Estimated Incidence and Prevalence of Female Breast Cancer in Italian Regions

Female breast cancer incidence and prevalence in Italy have been estimated by region and vast areas from population-based survival data of breast cancer patients and 1970–1987 specific mortality data using a mathematical model. Italian age-standardized incidence rates (ASR) for 1987 range from 70 to 90 per 100,000 women-year in the Northern regions, 55 to 73 in the Center, and 45 to 72 in the South. Overall, the ASR is about 80 in the North, 70 in the Center and 60 in the South. In the absence of competitive mortality, breast cancer cumulative risk in the 0–74 years life span is about 7 women out of 100 in the North, 6 in the Center and 5 in the South. The decreasing risk pattern from North to Center then South appears less evident when under 45 age-specific rates are considered. Very high levels for young age-groups are present both in the North (Liguria and Emilia Romagna) and South (Sardinia and Apulia). The incidence pattern by age differs from region to region and over the considered period, suggesting that a birth-cohort effect is crossing the whole country. Using to model, it can be estimated that the risk by cohort increases from the generations born at the beginning of the century to those born in the 40s, after which, for subsequent generations, it has been decreasing in all the considered areas and is similar in the North and South. We can infer that for the whole country the incidence will increase up to the years 2000–2010 when those birth-cohorts at higher risk will also be at higher risk for age. In 1987, about 250,000 Italian women had a present or past history of breast cancer: for the 1970–1987 period, prevalence has increased by approximately 5,500 cases per year.

Tobacco Smoking, Alcohol Drinking and Dietary Factors as Determinants of New Primaries among Male Laryngeal Cancer Patients: A Case-Cohort Study

Aims and Background

The paper examines the determinants associated with second primary occurrence in laryngeal cancer cases.

Methods

A series of 220 incident male laryngeal cancer cases was interviewed 10 years ago within the framework of a population-based, case-control study. The occurrence of other primaries among these patients was assessed by means of the Lombardy Cancer Registry, which covers their area of residence. The relationship between tobacco, alcohol, dietary factors and the risk of occurrence of new primaries was analyzed by means of a nested case-control study. Cases were defined as those subjects who developed a new primary, and controls as those without.

Results

New primaries occurred among 36 subjects during an 8-year follow-up; 147 control cancer patients were matched for age and length of follow-up. A twofold risk increase was associated with the highest tobacco consumption, as registered at time of first primary; a weaker relationship, i.e. risk of 1.2 for the highest tertile, was seen for alcohol drinking. The occurrence of new primaries was also influenced by dietary habits. In particular, those who had a high intake of monosaturated fatty acids had a one-third lower risk of developing a new primary.

Conclusions

Our results support the hypothesis that a healthy diet is protective among those who experience a laryngeal neoplasm and suggests that diet could be a potential preventive agent against the occurrence of new primaries among these patients.

Trends of Colorectal Cancer Incidence and Prevalence in Italian Regions

Incidence and prevalence of tumors of colon and rectum, estimated from mortality and survival data, are presented for Italian regions and for the period 1970-1990. Projected rates to the year 2000 are also given. Age-standardized incidence rates have increased during the considered period. The increase has been higher for southern regions, which had, during the 70's, the lowest incidence and mortality levels. Geographic heterogeneity of colorectal cancer occurrence across Italian regions is therefore decreasing. The phenomenon parallels a tendency towards the homogenization of dietary habits observed in the Italian population. Estimated incidence levels increased less for the younger generation and appear stable for people born after 1940. More than 150,000 prevalent cases were estimated by the year 1990. The number is likely to increase owing to the simultaneous increasing tendency in incidence and survival rates.

Dietary Habits, Internal Migration and Social Class in a Sample of a Northern Italian Population

The study of migrants has generated interesting hypotheses on the etiology of different types of cancer. In particular, it has been suggested that both colon and breast cancer could be related to living conditions, including diet, in the country of immigration. Considerable internal migration occurred in Italy in the sixties. We studied a random sample of 1,400 subjects living in the city of Torino and the province of Varese. They were interviewed with a detailed questionnaire about their dietary habits, and the consumption of several nutrients was considered according to the area of birth and social class. The hypothesis we tested was whether, after controlling for social class, there were different dietary habits among the migrants and the native population, and whether such differences could help in the formulation of etiologic hypotheses on cancer. We found that the intake of saturated fatty acids and cholesterol was lower among the migrants from the south, whereas they consumed higher levels of vegetables than people born in the north. The different intake of saturated fatty acids and cholesterol seemed to be attributable mainly to the consumption of butter, for which the south/north ratio was as low as 0.47 in men and 0.56 in women. Important gradients by social class were also suggested for several nutrients.

