Impact of Early Access Reform on Oncology Innovation in France: Approvals, Patients, and Costs

BACKGROUND

An ambitious reform of the early access (EA) process was set up in July 2021 in France, aiming to simplify procedures and accelerate access to innovative drugs.

OBJECTIVE

This study analyzes the characteristics of oncology drug approvals through the EA process and its impact on real-life data for oncology patients.

METHODS

The number and characteristics of EA demands concerning oncology drugs submitted to the National Health Authority (HAS, Haute Autorité de Santé) were reviewed until 31 December 2022. A longitudinal retrospective study on patients treated with an EA oncology drug between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2022 was also performed using the French nationwide claims database (Systeme National des Données de Santé [SNDS]) to assess the impact of the reform on the number of indications and patients, and the costs.

RESULTS

Among 110 published decisions, the HAS granted 88 (80%) EA indications within 70 days of assessment on average, including 46 (52%) in oncology (67% in solid tumors and 33% in hematological malignancies). Approved indications were mostly supported by randomized phase III trials (67%), whereas refused EA relied more on non-randomized (57%) trials. Overall survival was the primary endpoint of 28% of EA approvals versus none of denied EAs. In the SNDS data, the annual number of patients with cancer treated with an EA drug increased from 3137 patients in 2019 to 18,341 in 2022 (+ 484%), whereas the number of indications rose from 12 to 62, mainly in oncohematology (n = 17), lung (n = 12), digestive (n = 9) and breast cancer (n = 9). Reimbursement costs for EA treatments surged from €42 to €526 million (+ 1159%).

CONCLUSION

The French EA reform contributed to enabling rapid access to innovations in a wide range of indications for oncology patients. However, the findings highlight ongoing challenges in financial sustainability, warranting continued evaluation and adjustments.

Basal Insulinotherapy in Patients Living with Diabetes in France: The EF-BI Study

INTRODUCTION

Second-generation basal insulins like glargine 300 U/mL (Gla-300) have a longer duration of action and less daily fluctuation and interday variability than first-generation ones, such as glargine 100 U/mL (Gla-100). The EF-BI study, a nationwide observational, retrospective study, was designed to compare persistence, acute care complications, and healthcare costs associated with the initiation of such basal insulins (BI) in a real-life setting in France.

METHODS

This study was conducted using the French healthcare claims database (SNDS). Adult patients living with type 1 or type 2 diabetes mellitus (T1DM or T2DM) initiating Gla-300 or Gla-100 ± other hypoglycemic medications between January 1, 2016 and December 31, 2020, and without any insulin therapy over the previous 6 months were included. Persistence was defined as remaining on the same insulin therapy until discontinuation defined by a 6 month period without insulin reimbursement. Hospitalized acute complications were identified using ICD-10 codes. Total collective costs were established for patients treated continuously with each basal insulin over 1-3 years. All comparisons were adjusted using a propensity score based on initial patient/treatment characteristics.

RESULTS

A total of 235,894 patients with T2DM and 6672 patients with T1DM were included. Patients treated with Gla-300 were 83% (T1DM) and 44% (T2DM) less likely to discontinue their treatment than those treated with Gla-100 after 24 months (p < 0.0001). The annual incidence of acute hospitalized events in patients with T2DM treated with Gla-300 was 12% lower than with Gla-100 (p < 0.0001) but similar in patients with T1DM. Comparison of overall costs showed moderate but statistically significant differences in favor of Gla-300 versus Gla-100 for all patients over the first year, and in T2DM only over a 3-year follow-up.

CONCLUSION

Use of Gla-300 resulted in a better persistence, less acute hospitalized events at least in T2DM, and reduced healthcare expenditure. These real-life results confirmed the potential interest of using Gla-300 rather than Gla-100.

Clinical benefit of anti-PD-(L)1 immunotherapies in advanced cancer in France: a population-based estimate from 2014 to 2021

BACKGROUND

In France, the potential benefit of new treatments is initially evaluated by the Haute Autorité de Santé to determine reimbursement and pricing, but rarely afterwards. Although immunotherapies (ITs) have considerably improved the survival of patients, few data are available on their long-term benefit at a population-treated level. The present retrospective study aimed to assess the clinical benefit of ITs compared to the previous standards of care (SoCs) in France from 2014 to 2021.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

To do this, we analyzed all ITs from the anti-programmed cell death protein 1/programmed death-ligand 1 [anti-PD-(L)1] class used in monotherapy or in association with another treatment available in early access or reimbursed in France between 2014 and 2021, regardless of indication. The number of patients initiating an IT was retrieved by year, drug and indication. Using extrapolated Kaplan-Meier curves, utility scores and the population treated, the clinical benefit was expressed as the number of deaths prevented (DP), life-years (LYs) and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained compared to previous SoC.

RESULTS

Across the period, five ITs were marketed in 21 indications related to eight primary tumor sites. Between 2014 and 2021, 132 924 patients initiated an IT. By December 2021, 16 173 (13 804-17 141) deaths were delayed compared to previous SoC, mainly in lung cancer. Compared to their SoC, ITs provided a gain of 37 316 (33 581-41 048) additional LYs and 27 709 (23 784-30 450) additional QALYs. Lung cancer was the driver indication with 70.6% of LYs and 68.4% of QALYs gained followed by melanoma with 18.7% and 20.4% of the gain, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Significant gains in DP, LYs and QALYs have been observed in France following the introduction of ITs.

Factors Associated with Survival in Anaplastic Thyroid Carcinoma: A Multicenter Study from the ENDOCAN-TUTHYREF Network

Background: Anaplastic thyroid carcinoma (ATC) is a rare and frequently fatal type of thyroid cancer. The degree of heterogeneity in survival rates for ATC is incompletely studied. This study evaluated the factors associated with overall survival (OS) of patients with ATC using multicenter real-world data from a national tertiary care center network in France. Methods: In this multicenter, retrospective cohort study, all patients with ATC diagnosed between 2010 and 2020 were identified from the national database of the French ENDOCAN-TUTHYREF network. Factors associated with OS were examined in multivariable analyses using Cox proportional hazards models. Results: The study included 360 patients. Of these, 220 (61%) were female and the median age was 72 years (interquartile range: 62-80). The percentages of patients with pure and mixed (synchronously-transformed) ATC (p-ATC and st-ATC) were 62.5% and 26.7%, respectively. The median OS was 6.8 months [confidence interval, CI: 5.5-8.1]: not reached for stage IVa, 11.4 months [8.2-17.8] for IVb, and 4.6 months [3.5-5.7] for IVc. Surgery, radiation therapy to the neck, chemotherapy, and best supportive care were administered to 69 (19.2%), 214 (59.4%), 254 (70.6%), and 66 (18.3%) patients, respectively. In a multivariable analysis, including stage IVb-IVc patients, significantly higher OS was observed in patients with Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance-status of 0-1 (hazard ratio [HR], 0.6; [CI, 0.4-0.9], p < 0.02), stage IVb [HR, 0.5; CI, 0.4-0.8, p < 0.001], and multimodal treatment (surgery and chemoradiotherapy) [HR, 0.07; CI, 0.04-0.1, p < 0.001]. Variables associated with significantly worse OS included: p-ATC (vs. st-ATC) [HR, 1.83; CI, 1.33-2.51, p = 0.001] and a neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) >5.05 [HR, 2.05, CI, 1.39-3.05, p < 0.001]. Conclusions: Factors independently associated with improved OS in ATC included: European Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, disease stage, multimodality treatment, synchronously transformed ATC, and lower NLR. Long-term OS was observed in selected patients with ATC who underwent multimodal treatment.

Hospital-based health technology assessment of innovative medical devices: insights from a nationwide survey in France

OBJECTIVES

To better understand the process of hospital acquisition of innovative medical devices (MDs) and the hospital-based health technology assessment (HB-HTA) pathways in France, an in-depth study based on a quantitative approach is needed. The aim of the present study was to assess through a national survey how HB-HTA is currently implemented in French hospitals and to identify its level of formalization.

METHODS

A quantitative online survey was conducted among hospitals performing HB-HTA in France, with a focus on the acquisition of innovative MDs for individual use. The survey, conducted between March and June 2022, was developed by a scientific board composed of members of the French-speaking Society for HB-HTA.

