Evaluating the health and economic outcomes of a PCV15 vaccination program for adults aged 65 years-and-above in Switzerland

OBJECTIVE

To assess the health and economic outcomes of a PCV13 or PCV15 age-based (65 years-and-above) vaccination program in Switzerland.

INTERVENTIONS

The three vaccination strategies examined were:Target population: All adults aged 65 years-and-above. Perspective(s): Switzerland health care payer.

TIME HORIZON

35 years. Discount rate: 3.0%. Costing year: 2023 Swiss Francs (CHF).

STUDY DESIGN

A static Markov state-transition model.

DATA SOURCES

Published literature and publicly available databases or reports.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Pneumococcal diseases (PD) i.e., invasive pneumococcal diseases (IPD) and non-bacteremic pneumococcal pneumonia (NBPP); total quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), total costs and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (CHF/QALY gained).

RESULTS

Using an assumed coverage of 60%, the PCV15 strategy prevented a substantially higher number of cases/deaths than the PCV13 strategy when compared to the No vaccination strategy (1,078 IPD; 21,155 NBPP; 493 deaths). The overall total QALYs were 10,364,620 (PCV15), 10,364,070 (PCV13), and 10,362,490 (no vaccination). The associated overall total costs were CHF 741,949,814 (PCV15), CHF 756,051,954 (PCV13) and CHF 698,329,579 (no vaccination). Thus, the PCV13 strategy was strongly dominated by the PCV15 strategy. The ICER of the PCV15 strategy (vs. no vaccination) was CHF 20,479/QALY gained. In two scenario analyses where the vaccine effectiveness for serotype 3 were reduced (75% to 39.3% for IPD; 45% to 23.6% for NBPP) and NBPP incidence was increased (from 1,346 to 1,636/100,000), the resulting ICERs were CHF 29,432 and CHF 13,700/QALY gained, respectively. The deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses demonstrated the robustness of the qualitative results-the estimated ICERs for the PCV15 strategy (vs. No vaccination) were all below CHF 30,000/QALYs gained.

CONCLUSIONS

These results demonstrate that using PCV15 among adults aged 65 years-and-above can prevent a substantial number of PD cases and deaths while remaining cost-effective over a range of inputs and scenarios.

Clinical and economic burden of invasive pneumococcal disease and noninvasive all-cause pneumonia in hospitalized US adults: A multicenter analysis from 2015 to 2020

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the clinical and economic outcomes in adults hospitalized with invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and noninvasive all-cause pneumonia (ACP) overall and by antimicrobial resistance (AMR) status.

METHODS

Hospitalized adults from the BD Insights Research Database with an ICD10 code for IPD, noninvasive ACP or a positive Streptococcus pneumoniae culture/urine antigen test were included. Descriptive statistics and multivariable analyses were used to evaluate outcomes (in-hospital mortality, length of stay [LOS], cost per admission, and hospital margin [costs - payments]).

RESULTS

The study included 88,182 adult patients at 90 US hospitals (October 2015-February 2020). Most (98.6%) had noninvasive ACP and 40.2% were <65 years old. Of 1450 culture-positive patients, 37.7% had an isolate resistant to ≥1 antibiotic class. Observed mortality, median LOS, cost per admission, and hospital margins were 8.3%, 6 days, $9791, and $11, respectively. Risk factors for mortality included ≥50 years of age, higher risk of pneumococcal disease (based on chronic or immunocompromising conditions), and intensive care unit admission. Patients with IPD had similar mortality rates and hospital margins compared with noninvasive ACP, but greater costs per admission and LOS.

CONCLUSION

IPD and noninvasive ACP are associated with substantial clinical and economic burden across all adult age groups. Expanded pneumococcal vaccination programs may help reduce disease burden and decrease hospital costs.

