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De Muylder G, Laisnez V, Stefani G, Boulouffe C, Faes C, Hammami N, Hubin P, Molenberghs G, Sans J, van de Konijnenburg C, Van der Borght S, Brondeel R, Stassijns J, Lernout T. Translating the COVID-19 epidemiological situation into policies and measures: the Belgian experience. Front Public Health 2024; 12:1306361. [PMID: 38645450 PMCID: PMC11026715 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1306361] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/04/2023] [Accepted: 03/20/2024] [Indexed: 04/23/2024] Open
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic led to sustained surveillance efforts, which made unprecedented volumes and types of data available. In Belgium, these data were used to conduct a targeted and regular assessment of the epidemiological situation. In addition, management tools were developed, incorporating key indicators and thresholds, to define risk levels and offer guidance to policy makers. Categorizing risk into various levels provided a stable framework to monitor the COVID-19 epidemiological situation and allowed for clear communication to authorities. Although translating risk levels into specific public health measures has remained challenging, this experience was foundational for future evaluation of the situation for respiratory infections in general, which, in Belgium, is now based on a management tool combining different data sources.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Valeska Laisnez
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Sciensano, Brussels, Belgium
| | - Giulietta Stefani
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Sciensano, Brussels, Belgium
| | | | - Christel Faes
- Data Science Institute, I-BioStat, Hasselt University, Hasselt, Belgium
| | - Naïma Hammami
- Department of Care, Team Infection Prevention and Vaccination, Brussels, Belgium
| | - Pierre Hubin
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Sciensano, Brussels, Belgium
| | - Geert Molenberghs
- Data Science Institute, I-BioStat, Hasselt University, Hasselt, Belgium
- Faculty of Medicine, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, L-BioStat, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Jasper Sans
- Department of Infectious Disease Prevention, Brussels, Belgium
| | | | | | - Ruben Brondeel
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Sciensano, Brussels, Belgium
| | | | - Tinne Lernout
- Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Sciensano, Brussels, Belgium
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Cuypers L, Keyaerts E, Hong SL, Gorissen S, Menezes SM, Starick M, Van Elslande J, Weemaes M, Wawina-Bokalanga T, Marti-Carreras J, Vanmechelen B, Van Holm B, Bloemen M, Dogne JM, Dufrasne F, Durkin K, Ruelle J, De Mendonca R, Wollants E, Vermeersch P, Boulouffe C, Djiena A, Broucke C, Catry B, Lagrou K, Van Ranst M, Neyts J, Baele G, Maes P, André E, Dellicour S, Van Weyenbergh J. Immunovirological and environmental screening reveals actionable risk factors for fatal COVID-19 during post-vaccination nursing home outbreaks. Nat Aging 2023:10.1038/s43587-023-00421-1. [PMID: 37217661 DOI: 10.1038/s43587-023-00421-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/22/2022] [Accepted: 04/13/2023] [Indexed: 05/24/2023]
Abstract
Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccination has resulted in excellent protection against fatal disease, including in older adults. However, risk factors for post-vaccination fatal COVID-19 are largely unknown. We comprehensively studied three large nursing home outbreaks (20-35% fatal cases among residents) by combining severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) aerosol monitoring, whole-genome phylogenetic analysis and immunovirological profiling of nasal mucosa by digital nCounter transcriptomics. Phylogenetic investigations indicated that each outbreak stemmed from a single introduction event, although with different variants (Delta, Gamma and Mu). SARS-CoV-2 was detected in aerosol samples up to 52 d after the initial infection. Combining demographic, immune and viral parameters, the best predictive models for mortality comprised IFNB1 or age, viral ORF7a and ACE2 receptor transcripts. Comparison with published pre-vaccine fatal COVID-19 transcriptomic and genomic signatures uncovered a unique IRF3 low/IRF7 high immune signature in post-vaccine fatal COVID-19 outbreaks. A multi-layered strategy, including environmental sampling, immunomonitoring and early antiviral therapy, should be considered to prevent post-vaccination COVID-19 mortality in nursing homes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lize Cuypers
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, National Reference Centre for Respiratory Pathogens, University Hospitals Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Clinical Microbiology, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Els Keyaerts
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, National Reference Centre for Respiratory Pathogens, University Hospitals Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Clinical Microbiology, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Samuel Leandro Hong
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Clinical and Epidemiological Virology, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Sarah Gorissen
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Clinical Microbiology, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Soraya Maria Menezes
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Clinical and Epidemiological Virology, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Marick Starick
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Clinical and Epidemiological Virology, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Jan Van Elslande
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, National Reference Centre for Respiratory Pathogens, University Hospitals Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Matthias Weemaes
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, National Reference Centre for Respiratory Pathogens, University Hospitals Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Tony Wawina-Bokalanga
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Clinical and Epidemiological Virology, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Joan Marti-Carreras
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Clinical and Epidemiological Virology, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Bert Vanmechelen
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Clinical and Epidemiological Virology, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Bram Van Holm
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Clinical and Epidemiological Virology, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Mandy Bloemen
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Clinical and Epidemiological Virology, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Jean-Michel Dogne
- Department of Pharmacy, Namur Research Institute for Life Sciences, University of Namur, Namur, Belgium
| | - François Dufrasne
- Laboratory of Proteomics and Microbiology, University of Mons, Mons, Belgium
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Laboratory of Viral Diseases, National Institute for Public Health (Sciensano), Brussels, Belgium
| | - Keith Durkin
- Laboratory of Human Genetics, GIGA Research Institute, Liège, Belgium
| | - Jean Ruelle
- Medical Microbiology Unit (MBLG), Institute of Experimental and Clinical Research (IREC), Université Catholique de Louvain, Brussels, Belgium
| | | | - Elke Wollants
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Clinical and Epidemiological Virology, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Pieter Vermeersch
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, National Reference Centre for Respiratory Pathogens, University Hospitals Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Caroline Boulouffe
- Infectious Disease Surveillance Unit, Agence pour une vie de qualité (AVIQ), Wallonia, Belgium
| | - Achille Djiena
- Infectious Disease Surveillance Unit, Agence pour une vie de qualité (AVIQ), Wallonia, Belgium
| | - Caroline Broucke
- Outbreak Investigation Team, Agentschap zorg en gezondheid, Flanders, Belgium
| | - Boudewijn Catry
- Unit Healthcare-Associated Infections and Antimicrobial Resistance, Sciensano, Brussels, Belgium
| | - Katrien Lagrou
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, National Reference Centre for Respiratory Pathogens, University Hospitals Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Clinical Microbiology, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Marc Van Ranst
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, National Reference Centre for Respiratory Pathogens, University Hospitals Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Clinical and Epidemiological Virology, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Johan Neyts
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory Virology and Chemotherapy, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Guy Baele
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Clinical and Epidemiological Virology, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Piet Maes
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Clinical and Epidemiological Virology, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Emmanuel André
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, National Reference Centre for Respiratory Pathogens, University Hospitals Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Clinical Microbiology, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | - Simon Dellicour
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Clinical and Epidemiological Virology, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
- Spatial Epidemiology Lab (SpELL), Université Libre de Bruxelles, Bruxelles, Belgium
| | - Johan Van Weyenbergh
- Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Laboratory of Clinical and Epidemiological Virology, Rega Institute, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.
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