Von Willebrand factor for outcome prediction within different clinical stages of advanced chronic liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The prognostic performance of von Willebrand factor (VWF) may vary across clinical stages of advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). Therefore, we investigated the evolution of VWF and other biomarkers throughout the full ACLD spectrum and evaluated their stage-specific prognostic utility.

METHODS

We retrospectively included Viennese ACLD patients with available information on hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG), C-reactive protein (CRP)/VWF levels and outcomes. ACLD stages were defined according to D'Amico et al. We included an external validation cohort from Padua.

RESULTS

We observed gradual increases in VWF throughout ACLD stages. In contrast, HVPG levelled off in decompensated ACLD (dACLD), whereas MELD showed only minor changes in the early stages and CRP did not increase until stage 3. VWF was associated with hepatic decompensation/liver-related death in compensated ACLD (cACLD) in a fully adjusted model, while it was not independently predictive of ACLF/liver-related death in dACLD. After backward selection, HVPG/CRP/VWF remained the main predictors of hepatic decompensation/liver-related death in cACLD. Notably, the performance of the non-invasive CRP/VWF-based model was comparable to invasive HVPG-based models (C-index:0.765 ± 0.034 vs. 0.756 ± 0.040). The discriminative ability of the CRP/VWF-based model was confirmed in an external validation cohort using another VWF assay which yielded systematically lower values.

CONCLUSION

VWF is the only biomarker that gradually increases across all ACLD stages. It is of particular prognostic value in cACLD, where a CRP/VWF-based model is equivalent to an invasive HVPG-based model. Systematic differences in VWF underline the importance of interlaboratory surveys. Moreover, our findings reinforce the notion that, already in cACLD, inflammation is a key disease-driving mechanism.

Use of the CytoSorb adsorber in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure

CytoSorb is a hemoadsorptive column used to remove high concentrations of proinflammatory cytokines in septic shock. Data on CytoSorb application in acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is lacking. This retrospective observational study analyzed 21 ACLF patients admitted to ICUs at the Vienna General Hospital who received CytoSorb adsorber therapy between 2017 and 2023. Median ICU length of stay was 8 days (IQR: 3-13), the ICU survival rate was 23.8% (n = 5). Significant decreases in bilirubin (median peak: 20.7 mg/dL to median post-treatment: 10.8 mg/dL; - 47.8%; p < 0.001), procalcitonin (1.34 to 0.74 pg/mL; - 44.6%; p < 0.001), interleukin-6 (385 to 131 ng/mL; - 66.0%; p = 0.0182)-but also of platelets (72 to 31 G/L; - 56.9%; p = 0.0014) and fibrinogen (230 to 154 mg/dL; - 33.0%; p = 0.0297) were detected. ICU survivors had a trend towards a stronger relative decrease in bilirubin (- 76.1% vs. - 48.2%), procalcitonin (- 90.6% vs. - 23.5%), and IL-6 (- 54.6% vs. - 17.8%) upon CytoSorb treatment. Moreover, no serious CytoSorb-attributed complications were detected. In conclusion, use of CytoSorb adsorber in ACLF patients results in a significant decrease in bilirubin and proinflammatory cytokines, while platelets and fibrinogen were also lowered. Prospective trials are warranted to investigate the impact of CytoSorb on clinical outcomes of ACLF patients with high proinflammatory cytokine levels.

Clinical course of congestive hepatopathy pre/post heart transplantation

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Heart failure (HF) might lead to increased hepatic venous pressure, thereby impairing hepatic blood outflow and subsequently inducing congestive hepatopathy. We aimed to evaluate prevalence of congestive hepatopathy in patients undergoing heart transplantation (HTX) as well as their post-transplant course.

METHODS

Patients undergoing HTX from 2015-2020 at the Vienna General Hospital were included (n = 205). Congestive hepatopathy was defined by hepatic congestion on abdominal imaging and hepatic injury. Laboratory parameters, ascites severity, and clinical events were assessed and post-HTX outcomes evaluated.

RESULTS

At listing, 104 (54%) patients showed hepatic congestion, 97 (47%) hepatic injury, and 50 (26%) had ascites. Congestive hepatopathy was diagnosed in 60 (29%) patients, who showed more often ascites, lower serum sodium and cholinesterase activity, and higher hepatic injury markers. Mean albumin-bilirubin (ALBI)-score as well as (modified)-model for end-stage liver disease (MELD)-scores were higher in patients with congestive hepatopathy. Median levels of laboratory parameters/scores normalised after HTX, and ascites resolved in most patients with congestive hepatopathy (n = 48/56, 86%). The post-HTX (median follow-up 55.1 months) survival was 87% and liver-related events were rare (3%). Severe ascites, low cholinesterase, and MELD/MELD-XI were associated with ascites persistence/death 1‑year after HTX. Age, male sex, and severe ascites were the only independent predictors of post-HTX mortality. Both ALBI and MELD-scores were robust indicators of post-HTX survival when measured 4 weeks after HTX (ALBI log-rank test p < 0.001; MELD log-rank test p = 0.012).

CONCLUSION

Congestive hepatopathy and ascites were mostly reversible after HTX. Liver-related scores and ascites improve prognostication in patients after HTX.

The Hammersmith Score optimises patient selection and predicts for overall survival in early-phase cancer trial participants independent of tumour burden

INTRODUCTION

As tumour response rates are increasingly demonstrated in early-phase cancer trials (EPCT), optimal patient selection and accurate prognostication is paramount. Hammersmith Score (HS), a simple prognostic index derived on routine biochemical measures (Albumin <35g/L, Lactate Dehydrogenase (LDH) >450 IU/L, Sodium <135mmol/L) is a validated predictor of response and survival in EPCT participants. HS has not been validated in the cancer immunotherapy era.

METHODS

We retrospectively analysed characteristics and outcomes of unselected referrals to our early-phase unit (12/2019-12/2022). Independent predictors for overall survival (OS) were identified from univariable and multivariable models. HS was calculated for 66 eligible trial participants and compared with the Royal Marsden Score (RMS) to predict OS. Multivariable logistic regression and c-index was used to compare predictive ability of prognostic models.

RESULTS

Of 212 referrals, 147 patients were screened and 82 patients treated in EPCT. Prognostic stratification by HS identifies significant difference in median OS and HS was confirmed as a multivariable predictor for OS (HR: HS 1 vs. 0 2.51, 95%CI: 1.01-6.24, p=0.049; HS 2/3 vs. 0: 10.32, 95%CI: 2.15-49.62, p=0.004; C-index 0.771) with superior multivariable predictive ability than RMS (HR: RMS 2 vs. 0/1 5.46, 95%CI: 1.12-26.57, p=0.036; RMS 3 vs. 0/1 6.83, 95%CI: 1.15-40.53, p<0.001; C-index 0.743).

CONCLUSIONS

HS is a validated prognostic index for patients with advanced cancer treated in the context of modern EPCTs, independent of tumour burden. HS is a simple, inexpensive prognostic tool to optimise referral for EPCT.

Simple blood tests to diagnose compensated advanced chronic liver disease and stratify the risk of clinically significant portal hypertension

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) identifies patients at risk for clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH), and thus, for liver-related complications. The limited availability of liver stiffness measurements (LSM) impedes the identification of patients at risk for cACLD/CSPH outside of specialized clinics. We aimed to develop a blood-based algorithm to identify cACLD by fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) and CSPH by von Willebrand factor/platelet count ratio (VITRO).

APPROACH AND RESULTS

Patients with (suspected) compensated chronic liver disease undergoing FIB-4+LSM were included in the LSM/FIB-4 cohorts from Vienna and Salzburg. The HVPG/VITRO cohorts included patients undergoing HVPG-measurement + VITRO from Vienna and Bern.LSM/FIB-4-derivation-cohort: We included 6143 patients, of whom 211 (3.4%) developed hepatic decompensation. In all, 1724 (28.1%) had LSM ≥ 10 kPa, which corresponded to FIB-4 ≥ 1.75. Importantly, both LSM (AUROC:0.897 [95% CI:0.865-0.929]) and FIB-4 (AUROC:0.914 [95% CI:0.885-0.944]) were similarly accurate in predicting hepatic decompensation within 3 years. FIB-4 ≥ 1.75 identified patients at risk for first hepatic decompensation (5 y-cumulative incidence:7.6%), while in those <1.75, the risk was negligible (0.3%).HVPG/VITRO-derivation cohort: 247 patients of whom 202 had cACLD/FIB-4 ≥ 1.75 were included. VITRO exhibited an excellent diagnostic performance for CSPH (AUROC:0.889 [95% CI:0.844-0.934]), similar to LSM (AUROC:0.856 [95% CI:0.801-0.910], p = 0.351) and the ANTICIPATE model (AUROC:0.910 [95% CI:0.869-0.952], p = 0.498). VITRO < 1.0/ ≥ 2.5 ruled-out (sensitivity:100.0%)/ruled-in (specificity:92.4%) CSPH. The diagnostic performance was comparable to the Baveno-VII criteria.LSM/FIB-4-derivation cohort findings were externally validated in n = 1560 patients, while HVPG/VITRO-derivation-cohort findings were internally (n = 133) and externally (n = 55) validated.

CONCLUSIONS

Simple, broadly available laboratory tests (FIB-4/VITRO) facilitate cACLD detection and CSPH risk stratification in patients with (suspected) liver disease. This blood-based approach is applicable outside of specialized clinics and may promote early intervention.

Characteristics and outcomes of immunotherapy-related liver injury in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma versus other advanced solid tumours

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Immune-related liver injury (irLI) is commonly observed in patients with cancer treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). We aimed to compare the incidence, clinical characteristics, and outcomes of irLI between patients receiving ICIs for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) vs. other solid tumours.

