Predictive models of miscarriage based on data from a preconception cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To use self-reported preconception data to derive models that predict risk of miscarriage.

DESIGN

Prospective preconception cohort study.

SUBJECTS

Study participants were female, aged 21-45 years, residents of the United States or Canada, and attempting spontaneous pregnancy at enrollment during 2013-2022. Participants were followed for up to 12 months of pregnancy attempts; those who conceived were followed through pregnancy and postpartum. We restricted analyses to participants who conceived during the study period.

EXPOSURE

On baseline and follow-up questionnaires completed every 8 weeks until pregnancy, we collected self-reported data on sociodemographic factors, reproductive history, lifestyle, anthropometrics, diet, medical history, and male partner characteristics. We included 160 potential predictor variables in our models.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome was miscarriage, defined as pregnancy loss before 20 weeks' gestation. We followed participants from their first positive pregnancy test until miscarriage or a censoring event (induced abortion, ectopic pregnancy, loss to follow-up, or 20 weeks' gestation), whichever occurred first. We fit both survival and static models, using Cox proportional hazards models, logistic regression, support vector machines, Gradient Boosted Trees, and Random Forest algorithms. We evaluated model performance using the concordance index (survival models) and the weighted-F1 score (static models).

RESULTS

Among 8,720 participants who conceived, 20.4% reported miscarriage. In multivariable models, the strongest predictors of miscarriage were female age, history of miscarriage, and male partner age. The weighted-F1 score ranged from 73-89% for static models and the concordance index ranged from 53-56% for survival models, indicating better discrimination for the static models compared with the survival models (i.e., ability of the model to discriminate between individuals with and without miscarriage). No appreciable differences were observed across strata of miscarriage history or among models restricted to ≥8 weeks' gestation.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that miscarriage is not easily predicted based on preconception lifestyle characteristics, and that advancing age and history of miscarriage are the most important predictors of incident miscarriage.

A preconception cohort study of sugar-sweetened beverage consumption and semen quality

BACKGROUND

Dietary factors, including high sugar intake, may have adverse effects on male reproduction. Studies of the association between sugar-sweetened beverage (SSB) intake and semen quality have reported inconsistent results.

OBJECTIVE

We estimated the effects of SSB consumption on semen quality in a North American preconception cohort study.

METHODS

We analyzed baseline data from 690 males (n = 1,247 samples) participating in Pregnancy Study Online (PRESTO) during 2015-2022. Participants aged ≥21 years completed a baseline questionnaire on which they reported information about intake of SSBs, including sodas, energy drinks, sports drinks, and fruit juices. After enrollment, we invited U.S. participants to a semen testing substudy, in which they collected and analyzed two samples using an at-home semen testing kit. We used linear regression models to estimate adjusted percent differences (%D) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for associations of SSB intake with semen volume, sperm concentration, total sperm count (TSC), motility, and total motile sperm count (TMSC). We used modified Poisson regression models to estimate adjusted risk ratios (RRs) and 95% CIs for the association of SSB intake with World Health Organization semen parameter cut points.

RESULTS

Relative to non-consumers of SSBs, those who consumed ≥7 SSBs/week had lower semen volume (%D = -6, 95% CI: -13, 0), sperm concentration (%D = -22, 95% CI: -38, 0), TSC (%D = -22, 95% CI: -38, -2), motility (%D = -4, 95% CI: -10, 2), and TMSC (%D = -25, 95% CI: -43, -2). High SSB consumers also had greater risks of low sperm concentration (≤16 million/mL; RR = 1.89, 95% CI: 1.11, 3.21), low TSC (≤39 million; RR = 1.75, 95% CI: 0.92, 3.33), low motility (≤42%; RR = 1.23, 95% CI: 0.87, 1.75) and low TMSC (≤21 million; RR = 1.95, 95% CI: 1.12, 3.38). Associations were stronger among participants with body mass index ≥ 25 kg/m2 .

CONCLUSION

Greater SSB consumption was associated with reduced semen quality in a North American preconception cohort.

Association between job control and time to pregnancy in a preconception cohort

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate associations between low job control (operationalized as job independence and freedom to make decisions) and time to pregnancy. Low job control, a form of workplace stress, is associated with adverse health outcomes ranging from cardiovascular disease to premature mortality; few studies have specifically examined its association with reproductive outcomes.

DESIGN

We used data from Pregnancy Study Online, an internet-based preconception cohort study of couples trying to conceive in the United States and Canada. We estimated fecundability ratios (FRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) via proportional probability regression models, adjusting for sociodemographic and behavioral characteristics.

SETTING

Not applicable (Web-based study).

PATIENTS

Participants self-identified as female, were aged 21-45 years, and reported ≤6 cycles of pregnancy attempt time at enrollment (2018-2022).

EXPOSURE

We assessed job control by matching participants' baseline self-reported occupation and industry with standardized occupation codes from the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health's Industry and Occupation Computerized Coding System, then linking codes to O∗NET job exposure scores for job independence and freedom to make decisions.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Our main outcome measure was fecundability. Participants completed self-administered questionnaires at baseline and every 8 weeks for up to 12 months or until reported pregnancy, whichever occurred first.

RESULTS

Among 3,110 participants, lower job independence was associated with reduced fecundability. Compared with the fourth (highest) quartile, corresponding to the most job independence, FRs (95% CI) for first (lowest), second, and third quartiles were 0.92 (0.82-1.04), 0.84 (0.74-0.95), and 0.99 (0.88, 1.11), respectively. Lower freedom to make decisions was associated with slightly reduced fecundability (first vs. fourth quartile: FR = 0.92; 95% CI: 0.80-1.05).

CONCLUSION

Lower job control, a work-related stressor, may adversely influence time to pregnancy. Because job control is a condition of work (i.e., not modifiable by individuals), these findings may strengthen arguments for improving working conditions as a means of improving worker health, including fertility.

Prenatal exposure to PM2.5 components and the risk of different types of preterm birth and the mediating effect of pregnancy complications: a cohort study

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to reveal the single and mixed associations of PM2.5 and its components with very, moderately, and late preterm births and to explore the potential mediating role of pregnancy complications in PM2.5-induced preterm birth.

STUDY DESIGN

This was a retrospective cohort study.

METHODS

We enrolled 168,852 mothers and matched the concentrations of PM2.5 and its five components (OM, SO42-, BC, NO3-, and NH4+) based on their geographical location. Next, we used generalized linear models, quantile g-computation, and mediation analysis to evaluate the associations of PM2.5 and its components with very, moderately, and late preterm births and the mediating role of pregnancy complications.

RESULTS

Prenatal exposure to PM2.5 and its components was associated with preterm birth, and the association was strongest in the third trimester. Preterm birth was associated with co-exposure to a mixture of PM2.5 components in the third trimester, and the contributions of NO3-, NH4+, and BC to the risk of preterm birth were positive. Meanwhile, pregnancy complications mediated PM2.5-induced preterm birth. Moreover, very and moderately preterm births were associated with PM2.5 and its components in the second and third trimesters, and very and late preterm births were associated with co-exposure to a mixture of PM2.5 components in the third trimester.

CONCLUSIONS

Later exposure to PM2.5 during pregnancy will cause earlier preterm birth. Targeted and positive interventions for anthropogenic sources of specific PM2.5 components and pregnancy complications are helpful for preterm birth prevention.

A prospective cohort study of preconception COVID-19 vaccination and miscarriage

STUDY QUESTION

To what extent is preconception maternal or paternal coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccination associated with miscarriage incidence?

SUMMARY ANSWER

COVID-19 vaccination in either partner at any time before conception is not associated with an increased rate of miscarriage.

WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY

Several observational studies have evaluated the safety of COVID-19 vaccination during pregnancy and found no association with miscarriage, though no study prospectively evaluated the risk of early miscarriage (gestational weeks [GW] <8) in relation to COVID-19 vaccination. Moreover, no study has evaluated the role of preconception vaccination in both male and female partners.

STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION

An Internet-based, prospective preconception cohort study of couples residing in the USA and Canada. We analyzed data from 1815 female participants who conceived during December 2020-November 2022, including 1570 couples with data on male partner vaccination.

PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS

Eligible female participants were aged 21-45 years and were trying to conceive without use of fertility treatment at enrollment. Female participants completed questionnaires at baseline, every 8 weeks until pregnancy, and during early and late pregnancy; they could also invite their male partners to complete a baseline questionnaire. We collected data on COVID-19 vaccination (brand and date of doses), history of SARS-CoV-2 infection (yes/no and date of positive test), potential confounders (demographic, reproductive, and lifestyle characteristics), and pregnancy status on all questionnaires. Vaccination status was categorized as never (0 doses before conception), ever (≥1 dose before conception), having a full primary sequence before conception, and completing the full primary sequence ≤3 months before conception. These categories were not mutually exclusive. Participants were followed up from their first positive pregnancy test until miscarriage or a censoring event (induced abortion, ectopic pregnancy, loss to follow-up, 20 weeks' gestation), whichever occurred first. We estimated incidence rate ratios (IRRs) for miscarriage and corresponding 95% CIs using Cox proportional hazards models with GW as the time scale. We used propensity score fine stratification weights to adjust for confounding.

MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE

Among 1815 eligible female participants, 75% had received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine by the time of conception. Almost one-quarter of pregnancies resulted in miscarriage, and 75% of miscarriages occurred <8 weeks' gestation. The propensity score-weighted IRR comparing female participants who received at least one dose any time before conception versus those who had not been vaccinated was 0.85 (95% CI: 0.63, 1.14). COVID-19 vaccination was not associated with increased risk of either early miscarriage (GW: <8) or late miscarriage (GW: 8-19). There was no indication of an increased risk of miscarriage associated with male partner vaccination (IRR = 0.90; 95% CI: 0.56, 1.44).

LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION

The present study relied on self-reported vaccination status and infection history. Thus, there may be some non-differential misclassification of exposure status. While misclassification of miscarriage is also possible, the preconception cohort design and high prevalence of home pregnancy testing in this cohort reduced the potential for under-ascertainment of miscarriage. As in all observational studies, residual or unmeasured confounding is possible.

WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS

This is the first study to evaluate prospectively the relation between preconception COVID-19 vaccination in both partners and miscarriage, with more complete ascertainment of early miscarriages than earlier studies of vaccination. The findings are informative for individuals planning a pregnancy and their healthcare providers.

STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S)

This work was supported by the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, the National Institute of Health [R01-HD086742 (PI: L.A.W.); R01-HD105863S1 (PI: L.A.W. and M.L.E.)], the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (R03-AI154544; PI: A.K.R.), and the National Science Foundation (NSF-1914792; PI: L.A.W.). The funders had no role in the study design, data collection, analysis and interpretation of data, writing of the report, or the decision to submit the paper for publication. L.A.W. is a fibroid consultant for AbbVie, Inc. She also receives in-kind donations from Swiss Precision Diagnostics (Clearblue home pregnancy tests) and Kindara.com (fertility apps). M.L.E. received consulting fees from Ro, Hannah, Dadi, VSeat, and Underdog, holds stock in Ro, Hannah, Dadi, and Underdog, is a past president of SSMR, and is a board member of SMRU. K.F.H. reports being an investigator on grants to her institution from UCB and Takeda, unrelated to this study. S.H.-D. reports being an investigator on grants to her institution from Takeda, unrelated to this study, and a methods consultant for UCB and Roche for unrelated drugs. The authors report no other relationships or activities that could appear to have influenced the submitted work.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

N/A.

Air pollution and fecundability in a North American preconception cohort study

BACKGROUND

Animal and epidemiologic studies indicate that air pollution may adversely affect fertility. However, the level of evidence is limited and specific pollutants driving the association are inconsistent across studies.

METHODS

We used data from a web-based preconception cohort study of pregnancy planners enrolled during 2013-2019 (Pregnancy Study Online; PRESTO). Eligible participants self-identified as female, were aged 21-45 years, resided in the United States (U.S.) or Canada, and were trying to conceive without fertility treatments. Participants completed a baseline questionnaire and bi-monthly follow-up questionnaires until conception or 12 months. We analyzed data from 8,747 participants (U.S.: 7,304; Canada: 1,443) who had been trying to conceive for < 12 cycles at enrollment. We estimated residential ambient concentrations of particulate matter < 2.5 µm (PM2.5), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and ozone (O3) using validated spatiotemporal models specific to each country. We fit country-specific proportional probabilities regression models to estimate the association between annual average, menstrual cycle-specific, and preconception average pollutant concentrations with fecundability, the per-cycle probability of conception. We calculated fecundability ratios (FRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) and adjusted for individual- and neighborhood-level confounders.

RESULTS

In the U.S., the FRs for a 5-µg/m3 increase in annual average, cycle-specific, and preconception average PM2.5 concentrations were 0.94 (95% CI: 0.83, 1.08), 1.00 (95% CI: 0.93, 1.07), and 1.00 (95% CI: 0.93, 1.09), respectively. In Canada, the corresponding FRs were 0.92 (95% CI: 0.74, 1.16), 0.97 (95% CI: 0.87, 1.09), and 0.94 (95% CI: 0.80, 1.09), respectively. Likewise, NO2 and O3 concentrations were not strongly associated with fecundability in either country.

CONCLUSIONS

Neither annual average, menstrual cycle-specific, nor preconception average exposure to ambient PM2.5, NO2, and O3 were appreciably associated with reduced fecundability in this cohort of pregnancy planners.

Preconception contraceptive use and miscarriage: prospective cohort study

Objectives

To evaluate the association between preconception contraceptive use and miscarriage.

Design

Prospective cohort study.

Setting

Residents of the United States of America or Canada, recruited from 2013 until the end of 2022.

Participants

13 460 female identified participants aged 21-45 years who were planning a pregnancy were included, of whom 8899 conceived. Participants reported data for contraceptive history, early pregnancy, miscarriage, and potential confounders during preconception and pregnancy.

Main outcome measure

Miscarriage, defined as pregnancy loss before 20 weeks of gestation.

Results

Preconception use of combined and progestin-only oral contraceptives, hormonal intrauterine devices, copper intrauterine devices, rings, implants, or natural methods was not associated with miscarriage compared with use of barrier methods. Participants who most recently used patch (incidence rate ratios 1.34 (95% confidence interval 0.81 to 2.21)) or injectable contraceptives (1.44 (0.99 to 2.12)) had higher rates of miscarriage compared with recent users of barrier methods, although results were imprecise due to the small numbers of participants who used patch and injectable contraceptives.

Conclusions

Use of most contraceptives before conception was not appreciably associated with miscarriage rate. Individuals who used patch and injectable contraceptives had higher rates of miscarriage relative to users of barrier methods, although these results were imprecise and residual confounding was possible.

Risk of Miscarriage in Relation to Seasonal Influenza Vaccination Before or During Pregnancy

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the association between seasonal influenza vaccination and miscarriage using data from an ongoing, prospective cohort study.

METHODS

We analyzed 2013-2022 data from PRESTO (Pregnancy Study Online), a prospective prepregnancy cohort study of female pregnancy planners and their male partners in the United States and Canada. Female participants completed a baseline questionnaire and then follow-up questionnaires every 8 weeks until pregnancy, during early and late pregnancy, and during the postpartum period. Vaccine information was self-reported on all questionnaires. Miscarriage was identified from self-reported information during follow-up. Male partners were invited to complete a baseline questionnaire only. We used Cox proportional hazard models to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% CI for the association between vaccination less than 3 months before pregnancy detection through the 19th week of pregnancy and miscarriage, with gestational weeks as the time scale. We modeled vaccination as a time-varying exposure and used propensity-score fine stratification to control for confounding from seasonal and female partner factors.

RESULTS

Of 6,946 pregnancies, 23.3% of female partners reported exposure to influenza vaccine before or during pregnancy: 3.2% during pregnancy (gestational age 4-19 weeks) and 20.1% during the 3 months before pregnancy detection. The miscarriage rate was 16.2% in unvaccinated and 17.0% among vaccinated participants. Compared with no vaccine exposure, influenza vaccination was not associated with increased rate of miscarriage when administered before (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.81-1.20) or during (HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.47-1.47) pregnancy. Of the 1,135 couples with male partner vaccination data available, 10.8% reported vaccination less than 3 months before pregnancy. The HR for the association between male partner vaccination and miscarriage was 1.17 (95% CI 0.73-1.90).

CONCLUSION

Influenza vaccination before or during pregnancy was not associated with miscarriage.

A North American study of anthropometric factors and semen quality

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the association between anthropometric measures and semen parameters.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional study.

SUBJECTS

Male participants aged ≥21 years. We analyzed data from 659 males (1185 samples) participating in a semen testing substudy of the Pregnancy Online Study (PRESTO), a North American preconception cohort study. After enrollment, we invited males aged ≥21 years to perform at-home semen testing using the Trak system.

EXPOSURE(S)

Participants reported selected anthropometric variables (current weight, height, waist circumference, and weight at age 17 years) and covariate data via an online baseline questionnaire.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S)

We used generalized estimating equations models to estimate the percent difference in mean log-transformed semen parameter values and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for associations between selected anthropometric variables and semen volume (mL), sperm concentration (million/mL), and total sperm count (million), adjusting for sociodemographics, lifestyle factors, and medical history. We also evaluated World Health Organization-defined thresholds for low semen quality.

