Associations of changes in fat free mass with risk for type 2 diabetes: Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos

AIMS

To determine whether loss of muscle mass (approximated using fat free mass [FFM]) is associated with risk for type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in Hispanic/Latino adults in the United States.

METHODS

Participants were Hispanic/Latino adults (18-74-year-olds) who completed Visit 2 of the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos (HCHS/SOL; multi-site, prospective cohort study; 6.1-year follow-up) and did not have T2DM at baseline (n = 6264). At baseline and Visit 2, FFM was measured using bioelectrical impedance analysis and fasting glucose, HbA1c, and fasting insulin were measured by examiners. Diabetes was defined according to American Diabetes Association criteria. Survey-weighted Poisson regression models examined the association of percent change in relative FFM (%ΔFFM) with incident prediabetes and T2DM. Survey-weighted multivariable regression models examined associations of %ΔFFM with changes in glucose and insulin measures.

RESULTS

Relative FFM declined by 2.1% between visits. %ΔFFM was inversely associated with incident prediabetes (p-for-trend = 0.001) and with changes in glucose and insulin measures (p-for-trend <0.0001). Findings were null, except for HOMA-IR, after adjustment for changes in adiposity measures. Associations were generally stronger for individuals with baseline overweight/obesity.

CONCLUSIONS

Reducing loss of FFM during adulthood may reduce prediabetes risk (primarily insulin resistance), particularly among individuals with overweight/obesity.

1144 Actigraphy-defined Sleep And Neurocognitive Decline In Middle-age Hispanic/Latino Adults

Introduction

Few studies have evaluated objective sleep measures and longitudinal neurocognitive decline, particularly in middle-age or Hispanic/Latino adults. We evaluated prospective associations between actigraphy-defined sleep and 7-year neurocognitive change among Hispanic/Latino adults. We hypothesized that sleep duration would be associated with neurocognitive decline.

Methods

We analyzed data from 1,036 adults 45-64 years of age from the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos (HCHS/SOL), a multi-center prospective cohort study of diverse community-dwelling Hispanic/Latino adults. At Visit 1 (2008-2011), participants underwent neurocognitive assessments, 7-days of actigraphy, home sleep testing, and sleep questionnaires (including the Insomnia Severity Index). Seven years later, participants repeated neurocognitive assessments. The neurocognitive battery included the Six-Item Screener, Brief Spanish-English Verbal Learning Test, phonemic word fluency test, and Digit Symbol Subtest. Survey linear regression was used to evaluate prospective associations between actigraphy-defined or self-reported sleep variables and neurocognitive change. Final models adjusted for objectively-defined variables (age, body-mass index, Field Center, and time between neurocognitive assessments), and self-reported variables (sex, education, Hispanic/Latino background, alcohol consumption, physical activity, heart failure, cerebrovascular events, depression and anxiety symptoms, and antidepressant use).

Results

At Visit 1, the sample was 55% female and mean age was 54.9±2.2 years. The mean sleep duration was 402.6±27.6 minutes, mean sleep-onset latency was 11.3±9.7 minutes, mean number of days with naps of ≥ 15 minutes duration was 1.1±0.7, and mean sleep-time per nap was 51±14.1 minutes. Increased sleep-onset latency was associated with 7-year declines in global neurocognitive function (β=-0.0026, p&lt;0.01), verbal learning (β=-0.0028, p&lt;0.001) and verbal memory (β=-0.036, p&lt;0.05). Increased sleep-time per nap predicted better verbal memory (β=0.0038, p&lt;0.05). In contrast, sleep duration, sleep fragmentation, and self-reported sleep measures were not associated with neurocognitive change.

Conclusion

Among middle-age adults, sleep-onset latency and nap duration were associated with neurocognitive change. These findings may serve as targets for intervention of neurocognitive decline.

Support

This work is supported by the National Institute on Aging: R01AG048642, RF1AG054548, R01AG061022, R21AG056952, and R21HL140437 (AR).

P6192Effects of evolocumab on LDL-C by race and ethnicity: an analysis of double-blind and open-label extension studies

Background/Introduction

Cardiovascular risk factors and clinical outcomes of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) vary amongst racial and ethnic groups.

Purpose

To examine the effects of evolocumab on low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels and achievement of LDL-C target goals by race or ethnicity.

Methods

Data from global phase 2 and 3 studies with at least 12 weeks of treatment with approved evolocumab doses vs. placebo or ezetimibe were included in this analysis (n=4375). Results were analysed by patient characteristics (statin intolerance, type 2 diabetes, heterozygous familial hypercholesterolaemia, and hypercholesterolaemia/mixed dyslipidaemia), self-identified race (White, Black/African American, and Asian), and self-identified ethnicity (Hispanic/Latino). Key outcomes included percent change in LDL-C, achievement of LDL-C <1.8 mmol/L (<70 mg/dL), and LDL-C achievement of at least 50% reduction.