RESULTS

Sixty-seven out of 131 surveyed hospitals with HB-HTA activities responded, including 29 university hospitals, 24 nonprofit private hospitals, and 14 local hospitals. Sixty-one respondents (91 percent) reported the existence of a process dedicated to evaluating innovative MDs; of these, 16 declared that their hospitals had a formalized unit with HB-HTA activity. These units were more frequently found in larger hospitals with more than 500 inpatient beds (n = 16, p = 0.0160) and in university hospitals (n = 12, p = 0.0158). No hospital reported any collaboration with HAS, the French national HTA agency.

CONCLUSION

A diverse range of HB-HTA organizations with different structural levels exist in France for MD procurement linked to the category of hospitals. The study highlights the need for recognition of HB-HTA activity at the regulatory level in France and for direct collaboration between HTA activities performed at local and national levels.

Organizational Impact of Immunotherapies in Advanced Cancers in France

PURPOSE

In 2020, the French National Authority for Health (Haute Autorité de Santé) published a methodologic guide called organizational impact (OI) cartography to define and structure assessment of the OI of health technologies. As immunotherapies are associated with extended survival and improved quality of life in advanced cancer, we aimed to identify OIs that immunotherapies had on health care systems and professionals. To our knowledge, we suggest the first implementation for OI assessment on the basis of the cartography.

METHODS

A literature review was conducted, and interviews with health care professionals (HCPs) were performed to identify OIs of immunotherapies. They were asked if immunotherapies had OIs classified into three macrocriteria, namely, impact on the care process (six criteria), impact on capacities and skills required (six criteria), and impact on society (four criteria). If an OI was mentioned for a criterion, information on its impact (minor/moderate/major) and its timing was collected. We considered that an OI existed when 75% of HCPs mentioned an impact for a given criterion.

RESULTS

Overall, 27 HCPs were interviewed. For 12 of 16 criteria, most HCPs mentioned an impact, whereas the literature identified impacts for 11 criteria. Four criteria (skills and transfer between HCPs, scheduling capabilities, and social relationship) had consensus among HCPs and a high impact; two criteria (rhythm or care duration, working/living conditions) showed consensus but a moderate impact; two criteria (funding and scheduling capabilities cross-structure) had a high impact but no consensus. For eight criteria (as environment or inequity), there was no consensus and moderate impact.

CONCLUSION

The introduction of immunotherapies for advanced cancer has had an important OI in France, regarding capacities and skills. Further research using qualitative analysis of interviews will provide more information regarding OI.

Are current clinical studies on artificial intelligence-based medical devices comprehensive enough to support a full health technology assessment? A systematic review

INTRODUCTION

Artificial Intelligence-based Medical Devices (AI-based MDs) are experiencing exponential growth in healthcare. This study aimed to investigate whether current studies assessing AI contain the information required for health technology assessment (HTA) by HTA bodies.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic literature review based on the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses methodology to extract articles published between 2016 and 2021 related to the assessment of AI-based MDs. Data extraction focused on study characteristics, technology, algorithms, comparators, and results. AI quality assessment and HTA scores were calculated to evaluate whether the items present in the included studies were concordant with the HTA requirements. We performed a linear regression for the HTA and AI scores with the explanatory variables of the impact factor, publication date, and medical specialty. We conducted a univariate analysis of the HTA score and a multivariate analysis of the AI score with an alpha risk of 5 %.

RESULTS

Of 5578 retrieved records, 56 were included. The mean AI quality assessment score was 67 %; 32 % of articles had an AI quality score ≥ 70 %, 50 % had a score between 50 % and 70 %, and 18 % had a score under 50 %. The highest quality scores were observed for the study design (82 %) and optimisation (69 %) categories, whereas the scores were lowest in the clinical practice category (23 %). The mean HTA score was 52 % for all seven domains. 100 % of the studies assessed clinical effectiveness, whereas only 9 % evaluated safety, and 20 % evaluated economic issues. There was a statistically significant relationship between the impact factor and the HTA and AI scores (both p = 0.046).

DISCUSSION

Clinical studies on AI-based MDs have limitations and often lack adapted, robust, and complete evidence. High-quality datasets are also required because the output data can only be trusted if the inputs are reliable. The existing assessment frameworks are not specifically designed to assess AI-based MDs. From the perspective of regulatory authorities, we suggest that these frameworks should be adapted to assess the interpretability, explainability, cybersecurity, and safety of ongoing updates. From the perspective of HTA agencies, we highlight that transparency, professional and patient acceptance, ethical issues, and organizational changes are required for the implementation of these devices. Economic assessments of AI should rely on a robust methodology (business impact or health economic models) to provide decision-makers with more reliable evidence.

CONCLUSION

Currently, AI studies are insufficient to cover HTA prerequisites. HTA processes also need to be adapted because they do not consider the important specificities of AI-based MDs. Specific HTA workflows and accurate assessment tools should be designed to standardise evaluations, generate reliable evidence, and create confidence.

ESTIMation of the ABiLity of prophylactic central compartment neck dissection to modify outcomes in low-risk differentiated thyroid cancer: a prospective randomized trial

BACKGROUND

Prophylactic central neck dissection in clinically low-risk cT1bT2N0 papillary thyroid carcinoma is controversial, due to a large number of conflicting retrospective studies, some showing an advantage in terms of locoregional recurrence, others showing no advantage. These previous studies all show high rates of excellent response. We aim to demonstrate the non-inferiority of thyroidectomy alone as compared to total thyroidectomy with prophylactic central neck dissection in conjunction with adjuvant RAI 30 mCi with rTSH stimulation in terms of excellent response at 1 year.

TRIAL DESIGN AND METHODS

Prospective randomized open multicenter phase III trial including patients with 11-40-mm papillary thyroid carcinoma (Bethesda VI) or suspicious cytology (Bethesda V) confirmed malignant on intra-operative frozen section analysis, with no suspicious lymph nodes on a specialized preoperative ultrasound examination. Patients will be randomized 1:1 into two groups: the reference group total thyroidectomy with bilateral prophylactic central neck dissection, and the comparator group total thyroidectomy alone. All patients will receive an ablative dose of 30mCi of radioactive iodine (RAI) within 4 months of surgery. The primary outcome is to compare the rate of excellent response at 1 year after surgery between the groups, as defined by an unstimulated serum thyroglobulin (Tg) level ≤ 0.2 ng/mL with no anti-Tg antibodies, an normal neck ultrasound and no ectopic uptake on the post-RAI scintiscan. Non-inferiority will be demonstrated if the rate of patients with excellent response at 1 year after randomization does not differ by more than 5%. Setting the significance level at 0.025 (one-sided) and a power of 80% requires a sample size of 598 patients (299 per group). Secondary outcomes are to compare Tg levels at 8 +/- 2 postoperative weeks, before RAI ablation, the rate of excellent response at 3 and 5 years, the rate of other responses at 1, 3, and 5 years (biochemical incomplete, indeterminate, and structurally incomplete responses), complications, quality of life, and cost-utility.

DISCUSSION (POTENTIAL IMPLICATIONS)

If non-inferiority is demonstrated with this high-level evidence, prophylactic neck dissection will have been shown to not be necessary in clinically low-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT03570021. June 26,2018.

A Phase II Redifferentiation Trial with Dabrafenib-Trametinib and 131I in Metastatic Radioactive Iodine Refractory BRAF p.V600E Mutated Differentiated thyroid Cancer

PURPOSE

To evaluate the efficacy and safety of dabrafenib-trametinib-131I for the treatment of radioactive iodine refractory metastatic differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) with a BRAFp.V600E mutation.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

A prospective phase II trial including patients with RECIST progression within 18 months and no lesion >3 cm. Following a baseline recombinant human (rh)TSH-stimulated diagnostic whole-body scan (dc1-WBS), dabrafenib and trametinib were given for 42 days. A second rhTSH-stimulated dc WBS (dc2-WBS) was done at day 28 and 131I (5.5 GBq-150mCi after rhTSH) was administered at day 35. Primary endpoint was the 6-months RECIST objective response rate. In case of partial response (PR) at 6 or 12 months, a second treatment course could be given. Among 24 enrolled patients, 21 were evaluable at 6 months.