CMV viral load kinetics as surrogate endpoints after allogeneic transplantation

BACKGROUNDViral load (VL) surrogate endpoints transformed development of HIV and hepatitis C therapeutics. Surrogate endpoints for CMV-related morbidity and mortality could advance development of antiviral treatments. Although observational data support using CMV VL as a trial endpoint, randomized controlled trials (RCTs) demonstrating direct associations between virological markers and clinical endpoints are lacking.METHODSWe performed CMV DNA PCR on frozen serum samples from the only placebo-controlled RCT of ganciclovir for early treatment of CMV after hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). We used established criteria to assess VL kinetics as surrogates for CMV disease or death by weeks 8, 24, and 48 after randomization and quantified antiviral effects captured by each marker. We used ensemble-based machine learning to assess the predictive ability of VL kinetics and performed this analysis on a ganciclovir prophylaxis RCT for validation.RESULTSVL suppression with ganciclovir reduced cumulative incidence of CMV disease and death for 20 years after HCT. Mean VL, peak VL, and change in VL during the first 5 weeks of treatment fulfilled the Prentice definition for surrogacy, capturing more than 95% of ganciclovir's effect, and yielded highly sensitive and specific predictions by week 48. In the prophylaxis trial, the viral shedding rate satisfied the Prentice definition for CMV disease by week 24.CONCLUSIONSOur results support using CMV VL kinetics as surrogates for CMV disease, provide a framework for developing CMV preventative and therapeutic agents, and support reductions in VL as the mechanism through which antivirals reduce CMV disease.FUNDINGMerck Sharp & Dohme Corp., a subsidiary of Merck & Co., Inc.

1161. Effectiveness of Posaconazole in the Treatment of Rare Invasive Fungal Infections: A Systematic Literature Review

Background

Rare invasive fungal infections (IFIs) such as chromoblastomycosis (CBM), fungal mycetoma (mycetoma), hyalohyphomycosis/phaeohyphomycosis (hyalo/phaeo), and mucormycosis (mucor) cause significant morbidity and mortality in immunocompromised patients. Few effective treatment options are available for these IFIs, therefore we assessed the clinical efficacy of posaconazole, a broad-spectrum triazole antifungal compound with demonstrated activity against IFIs.

Methods

We performed a systemic literature review of Medline and EMBASE to identify studies published from 2005 (year of posaconazole approval) to October 30, 2019, reporting the efficacy/effectiveness of posaconazole monotherapy or combination therapy for treating CBM, mycetoma, hyalo/phaeo, and mucor. Two reviewers screened and extracted data based on predefined PICOS criteria. Effectiveness outcomes included cure, response, relapse, radiologic improvement; mortality and any other effectiveness measures reported. Study quality was assessed using National Institute for Health and Care Excellence-recommended checklists. A narrative descriptive summary was used to summarize study findings.

Results

Of 2612 articles identified, 351 articles (mostly case reports) were included. Positive clinical outcomes with posaconazole therapy were observed in most patients with CBM (73.9%, 17/23), mycetoma (100%, 2/2), hyalo/phaeo (53.3%, 49/92), and mucor (66.7%, 564/845). The population for mycetoma was small; only 2 positive cases (Figure). Overall survival was ~70% or greater across the IFIs examined. Posaconazole efficacy and mortality differed by line of therapy as well as for monotherapy versus combination therapy. Positive response was higher in second line monotherapy than first line monotherapy in CBM and mucor. Higher mortality was observed with combination therapy than monotherapy in hyalo/phaeo and mucor infections (except for first line use in mucor).

Figure. Overall Results of Posaconazole Treatment

Conclusion

Despite the rarity of these IFIs, substantial data have been published since posaconazole’s initial approval in the year 2005, and the evidence demonstrates that posaconazole is an effective therapeutic option alone or in combination for the treatment of these rare IFIs.

Disclosures

Mark Bernauer, BPharm, RPh, Merck & Co, Inc. (Consultant) Hetty Waskin, MD/MPH, Merck & Co, Inc. (Employee) Nicole Cossrow, PhD, Merck & Co, Inc. (Employee) Allysen Kaminski, BA, Merck & Co, Inc. (Consultant) Havilland Campbell, BS, Merck & Co, Inc. (Employee) Dipen Patel, BPharm, PhD, Merck & Co, Inc. (Consultant)

Cost-effectiveness of Bezlotoxumab Compared With Placebo for the Prevention of Recurrent Clostridium difficile Infection

Background

Clostridium difficile infection (CDI) is the most commonly recognized cause of recurrent diarrhea. Bezlotoxumab, administered concurrently with antibiotics directed against C. difficile (standard of care [SoC]), has been shown to reduce the recurrence of CDI, compared with SoC alone. This study aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of bezlotoxumab administered concurrently with SoC, compared with SoC alone, in subgroups of patients at risk of recurrence of CDI.

Methods

A computer-based Markov health state transition model was designed to track the natural history of patients infected with CDI. A cohort of patients entered the model with either a mild/moderate or severe CDI episode, and were treated with SoC antibiotics together with either bezlotoxumab or placebo. The cohort was followed over a lifetime horizon, and costs and utilities for the various health states were used to estimate incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). Both deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were used to test the robustness of the results.

