The Predictive Potential of Nutritional and Metabolic Burden: Development of a Novel Validated Metric Predicting Increased Postoperative Complications in Adult Spinal Deformity Surgery

STUDY DESIGN

A retrospective cohort review.

OBJECTIVE

To develop a scoring system for predicting increased risk of postoperative complications in adult spinal deformity (ASD) surgery based on baseline nutritional and metabolic factors.

BACKGROUND

Endocrine and metabolic conditions have been shown to adversely influence patient outcomes and may increase the likelihood of postoperative complications. The impact of these conditions has not been effectively evaluated in patients undergoing ASD surgery.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

ASD patients 18 years or above with baseline and two-year data were included. An internally cross-validated weighted equation using preoperative laboratory and comorbidity data correlating to increased perioperative complications was developed via Poisson regression. Body mass index (BMI) categorization (normal, over/underweight, and obese) and diabetes classification (normal, prediabetic, and diabetic) were used per the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the American Diabetes Associates parameters. A novel ASD-specific nutritional and metabolic burden score (ASD-NMBS) was calculated via Beta-Sullivan adjustment, and Conditional Inference Tree determined the score threshold for experiencing ≥1 complication. Cohorts were stratified into low-risk and high-risk groups for comparison. Logistic regression assessed correlations between increasing burden score and complications.

RESULTS

Two hundred one ASD patients were included (mean age: 58.60±15.4, sex: 48% female, BMI: 29.95±14.31, Charlson Comorbidity Index: 3.75±2.40). Significant factors were determined to be age (+1/yr), hypertension (+18), peripheral vascular disease (+37), smoking status (+21), anemia (+1), VitD hydroxyl (+1/ng/mL), BMI (+13/cat), and diabetes (+4/cat) (model: P <0.001, area under the curve: 92.9%). Conditional Inference Tree determined scores above 175 correlated with ≥1 post-op complication ( P <0.001). Furthermore, HIGH patients reported higher rates of postoperative cardiac complications ( P =0.045) and were more likely to require reoperation ( P =0.024) compared with low patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The development of a validated novel nutritional and metabolic burden score (ASD-NMBS) demonstrated that patients with higher scores are at greater risk of increased postoperative complications and course. As such, surgeons should consider the reduction of nutritional and metabolic burden preoperatively to enhance outcomes and reduce complications in ASD patients.

Assessing the Economic Benefits of Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) Protocols in Adult Cervical Deformity Patients: Is the Initial Additive Cost of Protocols Offset by Clinical Gains?

OBJECTIVE

To assess the financial impact of Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) protocols and cost-effectiveness in cervical deformity corrective surgery.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective review of prospective CD database.

BACKGROUND

Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) can help accelerate patient recovery and assist hospitals in maximizing the incentives of bundled payment models while maintaining high-quality patient care. However, the economic benefit of ERAS protocols, nor the heterogeneous components that make up such protocols, has not been established.

METHODS

Operative CD patients ≥18 y with complete pre-(BL) and up to 2-year(2Y) postop radiographic/HRQL data were stratified by enrollment in Standard-of-Care ERAS beginning in 2020. Differences in demographics, clinical outcomes, radiographic alignment targets, perioperative factors, and complication rates were assessed through means comparison analysis. Costs were calculated using PearlDiver database estimates from Medicare pay scales. QALY was calculated using NDI mapped to SF6D using validated methodology with a 3% discount rate to account for a residual decline in life expectancy.

RESULTS

In all, 127 patients were included (59.07±11.16 y, 54% female, 29.08±6.43 kg/m2) in the analysis. Of these patients, 54 (20.0%) received the ERAS protocol. Per cost analysis, ERAS+ patients reported a lower mean total 2Y cost of 35049 USD compared with ERAS- patients at 37553 (P<0.001). Furthermore, ERAS+ patients demonstrated lower cost of reoperation by 2Y (P<0.001). Controlling for age, surgical invasiveness, and deformity per BL TS-CL, ERAS+ patients below 70 years old were significantly more likely to achieve a cost-effective outcome by 2Y compared with their ERAS- counterparts (OR: 1.011 [1.001-1.999, P=0.048].

CONCLUSIONS

Patients undergoing ERAS protocols experience improved cost-effectiveness and reduced total cost by 2Y post-operatively. Due to the potential economic benefit of ERAS for patients incorporation of ERAS into practice for eligible patients should be considered.

The Evolution of Enhanced Recovery After Surgery: Assessing the Clinical Benefits of Developments Within Enhanced Recovery After Surgery Protocols in Adult Cervical Deformity Surgery

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the impact of evolving Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) protocols on outcomes after cervical deformity (CD) surgery.

BACKGROUND

ERAS can help accelerate patient recovery and assist hospitals in maximizing the incentives of bundled payment models while maintaining high-quality patient care. However, there remains a paucity of literature assessing how developments have impacted outcomes after adult CD surgery.

METHODS

Patients with operative CD 18 years or older with pre-baseline and 2 years (2Y) postoperative data, who underwent ERAS protocols, were stratified by increasing implantation of ERAS components: (1) early (multimodal pain program), (2) intermediate (early protocol + paraspinal blocks, early ambulation), and (3) late (early/intermediate protocols + comprehensive prehabilitation). Differences in demographics, clinical outcomes, radiographic alignment targets, perioperative factors, and complication rates were assessed through Bonferroni-adjusted means comparison analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 131 patients were included (59.4 ± 11.7 y, 45% females, 28.8 ± 6.0 kg/m2). Of these patients, 38.9% were considered "early," 36.6% were "intermediate," and 24.4% were "late." Perioperatively, rates of intraoperative complications were lower in the late group (P= 0.036). Postoperatively, discharge disposition differed significantly between cohorts, with late patients more likely to be discharged to home versus early or intermediate cohorts [χ2(2) = 37.973, P< 0.001]. In terms of postoperative disability recovery, intermediate and late patients demonstrated incrementally improved 6 W modified Japanese Orthopedic Association scores (P= 0.004), and late patients maintained significantly higher mean Euro-QOL 5-Dimension Questionnaire and modified Japanese Orthopedic Association scores by 1 year (P< 0.001, P= 0.026). By 2Y, cohorts demonstrated incrementally increasing SWAL-QOL scores (all domains P< 0.028) domain scores versus early or intermediate cohorts. By 2Y, incrementally decreasing reoperation was observed in early versus intermediate versus late cohorts (P= 0.034).

CONCLUSIONS

The present study demonstrates that patients enrolled in an evolving ERAS program demonstrate incremental improvement in preoperative optimization and candidate selection, greater likelihood of discharge to home, decreased postoperative disability and dysphasia burden, and decreased likelihood of intraoperative complications and reoperation rates.

Current concepts in adult cervical spine deformity surgery

Cervical spine deformity surgery has significantly evolved over recent decades. There has been substantial work performed, which has furthered the true understanding of alignment and advancements in surgical technique and instrumentation. Concomitantly, understanding of cervical spine pathology and the contributing drivers have also improved, which have influenced the development of classification systems for cervical spine deformity and the development of treatment-guiding algorithms. This article aims to provide a synopsis of the current knowledge surrounding cervical spine deformity to date, with particular focus on preoperative expected alignment targets, perioperative optimization, and the whole operative strategy.

Predictors of pelvic tilt normalization: a multicenter study on the impact of regional and lower-extremity compensation on pelvic alignment after complex adult spinal deformity surgery

OBJECTIVE

The objective was to determine the degree of regional decompensation to pelvic tilt (PT) normalization after complex adult spinal deformity (ASD) surgery.

METHODS

Operative ASD patients with 1 year of PT measurements were included. Patients with normalized PT at baseline were excluded. Predicted PT was compared to actual PT, tested for change from baseline, and then compared against age-adjusted, Scoliosis Research Society-Schwab, and global alignment and proportion (GAP) scores. Lower-extremity (LE) parameters included the cranial-hip-sacrum angle, cranial-knee-sacrum angle, and cranial-ankle-sacrum angle. LE compensation was set as the 1-year upper tertile compared with intraoperative baseline. Univariate analyses were used to compare normalized and nonnormalized data against alignment outcomes. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to develop a model consisting of significant predictors for normalization related to regional compensation.

RESULTS

In total, 156 patients met the inclusion criteria (mean ± SD age 64.6 ± 9.1 years, BMI 27.9 ± 5.6 kg/m2, Charlson Comorbidity Index 1.9 ± 1.6). Patients with normalized PT were more likely to have overcorrected pelvic incidence minus lumbar lordosis and sagittal vertical axis at 6 weeks (p < 0.05). GAP score at 6 weeks was greater for patients with nonnormalized PT (0.6 vs 1.3, p = 0.08). At baseline, 58.5% of patients had compensation in the thoracic and cervical regions. Postoperatively, compensation was maintained by 42% with no change after matching in age-adjusted or GAP score. The patients with nonnormalized PT had increased rates of thoracic and cervical compensation (p < 0.05). Compensation in thoracic kyphosis differed between patients with normalized PT at 6 weeks and those with normalized PT at 1 year (69% vs 35%, p < 0.05). Those who compensated had increased rates of implant complications by 1 year (OR [95% CI] 2.08 [1.32-6.56], p < 0.05). Cervical compensation was maintained at 6 weeks and 1 year (56% vs 43%, p = 0.12), with no difference in implant complications (OR 1.31 [95% CI -2.34 to 1.03], p = 0.09). For the lower extremities at baseline, 61% were compensating. Matching age-adjusted alignment did not eliminate compensation at any joint (all p > 0.05). Patients with nonnormalized PT had higher rates of LE compensation across joints (all p < 0.01). Overall, patients with normalized PT at 1 year had the greatest odds of resolving LE compensation (OR 9.6, p < 0.001). Patients with normalized PT at 1 year had lower rates of implant failure (8.9% vs 19.5%, p < 0.05), rod breakage (1.3% vs 13.8%, p < 0.05), and pseudarthrosis (0% vs 4.6%, p < 0.05) compared with patients with nonnormalized PT. The complication rate was significantly lower for patients with normalized PT at 1 year (56.7% vs 66.1%, p = 0.02), despite comparable health-related quality of life scores.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with PT normalization had greater rates of resolution in thoracic and LE compensation, leading to lower rates of complications by 1 year. Thus, consideration of both the lower extremities and thoracic regions in surgical planning is vital to preventing adverse outcomes and maintaining pelvic alignment.