Study of Women who DID not Respond to Screening for Cervical Cancer

Demographic and social factors influencing the population response to cervical screening programs have been studied. Age, marital status and, to a lesser extent, place of birth and socio-economic status were the most relevant factors. On the other hand, the reasons for nonparticipation were mainly the lack of information and motivation. Personal invitations, the recall of women who did not present on the first call, and the setting up of decentralized smear collection clinics proved to be useful tools to increase attendance.

The Effect of Cytological Screening on Cervical Neoplasia in the Italian Province of Varese

In the Varese province (409,142 female inhabitants in 1981), which has been covered by a cancer registry since 1976, cytologic screening for cervical cancer began in the early sixties in the municipality of Busto Arsizio (41,818 female inhabitants in 1981) and subsequently spread to the rest of the province. The distribution by age of cytologic smears and of detected in situ cancer reveals a more frequent attitude to be screened for women aged between 25 and 54 years. Overall, the incidence rate (world standardized) for invasive cancer in the province decreased from 10.3/100,000 women-year in the period 1976-81 to 7.5/100,000 in 1982-87. In Busto Arsizio a survey of the hospital archives has been carried out to identify the cases of cervical cancer diagnosed from 1966 to 1985: in this 20-year period, the incidence of cervical cancer decreased markedly, but only in those ages frequently screened. In the rest of the province, for the first period of cancer registration (1976-81), the incidence was significantly higher than in Busto Arsizio, especially for ages 35-64. Subsequently, between 1982-87, the cervical cancer incidence was low in both areas. For the period 1976-87, no difference for carcinoma in situ registration rates was observed between the two populations studied. Actually by 1976, when the Lombardy Cander Registry began its activity, the screening was diffuse throughout the province. These observations are consistent with the preventive effect of screening activity.

Breast Cancer Prevalence Measured by the Lombardy Cancer Registry

Aims and background

Breast cancer is the most important malignant neoplasm affecting women in Western countries. An increasing number of women undergo regular medical checkups, especially during the first years following the diagnosis. Therefore, from the health planning point of view, it is essential to have prevalence measures to furnish estimates for the demands that the health care system could possibly undergo.

Methods

By means of PREVAL, a computerized program, breast cancer prevalence has been measured in the Varese province using incidence and follow-up data from the Lombardy Cancer Registry (LCR).

Results

During the 1986–1988 period, breast cancer prevalence for patients alive within 10 years from diagnosis was about 625 per 100,000 resident women. Of these, 54% were over 60 years and 9% were under 45 years of age. Patients alive within 2 years from diagnosis were about 200 per 100,000 residents; considering the 1978–1980 period, patients alive within 2 years from diagnosis were just 140 per 100,000 residents. This dramatic increase in breast cancer prevalence is present also for long-term survivors (i.e. patients alive at 10–13 years from the diagnosis). Extrapolating breast cancer prevalence measured in the Varese province to the whole Lombardy region, the expected number of prevalent cases alive within 10 years of the diagnosis, presently living in Lombardy, would be 27,500. LCR's breast cancer prevalence figures were compatible with available data provided by the Finnish Cancer Registry.

Conclusion

Owing to aging of the population, the improvement in survival and the increasing incidence, the number of prevalent cases will increase. This phenomenon has and will have great importance for the health planning.

Incidence and Survival of Brain Tumors: A Population-Based Study

Since 1976 the Lombardy Cancer Registry (RTL) has recorded all malignant tumors and the benign tumors of the nervous system, bladder and liver occurring in the Varese province. The aims of this report are: to describe age-specific incidence rates of the different oncotypes of primary nervous system tumors (PNSTs) and to analyze the duration of survival of the patients according to the histotype of the neoplasm. From 1976 to 1981, the RTL recorded 498 PNST: 213 tumors of glial origin, 132 tumors of mesodermal tissues, 15 tumors of multipotential cell origin, 37 tumors of nerve roots, 8 of vascular origin, and 54 PNST in which the histotype was not specified. For tumors of glial origin, the 60–69 year age class showed the highest incidence rate: 16 per 100,000/year. The incidence rate of tumors of mesodermal tissues reached the maximum value of 7.9 per 100,000/year in the age group of 75 years and over. Tumors of multipotential cell origin had a maximum incidence of 2.2 in the 60–69 year age class. The probability of survival at 5 years after diagnosis was computed by the method of Kaplan and Meier (15), and the log rank procedure was used to test statistical differences among survivors. Tumors of glial origin, excluding ependymomas and papillomas of choroid plexus, had a 5-year survival probability of 14%. Age (categorized in ≤50 and > 50 years) and histologic grade (grades I+II and grades III+IV) were analyzed as prognostic factors for tumors of glial origin: a younger age was the most predictive prognostic factor in grade I+II tumors (probability of survival = 53% in the group ≤50 years vs 0 in the group > 50 years; p < 0.005). In the less differentiated tumors there were no differences between the two age groups. Patients with tumors of mesodermal tissues had a 5-year probability of survival of 83%. Subjects younger than 50 years had a probability of survival of 95%, whereas older patients had a probability of 79%. For the other oncotypes, the 5-year survival probability was: 50% for tumors of multipotential cell origin, 63% for ependymomas and papillomas of the choroid plexus, 64% for tumors of vascular derivation, and 21% for PNST with not specified histotype.