Results

The cost-effectiveness model showed that, compared with placebo, bezlotoxumab was associated with 0.12 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained and was cost-effective in preventing CDI recurrences in the entire trial population, with an ICER of $19824/QALY gained. Compared with placebo, bezlotoxumab was also cost-effective in the subgroups of patients aged ≥65 years (ICER of $15298/QALY), immunocompromised patients (ICER of $12597/QALY), and patients with severe CDI (ICER of $21430/QALY).

Conclusions

Model-based results demonstrated that bezlotoxumab was cost-effective in the prevention of recurrent CDI compared with placebo, among patients receiving SoC antibiotics for treatment of CDI.

Estimating the Prevalence of Binge Eating Disorder in a Community Sample From the United States: Comparing DSM-IV-TR and DSM-5 Criteria

OBJECTIVE

To estimate binge eating disorder (BED) prevalence according to DSM-5 and DSM-IV-TR criteria in US adults and to estimate the proportion of individuals meeting DSM-5 BED criteria who reported being formally diagnosed.

METHODS

A representative sample of US adults who participated in the National Health and Wellness Survey were asked to respond to an Internet survey (conducted in October 2013). Assessments included 3-month, 12-month, and lifetime BED prevalence based on DSM-5 and DSM-IV-TR criteria and demographics, psychiatric comorbidities, and self-esteem (Rosenberg Self-Esteem Scale). Descriptive statistics are provided. Prevalence estimates were calculated using poststratification sampling weights.

RESULTS

Of 22,397 respondents, 344 (women, n = 242; men, n = 102) self-reported symptoms consistent with DSM-5 BED symptom criteria. The 3-month, 12-month, and lifetime DSM-5 prevalence estimates (95% CIs) projected to the US population were 1.19% (1.04%-1.37%), 1.64% (1.45%-1.85%), and 2.03% (1.83%-2.26%), respectively. The 12-month and lifetime projected DSM-IV-TR prevalence estimates were 1.15% (1.00%-1.32%) and 1.52% (1.35%-1.70%), respectively. Of respondents meeting DSM-5 BED criteria in the past 12 months, 3.2% (11/344) reported receiving a formal diagnosis. Compared with non-BED respondents, respondents meeting DSM-5 BED criteria in the past 12 months were younger (mean ± SD age = 46.01 ± 14.32 vs 51.59 ± 15.80 years; P < .001), had a higher body mass index (mean ± SD = 33.71 ± 9.36 vs 27.96 ± 6.68 kg/m²; P < .001), and had lower self-esteem (mean ± SD score = 16.47 ± 6.99 vs 23.33 ± 6.06; P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

DSM-5 BED criteria resulted in higher BED prevalence estimates than with DSM-IV-TR criteria. Most BED respondents did not report being formally diagnosed, indicating an unmet need in BED recognition and diagnosis.

Characterization of treatment resistant depression episodes in a cohort of patients from a US commercial claims database

CONTEXT

Treatment Resistant Depression (TRD) is a significant and burdensome health concern.

OBJECTIVE

To characterize, compare and understand the difference between TRD and non-TRD patients and episodes in respect of their episode duration, treatment patterns and healthcare resource utilization.

DESIGN AND SETTING

Patients between 18 and 64 years with a new diagnosis of major depressive disorder (MDD) and without a previous or comorbid diagnosis of schizophrenia or bipolar disease were included from PharMetrics Integrated Database, a claims database of commercial insurers in the US. Episodes of these patients in which there were at least two distinct failed regimens involving antidepressants and antipsychotics were classified as TRD.

PATIENTS

82,742 MDD patients were included in the analysis; of these patients, 125,172 episodes were identified (47,654 of these were drug-treated episodes).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Comparison between TRD and non-TRD episodes in terms of their duration, number and duration of lines of treatment, comorbidities, and medical resource utilization.

RESULTS

Of the treated episodes, 6.6% (N = 3,134) met the criteria for TRD. The median time to an episode becoming TRD was approximately one year. The mean duration of a TRD episode was 1,004 days (vs. 452 days for a non-TRD episode). More than 75% of TRD episodes had at least four lines of therapy; half of the treatment regimens included a combination of drugs. Average hospitalization costs were higher for TRD than non-TRD episodes: $6,464 vs. $1,734, as were all other health care utilization costs.