METHODS

Two separate cohorts were included: 375 patients with advanced/unresectable HCC, Child-Pugh A class treated with first-line atezolizumab+bevacizumab from the AB-real study, and a non-HCC cohort including 459 patients treated with first-line ICI therapy from the INVIDIa-2 multicentre study. IrLI was defined as a treatment-related increase of aminotransferase levels after exclusion of alternative aetiologies of liver injury. The incidence of irLI was adjusted for the duration of treatment exposure.

RESULTS

In patients with HCC, the incidence of any grade irLI was 11.4% over a median treatment exposure of 4.4 months (95% CI 3.7-5.2) vs. 2.6% in the INVIDIa-2 cohort over a median treatment exposure of 12.4 months (95% CI 11.1-14.0). Exposure-adjusted-incidence of any grade irLI was 22.1 per 100-patient-years in patients with HCC and 2.1 per 100-patient-years in patients with other solid tumours (p <0.001), with median time-to-irLI of 1.4 and 4.7 months, respectively. Among patients who developed irLI, systemic corticosteroids were administered in 16.3% of patients with HCC and 75.0% of those without HCC (p <0.001), and irLI resolution was observed in 72.1% and 58.3%, respectively (p = 0.362). In patients with HCC, rates of hepatic decompensation and treatment discontinuation due to irLI were 7%. Grade 1-2 irLI was associated with improved overall survival only in patients with HCC (hazard ratio 0.53, 95% CI 0.29-0.96).

CONCLUSIONS

Despite higher incidence and earlier onset, irLI in patients with HCC is characterised by higher rates of remission and lower requirement for corticosteroid therapy (vs. irLI in other solid tumours), low risk of hepatic decompensation and treatment discontinuation, not negatively affecting oncological outcomes.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

Immune-related liver injury (irLI) is common in patients with cancer receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), but whether irLI is more frequent or it is associated with a worse clinical course in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), compared to other tumours, is not known. Herein, we compared characteristics and outcomes of irLI in two prospective cohorts including patients treated with ICIs for HCC or for other oncological indications. irLI is significantly more common and it occurs earlier in patients with HCC, also after adjustment for duration of treatment exposure. However, outcomes of patients with HCC who developed irLI are not negatively affected in terms of requirement for corticosteroid therapy, hepatic decompensation, treatment discontinuation and overall survival.

A meta-analysis and real-world cohort study on the sex-related differences in efficacy and safety of immunotherapy for hepatocellular carcinoma

Background & Aims

Sex-related differences in the immune pathogenesis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), particularly related to oestrogen-dependent secretion of pro-tumourigenic cytokines, are well-known. Whether sex influences the efficacy and safety of immunotherapy is not known.

Methods

We performed a restricted maximum likelihood random effects meta-analysis of five phase III trials that evaluated immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in advanced HCC and reported overall survival (OS) hazard ratios (HRs) stratified by sex to evaluate sex-related differences in OS. In a real-world cohort of 840 patients with HCC from 22 centres included between 2018 and 2023, we directly compared the efficacy and safety of atezolizumab + bevacizumab (A+B) between sexes. Radiological response was reported according to RECIST v1.1. Uni- and multivariable Cox regression analyses were performed for OS and progression-free survival (PFS).

Results

In the meta-analysis, immunotherapy was associated with a significant OS benefit only in male (pooled HR 0.79; 95% CI 0.73-0.86) but not in female (pooled HR 0.85; 95% CI 0.70-1.03) patients with HCC. When directly comparing model estimates, no differences in the treatment effect between sexes were observed. Among 840 patients, 677 (81%) were male (mean age 66 ± 11 years), and 163 (19%) were female (mean age 67 ± 12 years). Type and severity of adverse events were similar between the two groups. OS and PFS were comparable between males and females upon uni- and multivariable analyses (aHR for OS and PFS: 0.79, 95% CI 0.59-1.04; 1.02, 95% CI 0.80-1.30, respectively). Objective response rates (24%/22%) and disease control rates (59%/59%) were also similar between sexes.

Conclusion

Female phase III trial participants experienced smaller OS benefit following ICI therapy for advanced HCC, while outcomes following A+B treatment were comparable between sexes in a large real-world database. Based on the ambiguous sex-related differences in survival observed here, further investigation of sex-specific clinical and biologic determinants of responsiveness and survival following ICIs are warranted.

Impact and implications

While immune checkpoint inhibitors have emerged as standard of care for the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma, there are conflicting reports on whether the efficacy of cancer immunotherapy differs between females and males. Our study suggests ambiguous sex-related differences in outcomes from immunotherapy in hepatocellular carcinoma. Further investigation of sex-specific clustering in clinicopathologic and immunologic determinants of responsiveness to immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy should be prioritised.

Systematic review registration

PROSPERO CRD42023429625.

Management of varices but not anticoagulation is associated with improved outcome in patients with HCC and macrovascular tumour invasion

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The value of bleeding prophylaxis and anticoagulation in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and macrovascular tumour invasion (MVI) is unclear. We evaluated the impact of anticoagulation on thrombosis progression, bleeding events, and overall mortality, and assessed the efficacy of adequate management of varices as recommended for patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

HCC patients with MVI who had Child-Turcotte-Pugh A-B7 were included between Q4/2002 and Q2/2022. Localization of the tumour thrombus and changes at 3-6 months were evaluated by two radiologists. Univariable and multivariable logistic/Cox regression analyses included time-dependent variables (i.e., anticoagulation, systemic therapy, non-selective beta blocker treatment).

RESULTS

Of 124 patients included (male: n = 110, 89%), MVI involved the main portal vein in 47 patients (38%), and 49 individuals (40%) had additional non-tumorous thrombus apposition. Fifty of 80 patients (63%) with available endoscopy had varices. Twenty-four individuals (19%) received therapeutic anticoagulation and 94 patients (76%) were treated with effective systemic therapies. The use of therapeutic anticoagulation did not significantly affect the course of the malignant thrombosis at 3-6 months. Systemic therapy (aHR: 0.26 [95%CI: 0.16-0.40]) but not anticoagulation was independently associated with reduced all-cause mortality. In patients with known variceal status, adequate management of varices was independently associated with reduced risk of variceal bleeding (aHR: 0.12 [95%CI: 0.02-0.71]). In the whole cohort, non-selective beta blockers were independently associated with reduced risk of variceal bleeding or death from any cause (aHR: 0.69 [95%CI: 0.50-0.96]).

CONCLUSION

Adequate bleeding prophylaxis and systemic anti-tumour therapy but not anticoagulation were associated with improved outcomes in patients with HCC and MVI.

Lower free triiodothyronine (fT3) levels in cirrhosis are linked to systemic inflammation, higher risk of acute-on-chronic liver failure, and mortality

Background & Aims

Advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) may affect thyroid hormone homeostasis. We aimed to analyze the pituitary-thyroid axis in ACLD and the prognostic value of free triiodothyronine (fT3).

Methods

Patients with ACLD (liver stiffness measurement [LSM] ≥10 kPa) undergoing hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement between June 2009 and September 2022 and available fT3 levels were included. Clinical stages of ACLD were defined as follows: probable ACLD (pACLD; LSM ≥10 kPa and HVPG ≤5 mmHg), S0 (mild portal hypertension [PH]; HVPG 6-9 mmHg), S1 (clinically significant PH), S2 (clinically significant PH with varices), S3 (past variceal bleeding), S4 (past/current non-bleeding hepatic decompensation), and S5 (further decompensation).

Results

Among 297 patients with ACLD, 129 were compensated (pACLD, n = 10; S0, n = 33; S1, n = 42; S2, n = 44), whereas 168 were decompensated (S3, n = 12; S4, n = 97; S5, n = 59). Median levels of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) numerically increased with progressive ACLD stage (from 1.2 μIU/ml [pACLD] to 1.5 μIU/ml [S5]; p = 0.152), whereas fT3 decreased (from 3.2 pg/ml [pACLD] to 2.5 pg/ml [S5]; p <0.001). Free thyroxin levels remained unchanged (p = 0.338). TSH (aB 0.45; p = 0.046) and fT3 (aB -0.17; p = 0.048) were independently associated with systemic C-reactive protein levels. Lower fT3 was linked to higher risk of (further) decompensation (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio [asHR] 0.60; 95% CI 0.37-0.97; p = 0.037), acute-on-chronic liver failure (asHR 0.19; 95% CI 0.08-0.49; p <0.001) and liver-related death (asHR 0.14; 95% CI 0.04-0.51; p = 0.003).

Conclusions

Increasing TSH and declining fT3 levels are observed with progressive ACLD stages. The association of TSH and fT3 with systemic inflammation suggests a liver disease-associated non-thyroidal illness syndrome. Lower fT3 levels in patients with ACLD indicate increased risk for decompensation, acute-on-chronic liver failure, and liver-related death.

Impact and Implications

In a large well-characterized cohort of patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD), we found a decline of free triiodothyronine (fT3) throughout the clinical stages of ACLD, paralleled by a numerical increase of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH). This suggests a progressive development of a non-thyroidal illness syndrome in association with ACLD severity. Importantly, C-reactive protein independently correlated with TSH and fT3, linking thyroid dysbalance in ACLD to systemic inflammation. Lower fT3 indicated an increased risk for subsequent development of hepatic decompensation, acute-on-chronic liver failure, and liver-related death.

Clinical trial number

Vienna Cirrhosis Study (VICIS; NCT: NCT03267615).