RESULTS

Abnormal 131I uptake was present on 5%, 65% and 95% of the dc1-WBS, dc2-WBS and post-therapy scan, respectively. At 6 months, PR was achieved in 38%, stable disease in 52% and progressive disease (PD) in 10%. Ten patients received a second treatment course: one complete response and 6 PR were observed at 6 months. The median progression free survival (PFS) was not reached. The 12 and 24-months PFS were 82% and 68%, respectively. One death due to PD occurred at 24 months. Adverse events (AEs) occurred in 96% of the patients with 10 grade 3-4 AEs in 7 patients.

CONCLUSION

Dabrafenib-trametinib is effective in BRAFp.V600E mutated DTC patients for restoring 131I uptake with partial response observed 6 months after 131I administration in 38% of the patients.

Projecting overall survival in health-economic models: uncertainty and maturity of data

OBJECTIVE

As lifetime horizons are considered for economic evaluations, the Kaplan-Meier (KM) estimate is used to extrapolate survival in cases of immature overall survival (OS) data. This study estimated the error induced by the choice of distribution when extrapolating different levels of OS maturity.

METHODS

Fifteen phase 3 trials reporting KM estimates of OS where at least 70% maturity (i.e. 70% of the population had died during follow-up) were included and compared to artificially created truncated data (30 and 50% maturity). Individual patient-data were reproduced using the Guyot algorithm based on digitized KM curves. Parametric survival distributions were fit for each arm in each study, for each maturity level, using the same time horizon (equal to the maximum follow-up). For each KM curve, the best distribution was chosen based on visual inspection, Akaike/Bayesian information criteria, and external validity. Outcomes were measured as life expectancy in months (LM) and life months gained (LMG).

RESULTS

The Weibull (33%), log-logistic (32%) and log-normal (27%) were most often selected as the best fitting distribution. Compared to LM at full maturity, LM was overestimated in 23 and 40% of cases, at 30 and 50% maturity, respectively. Mean absolute error was 2.12months at 30% maturity, and decreased to 0.88months at 50% maturity. When comparing to mature data, the mean percentage of error in LMG was 126.4 and 62.4% at 30 and 50% maturity, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The extent of OS maturity increases the risk of error when projecting long-term life expectancy for economic models. Even marginal gains in OS maturity result in more accurate estimations and should be considered when developing models.

A Guide to Selecting Flexible Survival Models to Inform Economic Evaluations of Cancer Immunotherapies

OBJECTIVES

Parametric models are routinely used to estimate the benefit of cancer drugs beyond trial follow-up. The advent of immune checkpoint inhibitors has challenged this paradigm, and emerging evidence suggests that more flexible survival models, which can better capture the shapes of complex hazard functions, might be needed for these interventions. Nevertheless, there is a need for an algorithm to help analysts decide whether flexible models are required and, if so, which should be chosen for testing. This position article has been produced to bridge this gap.

METHODS

A virtual advisory board comprising 7 international experts with in-depth knowledge of survival analysis and health technology assessment was held in summer 2021. The experts discussed 24 questions across 6 topics: the current survival model selection procedure, data maturity, heterogeneity of treatment effect, cure and mortality, external evidence, and additions to existing guidelines. Their responses culminated in an algorithm to inform selection of flexible survival models.

RESULTS

The algorithm consists of 8 steps and 4 questions. Key elements include the systematic identification of relevant external data, using clinical expert input at multiple points in the selection process, considering the future and the observed hazard functions, assessing the potential for long-term survivorship, and presenting results from all plausible models.

CONCLUSIONS

This algorithm provides a systematic, evidence-based approach to justify the selection of survival extrapolation models for cancer immunotherapies. If followed, it should reduce the risk of selecting inappropriate models, partially addressing a key area of uncertainty in the economic evaluation of these agents.

Real-world data and evidence in health technology assessment: When are they complementary, substitutes, or the only sources of data compared to clinical trials?

Within the life-cycle assessment of health technologies, real-world data (RWD) have until now been of secondary importance to clinical trial data. The availability of massive, better quality RWD, particularly with the emergence of connected devices, the improvement of methods for characterizing populations, make it possible to have a better insight into the effects of treatment, sometimes on a national scale the importance of RWD is likely to progress in the eyes of health technology assessors, going from being traditionally complementary to possibly replacing clinical trial data. This is the fundamental question that the round table, involving experts from the academic and/or hospital, institutional, and industrial worlds, set out to answer. This work served first to establish the current role of RWD in health technology assessment, by distinguishing the main purposes of RWD, the timing of the evaluation in relation to the life cycle of the technology, and then according to the party commissioning or receiving the outcomes of RWD-based studies. Secondly, the round table proposed six general recommendations for more intensive and decisive use of RWD in the assessment and decision-making process.

Economic evaluation of Medically Assisted Reproduction: An educational overview of methods and applications for healthcare professionals

Economic evaluations of the value-for-money of Medically Assisted Reproduction (MAR) interventions are increasingly important due to growing pressure on healthcare budgets. Although such evaluations are commonplace in the published literature, the number/methodological complexity of different evaluations available, and the challenges specific to MAR interventions, can complicate the interpretation of such analyses for fertility treatments. This article aims to serve as an educational resource and provide context on the design/interpretation of economic analyses for MAR interventions. Several areas are relevant for first-line providers and decision makers: scope of analysis, comparator used, perspective/time horizon considered, outcomes used to measure success, and how results from cost-effectiveness studies can be summarised and used in clinical practice. We aim to help clinicians better understand the strengths/weaknesses of economic analyses, to enable the best use of the evidence in practice, so resources available for MAR interventions can provide maximum value to patients and society.

SFE-AFCE-SFMN 2022 consensus on the management of thyroid nodules: Epidemiology and challenges in the management of thyroid nodules

The SFE-AFCE-SFMN 2022 consensus deals with the management of thyroid nodules, a condition that is a frequent reason for consultation in endocrinology. In more than 90% of cases, patients are euthyroid, with benign non-progressive nodules that do not warrant specific treatment. The clinician's objective is to detect malignant thyroid nodules at risk of recurrence and death, toxic nodules responsible for hyperthyroidism or compressive nodules warranting treatment. The diagnosis and treatment of thyroid nodules requires close collaboration between endocrinologists, nuclear medicine physicians and surgeons, but also involves other specialists. Therefore, this consensus statement was established jointly by 3 societies: the French Society of Endocrinology (SFE), French Association of Endocrine Surgery (AFCE) and French Society of Nuclear Medicine (SFMN); the various working groups included experts from other specialties (pathologists, radiologists, pediatricians, biologists, etc.). This section deals with epidemiology and challenges in the management of thyroid nodules.

Prognostic of recurrence and survival in poorly differentiated thyroid cancer

The prognosis of poorly differentiated thyroid carcinomas (PDTC) defined by the Turin criteria is variable. The aim of this study on 51 PDTC patients was to determine clinical, histological and molecular prognostic factors associated with recurrence in patients with localized disease at initial treatment and with overall survival in patients with distant metastases. Of 40 patients for whom next-generation sequencing (NGS) by ThyroSeq v3 was able to be performed on historical samples, we identified high-risk molecular signature (TERT, TP53 mutations) in 24 (60%) cases, intermediate risk signature in 9 (22.5%) cases and low-risk signature in 7 (17.5%) cases. Potentially actionable mutations were identified in 10% of cases. After a median follow-up of 57.5 months, recurrence occurred in 11 (39%) of the 28 patients with localized disease. The American Thyroid Association (ATA) high risk of relapse, high mitotic count, high molecular risk signature and CD163 expression were associated with recurrence (P = 0.009, 0.01, 0.049, 0.03 respectively). After a median follow-up of 49.5 months, thyroid cancer-related death occurred in 53% of the patients with distant metastases. There was no significant prognostic factor associated with death in univariate analysis. However, none of the patients with intermediate ATA risk of recurrence and none of the patients with low-risk molecular signature died from the disease. In addition, high molecular-risk signature was associated with the presence of synchronous or metachronous distant metastasis (P = 0.007) and with poor overall survival (P = 0.01). In conclusion, ATA risk of relapse and high mitotic count was associated with higher rate of recurrence in localized PDTC. High molecular-risk signature was associated with the presence of distant metastasis and poor overall survival. Further studies are needed to determine if molecular testing adds to ATA risk stratification or response to therapy in predicting outcomes.

