Evaluating Vaccination Programs That Prevent Diseases With Potentially Catastrophic Health Outcomes: How Can We Capture the Value of Risk Reduction?

In the last 5 years, guidelines have been developed for performing cost-effectiveness analyses (CEAs) for the economic evaluation of vaccination programs against infectious diseases. However, these cost-effectiveness guidelines do not provide specific guidance for including the value of reducing the risk of rare but potentially catastrophic health outcomes, such as mortality or long-term sequelae. Alternative economic evaluation methods, including extended CEA, the impact inventory, cost-benefit analyses, willingness to pay or the value of a statistical life, to capture the value of this risk reduction could provide more complete estimates of the value of vaccination programs for diseases with potentially catastrophic health and nonhealth outcomes. In this commentary, using invasive meningococcal disease as an example, we describe these alternative approaches along with examples to illustrate how the benefits of vaccination in reducing risk of catastrophic health outcomes can be valued. These benefits are not usually captured in CEAs that only include population benefits estimated as the quality-adjusted life-years gained and reduced costs from avoided cases.

Cost-Effectiveness of 4CMenB Infant Vaccination in England: A Comprehensive Valuation Considering the Broad Impact of Serogroup B Invasive Meningococcal Disease

OBJECTIVES

This cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) of 4CMenB infant vaccination in England comprehensively considers the broad burden of serogroup B invasive meningococcal disease (MenB IMD), which has not been considered, or was only partially considered in previous CEAs.

METHODS

A review of previous MenB vaccination CEAs was conducted to identify aspects considered in the evaluation of costs and health outcomes of the disease burden of MenB IMD. To inform the model structure and comprehensive analysis, the aspects were grouped into 5 categories. A stepwise analysis was conducted to analyze the impact of each category, and the more comprehensive consideration of disease burden, on the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER).

RESULTS

MenB IMD incidence decreased by 46.0% in infants and children 0-4 years old within 5 years after introduction of the program. Stepwise inclusion of the 5 disease burden categories to a conventional narrow CEA setting reduced the ICER from £360 595 to £18 645-that is, considering the impact of all 5 categories, 4CMenB infant vaccination is cost-effective at a threshold of £20 000 per QALY gained.

CONCLUSIONS

When considering comprehensively the MenB IMD burden, 4CMenB infant vaccination can be cost-effective, a finding contrary to previous CEAs. This analysis allows policy decision-makers globally to infer the impact of current disease burden considerations on the cost-effectiveness and the comprehensive assessment necessary for MenB IMD. Although this comprehensive CEA can help inform decision making today, it may be limited in capturing the full disease burden and complex interactions of health and economics of MenB IMD.

Clinical and economic burden of invasive meningococcal disease: Evidence from a large German claims database

BACKGROUND

Limited data is available to describe clinical characteristics, long-term outcomes, healthcare resource use and the attributable costs of invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) in Germany. We aimed to examine demographic and clinical characteristics as well as healthcare resource use and related costs.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study based on the InGef database in patients with IMD between 2009 and 2015. Cases were identified based on hospital main discharge diagnoses of IMD. Demographics, clinical characteristics, 30-day and 1-year mortality as well as IMD-related complications and sequelae in IMD cases were examined. In addition, short and long-term costs and healthcare resource use in IMD cases were analyzed and compared to an age- and sex-matched control group without IMD.

RESULTS

The study population comprised 164 IMD cases between 2009 and 2015. The mean length of the IMD-related hospitalization was 13 days and 38% of all cases presented with meningitis only, 35% with sepsis only, 16% with both and 11% with other IMD. The 30-day and one-year mortality were 4.3% and 5.5%, respectively. Approximately 13% of IMD cases had documented IMD-related complications at hospital discharge and 24% suffered from sequelae during follow-up. The IMD-related hospitalization was associated with mean costs of € 9,620 (standard deviation: € 22,197). The difference of mean costs between IMD cases and matched non-IMD controls were € 267 in the first month and € 1,161 from one month to one year after discharged from IMD-related hospitalization. During the later follow-up period, the mean overall costs and costs associated with individual healthcare sectors were also higher for IMD cases without reaching statistical significance.

CONCLUSIONS

IMD resulted in severe complications and sequelae and was associated with extensive costs and increased healthcare resource use in Germany, especially in the first year after IMD diagnosis and due the IMD-related hospitalization.

