Development and validation of the HARMS2-AF lifestyle risk score to predict incident AF

Background

Lifestyle risk factors (RFs) are a modifiable target in atrial fibrillation (AF) management. However, the relative contribution of individual lifestyle RFs to AF incidence has not been described.

Purpose

Development and validation of a novel AF-lifestyle risk score to determine AF risk in the general population.

Methods

The UK Biobank (UKB) is a large prospective cohort with outcomes measured >10 years. In the UKB, we performed regression analysis of AF lifestyle RFs which were then evaluated in a multivariable model and a weighted score was developed. Next, the risk score was externally validated in the Framingham Heart Study (FHS) population. Kaplan-Meier estimates ascertained the 10-year risk of AF development.

Results

In the UKB, AF incidence was 5.3% among 302,926 participants, with a median time to AF 7.3 years (IQR 4.3–9.8). Hypertension, sleep apnoea, male sex, age, obesity (BMI>30 kg/m2), alcohol and smoking were predictive variables (all p<0.001); physical inactivity (OR 1.02,95% CI 0.97–1.10, p=0.3), diabetes (OR 0.98,95% CI 0.91–1.06, p=0.2) and BMI 27–30 kg/m2 (OR 1.02, 95% CI 0.97–1.07, p=0.424) were not significant. The HARMS2-AF score (Figure 1) had similar predictive performance (AUC=0.782, LogLoss 0.178, Brier Score 0.046) to the unweighted regression model (AUC 0.808) in the UKB. Validation in the FHS (AF incidence 6.7% of 7206 participants) maintained excellent predictive performance with an AUC of 0.747 (95% CI 0.724–0.769, Figure 2). A higher HARMS2-AF score (>5 points) was associated with a heightened 10-year AF risk (score 5–9: OR 9.35, score 10–14: OR 33.34).

Conclusions

The HARMS2-AF score is a novel lifestyle risk score which may help identify individuals at risk of AF and assists in general population screening.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Catheter ablation in atrial fibrillation and heart failure with preserved ejection fraction improves peak pulmonary capillary wedge pressure, exercise capacity and quality of life: RCT STALL HFpEF

Introduction

Atrial fibrillation (AF) frequently accompanies heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). AF exacerbates HFpEF through adverse haemodynamic effects. In turn, HFpEF promotes AF through adverse left atrial remodelling. Observational data suggest sinus rhythm restoration improves outcomes in patients with AF and HFpEF. However, there are no randomised data examining the effects of rhythm control with catheter-based AF ablation on HFpEF outcomes.

Purpose

To compare the effects of AF ablation versus usual medical therapy on markers of HFpEF severity, including exercise haemodynamics, natriuretic peptide levels and patient symptoms.

Methods

Patients with symptomatic AF and HFpEF underwent exercise right heart catheterization (RHC) and cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET). HFpEF diagnosis was based on left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≥50%, elevated natriuretic peptide and echocardiographic diastolic impairment. HFpEF was confirmed on exercise RHC based on peak exercise pulmonary capillary wedge pressure (PCWP) of ≥25mmHg. Patients were randomised to AF ablation versus medical therapy, with investigations repeated at 6 months. The primary outcome was change in PCWP on follow-up.

