Trends in police complaints and arrests on New York City subways, 2018 to 2023: an interrupted time-series analysis

BACKGROUND

Public transportation use is influenced by perceptions of safety. Concerns related to crime on New York City (NYC) transit have risen following NYC's COVID-19 pandemic state of emergency declaration in 2020, leading to declines in subway ridership. In response, the most recent mayoral administration implemented a Subway Safety Plan in 2022. This study aimed to quantify the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Subway Safety Plan on rates of complaints to and arrests by the New York City Police Department (NYPD) Transit Bureau.

METHODS

Using publicly available data on complaints and arrests, we conducted interrupted time-series analyses using autoregressive integrated moving average models applied to monthly data for the period from September 2018 to August 2023. We estimated changes in the rates of complaints to and arrests by the NYPD Transit Bureau before and after: (1) the COVID-19 pandemic state of emergency declaration (i.e., March 2020), and (2) the announcement of the Subway Safety Plan (i.e., February 2022). We also examined trends by complaint and arrest type as well as changes in proportion of arrests by demographic and geographic groups.

RESULTS

After the COVID-19 pandemic declaration, there was an 84% increase (i.e., an absolute increase of 6.07 per 1,000,000 riders, CI 1.42, 10.71) in complaints to the NYPD Transit Bureau, including a 99% increase (0.91 per 1,000,000 riders, CI 0.42, 1.41) in complaints for assault and a 125% increase in complaints for harassment (0.94 per 1,000,000 riders, CI 0.29, 1.60). Following the Subway Safety Plan there was an increase in the rate of arrests for harassment (0.004 per 1,000,000 riders, CI 0.001, 0.007), as well as decreases in the proportion of arrests for individuals racialized as White (- 0.02, CI - 0.04, - 0.01) and proportion of arrests in the borough of Manhattan (- 0.13, CI - 0.17, - 0.09).

CONCLUSIONS

The increased rates of complaints to the NYPD Transit Bureau following the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic remained elevated following the enactment of the Subway Safety Plan. Further evaluation efforts can help identify effective means of promoting safety on public transportation.

Interstate Highway Connections and Traced Gun Transfers Between the 48 Contiguous United States

Importance

Interstate gun flow has critical implications for gun violence prevention, as gun transfers across state lines can undermine local gun control policies.

Objective

To identify possible gun trafficking routes along interstate highways in the US.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This repeated-measures, ecological, cross-sectional study used data from the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives from January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2019, to examine associations between interstate connections via 13 highways that each spanned at least 1000 miles and interstate traced gun transfer counts for the 48 contiguous United States. Analyses were completed in November 2023.

Exposures

Characteristics of the origin states and the transportation connections between the destination state and the origin states.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The main outcome was the total count of guns used in crimes in each destination state per year that were originally purchased in the origin state. Bayesian conditional autoregressive Poisson models were used to examine associations between the count of guns used in crime traced to interstate purchases and interstate highway connections between origin and destination states.

Results

Between 2010 and 2019, 526 801 guns used in crimes in the contiguous 48 states were traced to interstate purchases. Northbound gun transfers along the Interstate 95 corridor were greater than expected to New Jersey (incidence rate ratio [IRR], 2.80; 95% credible interval [CrI], 1.01-7.68) and Maryland (IRR, 3.07; 95% CrI, 1.09-8.61); transfers were similarly greater along Interstate 15 southbound, Interstate 25 southbound, Interstate 35 southbound, Interstate 75 northbound and southbound, Interstate 10 westbound, and Interstate 20 eastbound and westbound.

Conclusions and Relevance

This repeated-measures, ecological, cross-sectional study identified that guns used in crimes traced to interstate purchases moved routinely between states along multiple major transportation routes. Interstate gun transfers are a major contributor to gun crime, injury, and death in the US. National policies and interstate cooperation are needed to address this issue.

