Should we be testing for Mycoplasma genitalium on initial presentation? Trends in persistent/recurrent urethritis among men presenting for care in STD clinics, 2015-2019, STD Surveillance Network (SSuN)

BACKGROUND

Mycoplasma genitalium is a major contributor to persistent/recurrent urethritis cases. However, there are limited published studies on recent trends of persistent/recurrent urethritis.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted of men presenting with symptomatic urethritis in 16 STD clinics from 2015-2019. Poisson regression was used to assess trends in the annual proportions of urethritis episodes with follow-up (FU) characterized with persistent/recurrent urethritis symptoms. Results were also stratified by results of chlamydia (CT) and gonorrhea (NG) testing and treatment prescribed.

RESULTS

There were 99,897 urethritis episodes, from 67,546 unique men. The proportion of episodes with persistent/recurrent symptomatic FU visits increased 50.8% over a 4-year period (annual percentage change (APC) 11.3%, 95% CI, 6.5-16.3). Similar trends were observed in non-chlamydial non-gonococcal urethritis episodes(APC, 12.7%; 95% CI, 6.8-18.9) but increases among those positive for NG (APC, 12.1%; 95% CI, -2.3 -28.5) or for CT (APC, 7.3%; 95% CI, -6.7-23.5) were not statistically significant. Among episodes who received azithromycin as first-line treatment, increases in the proportion of persistent/recurrent FU visits were observed (APC, 12.6%; 95% CI, 8.6-16.7). For episodes where first-line treatment was doxycycline, no significant increases were detected (APC, 4.3%; 95% CI, -0.3-9.2).

CONCLUSION

We found an increase in the proportion of urethritis episodes with persistent or recurrent symptoms over time. Given these observed trends in episodes negative for NG or CT, an etiology not detectable by routine diagnostics was a likely factor in increased persistence, suggesting patients with urethritis may benefit from diagnostic testing for M. genitalium during an initial symptomatic presentation.

Forensic psychiatric issues in intellectual disability

Forensic psychiatrists and neuropsychiatrists are likely to encounter individuals with intellectual disability as they are over-represented in the judicial system. These individuals may have the full range of mental illnesses and comorbid conditions, including physical infirmity, sensory deficits, language impairment, and maladaptive behaviors. They are frequently disadvantaged in the judicial system due to lack of comprehension, lack of accommodations, and stigmatization. Decision making capacity may need to be assessed for health care, sexual autonomy, marriage, financial management, making a will, and need for guardianship. The usual approach to conducting an evaluation needs adaptation to fit the unique characteristics and circumstances of the individual with intellectual disability. The forensic consultant can assist attorneys, defendants, and victims in recommending accommodations and the expert witness can provide education to juries.

Efficient selection between hierarchical cognitive models: Cross-validation with variational Bayes

Model comparison is the cornerstone of theoretical progress in psychological research. Common practice overwhelmingly relies on tools that evaluate competing models by balancing in-sample descriptive adequacy against model flexibility, with modern approaches advocating the use of marginal likelihood for hierarchical cognitive models. Cross-validation is another popular approach but its implementation remains out of reach for cognitive models evaluated in a Bayesian hierarchical framework, with the major hurdle being its prohibitive computational cost. To address this issue, we develop novel algorithms that make variational Bayes (VB) inference for hierarchical models feasible and computationally efficient for complex cognitive models of substantive theoretical interest. It is well known that VB produces good estimates of the first moments of the parameters, which gives good predictive densities estimates. We thus develop a novel VB algorithm with Bayesian prediction as a tool to perform model comparison by cross-validation, which we refer to as CVVB. In particular, CVVB can be used as a model screening device that quickly identifies bad models. We demonstrate the utility of CVVB by revisiting a classic question in decision making research: what latent components of processing drive the ubiquitous speed-accuracy tradeoff? We demonstrate that CVVB strongly agrees with model comparison via marginal likelihood, yet achieves the outcome in much less time. Our approach brings cross-validation within reach of theoretically important psychological models, making it feasible to compare much larger families of hierarchically specified cognitive models than has previously been possible. To enhance the applicability of the algorithm, we provide Matlab code together with a user manual so users can easily implement VB and/or CVVB for the models considered in this article and their variants. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2024 APA, all rights reserved).

Differential impact of resilience on demoralization and depression in Parkinson disease

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this study was to study the interrelations of demoralization, depression, and resilience in patients with Parkinson disease, and, more specifically, to determine if higher resilience in patients with Parkinson disease is associated with lower demoralization, lower depression, or both.

METHODS

Outpatients with Parkinson disease (N = 95) were assessed for demoralization, depression, and resilience, as well as sociodemographic, clinical, and treatment-related variables. Bivariable associations, standard regressions, linear regression with copula correction, and correspondence analysis were used to analyze the data.

RESULTS

Although the bivariable association between resilience and depression was statistically significant, the association ceased to be significant when demoralization was taken into consideration in both standard regressions and linear regression with copula correction. By contrast, the association between resilience and demoralization was significant when depression was not taken into consideration and continued to be significant when depression was taken into consideration. Correspondence analysis revealed that low resilience was strongly related to demoralization combined with depression, whereas normal resilience was closely correlated with depression without demoralization.