Can Baseline Disability Predict Outcomes in Adult Spinal Deformity Surgery?

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE

To assess if there is a threshold of baseline disability beyond which the patient-reported outcomes after surgical correction of adult spinal deformity (ASD) are adversely impacted.

BACKGROUND

Patient-reported outcomes vary after correction of adult spinal deformity, even when patients are optimally realigned. There is a paucity of literature examining the impact of baseline disability on patient-reported outcomes in ASD.

METHODS

Patients with baseline (BL) and two-year data were included. Disability was ranked according to BL Oswestry Disability Index (ODI) into quintiles: Q1 (lowest ODI score) to Q5 (highest ODI score). Adjusted logistic regression analyses evaluated the likelihood of reaching ≥1 MCID in Scoliosis Research Society Outcomes Questionnaire (SRS-22) Pain, SRS-22 Activity, and Short Form-36 physical component summary at two years across disability groups Q1-Q4 with respect to Q5. Sensitivity tests were performed, excluding patients with any "0" Schwab modifiers at BL.

RESULTS

Compared with patients in Q5, the odds of reaching MCID in SRS-22 Pain at 2Y were significantly higher for those in Q1 (OR: 3.771), Q2 (OR: 3.006), and Q3 (OR: 2.897), all P <0.021. Similarly, compared with patients in Q5, the odds of reaching MCID in SRS-22 Activity at two years were significantly higher for those in Q2 (OR: 3.454) and Q3 (OR: 2.801), both P <0.02. Lastly, compared with patients in Q5, odds of reaching MCID in Short Form-36 physical component summary at two years were significantly higher for patients in Q1 (OR: 5.350), Q2 (OR: 4.795), and Q3 (OR: 6.229), all P <0.004.

CONCLUSIONS

This study found that patients presenting with moderate disability at BL (ODI<40) consistently surpassed health-related quality of life outcomes as compared with those presenting with greater levels of disability. We propose that a baseline ODI of 40 represents a disability threshold within which operative inte rvention maximizes patient-reported outcomes. Furthermore, delaying the intervention until patients progress to severe disability may limit the benefits of surgical correction in ASD patients.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

3.

Comparison of multilevel low-grade techniques versus three-column osteotomies in adult spinal deformity surgery: does harmonious correction matter?

OBJECTIVE

Recent debate has arisen between whether to use a three-column osteotomy (3CO) or multilevel low-grade (MLG) techniques to treat severe sagittal malalignment in adult spinal deformity (ASD) surgery. The goal of this study was to compare the outcomes of 3CO and MLG techniques performed in corrective surgeries for ASD.

METHODS

ASD patients who had a baseline PI-LL > 30° and 2-year follow-up data were included. Patients underwent either 3CO or MLG (thoracolumbar posterior column osteotomies at ≥ 3 levels or anterior lumbar interbody fusion at ≥ 3 levels with no 3CO). The segmental utility ratio was used to assess relative segmental correction (segmental correction divided by overall correction in lordosis divided by the number of thoracolumbar interventions [interbody fusion, thoracolumbar posterior column osteotomies, and 3CO]). The paired t-test was used to assess lordotic distribution by differences in lordosis between adjacent lumbar disc spaces (e.g., L1-2 to L2-3). Multivariate analysis, controlling for age, sex, BMI, osteoporosis, baseline pelvic incidence, and T1 pelvic angle, was used to evaluate the complication rates and radiographic and patient-reported outcomes between the groups.

RESULTS

A total of 93 patients were included, 53% of whom underwent MLG and 47% of whom underwent 3CO. The MLG group had a lower BMI (p < 0.05). MLG patients received fewer previous fusions than 3CO patients (31% vs 80%, p < 0.001). MLG patients had 24% less blood loss but a 22% longer operative time (565 vs 419 minutes, p = 0.008). Using adjusted analysis, the 3CO group had greater segmental and relative correction at each level (segmental utility ratio mean 69% for 3CO vs 23% for MLG, p < 0.001). However, the 3CO group had lordotic differences between two adjacent lumbar disc pairs (range -0.5° to 9.0°, p = 0.009), while MLG was more harmonious (range 2.2°-6.5°, p > 0.4). MLG patients were more likely to undergo realignment to age-adjusted standards (OR 5.6, 95% CI 1.2-46.4; p = 0.033). MLG patients were less likely to develop neurological complications or undergo reoperation (OR 0.4, 95% CI 0.1-0.9; p = 0.041). Adjusted analysis revealed that MLG patients more often met a substantial clinical benefit in the Oswestry Disability Index score (OR 5.3, 95% CI 1.1-26.8; p = 0.043).

CONCLUSIONS

MLG techniques showed better utility in lumbar distribution and age-adjusted global correction while minimizing neurological complications and reoperation rates by 2 years postoperatively. In selected instances, these techniques may offer the spine deformity surgeon a safer alternative when correcting severe adult spinal deformity.

The Impact of Lumbopelvic Realignment Versus Prevention Strategies at the Upper-instrumented Vertebra on the Rates of Junctional Failure Following Adult Spinal Deformity Surgery

STUDY DESIGN/SETTING

Retrospective.

OBJECTIVE

Evaluate the surgical technique that has the greatest influence on the rate of junctional failure following ASD surgery.

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

Differing presentations of adult spinal deformity(ASD) may influence the extent of surgical intervention and the use of prophylaxis at the base or the summit of a fusion construct to influence junctional failure rates.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

ASD patients with two-year(2Y) data and at least 5-level fusion to the pelvis were included. Patients were divided based on UIV: [Longer Construct: T1-T4; Shorter Construct: T8-T12]. Parameters assessed included matching in age-adjusted PI-LL or PT, aligning in GAP-relative pelvic version or Lordosis Distribution Index. After assessing all lumbopelvic radiographic parameters, the combination of realigning the two parameters with the greatest minimizing effect of PJF constituted a good base. Good s was defined as having: (1) prophylaxis at UIV (tethers, hooks, cement), (2) no lordotic change(under-contouring) greater than 10° of the UIV, (3) preoperative UIV inclination angle<30°. Multivariable regression analysis assessed the effects of junction characteristics and radiographic correction individually and collectively on the development of PJK and PJF in differing construct lengths, adjusting for confounders.

RESULTS

In all, 261 patients were included. The cohort had lower odds of PJK(OR: 0.5,[0.2-0.9]; P =0.044) and PJF was less likely (OR: 0.1,[0.0-0.7]; P =0.014) in the presence of a good summit. Normalizing pelvic compensation had the greatest radiographic effect on preventing PJF overall (OR: 0.6,[0.3-1.0]; P =0.044). In shorter constructs, realignment had a greater effect on decreasing the odds of PJF(OR: 0.2,[0.02-0.9]; P =0.036). With longer constructs, a good summit lowered the likelihood of PJK(OR: 0.3,[0.1-0.9]; P =0.027). A good base led to zero occurrences of PJF. In patients with severe frailty/osteoporosis, a good summit lowered the incidence of PJK(OR: 0.4,[0.2-0.9]; P =0.041) and PJF (OR: 0.1,[0.01-0.99]; P =0.049).

CONCLUSION

To mitigate junctional failure, our study demonstrated the utility of individualizing surgical approaches to emphasize an optimal basal construct. Achievement of tailored goals at the cranial end of the surgical construct may be equally important, especially for higher-risk patients with longer fusions.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

3.

Factors Associated with the Maintenance of Cost-Effectiveness at 5 Years in Adult Spinal Deformity Corrective Surgery

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate factors associated with the long-term durability of cost-effectiveness (CE) in ASD patients.

BACKGROUND

A substantial increase in costs associated with the surgical treatment for adult spinal deformity (ASD) has given precedence to scrutinize the value and utility it provides.

METHODS

We included 327 operative ASD patients with 5-year (5 Y) follow-up. Published methods were used to determine costs based on CMS.gov definitions and were based on the average DRG reimbursement rates. Utility was calculated using quality-adjusted life-years (QALY) utilizing the Oswestry Disability Index (ODI) converted to Short-Form Six-Dimension (SF-6D), with a 3% discount applied for its decline with life expectancy. The CE threshold of $150,000 was used for primary analysis.

