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Su CY, Zhou S, Gonzalez-Kozlova E, Butler-Laporte G, Brunet-Ratnasingham E, Nakanishi T, Jeon W, Morrison DR, Laurent L, Afilalo J, Afilalo M, Henry D, Chen Y, Carrasco-Zanini J, Farjoun Y, Pietzner M, Kimchi N, Afrasiabi Z, Rezk N, Bouab M, Petitjean L, Guzman C, Xue X, Tselios C, Vulesevic B, Adeleye O, Abdullah T, Almamlouk N, Moussa Y, DeLuca C, Duggan N, Schurr E, Brassard N, Durand M, Del Valle DM, Thompson R, Cedillo MA, Schadt E, Nie K, Simons NW, Mouskas K, Zaki N, Patel M, Xie H, Harris J, Marvin R, Cheng E, Tuballes K, Argueta K, Scott I, Greenwood CMT, Paterson C, Hinterberg MA, Langenberg C, Forgetta V, Pineau J, Mooser V, Marron T, Beckmann ND, Kim-Schulze S, Charney AW, Gnjatic S, Kaufmann DE, Merad M, Richards JB. Circulating proteins to predict COVID-19 severity. Sci Rep 2023; 13:6236. [PMID: 37069249 PMCID: PMC10107586 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-31850-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/02/2022] [Accepted: 03/17/2023] [Indexed: 04/19/2023] Open
Abstract
Predicting COVID-19 severity is difficult, and the biological pathways involved are not fully understood. To approach this problem, we measured 4701 circulating human protein abundances in two independent cohorts totaling 986 individuals. We then trained prediction models including protein abundances and clinical risk factors to predict COVID-19 severity in 417 subjects and tested these models in a separate cohort of 569 individuals. For severe COVID-19, a baseline model including age and sex provided an area under the receiver operator curve (AUC) of 65% in the test cohort. Selecting 92 proteins from the 4701 unique protein abundances improved the AUC to 88% in the training cohort, which remained relatively stable in the testing cohort at 86%, suggesting good generalizability. Proteins selected from different COVID-19 severity were enriched for cytokine and cytokine receptors, but more than half of the enriched pathways were not immune-related. Taken together, these findings suggest that circulating proteins measured at early stages of disease progression are reasonably accurate predictors of COVID-19 severity. Further research is needed to understand how to incorporate protein measurement into clinical care.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chen-Yang Su
- Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Pavilion H-413, 3755 Côte-Ste-Catherine Montréal, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada
- Department of Computer Science, McGill University, Montréal, QC, Canada
- Quantitative Life Sciences Program, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada
| | - Sirui Zhou
- Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Pavilion H-413, 3755 Côte-Ste-Catherine Montréal, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada
- Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Occupational Health, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada
| | | | - Guillaume Butler-Laporte
- Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Pavilion H-413, 3755 Côte-Ste-Catherine Montréal, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada
- Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Occupational Health, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada
| | | | - Tomoko Nakanishi
- Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Pavilion H-413, 3755 Côte-Ste-Catherine Montréal, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada
- Department of Human Genetics, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada
- Graduate School of Medicine, McGill International Collaborative School in Genomic Medicine, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan
- Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Wonseok Jeon
- Department of Computer Science, McGill University, Montréal, QC, Canada
| | - David R Morrison
- Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Pavilion H-413, 3755 Côte-Ste-Catherine Montréal, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada
| | - Laetitia Laurent
- Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Pavilion H-413, 3755 Côte-Ste-Catherine Montréal, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada
| | - Jonathan Afilalo
- Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Pavilion H-413, 3755 Côte-Ste-Catherine Montréal, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada
- Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Occupational Health, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada
| | - Marc Afilalo
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Jewish General Hospital, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada
| | - Danielle Henry
- Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Pavilion H-413, 3755 Côte-Ste-Catherine Montréal, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada
| | - Yiheng Chen
- Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Pavilion H-413, 3755 Côte-Ste-Catherine Montréal, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada
- Department of Human Genetics, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada
| | - Julia Carrasco-Zanini
- MRC Epidemiology Unit, School of Clinical Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Yossi Farjoun
- Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Pavilion H-413, 3755 Côte-Ste-Catherine Montréal, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada
| | - Maik Pietzner
- MRC Epidemiology Unit, School of Clinical Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
- Computational Medicine, Berlin Institute of Health at Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Nofar Kimchi
- Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Pavilion H-413, 3755 Côte-Ste-Catherine Montréal, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada
| | - Zaman Afrasiabi
- Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Pavilion H-413, 3755 Côte-Ste-Catherine Montréal, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada
| | - Nardin Rezk
- Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Pavilion H-413, 3755 Côte-Ste-Catherine Montréal, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada
| | - Meriem Bouab
- Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Pavilion H-413, 3755 Côte-Ste-Catherine Montréal, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada
| | - Louis Petitjean
- Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Pavilion H-413, 3755 Côte-Ste-Catherine Montréal, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada
| | - Charlotte Guzman
- Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Pavilion H-413, 3755 Côte-Ste-Catherine Montréal, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada
| | - Xiaoqing Xue
- Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Pavilion H-413, 3755 Côte-Ste-Catherine Montréal, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada
| | - Chris Tselios
- Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Pavilion H-413, 3755 Côte-Ste-Catherine Montréal, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada
| | - Branka Vulesevic
- Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Pavilion H-413, 3755 Côte-Ste-Catherine Montréal, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada
| | - Olumide Adeleye
- Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Pavilion H-413, 3755 Côte-Ste-Catherine Montréal, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada
| | - Tala Abdullah
- Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Pavilion H-413, 3755 Côte-Ste-Catherine Montréal, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada
| | - Noor Almamlouk
- Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Pavilion H-413, 3755 Côte-Ste-Catherine Montréal, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada
| | - Yara Moussa
- Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Pavilion H-413, 3755 Côte-Ste-Catherine Montréal, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada
| | - Chantal DeLuca
- Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Pavilion H-413, 3755 Côte-Ste-Catherine Montréal, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada
| | - Naomi Duggan
- Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Pavilion H-413, 3755 Côte-Ste-Catherine Montréal, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada
| | - Erwin Schurr
- Infectious Diseases and Immunity in Global Health Program, Research Institute of the McGill University Health Centre, Montréal, QC, Canada
| | - Nathalie Brassard
- Research Centre of the Centre Hospitalier de L'Université de Montréal, Montreal, QC, Canada
| | - Madeleine Durand
- Research Centre of the Centre Hospitalier de L'Université de Montréal, Montreal, QC, Canada
| | - Diane Marie Del Valle
- Precision Immunology Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
| | - Ryan Thompson
- Genetics and Genomic Sciences, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
| | - Mario A Cedillo
- Department of Radiology, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
| | - Eric Schadt
- Genetics and Genomic Sciences, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
| | - Kai Nie
- Human Immune Monitoring Center, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
| | - Nicole W Simons
- Genetics and Genomic Sciences, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
| | - Konstantinos Mouskas
- Genetics and Genomic Sciences, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
| | - Nicolas Zaki
- Human Immune Monitoring Center, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
| | - Manishkumar Patel
- Precision Immunology Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
| | - Hui Xie
- Human Immune Monitoring Center, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
| | - Jocelyn Harris
- Human Immune Monitoring Center, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
| | - Robert Marvin
- Human Immune Monitoring Center, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
| | - Esther Cheng
- Genetics and Genomic Sciences, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
| | - Kevin Tuballes
- Precision Immunology Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
| | - Kimberly Argueta
- Human Immune Monitoring Center, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
| | - Ieisha Scott
- Human Immune Monitoring Center, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
| | - Celia M T Greenwood
- Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Pavilion H-413, 3755 Côte-Ste-Catherine Montréal, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada
- Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Occupational Health, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada
| | | | | | - Claudia Langenberg
- MRC Epidemiology Unit, School of Clinical Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
- Computational Medicine, Berlin Institute of Health at Charité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Vincenzo Forgetta
- Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Pavilion H-413, 3755 Côte-Ste-Catherine Montréal, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada
| | - Joelle Pineau
- Department of Computer Science, McGill University, Montréal, QC, Canada
| | - Vincent Mooser
- Department of Human Genetics, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada
| | - Thomas Marron
- Immunotherapy and Phase 1 Trials, Mount Sinai Hospital, New York, NY, USA
| | - Noam D Beckmann
- Genetics and Genomic Sciences, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
| | - Seunghee Kim-Schulze
- Human Immune Monitoring Center, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
| | - Alexander W Charney
- Mount Sinai Clinical Intelligence Center, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
| | - Sacha Gnjatic
- Department of Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
- Precision Immunology Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
- Human Immune Monitoring Center, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
| | - Daniel E Kaufmann
- Research Centre of the Centre Hospitalier de L'Université de Montréal, Montreal, QC, Canada
- Department of Medicine, Université de Montréal, Montreal, QC, Canada
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University Hospital of Lausanne and University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland
| | - Miriam Merad
- Precision Immunology Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
| | - J Brent Richards
- Lady Davis Institute for Medical Research, Jewish General Hospital, Pavilion H-413, 3755 Côte-Ste-Catherine Montréal, Montreal, QC, H3T 1E2, Canada.
- Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Occupational Health, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada.
- Department of Human Genetics, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada.
- Department of Twin Research, King's College London, London, UK.
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Leong YJ, Sanchez NP, Wallace HW, Karakurt Cevik B, Hernandez CS, Han Y, Flynn JH, Massoli P, Floerchinger C, Fortner EC, Herndon S, Bean JK, Hildebrandt Ruiz L, Jeon W, Choi Y, Lefer B, Griffin RJ. Overview of surface measurements and spatial characterization of submicrometer particulate matter during the DISCOVER-AQ 2013 campaign in Houston, TX. J Air Waste Manag Assoc 2017; 67:854-872. [PMID: 28278029 DOI: 10.1080/10962247.2017.1296502] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/25/2016] [Accepted: 01/18/2017] [Indexed: 06/06/2023]
Abstract
UNLABELLED The sources of submicrometer particulate matter (PM1) remain poorly characterized in the industrialized city of Houston, TX. A mobile sampling approach was used to characterize PM1 composition and concentration across Houston based on high-time-resolution measurements of nonrefractory PM1 and trace gases during the DISCOVER-AQ Texas 2013 campaign. Two pollution zones with marked differences in PM1 levels, character, and dynamics were established based on cluster analysis of organic aerosol mass loadings sampled at 16 sites. The highest PM1 mass concentrations (average 11.6 ± 5.7 µg/m3) were observed to the northwest of Houston (zone 1), dominated by secondary organic aerosol (SOA) mass likely driven by nighttime biogenic organonitrate formation. Zone 2, an industrial/urban area south/east of Houston, exhibited lower concentrations of PM1 (average 4.4 ± 3.3 µg/m3), significant organic aerosol (OA) aging, and evidence of primary sulfate emissions. Diurnal patterns and backward-trajectory analyses enable the classification of airmass clusters characterized by distinct PM sources: biogenic SOA, photochemical aged SOA, and primary sulfate emissions from the Houston Ship Channel. Principal component analysis (PCA) indicates that secondary biogenic organonitrates primarily related with monoterpenes are predominant in zone 1 (accounting for 34% of the variability in the data set). The relevance of photochemical processes and industrial and traffic emission sources in zone 2 also is highlighted by PCA, which identifies three factors related with these processes/sources (~50% of the aerosol/trace gas concentration variability). PCA reveals a relatively minor contribution of isoprene to SOA formation in zone 1 and the absence of isoprene-derived aerosol in zone 2. The relevance of industrial amine emissions and the likely contribution of chloride-displaced sea salt aerosol to the observed variability in pollution levels in zone 2 also are captured by PCA. IMPLICATIONS This article describes an urban-scale mobile study to characterize spatial variations in submicrometer particulate matter (PM1) in greater Houston. The data set indicates substantial spatial variations in PM1 sources/chemistry and elucidates the importance of photochemistry and nighttime oxidant chemistry in producing secondary PM1. These results emphasize the potential benefits of effective control strategies throughout the region, not only to reduce primary emissions of PM1 from automobiles and industry but also to reduce the emissions of important secondary PM1 precursors, including sulfur oxides, nitrogen oxides, ammonia, and volatile organic compounds. Such efforts also could aid in efforts to reduce mixing ratios of ozone.
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Affiliation(s)
- Y J Leong
- a Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering , Rice University , Houston , TX , USA
| | - N P Sanchez
- a Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering , Rice University , Houston , TX , USA
| | - H W Wallace
- a Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering , Rice University , Houston , TX , USA
| | - B Karakurt Cevik
- a Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering , Rice University , Houston , TX , USA
| | - C S Hernandez
- a Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering , Rice University , Houston , TX , USA
| | - Y Han
- a Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering , Rice University , Houston , TX , USA
| | - J H Flynn
- b Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences , University of Houston , Houston , TX , USA
| | - P Massoli
- c Aerodyne Research, Inc ., Billerica , MA , USA
| | | | - E C Fortner
- c Aerodyne Research, Inc ., Billerica , MA , USA
| | - S Herndon
- c Aerodyne Research, Inc ., Billerica , MA , USA
| | - J K Bean
- d McKetta Department of Chemical Engineering , University of Texas at Austin , Austin , TX , USA
| | - L Hildebrandt Ruiz
- d McKetta Department of Chemical Engineering , University of Texas at Austin , Austin , TX , USA
| | - W Jeon
- b Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences , University of Houston , Houston , TX , USA
| | - Y Choi
- b Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences , University of Houston , Houston , TX , USA
| | - B Lefer
- b Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences , University of Houston , Houston , TX , USA
| | - R J Griffin
- a Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering , Rice University , Houston , TX , USA
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