Circulating proteins to predict COVID-19 severity

Predicting COVID-19 severity is difficult, and the biological pathways involved are not fully understood. To approach this problem, we measured 4701 circulating human protein abundances in two independent cohorts totaling 986 individuals. We then trained prediction models including protein abundances and clinical risk factors to predict COVID-19 severity in 417 subjects and tested these models in a separate cohort of 569 individuals. For severe COVID-19, a baseline model including age and sex provided an area under the receiver operator curve (AUC) of 65% in the test cohort. Selecting 92 proteins from the 4701 unique protein abundances improved the AUC to 88% in the training cohort, which remained relatively stable in the testing cohort at 86%, suggesting good generalizability. Proteins selected from different COVID-19 severity were enriched for cytokine and cytokine receptors, but more than half of the enriched pathways were not immune-related. Taken together, these findings suggest that circulating proteins measured at early stages of disease progression are reasonably accurate predictors of COVID-19 severity. Further research is needed to understand how to incorporate protein measurement into clinical care.

The dynamic changes and sex differences of 147 immune-related proteins during acute COVID-19 in 580 individuals

INTRODUCTION

Severe COVID-19 leads to important changes in circulating immune-related proteins. To date it has been difficult to understand their temporal relationship and identify cytokines that are drivers of severe COVID-19 outcomes and underlie differences in outcomes between sexes. Here, we measured 147 immune-related proteins during acute COVID-19 to investigate these questions.

METHODS

We measured circulating protein abundances using the SOMAscan nucleic acid aptamer panel in two large independent hospital-based COVID-19 cohorts in Canada and the United States. We fit generalized additive models with cubic splines from the start of symptom onset to identify protein levels over the first 14 days of infection which were different between severe cases and controls, adjusting for age and sex. Severe cases were defined as individuals with COVID-19 requiring invasive or non-invasive mechanical respiratory support.

RESULTS

580 individuals were included in the analysis. Mean subject age was 64.3 (sd 18.1), and 47% were male. Of the 147 proteins, 69 showed a significant difference between cases and controls (p < 3.4 × 10-4). Three clusters were formed by 108 highly correlated proteins that replicated in both cohorts, making it difficult to determine which proteins have a true causal effect on severe COVID-19. Six proteins showed sex differences in levels over time, of which 3 were also associated with severe COVID-19: CCL26, IL1RL2, and IL3RA, providing insights to better understand the marked differences in outcomes by sex.

CONCLUSIONS

Severe COVID-19 is associated with large changes in 69 immune-related proteins. Further, five proteins were associated with sex differences in outcomes. These results provide direct insights into immune-related proteins that are strongly influenced by severe COVID-19 infection.

Early Clinical Exposure to Geriatric Psychiatry and Medical Students' Interest in Caring for Older Adults: A Randomized Controlled Trial

OBJECTIVE

In the next 25 years, the population aged 65 and older will nearly double in many countries, with few new doctors wishing to care for older adults. The authors hypothesize that early clinical exposure to elderly patient care could increase student interest in caring for older adults during their future career.

METHODS

The authors conducted a pragmatic medical education randomized controlled trial (RCT) at the Jewish General Hospital and the Douglas Mental Health Institute, McGill University, in Montreal, Canada. Third-year medical students undergoing their mandatory 16-week half-time clerkship rotation in psychiatry were randomly assigned to the equivalent of 2-4 weeks of full-time exposure to clinical geriatric psychiatry (n = 84).

RESULTS

Being randomly assigned to geriatric psychiatry exposure (n = 44 of 84) was associated with increased "comfort in working with geriatric patients and their families" at 16-week follow-up (59.1% versus 37.5%, χ² (1) = 3.9; p = 0.05). However, there was no significant association found between geriatric psychiatry exposure and change "in interest in caring for older adults," or change in "interest in becoming a geriatric psychiatrist."

CONCLUSION

The results of this pragmatic education RCT suggest that exposing third-year medical students to 2-4 weeks of geriatric psychiatry did not increase their interest to care for older adults or become a geriatric psychiatrist. However, it did increase their comfort level in working with older adults and their families. However, more research is necessary to identify potential interventions that could inspire and increase medical student interest in caring for older adults as part of their future careers.

Mindfulness in severe and persistent mental illness: a systematic review

OBJECTIVE

This systematic review summarises the current state of research on mindfulness in SPMI, given the pressing need to provide alternative, scalable and cost-effective treatment modalities for patients with severe and persistent mental illness (SPMI).

METHODS

Articles included mindfulness-based interventions for SPMI. Excluded articles included qualitative studies, acceptance and compassion therapies, case reports and reviews. Studies were identified by searching the databases Medline, Embase and PsycINFO.

RESULTS

Six randomised controlled trials, seven prospective studies and one retrospective study were identified. Clinical improvements were observed on psychotic symptoms, and on improvements of depression symptoms, cognition, mindfulness, psycho-social and vocational factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Findings suggest that mindfulness is feasible for individuals with SPMI, and displays potential benefits in outcomes aside from psychotic symptoms. The effects of mindfulness in psychotic symptoms needs further investigation in larger definitive studies using methodological rigor and thorough assessments of other psychiatric populations who are also representative of SPMI.

De-labeling of β-lactam allergy reduces intraoperative time and optimizes choice in antibiotic prophylaxis

BACKGROUND

Suspected penicillin allergic individuals receive suboptimal non-β-lactams for intraoperative prophylaxis which may prolong operations and have negative clinical outcomes. We therefore studied if β-lactam de-labeling optimized choice of prophylactic antibiotics and improved intraoperative time efficiency.

