accuracy for estimation of 30-day mortality in terms of calibration. Nevertheless, its predictive reliability remained suboptimal and tended to worsen in patients treated more recently.

Transfemoral TAVR in Nonagenarians: From the CENTER Collaboration

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to compare differences in patient characteristics and clinical outcomes of nonagenarians undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) versus patients younger than 90 years of age and to test the predictive accuracy of the logistic EuroSCORE (European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation), the EuroSCORE II, and the STS-PROM (Society of Thoracic Surgeons Predicted Risk of Mortality) for mortality after TAVR in nonagenarians.

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of severe aortic valve stenosis is increasing due to the rising life expectancy. However, there are limited data evaluating outcomes in patients older than 90 years of age. Moreover, the predictive accuracy of risk scores for mortality has not been evaluated in nonagenarian patients undergoing transfemoral TAVR.

METHODS

The CENTER (Cerebrovascular EveNts in Patients Undergoing TranscathetER Aortic Valve Implantation) collaboration (N = 12,381) is an international collaboration consisting of 3 national registries, 6 local or multicenter registries, and 1 prospective clinical study, selected through a systematic online search. The primary endpoint of this study was the difference in 30-day all-cause mortality and stroke after TAVR in nonagenarians versus patients younger than 90 years of age. Secondary endpoints included differences in baseline characteristics, in-hospital outcomes, and the differences in predictive accuracy of the logistic EuroSCORE, the EuroSCORE II, and STS-PROM.

RESULTS

A total of 882 nonagenarians and 11,499 patients younger than 90 years of age undergoing transfemoral TAVR between 2007 and 2018 were included. Nonagenarians had considerably fewer comorbidities than their counterparts. Nevertheless, rates of 30-day mortality (9.9% vs. 5.4%; relative risk [RR]: 1.8; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.4 to 2.3; p = 0.001), in-hospital stroke (3.0% vs. 1.9%; RR: 1.5; 95% CI: 1.0 to 2.3; p = 0.04), major or life-threatening bleeding (8.1% vs. 5.5%; RR: 1.6; 95% CI: 1.1 to 2.2; p = 0.004), and new-onset atrial fibrillation (7.9% vs. 5.2%; RR: 1.6; 95% CI: 1.1 to 2.2; p = 0.01) were higher in nonagenarians. The STS-PROM adequately estimated mortality in nonagenarians, with an observed-expected mortality ratio of 1.0.

CONCLUSIONS

In this large, global, patient-level analysis, mortality after transfemoral TAVR was 2-fold higher in nonagenarians compared with patients younger than 90 years of age, despite the lower prevalence of baseline comorbidities. Moreover, nonagenarians had a higher risk of in-hospital stroke, major or life-threatening bleeding, and new-onset atrial fibrillation. The STS-PROM was the only surgical risk score that accurately predicted the risk of mortality in nonagenarians.

Is the Newly Defined R2CHA2DS2-Vasc Score a Predictor for Late Mortality in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement?

Objective

To assess the performance of the modified R₂CHA₂DS₂-VASc score for predicting mid-to-long-term mortality (> 30 days) in patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR).

Methods

Data of 78 patients who underwent TAVR were retrospectively reviewed. R₂CHA₂DS₂-VASc score was compared with the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation II (EuroSCORE II or ES II) and the transcatheter valve therapytranscatheter aortic valve replacement (TVT-TAVR) risk score.

Results

The mean follow-up period was 17.4±9.9 months (maximum 37 months). Early mortality (first 30 days) was observed in 10 (12.8%) patients, whereas mid-to-long-term mortality (> 30 days) was observed in 26 (33.3%) patients. Non-survivors had higher values of R₂CHA₂DS₂-VASc, ES II, and TAVR scores than survivors (P<0.001, P<0.001, and P=0.001, respectively). Analysis of Pearson’s correlation revealed that R₂CHA₂DS₂-VASc score was moderately correlated with ES II and TAVR scores (r=0.51, P<0.001; r=0.44, P=0.001, respectively). Pairwise comparisons of R₂CHA₂DS₂-VASc (area under the curve [AUC]: 0.870, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.776-0.964; P<0.001), ES II (AUC: 0.801, 95% CI: 0.703-0.899; P<0.001), and TAVR scores (AUC: 0.730, 95% CI: 0.610-852; P=0.002) showed similar accuracy for predicting mortality. R₂CHA₂DS₂-VASc score is an independent predictor of mortality in multivariable Cox regression analysis. A cutoff value of six for R₂CHA₂DS₂-VASc score showed a sensitivity of 74% and a specificity of 89% for predicting mid-to-long-term mortality.

Conclusion

R₂CHA₂DS₂-VASc score, easily calculated from clinical parameters, is associated with prediction of mid-to-longterm mortality in patients undergoing TAVR.

Does Heart Valve Team Risk Assessment Predict Outcomes after Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement?