AMEND study protocol: a case-control study to assess the long-term impact of invasive meningococcal disease in Australian adolescents and young adults

INTRODUCTION

Invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) primarily causes disease in young children and adolescents and can cause long-term disability. Many countries are considering implementation of meningococcal B and/or meningococcal ACWY vaccines to control meningococcal disease. Estimating the cost-effectiveness of meningococcal vaccine programme is hampered due to a lack of good quality costing and burden of disease data. This study aims to address this evidence gap by assessing the clinical, physical, neurocognitive, economic and societal impact of IMD on adolescents and young adults.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

A case-control study of 64 participants with confirmed IMD (15-24 years 11 months at time of disease) and 64 control participants (17-34 years 11 months) will be conducted in Australia from 2016 to 2020. All participants will undergo a neurocognitive assessment, full medical examination, pure tone audiometry assessment and complete quality of life and behavioural questionnaires. Meningococcal cases will be assessed 2-10 years posthospitalisation and a subset of cases will be interviewed to explore in depth their experiences of IMD and its impact on their life. Primary outcome measures include general intellectual functioning from the Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale and overall quality of life from the Health Utilities Index. Secondary outcome measures include academic achievement, executive functioning, behaviour, hearing, psychological and physical functioning. Outcome measures will be compared between cases and controls using independent t-tests or ORs, or if any significant confounders are identified, adjusted analyses (analysis of covariance or adjusted ORs) will be conducted. Thematic analysis will be used to analyse transcribed interviews and a costing model will be used to project lifetime costs.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The Adolescent MENingococcal Disease (AMEND) study has been approved by the Human Research Ethics Committee of the Women's and Children's Health Network (HREC/14/WCHN/024). The results will be disseminated via peer-reviewed publications, conference presentations, study participants, and meningococcal and meningitis foundations.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT03798574.

Lifetime costs of invasive meningococcal disease: A Markov model approach

INTRODUCTION

Invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) is an uncommon but life-threatening infectious disease associated with high sequelae rates in young children and an increased risk of mortality in adolescents and young adults. Funding decisions to reject inclusion of new meningococcal serogroup B vaccines on national immunisation schedules have been criticised by IMD patients, their families, paediatricians and charity organisations. We aim to estimate the lifetime costs of IMD with the best available evidence to inform cost-effectiveness analyses.

METHODS

A Markov model was developed taking healthcare system and societal perspectives. A range of data including age-specific mortality rates, and probabilities of IMD-related sequelae were derived from a systematic review and meta-analysis. All currencies were inflated to year 2017 prices by using consumer price indexes in local countries and converted to US dollars by applying purchasing power parities conversion rates. Expert panels were used to inform the model development process including key structural choices and model validations.

RESULTS

The estimated lifetime societal cost is US$319,896.74 per IMD case including the direct healthcare cost of US$65,035.49. Using a discount rate of 5%, the costs are US$54,278.51 and US$13,968.40 respectively. Chronic renal failure and limb amputation result in the highest direct healthcare costs per patient. Patients aged < 5 years incur the higher healthcare expenditure compared with other age groups. The costing results are sensitive to the discount rate, disease incidence, acute admission costs, and sequelae rates and costs of brain injuries and epilepsy.

CONCLUSIONS

IMD can result in substantial costs to the healthcare system and society. Understanding the costs of care can assist decision-making bodies in evaluating cost-effectiveness of new vaccine programs.

Cost Effectiveness of Meningococcal Serogroup B Vaccination in College-Aged Young Adults

INTRODUCTION

Neisseria meningitidis serogroup B is the most common form of meningococcal infection in young adults in the U.S. Vaccines have recently become available, but it is not clear that the benefits outweigh the costs. The purpose of this study was to assess cost effectiveness and determine potentially favorable conditions for universal vaccination.

METHODS

Costs and benefits of universal vaccination at college entry versus no universal vaccination with an outbreak response were estimated in 2018 in the context of a mid-sized U.S.-based 4-year college from both a health sector and a societal perspective. Probability, cost, and utility data were obtained from the published literature. Costs (2015 U.S.$) and benefits were discounted at 3%. One-way and multivariable probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed including variations in the specific vaccine used. Further testing of the model's parameters at extremes was used to identify favorable conditions for universal vaccination.

RESULTS

The incremental cost per quality-adjusted life year gained with universal vaccination was $13.9 million under the health sector perspective and $13.8 million under the societal perspective, each perspective was compared with a willingness-to-pay threshold of $150,000 per quality-adjusted life year. Multivariable probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that universal vaccination was not the preferred strategy for <$15 million per quality-adjusted life year. Under an extremely favorable model, a universal vaccination strategy became cost effective for vaccine series costing <$65.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates that universal vaccination at college entry is not cost effective. The rarity of N. meningitidis serogroup B contributes to the lack of cost effectiveness for universal vaccination.

Costs of Invasive Meningococcal Disease: A Global Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

Invasive meningococcal disease remains a public health concern because of its rapid onset and significant risk of death and long-term disability. New meningococcal serogroup B and combination serogroup ACWY vaccines are being considered for publicly funded immunization programs in many countries. Contemporary costing data associated with invasive meningococcal disease are required to inform cost-effectiveness analyses.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to estimate costs and resource utilization associated with acute infection and the long-term care of invasive meningococcal disease.