CONCLUSION

These results expand our understanding of resilience by suggesting that it is a mechanism evolved to reduce or prevent demoralization and not just depression. Reducing demoralization and strengthening resilience as part of a comprehensive treatment plan are likely to improve the prognosis of Parkinson disease.

Presumptive and Follow-Up Treatment Associated With Gonorrhea and Chlamydia Testing Episodes in Sexually Transmitted Disease Clinics: Impact of Changing Treatment Guidelines for Gonorrhea, Sexually Transmitted Disease Surveillance Network, 2015-2018

Background:

CDC recommendation for treatment of uncomplicated gonorrhea (NG) were revised in December 2020 and include ceftriaxone monotherapy when chlamydial infection was excluded. We evaluated the impact of these revised treatment recommendations using data from a network of STD clinics prior to the change in guidelines.

Methods:

We performed a cross-sectional analysis from 8 STD clinics participating in the STD Surveillance Network from Jan 2015-June 2018 assessing gonorrhea/chlamydia (CT) testing episodes, NAAT results, CT only and NG/CT treatment records, and timing of treatment. We describe the frequency of NG and CT treatment practices and what proportion of patients treated would not have had to receive an anti-chlamydial agent.

Results:

Of 190,589 episodes that occurred during the study period, 67,895 (35.6%) episodes were associated with a treatment record consistent with gonorrhea and/or chlamydia (CT only (n=37,530) or NG/CT (n=30,365)), most (~86%) were prescribed on the same-day as initial testing. Of the 67,895 episodes with corresponding treatment record(s), 42.1% were positive for either NG or CT compared to 3.7% were positive for NG or CT for those not associated with treatment records (n=122,694 episodes). Among 30,365 episodes associated with NG/CT treatment records, monotherapy would only have been indicated for 10.1% (3,081/30,365) of the episodes as they were treated on follow-up and were NG positive and CT negative.

Conclusions:

Treatment was prescribed in one third of NG/CT testing episodes, with the majority provided same day. Despite changes in NG treatment guidelines to ceftriaxone monotherapy, majority of patients would continue to receive an anti-chlamydia agent when treated for gonorrhea in these settings.

Provision of same-day treatment is common in STD clinic patients being treated for gonorrhea and chlamydia, likely resulting in patients continuing to get dual therapy despite recent treatment guideline changes.

Time-evolving psychological processes over repeated decisions

Many psychological experiments have subjects repeat a task to gain the statistical precision required to test quantitative theories of psychological performance. In such experiments, time-on-task can have sizable effects on performance, changing the psychological processes under investigation. Most research has either ignored these changes, treating the underlying process as static, or sacrificed some psychological content of the models for statistical simplicity. We use particle Markov chain Monte-Carlo methods to study psychologically plausible time-varying changes in model parameters. Using data from three highly cited experiments, we find strong evidence in favor of a hidden Markov switching process as an explanation of time-varying effects. This embodies the psychological assumption of "regime switching," with subjects alternating between different cognitive states representing different modes of decision-making. The switching model explains key long- and short-term dynamic effects in the data. The central idea of our approach can be applied quite generally to quantitative psychological theories, beyond the models and datasets that we investigate. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2022 APA, all rights reserved).

Demoralization and Quality of Life of Patients with Parkinson Disease

INTRODUCTION

Demoralization is quite prevalent in patients with Parkinson disease (PD). Unrecognized or untreated, demoralization may progress, at times, to demands for euthanasia and the desire for suicide. Typically, patients with PD do not complain of being "demoralized"; rather, they report disruptions in the quality of their lives. Hence, early identification of disruptions in health-related quality of life (HRQoL) specifically associated with demoralization may prompt earlier recognition and treatment. Published data on such associations, however, could not be found. Alleviation of demoralization in PD is likely to improve treatment outcomes.

OBJECTIVE

This research aimed at identifying the disruptions of HRQoL specifically associated with the demoralization of patients with PD.

METHODS

Consecutive general hospital outpatients with PD (n = 95) were assessed for: demoralization, with the Diagnostic Criteria for Psychosomatic Research Demoralization Scale (DCPR-D) and the Demoralization Scale (DS); depression, with the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9); HRQoL, with the Parkinson Disease Questionnaire-Short Form (PDQ-8); sociodemographic variables; medical comorbidities; PD severity; and types of treatment.

RESULTS

The prevalence of demoralization was 19%. Regression analyses showed that demoralization was significantly more likely to be experienced by participants who had difficulty with mobility and felt embarrassed in public due to having PD. Demoralization explained HRQoL over and above depression.

CONCLUSIONS

Stigma and perceived difficulty with mobility are associated with demoralization of PD patients, and they may signal the need for psychotherapeutic and behavioral interventions to prevent the progression to helplessness, hopelessness, demands for euthanasia, and desire for suicide.

From Perceived Stress to Demoralization in Parkinson Disease: A Path Analysis

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this study was to determine whether depression and anxiety are mediators between perceived stress and demoralization via a loss of the cognitive map to get out of the predicament manifesting as subjective incompetence.