Consideration for transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) necessitates an integrated risk assessment by members of the Heart Valve Team. The utility of the integrated risk assessment for predicting TAVR outcomes is not established. This article aims to compare the utility of the integrated risk assessment to that of the Society of Thoracic Surgeons Predicted Risk of Mortality (STS-PROM) score for predicting patient outcomes after TAVR. A total of 274 patients who underwent TAVR from January 2016 to August 2017 were included in this study. Patients were deemed intermediate or high risk by two surgeons on the Heart Valve Team based on an integrated risk assessment that incorporates the STS-PROM score, fragility measures, end-organ dysfunction, and surgeon evaluation. Patients were also deemed low, intermediate, or high risk based solely on their STS-PROM scores of <3%, ≥3% to <8%, and ≥8%, respectively. Differences in postoperative outcomes between intermediate- and high-risk groups as categorized by the integrated risk assessment versus STS-PROM were compared. There were no statistically significant differences in postoperative outcomes between patients who were deemed high and intermediate risk by the Heart Valve Team risk assessment. In contrast, postoperative complication rates were significantly higher in patients deemed high risk as compared with intermediate risk by STS-PROM. Integrated risk assessment by the Heart Valve Team is not superior to STS-PROM in predicting postoperative outcomes in patients undergoing TAVR.

Risk stratification for nonagenarians undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement

BACKGROUND

There are disparate data on the outcomes of nonagenarians undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) compared with younger patients. The purpose of this study is to determine whether the Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) score can be used to identify the subset of nonagenarians that are at a significantly higher risk for poor postoperative outcomes after TAVR.

METHODS

A total of 425 patients above the age of 80 underwent elective TAVR between 12/2013 and 2/2018 and were included in this study. Patients were deemed intermediate or high risk based on an STS predicted the risk of surgical mortality score of 3% to 8% and more than 8%, respectively. Differences in postoperative outcomes and/or 6-month mortality between intermediate and high-risk octogenarians and nonagenarians were compared.

RESULTS

Of the 425 patients, 112 (26.4%) patients were nonagenarians, and 313 (73.6%) patients were octogenarians. Fifty-four (48.2%) of the nonagenarians were stratified as high-risk, while 78 (24.9%) of the octogenarians were stratified as high-risk. There were no statistically significant differences in the composite outcomes between intermediate-risk nonagenarians and intermediate-risk octogenarians. In contrast, high-risk nonagenarians were significantly more likely to experience the composite outcome of major perioperative complications and/or 6-month mortality as compared to high-risk octogenarians.

CONCLUSION

Intermediate-risk nonagenarians undergoing TAVR have similar postoperative outcomes compared to intermediate-risk octogenarians. However, high-risk nonagenarian patients undergoing TAVR experience significantly poorer outcomes compared to their octogenarian counterparts. Judicious patient selection for TAVR in this subgroup of patients is therefore warranted.

Usefulness of the Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement Risk Score to Determine Mid-Term Outcomes

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to investigate if the transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) risk score can independently predict outcomes following TAVR, and to evaluate its predictive performance.Methods and Results:This retrospective multicenter study comprised 682 patients with severe aortic stenosis who underwent TAVR. The primary endpoint was all-cause death following TAVR. The clinical model was established using variables identified as independent predictors in the multivariate analysis. Incremental values were assessed after adding atrial fibrillation, body mass index (BMI), and serum albumin to the TAVR risk score in receiver-operating characteristic analysis. The median TAVR risk score was 2.1% with a mean follow-up of 505 days. On Kaplan-Meier analysis, a TAVR risk score >4% had lowest survival rate, whereas TAVR risk score ≤2% had the highest survival rate at 3 years (log-rank P<0.001). The multivariate Cox regression analysis found the TAVR risk score was independently associated with all-cause death, and demonstrated moderate predictive performance for predicting all-cause death at 3 years. However, if each independent predictor is added to the model, it significantly increased discriminatory performance, particularly with BMI and serum albumin level.

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrated that the TAVR risk score could independently predict mid-term death following TAVR, and had greater predictive performance for predicting all-cause death at 3 years with BMI and serum albumin level.

The MAGGIC risk score predicts mortality in patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement: sub-analysis of the OCEAN-TAVI registry

This study is aimed to evaluate the performance of MAGGIC risk score for predicting mortality by external validation using multicenter transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) registry. We assessed 1383 patients who underwent TAVR from October 2013 to April 2016. Patients were divided into 2 groups according to the median of MAGGIC score and we compared the incidence of all-cause death between high and low MAGGIC score. To assess whether the MAGGIC risk score add prognostic value on STS risk score, we also compared the incidence of all-cause death between the 2 groups according to low, intermediate, and high STS score. The median of MAGGIC score was 29 (interquartile range: 13-46). Within 2 years, 147 cases of all-cause death were observed. The high MAGGIC (30-46) risk score was significantly associated with an increased risk of all-cause death as compared to low MAGGIC (11-29) risk score and this relationship was also observed in patients with high STS risk score. However, this relationship was not observed in patients with low and intermediate STS score. Multivariate analysis showed that the MAGGIC risk score was an independent predictor of all-cause death (hazard ratio, 1.07; 95% confidence interval, 1.03-1.11). Our results demonstrated that the MAGGIC score predicts all-cause death in TAVR population and provides better risk stratification, particularly in patients with high STS risk.