DATA SOURCES AND METHODS

PubMed, EMBASE, The Cochrane Library, health economic databases, and electronically available conference abstracts were searched. Studies reporting any costs associated with acute infection and long-term sequelae of invasive meningococcal disease in English were included. All costs were converted into purchasing power parity-adjusted estimates [international dollars (I$)] using the Campbell and Cochrane Economics Methods Group and the Evidence for Policy and Practice Information and Coordinating Centre cost converter.

RESULTS

Fourteen studies met our eligibility criteria and were included. The mean costs of acute admission ranged from I$1629 to I$50,796, with an incremental cost of I$16,378. The mean length of hospital stay was reported to be 6-18 days in multiple studies. The average costs reported for readmissions ranged from I$7905 to I$15,908. Key variables such as the presence of sequelae were associated with higher hospitalization costs and longer inpatient stay. No studies estimated direct non-healthcare costs and productivity loss. Ten studies reported only unadjusted mean values without using appropriate statistical methods for adjustment.

CONCLUSIONS

Invasive meningococcal disease can result in substantial costs to healthcare systems. However, costing data on long-term follow-up and indirect costs used to populate health economic models are lacking.

Cost-utility analysis of a nationwide vaccination programme against serogroup B meningococcal disease in Israel

OBJECTIVES

Using cost-utility analysis, to evaluate whether or not to adopt a Neisseria meningitidis serogroup B vaccination programme for Israeli children.

METHODS

Epidemiological, demographic, health service utilisation and economic data were integrated into a spreadsheet model to calculate the cost per averted disability-adjusted life year (DALY) of the intervention.

RESULTS

Assuming 78 % vaccine efficacy with no herd immunity, vaccination will prevent 223 cases and 22 deaths over a 100-year period. Based on vaccine price of $60 per dose, total intervention costs ($315,400,000) are partially offset by a $22,700,000 reduction in treatment and sequelae costs as a result of decreased morbidity. The intervention was not cost-effective since the net cost ($292,700,000) per averted DALY gained (1249 mostly due to decreased mortality) was $234,394. Additional two dose catch-up programmes vaccinating children in cohorts aged 1-2 to 1-13 were also not cost-effective.

CONCLUSIONS

The vaccination will become cost-effective if vaccine costs fall below $19.44 per dose. However, in identified high risk areas, the vaccine would be cost-effective and could be recommended for use both with and without catch-up campaigns.

Estimating costs associated with a community outbreak of meningococcal disease in a colombian Caribbean city

Meningococcal disease is a serious and potentially life-threatening infection that is caused by the bacterium Neisseria meningitidis (N. meningitidis), and it can cause meningitis, meningococcaemia outbreaks and epidemics. The disease is fatal in 9-12% of cases and with a death rate of up to 40% among patients with meningococcaemia. The objective of this study was to estimate the costs of a meningococcal outbreak that occurred in a Caribbean city of Colombia. We contacted experts involved in the outbreak and asked them specific questions about the diagnosis and treatment for meningococcal cases during the outbreak. Estimates of costs of the outbreak were also based on extensive review of medical records available during the outbreak. The costs associated with the outbreak were divided into the cost of the disease response phase and the cost of the disease surveillance phase. The costs associated with the outbreak control and surveillance were expressed in US$ (2011) as cost per 1,000 inhabitants. The average age of patients was 4.6 years (SD 3.5); 50% of the cases died; 50% of the cases were reported to have meningitis (3/6); 33% were diagnosed with meningococcaemia and myocarditis (2/6); 50% of the cases had bacteraemia (3/6); 66% of the cases had a culture specimen positive for Neisseria meningitidis; 5 of the 6 cases had RT-PCR positive for N. meningitidis. All N. meningitidis were serogroup B; 50 doses of ceftriaxone were administered as prophylaxis. Vaccine was not available at the time. The costs associated with control of the outbreak were estimated at US$ 0.8 per 1,000 inhabitants, disease surveillance at US$ 4.1 per 1,000 inhabitants, and healthcare costs at US$ 5.1 per 1,000 inhabitants. The costs associated with meningococcal outbreaks are substantial, and the outbreaks should be prevented. The mass chemoprophylaxis implemented helped control the outbreak.

The cost and public health burden of invasive meningococcal disease outbreaks: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) is a serious disease with a rapid onset, high mortality rate, and risk of long-term complications. Numerous reports in the literature conclude that IMD outbreaks are associated with substantial costs to society and significant burden on communities due to the cost associated with the prevention of secondary cases.

OBJECTIVE

To systematically review the literature on the costs and public health burden associated with IMD outbreaks.

