Abstract MP01: Midlife Diabetes and Lifetime Risk of Dementia: During 30 Years Follow-Up From the ARIC Study

Introduction: Diabetes is associated with both dementia and death. Ignoring the competing risk of mortality may result in overestimation of the lifetime of dementia.

Hypothesis: The lifetime cumulative incidence of dementia associated with diabetes will be much lower when taking into account the competing risk of mortality, particularly at the oldest ages.

Methods: We conducted a prospective cohort analysis of data from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study (midlife baseline at visit 2, 1990-1992). Diabetes was defined as a self-reported physician diagnosis, diabetes medication use, or HbA1C of 6.5% or greater. Incident dementia was ascertained via active surveillance involving interviews and adjudication. We conducted survival analysis using age as the time scale with age 50 as the origin and December 31st, 2019 as the administrative censoring date. Dementia risk was analyzed with death treated as a censoring event or as a competing risk.

Results: Among 13,381 participants, 1798 (13.4%) had diabetes at baseline (mean age: 56.8 years). Using a standard Cox model, diabetes was associated with an increased hazard of dementia (HR 1.36; 95% CI 1.21, 1.52) and death (HR 1.87; 95% CI 1.76, 1.99). Censoring mortality (ignoring competing risk), diabetes was associated with a higher cumulative incidence of dementia at all ages ( Figure A ). Competing risk models showed a lower risk of dementia than models censoring death. Furthermore, diabetes was associated with a higher risk of dementia only before age 85 but a lower cumulative risk after age 85 due to the large excess risk of mortality ( Figures B and C ).

Conclusion Standard methods dramatically overestimate the lifetime risk of dementia in persons with and without diabetes. Competing risk models are critical for accurate absolute risk estimates, particularly in the oldest ages. Interventions which increase life expectancy in patients with diabetes may increase the cumulative risk of dementia in old age.

Abstract P500: Age-Specific Population Attributable Fractions for the Impact of Hypertension on Dementia Risk

Introduction: Hypertension in midlife, but not late life, is a robust predictor of subsequent dementia. However, the fraction of dementia attributable to hypertension might vary depending on the age of the population considered, and the age through which dementia onset occurs. Here, we investigated associations of hypertension assessed at various ages with incident dementia by age 80 or 90, then estimated population attributable fractions (PAF) for dementia from hypertension categories at each of these age groups.

Hypothesis: Given hypertension prevalence increases with age but its relative risk for dementia tends to decrease, we had no prior expectation of the age at which the PAF’s would be highest. We hypothesized, however, that PAFs for incident dementia would be higher when hypertension is measured in midlife age groups versus late-life age groups.

Methods: We leveraged 32 years of follow-up data from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study (ARIC), a prospective, community-based cohort that enrolled participants aged 45-64 years from four US communities (Washington County, MD; Forsyth County, NC; Jackson, MS; and selected suburbs of Minneapolis, MI) at ARIC visit 1 (1987-1989). Participants were followed through 2018-2019. We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate hazard ratios, then quantified PAFs, of dementia by age 80 and 90 from hypertension assessed at ages of 45-54 (ARIC visit 1), 55-64 (ARIC visits 1 and 4), 65-74 (ARIC visits 4 and 5), and 75-84 (ARIC visit 5).

Results: Hypertension was assessed among 7,572 participants aged 45-54; 12,033 aged 55-64; and 6,561 aged 65-74. By age 80 the number identified as having incident dementia was 711, 910, and 372, respectively. Relative to normotension, hypertension in each age category was associated with hazard ratios (HRs) greater than 1.0 for dementia from hypertension by age 80. The PAF for dementia by age 80 from hypertension measured at age 45-54 was 15.3% (95% CI = 6.9, 22.3%), 19.1% (95% CI = 9.9, 26.9%) at ages 55-64, and 19.9% (95% CI = -4.4, 38.5%) at ages 65-74. By age 90, the number of incident dementia cases were 958; 2,302; and 1,327, respectively; and, among the 2,086 participants aged 75-84, 400 incident dementia cases. HRs were slightly smaller than those by age 80, while hypertension assessed in the 75-84 age group was not significant. The PAFs for dementia by age 90 from hypertension at age 45-54 was 13.8% (95% CI = 6.6, 20.0%), 12.9% (95% CI = 7.0, 18.2%) at ages 55-64, 10.9% (95% CI = 0.02, 21.0%) at ages 65-74, and non-significant at ages 75-84.

Conclusions: Public health interventions targeting hypertension in midlife through early late-life might reduce a sizeable proportion of dementia cases.

Abstract P238: Gait Characteristics in Older Adults Using the Protokinetics Zeno Walkway: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

Introduction: Slowed gait speed in older adults is associated higher vascular disease burden, greater risk of dementia, and falls. Gait mat measurement technology captures speed as well as additional gait parameters, with potential importance for better risk prediction and identification in older adults, but normative data are needed. We assessed correlations between mat-measured gait speed and gait parameters to identify potential targets for future gait research. We hypothesized that gait parameters would not correlate with overall mat-measured gait speed as strongly as overall gait speed correlates within repeat trials of mat or stopwatch-measured trials.

Methods: Participants (n = 402, mean age: 81 years, 54% women, 19% Black race) from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study completed two consecutive usual pace walks on Zeno Walkway™ gait mats at visit 8. Two-hundred thirty-six participants additionally completed two 4-meter usual pace walks timed by stopwatch. We assessed validity using the difference between the faster of two trials each for mat- and stopwatch-measured gait speed using Bland-Altman plots, and Pearson’s correlations, and examined reliability with consecutive trials within measurement type. We reported mean, standard deviation, range, and correlation of 37 gait parameters with gait speed, as well as intra-person variability (coefficient of variation) and parameter asymmetry between footfalls.

Results: Participants had an average gait speed of 0.92 m/sec (SD 0.19 m/sec) measured by mat and 0.99 m/sec (SD 0.21 m/sec) by stopwatch. Mat-measured gait speed was strongly correlated with stopwatch measured speed (Pearson’s Correlation 0.85). Mat-measured walks were on average 0.08 m/sec faster than paired stopwatch-measured walks (standard deviation of difference 0.11 m/sec, p<0.001), regardless of gait speed. Consecutive mat walks had higher Pearson’s and R-squared correlations (0.95 and 0.90) than consecutive stopwatch walks (0.89 and 0.83). Of 37 gait parameters tested, 9 were positively correlated (Pearson’s correlations 0.64 to 0.76) and 7 were negatively correlated (Pearson’s correlations -0.64 to -0.42) with gait speed. Parameter variability in single stance center of pressure distance and gait speed was moderately negatively correlated (Pearson’s correlation -0.50). Correlations between gait speed and gait parameter asymmetry were low (<|0.33|).

Conclusions: Gait mat technology shows high reliability and high correlation with stop-watch measurement in older adults in the ARIC population. Additional gait parameters were largely not strongly correlated with gait speed, including step-to-step measures of variability and asymmetry, suggesting avenues for future research to evaluate gait differences more granularly as more sensitive indicators of health risk in older adults.

Abstract 47: Mid-Life Vascular Risk and Rate of Physical Function Decline Among Older Adults: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

Introduction: Physical function decline is associated with poor outcomes, including disability and death. Late-life vascular risk burden is associated with faster physical decline, but earlier life course influence is still unknown. We hypothesized that higher mid-life vascular risk is associated with faster late-life physical function decline.

Methods: We studied 5,481 adults at visit 5 (mean [SD] age=75.8 [5.0], range=67-91 years, 58% women, 21% Black) without stroke or Parkinson disease. Mid-life hypertension (≥140/90 mm Hg or treatment), diabetes (≥126 mg/dL or treatment), high cholesterol (≥240 mg/dL or treatment), and current smoking were assessed at visit 1 (age=45-64 years) and across visits 1-4. Late-life physical function in the Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB) was assessed at visits 5-7 (median follow-up: 4.8 years). Random-slope, random-intercept linear mixed models tested interactions between rate of SPPB decline and mid-life risk factors, adjusted for visit 5 age, sex, race-site, education, BMI, coronary heart disease, and heart failure.

Results: Mid-life hypertension (+57% decline: 0.47 per 5 years, 95% CI: 0.30-0.64, p<0.001) and diabetes (+73% decline: 0.67 per 5 years, 95% CI: 0.24-1.09, p=0.002) were associated with faster SPPB decline compared to midlife low risk (Figure 1), as were higher systolic blood pressure (+17% per SD: 0.16 per 5 years, 95% CI: 0.10-0.23, p<0.001) and fasting blood glucose (+16% per SD: 0.015 per 5 years, 95% CI: 0.06-0.24, p=0.002). Greater cumulative years of exposure to hypertension and diabetes were associated with faster rates of SPPB decline (+32% decline: 0.93 per 5 years, 95% CI: 0.61-1.25, p<0.001) and diabetes (+35% decline: 1.03 per 5 years, 95% CI: 0.38-1.68, p=0.002).

Conclusions: Older adults with mid-life hypertension and diabetes had faster rates of late-life physical function decline. Midlife control of blood pressure and diabetes may ameliorate late-life functional decline.

The effect of missing data and imputation on the detection of bias in cognitive testing using differential item functioning methods

Background

Item response theory (IRT) methods for addressing differential item functioning (DIF) can detect group differences in responses to individual items (e.g., bias). IRT and DIF-detection methods have been used increasingly often to identify bias in cognitive test performance by characteristics (DIF grouping variables) such as hearing impairment, race, and educational attainment. Previous analyses have not considered the effect of missing data on inferences, although levels of missing cognitive data can be substantial in epidemiologic studies.