Results

After 12-week evolocumab treatment, mean percent change in LDL-C from baseline ranged from approximately −52% to −59% for white patients to −49% to −67% for non-white patients, across all groups with adequate sample size (n>20) (Table). LDL-C <1.8 mmol/L was achieved in 43–84% of white patients and 62–94% of non-white patients receiving evolocumab (n>20). Similarly, 63–78% of white patients and 58–86% of non-white patients achieved at least a 50% reduction in LDL-C. The magnitude of treatment effect on mean percent change in LDL-C differed significantly only between white and non-white patients with diabetes (interaction p-values of treatment by race for evolocumab every 2 weeks p<0.001; once monthly p=0.007). This was driven by a greater reduction in Asian patients.

Mean (standard deviation) percent change in LDL-C levels from baseline, % Achievement of LDL-C <1.8 mmol/L (70 mg/dL)/LDL-C achievement of at least 50% reduction, % Population White Non-White Non-Hispanic Black or African American Asian Hispanic/Latino* White Non-White Non-Hispanic Black or African American Asian Hispanic/Latino* Statin-Intolerant† −55.4 (14.8) −46.3 (20.9) −46.0 (13.4) −49.0 (29.3) −54.6 (12.3) 42.9 / 68.6 26.7 / 60.0 14.3 / 42.9 50.0 / 83.3 0 / 66.7 n=210 n=15 n=7 n=6 n=3 Diabetes‡ −51.5 (25.6) −66.5 (21.2) −50.4 (22.2) −69.6 (20.2) −59.7 (20.5) 82.3 / 63.0 93.9 / 82.0 90.0 / 62.5 95.1 / 86.6 89.2 / 75.3 n=440 n=395 n=40 n=305 n=158 HeFH§ −57.3 (19.7) −64.1 (12.0) −73.8 (4.1) −60.5 (12.8) −35.8§§ 66.1 / 73.7 61.5 / 84.6 100 / 100 53.3 / 80.0 0 / 0 n=236 n=26 n=3 n=15 n=1 Hyper-cholesterolaemia/ −58.8 (19.2) −65.5 (17.0) −51.2 (19.4) −69.4 (13.9) −54.6 (20.3) 83.3 / 77.6 89.7 / 86.0 74.4 / 60.5 94.7 / 93.5 79.1 / 69.2   Mixed Dyslipidaemia¶ n=1399 n=437 n=86 n=339 n=91 Hyper-cholesterolaemia/ −59.4 (17.1) −58.4 (16.9) −52.8 (19.4) −65.8 (10.3) −56.7 (22.1) 80.2 / 78.5 85.7 / 75.7 82.4 / 67.6 96.7 / 93.3 77.3 / 68.2   Mixed Dyslipidaemia†† n=605 n=70 n=34 n=30 n=44 1-Year Study‡‡ −52.1 (27.7) −48.6 (29.2) −50.8 (22.0) −49.5 (29.4) −43.0 (43.1) 84.4 / 67.4 73.6 / 57.5 74.5 / 59.6 76.5 / 58.8 82.1 / 60.7 n=436 n=106 n=47 n=34 n=28 †GAUSS-1, -2 studies; ‡BANTING and BERSON studies; §RUTHERFORD-1, -2 studies; ¶Placebo comparator: MENDEL-1, -2, LAPLACE-TIMI-57, LAPLACE-2 and YUKAWA-1, -2 studies; ††Ezetimibe comparator: MENDEL-2 and LAPLACE-2 atorvastatin cohorts; ‡‡DESCARTES; §§Standard deviation could not be calculated due to insufficient sample size. *A total of 22 patients receiving evolocumab self-identified as Hispanic Black.

Conclusion

Reduction in LDL-C levels with evolocumab treatment was similar across race and ethnicity, apart from the diabetes population where Asian patients had a greater reduction in LDL-C.

Acknowledgement/Funding

Amgen Inc.

Association between exposure to household cigarette smoking behavior and cigarette smoking in Hispanic adults: Findings from the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos

BACKGROUND

Cigarette smoking behavior is highly determined by social influences during childhood and adolescence. This phenomenon has not been fully evaluated in the Hispanic/Latino population.

PURPOSE

To examine the association between exposure to household cigarette smoking behavior (HCSB) and adult cigarette smoking among a diverse Hispanic/Latino population living in four US urban centers. The effect of acculturation on cigarette smoking was also evaluated.

METHODS

Data from the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos (HCHS/SOL) (n=13,231, ages 18-74years, collected between March 2008 and June 2011) were analyzed using logistic regression.

RESULTS

HCSB exposure was an independent risk factor for adult current cigarette smoking in Hispanic/Latinos (OR 1.7; 95% CI 1.4, 2.1) after controlling for relevant confounders including socio-demographic and cultural factors. Cubans and Puerto Ricans had the highest prevalence of HCSB exposure (59% and 47% respectively) and highest prevalence of current cigarette smoking (26% and 32%) compared with other Hispanic/Latino groups, (p<.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Our data suggest that exposure to HCSB in Hispanics/Latinos living in the US is an independent predictor of adult cigarette smoking, and this association appears to be strongest in Cubans and Puerto Ricans.

