Clinical characteristics and predictors of human mpox outcome during the 2022 outbreak in Nigeria: a cohort study

BACKGROUND

Research from sub-Saharan Africa that contributes to our understanding of the 2022 mpox (formerly known as monkeypox) global outbreak is insufficient. Here, we describe the clinical presentation and predictors of severe disease among patients with mpox diagnosed between Feb 1, 2022, and Jan 30, 2023 in Nigeria.

METHODS

We did a cohort study among laboratory-confirmed and probable mpox cases seen in 22 mpox-treatment centres and outpatient clinics across Nigeria. All individuals with confirmed and probable mpox were eligible for inclusion. Exclusion criteria were individuals who could not be examined for clinical characterisation and those who had unknown mortality outcomes. Skin lesion swabs or crust samples were collected from each patient for mpox diagnosis by PCR. A structured questionnaire was used to document sociodemographic and clinical data, including HIV status, complications, and treatment outcomes from the time of diagnosis to discharge or death. Severe disease was defined as mpox associated with death or with a life-threatening complication. Two logistic regression models were used to identify clinical characteristics associated with severe disease and potential risk factors for severe disease. The primary outcome was the clinical characteristics of mpox and disease severity.

FINDINGS

We enrolled 160 people with mpox from 22 states in Nigeria, including 134 (84%) adults, 114 (71%) males, 46 (29%) females, and 25 (16%) people with HIV. Of the 160 patients, distinct febrile prodrome (n=94, 59%), rash count greater than 250 (90, 56%), concomitant varicella zoster virus infection (n=48, 30%), and hospital admission (n=70, 48%) were observed. Nine (6%) of the 160 patients died, including seven (78%) deaths attributable to sepsis. The clinical features independently associated with severe disease were a rash count greater than 10 000 (adjusted odds ratio 26·1, 95% CI 5·2-135·0, p<0·0001) and confluent or semi-confluent rash (6·7, 95% CI 1·9-23·9). Independent risk factors for severe disease were concomitant varicella zoster virus infection (3·6, 95% CI 1·1-11·5) and advanced HIV disease (35·9, 95% CI 4·1-252·9).

INTERPRETATION

During the 2022 global outbreak, mpox in Nigeria was more severe among those with advanced HIV disease and concomitant varicella zoster virus infection. Proactive screening, management of co-infections, the integration and strengthening of mpox and HIV surveillance, and preventive and treatment services should be prioritised in Nigeria and across Africa.

FUNDING

None.

The CircumVent Project: a CPAP/O2 helmet solution for non-invasive ventilation using an implementation research framework

Background

Acute respiratory failure, a major cause of death in COVID-19, is managed with high-flow oxygen therapy via invasive mechanical ventilation. In resource-limited settings like Nigeria, the shortage of ventilators and oxygen supply makes this option challenging. Evidence-based non-invasive alternatives to mechanical ventilation such as the use of continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) devices exist, but there have been concerns that non-invasive ventilation may expose healthcare workers to infection from aerosolized dispersion of SARS-CoV-2. We propose to evaluate the feasibility, adaptability and acceptability of a CPAP/O₂ helmet solution for non-invasive ventilation among patients with COVID-19 and health workers in eight COVID-19 treatment and isolation centers in Nigeria.

Methods

The study will occur in 4 stages: (1) convene a Steering Committee of key stakeholders and recruit implementation sites; (2) use the integrated Promoting Action on Research Implementation in Health Services (i-PARiHS) framework to guide a needs assessment of treatment centers’ capacity to use high-flow oxygen therapy to treat COVID-19 patients and utilize the findings to develop an implementation strategy for the use of a CPAP/O₂ helmet solution; (3) build infrastructure to support training and data monitoring processes and to develop implementation protocols to evaluate the adaptability of the strategy for the use of the CPAP/O₂ helmet; and (4) train health workers, distribute a CPAP/O₂ helmet solution for non-invasive ventilation, pilot test the implementation strategy, and assess feasibility of its use and acceptability that includes monitoring altered risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection among healthcare workers.