METHODS

Studies were primarily identified through searching MEDLINE and EMBASE. Reports were included if they provided cost data related to the containment of an IMD outbreak after 1990 and were written in English, French, or Spanish. Costs were converted to 2010 United States dollars. Outbreaks were categorized by low-income countries (LIC) and high-income countries (HIC) based on gross domestic product per capita. Outbreak containment strategies were classified as small (e.g., targeting members of the school/institution where the outbreak occurred) or large (e.g., targeting everyone in the community).

RESULTS

Sixteen articles reporting data on 93 IMD outbreaks fulfilled the eligibility criteria and were included. The majority of outbreaks occurred in HIC. Five studies reported the use of small containment strategies including targeted vaccination and chemoprophylaxis, all occurring in HIC. The average cost per small containment strategy was $299,641 and the average cost per IMD case was $41,857. Eight studies reported large containment strategies involving widespread vaccination targeting a specific age group or community. For HIC, the average cost per large containment strategy was $579,851 and the average cost per IMD case was $55,755. In LIC, the average cost per large containment strategy was $3,407,590 and the average cost per IMD case was $2,222.

CONCLUSION

IMD outbreaks were associated with substantial costs. We found that although there were numerous reports on IMD outbreaks, data on containment costs were very limited. More research in this area is warranted.

Introducing vaccination against serogroup B meningococcal disease: an economic and mathematical modelling study of potential impact

BACKGROUND

Meningococcal disease remains an important cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. The first broadly effective vaccine against group B disease (which causes considerable meningococcal disease in Europe, the Americas and Australasia) was licensed in the EU in January 2013; our objective was to estimate the potential impact of introducing such a vaccine in England.

METHODS

We developed two models to estimate the impact of introducing a new 'MenB' vaccine. The cohort model assumes the vaccine protects against disease only; the transmission dynamic model also allows the vaccine to protect against carriage (accounting for herd effects). We used these, and economic models, to estimate the case reduction and cost-effectiveness of a number of different vaccine strategies.

RESULTS

We estimate 27% of meningococcal disease cases could be prevented over the lifetime of an English birth cohort by vaccinating infants at 2,3,4 and 12 months of age with a vaccine that prevents disease only; this strategy could be cost-effective at £9 per vaccine dose. Substantial reductions in disease (71%) can be produced after 10 years by routinely vaccinating infants in combination with a large-scale catch-up campaign, using a vaccine which protects against carriage as well as disease; this could be cost-effective at £17 per vaccine dose.

CONCLUSIONS

New 'MenB' vaccines could substantially reduce disease in England and be cost-effective if competitively priced, particularly if the vaccines can prevent carriage as well as disease. These results are relevant to other countries, with a similar epidemiology to England, considering the introduction of a new 'MenB' vaccine.

Hospital costs, length of stay and mortality associated with childhood, adolescent and young adult meningococcal disease in the US

BACKGROUND

Assessments of vaccination programmes should account for several important factors, including efficacy, safety and costs of preventing and treating the disease. Because patients with invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) are managed primarily in an inpatient setting, hospital costs and outcomes are central endpoints in health economic evaluations of IMD.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to estimate hospital costs, length of stay (LOS) and mortality associated with IMD among children, adolescents and young adults in the US.

METHODS

The study design was a retrospective analysis of discharges from the 2006 Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project Kids' Inpatient Database. Infant (<1 year), childhood (1-10 years), adolescent (11-18 years) and young adult (19-20 years) IMD-related hospitalizations (International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Edition, Clinical Modification [ICD-9-CM] code 036) were selected. Regression-adjusted costs ($US, year 2009 values), LOS and mortality risk were compared between IMD hospitalizations and demographically matched (5 : 1) controls.

RESULTS

A weighted total of 735 IMD admissions were identified. Among children, adjusted mean LOS and cost per admission was highest for infants (9.0 days and $US36 454 among cases vs 1.9 days and $US5041 for controls; all p < 0.0001). Adjusted costs and case fatality was highest among infants with meningococcal sepsis ($US49 626 and 11.6%, respectively). Versus controls, adjusted risks of death in IMD cases were 4.6- and 10.3-fold higher, respectively, for infants and adolescents (both p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

While the advent of vaccines for Haemophilus influenzae and Streptococcus pneumoniae has curtailed invasive bacterial infection rates, IMD continues to be a public health concern that presents greatly increased hospital costs, LOS and mortality risk, particularly for infants and adolescents.

Vaccinating adolescents against meningococcal disease in Canada: a cost-effectiveness analysis

BACKGROUND

One dose of serogroup C meningococcal conjugate vaccine (MCV-C) at 12 months of age is the most common immunization schedule in Canada, but immunity may wane over time.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the cost-effectiveness of a booster dose at 12 years of age with either MCV-C or a quadrivalent ACYW135 meningococcal conjugate vaccine (MCV-4).