METHODS

Ninety-five consecutive outpatients with Parkinson's disease were evaluated for perceived stress, depression, anxiety, subjective incompetence, and demoralization using reliable and valid scales. Inclusion criteria were ages 40-90, intact cognition, and no current history of substance use. The setting was a Movement Disorders Clinic at a university-affiliated hospital. The outcome variable was demoralization, selected a priori. Mediators between perceived stress and demoralization were examined using path analysis.

RESULTS

Depression, anxiety, and subjective incompetence were mediators between perceived stress and demoralization. Among all variables, subjective incompetence was the largest contributor to demoralization. Depression connected to demoralization indirectly via subjective incompetence (β = 0.25, p < 0.001), whereas anxiety bypassed subjective incompetence (β = -0.01, p = 0.882), connecting directly to demoralization (β = 0.37, p = 0.008).

CONCLUSION

Early treatment and reversal of subjective incompetence and anxiety could potentially prevent the escalation of demoralization and the associated disruption in health-related quality of life and eventual suicide.

164. Antimicrobial Susceptibility of Urogenital and Extragenital Neisseria gonorrhoeae Isolates Among Men Who Have Sex with Men – SURRG and eGISP, 2018–2019

Background

Extragenital gonococcal infections are common among men who have sex with men (MSM); however, data comparing antimicrobial susceptibilities of urogenital and extragenital Neisseria gonorrhoeae isolates are limited. We investigated differences in gonococcal antimicrobial susceptibility by anatomic site among cisgender MSM using specimens collected through CDC’s enhanced Gonococcal Isolate Surveillance Project (eGISP) and Strengthening the U.S. Response to Resistant Gonorrhea (SURRG).

Methods

During January 1, 2018–December 31, 2019, 12 eGISP and 8 SURRG sites collected urogenital, pharyngeal, and rectal isolates from cisgender MSM in STD clinics. Gonococcal isolates were sent to regional laboratories for antimicrobial susceptibility testing by agar dilution. To account for correlated observations, linear mixed-effects models were used to calculate geometric mean minimum inhibitory concentrations (MICs) and mixed-effects logistic regression models were used to calculate the proportion of isolates with elevated or resistant MICs; comparisons were made across anatomic sites.

Results

Participating clinics collected 3,974 urethral, 1,553 rectal, and 1,049 pharyngeal isolates from 5,456 unique cisgender MSM. There were no significant differences in the geometric mean MICs for azithromycin, ciprofloxacin, penicillin, and tetracycline by anatomic site. For cefixime and ceftriaxone, geometric mean MICs for pharyngeal isolates were higher compared to anogenital isolates (p< 0.05). The proportion of isolates with elevated ceftriaxone MICs (≥ 0.125 µg/ml) at the pharynx (0.67%) was higher than at rectal (0.13%) and urethral (0.18%) sites (p< 0.05).

Conclusion

Based on data collected from multi-jurisdictional sentinel surveillance projects, antimicrobial susceptibility patterns of N. gonorrhoeae isolates may differ among MSM at extragenital sites, particularly at the pharynx. Continued investigation into gonococcal susceptibility patterns by anatomic site may be an important strategy to monitor and detect the emergence of antimicrobial resistant gonorrhea over time.

Disclosures

Olusegun O. Soge, PhD, Hologic Inc. (Grant/Research Support)SpeeDx Inc. (Grant/Research Support) Stephanie N. Taylor, MD, GARDP - GC Antibiotic Development (Scientific Research Study Investigator, To my institution.)GlaxoSmithKline (Grant/Research Support, Funds to my institution.)

Test of Cure Return Rate and Test Positivity, Strengthening the US Response to Resistant Gonorrhea, United States, 2018-2019

BACKGROUND

Reduced antibiotic susceptibility (RS) in Neisseria gonorrhoeae (GC) may increase treatment failure. Conducting tests of cure (TOC) for patients with RS-GC may facilitate identification of treatment failures.

METHODS

We examined 2018 to 2019 data from 8 jurisdictions participating in the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Strengthening US Response to Resistant Gonorrhea project. Jurisdictions collected GC isolates and epidemiological data from patients and performed antimicrobial susceptibility testing. Minimum inhibitory concentrations of ceftriaxone, 0.125 μg/mL or greater; cefixime, 0.250 μg/mL or greater; or azithromycin, 2.0 μg/mL or greater were defined as RS. Patients with RS infections were asked to return for a TOC 8 to 10 days posttreatment. We calculated a weighted TOC return rate and described time to TOC and suspected reasons for any positive TOC results.

RESULTS

Overall, 1165 patients were diagnosed with RS infections. Over half returned for TOC (weighted TOC, 61%; 95% confidence interval, 50.1%-72.6%; range by jurisdiction, 32%-80%). Test of cure rates were higher among asymptomatic (68%) than symptomatic patients (53%, P = 0.001), and men who have sex with men (62%) compared with men who have sex with women (50%; P < 0.001). Median time between treatment and TOC was 12 days (interquartile range, 9-16). Of the 31 (4.5%) TOC patients with positive results, 13 (42%) were suspected because of reinfection and 11 (36%) because of false-positive results. There were no treatment failures suspected to be due to RS-GC.