Relation of raw and cooked vegetable consumption to blood pressure: the INTERMAP Study

Inverse associations have been reported of overall vegetable intake to blood pressure (BP); whether such relations prevail for both raw and cooked vegetables has not been examined. Here we report cross-sectional associations of vegetable intakes with BP for 2195 Americans ages 40-59 in the International Study of Macro/Micronutrients and Blood Pressure (INTERMAP) using four standardized multi-pass 24-h dietary recalls and eight BP measurements. Relations to BP of raw and cooked vegetables consumption, and main individual constituents were assessed by multiple linear regression. Intakes of both total raw and total cooked vegetables considered separately were inversely related to BP in multivariate-adjusted models. Estimated average systolic BP differences associated with two s.d. differences in raw vegetable intake (68 g per 1000 kcal) and cooked vegetable intake (92 g per 1000 kcal) were -1.9 mm Hg (95% confidence interval (CI): -3.1, -0.8; P=0.001) and -1.3 mm Hg (95% CI: -2.5, -0.2; P=0.03) without body mass index (BMI) in the full model; -1.3 mm Hg (95% CI: -2.4, -0.2; P=0.02) and -0.9 mm Hg (95% CI: -2.0, 0.2; P=0.1) with additional adjustment for BMI. Among commonly consumed individual raw vegetables, tomatoes, carrots, and scallions related significantly inversely to BP. Among commonly eaten cooked vegetables, tomatoes, peas, celery, and scallions related significantly inversely to BP.

Potassium intake and risk of incident type 2 diabetes mellitus: the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) Study

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Serum potassium has been found to be a significant predictor of diabetes risk, but the effect of dietary potassium on diabetes risk is not clear. We sought to determine if dietary potassium is associated with risk of incident type 2 diabetes in young adults.

METHODS

We used data from the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) Study. Potassium intake was measured by (1) an average of three 24 h urinary potassium collections at the 5-year study visit, and (2) the CARDIA dietary assessment instrument at baseline. Incident type 2 diabetes cases were ascertained on the basis of use of diabetes medication and laboratory measurements. Analyses were adjusted for relevant confounders including intake of fruit and vegetables and other dietary factors.

RESULTS

Of 1,066 participants with urinary potassium measurements, 99 (9.3%) developed diabetes over 15 years of follow-up. In multivariate models, adults in the lowest urinary potassium quintile were more than twice as likely to develop diabetes as their counterparts in the highest quintile (HR 2.45; 95% CI 1.08, 5.59). Of 4,754 participants with dietary history measurements, 373 (7.8%) developed diabetes over 20 years of follow-up. In multivariate models, African-Americans had a significantly increased risk of diabetes with lower potassium intake, which was not found in whites.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Low dietary potassium is associated with increased risk of incident diabetes in African-Americans. Randomised clinical trials are needed to determine if potassium supplementation, from either dietary or pharmacological sources, could reduce the risk of diabetes, particularly in higher-risk populations.

Prospective association of serum androgens and sex hormone-binding globulin with subclinical cardiovascular disease in young adult women: the "Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults" women's study

CONTEXT

The role of endogenous androgens and SHBG in the development of cardiovascular disease in young adult women is unclear.

OBJECTIVE

Our objective was to study the prospective association of serum androgens and SHBG with subclinical coronary and carotid disease among young to middle-aged women.

DESIGN AND SETTING

This was an ancillary study to the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) study, a population-based multicenter cohort study with 20 yr of follow-up.

PARTICIPANTS

Participants included 1629 women with measurements of serum testosterone and SHBG from yr 2, 10, or 16 and subclinical disease assessment at yr 20 (ages 37-52 yr).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Coronary artery calcified plaques (CAC) and carotid artery intima-media thickness (IMT) were assessed at yr 20. The IMT measure incorporated the common carotid arteries, bifurcations, and internal carotid arteries.

RESULTS

SHBG (mean of yr 2, 10, and 16) was inversely associated with the presence of CAC (multivariable adjusted odds ratio for women with SHBG levels above the median = 0.59; 95% confidence interval = 0.40-0.87; P = 0.008). SHBG was also inversely associated with the highest quartile of carotid-IMT (odds ratio for women with SHBG levels in the highest quartile = 0.56; 95% confidence interval = 0.37-0.84; P for linear trend across quartiles = 0.005). No associations were observed for total or free testosterone with either CAC or IMT.

CONCLUSION

SHBG levels were inversely associated with subclinical cardiovascular disease in young to middle-aged women. The extent to which low SHBG is a risk marker or has its own independent effects on atherosclerosis is yet to be determined.

