Role of Postoperative Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy for Esophageal Carcinoma: A meta-analysis of 2165 Patients

Predicting response to CCRT for esophageal squamous carcinoma by a radiomics-clinical SHAP model

BACKGROUND

Radical concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) is frequently used as the first-line treatment for patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer. Unfortunately, some patients respond poorly. To predict response to radical concurrent chemoradiotherapy in pre-treatment patients with esophageal squamous carcinoma (ESCC), and compare the predicting efficacies of radiomics features of primary tumor with or without regional lymph nodes, we developed a radiomics-clinical model based on the positioning CT images. Finally, SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) was used to explain the models.

METHODS

This retrospective study enrolled 105 patients with medically inoperable and/or unresectable ESCC who underwent radical concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) between October 2018 and May 2023. Patients were classified into responder and non-responder groups with RECIST standards. The 11 recently admitted patients were chosen as the validation set, previously admitted patients were randomly split into the training set (n = 70) and the testing set (n = 24). Primary tumor site (GTV), the primary tumor and the uninvolved lymph nodes at risk of microscopic disease (CTV) were identified as Regions of Interests (ROIs). 1762 radiomics features from GTV and CTV were respectively extracted and then filtered by statistical differential analysis and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO). The filtered radiomics features combined with 13 clinical features were further filtered with Mutual Information (MI) algorithm. Based on the filtered features, we developed five models (Clinical Model, GTV Model, GTV-Clinical Model, CTV Model, and CTV-Clinical Model) using the random forest algorithm and evaluated for their accuracy, precision, recall, F1-Score and AUC. Finally, SHAP algorithm was adopted for model interpretation to achieve transparency and utilizability.

RESULTS

The GTV-Clinical model achieves an AUC of 0.82 with a 95% confidence interval (CI) of 0.76-0.99 on testing set and an AUC of 0.97 with a 95% confidence interval (CI) of 0.84-1.0 on validation set, which are significantly higher than those of other models in predicting ESCC response to CCRT. The SHAP force map provides an integrated view of the impact of each feature on individual patients, while the SHAP summary plots indicate that radiomics features have a greater influence on model prediction than clinical factors in our model.

CONCLUSION

GTV-Clinical model based on texture features and the maximum diameter of lesion (MDL) may assist clinicians in pre-treatment predicting ESCC response to CCRT.

Pattern of relapse following three-field lymphadenectomy of esophageal carcinoma and related factors predictive of recurrence

PURPOSE

For treatment of esophageal carcinoma, the optimal postoperative radiotherapy target volume after three-field lymph node dissection (3-FLD) had not been determined. We analyzed local recurrence pattern of thoracic esophageal carcinoma and risk factors of lymph node recurrence after 3-FLD without prophylactic radiotherapy.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We reviewed 1282 patients with thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) who were treated with 3-FLD without radiotherapy from 2010 to 2018 and analysed local recurrence patterns and risk factors of lymph node recurrence, in order to provide a reference for determination of the radiotherapy target volume for thoracic ESCC.

RESULTS

The lymph node recurrence accounted for 91.0% of treatment failures. The mediastinal, cervical and abdominal lymph node recurrence accounted for 84.92%, 36.07% and 22.30%, respectively (χ²=264.776, P=0.000). The superior, middle and inferior mediastinal lymph node recurrence rates were 67.54%, 27.87% and 0.98%, respectively (χ²=313.600, P=0.000). Cervical metastases were significantly associated with N stage and Preoperative cervical lymph node status. Abdominal metastases were significantly associated with the number of preoperative abdominal lymph node metastases (LNM), tumor location and N stage.

CONCLUSIONS

The main pattern of local-regional recurrence might be lymph node metastasis after radical 3-FLD without radiotherapy in esophageal carcinoma. The dangerous lymph node recurrence regions included neck, superior and middle mediastinum. The abdominal areas might be irradiated for lower TEC patients with preoperative abdominal LNM.

Is Adjuvant Therapy a Better Option for Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Patients Treated With Esophagectomy? A Prognosis Prediction Model Based on Multicenter Real-World Data

OBJECTIVE

To construct a prediction model for more precise evaluation of prognosis which will allow personalized treatment recommendations for adjuvant therapy in patients following resection of ESCC.