RESULTS

Major and minor complication rates were 11% and 47% respectively, with 26% undergoing reoperation by 5 Y. The mean cost associated with surgery was $91,095±$47,003, with a utility gain of 0.091±0.086 at 1Y, QALY gained at 2 Y of 0.171±0.183, and at 5 Y of 0.42±0.43. The cost per QALY at 2 Y was $414,885, which decreased to $142,058 at 5 Y.With the threshold of $150,000 for CE, 19% met CE at 2 Y and 56% at 5 Y. In those in which revision was avoided, 87% met cumulative CE till life expectancy. Controlling analysis depicted higher baseline CCI and pelvic tilt (PT) to be the strongest predictors for not maintaining durable CE to 5 Y (CCI OR: 1.821 [1.159-2.862], P=0.009) (PT OR: 1.079 [1.007-1.155], P=0.030).

CONCLUSIONS

Most patients achieved cost-effectiveness after four years postoperatively, with 56% meeting at five years postoperatively. When revision was avoided, 87% of patients met cumulative cost-effectiveness till life expectancy. Mechanical complications were predictive of failure to achieve cost-effectiveness at 2 Y, while comorbidity burden and medical complications were at 5 Y.

Costs of Surgery in Adult Spinal Deformity: Do Higher Cost Surgeries Lead to Better Outcomes?

STUDY DESIGN

This was a retrospective study.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the impact of surgical costs on patient-reported outcomes in adult spinal deformity (ASD).

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

With increased focus on delivering cost-effective health care, interventions with high-resource utilization, such as ASD surgery, have received greater scrutiny.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

ASD patients aged 18 years and older with BL and 2-year data were included. Surgical costs were calculated using the 2021 average Medicare reimbursement by Current Procedural Terminology code. Costs of complications and reoperations were intentionally excluded. Patients were ranked into tertiles by surgical cost: highest surgical costs (HC) and lowest surgical costs (LC). They were propensity score matched to account for differences in baseline age and deformity. Bivariate logistic regressions assessed odds of achieving outcomes.

RESULTS

Four hundred twenty-one patients met inclusion (60.7 yr, 81.8% female, Charlson Comorbidity Index: 1.6, 27.1 kg/m 2 ), 139 LC and 127 HC patients. After propensity score matching, 102 patients remained in each cost group with an average reimbursement of LC: $12,494 versus HC: $29,248. Matched cohorts had similar demographics and baseline health-related quality of life. Matched groups had similar baseline sagittal vertical axis (HC: 59.0 vs. LC: 56.7 mm), pelvic incidence and lumbar lordosis (HC: 13.1 vs. LC: 13.4°), and pelvic tilt (HC: 25.3 vs. LC: 22.4°). Rates of complications were not significantly different between the cost groups. Compared with the LC group, by 2 years, HC patients had higher odds of reaching substantial clinical benefit in Oswestry Disability Index [odds ratio (OR): 2.356 (1.220, 4.551), P =0.011], in Scoliosis Research Society-Total [OR: 2.988 (1.515, 5.895), P =0.002], and in Numerical Rating Scale Back [OR: 2.739 (1.105, 6.788), P =0.030]. Similar findings were appreciated for HC patients in the setting of Schwab deformity outcome criteria.

CONCLUSIONS

Although added cost did not guarantee an ideal outcome, HC patients experienced superior patient-reported outcomes compared with LC patients. Although cost efficiency remains an important priority for health policy, isolating cost reduction may compromise outcomes and add to future costs of reintervention, particularly with more severe baseline deformity.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

3.

Persistent Lower Extremity Compensation for Sagittal Imbalance After Surgical Correction of Complex Adult Spinal Deformity: A Radiographic Analysis of Early Impact

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Achieving spinopelvic realignment during adult spinal deformity (ASD) surgery does not always produce ideal outcomes. Little is known whether compensation in lower extremities (LEs) plays a role in this disassociation. The objective is to analyze lower extremity compensation after complex ASD surgery, its effect on outcomes, and whether correction can alleviate these mechanisms.

METHODS

We included patients with complex ASD with 6-week data. LE parameters were as follows: sacrofemoral angle, knee flexion angle, and ankle flexion angle. Each parameter was ranked, and upper tertile was deemed compensation. Patients compensating and not compensating postoperatively were propensity score matched for body mass index, frailty, and T1 pelvic angle. Linear regression assessed correlation between LE parameters and baseline deformity, demographics, and surgical details. Multivariate analysis controlling for baseline deformity and history of total knee/hip arthroplasty evaluated outcomes.

RESULTS

Two hundred and ten patients (age: 61.3 ± 14.1 years, body mass index: 27.4 ± 5.8 kg/m2, Charlson Comorbidity Index: 1.1 ± 1.6, 72% female, 22% previous total joint arthroplasty, 24% osteoporosis, levels fused: 13.1 ± 3.8) were included. At baseline, 59% were compensating in LE: 32% at hips, 39% knees, and 36% ankles. After correction, 61% were compensating at least one joint. Patients undercorrected postoperatively were less likely to relieve LE compensation (odds ratio: 0.2, P = .037). Patients compensating in LE were more often undercorrected in age-adjusted pelvic tilt, pelvic incidence, lumbar lordosis, and T1 pelvic angle and disproportioned in Global Alignment and Proportion (P < .05). Patients matched in sagittal age-adjusted score at 6 weeks but compensating in LE were more likely to develop proximal junctional kyphosis (odds ratio: 4.1, P = .009) and proximal junctional failure (8% vs 0%, P = .035) than those sagittal age-adjusted score-matched and not compensating in LE.

CONCLUSION

Perioperative lower extremity compensation was a product of undercorrecting complex ASD. Even in age-adjusted realignment, compensation was associated with global undercorrection and junctional failure. Consideration of lower extremities during planning is vital to avoid adverse outcomes in perioperative course after complex ASD surgery.

The Importance of Incorporating Proportional Alignment in Adult Cervical Deformity Corrections Relative to Regional and Global Alignment: Steps Toward Development of a Cervical-Specific Score

STUDY DESIGN/SETTING

Retrospective single-center study.

BACKGROUND

The global alignment and proportion score is widely used in adult spinal deformity surgery. However, it is not specific to the parameters used in adult cervical deformity (ACD).

PURPOSE

Create a cervicothoracic alignment and proportion (CAP) score in patients with operative ACD.

METHODS

Patients with ACD with 2-year data were included. Parameters consisted of relative McGregor's Slope [RMGS = (MGS × 1.5)/0.9], relative cervical lordosis [RCL = CL - thoracic kyphosis (TK)], Cervical Lordosis Distribution Index (CLDI = C2 - Apex × 100/C2 - T2), relative pelvic version (RPV = sacral slope - pelvic incidence × 0.59 + 9), and a frailty factor (greater than 0.33). Cutoff points were chosen where the cross-tabulation of parameter subgroups reached a maximal rate of meeting the Optimal Outcome. The optimal outcome was defined as meeting Good Clinical Outcome criteria without the occurrence of distal junctional failure (DJF) or reoperation. CAP was scored between 0 and 13 and categorized accordingly: ≤3 (proportioned), 4-6 (moderately disproportioned), >6 (severely disproportioned). Multivariable logistic regression analysis determined the relationship between CAP categories, overall score, and development of distal junctional kyphosis (DJK), DJF, reoperation, and Optimal Outcome by 2 years.

RESULTS

One hundred five patients with operative ACD were included. Assessment of the 3-month CAP score found a mean of 5.2/13 possible points. 22.7% of patients were proportioned, 49.5% moderately disproportioned, and 27.8% severely disproportioned. DJK occurred in 34.5% and DJF in 8.7%, 20.0% underwent reoperation, and 55.7% achieved Optimal Outcome. Patients severely disproportioned in CAP had higher odds of DJK [OR: 6.0 (2.1-17.7); P =0.001], DJF [OR: 9.7 (1.8-51.8); P =0.008], reoperation [OR: 3.3 (1.9-10.6); P =0.011], and lower odds of meeting the optimal outcome [OR: 0.3 (0.1-0.7); P =0.007] by 2 years, while proportioned patients suffered zero occurrences of DJK or DJF.

CONCLUSION

The regional alignment and proportion score is a method of analyzing the cervical spine relative to global alignment and demonstrates the importance of maintaining horizontal gaze, while also matching overall cervical and thoracolumbar alignment to limit complications and maximize clinical improvement.

Economic burden of nonoperative treatment of adult spinal deformity

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to investigate the cost utility of nonoperative treatment for adult spinal deformity (ASD).

METHODS

Nonoperatively and operatively treated patients who met database criteria for ASD and in whom complete radiographic and health-related quality of life data at baseline and at 2 years were available were included. A cost analysis was completed on the PearlDiver database assessing the average cost of nonoperative treatment prior to surgical intervention based on previously published treatments (NSAIDs, narcotics, muscle relaxants, epidural steroid injections, physical therapy, and chiropractor). Utility data were calculated using the Oswestry Disability Index (ODI) converted to SF-6D with published conversion methods. Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) used a 3% discount rate to account for residual decline in life expectancy (78.7 years). Minor and major comorbidities and complications were assessed according to the CMS.gov manual's definitions. Successful nonoperative treatment was defined as a gain in the minimum clinically importance difference (MCID) in both ODI and Scoliosis Research Society (SRS)-pain scores, and failure was defined as a loss in MCID or conversion to operative treatment. Patients with baseline ODI ≤ 20 and continued ODI of ≤ 20 at 2 years were considered nonoperative successful maintenance. The average utilization of nonoperative treatment and cost were applied to the ASD cohort.

