Albumin-to-Alkaline Phosphatase Ratio as an Independent Prognostic Factor for Overall Survival of Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients without Receiving Standard Anti-Cancer Therapies

Association between alkaline phosphatase/albumin ratio and the prognosis in patients with chronic kidney disease stages 1-4: results from a C-STRIDE prospective cohort study

Background

The alkaline phosphatase-to-albumin ratio (APAR) has been demonstrated to be a promising non-invasive biomarker for predicting prognosis in certain diseases. However, the relationship between APAR and prognosis in non-dialysis chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients remains unclear. This study aims to identify the association between APAR and prognosis among CKD stages 1-4 in China.

Methods

Patients with CKD stages 1-4 were consecutively recruited from 39 clinical centers in China from 2011 to 2016. New occurrences of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events, and all-cause deaths were the outcome events of this study. Subdistribution hazard competing risk and Cox proportional hazards regression models were adopted.

Results

A total of 2,180 participants with baseline APAR values were included in the analysis. In the primary adjusted analyses, higher APAR level [per 1-standard deviation (SD) increase in natural logarithm transformed (ln-transformed) APAR] was associated with 33.5% higher risk for all-cause deaths [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.335, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.068-1.670]. In addition, there was evidence for effect modification of the association between APAR and ESKD by baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (P interaction < 0.001). A higher APAR level (per 1-SD increase in ln-transformed APAR) was associated with a greater risk of ESKD among participants with eGFR ≥ 60 ml/min/1.73 m2 (adjusted SHR 1.880, 95% CI 1.260-2.810) but not in eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m2.

Conclusion

Higher APAR levels in patients with CKD stages 1-4 seemed to be associated with an increased risk of all-cause death. Thus, APAR appears to be used in risk assessment for all-cause death among patients with CKD stages 1-4.

Prognostic value of combined pre- and postoperative albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing trans-catheter chemoembolisation

AIM

To reveal the prognostic value of the postoperative and dynamic albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergoing trans-catheter chemoembolisation (TACE).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In total, 545 HCC patients undergoing initial TACE were enrolled into the study. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted to determine the best cut-off for AAPR. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to confirm the independent prognostic effect of AAPR on overall survival (OS). The predictive performance of AAPR was assessed by ROC curves, concordance index (C-index), and Akaike information criterion (AIC), and was compared to existing liver function assessment systems.

RESULTS

The optimal cut-off value for the AAPR was 0.26. Elevated AAPR (>0.26) was associated with a low risk of death after adjustment whether before (HR: 0.53; 95% CI: 0.4-0.69) or after (HR: 0.64; 95% CI: 0.43-0.95) TACE treatment. The combined pre- and postoperative AAPR showed much better performance in ROC curve (1-, 3-, and 5-year AUCs: 0.69, 0.71, 0.69), C-index (0.65; 95% CI: 0.59-0.72) and AIC analyses than pre-AAPR and post-AAPR alone or liver function assessment systems.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrated both preoperative and postoperative AAPR were independent prognostic factors for HCC patients undergoing TACE. In addition, the combined pre- and post-AAPR showed better predictive performance than pre-AAPR and post-AAPR alone or liver function assessment systems.

Prognostic Significance of Serum Albumin Level and Albumin-Based Mono- and Combination Biomarkers in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the predominant form of primary liver cancer. Although many surgical and nonsurgical therapeutic options have been established for treating HCC, the overall prognosis for HCC patients receiving different treatment modalities remains inadequate, which causes HCC to remain among the most life-threatening human cancers worldwide. Therefore, it is vitally important and urgently needed to develop valuable and independent prognostic biomarkers for the early prediction of poor prognosis in HCC patients, allowing more time for more timely and appropriate treatment to improve the survival of patients. As the most abundant protein in plasma, human serum albumin (ALB) is predominantly expressed by the liver and exhibits a wide variety of essential biological functions. It has been well recognized that serum ALB level is a significant independent biomarker for a broad spectrum of human diseases including cancer. Moreover, ALB has been commonly used as a potent biomaterial and therapeutic agent in clinical settings for the treatment of various human diseases. This review provides a comprehensive summary of the evidence from the up-to-date published literature to underscore the prognostic significance of serum ALB level and various ALB-based mono- and combination biomarkers in the prediction of the prognosis of HCC patients after treatment with different surgical, locoregional, and systemic therapies.

Prognostic effect of albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio on patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis

The prognostic value of albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains controversial. This meta-analysis aims to evaluate the prognostic role of AAPR in patients with HCC. The databases of Web of Science, Embase, Cochrane Library and PubMed were comprehensively searched from inception to April 25, 2022. Pooled hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated with Stata 16.0 software for the assessment of the relationship between AAPR and overall survival (OS) as well as recurrence-free survival (RFS) in patients with HCC. A total of 2634 patients from 12 cohorts were included in this meta-analysis. The pooled results showed that lower AAPR predicted poorer OS (HR 2.02, 95% CI 1.78-2.30). Similarly, pooled results demonstrated that lower AAPR also predicted poorer RFS (HR 1.88, 95% CI 1.37-2.57). The heterogeneity for RFS by multivariate analytic results and the publication bias for OS existed, however, the subgroup analysis, meta-regression analysis as well as adjustment using trim-and-fill analysis confirmed an association between AAPR and OS as well as RFS. This meta-analysis proves that lower AAPR in patients with HCC predicted inferior survival outcomes, and AAPR might be a promising indicator for the prognosis of HCC.

Construction and validation of a predictive model for hepatocellular carcinoma based on serum markers

Background

Early hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) detection with non-invasive biomarkers remains an unmet clinical need. We aimed to construct a predictive model based on the pre-diagnostic levels of serum markers to predict the early-stage onset of HCC.

Methods

A total of 339 HCC patients (including 157 patients from Changzhou cohort and 182 patients from Wuxi cohort) were enrolled in our retrospective study. Levels of 25 baseline serum markers were collected. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was conducted to balance the distributions of patients’ gender, age, and the surveillance time between HCC group and control group. Then, Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and Logistic regression analysis were performed to screen the independent predictive variables and construct a non-invasive predictive model. Subsequently, ROC curve and Kaplan–Meier (K–M) curve were used to evaluate the predictive values of the model. Clinical net benefit of the model was demonstrated by decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curve.

Results

Five independent predictive variables for HCC onset and two general characteristics of patients (age and gender) were incorporated into the score model. ROC and DCA curves showed that the score model had better predictive performance in discrimination and clinical net benefit compared with single variable or other score systems, with the area under the curve (AUC) of 0.890 (95% CI 0.856–0.925) in Changzhou cohort and 0.799 (95% CI 0.751–0.849) in Wuxi cohort. Meanwhile, stratification analysis indicated that the score model had good predictive values for patients with early tumor stage (AJCC stage I) or small tumors (< 2 cm). Moreover, the score of HCC patient began to increase at 30 months before clinical diagnosis and reach a peak at 6 months.