Robot-Assisted Surgery vs Robotic Stereotactic Body Radiotherapy in Prostate Cancer: A Cost-Utility Analysis

Prostate cancer is the most common men cancer in France. Continuous progress in oncology led to develop robot-assisted Radical Prostatectomies (rRP) and robot-assisted stereotactic body radiotherapy (rSBRT). The present study aims at comparing economic and clinical impacts of prostate cancer treatments performed either with rSBRT or rRP in France. A Markov model using TreeAge Pro software was chosen to calculate annual costs; utilities and transition probabilities of localized prostate cancer treatments. Patients were eligible for radiotherapy or surgery and the therapeutic decision was a robot-assisted intervention. Over a 10-year period, rSBRT yielded a significantly higher number of quality-adjusted life years than rRP (8.37 vs 6.85). In France, rSBRT seemed more expensive than rRP (€19,475 vs €18,968, respectively). From a societal perspective, rRP was more cost-saving (incremental cost effectiveness ratio = €332/QALY). The model was sensitive to variations of costs of the initial and recurrence state in one-way sensitivity analyses. Robot-assisted stereotactic body radiotherapy seems more cost-effective than Radical Prostatectomy in terms of QALY despite the slightly higher initial cost due to the use of radiotherapy. It would be interesting to conduct comparative quality of life studies in France over longer periods of time.

Costs comparison of treating diabetic macular edema with aflibercept, ranibizumab or dexamethasone at 1 year in France (INVICOST study)

PURPOSE

INVICOST, a medico-economic analysis, compared costs of managing treatment-naive patients with diabetic macular edema (DME) receiving intravitreal injections (IVIs) of aflibercept (AFL), dexamethasone implant (DXI) or ranibizumab (RAN) over 1 year.

METHODS

Healthcare resource use and associated costs were estimated using individual patient data from INVICTUS, a prospective, open-label, monocentric study. Healthcare costs comprised direct medical costs such as drug acquisition and administration, consultations and ophthalmological procedures. Costs were assessed from the French National Health Insurance perspective using published national tariffs expressed in 2019 euros.

RESULTS

Of the 60 treated eyes, 48 had no treatment switch; 14 received AFL, 19 received DXI and 15 received RAN. AFL-treated eyes received an average of 6.5 IVIs, DXI-treated patients received 2 IVIs and RAN-treated received 6.8 IVIs. All treated eyes received an initial prescription for adjunctive ocular medications and 349 follow-up procedures were performed including an average of 3.9 optical coherence tomography and 3.2 retinography procedures per eye. Average total direct cost of per-eye treatment was €4516 (€1128-€8257). Average cost was €5782 for eyes treated with AFL, €2779 with DXI and €5536 with RAN. Drug therapy was the cost driver: €4394 (76%) for AFL, €1915 for DXI (69%) and €4268 (77%) for RAN.

CONCLUSION

The difference in total treatment cost is largely explained by the significantly lower frequency of IVI and annual cost of therapy with DXI, compared with AFL and RAN. INVICOST is the first study comparing treatment costs with AFL, DXI and RAN in France in current clinical practice.

Thyroidectomy without Radioiodine in Patients with Low-Risk Thyroid Cancer

BACKGROUND

In patients with low-risk differentiated thyroid cancer undergoing thyroidectomy, the postoperative administration of radioiodine (iodine-131) is controversial in the absence of demonstrated benefits.

METHODS

In this prospective, randomized, phase 3 trial, we assigned patients with low-risk differentiated thyroid cancer who were undergoing thyroidectomy to receive ablation with postoperative administration of radioiodine (1.1 GBq) after injections of recombinant human thyrotropin (radioiodine group) or to receive no postoperative radioiodine (no-radioiodine group). The primary objective was to assess whether no radioiodine therapy was noninferior to radioiodine therapy with respect to the absence of a composite end point that included functional, structural, and biologic abnormalities at 3 years. Noninferiority was defined as a between-group difference of less than 5 percentage points in the percentage of patients who did not have events that included the presence of abnormal foci of radioiodine uptake on whole-body scanning that required subsequent treatment (in the radioiodine group only), abnormal findings on neck ultrasonography, or elevated levels of thyroglobulin or thyroglobulin antibodies. Secondary end points included prognostic factors for events and molecular characterization.

RESULTS

Among 730 patients who could be evaluated 3 years after randomization, the percentage of patients without an event was 95.6% (95% confidence interval [CI], 93.0 to 97.5) in the no-radioiodine group and 95.9% (95% CI, 93.3 to 97.7) in the radioiodine group, a difference of -0.3 percentage points (two-sided 90% CI, -2.7 to 2.2), a result that met the noninferiority criteria. Events consisted of structural or functional abnormalities in 8 patients and biologic abnormalities in 23 patients with 25 events. Events were more frequent in patients with a postoperative serum thyroglobulin level of more than 1 ng per milliliter during thyroid hormone treatment. Molecular alterations were similar in patients with or without an event. No treatment-related adverse events were reported.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with low-risk thyroid cancer undergoing thyroidectomy, a follow-up strategy that did not involve the use of radioiodine was noninferior to an ablation strategy with radioiodine regarding the occurrence of functional, structural, and biologic events at 3 years. (Funded by the French National Cancer Institute; ESTIMABL2 ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01837745.).

Long-term hospital resource utilization and associated costs of care for patients initiating nivolumab in advanced non-small cell lung cancer in France

OBJECTIVES

In advanced cancers, healthcare resource utilization (HCRU) and costs usually increase until death. However, few studies have measured HCRU over time in patients treated with immunotherapies. The objective was to describe the evolution of HCRU and costs over four years for patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (aNSCLC) initiating nivolumab.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Based on the French hospital reimbursement database, all aNSCLC patients initiating nivolumab in the 2nd line or later in 2015 or 2016 were followed until 2019. HCRU (including hospitalizations and hospital visits) and costs (payer perspective) were described annually after nivolumab initiation. Trends in HCRU were analyzed with the Mann-Kendall test. As most patients did not reach the four-year follow-up, cost-analysis was performed without adjustment throughout, without adjustment in uncensored cases only or with adjustment using for all patients using the Bang&Tsiatis method.

RESULTS

10,452 patients initiating nivolumab were evaluated. The percentage of patients hospitalized or with hospital visits decreased (p < .001) over the four-year follow-up with the exception of consultations. The number of hospital visits per patient decreased from 23.3 in Y1 to 13.2 in Y4 without adjustment and 18.3 with adjustment (p < .001). The overall hospitalization duration per patient (days) decreased from 36.0 (Y1) to 14.9 (Y4-unadjusted) and 20.5 (Y4-adjusted) (p < .001). Annual per capita costs also decreased. The method without adjustment provided the lowest cost over time (€44,404 (Y1), €32,206 (Y2); €28,552 (Y3); €18,841(Y4)) while the Bang&Tsiatis method presented the highest cost (€45,002 (Y1), €36,330 (Y2); €35,080 (Y3); €28,931 (Y4)).

CONCLUSION

HCRU and costs for NSCLC patients treated with nivolumab decreased over time. Cost estimates are dependent on the statistical method used to take into account uncertainty, but costs decreased over time whatever the method used.

Patient Preference Between Cabazitaxel and Docetaxel for First-line Chemotherapy in Metastatic Castration-resistant Prostate Cancer: The CABADOC Trial

BACKGROUND

The taxanes docetaxel and cabazitaxel prolong overall survival for men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC), with cabazitaxel approved in the postdocetaxel setting only. Recent data suggest they have similar efficacy but a different safety profile in the first-line mCRPC setting.

OBJECTIVE

To assess patient preference between docetaxel and cabazitaxel among men who received one or more doses of each taxane and did not experience progression after the first taxane.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Chemotherapy-naïve patients with mCRPC were randomized 1:1 to receive docetaxel (75 mg/m² every 3 wk × 4 cycles) followed by cabazitaxel (25 mg/m² every 3 wk × 4 cycles) or the reverse sequence. Randomization was stratified by prior abiraterone or enzalutamide use.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

The primary endpoint was patient preference, assessed via a dedicated questionnaire after the second taxane. Secondary endpoints included reasons for patient preference, prostate-specific antigen response, radiological progression-free survival, and overall survival. This clinical trial is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov as NCT02044354.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

Of 195 men randomized, 152 met the prespecified modified intent-to-treat criteria for analysis. Overall, 66 patients (43%) preferred cabazitaxel, 40 (27%) preferred docetaxel, and 46 (30%) had no preference (p = 0.004, adjusted for treatment period effect). More patients preferred treatment period 1 (43%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 36-52%) versus period 2 (27%, 95% CI 20-34%). Patient preference for cabazitaxel was mainly related to less fatigue (72%), better quality of life (64%), and other adverse events (hair loss, pain, nail disorders, edema). Adverse events were consistent with the known safety profile of each drug.