Methods

We used data from Visit 6 (2016–2017) of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Neurocognitive Study (N = 3,580) to explicate the effect of artificially imposed missing data patterns and imputation on DIF detection.

Results

When missing data was imposed among individuals in a specific DIF group but was unrelated to cognitive test performance, there was no systematic error. However, when missing data was related to cognitive test performance and DIF group membership, there was systematic error in DIF detection. Given this missing data pattern, the median DIF detection error associated with 10%, 30%, and 50% missingness was -0.03, -0.08, and -0.14 standard deviation (SD) units without imputation, but this decreased to -0.02, -0.04, and -0.08 SD units with multiple imputation.

Conclusions

Incorrect inferences in DIF testing have downstream consequences for the use of cognitive tests in research. It is therefore crucial to consider the effect and reasons behind missing data when evaluating bias in cognitive testing.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12874-022-01572-2.

Assessing Bias in Cognitive Testing for Older Adults with Sensory Impairment: An Analysis of Differential Item Functioning in the Baltimore Longitudinal Study on Aging (BLSA) and the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Neurocognitive Study (ARIC-NCS)

OBJECTIVES

Vision and hearing impairments affect 55% of people aged 60+ years and are associated with lower cognitive test performance; however, tests rely on vision, hearing, or both. We hypothesized that scores on tests that depend on vision or hearing are different among those with vision or hearing impairments, respectively, controlling for underlying cognition.

METHODS

Leveraging cross-sectional data from the Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging (BLSA) and the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Neurocognitive Study (ARIC-NCS), we used item response theory to test for differential item functioning (DIF) by vision impairment (better eye presenting visual acuity worse than 20/40) and hearing impairment (better ear .5-4 kHz pure-tone average > 25 decibels).

RESULTS

We identified DIF by vision impairment for tests whose administrations do not rely on vision [e.g., Delayed Word Recall both in ARIC-NCS: .50 logit difference between impaired and unimpaired (p = .04) and in BLSA: .62 logits (p = .02)] and DIF by hearing impairment for tests whose administrations do not rely on hearing [Digit Symbol Substitution test in BLSA: 1.25 logits (p = .001) and Incidental Learning test in ARIC-NCS: .35 logits (p = .001)]. However, no individuals had differences between unadjusted and DIF-adjusted measures of greater than the standard error of measurement.

CONCLUSIONS

DIF by sensory impairment in cognitive tests was independent of administration characteristics, which could indicate that elevated cognitive load among persons with sensory impairment plays a larger role in test performance than previously acknowledged. While these results were unexpected, neither of these samples are nationally representative and each has unique selection factors; thus, replication is critical.

Abstract WP479: Associations Between Vascular Risk, Amyloid Burden and Incident Dementia: The ARIC-PET Study

Background: Midlife vascular risk factors (MVRF) are associated with incident dementia. Similarly, amyloid β(Aβ) and neurodegeneration (e.g.brain volumes), as parts of the Alzheimer’s Disease (AD) ATN framework, are associated with cognition. Whether vascular and AD-associated factors contribute to dementia independently or interact synergistically to reduce cognitive ability is not well understood.

Methods: Recruited from 3 U.S. communities, ARIC-PET participants were followed from 1987-89 (45-64 yo) through 2016-17 (74-94 yo). Cognition was evaluated in 2011-13 (ages 69-88), and twice more, every 2-3 years. In 2011-13, nondemented ARIC-PET participants had a brain MRI, with measurement of white matter hyperintensities (WMH) and brain volumes, with florbetapir (Aβ) PET scans in 2012-14; global cortical standardized uptake value ratio (SUVR) was log-transformed and standardized. Dementia was classified by expert review, as well as phone and medical record surveillance. The relative contributions of vascular risk (MVRF, WMH volume) and AD pathology (elevated Aβ SUVR, smaller AD signature region volumes) to incident dementia were evaluated with Cox proportional hazards regression.

Results: In 298 individuals, 36 developed dementia. In models with key MVRF, demographics, and Aβ SUVR, hypertension and Aβ each independently predicted dementia risk (per SD of Aβ SUVR: HR 2.57, 95% CI 1.72-3.84; hypertension: HR 2.57, 95% CI 1.16-5.67), but didn’t interact on dementia risk. WMH (per SD: HR 1.51, 95% CI 1.03-2.20) and Aβ SUVR (per SD: HR 2.52, 95% CI 1.83-3.47) each contributed to incident dementia but WMH lost significance when MVRF were added to the model. Smaller AD signature regions were associated with incident dementia, independent of Aβ SUVR, and remained significant after adjustment for MVRF (HR per SD 2.18, 95% CI 1.18-4.01).

Conclusions: Midlife hypertension and late-life Aβ independently contribute to dementia risk, but don’t synergize on a multiplicative scale. Neurodegeneration (e.g.smaller AD signature region volume) is also associated with incident dementia, independent of Aβ and MVRF. Multiple pathways leading to dementia should be considered when evaluating risk factors and interventions to reduce the burden of dementia.

Prevalence and correlates of depressive symptoms in older adults across the glycaemic spectrum: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

AIMS

To document the prevalence of current depressive symptoms and history of depression across the glycaemic spectrum in older adults, and examine if measures of health status and healthcare satisfaction, access and utilization explain differences in the prevalence of current depressive symptoms by diabetes status.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional study of 6226 participants aged 67-90 years who attended the 2011-2013 visit of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. Diabetes was based on self-report, medication use and HbA_1c . Current depressive symptoms were defined using the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression 11-item questionnaire, and history of depression was assessed via self-report. We examined obesity, history of cardiovascular disease, hypertension, kidney disease, cognitive function, and self-reported health compared with others. Prevalence and prevalence ratios were estimated using age-, race-, and sex-adjusted Poisson regression.

RESULTS

The prevalence of current depressive symptoms was 5.4% in people without diabetes and 11.0% in people with diabetes (prevalence ratio 2.04, 95% CI 1.60, 2.48); the prevalence of history of depression was 11% in people without diabetes and 17.7% in people with diabetes (prevalence ratio 1.61, 95% CI 1.28,1.95). Strong correlates of current depressive symptoms were history of depression (prevalence ratio 3.86, 95% CI 3.05, 4.90) and reporting poor health compared with others (prevalence ratio 3.88, 95% CI 2.93, 5.15). No variables had significantly different associations with depressive symptoms across glycaemic categories (P for interaction >0.10).

CONCLUSIONS

In older adults, current depressive symptoms were twice as prevalent in people with diabetes compared with those without. Measures of health status and healthcare did not explain differences in depressive symptoms between people with and without diabetes.

Metabolomics and cognition in African American adults in midlife: the atherosclerosis risk in communities study

Clinical studies have shown alterations in metabolic profiles when patients with mild cognitive impairment and Alzheimer's disease dementia were compared to cognitively normal subjects. Associations between 204 serum metabolites measured at baseline (1987-1989) and cognitive change were investigated in 1035 middle-aged community-dwelling African American participants in the biracial Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study. Cognition was evaluated using the Delayed Word Recall Test (DWRT; verbal memory), the Digit Symbol Substitution Test (DSST; processing speed) and the Word Fluency Test (WFT; verbal fluency) at visits 2 (1990-1992) and 4 (1996-1998). In addition, Cox regression was used to analyze the metabolites as predictors of incident hospitalized dementia between baseline and 2011. There were 141 cases among 1534 participants over a median 17.1-year follow-up period. After adjustment for established risk factors, one standard deviation increase in N-acetyl-1-methylhistidine was significantly associated with greater 6-year change in DWRT scores (β=-0.66 words; P=3.65 × 10-4). Two metabolites (one unnamed and a long-chain omega-6 polyunsaturated fatty acid found in vegetable oils (docosapentaenoate (DPA, 22:5 n-6)) were significantly associated with less decline on the DSST (DPA: β=1.25 digit-symbol pairs, P=9.47 × 10-5). Two unnamed compounds and three sex steroid hormones were associated with an increased risk of dementia (all P<3.9 × 10-4). The association of 4-androstene-3beta, 17beta-diol disulfate 1 with dementia was replicated in European Americans. These results demonstrate that screening the metabolome in midlife can detect biologically plausible biomarkers that may improve risk stratification for cognitive impairment at older ages.

Vitamin D, vitamin D binding protein gene polymorphisms, race and risk of incident stroke: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Low vitamin D levels, measured by serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D], are associated with increased stroke risk. Less is known about whether this association differs by race or D binding protein (DBP) single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) status. Our objective was to characterize the associations of and interactions between 25(OH)D levels and DBP SNPs with incident stroke. It was hypothesized that associations of low 25(OH)D with stroke risk would be stronger amongst persons with genotypes associated with higher DBP levels.

METHODS

25(OH)D was measured by mass spectroscopy in 12 158 participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study (baseline 1990-1992, mean age 57 years, 57% female, 23% black) and they were followed through 2011 for adjudicated stroke events. Two DBP SNPs (rs7041, rs4588) were genotyped. Cox models were adjusted for demographic/behavioral/socioeconomic factors.

RESULTS

During a median of 20 years follow-up, 804 incident strokes occurred. The lowest quintile of 25(OH)D (<17.2 ng/ml) was associated with higher stroke risk [hazard ratio (HR) 1.34 (1.06-1.71) versus highest quintile]; this association was similar by race (P interaction 0.60). There was weak evidence of increased risk of stroke amongst those with 25(OH)D < 17.2 ng/ml and either rs7041 TG/GG [HR = 1.29 (1.00-1.67)] versus TT genotype [HR = 1.19 (0.94-1.52)] (P interaction 0.28) or rs4588 CA/AA [HR = 1.37 (1.07-1.74)] versus CC genotype [HR = 1.14 (0.91-1.41)] (P interaction 0.11).