RESULTS

A total of 824 patients were included (mean age 58.24 years, 81% female, mean body mass index 27.2 kg/m2). Overall, 75.5% of patients were in the operative and 24.5% were in the nonoperative cohort. At baseline patients in the operative cohort were significantly older, had a greater body mass index, increased pelvic tilt, and increased pelvic incidence-lumbar lordosis mismatch (all p < 0.05). With respect to deformity, patients in the operative group had higher rates of severe (i.e., ++) sagittal deformity according to SRS-Schwab modifiers for pelvic tilt, sagittal vertical axis, and pelvic incidence-lumbar lordosis mismatch (p < 0.05). At 2 years, patients in the operative cohort showed significantly increased rates of a gain in MCID for physical component summary of SF-36, ODI, and SRS-activity, SRS-pain, SRS-appearance, and SRS-mental scores. Cost analysis showed the average cost of nonoperative treatment 2 years prior to surgical intervention to be $2041. Overall, at 2 years patients in the nonoperative cohort had again in ODI of 0.36, did not show a gain in QALYs, and nonoperative treatment was determined to be cost-ineffective. However, a subset of patients in this cohort underwent successful maintenance treatment and had a decrease in ODI of 1.1 and a gain in utility of 0.006 at 2 years. If utility gained for this cohort was sustained to full life expectancy, patients' cost per QALY was $18,934 compared to a cost per QALY gained of $70,690.79 for posterior-only and $48,273.49 for combined approach in patients in the operative cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with ASD undergoing operative treatment at baseline had greater sagittal deformity and greater improvement in health-related quality of life postoperatively compared to patients treated nonoperatively. Additionally, patients in the nonoperative cohort overall had an increase in ODI and did not show improvement in utility gained. Patients in the nonoperative cohort who had low disability and sagittal deformity underwent successful maintenance and cost-effective treatment.

Achievement and Maintenance of Optimal Alignment After Adult Spinal Deformity Corrective Surgery: A 5-Year Outcome Analysis

OBJECTIVE

We sought to assess factors contributing to optimal radiographic outcomes.

METHODS

Operative adult spinal deformity (ASD) patients with baseline and 5-year (5Y) data were included. Optimal alignment (O) was defined as improving in at least 1 Scoliosis Research Society-Schwab modifier without worsening in any Scoliosis Research Society-Schwab modifier. A robust outcome was defined as having optimal alignment 2 years (2Y) post operation that was maintained at 5Y. Predictors of robust outcomes were identified using multivariate regression analysis, with a conditional inference tree for continuous variables.

RESULTS

Two-hundred and ninety-seven ASD patients met inclusion criteria. Most patients (77.4%) met O at 6W, which decreased to 54.2% at 2Y. The majority of patients (89.4%) that met O at 2Y went on to meet radiographic durability at 5Y (48.5% of total cohort). Rates of junctional failure were higher in O2+5- compared with O2+5- (P = 0.013), with reoperation rates of 17.2% due to loss of alignment. Multivariable regression identified the following independent predictors of optimal alignment at 5Y in those that had O at 2Y: inadequate correction of pelvic tilt and overcorrection of the difference between pelvic incidence and lumbar lordosis (P < 0.05). Increased age, body mass index, and invasiveness were the most significant nonradiographic predictors for not achieving 5Y durability (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The durability of optimal alignment after ASD corrective surgery was seen in about half of the patients at 5Y. While the majority of patients at 2Y maintained their radiographic outcomes at 5Y, major contributors to loss of alignment included junctional failure and adjacent region compensation, with only a minority of patients losing correction through the existing construct. The reoperation rate for loss of alignment was 17.2%. Loss of alignment requiring reoperation had a detrimental effect on 5Y clinical outcomes.

When not to Operate in Spinal Deformity: Identifying Subsets of Patients With Simultaneous Clinical Deterioration, Major Complications, and Reoperation

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective review of a prospectively enrolled adult spinal deformity (ASD) database.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate what patient factors elevate the risk of sub-optimal outcomes after deformity correction.

BACKGROUND

Currently, it is unknown what factors predict a poor outcome after adult spinal deformity surgery, which may require increased preoperative consideration and counseling.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients >18 yrs undergoing surgery for ASD(scoliosis≥20°, SVA≥5 cm, PT≥25°, or TK≥60°). An unsatisfactory outcome was defined by the following categories met at two years: (1) clinical: deteriorating in ODI at two years follow-up (2) complications/reoperation: having a reoperation and major complication were deemed high risk for poor outcomes postoperatively (HR). Multivariate analyses assessed predictive factors of HR patients in adult spinal deformity patients.

RESULTS

In all, 633 adult spinal deformity (59.9 yrs, 79% F, 27.7 kg/m 2, CCI: 1.74) were included. Baseline severe Schwab modifier incidence (++): 39.2% pelvic incidence and lumbar lordosis, 28.8% sagittal vertical axis, 28.9% PT. Overall, 15.5% of patients deteriorated in ODI by two years, while 7.6% underwent reoperation and had a major complication. This categorized 11 (1.7%) as HR. HR were more comorbid in terms of arthritis (73%), heart disease (36%), and kidney disease (18%), P <0.001. Surgically, HR had greater EBL (4431ccs) and underwent more osteotomies (91%), specifically Ponte(36%) and Three Column Osteotomies(55%), which occurred more at L2(91%). HR underwent more PLIFs (45%) and had more blood transfusion units (2641ccs), all P <0.050. The multivariate regression determined a combination of a baseline Distress and Risk Assessment Method score in the 75th percentile, having arthritis and kidney disease, a baseline right lower extremity motor score ≤3, cSVA >65 mm, C2 slope >30.2°, CTPA >5.5° for an R2 value of 0.535 ( P <0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

When addressing adult spine deformities, poor outcomes tend to occur in severely comorbid patients with major baseline psychological distress scores, poor neurologic function, and concomitant cervical malalignment.

Should realignment goals vary based on patient frailty status in adult spinal deformity?

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to adjust the sagittal age-adjusted score (SAAS) to accommodate frailty in alignment considerations and thereby increase the predictability of clinical outcomes and junctional failure.

METHODS

Surgical adult spinal deformity (ASD) patients with 2-year data were included. Frailty was assessed with the continuous ASD modified frailty index (ASD-mFI). Two-year outcomes were proximal junctional kyphosis (PJK), proximal junctional failure (PJF), major mechanical complications, and best clinical outcome (BCO), defined as Oswestry Disability Index (ODI) score < 15 and Scoliosis Research Society outcomes questionnaire total score > 4.5 by 2 years. Linear regression analysis established a 6-week score based on the component scores of SAAS, frailty, and US normal values for ODI score. Logistic regression analysis followed by conditional inference tree run forest analysis generated categorical thresholds. Multivariate analysis, controlling for age, baseline deformity, and history of revision, was used to compare outcome rates, and logistic regression generated odds ratios for the continuous score. Thirty percent of the cohort was used as a random sample for internal validation.

RESULTS

In total, 412 patients were included (mean ± SD age 60.1 ± 14.2 years, 80% female, BMI 26.9 ± 5.4 kg/m2). Baseline frailty categories were as follows: 57% not frail, 30% frail, and 14% severely frail. Overall, by 2 years, 39% of patients had developed PJK, 8% PJF, and 21% mechanical complications; 22% had undergone a reoperation; and 15% met BCO. When the cohort as a whole was assessed, the 6-week SAAS had a correlation with the development of PJK and PJF, but not mechanical complications, reoperation, or BCO. Development of mechanical complications, PJF, reoperation, and BCO demonstrated correlations with ASD-mFI (all p < 0.05). Regression analysis modifying SAAS on the basis of ODI norms and frailty generated the following equation: frailty-adjusted SAAS (FAS) = 0.108 × T1 pelvic angle + 0.162 × pelvic tilt - 0.39 × pelvic incidence - lumbar lordosis - 0.03 × ASD-mFI - 1.6771. With conditional inference tree analysis, thresholds were derived for FAS: aligned < 1.7, offset 1.7-2.2, and severely offset > 2.2. Significance between FAS categories was found for PJK, PJF, mechanical complications, reoperation, and BCO by 2 years. Binary logistic regression, controlling for baseline deformity and revision status, demonstrated significance between FAS and all 5 outcome variables (all p < 0.01). Internal validation saw each outcome variable maintain significance between categories, with even greater odds for PJF (OR 13.4, 95% CI 4.7-38.3, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Consideration of physiological age, in addition to chronological age, may be beneficial in the management of operative goals to maximize clinical outcomes while minimizing junctional failure. This combination enables the spine surgeon to fortify a surgical plan for even the most challenging patients undergoing ASD corrective surgery.

Impact of Frailty on the Development of Proximal Junctional Failure: Does Frailty Supersede Achieving Optimal Realignment?

BACKGROUND

Patients undergoing surgery for adult spinal deformity (ASD) are often elderly, frail, and at elevated risk of adverse events perioperatively, with proximal junctional failure (PJF) occurring relatively frequently. Currently, the specific role of frailty in potentiating this outcome is poorly defined.

PURPOSE

To determine if the benefits of optimal realignment in ASD, with respect to the development of PJF, can be offset by increasing frailty.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Operative ASD patients (scoliosis >20°, SVA>5 cm, pelvic tilt>25°, or TK>60°) fused to the pelvis or below with available baseline and 2-year (2Y) radiographic and HRQL data were included. The Miller Frailty Index (FI) was used to stratify patients into 2 categories: Not Frail (FI <3) and Frail (>3). Proximal Junctional Failure (PJF) was defined using the Lafage criteria. "Matched" and "unmatched" refers to ideal age-adjusted alignment postoperatively. Multivariable regression determined the impact of frailty on the development of PJF.