Conclusion

Based on this model, we could optimize the current risk stratification at an early stage and consider further intensive surveillance programs for high-risk patients. It could also help clinicians to evaluate the progression and predict the prognosis of HCC patients.

Identification of Regorafenib Prognostic Index (REP Index) via Recursive Partitioning Analysis in Patients with Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma Receiving Systemic Treatment: A Real-World Multi-Institutional Experience

BACKGROUND

The results of the pivotal RESORCE trial led to the approval of the tyrosine kinase inhibitor regorafenib as second-line treatment in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after sorafenib failure. Data about prognostic factors in a second-line HCC setting are scarce.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the present study was to investigate prognostic factors in a cohort of patients with advanced HCC treated with regorafenib after progressing on sorafenib.

METHODS

We retrieved the data of 259 patients affected by advanced HCC treated with regorafenib as second-line treatment from four different Italian institutions and one South Korean institution and performed a recursive partitioning analysis to build a score system.

RESULTS

At the first-step univariate analysis for overall survival (OS), alkaline phosphatase (ALP) was the most significant parameter and was chosen as the first node in our tree model. In the subpopulation of patients presenting with ALP ≤122 U/L (n=155) at baseline, the most statistically significant split was by progression-free survival (PFS) on previous sorafenib treatment, between patients with a PFS ≥ 6 months (n  =  59) and patients with a PFS < 6 months (n = 96). In the subpopulation of patients with ALP ≤ 122 U/L and PFS to sorafenib ≥ 6 months, the final split was determined between patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related liver disease (n = 22) and patients with no HBV-related liver disease (n = 37). In the subpopulation of patients presenting ALP >122 U/L (n = 104) at baseline, the most statistically significant split was by aspartate aminotransferase (AST) value, between patients with AST ≤ 56 U/L (n = 48) and patients with AST > 56 U/L (n = 56). We built the Regorafenib Prognostic Index (REP index) stratifying the population into "low-risk," "medium-risk," and "high-risk" groups. The difference in median OS between the three risk groups was statistically significant, being 20.8 months (95% confidence interval [CI] 10.0-46.3) in the "low-risk" group, 8.4 months (95% CI 7.2-1435.8) in the "medium-risk" group, and 5.5 months (95% CI 3.5-13.2) in the "high risk" group. The median PFS was 7.7 months (95% CI 3.7-19.3), 2.5 months (95% CI 2.1-28.8), and 2.4 months (95% CI 1.6-9.1) for the "low-risk," "medium-risk," and "high-risk" groups, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The REP index is an independent prognostic factor for OS and PFS in patients with advanced HCC treated with regorafenib.

Distance-Based Paper Device for a Naked-Eye Albumin-to-Alkaline Phosphatase Ratio Assay

The albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR) has been a cancer prognostic indicator. This paper presents the concept of a dual-color change distance-based paper device (dPAD) for albumin (Alb) and alkaline phosphatase (ALP) detection to evaluate this cancer prognostic index. Whereas Alb interacts with the bromocresol green (BCG) indicator to form a bluish-green complex, ALP hydrolyzes l-ascorbic acid-2-phosphate (AAP) to produce ascorbic acid (AA), which reacts with KIO₃ to generate I₂ and I^-. I₂/I^- reacts with silver hexagonal nanoprisms (purple color) in the presence of Cu²⁺, resulting in a color change from purple to colorless. The distance of the color change from yellow to the bluish-green and purple to colorless correlates to Alb and ALP concentration, respectively. The angle index for the AAPR is then defined by drawing a straight line that connects the tops of the two changed band lengths in the detection area. The highest bluish-green color band length on the Alb region is the midpoint, which is the position set of the protractor at 0°, and the angle is measured using a simple protractor. The results indicate that an AAPR below 0.57 will have an angle greater than 40° and correlates with a risk factor for lung cancer. The naked-eye detection limits for Alb and ALP were found to be 0.8 g/L and 5 U/L (n = 10), respectively. The practical application of the developed dPAD was successfully demonstrated by Alb and ALP analysis in human serum and validated against standard methods. The proposed method does not require incubation conditions for the ALP assay, which strongly reduces the overall analysis steps and time. Moreover, our device provides a low-cost, simple, sensitive, selective, accurate, and precise determination of the AAPR.

Albumin-to-Alkaline Phosphatase Ratio as a Novel Prognostic Marker of Nivolumab Monotherapy for Previously Treated Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma

BACKGROUND/AIM

The relationship between albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR) and the outcome of patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors remains unresolved. We aimed to clarify the prognostic role of AAPR in nivolumab monotherapy for previously treated mRCC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated 60 patients with mRCC treated with nivolumab after failure of at least one molecular targeted therapy. The patients were stratified into two groups based on the baseline AAPR. The threshold of AAPR was determined using receiver-operating characteristics and Youden index analyses. Overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and objective response rate (ORR) of nivolumab therapy were compared between the high and low AAPR groups.

RESULTS

The threshold of AAPR was set at 0.3, and 20 patients (33%) were assigned to the low AAPR group. The median OS and PFS were significantly lower in the low AAPR group than those in the high group (OS: 8.3 months vs. not reached, p<0.0001; PFS: 2.9 vs. 10.4 months, p=0.0006). Moreover, ORR was significantly lower in the low AAPR group than in the high group (16% vs. 45%, p=0.0397). Multivariate analyses further showed that AAPR was an independent factor for OS [HR=0.27 (95% CI=0.09-0.77), p=0.0151] but not for PFS (p=0.174).

CONCLUSION

Baseline AAPR was significantly associated with outcome in patients with mRCC receiving nivolumab monotherapy and may, therefore, constitute an effective prognostic factor for nivolumab treatment.

Fibrinogen/albumin ratio index is an independent predictor of recurrence-free survival in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma following surgical resection

Background

Systemic inflammation and nutritional status are associated with tumor development and progression. This study investigated the prognostic value of fibrinogen/albumin ratio index (FARI) in predicting recurrence-free survival (RFS) in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) undergoing hepatectomy.

Methods

A retrospective cohort was conducted including patients who received curative hepatectomy for ICC at our hospital between May 2010 and December 2016. We collected the preoperative hematologic parameters and clinical data of all patients. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve was used to identify the optimal cutoff value of FARI. The association between FARI-high and FARI-low group was investigated by using the Kaplan–Meier method. A nomogram based on the results of univariate and multivariate analysis was established.