CONCLUSIONS

Most patients with a RS infection returned for a TOC, though return rates varied by jurisdiction and patient characteristics. Test of cure can identify and facilitate treatment of reinfections, but false-positive TOC results may complicate interpretation and clinical management.

Acute HIV at the Time of Initiation of Pre-exposure or Post-exposure Prophylaxis: Impact on Drug Resistance and Clinical Outcomes

BACKGROUND

Initiating pre-exposure or post-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP/PEP) in the setting of undiagnosed acute HIV (AHI) could cause antiretroviral resistance. We sought to characterize clinical outcomes and drug resistance mutations among individuals prescribed PrEP/PEP with undiagnosed AHI at a San Francisco sexually transmitted disease clinic.

SETTING

In our PrEP/PEP program, patients are tested for HIV using a point-of-care antibody test. If negative, patients are started on prophylaxis and screened for AHI using pooled HIV RNA (5-10 days turn-around). We used 2-drug PEP until 05/2016.

METHODS

We identified patients who had as-yet-undiagnosed AHI on the day of PrEP/PEP start between 2011 and 2018, then used our clinical record and surveillance data to describe HIV resistance and clinical outcomes.

RESULTS

Of 1758 PrEP and 2242 PEP starts, there were 7 AHI cases among PrEP users (0.40%) and 6 among PEP users (0.30%). Median times for linkage to HIV care, initiation of HIV treatment, and viral suppression were 7, 12, and 43 days. On initiation of HIV care, 3 patients (23%) were found to have an M184 mutation 7-12 days after starting PrEP/PEP. All 3 had genotyping performed on stored serum available from the date of PrEP/PEP start, each of which demonstrated wild-type virus. All 3 patients achieved durable viral suppression.

CONCLUSIONS

Although rare (occurring <0.5% of the time), AHI in the setting of PrEP/2-drug PEP can result in an M184 within days. Even with M184, persons with AHI achieve viral suppression when rapidly linked to care and initiated on antiretroviral therapy. Providers should consider AHI screening when starting PrEP/PEP.

Assessing the relationship between psychosocial stressors and psychiatric resilience among Chilean disaster survivors

BACKGROUND

According to the stress inoculation hypothesis, successfully navigating life stressors may improve one's ability to cope with subsequent stressors, thereby increasing psychiatric resilience.

AIMS

Among individuals with no baseline history of post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) and/or major depressive disorder (MDD), to determine whether a history of a stressful life event protected participants against the development of PTSD and/or MDD after a natural disaster.

METHOD

Analyses utilised data from a multiwave, prospective cohort study of adult Chilean primary care attendees (years 2003-2011; n = 1160). At baseline, participants completed the Composite International Diagnostic Interview (CIDI), a comprehensive psychiatric diagnostic instrument, and the List of Threatening Experiences, a 12-item questionnaire that measures major stressful life events. During the study (2010), the sixth most powerful earthquake on record struck Chile. One year later (2011), the CIDI was re-administered to assess post-disaster PTSD and/or MDD.

RESULTS

Marginal structural logistic regressions indicated that for every one-unit increase in the number of pre-disaster stressors, the odds of developing post-disaster PTSD or MDD increased (OR = 1.21, 95% CI 1.08-1.37, and OR = 1.16, 95% CI 1.06-1.27 respectively). When categorising pre-disaster stressors, individuals with four or more stressors (compared with no stressors) had higher odds of developing post-disaster PTSD (OR = 2.77, 95% CI 1.52-5.04), and a dose-response relationship between pre-disaster stressors and post-disaster MDD was found.

CONCLUSIONS

In contrast to the stress inoculation hypothesis, results indicated that experiencing multiple stressors increased the vulnerability to developing PTSD and/or MDD after a natural disaster. Increased knowledge regarding the individual variations of these disorders is essential to inform targeted mental health interventions after a natural disaster, especially in under-studied populations.

"Is a Bird in the Hand Worth 5 in the Bush?": A Comparison of 3 Data-to-Care Referral Strategies on HIV Care Continuum Outcomes in San Francisco

Background

Health departments utilize HIV surveillance data to identify people with HIV (PWH) who need re-linkage to HIV care as part of an approach known as Data to Care (D2C.) The most accurate, effective, and efficient method of identifying PWH for re-linkage is unknown.

Methods

We evaluated referral and care continuum outcomes among PWH identified using 3 D2C referral strategies: health care providers, surveillance, and a combination list derived by matching an electronic medical record registry to HIV surveillance. PWH who were enrolled in the re-linkage intervention received short-term case management for up to 90 days. Relative risks and 95% confidence intervals were calculated to compare proportions of PWH retained and virally suppressed before and after re-linkage. Durable viral suppression was defined as having suppressed viral loads at all viral load measurements in the 12 months after re-linkage.

Results

After initial investigation, 233 (24%) of 954 referrals were located and enrolled in navigation. Although the numbers of surveillance and provider referrals were similar, 72% of enrolled PWH were identified by providers, 16% by surveillance, and 12% by combination list. Overall, retention and viral suppression improved, although relative increases in retention and viral suppression were only significant among individuals identified by surveillance or providers. Seventy percent of PWH who achieved viral suppression after the intervention remained durably virally suppressed.