RESULTS

Two hundred eighty-four ASD patients met inclusion criteria [62.2yrs±9.9, 81%F, BMI: 27.5 kg/m 2 ±5.3, ASD-FI: 3.4±1.5, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI): 1.7±1.6]. Forty-three percent of patients were characterized as Not Frail (NF) and 57% were characterized as Frail (F). PJF development was lower in the NF group compared with the F group (7% vs . 18%; P =0.002). F patients had 3.2 × higher risk of PJF development compared to NF patients (OR: 3.2, 95% CI: 1.3-7.3, P =0.009). Controlling for baseline factors, F unmatched patients had a higher degree of PJF (OR: 1.4, 95% CI:1.02-1.8, P =0.03); however, with prophylaxis, there was no increased risk. Adjusted analysis shows F patients, when matched postoperatively in PI-LL, had no significantly higher risk of PJF.

CONCLUSIONS

An increasingly frail state is significantly associated with the development of PJF after corrective surgery for ASD. Optimal realignment may mitigate the impact of frailty on eventual PJF. Prophylaxis should be considered in frail patients who do not reach ideal alignment goals.

Predictors of reoperation for spinal disorders in Chiari malformation patients with prior surgical decompression

Background

Chiari malformation (CM) is a cluster of related developmental anomalies of the posterior fossa ranging from asymptomatic to fatal. Cranial and spinal decompression can help alleviate symptoms of increased cerebrospinal fluid pressure and correct spinal deformity. As surgical intervention for CM increases in frequency, understanding predictors of reoperation may help optimize neurosurgical planning.

Materials and Methods

This was a retrospective analysis of the prospectively collected Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project's California State Inpatient Database years 2004-2011. Chiari malformation Types 1-4 (queried with ICD-9 CM codes) with associated spinal pathologies undergoing stand-alone spinal decompression (queried with ICD-9 CM procedure codes) were included. Cranial decompressions were excluded.

Results

One thousand four hundred and forty-six patients (29.28 years, 55.6% of females) were included. Fifty-eight patients (4.01%) required reoperation (67 reoperations). Patients aged 40-50 years had the most reoperations (11); however, patients aged 15-20 years had a significantly higher reoperation rate than all other groups (15.5% vs. 8.2%, P = 0.048). Female gender was significantly associated with reoperation (67.2% vs. 55.6%, P = 0.006). Medical comorbidities associated with reoperation included chronic lung disease (19% vs. 6.9%, P < 0.001), iron deficiency anemia (10.3% vs. 4.1%, P = 0.024), and renal failure (3.4% vs. 0.9%, P = 0.05). Associated significant cluster anomalies included spina bifida (48.3% vs. 34.8%, P = 0.035), tethered cord syndrome (6.9% vs. 2.1%, P = 0.015), syringomyelia (12.1% vs. 5.9%, P = 0.054), hydrocephalus (37.9% vs. 17.7%, P < 0.001), scoliosis (13.8% vs. 6.4%, P = 0.028), and ventricular septal defect (6.9% vs. 2.3%, P = 0.026).

Conclusions

Multiple medical and CM-specific comorbidities were associated with reoperation. Addressing them, where possible, may aid in improving CM surgery outcomes.

Does the presence of cervical deformity in patients with baseline mild myelopathy increase operative urgency in adult cervical spinal surgery? A retrospective analysis

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to assess whether delaying surgical management of cervical deformity (CD) in patients with concomitant mild myelopathy increases the risk of suboptimal outcomes.

METHODS

Patients aged ≥ 18 years who had a baseline diagnosis of mild myelopathy with baseline and up to 2 years of postoperative data were assessed. Patients were categorized as having CD (CD+) or not (CD-) at baseline. Patients with symptoms of myelopathy for more than 1 year after the initial visit prior to surgery were considered delayed. Clinical and radiographic data were assessed using means comparison analyses. Multivariate regression analysis assessed correlations between increasing time to surgery and peri- and postoperative outcomes adjusted for baseline age and frailty score. Backstep logistic regression analysis assessed the risk of complications or reoperation, while controlling for baseline T1 slope minus cervical lordosis (TS-CL).

RESULTS

One hundred six patients were included (mean age 58.11 ± 11.97 years, 48% female, mean BMI 29.13 ± 6.89). Of the patients with baseline mild myelopathy, 22 (20.8%) were CD- while 84 (79.2%) were CD+. Overall, 9.5% of patients were considered to have delayed surgery. Linear regression revealed that both CD- and CD+ patients were more likely to require reoperation when there was more time between the initial visit and surgical admission (p < 0.001). Additionally, an adjusted logistic regression indicated that CD+ patients who had a greater length of time to surgery had a higher likelihood for major complications (p < 0.001). Conversely, CD+ patients who were operated on within 30 days of the initial visit had a significantly lower risk for a major complication (OR 0.901, 95% CI 0.889-1.105, p = 0.043), and a lower risk for reoperation (OR 0.954, 95% CI 0.877-1.090, p = 0.043), while controlling for the severity of deformity based on baseline TS-CL.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings of this study demonstrate that a delay in surgery after the initial visit significantly increases the risk for major complications and reoperation in patients with CD with associated mild baseline myelopathy. Early operative treatment in this patient population may lower the risk of postoperative complications.

Observation of high-energy neutrinos from the Galactic plane

The origin of high-energy cosmic rays, atomic nuclei that continuously impact Earth's atmosphere, is unknown. Because of deflection by interstellar magnetic fields, cosmic rays produced within the Milky Way arrive at Earth from random directions. However, cosmic rays interact with matter near their sources and during propagation, which produces high-energy neutrinos. We searched for neutrino emission using machine learning techniques applied to 10 years of data from the IceCube Neutrino Observatory. By comparing diffuse emission models to a background-only hypothesis, we identified neutrino emission from the Galactic plane at the 4.5σ level of significance. The signal is consistent with diffuse emission of neutrinos from the Milky Way but could also arise from a population of unresolved point sources.

Surgical costs in adult cervical Deformity: Do higher cost surgeries lead to better Outcomes?

BACKGROUND

As our focus on delivering cost effective healthcare increases, interventions like cervical deformity surgery, which are associated with high resource utilization, have received greater scrutiny. The purpose of this study was to assess relationship between surgical costs, deformity correction, and patient reported outcomes in ACD surgery.

METHODS

ACD Patients ≥ 18 years with baseline (BL) and 2-year (2Y) data were included. Cost of surgery was calculated by applying average Medicare reimbursement rates by CPT code to surgical details of each patient in the cohort. CPT codes for corpectomy, ACDF, osteotomy, decompression, levels fused, and instrumentation were considered in the analysis. Costs of complications and reoperations were intentionally excluded from the cost analysis. Patients were ranked into two groups by surgical cost: lowest cost (LC) and highest cost (HC). ANCOVA assessed differences in outcomes while accounting for covariates as appropriate.

RESULTS

113 met inclusion criteria. While mean age, frailty, BMI and gender composition were similar between cost groups, mean CCI was significantly higher in the HC group compared to that of the LC group (p=.014). At baseline, LC and HC groups had similar HRQLs and radiographic deformity (all p >.05). Logistic regression accounting for baseline age, deformity and CCI found that HC patients had significantly lower odds of undergoing reoperation within 2-years (OR: 0.309, 95 % CI: 0.193 - 0.493, p <.001). Furthermore, logistic regression accounting for baseline age, deformity and CCI found odds of DJF were significantly lower for those in the HC group (OR: 0.163, 95 % CI: 0.083 - 0.323, p <.001). At 2-years, logistic regression accounting for age and baseline TS-CL found HC patients still had significantly higher odds of reaching a "0″ TS-CL modifier at 2-years (OR: 3.353, 95 % CI: 1.081 - 10.402, p=.036). Logistic regression accounting for age and baseline NDI score found HC patients had significantly higher odds of reaching MCID in NDI at 2-years (OR: 4.477, 95 % CI: 1.507 - 13.297, p=.007). A similar logistic regression accounting for age and baseline mJOA score found odds of reaching MCID in mJOA significantly higher for high-cost patients (OR: 2.942, 95 % CI: 1.101 - 7.864, p=.031).

CONCLUSIONS

While patient presentation influences surgical planning and costs, this study attempted to control for such variations to assess impact of surgical costs on outcomes. Despite continued scrutiny over healthcare costs, we found that more costly surgical interventions can produce superior radiographic alignment as well as patient reported outcomes for patients with cervical deformity.

A Hierarchical Approach to Realignment Strategies in Adult Cervical Deformity Surgery

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE

Construct an individualized cervical realignment strategy based on patient parameters at the presentation that results in superior 2-year health-related quality of life metrics and decreased rates of junctional failure and reoperation following adult cervical deformity surgery.

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

Research has previously focused on adult cervical deformity realignment thresholds for maximizing clinical outcomes while minimizing complications. However, realignment strategies may differ based on patient presentation and clinical characteristics.

METHODS

We included adult cervical deformity patients with 2-year data. The optimal outcome was defined as meeting good clinical outcomes without distal junctional failure or reoperation. Radiographic parameters assessed included C2 Slope, C2-C7, McGregor's slope, TS-CL, cSVA, T1 slope, and preoperative lowest-instrumented vertebra (LIV) inclination angle. Conditional inference trees were used to establish thresholds for each parameter based on achieving the optimal outcome. Analysis of Covariance and multivariable logistic regression analysis, controlling for age, comorbidities, baseline deformity and disability, and surgical factors, assessed outcome rates for the hierarchical approach within each deformity group.