Results

31 patients aged 66.1±7.5 years were randomized to AF ablation (16) versus medical therapy (15), with 51.6% female and 80.6% persistent AF. Baseline characteristics were comparable across groups. Paired analyses of ablation cohort showed significant reductions in peak PCWP (29.6±3.7 vs 25.9±4.6 mmHg, p<0.01), PCWP indexed for workload (39.0±57.9 vs 33.0±50.5 mmHg/W/kg, p<0.01), and BNP (146.2±80.5 vs 82.2±75.4 pg/mL, p=0.01); and increased resting cardiac output (4.6±0.9 vs 5.6±1.2 L/min, p=0.01), peak cardiac output (9.6±4.2 vs 10.4±3.7 L/min, p=0.02), peak (30s averaged) VO2 (1875.1±759.2 vs 2193.7±878.1 mL/min, p<0.01), peak absolute VO2 (1937.3±739.3 vs 2216.3±861.9 mL/min, p<0.01), peak (30s averaged) relative VO2 (19.4±5.9 vs 22.9±7.4 ml/kg/min) and peak workload (162.0±81.1 vs 184.4±83.4 W, p<0.01). Quality of life scores improved: AFEQT (45.3±20.9 vs 75±20.7, p<0.01) and MLHF (53±23.3 vs 17.5±22.8, p<0.01). Reversal of HFpEF by PCWP criteria occurred in 31.2% following AF ablation, and 50% among those free from arrhythmia recurrence. In the medical arm, there were no significant differences in RHC, CPET, and natriuretic peptide outcomes on follow-up versus baseline. Repeated measures mixed ANOVA testing showed significant time-randomisation interaction on peak VO2, absolute peak VO2, peak relative VO2, AFEQT/ MLHF scores, suggesting that significant improvements in these parameters were related to AF ablation.

Conclusion

In patients with concomitant AF and HFpEF, AF ablation improves invasive exercise haemodynamic parameters, increases exercise capacity, and enhances quality of life. Successful AF ablation may reverse the clinical syndrome of HFpEF in a subset of cases.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Clinical risk prediction for left atrial appendage thrombus among patients with atrial fibrillation

Background

Exclusion of left atrial appendage thrombus (LAAT) by transoesophageal echocardiography (TOE) is recommended in patients with inadequate anticoagulation prior to direct cardioversion (DCR) or catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation/flutter (AF/AFL). LAAT risk factors in this population remain poorly defined.

Purpose

Determine LAAT predictors in AF/AFL patients undergoing pre-procedural TOE.

Methods

We evaluated available clinical and transthoracic echocardiographic (TTE) parameters in AF/AFL patients undergoing TOE between 1999–2022 in our institution in Melbourne, Australia. Regression analysis identified predictors of LAAT, which were applied to a weighted score developed in the derivation cohort (70%) and validated in the remaining 30%.

Results

Of 627 patients (age 62±12 years, 27% female, AF 84%,AFL 16%, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) 44±20%), 24% had LAAT and 13.8% dense spontaneous echo contrast precluding DCR. Anticoagulation was NOAC 56.5%, warfarin 32.1% and none in 11.4%. In the LAAT cohort, thrombus resolution occurred in 39% on serial transoesophageal imaging with a median time to resolution of 131 days (IQR 54–398).

Diabetes (p=0.004), prior stroke (p=0.009), coronary disease (p=0.015), renal impairment (p<0.001) and CHADS2VASc >2 (73% vs. 55%, p<0.001) were higher in the LAAT cohort. Age (p=0.093), gender (p=0.689), BMI (p=0.828), anticoagulant type (p=0.316) and diabetes (p=0.107) were not univariate predictors, whereas anticoagulation duration (<30 days), creatinine and TTE markers of remodeling (LVEF, LAVI, RVSP and TAPSE) were independent predictors on univariate and multivariate regression; CHADS2VASc was not significant after adjustment (p=0.090). The weighted risk model included continuous (age, creatinine, LVEF, LAVI, TAPSE and RVSP) and categorical (anticoagulation duration) variables with excellent predictive performance: AUC 0.872 (95% CI 0.798–0.946), PPV 91%, NPV 70% and accuracy 80%.

Conclusion

A novel LAAT risk model comprising clinical and echocardiographic parameters enhances risk prediction over CHADS2VASc in AF/AFL and may guide the need for pre-procedural TOE imaging.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Directed Graph Mapping for Ventricular Tachycardia: A Comparison to Established Mapping Techniques

BACKGROUND

Understanding underlying mechanism(s) and identifying critical circuit components are fundamental to successful ventricular tachycardia (VT) ablation. Directed graph mapping (DGM) offers a novel technique to identify the mechanism and critical components of a VT circuit.