Pulse pressure compared with other blood pressure indexes in the prediction of 25-year cardiovascular and all-cause mortality rates: The Chicago Heart Association Detection Project in Industry Study

We compared the relations of 4 blood pressure (BP) indexes (pulse pressure [PP], systolic BP [SBP], diastolic BP [DBP], and mean arterial pressure [MAP]) with 25-year mortality rates for coronary heart disease (CHD), cardiovascular disease (CVD), and all causes in younger, middle-aged, and older men and women by using data from a long-term prospective epidemiological study of employed persons who were screened between 1967 and 1973. A single supine BP measurement was obtained at baseline. Vital status was determined through 1995. We report on 5 groups (total, 28 360 participants) consisting of men age 18 to 39, 40 to 59, and 60 to 74 years and of women age 40 to 59 and 60 to 74 years who were not receiving antihypertensive treatment, had no history of CHD, and did not have diabetes. Cox proportional hazards analyses were used to determine multivariate-adjusted hazard ratios with a 1-SD higher value for each BP index; Wald chi(2) tests were used to compare the strength of relations. Relations of PP were less strong than were those of SBP for all end points in all age/gender groups. SBP or MAP showed the strongest relations to all end points in all age/gender groups (hazard ratio, 1.17 to 1.36). The relations of SBP to death were stronger than were those of DBP, except for middle-aged men and for CVD in women. DBP showed significant positive associations with death, after control for SBP, in middle-aged participants. In conclusion, these data indicate that the long-term risk of high BP should be assessed mainly on the basis of SBP or of SBP and DBP together, not on the basis of PP, in apparently healthy adults.

Relationship of blood pressure to 25-year mortality due to coronary heart disease, cardiovascular diseases, and all causes in young adult men: the Chicago Heart Association Detection Project in Industry

BACKGROUND

Data are limited on blood pressure (BP) in young adults and long-term mortality. Moreover, screening and hypertension treatment guidelines have been based mainly on findings for middle-aged and older populations. This study assesses relationships of BP measured in young adult men to long-term mortality due to coronary heart disease (CHD), cardiovascular diseases (CVD), and all causes.

METHODS

This cohort from the Chicago Heart Association Detection Project in Industry included 10 874 men aged 18 to 39 years at baseline (1967-1973), not receiving antihypertensive drugs, and without CHD or diabetes. Relationship of baseline BP to 25-year CHD, CVD, and all-cause mortality was assessed.

RESULTS

Age-adjusted association of systolic BP to CHD mortality was continuous and graded. Multivariate-adjusted CHD hazard ratios (HRs) for 1 SD higher systolic BP (15 mm Hg) and diastolic BP (10 mm Hg) were 1.26 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.11-1.44) and 1.17 (95% CI, 1.01-1.35), respectively. Compared with the Sixth Report of the Joint National Committee on Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure stratum with normal BP (and lowest mortality rates), the large strata with high-normal BP and stage 1 hypertension had 25-year absolute risks for death of 63 and 72 per 1000, respectively, and absolute excess risks of 10 and 20 per 1000, respectively; accounted for 59.8% of all excess CHD, CVD, and all-cause mortality; and were estimated to have life expectancy shortened by 2.2 and 4.1 years, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In young adult men, BP above normal was significantly related to increased long-term mortality due to CHD, CVD, and all causes. Population-wide primary prevention, early detection, and control of higher BP are indicated from young adulthood on.

Relationship of baseline serum cholesterol levels in 3 large cohorts of younger men to long-term coronary, cardiovascular, and all-cause mortality and to longevity

CONTEXT

Based on observational and interventional data for middle-aged cohorts (aged 40-64 years), serum cholesterol level is known to be an established major risk factor for coronary heart disease (CHD). However, findings for younger people are limited, and the value of detecting and treating hypercholesterolemia in younger adults is debated.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the long-term impact of unfavorable serum cholesterol levels on risk of death from CHD, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and all causes.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Three prospective studies, from which were selected 3 cohorts of younger men with baseline serum cholesterol level measurements and no history of diabetes mellitus or myocardial infarction. A total of 11,017 men aged 18 through 39 years screened in 1967-1973 for the Chicago Heart Association Detection Project in Industry (CHA); 1266 men aged 25 through 39 years examined in 1959-1963 in the Peoples Gas Company Study (PG); and 69,205 men aged 35 through 39 years screened in 1973-1975 for the Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Trial (MRFIT).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Cause-specific mortality during 25 (CHA), 34 (PG), and 16 (MRFIT) years of follow-up; mortality risks; and estimated life expectancy in relation to baseline serum cholesterol levels.