Housing characteristics and indoor air quality in households of Alaska Native children with chronic lung conditions

Alaska Native children experience high rates of respiratory infections and conditions. Household crowding, indoor smoke, lack of piped water, and poverty have been associated with respiratory infections. We describe the baseline household characteristics of children with severe or chronic lung disease participating in a 2012-2015 indoor air study. We monitored indoor PM2.5, CO2 , relative humidity %, temperature, and VOCs and interviewed caregivers about children's respiratory symptoms. We evaluated the association between reported children's respiratory symptoms and indoor air quality indicators using multiple logistic regression analysis. Compared with general US households, study households were more likely overcrowded 73% (62%-82%) vs 3.2% (3.1%-3.3%); had higher woodstove use as primary heat source 16% (9%-25%) vs 2.1% (2.0%-2.2%); and higher proportion of children in a household with a smoker 49% (38%-60%) vs 26.2% (25.5%-26.8%). Median PM2.5 was 33 μg/m3 . Median CO2 was 1401 ppm. VOCs were detectable in all homes. VOCs, smoker, primary wood heat, and PM2.5>25 μg/m3 were associated with higher risk for cough between colds; VOCs were associated with higher risk for wheeze between colds and asthma diagnosis. High indoor air pollutant levels were associated with respiratory symptoms in household children, likely related to overcrowding, poor ventilation, woodstove use, and tobacco smoke.

A versatile retarding potential analyzer for nano-satellite platforms

The design of the first retarding potential analyzer (RPA) built specifically for use on resource-limited cubesat platforms is described. The size, mass, and power consumption are consistent with the limitations of a nano-satellite, but the performance specifications are commensurate with those of RPAs flown on much larger platforms. The instrument is capable of measuring the ion density, temperature, and the ram component of the ion velocity in the spacecraft reference frame, while also providing estimates of the ion composition. The mechanical and electrical designs are described, as are the operating modes, command and data structure, and timing scheme. Test data obtained using an ion source inside a laboratory vacuum chamber are presented to validate the performance of the new design.

Metabolic characterization of distinct neuroanatomical regions in rats by magic angle spinning 1H nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy

High-resolution magic angle spinning (HRMAS) (1)H NMR spectroscopy has been applied to the biochemical characterization of specific brain regions in rats in order to establish baseline levels of tissue metabolite profiles with which to compare models of neuropathology or toxic lesion. Cores of tissue (20 mg) from the brain stem, cerebellum, frontal cortex, and hippocampus were obtained from histologically defined coronal slices of brain from 18 male Sprague-Dawley rats. HRMAS (1)H NMR spectra were acquired for each of the regions sampled and the degree of intersample variability, as assessed by principal components analysis and discriminant analysis by projection to latent structure was found to be low. Clear region-specific differences in the biochemical profiles were observed using both comparison of metabolite ratios and/or pattern recognition methods. Relatively low concentrations of GABA in the cerebellum, high concentrations of taurine and N-acetylaspartate in the cortex, and high levels of choline, glycerophosphocholine, and phosphocholine in the hippocampus predominantly influenced the classification of the different brain regions. Additionally, N-acetylaspartylglutamate was detected in the brain stem, but was largely absent from the other regions examined. Such analyses provide a baseline reference for further HRMAS NMR spectroscopic studies to monitor disease and pharmacological insults in specific regions of the brain.

Health promotion needs of students in a college environment

A significant amount of the mortality and morbidity experienced by Americans of all ages today is preventable. Research directed toward the identification of health promotion needs of traditional students in college environments may contribute to the development and implementation of programs and activities that assist students to adopt healthy lifestyle behaviors throughout their life spans. The purpose of this descriptive survey study was to identify the health promotion needs of traditional students in a college environment. More specifically, the research question was: What are the health promotion needs of traditional students in a college environment? Subjects were male and female students, 18-21 years of age, and enrolled in a full-time (minimum of 12 hours) program of study at one of two college campuses in a metropolitan southern city. One of these was a 2-year state-affiliated community college and the other was a private 4-year coeducation university. A randomized sample of 148 subjects was computed. Results of this study emphasize the distinctive individual and group health promotion needs of traditional students in a college environment. Identification of the health promotion needs of this population will enable health care providers to develop interventions to assist students in developing healthy lifestyle behaviors.

Keller arthroplasty: is distraction a useful technique? A retrospective study

A retrospective study comparing advantages of single or crossed intramedullary Kirschner wire fixation versus straight Keller arthroplasty is reported. The results suggest that the use of distractors weakly correlates with increase in both range of motion and overall patient satisfaction. It appears this correlation is related to temporary increase in joint space, which accordingly leads to increased fibrosis in the early postoperative stages, allowing for a better joint space and functional result.

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Following the Task Force on the Periodic Health Examination, the authors review the chief preventable pathology and outline norms for the nature and frequency of preventive procedures. They propose a systematic program of prevention and screening of the adult. In order to accomplish this, the initial evaluation of the patient must include the search for risk factors and these are included in the problem list. Finally, tables provide simple and efficient modes of applying this program, which also constitutes a useful research tool.