Endoscopic Surveillance of Intestinal Metaplasia of the Esophagogastric Junction: A Decision Modeling Analysis

INTRODUCTION

The incidence of esophagogastric junction adenocarcinoma (EGJAC) has been rising. Intestinal metaplasia of the esophagogastric junction (EGJIM) is a common finding in gastroesophageal reflux (irregular Z-line), and may represent an early step in the development of EGJAC in the West. Worldwide, EGJIM may represent progression along the Correa cascade triggered by Helicobacter pylori. We sought to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of endoscopic surveillance of EGJIM.

METHODS

We developed a decision-analytic model to compare endoscopic surveillance strategies for 50-year-old patients after diagnosis of non-dysplastic EGJIM; (1) no surveillance (standard of care), (2) endoscopy every 3 years, (3) every 5 years, or (4) one-time endoscopy at 3 years. We modeled four progression scenarios to reflect uncertainty: A (0.01% annual cancer incidence), B (0.05%), C (0.12%), D (0.22%).

RESULTS

Cost-effectiveness of endoscopic surveillance depended on the progression rate of EGJIM to cancer. In the lowest progression rate (scenario A, 0.01%), no surveillance strategies were cost-effective. In moderate progression scenarios, one-time surveillance at 3 years was cost-effective, at $30,989 and $16,526 per QALY for scenarios B (0.05%) and C (0.12%), respectively. For scenario D (0.22%), surveillance every 5 years was cost-effective at $77,695 per QALY.Discussion:Endoscopic surveillance is costly and can cause harm, however, low-intensity longitudinal surveillance (every 5 years) is cost-effective in populations with higher EGJAC incidence. No surveillance or one-time endoscopic surveillance of patients with EGJIM was cost-effective in low-incidence populations. Future studies to better understand the natural history of EGJIM, identify risk factors for progression, and inform appropriate surveillance strategies are required.

Test performance metrics for breast, cervical, colon and lung cancer screening: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Multiple quality metrics have been recommended to ensure consistent, high-quality execution of screening tests for breast, cervical, colorectal and lung cancers. However, minimal data exist evaluating the evidence base supporting these recommendations and the consistency of definitions and concepts included within and between cancer types.

METHODS

We performed a systematic review for each cancer type using MEDLINE, Embase and CINAHL from 2010 to April 2020, to identify guidelines from screening programs or professional organizations containing quality metrics for tests used in breast, cervical, colorectal and lung cancer screening. We abstracted metrics' definitions, target performance levels, and related supporting evidence for test completeness, adequacy (sufficient visualization or collection), accuracy, and safety.

RESULTS

We identified 11 relevant guidelines with 20 suggested quality metrics for breast cancer, 5 guidelines with 9 metrics for cervical cancer, 13 guidelines with 18 metrics for colorectal cancer, and 3 guidelines with 7 metrics for lung cancer. These included 54 metrics related to adequacy (6), test completeness (3), accuracy (33), and safety (12). Target performance levels were defined for 30 metrics (56%). Ten (19%) were supported by evidence, all from breast and colorectal cancer, with no evidence cited to support metrics from cervical and lung cancer screening.

CONCLUSIONS

Considerably more guideline-recommended test performance metrics exist for breast and colorectal cancer screening than cervical or lung cancer. The domains covered are inconsistent among cancers and few targets are supported by evidence. Clearer evidence-based domains and targets are needed for test performance metrics.

REGISTRATION

PROSPERO 2020 CRD42020179139.

Novel DNA Methylation Biomarker Panel for Detection of Esophageal Adenocarcinoma and High-Grade Dysplasia

PURPOSE

Current endoscopy-based screening and surveillance programs have not been proven effective at decreasing esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) mortality, creating an unmet need for effective molecular tests for early detection of this highly lethal cancer. We conducted a genome-wide methylation screen to identify novel methylation markers that distinguish EAC and high-grade dysplasia (HGD) from normal squamous epithelium (SQ) or nondysplastic Barrett's esophagus (NDBE).

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

DNA methylation profiling of samples from SQ, NDBE, HGD, and EAC was performed using HM450 methylation arrays (Illumina) and reduced-representation bisulfate sequencing. Ultrasensitive methylation-specific droplet digital PCR and next-generation sequencing (NGS)-based bisulfite-sequencing assays were developed to detect the methylation level of candidate CpGs in independent esophageal biopsy and endoscopic brushing samples.

RESULTS

Five candidate methylation markers were significantly hypermethylated in HGD/EAC samples compared with SQ or NDBE (P < 0.01) in both esophageal biopsy and endoscopic brushing samples. In an independent set of brushing samples used to construct biomarker panels, a four-marker panel (model 1) demonstrated sensitivity of 85.0% and 90.8% for HGD and EACs respectively, with 84.2% and 97.9% specificity for NDBE and SQ respectively. In a validation set of brushing samples, the panel achieved sensitivity of 80% and 82.5% for HGD and EAC respectively, at specificity of 67.6% and 96.3% for NDBE and SQ samples.

CONCLUSIONS

A novel DNA methylation marker panel differentiates HGD/EAC from SQ/NDBE. DNA-methylation-based molecular assays hold promise for the detection of HGD/EAC using esophageal brushing samples.

