The combination of the enhanced liver fibrosis and FIB-4 scores to determine significant fibrosis in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND

The presence of fibrosis in NAFLD is the most significant risk factor for adverse outcomes. We determined the cutoff scores of two non-invasive te sts (NITs) to rule in and rule out significant fibrosis among NAFLD patients.

METHODS

Clinical data and liver biopsies were used for NAFLD patients included in this analysis (2001-2020). The enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF) and FIB-4 NITs were calculated. Liver biopsies were read by a single hematopathologist and scored by the NASH CRN criteria. Significant fibrosis was defined as stage F2-F4.

RESULTS

There were 463 NAFLD patients included: 48 ± 13 years old, 31% male, 35% type 2 diabetes; 39% had significant fibrosis; mean ELF score was 9.0 ± 1.2, mean FIB-4 score was 1.22 ± 1.05. Patients with significant fibrosis were older, more commonly male, had lower BMI but more components of metabolic syndrome, higher ELF and FIB-4 (p < 0.0001). The performance of the two NITs in identifying significant fibrosis was: AUC (95% CI) = 0.78 (0.74-0.82) for ELF, 0.79 (0.75-0.83) for FIB-4. The combination of ELF score ≥9.8 and FIB-4 ≥ 1.96 returned a positive predictive value of 95% which can reliably rule in significant fibrosis (sensitivity 22%, specificity >99%), while an ELF score ≤7.7 or FIB-4 ≤ 0.30 had a negative predictive value of 95% ruling out significant fibrosis (sensitivity 98%, specificity 22%).

CONCLUSIONS

The combination of ELF and FIB-4 may provide practitioners with easily obtained information to risk stratify patients with NAFLD who could be referred to specialists or for enrollment in clinical trials.

Regular Exercise Is Associated With Low Fatigue Levels and Good Functional Outcomes After COVID-19: A Prospective Observational Study

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study is to identify the impact of postacute SARS-CoV-2 infection on patient outcomes.

DESIGN

This is a prospective, repeated measure, observational study of consented adults with positive SARS-CoV-2 quantitative polymerase chain reaction or antigen test more than 28 days after infection. Only data from the initial study visit are reported, including disease history, symptoms checklist, patient questionnaires, cognitive tests, social/medical histories, vitals, grip strength, and 2-min walk distance.

RESULTS

Two hundred eighteen patients were studied: 100 hospitalized (57.3 ± 15.4 yrs, 62% male, body mass index: 31.3 ± 8.0) and 118 nonhospitalized (46.2 ± 14.6 yrs, 31% male, body mass index: 29.7 ± 7.5). Post-COVID patients reported mean 1.76 symptoms; ≥15% reported fatigue, memory loss, and shortness of breath. Grip strength was 14% lower than norms ( P < 0.0001). Fatigue (Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy-Fatigue), mood (Patient Health Questionnaire), and well-being (EuroQol 5 Dimension 5 Level) scores were lower than the population norms ( P < 0.05). Hospitalized versus nonhospitalized post-COVID patients performed worse on cognitive assessments (processing speed test-Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale-Fourth Edition Symbol Search) and reported less regular exercise (≥30 mins ≥3× per week; P < 0.05). In addition, 30% had severe fatigue (by the Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy-Fatigue); those patients reported less exercise ( P < 0.05). In multivariate models, lack of exercise was independently associated with multiple post-COVID-19 impairments.

CONCLUSIONS

Low levels of exercise are an independent risk factor for post-COVID sequelae. Patients who report less exercise have low grip strength, higher levels of fatigue, memory loss, shortness of breath, depression, and poorer quality of life.

Prevalence of High and Moderate Risk Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Among Adults in the United States, 1999-2016

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) subjects with fibrosis stage ≥2 are at high risk for mortality. We aimed to provide national estimates and temporal trends for NAFLD, based on different fibrosis severity.