BACKGROUND

Marked heterogeneity of patient prognosis and limited evidence regarding survival benefit of various adjuvant therapy regimens pose challenges in the clinical treatment of ESCC.

METHODS

Based on comprehensive clinical data obtained from 4129 consecutive patients with resected ESCC in a high-risk region in China, we identified predictors for overall survival through a 2-phase selection based on Cox proportional hazard regression and minimization of Akaike information criterion. The model was internally validated using bootstrapping and externally validated in 1815 patients from a non-high-risk region in China.

RESULTS

The final model incorporates 9 variables: age, sex, primary site, T stage, N stage, number of lymph nodes harvested, tumor size, adjuvant treatment, and hemoglobin level. A significant interaction was also observed between N stage and adjuvant treatment. N1+ stage patients were likely to benefit from addition of adjuvant therapy as opposed to surgery alone, but adjuvant therapy did not improve overall survival for N0 stage patients. The C -index of the model was 0.729 in the training cohort, 0.723 after bootstrapping, and 0.695 in the external validation cohort. This model outperformed the seventh edition American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system in prognostic prediction and risk stratification.

CONCLUSIONS

The prediction model constructed in this study may facilitate precise prediction of survival and inform decision-making about adjuvant therapy according to N stage.

Adjuvant chemotherapy for lymph node positive esophageal squamous cell cancer: The prediction role of low mean platelet volume

Background

This study aimed to examine whether MPV is a useful prognostic marker and investigated whether MPV is a risk factor that helps identify patients with locally advanced-stage ESCC who will most likely benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy.

Methods

Patients (n =1690) with histologically confirmed ESCC were diagnosed with locally advanced stage (pT3-4N0M0 and pT1-4N+M0) at Sichuan Cancer Hospital from 2009 to 2017. Clinicopathological factors and platelet-related values were tested for their associations with survival using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. The optimal cut-off value for continuous variables was determined using the 'maxstat' R package. The KM curve continuous variable analysis was performed to identify the optimal cut-off value for MPV. Cumulative survival rates were determined using the Kaplan-Meier estimator and compared using the log-rank test. The survival analysis was performed using the 'survival' R package. All statistical analyses were performed using R software 4.1.3 (https://www.r-project.org/), and a two-sided p-value <0.05 was considered to indicate statistical significance.

Results

Multivariate analysis indicated that low MPV was an important risk factor for overall survival in locally advanced ESCC, independent of classic clinicopathological factors. The optimal cut-off value of MPV (11.8 fL) was used to stratify high-risk patients. Patients with low mean platelet volumes had a worse prognosis than those with larger platelet volumes, according to Kaplan-Meier analysis and the log-rank test. Patients diagnosed with a pathological lymph node-positive stage with a low MPV (≤11.8 fL) benefited from postoperative chemotherapy, but not those with a high-level MPV (>11.8 fL).

Conclusion

MPV served as an independent predictor of prognosis of locally advanced-stage ESCC and predicted a survival benefit conferred by postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy in lymph node-positive ESCC.

Prediction model for selection of adjuvant therapy population after endoscopic submucosal dissection for early esophageal lesions

BACKGROUND

Endoscopic treatment is the first choice for early esophageal lesions without obvious metastasis or infiltration, especially endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD). However, the occurrence of non-curative resection, recurrence, or metastasis after ESD is inevitable, which may require adjuvant therapy such as additional surgery or chemora-diotherapy.

AIM

To analyze the risk factors for additional surgery or chemora-diotherapy after ESD for early esophageal lesions, and explore the effect of curative resection on additional adjuvant therapy.

METHODS

Patients who underwent ESD for stage T1 esophageal cancer (EC) and precancerous lesions were analyzed retrospectively. Postoperative recurrence, metastasis, and adjuvant treatment were followed, and a prediction model for adjuvant treatment population selection was established.