CONCLUSIONS

Low 25(OH)D is a risk factor for stroke. Persons with low 25(OH)D who are genetically predisposed to high DBP (rs7041 G, rs4588 A alleles), who therefore have lower predicted bioavailable 25(OH)D, may be at greater risk for stroke, although our results were not conclusive and should be interpreted as hypothesis generating.

Vitamin D and cognitive function and dementia risk in a biracial cohort: the ARIC Brain MRI Study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Some recent studies in older, largely white populations suggest that vitamin D, measured by 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D], is important for cognition, but such results may be affected by reverse causation. Measuring 25(OH)D in late middle age before poor cognition affects behavior may provide clearer results.

METHODS

This was a prospective cohort analysis of 1652 participants (52% white, 48% black) in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Brain MRI Study. 25(OH)D was measured from serum collected in 1993-1995. Cognition was measured by the delayed word recall test (DWRT), the digit symbol substitution test (DSST) and the word fluency test (WFT). Dementia hospitalization was defined by ICD-9 codes. Adjusted linear, logistic and Cox proportional hazards models were used.

RESULTS

Mean age of participants was 62 years and 60% were female. Mean 25(OH)D was higher in whites than blacks (25.5 vs. 17.3 ng/ml, P < 0.001). Lower 25(OH)D was not associated with lower baseline scores or with greater DWRT, DSST or WFT decline over a median of 3 or 10 years of follow-up (P > 0.05). Over a median of 16.6 years, there were 145 incident hospitalized dementia cases. Although not statistically significant, lower levels of 25(OH)D were suggestive of an association with increased dementia risk [hazard ratio for lowest versus highest race-specific tertile: whites 1.32 (95% confidence interval 0.69, 2.55); blacks 1.53 (95% confidence interval 0.84, 2.79)].

CONCLUSIONS

In contrast to prior studies performed in older white populations, our study of late middle age white and black participants did not find significant associations between lower levels of 25(OH)D with lower cognitive test scores at baseline, change in scores over time or dementia risk.

Risk factors for lacune subtypes in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study

OBJECTIVE

Lacunar infarctions are mainly due to 2 microvascular pathologies: lipohyalinosis and microatheroma. Little is known about risk factor differences for these subtypes. We hypothesized that diabetes and glycated hemoglobin (HbA(1)c) would be related preferentially to the lipohyalinotic subtype.

METHODS

We performed a cross-section analysis of the brain MRI data from 1,827 participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study. We divided subcortical lesions ≤ 20 mm in diameter into those ≤ 7 mm (of probable lipohyalinotic etiology) and 8-20 mm (probably due to microatheroma) and used Poisson regression to investigate associations with the number of each type of lesion. Unlike previous studies, we also fitted a model involving lesions <3 mm.

RESULTS

Age (prevalence ratio [PR] 1.11 per year; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.08-1.14), black ethnicity (vs white, PR 1.66; 95% CI 1.27-2.16), hypertension (PR 2.12; 95% CI 1.61-2.79), diabetes (PR 1.42; 95% CI 1.08-1.87), and ever-smoking (PR 1.34; 95% CI 1.04-1.74) were significantly associated with lesions ≤ 7 mm. Findings were similar for lesions <3 mm. HbA(1)c, substituted for diabetes, was also associated with smaller lesions. Significantly associated with 8-20 mm lesions were age (PR 1.14; 95% CI 1.09-1.20), hypertension (PR 1.79; 95% CI 1.14-2.83), ever-smoking (PR 2.66; 95% CI 1.63-4.34), and low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol (PR 1.27 per SD; 95% CI 1.06-1.52). When we analyzed only participants with lesions, history of smoking (PR 1.99; 95% CI 1.23-3.20) and LDL (PR 1.33 per SD; 95% CI 1.08-1.65) were associated with lesions 8-20 mm.

CONCLUSIONS

Smaller lacunes (even those <3 mm) were associated with diabetes and HbA(1)c, and larger lacunes associated with LDL cholesterol, differences which support long-held theories relating to their underlying pathology. The findings may contribute to broader understanding of cerebral microvascular disease.

Glycated haemoglobin and cognitive decline: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

This study aimed to examine the association between diabetes and hyperglycaemia-assessed by HbA(1c)-and change in cognitive function in persons with and without diabetes.

METHODS

This was a prospective cohort study of 8,442 non-diabetic and 516 diabetic participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. We examined the association of baseline categories of HbA(1c) with 6 year change in three measures of cognition: the digit symbol substitution test (DSST); the delayed word recall test (DWRT); and the word fluency test (WFT). Our primary outcomes were the quintiles with the greatest annual cognitive decline for each test. Logistic regression models were adjusted for demographic (age, sex, race, field centre, education, income), lifestyle (smoking, drinking) and metabolic (adiposity, blood pressure, cholesterol) factors.

RESULTS

The mean age was 56 years. Women accounted for 56% of the study population and 21% of the study population were black. The mean HbA(1c) was 5.7% overall: 8.5% in persons with and 5.5% in persons without diabetes. In adjusted logistic regression models, diagnosed diabetes was associated with cognitive decline on the DSST (OR 1.42, 95% CI 1.14-1.75, p = 0.002), but HbA(1c) was not a significant independent predictor of cognitive decline when stratifying by diabetes diagnosis (diabetes, p trend = 0.320; no diabetes, p trend = 0.566). Trends were not significant for the DWRT or WFT in either the presence or the absence of diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Hyperglycaemia, as measured by HbA(1c), did not add predictive power beyond diabetes status for 6 year cognitive decline in this middle-aged population. Additional work is needed to identify the non-glycaemic factors by which diabetes may contribute to cognitive decline.

Vascular risk factors and longitudinal changes on brain MRI: the ARIC study

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate associations between vascular risk factors and changes in burden of infarcts, ventricular size (VS), sulcal widening (SW), and white matter hyperintensities (WMH) in an initially middle-aged, biracial cohort from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study.

METHODS

Initial brain magnetic resonance (MR) scans and evaluations for vascular risk factors were performed in 1,812 ARIC participants in 1994-1995. In 2004-2006, 1,130 ARIC participants underwent repeat MR scans. MR scans were rated using a validated 9-point scale for VS, SW, and WMH. Infarcts were recorded. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to assess associations between vascular risk factors and change between MR scans of one or more grades in VS, SW, WMH, or appearance of new infarcts, controlling for age, sex, and race.

RESULTS

At baseline, the 1,112 participants with usable scans (385 black women, 200 black men, 304 white women, 223 white men) had a mean age of 61.7 ± 4.3 years. In adjusted models, diabetes at baseline was associated with incident infarcts (odds ratio [OR] 1.95, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.29-2.95) and worsening SW (OR 2.10, 95% CI 1.36-3.24). Hypertension at baseline was associated with incident infarcts (OR 1.73, 95% CI 1.23-2.42). In subjects with the highest tertile of fasting blood sugar and systolic blood pressure at baseline, the risk of incident infarcts was 3.68 times higher (95% CI 1.89-7.19) than those in the lowest tertile for both.

CONCLUSION

Both atrophic and ischemic imaging changes were driven by altered glycemic and blood pressure control beginning in midlife.

Association of blood monocyte and platelet markers with carotid artery characteristics: the atherosclerosis risk in communities carotid MRI study

BACKGROUND

Atherosclerosis is characterized by infiltration of inflammatory cells from circulating blood. Blood cell activation could play an important role in plaque formation.

METHODS

We analyzed the relationship between blood cellular markers and quantitative measures of carotid wall components in 1,546 participants from the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) Carotid MRI Study. Carotid imaging was performed using a gadolinium contrast-enhanced MRI and cellular phenotyping by flow cytometry.

RESULTS

Monocyte Toll-like receptor (TLR)-2 is associated with larger plaques, while CD14, myeloperoxidase, and TLR-4 associate with smaller. Platelet CD40L is associated with smaller plaques and thinner caps, while P-selectin is associated with smaller core size.

CONCLUSIONS

Blood cell activation is significantly associated with atherosclerotic changes of the carotid wall.

Association of lung function with cognitive decline and dementia: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study

BACKGROUND

Previous studies reported a higher risk of cognitive decline and dementia amongst individuals with impaired lung function. However, many did not adjust for important confounders or did not include women and non-whites.

METHODS

We studied 10,975 men and women aged 47-70 years (23% African-Americans) enrolled in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study. Pulmonary function tests and a cognitive assessment, including the Delayed Word Recall, the Digit Symbol Substitution, and the World Fluency Tests, were carried out in 1990-1992. Repeated cognitive assessments were performed in 1996-1998 for the entire cohort, and in 1993-1995, and 2004-2006 in 904 eligible individuals. Dementia hospitalization was ascertained through 2005.

RESULTS

In analysis adjusted for lifestyles, APOE genotype, and cardiovascular risk factors, impaired lung function was associated with worse cognitive function at baseline. No association was found between lung function and cognitive decline over time. Impaired lung function at baseline was associated with higher risk of dementia hospitalization during follow-up, particularly amongst younger individuals. The hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of dementia hospitalization were 1.6 (0.9, 2.8) and 2.1 (1.2, 3.7) comparing the lowest with the highest quartile of forced expiratory volume in 1 s and forced vital capacity, respectively. Presence of a restrictive ventilatory pattern, but not of an obstructive pattern, was associated with reduced cognitive scores and higher dementia risk.