Results

A total of 394 patients with ICC who underwent hepatectomy at our hospital were enrolled. K-M analysis revealed that increased FARI was related to reduced RFS (P < 0.001). The multivariate analysis indicated that tumor number, tumor–node–metastasis stage, lymph node metastasis, cirrhosis, serum carbohydrate antigen 19-9, and FARI were independent predictors of RFS, and the ROC curve analysis showed that the optimal cutoff value for FARI was 0.084 based on the Youden index. The nomogram for FARI showed satisfactory accuracy in predicting RFS for ICC patients undergoing hepatectomy (C index = 0.663; AIC = 3081.07).

Conclusion

Preoperative FARI is an independent predictor of RFS in patients undergoing hepatectomy for ICC, and the nomogram can be useful for clinical decision-making in the postoperative management of these patients.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12957-021-02330-2.

Albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio as a predictor of tumor recurrence and prognosis in patients with early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing radiofrequency ablation as initial therapy

OBJECTIVE

Albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR), a newly developed blood biomarker, has been reported to have prognostic value in several types of cancer. This study aimed to investigate the predictive value of AAPR in patients with early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing radiofrequency ablation (RFA) as initial therapy.

METHODS

This retrospective study analyzed 445 patients with newly diagnosed HCC undergoing RFA as initial therapy. A series of survival analyses were performed to evaluate the prognostic value of AAPR. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify independent prognostic factors. An AAPR-based nomogram was constructed, and its predictive performance was validated.

RESULTS

Patients with a low AAPR had a significantly reduced recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) compared with those with a high AAPR. AAPR was found to be an independent prognostic indicator and showed superior discrimination efficacy than other liver function indices. The AAPR-based nomogram had a concordance index value of 0.72 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.65-0.79) in the training cohort and 0.72 (95% CI: 0.63-0.81) in the validation cohort, which significantly outperformed other existing staging systems.

CONCLUSIONS

AAPR serves as a promising indicator of prognosis in patients with early-stage HCC undergoing RFA. The AAPR-based nomogram might contribute to individualized prognosis prediction and clinical decision making.

Association Between the Pretreatment Albumin-to-Alkaline Phosphatase Ratio and Clinical Outcomes in Patients With Bladder Cancer Treated With Radical Cystectomy: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Objective

Serum albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR) has been proven to be a prognostic indicator of many malignant tumors. However, whether it can predict the prognosis of bladder cancer (BC) patients who underwent radical cystectomy (RC) remains unclear. This study was designed to assess the relationship between AAPR and clinical outcomes in patients with BC treated with RC.

Methods

The clinicopathological data of 199 BC patients receiving RC in our institution from January 2012 to December 2017 were retrospectively collected and analyzed. They were divided into three groups based on the optimal cut-off values and the association between AAPR groups and their clinical outcomes were evaluated.

Results

The average age of the patients was (64.0 ± 8.7) years and 79.9% were male. Based on the cut-off values of AAPR, patients were divided into three groups: low-AAPR group (AAPR < 0.37, n = 35), medium-AAPR group (AAPR = 0.37-0.59, n = 61) and high-AAPR group (AAPR > 0.59, n = 103). The median overall survival (OS) of each AAPR group was 12.5, 24, and 29 months, respectively (P value <0.0001). After adjusting the Cox proportional hazards model, medium- and high- AAPR groups showed a reduced risk trend of death, with a risk ratio of 0.44 (95% CI = 0.21-0.91) and 0.25 (95% CI = 0.12-0.49), respectively (P for trend <0.001). No nonlinear relationship was identified by smooth fitting curve between AAPR and OS. By subgroup analysis, we observed that compared to the low-AAPR group, the trends of the HRs in the medium- and high-AAPR group were decreased across nearly all subgroups after stratification. Moreover, the AAPR-based nomograms for OS, CSS and RFS were also constructed. The C-index showed a good predictive accuracy (OS, C-index 0.728, 95% CI 0.663-0.793; CSS, C-index 0.792, 95% CI 0.748-0.838; RFS, C-index 0.784, 95% CI 0.739-0.829).

Conclusion

Pretreatment AAPR is significantly associated with the prognosis of BC patients receiving RC, which can be conducive to the clinical decision-making and risk stratification in those patients. The nomogram based on AAPR is a reliable model for predicting survival of BC patients after RC.

Body composition among patients undergoing surgery for colorectal cancer

Introduction

Nutritional status assessment is an important part of preoperative patient evaluation, but the standard anthropometric parameters do not appear to be adequate.

Aim

To determine the changes in the values of bioelectrical impedance analysis (BIA) parameters in patients 3 months after undergoing surgery for colorectal cancer (CRC).

Material and methods

BIA and nutritional status assessment parameters were determined in 80 patients prior to undergoing surgery for CRC. The results 3 months after surgery for 64 of those patients were then compared with their initial assessments.

Results

According to standard WHO ranges, 54% of the patients were diagnosed as being overweight and 29% as obese. The percentage of patients categorized as obese amounted to 56% when this was defined as high fat mass. Moderate sarcopaenia, defined as a low skeletal muscle index (SMI) or low percentage of skeletal muscle mass, was diagnosed in 21% and 29% of patients, respectively. Patients with postoperative weakness that made it impossible for them to attend the control visit had a lower preoperative skeletal muscle mass (p = 0.01) and SMI value (p = 0.001). Parameters of BIA did not discriminate patients with postoperative complications, which occurred in 23% of individuals enrolled.

Conclusions

A significant proportion of the patients undergoing surgery for CRC were overweight or obese, which could mask the sarcopaenia that presented in 21–29% of them. Sarcopaenia was the only parameter predictive of a postoperative decrease in performance status.

Albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio: A novel prognostic index for patients with driver mutation-negative advanced non-small cell lung cancer

INTRODUCTION

Albumin-to-Alkaline Phosphatase Ratio (AAPR), a novel developed prognostic index for cancers. Chemotherapy was the only method for driver mutation-negative advanced non-small cell lung cancer (DANSCLC).

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the clinical significance of AAPR in these patients.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 167 DANSCLCs and 58 healthy controls. Associations of clinicopathological characteristics and survival analysis were conducted.