RESULTS

Non-curative resection was correlated with patient age, proportion of lesions, and microscopic size(P < 0.05), among which the proportion of lesions > 2/3 (odds ratio [OR] = 7.958, P = 0.007) was an independent risk factor. Two of curative and ten of non-curative resection cases received additional treatment, indicating that further treatment after ESD might be required regardless of whether curative resection was performed. Patient age, proportion of lesions, lesion lifting, differentiation, vascular invasion, and tumor invasion depth were correlated with the need for further treatment (P < 0.05). Age ≥ 70 years (OR = 4.210, P = 0.049), poor lifting (OR = 18.171, P = 0.047), and depth of tumor up to SM2 (OR = 38.781, P = 0.012) were independent risk factors. The AUC of the nomogram model was 0.864 (95%CI: 0.766-0.962); the specificity and sensitivity were 95.8% and 75.0%, respectively. Calibration curve analysis, decision curve analysis, and Hosmer and Lemeshow test (χ² = 1.5954, P = 0.991) showed that the predictive value of the model was acceptable.

CONCLUSION

For patients with stage T1 EC and precancerous lesions, whether further surgery or chemoradiotherapy is needed after ESD should be comprehensively considered.

Recurrence risk stratification based on a competing-risks nomogram to identify patients with esophageal cancer who may benefit from postoperative radiotherapy

BACKGROUND

A reliable model is needed to estimate the risk of postoperative recurrence and the benefits of postoperative radiotherapy (PORT) in patients with thoracic esophageal squamous cell cancer (TESCC).

METHODS

The study retrospectively reviewed 3652 TESCC patients in stage IB-IVA after radical esophagectomy, with or without PORT. In one institution as the training cohort (n = 1620), independent risk factors associated with locoregional recurrence (LRR), identified by the competing-risks regression, were used to establish a predicting nomogram, which was validated in an external cohort (n = 1048). Area under curve (AUC) values of receiver operating characteristic curves were calculated to evaluate discrimination. Risk stratification was conducted using a decision tree analysis based on the cumulative point score of the LRR nomogram. After balancing the baseline of characteristics between treatment groups by inverse probability of treatment weighting, the effect of PORT was evaluated in each risk group.

RESULTS

Sex, age, tumor location, tumor grade, and N category were identified as independent risk factors for LRR and added into the nomogram. The AUC values were 0.638 and 0.706 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Three risk groups were established. For patients in the intermediate- and high-risk groups, PORT significantly improved the 5-year overall survival by 10.2% and 9.4%, respectively (p < 0.05). Although PORT was significantly associated with reduced LRR in the low-risk group, overall survival was not improved.

CONCLUSION

The nomogram can effectively estimate the individual risk of LRR, and patients in the intermediate- and high-risk groups are highly recommended to undergo PORT.

Impact of chemotherapy on prognosis of resectable pathological T3N0M0 esophageal cancer patients: a population-based study

Aims: This study aimed to retrospectively determine the influence factors and survival effects of chemotherapy in pathological T3N0M0 esophageal cancer (EC) patients based on histological type. Methods: A total of 1136 pathological T3N0M0 EC patients who had surgery were chosen from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database. The patients were divided into subgroups based on histological type and chemotherapy status. Multivariate logistic regression, log-rank test and Cox regression were used to identify prognostic risk factors and survival differences. A propensity score matching analysis was applied to adjust the covariates. The impact of additional chemotherapy was also assessed in patients who had postoperative radiotherapy. Results: The 5-year overall survival was 36.4% for all patients. Chemotherapy was an independent protective factor of survival in both adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma patients. In the survival analysis, chemotherapy significantly improved the prognosis of EC patients, both for adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma. Propensity score matching analysis validated these results. Conclusion: Chemotherapy is recommended for pathological T3N0M0 EC patients regardless of histological type.

The impact of adjuvant therapy on survival for node-negative esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: a propensity score-matched analysis

Background

At present, the primary treatment of esophageal cancer is surgery-based comprehensive treatment, including adjuvant therapy such as chemotherapy and/or radiotherapy. However, the role of adjuvant therapy for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) with pathologically node-negative (pN0) disease is controversial. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of postoperative adjuvant therapy on survival in patients with pN0 ESCC.

Methods

Patients with ESCC who underwent R0 esophagectomy in the Department of Thoracic Surgery of Sichuan Cancer Hospital from January 2008 to December 2013 were enrolled. Patients were divided into two groups: a surgery alone (Group S) group or a surgery + adjuvant therapy (Group S + A) group. The primary outcomes were overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS), and every consecutive case was followed up until death or the last follow-up.