Conclusions

PWH referred by providers were more likely to be located and enrolled in navigation than PWH identified by surveillance or combination lists. Overall, D2C re-linkage efforts improved retention, viral suppression, and durable viral suppression.

Trends in the Prevalence of Anogenital Warts Among Patients at Sexually Transmitted Disease Clinics-Sexually Transmitted Disease Surveillance Network, United States, 2010-2016

BACKGROUND

Approximately 90% of genital warts are caused by human papillomavirus (HPV) types 6 and 11. In the United States, HPV vaccination has been recommended for girls and women aged ≤26 years, and since 2011, for boys and men aged ≤21 years and for gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (MSM) aged ≤26 years.

METHODS

Data were obtained from 27 clinics participating in the STD Surveillance Network. Trends in the annual prevalence of anogenital warts (AGW) from 2010-2016 were described by sex and by the sex of sex partners.

RESULTS

During 2010-2016, significant declines in the prevalence of AGW were observed in women aged <40 years, men who have sex with women only (MSW) aged <40 years, and MSM of all age categories. An inflection in trend in 2012 was noted for MSW aged 20-24 or 25-29 years and for MSM aged 20-24 years.

CONCLUSIONS

The observed declines in the prevalence of AGW suggest that HPV morbidity is declining among populations attending STD clinics, including MSW, MSM, and women. Declines in younger age groups are consistent with what would be expected following the implementation of HPV vaccination. However, declines were also observed in older age groups and are not likely to be the result of vaccination.

Mental health in the Americas: an overview of the treatment gap

Objective

To understand the mental health treatment gap in the Region of the Americas by examining the prevalence of mental health disorders, use of mental health services, and the global burden of disease.

Methods

Data from community-based surveys of mental disorders in Argentina, Brazil, Canada, Chile, Colombia, Guatemala, Mexico, Peru, and the United States were utilized. The World Mental Health Survey published data were used to estimate the treatment gap. For Canada, Chile, and Guatemala, the treatment gap was calculated from data files. The mean, median, and weighted treatment gap, and the 12-month prevalence by severity and category of mental disorder were estimated for the general adult, child-adolescent, and indigenous populations. Disability-adjusted Life Years and Years Lived with Disability were calculated from the Global Burden of Disease study.

Results

Mental and substance use disorders accounted for 10.5% of the global burden of disease in the Americas. The 12-month prevalence rate of severe mental disorders ranged from 2% - 10% across studies. The weighted mean treatment gap in the Americas for moderate to severe disorders was 65.7%; North America, 53.2%; Latin America, 74.7%; Mesoamerica, 78.7%; and South America, 73.1%. The treatment gap for severe mental disorders in children and adolescents was over 50%. One-third of the indigenous population in the United States and 80% in Latin America had not received treatment.

Conclusion

The treatment gap for mental health remains a public health concern. A high proportion of adults, children, and indigenous individuals with serious mental illness remains untreated. The result is an elevated prevalence of mental disorders and global burden of disease.

Enzymatic Characteristics of In-Vitro Incorporation of P32 Orthophosphate into Human Platelet Phosphatide

The incorporation of P32 orthophosphate into phosphatide by isolated human platelets in an artificial medium was studied. The addition of homologous plasma increased the incorporation and the formation of labelled phosphatide was significantly reduced in the absence of oxygen or in the presence of cyanide, and by varying the pH from 7.4 to 5.6 and 8.6. The enzymatic character of the incorporation and the role of platelet respiration are briefly discussed.

Longitudinal course of disaster-related PTSD among a prospective sample of adult Chilean natural disaster survivors

Background

With an increasing number of individuals surviving natural disasters, it is crucial to understand who is most at risk for developing post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD). The objective of this study was to prospectively examine the role that pre-existing psychopathology plays in developing PTSD after a disaster.

Methods

This study uses data from a prospective 5-wave longitudinal cohort (years 2003-11) of Chilean adults from 10 health centres ( N  = 1708). At baseline, participants completed the Composite International Diagnostic Interview (CIDI), a comprehensive psychiatric diagnostic instrument. In 2010, the sixth most powerful earthquake on record struck Chile. One year later, a modified version of the PTSD module of the CIDI was administered. Marginal structural logistic regressions with inverse probability censoring weights were constructed to identify pre-disaster psychiatric predictors of post-disaster PTSD.

Results

The majority of participants were female (75.9%) and had a high-school/college education (66.9%). After controlling for pre-disaster PTSD, pre-existing dysthymia [odds ratio (OR) = 2.21; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.39-3.52], brief psychotic disorder (OR = 2.67; 95% CI = 1.21-5.90), anxiety disorders (not including PTSD; OR = 1.49; 95% CI = 1.27-1.76), panic disorder (OR = 2.46; 95% CI = 1.37-4.42), agoraphobia (OR = 2.23; 95% CI = 1.22-4.10), social phobia (OR = 1.86; 95% CI = 1.06-3.29), specific phobia (OR = 2.07; 95% CI = 1.50-2.86) and hypochondriasis (OR = 2.10; 95% CI = 1.05-4.18) were predictors of post-disaster PTSD. After controlling for pre-disaster anxiety disorders, dysthymia, and non-affective psychotic disorders, individuals with pre-disaster PTSD (vs those without pre-disaster PTSD) had higher odds of developing post-disaster PTSD (OR = 2.53; 95% CI = 1.37-4.65).