RESULTS

Significantly decreased AAPR level was uncovered in DANSCLC patients compared to healthy controls. The correlation analysis revealed that the low AAPR level in DANSCLCs was correlated with poor differentiation (P = .024). Cox regression analysis showed that N stage, M stage, and different levels of AAPR were the independent risk factors of PFS and OS. The median PFS and OS survival ratio in patients with high and low AAPR level was, respectively, 17 months and 8 months, and 23 months and 13 months. The AUC of AAPR for both PFS and OS were higher than that of albumin and alkaline phosphatase (p < 0.05). The low AAPR was associated with much shorter PFS and OS than the high AAPR (mPFS: 8 vs. 25 months; mOS: 12 vs. 36 months). In the AP cohort, the low AAPR group experienced significantly shorter PFS and OS than the high AAPR (mPFS: 7 vs. 25 months; mOS: 12 vs. 36 months). Meanwhile, there was no significance in lung squamous cell carcinoma (LUSC) patients and GP regimens cohort.

CONCLUSION

AAPR significantly decreased in patients with DANSCLC, and it affects the prognosis of patients with DANSCLC and is a biomarker for DANSCLCs prognosis and treatment choice.

Prognostic Value of Pretreatment Albumin-to-Alkaline Phosphatase Ratio in Cancer: A Meta-Analysis

Background

Recently, it has been reported that the pretreatment albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR) is related to the prognosis of various cancers. The purpose of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to explore the prognostic value of pretreatment AAPR on clinical outcomes in cancer.

Methods

PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, and Embase were systematically searched for relevant research before May 2020. Stata 12 was utilized to extract the data and the characteristics of each study and to generate a pooled hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) to assess the relationship between pretreatment AAPR and survival outcomes.

Results

We included 16 eligible published articles involving 5,716 patients. We found that low pretreatment AAPR was associated with poor overall survival (HR = 2.12, 95% CI: 1.80–2.50, P < 0.001), cancer-specific survival (HR = 2.89, 95% CI: 1.46–5.71, P < 0.001), disease-free survival (HR = 1.91, 95% CI: 1.43–2.53, P < 0.001), and progression-free survival (HR = 1.93, 95% CI: 1.49–2.52, P < 0.001). However, there was no statistical relationship between pretreatment AAPR and recurrence-free survival, distant-metastasis-free survival, or locoregional relapse-free survival. The correlation between pretreatment AAPR and overall survival did not change significantly when possible confounders were stratified. The sensitivity analysis showed that this study was reliable.

Conclusions

Low pretreatment AAPR was significantly associated with adverse clinical outcomes of cancer. Pretreatment AAPR could be a valuable noninvasive prognostic indicator for cancer.

Prognostic Value of a Nomogram Based on the Dynamic Albumin-to-Alkaline Phosphatase Ratio for Patients with Extensive-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer

Purpose

Small-cell lung cancer (SCLC) is known as the characteristics of high invasion, rapid progression, and poor prognosis. Therefore, identification of patients with high risk of progression and death is critical to improve the survival of patients with extensive-stage SCLC (ES-SCLC). This study was designed to determine the prognostic importance of the albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR) in the survival of patients with ES-SCLC and to develop a nomogram based on AAPR dynamics for ES-SCLC prognosis.

Patients and Methods

Characteristics were reviewed from 300 patients with ES-SCLC. Training and validation cohorts included 200 and 100 patients, respectively. We applied univariate and multivariate Cox models to assess the prognostic value of AAPR for ES-SCLC. The nomogram for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) of ES-SCLC patients was developed based on the multivariate survival analysis of the training cohort. External validation of the established nomogram was performed using the validation cohort.

Results

N3 stage, thoracic radiotherapy, and post-AAPR were the independent factors identified for PFS. T stage, thoracic radiotherapy, and high post-AAPR were the independent risk factors identified for death. The prognostic nomogram was established by integrating the independent significant factors for PFS and OS in the training cohort with the c-indices of 0.675 and 0.662, respectively, and validated in the validation cohort. The nomogram had superior prognosis prediction ability than did TNM stage. Decision curve analysis (DCA) also indicated clinical net benefits from the nomogram.

Conclusion

AAPR was valuable for prognosis prediction in patients with ES-SCLC and was recommended to be dynamically evaluated to guide patient treatment. Additionally, the nomogram covering post-AAPR accurately predicted individual survival probability.

Validation of the Prognostic Value of Preoperative Albumin-to-Alkaline Phosphatase Ratio in Patients with Surgically Treated Non-Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma

Purpose

Several studies have revealed that albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR) was correlated to the survival of several cancers. To explore the impact of AAPR on the survival of non-metastatic renal cell carcinoma (RCC) patients following nephrectomy, the present study was conducted.

Patients and Methods

A total of 648 patients were enrolled in the present study. The cut-off value of AAPR was determined based on the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Univariate and multivariate analyses were applied to identify prognostic factors. The discrimination and calibration of models for survival outcomes were evaluated based on the concordance index (C-index), ROC analysis and calibration curve.

Results

The low AAPR (≤0.5) was associated with older age (P<0.001), higher T stage (P=0.002), larger tumor size (P=0.014) and tumor necrosis (P=0.003). A high AAPR was significantly correlated to better OS (hazard ratio, HR=0.61; P=0.038) and CSS (HR=0.52; P=0.013) based on multivariate analysis. Integrating AAPR with UISS or SSIGN, the C-indexes of nomogram for OS (UISS: 0.790 vs 0.765; SSIGN: 0.861 vs 0.850) and CSS (UISS: 0.832 vs 0.805; SSIGN: 0.905 vs 0.896) increased. Moreover, the nomogram for OS and CSS was established based on the multivariate analysis. The C-indexes of nomogram for OS and CSS were 0.834 (95% CI 0.794–0.874) and 0.867 (95% CI 0.830–0.904), respectively.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the high preoperative AAPR was a favorable prognostic factor for surgically treated non-metastatic RCC patients. AAPR also could improve the predictive value of well-established models. The nomogram that incorporates AAPR had a good performance. More prospective studies with a large scale are essential to validate our findings.

Prognostic effect of pretreatment albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio in human cancers: A meta-analysis

Purpose

It has been demonstrated that, for various types of cancer, the pretreatment albumin/alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR) was a prognostic factor. Therefore, in order to determine AAPR’s prognostic effect on cancer, the meta-analysis was hereby performed.

Patients and methods

The relevant studies conducted before November 10, 2019, were comprehensively searched in Web of Science, PubMed, and Embase. HRs(hazard ratios) with related 95%CIs(confidence intervals) were adopted to estimate AAPR’s prognostic impact on overall survival (OS) & disease-free survival (DFS).