Optimizing Management of Patients With Barrett's Esophagus and Low-Grade or No Dysplasia Based on Comparative Modeling

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Endoscopic treatment is recommended for patients with Barrett's esophagus (BE) with high-grade dysplasia, yet clinical management recommendations are inconsistent for patients with BE without dysplasia (NDBE) or with low-grade dysplasia (LGD). We used a comparative modeling analysis to identify optimal management strategies for these patients.

METHODS

We used 3 independent population-based models to simulate cohorts of 60-year-old individuals with BE in the United States. We followed up each cohort until death without surveillance and treatment (natural disease progression), compared with 78 different strategies of management for patients with NDBE or LGD. We determined the optimal strategy using cost-effectiveness analyses, at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY).

RESULTS

In the 3 models, the average cumulative incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma was 111 cases, with costs totaling $5.7 million per 1000 men with BE. Surveillance and treatment of men with BE prevented 23% to 75% of cases of esophageal adenocarcinoma, but increased costs to $6.2 to $17.3 million per 1000 men with BE. The optimal strategy was surveillance every 3 years for men with NDBE and treatment of LGD after confirmation by repeat endoscopy (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, $53,044/QALY). The average results for women were consistent with the results for men for LGD management, but the optimal surveillance interval for women with NDBE was 5 years (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, $36,045/QALY).

CONCLUSIONS

Based on analyses from 3 population-based models, the optimal management strategy for patient with BE and LGD is endoscopic eradication, but only after LGD is confirmed by a repeat endoscopy. The optimal strategy for patients with NDBE is endoscopic surveillance, using a 3-year interval for men and a 5-year interval for women.

Recent advances in Barrett's esophagus

Barrett's esophagus (BE) is the only known precursor of esophageal adenocarcinoma, one of the few cancers with increasing incidence in developed countries. The pathogenesis of BE is unclear with regard to either the cellular origin of this metaplastic epithelium or the manner in which malignant transformation occurs, although recent data indicate a possible junctional origin of stem cells for BE. Treatment of BE may be achieved using endoscopic eradication therapy; however, there is a lack of discriminatory tools to identify individuals at sufficient risk for cancer development in whom intervention is warranted. Reduction in gastroesophageal reflux of gastric contents including acid is mandatory to achieve remission from BE after endoscopic ablation, and can be achieved using medical or nonmedical interventions. Research topics of greatest interest include the mechanism of BE development and transformation to cancer, risk stratification methods to identify individuals who may benefit from ablation of BE, optimization of eradication therapy, and surveillance methods to ensure that remission is maintained after eradication is achieved.

Objective Differences in Colonoscopy Technique Between Trainee and Expert Endoscopists Using the Colonoscopy Force Monitor

BACKGROUND

Learning to perform colonoscopy safely and effectively is central to gastroenterology fellowship programs. The application of force to the colonoscope is an important part of colonoscopy technique.

AIMS

We compared force application during colonoscopy between novice and expert endoscopists using a novel device to determine differences in colonoscopy technique.

METHODS

This is an observational cohort study designed to compare force application during colonoscopy between novice and experienced trainees, made up of gastroenterology fellows from two training programs, and expert endoscopists from both academic and private practice settings.

RESULTS

Force recordings were obtained for 257 colonoscopies by 37 endoscopists, 21 of whom were trainees. Experts used higher average forward forces during insertion compared to all trainees and significantly less clockwise torque compared to novice trainees.

CONCLUSIONS

We present significant, objective differences in colonoscopy technique between novice trainees, experienced trainees, and expert endoscopists. These findings suggest that the colonoscopy force monitor is an objective tool for measuring proficiency in colonoscopy. Furthermore, the device may be used as a teaching tool in training and continued medical education programs.

Race/Ethnicity and Primary Language: Health Beliefs about Colorectal Cancer Screening in a Diverse, Low-Income Population

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is an important cause of cancer death in adults in the U.S.; screening is effective but underutilized, particularly among minorities. The purpose of this paper was to explore whether health belief model (HBM) constructs pertaining to CRC screening differ by race/ethnicity and primary language. Data were from the baseline surveys of 933 participants (93.5%) in a randomized trial promoting CRC screening in San Francisco. Composite scores for each construct were created from multiple items, dichotomized for analysis, and analyzed using multivariate logistic regression. Most participants were Asian (29.7%) or Hispanic (34.3%), and many were non-English speakers. Non-English speaking Hispanics (p<.001) and English-speaking Asians (p=.002) reported lower perceived susceptibility than non-Hispanic Whites (NHW). Non-English speaking Hispanics reported more and non-English speaking Asians fewer perceived barriers (psychological and structural) than NHW. Understanding how different populations think about CRC screening may be critical in promoting screening in diverse populations.

The impact of medical tourism on colorectal screening among Korean Americans: A community-based cross-sectional study

Background

Colorectal cancer (CRC) remains the most commonly diagnosed cancer among Korean Americans (KAs) in part due to low screening rates. Recent studies suggest that some KA patients engage in medical tourism and receive medical care in their home country. The impact of medical tourism on CRC screening is unknown. The purpose of this paper was to 1) investigate the frequency of medical tourism, 2) examine the association between medical tourism and CRC screening, and 3) characterize KA patients who engage in medical tourism.