Discussion

The CPAP/O₂ helmet solution for non-invasive ventilation in Nigeria can serve as a scalable model for resource-poor countries, and beyond the COVID-19 pandemic, has the potential to be deployed for the treatment of pneumonia and other respiratory diseases.

Trial registration

NCT04929691. Registered June 18, 2021—retrospectively registered, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04929691

Kinetics of photocatalytic removal of imidacloprid from water by advanced oxidation processes with respect to nanotechnology

In this study, the kinetics of photocatalytic removal of imidacloprid, a systemic chloronicotinoid insecticide, from water using two advanced oxidation systems (ZnO(normal)/H₂O₂/artificial sunlight and ZnO(nano)/H₂O₂/artificial sunlight) were investigated. Moreover, the effects of pH, insecticide concentration, catalyst concentration, catalyst particle size, and water type on the photocatalytic removal of imidacloprid were evaluated. Furthermore, total mineralization of imidacloprid under these advanced oxidation systems was evaluated by monitoring the decreases in dissolved organic carbon (DOC) concentrations and formation rate of inorganic ions (Cl^- and NO₂ ^-) with irradiation time using total organic carbon (TOC) analysis and ion chromatography to confirm the complete detoxification of imidacloprid in water. The degradation rate of imidacloprid was faster under the ZnO(nano)/H₂O₂/artificial sunlight system than the ZnO(normal)/artificial sunlight system in both pure and river water. The photocatalytic degradation of imidacloprid under both advanced oxidation systems was affected by pH, catalyst concentration, imidacloprid concentration, and water type. Almost complete mineralization of imidacloprid was only achieved in the ZnO(nano)/H₂O₂/artificial sunlight oxidation system. The photogeneration rate of hydroxyl radicals was higher under the ZnO(nano)/H₂O₂/artificial sunlight system than the ZnO(normal)/H₂O₂/artificial sunlight system. Advanced oxidation processes, particularly those using nanosized zinc oxide, can be regarded as an effective photocatalytic method for imidacloprid removal from water.

Expression of heterogeneous nuclear ribonucleoprotein A2/B1 changes with critical stages of mammalian lung development

Recent reports have demostrated a link between expression of members of the family of heterogeneous nuclear ribonucleoproteins (hnRNPs) and cancer. Overexpression of hnRNP A2/B1 correlated with the eventual development of lung cancer in three different clinical cohorts. We have studied the expression of hnRNP A2/B1 messenger RNA (mRNA) and protein during mammalian development. The expression of hnRNP A2/B1 mRNA and protein are parallel but change dynamically during critical periods in mouse pulmonary development. hnRNP A2/B1 is first detected in the lung in the early pseudoglandular period, peaks at the beginning of the canalicular period, and remains high during the saccular (alveolar) period. In mouse and rat, hnRNP A2/B1 expression is first evident in the earliest lung buds. As lung development progresses, the cuboidal epithelial cells of the distal primitive alveoli show high levels of the ribonucleoprotein, which is almost undetectable in the proximal conducting airways. The expression of hnRNP A2/ B1 is restricted in mature lung. Similar dynamic pattern of expression through lung development was also found in rat and human lung. Upregulated expression of hnRNP A2/B1 at critical periods of lung development was comparable to the level of expression found in lung cancers and preneoplastic lesions and is consistent with hnRNP A2/B1 overexpression playing an oncodevelopmental role.

Thrombospondin-1 is required for normal murine pulmonary homeostasis and its absence causes pneumonia