Results

Our meta-analysis involved thirteen cohort studies, which included 5,204 cases of 8 types. The results of this meta-analysis indicated that higher AAPR was corrected with better OS (pooled HR = 0.52; 95%CI = 0.47–0.58; P<0.001) and DFS (pooled HR = 0.55; 95%CI = 0.47–0.66; P<0.001). Subgroup analysis on OS was based on the cancer system, treatment methods, and cutoff value. Moreover, higher AAPR was statistically in associated with lighter infiltration (pooled OR = 0.79; 95%CI = 0.73–0.85; P<0.001), no lymph nodes metastasis (pooled OR = 0.89; 95%CI = 0.83–0.95; P = 0.001), and no distant metastasis (pooled OR = 0.92; 95%CI = 0.86–0.99; P = 0.028).

Conclusion

Higher AAPR was related to better prognosis of cancer, and in cancer therapy, AAPR could be taken as a promising marker of prognosis. It might help physicians to select the most appropriate treatments by evaluating the current status of patients with cancer. Future multicenter prospective clinical trials were required to verify its applications.

Pretreatment albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio as a prognostic indicator in solid cancers: A meta-analysis with trial sequential analysis

BACKGROUND

Albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR), a novel and economic serum biomarker, is associated with survival in patients with cancer. This study aimed to evaluate the potential role of AAPR as a prognostic indicator of solid cancers.

METHODS

This meta-analysis with trial sequential analysis of retrospective studies was designed to investigate the relationship between AAPR and overall survival (OS) in solid cancers. The meta-analysis included 5951 patients from 20 cohorts. The main predictor variable was AAPR, and the main outcome was OS. Statistical tests were performed using Stata 12.0, Revman 5.3, and R 3.6.1.

RESULTS

Compared to patients with a lower AAPR, those with a higher AAPR had a better OS (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.50; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.43-0.58; p < 0.001). Subgroup analysis by tumor type indicated that a higher AAPR was associated with a better OS in non-small cell lung cancer (HR: 0.45; 95% CI: 0.26-0.78; p < 0.001), small cell lung cancer (HR: 0.60; 95% CI: 0.44-0.82; p < 0.001), hepatocellular carcinoma (HR: 0.49; 95% CI: 0.34-0.69; p < 0.001), pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (HR: 0.47; 95% CI: 0.31-0.71; p < 0.001), and nasopharyngeal carcinoma (HR: 0.42; 95% CI: 0.21-0.85; p = 0.016).

CONCLUSION

Pretreatment AAPR may be a useful prognostic indicator in solid cancers.

Predictive value of pretreatment albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio for overall survival for patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer

Objectives

To investigate the relation between AAPR and OS in patients with advanced non‐small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

Methods

A retrospective cohort study was conducted with 808 patients with advanced NSCLC who were treated in Guangxi Medical University Affiliated Tumor Hospital in China from 5 March 2009 to 31 August 2018. The target‐independent and dependent variables were AAPR measured in patients before anticancer treatment and overall survival (OS), respectively. Covariates involved in this study included age, gender, ECOG status, smoking history, clinical stages, pathological type, driver mutation (EGFR or ALK), metastasis or not (bone, lung, liver, brain, malignant plural effusion, and other organs), number of organ metastasis(≤3, >3), first‐line regiment and number of treatment lines (≤3, >3).

Results

The mean age of the selected patients was 58.3 ± 10.9 years and 68.6% were male. We divided patients according to their AAPR into low (AAPR < 0.34, n = 266), medium (AAPR = 0.34‐0.47, n = 259), and high (AAPR > 0.47, n = 283) tertile groups. Medium and high AAPR were associated with a decreased risk of death after fully adjusted Cox proportional hazard model(s) with hazards ratio (HR) 0.77 (95%CI = 0.58‐1.03) and HR 0.59 (95%CI = 0.45‐0.78), respectively (P for trend <.05). The median OS of low, medium, and high AAPR was 9.3, 11.8, and 16.9 months, respectively (P value <.0001). No optimal cutoff value of AAPR for prognosing OS was identified by smooth curve fitting. The HR and the 95% confidence intervals of the left and right sides of the inflection point 0.6 as cutoff value were 0.28 (95%CI = 0.14‐0.57) and 0.77 (95%CI = 0.34‐1.73), respectively (P value = .127). By subgroup analysis, similar results were consistently observed across nearly all the subgroups.

Conclusion

Our study implied that pretreatment AAPR can be used as an independent prognostic factor in patients with advanced NSCLC. This ratio should be applied for risk stratification and clinical decision‐making in those patients.

Assessment of Liver Function for Evaluation of Long-Term Outcomes of Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma: A Multi-Institutional Analysis of 620 Patients

Background: Liver function is a routine laboratory test prior to curative liver resection. It remains unclear whether the albumin–bilirubin (ALBI) grade and albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR) can predict long-term outcomes of surgically treated patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC).

Methods: This study investigated the correlation between ALBI grade and AAPR with overall survival (OS) after liver resection and then compared their accuracy to the Child–Pugh score. Harrell's concordance index (C-index) and Akaike information criterion (AIC) were used to compare accuracy of models.

Results: A total of 620 ICC patients were included, 477 in derivation cohort and 143 for validation. 0.348 was identified as the cutoff value for AAPR after calculating the Youden index. In the derivation cohort, elevated ALBI grade was associated with worse prognosis [hazard ratio (HR): 1.751, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.329 to 2.306], and a decreased AAPR value was correlated with shorter OS (HR: 1.969, 95% CI: 1.552 to 2.497). Multivariate analysis suggested that the ALBI grade, AAPR, CA19-9, tumor number, and microvascular invasion were independent prognostic predictors for OS. ALBI grade and AAPR showed more accuracy in evaluating OS for surgically treated ICC patients than the Child–Pugh score (C-index: 0.559, 0.600 vs. 0.528; AIC: 3023.84, 3007.73 vs. 3034.66). Our findings were validated in an independent cohort from another clinical center.

Conclusions: Importantly, the ALBI grade and AAPR showed greater discriminatory power than the Child–Pugh score in assessing long-term outcomes following hepatectomy for ICC. The AAPR was more accurate than the ALBI grade. It was beneficial to consider the ALBI grade and AAPR as useful surrogate markers to identify patients at risk of poor postoperative outcomes.

Albumin-to-Alkaline Phosphatase Ratio Associates with Good Prognosis of Hepatitis B Virus-Positive HCC Patients

Purpose

The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic significance of preoperative AAPR in hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma patients after curative hepatectomy.

Patients and Methods

A total of 221 patients with hepatitis B virus-related HCC patients who received curative liver resection were included. After propensity matching analysis, 188 patients were enrolled in the final analysis. COX regression analyses were used to analyze the prognosis value of AAPR and other prognostic factors. The overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) curves were constructed and compared between different groups.