RESULTS

Death due to CHD accounted for 26%, 34%, and 28% of all deaths in the CHA, PG, and MRFIT cohorts, respectively; and CVD death for 34%, 42%, and 39% of deaths in the same cohorts, respectively. Men in all 3 cohorts with unfavorable serum cholesterol levels (200-239 mg/dL [5.17-6.18 mmol/L] and >/=240 mg/dL [>/=6.21 mmol/L]) had strong gradients of relative mortality risk. For men with serum cholesterol levels of 240 mg/dL or greater (>/=6.21 mmol/L) vs favorable levels (<200 mg/dL [<5.17 mmol/L]), CHD mortality risk was 2.15 to 3.63 times greater; CVD disease mortality risk was 2.10 to 2.87 times greater; and all-cause mortality was 1.31 to 1.49 times greater. Hypercholesterolemic men had age-adjusted absolute risk of CHD death of 59 per 1000 men in 25 years (CHA cohort), 90 per 1000 men in 34 years (PG cohort), and 15 per 1000 men in 16 years (MRFIT cohort). Absolute excess risk was 43.6 per 1000 men (CHA), 81.4 per 1000 men (PG), and 12.1 per 1000 men (MRFIT). Men with favorable baseline serum cholesterol levels had an estimated greater life expectancy of 3.8 to 8.7 years.

CONCLUSIONS

These results demonstrate a continuous, graded relationship of serum cholesterol level to long-term risk of CHD, CVD, and all-cause mortality, substantial absolute risk and absolute excess risk of CHD and CVD death for younger men with elevated serum cholesterol levels, and longer estimated life expectancy for younger men with favorable serum cholesterol levels. JAMA. 2000;284:311-318

Low risk-factor profile and long-term cardiovascular and noncardiovascular mortality and life expectancy: findings for 5 large cohorts of young adult and middle-aged men and women

CONTEXT

Three major coronary risk factors-serum cholesterol level, blood pressure, and smoking-increase incidence of coronary heart disease (CHD) and related end points. In previous investigations, risks for low-risk reference groups were estimated statistically because samples contained too few such people to measure risk.

OBJECTIVE

To measure long-term mortality rates for individuals with favorable levels for all 3 major risk factors, compared with others.

DESIGN

Two prospective studies, involving 5 cohorts based on age and sex, that enrolled persons with a range of risk factors. Low risk was defined as serum cholesterol level less than 5.17 mmol/L (<200 mg/dL), blood pressure less than orequal to 120/80 mm Hg, and no current cigarette smoking. All persons with a history of diabetes, myocardial infarction (MI), or, in 3 of 5 cohorts, electrocardiogram (ECG) abnormalities, were excluded.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

In 18 US cities, a total of 72144 men aged 35 through 39 years and 270671 men aged 40 through 57 years screened (1973-1975) for the Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Trial (MRFIT); in Chicago, a total of 10025 men aged 18 through 39 years, 7490 men aged 40 through 59 years, and 6229 women aged 40 through 59 years screened (1967-1973) for the Chicago Heart Association Detection Project in Industry (CHA) (N = 366559).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Cause-specific mortality during 16 (MRFIT) and 22 (CHA) years, relative risks (RRs) of death, and estimated greater life expectancy, comparing low-risk subcohorts vs others by age strata.

RESULTS

Low-risk persons comprised only 4.8% to 9.9% of the cohorts. All 5 low-risk groups experienced significantly and markedly lower CHD and cardiovascular disease death rates than those who had elevated cholesterol level, or blood pressure, or smoked. For example, age-adjusted RRs of CHD mortality ranged from 0.08 for CHA men aged 18 to 39 years to 0.23 for CHA men aged 40 through 59 years. The age-adjusted relative risks (RRs) for all cardiovascular disease mortality ranged from 0.15 for MRFIT men aged 35 through 39 years to 0.28 for CHA men aged 40 through 59 years. The age-adjusted RR for all-cause mortality rate ranged from 0.42 for CHA men aged 40 through 59 years to 0.60 for CHA women aged 40 through 59 years. Estimated greater life expectancy for low-risk groups ranged from 5.8 years for CHA women aged 40 through 59 years to 9.5 years for CHA men aged 18 through 39 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Based on these very large cohort studies, for individuals with favorable levels of cholesterol and blood pressure who do not smoke and do not have diabetes, MI, or ECG abnormalities, long-term mortality is much lower and longevity is much greater. A substantial increase in the proportion of the population at lifetime low risk could contribute decisively to ending the CHD epidemic.