Modality of Lung Cancer Treatment in an Unselected Population

The modality of lung cancer treatment was retrospectively evaluated in an unselected population. All the lung cancer cases diagnosed among the residents in a Local Sanitary Unit of Lombardy during four years (1974–1979), were identified. The clinical records of the 235 collected patients were reviewed and on this basis the anatomical extent of disease was retrospectively classified in stages according to the TNM of UICC (1978). The relative frequency of clinical stages resulted 29 % for stage I, 17 % II, 20 % III and 32 % IV. Only 57 % of all the subjects had been treated; 11 % by resection, 22 % by radiotherapy and 24 % by chemotherapy. For the stages I and II the operability rates were 35 % and 26 % respectively, while the resectability rates were 29 % and 17 %. An objective reason of exclusion from surgery was found in no more than a quarter of stage I and II lung cancers, while the remaining (40 %) had probably been excluded from exploration owing to a subjective prognostic evaluation. If compared with similar reports from other countries, these data show a striking defect in the choice of curative treatment for a high proportion of the examined cases.

Incident Lung Cancer Survival. Long-Term Follow-Up of a Population-Based Study in Italy

The long-term survival of an incident lung cancer population was evaluated in relation to clinical stage, treatment modalities and other prognostic factors. The survey was carried out among the residents in the Local Sanitary Unit of Saronno, a highly industrialized area of northern Italy, where all the lung cancer cases diagnosed during the years 1976-79 had been identified and clinically studied. The overall survival of the 222 cases included in the analysis was 32% at 1 year, 10% at 3 years and 5% at 5 years; median survival was 7 months. A significantly better prognosis was associated with surgical resection (32% at 5 years; median, 42 mo), clinical stage I (16% at 5 years; median, 15 mo), and squamous cell carcinoma (13% at 5 years; median, 11 mo). Other factors such as age, sex, social class or cancer symptoms did not affect survival when treatment was taken into account. Our data show that surgical resection is the major determinant of survival, and suggest that suboptimal access to curative treatment, particularly in patients aged 60 to 75 with limited disease, might have compromised the overall survival.

Overhead Electricity Power Lines and Childhood Leukemia: A Registry-Based, Case-Control Study

AIMS AND BACKGROUND

To evaluate the role of exposure to low-frequency electromagnetic fields generated by overhead power lines on the risk of childhood leukemia, we carried out a case-control study in the area (Varese province) covered by the Lombardy Cancer Registry.

METHODS AND STUDY DESIGN

Exposure to magnetic fields was estimated using line load data and the distance between subjects' homes and the nearest power line. A total of 101 cases and 412 controls were investigated.

RESULTS

Twenty subjects (9 cases and 11 controls) were considered exposed. A significant fourfold increase in risk for leukemia in exposed subjects and a dose-response relationship were found. The risk was higher than that reported by other studies. Potential biases related to the representativity of controls and validity of exposure assessment do not seem to have influenced the risk estimates.

CONCLUSIONS

We suggest that measures to remedy residential exposure should be taken wherever practicable.

Soft Tissue Sarcomas in the General Population Living near a Chemical Plant in Northern Italy

Background and objectives

After the notification by a general practitioner of a high frequency of soft tissue sarcomas among subjects living close to the industrial area of the city of Mantua (northern Italy), the local Medical Association carried out a formal epidemiologic investigation to corroborate or falsify the hypothesized excess. Several industrial activities of the area were hypothesized to be a source of environmental pollution that might cause soft tissue sarcomas.

Methods

All general practitioners working in the area were requested to report the cases of soft tissue sarcoma diagnosed in the study area. Person-years of observation were computed for all subjects who ever resided in the area between 1984 and 1997. Expected incidence was computed from the cancer registry covering a nearby province (Varese) and from the pool of Italian cancer registries. Peripheral soft tissue sarcoma and visceral sarcomas were included in the analysis.

Results and conclusions

Overall, 20 cases were observed in a 13-year period, 8.87 were expected from the Varese province cancer registry and 7.72 from the pool of Italian registries. The corresponding standardized morbidity ratios were 2.25 (95% confidence interval, 1.34–3.47) and 2.6 (95% confidence interval, 1.6–4.0), respectively. A significant excess persisted after excluding 5 cases that had been the object of the original notification. We hypothesize that the soft tissue sarcoma excess may have resulted from environmental pollution by industrial toxic emissions, which likely included 2,3,7,8-tetra-chloro-dibenzo-dioxin.