METHODS

Data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) (1999-2016) and NHANES III (1988-1994) were utilized. NAFLD was determined by ultrasound showing moderate to severe steatosis. For those without ultrasound, NAFLD was determined by the U.S. Fatty Liver Index score of ≥30. Hepatic fibrosis was assessed using Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score (FIB-4 <1.3 = low risk; FIB-4 1.3-2.67 = moderate risk; and FIB-4 >2.67 = high risk). Annual percent change (APC) was calculated by using the joinpoint regression model.

RESULTS

From NHANES III, 10,854 individuals were included (mean age 43.5 years; 47.5% male; 75.7% non-Hispanic White) and 37.7% had NAFLD. Among them, based on FIB-4, 80% had low-risk, 18.6% had moderate-risk, and 1.4% had high-risk NAFLD. NAFLD with moderate or high risk was more likely to have hypertension, hyperlipidemia, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and metabolic syndrome than was low-risk NAFLD (all P < .02). NAFLD prevalence increased from 29.5% in 1999-2000 to 40.3% in 2015-2016 (APC, 2.78%; P < .02), moderate-risk NAFLD increased from 6.26% to 14.17% (APC, 5.34%; P < .02), and high-risk NAFLD increased from 0.49% to 1.15% (APC, 9.72%; P < .02). Independent predictors of advanced fibrosis were age (OR, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.06-1.17; P = .001) and diabetes (OR, 2.28; 95% CI, 1.03-5.05; P = .04). Compared with low-risk NAFLD, high-risk NAFLD was associated with significantly increased all-cause (HR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.09-2.15; P = .01), cardiovascular disease-specific (HR, 1.99; 95% CI, 1.22-3.24, P < .01) and liver-specific (HR, 4.57; 95% CI, 1.03-28.79; P = .04) mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of moderate- or high-risk NAFLD is increasing and is associated with increased all-cause, liver-related, and cardiovascular mortality.

The impact of variants and vaccination on the mortality and resource utilization of hospitalized patients with COVID-19

Background

COVID-19 outcomes among hospitalized patients may have changed due to new variants, therapies and vaccine availability. We assessed outcomes of adults hospitalized with COVID-19 from March 2020–February 2022.

Methods

Data were retrieved from electronic health medical records of adult COVID-19 patients hospitalized in a large community health system. Duration was split into March 2020–June 2021 (pre-Delta period), July–November 2021 (Delta period), and December 2021–February 2022 (Omicron period).

Results

Of included patients (n = 9582), 75% were admitted during pre-Delta, 9% during Delta, 16% during Omicron period. The COVID-positive inpatients were oldest during Omicron period but had lowest rates of COVID pneumonia and resource utilization (p < 0.0001); 46% were vaccinated during Delta and 61% during Omicron period (p < 0.0001). After adjustment for demographics and comorbidities, vaccination was associated with lower inpatient mortality (OR = 0.47 (0.34–0.65), p < 0.0001). The Omicron period was independently associated with lower risk of inpatient mortality (OR = 0.61 (0.45–0.82), p = 0.0010). Vaccination and Omicron period admission were also independently associated with lower healthcare resource utilization (p < 0.05). Magnitudes of associations varied between age groups with strongest protective effects seen in younger patients.

Conclusion

Outcomes of COVID-19 inpatients were evolving throughout the pandemic and were affected by changing demographics, virus variants, and vaccination.

Key point

In this observational study of almost 10,000 patients hospitalized from March 2020–February 2022 with COVID-19, age and having multiple comorbidities remained consistent risk factors for mortality regardless of the variant. Vaccination was high in our hospitalized patients. Vaccination conveyed less severe illness and was associated with lower inpatient mortality.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12879-022-07657-z.