Results

The optimal cutoff of AAPR was defined as 0.40 with X-tile software. According to cutoff value, patients were divided into low-AAPR group (≤0.40) and high-AAPR group (>0.40). The cumulative 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates were 97.1%, 78.2%, and 67.3% in patients with AAPR>0.40 group, respectively, which were significantly higher than those in the AAPR≤0.40 group (80.2%, 54.4%, and 40.1%, respectively) (P <0.001). In the multivariate COX regression analysis, AAPR, tumor number, ascites, and portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT) were independent risk factors for OS and RFS.

Conclusion

AAPR shows promise as a reliable prognostic factor in patients with hepatitis B virus-related HCC after curative hepatectomy, which could be used as a routine inspection of HCC patients before surgery.

The association between pretreatment serum alkaline phosphatase and prognosis in hepatocellular carcinoma: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Numerous studies have investigated the association between pretreatment serum alkaline phosphatase (ALP) and prognosis in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but conclusions remain controversial. Thus, we performed a meta-analysis to assess systematically the relationship between ALP and prognosis in HCC.

METHODS

We searched the PubMed, EMBASE, and Web of Science databases for eligible studies up to October. A combined hazard ratio (HR) was determined to describe the correlation between pretreatment serum ALP level and prognosis in HCC patients. Overall survival (OS) was calculated from the date of treatment either to the end point of the follow-up period or to the date of death by any cause. Disease-free survival (DFS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were defined as the period from the date of treatment to the date of last follow-up or to the date of recurrence. OS was regarded as the major outcome.

RESULTS

Altogether, 21 studies about OS and 6 studies about DFS/RFS were included in this meta-analysis. Our combined results showed that there was an inverse association of pretreatment serum ALP level with OS (HR=1.15, 95% CI: 1.12-1.19) and RFS (HR=1.78, 95% CI: 1.37-2.31).

CONCLUSION

There was a close association between high pretreatment ALP level and poor survival in HCC patients, indicating that ALP may be used as a biomarker for prognosis. More high-quality studies are required to validate our findings further, considering the limitations of our meta-analysis.

Nomograms to predict the long-time prognosis in patients with alpha-fetoprotein negative hepatocellular carcinoma following radical resection

Background

To develop and validate nomograms that can be used to predict outcomes in individuals suffering alpha‐fetoprotein (AFP) negative hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after radical resection.

Methods

A total of 509 AFP‐negative HCC patients who received hepatectomy between January 2009 and March 2013 in our center were randomized into training and validation cohorts. Nomograms for both overall and recurrence‐free survival (OS and RFS, respectively) were established based on the predictors in the training cohort. Nomograms performance and discriminative power were assessed with concordance index (C‐index) values and decision curve analyses (DCA). The results were validated in the validation cohort.

Results

Alkaline phosphatase, liver cirrhosis, tumor size, satellite lesions, microvascular invasion, and Edmondson‐Steiner grade were significantly linked to OS and RFS. Sex and tumor number were additional predictors for RFS. The OS nomogram had a C‐index value of 0.742, which was better than that for the AJCC eighth edition (0.632), BCLC system (0.553), and JIS score (0.557) (all P < .001). The RFS nomogram C‐index was 0.669, which was also superior to that of the AJCC eighth (0.608), BCLC stage (0.554), JIS score (0.551), and model of Gan et al (0.636) (P < .05 for all). Calibration curves indicated a good agreement between observed actual outcomes and predicted values. Kaplan‐Meier curves and DCA indicated that nomograms were powerful in discrimination and clinical usefulness. These results were supported by the validation cohort.

Conclusions

These nomograms presented more accurate prognostic prediction in patients with AFP‐negative HCC after hepatectomy.

The Value of Alkaline Phosphatase-to-Albumin Ratio in Detecting Synchronous Metastases and Predicting Postoperative Relapses among Patients with Well-Differentiated Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Neoplasms

Backgrounds

Pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasm (pNEN) is a highly heterogeneous entity, presenting widely varied biological behavior as well as long-term prognosis. Reliable biomarkers are urgently needed to make risk stratifications for pNEN patients, which could be beneficial to the development of individualized therapeutic strategy in the clinical practice. Here, we aimed to evaluate the predictive and prognostic roles of serum alkaline phosphatase-to-albumin ratio (APAR) in well-differentiated pNEN patients.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed the pathologically confirmed grade 1/2 pNEN patients, who were originally treated in our hospital from February 2008 to April 2018. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to assess the value of APAR in detecting synchronous metastases and predicting relapses following curative resections.

Results

A total of 170 eligible cases were included into analysis. Logistic univariate analysis indicated APAR (P=0.002) was significantly associated with synchronous distant metastasis among well-differentiated pNEN patients, which was further demonstrated to be an independent risk factor by multivariate analysis (odds ratio 8.127, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.105–31.372, P=0.002) was significantly associated with synchronous distant metastasis among well-differentiated pNEN patients, which was further demonstrated to be an independent risk factor by multivariate analysis (odds ratio 8.127, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.105–31.372, P=0.002) was significantly associated with synchronous distant metastasis among well-differentiated pNEN patients, which was further demonstrated to be an independent risk factor by multivariate analysis (odds ratio 8.127, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.105–31.372, P=0.002) was significantly associated with synchronous distant metastasis among well-differentiated pNEN patients, which was further demonstrated to be an independent risk factor by multivariate analysis (odds ratio 8.127, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.105–31.372, P=0.002) was significantly associated with synchronous distant metastasis among well-differentiated pNEN patients, which was further demonstrated to be an independent risk factor by multivariate analysis (odds ratio 8.127, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.105–31.372,

Conclusion

APAR may work as a convenient pretreatment marker to detect synchronous distant metastasis for well-differentiated pNEN patients and predict recurrences for curatively resected cases without nerve or vascular invasion. However, these findings should be further verified in prospectively well-designed studies.

Prognostic Value of Albumin-to-Alkaline Phosphatase Ratio in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Treated with Liver Transplantation

Background: The albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR) is a newly developed index which was used to predict prognosis of HCC patients. However, its prognostic role in HCC patients undergoing liver transplantation (LT) remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the correlation between AAPR and prognosis of these patients. Methods: A total of 210 patients who underwent LT from January 2003 to January 2014 were retrospectively analyzed (149 for discovery and 61 for validation). Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine the discriminative ability of the AAPR in predicting long-term survival. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) was calculated to compare the accuracy of different factors. Results: Patients with high AAPR level were associated with less ascites rate (30.6% versus 53.2%, P=0.033) as well as more frequencies of Child-Pugh class A (73.6% versus 35.1%, P=0.001). Univariate and multivariate analyses suggested the AAPR was independent prognostic factor in predicting overall survival (HR: 0.585, 95% CI: 0.363-0.941, P=0.027). Validation cohort confirmed prognostic value of AAPR. Subgroup analysis demonstrated that reduced AAPR level was associated with worse prognosis in HCC patients categorized in Child-Pugh class A (P=0.029). The AUCs of the AAPR were 0.710 and 0.744 in predicting 3-year and 5-year survival outcomes, respectively. Conclusions: The study showed in two independent cohorts of HCC patients treated by LT that elevated AAPR was associated with better OS. As a low-cost routine laboratory test, it should be considered as biomarker in the clinical management of HCC.