CONCLUSIONS

A significantly higher proportion of chemotherapy-naïve men with mCRPC who received both taxanes preferred cabazitaxel over docetaxel. Less fatigue and better quality of life were the two main reasons driving patient choice.

PATIENT SUMMARY

Men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer preferred cabazitaxel over docetaxel for chemotherapy, mainly because of less fatigue and better quality of life.

[Molecular genotyping in refractory thyroid cancers in 2021: When, how and why? A review from the TUTHYREF network]

Refractory thyroid cancers include radio-iodine-refractory cancers, metastatic or locally advanced unresectable medullary and anaplastic thyroid cancers. Their management has been based for several years on the use of multi-target kinase inhibitors, with anti-angiogenic action, with the exception of anaplastic cancers usually treated with chemo- and radiotherapy. The situation has recently evolved due to the availability of molecular genotyping techniques allowing the discovery of rare but targetable molecular abnormalities. New treatment options have become available, more effective and less toxic than the previously available multi-target kinase inhibitors. The management of refractory thyroid cancers is therefore becoming more complex both at a diagnosis level with the need to know when, how and why to look for these molecular abnormalities but also at a therapeutic level, innovative treatments being hardly accessible. The cost of molecular analyzes and the access to treatments need also to be homogenized because disparities could lead to inequality of care at a national or international level. Finally, the strategy of identifying molecular alterations and treating these rare tumors reinforces the importance of a discussion in a multidisciplinary consultation meeting.

O-113 Effectiveness and treatment cost of assisted reproduction technology for women stimulated by gonadotropin in France: A cohort study using the National Health Database

Study question

How effective is Assisted Reproduction Technology (ART) in terms of cumulative live birth rate (CLBR) in France, depending on the gonadotropin used?

Summary answer

Among 214,539 stimulations, originator follitropin-alfa was associated with significantly higher CLBR when compared to Highly Purified-Human Menopausal Gonadotropin (HP-HMG) and biosimilars.

What is known already

Deciding which type of gonadotropin to prescribe for a woman undergoing controlled ovarian stimulation (COS) remains difficult. The effectiveness of different gonadotropins is one factor to consider. However, studies comparing r-hFSH-alfa, its biosimilars and HP-HMG are scarce and are mostly based on a single ART treatment cycle and fresh embryo transfers. Some clinical trials have shown similar pregnancy, pregnancy loss, and live birth rates after fresh embryo transfer (ET) between HP-HMG and r-hFSH. However, because more oocytes are retrieved with r-hFSH when compared to HP-HMG, it is logical to hypothesize that the CLBR is higher with r-hFSH.

Study design, size, duration

A non-interventional study based on the French National Health System (SNDS) database was designed to assess the CLBR and treatment costs from the national payer perspective of four gonadotropin groups (originator follitropin-alfa (r-hFSH-alfa), its biosimilars, HP-HMG and r-hFSH-beta) used for COS cycles leading to oocyte pick-up (OPU) between 01/01/2013 and 31/12/2017 with a follow-up period up to 31/12/2018. The study compared CLBR, with originator r-hFSH-alfa as the reference.

Participants/materials, setting, methods

Women with COS cycles resulting in OPU with one of the specified gonadotropins were included. Data were extracted from billing and reimbursement records of outpatient healthcare consumption and national hospital discharge databases using a unique, anonymized patient number. CLBR was estimated using an Andersen–Gill model, adjusted for clinical baseline, stimulation and ET variables. Costs were reported as secondary outcomes.

Main results and the role of chance

135,752 women (mean age 34.1), underwent 214,539 stimulations leading to OPU and contributed one (61.5%), two (24.8%), three (9.4%) or four (3.2%) COS cycles. COS cycles were stimulated with either Originator r-hFSH-alfa (46%), HP-HMG (29%), r-hFSH-beta (21%) or r-hFSH-alfa biosimilars (4%). Over the study period, CLBR reached 20.5%; 21.9% with originator r-hFSH-alfa, 17.9% with HP-HMG, 21.3% with r-hFSH-beta and 18.4% with r-hFSH-alfa biosimilars. After adjusting for age, pre-treatment, GnRH analog, ovulation triggering, luteal phase support, previous COS, fresh or frozen ET and type of center, as possible cofounding variables, the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for CLBR (delivery [originator r-hFSH-alfa as reference]) was 0.88 (95% CI 0.86 to 0.95, p &lt; 0.0001) with HP-HMG; 0.98 (95% CI 0.95 to 1.00, p = 0.1020) with r-hFSH-beta, and 0.84 (95% CI 0.79 to 0.90, p &lt; 0.0001) with r-hFSH-alfa biosimilars. Although the mean acquisition cost of r-hFSH-alfa during the study was 33% higher than HP-HMG and 20% higher than r-hFSH-alfa biosimilars, the global ART management costs were only 4% higher than HP-HMG, 3% higher than r-hFSH-beta, and similar to r-hFSH-alfa biosimilars.

Limitations, reasons for caution

Patients were included only from oocyte pick-up, due to missing data in the SNDS database, meaning that it was not possible to estimate the proportion of cancelled cycles. Furthermore, as r-hFSH-alfa biosimilars were only available since 2015, results for biosimilars should be interpreted with caution.

Wider implications of the findings

This population-wide French study confirms other Real-World and meta-analysis evidence that CLBR is higher with originator r-hFSH-alfa than with HP-HMG or r-hFSH-alfa biosimilars, respectively, and are relevant for healthcare professionals to support gonadotropin treatment decision making. To further support this, the cost analysis should be completed by a cost-effectiveness analysis.

Trial registration number

Not applicable

Impact of COVID-19 on healthcare organisation and cancer outcomes

BACKGROUND

Changes in the management of patients with cancer and delays in treatment delivery during the COVID-19 pandemic may impact the use of hospital resources and cancer mortality.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patient flows, patient pathways and use of hospital resources during the pandemic were simulated using a discrete event simulation model and patient-level data from a large French comprehensive cancer centre's discharge database, considering two scenarios of delays: massive return of patients from November 2020 (early-return) or March 2021 (late-return). Expected additional cancer deaths at 5 years and mortality rate were estimated using individual hazard ratios based on literature.

RESULTS

The number of patients requiring hospital care during the simulation period was 13,000. In both scenarios, 6-8% of patients were estimated to present a delay of >2 months. The overall additional cancer deaths at 5 years were estimated at 88 in early-return and 145 in late-return scenario, with increased additional deaths estimated for sarcomas, gynaecological, liver, head and neck, breast cancer and acute leukaemia. This represents a relative additional cancer mortality rate at 5 years of 4.4 and 6.8% for patients expected in year 2020, 0.5 and 1.3% in 2021 and 0.5 and 0.5% in 2022 for each scenario, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Pandemic-related diagnostic and treatment delays in patients with cancer are expected to impact patient survival. In the perspective of recurrent pandemics or alternative events requiring an intensive use of limited hospital resources, patients should be informed not to postpone care, and medical resources for patients with cancer should be sanctuarised.

Whole exome sequencing in molecular diagnostics of cancer decreases over time: evidence from a cost analysis in the French setting

OBJECTIVES

Although high-throughput sequencing is revolutionising medicine, data on the actual cost of whole exome sequencing (WES) applications are needed. We aimed at assessing the cost of WES at a French cancer institute in 2015 and 2018.

METHODS

Actual costs of WES application in oncology research were determined using both micro-costing and gross-costing for the years 2015 and 2018, before and after the acquisition of a new sequencer. The entire workflow process of a WES test was tracked, and the number and unit price of each resource were identified at the most detailed level, from library preparation to bioinformatics analyses. In addition, we conducted an ad hoc analysis of the bioinformatics storage costs of data issued from WES analyses.

RESULTS

The cost of WES has decreased substantially, from €1921 per sample (i.e. cost of €3842 per patient) in 2015 to €804 per sample (i.e. cost of €1,608 per patient) in 2018, representing a decrease of 58%. In the meantime, the cost of bioinformatics storage has increased from €19,836 to €200,711.