Von Willebrand factor processing in patients with advanced chronic liver disease and its relation to portal hypertension and clinical outcome

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Endothelial dysfunction and portal hypertension (PH) are reflected by increased von Willebrand factor antigen (VWF-Ag) levels in advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). This study investigated VWF release and cleavage and their association with PH and clinical outcomes.

METHODS

Levels of VWF-Ag, VWF-N (VWF-propeptide), and VWF-A (VWF processed by the main VWF-cleaving protease ADAMTS13) were assessed in 229 patients with clinically stable ACLD (hepatic venous pressure gradient [HVPG] ≥ 6 mmHg; absence of bacterial infections or acute decompensation) undergoing HVPG-measurement. Liver-healthy individuals served as controls (n = 24).

RESULTS

VWF-Ag and VWF-N were similarly accurate for the identification of clinically significant PH (CSPH; HVPG ≥ 10 mmHg) in compensated ACLD (AUROC: VWF-Ag 0.748; VWF-N 0.728). ADAMTS13 activity was similar between patients with ACLD and controls and did not correlate with PH and disease severity, whereas VWF cleavage decreased in patients with CSPH (i.e., VWF-Ag/-A-ratio increased). In vitro VWF activity strongly reflected VWF-Ag levels (Spearman's r = 0.874, p < 0.001), but decreased (vs. controls) in patients with CSPH when normalized to VWF-Ag levels (VWF-activity/-Ag-ratio). VWF-Act/-Ag ratio correlated negatively with ADAMTS13 activity (r =- 0.256, p < 0.001). ADAMTS13 activity was independently predictive for (i) portal vein thrombosis (PVT) and (ii) hepatic decompensation or liver-related death.

CONCLUSIONS

VWF-Ag levels and its propeptide are similarly suitable surrogates of PH in patients with compensated ACLD. ADAMTS13-Act was not linked to disease and PH severity, however, when normalized to VWF-Ag, both VWF cleavage and VWF activity were decreased in patients with CSPH, as compared to liver-healthy individuals. Low ADAMTS13-Act was associated with presumably more procoagulant VWF and adverse outcomes.

CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER

NCT03267615.

Artificial intelligence-based pathology as a biomarker of sensitivity to atezolizumab-bevacizumab in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: a multicentre retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Clinical benefits of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (atezolizumab-bevacizumab) are observed only in a subset of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and the development of biomarkers is needed to improve therapeutic strategies. The atezolizumab-bevacizumab response signature (ABRS), assessed by molecular biology profiling techniques, has been shown to be associated with progression-free survival after treatment initiation. The primary objective of our study was to develop an artificial intelligence (AI) model able to estimate ABRS expression directly from histological slides, and to evaluate if model predictions were associated with progression-free survival.

METHODS

In this multicentre retrospective study, we developed a model (ABRS-prediction; ABRS-P), which was derived from the previously published clustering-constrained attention multiple instance learning (or CLAM) pipeline. We trained the model fit for regression analysis using a multicentre dataset from The Cancer Genome Atlas (patients treated by surgical resection, n=336). The ABRS-P model was externally validated on two independent series of samples from patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (a surgical resection series, n=225; and a biopsy series, n=157). The predictive value of the model was further tested in a series of biopsy samples from a multicentre cohort of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma treated with atezolizumab-bevacizumab (n=122). All samples in the study were from adults (aged ≥18 years). The validation sets were sampled between Jan 1, 2008, to Jan 1, 2023. For the multicentre validation set, the primary objective was to assess the association of high versus low ABRS-P values, defined relative to cross-validation median split thresholds in the first biopsy series, with progression-free survival after treatment initiation. Finally, we performed spatial transcriptomics and matched prediction heatmaps with in situ expression profiles.

FINDINGS

Of the 840 patients sampled, 641 (76%) were male and 199 (24%) were female. Across the development and validation datasets, hepatocellular carcinoma risk factors included alcohol intake, hepatitis B and C virus infections, and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis. Using cross-validation in the development series, the mean Pearson's correlation between ABRS-P values and ABRS score (mean expression of ABRS genes) was r=0·62 (SD 0·09; mean p<0·0001, SD<0·0001). The ABRS-P generalised well on the external validation series (surgical resection series, r=0·60 [95% CI 0·51-0·68], p<0·0001; biopsy series, r=0·53 [0·40-0·63], p<0·0001). In the 122 patients treated with atezolizumab-bevacizumab, those with ABRS-P-high tumours (n=74) showed significantly longer median progression-free survival than those with ABRS-P-low tumours (n=48) after treatment initiation (12 months [95% CI 7-not reached] vs 7 months [4-9]; p=0·014). Spatial transcriptomics showed significantly higher ABRS score, along with upregulation of various other immune effectors, in tumour areas with high ABRS-P values versus areas with low ABRS-P values.

INTERPRETATION

Our study indicates that AI applied on hepatocellular carcinoma digital slides is able to serve as a biomarker for progression-free survival in patients treated with atezolizumab-bevacizumab. This approach could be used in the development of inexpensive and fast biomarkers for targeted therapies. The combination of AI heatmaps with spatial transcriptomics provides insight on the molecular features associated with predictions. This methodology could be applied to other cancers or diseases and improve understanding of the biological mechanisms that drive responses to treatments.

FUNDING

Institut National du Cancer, Fondation ARC, China Scholarship Council, Ligue Contre le Cancer du Val de Marne, Fondation de l'Avenir, Ipsen, and Fondation Bristol Myers Squibb Pour la Recherche en Immuno-Oncologie.

Prognosticators of survival in patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer and ascites

BACKGROUND

Identification of factors associated with survival after ascites diagnosis in metastatic pancreatic cancer (mPC) patients may guide treatment decisions and help to maintain quality of life in this highly symptomatic patient collective.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

All patients treated for mPC at the Medical University of Vienna between 2010 and 2019 developing ascites throughout their course of disease were identified by retrospective chart review. General risk factors, metastatic sites, systemic inflammation and liver function parameters, as well as type of treatment after ascites diagnosis were investigated for associations with survival.

RESULTS

One hundred and seventeen mPC patients with ascites were included in this study. Median time from mPC to ascites diagnosis was 8.9 months (range 0-99 months) and median overall survival (OS) after ascites diagnosis was 27.4 days (range 21.3-42.6 days). Identified prognostic factors at ascites diagnosis independently associated with an impaired OS were presence of liver metastases [hazard ratio (HR): 2.07, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.13-3.79, P = 0.018), peritoneal carcinomatosis (HR: 1.74, 95% CI 1.11-2.71, P = 0.015), and portal vein obstruction (HR: 2.52, 95% CI 1.29-4.90, P = 0.007). Compared with best supportive care, continuation of systemic therapy after ascites diagnosis was independently associated with survival (HR: 0.35, 95% CI 0.20-0.61, P < 0.001) with a median OS of 62 days (95% CI 51-129 days, P < 0.001) versus 16 days (95% CI 11-24 days), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Liver and peritoneal metastases as well as portal vein obstruction were found to be prognostic factors after ascites diagnosis in mPC patients. Continuation of systemic therapy after ascites diagnosis was associated with a longer OS, which needs to be evaluated in larger clinical trials including quality-of-life assessment.

Baseline neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and platelet-lymphocyte ratio appear predictive of immune treatment related toxicity in hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

A well-recognized class effect of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) is immune-related adverse events (IrAEs) ranging from low grade toxicities to life-threatening end organ damage requiring permanent discontinuation of ICI. Deaths are reported in < 5% of patients treated with ICI. There are, however, no reliable markers to predict the onset and severity of IrAEs. We tested the association between neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) at baseline with development of clinically significant IrAEs (grade ≥ 2) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with ICI.

AIM

To test the association between NLR and PLR at baseline with development of clinically significant IrAEs (grade ≥ 2) in HCC patients treated with ICI.

METHODS

Data was extracted from an international database from a consortium of 11 tertiary-care referral centers. NLR = absolute neutrophil count/absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) and PLR = platelet count/ALC. Cutoff of 5 was used for NLR and 300 for PLR based on literature. We also tested the association between antibiotic and steroid exposure to IrAEs.

RESULTS

Data was collected from 361 patients treated between 2016-2020 across the United States (67%), Asia (14%) and Europe (19%). Most patients received Nivolumab (n = 255, 71%). One hundred sixty-seven (46%) patients developed at least one IrAE, highest grade 1 in 80 (48%), grade ≥ 2 in 87 (52%) patients. In a univariable regression model PLR > 300 was significantly associated with a lower incidence of grade ≥ 2 IrAEs (OR = 0.40; P = 0.044). Similarly, a trend was observed between NLR > 5 and lower incidence of grade ≥ 2 IrAEs (OR = 0.58; P = 0.097). Multivariate analyses confirmed PLR > 300 as an independent predictive marker of grade ≥ 2 IrAEs (OR = 0.26; P = 0.011), in addition to treatment with programmed cell death ligand 1 (PD-1)/cytotoxic T lymphocyte-associated protein-4 (OR = 2.57; P = 0.037) and PD-1/tyrosine kinase inhibitor (OR = 3.39; P = 0.01) combinations. Antibiotic use was not associated with IrAE incidence (OR = 1.02; P = 0.954). Patients treated with steroids had a > 2-fold higher incidence of grade ≥ 2 IrAEs (OR = 2.74; P < 0.001), although 74% were prescribed steroids for the treatment of IrAEs.

CONCLUSION

Given that high baseline NLR and PLR are associated with a decreased incidence of IrAEs, lower baseline NLR and PLR may be predictive biomarkers for the appearance of IrAEs in HCC treated with ICI. This finding is in keeping with several studies in solid tumors that have shown that baseline NLR and PLR appear predictive of IrAEs.