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to evaluate the accuracy of DGM in VT ablation compared with traditional mapping techniques and a commercially available automated conduction velocity mapping (ACVM) tool.

METHODS

Patients with structural heart disease who had undergone a VT ablation with entrainment-proven critical isthmus and a high-density electroanatomical activation map were included. Traditional mapping (TM) consisted of a combination of local activation time and entrainment mapping and was considered the gold standard for determining the VT mechanism, circuit, and isthmus location. The same local activation time values were then processed using DGM and a commercially available ACVM (Coherent Mapping, Biosense Webster) tool. The aim of this study was to compare TM vs DGM and ACVM in their ability to identify the VT mechanism, characterize the VT circuit, and locate the critical isthmus.

RESULTS

Thirty-five cases were identified. TM classified the VT mechanism as focal in 7 patients and re-entrant in 28 patients. TM classified 11 VTs as single-loop re-entry, 15 as dual-loop re-entry, 1 as complex, and 1 case was indeterminant. The overall agreement between DGM and TM for determining VT mechanism and circuit type was strong (kappa value = 0.79; P < 0.01), as was the agreement between ACVM and TM (kappa value = 0.66; P < 0.01). Both DGM and ACVM identified the putative VT isthmus in 25 (89%) of the re-entrant cases. Focal activation was correctly identified by both techniques in all cases.

CONCLUSIONS

DGM is a rapid automated algorithm that has a strong level of agreement with TM for manually re-annotated VT maps.

Arrhythmias and Their Electrophysiological Mechanisms in Takotsubo Syndrome: A Narrative Review

BACKGROUND

Takotsubo syndrome (TTS), an acute and usually reversible condition, is associated with both tachy- and bradyarrhythmias. Such arrhythmias can be life-threatening, e.g. ventricular tachycardia and fibrillation, and associated with cardiac arrest. Others, such as atrioventricular block, persist and require long-term device therapy. In this narrative review, we aim to provide a summary of the current literature on arrhythmias in TTS and their clinical sequelae.

METHODS

PubMed and Medline databases were searched with various permutations of TTS, arrhythmias and beta-adrenoceptors. After application of exclusion criteria and review, 84 articles were included.

RESULTS

Although there are no specific electrocardiograph (ECG) findings in TTS to differentiate it from ST-elevation myocardial infarction, suggestive patterns include small QRS amplitude, ST segment elevation without reciprocal ST depression and prolonged QT interval. Atrial tachyarrhythmias (incidence of 5-15%) are associated with a more unwell patient cohort. Ventricular arrhythmias (incidence 4-14%) are often associated with prolonged QT interval and are a cause of sudden death in TTS. Bradyarrhythmias are less common (incidence 1.3-2.5%), but have been reported with TTS, and usually persist beyond the acute phase.

CONCLUSIONS

Takotsubo syndrome, though considered primarily a disease of the myocardium, carries multiple arrhythmic manifestations that affect short- and long-term prognosis. The management of such arrhythmias represents a constantly evolving area of research.

Functional Assessment of Ventricular Tachycardia Circuits and Their Underlying Substrate Using Automated Conduction Velocity Mapping

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to describe the utility of automated conduction velocity mapping (ACVM) in ventricular tachycardia (VT) ablation.

BACKGROUND

Identification of areas of slowed conduction velocity (CV) is critical to our understanding of VT circuits and their underlying substrate. Recently, an ACVM called Coherent Mapping (Biosense Webster Inc) has been developed for atrial mapping. However, its utility in VT mapping has not been described.

METHODS

Patients with paired high-density VT activation and substrate maps were included. ACVM was applied to paired VT activation and substrate maps to assess regional CV and activation patterns. A combination of ACVM, traditional local activation time maps, electrogram analysis, and off-line calculated CV using triangulation were used to characterize zones of slowed conduction during VT and in substrate mapping.