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on patients with chronic liver disease: Results from the Global Liver Registry

Patients with preexisting chronic liver disease (CLD) may experience a substantial burden from both coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) infection and pandemic-related life disruption. We assessed the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on patients with CLD. Patients enrolled in our Global Liver Registry were invited to complete a COVID-19 survey. As of June 2021, 2500 patients (mean age ± SD, 49 ± 13 years; 53% men) from seven countries completed the survey. Of all survey completers, 9.3% had COVID-19. Of these patients, 19% were hospitalized, 13% needed oxygen support, but none required mechanical ventilation. Of all patients including those not infected with COVID-19, 11.3% reported that the pandemic had an impact on their liver disease, with 73% of those reporting delays in follow-up care. The Life Disruption Event Perception questionnaire confirmed worsening in at least one area (food/nutrition, exercise, social life, vocation/education, financial situation, housing, or health care) in 81% and 69% of patients with and without a history of COVID-19, respectively (p = 0.0001). On a self-assessed Likert health score scale (range, 1-10; 10 indicates perfect health), patients with a COVID-19 history scored lower (mean ± SD, 6.7 ± 2.2 vs. 7.4 ± 2.2, respectively; p < 0.0001) despite reporting similar health scores if there was no pandemic (mean ± SD, 8.5 ± 1.4 vs. 8.4 ± 1.6, respectively; p = 0.59). After adjustment for country of enrollment, liver disease etiology and severity, age, sex, body mass index, diabetes, and history of psychiatric comorbidities, COVID-19 was found to be independently associated with lower self-assessed health scores (beta = -0.71 ± 0.14; p < 0.0001). The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in a substantial burden on the daily life of patients with CLD.

Serum Biomarkers are Associated With Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Among Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Undergoing Elective Angiography

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Cardiovascular disease is the most common cause of death among patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We assessed select cardiac biomarker associations for existing or future coronary artery disease (CAD) risk in patients with NAFLD.

METHODS

Patients with/without NAFLD undergoing elective cardiac angiography were prospectively enrolled. Severe CAD was defined as presence of at least 1 proximal artery >70% stenosis; risk of severe CAD as either existing severe CAD or atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease score ≥20; NAFLD was defined as hepatic fat in the absence of other liver diseases. Cardiac biomarkers (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I [hs-cTnI]) were measured using Atellica Solution assays (Siemens Healthineers).

RESULTS

A total of 619 patients were enrolled (mean age, 63 ± 10 years; 80% male; 31% type 2 diabetes; 65% NAFLD); 42% had severe CAD, and 57% had risk of severe CAD. NAFLD prevalence was similar between patients with and without severe CAD (68% vs 62%; P > .05). Patients with NAFLD with severe CAD (44%) or with risk of severe CAD (58%) had higher levels of hs-cTnI than NAFLD controls (both P < .001). Presence of severe CAD or risk of severe CAD in all patients was associated with older age, male, aspects of metabolic syndrome, and elevated hs-cTnI: odds ratio 2.0 (95% confidence interval [CI],1.4-2.9) and 1.8 (95% CI, 1.1-3.0), respectively; 2.3 (95% CI, 1.4-3.8) and 2.2 (95% CI, 1.2-4.2), respectively, in patients with NAFLD (all P < .02).

CONCLUSION

CAD is common in patients with NAFLD. High hs-cTnI was associated with an increased risk of CAD. Pending validation, hs-cTnI may be a useful marker for CAD risk prediction in patients with NAFLD.

Performance of the Enhanced Liver Fibrosis Test to Estimate Advanced Fibrosis Among Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Importance

The most important surrogate for increased risk of adverse clinical outcomes among patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the patient's stage of liver fibrosis. There is a significant barrier to risk-stratifying patients in clinical practice owing to the need for liver biopsy.

Objective

To determine the performance of the enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF) test as a noninvasive test for assessment of liver fibrosis among patients with NAFLD.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This retrospective cross-sectional study was conducted among patients recruited from a large, community-based hospital system's outpatient liver clinic from 2001 to 2020. Patients with NAFLD defined as steatosis greater than 5% without evidence of other liver disease or excessive alcohol use were included. Data were analyzed from August 2020 through February 2021.

Intervention

Enhanced liver fibrosis score was calculated.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Advanced fibrosis was identified by liver biopsy or transient elastography.