RESULT(S)

Percentage differences in mean log-transformed semen volume, sperm concentration, and total sperm count (95% CI) comparing current body mass index ≥35 vs. <25 kg/m2 were -6.3 (-15.8, 4.3), -6.4 (-24.6, 16.2), and -12.2 (-31.1, 11.8), respectively. Percentage differences (95% CIs) comparing waist circumferences of ≥42 vs. <31 inches were -4.2 (-15.0, 8.0), -6.4 (-27.6, 21.0), and -10.4 (-31.9, 17.9) for semen volume, sperm concentration, and total sperm count, respectively. Greater adult weight gain since age 17 years was associated with reduced semen volume (≥25 vs. <5 kg; percent difference, -9.7; 95% CI, -18.4, 0.1), but not sperm concentration or total sperm count. The highest categories of each anthropometric variable generally were associated with World Health Organization-defined low total sperm count (≤39 million).

CONCLUSION(S)

Selected anthropometric factors were associated modestly with poorer semen quality.

Use of Chemical Hair Straighteners and Fecundability in a North American Preconception Cohort

Chemical hair straighteners ("relaxers") are used by millions of North Americans, particularly women of color. Hair relaxers may contain endocrine-disrupting compounds, which can harm fertility. We evaluated the association between hair relaxer use and fecundability among 11,274 participants from Pregnancy Study Online (PRESTO), a North American preconception cohort study. During 2014-2022, participants completed a baseline questionnaire in which they reported their history of relaxer use and completed follow-up questionnaires every 8 weeks for 12 months or until pregnancy, whichever came first. We used multivariable-adjusted proportional probabilities regression models to estimate fecundability ratios (FRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Relative to never use, fecundability was lower among current (FR = 0.81, 95% CI: 0.64, 1.03) and former (FR = 0.89, 95% CI: 0.81, 0.98) users of hair relaxers. FRs for first use of hair relaxers at ages <10, 10-19, and ≥20 years were 0.73 (95% CI: 0.55, 0.96), 0.93 (95% CI: 0.83, 1.04), and 0.85 (95% CI: 0.74, 0.98), respectively. Fecundability was lowest among those with longer durations of use (≥10 years vs. never: FR = 0.71, 95% CI: 0.54, 0.91) and more frequent use (≥5 times/year vs. never: FR = 0.82, 95% CI: 0.60, 1.11), but associations were nonmonotonic. In this preconception cohort study, use of chemical hair straighteners was associated with slightly reduced fecundability.

COVID-19 vaccination and menstrual cycle characteristics: A prospective cohort study

We prospectively examined the association between COVID-19 vaccination and menstrual cycle characteristics in an internet-based prospective cohort study. We included a sample of 1,137 participants who enrolled in Pregnancy Study Online (PRESTO), a preconception cohort study of couples trying to conceive, during January 2021-August 2022. Eligible participants were aged 21-45 years, United States or Canadian residents, and trying to conceive without fertility treatment. At baseline and every 8 weeks for up to 12 months, participants completed questionnaires on which they provided information on COVID-19 vaccination and menstrual cycle characteristics, including cycle regularity, cycle length, bleed length, heaviness of bleed, and menstrual pain. We fit generalized estimating equation (GEE) models with a log link function and Poisson distribution to estimate the adjusted risk ratio (RR) for irregular cycles associated with COVID-19 vaccination. We used linear regression with GEE to estimate adjusted mean differences in menstrual cycle length associated with COVID-19 vaccination. We adjusted for sociodemographic, lifestyle, medical and reproductive factors. Participants had 1.1 day longer menstrual cycles after receiving the first dose of COVID-19 vaccine (95 % CI: 0.4, 1.9) and 1.3 day longer cycles after receiving the second dose (95 % CI: 0.2, 2.5). Associations were attenuated at the second cycle post-vaccination. We did not observe strong associations between COVID-19 vaccination and cycle regularity, bleed length, heaviness of bleed, or menstrual pain. In conclusion, COVID-19 vaccination was associated with a ∼1 day temporary increase in menstrual cycle length, but was not appreciably associated with other menstrual cycle characteristics.

Periconceptional antibiotic use and spontaneous abortion: A prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Many reproductive-aged North Americans use antibiotics in the weeks preceding conception or during early pregnancy. Antibiotic use may influence risk of spontaneous abortion (SAB) by disrupting the reproductive tract microbiome or treating harmful infections. However, this association has not been extensively studied.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the extent to which periconceptional antibiotic use is associated with the risk of SAB.

METHODS

We analysed data from an internet-based preconception cohort study of pregnancy planners. Eligible participants self-identified as female, were aged 21-45 years, resided in the USA or Canada, and conceived during 12 months of follow-up (n = 7890). Participants completed an enrolment questionnaire during June 2013-September 2021 and bimonthly follow-up questionnaires for up to 12 months or until a reported pregnancy, whichever came first. Pregnant participants completed questionnaires in early (~8-9 weeks) and late (~32 weeks) gestation. We assessed antibiotic use, including type (penicillins, nitrofurantoin, cephalosporins and macrolides) and indication for use, during the previous 4 weeks on preconception questionnaires. Participants reported pregnancies and SAB on follow-up and pregnancy questionnaires. We used Cox proportional hazards regression models with gestational weeks as the time scale to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the association between periconceptional antibiotic use and SAB, controlling for potential demographic, medical, and lifestyle confounders.

RESULTS

Nineteen percent (n = 1537) of pregnancies ended in SAB. Participants reported periconceptional antibiotic use in 8% of pregnancies ending in SAB and 7% not ending in SAB. Periconceptional antibiotic use was not appreciably associated with SAB (adjusted HR 1.06, 95% CI 0.88, 1.28). We observed no strong associations between antibiotic type, indication for use, or recency of exposure and SAB risk.

CONCLUSIONS

Periconceptional antibiotic use was not appreciably associated with SAB in this study. This association is likely complicated by antibiotic type and dosage, timing of conception, and the individual's overall health.

A randomized trial of web-based fertility-tracking software and fecundability

OBJECTIVE

To assess the effect of randomization to FertilityFriend.com (FF), a mobile computing fertility-tracking app, on fecundability.

DESIGN

Parallel non-blinded randomized controlled trial nested within Pregnancy Study Online (PRESTO), a North American preconception cohort.

SUBJECTS

Female participants aged 21-45 years attempting conception for ≤6 menstrual cycles at enrollment (2013-2019).

INTERVENTION

Randomization (1:1) of 5,532 participants to receive a premium FF subscription.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Fecundability (per-cycle probability of conception). Participants completed bimonthly follow-up questionnaires until pregnancy or a censoring event, whichever came first. We first performed an intent-to-treat analysis of the effect of FF randomization on fecundability. In secondary analyses, we used a per-protocol approach that accounted for adherence in each trial arm. In both analyses, we used proportional probabilities regression models to estimate fecundability ratios (FR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) comparing those randomized vs. not randomized, and applied inverse probability weights to account for loss-to-follow-up (intent-to-treat and per-protocol analyses) and adherence (per-protocol analyses only).

RESULTS

Using life-table methods, 64% of the 2,775 participants randomized to FF and 63% of the 2,767 participants not randomized to FF conceived during 12 cycles; these respective percentages were each 70% among those with 0-1 cycles of attempt time at enrollment. Of those randomized to FF, 72% were defined as adherent (68% of observed menstrual cycles). In intent-to-treat analyses, there was no appreciable association overall (FR=0.97, 95% CI: 0.90-1.04) or within strata of pregnancy attempt time at enrollment, age, education, or other characteristics. In per-protocol analyses, we observed little association overall (FR=1.06, 95% CI: 0.99-1.14), but weak-to-moderate positive associations among participants who had longer attempt times at enrollment (FR=1.15, 95% CI: 0.98-1.35 for 3-4 cycles; 1.14, 95% CI: 0.87-1.48 for 5-6 cycles), were aged <25 years (FR=1.29, 95% CI: 1.01-1.66), had ≤12 years of education (FR=1.32, 95% CI: 0.92-1.89), or were non-users of hormonal contraception within 3 months before enrollment (FR=1.10, 95% CI: 1.02-1.19).

CONCLUSION

No appreciable associations were observed in intent-to-treat analyses. In secondary per-protocol analyses that accounted for adherence, randomization to FF was associated with slightly greater fecundability among selected subgroups of participants; however, these results are susceptible to unmeasured confounding.

Perceived stress and semen quality

BACKGROUND

Psychological stress is prevalent among reproductive-aged men. Assessment of semen quality for epidemiological studies is challenging as data collection is expensive and cumbersome, and studies evaluating the effect of perceived stress on semen quality are inconsistent.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the association between perceived stress and semen quality.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We analyzed baseline data on 644 men (1,159 semen samples) from two prospective preconception cohort studies during 2015-2021: 592 in Pregnancy Study Online (PRESTO) and 52 in SnartForaeldre.dk (SF). At study entry, men aged ≥21 years (PRESTO) and ≥18 years (SF) trying to conceive without fertility treatment completed a questionnaire on reproductive and medical history, socio-demographics, lifestyle, and the 10-item version of the Perceived Stress Scale (PSS; interquartile range [IQR] of scores: 0-40). After enrollment (median weeks: 2.1, IQR: 1.3-3.7), men were invited to perform in-home semen testing, twice with 7-10 days between tests, using the Trak Male Fertility Testing System. Semen quality was characterized by semen volume, sperm concentration, and total sperm count. We fit generalized estimating equation linear regression models to estimate the percent difference in mean log-transformed semen parameters by four PSS groups (<10, 10-14, 15-19, ≥20), adjusting for potential confounders.