The thrombospondins are a family of extracellular calcium-binding proteins that modulate cellular phenotype. Thrombospondin-1 (TSP-1) reportedly regulates cellular attachment, proliferation, migration, and differentiation in vitro. To explore its function in vivo, we have disrupted the TSP-1 gene by homologous recombination in the mouse genome. Platelets from these mice are completely deficient in TSP-1 protein; however, thrombin-induced platelet aggregation is not diminished. TSP-1-deficient mice display a mild and variable lordotic curvature of the spine that is apparent from birth. These mice also display an increase in the number of circulating white blood cells, with monocytes and eosinophils having the largest percent increases. The brain, heart, kidney, spleen, stomach, intestines, aorta, and liver of TSP-1-deficient mice showed no major abnormalities. However, consistent with high levels of expression of TSP-1 in lung, we observe abnormalities in the lungs of mice that lack the protein. Although normal at birth, histopathological analysis of lungs from 4-wk-old TSP-1-deficient mice reveals extensive acute and organizing pneumonia, with neutrophils and macrophages. The macrophages stain for hemosiderin, indicating that diffuse alveolar hemorrhage is occurring. At later times, the number of neutrophils decreases and a striking increase in the number of hemosiderin-containing macrophages is observed associated with multiple-lineage epithelial hyperplasia and the deposition of collagen and elastin. A thickening and ruffling of the epithelium of the airways results from increasing cell proliferation in TSP-1-deficient mice. These results indicate that TSP-1 is involved in normal lung homeostasis.

Stromelysin-3 is overexpressed by stromal elements in primary non-small cell lung cancers and regulated by retinoic acid in pulmonary fibroblasts

Stromelysin-3 (STR-3) is a recently characterized matrix metalloproteinase (MMP) that was cloned on the basis of differential expression in benign and malignant breast tumors. This MMP has a unique processing mechanism and substrate specificity. Unlike previously characterized MMPs that are secreted as inactive zymogens, STR-3 is processed within the constitutive secretory pathway and secreted as an active enzyme. Although STR-3 has a characteristic MMP structure, the enzyme does not hydrolyze many of the extracellular matrix components that are substrates for other MMPs. However, STR-3 cleaves certain serine protease inhibitors (serpins), including the alpha 1 proteinase inhibitor (alpha 1 anti-trypsin). Because alpha 1 proteinase inhibitor deficiency has a known pathogenetic role in pulmonary disease, the role of STR-3 in non-small cell lung carcinomas (NSCLC) is of great interest. STR-3 transcripts and protein were significantly more abundant in primary NSCLC than in adjacent normal lung specimens in an extensive panel of stage I-III squamous cell and adenocarcinomas. The major form of STR-3 detectable in the primary NSCLC was the mature fully processed active enzyme. STR-3 transcripts and protein were primarily localized to NSCLC stromal elements, prompting analysis of STR-3 induction in normal pulmonary fibroblasts. Although STR-3 could be induced in normal pulmonary fibroblasts with growth factors (basic fibroblast growth factor and platelet-derived growth factor) and/or 12-O-tetradecanoylphorbol-13-acetate, STR-3 induction was inhibited by all-trans retinoic acid, a commonly used chemopreventive agent for aerodigestive tract malignancies. Taken together, these data suggest that STR-3 may be a novel marker and potential therapeutic target in NSCLC.

CD10/NEP in non-small cell lung carcinomas. Relationship to cellular proliferation

The cell surface metalloproteinase CD10/neutral endopeptidase 24.11 (NEP) hydrolyzes a variety of peptide substrates and reduces cellular responses to specific peptide hormones. Because CD10/NEP modulates peptide-mediated proliferation of small cell carcinomas of the lung (SCLC) and normal fetal bronchial epithelium, we evaluated the enzyme's expression in non-small cell lung carcinomas (NSCLC). Bronchoalveolar and large cell carcinoma cell lines had low levels of CD10/NEP expression whereas squamous, adenosquamous, and adenocarcinoma cell lines had higher and more variable levels of the cell surface enzyme. Regional variations in CD10/NEP immunostaining in primary NSCLC specimens prompted us to correlate CD10/NEP expression with cell growth. In primary carcinomas of the lung, clonal NSCLC cell lines and SV40-transformed fetal airway epithelium, subsets of cells expressed primarily CD10/NEP or the proliferating cell nuclear antigen (PCNA). Cultured airway epithelial cells had the lowest levels of CD10/NEP expression when the highest percentage of cells were actively dividing; in addition, these cells grew more rapidly when cell surface CD10/NEP was inhibited. NSCLC cell lines had receptors for a variety of mitogenic peptides known to be CD10/NEP substrates, underscoring the functional significance of growth-related variability in CD10/NEP expression.