RESULTS

Fifteen patients were included in the study. In all cases, ACVM identified slow CV within the putative VT isthmus, which colocalized to the VT isthmus identified with entrainment. The dimensions of the VT isthmus with local activation time mapping were 37.8 ± 13.7 mm long and 8.7 ± 4.2 mm wide. In comparison, ACVM produced an isthmus that was shorter (length: 25.1 ± 10.6 mm; mean difference: 12.8; 95% CI: 7.5-18.0; P < 0.01) and wider (width: 18.8 ± 8.1 mm; mean difference: 10.1; 95% CI: 6.1-14.2; P < 0.01). In VT, the CV using triangulation at the entrance (8.0 ± 3.6 cm/s) and midisthmus (8.1 ± 4.3 cm/s) was not significantly different (P = 0.92) but was significantly faster at the exit (16.2 ± 9.7 cm/s; P < 0.01). In the paired substrate analysis, traditional local activation time isochronal mapping identified 6.3 ± 2.0 deceleration zones. In contrast, ACVM identified a median of 0 deceleration zones (IQR: 0-1; P < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

ACVM is a novel complementary tool that can be used to accurately resolve complex VT circuits and identify slow conduction zones in VT but has limited accuracy in identifying slowed conduction during substrate-based mapping.

High power short duration (HPSD) versus lower power longer duration (LPLD) atrial fibrillation ablation: a multi-centre randomised controlled trial (HiLo-HEAT study)

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Background

 Lower power (25W) longer duration (LPLD) radiofrequency (RF) ablation has conventionally been used on the posterior wall during pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) for atrial fibrillation (AF), to attenuate the risk of esophageal thermal injury (ETI). High power (40-50 W) short duration (HPSD) RF ablation results in shorter procedural times with no increase in ETI. However evidence had been limited by non-randomised studies.

Purpose

 To compare HPSD versus LPLD ablation and the effects on esophageal thermal injury (ETI) and procedural outcomes.

Methods

 In this multi-centre, prospective, randomised control trial, 88 patients with paroxysmal/persistent AF undergoing their first RF ablation procedure were randomised 1:1 to HPSD or LPLD ablation. Anterior wall ablation was done in both arms using 40-50 W, with ablation target of AI 500-500/ LSI 5-5.5. Posterior wall ablation was done using 40-50W (HPSD group) versus 25 W (LPLD group), with target AI 400/ LSI 4. Ablation involves wide antral circumferential PVI using contact force sensing ablation catheters, with additional ablation lines as per operator discretion. Circa multi-sensor esophageal temperature monitoring (ETM) probe was utilized. Endoscopy was performed within 24 hours to assess for ETI. The primary outcome was incidence of ETI, with secondary outcomes including acute procedural endpoints.

Results

 Mean age of the cohort was 61+/-9 years, with 31% females. 36 (41%) had PAF. PVI was achieved in 100% of patients, with posterior wall isolation (PWI) added in 19 PsAF patients (21.6%). There were more hypertensive patients in HPSD (p = 0.02). Significant esophageal luminal temperature rises (≥ 38 c) were seen in 93.2% of patients, with no difference between groups (p = 0.69). First pass isolation rates for left and right PVs were 85% and 61% respectively, with similar rates in both groups (p = 0.37, p = 0.65 respectively). HPSD group had shorter RF time (1613 vs 2303 secs, p &lt;0.04), and fluoroscopy times (11.4 vs 13.1 mins, p = 0.05). Procedural times were lower in HPSD, although not significant (133.7 vs 150.8 mins, p = 0.10). Post ablation endoscopy showed 4 cases of ETI (4.5%), with equal occurrence in HPSD and LPLD (p = 1.0). All ETIs were class 2a (superficial ulcer), and treated with PPI therapy. Esophageal injuries not attributable to RF ablation occurred in 9 (10%), with no difference between groups (p = 0.29). There was no difference in AF recurrence between the 2 groups (post 3 months blanking period) after a mean follow up of 6.3 months (p = 0.71).