Blood albumin as a prognostic factor among unselected medically treated inpatients

Aim: The aim of this study is to determine the prognostic value of blood albumin (BA) in an unselected population of inpatients. Materials & methods: We performed prospective analysis of the medical documentation of 7279 patients hospitalized between July 2014 and September 2017. Results: Individuals with BA ≥3.35 mg/dl had significantly lower risk of in-hospital death (odds ratio [OR]: 0.22; 95% CI: 0.19-0.27; p < 0.001) and 14-day readmission (OR: 0.64; 95% CI: 0.55-0.77; p < 0.0001). BA concentration was the strongest favorable factor predicting inpatient survival in a Cox hazard regression model (OR: 0.43; 95% CI: 0.36-0.50; p < 0.001), did not correlate with body mass index and actual-to-ideal bodyweight ratio and was strongly affected by numerous non-nutrient factors. Conclusion: BA concentration showed similar or better predictive and diagnostic power in relation to all-cause in-hospital mortality and 14-day readmission among inpatients than selected multifactorial scores.

Prognostic value of the albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio on urologic outcomes in patients with non-metastatic renal cell carcinoma following curative nephrectomy

Background: Few studies focused on the relationship between the albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR) and the urologic outcomes in patients with non-metastatic renal cell carcinoma (RCC) following curative surgery. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of preoperative AAPR in non-metastatic RCC patients. Methods: The prognostic value of AAPR was evaluated in a primary cohort with 419 non-metastatic RCC patients following curative radical or partial nephrectomy and then further validated in an independent cohort consisting of 204 patients. A nomogram was developed based on the independent predictors, and its predictive value was assessed. Results: Kaplan-Meier survival analysis demonstrated that patients with low AAPR levels were significantly associated with worse overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) compared with patients with high AAPR levels both in two cohorts. Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that low AAPR was an independent risk factor for OS (HR = 2.745; 95%CI, 1.266-5.953; P = 0.011) and CSS (HR = 3.042; 95%CI, 1.278-7.243; P = 0.012). Moreover, subgroup analysis (Fuhrman grade G1+G2 and Fuhrman grade G3+G4; T1+T2 stage and T3+T4 stage) revealed that low AAPR was also related to worse urological outcomes. Although no significant differences between patients with low AAPR and patients with high AAPR can be observed with regard to CSS under Fuhrman grade G1+G2 (P=0.058) and T1+T2 stage (P=0.318), there was a worse CSS trend in low AAPR patients. The established nomograms for OS and CSS were well calibrated and had moderate discriminative ability (concordance index: 0.821 and 0.839, respectively) Conclusions: Preoperative AAPR might be an independent prognostic factor in patients with non-metastatic RCC. The ratio should be applied in RCC patients for risk stratification and clinical decision-making.

Derivation and external validation of a model to predict 2-year mortality risk of patients with advanced schistosomiasis after discharge

To date, no risk prediction tools have been developed to identify high mortality risk of patients with advanced schistosomiasis within 2 years after discharge. We aim to derive and validate a risk prediction model to be applied in clinical practice. The risk prediction model was derived from 1487 patients from Jingzhou and externally validated by 723 patients of Huangshi, two prefecture-level cities in Hubei province, China (from September 2014 to January 2015, with follow-up to January 2017). The baseline variables were collected. The mean age [SD] was 62.89 [10.38] years for the derivation cohort and 62.95 [12.22] years for the external validation cohort. The females accounted for 36.3% and 43.7% of the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. 8.27% patients (123/1487) in the derivation cohort and 7.75% patients (56/723) in the external validation cohort died within 2 years after discharge. We constructed 4 models based on the 7 selected variables: age, clinical classification, serum direct bilirubin (DBil), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg), alpha fetoprotein (AFP) at admission. In the external validation cohort, the multivariate model including 7 variables had a C statistic of 0.717 (95% CI, 0.646–0.788) and improved integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) value and net reclassification improvement (NRI) value compared to the other reduced models.

Therefore, a multivariate model was developed to predict the 2-year mortality risk for patients with advanced schistosomiasis after discharge. It could also help guide follow-up, aid prognostic assessment and inform resource allocation.

Prognostic impact of the pretreatment albumin to alkaline phosphatase ratio for nonmetastatic breast cancer patients

Introduction: Albumin and alkaline phosphatase have been previously demonstrated as independent prognostic factors for various types of cancer. Here, we aimed to explore the potential value of pretreatment albumin to alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR) on overall survival (OS) in nonmetastatic breast cancer patients.

Methods: A total of 746 nonmetastatic breast cancer patients were enrolled in this study. Receiver characteristic curve was used to analyze the AAPR threshold. Survival analysis was conducted using the Kaplan–Meier method and compared with the log-rank test. Both univariate and multivariate analyses were performed using Cox proportional hazards regression methodology.

Results: The optimal cutoff value of AAPR in predicting OS in nonmetastatic breast cancer patients was 0.525. Increased pretreatment AAPR level was related to age at diagnosis (≥60 years vs <60 years, P=0.000), tumor size (T≤2 cm vs T>2 cm, P=0.034), estrogen receptor (positive vs negative, P=0.022), progesterone receptor (positive vs negative, P=0.025), carcino-embryonic antigen (abnormal vs normal, P=0.016), surgery (lumpectomy vs mastectomy, P=0.002), chemotherapy (yes vs no, P=0.004), radiotherapy (yes vs no, P=0.013), endocrine therapy (yes vs no, P=0.027) but not with lymph node involvement, HER-2 status or CA-153. The 5-year OS rate was 80.16% for the low AAPR group and 92.66% for the high AAPR group. Kaplan–Meier analysis indicated that patients with low-AAPR levels had shorter OS than patients with high-AAPR levels (P=0.001). N classification (P<0.05), Ki-67 (HR=3.603, 95% CI=1.046–12.414, P=0.042) and AAPR (HR=0.447, 95% CI=0.205–0.976, P=0.043) were related to OS in multivariate analyses, respectively.

Conclusion: AAPR is an independent prognostic factor for OS in nonmetastatic breast cancer patients. Further prospective studies are required to confirm our findings.