Conclusions

This is the first Chilean study to demonstrate prospectively that pre-disaster psychiatric disorders, independent of a prior history of other psychiatric disorders, increase the vulnerability to develop PTSD following a major natural disaster.

Pre-disaster PTSD as a moderator of the relationship between natural disaster and suicidal ideation over time

BACKGROUND

Natural disasters are associated with a variety of negative health consequences, including enhanced suicide risk. Factors that moderate the relationship between disaster exposure and enhanced suicide risk are unknown. The aim of the current study was to determine whether pre-disaster PTSD moderates the association between change over time in thoughts of death, suicidal ideation (SI), suicide plans, and suicide attempts (SA) from pre- to post-disaster.

METHODS

Participants (n = 2832) were recruited from Chile as part of the larger PREDICT study and completed a measure of lifetime PTSD and panic disorder at baseline and a lifetime death/suicide measure at baseline in 2003 and again 6, 12, and 24 months later (i.e. "pre-disaster"). One year following a major earthquake and tsunami in 2010 (i.e., "post-disaster"), participants completed another death/suicide measure.

RESULTS

Both those with and without pre-disaster PTSD experienced significant increases in SI from pre- to post-disaster. However, pre-disaster PTSD was associated with significantly accelerated increases in thoughts of death and SI from pre-to post-disaster. At nearly all time-points, pre-disaster PTSD was associated with higher thoughts of death and SI, suicide planning, and SA. In contrast, panic disorder did not moderate the association between time and changes in SI.

LIMITATIONS

There was a long time-gap between pre-disaster and post-disaster, with limited data about what occurred during this time.

CONCLUSION

Pre-disaster PTSD is an important predictor of increased SI following a natural disaster, and groups with pre-disaster PTSD should be prioritized for receipt of mental health resources following a natural disaster.

Network-Centric Interventions to Contain the Syphilis Epidemic in San Francisco

The number of reported early syphilis cases in San Francisco has increased steadily since 2005. It is not yet clear what factors are responsible for such an increase. A recent analysis of the sexual contact network of men who have sex with men with syphilis in San Francisco has discovered a large connected component, members of which have a significantly higher chance of syphilis and HIV compared to non-member individuals. This study investigates whether it is possible to exploit the existence of the largest connected component to design new notification strategies that can potentially contribute to reducing the number of cases. We develop a model capable of incorporating multiple types of notification strategies and compare the corresponding incidence of syphilis. Through extensive simulations, we show that notifying the community of the infection state of few central nodes appears to be the most effective approach, balancing the cost of notification and the reduction of syphilis incidence. Additionally, among the different measures of centrality, the eigenvector centrality reveals to be the best to reduce the incidence in the long term as long as the number of missing links (non-disclosed contacts) is not very large.

Rates and Correlates of Syphilis Reinfection in Men Who Have Sex with Men

PURPOSE

This study examined rates and correlates of syphilis reinfection in men who have sex with men (MSM).

METHODS

From 2012 to 2015, time to reinfection was assessed in 323 MSM receiving initial treatment for syphilis in San Francisco.

RESULTS

One in five men was reinfected (71/323; 22%). The rate of syphilis reinfection was greater among HIV-infected men (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.96; 95% confidence interval [95% CI] = 1.16-3.31) and ketamine users (aHR = 2.76; 95% CI = 1.09-7.00).

CONCLUSION

Expanded prevention efforts are needed with HIV-infected and substance-using MSM to reduce the burden of reinfection in this population.

On the equivalence of two stochastic approaches to spline smoothing

Wahba (1978) and Weinert et al. (1980), using different models, show that an optimal smoothing spline can be thought of as the conditional expectation of a stochastic process observed with noise. This observation leads to efficient computational algorithms. By going back to the Hilbert space formulation of the spline minimization problem, we provide a framework for linking the two different stochastic models. The last part of the paper reviews some new efficient algorithms for spline smoothing.

On the spectral decomposition of stationary time series using walsh functions. I

The paper looks at the asymptotic properties of the finite Walsh–Fourier transform applied to a discrete-time stationary time series, and shows that in many ways we have analogous results to those obtained when using the finite trigonometric Fourier transform.

On the spectral decomposition of stationary time series using walsh functions. II

The paper derives the asymptotic properties of a class of estimators of the Walsh–Fourier spectral density of a stationary time series. The spectral density is defined in Kohn (1980).

Asymptotic properties of time domain gaussian estimators

We consider a general non-linear multivariate time series model which can be parameterized by a finite and fixed number of parameters and which can be rewritten, if necessary, in a form such that the disturbances are stationary martingale differences. Given a series of discrete, equally spaced observations we prove the strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the Gaussian estimators of the parameters, the parameters possibly being subject to non-linear constraints. Because the normal equations are usually highly non-linear it may be difficult to obtain explicit expressions for the Gaussian estimates. To overcome this problem we use a Gauss–Newton type algorithm to obtain a sequence of iterates which converge to, and have the same asymptotic properties as, the Gaussian estimates.