CONCLUSION

This study suggests that WES cost has decreased significantly in recent years. WES has become affordable, even though clinical utility and efficiency still need to be confirmed.

MERAIODE: A Redifferentiation Phase II Trial With Trametinib and Dabrafenib Followed by Radioactive Iodine Administration for Metastatic Radioactive Iodine Refractory Differentiated Thyroid Cancer Patients With a BRAFV600E Mutation (NCT 03244956)

Background: Two-thirds of patients with metastatic differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) become refractory to radioactive iodine (RAIR). The inhibition of the MAP-kinase pathway that is activated in case of BRAFV600E mutation might increase RAI incorporation into metastatic foci and reverse the RAI refractoriness. MERAIODE is a prospective multicentric open-label phase II trial, using a one-stage Fleming design, evaluating the efficacy and tolerance of trametinib (a MEK inhibitor) and dabrafenib (a BRAF inhibitor) treatment followed by the administration of RAI in metastatic RAIR DTC patients.

Methods: Patients with BRAFV600E mutated RAIR metastatic DTC with RECIST progression within 18 months prior to enrollment and no lesion > 3 cm were included. A baseline rhTSH-stimulated diagnostic whole body scan (dc WBS) was performed prior to treatment initiation. Patients were treated with dabrafenib (150 mg bid) and trametinib (2 mg per day) for 42 days. At day 28, a second rhTSH-stimulated dc WBS was performed. After 35 days, a therapeutic activity of RAI (5.5 GBq) was administered. Primary endpoint was objective response rate (ORR) at 6 months according to RECIST v1.1 (central review).

Patients: Among the 24 patients (mean age 67 years, 15 females) with a BRAFV600E mutated RAI refractory papillary DTC included between March 2018 and January 2020 in 8 French centers from the TUTHYREF netwok, 24 patients were treated and 21 patients were evaluable for the principal outcome at 6 months.

Results: Abnormal RAI uptake was present in only 1 of the 21 patients (5%; 95%CI 0-24%) on a RAI diagnostic whole body scan (dc-WBS) performed prior to treatment initiation, in 11 patients, 11/17 (65%; 95%CI 38-86) on a dc-WBS performed 4 weeks after dabrafenib-trametinib initiation and in 20/21 (95%; 95%CI 76-100) on the post-therapeutic WBS performed after 5.5 GBq of RAI. The RECIST 6-months tumor response (central review) was partial response (PR) in 38% (95%CI 18-61), stable disease (SD) in 52% (95% CI 30-74) and progressive disease (PD) in 10% (95% CI 1-30). The median change in the sum of target lesions was -22% (range: -79 to +46) at 6 months after baseline. The 6-month fluorodesoxyglucose metabolic PET response was PR in 11/17 (65% 95%CI 38-86), SD in 4/17 (23%) (95% CI 7-50) and PD in 2/17 (12%; 95% CI 1-36). Among the 15 patients without Tg antibodies, 7 (47%) patients had a decrease of serum thyroglobulin level on T4 treatment by more than 50%All patients experienced at least one grade 1-2 adverse event, mainly asthenia, nausea, fever, diarrhea and cutaneous eruption. Nine grade 3 toxicities occurred in 6 treated patients. No grade 4-5 adverse event occurred

Conclusion: The association of dabrafenib and trametinib in BRAFV600E mutated patients is effective for restoring RAI uptake and is followed by a tumor control in 90% of patients and by tumor response in 38% with limited adverse events. (PHRC 2015, NCT 03244956)

Estimabl2: Is There a Need for Radioiodine Ablation in Low Risk Differentiated Thyroid Cancer (DTC) Patients?: Results From the French Randomized Phase III Prospective Trial on 776 Patients (NCT 01837745)

Background: The benefits of post-operative radioactive iodine (RAI) administration have not been demonstrated in patients with low risk differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). The objective of this randomized phase III trial is to assess in low risk DTC patients the non-inferiority of a follow-up strategy as compared to a systematic adjuvant post-operative RAI administration.

Methods: ESTIMABL2 is a French multicentric randomized phase III trial in patients with low-risk DTC treated with total thyroidectomy with or without prophylactic neck lymph node dissection (pT1am N0 or Nx with a sum of the diameters of tumor lesions ≥ 10mm, pT1b N0 or Nx). Two to five months after surgery, in the absence of suspicious lateral neck lymph node on ultrasonography (US), patients were randomized either to the follow-up group (FU, no RAI administration) or to the ablation group and received post-operative RAI (1.1 GBq following rhTSH stimulation). Yearly controls under levothyroxine treatment consisted in thyroglobulin (Tg) and Tg antibodies (TgAb) determinations and neck-US. The primary objective was to assess at 3 years after randomization the non-inferiority of the proportion of patients without tumor-related event in the FU group as compared to the ablation group. Non-inferiority is demonstrated if the rate of patients without event at 3 years does not differ by more than ΔL=-5%. A tumor-related event was defined by the occurrence of subsequent treatment (RAI administration or surgery) for abnormal RAI uptake on the post-therapeutic WBS or by elevated Tg or TgAb levels and/or abnormal neck US during controls. Tg levels on levothyroxine treatment were considered elevated if > 2ng/mL in the FU group and > 1ng/mL in the ablation group. TgAb were considered elevated if > the upper limit range with an increase above 50% on 2 consecutive determinations performed 6 months apart.

Results: 776 low-risk DTC patients were included between 2013 and 2017 in 35 French centers within the TUTHYREF network; 83% females, mean age: 52 years, papillary TC: 96%, pT1bNx: 43.6%, pT1bN0: 37.5%, pT1amNx: 12.6%, pT1amN0: 6.3%. Among the 729 patients evaluable at 3 years after randomization, tumor-related events occurred in 18/367 patients (4.9% IC95%=[2.9; 7.6]) in the FU group and in 15/362 patients (4.1% IC95%=[2.3; 6.7]) in the ablation group. Thus, 95.1% of patients in the FU group had no event at 3 years and this percentage is not inferior from the 95.9% of patients observed in the ablation group (difference = -0.8% [95% CI:-3.3%; 1.8%]. The number of subsequent surgery and/or RAI administration was 6 (1.6% IC95%=[0.6; 3.5]) in the FU group and 9 (2.5% IC95%=[1.1; 4.7]) in the ablation group.

Conclusion: this phase III trial demonstrates the non-inferiority of a follow-up strategy compared to a systematic adjuvant post-operative administration of RAI (1.1GBq following rhTSH) in low risk DTC patients (PHRC 2012; NCT01837745).

Long-term follow-up and safety of vandetanib for advanced medullary thyroid cancer

INTRODUCTION

Vandetanib is indicated for adults with advanced medullary thyroid cancer (MTC).

OBJECTIVES

To describe the efficacy and toxicity profile of vandetanib treatment with a maximal follow-up of 11 years at Institut Gustave Roussy/France.

METHODS

A review of the clinical files of the 76 MTC patients treated with vandetanib. Efficacy was estimated by markers and imaging.

RESULTS

A total of 76 patients received vandetanib. Nine were excluded from efficacy analysis because lack of morphological data. The overall (N = 76) median treatment duration was 17.6 (range: 0.7-130.6) months and the median progression-free survival (PFS) was 22.7 (95% CI, 13.9-37.3) months. In total, 21/76 (27.6%) patients were classified as long-term users because have received vandetanib for more than 48 months, with a median treatment duration of 68.1 (range: 49.1-130.6) months. For long-term vandetanib users, the objective response rate was 85.7%, the median time to best response was 27.8 (11.6.1-110) months and the median duration of response was 70.4 (38.3-127.5) (95% CI 49.5-102.8) months with a median PFS of 73.2 (95% CI, 53.1-105.6) months. Duration of response had a significant negative correlation with patient age at diagnosis (p = 0.03) and was significantly higher in patients that did not have confirmed tumor progression before treatment onset (p = 0.007). After 48 months of vandetanib use, renal failure took place in two patients and heart failure, cholecystitis, acute pancreatitis, posterior encephalopathy, and skin cancer first occurred in one patient, each.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that a substantial number of patients receiving first-/second-line vandetanib may sustain long clinical benefit and that a younger age at diagnosis and the absence of progression before treatment could be considered as predictors of durable response.