METHODS

A simulation model for assessing both the direct and indirect effects of vaccination was developed. Age- and serogroup-specific incidence and fatality rates were derived from Canadian surveillance data. Vaccine efficacy was estimated from data from the U.K. and Spain, assuming an age-dependent decline of vaccine efficacy over time. Expected vaccine coverage rates were 90% at 12 months, and 70% at 12 years. Herd immunity was modeled using UK data. Vaccine purchase price per dose was $23 for MCV-C and $70 for MCV-4. Costs and health outcomes were discounted at 3% per year. Results, expressed in 2004 Canadian $ and from a societal perspective, were presented for a steady state situation and a population of 1 million.

RESULTS

Under the "no vaccination" base scenario, 5.7 cases of vaccine-preventable meningococcal disease would occur each year. Vaccination at 12 months using MCV-C would reduce the burden of disease by 32%. Adding MCV-C at 12 years of age would reduce the number of cases by 55% at no marginal cost, while using MCV-4 would result in a disease reduction of 78% for a marginal cost of $31000 per QALY gained. Comparing MCV-4 with MCV-C as a booster dose, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio would be $113000 per QALY. The efficacy of C-MCV vaccination at 12 months and the differential price between the two vaccines were the parameters having the strongest impact on the cost/QALY ratios. Any increase in the incidence of serogroup Y will improve the marginal cost-effectiveness ratio associated with MCV-4.

CONCLUSION

Adolescent revaccination would be beneficial. Using C-MCV would be the most cost-effective option, while using MCV-4 would be more effective but would also require more investment.

Combination vaccine against invasive meningococcal B and pneumococcal infections: potential epidemiological and economic impact in the Netherlands

BACKGROUND

Streptococcus pneumoniae and Neisseria meningitidis group B are among the main causes of invasive bacterial meningitis infections in infants. Worldwide, these diseases lead to significant mortality, morbidity and costs. The societal impact is especially severe since the majority of cases occur in very young infants. A combination vaccine consisting of 9-valent conjugated pneumococcal and meningococcal B components is currently being developed. The aim of this study was to estimate the potential impact and cost effectiveness from the societal perspective of vaccinating infants in The Netherlands with this combination pneumococcal and meningococcal B vaccine versus no vaccination.

METHODS

A Markov cycle model was developed using epidemiological and healthcare resource use data from 1996 to 2001. This model was used to project the annual costs, benefits and health gains associated with vaccinating all newborns. The base year for the costing was 2003 and all costs and health effects were discounted at 4%. The results of the analysis are expressed in costs per QALY and both probabilistic and univariate sensitivity analyses were used to identify the robustness of the results.

RESULTS

Annually, an average of 755 cases of invasive pneumococcal and meningococcal B infection occurred in infants aged 0-10 years in The Netherlands. Introduction of the combination vaccine would prevent 201 cases of meningococcal B meningitis and 165 cases of invasive pneumococcal disease per year. Additionally, 3410 cases of pneumococcal pneumonia and 46,350 cases of otitis media would be prevented. Vaccination would save 35 lives per year and prevent 71 cases of severe sequelae. This translates into 860 life-years gained, or 1128 QALYs gained. Alongside these health gains, vaccination would prevent euro 17,681,370 of direct medical and indirect costs attributable to meningococcal and pneumococcal infections in The Netherlands. Depending on vaccine price, cost effectiveness varied from euro 3160 (vaccine price per dose euro 20) to euro 32,170 (vaccine price euro 60 per dose) per QALY. Base-case cost effectiveness (vaccine price euro 40) was euro 17,700 per QALY. The model was most sensitive to changes in incidence, vaccine price and duration of protective efficacy.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that the introduction of a combination meningococcal B and pneumococcal vaccine into the Dutch infant vaccination programme is potentially cost effective compared with no vaccination.

Prevention and control of meningococcal disease. Recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP)

In January 2005, a tetravalent meningococcal polysaccharide-protein conjugate vaccine ([MCV4] Menactra, manufactured by Sanofi Pasteur, Inc., Swiftwater, Pennsylvania) was licensed for use among persons aged 11-55 years. CDCns Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) recommends routine vaccination of young adolescents (defined in this report as persons aged 11-12 years) with MCV4 at the preadolescent health-care visit (at age 11-12 years). Introducing a recommendation for MCV4 vaccination among young adolescents might strengthen the role of the preadolescent visit and have a positive effect on vaccine coverage among adolescents. For those persons who have not previously received MCV4, ACIP recommends vaccination before high-school entry (at approximately age 15 years) as an effective strategy to reduce meningococcal disease incidence among adolescents and young adults. By 2008, the goal will be routine vaccination with MCV4 of all adolescents beginning at age 11 years. Routine vaccination with meningococcal vaccine also is recommended for college freshmen living in dormitories and for other populations at increased risk (i.e., military recruits, travelers to areas in which meningococcal disease is hyperendemic or epidemic, microbiologists who are routinely exposed to isolates of Neisseria meningitidis, patients with anatomic or functional asplenia, and patients with terminal complement deficiency). Other adolescents, college students, and persons infected with human immunodeficiency virus who wish to decrease their risk for meningococcal disease may elect to receive vaccine. This report updates previous reports from ACIP concerning prevention and control of meningococcal disease. It also provides updated recommendations regarding use of the tetravalent meningococcal polysaccharide vaccine (MPSV4) and on antimicrobial chemoprophylaxis.