Methods

This is a community-based, cross-sectional study involving self-administered questionnaires conducted from August 2013 to October 2013. Data was collected on 193 KA patients, ages 50–75, residing in the Seattle metropolitan area. The outcome variable is up-to-date with CRC screening, defined as having had a stool test (Fecal Occult Blood Test or Fecal Immunochemical Test) within the past year or a colonoscopy within 10 years. Predictor variables are socio-demographics, health factors, acculturation, knowledge, financial concerns for medical care costs, and medical tourism.

Results

In multi-variate modeling, medical tourism was significantly related to being up-to-date with CRC screening. Participants who engaged in medical tourism had 8.91 (95% CI: 3.89–23.89) greater odds of being up-to-date with CRC screening compared to those who did not travel for healthcare. Factors associated with engaging in medical tourism were lack of insurance coverage (P = 0.008), higher levels of education (P = 0.003), not having a usual place of care (P = 0.002), older age at immigration (P = 0.009), shorter years-of-stay in the US (P = 0.003), and being less likely to speak English well (P = 0.03).

Conclusions

This study identifies the impact of medical tourism on CRC screening and characteristics of KA patients who report engaging in medical tourism. Healthcare providers in the US should be aware of the customary nature of medical tourism among KAs and consider assessing medical tests done abroad when providing cancer care.

Trial registration

Not applicable.

Protective association of colonoscopy against proximal and distal colon cancer and patterns in interval cancer

BACKGROUND

The protective effect of colonoscopy against proximal colorectal cancer is variable and depends on the detection and complete removal of precancerous polyps.

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the efficacy of colonoscopy in a medical center with open-access screening colonoscopy since 1998.

DESIGN

Nested case-control study with incidence density sampling.

SETTING

University-affiliated Veterans Affairs Medical Center.

PATIENTS

Colorectal cancer (CRC) cases and control subjects selected from screening age patients matched by age, gender, and date of first primary care visit.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENT

Colonoscopy preceding the CRC diagnosis date.

RESULTS

A total of 20.2% of CRC cases had a colonoscopy in the preceding 10 years compared with 49.0% of control subjects (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.20; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.11-0.34). Colonoscopy was strongly associated with decreased odds of both distal CRC (aOR, 0.16; 95% CI, 0.07-0.34) and proximal CRC (aOR, 0.26; 95% CI, 0.11-0.58). The fraction of cases attributed to interval cancers was 10.5%. Missed lesions predominantly localized to the cecum and rectum, and recurrent lesions clustered in the hepatic flexure. Cecal intubation rate was 93% (98% in adequately prepped patients), and the adenoma detection rate was 45.2% in the control group.

LIMITATIONS

Single-center, retrospective case-control design.

CONCLUSION

In an open access colonoscopy program characterized by a high cecal intubation rate and adenoma detection rate, colonoscopy was strongly associated with reduced odds of both distal and proximal CRC. Among interval cancers, missed lesions clustered in the cecum and rectum and recurrent lesions in the hepatic flexure.

Optimising colorectal cancer screening acceptance: a review

The study aims to review available evidence concerning effective interventions to increase colorectal cancer (CRC) screening acceptance. We performed a literature search of randomised trials designed to increase individuals' use of CRC screening on PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews and Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects. Small (≤ 100 subjects per arm) studies and those reporting results of interventions implemented before publication of the large faecal occult blood test trials were excluded. Interventions were categorised following the Continuum of Cancer Care and the PRECEDE-PROCEED models and studies were grouped by screening model (opportunistic vs organised). Multifactor interventions targeting multiple levels of care and considering factors outside the individual clinician control, represent the most effective strategy to enhance CRC screening acceptance. Removing financial barriers, implementing methods allowing a systematic contact of the whole target population, using personal invitation letters, preferably signed by the reference care provider, and reminders mailed to all non-attendees are highly effective in enhancing CRC screening acceptance. Physician reminders may support the diffusion of screening, but they can be effective only for individuals who have access to and make use of healthcare services. Educational interventions for patients and providers are effective, but the implementation of organisational measures may be necessary to favour their impact. Available evidence indicates that organised programmes allow to achieve an extensive coverage and to enhance equity of access, while maximising the health impact of screening. They provide at the same time an infrastructure allowing to achieve a more favourable cost-effectiveness profile of potentially effective strategies, which would not be sustainable in opportunistic settings.

BOB CAT: A Large-Scale Review and Delphi Consensus for Management of Barrett's Esophagus With No Dysplasia, Indefinite for, or Low-Grade Dysplasia

OBJECTIVES

Barrett's esophagus (BE) is a common premalignant lesion for which surveillance is recommended. This strategy is limited by considerable variations in clinical practice. We conducted an international, multidisciplinary, systematic search and evidence-based review of BE and provided consensus recommendations for clinical use in patients with nondysplastic, indefinite, and low-grade dysplasia (LGD).

METHODS

We defined the scope, proposed statements, and searched electronic databases, yielding 20,558 publications that were screened, selected online, and formed the evidence base. We used a Delphi consensus process, with an 80% agreement threshold, using GRADE (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation) to categorize the quality of evidence and strength of recommendations.

RESULTS

In total, 80% of respondents agreed with 55 of 127 statements in the final voting rounds. Population endoscopic screening is not recommended and screening should target only very high-risk cases of males aged over 60 years with chronic uncontrolled reflux. A new international definition of BE was agreed upon. For any degree of dysplasia, at least two specialist gastrointestinal (GI) pathologists are required. Risk factors for cancer include male gender, length of BE, and central obesity. Endoscopic resection should be used for visible, nodular areas. Surveillance is not recommended for <5 years of life expectancy. Management strategies for indefinite dysplasia (IND) and LGD were identified, including a de-escalation strategy for lower-risk patients and escalation to intervention with follow-up for higher-risk patients.