Value of a QALY for France: A New Approach to Propose Acceptable Reference Values

OBJECTIVE

France has included health economic assessment (HEA) as an official criterion for innovative drug pricing since 2013. Until now, no cost-effectiveness threshold (CET) has been officially proposed to qualify incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). Although the French health authorities have publicly expressed the need for such reference values, previous initiatives to determine these have failed. The study aims to propose a locally adapted method for estimating a preference-based value for a quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) based on a rational approach to public policy choices in France.

METHODS

We used the official French value of statistical life (VSL) of €3 million (USD 3.25 million), proposed in 2013 by the French General Commission on Strategy and Prediction. We first estimated the value of life-year (VoLY) by age category according to life expectancy and official discounts recommended for HEA in France. We then estimated a value of statistical QALY (VSQ) by weighting VoLYs with demographic data and French EQ-5D-3L tariffs.

RESULTS

The estimated average VoLYs and VSQs were €120 185 (USD 130 000) and €147 093 (USD 159 022), respectively, assuming a discount rate of 2.5% and €166 205 (USD 179 681) and €201 398 (USD 217 728), respectively, assuming a discount rate of 4.5%.

CONCLUSION

Assuming that, as in other public domains, equity in access to healthcare across all disease areas and between all users is desirable, we propose an estimate of VSQ that is consistent with this goal. Our estimates of €147 093 (USD 179,681) to €201 398 (USD 217 728) should be perceived as breakeven costs for a QALY rather than a market access threshold. Such VSQs could be used as reference values for ICERs in HEA in France.

Locally unresectable differentiated thyroid cancer: outcomes and perspectives

PURPOSE

Differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) patients with an unresectable primary tumor cannot benefit from curative surgery, and radioiodine treatment for locoregional and distant disease is not possible with the thyroid gland still in place. Due to local invasion, these patients cannot be included in clinical trials, so that treatment options are limited. The aim of this study was to describe the characteristics and the prognosis of patients with these locally unresectable DTC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A retrospective and multicentric analysis of consecutive cases of unresectable DTC diagnosed between 2000 and 2015 was performed.

RESULTS

The study population consisted in 22 patients, 13 females (59%); median age: 77 years (range: 52-91). Thyroid tumors were papillary in six, follicular in seven, Hürthle cell in one and poorly differentiated in eight patients. Patients were treated with external beam radiation therapy (EBRT) (57%), locoregional therapy of distant metastases (41%), cytotoxic chemotherapy (38%) and tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) (33%). TKI treatment resulted in median disease control duration of 7 months with a grade 3-4 toxicity rate of 44%. Only one patient had a total thyroidectomy after neo-adjuvant EBRT. The 1, 3 and 5-year cumulative survival rate was 81%, 27.7% and 21.5%, respectively. The cause of death was DTC in 11 cases (local progression in 7), and to other causes in 7 cases; no patient died from treatment toxicity.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinical trials and approved treatments are lacking for unresectable DTC. TKI treatment may allow prolonged disease control with acceptable toxicity.

Impact of Next Generation Sequencing on Clinical Practice in Oncology in France: Better Genetic Profiles for Patients Improve Access to Experimental Treatments

OBJECTIVES

We evaluated how next generation sequencing (NGS) can modify care pathways in an observational impact study in France.

METHODS

All patients with lung cancer, colorectal cancer, or melanoma who had NGS analyses of somatic genomic alterations done in 1 of 7 biomolecular platforms certified by the French National Cancer Institute (INCa) between 2013 and 2016 were eligible. We compared patients' pathways before and after their NGS results. Endpoints consisted of the turnaround time in obtaining results, the number of patients with at least 1 genomic alteration identified, the number of actionable alterations, the impact of the genomic multidisciplinary tumor board on care pathways, the number of changes in the treatment plan, and the survival outcome up to 1 year after NGS analyses.

RESULTS

1213 patients with a request for NGS analysis were included. NGS was performed for 1155 patients, identified at least 1 genomic alteration for 867 (75%), and provided an actionable alteration for 614 (53%). Turnaround time between analyses and results was on average 8 days (Min: 0; Max: 95) for all cancer types. Before NGS analysis, 33 of 614 patients (5%) were prescribed a targeted therapy compared with 54 of 614 patients (8%) after NGS analysis. Proposition of inclusion in clinical trials with experimental treatments increased from 5% (n = 31 of 614) before to 28% (n = 178 of 614) after NGS analysis. Patients who benefited from a genotype matched treatment after NGS analysis tended to have a better survival outcome at 1 year than patients with nonmatched treatment: 258 days (±107) compared with 234 days (±106), (P = .41).

CONCLUSIONS

NGS analyses resulted in a change in patients' care pathways for 20% of patients (n = 232 of 1155).

Prediction of Drug Approval After Phase I Clinical Trials in Oncology: RESOLVED2

PURPOSE

Drug development in oncology currently is facing a conjunction of an increasing number of antineoplastic agents (ANAs) candidate for phase I clinical trials (P1CTs) and an important attrition rate for final approval. We aimed to develop a machine learning algorithm (RESOLVED2) to predict drug development outcome, which could support early go/no-go decisions after P1CTs by better selection of drugs suitable for further development.

METHODS

PubMed abstracts of P1CTs reporting on ANAs were used together with pharmacologic data from the DrugBank5.0 database to model time to US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approval (FDA approval-free survival) since the first P1CT publication. The RESOLVED2 model was trained with machine learning methods. Its performance was evaluated on an independent test set with weighted concordance index (IPCW).

RESULTS

We identified 462 ANAs from PubMed that matched with DrugBank5.0 (P1CT publication dates 1972 to 2017). Among 1,411 variables, 28 were used by RESOLVED2 to model the FDA approval-free survival, with an IPCW of 0.89 on the independent test set. RESOLVED2 outperformed a model that was based on efficacy/toxicity (IPCW, 0.69). In the test set at 6 years of follow-up, 73% (95% CI, 49% to 86%) of drugs predicted to be approved were approved, whereas 92% (95% CI, 87% to 98%) of drugs predicted to be nonapproved were still not approved (log-rank P < .001). A predicted approved drug was 16 times more likely to be approved than a predicted nonapproved drug (hazard ratio, 16.4; 95% CI, 8.40 to 32.2).

CONCLUSION

As soon as P1CT completion, RESOLVED2 can predict accurately the time to FDA approval. We provide the proof of concept that drug development outcome can be predicted by machine learning strategies.

F-18-Dopa Positron Emission Tomography/Computed Tomography Is More Sensitive Than Whole-Body Magnetic Resonance Imaging for the Localization of Persistent/Recurrent Disease of Medullary Thyroid Cancer Patients

Background: Elevated postoperative serum calcitonin (Ctn) level indicates persistent/recurrent disease in patients with medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC). Its location is a challenge. The aim of our study was to compare the disease detection rates of F-18-Dopa (fluoro dihydroxyphenylalanine) positron emission tomography (PET)/computed tomography (CT), whole-body (WB) magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), F-18-FDG (fluorodeoxyglucose) PET/CT, WB CT scanning, neck ultrasonography, and bone scintigraphy in MTC patients with increased Ctn levels and unknown localization of the source. Methods: We compared the independent reading of each imaging procedure with a reference assessment for structural disease defined by pathology or concordance between two imagings or with subsequent follow-up. The detection rate of each imaging modality was determined in per patient, per organ, and per lesion analysis. Results: Thirty-six consecutive patients (21 females, mean age: 57 years, sporadic MTC in 26 cases, median serum Ctn level: 760 pg/mL; range: 21-10,121) were analyzed. The reference assessment localized disease in 24 (64%) patients with 74 lesions detected in the thyroid bed (8), in neck lymph nodes (15), mediastinal lymph nodes (6), lungs (1), liver (2), bones (3), and other site (1). At the patient level, the detection rates were 64% (CI 0.48-0.80) for F-18-Dopa PET/CT with early acquisitions, 40% (CI 0.24-0.56) for F-18-FDG PET/CT, 40% (CI 0.24-0.56) for WB MRI, and 48% (CI 0.31-0.66) for WB CT scan. Conclusions: In MTC patients with increased Ctn and no known distant metastases, F-18-Dopa PET/CT is more sensitive to detect structural disease than any other imaging modality, including WB MRI.