Evaluating the Effects of Coping Style on Allostatic Load, by Sex: The Jackson Heart Study, 2000-2004

The objective of this study was to examine the cross-sectional association between coping styles and allostatic load among African American adults in the Jackson Heart Study (2000–2004). Coping styles were assessed using the Coping Strategies Inventory-Short Form; allostatic load was measured by using 9 biomarkers standardized into z-scores. Sex-stratified multivariable linear regressions indicated that females who used disengagement coping styles had significantly higher allostatic load scores (β = 0.016; 95% CI, 0.001–0.032); no such associations were found in males. Future longitudinal investigations should examine why disengagement coping style is linked to increased allostatic load to better inform effective interventions and reduce health disparities among African American women.

[Suicidal behavior and psychiatric disorders in Chile. A population-based study]

BACKGROUND

Suicidal behavior ranges from ideation to consummation of suicide. In Chile, rates of suicide increased from 4.8 to 12.7/100,000 in the period 1992-2009.

AIM

To evaluate the prevalence of suicidal behavior and its relationship with sociodemographic factors and psychiatric diseases.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

The Composite International Diagnostic Interview (CIDI), was applied to a representative sample of 2,978 Chilean participants. The prevalence of four suicidal behaviors (thinking about or wishing death, suicide ideation and suicide attempts) and of psychiatric diseases according to the revised third version of the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM III-R), was calculated.

RESULTS

The lifetime prevalence of suicidal conception was 14.3% and the suicide attempt 7.7%, the latest associated with sex, age, school years, smoking habits, being married or having a relationship, depressive disorders, dysthymia, and alcohol, drug and tobacco dependence.

CONCLUSIONS

Rates founded exceed international prevalence data and extrapolated to current rates of completed suicide, higher levels of suicidal behavior should be expected. Considering the associated disorders we can infer that it is essential a correct diagnosis and treatment of mood disorders and substance consumption to any other specific interventions.

Previous violent events and mental health outcomes in Guatemala

OBJECTIVES

We analyzed a probability sample of Guatemalans to determine if a relationship exists between previous violent events and development of mental health outcomes in various sociodemographic groups, as well as during and after the Guatemalan Civil War.

METHODS

We used regression modeling, an interaction test, and complex survey design adjustments to estimate prevalences and test potential relationships between previous violent events and mental health.

RESULTS

Many (20.6%) participants experienced at least 1 previous serious violent event. Witnessing someone severely injured or killed was the most common event. Depression was experienced by 4.2% of participants, with 6.5% experiencing anxiety, 6.4% an alcohol-related disorder, and 1.9% posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD). Persons who experienced violence during the war had 4.3 times the adjusted odds of alcohol-related disorders (P < .05) and 4.0 times the adjusted odds of PTSD (P < .05) compared with the postwar period. Women, indigenous Maya, and urban dwellers had greater odds of experiencing postviolence mental health outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Violence that began during the civil war and continues today has had a significant effect on the mental health of Guatemalans. However, mental health outcomes resulting from violent events decreased in the postwar period, suggesting a nation in recovery.

Cancer incidence and mortality following exposures to distal and proximal major stressors

PURPOSE

Severe psychological trauma has been shown to leave psychological and biological sequelae, including compromise of the neuro-hormonal and immunological systems. Despite much research, the putative effect of such stressor on cancer remains ambiguous. This study maximized the exploration of cancer incidence and mortality by combining a proximal (parental bereavement) with a distal major stressor (Holocaust exposure) on both risks.

METHODS

Subjects were bereaved Holocaust survivors (n = 904) and comparison individuals (n = 933) selected from the total cohort of 6,284 Jewish-Israeli parents who lost an adult son in war or from non-self-inflicted external causes. Cox regression was used to examine the differential risk for cancer between the two bereaved samples, adjusting for potential confounders.

RESULTS

No difference in cancer incidence or mortality was observed between both groups of bereaved parents. However, prior to bereavement, Holocaust survivors had an increased cancer risk compared with their counterparts in the general population.

CONCLUSIONS

Individuals who faced both a proximal (bereavement) and distal (Holocaust) major stressors had no additive risk for cancer incidence and mortality.

Insomnia and health services utilization in middle-aged and older adults: results from the Health and Retirement Study

BACKGROUND

Complaints of poor sleep are common among older adults. We investigated the prospective association between insomnia symptoms and hospitalization, use of home health care services, use of nursing homes, and use of any of these services in a population-based study of middle-aged and older adults.

METHODS

We studied 14,355 adults aged 55 and older enrolled in the 2006 and 2008 waves of the Health and Retirement Study. Logistic regression was used to study the association between insomnia symptoms (0, 1, or ≥ 2) in 2006 and reports of health service utilization in 2008, after adjustment for demographic and clinical characteristics.