Cost-effectiveness of conjugate meningococcal vaccination strategies in the United States

CONTEXT

The US Food and Drug Administration approved a meningococcal conjugate A/C/Y/W-135 vaccine (MCV-4) for use in persons aged 11 to 55 years in January, 2005; licensure for use in younger age groups is expected in 2 to 4 years.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate and compare the projected health and economic impact of MCV-4 vaccination of US adolescents, toddlers, and infants.

DESIGN

Cost-effectiveness analysis from a societal perspective based on data from Active Bacterial Core Surveillance (ABCs) and other published and unpublished sources. Sensitivity analyses in which key input measures were varied over plausible ranges were performed.

SETTING AND PATIENTS

A hypothetical 2003 US population cohort of children 11 years of age and a 2003 US birth cohort.

INTERVENTIONS

Hypothetical routine vaccination of adolescents (1 dose at 11 years of age), toddlers (1 dose at 1 year of age), and infants (3 doses at 2, 4, and 6 months of age). Each vaccination scenario was compared with a "no-vaccination" scenario.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Meningococcal cases and deaths prevented, cost per case prevented, cost per life-year saved, and cost per quality-adjusted life-year saved.

RESULTS

Routine MCV-4 vaccination of US adolescents (11 years of age) would prevent 270 meningococcal cases and 36 deaths in the vaccinated cohort over 22 years, a decrease of 46% in the expected burden of disease. Before program costs are counted, adolescent vaccination would reduce direct disease costs by $18 million and decrease productivity losses by $50 million. At a cost per vaccination (average public-private price per dose plus administration fees) of $82.50, adolescent vaccination would cost society $633000 per meningococcal case prevented and $121000 per life-year saved. Key variables influencing results were disease incidence, case-fatality ratio, and cost per vaccination. The cost-effectiveness of toddler vaccination is essentially equivalent to adolescent vaccination, whereas infant vaccination would be much less cost-effective.

CONCLUSIONS

Routine MCV-4 vaccination of US children would reduce the burden of disease in vaccinated cohorts but at a relatively high net societal cost. The projected cost-effectiveness of adolescent vaccination approaches that of recently adopted childhood vaccines under conditions of above-average meningococcal disease incidence or at a lower cost per vaccination.

Geographic correlation between deprivation and risk of meningococcal disease: an ecological study

Background

Meningitis caused by Neisseria meningitidis is a serious infection which is most common in young children and adolescents. This study investigated the relationships between the incidence and age distribution of meningococcal disease, and socioeconomic environment.

Methods

An ecological design was used, including mapping using a Geographical Information System (GIS) at census ward level.

Results

Incidence of meningococcal disease was highest in the most deprived wards, with a relative risk of 1.97 (1.55 – 2.51). Mapping revealed geographical coincidence of deprivation and meningococcal disease, particularly in urban areas. Two-thirds of the increased incidence was due to cases in the under fives.

Conclusions

The results suggest that area deprivation is a risk factor for meningococcal disease, and that its effects are seen most in young children.

Invasive meningococcal and pneumococcal disease in Switzerland: cost-utility analysis of different vaccine strategies

We performed a cost-utility analysis for various vaccination strategies against meningococcal and pneumococcal diseases (MenC or MenC/PCV-9) in Switzerland. The analysis compared the current recommendations of vaccinating only children with medical risks to the introduction of the vaccination with either the MenC or the MenC/PCV-9 vaccine, administered at 12 or 2, 4 and 6 months of age, into the existing immunisation programme. For a birth cohort of 80,000 children and assuming a vaccine coverage of 80%, the introduction of a generalised vaccination would be cost-effective. The strategy using three doses of MenC/PCV-9 would achieve the highest health benefit, with 440 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained at costs of 34,000 per QALY.

Cost-benefit model comparing two alternative immunisation programmes against serogroup C meningococcal disease: for Quebec residents aged 2 months to 20 years

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the most efficient approach to managing an outbreak of serogroup C meningococcal disease. An early planned mass immunisation programme (MIP) was compared with a delayed programme implemented at the peak of a meningococcal outbreak.