Results

A total of 387 patients with ESCC patients who had pN0 were enrolled in the study. After propensity score matching (PSM), each group consisted of 150 patients. In the overall cohort, the 5-year OS (75.6% vs. 69.7%; P=0.004) and 5-year DFS (64.9% vs. 48.2%; P=0.003) rates were higher in Group S + A than in Group S. In the matched samples, the same outcomes were observed (5-year OS: 75.6% vs. 69.7%, P=0.026; 5-year DFS: 67.6% vs. 69.6%, P=0.036). Multivariate regression analysis indicated that postoperative chemotherapy was associated with longer OS [hazard ratio (HR): 0.622, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.416-0.928; P=0.02] and DFS (HR: 0.571, 95% CI: 0.390-0.836; P=0.004); in contrast, T3 stage tumors (HR: 1.953, 95% CI: 1.238-3.082; P=0.004) and <15 lymph node dissections (HR: 1.81; 95% CI: 1.238-2.648; P = 0.002) were found to be independent risk factors for pN0 ESCC.

Conclusions

Adjuvant therapy, especially chemotherapy, prolonged OS and DFS for patients with ESCC who had pN0 disease. Fewer lymph node dissections and T3 stage tumors were independent risk factors for OS and DFS.

Evolving treatment paradigms in esophageal cancer

A heterogenous disease with a dismal prognosis, esophageal cancer poses a major health challenge worldwide. In recent years, the treatment landscape for esophageal adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) has undergone major evolution, with the elucidation of underlying biologic pathways and predispositions. Neoadjuvant chemoradiation has emerged as a leading approach for the management of locoregional esophageal cancer, while perioperative chemotherapy has shown promising outcomes specifically in adenocarcinoma of the lower esophagus and gastroesophageal junction (GEJ). Studies also explore the implementation of chemoradiation in various sequential preoperative strategies, as well as in the adjuvant setting. Definitive chemoradiation is considered a valid alternative for non-surgical candidates with SCC. Clinical trials currently evaluating the potential benefits of different approaches may shed light on existing controversies regarding optimal management of locoregional disease. For patients with metastatic cancer, chemotherapy remains the backbone of antineoplastic treatment alongside palliative care, moreover the discovery of novel biological targets has led to the initiation of targeted and immune therapy for specific subpopulations. Taken together, an era of burgeoning clinical trials and changing paradigms has evolved in esophageal oncology. Multidisciplinary collaboration is key to effective combination and sequencing of treatment modalities tailored per patient and per tumor histology. This work aims to provide a comprehensive overview of state-of-the-art oncological management of esophageal cancer, with consideration of new challenges and obstacles to be overcome.

The Optimal Treatment for Resectable Esophageal Cancer: A Network Meta-Analysis of 6168 Patients

The optimal treatment for resectable esophageal cancer remains unclear. This network meta-analysis compares the efficacy of different treatments. PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane library were systematically screened. Randomized controlled trials comparing the efficacy of different treatments for resectable esophageal cancer were included. Hazard ratios (HR) for overall survival (OS), progression-free survival, or disease-free survival, and odds ratios for locoregional recurrence and distant metastasis rates were identified as the measurements of efficacy. A Bayesian network meta-analysis was performed. In this study, 26 studies were included. Patients received either surgery alone; neoadjuvant chemotherapy (CT), neoadjuvant radiotherapy (RT), or neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) followed by surgery; or surgery followed by adjuvant CT, adjuvant RT, or adjuvant CRT. Neoadjuvant CRT followed by surgery (pooled HR = 0.76, 95% credible interval: 0.67–0.85) and neoadjuvant CT followed by surgery compared with surgery alone were the only two showing statistically confident improvement on OS. Ranking analysis showed that neoadjuvant CRT with surgery was likely to be the best option in terms of efficacy. Therefore, for patients with resectable esophageal cancer, neoadjuvant CRT with surgery is the optimal treatment. Future studies should focus on the optimization of neoadjuvant CRT regimens.

TLR4 promoter rs1927914 variant contributes to the susceptibility of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma in the Chinese population

Background

Toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4), as a key regulator of both innate and acquired immunity, has been linked with the development of various cancers, including esophageal cancer. This study aims to analyze the association of potential functional genetic polymorphisms in TLR4 with the risk of esophageal cancer.

