Reshaping surveillance for infectious diseases: less chasing of pathogens and more monitoring of drivers

Animal health surveillance, despite its name, tends to focus on looking for disease. Often this involves searching for cases of infection with known pathogens (‘pathogen chasing'). Such an approach is both resource intensive and limited by the requirement for prior knowledge of disease likelihood. In this paper, the authors propose the gradual reshaping of surveillance towards the systems level, focusing on the processes (‘drivers') that promote disease or health, rather than on the presence or absence of specific pathogens. Examples of relevant drivers include land-use change, increasing global interconnectedness, and finance and capital flows. Importantly, the authors suggest that surveillance should focus on detecting changes in patterns or quantities associated with such drivers. This would generate systems-level, risk-based surveillance information to identify areas where additional attention may be needed, and, over time, inform the implementation of prevention efforts. The collection, integration and analysis of data on drivers is likely to require investment in improving data infrastructures. A period of overlap would allow the two systems (traditional surveillance and driver monitoring) to be compared and calibrated. This would also lead to a better understanding of the drivers and their linkages, and thereby generate new knowledge that can improve surveillance and inform mitigation efforts. Since surveillance of drivers may give signals when changes are occurring, which could act as alerts and enable targeted mitigation, this might even enable disease to be prevented before it happens by directly intervening in the drivers themselves. Such surveillance focused on the drivers could be expected to bring additional benefits, since the same drivers promote multiple diseases. Further, focusing on drivers rather than pathogens should enable control of currently unknown diseases, making this approach particularly timely, given the increasing risk of emergence of new diseases.

0216 Is There a Daily Rhythm in Alcohol Craving and Does It Vary by Circadian Timing?

Introduction

People with later circadian timing tend to consume more alcohol, potentially due to altered rhythms in when and how much they crave alcohol throughout the day. However, whether circadian factors play a role in alcohol craving has received scant attention. Here, we investigated if the daily rhythm of alcohol craving varied by circadian timing in two independent studies of late adolescent and young adult drinkers.

Methods

In Study 1, 32 participants (18–22 years of age; 61% female; 69% White) completed momentary reports of alcohol craving five times a day for 14 days. Participants wore wrist actigraphs and completed two in-lab assessments of dim light melatonin onset (DLMO). Average actigraphically-assessed midpoint of sleep on weekends and average DLMO were used as indicators of circadian timing. In Study 2, 231 participants (21–35 years of age; 28% female; 71% White) completed momentary reports of alcohol craving six times a day for 10 days. Average midpoint of self-reported time-in-bed on weekends was used to estimate circadian timing.

Results

Multilevel cosinor analysis revealed a 24-hour daily rhythm in alcohol craving which was moderated by circadian timing in both studies (p’s<0.05). In both Study 1 and 2, people with later circadian timing had a later timed peak of craving. In Study 1, but not Study 2, later circadian timing predicted a blunted amplitude in craving.

Conclusion

Findings support a daily rhythm in craving that varies by individual differences in circadian timing. Because craving is an important predictor of future alcohol use, the findings implicate circadian factors as a useful area to advance alcohol research and potentially improve interventions.

Support

R21AA023209; R01DA044143; K01AA021135; ABMRF/The Foundation for Alcohol Research.

Economic assessment of an emerging disease: the case of Schmallenberg virus in France

Schmallenberg virus (SBV) was first detected in 2011 in Germany and then in France in 2012. This study simulates the production of different ruminant systems in France and estimates, through partial budget analyses, the economic cost of SBV at the farm level, under two disease scenarios (a high-impact and low-impact scenario). A partial budget is used to evaluate the financial effect of incremental changes, and includes only resources or production that will be changed. In the high-impact scenario, the estimated impact of SBV ranged from €23 to €43 per cow per year and €19 to €37 per ewe per year. In the low-impact scenario, it was approximately half (for cows) or one-third (for ewes) of this amount. These financial impacts represent 0.6% to 63% of the gross margin, depending on the chosen scenario and the livestock system being considered. The impacts of SBV come mainly from: the extra costs from purchasing and raising replacement heifers and losses in milk production (dairy cows); the losses in calf or lamb production (beef systems and meat sheep); and the losses in milk production and from unsold replacement lambs (dairy sheep). The use of integrated production and economic models enabled the authors to estimate the cost of SBV and to tackle the problem of scarce data, which is a difficulty for most emerging diseases, by their very nature. It also allowed the authors to develop an accurate disease impact assessment for several production systems, over a short time span. Extrapolating from this economic assessment to predict the scenario in coming years depends on the immunity period of the disease and the length of the production cycles.

Achieving an optimal allocation of resources for animal health surveillance, intervention and disease mitigation

The primary role of animal health economics is to inform decision-making by determining optimal investments for animal health. Animal health surveillance produces information to guide interventions. Consequently, investments in surveillance and intervention must be evaluated together. This article explores the different theoretical frameworks and methods developed to assess and optimise the spending of resources in surveillance and intervention and their technical interdependence. The authors present frameworks that define the relationship between health investment and losses due to disease, and the relationship between surveillance and intervention resources. Surveillance and intervention are usually considered as technical substitutes, since increased investments in surveillance reduce the level of intervention resources required to reach the same benefit. The authors also discuss approaches used to quantify externalities and non-monetary impacts. Finally, they describe common economic evaluation types, including optimisation, acceptability and least-cost studies.