Results

Among 829 patients with NAFLD, the mean (SD) age was 53.1 (14.0) years, there were 363 (43.8%) men, 294 patients (35.5%) had type 2 diabetes, and the mean (SD) fibrosis-4 (fib-4) score was 1.34 (0.97). There were 463 patients with liver biopsy, among whom 113 individuals (24.4%) had bridging fibrosis or cirrhosis; among 462 patients with transient elastography data, 79 individuals (17.1%) had liver stiffness results of 9.6 kPa or more (ie, advanced fibrosis). Patients with advanced fibrosis had statistically significantly increased mean (SD) ELF scores compared with patients without advanced fibrosis as determined by biopsy (10.1 [1.3] vs 8.6 [1.0]; P < .001) or transient elastography (10.0 [1.1] vs 9.0 [0.8]; P < .001). Among all patients with NAFLD, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for ELF in identifying patients with advanced fibrosis was 0.81 (95% CI, 0.77-0.85) for patients diagnosed by biopsy and 0.79 (95% CI, 0.75-0.82) for those diagnosed by transient elastography. Performance of the ELF score was similar among patients with NAFLD who were aged 65 years or older (AUROC, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.58-0.87) or had type 2 diabetes (AUROC, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.71-0.84). The combination of an ELF score of 7.2 or greater with a fib-4 score of 0.74 or greater was associated with a negative predictive value of 95.1% (95% CI, 91.8%-98.4%) and a sensitivity of 92.5% (95% CI, 87.4%-97.5%), which can reliably rule out advanced fibrosis. An ELF score of 9.8 or greater with a fib-4 score of 2.9 or greater was associated with a positive predictive value of 95.0% (95% CI, 85.5%-100%) and a specificity of 99.7% (95% CI, 99.1%-100%), which can be used to rule in advanced fibrosis.

Conclusions and Relevance

These findings suggest that the ELF test performs well in identifying patients with NAFLD who are at increased risk of advanced fibrosis and that this test combined with fib-4 score may be reliably used in clinical practice to assess the presence or absence of advanced fibrosis among patients with NAFLD.

Independent Predictors of Mortality Among Patients With NAFLD Hospitalized With COVID-19 Infection

The impact of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic among patients with chronic liver disease is unknown. Given the high prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), we determined the predictors of mortality and hospital resource use among patients with NAFLD admitted with COVID-19 by using electronic medical records data for adult patients with COVID-19 hospitalized in a multihospital health system who were discharged between March and December 2020. NAFLD was diagnosed by imaging or liver biopsy without other liver diseases. Charlson's comorbidity index (CCI) and Elixhauser comorbidity index (ECI) scores were calculated. In the study sample, among the 4,835 patients hospitalized for COVID-19, 553 had NAFLD (age: 55 ± 16 years, 51% male, 17% White, 11% Black, 58% Hispanic, 8% Asian, 5% from congregated living, 58% obese, 15% morbid obesity [body mass index ≥ 40], 51% type 2 diabetes, 63% hypertension, mean [SD] baseline CCI of 3.9 [3.2], and baseline ECI of 13.4 [11.3]). On admission, patients with NAFLD had more respiratory symptoms, higher body temperature and heart rate, higher alanine aminotransferase and aspartate aminotransferase than non-NAFLD controls (n = 2,736; P < 0.05). Of the patients with NAFLD infected with COVID-19, 3.9% experienced acute liver injury. The NAFLD group had significantly longer length of stay, intensive care unit use, and mechanical ventilation, with a crude inpatient mortality rate of 11%. In multivariate analysis, independent predictors of inpatient mortality among patients with NAFLD infected with COVID-19 were older age, morbid obesity, ECI score ≥ 11, higher Fibrosis-4 Index (FIB-4) score, and oxygen saturation <90% (all P < 0.05), but not sex, race/ethnicity, or any individual comorbidity (all P > 0.05). Conclusion: Patients with NAFLD infected with COVID-19 tend to be sicker on admission and require more hospital resource use. Independent predictors of mortality included higher FIB-4 and multimorbidity scores, morbid obesity, older age, and hypoxemia on admission.