CONCLUSIONS

While this study was limited to relatively young and commercially covered patients, used a rigorous definition of TRD and did not analyze for cause or consequence, the results highlight high unmet medical need and burden of TRD on patients and health care resources.

Assessment of tuberculosis burden in China using a dynamic disease simulation model

SETTING

Although a preventable and treatable disease, tuberculosis (TB) is among the top 10 causes of death worldwide. A consequence of inadequately treated drug-susceptible TB (DS-TB) is multidrug-resistant TB (MDR-TB).

OBJECTIVES

To improve our understanding of the primary drivers of incidence and prevalence of DS- and MDR-TB in China.

METHODS

The Tuberculosis Disease Transmission Model (TBDTM) uses historical and current disease epidemiology and transmission trends and treatment effectiveness, and accounts for annual changes to these to estimate future DS-TB and MDR-TB burden.

RESULTS

The model shows that in China, by 2050, incidence, prevalence and mortality of DS-TB will decrease by 32%, 50% and 41%, respectively, whereas MDR-TB will increase by respectively 60%, 48% and 35%. Reduction in DS-TB is a result of high treatment and cure rates leading to a decrease in the prevalence of latent tuberculous infection (LTBI), while the increase in MDR-TB is attributed to inappropriate treatment, leading to high transmission of infection and increased LTBI prevalence.

CONCLUSIONS

These results demonstrate a reduction in DS-TB in China over the next 40 years, while MDR-TB will increase. Improvements in the diagnosis and treatment of MDR-TB are needed to counter this threat. The TBDTM tool has potential value in public health practice by demonstrating the impact of interventions and estimating their cost-effectiveness.

Race/ethnic issues in obesity and obesity-related comorbidities

The prevalence of obesity is increasing among all age and racial groups in the United States. There is, however, a disproportionate rise in the prevalence of obesity among African-Americans and Hispanic/Mexican Americans. Obesity is a major contributor to the insulin resistant syndrome (IRS), a condition of multiple metabolic abnormalities that is a precursor to type 2 diabetes, and confers a high risk for cardiovascular events. The estimated prevalence of IRS is also greater in Mexican Americans and African-Americans than in Caucasians. The IRS is identifiable in children, and as with adults, there are racial differences in its expression even at a young age. The obesity-associated diseases, including diabetes and hypertension, are found at higher rates within the minority races compared with Caucasians. However, there are differences, in that obesity-related hypertension occurs at higher rates among African-Americans, and obesity-related diabetes occurs at higher rates among Mexican Americans. Race/ethnic differences in lifestyle behaviors and economic disadvantage may account for some of the race disparity in obesity-related diseases and disease outcomes. Environmental factors, however, do not explain all of the race disparity in disease expression, indicating that there are genetic/molecular factors that are operational as well.

Plasma homocysteine concentration and blood pressure in young adult African Americans

BACKGROUND

An association of plasma homocysteine concentration ([Hcy]) with cardiovascular events has been described, but the role of [Hcy] in the early phase of cardiovascular disease is uncertain. The purpose of this study was to determine whether [Hcy] is related to blood pressure (BP) or other risk factors in African Americans, a population at high risk for cardiovascular disease.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study was conducted on a sample of premenopausal African American women (N = 119) and men (N = 56), 30 to 40 years of age. Each subject was classified as normotensive or hypertensive. Fasting blood samples were obtained for serum lipids, insulin, glucose, Hcy, folate, and B-12, followed by an oral glucose tolerance test.

RESULTS

Mean [Hcy] was higher in hypertensives compared to normotensives, but the difference was statistically significant only in women (10.5 +/- 5.3 v 8.2 +/- 2.3; P <.01). In women, the simple correlation analysis revealed a statistically significant relationship of [Hcy] with systolic BP (r = 0.22, P =.02) and diastolic BP (r = 0.240, P =.01). However, after adjusting for age and body mass index (BMI), the correlations were attenuated and no longer significant. There was a significant inverse relationship of [Hcy] with plasma folate (r = -0.35, P <.001) and B-12 (r = -0.29, P <.01) in women.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the simple correlation coefficient suggests a significant relationship of [Hcy] with BP in women, this relationship was no longer statistically significant after adjustment for age and BMI. The significant inverse relationship of plasma folate and B-12 with [Hcy] suggest that diet factors may affect the crude [Hcy]-BP relationship identified in this sample.