CONCLUSIONS

In this uniquely large consensus process in gastroenterology, we made key clinical recommendations for the escalation/de-escalation of BE in clinical practice. We made strong recommendations for the prioritization of future research.

Survival benefit of repeat liver transplantation in the United States: a serial MELD analysis by hepatitis C status and donor risk index

Survival benefit (SB) for first liver transplantation (LT) is favorable at Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD)≥15. Herein, we identify the MELD threshold for SB from repeat liver transplantation (ReLT) by recipient hepatitis C virus (HCV) status and donor risk index (DRI). We analyzed lab MELD scores in new United Network for Organ Sharing registrants for ReLT from March 2002 to January 2010. Risk of ReLT graft failure≤1 year versus waitlist mortality was calculated using Cox regression, adjusting for recipient characteristics. Of 3057 ReLT candidates, 54% had HCV and 606 died while listed. There were 1985 ReLT recipients, 52% had HCV and 567 ReLT graft failures by 1 year. Unadjusted waitlist mortality and post-ReLT graft failure rates were 416 (95% confidence interval [CI] 384-450) and 375 (95% CI 345-407) per 1000 patient-years, respectively. Waitlist mortality was higher with increasing waitlist MELD (p<0.001). The MELD for SB from ReLT overall was 21 (21 in non-HCV and 24 in HCV patients). MELD for SB varied by DRI in HCV patients (MELD 21, 24 and 27 for low, medium and high DRI, respectively) but did not vary for non-HCV patients. Compared to first LT, ReLT requires a higher MELD threshold to achieve an SB resulting in a narrower therapeutic window to optimize the utility of scarce liver grafts.

Late presentation of colorectal cancer in a vulnerable population

OBJECTIVES

We examined colorectal cancer (CRC) stage at presentation and mortality in a vulnerable population compared with nationally representative data.

METHODS

CRC cases were identified from San Francisco General Hospital (SFGH) and the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database.

RESULTS

Fifty-five percent of the SFGH cohort presented with advanced disease, compared with 44% of the SEER cohort. Increased risk of advanced stage at presentation at SFGH compared with SEER was most evident among blacks and Asians. There was weak evidence for worse survival at SFGH compared with SEER overall. This varied by race with poorer survival at SFGH among whites and possibly blacks but some evidence for better survival among Asians. Among CRC patients at SFGH, Asians and Hispanics had better survival than whites and blacks. At SFGH, 44% had a diagnosis of CRC within 1 year of establishing care there. Of those who had established care at SFGH for at least 1 year, only 22% had exposure to CRC screening tests.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings allow examination of CRC presentation by ethnicity in vulnerable populations and identify areas where access and utilization of CRC screening can be improved.

Projected future increase in aging hepatitis C virus-infected liver transplant candidates: a potential effect of hepatocellular carcinoma

In the United States, the peak hepatitis C virus (HCV) antibody prevalence of 4% occurred in persons born in the calendar years 1940-1965. The goal of this study was to examine observed and projected age-specific trends in the demand for liver transplantation (LT) among patients with HCV-associated liver disease stratified by concurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). All new adult LT candidates registered with the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network for LT between 1995 and 2010 were identified. Patients who had primary, secondary, or text field diagnoses of HCV with or without HCC were identified. There were 126,862 new primary registrants for LT, and 52,540 (41%) had HCV. The number of new registrants with HCV dramatically differed by the age at calendar year, and this suggested a birth cohort effect. When the candidates were stratified by birth year in 5-year intervals, the birth cohorts with the highest frequency of HCV were as follows (in decreasing order): 1951-1955, 1956-1960, 1946-1950, and 1941-1945. These 4 birth cohorts, spanning from 1941 to 1960, accounted for 81% of all new registrants with HCV. A 4-fold increase in new registrants with HCV and HCC occurred between the calendar years 2000 and 2010 in the 1941-1960 birth cohorts. By 2015, we anticipate that an increasing proportion of new registrants with HCV will have HCC and be ≥60 years old (born in or before 1955). In conclusion, the greatest demand for LT due to HCV-associated liver disease is occurring among individuals born between 1941 and 1960. This demand appears to be driven by the development of HCC in patients with HCV. During the coming decade, the projected increase in the demand for LT from an aging HCV-infected population will challenge the transplant community to reconsider current treatment paradigms.

Colorectal cancer screening compliance and contemplation in gynecology patients

OBJECTIVE

Colorectal cancer screening (CRCS) should be a necessary part of gynecology (GYN) providers' preventive practices. The purpose of our study is to examine CRCS recommendations and adherence in this population.

METHODS

A questionnaire was administered to a prospective cohort of patients awaiting health maintenance exams at six academic and private gynecology offices. Patients reported demographics, CRC/breast/cervical screening adherence, CRCS recommendations, and future likelihood of CRCS.