Abstract 668: A recommender system to enhance drug development in oncology from phase I trials: The RESOLVED2 project

The industry and investigators’ communities are currently facing a conjunction of increasing number of anti-neoplastic agents (ANA) candidate for phase 1 clinical trials (P1CT) and an important attrition rate for final approval. Improvement of the drug development strategies in oncology could be achieved by machine learning supporting go/no-go decisions after phase I trial.

PubMed abstracts of P1CT reporting ANA were used together with pharmacological classification and molecular targets of ANA from DrugBank5.0 database. To account for heterogeneous follow-up we computed a new metric entitled Food & Drug Administration approval-free-survival (FDA-aFS). FDA-aFS is a right-censored variable defined by the time between first P1CT publication and the FDA approval date or censoring for compounds not approved up to 2018, July. A training set and a test set were randomly generated from the whole dataset with a 70%/30% ratio. A regression and a classification version of RESOLVED2 have been developed in the training set and evaluated independently on the test set. The RESOLVED2 regression model has been optimized using a Cox logistic regression on FDA-aFS, penalized by Lasso with cross validation on the training set. RESOLVED2 predictions have been compared to a model including common variables used for go/no-go decisions (toxicity, clinical activity, observation of complete tumor response). The RESOLVED2 classification model (predicted approved ANA vs predicted non-approved ANA) was computed in the training set using predicted probabilities derived from the regression model, by the identification of the cut-off reaching minimal log-rank derived p-value when comparing FDA-aFS of predicted approved versus predicted non-approved ANA.

We identified 462 ANA matching with DrugBank entries (P1CT publication interval: 1972-2017). Among 1411 variables, 28 remained in the model after Lasso penalization. The relation of the model to the FDA-aFS had a weighted concordance index of 0.89 on the independent test set, versus 0.69 for a classical model based on efficacy/toxicity. Classified approval predictions achieved a p&lt;10e-10 for association with observed FDA-aFS in the test set: at 6 years of follow-up, 73% (95%CI [49%; 86%]) of predicted approved drugs were indeed approved and 92% (95%CI [87%; 98%]) of predicted non-approved drugs were still not approved. A predicted approved drug was 16 times more likely to be approved compared to a predicted non-approved drug (Hazard ratio=16.4; 95%CI [8.40; 32.2]; p&lt;10e-10).

RESOLVED2 is an applicable machine learning model that could support early go/no-go decision as soon as P1CT completion based on accurate prediction of FDA approval for drugs in oncology.

Citation Format: Guillaume Beinse, Virgile Tellier, Valentin Charvet, Isabelle Borget, Christophe Massard, Antoine Hollebecque, Loic Verlingue. A recommender system to enhance drug development in oncology from phase I trials: The RESOLVED2 project [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2019; 2019 Mar 29-Apr 3; Atlanta, GA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(13 Suppl):Abstract nr 668.

Prognosis of Malignant Pheochromocytoma and Paraganglioma (MAPP-Prono Study): A European Network for the Study of Adrenal Tumors Retrospective Study

BACKGROUND

Malignant pheochromocytoma and paraganglioma (MPP) are characterized by prognostic heterogeneity. Our objective was to look for prognostic parameters of overall survival (OS) in MPP patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Retrospective multicenter study of MPP characterized by a neck-thoraco-abdomino-pelvic CT or MRI at the time of malignancy diagnosis in European centers between 1998 and 2010.

RESULTS

One hundred sixty-nine patients from 18 European centers were included. Main characteristics of patients with MPP were: primary pheochromocytoma in 53% of patients; tumor- or hormone-related symptoms in 57% or 58% of cases; positive plasma or urine hormones in 81% of patients; identification of a mutation in SDHB in 42% of cases. Metastatic sites included bone (64%), lymph node (40%), lung (29%), and liver (26%); mean time between initial and malignancy diagnosis was 43 months (range, 0 to 614). Median follow-up was 68 months and median survival 6.7 years. Using univariate analysis, better survival was associated with head and neck paraganglioma, age <40 years, metanephrines less than fivefold the upper limits of the normal range, and low proliferative index. In multivariate analysis, hypersecretion [hazard ratio 3.02 (1.65 to 5.55); P = 0.0004] was identified as an independent significant prognostic factor of worst OS.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results do not confirm SDHB mutations as a major prognostic parameter in MPP and suggest additional key molecular events involved in MPP tumor progression. Aside from SDHB mutation, the biology of aggressive MPP remains to be understood.

Final results from the randomized CABADOC trial: Patient preference between cabazitaxel and docetaxel for first-line chemotherapy in metastatic castrate-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC)

5017

Background: Docetaxel and cabazitaxel represent now the standard of care in men with mCRPC with similar efficacy reported in metastatic first-line setting in the FIRSTANA phase 3 trial. We assessed patients’ preference between the two taxanes. Methods: Patients with taxane-naïve mCRPC were randomized in a 1:1 ratio to receive either docetaxel 75mg/m2/q3w x 4 followed by cabazitaxel 25mg/m2/q3w x 4 (DO-CA), or the reverse sequence (CA-DO). Randomization was stratified based on prior next generation AR axis inhibitors use. The primary endpoint was patient preference between taxanes, as assessed by questionnaires in patients who had received at least one cycle of each taxane and who had not experienced a progression while on the first taxane. Results: From June 2014 to October 2016, 195 men were randomized in 17 centers. After adjusting for the treatment period effect, more patients preferred cabazitaxel (43%) vs docetaxel (27%) (p < 0.004); 30% had no preference between taxanes. Fatigue, patient-defined quality of life, hair loss, and pain were the most common factors influencing patient preference. Febrile neutropenia was experienced by 5 (7.1%) men treated with cabazitaxel during the first period who received G-CSF and by 2 (7.1%) of those who did not. No febrile neutropenia was reported with docetaxel in both arms and with cabazitaxel during the 2nd period, irrespectively of the use of G-CSF. The incidence of diarrhea during the first 3-month period was slightly reduced with G-CSF use in men receiving cabazitaxel (32.1% vs 24.3%) but not in those receiving docetaxel (23.8% vs 25%). The median progression-free survival was 9.81 in the DO-CA arm and 9.33 months in the CA-DO arm. The median overall survival was also similar in the two groups (22.64 in the DO-CA arm and 20.73 months in the CA-DO arm. Conclusions: Although cabazitaxel and docetaxel have similar efficacy when used as first-line in mCRPC men, more patients prefer cabazitaxel. Clinical trial information: NCT02044354.

Projecting overall survival data for health-economic models in oncology: Do maturity levels impact uncertainty?

e18350

Background: A lifetime horizon is recommended for health-economic evaluation of anticancer drugs. If overall survival (OS) data is immature, extrapolation of the Kaplan-Meier (KM) curve using distributions is done to obtain long-term data. Depending on OS maturity, the distribution chosen may impact estimation of life expectancy (LE) and of life years gained (LYG) between treatments. This study aimed to estimate the error (on LE and LYG) induced by the choice of extrapolation distributions, for 2 levels of OS maturity (30% and 50%), as compared to LE and LYG at full maturity. Methods: Fifteen phase 3 trials published between 2013 and 2017 containing OS KM curves were selected if maturity > 70% (Full). To test 2 maturity levels, each KM curve was truncated at 30% and 50%. A 3-step process was performed: 1) KM was digitalized, 2) individual patient-data was reproduced using the Guyot algorithm, and 3) 5 parametric survival distributions were fit using the R-Survival package. For each study, the process was done for each treatment arm and each of the 3 maturity levels on the same time horizon, equal to the maximum follow-up of the study. For each curve, the best distribution was chosen by a board of 2 oncologists and 2 health-economists, based on visual inspection, Akaike/Bayesian Information criteria and external validity. Results: Based on the board review of the 90 KM curves, main chosen distributions were Weibull (33%), Log-logistic (32%) and Log-normal (27%). As compared to LE at full maturity, LE was overestimated in 23% and 40% at 30% and 50% maturity, respectively. Mean absolute error was 0.88 at 30% maturity, and decreased to 2.12 at 50% maturity, i.e. estimation was 2.4 times better from 30% to 50% maturity. On average, at 30% maturity versus full, mean percentage of error in LYG was 126.4% and 62.4% at 50% maturity versus full. Conclusions: The use of immature OS data increases the risk of error when projecting long-term LE. Even marginal gains in OS maturity can be translated in more accurate estimations and guide health-economist in developing models.