Interpreting Survival Differences and Trends

Since 1990 a concerted action between European population-based cancer registries (the EUROCARE project) has been carried out with the aims of establishing whether there are differences in cancer patient survival in Europe, and the reasons for such differences. Survival differences actually exist for cancer sites for which the stage of disease at diagnosis is the major prognostic factor (such as breast, stomach and colon cancer). However, for most cancer sites, survival increases over time and the survival rates of different countries tend to converge towards higher values. Interpreting survival differences and trends is not an easy task. Longer survival may be achieved by postponing death through better treatment or by anticipating diagnosis. However, an earlier diagnosis may or may not make a treatment more effective in postponing death. The computation of stage-specific or stage-adjusted survival is not sufficient for interpretation of survival differences, because staging procedures change over time and may vary in different hospitals and countries. In addition to an early diagnosis and more effective treatment, a number of factors may bias survival estimates. They may be classified into factors that can be controlled in the analysis (at least partially), such as mortality from other causes, demographic factors, epoch of diagnosis, different statistical methodology, and factors depending on the validity of cancer registry data, such as definition of the illness, exhaustiveness and quality of registration, completeness of follow-up, definition of the date of diagnosis, and definition of disease stage including the diagnostic procedure used to establish stage. To help disentangle the effects of early diagnosis and better treatment, several statistical approaches are being developed: multivariate analysis on relative survival data, new modeling analysis to separately estimate the proportion of cured patients and the length of survival for those patients destined to die, and the standardized collection of information on stage at diagnosis and staging procedures.

Reliability of Urinary 6-sulfatoxymelatonin as a Biomarker in Breast Cancer

The objective of this study is to evaluate the effect of cryopreservation at different storage temperatures on urinary 6-sulfatoxymelatonin (aMT6s) concentration. Overnight urine from 28 postmenopausal women participating in the ORDET cohort study was filtered and separated into 6 mL aliquots. Urine samples were stored at –80°C and at –30°C for an average of 14 years. Urinary aMT6s concentration was assessed using a competitive immunoassay. Mean aMT6s values of samples stored at –30°C were systematically lower than those of samples stored at –80°C (10.7 ng/mL versus 15.8 ng/mL, p<0.001). Bland Altman plots showed disagreement between determinations at different storage temperatures at the highest levels of the metabolite concentration. The degree of agreement evaluated in terms of intra-class correlation coefficient was 0.68 (95% CI 0.41–0.84, p<0.0001). Pearson's correlation coefficient between aMT6s values of the two differently stored samples was 0.93 (p<0.001), while the Kendal tau coefficient for rank distribution was 0.73 (p<0.001). Our data suggest that storage temperatures might affect degradation of aMT6s during storage. However, individual characterization by melatonin levels does not seem to be affected by cryopreservation conditions.

Plant-Based Diet, Serum Fatty Acid Profile, and Free Radicals in Postmenopausal Women: The Diet and Androgens (DIANA) Randomized Trial

High calorie and fat consumption and the production of free radicals are two major mechanistic pathways between diet and disease. In this study we evaluated the effect of a plant-based diet poor in animal fat and rich in (n-3) fatty acids on fatty acids of serum phospholipids and on the production of reactive oxygen metabolites (ROMs). One hundred and four healthy female postmenopausal volunteers were recruited and randomized to a dietary intervention or a control group. Dietary intervention included a program of food education and biweekly common meals for 18 weeks. When the intervention and control groups were compared, it was seen that dietary intervention resulted in a significant reduction of saturated fatty acids (-1.5%) and a significant increase in (n-3) fatty acids (+20.6%), in particular docosahexaenoic acid (+24.8%). We observed that arachidonic acid decreased (–7.7%), while (n-6) fatty acids did not, and the (n-3)/(n-6) polyunsaturated ratio increased significantly (+24.1%). As expected, ROMs decreased significantly in the intervention group (-6%). The results indicated that a plant-based diet can improve the serum fatty acid profile and decrease ROMs production. These results suggest that a plant-based diet may reduce the body's exposure to oxidative stress.