RESULTS

The median PSS score and IQR was 15 (10-19), and 136 men (21.1%) had a PSS score ≥20. Comparing men with PSS scores ≥20 with <10, the adjusted percent difference was -2.7 (95% CI: -9.8; 5.0) for semen volume, 6.8 (95% CI: -10.9; 28.1) for sperm concentration, and 4.3 (95% CI: -13.8; 26.2) for total sperm count.

CONCLUSION

Our findings indicate that perceived stress is not materially associated with semen volume, sperm concentration, or total sperm count.

Male personal heat exposures and fecundability: A preconception cohort study

BACKGROUND

Several studies indicate adverse effects of selected heat exposures on semen quality, but few studies have directly evaluated fertility as an endpoint.

OBJECTIVE

We evaluated prospectively the association between male heat exposures and fecundability, the per-cycle probability of conception.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We analyzed data from 3041 couples residing in the United States or Canada who enrolled in a prospective preconception cohort study (2013-2021). At enrollment, males reported on several heat-related exposures, such as use of saunas, hot baths, seat heaters, and tight-fitting underwear. Pregnancy status was updated on female follow-up questionnaires every 8 weeks until conception or a censoring event (initiation of fertility treatment, cessation of pregnancy attempts, withdrawal, loss to follow-up, or 12 cycles), whichever came first. We used proportional probabilities regression models to estimate fecundability ratios (FR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between heat exposures and fecundability, mutually adjusting for heat exposures and other potential confounders.

RESULTS

We observed small inverse associations for hot bath/tub use (≥3 vs. 0 times/month: FR = 0.87, 95% CI: 0.70-1.07) and fever in the 3 months before baseline (FR = 0.94, 95% CI: 0.79-1.12; one cycle of follow-up: FR = 0.84, 95% CI: 0.64-1.11). Little association was found for sauna use, hours of laptop use on one's lap, seat heater use, time spent sitting, and use of tight-fitting underwear. Based on a cumulative heat metric, FRs for 1, 2, 3, and ≥4 versus 0 heat exposures were 0.99 (95% CI: 0.87-1.12), 1.03 (95% CI: 0.89-1.19), 0.94 (95% CI: 0.74-1.19), and 0.77 (95% CI: 0.50-1.17), respectively. Associations were stronger among men aged ≥30 years (≥4 vs. 0 heat exposures: FR = 0.60, 95% CI: 0.34-1.04).

CONCLUSION

Male use of hot tubs/baths and fever showed weak inverse associations with fecundability. Cumulative exposure to multiple heat sources was associated with a moderate reduction in fecundability, particularly among males aged ≥30 years.

A Prospective Cohort Study of COVID-19 Vaccination, SARS-CoV-2 Infection, and Fertility

Some reproductive-aged individuals remain unvaccinated against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) because of concerns about potential adverse effects on fertility. Using data from an internet-based preconception cohort study, we examined the associations of COVID-19 vaccination and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection with fertility among couples trying to conceive spontaneously. We enrolled 2,126 self-identified female participants aged 21-45 year residing in the United States or Canada during December 2020-September 2021 and followed them through November 2021. Participants completed questionnaires every 8 weeks on sociodemographics, lifestyle, medical factors, and partner information. We fit proportional probabilities regression models to estimate associations between self-reported COVID-19 vaccination and SARS-CoV-2 infection in both partners with fecundability (i.e., the per-cycle probability of conception), adjusting for potential confounders. COVID-19 vaccination was not appreciably associated with fecundability in either partner (female fecundability ratio (FR) = 1.08, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.95, 1.23; male FR = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.83, 1.10). Female SARS-CoV-2 infection was not strongly associated with fecundability (FR = 1.07, 95% CI: 0.87, 1.31). Male infection was associated with a transient reduction in fecundability (for infection within 60 days, FR = 0.82, 95% CI: 0.47, 1.45; for infection after 60 days, FR = 1.16, 95% CI: 0.92, 1.47). These findings indicate that male SARS-CoV-2 infection may be associated with a short-term decline in fertility and that COVID-19 vaccination does not impair fertility in either partner.

A prospective study of preconception asthma and spontaneous abortion

PURPOSE

To evaluate the relationships among history of asthma, asthma severity, and spontaneous abortion (SAB).

METHODS

Pregnancy Study Online is a preconception cohort study of North American couples. During the preconception period, female participants reported their history of physician-diagnosed asthma, age at first diagnosis, and use of asthma medications in the previous 4 weeks. Asthma severity was classified by medication use proximal to conception, from level 0 to 3 in increasing severity. Pregnancy and SAB were identified using data from follow-up questionnaires. We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

Among 6325 participants who conceived, 19% experienced SAB and 17% reported a history of asthma. There was no appreciable association between asthma history and SAB incidence (HR = 0.98; 95% CI: 0.84, 1.14). HRs comparing severity levels 0, 1, and 2-3 with no asthma were 0.82 (95% CI: 0.67, 1.01), 1.20 (95% CI: 0.91, 1.60), and 1.31 (95% CI: 0.97, 1.78), respectively. Among women who conceived without the use of fertility treatment, level 2-3 severity was associated with SAB (HR = 1.39; 95% CI: 1.02, 1.89).

CONCLUSIONS

While history of asthma diagnosis was not materially associated with SAB, having severe asthma (based on medication use) was associated with greater SAB risk.

Predictive models of pregnancy based on data from a preconception cohort study

STUDY QUESTION

Can we derive adequate models to predict the probability of conception among couples actively trying to conceive?

SUMMARY ANSWER

Leveraging data collected from female participants in a North American preconception cohort study, we developed models to predict pregnancy with performance of ∼70% in the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY

Earlier work has focused primarily on identifying individual risk factors for infertility. Several predictive models have been developed in subfertile populations, with relatively low discrimination (AUC: 59-64%).

STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION

Study participants were female, aged 21-45 years, residents of the USA or Canada, not using fertility treatment, and actively trying to conceive at enrollment (2013-2019). Participants completed a baseline questionnaire at enrollment and follow-up questionnaires every 2 months for up to 12 months or until conception. We used data from 4133 participants with no more than one menstrual cycle of pregnancy attempt at study entry.

PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS

On the baseline questionnaire, participants reported data on sociodemographic factors, lifestyle and behavioral factors, diet quality, medical history and selected male partner characteristics. A total of 163 predictors were considered in this study. We implemented regularized logistic regression, support vector machines, neural networks and gradient boosted decision trees to derive models predicting the probability of pregnancy: (i) within fewer than 12 menstrual cycles of pregnancy attempt time (Model I), and (ii) within 6 menstrual cycles of pregnancy attempt time (Model II). Cox models were used to predict the probability of pregnancy within each menstrual cycle for up to 12 cycles of follow-up (Model III). We assessed model performance using the AUC and the weighted-F1 score for Models I and II, and the concordance index for Model III.

MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE

Model I and II AUCs were 70% and 66%, respectively, in parsimonious models, and the concordance index for Model III was 63%. The predictors that were positively associated with pregnancy in all models were: having previously breastfed an infant and using multivitamins or folic acid supplements. The predictors that were inversely associated with pregnancy in all models were: female age, female BMI and history of infertility. Among nulligravid women with no history of infertility, the most important predictors were: female age, female BMI, male BMI, use of a fertility app, attempt time at study entry and perceived stress.

LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION

Reliance on self-reported predictor data could have introduced misclassification, which would likely be non-differential with respect to the pregnancy outcome given the prospective design. In addition, we cannot be certain that all relevant predictor variables were considered. Finally, though we validated the models using split-sample replication techniques, we did not conduct an external validation study.

WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS

Given a wide range of predictor data, machine learning algorithms can be leveraged to analyze epidemiologic data and predict the probability of conception with discrimination that exceeds earlier work.

STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S)

The research was partially supported by the U.S. National Science Foundation (under grants DMS-1664644, CNS-1645681 and IIS-1914792) and the National Institutes for Health (under grants R01 GM135930 and UL54 TR004130). In the last 3 years, L.A.W. has received in-kind donations for primary data collection in PRESTO from FertilityFriend.com, Kindara.com, Sandstone Diagnostics and Swiss Precision Diagnostics. L.A.W. also serves as a fibroid consultant to AbbVie, Inc. The other authors declare no competing interests.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

N/A.