Mechanisms of Resistance to Immunotherapy in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Systemic treatment for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has been revolutionized over the last few years following the approval of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI). Despite the promising survival extension seen with ICI combination regimens, responses are not universally seen and the optimal partner for programmed cell death 1 pathway inhibitors remains to be identified. Even fewer encouraging results have been demonstrated with ICI used for monotherapy. Several mechanisms of resistance have been described so far, involving characteristics of cancer cells (intrinsic mechanisms) and of the surrounding tumor microenvironment (extrinsic mechanisms). Factors related to therapy may also contribute to the development of resistance. Increasing research efforts are being dedicated to the discovery of novel approaches and targets to overcome resistance, some of which may be introduced into clinic in the future. Herein we describe a selection of resistance mechanisms that have been involved in impairing response to ICI and propose potential therapeutic approaches to overcome resistance.

Efficacy and safety of atezolizumab/bevacizumab in patients with HCC after prior systemic therapy: A global, observational study

BACKGROUND

Since the introduction of the combination treatment of anti-programmed death-ligand 1 antibody atezolizumab and anti-VEGF antibody bevacizumab (AB), median overall survival in HCC has drastically improved. However, evidence on the efficacy and safety of the novel treatment standard in patients with prior exposure to systemic treatment is scarce. The aim of this global, multicenter, observational study was to evaluate the efficacy and safety of AB in patients after previous systemic therapy.

METHODS

We screened our global, multicenter, prospectively maintained registry database for patients who received any systemic therapy before AB. The primary end point was overall survival; secondary end points were time-to-progression, progression-free survival, objective response rate, and safety (rate and severity of adverse events).

RESULTS

Among 493 patients who received AB for unresectable HCC, 61 patients received prior systemic therapy and were included in this analysis. The median age of the study population was 66 years, with 91.8% males. Predominant risk factors for HCC were viral hepatitis (59%) and alcohol (23%). Overall survival for AB was 16.2 (95% CI, 14.5-17.9) months, time-to-progression and progression-free survival were 4.1 (95% CI, 1.5-6.6) and 3.1 (95% CI, 1.1-5.1) months, respectively. The objective response rate was 38.2% (7.3% with complete and 30.9% with partial response). Overall survival was not influenced by treatment line (2nd vs. >2nd) or previous systemic treatment modality (tyrosine kinase inhibitors vs. immune checkpoint inhibitors). Treatment-related adverse events of all grades according to Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events were documented in 42.6% of patients, with only 13.1% of grade ≥3, including one death.

CONCLUSION

In this observational study, AB emerges as a safe and efficacious treatment option in patients with HCC previously treated with other systemic therapy.

Etiological cure prevents further decompensation and mortality in patients with cirrhosis with ascites as the single first decompensating event

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Removal/suppression of the primary etiological factor reduces the risk of decompensation and mortality in compensated cirrhosis. However, in decompensated cirrhosis, the impact of etiologic treatment is less predictable. We aimed to evaluate the impact of etiological treatment in patients with cirrhosis who developed ascites as single index decompensating event.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

Patients with cirrhosis and ascites as single first decompensation event were included and followed until death, liver transplantation, or Q3/2021. The etiology was considered "cured" (alcohol abstinence, hepatitis C cure, and hepatitis B suppression) versus "controlled" (partial removal of etiologic factors) versus "uncontrolled." A total of 622 patients were included in the study. Etiology was "cured" in 146 patients (24%), "controlled" in 170 (27%), and "uncontrolled" in 306 (49%). During follow-up, 350 patients (56%) developed further decompensation. In multivariable analysis (adjusted for age, sex, varices, etiology, Child-Pugh class, creatinine, sodium, and era of decompensation), etiological cure was independently associated with a lower risk of further decompensation (HR: 0.46; p = 0.001). During follow-up, 250 patients (40.2%) died, while 104 (16.7%) underwent LT. In multivariable analysis, etiological cure was independently associated with a lower mortality risk (HR: 0.35, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with cirrhosis and ascites as single first decompensating event, the cure of liver disease etiology represents a main treatment goal since this translates into considerably lower risks of further decompensation and mortality.

Dynamics in Liver Stiffness Measurements Predict Outcomes in Advanced Chronic Liver Disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Liver stiffness measurements (LSMs) provide an opportunity to monitor liver disease progression and regression noninvasively. We aimed to determine the prognostic relevance of LSM dynamics over time for liver-related events and death in patients with chronic liver disease.

METHODS

Patients with chronic liver disease undergoing 2 or more reliable LSMs at least 180 days apart were included in this retrospective cohort study and stratified at baseline (BL) as nonadvanced chronic liver disease (non-ACLD, BL-LSM < 10 kPa), compensated ACLD (cACLD; BL-LSM ≥ 10 kPa), and decompensated ACLD. Data on all consecutive LSMs and clinical outcomes were collected.

RESULTS

There were 2508 patients with 8561 reliable LSMs (3 per patient; interquartile range, 2-4) included: 1647 (65.7%) with non-ACLD, 757 (30.2%) with cACLD, and 104 (4.1%) with decompensated ACLD. Seven non-ACLD patients (0.4%) and 83 patients with cACLD (10.9%) developed hepatic decompensation (median follow-up, 71 months). A 20% increase in LSM at any time was associated with an approximately 50% increased risk of hepatic decompensation (hazard ratio, 1.58; 95% CI, 1.41-1.79; P < .001) and liver-related death (hazard ratio, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.28-1.68; P < .001) in patients with cACLD. LSM dynamics yielded a high accuracy to predict hepatic decompensation in the following 12 months (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve = 0.933). The performance of LSM dynamics was numerically better than dynamics in Fibrosis-4 score (0.873), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (0.835), and single time-point LSM (BL-LSM: 0.846; second LSM: 0.880). Any LSM decrease to <20 kPa identified patients with cACLD with a substantially lower risk of hepatic decompensation (hazard ratio, 0.13; 95% CI, 0.07-0.24). If reliable, LSM also confers prognostic information in decompensated ACLD.

CONCLUSIONS

Repeating LSM enables an individual and updated risk assessment for decompensation and liver-related mortality in ACLD.

Transversal psoas muscle thickness measurement is associated with response and survival in patients with HCC undergoing immunotherapy

BACKGROUND

Sarcopenia is a common problem in patients with HCC. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic and predictive value of baseline transversal psoas muscle thickness (TPMT) measurement in patients with HCC undergoing immunotherapy.

METHODS

HCC patients treated with programmed death ligand 1-based therapies between June 2016 and October 2022 at the Vienna General Hospital (n = 80) and the Hôpital Beaujon Clichy (n = 96) were included and followed until April 2023. TPMT at the level of the third lumbar vertebra was measured independently by 2 radiologists to evaluate interreader reliability. TPMT <12 mm/m in men and <8 mm/m in women indicated sarcopenia.

RESULTS

Overall, 176 patients (age: 66.3±11.7 y; male: n=143, 81%, Barcelona-Clinic Liver Cancer C: n=121, 69%) were included, of which 131 (74%) exhibited cirrhosis. Interreader agreement for the diagnosis of sarcopenia based on TPMT was 92.6%, and Cohen κ showed a "strong agreement" [κ = 0.84 (95% CI: 0.75-0.92)]. Sarcopenia, present in 58 patients (33%), was associated with shorter median overall survival [7.2 (95% CI: 5.0-9.5) vs. 22.6 (95% CI: 16.4-28.8 months); p < 0.001] and median progression-free survival [3.4 (95% CI: 0.2-6.8) vs. 7.9 (95% CI: 5.8-9.9 months), p = 0.001], and an independent predictor of overall [adjusted HR: 1.63 (95% CI: 1.07-2.48)] and progression-free mortality [adjusted HR: 1.54 (95% CI: 1.06-2.23)] in multivariable analyses. The objective response rate [evaluable in 162 subjects (92.0%)] per modified Response Evaluation Criteria In Solid Tumors (mRECIST) in patients with and without sarcopenia was 22% and 39%, respectively (p = 0.029). Survival and radiological responses were worse in patients with sarcopenia and systemic inflammation [median overall survival: 6.1 (95% CI: 3.6-8.6) mo; median progression-free survival: 2.8 (95% CI: 2.1-3.4) mo; objective response rate=16%; disease control rate=39%].

CONCLUSIONS

Evaluation of sarcopenia using TPMT measurement is reliable and identifies HCC patients with a dismal prognosis and response to immunotherapy.

Diabetes impairs the haemodynamic response to non-selective betablockers in compensated cirrhosis and predisposes to hepatic decompensation

BACKGROUND

Non-selective betablockers (NSBBs) reduce the risk of hepatic decompensation in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). Metabolic co-morbidities (MetC) are increasingly observed in cACLD patients.

AIMS

To investigate the impact of MetC on the haemodynamic effects of NSBB and hepatic decompensation in cACLD.

METHODS

cACLD patients undergoing paired hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurements before/under NSBB therapy were retrospectively considered for this study. We recorded baseline characteristics on MetC (obesity, dyslipidaemia and diabetes), as well as hepatic decompensation and liver-related mortality during follow-up.