Evaluation of Reactive oxygen Metabolites in Frozen Serum Samples. Effect of Storage and Repeated Thawing

Measuring the free radical activity in serum samples from prospective studies is the best way to investigate the association between oxidative stress and human diseases. Prospective studies require the analysis of serum samples that have often been stored for a long time. Our study was designed to determine the effect of storage at –30°C and –80°C for two years on free radical activity. We analyzed the free radical activity by measuring circulating hydroperoxides in a pool of sera at baseline and after one day, one week, one month and 25 months of storage, using a photometric method (d-ROMs test). Measurements were performed in aliquots thawed only once at each time point and in aliquots frozen and thawed repeatedly over the study period. After two years we observed a small but statistically significant 4% decrease in the hydroperoxide concentration, which was substantially unaffected by storage temperatures and repeated freeze-thaw cycles. We also carried out the d-ROMs test in sera from ten apparently healthy volunteers at 2, 8, 24, and 48 hours after collection and storage at 4°C and did not observe any significant variation. In conclusion, the d-ROMs test is a simple method suitable to evaluate the free radical activity in frozen serum samples after long-term storage.

Survival in patients with primary liver cancer, gallbladder and extrahepatic biliary tract cancer and pancreatic cancer in Europe 1999-2007: Results of EUROCARE-5

BACKGROUND

The EUROCARE study collects and analyses survival data from population-based cancer registries (CRs) in Europe in order to provide data on between-country differences in survival and time trends in survival.

METHODS

This study analyses data on liver cancer, gallbladder and extrahepatic biliary tract cancers ("biliary tract cancers"), and pancreatic cancer diagnosed in 2000-2007 from 88 CRs in 29 countries. Relative survival (RS) was estimated overall, by region, sex, age and period of diagnosis using the complete approach. Time trends in 5-year RS over 1999-2007 were also analysed using the period approach.

RESULTS

The prognosis of the studied cancers was poor. Age-standardised 5-year RS was 12% for liver cancer, 17% for biliary tract cancers and 7% for pancreatic cancer. There were some between-country differences in survival. In general, RS was low in Eastern Europe and high in Central and Southern Europe. For all sites, 5-year RS was similar in men and women and decreased with advancing age. No substantial changes in survival were reported for pancreatic cancer over the period 1999-2007. On average, there was a crude increase in 5-year RS of 3 percentage points between the periods 1999-2001 and 2005-2007 for liver cancer and biliary tract cancers.

CONCLUSIONS

The major changes in imaging techniques over the study period for the diagnosis of the three studied cancers did not result in an improvement in the prognosis of these cancers. In the near future, new innovative treatments might be the best way to improve the prognosis in these cancers.

Sex hormones and risk of breast cancer in premenopausal women: a collaborative reanalysis of individual participant data from seven prospective studies

BACKGROUND

Associations between circulating concentrations of oestrogens, progesterone, and androgens with breast cancer and related risk factors in premenopausal women are not well understood. We aimed to characterise these associations with a pooled analysis of data from seven studies.

METHODS

Individual participant data for prediagnostic sex hormone and sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) concentrations were contributed from seven prospective studies. We restricted analyses to women who were premenopausal and younger than 50 years at blood collection, and to women with breast cancer diagnosed before age 50 years. We estimated odds ratios (ORs) with 95% CIs for breast cancer associated with hormone concentrations by conditional logistic regression in cases and controls matched for age, date of blood collection, and day of cycle, with stratification by study and further adjustment for cycle phase. We examined associations of hormones with risk factors for breast cancer in control women by comparing geometric mean hormone concentrations in categories of these risk factors, adjusted for study, age, phase of menstrual cycle, and body-mass index (BMI). All statistical tests were two-sided.

FINDINGS

We included data for up to 767 women with breast cancer and 1699 controls in the risk analyses. Breast cancer risk was associated with a doubling in concentrations of oestradiol (OR 1·19, 95% CI 1·06-1·35), calculated free oestradiol (1·17, 1·03-1·33), oestrone (1·27, 1·05-1·54), androstenedione (1·30, 1·10-1·55), dehydroepiandrosterone sulphate (1·17, 1·04-1·32), testosterone (1·18, 1·03-1·35), and calculated free testosterone (1·08, 0·97-1·21). Breast cancer risk was not associated with luteal phase progesterone (doubling in concentration OR 1·00, 95% CI 0·92-1·09), and adjustment for other factors had little effect on any of these ORs. Cross-sectional analyses in control women showed several associations of sex hormones with breast cancer risk factors.

INTERPRETATION

Circulating oestrogens and androgens are positively associated with the risk for breast cancer in premenopausal women.

High glycemic diet and breast cancer occurrence in the Italian EPIC cohort

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

There are theoretical reasons for suspecting that a high glycemic index (GI) or glycemic load (GL) diet may increase breast cancer risk, perhaps via an effect on the insulin-like growth factor (IGF) axis. However observational studies have produced inconsistent findings and it is controversial whether breast cancer risk is influenced by the carbohydrate characteristics of the diet. We prospectively investigated the association between dietary GI and GL and breast cancer in the Italian section of the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC).