METHODS

A multistep approach was used. It included a risk assessment tool by an allergist, β-lactam skin testing and oral provocation. To determine the value of de-labeling, we appraised intraoperative antibiotic choices and correlated them with time to first incision.

RESULTS

A total of 194 patients were evaluated preoperatively. Four patients were diagnosed β-lactam allergic on skin testing. Of the remaining 190 skin test negative patients, 146 were β-lactam challenged. Only 5% reacted and were considered β-lactam allergic. Cefazolin became the perioperative antibiotic of choice for 77% of patients requiring antibiotic prophylaxis. Only 5 confirmed β-lactam allergic patients received intraoperative vancomycin. Patients avoiding use of vancomycin saved an average of 22 minutes in operative time. Of the 44 patients not having a β-lactam challenge, 36 received antibiotics and 18 (50%) of these were prescribed intraoperative cefazolin.

CONCLUSION

Using this three step process, almost all of those claiming penicillin allergy were de-labeled. In most patients that were drug challenged, β-lactam antibiotics became the perioperative drug of choice. In cases where oral challenge was not used in the assessment only 50% were given a β-lactam. The reduced use of vancomycin minimized delays in initiation of incision time, thus improving operative efficiency. Ultimately, randomized controlled studies are required to objectively determine the effectiveness of this approach.

Low serum retinol levels are associated with hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic liver disease

BACKGROUND

Retinol and other vitamin A derivatives affect the differentiation and growth of many tissues and have anti-tumour properties.

AIM

To investigate serum retinol levels in patients with liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and to assess its importance as a risk factor for the development of HCC.

METHODS

Serum retinol levels were measured in healthy volunteers and 175 patients (34 with chronic hepatitis C, 117 with cirrhosis, and 24 with HCC.

RESULTS

The serum retinol levels (mean +/- s.e.) in ng/mL, were 972.1 +/- 37.7 in the control group and 647 +/- 41.1 in patients with chronic hepatitis C. Serum retinol levels in patients with cirrhosis and HCC were lower than in patients with cirrhosis alone (365.8 +/- 43.1 vs. 438.9 +/- 22.1, P < 0.04). In particular, there was a more significant difference in serum retinol levels between Child-Pugh grade A patients with cirrhosis and Child-Pugh grade A patients with cirrhosis/HCC (serum retinol levels 532.4 +/- 26.7 vs. 366.1 +/- 86.4, P < 0.03). There was a significant difference in serum retinol levels between normal controls and all patients' groups (P < 0.001). There were significantly lower serum retinol levels in cholestatic Child-Pugh grade A patients with cirrhosis compared with noncholestatic Child-Pugh grade A patients with cirrhosis/HCC (411.5 +/- 30.3 vs. 579.7 +/- 32.7, P < 0.0004). Sixty percent of patients with Child-Pugh grade A cirrhosis/HCC had serum retinol levels below 350 ng/mL compared with only 18.4% of cirrhotics without HCC (chi 2-test, P=0.01). No correlation was found between serum retinol levels and alpha FP or any other liver function tests, apart from serum albumin, which showed a positive correlation (r=0.61 P < 0.018).

CONCLUSIONS

There was a progressive reduction in serum retinol levels from controls to patients with liver cirrhosis. Those patients with cirrhosis and HCC had significantly lower values than patients with cirrhosis alone. Serum retinol levels may be a risk factor for the development of HCC.

The Bamako Initiative in Benin and Guinea: improving the effectiveness of primary health care

The objective of the health system revitalization undergone in Benin and Guinea since 1986 is to improve the effectiveness of primary health care at the periphery. Second in a series of five, this article presents the results of an analysis of data from the health centres involved in the Bamako Initiative in Benin and Guinea since 1988. Data for the expanded programme of immunization, antenatal care and curative care, form the core of the analysis which confirms the improved effectiveness of primary health care at the peripheral level over a period of six years. The last available national data show a DPT3 immunization coverage of 80% in 1996 in Benin and 73% in 1995 in Guinea. In the Bamako Initiative health centres included in our analysis, the average immunization coverage, as measured by the adequate coverage indicator, increased from 19% to 58% in Benin and from less than 5% to 63% in Guinea between 1989 to 1993. Average antenatal care coverage has increased from 5% in Benin and 3% in Guinea to 43% in Benin and 51% Guinea. Utilization of coverage with curative care has increased from less than 0.05 visit per capita per year to 0.34 in Guinea and from 0.09 visit per capita per year to 0.24 in Benin. Further analysis attempts to uncover the reasons which underlie the different levels of effectiveness obtained in individual health centres. Monitoring and microplanning through a problem-solving approach permit a dynamic process of adaptation of strategies leading to a step by step increase of coverage over time. However, the geographical location of centres represents a constraint in that certain districts in both countries face accessibility problems. Outreach activities are shown to play an especially positive role in Guinea, in improving both immunization and antenatal care coverage.

[The Bamako initiative: hope or illusion? Observations on the Benin experience]

In various countries in Africa, community financing has become the main source of finance for health services. In Benin, the "Bamako Initiative" experiment started in 1988 for many health structures and has subsequently been greatly expanded. After three years experience, the authors try to answer some important questions about community financing: To what extent does payment of fees have an influence on the use of health services? How are the funds collected and used and is embezzlement a serious problem? The question of equity is also considered as well as cost recovery, allowing an economics-based assessment of the Bamako Initiative which suggests that it has a promising future in Benin.