Methods

This case-control study involved in 480 ESCC patients and 480 health controls. Polymerase chain reaction-restriction fragment length polymorphism (PCR-RFLP) was used to genotype TLR4 rs1927914 polymorphism. Taqman probe method was used to determine the genotypes of TLR4 rs11536891 and rs7873784 variants. The relationship between TLR4 genetic variation and ESCC risk was analyzed by Logistic regression model by calculating the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI).

Results

Compared with TLR4 rs1927914 AA genotype carriers, GG carriers had a lower ESCC risk (OR = 0.59, 95% CI [0.38–0.93], P = 0.023). Stratification analysis by age showed that TLR4 rs1927914 GG could affect the risk of ESCC in elderly people (OR = 0.59, 95% CI [0.36–0.97]). Smoking stratification analysis indicated that rs1927914 GG carriers were related to ESCC susceptibility among non-smokers (OR = 0.36, 95% CI [0.18–0.73]). Dual luciferase reporter assay suggested that rs1927914 G-containing TLR4 promoter displayed a 1.76-fold higher luciferase activity than rs1927914 A-containing counterpart in KYSE30 cells. Electrophoretic mobility shift assay (EMSA) showed the KYSE30 cell nuclear extract was able to bind the probe with rs1927914 G allele and this DNA-protein interaction could be eliminated by competition assays with unlabeled rs1927914 G probe, which indicating that the binding is sequence-specific. Our results also showed that TLR4 rs7873784 (G>C) and rs11536891 (T>C) conformed to complete genetic linkage. The genotype distributions of TLR4 rs11536891 variant among ESCC patients and normal controls have no statistical significance.

Conclusion

The TLR4 rs1927914 variant contributes to the ESCC risk by effecting the promoter activity.

Executive Summary of the American Radium Society Appropriate Use Criteria for Operable Esophageal and Gastroesophageal Junction Adenocarcinoma: Systematic Review and Guidelines

PURPOSE

Limited guidance exists regarding the relative effectiveness of treatment options for nonmetastatic, operable patients with adenocarcinoma of the esophagus or gastroesophageal junction (GEJ). In this systematic review, the American Radium Society (ARS) gastrointestinal expert panel convened to develop Appropriate Use Criteria (AUC) evaluating how neoadjuvant and/or adjuvant treatment regimens compared with each other, surgery alone, or definitive chemoradiation in terms of response to therapy, quality of life, and oncologic outcomes.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) methodology was used to develop an extensive analysis of peer-reviewed phase 2R and phase 3 randomized controlled trials as well as meta-analyses found within the Ovid Medline, Cochrane Central, and Embase databases between 2009 to 2019. These studies were used to inform the expert panel, which then rated the appropriateness of various treatments in 4 broadly representative clinical scenarios through a well-established consensus methodology (modified Delphi).

RESULTS

For a medically operable nonmetastatic patient with a cT3 and/or cN+ adenocarcinoma of the esophagus or GEJ (Siewert I-II), the panel most strongly recommends neoadjuvant chemoradiation. For a cT2N0M0 patient with high-risk features, the panel recommends neoadjuvant chemoradiation as usually appropriate. For patients found to have pathologically involved nodes (pN+) who did not receive any neoadjuvant therapy, the panel recommends adjuvant chemoradiation as usually appropriate. These guidelines assess the appropriateness of various dose-fractionating schemes and target volumes.

CONCLUSIONS

Chemotherapy and/or radiation regimens for esophageal cancer are still evolving with many areas of active investigation. These guidelines are intended for the use of practitioners and patients who desire information about the management of operable esophageal adenocarcinoma.

Postoperative Radiotherapy for Thoracic Esophageal Carcinoma with Upfront R0 Esophagectomy

Multidisciplinary therapies can improve the survival of patients with locally advanced esophageal carcinoma. However, the determination of the optimal modality is still a controversial subject. Many randomized controlled trials in the late 20th century showed that there was no survival benefit when postoperative radiotherapy was added to surgery for esophageal carcinoma. As a result, the treatment modality shifted thereafter to neoadjuvant therapies. Even so, these trials are criticized for many limitations and an increasing number of studies (mainly nonrandomized controlled trials) has indicated that postoperative radiotherapy/chemoradiotherapy can improve the survival of patients with a poor prognosis after R0 esophagectomy. Additionally, a large number of patients with locally advanced esophageal carcinoma still choose upfront surgery in the clinical practice due to many reasons. Therefore, postoperative radiotherapy seems to be a feasible treatment for these patients with a poor prognosis, particularly in the new era of conformal radiotherapy. Here, we review published studies on postoperative radiotherapy/chemoradiotherapy, and we discuss the clinical issues related to postoperative radiotherapy, such as the indication, target volume, total radiation dosage, time interval and complications of postoperative radiotherapy with or without chemotherapy, to make recommendations of postoperative radiotherapy for both current practice and future research in esophageal carcinoma.