RESULTS

We included 92 patients (Child-A n = 80, 87%; Child-B n = 12, 13%). MetC were found in 34 (37%) patients: 19 (20.7%) with obesity, 14 (15.2%) with dyslipidaemia and 23 (34.8%) with diabetes. The median baseline HVPG of 18 (IQR:15-21) mmHg decreased to 15 (IQR:9-12) mmHg under NSBB. HVPG-response (decrease ≥10% or to ≤12 mmHg) was achieved in 60 (65.2.%) patients. Patients with diabetes (OR: 0.35, p = 0.021) and higher BMI (OR: 0.89 per kg/m2 , p = 0.031) were less likely to achieve HVPG-response. During a median follow-up of 2.3 (0.5-4.2) years, 18 (19.5%) patients experienced hepatic decompensation. Child-B (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio, aSHR: 4.3 [95% CI:1.5-12.2], p = 0.006), HVPG-response (aSHR: 0.3 [95% CI:0.1-0.9], p = 0.037) and diabetes (aSHR: 2.8 [95% CI:1.1-7.2], p = 0.036) were independently associated with hepatic decompensation.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with cACLD, diabetes and a higher BMI impair the HVPG-response to NSBB. Furthermore, diabetes-independently from Child B and lack of HVPG-response-increases the risk of hepatic decompensation.

Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors for Child-Pugh Class B Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Importance

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) are increasingly used in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, data on ICI therapy in patients with advanced HCC and impaired liver function are scarce.

Objective

To conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine the efficacy and safety of ICI treatment for advanced HCC with Child-Pugh B liver function.

Data Sources

PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library were searched for relevant studies from inception through June 15, 2022.

Study Selection

Randomized clinical trials, cohort studies, or single-group studies that investigated the efficacy or safety of ICI therapy for Child-Pugh B advanced HCC were included.

Data Extraction and Synthesis

The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis guideline was followed to extract data. A random-effects model was adopted if the heterogeneity was significant (I2 > 50%); otherwise, a fixed-effect model was used.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The objective response rate (ORR) and overall survival (OS) were considered to be the primary efficacy outcomes of ICI treatment for Child-Pugh B advanced HCC, and the incidence of treatment-related adverse events (trAEs) was set as the primary measure for the safety outcome.

Results

A total of 22 studies including 699 patients with Child-Pugh B and 2114 with Child-Pugh A advanced HCC comprised the analytic sample (median age range, 53-73 years). Upon pooled analysis, patients treated with ICIs in the Child-Pugh B group had an ORR of 14% (95% CI, 11%-17%) and disease control rate (DCR) of 46% (95% CI, 36%-56%), with a median OS of 5.49 (95% CI, 3.57-7.42) months and median progression-free survival of 2.68 (95% CI, 1.85-3.52) months. The rate of any grade trAEs in the Child-Pugh B group was 40% (95% CI, 34%-47%) and of grade 3 or higher trAEs was 12% (95% CI, 6%-23%). Compared with the Child-Pugh A group, the ORR (odds ratio, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.43-0.81; P < .001) and DCR (odds ratio, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.50-0.81; P < .001) were lower in the Child-Pugh B group. Child-Pugh B was independently associated with worse OS in patients with advanced HCC treated with ICIs (hazard ratio, 2.72 [95% CI, 2.34-3.16]; adjusted hazard ratio, 2.33 [95% CI, 1.81-2.99]). However, ICIs were not associated with increased trAEs in the Child-Pugh B group.

Conclusions and Relevance

The findings of this systematic review and meta-analysis suggest that although the safety of ICI treatment was comparable between patients with HCC with vs without advanced liver disease and the treatment resulted in a significant number of radiologic responses, survival outcomes are still inferior in patients with worse liver function. More study is needed to determine the effectiveness of ICI treatment in this population.

Hepatic recompensation according to Baveno VII criteria is linked to a significant survival benefit in decompensated alcohol-related cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Removing the primary aetiological factor in decompensated cirrhosis may lead to a restoration of hepatic function. In this study, we investigated the clinical implications of recompensation and the subsequent survival in patients with decompensated alcohol-related cirrhosis.

METHODS

The rate of recompensation was evaluated in patients with decompensated alcohol-related cirrhosis and persistent alcohol abstinence undergoing a hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement. Recompensation was defined according to Baveno VII criteria as resolution of ascites and hepatic encephalopathy, absence of variceal bleeding and improvement in liver function.

RESULTS

Two hundred and four abstinent patients with decompensated alcohol-related cirrhosis (age: 57.2 [IQR:50.1-63.7] years; 75.0% male; median MELD: 15 [IQR:11-19]) and a median HVPG of 20 (IQR:18-24) mmHg were included. During a median follow-up of 24.4 (IQR:10.9-50.4) months, 37 patients (18.1%) achieved abstinence-induced recompensation. Lower baseline HVPG, lower Child-Pugh score, lower BMI, higher albumin and higher mean arterial pressure were linked to a higher probability of recompensation. After adjusting for age, disease severity, portal hypertension and systemic inflammation, achieving recompensation resulted in a significant and considerable reduction in liver-related mortality (adjusted HR: 0.091 [95% CI: 0.012-0.677]; p = .019). Only 13 patients (6.4%) developed hepatocellular carcinoma, with a tendency towards a lower risk upon recompensation (HR: 0.398 [95% CI: 0.084-1.878]; p = .245), yet this finding did not reach statistical significance and requires further investigation.

CONCLUSIONS

Alcohol abstinence led to recompensation in 18.1% of our cohort of HVPG-characterised patients with decompensated alcohol-related cirrhosis. Achieving hepatic recompensation resulted in a >90% risk reduction in liver-related mortality.

Impact of body mass index in patients receiving atezolizumab plus bevacizumab for hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (Atezo/Bev) is first line-treatment for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Body mass index (BMI) has demonstrated predictive value for response to immunotherapy in non-HCC cancer types. Our study investigated the effect of BMI on safety and efficacy of real-life use of Atezo/Bev for unresectable HCC.

METHODS

191 consecutive patients from seven centres receiving Atezo/Bev were included in the retrospective study. Overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), overall response rate (ORR) and disease control rate (DCR) defined by RECIST v1.1 were measured in overweight (BMI ≥ 25) and non-overweight (BMI < 25) patients. Treatment-related adverse events (trAEs) were evaluated.

RESULTS

Patients in the overweight cohort (n = 94) had higher rates of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and lower rates of Hepatitis B compared to non-overweight cohort (n = 97). Baseline Child-Pugh class and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage were similar between cohorts, with lower rates of extrahepatic spread in the overweight group. Overweight patients had similar OS compared to non-overweight (median OS 15.1 vs. 14.9 months; p = 0.99). BMI did not influence median PFS (7.1 vs. 6.1 months; p = 0.42), ORR (27.2% vs. 22.0%; p = 0.44) and DCR (74.1% vs. 71.9%; p = 0.46). There were higher rates of atezolizumab-related fatigue (22.3% vs. 10.3%; p = 0.02) and bevacizumab-related thrombosis (8.5% vs. 2.1%; p = 0.045) in the overweight patients, but overall trAEs and treatment discontinuation were comparable between cohorts.

CONCLUSION

Atezo/Bev has comparable efficacy in overweight HCC patients, with an increase in treatment-related fatigue and thrombosis. Combination therapy is safe and efficacious to use in overweight patients, including those with underlying NAFLD.

The impact of transmembrane 6 superfamily 2 (TM6SF2) rs58542926 on liver-related events in patients with advanced chronic liver disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Genetic factors such as the transmembrane 6 superfamily 2 (TM6SF2) rs58542926 single nucleotide variant(SNV) modulate the susceptibility for (advanced) chronic liver disease ([A]CLD). However, the impact of this variant in patients who have already progressed to ACLD is unknown.

METHODS

The association between TM6SF2-rs58542926 genotype and liver-related events was evaluated in 938 ACLD patients undergoing hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement.

RESULTS

Mean HVPG was 15±7 mmHg and mean UNOS MELD (2016) 11±5 points. Viral hepatitis (n = 495, 53%) was the most common cause of ACLD, followed by alcohol-related (ARLD; n = 342, 37%) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD; n = 101, 11%). While 754 (80%) patients harboured the TM6SF2 wild-type (C/C), 174 (19%) and 10 (1%) patients had one or two T-alleles. At baseline, patients with at least one TM6SF2 T-allele had more pronounced portal hypertension (HVPG: 16±7 vs. 15±7 mmHg; p = 0.031), higher gamma-glutamyl transferase levels (123 [63-229] vs. 97 [55-174] UxL-1; p = 0.002), and more commonly hepatocellular carcinoma (17% vs. 12%; p = 0.049). Harbouring the TM6SF2 T-allele was associated with the composite endpoint hepatic decompensation/liver transplantation/liver-related death (SHR: 1.44 [95%CI: 1.14-1.83]; p = 0.003). This was confirmed in multivariable competing risk regression analyses that were adjusted for severity of portal hypertension and hepatic dysfunction at baseline.

CONCLUSION

The TM6SF2 variant modulates liver disease progression beyond the development of ACLD, as it modifies the risks of hepatic decompensation and liver-related death, independently of baseline liver disease severity.

An impaired pituitary-adrenal signalling axis in stable cirrhosis is linked to worse prognosis

Background & Aims

Inadequate adrenal function has been described in patients with cirrhosis. We investigated (i) the pituitary-adrenal axis at different clinical stages and (ii) the clinical impact of decreased serum cortisol levels in stable patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD).

Methods

We included 137 outpatients with ACLD undergoing hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement in the prospective VICIS study (NCT03267615). Patients were stratified into six clinical stages: S0: subclinical portal hypertension (PH) (HVPG 6-9 mmHg), S1: clinically significant PH (HVPG ≥10 mmHg) without varices, S2: presence of varices, S3: previous variceal bleeding, S4: previous non-bleeding decompensation, and S5: further decompensation.