CONCLUSION

Reduced lung function was associated with worse performance in cognitive assessments and with an increased risk of dementia hospitalization. Future research should determine whether maintaining optimal pulmonary health might prevent cognitive impairment and dementia.

Risk of dementia hospitalisation associated with cardiovascular risk factors in midlife and older age: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular risk factors are associated with a higher risk of developing dementia. Studies in older populations, however, have often failed to show this relationship. We assessed the association between cardiovascular risk factors measured in midlife and risk of being hospitalised with dementia and determined whether this association was modified by age and ethnicity.

METHODS

We studied 11 151 participants in the population-based Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities cohort, aged 46-70 (23% African-Americans) in 1990-2, when participants underwent a physical exam and cognitive testing. Hospitalisations with dementia were ascertained through December 2004.

RESULTS

During follow-up, 203 cases of hospitalisation with dementia were identified. Smoking (hazard ratio (HR), 95% CI 1.7, 1.2 to 2.5), hypertension (HR, 95% CI 1.6, 1.2 to 2.2) and diabetes (HR, 95% CI 2.2, 1.6 to 3.0) were strongly associated with dementia, in Caucasians and African-Americans. These associations were stronger when risk factors were measured at a younger age than at an older age. In analyses including updated information on risk factors during follow-up, the HR of dementia in hypertensive versus non-hypertensive participants was 1.8 at age <55 years compared with 1.0 at age 70+ years. Parallel results were observed for diabetes (HR 3.4 in <55, 2.0 in >or=70), smoking (4.8 in <55, 0.5 in >or=70) and hypercholesterolaemia (HR 1.7 in <55, 0.9 in >or=70)

CONCLUSION

In this prospective study, smoking, hypertension and diabetes were strongly associated with subsequent risk of hospitalisation with dementia, particularly in middle-aged individuals. Our results emphasise the importance of early lifestyle modification and risk factor treatment to prevent dementia.

Hemostatic factors and subclinical brain infarction in a community-based sample: the ARIC study

BACKGROUND

Previous data are conflicting as to whether imbalance between hemostatic factors is associated with clinical strokes. We evaluated the association between hemostatic factor levels and subclinical lacunar infarcts in a nested sample from a subset of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) cohort.

METHODS

196 cases without clinical strokes had lacunar infarcts by MRI, and 214 controls without radiographic infarcts were frequency-matched by age group and sex. Logistic regression models were fitted to assess the association between levels of hemostatic markers and case status.

RESULTS

In age-, race- and sex-adjusted models, von Willebrand factor (vWF) and D-dimer were positively associated with case status, with odds ratios for the highest vs. lowest tertile of 2.0 (95% CI 1.2-3.6) for vWF and 1.76 (95% CI 1.02-3.0) for D-dimer. Plasminogen had nonsignificant inverse associations with presence of silent lacunar infarcts.

CONCLUSIONS

vWF and D-dimer were positively associated, and plasminogen was nonsignificantly inversely associated with subclinical radiographic infarct. Further studies on the role of these hemostatic factors in the development of silent lacunar infarcts may help elucidate the mechanisms behind this injury and may even point to potential targets for future intervention.

Retinal microvascular abnormalities and cognitive decline: the ARIC 14-year follow-up study

BACKGROUND

Because retinal and cerebral arterioles share similar pathologic processes, retinal microvascular changes are expected to be markers of cerebral small vessel disease (SVD). To better understand the role of SVD in cognitive function, we investigated the relationship between retinal microvascular abnormalities and longitudinal changes in cognitive function in a community-based study.

METHODS

A total of 803 participants underwent 4 cognitive assessments between 1990-1992 and 2004-2006, using the Word Fluency (WF) test, Digit Symbol Substitution (DSS), and Delayed Word Recall as well as retinal photography in 1993-1995. Covariate adjusted random effects linear models for repeated measures were used to determine the associations of cognitive change with specific retinal vascular abnormalities.

RESULTS

Individuals with retinopathy showed declines in executive function and psychomotor speed, with 1) an average decline in WF of -1.64 words per decade (95% confidence interval [CI] -3.3, -0.02) compared to no decline in those without retinopathy +0.06 (95% CI -0.6, 0.8) and 2) a higher frequency of rapid decliners on the DSS test.

CONCLUSION

Signs of retinal vascular changes, as markers of the cerebral microvasculature, are associated with declines in executive function and psychomotor speed, adding to the growing evidence for the role of microvascular disease in cognitive decline in the elderly.

Migraine and retinal microvascular abnormalities: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

OBJECTIVE

This study examined the association between vascular headaches and retinal microvascular disease.

METHODS

We investigated the cross-sectional association between headaches (migraine/other headaches with aura, migraine without aura, other headaches without aura, no headaches) and retinal microvascular signs (retinopathy, focal arteriolar narrowing, arteriovenous nicking; arteriolar and venular calibers) among middle-aged African American and white men and women from the third examination of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (1993 through 1995).

RESULTS

After controlling for age, gender, race, study center, and cardiovascular risk factors, we determined that persons with headaches were more likely to have retinopathy than those without a history of headaches (odds ratio [OR] = 1.38, 95% CI = 0.96 to 1.99 for migraine/other headaches with aura; OR = 1.49, 95% CI = 1.05 to 2.12 for migraine without aura; and OR = 1.28, 95% CI = 0.99 to 1.65 for other headaches). Associations with migraine were stronger among the subset of participants without a history of diabetes or hypertension (OR = 1.79, 95% CI = 1.09 to 2.95 for migraine/other headaches with aura; and OR = 1.74, 95% CI = 1.11 to 2.71 for migraine without aura). Headaches were not associated with focal arteriolar narrowing or arteriovenous nicking. Persons with headaches tended to have smaller mean arteriolar and venular calibers; however, these associations did not tend to persist among those without hypertension or diabetes.

CONCLUSION

Middle-aged persons with migraine and other headaches were more likely to have retinopathy signs, supporting the hypothesis that neurovascular dysfunction may underlie vascular headaches.

Soluble intracellular adhesion molecule-1 is associated with cardiovascular disease risk and mortality in older adults

BACKGROUND

Intracellular adhesion molecule-1 (ICAM-1) regulates leukocyte-endothelial attachment, a process crucial to atherosclerosis. Circulating soluble ICAM-1 (sICAM-1) may serve as a marker of cardiovascular disease (CVD) progression.

OBJECTIVES

We examined the association of sICAM-1 with measures of subclinical CVD and risk of incident CVD events and death in older men and women (age > or = 65 years) from the Cardiovascular Health Study.

METHODS

Selected participants were free of clinical CVD at baseline. Non-exclusive incident case groups were angina (n = 534), myocardial infarction (n = 304), stroke (n = 327), and death (n = 842; CVD death = 310). A total 643 subjects were free of events during follow-up.

RESULTS

sICAM-1 was positively associated with C-reactive protein, interleukin-6 and fibrinogen and measures of subclinical CVD in these older men and women. In Cox regression models adjusted for age, gender, and race, increasing levels of sICAM-1 were associated with increased risk of all cause mortality in men and women. Hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for a one standard deviation increase in sICAM-1 (89.7 ng mL(-1)) were 1.3 (1.1-1.4) in men and 1.2 (1.1-1.3) in women. sICAM-1 was associated with increased risk of CVD death in women (1.2; 1.0-1.5), but not men (1.1; 0.9-1.3). There were no associations of sICAM-1 with non-fatal CVD events.

CONCLUSIONS

While sICAM-1 was associated with death in older men and women, there was a more marked association between sICAM-1 and CVD death in women.

Association of the Lewis genotype with cardiovascular risk factors and subclinical carotid atherosclerosis: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the relationship of Lewis genotypes with major cardiovascular risk factors and the intima-media thickness (IMT) of carotid arteries. Lewis genotyping included four major mutations of the Lewis (FUT3) gene at nucleotide positions 59, 1067, 202 and 314.

DESIGN

Two complementary population-based cross-sectional studies.

SETTING

The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study.

SUBJECTS

The relationship between Lewis genotype and major cardiovascular risk factors was studied in 761 men and women aged 45-64 years without known clinical atherosclerotic disease; 577 were Caucasians and 184 were African-Americans. The association of Lewis genotype and subclinical carotid atherosclerosis was studied in 419 individuals with, and 819 controls without carotid IMT of >1.0 mm, measured by B-mode ultrasound.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Mean values of cardiovascular risk factors by Lewis genotype. Lewis genotype frequencies in subclinical carotid atherosclerosis cases and controls.

RESULTS

Individuals with Lewis genotypes consistent with lack of alpha(1,3/1,4)-fucosyltransferase activity (i.e. Lewis-negative genotype) had statistically significantly lower fasting glucose, factor VIIIc, von Willebrand factor and diastolic blood pressure compared with their counterparts with Lewis-positive genotypes. The distribution of Lewis genotypes and haplotypes was not significantly different between individuals with carotid IMT of >1.0 mm (cases) and their controls. The odds of carotid atherosclerosis in carriers of the Lewis-negative genotype was 1.23 (95% confidence interval 0.70-2.16) compared to individuals with Lewis-positive genotype, controlling for age, gender and race/ARIC field centre.

CONCLUSION

The lack of a statistically significant association between Lewis 'genotype' and subclinical atherosclerosis in our data suggests that earlier studies reporting associations at the 'phenotypic' level may reflect aspects of the biology of the Lewis system other than an inherent genetic property.

Retinal microvascular changes and MRI signs of cerebral atrophy in healthy, middle-aged people

OBJECTIVE

To examine the relation of retinal microvascular abnormalities and MRI signs of cerebral atrophy in healthy middle-aged people.