Adjuvant chemoradiotherapy for patients with pathologic node-positive esophageal cancer following radical resection is associated with improved survival

Background

Depending on the pathological stage, patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) can experience poor prognosis after surgery. This study was designed to analyze the effect of various treatments on prognosis in pathologic node-positive esophageal cancer patients who undergo radical surgery.

Methods

We evaluated 210 pathologic stage IIb–IIIc patients (pT1-4aN + M0) who had undergone esophagectomy for thoracic ESCC from January 2013 to October 2015 at our institute. Surgery alone was applied in 65 patients, postoperative chemotherapy alone was applied in 112 patients, and postoperative adjuvant chemoradiotherapy was applied in 33 patients. Kaplan­-Meier and Cox regression analysis were used to compare overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). A nomogram was constructed to visualize the multivariate Cox regression analysis model.

Results

The median follow-up period was 49.4 months. The 3- and 5-year OS rates of the patients in the surgery group, postoperative chemotherapy group, postoperative chemoradiotherapy group were 55.4%, 61.6%, and 75.8%, and 30.1%, 44.0%, and 63.0% respectively. The 3- and 5-year DFS rates of the patients in the surgery group, postoperative chemotherapy group, postoperative chemoradiotherapy group were 44.6%, 52.7%, and 72.7%, and 20.0%, 24.1%, and 39.4%, respectively. Both the OS and DFS of the patients in the postoperative chemoradiotherapy group were better than those of the patients in the surgery and postoperative chemotherapy group. Among them, the OS of the postoperative radiotherapy group was longer than that of the surgery group (P=0.011) and the postoperative chemotherapy group (P=0.190), while the DFS of postoperative chemoradiotherapy group was longer than that of the surgery group and postoperative chemotherapy group, but the difference was not statistically significant (P>0.05).

Conclusions

This study showed that postoperative adjuvant chemoradiotherapy could improve 3-year OS and DFS compared with treatment using surgery alone or postoperative chemotherapy alone. However, an evaluation of long-term prognosis requires a longer follow-up.

Delayed postoperative radiotherapy might improve the long-term prognosis of locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

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Postoperative radiotherapy timing for esophageal cancer remains to be determined.

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Delayed postoperative radiotherapy (>48 days) provides better survival benefit.

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Postoperative radiotherapy following 2–4 chemotherapy cycles achieved best survival.

Objective

There is no consensus on the optimal timing of postoperative radiotherapy (PORT) for locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). We aimed to determine whether the timing of PORT affects the long-term prognosis of ESCC, and plotted nomograms to predict survival.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed 351 ESCC patients who underwent radical surgery and PORT. Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to estimate the optimal cutoff point of the time interval between surgery and PORT. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to identify prognostic predictors. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were predicted using nomograms.

Results

The median follow-up was 53 months (range: 3–179 months). Compared to early PORT, PORT at >48 days after surgery was associated with better OS (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 1.406, p = 0.037) and PFS (adjusted HR: 1.475, p = 0.018). In the chemotherapy subgroup, incorporation of chemotherapy timing into the analysis suggested that 2–4 chemotherapy cycles followed by PORT was the optimal treatment schedule as compared to 0–1 chemotherapy cycle followed by PORT and concurrent chemoradiotherapy (5-year PFS: 65.9% vs. 51.0% vs. 50.1%; p = 0.049). The nomograms for OS and PFS were superior to the TNM classification (concordance indices: 0.721 vs. 0.626 and 0.716 vs. 0.610, respectively).

Conclusions

Delayed PORT (>48 days) provides better survival benefit than early PORT among ESCC patients. PORT following 2–4 chemotherapy cycles might lead to the best survival rate. The nomogram plotted in this study effectively predicted survival and may help guide treatment.