RESULTS

One hundred twenty-seven patients were included. After correction, there was a significant difference in meeting the optimal outcome when correcting the C2 slope below 10 degrees (85% vs. 34%, P <0.001), along with lower rates of distal junctional failure (DJF) (7% vs. 42%, P <0.001). Next, after isolating patients below the C2 slope threshold, the selection of LIV with an inclination between 0 and 40 degrees demonstrated lower rates of distal junctional kyphosis and higher odds of meeting optimal outcome(OR: 4.2, P =0.011). The best third step was the correction of cSVA below 35 mm. This hierarchical approach (11% of the cohort) led to significantly lower rates of DJF (0% vs. 15%, P <0.007), reoperation (8% vs. 28%, P <0.001), and higher rates of meeting optimal outcome (93% vs. 36%, P <0.001) when controlling for age, comorbidities, and baseline deformity and disability.

CONCLUSION

Our results indicate that the correction of C2 slope should be prioritized during cervical deformity surgery, with the selection of a stable LIV and correction of cervical SVA below the idealized threshold. Among the numerous radiographic parameters considered during preoperative planning for cervical deformity correction, our determinations help surgeons prioritize those realignment strategies that maximize the health-related quality of life outcomes and minimize complications.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level-III.

Evidence for neutrino emission from the nearby active galaxy NGC 1068

A supermassive black hole, obscured by cosmic dust, powers the nearby active galaxy NGC 1068. Neutrinos, which rarely interact with matter, could provide information on the galaxy’s active core. We searched for neutrino emission from astrophysical objects using data recorded with the IceCube neutrino detector between 2011 and 2020. The positions of 110 known gamma-ray sources were individually searched for neutrino detections above atmospheric and cosmic backgrounds. We found that NGC 1068 has an excess of 79 − 20 + 22 neutrinos at tera–electron volt energies, with a global significance of 4.2σ, which we interpret as associated with the active galaxy. The flux of high-energy neutrinos that we measured from NGC 1068 is more than an order of magnitude higher than the upper limit on emissions of tera–electron volt gamma rays from this source.

Herbal face pack containing Coffea arabica Linn, Myristica Fragrans and Lens Culinaris as an antioxidant and antiseptic activity

The goal of the project is to test and develop an herbal face pack that contains natural herbal compounds that act as antioxidants, antiseptics, and skin brighteners. Natural herbal components including coffee, multani mitti, arjuna powder, rice flour, gram flour, orange peel powder, nutmeg, milk powder, saffron, aloe vera gel.  All natural components were sieved through #120 mesh, carefully weighed, and geometrically blended for a homogeneous formulation, and then tested for phytochemical, morphological, physical, stability, and irritancy, microbial as well as physicochemical properties. Herbal face masks or packs are used to revitalize muscles and improve blood circulation while maintaining healthy skin and eliminating pollutants from pores. All face pack formulations were determined to be good in physical criteria and clear of skin irritations, indicating that the face packs have good qualities, according to this report's results. To identify the practical aids of face packs for human consumption as cosmetic items, more optimization research are needed on this study.

Search for Unstable Sterile Neutrinos with the IceCube Neutrino Observatory

We present a search for an unstable sterile neutrino by looking for a resonant signal in eight years of atmospheric ν_{μ} data collected from 2011 to 2019 at the IceCube Neutrino Observatory. Both the (stable) three-neutrino and the 3+1 sterile neutrino models are disfavored relative to the unstable sterile neutrino model, though with p values of 2.8% and 0.81%, respectively, we do not observe evidence for 3+1 neutrinos with neutrino decay. The best-fit parameters for the sterile neutrino with decay model from this study are Δm_{41}^{2}=6.7_{-2.5}^{+3.9}  eV^{2}, sin^{2}2θ_{24}=0.33_{-0.17}^{+0.20}, and g^{2}=2.5π±1.5π, where g is the decay-mediating coupling. The preferred regions of the 3+1+decay model from short-baseline oscillation searches are excluded at 90% C.L.

Strong Constraints on Neutrino Nonstandard Interactions from TeV-Scale ν_{μ} Disappearance at IceCube

We report a search for nonstandard neutrino interactions (NSI) using eight years of TeV-scale atmospheric muon neutrino data from the IceCube Neutrino Observatory. By reconstructing incident energies and zenith angles for atmospheric neutrino events, this analysis presents unified confidence intervals for the NSI parameter ε_{μτ}. The best-fit value is consistent with no NSI at a p value of 25.2%. With a 90% confidence interval of -0.0041≤ε_{μτ}≤0.0031 along the real axis and similar strength in the complex plane, this result is the strongest constraint on any NSI parameter from any oscillation channel to date.

Search for Relativistic Magnetic Monopoles with Eight Years of IceCube Data

We present an all-sky 90% confidence level upper limit on the cosmic flux of relativistic magnetic monopoles using 2886 days of IceCube data. The analysis was optimized for monopole speeds between 0.750c and 0.995c, without any explicit restriction on the monopole mass. We constrain the flux of relativistic cosmic magnetic monopoles to a level below 2.0×10^{-19}  cm^{-2} s^{-1} sr^{-1} over the majority of the targeted speed range. This result constitutes the most strict upper limit to date for magnetic monopoles with β≳0.8 and up to β∼0.995 and fills the gap between existing limits on the cosmic flux of nonrelativistic and ultrarelativistic magnetic monopoles.

Trends in United States pediatric neurosurgical practice during the COVID-19 pandemic

There is minimal information on COVID-19 pandemic’s national impact on pediatric neurosurgical operative volumes. In this study, using a national database, TriNetX, we compared the overall and seasonal trends of pediatric neurosurgical procedure volumes in the United States during the pandemic to pre-pandemic periods. In the United States, the incidence of COVID-19 began to rise in September 2020 and reached its maximum peak between December 2020 and January 2021. During this time, there was an inverse relationship between pediatric neurosurgical operative volumes and the incidence of COVID-19 cases. From March 2020 to May 2021, there was a significant decrease in the number of pediatric shunt (−11.7% mean change, p = 0.006), epilepsy (−16.6%, p < 0.001), and neurosurgical trauma (−13.8%, p < 0.001) surgeries compared to pre-pandemic years. The seasonal analysis also yielded a broad decrease in most subcategories in spring 2020 with significant decreases in pediatric spine, epilepsy, and trauma cases. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to report a national decline in pediatric shunt, epilepsy, and neurosurgical trauma operative volumes during the pandemic. This could be due to fear-related changes in health-seeking behavior as well as underdiagnosis during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Assessment of microhardness and color stability of micro-hybrid and nano-filled composite resins

Background and Aims

Composite resins are among the most popular restorative dental materials because of the strength and esthetic properties. The goal of this study was to assess the effect of commonly consumed beverages on microhardness and color stability of microhybrid (MH) and nanofilled NF) composite resins.

Material and Methods

240 samples were prepared from the composite material [MH = 120 (material I) and NF = 120 (material II)] and allocated into eight groups of 30 samples. In each group, half of the samples were tested for microhardness and another-half for color stability. After baseline measurements, the samples were immersed in test media, that is, distilled water and beverages (tea, cola, and coffee) for 15 days. Microhardness and color stability measurements were carried out after 15 days to assess the effect of beverages. The color stability and microhardness values were compared and evaluated by analysis of variance (ANOVA) using Tukey's alteration test.

Results

It was reported that the microhardness decreased for both the materials after immersion in all the beverages. Percentage change in microhardness was considerably higher in material II in comparison to the material I in cola drink. Color change was significantly higher in material II compared to material I in water and coffee. Cola drink caused the maximum change in microhardness among all the beverages and coffee caused the maximum color change among all the beverages.

Conclusion

Both composite materials (I and II) showed a reduction in microhardness and change in color after immersion in a different type of test media.

Factors Predisposing to Post Dural Puncture Headache in Children

BACKGROUND

Knowledge of the factors that predispose to postdural puncture headache in children may help reduce the occurrence of this complication.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective cohort study of children who presented to the study institution between 2010 and 2018 was conducted. Children were divided into 2 groups: those who experienced postdural puncture headache and those who did not. The 2 groups were compared with respect to certain demographic, technical, and personnel-related factors. Only children who had opening pressure documented during the procedure were included in the core study group.

RESULTS

In univariate analysis, children aged ≥10 years, female gender, children with higher body mass index, standard blinded lumbar puncture procedure, use of sedation, higher opening pressure, and presence of pseudotumor cerebri increased the probability of postdural puncture headache. In multivariable logistic regression analysis, presence of pseudotumor cerebri was the only factor that attained statistical significance when the opening pressure was measured and documented.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk factors for postdural puncture headache in a pediatric cohort varied from risk factors that are classically implicated in adults.

eV-Scale Sterile Neutrino Search Using Eight Years of Atmospheric Muon Neutrino Data from the IceCube Neutrino Observatory

The results of a 3+1 sterile neutrino search using eight years of data from the IceCube Neutrino Observatory are presented. A total of 305 735 muon neutrino events are analyzed in reconstructed energy-zenith space to test for signatures of a matter-enhanced oscillation that would occur given a sterile neutrino state with a mass-squared differences between 0.01 and 100  eV^{2}. The best-fit point is found to be at sin^{2}(2θ_{24})=0.10 and Δm_{41}^{2}=4.5  eV^{2}, which is consistent with the no sterile neutrino hypothesis with a p value of 8.0%.