METHODS

A population-based, cross-sectional study involved 1,684 persons aged 51 to 72 years who had cerebral MRI and retinal photography in 1993 to 1995. Sulcal and ventricular size were quantified from the MRI scans and coded as grades 0 to 9, with sulcal widening (SW) and ventricular enlargement (VE) defined as grades 3 or higher. The presence or absence of retinopathy, microaneurysms, hemorrhages, and other characteristics were defined from retinal photographs using a standardized protocol. Generalized arteriolar narrowing was defined from a computer-assisted measurement of arteriolar diameters from digitized photographs.

RESULTS

Persons with retinopathy had higher sulcal (p = 0.001) and ventricular (p = 0.03) grades than persons without retinopathy. After adjusting for age, gender, race, mean arterial blood pressure, diabetes, cigarette smoking, common carotid artery intima-media thickness, and other vascular risk factors, retinopathy was significantly associated with SW (odds ratio [OR], 1.9; 95% CI, 1.2, 3.0) and VE (OR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.0, 2.3). These associations persisted even in people without diabetes or hypertension (OR 1.9, 95% CI, 0.8, 4.4 for SW; OR 2.7, 95% CI, 1.2, 6.5 for VE). Other retinal arteriolar characteristics (arteriovenous nicking, focal and generalized arteriolar narrowing) were not related to sulcal or ventricular grade.

CONCLUSIONS

In healthy, middle-aged people, retinopathy is independently associated with sulcal and ventricular enlargement on MRI. This finding is compatible with the hypothesis that microvascular characteristics may influence the development of cerebral atrophic changes.

Lack of association of the plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 4G/5G promoter polymorphism with cardiovascular disease in the elderly

Elevated circulating plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 (PAI-1) may increase risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). The 4G allele of the 4G/5G PAI-1 promoter polymorphism is associated with higher levels of PAI-1. We examined the association of PAI-1 4G/5G genotype and CVD events in the elderly participants of the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS). We measured 4G/5G genotype in a nested case-control study within the CHS. Cases included incident angina, myocardial infarction (MI), and stroke. 4G/5G genotype was not found to be associated with markers of fibrinolysis or CVD risk in the selected elderly cohort. There were no differences in genotype frequencies by case-control status (5G/5G frequency 16-22%; chi2P= 0.07). The 5G allele was not associated with incident CVD events when individuals with at least one 5G allele were compared to 4G/4G homozygotes. The presence of at least one 4G allele was likewise not associated with incident CVD when those with 4G/4G and 4G/5G genotypes were compared to 5G/5G homozygotes. Our results suggest that the PAI-1 4G/5G promoter polymorphism is not associated CVD risk factors or incident CVD events in the elderly.

Association between the blood pressure response to a change in posture and the 6-year incidence of hypertension: prospective findings from the ARIC study

The association between the blood pressure response to a change from the supine to the standing position and the 6-year incidence of hypertension was studied in a bi-ethnic, middle-aged cohort of 6951 normotensive men and women free of coronary heart disease at baseline. Postural change in systolic blood pressure (SBP) was categorized into deciles, and the middle four deciles served as the referent (no change) group. In unadjusted analyses, the incidence of hypertension was higher among both those with SBP increases and decreases relative to those in the referent group. Associations were modestly attenuated after controlling for age, ethnicity, and gender and cardiovascular disease risk factors. However, after adjustment for baseline, seated SBP, a modest association with incident hypertension persisted only for SBP decreases. Orthostatic hypotension (upon standing) was associated with incident hypertension and isolated systolic hypertension and, unexpectedly, this increased risk was highest among those with the lowest levels of baseline, resting SBP.

Retinal microvascular abnormalities and blood pressure in older people: the Cardiovascular Health Study

AIM

To examine the relation between blood pressure and retinal microvascular abnormalities in older people.

METHODS

The Cardiovascular Health Study is a prospective cohort study conducted in four US communities initiated in 1989 to 1990. Blood pressure was measured according to standardised protocols at each examination. During the 1997-8 examination, retinal photographs were taken of 2405 people aged 69-97 years (2056 without diabetes and 349 with diabetes). Signs of focal microvascular abnormalities (focal arteriolar narrowing, arteriovenous nicking, and retinopathy) were evaluated from photographs according to standardised methods. To quantify generalised arteriolar narrowing, the photographs were digitised and diameters of individual arterioles were measured and summarised.

RESULTS

In non-diabetic people, elevated concurrent blood pressure taken at the time of retinal photography was strongly associated with presence of all retinal microvascular lesions. The multivariable adjusted odds ratios, comparing the highest to lowest quintile of concurrent systolic blood pressure, were 4.0 (95% confidence intervals (CI): 2.4 to 6.9, p test of trend<0.001) for focal arteriolar narrowing, 2.9 (95% CI: 1.6 to 5.3, p<0.001) for arteriovenous nicking, 2.8 (95% CI: 1.5 to 5.2, p<0.001) for retinopathy, and 2.1 (95% CI: 1.4 to 3.1, p<0.001) for generalised arteriolar narrowing. Generalised arteriolar narrowing and possibly arteriovenous nicking were also significantly associated with past blood pressure measured up to 8 years before retinal photography, even after adjustment for concurrent blood pressure. These associations were somewhat weaker in people with diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

Retinal microvascular abnormalities are related to elevated concurrent blood pressure in older people. Additionally, generalised retinal arteriolar narrowing and possibly arteriovenous nicking are related to previously elevated blood pressure, independent of concurrent blood pressure. These data suggest that retinal microvascular changes reflect severity and duration of hypertension.

Retinal microvascular abnormalities and incident stroke: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

BACKGROUND

Retinal microvascular abnormalities reflect damage from hypertension and other vascular processes. We examined the relation of such abnormalities to incident stroke.

METHODS

A cohort of 10358 men and women (aged 51 to 72 years) living in four US communities underwent retinal photography and standard grading for retinal microvascular abnormalities. The calibres of all retinal arterioles and venules were measured after digital conversion of the photographs, and a summary arteriole-to-venule ratio (AVR) was calculated as an index of arteriolar narrowing (smaller AVR indicates greater narrowing). Cases of incident stroke admitted to hospital were identified and validated by case record reviews.

FINDINGS

Over an average of 3.5 years, 110 participants had incident strokes. After adjustment for age, sex, race, 6-year mean arterial blood pressure, diabetes, and other stroke risk factors, most retinal microvascular characteristics were predictive of incident stroke, with adjusted relative risks of 2.58 (1.59-4.20) for any retinopathy, 3.11 (1.71-5.65) for microaneurysms, 3.08 (1.42-6.68) for soft exudates, 2.55 (1.27-5.14) for blot haemorrhages, 2.26 (1.00-5.12) for flame-shaped haemorrhages, and 1.60 (1.03-2.47) for arteriovenous nicking. The relative risk of stroke increased with decreasing AVR (p=0.03). The associations were similar for ischaemic strokes specifically, and for strokes in individuals with hypertension, either with or without diabetes.

INTERPRETATION

Retinal microvascular abnormalities are related to incident stroke. The findings support a microvascular role in the pathogenesis of stroke. They suggest that retinal photography may be useful for cerebrovascular-risk stratification in appropriate populations.

Coronary heart disease prediction from lipoprotein cholesterol levels, triglycerides, lipoprotein(a), apolipoproteins A-I and B, and HDL density subfractions: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study

BACKGROUND

Despite consensus on the need for blood cholesterol reductions to prevent coronary heart disease (CHD), available evidence on optimal cholesterol levels or the added predictive value of additional lipids is sparse.

METHODS AND RESULTS

After 10 years follow-up of 12 339 middle-aged participants free of CHD in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (ARIC), 725 CHD events occurred. The lowest incidence was observed in those at the lowest LDL cholesterol (LDL-C) quintile, with medians of 88 mg/dL in women and 95 mg/dL in men, and risk accelerated at higher levels, with relative risks (RRs) for the highest quintile of 2.7 in women and 2.5 in men. LDL-C, HDL-C, lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)], and in women but not men, triglycerides (TG) were all independent CHD predictors, providing an RR, together with blood pressure, smoking, and diabetes, of 13.5 in women and 4.9 in men. Lp(a) was less significant in blacks than whites. Prediction was not enhanced by HDL-C density subfractions or apolipoproteins (apo) A-I or B. Despite strong univariate associations, apoB did not contribute to risk prediction in subgroups with elevated TG, with lower LDL-C, or with high apoB relative to LDL-C.

CONCLUSIONS

Optimal LDL-C values are <100 mg/dL in both women and men. LDL-C, HDL-C, TG, and Lp(a), without additional apolipoproteins or lipid subfractions, provide substantial CHD prediction, with much higher RR in women than men.

Acoustic shadowing on B-mode ultrasound of the carotid artery predicts ischemic stroke: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

We examined the relationship of carotid artery lesions (CALs), with and without acoustic shadowing (AS), to incident ischemic stroke events in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study cohort.

METHODS

The study population consisted of 13 123 men and women aged 45 to 64 years, and free of stroke, examined during 1986-1989. Over an average follow-up time of 8.0 years, 226 incident ischemic stroke cases (thromboembolic brain infarctions) were identified and classified by a standardized protocol. Three levels of exposure were defined on the basis of the presence of B-mode ultrasound-detected CALs and AS in a 3-cm segment of the carotid arteries centered at the bifurcation.