The Effect of Timing of Adjuvant Therapy on Survival After Esophagectomy

BACKGROUND

Adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) after esophagectomy improves survival in esophageal cancer when induction therapy is not given; however, the optimal timing for initiation of AC is poorly characterized. We aimed to determine the impact of timing of AC on survival after esophagectomy.

METHODS

The National Cancer Database was queried for patients with pT1-4aNxM0 esophageal cancer receiving AC with or without radiation from 2004 to 2015. The median and interquartile range of time to AC were determined. Patients were stratified by initiation of AC into 4 cohorts based on quartiles. Kaplan-Meier curves were generated and factors associated with survival were identified by Cox proportional hazards modeling. A separate analysis was performed with time to AC as a continuous variable.

RESULTS

A total of 1634 patients received AC after esophagectomy. Median time to receipt of AC was 59 (interquartile range, 45-78) days. There was no significant difference in overall survival at 5 years (P = .86) between groups. Median survival was 29 months in those receiving AC within 45 days and was 28 months in those receiving AC at other time points. On multivariable analysis, delay in receipt of AC beyond 45 days was not associated with inferior survival. This was preserved when time to AC was analyzed as a continuous variable (hazard ratio, 1.0; 95% confidence interval, 1.0-1.0).

CONCLUSIONS

Timing of initiation of AC after esophagectomy does not appear to impact survival. Given the highly variable postoperative course after esophagectomy, the decision to start AC should involve multidisciplinary discussion and be made on a patient-by-patient basis.

Risk Factors and Patterns of Abdominal Lymph Node Recurrence After Radical Surgery for Locally Advanced Thoracic Esophageal Squamous Cell Cancer

Background

We aimed to identify the suitable indication and delineate the target volume based on the pattern of abdominal lymph node recurrence (ALNR) after radical surgery for guiding postoperative radiotherapy in thoracic esophageal squamous cell cancer (TESCC).

Methods

Clinical data of patients with locally advanced TESCC after radical surgery without perioperative anti-tumor therapies from June 2011 to June 2016 were reviewed. Logistic regression analysis was used to find out the high-risk factors of ALNR. The pattern of ALNR was analysed and a template CT in the Pinnacle treatment plan system was used to reconstruct the distribution of the sites of ALNR.

Results

A total of 63 (19.57%) patients with 276 lymph nodes of ALNR were identified in 322 patients. Univariate logistic regression indicated that pathological tumor location, width of tumor, T stage, N stage, TNM stage, ratio of lymph node metastasis (LNM), vessel carcinoma embolus, cancerous node, LNM in the middle and lower mediastinum, LNM in the abdominal region, ratio of LNM in the abdominal region were risk factors of ALNR. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that only LNM in the abdominal region was an independent risk factor. The odds ratio was 7.449 (95% CI=2.552–22.297, P<0.001). Station 16a2, station 9, station 16b1, and station 8 were the major regions of ALNR. The recurrence rates were 10.56%, 9.63%, 7.14% and 5.28% in these stations, respectively.

Conclusion

Positive pathological abdominal lymph nodes should be the major indication for abdominal irradiation in postoperative radiotherapy for locally advanced TESCC. We recommended that the target volume includes station 8, station 9, station 16a2 and station 16b1 and proposed a specific delineation of the clinical target volume based on the distribution of ALNR on template CT images.

Postoperative radiotherapy for the young-old patients with thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: A 2-center experience

This study aimed to retrospectively analyze the efficacy and safety of esophagectomy and postoperative radiotherapy (PORT) for patients with thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (TESCC) in the young-old (aged between 65 and 75 years).The clinical data of 166 young-old patients with esophageal cancer who underwent esophagectomy and PORT from May 2004 to May 2018 in The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University and The PLA Cancer Center, Jinling Hospital were analyzed. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), local recurrence-free survival (LRFS), and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS). The log-rank method was used to test the differences. The Cox regression model was used for the multivariate prognostic analysis.The follow-up rate was 98.5%, and the median follow-up time was 41.2 months. The whole 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates were 92.0%, 69.3%, and 58.3%, respectively, and the median OS was 64.7 months (95% CI, 58.3-71.1). The median DFS was 57.9 months (95% CI, 47.4-68.4), and the 1-, 3-, and 5-year DFS rates were 84.8%, 61.5%, and 44.6%, respectively. The median LRFS was 60.8 months (95% CI, 50.5-71.0), and the 1-, 3-, and 5-year LRFS rates were 85.8%, 64.94%, and 53.9%, respectively. The median DMFS was 65.0 months (95% CI, 60.6-69.6), and the 1-, 3-, and 5-year DMFS rates were 91.9%, 77.0%, and 67.5%, respectively. Pathological T staging, lymph node metastasis, pathologic staging, and Karnofsk Performance Status (KPS) were the main factors affecting prognosis. In addition, T staging, lymph node metastasis are also independent prognostic factors. Little severe toxicity was observed.The result indicates that PORT for TESCC patients who can tolerate surgery is safe in the young-old. The efficacy is similar to that of previous patients including younger populations. Pathological T and N stage are major factors that affect prognosis. Concurrent chemotherapy may not improve the survival of the young-old patients undergoing postoperative radiotherapy.

