Effect of cytomegalovirus infection on post-transplant hospitalization days among children undergoing allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation: A marginal structural model approach

BACKGROUND

Cytomegalovirus (CMV) commonly reactivates after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplant (HCT), potentially leading to CMV disease and significant morbidity and mortality. To reduce morbidity and mortality, many centers conduct weekly CMV blood polymerase chain reaction (PCR) surveillance testing with subsequent initiation of antiviral therapy upon CMV DNAemia detection. However, the impact of CMV DNAemia on subsequent hospitalization risk has not been assessed using models accounting for the time-varying nature of the exposure, outcome, and confounders.

METHODS

All allogeneic HCTs at the Children's Hospital of Philadelphia from January 2004-April 2017 were considered for inclusion. Patients were monitored with CMV surveillance via PCR testing for up to 105 days after HCT receipt. We estimated the association between CMV DNAemia and rate of hospitalization using marginal structural models (MSM).

RESULTS

There were 343 allogeneic HCT episodes in 330 with CMV surveillance; median age was 9.0 (range: 0.1-26.2) and 46.5% were female. And 24.1% of HCT patients had at least one positive CMV blood PCR during the follow-up period. Median time to CMV DNAemia detection was 19 days (range: 4-97). The MSM estimated the incidence rate ratios for an association of CMV DNAemia with hospitalization to be 1.24, (95% confidence interval: 1.04-1.47).

CONCLUSIONS

CMV DNAemia was associated with an increased hospitalization in the post-HCT period. The MSM accounted for time-varying nature of the outcome, exposure and confounders. The findings support prevention of CMV DNAemia in this population. We recommend further investigation into the effectiveness and safety of prophylaxis versus pre-emptive CMV prevention approaches.

Evaluation of enterovirus concentration, species identification, and cerebrospinal fluid parameters in patients of different ages with aseptic meningitis in São Paulo, Brazil

Human enteroviruses (EV) are the most common cause of aseptic meningitis worldwide. Data on EV viral load in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and related epidemiological studies are scarce in Brazil. This study investigated the influence of EV viral load on CSF parameters, as well as identifying the involved species. CSF samples were collected in 2018-2019 from 140 individuals at The Hospital das Clínicas, São Paulo. The EV viral load was determined using real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction, while EV species were identified by 5'UTR region sequencing. Median viral load was 5.72 log10  copies/mL and did not differ by subjects' age and EV species. Pleocytosis was observed in 94.3% of cases, with the highest white blood cell (WBC) counts in younger individuals. Viral load and WBC count were correlated in children (p = 0.0172). Elevated lactate levels were observed in 60% of cases and correlated with the viral load in preteen-teenagers (p = 0.0120) and adults (p = 0.0184). Most individuals had normal total protein levels (70.7%), with higher in preteen-teenagers and adults (p < 0.0001). By sequencing, 8.2% were identified as EV species A and 91.8% as species B. Age-specific variations in CSF characteristics suggest distinct inflammatory responses in each group.

Prognostic prediction models for oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC): a protocol for systematic review, critical appraisal and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

Oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) is increasingly prevalent and has significantly heterogeneous risks of survival for diagnosed individuals due to the inter-related risk factors. Precise prediction of the risk of survival for an individual patient with OPSCC presents a useful adjunct to therapeutic decision-making regarding the management of OPSCC. The aim of this systematic review, critical appraisal and meta-analysis is to assess prognostic prediction models for OPSCC and lay a foundation for future research programmes to develop and validate prognostic prediction models for OPSCC.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

This protocol will follow the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analyses Protocol statement. Based on predefined criteria, electronic databases including MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science, the Cochrane Library and China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) will be searched for relevant studies without language restrictions from inception of databases to present. This study will systematically review published prognostic prediction models for survival outcomes in patients with OPSCC, describe their characteristics, compare performance and assess risk of bias and real-world clinical utility. Selection of eligible studies, data extraction and critical appraisal will be conducted independently by two reviewers. A third reviewer will resolve any disagreements. Included studies will be systematically summarised using appropriate tools designed for prognostic prediction modelling studies. Risk of bias and quality of studies will be assessed using the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool and the Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for individual prognosis or diagnosis. Performance measures of these models will be pooled and analysed with meta-analyses if feasible.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

This review will be conducted completely based on published data, so approval from an ethics committee or written consent is not required. The results will be disseminated through a peer-reviewed publication.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42023400272.

Crossroads of Antimicrobial and Diagnostic Stewardship: Assessing Risks to Develop Clinical Decision Support to Combat Multidrug-Resistant Pseudomonas

Background

Early detection of multidrug-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa (MDRP) remains challenging. Existing risk prediction tools are difficult to translate to bedside application. The goal of this study was to develop a simple electronic medical record (EMR)-integrated tool for prediction of MDRP infection.

Methods

This was a mixed-methods study. We conducted a split-sample cohort study of adult critical care patients with P aeruginosa infections. Two previously published tools were validated using c-statistic. A subset of variables based on strength of association and ease of EMR extraction was selected for further evaluation. A simplified tool was developed using multivariable logistic regression. Both c-statistic and theoretical trade-off of over- versus underprescribing of broad-spectrum MDRP therapy were assessed in the validation cohort. A qualitative survey of frontline clinicians assessed understanding of risks for MDRP and potential usability of an EMR-integrated tool to predict MDRP.