RESULTS

The hazard ratio for ischemic stroke adjusted for age, ethnicity, and study site for women with a CAL without AS, compared with those without a CAL, was 1.92 (95% CI, 1.23, 3.01), and the hazard ratio comparing those with a CAL with AS with those without a CAL was 4.01 (95% CI, 2.28, 7.06). The corresponding hazard ratios for men were 1.99 (95% CI, 1.36, 2.91) and 2.23 (95% CI, 1.32, 3.79). Although adjustment for diabetes, hypertension medication, systolic blood pressure, left ventricular hypertrophy score, fibrinogen, von Willebrand factor antigen, and smoking status attenuated these associations somewhat, when compared with no evidence of CALs, CALs with AS remained statistically significant predictors of ischemic stroke in women, while CALs without AS were predictive of ischemic stroke in men.

CONCLUSIONS

B-mode ultrasound-detected CALs and AS serve as markers of atherosclerosis and thus are predictive of ischemic stroke.

Acoustic shadowing on B-mode ultrasound of the carotid artery predicts CHD

The relationship between carotid artery lesions (CALs), with and without acoustic shadowing (AS) as an index of arterial mineralization, and incident coronary heart disease (CHD) was examined in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study cohort. Among 12,375 individuals, ages 45-64 years, free of CHD at baseline, 399 CHD events occurred between 1987-1995. In a 3-cm segment centered at the carotid bifurcation, CALs with and without AS were identified by B-mode ultrasound (US). After adjustment for the major CHD risk factors, the CHD hazard ratio (HR) for women with CAL without AS compared to women without CAL was 1.78 (95% CI: 1.22, 2.60) and the HR comparing women with CAL with AS to women with CAL without AS was 1.73 (95% CI: 1.07, 2.80). Corresponding HRs for men were 1.59 (95% CI: 1.22, 2.07) and 1.04 (95% CI: 0.72, 1.51). CALs predicted CHD events; this association was stronger for mineralized CALs in women, but not men.

Apolipoprotein A-1 predicts coronary heart disease only at low concentrations of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol: an epidemiological study of Japanese-Americans

Conventional epidemiological and clinical studies of apolipoprotein A-1 and high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol have demonstrated, when examined jointly, that high-density lipoprotein is a better predictor of coronary heart disease. This strategy does not take into account known lipid metabolic relationships. A statistical approach that takes into account apolipoprotein A-1 being a constituent of the high-density lipoprotein particle is more appropriate. Among 1,177 Japanese-American men of the Honolulu Heart Program cohort free of disease at baseline (1980-1982), 182 new coronary heart disease cases developed over a 12-year follow-up period. After removing the linear relationship with high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol, a relative measure of apoliprotein A-1 concentration was derived. Based on joint conditions of "low" and "high" relative apoliprotein A-1 concentration and < or =40 and >40 mg/dl for the high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol distribution, four groupings were created. Among relative joint groupings of high/< or =40, low/< or =40, high/>40, and low/>40, respectively, the 12-year coronary heart disease incidence varied from 28.6, 18.2, 8.3, to 11.7 cases per 1,000 person-years. A test of statistical interaction was significant (P=0.028). Additional analyses revealed coronary heart disease cases were more likely among men with triglycerides > 190 mg/dl. Observed patterns of relationships among relative apoliprotein A-1 level, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and triglycerides with incident coronary heart disease are consistent with patterns noted in clinical, laboratory, and transgenic animal research more capable of elucidating mechanisms of disease causation. This epidemiological study suggests similar mechanisms may be operating at a population level, and may contribute to the public health burden of coronary heart disease.

Interaction of the glutathione S-transferase genes and cigarette smoking on risk of lower extremity arterial disease: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

Glutathione S-transferases M1 or T1 (GSTM1/GSTT1) affect the body's ability either to detoxify or to activate chemicals in cigarette smoke. Cigarette smoking increases the risk of lower extremity arterial disease (LEAD). We conducted a cross-sectional study to evaluate a hypothesized interaction of the genetic polymorphisms of GSTM1 and T1 with cigarette smoking in the risk of LEAD in the ARIC study. A stratified-random sample, including 212 LEAD cases (ankle-brachial index <0.9 in men or <0.85 in women) and 1277 non-cases, was selected from the ARIC cohort of 12041 middle-aged participants free of CHD, transient ischemic attack and stroke at baseline (1987-1989). Overall, the differences in the frequencies of GSTM1-0 and GSTT1-0 (the homozygous deletion genotype) were not statistically significant between cases and non-cases (44 vs. 41% and 28 vs. 18%). However, smoking was more prevalent among LEAD cases than non-cases. The results suggest that the non-deletion genotype GSTM1-1 interacts with smoking to increase the risk of LEAD, but this interaction was not statistically significant. The functional genotype GSTT1-1 was significantly associated with increased risk of LEAD given smoking after adjustment for other risk factors. In individuals with GSTT1-1, the odds ratios (ORs) (95% confidence intervals) of LEAD were 3.6 (1.4, 9.0) for current smoking and 5.0 (1.9, 13.0) for 20+ pack-years. However, in those with GSTT1-0, the ORs were 0.8 (0.2, 2.8) for current smoking and 0.6 (0.1, 2.1) for 20+ pack-years. The interaction was significant (P<0.05) on the additive scale for current smoking and on both the additive and multiplicative scales for 20+ pack-years. Among non-smokers, GSTT1-1 was not associated with LEAD. The results suggest that the GSTT1-1 polymorphism may be a susceptibility factor modifying the risk of LEAD associated with cigarette smoking.

Metabolic and lifestyle determinants of postprandial lipemia differ from those of fasting triglycerides: The Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities (ARIC) study

Despite the reported association of lipoprotein responses to a fatty meal with atherosclerosis, little is known about the determinants of these responses. Plasma triglyceride, retinyl palmitate, and apolipoprotein B-48 responses to a standardized fatty meal containing a vitamin A marker were measured in 602 Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study participants. To focus on postprandial responses specifically, which have been reported to be related to atherosclerosis independently of fasting triglycerides, analyses for determinants of postprandial responses were adjusted for fasting triglycerides. Major determinants of fasting triglycerides, namely, diabetes, obesity, other factors related to insulin resistance, and male sex, were not independently associated with postprandial responses. Fasting triglycerides were the strongest predictor of postprandial lipids, but independent of triglycerides, the predictors of postprandial responses were smoking, diet, creatinine, and alcohol. Smokers had substantially increased retinyl palmitate and apolipoprotein B-48 responses, indicators of chylomicrons and their remnants. Persons who consume more calories or omega3 fatty acids had reduced chylomicron responses. Triglyceride responses were associated positively with serum creatinine levels and negatively with moderate alcohol consumption. Thus, determinants of fasting and postprandial lipids differ. The independent atherogenic influence of postprandial lipids may relate more to smoking and diet than to obesity and insulin resistance.

Orthostatic hypotension and the incidence of coronary heart disease: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study

We examined the association between orthostatic hypotension (OH) at baseline examination (1987-1989) and the incidence of coronary heart disease (CHD) over an average of 6 years, among 12,433 black and white middle-aged men and women participating in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. OH was defined as a SBP decrease > or = 20 mm Hg or a DBP decrease > or = 10 mm Hg after changing from supine to standing. CHD events included definite or probable myocardial infarctions (MI), silent MI, and fatal CHD. Five percent of participants had OH. Prevalence increased with advancing age and was more common among those with cardiovascular disease (CVD)-related comorbidities and risk factors. Those with OH had an increased risk of CHD (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.49, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.58, 4.73). This association was attenuated after controlling for age, ethnicity, gender, comorbid conditions, and CVD risk factors (HR = 1.85, 95% CI = 1.31, 2.63).

Are retinal arteriolar abnormalities related to atherosclerosis?: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

The objective of this study was to describe associations of retinal arteriolar abnormalities with clinical and subclinical manifestations of atherosclerosis and a broad group of risk factors for vascular disease. A biracial population of 8772 adults (aged 48 to 72 years) living in 4 communities was examined from 1993 to 1995 were studied for that purpose. Retinal arteriovenous nicking and focal arteriolar narrowing were determined by light-box grading of a 45 degrees fundus photograph by use of a standardized protocol. Diameters of arterioles and venules were measured in digitized photographs, and a summary arteriolar-to-venular ratio was derived as an index of generalized arteriolar narrowing. Focal arteriolar narrowing was associated only with hypertension. Generalized arteriolar narrowing was associated with carotid plaque but not with any other evidence of atherosclerosis, either clinical (cardiovascular disease or stroke) or subclinical (carotid or popliteal artery thickness or lower limb obstructive disease), or with plasma cholesterol. It was also associated with smoking, with inflammatory markers (white blood cell count, fibrinogen, and reduced albumin), and with the triglyceride and high density lipoprotein cholesterol changes associated with inflammation. Arteriovenous nicking was inconsistently associated with subclinical atherosclerosis. It was not associated with cardiovascular disease, stroke, or plasma cholesterol. Arteriovenous nicking was associated with markers of inflammation and vascular endothelial dysfunction (von Willebrand factor and factor VIII). Arteriolar narrowing and nicking appear to be related to hypertension and inflammatory factors. Nicking may also be related to endothelial dysfunction. Results suggest that these arteriolar changes are pathologically distinct from atherosclerosis. Including their measurement in population studies may permit evaluation of the independent contribution of arteriolar disease to various ischemic diseases of the heart, brain, and other organs.