The Role of Adjuvant Chemoradiotherapy Over Radiotherapy After R0 Resection for Stage II-III Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Purpose

This study compared the effectiveness and safety of postoperative concurrent chemoradiotherapy (POCRT) containing paclitaxel (PTX) and cisplatin (DDP) with postoperative radiotherapy (PORT) after R0 resection for stage II-III thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (TESCC).

Materials and Methods

After propensity score matching (PSM) analysis, 87 TESCC patients treated with PORT were matched 1:1 to 87 patients who received POCRT between July 2012 and December 2018. Radiotherapy was delivered at a dose of 200 cGy per day to a total dose of 5000 cGy. Concurrent chemotherapy consisted of DDP (25 mg/m²) for 3 days plus PTX (135 mg/m²) on day 1 every 3 weeks.

Results

Patient- and disease-related characteristics were well-balanced between the two groups. The median overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) times were 39.2 and 31.0 months, respectively. The 5-year OS and DFS rates were 31.9% and 19.1% in the PORT group and 45.1% and 35.1% in the POCRT group, respectively. Statistical significance was demonstrated by comparing OS and DFS (P=0.022 and 0.016, respectively). Additionally, subgroup analysis revealed that in node positive TESCC patients, the POCRT group was significantly different from the PORT group regarding OS and DFS (P=0.049 and 0.039, respectively). POCRT decreased distant metastasis over PORT (P=0.044) with manageable toxicities. Multivariate analysis revealed that aside from factors associated with tumor stages, treatment modality was another strong prognostic factor for both OS and DFS (P=0.015 and 0.010, respectively).

Conclusion

Stage II-III TESCC patients could benefit from POCRT with manageable toxicities. Future well-designed prospective studies are highly warranted to confirm the findings in our report.

Effects of Ketamine on Postoperative Pain After Remifentanil-Based Anesthesia for Major and Minor Surgery in Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Ketamine, an N-methyl-D-aspartate (NMDA) receptor antagonist, has been postulated as an adjuvant analgesic for preventing remifentanil-induced hyperalgesia after surgery. This systematic review and meta-analysis aims to assess the effectiveness of ketamine [racemic mixture and S-(+)-ketamine] in reducing morphine consumption and pain intensity scores after remifentanil-based general anesthesia. We performed a literature search of the PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, Cochrane, and EMBASE databases in June 2017 and selected randomized controlled trials using predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria. To minimize confounding and heterogeneity, studies of NMDA receptor antagonists other than ketamine were excluded and the selected studies were grouped into those assessing minor or major surgery. Methodological quality was evaluated with the PEDro and JADA scales. The data were extracted and meta-analyses were performed where possible. Twelve RCTs involving 156 adults who underwent minor surgery and 413 adults who underwent major surgery were included in the meta-analysis. When used as an adjuvant to morphine, ketamine reduced postoperative morphine consumption in the first 24 h and postoperative pain intensity in the first 2 h in the minor and major surgery groups. It was also associated with significantly reduced pain intensity in the first 24 h in the minor surgery group. Time to the first rescue analgesia was longer in patients who received ketamine and underwent major surgery. No significant differences in the incidence of ketamine-related adverse effects were observed among patients in the intervention group and controls. This systematic review and meta-analysis show that low-dose (≤0.5 mg/kg for iv bolus or ≤5 μg/kg/min for iv perfusion) of ketamine reduces postoperative morphine consumption and pain intensity without increasing the incidence of adverse effects.