RESULTS

A total of 461 women aged 51 years and older completed the questionnaire. Sixty-six percent of respondents were compliant with CRCS compared to 93% and 86% for breast and cervical cancer screening, respectively (p < 0.001). GYN providers recommended CRCS in 43% of patients. Sixty-three percent were planning to undergo future CRCS. On multivariable analysis, characteristics associated with CRCS adherence included (odds ratio, 95% confidence interval): older age (1.1 per year, 1.1-1.2), previous mammography (3.7, 1.4-9.7), family history (FH) of CRC/polyps (1.9, 1.0-3.4), friend with CRC (2.6, 1.5-4.7), and any doctor recommending CRCS (8.2, 4.6-14.7). CRCS rates were higher among patients who received a recommendation from a PCP (primary care provider) than from a GYN provider. Factors associated with intention to undergo CRCS include previous mammography (1.4, 4.2-12.0), any doctor recommendation (6.4, 3.7-11.0), and FH of CRC/polyps (3.5, 1.9-6.3). CRCS recommendations by both GYNs and PCPs had a greater impact on CRCS contemplation than those from a PCP or GYN alone.

CONCLUSION

In gynecology patients, having multiple providers recommend CRCS increases the likelihood of patients' intentions to undergo CRCS. However, CRCS compliance is primarily driven solely by PCP recommendations. Regardless, strategies must be in place to prompt gynecologists and nurse practitioners to discuss CRCS in eligible patients.

Maintenance of heartburn relief after step-down from twice-daily proton pump inhibitor to once-daily dexlansoprazole modified release

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Many patients with gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) take a proton pump inhibitor (PPI) twice daily to control symptoms. Once-daily dexlansoprazole modified release (MR) has a dual-delayed release formulation, making it attractive for step-down management of patients whose symptoms are well controlled on twice-daily PPIs. We investigated whether step-down to once-daily dexlansoprazole controls heartburn in patients with GERD who were receiving twice-daily PPI therapy.

METHODS

Patients 18 years and older taking a twice-daily PPI for symptom control were enrolled (n = 178) in a single-blind, multicenter study; 163 patients completed the study and 142 patients met criteria for the efficacy analysis. During the 6-week screening and treatment periods, patients recorded the presence of heartburn symptoms twice daily in electronic diaries. Patients' heartburn was considered well controlled if they had an average of 1 symptom or fewer per week during the last 4 weeks of screening and treatment. After screening, qualified patients were switched to masked dexlansoprazole MR 30 mg and placebo for 6 weeks. The primary efficacy end point was the proportion of patients whose heartburn remained well controlled after step-down. GERD-related symptoms and quality of life (QOL) also were evaluated using the Patient Assessment of Upper Gastrointestinal Disorders Symptom Severity Index (PAGI-SYM) and the PAGI-QOL questionnaires, respectively.

RESULTS

After step-down to once-daily dexlansoprazole MR 30 mg, heartburn remained well controlled in 88% of patients (125 of 142). These patients were able to maintain their GERD-related symptom severity and QOL, indicated by marginal changes in the PAGI-SYM and PAGI-QOL total and subscale scores, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Most patients with GERD who take twice-daily PPI to control heartburn are able to successfully step down to once-daily dexlansoprazole 30 mg.

Adverse events after screening and follow-up colonoscopy

OBJECTIVE

We provide new information about how the risk of adverse events following colonoscopy varies by age and indication (screening vs. follow-up performed to evaluate a positive result from another screening modality).

METHODS

We constructed a retrospective cohort comprised of 43,456 individuals aged 40-85 years enrolled in a large integrated healthcare organization in Washington State who underwent outpatient colonoscopy between 1994 and 2009. We calculated rates of serious adverse events (perforation, hemorrhage, and acute diverticulitis) in the 30 days following colonoscopy and compared rates using log-binomial regression models.

RESULTS

We observed 4.7 serious adverse events per 1,000 screening colonoscopies and 6.8 per 1,000 follow-up colonoscopies. Polypectomy increased the rate of serious adverse events (relative rate [RR], 2.64; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.97-3.56). Older age was associated with increased risk of serious adverse events, after adjusting for polypectomy, gender, and indication. Compared to individuals aged 50-64 years, risk was elevated for those aged 65-74 (RR, 1.93; 95% CI, 1.40-2.65) and 75-85 (RR, 3.21; 95% CI 2.14-4.86). We observed similar age effects in individuals with and without significant comorbid conditions.

CONCLUSIONS

The risks of serious adverse events following colonoscopy performed as part of screening are low but increase with age and are more likely after polypectomy.

Validation of a new physical activity questionnaire for a sedentary population

BACKGROUND

Many available physical activity questionnaires (PAQs) are limited due to either focus on recreational activities or burdensome length.

AIMS

We sought to assess the reliability and validity of a new short PAQ that captures all activity types.

METHODS

The 12-item multiple-choice PAQ-M included eight activity domains, providing a total Physical Activity Score (PAS-M) in kcal/kg/week. The new PAQ-M was administered with the previously validated Paffenbarger PAQ to 426 men, ages 50-79, undergoing colon-cancer screening.

RESULTS

The PAQ-M had excellent test-retest reliability (intraclass correlation = 0.87). The PAS-M was moderately correlated with the Paffenbarger Physical Activity Score (PAS-P) (r = 0.31) and inversely correlated with BMI (r = -0.14) and waist circumference (r = -0.17). Adenoma prevalence was inversely associated with the PAS-M (3rd vs. 1st tertile adjusted odds ratio, 0.46; 95% confidence interval, 0.26-0.84) but not with the PAS-P.