METHODS AND RESULTS

Women were recruited from 1993 to 1998 at five centers: Varese and Turin (north Italy), Florence (central Italy), and Ragusa and Naples (south Italy). Participants completed validated food frequency questionnaires from which GI and GL were estimated. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression models quantified the association between breast cancer risk and total carbohydrate intake, GI, and GL. During 11 years of follow-up, 879 breast cancer (797 invasive and 82 in situ) cases were indentified. High dietary GL was associated with increased breast cancer risk (RR 1.45, 95% CI = 1.06-1.99; highest vs. lowest quintile; p-trend 0.029), whereas dietary GI and total carbohydrate had no influence. The association was not modified by menopausal status or body mass index.

CONCLUSION

Our data indicate that, in a Mediterranean population characterized by traditionally high and varied carbohydrate intake, a diet high in GL plays a role in the development of breast cancer.

Mediterranean diet and incidence of hip fractures in a European cohort

Prevention of hip fractures is of critical public health importance. In a cohort of adults from eight European countries, evidence was found that increased adherence to Mediterranean diet, measured by a 10-unit dietary score, is associated with reduced hip fracture incidence, particularly among men.

INTRODUCTION

Evidence on the role of dietary patterns on hip fracture incidence is scarce. We explored the association of adherence to Mediterranean diet (MD) with hip fracture incidence in a cohort from eight European countries.

METHODS

A total of 188,795 eligible participants (48,814 men and 139,981 women) in the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and nutrition study with mean age 48.6 years (±10.8) were followed for a median of 9 years, and 802 incident hip fractures were recorded. Diet was assessed at baseline through validated dietary instruments. Adherence to MD was evaluated by a MD score (MDs), on a 10-point scale, in which monounsaturated were substituted with unsaturated lipids. Association with hip fracture incidence was assessed through Cox regression with adjustment for potential confounders.

RESULTS

Increased adherence to MD was associated with a 7 % decrease in hip fracture incidence [hazard ratio (HR) per 1-unit increase in the MDs 0.93; 95 % confidence interval (95 % CI) = 0.89-0.98]. This association was more evident among men and somewhat stronger among older individuals. Using increments close to one standard deviation of daily intake, in the overall sample, high vegetable (HR = 0.86; 95 % CI = 0.79-0.94) and high fruit (HR = 0.89; 95 % CI = 0.82-0.97) intake was associated with decreased hip fracture incidence, whereas high meat intake (HR = 1.18; 95 % CI = 1.06-1.31) with increased incidence. Excessive ethanol consumption (HR high versus moderate = 1.74; 95 % CI = 1.32-2.31) was also a risk factor.

CONCLUSIONS

In a prospective study of adults, increased adherence to MD appears to protect against hip fracture occurrence, particularly among men.

Preventing weight gain during adjuvant chemotherapy for breast cancer: a dietary intervention study

Adjuvant chemotherapy significantly decreases recurrences and improves survival in women with early breast cancer (BC). However, the side effects of chemotherapy include weight gain, which is associated with poorer prognosis. We have previously demonstrated that by means of a comprehensive dietary modification which aims at lowering insulin levels it is possible to reduce body weight and decrease the bioavailability of insulin, sex hormones and the growth factors linked to BC risk and prognosis. We are now going to present a randomized controlled study of adjuvant diet in BC patients undergoing chemotherapy. The diet was designed to prevent weight gain during chemotherapy treatment. Women of any age, operated for invasive BC, scheduled for adjuvant chemotherapy and without evidence of distant metastases, were randomized into a dietary intervention group and a control group. The intervention implied changing their usual diet for the whole duration of chemotherapy, following cooking classes and having lunch or dinner at the study centre at least twice per week. 96 BC patients were included in the study. The women in the intervention group showed a significant reduction in their body weight (2.9 kg on average), compared with the controls. They also significantly reduced body fat mass, waist and hip circumferences, biceps, underscapular and suprailiac skinfolds, compared with the women in the control group. Our results support the hypothesis that dietary intervention during adjuvant chemotherapy for BC is feasible and may prevent weight gain.

Burden of testicular, paratesticular and extragonadal germ cell tumours in Europe