Characteristics of the Diffuse Astrophysical Electron and Tau Neutrino Flux with Six Years of IceCube High Energy Cascade Data

We report on the first measurement of the astrophysical neutrino flux using particle showers (cascades) in IceCube data from 2010-2015. Assuming standard oscillations, the astrophysical neutrinos in this dedicated cascade sample are dominated (∼90%) by electron and tau flavors. The flux, observed in the sensitive energy range from 16 TeV to 2.6 PeV, is consistent with a single power-law model as expected from Fermi-type acceleration of high energy particles at astrophysical sources. We find the flux spectral index to be γ=2.53±0.07 and a flux normalization for each neutrino flavor of ϕ_{astro}=1.66_{-0.27}^{+0.25} at E_{0}=100  TeV, in agreement with IceCube's complementary muon neutrino results and with all-neutrino flavor fit results. In the measured energy range we reject spectral indices γ≤2.28 at ≥3σ significance level. Because of high neutrino energy resolution and low atmospheric neutrino backgrounds, this analysis provides the most detailed characterization of the neutrino flux at energies below ∼100  TeV compared to previous IceCube results. Results from fits assuming more complex neutrino flux models suggest a flux softening at high energies and a flux hardening at low energies (p value ≥0.06). The sizable and smooth flux measured below ∼100  TeV remains a puzzle. In order to not violate the isotropic diffuse gamma-ray background as measured by the Fermi Large Area Telescope, it suggests the existence of astrophysical neutrino sources characterized by dense environments which are opaque to gamma rays.

Chemotherapy for the Management of Cerebral Metastases

Chemotherapy has played a minor role as adjuvant therapy in treatment of cerebral metastases from solid cancers. The blood-brain barrier and cerebral metastases' considerable machinery of self-preservation have been significant obstacles to delivery and efficacy of chemotherapy. However, several methods intended to surmount these challenges have arisen alongside advent of technology and with the development of targeted molecular therapies. Focused ultrasound and molecular Trojan horses represent two such novel means of increasing permeability of the blood-brain barrier to effector agents. Published data on efficacy of these targeted therapies remain mostly restricted to retrospective studies and phase II prospective clinical trials.

Shunt Failure-The First 30 Days

BACKGROUND

Incontrovertible predictors of shunt malfunction remain elusive.

OBJECTIVE

To determine predictors of shunt failure within 30 d of index surgery.

METHODS

This was a single-center retrospective cohort study from January 2010 through November 2016. Using a ventricular shunt surgery research database, clinical and procedural variables were procured. An "index surgery" was defined as implantation of a new shunt or revision or augmentation of an existing shunt system. The primary outcome was shunt failure of any kind within the first 30 days of index surgery. Bivariate models were created, followed by a final multivariable logistic regression model using a backward-forward selection procedure.

RESULTS

Our dataset contained 655 unique patients with a total of 1206 operations. The median age for the cohort at the time of first shunt surgery was 4.6 yr (range, 0-28; first and third quartile, .37 and 11.8, respectively). The 30-day failure rates were 12.4% when analyzing the first-index operation only (81/655), and 15.7% when analyzing all-index operations (189/1206). Small or slit ventricles at the time of index surgery and prior ventricular shunt operations were found to be significant covariates in both the "first-index" (P < .01 and P = .05, respectively) and "all-index" (P = .02 and P < .01, respectively) multivariable models. Intraventricular hemorrhage at the time of index surgery was an additional predictor in the all-index model (P = .01).

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrates that only 3 variables are predictive of 30-day shunt failure when following established variable selection procedures, 2 of which are potentially under direct control of the surgeon.

An Analysis of Publication Productivity During Residency for 1506 Neurosurgical Residents and 117 Residency Departments in North America

BACKGROUND

Bibliometrics is defined as the study of statistical and mathematical methods used to quantitatively analyze scientific literature. The application of bibliometrics in neurosurgery continues to evolve.

OBJECTIVE

To calculate a number of publication productivity measures for almost all neurosurgical residents and departments within North America. These measures were correlated with survey results on the educational environment within residency programs.

METHODS

During May to June 2017, data were collected from departmental websites and Scopus to compose a bibliometric database of neurosurgical residents and residency programs. Data related to authorship value and study content were collected on all articles published by residents. A survey of residency program research and educational environment was administered to program directors and coordinators; results were compared with resident academic productivity.

RESULTS

The median number of publications in residency was 3; median h-index and Resident index were 1 and 0.17 during residency, respectively. There was a statistically significant difference in academic productivity among male neurosurgical residents compared with females. The majority of articles published were tier 1 clinical articles. Residency program research support was significantly associated with increased resident productivity (P < .001). Scholarly activity requirements were not associated with increased resident academic productivity.

CONCLUSION

This study represents the most comprehensive bibliometric assessment of neurosurgical resident academic productivity during training to date. New benchmarks for individual and department academic productivity are provided. A supportive research environment for neurosurgical residents is associated with increased academic productivity, but a scholarly activity requirement was, surprisingly, not shown to have a positive effect.

Time-Integrated Neutrino Source Searches with 10 Years of IceCube Data

This Letter presents the results from pointlike neutrino source searches using ten years of IceCube data collected between April 6, 2008 and July 10, 2018. We evaluate the significance of an astrophysical signal from a pointlike source looking for an excess of clustered neutrino events with energies typically above ∼1  TeV among the background of atmospheric muons and neutrinos. We perform a full-sky scan, a search within a selected source catalog, a catalog population study, and three stacked Galactic catalog searches. The most significant point in the northern hemisphere from scanning the sky is coincident with the Seyfert II galaxy NGC 1068, which was included in the source catalog search. The excess at the coordinates of NGC 1068 is inconsistent with background expectations at the level of 2.9σ after accounting for statistical trials from the entire catalog. The combination of this result along with excesses observed at the coordinates of three other sources, including TXS 0506+056, suggests that, collectively, correlations with sources in the northern catalog are inconsistent with background at 3.3σ significance. The southern catalog is consistent with background. These results, all based on searches for a cumulative neutrino signal integrated over the 10 years of available data, motivate further study of these and similar sources, including time-dependent analyses, multimessenger correlations, and the possibility of stronger evidence with coming upgrades to the detector.

A hospital-based analysis of pseudomeningoceles after elective craniotomy in children: what predicts need for intervention?

OBJECTIVE

In pediatric patients, the development of a postoperative pseudomeningocele after an elective craniotomy is not unusual. Most will resolve with time, but some may require intervention. In this study, the authors analyzed patients who required intervention for a postoperative pseudomeningocele following an elective craniotomy or craniectomy and identified factors associated with the need for intervention.

METHODS

An institutional operative database of elective craniotomies and craniectomies was queried to identify all surgeries associated with development of a postoperative pseudomeningocele from January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2017. Demographic and surgical data were collected, as were details regarding postoperative events and interventions during either the initial admission or upon readmission. A bivariate analysis was performed to compare patients who underwent observation with those who required intervention.

RESULTS

Following 1648 elective craniotomies or craniectomies, 84 (5.1%) clinically significant pseudomeningoceles were identified in 82 unique patients. Of these, 58 (69%) of the pseudomeningoceles were diagnosed during the index admission (8 of which persisted and resulted in readmission), and 26 (31%) were diagnosed upon readmission. Forty-nine patients (59.8% of those with a pseudomeningocele) required one or more interventions, such as lumbar puncture(s), lumbar drain placement, wound exploration, or shunt placement or revision. Only race (p < 0.01) and duraplasty (p = 0.03, OR 3.0) were associated with the need for pseudomeningocele treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinically relevant pseudomeningoceles developed in 5% of patients undergoing an elective craniotomy, with 60% of these pseudomeningoceles needing some form of intervention. The need for intervention was associated with race and whether a duraplasty was performed.

The Preventable Shunt Revision Rate: A Multicenter Evaluation

BACKGROUND

The Preventable Shunt Revision Rate (PSRR) was recently introduced as a novel quality metric.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the PSRR across multiple centers and determine associated variables.

METHODS

Nine participating centers in North America provided at least 2 years of consecutive shunt operations. Index surgery was defined as new shunt implantation, or revision of an existing shunt. For any index surgery that resulted in a reoperation within 90-days, index surgery information (demographic, clinical, and procedural) was collected and a decision made whether the failure was potentially preventable. The 90-day shunt failure rate and PSRR were calculated per institution and combined. Bivariate analyses were performed to evaluate individual effects of each independent variable on preventable shunt failure followed by a final multivariable model using a backward model selection approach.

RESULTS

A total of 5092 shunt operations were performed; 861 failed within 90 days of index operation, resulting in a 16.9% combined 90-day shunt failure rate and 17.6% median failure rate (range, 8.7%-26.9%). Of the failures, 307 were potentially preventable (overall and median 90-day PSRR, 35.7% and 33.9%, respectively; range, 16.1%-55.4%). The most common etiologies of avoidable failure were infection (n = 134, 44%) and proximal catheter malposition (n = 83, 27%). Independent predictors of preventable failure (P < .05) were lack of endoscopy (odds ratio [OR] = 2.26), recent shunt infection (OR = 3.65), shunt type (OR = 2.06) and center.

CONCLUSION

PSRR is variable across institutions, but can be 50% or higher. While the PSRR may never reach zero, this study demonstrates that overall about a third of early failures are potentially preventable.

Implementation of a pediatric enhanced recovery pathway decreases opioid utilization and shortens time to full feeding

BACKGROUND

We hypothesized that an enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS) pathway for pediatric patients undergoing surgery for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) would be beneficial.