Resting heart rate is a risk factor for cardiovascular and noncardiovascular mortality: the Chicago Heart Association Detection Project in Industry

In a prospective cohort study, associations of resting heart rate with risk of coronary, cardiovascular disease, cancer, and all-cause mortality in age-specific cohorts of black and white men and women were examined over 22 years of follow-up. Participants were employees from 84 companies and organizations in the Chicago, Illinois, area who volunteered for a screening examination. Participants included 9,706 men aged 18-39 years, 7,760 men aged 40-59 years, 1,321 men aged 60-74 years, 6,928 women aged 18-39 years, 6,915 women aged 40-59 years, and 1,151 women aged 60-74 years at the baseline examination in 1967-1973. Vital status was ascertained through 1992. For fatal coronary disease, multivariate-adjusted relative risks associated with a 12 beats per minute higher heart rate (one standard deviation) were as follows: for men aged 18-39 years, relative risk (RR) = 1.27 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.08-1.48); for men aged 40-59 years, RR = 1.13 (95% CI 1.05-1.21); for men aged 60-74 years, RR = 1.00 (95% CI 0.89-1.12); for women aged 40-59 years, RR = 1.21 (95% CI 1.07-1.36); and for women aged 60-74 years, RR = 1.16 (95% CI 0.99-1.37). Corresponding risks for all fatal cardiovascular diseases were similar to those for coronary death alone. Deaths from cancer were significantly associated with heart rate in men and women aged 40-59 years. All-cause mortality was associated with higher heart rate in men aged 18-39 years (RR = 1.11, 95% CI 1.01-1.20), men aged 40-59 years (RR = 1.16, 95% CI 1.11-1.21), and women aged 40-59 years (RR = 1.20, 95% CI 1.13-1.27). Heart rate was not associated with mortality in women aged 18-39 years. In summary, heart rate was a risk factor for mortality from coronary disease, all cardiovascular diseases, and all causes in younger men and in middle-aged men and women, and for cancer mortality in middle-aged men and women.

Association of nonspecific minor ST-T abnormalities with cardiovascular mortality: the Chicago Western Electric Study

CONTEXT

Minor electrocardiographic (ECG) ST-T abnormalities are common, but their prognostic importance has not been fully determined.

OBJECTIVE

To examine associations of single (1 time only) and multiple (2 times only and > or =3 times) nonspecific minor ST-T abnormalities in 5 years with long-term mortality due to myocardial infarction (MI), coronary heart disease (CHD), cardiovascular disease (CVD), and all causes in middle-aged men.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study (29-year follow-up after 5 annual examinations).

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

A total of 1673 men employed at the Western Electric Company in Chicago, III, aged 40 to 55 years at entry, with no evidence of CHD and no major ECG abnormalities throughout the first 5-year period.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Minor ST-T abnormalities identified from annual resting ECGs and mortality ascertained from death certificates.

RESULTS

Of the 1673 men, 173 had evidence of isolated nonspecific minor ST-T segment abnormalities. During the follow-up period, there were 234 deaths due to MI, 352 deaths due to CHD, 463 deaths due to CVD, and 889 deaths due to all causes. For men with 3 or more annual recordings of minor ST-T abnormalities, risk of death due to MI, CHD, CVD, and all causes was significantly greater than for those with normal ECG findings. For men with 3 or more ECGs with minor ST-T abnormalities, relative risks (and 95% confidence intervals) adjusted for cardiovascular and other risk factors were 2.28 (1.16-4.49), 2.39 (1.39-4.12), 2.30 (1.44-3.68), and 1.60 (1.06-2.42), respectively, with a graded relationship between frequency of occurrence of ST-T abnormalities and mortality risk (linear trend, P< or =.007).

CONCLUSIONS

Persistent, minor, nonspecific ST-T abnormalities are associated with increased long-term risk of mortality due to MI, CHD, CVD, and all causes; the higher the frequency of occurrence of minor ST-T abnormalities, the greater the risk. These data underscore the potential value of including nonspecific ECG findings in the overall assessment of cardiovascular risk.

Benefit of a favorable cardiovascular risk-factor profile in middle age with respect to Medicare costs

BACKGROUND

People without major risk factors for cardiovascular disease in middle age live longer than those with unfavorable risk-factor profiles. It is not known whether such low-risk status also results in lower expenditures for medical care at older ages. We used data from the Chicago Heart Association Detection Project in Industry to assess the relation of a low risk of cardiovascular disease in middle age to Medicare expenditures later in life.

METHODS

We studied 7039 men and 6757 women who were 40 to 64 years of age when surveyed between 1967 and 1973 and who survived to have at least two years of Medicare coverage in 1984 through 1994. Men and women classified as being at low risk for cardiovascular disease were those who had the following characteristics at the time they were initially surveyed: serum cholesterol level, <200 mg per deciliter (5.2 mmol per liter); blood pressure, < or =120/80 mm Hg; no current smoking; an absence of electrocardiographic abnormalities; no history of diabetes; and no history of myocardial infarction. We compared Medicare costs for the 279 men (4.0 percent) and 298 women (4.4 percent) who had this low-risk profile with those for the rest of the study group, who were not at low risk. Health Care Financing Administration charges for services to Medicare beneficiaries were used to estimate average annual health care costs (total costs, those for cardiovascular diseases, and those for cancer).

RESULTS

Average annual health care charges were much lower for persons at low risk - the total charges for the men at low risk were less than two thirds of the charges for the men not at low risk ($1,615 less); for the women at low risk, the charges were less than one half of those for the women not at low risk ($1,885 less). Charges related to cardiovascular disease were lower for the low-risk groups of men and women than for those not at low risk (by $979 and $556, respectively), and charges related to cancer were also lower (by $134 and $189).