RESULTS

Compared with respondents reporting no insomnia symptoms, those reporting one symptom had a greater odds of hospitalization (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 1.28, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.15-1.43, p < .001), use of home health care services (AOR = 1.29, 95% CI = 1.09-1.52, p = .004), and any health service use (AOR = 1.28, 95% CI = 1.15-1.41, p < .001). Those reporting greater than or equal to two insomnia symptoms had a greater odds of hospitalization (AOR = 1.71, 95% CI = 1.50-1.96, p < .001), use of home health care services (AOR = 1.64, 95% CI = 1.32-2.04, p < .001), nursing home use (AOR = 1.45, 95% CI = 1.10-1.90, p = .009), and any health service use (AOR = 1.72, 95% CI = 1.51-1.95, p < .001) after controlling for demographics. These associations weakened, and in some cases were no longer statistically significant, after adjustment for clinical covariates.

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, insomnia symptoms experienced by middle-aged and older adults were associated with greater future use of costly health services. Our findings raise the question of whether treating or preventing insomnia in older adults may reduce use of and spending on health services among this population.

[Prevalence of psychiatric disorders among Chilean children and adolescents]

BACKGROUND

Psychiatric disorders that appear during childhood or adolescence should be a public health priority.

AIM

To report the results of a national representative survey in the Latin American region examining the prevalence of DSM-IV psychiatric disorders in children and adolescents.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Subjects aged 4 to 18 years were selected using a stratified multistage design. The Diagnostic Interview Schedule for Children Version IV (DISC-IV) was used to obtain 12-month DSM-IV diagnoses, and was supplemented with questionnaires examining family risk factors, socioeconomic status and service use.

RESULTS

A sample of 1558 children and adolescents (51% males) was evaluated. Fifty three percent of the sample were children aged 4 to 11 years and the rest were adolescents aged 12 to 18 years. The prevalence rate for any psychiatric disorder without impairment was 38.3% (33.5% for boys and 43.3% for girls). The prevalence rate was higher among children as compared to adolescents (42.9% and 33.2%, respectively). A third of participants receiving a diagnosis sought some form of assistance. Nearly a quarter of those using services, did not have a psychiatric diagnosis in the past year. Comorbidity was found in 27% of those with a disorder, but only 7% had three or more diagnoses.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of psychiatric disorders in Chile is high among children and adolescents. This study highlights the increasing need to re-evaluate mental health services provided to children and adolescents in our country.

Prevalence of child and adolescent mental disorders in Chile: a community epidemiological study

BACKGROUND

 In Latin America, there is limited research on the prevalence of mental disorders in children and adolescents. This Chilean survey is the first national representative survey in the Latin American region to examine the prevalence of diagnostic and statistical manual-IV (DSM-IV) psychiatric disorders in the region in children and adolescents.

METHODS

 Subjects aged 4-18 were selected using a stratified multistage design. The diagnostic interview schedule for children version IV (DISC-IV) was used to obtain 12-month DSM-IV diagnoses of affective, anxiety, conduct and substance use disorders, and supplemented with questionnaires examining family risk factors, family income, and service utilization. The parent or the primary caretaker was interviewed for children, aged 4-11, using the DISC-IV; however, adolescents, aged 12-18, were directly interviewed.

RESULTS

A sample of 1558 children and adolescents was evaluated. Using the most stringent DISC-IV impairment algorithm, the prevalence rate for any psychiatric disorders was 22.5% (19.3% for boys and 25.8% for girls). The prevalence rate was higher among the children, aged 4-11, in comparison with adolescents, aged 12-18 (27.8% and 16.5%, respectively). Less than half of the subjects in need of services sought some form of assistance. Nearly a quarter of those using services did not present with a psychiatric diagnosis in the past year. Comorbidity was found in 24.8% of those with a disorder, but only 6.3% had three or more diagnoses.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of psychiatric disorders in Chile is high among children and adolescents. This study highlights the increasing need to reevaluate mental health services provided to children and adolescents in Latin America.

Cancer in parents of persons with schizophrenia: is there a genetic protection?

A reduced risk for cancer has been noted among persons with schizophrenia as well as their first degree relatives. One explanation for these findings suggests that genes associated with schizophrenia confer reduced cancer susceptibility. Given the well documented genetic factor in schizophrenia it could thus be expected that cancer incidence rates should be lower in persons with schizophrenia with a known family history of schizophrenia compared to persons with sporadic schizophrenia, as well as their first degree relatives. This study investigated the risk for cancer among the biological parents of persons with schizophrenia accounting for the familial aggregation. Linkage was conducted between national population, psychiatric and cancer databases. Standardized incidence rates for all cancer sites were calculated by comparing the parents' rates with those of the general population. In addition, the association between familial aggregation of schizophrenia and risk for cancer was calculated among the parents. A reduced cancer risk was found among the parents compared to the general population (SIR 0.8, 95% CI 0.8-0.9). However, no evidence of decreased risk was associated with familial schizophrenia. Thus, no association between familial aggregation and cancer incidents was found with regard to most cancer sites. Moreover, a small, but not statistically significant increased risk of colon cancer was associated with familial aggregation scores among the parents (OR 1.2, 95% CI 1.0-1.5). These findings undermine the support to the genetic explanation for the reduced risk for cancer in schizophrenia among patients and their biological parents.