DESIGN AND SETTING

A cost-benefit model was constructed of meningococcal cases reported in Quebec, Canada, from 1990-1993, before and after the MIP, during the winter of 1992-1993, when 84% of residents aged 6 months to 20 years were vaccinated. Epidemiological data from 1990-1993 were transposed to 2002-2003 under the assumption that Quebec is on the brink of an identical outbreak cycle. All Quebec residents aged 2 months to 20 years were assumed to be vaccinated, which required a total of 1.7 million doses of conjugated vaccine. Clinical and economic outcomes of both vaccination scenarios were compared. All costs were transformed to 2001 Canadian dollars ($Can), at an annual inflation rate of 3%. Future earnings due to premature death were discounted at 5% per year with a 3% increase in wages per year and a 9% unemployment rate.

PERSPECTIVE

Ministry of Health and society.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The number of new cases avoided and the prevention of hospital and societal costs due to meningococcal disease-attributed premature mortality and morbidity, and direct costs associated with implementation of a MIP.

RESULTS

When compared with a delayed MIP over a 14-month period, an early planned MIP would have prevented 112 new cases of meningococcal disease (16 deaths, 21 major complications) while saving $ Can 37.1 million in total direct costs to the Ministry of Health and an additional $ Can 17.4 million in societal costs in the province of Quebec.

CONCLUSION

An early planned MIP implemented in Quebec in September 2001, should be cost beneficial compared with delaying mass immunisation until a meningococcal outbreak is underway. Although this conclusion is limited by the assumption that epidemiological trends in 2001 in absence of a MIP would have been similar to that observed in the early 1990s prior to the MIP, the analysis still indicates that an early MIP in the 1990s would have been cost beneficial compared with a delayed MIP.

Estimating the burden of serogroup C meningococcal disease in England and Wales

In 1999 a new conjugate vaccine for serogroup C meningococcal disease was licensed for use in the UK. In order for an appropriate vaccination strategy to be developed the burden of serogroup C disease in England and Wales needed to be established. This was done using data from an enhanced surveillance scheme alongside routine laboratory reports and a total of 5,052 cases of serogroup C disease in England and Wales between 1993 and 1998 were estimated. Among these, an estimated 398 died and 1,767 were admitted to intensive care units (ITUs). The greatest burden of disease was in young children and teenagers. The current literature identified four studies reporting sequelae following serogroup C meningococcal disease. These provided estimates of sequelae in the range of 6.5% and 45% and presented some evidence of higher levels than occur following serogroup B meningococcal disease. This information was provided to the Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation to inform policy to implement a serogroup C conjugate vaccination programme in the UK. The vaccination programme has since been justified by the dramatic reduction in serogroup C meningococcal cases.

Vaccinating first-year college students living in dormitories for Meningococcal disease: an economic analysis

BACKGROUND

Surveillance of meningococcal disease among U.S. college students found an elevated rate of this disease among first-year students living in dormitories.

OBJECTIVE

This study examines the economics of routinely vaccinating a cohort of 591,587 incoming first-year students who will live in dormitories for > or =1 years.

METHODS

A cost-benefit model (societal perspective) was constructed to measure the net present value (NPV) of various vaccination scenarios, as well as the cost/case and cost/death averted. Input values included hospitalization costs from $10,924 to $24,030 per hospitalization; immunization costs (vaccine plus administration costs) from $54 to $88 per vaccine; 30 nonfatal, vaccine-preventable cases over a 4-year period (includes 3 with sequelae); 3 premature deaths; value of human life from $1.2 million to $4.8 million; and long-run sequelae costs from $1298 to $14,600. Sensitivity analyses were also conducted on vaccine efficacy (80% to 90%); discount rate (0% to 5%); and coverage (60% to 100%).

RESULTS

The costs of vaccination outweighed the benefits gained with NPVs ranging from -$11 million to -$49 million. The net cost per case averted ranged from $0.6 million to $1.9 million. The net cost per death averted ranged from $7 million to $20 million. The break-even costs of vaccination (when NPV=$0) at 60% coverage ranged from $23 (90% vaccine efficacy) to $5 (80% efficacy).

CONCLUSIONS

The model showed that the vaccination program is not cost-saving. Key variables influencing the results were the low number of vaccine-preventable cases and the high cost of vaccination. However, from the perspective of students and parents, the cost of vaccination might be worth the real or perceived benefit of reducing the risk to an individual student of developing meningococcal disease.

Economic analysis of the 1992-1993 mass immunization campaign against serogroup C meningococcal disease in Quebec

The objective of the study was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness and utility of the mass immunization campaign performed in the province of Quebec in 1992-1993, following an outbreak of serogroup C meningococcal disease (CMD). Effectiveness data were extracted from a population-based cohort study, and cost estimates were obtained from surveys. Costs of the campaign to the health system were $ 26 million (1993 Canadian dollars). Between 48 and 74 CMD cases, and between 7 and 11 deaths were prevented in the following 5 years. Net societal costs were between $ 18 and 21 million (using a 3% discount rate), net costs per death averted were between $ 1.7 and 3.0 million, between $ 58,000 and 105,000 per life-year gained, and between $ 49,000 and 87,000 per quality-adjusted life-year gained. These economic indices are less favorable than those for current routine immunization programs in Canada, but within the range of those for other common health interventions.