We provide updated estimates of survival, incidence, complete prevalence, and proportion cured for patients with testicular/paratesticular and extragonadal germ cell cancers in Europe, grouped according to the new list of cancer types developed by RARECARE. We collected data, archived in European cancer registries, with vital status information available to 31st December 2003. We analysed 26,000 cases of testicular, paratesticular and extragonadal germ cell cancers diagnosed 1995-2002, estimating that about 15,600 new testicular/paratesticular and 630 new extragonadal cancer cases occurred per year in EU27, with annual incidence rates of 31.5/1,000,000 and 1.27/1,000,000, respectively. Slightly more than 436,000 persons were alive at the beginning of 2008 with a diagnosis of testicular/paratesticular cancer, and about 17,000 with a diagnosis of extragonadal germ cell cancer. Five-year relative survival was 96% for testicular/paratesticular cancer and 71% for extragonadal germ cell cancer; the proportions cured were 95% and 69%, respectively. We found limited variation in survival between European regions except for non-seminomatous testicular cancer, for which five-year relative survival ranged from 86% in Eastern Europe to 96% in Northern Europe. Survival for all cancer types considered decreased with increasing age at diagnosis. Further investigation is required to establish the real reasons for the lower survival in Eastern Europe. Considering the high prevalence of these highly curable cancers, it is important to monitor patients long-term, so as to quantify treatment-related risks and develop treatments having limited impact on quality of life.

Postmenopausal circulating levels of 2- and 16α-hydroxyestrone and risk of endometrial cancer

Background:

It has been suggested that the relative importance of oestrogen-metabolising pathways may affect the risk of oestrogen-dependent tumours including endometrial cancer. One hypothesis is that the 2-hydroxy pathway is protective, whereas the 16α-hydroxy pathway is harmful.

Methods:

We conducted a case–control study nested within three prospective cohorts to assess whether the circulating 2-hydroxyestrone : 16α-hydroxyestrone (2-OHE1 : 16α-OHE1) ratio is inversely associated with endometrial cancer risk in postmenopausal women. A total of 179 cases and 336 controls, matching cases on cohort, age and date of blood donation, were included. Levels of 2-OHE1 and 16α-OHE1 were measured using a monoclonal antibody-based enzyme assay.

Results:

Endometrial cancer risk increased with increasing levels of both metabolites, with odds ratios in the top tertiles of 2.4 (95% CI=1.3, 4.6; P_trend=0.007) for 2-OHE1 and 1.9 (95% CI=1.1, 3.5; P_trend=0.03) for 16α-OHE1 in analyses adjusting for endometrial cancer risk factors. These associations were attenuated and no longer statistically significant after further adjustment for oestrone or oestradiol levels. No significant association was observed for the 2-OHE1 : 16α-OHE1 ratio.

Conclusion:

Our results do not support the hypothesis that greater metabolism of oestrogen via the 2-OH pathway, relative to the 16α-OH pathway, protects against endometrial cancer.

Circulating sex hormones and breast cancer risk factors in postmenopausal women: reanalysis of 13 studies

Background:

Breast cancer risk for postmenopausal women is positively associated with circulating concentrations of oestrogens and androgens, but the determinants of these hormones are not well understood.

Methods:

Cross-sectional analyses of breast cancer risk factors and circulating hormone concentrations in more than 6000 postmenopausal women controls in 13 prospective studies.

Results:

Concentrations of all hormones were lower in older than younger women, with the largest difference for dehydroepiandrosterone sulphate (DHEAS), whereas sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) was higher in the older women. Androgens were lower in women with bilateral ovariectomy than in naturally postmenopausal women, with the largest difference for free testosterone. All hormones were higher in obese than lean women, with the largest difference for free oestradiol, whereas SHBG was lower in obese women. Smokers of 15+ cigarettes per day had higher levels of all hormones than non-smokers, with the largest difference for testosterone. Drinkers of 20+ g alcohol per day had higher levels of all hormones, but lower SHBG, than non-drinkers, with the largest difference for DHEAS. Hormone concentrations were not strongly related to age at menarche, parity, age at first full-term pregnancy or family history of breast cancer.

Conclusion:

Sex hormone concentrations were strongly associated with several established or suspected risk factors for breast cancer, and may mediate the effects of these factors on breast cancer risk.

Oral contraceptives, reproductive history and risk of colorectal cancer in the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition

BACKGROUND

Oral contraceptive use and reproductive factors may initiate long-term changes to the hormonal milieu and thereby, possibly influence colorectal cancer risk.

METHODS

We examined the association of hormonal and reproductive factors with risk of colorectal cancer among 337,802 women in the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition, of whom 1878 developed colorectal cancer.

RESULTS

After stratification for center and age, and adjustment for body mass index, smoking, diabetes mellitus, physical activity and alcohol consumption, ever use of oral contraceptives was marginally inversely associated with colorectal cancer risk (hazard ratio (HR), 0.92; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.83-1.02), although this association was stronger among post-menopausal women (HR, 0.84; 95% CI: 0.74-0.95). Duration of oral contraceptive use and reproductive factors, including age at menarche, age at menopause, type of menopause, ever having an abortion, parity, age at first full-term pregnancy and breastfeeding, were not associated with colorectal cancer risk.

CONCLUSION

Our findings provide limited support for a potential inverse association between oral contraceptives and colorectal cancer risk.