METHODS

This is a single institution retrospective comparative study comparing patients treated with an ERAS pathway to consecutive patients in a Preimplementation Cohort (PIC) with similar open and laparoscopic surgeries for IBD. The pathway emphasized minimal preoperative fasting, multimodal and regional analgesia, and early enteral nutrition after surgery. Primary endpoints were time to 120 mL of PO intake (POI), length of stay (LOS), opioid utilization, and 30-day surgical outcomes. Continuous and categorical variables were compared (p < 0.05).

RESULTS

There were 23 PIC and 28 ERAS patients with similar demographic data and surgical and anesthetic approaches. ERAS patients experienced a significant increase in the use of regional anesthesia, faster time to POI, and a nonsignificant decrease in mean LOS. ERAS patients had decreased total and daily opioid use with similar complication rates.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrates the effectiveness of a pediatric ERAS pathway for IBD patients requiring laparoscopic and (unique to this study) open surgery. The study demonstrates that opioid utilization and time to feeding can be positively impacted using ERAS pathways without negatively impacting outcomes.

TYPE OF STUDY

Retrospective comparative study.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level III.

Converting Pediatric Patients and Young Adults From a Shunt to a Third Ventriculostomy: A Multicenter Evaluation

BACKGROUND

Endoscopic third ventriculostomy (ETV) is an effective primary treatment for certain forms of hydrocephalus. However, its use in children with an existing shunt is less well known.

OBJECTIVE

To report a multicenter experience in attempting to convert patients from shunt dependence to a third ventriculostomy and to determine predictors of success.

METHODS

Three participating centers provided retrospectively collected information on patients with an attempted conversion from a shunt to an ETV between December 1, 2008, and April 1, 2018. Demographic, clinical, and radiological data were recorded. Success was defined as shunt independence at the last follow-up.

RESULTS

Eighty patients with an existing ventricular shunt underwent an ETV. The median age at the time of the index ETV was 9.9 yr, and 44 (55%) patients were male. The overall success rate was 64% (51/80), with a median duration of follow-up of 2.0 yr (range, 0.1-9.4 yr). Four patients required a successful repeat ETV at a median of 1.7 yr (range, 0.1-5.7 yr) following the index ETV. Only age was predictive of ETV failure on multivariate analysis (odds ratio 0.86 [95% CI 0.78-0.94], P = .005). No patient less than 6 mo of age underwent an ETV, and of the 5 patients between 6 and 12 mo of age, 4 failed.

CONCLUSION

Although not every shunted patient will be a candidate for an ETV, nor will they be successfully converted, an ETV should at least be considered in every child who presents with a shunt malfunction or who has an externalized shunt.

Application of the Preventable Shunt Revision Rate to an Adult Population

BACKGROUND

The preventable shunt revision rate (PSRR) was recently introduced in pediatric hydrocephalus as a quality metric for shunt surgery. We evaluated the PSRR in an adult hydrocephalus population.

METHODS

All ventricular shunt operations (January 1, 2013 to March 31, 2018) performed at a university-based teaching hospital were included. For any index surgery (de novo or revision) resulting in reoperation within 90 days, the index surgery details were collected, and a consensus decision was reached regarding whether the failure had been potentially avoidable. Preventable failure was defined as failure due to infection, malposition, disconnection, migration, or kinking. The 90-day shunt failure rate and PSRR were calculated. Bivariate analyses were performed to evaluate the individual effects of each independent variable on preventable shunt failure.

RESULTS

A total of 318 shunt operations had been performed in 245 patients. Most patients were women (62%), with a median age of 48.2 years (interquartile range, 31.2-63.2 years). Most had had ventriculoperitoneal shunts placed (86.5%), and just more than one half were new shunts (51.6%). A total of 53 cases (16.7%) in 42 patients experienced shunt failure within 90 days of the index operation. Of these, 27 failures (8.5% of the total cases; 51% of the failures) were considered potentially preventable. The most common reasons were infection (37%; n = 10) and malposition of the proximal and distal catheters (both 25.9%; n = 7). Age was the only statistically significant difference between the 2 groups, with the patients experiencing preventable shunt failure older than those without preventable shunt failure (51.4 vs. 37.1 years; P = 0.017).

CONCLUSIONS

The 90-day PSRR can be applied to an adult population and serve as a quality metric.

Postgraduate publishing output in pediatric neurosurgery: correlation with fellowship site and individual scholars

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to analyze the publication output of postgraduate pediatric neurosurgery fellows for a 10-year period as well as identify 25 individual highly productive pediatric neurosurgeons. The correlation between academic productivity and the site of fellowship training was studied.

METHODS

Programs certified by the Accreditation Council for Pediatric Neurosurgery Fellowships that had 5 or more graduating fellows from 2006 to 2015 were included for analysis. Fellows were queried using Scopus for publications during those 10 years with citation data through 2017. Pearson correlation coefficients were calculated, comparing program rankings of faculty against fellows using the revised Hirsch index (r-index; primary) and Hirsch index (h-index; secondary). A list of 25 highly accomplished individual academicians and their fellowship training locations was compiled.

RESULTS

Sixteen programs qualified with 152 fellows from 2006 to 2015; 136 of these surgeons published a total of 2009 articles with 23,735 citations. Most publications were pediatric-specific (66.7%) clinical articles (93.1%), with middle authorship (55%). Co-investigators were more likely from residency than fellowship. There was a clustering of the top 7 programs each having total publications of around 120 or greater, publications per fellow greater than 12, more than 1200 citations, and adjusted ir10 (revised 10-year institutional h-index) and ih10 (10-year institutional h-index) values of approximately 2 or higher. Correlating faculty and fellowship program rankings yielded correlation coefficients ranging from 0.53 to 0.80. Fifteen individuals (60%) in the top 25 (by r5 index) list completed their fellowship at 1 of these 7 institutions.

CONCLUSIONS

Approximately 90% of fellowship-trained pediatric neurosurgeons have 1 or more publications, but the spectrum of output is broad. There is a strong correlation between where surgeons complete their fellowships and postgraduate publications.

How Does the Media Portray Neurosurgeons?

BACKGROUND

It is not unusual to find neurosurgeons in the news and entertainment. The present study examined the portrayal of neurosurgeons by major print and online media sources.

METHODS

Two search strategies identified articles from October 1, 2012 to October 1, 2017 containing the keyword "neurosurgeon." The top 25 newspapers in the United States, determined by their circulation, were searched using the LexisNexis Academic or NewsBank databases; a layman's Google News search was used to collect online stories. Each identified article was evaluated to confirm the relevance and then examined for content. Relevant characteristics for each article and neurosurgeon were determined and analyzed.

RESULTS

Our searches returned 1005 articles comprising 561 unique stories about 203 different neurosurgeons. One particular neurosurgeon had 459 reports (45.7%). More articles were reported in 2015 (405; 40.3%) than any other single year. Most articles featured male neurosurgeons (879; 87.1%) and neurosurgeons who had been practicing for >20 years (636; 63.0%), with just 10 institutions accounting for the training of most of them (733; 72.6%). The articles were classified as positive (270; 26.9%), negative (356; 35.4%), or neutral (379; 37.7%) in terms of their reflection on the field of neurosurgery. The odds of a negative story were greater for male neurosurgeons, within 10 years of residency completion, and in a nonacademic position.

CONCLUSIONS

Neurosurgeons are naturally subject to media coverage, and we must be cognizant that this predilection can serve as both an occupational advantage and an occupational hazard.

Constraints on Minute-Scale Transient Astrophysical Neutrino Sources

High-energy neutrino emission has been predicted for several short-lived astrophysical transients including gamma-ray bursts (GRBs), core-collapse supernovae with choked jets, and neutron star mergers. IceCube's optical and x-ray follow-up program searches for such transient sources by looking for two or more muon neutrino candidates in directional coincidence and arriving within 100 s. The measured rate of neutrino alerts is consistent with the expected rate of chance coincidences of atmospheric background events and no likely electromagnetic counterparts have been identified in Swift follow-up observations. Here, we calculate generic bounds on the neutrino flux of short-lived transient sources. Assuming an E^{-2.5} neutrino spectrum, we find that the neutrino flux of rare sources, like long gamma-ray bursts, is constrained to <5% of the detected astrophysical flux and the energy released in neutrinos (100 GeV to 10 PeV) by a median bright GRB-like source is <10^{52.5}  erg. For a harder E^{-2.13} neutrino spectrum up to 30% of the flux could be produced by GRBs and the allowed median source energy is <10^{52}  erg. A hypothetical population of transient sources has to be more common than 10^{-5}  Mpc^{-3}  yr^{-1} (5×10^{-8}  Mpc^{-3}  yr^{-1} for the E^{-2.13} spectrum) to account for the complete astrophysical neutrino flux.

Search for neutrinos from decaying dark matter with IceCube: IceCube Collaboration

With the observation of high-energy astrophysical neutrinos by the IceCube Neutrino Observatory, interest has risen in models of PeV-mass decaying dark matter particles to explain the observed flux. We present two dedicated experimental analyses to test this hypothesis. One analysis uses 6 years of IceCube data focusing on muon neutrino 'track' events from the Northern Hemisphere, while the second analysis uses 2 years of 'cascade' events from the full sky. Known background components and the hypothetical flux from unstable dark matter are fitted to the experimental data. Since no significant excess is observed in either analysis, lower limits on the lifetime of dark matter particles are derived: we obtain the strongest constraint to date, excluding lifetimes shorter than10 28 s at 90% CL for dark matter masses above 10 TeV .