CONCLUSIONS

People with favorable cardiovascular risk profiles in middle age had lower average annual Medicare charges in older age. Having optimal status with respect to major cardiovascular risk factors may result not only in greater longevity but also in lower health care costs.

One-hour postload plasma glucose and risks of fatal coronary heart disease and stroke among nondiabetic men and women: the Chicago Heart Association Detection Project in Industry (CHA) Study

Associations of baseline one-hour postload plasma glucose with 22-year coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular diseases, and all cause mortality were assessed in five age-specific cohorts of nondiabetic men and women from the Chicago Heart Association Detection Project in Industry: 10,269 men ages 18-39 years; 7993 men ages 40-59 years; 1240 men ages 60-74 years; 6319 women ages 40-59 years; and 932 women ages 60-74 years. Plasma glucose was determined one hour after a 50-gram oral glucose load. Cox regression analyses were used to control for age and other covariates. Generally, higher glucose was significantly associated with mortality from coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular diseases, and all cause mortality in men and women. This large longitudinal study provides evidence that one-hour postload plasma glucose in the absence of clinical diabetes at baseline apparently is an independent risk factor for fatal coronary heart disease and stroke in middle-aged and older nondiabetic men and women, and also for cardiovascular diseases and for all cause mortality.

Fish consumption and the 30-year risk of fatal myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND

Epidemiologic data on the possible benefit of eating fish to reduce the risk of coronary heart disease have been inconsistent. We used data from the Chicago Western Electric Study to examine the relation between base-line fish consumption and the 30-year risk of death from coronary heart disease.

METHODS

The study participants were 1822 men who were 40 to 55 years old and free of cardiovascular disease at base line. Fish consumption, as determined from a detailed dietary history, was stratified (0, 1 to 17, 18 to 34, and > or = 35 g per day). Mortality from coronary heart disease, ascertained from death certificates, was classified as death from myocardial infarction (sudden or nonsudden) or death from other coronary causes.

RESULTS

During 47,153 person-years of follow-up, there were 430 deaths from coronary heart disease; 293 were due to myocardial infarctions (196 were sudden, 94 were nonsudden, and 3 were not classifiable). Cox proportional-hazards regression showed that for men who consumed 35 g or more of fish daily as compared with those who consumed none, the relative risks of death from coronary heart disease and from sudden or nonsudden myocardial infarction were 0.62 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.40 to 0.94) and 0.56 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.33 to 0.93), respectively, with a graded relation between the relative risks and the strata of fish consumption (P for trend = 0.04 and 0.02, respectively). These findings were accounted for by the relation of fish consumption to nonsudden death from myocardial infarction (relative risk, 0.33; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.12 to 0.91; P for trend= 0.007).

CONCLUSIONS

These data show an inverse association between fish consumption and death from coronary heart disease, especially nonsudden death from myocardial infarction.

Dietary vitamin C, beta-carotene and 30-year risk of stroke: results from the Western Electric Study

The relations of dietary antioxidants vitamin C and beta-carotene to 30-year risk of stroke incidence and mortality were investigated prospectively in the Chicago Western Electric Study among 1,843 middle-aged men who remained free of cardiovascular disease through their second examination. Stroke mortality was ascertained from death certificates, and nonfatal stroke from records of the Health Care Financing Administration. During 46, 102 person-years of follow-up, 222 strokes occurred; 76 of them were fatal. After adjustment for age, systolic blood pressure, cigarette smoking, body mass index, serum cholesterol, total energy intake, alcohol consumption, and diabetes, relative risks (and 95% confidence intervals) for nonfatal and fatal strokes (n = 222) in highest versus lowest quartiles of dietary beta-carotene and vitamin C intake were 0.84 (0.57-1.24) and 0.71 (0.47-1.05), respectively. Generally similar results were observed for fatal strokes (n = 76). Although there was a modest decrease in risk of stroke with higher intake of beta-carotene and vitamin-C intake, these data do not provide definitive evidence that high intake of antioxidant vitamins decreases risk of stroke.

Dietary beta-carotene, vitamin C, and risk of prostate cancer: results from the Western Electric Study

Dietary factors are likely candidates for important determinants of prostatic cancer risk. Among the most investigated nutritional factors have been antioxidants. We evaluated dietary beta-carotene and vitamin C in relation to subsequent risk of prostate cancer in a prospective study of 1,899 middle-aged men. We combined prostate cancer cases diagnosed in the first 24 years of follow-up with incident cases identified from the Health Care Financing Administration hospitalization and outpatient files during an additional 6-year follow-up period. We obtained death certificates for all decedents. During the 30-year follow-up, prostate cancer developed in 132 men. There was no indication that consumption of beta-carotene or vitamin C was related to increased or decreased risk of prostate cancer. Relative risks for highest vs lowest quartiles of beta-carotene and vitamin C intake were 1.27 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.75-2.14] and 1.03 (95% CI = 0.59-1.60), respectively, after adjustment for age, number of cigarettes smoked per day, dietary cholesterol and saturated fat, alcohol consumption, total energy intake, and occupation. Associations between intake of these nutrients and risk of prostate cancer differed depending on whether the cancer was diagnosed during the first 19 years of follow-up or the next 11 years of follow-up. Overall survival over the 30 years of follow-up was positively associated with intake of beta-carotene and vitamin C.