Early changes in N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide levels after transcatheter aortic valve replacement and its impact on long-term mortality

BACKGROUND

N-terminal pro-hormone B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels correlate with higher peri-procedural mortality after transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). The long-term prognostic value of NT-proBNP within the first days after TAVR, however, remains unclear. This study examined early changes in NT-proBNP prior to and within 6 days after TAVR, the diagnostic value of this biomarker regarding aortic regurgitation (AR), and its prognostic value regarding one-year mortality.

METHODS AND RESULTS

NT-proBNP concentrations were measured in 504 consecutive patients undergoing transapical (TA) or transfemoral (TF) TAVR before and directly after TAVR as well as 4 h and 1, 2, 3, and 6 days after TAVR. The follow-up period was 1 year. NT-proBNP was elevated in all patients at baseline (median 2141 ng/L [IQR 1021-5319 ng/L]). NT-proBNP changes in the first 6 days after TAVR showed significant differences depending on the approach, with a greater and more prolonged rise evident in TA-TAVR patients. NT-proBNP was an independent predictor of mortality in TA patients with AR, with an AUC of 0.794 (95% CI 0.663-0.925; P = 0.003) when measured on day 3 after TAVR. For TF patients with AR and reduced left ventricular systolic function, the AUC for prediction of mortality was 0.897 (95% CI 0.778-1.0; P = 0.004) on day 2.

CONCLUSIONS

The prognostic information of early post-procedural NT-proBNP concentrations is superior to pre-procedural values regarding all-cause mortality within 1 year. Post-procedural NT-proBNP must be interpreted in relation to the TAVR approach. NT-proBNP predicts mortality in TF-TAVR patients with AR and reduced left ventricular function.

Aortic Stenosis and Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation: Current Status and Future Directions in Korea

Transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) has been accepted as one of primary options for treatment of symptomatic severe aortic stenosis. Although TAVI has been predominantly used for patients at high risk or with old age who were not considered optimal candidates for surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR), its indication is now expanding toward low risk profile and younger age. Many clinical trials are now ongoing to test the possibility of TAVI for use in patients even with uncharted indications who are not eligible for SAVR in current guidelines but may benefit from valve replacement. Current issues including periprocedural safety, long-term adverse events, hemodynamics and durability associated with TAVI should be also solved for expanding use of TAVI. The review presents current status and future directions of TAVI and discusses perspectives in Korea.

Pre-procedural risk models for patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation

Transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) has emerged as the standard treatment option for patients with symptomatic aortic stenosis who are considered intermediate to high surgical risk. Nonetheless, optimal clinical outcomes following the procedure require careful consideration of procedural risk by the Heart Team. While this decision-making could be supported through the development of TAVI-specific clinical prediction models (CPMs), current models remain suboptimal. In this review paper, we aimed to outline the performance of several recently derived TAVI CPMs that predict mortality and present some future research directions. We discuss how the existing risk models have achieved only moderate discrimination but highlight that some of the models are well calibrated across multiple populations, indicating the feasibility of using them to aid benchmarking analyses. Moreover, we suggest that future work should focus on the development of CPMs in cohorts of patients with aortic stenosis that include multiple treatment modalities. Supported by appropriate modelling of 'what if' scenarios, this would allow the Heart Teams to predict and compare outcomes across surgical aortic valve replacement, medical management and TAVI, thereby allowing one to personalise treatment decisions to the individual patient. Such a goal could be facilitated by considering novel risk factors, shifting the focus to endpoints other than mortality, and through collaborative efforts to combine the evidence base and existing models across wider populations.

Access site complications after transfemoral aortic valve implantation - a comparison of Manta and ProGlide

Background

Despite decreasing sheath diameter, access site bleeding and vascular complications are still a major concern in transfemoral aortic valve implantation (TAVI), and may increase morbidity and even increase mortality. The aim was to compare safety of arterial closure in transfemoral TAVI with two different principles, pre-suture with ProGlide and collagen plug closure with Manta.

Results

Seventy-six patients treated with ProGlide and 75 with Manta were analysed. The endpoints were 1: access site vascular complications and 2: non-planned vascular or endovascular surgery at the puncture site. Complications occurred in 2 (2.7%) ProGlide and in 8 (10.7%) Manta cases, p = 0.047. During the learning phase there were no significant differences. In the established phase there was one event (2%) in the ProGlide group, compared to 6 endpoints (12.0%), p = 0.047, in the Manta group.

Unplanned surgery or intervention was seen in two (2.7%) ProGlide and in 7 (9.3%) Manta patients, p = ns. There were no significant differences during the learning phase. In established use, endpoints occurred more frequently in patients treated with the Manta device (12%), than in patients treated with the ProGlide (2%), p = 0.047.

Conclusion

The ProGlide presuture closure device was associated with significantly lower rates of vascular complications and lower rates of surgery and interventions compared to the collagen plug Manta system.

Trial registration

The data were collected from Internal quality control registry on treatment of patients with valvular heart disease with or without coronary artery disease, No 2014/17280, Oslo University Hospital, Ullevål.