Regression models for partially localized fMRI connectivity analyses

Background

Brain functional connectivity analysis of resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) data is typically performed in a standardized template space assuming consistency of connections across subjects. Analysis methods can come in the form of one-edge-at-a-time analyses or dimension reduction/decomposition methods. Common to these approaches is an assumption that brain regions are functionally aligned across subjects; however, it is known that this functional alignment assumption is often violated.

Methods

In this paper, we use subject-level regression models to explain intra-subject variability in connectivity. Covariates can include factors such as geographic distance between two pairs of brain regions, whether the two regions are symmetrically opposite (homotopic), and whether the two regions are members of the same functional network. Additionally, a covariate for each brain region can be included, to account for the possibility that some regions have consistently higher or lower connectivity. This style of analysis allows us to characterize the fraction of variation explained by each type of covariate. Additionally, comparisons across subjects can then be made using the fitted connectivity regression models, offering a more parsimonious alternative to edge-at-a-time approaches.

Results

We apply our approach to Human Connectome Project data on 268 regions of interest (ROIs), grouped into eight functional networks. We find that a high proportion of variation is explained by region covariates and network membership covariates, while geographic distance and homotopy have high relative importance after adjusting for the number of predictors. We also find that the degree of data repeatability using our connectivity regression model-which uses only partial location information about pairs of ROI's-is comparably as high as the repeatability obtained using full location information.

Discussion

While our analysis uses data that have been transformed into a common template-space, we also envision the method being useful in multi-atlas registration settings, where subject data remains in its own geometry and templates are warped instead. These results suggest the tantalizing possibility that fMRI connectivity analysis can be performed in subject-space, using less aggressive registration, such as simple affine transformations, multi-atlas subject-space registration, or perhaps even no registration whatsoever.

A combined multilevel factor analysis and covariance regression model with mixed effects in the mean and variance structure

Li et al developed a multilevel covariance regression (MCR) model as an extension of the covariance regression model of Hoff and Niu. This model assumes a hierarchical structure for the mean and the covariance matrix. Here, we propose the combined multilevel factor analysis and covariance regression model in a Bayesian framework, simultaneously modeling the MCR model and a multilevel factor analysis (MFA) model. The proposed model replaces the responses in the MCR part with the factor scores coming from an MFA model. Via a simulation study and the analysis of real data, we show that the proposed model is quite efficient when the responses of the MCR model are not measured directly but are latent variables such as the patient experience measurements in our motivating dataset.

Reducing subspace models for large-scale covariance regression

We develop an envelope model for joint mean and covariance regression in the large p, small n setting. In contrast to existing envelope methods, which improve mean estimates by incorporating estimates of the covariance structure, we focus on identifying covariance heterogeneity by incorporating information about mean-level differences. We use a Monte Carlo EM algorithm to identify a low-dimensional subspace that explains differences in both means and covariances as a function of covariates, and then use MCMC to estimate the posterior uncertainty conditional on the inferred low-dimensional subspace. We demonstrate the utility of our model on a motivating application on the metabolomics of aging. We also provide R code that can be used to develop and test other generalizations of the response envelope model.

JOINT MEAN AND COVARIANCE MODELING OF MULTIPLE HEALTH OUTCOME MEASURES

Health exams determine a patient's health status by comparing the patient's measurement with a population reference range, a 95% interval derived from a homogeneous reference population. Similarly, most of the established relation among health problems are assumed to hold for the entire population. We use data from the 2009-2010 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) on four major health problems in the U.S. and apply a joint mean and covariance model to study how the reference ranges and associations of those health outcomes could vary among subpopulations. We discuss guidelines for model selection and evaluation, using standard criteria such as AIC in conjunction with posterior predictive checks. The results from the proposed model can help identify subpopulations in which more data need to be collected to refine the reference range and to study the specific associations among those health problems.

Multivariate Heteroscedasticity Models for Functional Brain Connectivity

Functional brain connectivity is the co-occurrence of brain activity in different areas during resting and while doing tasks. The data of interest are multivariate timeseries measured simultaneously across brain parcels using resting-state fMRI (rfMRI). We analyze functional connectivity using two heteroscedasticity models. Our first model is low-dimensional and scales linearly in the number of brain parcels. Our second model scales quadratically. We apply both models to data from the Human Connectome Project (HCP) comparing connectivity between short and conventional sleepers. We find stronger functional connectivity in short than conventional sleepers in brain areas consistent with previous findings. This might be due to subjects falling asleep in the scanner. Consequently, we recommend the inclusion of average sleep duration as a covariate to remove unwanted variation in rfMRI studies. A power analysis using the HCP data shows that a sample size of 40 detects 50% of the connectivity at a false discovery rate of 20%. We provide implementations using R and the probabilistic programming language Stan.