Neuroimaging methods for adolescent substance use disorder prevention science

Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) methods safely provide in vivo indicators of cerebral macrostructure, microstructure, and activation that can be examined in relation to substance use disorder (SUD) risks and effects. This article will provide an overview of MRI approaches, including volumetric measures, diffusion tensor imaging, and functional MRI, that have been applied to studies of adolescent neuromaturation in relationship to risk phenotypes and adolescent SUD. To illustrate these applications, examples of research findings will be presented. MRI indicators have demonstrated that neurobiological maturation continues throughout adolescence. MRI research has suggested that variations in neurobiological maturation may contribute to SUD risk, and that substance use adversely influences adolescent brain development. Directly measured neurobiological variables may be viable preventive intervention targets and outcome indicators. Further research is needed to provide definitive findings on neurodevelopmental immaturity as an SUD risk and to determine the directions such observations suggest for advancing prevention science.

Scenario realism and welfare estimates in choice experiments--a non-market valuation study on the European water framework directive

Using choice experiment data for economic valuation we analyse how disbelief in survey information could affect the retrieved welfare estimates. We distinguish between two types of survey information to the respondents. The first type of information concerns the current environmental status of a water body. This information is provided prior to the valuation questions and the corresponding beliefs in the provided information are also elicited before valuation. The second type of information concerns the proposed improvements in the environmental status of the water body. We find that average welfare measures differ considerably according to whether respondents who disagree with the status quo levels and find proposed scenarios unlikely are included or not.

Bradykinin modulation of tumor vasculature: I. Activation of B2 receptors increases delivery of chemotherapeutic agents into solid peripheral tumors, enhancing their efficacy

Delivery of chemotherapeutic agents to solid peripheral tumors is compromised because the impaired microvasculature within and surrounding tumors limits diffusion and convection of agents from the vasculature to the tumor. Using a variety of rat tumor models, we show that intravenous administration of a vasoactive bradykinin B2 receptor agonist (Cereport, or labradimil; formerly RMP-7) enhances by nearly 3 times the delivery of the chemotherapeutic agent carboplatin, as well as the larger 70-kDa marker dextran, into ectopic and orthotopic solid tumors. This effect was selective for tumor tissue, with little or no increase seen in nontumor tissues and organs. Additionally, the increased carboplatin levels observed in tumors persisted for at least 90 min (the longest time point measured). In contrast to the consistent effects with hydrophilic compounds, delivery of the lipophilic, high protein-binding chemotherapeutics paclitaxel and 1,3-bis[2-chloroethyl]-1-nitrourea (BNCU) was not enhanced. Administration of Cereport with either carboplatin or another hydrophilic chemotherapeutic agent, doxorubicin, significantly increased efficacy of both agents, manifested by suppression of tumor growth and prolonged survival in tumor-bearing rats. These data demonstrate that delivery of chemotherapeutics to tumors can be pharmacologically increased (by stimulating bradykinin B2 receptors) without increasing the systemic exposure, or therefore, the toxic liability associated with higher chemotherapeutic doses.

Bradykinin modulation of tumor vasculature: II. activation of nitric oxide and phospholipase A2/prostaglandin signaling pathways synergistically modifies vascular physiology and morphology to enhance delivery of chemotherapeutic agents to tumors

Intravenous infusions of the bradykinin agonist Cereport (labradimil, formerly RMP-7) enhance delivery of concomitantly administered hydrophilic chemotherapeutic agents to solid tumors. The enhanced delivery produces greater in vivo efficacy of chemotherapeutic agents, manifested as suppressed tumor growth and increased survival in tumor-bearing rats. Here we elucidate the mechanisms of action involved with this unique phenomenon, at both the physical and biochemical levels. At the physical level we demonstrate that Cereport modifies the tumor vasculature in several important ways, including transient 1) reductions in interstitial fluid pressure within the tumor, 2) increases in pore size of the vasculature, and 3) increases in total vascular surface area. All three of these changes modify tumor-specific characteristics of the vasculature known to impede drug delivery to the tumor interstitium. Biochemically, we demonstrate that the activation of both of bradykinin's major signaling pathways, the nitric oxide and phospholipase A2/prostaglandin E2 are necessary events. Although pharmacologically blocking either pathway greatly reduced the effects of Cereport, stimulation of either pathway alone did not enhance delivery. However, simultaneous stimulation of both pathways (without exogenous bradykinin B2 receptor stimulation) produced a nearly 2-fold increase in delivery of carboplatin to the tumor. Thus, stimulation of endogenous bradykinin B2 receptors induces at least two parallel biochemical cascades that act synergistically to uniquely modify the tumor vasculature in ways that increase delivery and efficacy of chemotherapeutic agents.

Enhanced delivery of carboplatin into brain tumours with intravenous Cereport (RMP-7): dramatic differences and insight gained from dosing parameters

Cereport (RMP-7) is a selective bradykinin B2 receptor agonist which increases the permeability of the 'blood-brain tumour barrier' (BBTB) to increase delivery of chemotherapeutic agents to brain tumours. A series of experiments was performed in an RG2 rodent model of glioma to evaluate and refine intravenous (i.v.) parameters to optimize Cereport's clinical utility. The first experiment demonstrated that while carboplatin levels were increased by twofold when given as a bolus during the Cereport infusion, no increase in carboplatin levels were seen when Cereport and carboplatin were simultaneously co-infused for 15 min. A subsequent experiment established that a major factor responsible for the lack of an effect with the co-infusion paradigm was tachyphylaxis to Cereport during the 15 min infusion, for a progressively diminished response to Cereport occurred over that time frame, as plasma levels of carboplatin were rising. A final experiment adjusted the timing of the Cereport and carboplatin infusions so that higher plasma carboplatin levels were achieved prior to initiating the Cereport infusion. Significant uptake effects were achieved when the carboplatin infusion preceded the Cereport infusion by 10 min (i.e. 5 min overlap in the delivery of the two agents). Collectively, these data provide the first systematic evaluation of dosing parameters involving receptor-mediated changes in BBTB permeability and provide new information regarding the pharmacodynamics and potential clinical use of Cereport.