Modelling cost effectiveness of meningococcal serogroup C conjugate vaccination campaign in England and Wales

OBJECTIVES

To assess the cost effectiveness of a meningococcal serogroup C conjugate vaccination campaign in 0-17 year olds.

DESIGN

Cost effectiveness analysis from the perspective of the healthcare provider.

SETTING

England and Wales.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Cost per life year saved.

RESULTS

In 1998-9, immediately before the introduction of meningococcal C vaccination, the burden of serogroup C disease was considerable, with an estimated 1137 cases in people aged 0-17 years and at least 72 deaths. The vaccination campaign is estimated to have cost between 126m pound sterling ($180m, 207m) and 241 pound sterling 3m, 395m), depending on the price of the vaccine. Under base case assumptions the cost per life year saved from the vaccination campaign is estimated to be 6259 pound sterling. School based vaccination was more cost effective than general practice based vaccination because of lower delivery costs. Immunisation of infants aged under 1 year was the least cost effective component of the campaign because, although this maximises the life years gained, the three dose schedule required is more expensive than other methods of delivery. Estimates of the cost per life year saved were sensitive to assumptions on the future incidence of disease and the case fatality ratio.

CONCLUSIONS

Meningococcal C vaccination is likely to be more cost effective in all age groups when the incidence of disease is high. It is also more cost effective when given to children aged 1-4 (by general practitioners) and to children and young people aged 5-17 years at school than when administered to infants under 12 months of age or young people aged 16-17 years who are not at school.

Health economics of a hexavalent meningococcal outer-membrane vesicle vaccine in children: potential impact of introduction in the Dutch vaccination program

The cost-effectiveness of universal vaccination of infants with a new hexavalent meningococcal B outer-membrane vesicle vaccine is projected for The Netherlands by applying decision analysis. The societal perspective is taken and direct and productivity costs (friction costs method) are considered. Future costs and effects are discounted at 4% (base year 1998). In this simulation model, vaccination would prevent 19 deaths and eight cases with severe long-term sequelae per year, rendering 526 additional quality adjusted life years (QALYs) per year. Yearly costs of acute phase of illness due to meningococcal infections in children are estimated at 1,426,634, while the future costs due to sequelae are estimated at 3,801,121 per year. Of all these costs, the vaccination program could prevent 3,334,052 per year. The program costs of meningococcal vaccination are estimated at 11,601,356, resulting in a cost-effectiveness ratio (CER) of 15,721 per QALY. These results are sensitive to the vaccine dose price (conservatively estimated at 10), efficacy, and coverage of meningococcal sero-subtypes.

Meningococcal vaccination for adolescents? An economic evaluation in Victoria

OBJECTIVE

To undertake an economic evaluation of the options for vaccination of adolescents using meningococcal polysaccharide vaccine based on Victorian data.

METHODOLOGY

Cost-effectiveness and cost-benefit analyses of three options for vaccination were undertaken for hypothetical populations aged 15-19 years. Baseline analyses assumed a single year of programme implementation and vaccine protection of 5 years. Sensitivity analyses of key variables were performed. Outcomes included the number of people vaccinated, cases averted, life years saved and disability adjusted life years (DALY) averted. Lost earnings avoided were included as a measure of vaccination benefit in cost-benefit analyses.

RESULTS

Vaccination of people in Years 10-12 (secondary school) and first year university within a defined population with a high rate of disease was the most cost-effective option. Excluding direct cost savings and compared with no vaccination, this resulted in a discounted cost per DALY avoided of $17646 and benefits exceeding costs in discounted terms. The 'break-even' incidence rate for this option in the cost-benefit analysis was 11.9/100000.

CONCLUSIONS

Economic evidence favours the use of vaccination within well-defined populations with a high rate of disease.

Should college students be vaccinated against meningococcal disease? A cost-benefit analysis

Outbreaks and sporadic cases of meningococcal disease among college students have prompted consideration of a policy of routine vaccination for this group. Purchase and administration of the vaccine for routine vaccination would cost $56 million per year. Savings in medical care and indirect costs would not equal this amount unless the annual rate of disease among students is at least 6.5/100,000. The actual rate among students is unknown; however, surveillance data suggest it could not be more than 1.3/100,000. At rates near this estimate, the net cost of the program would be approximately $45 million annually. More cost-effective prevention strategies might be yielded by further studies to identify students at substantial risk of meningococcal disease, or by the development of a conjugate serogroup C vaccine that could be administered during infancy.