Air pollution and fecundability: Results from a Danish preconception cohort study

BACKGROUND

Animal and epidemiologic studies indicate that air pollution may adversely affect fertility. Epidemiologic studies have been restricted largely to couples undergoing fertility treatment or have retrospectively ascertained time-to-pregnancy among pregnant women.

OBJECTIVES

We examined the association between residential ambient air pollution and fecundability, the per-cycle probability of conception, in a large preconception cohort of Danish pregnancy planners.

METHODS

During 2007-2018, we used the Internet to recruit and follow women who were trying to conceive without the use of fertility treatment. Participants completed an online baseline questionnaire eliciting socio-demographic characteristics, lifestyle factors, and medical and reproductive histories and follow-up questionnaires every 8 weeks to ascertain pregnancy status. We determined concentrations of ambient nitrogen oxides (NOx ), nitrogen dioxide (NO2 ), carbon monoxide (CO), ozone (O3 ), particulate matter <2.5 µm (PM2.5 ) and <10 µm (PM10 ), and sulphur dioxide (SO2 ) at each participant's residential address. We calculated average exposure during the year before baseline, during each menstrual cycle over follow-up and during the entire pregnancy attempt time. We used proportional probabilities regression models to estimate fecundability ratios (FRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), adjusting for potential confounders and co-pollutants. The analysis was restricted to the 10,183 participants who were trying to conceive for <12 cycles at study entry whose addresses could be geocoded.

RESULTS

During 12 months of follow-up, 73% of participants conceived. Higher concentrations of PM2.5 and PM10 were associated with small reductions in fecundability. For example, the FRs for a one interquartile range (IQR) increase in PM2.5 (IQR = 3.2 µg/m3 ) and PM10 (IQR = 5.3 µg/m3 ) during each menstrual cycle were 0.93 (95% CI: 0.87, 0.99) and 0.91 (95% CI: 0.84, 0.99), respectively. Other air pollutants were not appreciably associated with fecundability.

CONCLUSIONS

In this preconception cohort study of Danish women, residential exposures to PM2.5 and PM10 were associated with reduced fecundability.

Accuracy of self-reported birth outcomes relative to birth certificate data in an Internet-based prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The accuracy of birth outcome data provided by Internet-based cohort study participants has not been well studied.

METHODS

We compared self-reported data on birth characteristics in Pregnancy Study Online (PRESTO), an Internet-based prospective cohort study of North American pregnancy planners, with birth certificate data. At enrolment, participants were aged 21-45 years, attempting conception, and not using fertility treatment. Women completed online questionnaires during preconception, early and late pregnancy, and postpartum. We requested birth certificate data during 2014-2019 from seven health departments in states with the most participants. After restricting to singleton births, we assessed specificity, sensitivity, and agreement comparing self-reported data from postpartum questionnaires with birth certificate data for gestational age at delivery (GA) and birthweight (grams). Our primary measure of self-reported GA (weeks) was calculated as [280-(due date-birth date)]/7. We used log-binomial regression to assess predictors of agreement.

RESULTS

We linked 85% (771/909) of women in selected states. Median age of women was 30 years (range: 21-42), 84% had ≥ 16 years of education, nearly 96% were married, 12% had household incomes <$50 000, 32% were parous, and 85% identified as non-Hispanic White. Median recall interval was 6 months. Among those with self-reported data, 89% reported the same GA as the birth certificate and 98% reported GA within 1 week of the birth certificate. Self-report of preterm birth (GA < 37 weeks) agreed with information from birth certificates for 100% of women; sensitivity was 100%, and specificity was 99%. Self-reported low birthweight (<2500 grams) agreed with birth certificates for 93% of women; sensitivity and specificity were 93% and ≥99%, respectively. Predictors of poorer agreement included higher parity and longer pregnancy attempt time for GA, and lower education and longer recall interval for birthweight.

CONCLUSION

Self-reported data on GA and birthweight from an Internet-based cohort showed high accuracy compared with birth certificates.

Antibiotics and fecundability among female pregnancy planners: a prospective cohort study

STUDY QUESTION

To what extent is female preconception antibiotic use associated with fecundability?

SUMMARY ANSWER

Preconception antibiotic use overall was not appreciably associated with fecundability.

WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY

Antibiotics are commonly used by women and are generally thought to be safe for use during pregnancy. However, little is known about possible effects of antibiotic use on fecundability, the per-cycle probability of conception. Previous research on this question has been limited to occupational rather than therapeutic exposure.

STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION

We analyzed data from an Internet-based preconception cohort study of 9524 female pregnancy planners aged 21-45 years residing in the USA and Canada who had been attempting to conceive for six or fewer cycles at study entry. Participants enrolled between June 2013 and September 2020 and completed baseline and bimonthly follow-up questionnaires for up to 12 months or until a reported pregnancy, whichever came first. The questions pertaining to antibiotic type and indication were added to the PRESTO questionnaires in March 2016.

PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS

We assessed antibiotic use in the previous 4 weeks at baseline and on each follow-up questionnaire. Participants provided the name of the specific antibiotic and the indication for use. Antibiotics were classified based on active ingredient (penicillins, macrolides, nitrofurantoin, nitroimidazole, cephalosporins, sulfonamides, quinolones, tetracyclines, lincosamides), and indications were classified by type of infection (respiratory, urinary tract, skin, vaginal, pelvic, and surgical). Participants reported pregnancy status on follow-up questionnaires. We used proportional probabilities regression to estimate fecundability ratios (FR), the per-cycle probability of conception comparing exposed with unexposed individuals, and 95% CI, adjusting for sociodemographics, lifestyle factors, and reproductive history.

MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE

Overall, women who used antibiotics in the past 4 weeks at baseline had similar fecundability to those who had not used antibiotics (FR: 0.98, 95% CI: 0.89-1.07). Sulfonamides and lincosamides were associated with slightly increased fecundability (FR: 1.39, 95% CI: 0.90-2.15, and FR: 1.58 95% CI: 0.96-2.60, respectively), while macrolides were associated with slightly reduced fecundability (FR: 0.70, 95% CI: 0.47-1.04). Analyses of the indication for antibiotic use suggest that there is likely some confounding by indication.

LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION

Findings were imprecise for some antibiotic classes and indications for use owing to small numbers of antibiotic users in these categories. There are likely heterogeneous effects of different combinations of indications and treatments, which may be obscured in the overall null results, but cannot be further elucidated in this analysis.

WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS

There is little evidence that most antibiotics are associated with reduced fecundability. Antibiotics and the infections they treat are likely associated with fecundability through differing mechanisms, resulting in their association with increased fecundability in some circumstances and decreased fecundability in others.

STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S)

This study was supported through funds provided by the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, National Institutes of Health (R01-HD086742, R21-HD072326). L.A.W. has received in-kind donations from Swiss Precision Diagnostics, Sandstone Diagnostics, Fertility Friend, and Kindara for primary data collection in PRESTO. The other authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

N/A.

Association Between Male Use of Pain Medication and Fecundability

Administration of pain relievers has been associated with both lower and higher risks of adverse reproductive outcomes in animals. In the sole investigation of male pain-reliever use and human fertility carried out to date, Smarr et al. (Hum Reprod. 2016;31(9):2119-2127) found a 35% reduction in fecundability among males with urinary acetaminophen concentrations in the highest quartile (>73.5 ng/mL) versus the lowest (<5.4 ng/mL). We analyzed data from 1,956 males participating in Pregnancy Study Online, a preconception cohort study of North American couples enrolled between 2013 and 2019. Males and females completed baseline questionnaires on sociodemographic characteristics, lifestyle, medication use, and medical history; females completed bimonthly follow-up questionnaires for up to 12 months. We categorized pain medications by active ingredient (ibuprofen, acetaminophen, naproxen, aspirin) and cumulative monthly dose. We used proportional probabilities models to calculate fecundability ratios and 95% confidence intervals, adjusting for potential confounders. In the 4 weeks before baseline, 51.7% of males used pain medications. Adjusted fecundability ratios were 1.02 for ibuprofen (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.91, 1.13), 0.89 for acetaminophen (95% CI: 0.77, 1.03), 1.07 for naproxen (95% CI: 0.85, 1.35), and 1.05 for aspirin (95% CI: 0.81, 1.35), as compared with nonuse of each medication. In this study, male use of pain medications at low doses was not notably associated with fecundability.

Association of income and education with fecundability in a North American preconception cohort

PURPOSE

The purpose of this study is to evaluate socioeconomic determinants of fecundability.

METHODS

Among 8654 female pregnancy planners from Pregnancy Study Online, a North American prospective cohort study (2013-2019), we examined associations between socioeconomic status and fecundability (the per-cycle probability of conception). Information on income and education was collected via baseline questionnaires. Bimonthly follow-up questionnaires were used to ascertain pregnancy status. We estimated fecundability ratios (FRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using proportional probabilities regression, controlling for potential confounders.