CONCLUSIONS

Our new short physical activity questionnaire has excellent test-retest reliability, and was correlated moderately with a widely used physical activity questionnaire and obesity measures. Furthermore, the new PAQ was a better predictor of adenoma prevalence in the expected direction than the Paffenbarger questionnaire in this largely sedentary population.

Reduced effectiveness of standard recruitment for deceased organ donor registration: the need for population-specific recruitment materials

BACKGROUND

The low rate of deceased donor organ donation limits the availability of life-saving transplants. Transplant candidate caregivers are an under-utilized but potentially devoted pool of advocates who themselves may be recruited to register for deceased organ donation.

AIMS

To compare the effectiveness of recruitment materials in Transplant Candidate Caregivers (TCC) and San Francisco Bay Area Health Fair Attendees (HFA).

METHODS

Each subject was given a California Transplant Donor Network educational pamphlet and cohort-coded registration materials. The primary outcome was the number of new registrations per recruitment packet distributed.

RESULTS

A total of 232 recruitment packets were distributed; 116 to each of the two cohorts. The TCC group was more likely to be older (49 vs. 45, p = 0.05), female (71 vs. 63%, p = 0.2), Hispanic (21 vs. 5%, 0.001), married (75 vs. 33%, p < 0.0001), and less educated (p = 0.007). Despite demographic differences, the two groups had similar prior donor registration rates (40% TCC vs. 50% HFA, p = 0.11). However, with a minimum 2-week follow-up, the number of new registrations was only nine in the TCC cohort as compared to 38 in the HFA cohort (0.33 vs. 0.80 new registrations/packet, p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

The effectiveness of standard deceased donor registration recruitment materials is reduced in Transplant Candidate Caregivers as compared to Health Fair Attendees. This reduced efficacy may be due to dissimilar demographics, psychosocial status at time of recruitment, and beliefs about organ donation. Development of audience specific recruitment materials may improve efforts to register Transplant Candidate Caregivers for deceased organ donation.

Transplant tourism to China: the impact on domestic patient-care decisions

Organ procurement in China has been criticized because of its reliance on executed prisoners as donors. We aimed to assess the influence of perceptions about organ procurement practices in China on domestic patient-care decisions.

METHODS

An anonymous internet administered case-based questionnaire was used to survey a sample of healthcare professionals with affiliations to hepatology and transplantation professional societies.

RESULTS

Of 674 completed surveys, the vast majority (93%) of the respondents were physicians, surgeons or allied transplant professionals actively caring for liver transplant patients and 81% practiced in the US. A strong majority believed procurement practices were ethically sound in the US and Europe (87% and 73%) but fare fewer believed that procurement practices were ethically sound in China (4%, p < 0.001). In case-based questions, lack of confidence in the ethical standards of organ procurement in China predicted patient-care decisions. The majority would provide post-transplantation care for patients who underwent liver transplantation at another domestic center, in a foreign country and in China (90%, 78%, and 63%, respectively, p < 0.001) yet respondents who suspected unethical procurement practices in China were more reluctant to do so (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Transplant professionals expressed concern about organ procurement practices in China which influenced their patient-care decision-making.

Association of hepatitis C seropositivity with increased risk for developing end-stage renal disease

BACKGROUND

Infection with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) has been linked to glomerulonephritis. We undertook this study to determine whether having a positive HCV test result was associated with an increased risk for developing treated end-stage renal disease (ESRD).

METHODS

Using data from Medicare, the Department of Veterans Affairs, and the United States Renal Data System, we performed a retrospective cohort study of 474,369 adult veterans who had serum creatinine levels measured between October 1, 2000, and September 30, 2001, and HCV antibody testing within 1 year of creatinine testing. Patients were followed up until October 1, 2004, for the outcome of treated ESRD, defined as the onset of chronic dialysis or renal transplantation. Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine the relative hazard for ESRD associated with HCV, adjusted for other covariates (age, sex, race/ethnicity, and comorbidities).

RESULTS

Of 474,369 patients in the cohort, 52,874 (11.1%) had a positive HCV antibody test result. Patients with HCV were more likely to develop ESRD: the rate per 1000 person-years was 4.26 (95% confidence interval, 3.97-4.57) for HCV-seropositive patients vs 3.05 (95% confidence interval, 2.96-3.14) for HCV-seronegative patients. For patients aged 18 to 70 years with an estimated glomerular filtration rate of at least 30 mL/min per 1.73 m2, HCV seropositivity was associated with a greater than 2-fold risk for developing ESRD (adjusted hazard rate, 2.80; 95% confidence interval, 2.43-3.23).

CONCLUSION

In this large national cohort of adult veterans, patients younger than 70 years with HCV seropositivity were at increased risk for developing ESRD treated with dialysis or transplantation.

The cost-effectiveness of CT colonography in screening for colorectal neoplasia

BACKGROUND

We examined the cost-effectiveness of 2- and 3-dimensional computerized tomography (CT) colonography as a screening test for colorectal neoplasia.

METHODS

We created a Markov model of the natural history of colorectal cancer. Effectiveness of screening was based upon the diagnostic accuracy of tests in detecting polyps and cancer.