Conclusion

 HPSD ablation was associated with lower RF ablation and fluoroscopy times compared to LPSD, with comparably low rates of ETI on post ablation endoscopy. Our findings suggest that HPSD ablation is a safe and efficacious approach to PVI. However clinicians should be cognisant of the potential injury risk related to esophageal instrumentation from transesophageal echo/ ETM probes.

Long-term implications of pacemaker insertion in younger adults: a single centre experience

Background

The long-term implications of pacemaker insertion in younger adults are poorly described in the literature.

Methods

We performed a retrospective analysis of consecutive younger adult patients (18–50 years) undergoing pacemaker implantation at a quaternary hospital between 1986–2020. Defibrillators and cardiac resynchronisation therapy devices were excluded. All clinical records, pacemaker checks and echocardiograms were reviewed.

Results

81 patients (39.5±9.6 years, 53% male) underwent pacemaker implantation. Indications were complete heart block (41%), sinus node dysfunction (33%), high grade AV block (11%) and tachycardia-bradycardia syndrome (7%). During a median 7.6 (IQR=0.6–14.8) years follow-up, 9 patients (11%) developed 13 late device-related complications (generator or lead malfunction requiring reoperation (n=11), device infection (n=1) and pocket revision (n=1)). Five of these patients were &lt;40 years old at time of pacemaker insertion. At long-term follow-up, a further 9 patients (11%) experienced significant symptoms from inadequate lead performance managed with device reprogramming. Sustained ventricular tachycardia was detected in 2 patients (2%). Deterioration in ventricular function (LVEF decline &gt;10%) was observed in 14 patients (17%) and 7 of these patients required subsequent biventricular upgrade. Furthermore, 4 patients (5%) developed new tricuspid regurgitation (≥ moderate-severe). Of 69 patients with available long-term pacing data, minimal pacemaker utilisation (pacing &lt;5% at all checks) was observed in 13 (19%) patients.

Conclusions

Pacemaker insertion in younger adults has significant long-term implications. Clinicians should carefully consider pacemaker insertion in this cohort given risk of device-related complications, potential for device under-utilisation and issues related to lead longevity. In addition, patients require close follow-up for development of structural abnormalities and arrhythmias.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Unearthing the evidence: post-mortem interrogation of cardiac implantable electronic devices

Background

The diagnostic yield of post-mortem interrogation of cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs) including pacemakers, defibrillators and implantable loop recorders has not been well described.

Methods

We reviewed all post-mortem CIED interrogations performed by our statewide Institute of Forensic Medicine between 2005–2020 for investigation of sudden or unexplained death.

Results

260 patients (68.8% male, median age 72.8 years [IQR 62.7–82.2]) underwent post-mortem CIED interrogation (202 pacemakers, 56 defibrillators and 2 loop recorders). CIEDs were implanted for a median of 2.0 [IQR 0.75–5] years, with 19 devices requiring replacement (and 5 end of life). Post-mortem interrogation was successful in 256 (98.5%) cases. Potential CIED malfunction was identified in 21 (8.1%) cases: untreated ventricular arrhythmias (n=13), lead failures (n=3) and battery depletion (n=5). CIED interrogation directly informed cause of death in 130 (50.0%) cases, with fatal ventricular arrhythmias identified in 121 patients (46.5%). In retrospect, 72 (27.7%) patients had abnormalities recorded by their device in the 30 days preceding death: non-sustained ventricular tachycardia (n=26), rapid atrial fibrillation (n=17), longevity concerns (n=22), intrathoracic impedance alarms (n=3), lead issues (n=3) or therapy delivered (n=1). In 6 cases where the patient was found deceased after a prolonged time, CIED interrogation accurately determined time of death. In one case, CIED interrogation was the primary method of patient identification.

Conclusion

Post-mortem CIED interrogation frequently contributes important information regarding critical device malfunction, pre-mortem abnormalities, cause and time of death or patient identity. Device interrogation should be considered for select patients with CIEDs undergoing autopsy.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.