RESULTS

Relative to an annual household income of greater than or equal to $150,000, adjusted FRs were 0.91 (95% CI: 0.83-1.01) for less than $50,000, 0.99 (95% CI: 0.92-1.07) for $50,000-$99,000, and 1.09 (95% CI: 1.01-1.18) for $100,000-$149,000. FRs for less than 12, 13-15, and 16 years of education, relative to greater than or equal to 17 years, were 0.90 (95% CI: 0.76-1.08), 0.84 (95% CI: 0.78-0.91), and 0.89 (95% CI: 0.84-0.95), respectively. Slightly stronger associations for income and education were seen among older women.

CONCLUSIONS

Lower levels of education and income were associated with modestly reduced fecundability. These results demonstrate the presence of socioeconomic disparities in fecundability.

At-home sperm testing for epidemiologic studies: Evaluation of the Trak male fertility testing system in an internet-based preconception cohort

BACKGROUND

Semen quality assessment in population-based epidemiologic studies presents logistical and financial challenges due to reliance on centralised laboratory semen analysis. The Trak Male Fertility Testing System is an FDA-cleared and validated at-home test for sperm concentration and semen volume, with a research use only sperm motility test. Here we evaluate the Trak System's overall utility among men participating in Pregnancy Study Online (PRESTO), a web-based study of North American couples planning pregnancy.

METHODS

US male participants aged ≥21 years with ≤6 months of pregnancy attempt time at study enrolment were invited to participate in the semen testing substudy after completing their baseline questionnaire. Consenting participants received a Trak Engine (battery-powered centrifuge) and two test kits. Participants shared their test results via smartphone images uploaded to online questionnaires. Data were then linked with covariate data from the baseline questionnaire.

RESULTS

Of the 688 men invited to participate, 373 (54%) provided consent and 271 (73%) completed at least one semen test result. The distributions of semen volume, sperm concentration, motile sperm concentration, total sperm count, and total motile sperm count were similar to 2010 World Health Organization (WHO) semen parameter data of men in the general population. The overall usability score for the Trak System was 1.4 on a 5-point Likert scale (1 = Very Easy, 5 = Difficult), and 92% of participants believed they performed the test correctly and received an accurate result. Lastly, men with higher motile sperm count were more likely to report feeling "at ease" or "excited" following testing, while men with low motile sperm count were more likely to report feeling "concerned" or "frustrated." Overall, 91% of men reported they would like to test again.

CONCLUSIONS

The Trak System provides a simple and potentially cost-effective means of measuring important semen parameters and may be useful in population-based epidemiologic fertility studies.

Changes in Behavior with Increasing Pregnancy Attempt Time: A Prospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

The extent to which couples change their behaviors with increasing pregnancy attempt time is not well documented.

METHODS

We examined change in selected behaviors over pregnancy attempt time in a North American preconception cohort study. Eligible females were ages 21-45 years and not using fertility treatment. Participants completed baseline and bimonthly follow-up questionnaires for up to 12 months or until pregnancy.

RESULTS

Among 3,339 females attempting pregnancy for 0-1 cycles at enrollment, 250 contributed 12 months of follow-up without conceiving. Comparing behaviors at 12 months versus baseline, weighted for loss-to-follow-up, we observed small-to-moderate reductions in mean caffeine intake (-19.5 mg/day, CI = -32.7, -6.37), alcohol intake (-0.85 drinks/week, CI = -1.28, -0.43), marijuana use (-3.89 percentage points, CI = -7.33, 0.46), and vigorous exercise (-0.68 hours/week, CI = -1.05, -0.31), and a large increase in activities to improve conception chances (e.g., ovulation testing) (21.7 percentage points, CI = 14.8, 28.6). There was little change in mean cigarette smoking (-0.27 percentage points, CI = -1.58, 1.04), perceived stress scale score (-0.04 units, CI = -0.77, 0.69), or other factors (e.g., sugar-sweetened soda intake, moderate exercise, intercourse frequency, and multivitamin use), but some heterogeneity within subgroups (e.g., 31% increased and 32% decreased their perceived stress scores by ≥2 units; 14% reduced their smoking but none increased their smoking by ≥5 cigarettes/day).

CONCLUSIONS

Although many behaviors changed with increasing pregnancy attempt time, mean changes tended to be modest for most variables. The largest differences were observed for the use of caffeine, alcohol, and marijuana, and methods to improve conception chances.

Psychotropic medication use during pregnancy and gestational age at delivery

PURPOSE

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the association between psychotropic medication use during pregnancy and gestational age at delivery, after adjusting for depressive symptom and perceived stress severity.

METHODS

We analyzed data on singleton live births from 2914 female Pregnancy Study Online participants, aged 21 to 45, with a reported conception from 6/2013 to 6/2018. Women reported psychotropic medication use at 8 to 12 weeks' and ~32 weeks' gestation. We measured depressive symptoms using the Major Depressive Inventory and perceived stress using the 10-item Perceived Stress Scale. Data on gestational age at delivery were based on self-reports and/or birth certificates. We used restricted mean survival time models, stratifying by severity of depressive symptoms (Major Depression Inventory <25 vs. ≥25) and perceived stress (Perceived Stress Scale <20 vs. ≥20).

RESULTS

Two hundred and ten (7.2%) participants reported using psychotropic medications during pregnancy. Mean gestational age at delivery among women who never used psychotropic medications was 38.2 weeks (95% confidence interval: 37.7, 38.7), whereas it was 37.3 weeks (95% confidence interval: 36.7, 37.9) among women who used psychotropic medications during pregnancy. Results were similar across strata of depressive symptoms and perceived stress.

CONCLUSIONS

Our data indicate that the association between psychotropic medication use and gestational age at delivery is not confounded by indication.

Effect of a Home Pregnancy Test Intervention on Cohort Retention and Pregnancy Detection: A Randomized Trial

We conducted a parallel, nonblinded randomized trial to assess whether offering home pregnancy tests (HPTs) to preconception cohort study participants influenced cohort retention or pregnancy detection. Pregnancy Study Online participants were female, aged 21-45 years, attempting pregnancy, and not using fertility treatment. At enrollment (2017-2018), 1,493 participants with 6 or fewer cycles of attempt time were randomly assigned with 50% probability to receive 12 Clearblue visual HPTs plus the standard protocol (n = 720) or the standard protocol alone (n = 773). Women completed bimonthly questionnaires for 12 months or until conception, whichever came first. In intent-to-treat analyses, retention (≥1 follow-up) was higher in the HPT arm (n = 598; 83%) than the standard protocol arm (n = 535 (69%); mean difference = 15%, 95% CI: 10, 19). Mean time at first pregnancy testing was identical in both arms (2 days before expected menses), as was mean gestational weeks at first positive pregnancy test (4 weeks). Conception was reported by 78% of women in the HPT arm and 75% in the standard protocol arm. Spontaneous abortion was reported by 21% in the HPT arm (mean gestational weeks = 7) and 21% in the standard protocol arm (mean gestational weeks = 6). Randomization of HPTs was associated with greater cohort retention but had little impact on incidence or timing of pregnancy detection.

Identification of Protective Actions to Reduce the Vulnerability of Safety-Critical Systems to Malevolent Intentional Acts: An Optimization-Based Decision-Making Approach

An empirical classification model based on the Majority Rule Sorting (MR-Sort) method has been previously proposed by the authors to evaluate the vulnerability of safety-critical systems (in particular, nuclear power plants [NPPs]) with respect to malevolent intentional acts. In this article, the model serves as the basis for an analysis aimed at determining a set of protective actions to be taken (e.g., increasing the number of monitoring devices, reducing the number of accesses to the safety-critical system) in order to effectively reduce the level of vulnerability of the safety-critical systems under consideration. In particular, the problem is here tackled within an optimization framework: the set of protective actions to implement is chosen as the one minimizing the overall level of vulnerability of a group of safety-critical systems. In this context, three different optimization approaches have been explored: (i) one single classification model is built to evaluate and minimize system vulnerability; (ii) an ensemble of compatible classification models, generated by the bootstrap method, is employed to perform a "robust" optimization, taking as reference the "worst-case" scenario over the group of models; (iii) finally, a distribution of classification models, still obtained by bootstrap, is considered to address vulnerability reduction in a "probabilistic" fashion (i.e., by minimizing the "expected" vulnerability of a fleet of systems). The results are presented and compared with reference to a fictitious example considering NPPs as the safety-critical systems of interest.