The Prognostic Value of Albumin-to-Alkaline Phosphatase Ratio before Radical Radiotherapy in Patients with Non-metastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A Propensity Score Matching Analysis

Purpose

We first analyzed the prognostic power of albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR) before radical radiotherapy (RT) in non-metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients.

Materials and Methods

The records of 170 patients with biopsy-proven, non-metastatic NPC treated by radical RT between 1998 and 2016 at our institution were retrospectively reviewed. Median follow-up duration was 50.6 months. All patients received intensity-modulated RT and cisplatin based chemotherapy before, during, or after RT. The major treatment of patients was based on concurrent chemoradiotherapy (92.4%). The AAPR was calculated by the last value of both albumin and alkaline phosphatase within 1 month immediately preceding RT. The optimal cut-off level of AAPR was determined by using Cutoff Finder, a web-based system. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was performed.

Results

The optimal cut-off level of AAPR was 0.4876. After PSM analysis of whole cohort, an AAPR was not related to survival outcomes. In PSM analysis for patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC), an AAPR ≥ 0.4876 was related to better overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and locoregional relapse–free survival (LRRFS) (OS: hazard ratio [HR], 0.341; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.144 to 0.805; p=0.014; PFS: HR, 0.416; 95% CI, 0.189 to 0.914; p=0.029; and LRRFS: HR, 0.243; 95% CI, 0.077 to 0.769; p=0.016, respectively).

Conclusion

The AAPR, inexpensive and readily derived from a routine blood test, could be an independent prognostic factor for patients with LA-NPC. And it might help physicians determine treatment plans by identifying the patient's current status. Future prospective clinical trials to validate its prognostic value are needed.

Prognostic value of dynamic albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio in limited stage small-cell lung cancer

AIM

To dynamically investigate the prognostic value of albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR) in limited stage small-cell lung cancer.

MATERIALS & METHODS

 The AAPR within 1 week before and after chemoradiation therapy (pre- and post-AAPR) was collected and analyzed.

RESULTS

Patients with low pre- or post-AAPR had shorter overall survival and progression-free survival than the high groups (p-values all <0.05). Post-AAPR was an independent prognostic factor for progression-free survival (p = 0.007) and overall survival (p = 0.003). The integration of pre- or post-AAPR improved the prognostic ability of Tumor, Node, Metastasis stage alone (0.55-0.64 and 0.68, respectively).

CONCLUSION

 Post-AAPR is a reliable prognostic factor for limited stage small-cell lung cancer patients. The complementary value of AAPR to Tumor, Node, Metastasis stage is worth further validation in the future.

Albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio: A novel prognostic index of overall survival in cholangiocarcinoma patients after surgery

AIM

To clarify the prognostic significance of preoperative albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR) in cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) subjects receiving surgery.

METHODS

In this retrospective study, we included 303 CCA patients receiving surgery without preoperative therapy between 2002 and 2014. Clinicopathological characteristics (including AAPR) were analyzed to determine predictors of post-operative overall survival and recurrence-free survival (RFS). In addition, univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were conducted, followed by application of time-dependent receiver operating curves to identify the optimal cut-off.

RESULTS

Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed both decreased overall survival [hazard ratio (HR): 2.88, 95%CI: 1.19-5.78] and recurrence-free survival (HR: 2.31, 95%CI: 1.40–3.29) in patients with AAPR < 0.41 compared to those with AAPR ≥ 0.41. The optimal cut-off of AAPR was 0.41. Of the 303 subjects, 253 (83.5%) had an AAPR over 0.41. The overall 1-, 3- and 5-year survival rates were 70.2%, 38.0% and 16.5%, respectively in the low (< 0.41) AAPR group, which were significantly lower than those in the high (≥ 0.41) AAPR group (81.7%, 53.9%, and 33.4%, respectively) (P < 0.0001). Large tumor size, multiple tumors, and advanced clinical stage were also identified as significant predictors of poor prognosis.

CONCLUSION

Our outcomes showed that AAPR was a potential valuable prognostic indicator in CCA patients undergoing surgery, which should be further confirmed by prospective studies. Moreover, it is necessary to investigate the mechanisms concerning the correlation of low AAPR with poor post-operative survival in CCA patients.

The Predictive Value of Albumin-to-Alkaline Phosphatase Ratio for Overall Survival of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Treated with Trans-Catheter Arterial Chemoembolization Therapy

Background: We have previously reported the prognostic value of the albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR) for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients who are not receiving any standard anticancer therapy. However, the prognostic value of the AAPR for HCC patients treated with trans-catheter arterial chemoembolization therapy (TACE) was not investigated.

Methods: We retrospectively analysed 372 HCC patients treated with TACE (the training cohort) and applied receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC curves) to identify the best cut-off value for the AAPR in this cohort. Then, univariate analyses by the Kaplan-Meier method and multivariate analysis by a Cox proportional hazards regression model were conducted. Both comparisons of the ROC curves and the likelihood ratio test (LRT) were employed to evaluate the abilities of different factors in predicting the survival of patients in this cohort. Finally, the prognostic value of the AAPR was validated in two cohorts: one included 202 HCC patients treated with supportive care (validation cohort I), and the other included 82 HCC patients treated with TACE (validation cohort II).

Results: We identified 0.439 as the best cut-off value of the AAPR by ROC curve analysis. An AAPR > 0.439 was significantly correlated with a lower frequency of Child-Pugh grade B, portal vein tumour thrombus (PVTT), T3-4 and lymph node metastasis (P < 0.05). The median overall survival (OS) of the patients with an AAPR > 0.439 was significantly longer than that of those with an AAPR ≤ 0.439 (58.4 m vs 17.8 m, respectively, P < 0.001). The AAPR was identified as an independent prognostic factor after univariate and multivariate analyses (HR = 0.636, P = 0.003). The independent prognostic value of the AAPR was also confirmed in validation cohorts I and II. Additionally, we substituted the AAPR for the Child-Pugh grade in the CLIP system and integrated the AAPR into the TNM system. We found that the area under the curve (AUC) of the AAPR-CLIP system was significantly larger than that of the CLIP and the TNM when predicting 3-month, 6-month, 1-year and 2-year survival (P < 0.05). There was no significant difference between the AUCs for the AAPR-CLIP and the AAPR-TNM. The LRT suggested that both AAPR-CLIP and AAPR-TNM had significantly larger χ2 values and smaller AIC values than that of their corresponding primary system (P < 0.05).

Conclusions: The AAPR was an independent prognostic index for the HCC patients treated with TACE. Both AAPR-CLIP and AAPR-TNM outperformed their corresponding primary system in predicting OS in the current study.