RESULTS

CT colonography every 5 or 10 yr was effective and cost-effective relative to no screening. Optical colonoscopy dominates 2-dimensional CT colonography done every 5 or 10 yr. Optical colonoscopy is weakly dominant over 3-dimensional CT colonography done every 10 yr. 3-D CT colonography done every 5 yr is more effective than optical colonoscopy every 10 yr, but costs an incremental 156,000 dollars per life-year gained. Sensitivity analyses show that test costs, accuracy, and adherence are critical determinants of incremental cost-effectiveness. 3-D CT colonography every 5 yr is a dominant strategy if optical colonoscopy costs 1.6 times more than CT colonography. However, optical colonoscopy is a dominant strategy if the sensitivity of CT colonography for 1 cm adenomas is 83% or lower.

CONCLUSIONS

CT colonography is an effective screening test for colorectal neoplasia. However, it is more expensive and generally less effective than optical colonoscopy. CT colonography can be reasonably cost-effective when the diagnostic accuracy of CT colonography is high, as with primary 3-dimensional technology, and if costs are about 60% of those of optical colonoscopy. Overall, CT colonography technology will need to improve its accuracy and reliability to be a cost-effective screening option.

Sub-optimal proton pump inhibitor dosing is prevalent in patients with poorly controlled gastro-oesophageal reflux disease

BACKGROUND

Proton pump inhibitors are the most potent drug treatment for gastro-oesophageal reflux disease. Pre-meal dosing maximizes efficacy while sub-optimal dose timing may limit efficacy.

AIM

To determine the prevalence of sub-optimal proton pump inhibitor dosing in a community-based gastro-oesophageal reflux disease population.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

One hundred patients on proton pump inhibitors referred for persistent gastro-oesophageal reflux disease symptoms were questioned about their proton pump inhibitor dosing habits and classified as optimal or sub-optimal dosers. Optimal dosers took proton pump inhibitors with or up to 60 min before meals. Sub-optimal dosers took proton pump inhibitors >60 min before meals, after meals, as needed, or at bedtime.

RESULTS

Forty-six percent dosed optimally. Fifty-four percent dosed sub-optimally with 21 of 54 (39%) dosing >60 min before meals, 16 (30%) after meals, 15 (28%) at bedtime and two (4%) as needed. Only 6% of the subjects on once-daily proton pump inhibitor regimens and 33% of subjects taking proton pump inhibitors two- to three times daily dosed in a manner that maximized acid suppression (15-30 min before a meal).

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, 54% of patients dosed proton pump inhibitors sub-optimally and only 12% dosed in a manner that maximized acid suppression. As sub-optimal proton pump inhibitor dose timing can limit efficacy, patients with refractory symptoms should be asked about dose timing to avoid inappropriate and costly dose escalations.

Projections of demand and capacity for colonoscopy related to increasing rates of colorectal cancer screening in the United States

BACKGROUND

There is debate about the optimal colorectal cancer screening test, partly because of concerns about colonoscopy demand.

AIM

To quantify the demand for colonoscopy with different screening tests, and to estimate the ability of the United States health care system to meet demand.

METHODS

We used a previously published Markov model and the United States census data to estimate colonoscopy demand. We then used an endoscopic database to compare current rates of screening-related colonoscopy with those projected by the model, and to estimate the number of endoscopists needed to meet colonoscopy demand.

RESULTS

Annual demand for colonoscopy ranges from 2.21 to 7.96 million. Based on current practice patterns, demand exceeds current supply regardless of screening strategy. We estimate that an increase of at least 1360 gastroenterologists would be necessary to meet demand for colonoscopic screening undergone once at age 65, while colonoscopy every 10 years could require 32 700 more gastroenterologists. A system using dedicated endoscopists could meet demand with fewer endoscopists.

CONCLUSIONS

Colorectal cancer screening leads to demand for colonoscopy that outstrips supply. Systems to train dedicated screening endoscopists may be necessary in order to provide population-wide screening. The costs and feasibility of establishing this infrastructure should be studied further.

The impact of a celebrity promotional campaign on the use of colon cancer screening: the Katie Couric effect

BACKGROUND

Public participation in many preventive health programs is suboptimal. While various interventions to increase participation have been studied, the impact of a celebrity spokesperson on cancer screening has not been rigorously examined. The objective of this study was to assess the impact of Katie Couric's March 2000 Today Show colorectal cancer awareness campaign on colonoscopy rates.

METHODS

A population-based observational study was conducted using 2 different data sources: (1) The Clinical Outcomes Research Initiative (CORI) database-a voluntary consortium of 400 endoscopists who performed 95 000 colonoscopies from July 1998 to December 2000; and (2) 44 000 adult members of a managed care organization. Using change point analyses and linear regression models, we compared colonoscopy utilization rates before and after Ms Couric's March 2000 television series.

RESULTS

The number of colonoscopies performed per CORI physician per month after Ms Couric's campaign increased significantly (15.0 per month before campaign; 18.1 after campaign; P<.001). After adjusting for temporal trends, a significantly higher postcampaign colonoscopy rate was sustained for 9 months. Analysis also demonstrated a trend toward an increase in the percentage of colonoscopies performed on women (43.4% before campaign; 47.4% after campaign; P =.054). Colonoscopy rates also increased significantly in the managed care organization after Ms Couric's campaign (1.3 per 1000 members per month before; 1.8 after; P<.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Katie Couric's televised colon cancer awareness campaign was temporally associated with an increase in colonoscopy use in 2 different data sets. These findings suggest that a celebrity spokesperson can have a substantial impact on public participation in preventive care programs.