Carotid wall thickness is predictive of incident clinical stroke: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

Few studies have determined whether carotid artery intima-media thickness (IMT) is associated prospectively with risk of first ischemic stroke. In the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, carotid IMT, an index of generalized atherosclerosis, was defined as the mean of IMT measured by B-mode ultrasonography at six sites of the carotid arteries. The authors assessed the relation of mean IMT to stroke incidence over 6-9 years' follow-up (1987-1995) among 7,865 women and 6,349 men aged 45-64 years without prior stroke at baseline in four US communities. There were 90 incident ischemic stroke events for women and 109 for men. In sex-specific Cox proportional hazards models adjusting only for age, race, and community, the hazard rate ratios comparing extreme mean IMT values (> or =1 mm) to values less than 0.6 mm were 8.5 for women (95% confidence interval: 3.5, 20.7) and 3.6 for men (95% confidence interval: 1.5, 9.2). The relation was graded, and models with cubic splines indicated significant nonlinearity, with hazards increasing more rapidly at lower IMTs than at higher IMTs. Thus, models using linear IMT values substantially underestimate the strength of the association at lower IMTs. The strength of the association was reduced by the inclusion of putative stroke risk factors, but it remained elevated at higher IMTs. Hence, mean carotid IMT is a noninvasive predictor of future ischemic stroke incidence.

Serum albumin level as a predictor of incident coronary heart disease: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

Various studies have reported an inverse association between serum albumin level and incident coronary heart disease (CHD), though biologic mechanisms have not been established. The authors examined the association between serum albumin level and CHD in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities cohort, comprising 14,506 White and African-American middle-aged men and women. The mean albumin level in this population was 3.9 g/dl (standard deviation 0.3). During 5.2 years of follow-up, 470 incident CHD events occurred. The hazard ratio for incident CHD associated with a 1-standard deviation decrease in serum albumin level was 1.26 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.15, 1.38) after adjustment for age, gender, and ethnicity and 1.18 (95% CI: 1.07, 1.30) after additional adjustment for covariates related to CHD. Hazard ratios were similar across gender and ethnic groups. However, there was statistically significant effect modification by smoking status, with hazard ratios of 1.01 (95% CI: 0.84, 1.22) among never smokers, 1.09 (95% CI: 0.92, 1.30) among former smokers, and 1.35 (95% CI: 1.17, 1.54) among current smokers. Further adjustment for factors related to renal disease, nutrition, platelet aggregation, inflammation, use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, and hemostasis factors attenuated the albumin-CHD relation only slightly. In this study, serum albumin was inversely associated with incident CHD at the baseline examination in current smokers but not in never or former smokers. Albumin level may be a marker of susceptibility to the inflammatory response that results from smoking.

Blood pressure and menopausal transition: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study (1987-95)

OBJECTIVE

Blood pressure changes during menopausal transition have not been studied previously using a biracial sample. We investigated whether menopausal transition was associated with change in blood pressure in African-American or white women.

DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

The prospective multicenter study, the Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities (ARIC) Study (1987-95) was utilized. Included were never-users of hormone replacement therapy (3,800 women, 44% of the original sample).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Changes in blood pressure were adjusted for baseline age and body mass index, baseline blood pressure, antihypertensive use, ARIC field center and weight change. The menopausal transition group was compared to the non-transition group, separately, by ethnicity.

RESULTS

Women undergoing the menopausal transition did not differ significantly in regard to systolic blood pressure change [5.2, 95% confidence interval (CI) 4.0-6.4] from non-transitional women (4.6, 95% CI 4.0-5.2); adjustment for age, baseline systolic blood pressure and other factors did not alter this finding. Transitional women had significantly less diastolic blood pressure change (-0.5, 95% CI -1.1 to 0.2) than non-transitional women (-2.0, 95% CI -2.4 to -1.7, P= 0.000) but, after adjustment for other covariates, the result was not significant African-American women had significantly (P= 0.003) higher systolic blood pressure change compared to white women, but this difference became non-significant (P= 0.21) after restricting the sample to women younger than 55 years of age. Interactions between menopausal transition and ethnicity were not significant, either in systolic blood pressure or diastolic blood pressure change.

CONCLUSION

Menopausal transition is not associated with significant blood pressure change in African-American or white women.

Methods for evaluation of retinal microvascular abnormalities associated with hypertension/sclerosis in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

OBJECTIVE

To develop protocols to photograph and evaluate retinal vascular abnormalities in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study; to test reproducibility of the grading system; and to explore the relationship of these microvascular changes with blood pressure.

DESIGN

Population-based, cross-sectional study.

PARTICIPANTS

Among 4 examination centers, 11,114 participants (48-73 years of age) at their third triennial examination, after excluding persons with diabetes from this analysis.

METHODS

One eye of each participant was photographed by technicians with nonmydriatic fundus cameras. Reading center graders evaluated focal arteriolar narrowing, arteriovenous (AV) nicking, and retinopathy by examining slides on a light box and measured diameters of all vessels in a zone surrounding the optic disc on enhanced digitized images. To gauge generalized narrowing, vessel diameters were combined into central arteriolar and venular equivalents with formulas adjusting for branching, and the ratio of equivalents (A/V ratio) was calculated.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Retinal vascular abnormalities, mean arteriolar blood pressure (MABP).

RESULTS

Among 11,114 participants, photographs were obtained of 99%, with quality sufficient to perform retinal evaluations in 81%. In the 9040 subjects with usable photographs, A/V ratio (lower values indicate generalized arteriolar narrowing) ranged from 0.57 to 1.22 (median = 0.84, interquartile range = 0.10), focal arteriolar narrowing was found in 7%, AV nicking in 6%, and retinopathy in 4%. Because of attrition of subjects and limitation of methods, prevalence of abnormality was likely underestimated. Controlling for gender, race, age, and smoking status, these retinal changes were associated with higher blood pressure. For every 10-mmHg increase in MABP, A/V ratio decreased by 0.02 unit (P < 0.0001), focal arteriolar narrowing had an odds ratio (OR) of 2.00 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.87-2.14), AV nicking had an OR of 1.25 (95% CI = 1.16-1.34), and retinopathy had an OR of 1.25 (95% CI = 1.15-1.37). For any degree of generalized narrowing, individuals with focal narrowing had MABP approximately 8 mmHg higher than those without (P < 0.0001). Masked replicate assessment of a sample found the following reproducibility: for A/V ratio, correlation coefficient = 0.79 and median absolute difference = 0.03; for focal arteriolar narrowing, kappa = 0.45; for AV nicking, kappa = 0.61; and for retinopathy, kappa = 0.89.

CONCLUSION

Protocols have been developed for nonmydriatic fundus photography and for evaluation of retinal vascular abnormalities. Several microvascular changes were significantly associated with higher blood pressure; follow-up will show whether these are predictive of later cerebrovascular or cardiovascular disease independently of other known risk factors.

Risk factors for popliteal and carotid wall thicknesses in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study

The authors evaluated risk factors potentially associated with the development of popliteal artery atherosclerosis in a population-based study and compared them with factors linked to carotid wall intimal-medial thickness. The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study is a longitudinal investigation of cardiovascular disease in 15,800 individuals. The present analyses are based on the baseline popliteal and carotid ultrasonography examination in 10,002 subjects conducted in 1987-1989. After adjustment for covariates, both carotid and popliteal intimal-medial thicknesses were strongly associated with male sex and age (p < 0.01), having a graded relation with increasing quartiles of plasma total cholesterol and low density lipoprotein cholesterol and with plasma triglycerides (women only for popliteal) (p < 0.01). An inverse correlation was noted between plasma high density lipoprotein cholesterol and carotid (p < 0.01) and popliteal (women only) (p < 0.05) intimal-medial thicknesses. Cigarette use (p < 0.01), a history of diabetes mellitus (p < 0.01), alcohol use, elevated systolic pressures (p < 0.01), and fibrinogen levels (p < 0.01) were directly associated with both popliteal and carotid intimal-medial thicknesses. Although menopause was associated with thickened carotid (p < 0.01) and popliteal (p < 0.05) intimal-medial thicknesses, hormone replacement therapy was associated with thinner carotid walls only (p < 0.05). Although there were some differences, many of the classical risk factors associated with cardiovascular disease were also related to early thickening of both the popliteal and the carotid artery walls.

Retinal arteriolar diameters and elevated blood pressure: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

Narrowing and other changes in retinal arterioles may reflect damage due to hypertension, which may predict stroke and other cardiovascular diseases independently of blood pressure level. Newly developed quantitative methods of assessing retinal narrowing are used to determine whether this sign is related only to current blood pressure or whether it also independently reflects the effects of previous blood pressure. Retinal photography was performed at the third examination of Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study in 1993-1995, and results are presented for the 9,300 nondiabetic participants aged 50-71 years. Generalized narrowing of smaller arterioles was strongly and monotonically related to current blood pressure in men and women, whether they were taking antihypertensive medications or not, and, independent of current blood pressure, was consistently and monotonically related to blood pressure levels measured 3 and 6 years before the retinal assessment. Arteriovenous nicking was also independently related to both current and previous blood pressures. The patterns of association suggested that these signs reflect both transient and persisting structural effects of elevated blood pressure, in agreement with the scant pathologic literature available. The findings suggest that retinal assessment may be useful for research on the microvascular contributions to clinical cardiovascular diseases.

Elevated fasting insulin predicts incident hypertension: the ARIC study. Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study Investigators

OBJECTIVE

The prospective association of insulin and hypertension has been under debate in the context of the development of the insulin resistance or multiple metabolic syndrome. We examined the predictive associations of fasting serum insulin with incident hypertension occurring alone or as part of the multiple metabolic syndrome.

DESIGN

Analyses were restricted to 5221 middle-aged participants of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study cohort who were free of component disorders of the multiple metabolic syndrome (hypertension; diabetes; high triglycerides and/or low HDL cholesterol (dyslipidaemias)) at baseline.