[Valproic acid activates autophagy in multiple myeloma cell lines RPMI8226 and U266]

目的

探讨丙戊酸钠对多发性骨髓瘤（MM）细胞株RPMI8226和U266细胞自噬的影响。

方法

丙戊酸钠处理RPMI8226和U266细胞，吖啶橙染色后采用荧光显微镜观察细胞自噬形态学变化，MTT法检测细胞增殖抑制的变化，流式细胞术检测细胞凋亡，实时定量PCR（RT-PCR）和Western Blot法检测细胞自噬相关因子LC3、Beclin1的变化。

结果

荧光显微镜观察到RPMI8226及U266细胞存在基础水平的自噬现象，丙戊酸钠作用后能够诱导细胞自噬增多；MTT法检测结果显示丙戊酸钠对细胞增殖抑制具有时间及浓度依赖性，作用24 h后半数抑制浓度分别为（12.03±0.23）mmol/L和（10.16±0.37) mmol/L。8 mmol/L丙戊酸钠作用24 h后，RPMI8226、U266细胞LC3 mRNA表达水平（22.45±0.07、0.06±0.02）、Beclin1 mRNA表达水平（283.09±17.3、1.53±0.01）与空白对照组（1.00± 0.00、1.00±0.00）比较，差异均有统计学意义（P值均<0.05）。随着丙戊酸钠浓度增加和作用时间延长，LC3、Beclin1蛋白表达水平逐渐增加，LC3Ⅰ向LC3Ⅱ的转化率逐渐升高。

结论

RPMI8226和U266细胞中存在基础水平的自噬现象，丙戊酸钠对MM细胞的自噬有激活作用，这可能是丙戊酸钠治疗MM的机制之一。

Basic fibroblast growth factor promotes macaque follicle development in vitro

Fertility preservation is an important type of frontier scientific research in the field of reproductive health. The culture of ovarian cortices to i) initiate primordial follicle growth and ii) procure developing follicles for later oocyte maturation is a promising fertility preservation strategy, especially for older women or cancer patients. At present, this goal remains largely unsubstantiated in primates because of the difficulty in attaining relatively large follicles via ovarian cortex culture. To overcome this hurdle, we cultured macaque monkey ovarian cortices with FSH, kit ligand (KL), basic fibroblast growth factor (bFGF), and/or epidermal growth factor (EGF). The various factors and factor combinations promoted primordial follicle development to different extents. Notably, both bFF (bFGF, 100 ng/ml and FSH, 50 ng/ml) and KF (KL, 100 ng/ml and FSH, 50 ng/ml) contributed to the activation of primordial follicles at day 12 (D12) of culture, whereas at D18, the proportions of developing follicles were significantly higher in the bFF and KF groups relative to the other treatment groups, particularly in the bFF group. Estradiol and progesterone production were also highest in the bFF group, and primary follicle diameters were the largest. Up until D24, the bFF group still exhibited the highest proportion of developing follicles. In conclusion, the bFGF–FSH combination promotes nonhuman primate primordial follicle developmentin vitro, with the optimal experimental window within 18 days. These results provide evidence for the future success of human ovarian cortex culture and the eventual acquisition of mature human follicles or oocytes for fertility restoration.

Diagnosis of human cytomegalovirus intrauterine infection using fetal cells from maternal blood

OBJECTIVE

The sensitivity and specificity for the noninvasive prenatal diagnosis of human cytomegalovirus intrauterine infection were estimated by using isolating single fetal cells from maternal peripheral blood.

METHODS

Micromanipulation techniques were employed to isolate single fetal nucleated erythroblasts from 273 maternal blood samples. SRY gene and HCMV-DNA in single fetal cells were detected by multiple primed in situ labeling (PRINS) from 76 HCMV-DNA positive samples of maternal peripheral blood. 273 samples of maternal peripheral blood were tested for SRY gene and HCMV-DNA in single fetal cells by primed extension preamplification (PEP) and polymerase chain reaction (PCR).

RESULTS

The detection rate of fetal cells from maternal blood was 100% with micromanipulation techniques. The sensitivity of PRINS for SRY gene detection was 97.56% and its specificity was 100%. The sensitivity and specificity of PEP and PCR for SRY gene detection were 97.39% and 99.17%, respectively. The sensitivity of PRINS for HCMV-DNA detection was 92.68% and the specificity was 100%. The sensitivity and specificity of PEP and PCR for HCMV-DNA detection were 95.12%and 100%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The technique for noninvasive prenatal detection of intrauterine infection of HCMV using single fetal cells from maternal peripheral blood by using PRINS and PEP and PCR is more reliable than the CMV-DNA detection in peripheral maternal blood, amniocentesis or percutaneous umbilical blood sampling.

Fetal origin of single nucleated erythroblasts and free DNA in the peripheral blood of pregnant women

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the feasibility of using single fetal nucleated erythroblasts (FNRBCs) and free DNA in maternal blood for non-invasive prenatal diagnosis.

METHODS

Single FNRBCs were isolated from 51 of 116 samples of maternal blood analyzed by micromanipulation after density gradient centrifugation. Furthermore, the nested polymerase chain reaction (PCR) method was used to amplify the SRY gene of single FNRBCs. Primer extension pre-amplification and nested PCR were used to amplify the SRY gene of the plasma DNA extracted from 65 samples of maternal blood.

RESULTS

The detection rate of single FNRBCs was 90.20% (46/51). The concordance rates between real fetal sex and sex determined by amplification of the SRY gene from single cells and from free DNA analysis were 82.61% (38/46) and 90.77% (59/65), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Single nucleated erythroblasts and free DNA in maternal blood are of fetal origin and can be valuable fetal material sources for non-invasive prenatal diagnosis.

Treatment and outcome of Taiwanese patients with 6-pyruvoyltetrahydropterin synthase gene mutations

Ten cases of tetrahydrobiopterin (BH4) deficiency were identified in 1,337,490 newborns screened in a Chinese population in Taiwan. The high incidence of BH4 deficiency in the Taiwanese population may be explained by a founder effect, since all of the patients revealed 6-pyruvoyltetrahydropterin synthase gene mutations, and grouping N52S and P87S mutations together constituted 88.9% of the disease alleles. BH4 supplementation with restriction of high-protein foods gave control of plasma phenylalanine within normal range, and levodopa itself prevented seizure. However, the average intelligence quotient (IQ) score of these patients was only 76 +/- 14 (56-98). Statistically, the age of starting medication, including 5-hydroxytryptophan (5-HTP), was inversely correlated to IQ scores of these patients. We suggest the combination of BH4, levodopa and 5-HTP as the standard protocol to commence the treatment of BH4 deficiency as early as possible, although prenatal brain damage could have existed.

Immunogenicity in mice of pneumococcal glycoconjugate vaccines using pneumococcal protein carriers

Antibody response and protective immunity were evaluated in mice immunized with pneumococcal glycoconjugate vaccines using two pneumococcal protein carriers. Mice injected with type 9V polysaccharide (PS) conjugated to inactivated pneumolysin (Ply) or autolysin (Aly) produced high levels of IgG and IgM antibodies to both the PS and the protein carrier. Higher PS antibody titers to the pneumococcal PS conjugates were measured by ELISA using PS-Ply or PS-tetanus toxoid (TT) conjugate as a coating antigen compared with PS mixed with methylated human serum albumin. Type 9V PS (10 microg) inhibited most of the 9V IgM and IgG antibody binding to the 9V-TT coated plate. In contrast, absorption with 19F PS did not inhibit 9V antibody binding. The avidity index of IgG antibodies in the 9V PS-Ply serum was 55.5 +/- 0.9, compared with 47.8 +/- 1.4 for 9V PS-Aly serum. Thus, high avidity of serum antibodies in conjugate-immunized mice can provide more effective functional activity for protection against pneumococcal infection. Mice immunized with these glycoconjugates exhibited rapid bacterial clearance from blood and provided cross-protection against challenge with heterologous serotypes of virulent pneumococci. These results reveal that conjugates using pneumococcal protein carriers can induce opsonophagocytic activity to destroy homologous and heterologous pneumococci, indicating that such conjugates can confer broader protective immunity than conjugates using non-pneumococcal proteins.

Glucose-6-phosphatase gene mutations in Taiwan Chinese patients with glycogen storage disease type Ia

Glycogen storage disease type Ia (GSD Ia) is caused by a deficiency of glucose-6-phosphatase (G6Pase) activity. Eighteen GSD Ia families were studied for G6Pase gene mutations. Thirty-two mutations were found in 36 GSD Ia chromosomes: 16 were 727 G-->T (44.44%); 13 were R83H (327 G-->T; 36.11%); 1 was 341delG; 1 was 933insAA; and 1 was 793 G-->T. The 727 G-->T and R83H mutations together accounted for 80.56% (29/36) of the GSD Ia chromosomes. These two mutations were easily examined by polymerase chain reaction-based methods, and the prenatal diagnosis of a non-affected fetus was successfully made. The 727 G-->T mutation is the predominant mutation in Japanese GSD Ia patients, but is rarely seen in Western counties. The 727 G-->T mutation is also the most prevalent mutation in Taiwan Chinese, although the incidence is not as high as in Japan.