Results

Fifty-one patients had compensated ACLD (S0: n = 13; S1: n = 12; S2: n = 26), whereas 86 patients had decompensated ACLD (S3: n = 7; S4: n = 46; S5: n = 33). Serum total cortisol (t-Cort) showed a strong correlation with estimated serum free cortisol (f-Cort; Spearman's ρ: 0.889). With progressive clinical stage, median ACTH levels (from S0: 44.0 pg/ml to S5: 20.0 pg/ml; p = 0.006), t-Cort (from S0: 13.9 μg/dl to S5: 9.2 μg/dl; p = 0.091), and cortisol binding globulin (from S0: 49.3 μg/ml to S5: 38.9 μg/ml; p <0.001) decreased, whereas f-Cort (p = 0.474) remained unchanged. Lower t-Cort levels independently predicted bacterial infections (asHR: 1.11; 95% CI: 1.04-1.19; p = 0.002), further decompensation (asHR: 1.08; 95% CI: 1.02-1.12; p = 0.008), acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF; asHR: 1.11; 95% CI: 1.04-1.19; p = 0.002), and liver-related death (asHR: 1.09; 95% CI: 1.01-1.18; p = 0.045).

Conclusions

The pituitary-ACTH-adrenal-cortisol axis is progressively suppressed with increasing severity of cirrhosis. Lower t-Cort is an independent risk factor for bacterial infections, further decompensation of ACLF, and liver-related mortality-even in stable outpatients with cirrhosis.

Clinical trial number

Vienna Cirrhosis Study (VICIS; NCT: NCT03267615).

Impact and Implications

In a cohort of stable outpatients, we observed progressive suppression of the pituitary-adrenal axis with increasing clinical stage of advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). Increased levels of bile acids and systemic inflammation (assessed by interleukin-6 levels) could be involved in this suppression. Serum total cortisol (t-Cort) was strongly correlated with serum free cortisol (f-Cort) and lower t-Cort levels were independently associated with a higher risk of adverse clinical outcomes, including bacterial infections, further decompensation, acute-on-chronic liver failure, and liver-related death.

Alcohol Abstinence Improves Prognosis Across All Stages of Portal Hypertension in Alcohol-Related Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Alcohol-related liver disease is a leading cause of liver-related mortality. The effect of alcohol abstinence on the natural history of alcohol-related cirrhosis across distinct stages of portal hypertension has not been thoroughly investigated. In this study, we assessed the clinical implications of abstinence in patients with alcohol-related cirrhosis and clinically significant portal hypertension.

METHODS

Alcohol abstinence, hepatic decompensation, and mortality were assessed in patients with alcohol-related cirrhosis who underwent a baseline hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement and were diagnosed with clinically significant portal hypertension (HVPG ≥10 mm Hg).

RESULTS

A total of 320 patients with alcohol-related cirrhosis (median age: 57 [interquartile range (IQR), 49.7-63.1] years; 75.6% male; 87.5% decompensated) and a median HVPG of 20 (IQR, 17-23) mm Hg were followed up for a median of 36 (IQR, 14-80) months. Overall, 241 (75.3%) patients remained abstinent, while 79 (24.7%) patients had active alcohol consumption. Alcohol abstinence was linked to a significantly reduced risk of hepatic decompensation (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.391; P < .001), as well as liver-related (aHR, 0.428; P < .001) and all-cause (aHR, 0.453; P < .001) mortality, after adjusting for baseline HVPG, MELD, and previous decompensation. Importantly, alcohol abstinence significantly reduced the cumulative incidence of hepatic decompensation in both groups with HVPG 10-19 mm Hg (P < .001) and HVPG ≥20 mm Hg (P = .002). The 3-year decompensation probability was 32.4% vs 60.0% in HVPG 10-19 mm Hg and 57.5% vs 82.6% in HVPG ≥20 mm Hg for abstinent patients vs active drinkers, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Alcohol abstinence improves prognosis across all stages of portal hypertension in alcohol-related cirrhosis, including in patients who have already progressed to high-risk portal hypertension. (ClinicalTrials.gov, Number: NCT03267615).

Carvedilol Achieves Higher Hemodynamic Response and Lower Rebleeding Rates Than Propranolol in Secondary Prophylaxis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Carvedilol induces stronger decreases in hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) than conventional nonselective β-blockers (ie, propranolol). Limited data exist on the efficacy of carvedilol in secondary prophylaxis of variceal bleeding.

METHODS

Patients undergoing paired HVPG measurements for guiding secondary prophylaxis with either carvedilol or propranolol were included in this retrospective analysis. All patients also underwent band ligation. Changes in HVPG and systemic hemodynamics were compared between the 2 groups. Long-term follow-up data on rebleeding, acute kidney injury, nonbleeding decompensation, and liver-related death were analyzed applying competing risk regression.

RESULTS

Eighty-seven patients (carvedilol/propranolol, n = 45/42) were included in our study. The median baseline HVPG was 21 mm Hg (interquartile range, 18-24 mm Hg), and 39.1%/48.3%/12.6% had Child-Turcotte-Pugh A/B/C cirrhosis, respectively. Upon nonselective β-blocker initiation, HVPG decreased more strongly in carvedilol users (median relative decrease, -20% [interquartile range: -29% to -10%] vs -11% [-22% to -5%] for propranolol; P = .027), who also achieved chronic HVPG response more often (53.3% vs 28.6%; P = .034). Cumulative incidences for rebleeding (Gray test, P = .027) and liver-related death (P = .036) were significantly lower in patients taking carvedilol compared with propranolol. Notably, ascites development/worsening also was observed less commonly in carvedilol patients (P = .012). Meanwhile, acute kidney injury rates did not differ between the 2 groups (P = .255). Stratifying patients by HVPG response status yielded similar results. The prognostic value of carvedilol intake was confirmed in competing risk regression models.

CONCLUSIONS

Carvedilol induces more marked reductions in HVPG than propranolol in secondary prophylaxis of variceal bleeding, and thus is associated with lower rates of rebleeding, liver-related death, and further nonbleeding decompensation.

Bacterial translocation occurs early in cirrhosis and triggers a selective inflammatory response

BACKGROUND

Experimental data suggest that bacterial translocation (BT) promotes systemic inflammation, portal hypertension, and circulatory dysfunction in advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD).

METHODS

Patients with ACLD undergoing hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement and absence of acute decompensation or infections were included (n = 249). Serum biomarkers of BT (lipopolysaccharide [LPS], lipoteichoic acid [LTA], bacterial DNA [bactDNA]), systemic inflammation and markers of circulatory dysfunction were assessed. T-cell subsets in intestinal biopsies (n = 7 ACLD, n = 4 controls) were analyzed by flow cytometry.

RESULTS

Patients had a median HVPG of 18 (12-21) mmHg and 56% had decompensated ACLD. LPS (0.04 [0.02-0.06] vs. 0.64 [0.30-1.06] EU/mL), LTA (4.53 [3.58-5.97] vs. 43.2 [23.2-109] pg/mL), and detection of bactDNA (≥ 5 pg/mL; 5% vs. 41%) were markedly higher in patients with ACLD than healthy controls (n = 40; p < 0.001) but were similar between different clinical stages of compensated and decompensated ACLD and displayed no meaningful correlation with HVPG and systemic hemodynamics. TNF-α and IL-10 correlated with LPS (Spearman's rs = 0.523, p < 0.001/rs = 0.143, p = 0.024) but not with LTA. Presence of bactDNA was associated with higher LPS (0.54 [0.28-0.95] vs. 0.88 [0.32-1.31] EU/mL, p = 0.001) and TNF-α (15.3 [6.31-28.1] vs. 20.9 [13.8-32.9] pg/mL). Patients with ACLD exhibited a decreased CD4:CD8-ratio and increased TH1-cells in the intestinal mucosa as compared to controls. During a median FU of 14.7 (8.20-26.5) months, bacterial antigens did not predict decompensation or liver-related death (in contrast to HVPG, IL-6, and MAP) as well as infections at 24 months.

CONCLUSION

BT occurs already in early ACLD stages and triggers a systemic inflammatory response via TNF-α and IL-10. Interestingly, BT markers showed no clear correlation with portal hypertension and circulatory dysfunction in patients with stable ACLD.

CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER

NCT03267615.

Anticoagulation improves survival in patients with cirrhosis and portal vein thrombosis: The IMPORTAL competing-risk meta-analysis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Previous meta-analyses demonstrated the safety and efficacy of anticoagulation in the recanalization of portal vein thrombosis in patients with cirrhosis. Whether this benefit translates into improved survival is unknown. We conducted an individual patient data (IPD) meta-analysis to assess the effect of anticoagulation on all-cause mortality in patients with cirrhosis and portal vein thrombosis.

METHODS

In this IPD meta-analysis, we selected studies comparing anticoagulation vs. no treatment in patients with cirrhosis and portal vein thrombosis from PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane databases (until June 2020) (PROSPERO no.: CRD42020140026). IPD were subsequently requested from authors. The primary outcome - the effect of anticoagulation on all-cause mortality - was assessed by a one-step meta-analysis based on a competing-risk model with liver transplantation as the competing event. The model was adjusted for clinically relevant confounders. A multilevel mixed-effects logistic regression model was used to determine the effect of anticoagulation on recanalization.

RESULTS

Individual data on 500 patients from five studies were included; 205 (41%) received anticoagulation and 295 did not. Anticoagulation reduced all-cause mortality (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio 0.59; 95% CI 0.49-0.70), independently of thrombosis severity and recanalization. The effect of anticoagulation on all-cause mortality was consistent with a reduction in liver-related mortality. The recanalization rate was higher in the anticoagulation arm (adjusted odds ratio 3.45; 95% CI 2.22-5.36). The non-portal-hypertension-related bleeding rate was significantly greater in the anticoagulation group.