Timely disclosure of progress in childhood cancer survival by 'period' analysis in the Automated Childhood Cancer Information System

BACKGROUND

A few years ago, a new method of survival analysis, denoted 'period' analysis, was introduced to provide more up-to-date survival estimates of cancer patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We evaluated the period survival method using the large database of the Automated Childhood Cancer Information System (ACCIS). Our evaluation is based on data from 35 191 children diagnosed with cancer in 13 European countries between 1975 and 1989 and followed for vital status until around 1999.

RESULTS

Using the follow-up data available in 1989, 10-year survival for all children with cancer calculated by the period method for the 1985-89 period was 58%, while it was 43% when calculated by traditional 'cohort' life-table analysis (based on children diagnosed in 1975-79). The period method provided a better estimate of the true 10-year survival of 62%, observed 10 years later in the cohort of patients diagnosed in 1985-89. Similar results were observed for each of the common groups of childhood cancer.

CONCLUSION

Period analysis is especially useful for monitoring childhood cancer survival, because at a given point in time it provides more timely estimates of long-term survival expectations than the cohort life-table method. Using the ACCIS database, up-to-date estimates of period survival for childhood cancer are derived in subsequent papers in this journal.

Relationship of alcohol intake and sex steroid concentrations in blood in pre- and post-menopausal women: the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition

OBJECTIVE

Women with a moderate intake of alcohol have higher concentrations of sex steroids in serum, and higher risk of developing breast cancer, compared to non-drinkers. In the present study, we investigate the relationships between alcohol consumption and serum levels of sex steroids and sex-hormone binding globulin (SHBG) in 790 pre- and 1,291 post-menopausal women, who were part of the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC).

METHODS

Serum levels of testosterone (T), androstenedione (Delta4), dehydroepiandrosterone sulphate (DHEAS), estrone (E1), estradiol (E2) and SHBG were measured by direct immunoassays. Free T (fT) and free E2 (fE2) were calculated according to mass action laws. Current alcohol intake exposure to alcohol was assessed from dietary questionnaires.

RESULTS

Pre-menopausal women who consumed more than 25 g/day of alcohol had about 30% higher DHEAS, T and fT, 20% higher Delta4 and about 40% higher E1, concentrations compared to women who were non-consumers. E2, fE2 and SHBG concentrations showed no association with current alcohol intake. In post-menopausal women, DHEAS, fT, T, Delta4, and E1 concentrations were between 10% and 20% higher in women who consumed more than 25 g/day of alcohol compared to non-consumers. E2 or fE2 were not associated with alcohol intake at all. SHBG levels were about 15% lower in alcohol consumers compared to non-consumers.

CONCLUSION

This study supports the hypothesis of an influence of alcohol intake on sex hormone concentrations in blood.

Plasma and dietary carotenoid, retinol and tocopherol levels and the risk of gastric adenocarcinomas in the European prospective investigation into cancer and nutrition

Despite declining incidence rates, gastric cancer (GC) is a major cause of death worldwide. Its aetiology may involve dietary antioxidant micronutrients such as carotenoids and tocopherols. The objective of this study was to determine the association of plasma levels of seven common carotenoids, their total plasma concentration, retinol and α- and γ-tocopherol, with the risk of gastric adenocarcinoma in a case–control study nested within the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC), a large cohort involving 10 countries. A secondary objective was to determine the association of total sum of carotenoids, retinol and α-tocopherol on GCs by anatomical subsite (cardia/noncardia) and histological subtype (diffuse/intestinal). Analytes were measured by high-performance liquid chromatography in prediagnostic plasma from 244 GC cases and 645 controls matched by age, gender, study centre and date of blood donation. Conditional logistic regression models adjusted by body mass index, total energy intake, smoking and Helicobacter pylori infection status were used to estimate relative cancer risks. After an average 3.2 years of follow-up, a negative association with GC risk was observed in the highest vs the lowest quartiles of plasma β-cryptoxanthin (odds ratio (OR)=0.53, 95% confidence intervals (CI)=0.30–0.94, P_trend=0.006), zeaxanthin (OR=0.39, 95% CI=0.22–0.69, P_trend=0.005), retinol (OR=0.55, 95% CI=0.33–0.93, P_trend=0.005) and lipid-unadjusted α-tocopherol (OR=0.59, 95% CI=0.37–0.94, P_trend=0.022). For all analytes, no heterogeneity of risk estimates or significant associations were observed by anatomical subsite. In the diffuse histological subtype, an inverse association was observed with the highest vs lowest quartile of lipid-unadjusted α-tocopherol (OR=0.26, 95% CI=0.11–0.65, P_trend=0.003). These results show that higher plasma concentrations of some carotenoids, retinol and α-tocopherol are associated with reduced risk of GC.