Identification of High-Risk Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Using Noninvasive Tests From Primary Care and Endocrinology Real-World Practices

INTRODUCTION

We aimed to identify high-risk nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) patients seen at the primary care and endocrinology practices and link them to gastrohepatology care.

METHODS

Using the electronic health record, patients who either had the diagnosis of type 2 diabetes or had 2 of 3 other metabolic risk factors met criteria for inclusion in the study. Using noninvasive fibrosis tests (NITs) to identify high risk of fibrosis, patients who met the NIT prespecified criteria were referred to gastrohepatology for clinical assessment and transient elastography.

RESULTS

From 7,555 patients initially screened, 1707 (22.6%) met the inclusion criteria, 716 (42%) agreed to enroll, and 184 (25.7%) met the prespecified NIT criteria and eligibility for linkage to GE-HEP where 103 patients (68 ± 9 years of age, 50% men, 56% white) agreed to undergo linkage assessments. Their NIT scores were APRI of 0.38 ± 0.24, FIB-4 of 1.98 ± 0.87, and NAFLD Fibrosis Score of 0.36 ± 1.03; 68 (66%) linked patients had controlled attenuation parameter >248 dB/m, 62 (60%) had liver stiffness <6 kPa, and 8 (8%) had liver stiffness >12 kPa. Liver stiffness for the overall group was 6.7 ± 4.2 kPa, controlled attenuation parameter 282 ± 64 dB/m, and FAST score 0.22 ± 0.22. Linked patients with presumed advanced fibrosis had significantly higher body mass index (36.4 ± 6.6 vs 31.2 ± 6.4 kg/m2, P = 0.025) and higher NIT scores (APRI 0.89 ± 0.52 vs 0.33 ± 0.14, FIB-4 3.21 ± 2.06 vs 1.88 ± 0.60, and NAFLD Fibrosis Score 1.58 ± 1.33 vs 0.25 ± 0.94).

DISCUSSION

By applying a simple prespecified multistep algorithm using electronic health record with clinical risk factors and NITs followed by transient elastography, patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease seen in PCP and ENDO practices can be easily identified.

Mortality Related to Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Is Increasing in the United States

Population‐level nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) death rate data are sparse. We described death rates for adults with NAFLD in the United States using mortality data from the National Vital Statistics System multiple‐cause mortality data (2007‐2016). Decedents who had NAFLD were identified by International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes K75.81, K76.0, K74.0, K74.6, and K76.9. Among NAFLD decedents, cause‐specific deaths (e.g., cardiovascular disease [CVD], cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma [HCC], non‐liver cancer, diabetes mellitus [DM]) were identified by underlying cause of death ICD‐10 codes. Trends were evaluated by average annual percentage change (AAPC) in age‐standardized death rate (ASDR) per 100,000 persons. Among the 25,129,960 decedents aged ≥20 years, 353,234 (1.4%) decedents had NAFLD (212,322 men; 260,765 non‐Hispanic whites, 32,868 non‐Hispanic blacks, 46,530 Hispanics, 5,025 non‐Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Natives [AIANs], 7,023 non‐Hispanic Asian or Pacific Islanders [APIs]), with a mean age at death of 64.47 ± 13.17 years. During the study period, the ASDR for NAFLD increased by 15% (12.94 to 14.90; AAPC, 1.98%; P < 0.001]), while women (AAPC, 2.99% vs. 1.16% men; P = 0.003), non‐Hispanic whites (AAPC, 2.48%), non‐Hispanic AIANs (AAPC, 2.31%), and Hispanics (AAPC, 0.74%) experienced the highest annual increases. Stable trends were noted for non‐Hispanic blacks and non‐Hispanic APIs. Among subgroups, Mexican (AAPC, 1.75%) and Asian Indians (AAPC, 6.94%) experienced annual increases. The top six underlying causes of death (155,894 cirrhosis, 38,444 CVD, 19,466 non‐liver cancer, 10,867 HCC, 8,113 DM, and 5,683 lung disease) accounted for 67.5% of NAFLD‐related deaths. For cause‐specific deaths, ASDR increased for HCC (AAPC, 3.82%), DM (AAPC, 2.23%), non‐liver cancer (AAPC, 2.14%), CVD (AAPC, 1.59%), and cirrhosis (AAPC, 0.96%). Conclusion: NAFLD‐related deaths in U.S. adults are increasing. Cirrhosis is the top cause‐specific death, followed by CVD. Women, non‐Hispanic whites, and non‐Hispanic AIANs (subgroups Mexicans and Asian Indians) experienced the highest increases in deaths. Policies addressing the societal burden of NAFLD are needed.