CONCLUSIONS

Anticoagulation reduces all-cause mortality in patients with cirrhosis and portal vein thrombosis independently of recanalization, but at the expense of increasing non-portal hypertension-related bleeding.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42020140026.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

Anticoagulation is effective in promoting recanalization of portal vein thrombosis in patients with cirrhosis, but whether this benefit translates into improved survival is controversial. Our individual patient data meta-analysis based on a competing-risk model with liver transplantation as the competing event shows that anticoagulation reduces all-cause mortality in patients with cirrhosis and portal vein thrombosis independently of recanalization. According to our findings, portal vein thrombosis may identify a group of patients with cirrhosis that benefit from long-term anticoagulation.

Austrian consensus on the diagnosis and management of portal hypertension in advanced chronic liver disease (Billroth IV)

The Billroth IV consensus was developed during a consensus meeting of the Austrian Society of Gastroenterology and Hepatology (ÖGGH) and the Austrian Society of Interventional Radiology (ÖGIR) held on the 26th of November 2022 in Vienna.Based on international recommendations and considering recent landmark studies, the Billroth IV consensus provides guidance regarding the diagnosis and management of portal hypertension in advanced chronic liver disease.

Immune checkpoint inhibitors in hepatocellular carcinoma: emerging challenges in clinical practice

Systemic therapy for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma has expanded at an unprecedented pace over the past 5 years. After tyrosine kinase inhibitors dominated the field for more than a decade, immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI)-based therapies have become the main component in systemic first-line treatment of this cancer. Delivery of immunotherapy in routine clinical practice recognises several challenges. In this Viewpoint, we discuss the major gaps in knowledge around the role of ICI-based therapies in patients with Child-Pugh class B. We discuss the challenges in individuals with rare histological subtypes of primary liver cancer, including combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma, fibrolamellar hepatocellular carcinoma, and sarcomatoid hepatocellular carcinoma. We also review data on ICI rechallenge in patients previously treated with ICIs, and discuss atypical patterns of progression related to immunotherapy (ie, hyperprogressive disease and pseudoprogression).

Association between antibiotics and adverse oncological outcomes in patients receiving targeted or immune-based therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma

Background & Aims

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) alone or in combination with other ICIs or vascular endothelial growth factor pathway inhibitors are therapeutic options in unresectable/metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Whether antibiotic (ATB) exposure affects outcome remains unclear.

Methods

This study retrospectively analysed an FDA database including 4,098 patients receiving ICI (n = 842) either as monotherapy (n = 258) or in combination (n = 584), tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) (n = 1,968), vascular endothelial growth factor pathway inhibitors (n = 480), or placebo (n = 808) as part of nine international clinical trials. Exposure to ATB within 30 days before or after treatment initiation was correlated with overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) across therapeutic modality before and after inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW).

Results

Of 4,098 patients with unresectable/metastatic HCC, of which 39% were of hepatitis B aetiology and 21% were of hepatitis C aetiology, 83% were males with a median age of 64 years (range 18-88), a European Collaborative Oncology Group performance status of 0 (60%), and Child-Pugh A class (98%). Overall, ATB exposure (n = 620, 15%) was associated with shorter median PFS (3.6 months in ATB-exposed vs. 4.2 months; hazard ratio [HR] 1.29; 95% CI 1.22, 1.36) and OS (8.7 months in ATB-exposed vs. 10.6 months; HR 1.36; 95% CI 1.29, 1.43). In IPTW analyses, ATB was associated with shorter PFS in patients treated with ICI (HR 1.52; 95% CI 1.34, 1.73), TKI (HR 1.29; 95% CI 1.19, 1.39), and placebo (HR 1.23; 95% CI 1.11, 1.37). Similar results were observed in IPTW analyses of OS in patients treated with ICI (HR 1.22; 95% CI 1.08, 1.38), TKI (HR 1.40; 95% CI 1.30, 1.52), and placebo (HR 1.40; 95% CI 1.25, 1.57).

Conclusions

Unlike other malignancies where the detrimental effect of ATB may be more prominent in ICI recipients, ATB is associated with worse outcomes in this study across different therapies for HCC including placebo. Whether ATB is causally linked to worse outcomes through disruption of the gut-liver axis remains to be demonstrated in translational studies.

Impact and Implications

A growing body of evidence suggests the host microbiome, frequently altered by antibiotic treatment, as an important outcome predictor in the context of immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy. In this study, we analysed the effects of early antibiotic exposure on outcomes in almost 4,100 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma treated within nine multicentre clinical trials. Interestingly, early exposure to antibiotic treatment was associated with worse outcomes not only in patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors but also in those treated with tyrosine kinase inhibitors and placebo. This is in contrast to data published in other malignancies, where the detrimental effect of antibiotic treatment may be more prominent in immune checkpoint inhibitor recipients, highlighting the uniqueness of hepatocellular carcinoma given the complex interplay between cirrhosis, cancer, risk of infection, and the pleiotropic effect of molecular therapies for this disease.

Liver Transplantation for Porto-sinusoidal Vascular Liver Disorder: Long-term Outcome

BACKGROUND

Porto-sinusoidal vascular liver disorder (PSVD) is a rare disease that occasionally requires liver transplantation (LT), despite usually presenting preserved liver function. There remains a paucity of data pertaining to LT in PSVD. The aim was to identify features associated with post-LT outcomes in PSVD.

METHODS

Retrospective multicentre study of 79 patients who received LT for PSVD.

RESULTS

Median post-LT follow-up was 37 (range 1-261) mo. Refractory ascites 24 (30%), hepatic encephalopathy 16 (20%), and hepatopulmonary syndrome 13 (16.3%) were the most frequent indications for LT. Hepatocellular carcinoma was the indication in only 2 patients. Twenty-four patients died, 7 due to liver and 17 to non-liver related causes. Post-LT survival was 82.2%, 80.7%, and 68.6% at 1, 2, and 5 y, respectively. Post-LT survival was significantly better in patients without (n = 58) than in those with a persistent severe PSVD-associated condition (n = 21). Pre-LT hyperbilirubinemia levels and creatinine >100 µmol/L were also independently associated with poor survival. Six patients (7.6%) required a second LT. Recurrence of PSVD was confirmed by liver biopsy in only 1 patient and in 3 further patients it was likely.

CONCLUSIONS

LT in PSVD is associated with an acceptable outcome in the absence of associated severe conditions. However, persistence of a severe associated condition, pre-LT high bilirubin levels, or creatinine >100 µmol/L impact outcome, and these are features that should be considered when evaluating PSVD patients for LT. PSVD recurrence is possible after LT and needs to be explored, at least, in cases of posttransplant portal hypertension.

Dysregulated biomarkers of innate and adaptive immunity predict infections and disease progression in cirrhosis

Background & Aims

Cirrhosis-associated immune dysfunction (CAID) affects both innate and adaptive immunity. This study investigated the complement system, immunoglobulins, and acute-phase proteins and their prognostic relevance in patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD).

Methods

Patients with ACLD (hepatic venous pressure gradient [HVPG] ≥6 mmHg) but without acute decompensation/infections were characterised by HVPG and by clinical EASL stages: compensated (cACLD; S0-2) vs. decompensated ACLD (dACLD) with previous variceal bleeding (S3), non-bleeding decompensation (S4), or further decompensation (S5). Complement factors (C3c, C4, CH50), immunoglobulins (IgA, IgM, IgG, IgG1-4), acute-phase proteins and systemic inflammation biomarkers (white blood cells, C-reactive protein, IL-6, procalcitonin) were measured.

Results

A total of 245 patients (median model for end-stage liver disease score: 11 [9-15], median HVPG: 17 [12-21] mmHg) were included with 150 (61%) presenting dACLD. Complement levels and activity significantly decreased in dACLD substages S4 and S5 (p <0.001). Total IgA/IgM/IgG and IgG1-4 subtype levels increased in patients with dACLD (all p <0.05). Complement and immunoglobulin levels correlated negatively and positively, respectively, with systemic inflammation (all p <0.05). High IgG-1 (adjusted hazard ratio per 100 mg/dl: 1.12, 1.04-1.19, p = 0.002) and IL-6 (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.03, 1.00-1.05, p = 0.023) levels predicted the development of infections during follow-up. High IgA (stratified by median; log-rank p <0.001), high IgG1 (log-rank p = 0.043) and low C3c (log-rank p = 0.003) indicated a higher risk of first/further decompensation or liver-related death (composite endpoint). Next to HVPG and IL-6, low C3c (adjusted hazard ratio per mg/dl: 0.99, 0.97-0.99, p = 0.040) remained independently associated with the composite endpoint on multivariate Cox regression analysis.

Conclusions

Complement levels and immunoglobulins may serve as surrogates of cirrhosis-associated immune dysfunction and associate with cirrhosis severity and systemic inflammation. Low complement C3c predicted decompensation and liver-related death, whereas high IgG-1 indicated an increased risk for infections.

Impact and Implications

Patients with cirrhosis are at increased risk for infections, which worsen their prognosis. We found a significant dysregulation of several essential components of the immune system that was linked to disease severity and indicated a risk for infections and other complications. Simple blood tests identify patients at particularly high risk, who may be candidates for preventive measures.

Clinical Trials Registration

This study is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03267615).

Efficacy and safety of frontline systemic therapy for advanced HCC: A network meta-analysis of landmark phase III trials

Background & Aims

Direct comparisons across first-line regimens for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma are not available. We performed a network metanalysis of phase III of trials to compare first-line systemic treatments for hepatocellular carcinoma in terms of overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), objective response rate, disease control rate, and incidence of adverse events (AEs).