Molecular genetic study of Pompe disease in Chinese patients in Taiwan

Pompe disease is caused by mutations in the acid alpha-glucosidase (GAA) gene. Multiple kinds of mutations in the GAA gene have been reported worldwide. In order to elucidate the molecular basis of the disease in Taiwanese patients of Chinese origin, we have recruited 11 unrelated families who had at least one member with Pompe disease for study. We used 16 pairs of oligonucleotide primers to amplify all the coding regions from exon 2 to 20 in the family members. The coding regions were sequenced on both the sense and antisense strands. We identified 7 different mutations in 17 alleles but failed to identify the defects in the other 5 alleles. The most common defect was D645E (Asp645Glu), accounting for 36% (8/22 alleles) of mutations, followed by G615R (Gly615Arg) (3 alleles); 1411del4 (Glu471-shift) (2 alleles); and one allele each of R600H (Arg600His); deltaN675 (deltaAsn675); 2380delC (Arg794-shift) and 2815delGT (Val939-shift). The molecular defects of Pompe disease are highly heterogeneous in Chinese. Characterization of the molecular defects of the disease is useful for a genotype-phenotype correlation and for genetic counseling and prenatal diagnosis.

Congenital contractural arachnodactyly (Beals syndrome)

Congenital contractural arachnodactyly (CCA, Beals syndrome) is an autosomal dominant disorder that is phenotypically similar to Marfan syndrome. CCA is characterized by arachnodactyly, dolichostenomelia, scoliosis, multiple congenital contractures and abnormalities of the external ears. We report here 28 patients with CCA, in whom a wide range of phenotypic expression is observed. These individuals usually have abnormally formed ears, limited extension of fingers and toes, arachnodactyly, clinodactyly, delay of developmental milestones and psychomotor retardation. Limited extensions of elbows, knees and hips are not constant features. With time, those affected individuals experience spontaneous improvement of their contractures but the kyphosis, unlike the joint contractures, tends to be progressive. No ocular problems were found in all patients, but congenital heart defects were detected in 32.2% of them. Atrial septal defect and ventricular septal defect are common components in our patients. Within the only one family with two multiply affected siblings there is little phenotypic variation between the patients.

Identification and characterization of -3c-g acceptor splice site mutation in human alpha-L-iduronidase associated with mucopolysaccharidosis type IH/S

DNA screening for mutations in the alpha-L-iduronidase (IDUA) gene was performed in a Chinese mucopolysaccharidosis type IH/S patient. The patient had two different mutations: the maternal allele has L346R (t-g transversion in codon 346) and the paternal allele has 388-3c-g (c-g transversion at position -3 of the 3' splice site of intron 2). In transfected COS-7 cells, L346R showed no appreciable IDUA activity (0.4% of normal activity), although it did not cause an apparent reduction in IDUA mRNA or protein level. The 388-3c-g mutation profoundly affects normal splicing leading to a very unstable mRNA. Expression of the IDUA cDNA containing the mutated acceptor splice site showed trace amounts of enzyme activity (1.6% of normal activity). The results provide further support for the importance of cytosine at the -3 position in RNA processing.

Carnitine transport defect presenting with hyperammonemia: report of one case

Carnitine (beta-hydroxy-gamma-trimethylaminobutyric acid) is involved in the transport of long-chain fatty acids into the mitochondrial matrix and removal of potentially toxic acylcarnitine esters. Carnitine transport defect is a very rare metabolic disease. A 7-month-old female infant was found to have consciousness disturbance, hyperammonemia, hepatomegaly and elevated transaminases. Both the concentrations of free carnitine and acylcarnitines in her blood were very low. The diagnosis of carnitine transport defect was confirmed by assays of carnitine uptake and transport in skin fibroblasts. She responded dramatically to carnitine therapy, and there was no hyperammonemia attack for more than 3 years. Her cardiac function also remained normal.

Normal values of inner canthal distance, interpupillary distance and palpebral fissure length in normal Chinese children in Taiwan

Ocular measurements, including inner canthal distance, outer canthal distance, interpupillary distance, and palpebral fissure length are important in the evaluation of congenital deformities and posttraumatic telecanthus. In this research, 4446 normal Chinese children in Taiwan were enrolled in our study. The sample of 284 full term neonates, 2742 infants and children aged from 1 month to 3 years, and 1420 preschool children were measured for inner canthal distance, outer canthal distance, interpupillary distance and palpebral fissure length. We calculated the mean value and standard deviation of the ocular measurements in normal Chinese newborns, infants and preschool children in Taiwan under 5 years. No significant sex differences were observed. Compared with previous studies, inner canthal distance, outer canthal distance and interpupillary distance in Chinese children in Taiwan were wider than those in Caucasian children, but the palpebral fissure length was not significantly different. We also found that inner canthal distance was wider than palpebral fissure length at the same age; therefore it was not correct to diagnose hypertelorism in Chinese children in Taiwan; as if an imaginary third eye could fit between the eyes. Thus, we suggest that measurements should be adjusted with normal standards specific for race. Consideration of the position of eyes is relevant for the diagnosis of a large number of syndromes.

3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaric aciduria presenting with Reye like syndrome: report of one case

We report the case of a patient with 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaric aciduria who presented with a repeat attack of Reye like syndrome clinically. Vomiting and somnolence, generalized tonic and clonic convulsions with hepatomegaly, hyperammonemia, liver function impairment, and mild metabolic acidosis were the presenting signs. 3-hydroxyisovaleric, 3-methylglutaric, 3-methylglutaconic and 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaric acids were detected in the urine by gas chromatography-mass spectrometry. 3-methylglutarylcarnitine was also identified in the urine by fast atom bombardment and tandem mass spectrometry. Therefore, the possibility of metabolic disease should be considered in neonates and infants with repeat attacks of Reye like syndrome and a history of similarly affected siblings.

Agnathia in one of heterozygous twins

Agnathia is a rare developmental field complex in humans with the structural defects limited to the craniofacial region. This rare complex can occur in combination with holoprosencephaly and situs inversus. Here we report on a pair of twins. The female infant had characteristic malformation complex of agnathia, while her twin brother showed normal appearance eventually. This case is the first reported case of isolated agnathia in twins.

Study of human Y chromosome polymorphism in Taiwan

The Y chromosome is one of the human chromosomes carrying significant amount of constitutive heterochromatin. To investigate the prevalence of Y chromosome polymorphism and its clinical significance in Taiwan, we analyzed the Y chromosome among 6,286 unrelated males by G-banding and, if necessary, fluorescence in situ hybridization studies. The prevalence of the Y chromosome variants were: large Y (Yq+) 3.6%, pericentric inverted Y [inv(Y)] 0.27%, and small Y (Yq-) 0.59%, respectively. More than 99% of those variants were from their biological fathers. The incidence of the Y polymorphisms was similar in three groups: children with mental retardation, other chromosomal aberrations or multiple congenital anomalies, and normal controls. The Yq12 heterochromatin region may contribute to the variation in Y chromosome length. The prevalence of inv(Y) and Yq+ was higher than those in the white population. Our results conclude that there are no indications that Yq+, inv(Y) and Yq- are connected with any deviations in intelligence or with an increased risk of physical malformations or other chromosomal disorders, which is of great help for genetic counseling.

Dopa-responsive dystonia induced by a recessive GTP cyclohydrolase I mutation

GTP cyclohydrolase I (GTPCH) catalyzes the rate-limiting step of tetrahydrobiopterin (BH4) biosynthesis. GTPCH has been associated with two clinically distinct human diseases: the recessive hyperphenylalaninemia (HPA) and the dominant dopa-responsive dystonia (DRD). We found a recessive GTPCH mutation (R249S, 747C-->G in a dystonia patient. Her PHA-stimulated mononuclear blood cells had a normal amount of GTPCH mRNA, but low GTPCH activity. Arginine 249 is located at the C-terminus of GTPCH, outside the catalytic site. E. coli expressed recombinant R249S mutant protein possessed normal enzyme activity and kinetics. However, in transfected eukaryotic cells, R249S mutant protein expression level was lower than the wild-type protein. Therefore, this is suspected to be a destabilizing mutation. Our data suggest that DRD could be either dominantly or recessively inherited, and the inheritance might be determined by the mechanism of mutation.

An R248C mutation of FGFR3 leading to thanatophoric dysplasia type I

Thanatophoric dysplasia (TD) is the most common form of lethal neonatal dwarfism with micromelic shortening of the limbs, macrocephaly, platyspondyly, and reduced thoracic cavity. R248C mutation in the extracellular domain of fibrobast growth factor receptor 3 (FGFR3) was common in TD type I. Two TD type I patients were examined for R248C mutation by use of restriction digestion and direct sequencing. The results showed that both patients carried R248C mutation. Because of the homogeneity of R248C mutation among different ethnic populations, all TD patients should be analysed using this PCR-based method presented in this work.