Anti-adipocyte antibody response in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIM

A significant number of autoantibodies have been reported in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) patients. In the present study, our aim was to assess the role of disease and cell-specific antibodies, namely anti-adipocyte antibodies (anti-AdAb) in patients with NAFLD and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH).

METHODS

Flow cytometry was used to detect the presence of anti-AdAb (immunoglobulin M [IgM] and immunoglobulin G [IgG]) in sera from patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD (n = 98) and in controls (n = 49) without liver disease. Univariate and multivariate analysis was performed to draw associations between anti-AdAb IgM and IgG levels and the different clinical variables.

RESULTS

Patients with NAFLD had significantly higher levels of anti-AdAb IgM and significantly lower levels of AdAb IgG when compared with controls (P = 0.002 and P < 0.001, respectively). Patients with NASH had significantly higher levels of anti-AdAb IgM when compared with non-NASH NAFLD patients, P = 0.04. In multivariate analysis, anti-AdAb IgM was independently associated with a higher risk for NASH (odds ratio[OR]: 2.90 [confidence interval (CI) 1.18-7.16], P = 0.02). Anti-AdAb IgM was also found to be independently associated with portal inflammation in patients with NAFLD (OR: 3.01 [CI 1.15-7.90 P = 0.02]).

CONCLUSIONS

Anti-AdAb IgM was independently associated with NAFLD and NASH while anti-AdAb IgG was found to be protective against NAFLD. Anti-AdAb IgM was found specifically to be associated with the inflammatory processes in NAFLD. These findings indicate that the anti-AdAb IgM and IgG may play an immunomodulatory role in the pathogenesis of NAFLD and NASH.

Single non-invasive model to diagnose non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH)

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is the progressive form of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). A liver biopsy is considered the "gold standard" for diagnosing/staging NASH. Identification of NAFLD/NASH using non-invasive tools is important for intervention. The study aims were to: develop/validate the predictive performance of a non-invasive model (index of NASH [ION]); assess the performance of a recognized non-invasive model (fatty liver index [FLI]) compared with ION for NAFLD diagnosis; determine which non-invasive model (FLI, ION, or NAFLD fibrosis score [NFS]) performed best in predicting age-adjusted mortality.

METHODS

From the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey III database, anthropometric, clinical, ultrasound, laboratory, and mortality data were obtained (n = 4458; n = 861 [19.3%] NAFLD by ultrasound) and used to develop the ION model, and then to compare the ION and FLI models for NAFLD diagnosis. For validation and diagnosis of NASH, liver biopsy data were used (n = 152). Age-adjusted Cox proportional hazard modeling estimated the association among the three non-invasive tests (FLI, ION, and NFS) and mortality.

RESULTS

FLI's threshold score > 60 and ION's threshold score > 22 had similar specificity (FLI = 80% vs ION = 82%) for NAFLD diagnosis; FLI < 30 (80% sensitivity) and ION < 11 (81% sensitivity) excluded NAFLD. An ION score > 50 predicted histological NASH (92% specificity); the FLI model did not predict NASH or mortality. The ION model was best in predicting cardiovascular/diabetes-related mortality; NFS predicted overall or diabetes-related mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

The ION model was superior in predicting NASH and mortality compared with the FLI model. Studies are needed to validate ION.