OUTCOME

A total of 1018 individuals developed hypertension, 801 in the absence of components of the metabolic syndrome and 217 in combination with diabetes or dyslipidaemias, between 1987 and 1993.

RESULTS

Elevated fasting insulin (top quartile versus lowest quartile) was associated with overall incident hypertension in European Americans [hazard rate ratio (HRR) 2.0, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.7-2.4] but the results were inconclusive in African Americans (HRR 1.3, 95% CI 0.9-1.8) after adjustment for age, gender and study centre. Among European Americans, body mass index and abdominal girth only partly explained the observed association. Elevated fasting insulin was more strongly predictive of hypertension occurring as a component of the multiple metabolic syndrome (HRR 2.4, 95% CI 1.5-3.9) than of hypertension occurring alone (HRR 1.3, 95% CI 1.0-1.7) adjusting statistically for age, gender, study centre, body mass index and abdominal girth.

CONCLUSIONS

The results are consistent with the concept of an aetiological heterogeneity for hypertension and may explain previously reported inconsistent findings on the association of insulin with incident hypertension.

Short- and long-term prediction of clinical and subclinical atherosclerosis by traditional risk factors

This study compares the cross-sectional and longitudinal associations of cardiovascular risk factors with clinical coronary heart disease (CHD) and with subclinical carotid atherosclerosis measured by ultrasound. The study population were 1410 participants in the Atherosclerotic Risk in Community (ARIC) Study (1987-1989) who also participated in a 1974 community health survey. Smoking in 1974 was associated with increased CHD prevalence in 1987-1989 (adjusted prevalence ratio = 2.2), whereas the corresponding cross-sectional association was practically absent. For hypercholesterolemia and hypertension, the longitudinal associations with CHD were also stronger than the cross-sectional associations. In contrast, the strength of the longitudinal and cross-sectional associations with carotid atherosclerosis was generally similar. These results underscore the advantages of using subclinical measures of atherosclerosis in cross-sectional studies. In addition, they suggest that the presence of smoking, hypertension, or hypercholesterolemia in mid-adulthood may have some persisting effects on the development of atherosclerotic disease in later life.

Markers of inflammation and prediction of diabetes mellitus in adults (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study): a cohort study

BACKGROUND

Type 2 diabetes mellitus and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease have common antecedents. Since markers of inflammation predict coronary heart disease and are raised in patients with type 2 diabetes, we investigated whether they predict whether people will develop type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

12,330 men and women, aged 45-64 years, were followed up for a mean of 7 years. We analysed the association between different markers of acute inflammation and subsequent diagnosis of diabetes. In a subgroup of 610 individuals selected originally for an unrelated atherosclerosis case-control study, we also investigated diabetes associations with total sialic acid and orosomucoid, haptoglobin, and alpha1-antitrypsin.

FINDINGS

1335 individuals had a new diagnosis of diabetes. Adjusted odds ratios for developing diabetes for quartile extremes were 1.9 (95% CI 1.6-2.3) for raised white-cell count, 1.3 (1.0-1.5) for low serum albumin, and 1.2 (1.0-1.5) for raised fibrinogen. In the subgroup analysis, individuals with concentrations of orosomucoid and sialic acid of more than the median had odds ratios of 7.9 (2.6-23.7) and 3.7 (1.4-9.8), respectively. Adjustment for body-mass index and waist-to-hip ratio lessened the associations; those for white-cell count (1.5 [1.3-1.8]), orosomucoid (7.1 [2.1-23.7]), and sialic acid (2.8 [1.0-8.1]) remained significant.

INTERPRETATION

Markers of inflammation are associated with the development of diabetes in middle-aged adults. Although autoimmunity may partly explain these associations, they probably reflect the pathogenesis of type 2 diabetes.

Relative importance of various risk factors for asymptomatic carotid atherosclerosis versus coronary heart disease incidence: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

Major risk factors for coronary heart disease are also associated with early carotid artery thickening, but no studies have yet examined patterns of risk factors to see whether they differ for the two outcomes. Assuming similar pathogenesis for both coronary and carotid atherosclerosis, one could interpret risk factor pattern differences as relating to differences in staging, i.e., early atheroma versus later stenotic or occlusive atherothrombosis. This study included 12,193 Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study participants aged 45-64 years who were free of clinical cardiovascular disease in 1987-1989, in whom 420 myocardial infarctions or coronary heart disease deaths occurred over the next 6 years. Plasma low density lipoprotein cholesterol, systolic blood pressure, and smoking were major risk factors for both outcomes. Compared with these factors, triglycerides and high density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol were associated only weakly with carotid atherosclerosis but were associated strongly with coronary heart disease incidence. No other risk factors, including those associated with diabetes mellitus, hemostasis, and inflammation, differed in their relative contribution to the two outcomes. These results suggest that the high triglyceride-low HDL cholesterol pattern is involved in the transition from atheroma to atherothrombosis, and that control of this pattern may be important in persons with detectable subclinical disease.

Descriptive epidemiology of blood pressure response to change in body position. The ARIC study

The epidemiology of a common measure of cardiovascular reactivity, the change in systolic blood pressure (DeltaSBP) from the supine to the standing position, is described in a cohort of 13 340 men and women aged 45 to 65 years enrolled in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study. The distribution of DeltaSBP was found to be symmetrical and unimodal, with a mean value near zero (-0.45 mm Hg). The range of DeltaSBP was from -63.2 to 54.3 mm Hg, and the standard deviation was 10.8. Stratification of DeltaSBP by race and gender shows a slight shift in distribution toward higher values for black men and women. DeltaSBP was categorized into deciles. Participants in the top 30% and bottom 30% of the distribution were compared with individuals in the middle 40% of the distribution, who had little or no change in SBP on standing. Participants in the bottom 30% (ie, SBP decreased on standing) were significantly older, had a greater prevalence of hypertension and peripheral vascular disease, had higher values of SBP, and had more cigarette-years of smoking. Among participants in the top 30% (ie, SBP increased on standing), a significantly larger proportion were black, mean seated SBP was higher, and the predicted risk of developing coronary heart disease after 8 years was greater. The response of SBP to change in posture showed considerable variability in a population sample of middle-aged adults. Cardiovascular morbidity, sociodemographic factors, and cigarette smoking were associated with the magnitude and direction of the postural change.

The relationship between lipids/lipoproteins and atherosclerosis in African Americans and whites: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

PURPOSE

The relationships between lipids/lipoproteins and atherosclerosis were determined in African Americans and whites to assess the consistency of the relationship between these two groups. Differences could suggest varying biological, environmental, or life-style cofactors influencing development of atherosclerosis.

METHODS

In the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, 2966 African Americans and 9399 whites had determinations of LDL, HDL, HDL2, and HDL3 cholesterol, triglycerides, apolipoprotein A1 and B, and lipoprotein (a). Carotid intimal-medial thickening (IMT) was measured using B-mode ultrasound imaging.

RESULTS

The associations, using linear regression, between carotid IMT and LDL cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, and other lipid measurements were significantly weaker in African Americans than whites. Averaging men and women, a 1.034 mmol/L (40 mg/dl) difference in LDL cholesterol was associated with a 0.028 mm IMT difference in whites but a 0.019 difference in African Americans. Similarly, for HDL cholesterol, a 0.44 mmol/L (17 mg/dl) difference is associated wth 0.026 mm difference in carotid IMT in whites and 0.011 mm difference in African Americans. The associations are much weaker in African Americans than whites at the bifurcation and internal carotid, the carotid sites most prone to atherosclerosis. Analysis was done stratifying for risk factors that differ between African Americans and whites, but within most, the relationships remained substantially weaker in African Americans.

CONCLUSIONS

We have observed a statistically significant difference in the association between many lipids/lipoproteins and carotid IMT between African Americans and whites. Analysis of many potential cofactors have not provided an explanation for the weaker association. Although possible differences in prior levels of these lipids may provide one explanation for the finding, these results need confirmation in other studies.

Fibrinolytic activation markers predict myocardial infarction in the elderly. The Cardiovascular Health Study

Coagulation factor levels predict arterial thrombosis in epidemiological studies, but studies of older persons are needed. We studied 3 plasma antigenic markers of fibrinolysis, viz, plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 (PAI-1), fibrin fragment D-dimer, and plasmin-antiplasmin complex (PAP) for the prediction of arterial thrombosis in healthy elderly persons over age 65. The study was a nested case-control study in the Cardiovascular Health Study cohort of 5201 men and women >/=65 years of age who were enrolled from 1989 to 1990. Cases were 146 participants without baseline clinical vascular disease who developed myocardial infarction, angina, or coronary death during a follow-up of 2.4 years. Controls remained free of cardiovascular events and were matched 1:1 to cases with respect to sex, duration of follow-up, and baseline subclinical vascular disease status. With increasing quartile of D-dimer and PAP levels but not of PAI-1, there was an independent increased risk of myocardial infarction or coronary death, but not of angina. The relative risk for D-dimer above versus below the median value (>/=120 microg/L) was 2.5 (95% confidence interval, 1.1 to 5.9) and for PAP above the median (>/=5.25 nmol/L), 3.1 (1.3 to 7.7). Risks were independent of C-reactive protein and fibrinogen concentrations. There were no differences in risk by sex or presence of baseline subclinical disease. D-dimer and PAP, but not PAI-1, predicted future myocardial infarction in men and women over age 65. Relationships were independent of other risk factors, including inflammation markers. Results indicate a major role for these markers in identifying a high risk of arterial disease in this age group.