Fish consumption and stroke in men. 30-year findings of the Chicago Western Electric Study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Evidence of a relationship of fish intake to stroke incidence or mortality is weak. This report examines the association of fish consumption with stroke.

METHODS

A cohort of 2107 men aged 40 to 55 years from the Chicago Western Electric Study who were free of coronary heart disease and stroke through their first annual reexamination was investigated in relation to baseline fish intake and 30-year risk of fatal and nonfatal stroke. Data on baseline fish intake, categorized into four levels (> or = 35 g/d, 18 to 34 g/d, 1 to 17 g/d, and 0 g/d), were available for 1847 men. Average values of macronutrients and micronutrients from the first two examinations and major coronary and stroke risk factors were assessed in relation to fish consumption. Stroke mortality was ascertained from death certificates and nonfatal stroke from records of the Health Care Financing Administration.

RESULTS

During 46,426 person-years of follow-up, 76 stroke deaths occurred. Men consuming > or = 35 g/d of fish (highest level) had a higher age-adjusted death rate from stroke (23.5 per 10,000 person-years) than men in the three other categories of fish consumption. Based on a Cox proportional hazards regression model with adjustment for age, systolic blood pressure, cigarette smoking, serum cholesterol level, diabetes, electrocardiographic abnormalities, and table salt use, hazards ratios (and 95% confidence intervals) for fish consumers compared with nonconsumers were 1.34 (0.53 to 3.41) for > or = 35 g/d, 0.96 (0.41 to 2.21) for 18 to 34 g/d, and 1.00 (0.43 to 2.33) for 1 to 17 g/d. Age-adjusted and multivariate analyses for fatal and nonfatal strokes (n = 222) yielded similar results.

CONCLUSIONS

With stroke rates highest in the subgroup reporting highest fish intake, these data do not support the hypothesis of an inverse association of fish consumption with strokes.

Heart rate and prostate cancer mortality: results of a prospective analysis

Recent studies suggest that local levels of sympathetic nervous activity influence the growth of prostatic tissue. In several epidemiological studies, resting heart rate, an indicator of overall sympathetic activity, was positively associated with all noncardiovascular and cancer death among men. However, no previous analyses have focused on the specific relationship of heart rate to prostate cancer mortality. We studied 22,380 men enrolled in the Chicago Heart Association cohort from 1967-1973, who had heart rate (HR) determined by electrocardiogram. Mean length of follow-up (for mortality) was 19.2 years. We computed age-adjusted rates for prostate cancer death by variable of interest and fitted proportional hazards models to estimate relative risks (RRs) adjusted for potential confounders. In a model controlling for age, body mass index, blood pressure, serum cholesterol, smoking, postload plasma glucose, and years of education, the RR for a 10 beat/min higher HR was 1.26 (95% confidence interval = 1.04-1.51). Age-adjusted RRs across higher quintiles for HR were 1.00, 1.55, 1.85, 2.18, and 2.69 (P trend = 0.006). Survival curves indicated that the elevated risk was not confined to the early years of follow-up. Because little is known about factors that determine risk of prostate cancer death, these results could prove important even if due to an unmeasured etiological factor other than heart rate itself. The results are consistent with the hypothesis that local neurotrophic factors associated with sympathetic activity influence the progression of prostate cancer

Neuroticism and cynicism and risk of death in middle-aged men: the Western Electric Study

MMPI measures of neuroticism (N) and of cynicism (C) were obtained at the initial examination of 1871 employed, middle-aged men in Chicago. Neither N nor C was significantly associated cross-sectionally with systolic blood pressure or serum cholesterol, but both were positively associated with cigarette smoking and alcohol consumption. N was not significantly associated with risk of death from coronary disease, other cardiovascular diseases, cancer, all other causes combined, or all causes combined after adjustment for C, age, cigarette smoking, alcohol consumption, systolic blood pressure, and serum cholesterol. C was significantly associated with coronary death and total mortality after adjustment for N and the other variables listed above, and relative risks of 1.4 to 1.6 were observed for all endpoints. These results support the idea that neuroticism is not associated with major causes of mortality, but that cynicism is associated with several causes. The associations between cynicism and mortality may be mediated by cigarette smoking and excessive alcohol consumption since adjustment for these factors may have been incomplete due to correlation between cynicism and errors in self-reported data.