Cost-analysis of prophylactic antibiotics in spontaneous bacterial peritonitis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Antibiotic prophylaxis has been shown to decrease the incidence of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) in patients with cirrhosis and ascites. The aim of this study was to test whether antibiotic prophylaxis for SBP is cost-effective and to compare the costs associated with different patient groups and treatment strategies.

METHODS

A cost-effectiveness analysis was performed using a Markov chain model. The costs incurred during 1-year treatment with prophylactic antibiotics vs. no prophylaxis in patients with cirrhosis and ascites were calculated. The incidence rates of primary and recurrent SBP and the mortality rate of SBP were obtained from the literature. Total direct costs of SBP treatment were determined from the wholesale price of drugs and from disbursements by the Health Care Financing Administration.

RESULTS

Norfloxacin prophylaxis resulted in savings between $2216 and $8545 per patient per year, depending on the patient group studied. Trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole prophylaxis resulted in savings between $2934 and $9251 per patient per year. The groups that benefited most from prophylaxis were patients with an ascitic fluid total protein concentration of < or = 1 g/dL and those with a previous history of SBP.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of prophylactic antibiotics to decrease the incidence of SBP is a cost-saving strategy in patients with cirrhosis and ascites.

Ultrasonographic determination of ascitic volume

The purpose of this study was to develop a method by which ascitic volume can be calculated using transcorporeal ultrasonography, and to determine the accuracy of this method by comparison with the volume of distribution of a radiolabeled tracer (indicator dilution technique [IDT]). Subjects with ascites confirmed by ultrasonography were recruited from the San Francisco General Hospital Gastroenterology and Liver Clinics. With subjects in the prone position on their hands and knees, ultrasonographic measurements were obtained along the ventral surface of the abdomen. The greatest vertical depth of ascitic fluid was recorded, and the abdominal circumference was measured from this point. The ascitic fluid volume was modeled as a segment of a sphere. IDT was performed as the reference method by injecting 99mTc-labeled macroalbumin into the peritoneal cavity and determining the volume of distribution of the indicator. Nine patients were evaluated. The median volume of ascites measured by the IDT was 11.2 L (range, 1.5-17.0 L). The median volume calculated by the ultrasonographic method was 10.3 L (range, 1.2-18.0 L). The correlation coefficient between the ultrasonographic and IDT was 0.96 (P < .001). Our technique accurately determines the volume of ascites using simple ultrasonographic measurements.

Long-term follow-up of endoscopic treatment for bleeding gastric and duodenal ulcers

OBJECTIVE

To examine the long-term consequences of endoscopic therapy for bleeding peptic ulcers.

METHODS

Eighty-seven consecutive patients who underwent endoscopic treatment for bleeding gastric ulcer (GU) and/or duodenal ulcer (DU) over a 42-month period were identified. Long-term follow-up was available for 76 (mean, 495 days; SEM, 45 days). Therapy consisted of epinephrine injection, heater probe use, or both. Recurrent hemorrhage only at the primary treatment site was considered.

RESULTS

The sites of hemorrhage were GU (40 patients), DU (34 patients), and both (2 patients). Emergent surgery was required in two GU patients for whom endoscopic treatment was ineffective. Recurrent hemorrhage ultimately occurred in 33% of patients--40% of GU and 25% of DU patients. Surgical therapy was eventually required in 26% of patients after endoscopic hemostasis and was more frequent in patients with recurrent hemorrhage from DU than GU (78% vs 56%). For those patients who re-bled within 8 days of the index endoscopy, 82% required surgery, compared with 33% of patients who re-bled more than 8 days after the index endoscopy (p = 0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

The rate of recurrent hemorrhage after endoscopic hemostasis for bleeding GU and DU was 33% in our long-term follow-up. After endoscopic hemostasis, surgery was eventually required in 24% of all patients and in 64% of patients who had recurrent hemorrhage. Patients who had recurrent hemorrhage more than 1 wk after initial endoscopic hemostasis were effectively treated by repeated endoscopic therapy and were significantly less likely to require surgery than patients who re-bled within 1 wk.

A compliant interface for total knee arthroplasty

Low pressure sensitive Fujifilm was used to measure the load distribution between the resected tibial surface and a tibial component at axial loads up to 3,000 N for a rigid interface, a compliant interface of dacron double-sided velour, and a cemented interface. The pressure patterns consisted of a multitude of small red dots, generally reflecting the slight irregularities of the cut surface and the stiffness of the cancellous bone at the surface. The pressure patterns were photographed with high-contrast film and input into a computer using a photodiode matrix camera. The data were analyzed to yield the number of contact points for each sample. The velour was more effective in distribution of load to the proximal tibia than the rigid and cemented interfaces, while there was no significant difference between the cemented interface and the rigid interface. A second series of tests showed significant increases in contact points from rigid to one layer to two layers of velour. Cyclic axial loading tests were performed to study the characteristics of rigid and compliant interfaces in a model of in vitro subsidence. Static pressure patterns taken at regular intervals showed that subsidence occurred in vitro in up to 1/3 of the tibias, and that the regions of load transfer could change with time. A model of subsidence was proposed and it was suggested that a velour layer could inhibit the subsidence.