Results

The 2 previous risk prediction tools demonstrated similar accuracy in the derivation cohort (c-statistic of 0.76 [95% confidence interval {CI}, .69-.83] and 0.73 [95% CI, .66-.8]). A simplified tool based on 4 variables demonstrated reasonable accuracy (c-statistic of 0.71 [95% CI, .57-.85]) without significant overprescribing in the validation cohort. The risk factors were prior MDRP infection, ≥4 antibiotics prior to culture, infection >3 days after admission, and dialysis. Fourteen clinicians completed the survey. An alert providing context regarding individual patient risk factors for MDRP was preferred.

Conclusions

These results can be used to develop a local EMR-integrated tool to improve timeliness of effective therapy in those at risk of MDRP infections.

SARS-CoV-2 Detection and Culture in Different Biological Specimens from Immunocompetent and Immunosuppressed COVID-19 Patients Infected with Two Different Viral Strains

Introduction-The dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 shedding and replication in humans remain incompletely understood. Methods-We analyzed SARS-CoV-2 shedding from multiple sites in individuals with an acute COVID-19 infection by weekly sampling for five weeks in 98 immunocompetent and 25 immunosuppressed individuals. Samples and culture supernatants were tested via RT-PCR for SARS-CoV-2 to determine viral clearance rates and in vitro replication. Results-A total of 2447 clinical specimens were evaluated, including 557 nasopharyngeal swabs, 527 saliva samples, 464 urine specimens, 437 anal swabs and 462 blood samples. The SARS-CoV-2 genome sequences at each site were classified as belonging to the B.1.128 (ancestral strain) or Gamma lineage. SARS-CoV-2 detection was highest in nasopharyngeal swabs regardless of the virus strain involved or the immune status of infected individuals. The duration of viral shedding varied between clinical specimens and individual patients. Prolonged shedding of potentially infectious virus varied from 10 days up to 191 days, and primarily occurred in immunosuppressed individuals. Virus was isolated in culture from 18 nasal swab or saliva samples collected 10 or more days after onset of disease. Conclusions-Our findings indicate that persistent SARS-CoV-2 shedding may occur in both competent or immunosuppressed individuals, at multiple clinical sites and in a minority of subjects is capable of in vitro replication.

Prevalence and mapping of hepatitis C infections among men who have sex with men in New York City

Emerging sexually transmitted hepatitis C virus (HCV) epidemics among men who have sex with men (MSM) have been reported worldwide, with higher HCV infection rates among those who are HIV-infected. This study aims to determine prevalence of recent and chronic HCV infections among community-recruited MSM in New York City (NYC), map HCV infections by home, social, and sexual neighborhoods, and identify clusters of genetically linked HCV variants using phylogenetic analysis. The NYC M2M study recruited MSM via modified time-space, venue-based sampling and internet/mobile app-based recruitment during 2010–13. Participants completed a Google Earth map on neighborhoods of where they lived, socialized, and had sex in the last 3 months, an ACASI questionnaire, and a sexual network inventory about their sex partners. The men received HIV testing and provided serum samples. Testing on stored serum samples included HCV antibody and RNA viral load, HCV antibody avidity assay (avidity index <30% with positive viral load is considered recently infected), and HCV RNA extraction and amplification to generate a 432 base-pair region of Core/E1 for sequencing and phylogenetic analysis. Historic local controls were included in the phylogenetic analysis. Of 1,028 MSM, 79.7% were HIV-negative and 20.3% HIV-positive. Twenty nine MSM (2.8%) were HCV antibody-positive. MSM who were HCV antibody-positive reported a median of 2 male sex partners in last 3 months, with 6.9% aged 18–24, 17.2% 25–29, 13.8% 30–39, and 62.1% 40 and over. 8.1% of HIV-positive MSM were HCV antibody-positive vs. 1.5% of HIV-negative men (p<0.0001). Of 29 HCV-antibody positive MSM, 12 (41%) were HCV RNA-positive (11 subtype 1a and 1 subtype 1b). Two of 12 HCV RNA-positive participants had low antibody avidity values, suggesting recent HCV infection. HCV antibody seropositivity was significantly associated with older age >40 years, adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 3.56 (95% CI 1.57, 8.08), HIV-positive serostatus, aOR 3.18 (95% CI 1.40, 7.22), any sexually transmitted infection (STI) in the last 3 months, aOR 2.81 (95% CI 1.11, 7.13), and injection drug use (IDU) ever, aOR 4.34 (95% CI 1.69, 11.17). Mapping of HCV infections differed slightly by home, social, and sexual neighborhoods. Based on phylogenetic analysis from 12 HCV RNA-positive samples, no evidence of a clustered HCV epidemic was found. Overall HCV seroprevalence was 2.8% among community-recruited MSM in NYC, with higher prevalence among HIV-positive MSM compared to HIV-negative MSM. Only two participants were found to have recent HCV infection, with no evidence of a clustered HCV epidemic based on phylogenetic analysis. Our results support testing of HCV infection among HIV-negative MSM if they report having a recent STI and IDU in the past rather than universal HCV testing in all HIV-negative MSM.