Methods

After performing a literature review from January 2008 to September 2022, we screened 6,329 studies and reviewed 3,009 studies, leading to identification of 15 phase III trials for analysis. We extracted odds ratios for objective response rate and disease control rate, relative risks for AEs, and hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs for OS and PFS, and used a frequentist network metanalysis, with fixed-effect multivariable meta-regression models to estimate the indirect pooled HRs, odds ratios, relative risks, and corresponding 95% CIs, considering sorafenib as reference.

Results

Of 10,820 included patients, 10,444 received active treatment and 376 placebo. Sintilimab + IBI350, camrelizumab + rivoceranib, and atezolizumab + bevacizumab provided the greatest reduction in the risk of death compared with sorafenib, with HRs of 0.57 (95% CI 0.43-0.75), 0.62 (95% CI 0.49-0.79), and 0.66 (95% CI 0.52-0.84), respectively. Considering PFS, camrelizumab + rivoceranib and pembrolizumab + lenvatinib were associated with the greatest reduction in the risk of PFS events compared with sorafenib, with HRs of 0.52 (95% CI 0.41-0.65) and 0.52 (95% CI 0.35-0.77), respectively. Immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) monotherapies carried the lowest risk for all-grade and grade ≥3 AEs.

Conclusions

The combinations of ICI + anti-vascular endothelial growth factor, and double ICIs lead to the greatest OS benefit compared with sorafenib, whereas ICI + kinase inhibitor regimens are associated with greater PFS benefit at the cost of higher toxicity rates.

Impact and Implications

In the last few years, many different therapies have been studied for patients with primary liver cancer that cannot be treated with surgery. In these cases, anticancer drugs (alone or in combination) are given with the intent to keep the cancer at bay and, ultimately, to prolong survival. Among all the therapies that have been investigated, the combination of immunotherapy (drugs that boost the immune system against the cancer) and anti-angiogenic agents (drugs that act on tumoural vessels) has appeared the best to improve survival. Similarly, the combination of two types of immunotherapies that activate the immune system at different levels has also shown positive results.

Systematic Review Registration

PROSPERO CRD42022366330.

Inadequate Energy Delivery Is Frequent among COVID-19 Patients Requiring ECMO Support and Associated with Increased ICU Mortality

BACKGROUND

Patients receiving extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) support are at high risk for malnutrition. There are currently no general nutrition guidelines for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients during ECMO therapy.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis of COVID-19 patients requiring venovenous ECMO support at a large tertiary hospital center. Nutrition goals were calculated using 25 kcal/kg body weight (BW)/day. Associations between nutrition support and outcome were evaluated using Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox regression analyses.

RESULTS

Overall, 102 patients accounted for a total of 2344 nutrition support days during ECMO therapy. On 40.6% of these days, nutrition goals were met. Undernutrition was found in 40.8%. Mean daily calorie delivery was 73.7% of calculated requirements, mean daily protein delivery was 0.7 g/kg BW/d. Mean energy intake of ≥70% of calculated targets was associated with significantly lower ICU mortality independently of age, disease severity at ECMO start and body mass index (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.372, p = 0.007).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with a mean energy delivery of ≥70% of calculated targets during ECMO therapy had a better ICU survival compared to patients with unmet energy goals. These results indicate that adequate nutritional support needs to be a major priority in the treatment of COVID-19 patients requiring ECMO support.

Disturbances in sodium and chloride homeostasis predict outcome in stable and critically ill patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Hyponatremia has prognostic implications in patients with cirrhosis, and thus, has been incorporated in the 2016 MELD-UNOS update. Changes in serum chloride (Cl) are commonly perceived as 'just' parallel to changes in serum sodium, however, are less well-studied in the context of cirrhosis.

AIMS

To investigate whether serum chloride independently predicts outcomes in patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) and stable clinical course or with critical illness.

METHODS

In total, 891 patients with ACLD (defined by hepatic venous pressure gradient [HVPG] ≥6 mm Hg) were followed after HVPG measurement between 2003 and 2020 (ACLD-cohort). In total, 181 critically ill patients with cirrhosis admitted to the ICU between 2004 and 2007 were recruited for the ICU-cohort. Hypo-/hypernatremia (normal: 136-145 mmol/L) and hypo-/hyperchloremia (normal: 98-107 mmol/L) at baseline were assessed.

RESULTS

ACLD-cohort: 68% of male patients with a median MELD (adjusted for Na) of 11 (9-17) were included (Child-Pugh-stages-A/B/C: 46%/38%/16%) and followed for a median of 60 months. Lower serum chloride (adjusted average HR per mmol/L: 0.965 [95% confidence interval (95% CI): 0.945-0.986], p = 0.001) showed a significant association with hepatic decompensation/liver-related mortality on multivariable Cox regression analysis adjusted for age, HVPG, albumin and MELD. In line, hypochloremia was significantly associated with hepatic decompensation/liver-related mortality (adjusted average HR: 1.656 [95% CI:1.267-2.163], p < 0.001). ICU-cohort: 70% of patients were male, median MELD was 31(22-39) at ICU admission (92% with Child-Pugh-stage-C). After adjusting for hypo-/hypernatremia, MELD, and blood pH, hypochloremia remained independently associated with ICU-mortality (aOR Cl: 3.200 [95%CI: 1.209-8.829], p = 0.021).

CONCLUSION

Hypochloremia is associated with increased mortality in clinically stable and critically ill patients with cirrhosis independently of MELD including serum sodium.

Impact of ammonia levels on outcome in clinically stable outpatients with advanced chronic liver disease

Background & Aims

Ammonia levels predicted hospitalisation in a recent landmark study not accounting for portal hypertension and systemic inflammation severity. We investigated (i) the prognostic value of venous ammonia levels (outcome cohort) for liver-related outcomes while accounting for these factors and (ii) its correlation with key disease-driving mechanisms (biomarker cohort).

Methods

(i) The outcome cohort included 549 clinically stable outpatients with evidence of advanced chronic liver disease. (ii) The partly overlapping biomarker cohort comprised 193 individuals, recruited from the prospective Vienna Cirrhosis Study (VICIS: NCT03267615).

Results

(i) In the outcome cohort, ammonia increased across clinical stages as well as hepatic venous pressure gradient and United Network for Organ Sharing model for end-stage liver disease (2016) strata and were independently linked with diabetes. Ammonia was associated with liver-related death, even after multivariable adjustment (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 1.05 [95% CI: 1.00-1.10]; p = 0.044). The recently proposed cut-off (≥1.4 × upper limit of normal) was independently predictive of hepatic decompensation (aHR: 2.08 [95% CI: 1.35-3.22]; p <0.001), non-elective liver-related hospitalisation (aHR: 1.86 [95% CI: 1.17-2.95]; p = 0.008), and - in those with decompensated advanced chronic liver disease - acute-on-chronic liver failure (aHR: 1.71 [95% CI: 1.05-2.80]; p = 0.031). (ii) Besides hepatic venous pressure gradient, venous ammonia was correlated with markers of endothelial dysfunction and liver fibrogenesis/matrix remodelling in the biomarker cohort.

Conclusions

Venous ammonia predicts hepatic decompensation, non-elective liver-related hospitalisation, acute-on-chronic liver failure, and liver-related death, independently of established prognostic indicators including C-reactive protein and hepatic venous pressure gradient. Although venous ammonia is linked with several key disease-driving mechanisms, its prognostic value is not explained by associated hepatic dysfunction, systemic inflammation, or portal hypertension severity, suggesting direct toxicity.

Impact and implications

A recent landmark study linked ammonia levels (a simple blood test) with hospitalisation/death in individuals with clinically stable cirrhosis. Our study extends the prognostic value of venous ammonia to other important liver-related complications. Although venous ammonia is linked with several key disease-driving mechanisms, they do not fully explain its prognostic value. This supports the concept of direct ammonia toxicity and ammonia-lowering drugs as disease-modifying treatment.

Outcome of Budd-Chiari Syndrome Patients Treated With Direct Oral Anticoagulants: An Austrian Multicenter Study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) may simplify management of Budd-Chiari syndrome (BCS). Here, we report our experience with off-label use of DOACs for anticoagulation in BCS.

METHODS

The safety of DOAC vs vitamin K antagonist treatment as well as associated clinical outcomes were retrospectively assessed in 47 BCS patients treated at 6 Austrian centers.

RESULTS

Mean age at study inclusion was 37.9 ± 14.0 years and mean Model for End-Stage Liver Disease was 13.1 ± 5.1. Overall, 63.8% (n = 30) of patients had decompensated liver disease, and 87.2% (n = 41) showed clinical signs of portal hypertension. During a median follow-up of 82.5 (interquartile range, 43.1-121.8) months, 43 (91.5%) patients received anticoagulation alone or following interventional treatment, including 22 (46.8%) patients treated with DOACs (edoxaban: 10, apixaban: 4, rivaroxaban: 3, dabigatran: 3, more than one DOAC sequentially: 2) for a median of 24.4 (interquartile range, 5.7-35.1) months. While 72.7% (n = 16 of 22) of patients were switched from low-molecular-weight heparin (n = 12) or vitamin K antagonist (n = 4) to DOAC after disease stabilization or improvement, 27.3% (n = 6 of 22) of BCS patients were initially treated with DOAC. Complete response (European Association for the Study of the Liver criteria) was achieved or maintained in 14 (63.6%) of 22 patients, with ongoing response in 2 patients, while disease progressed in 6 patients (including 2 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma). Four major spontaneous bleedings (18.2%; incidence rate 8.8 per 100 patient-years; n = 2 upper gastrointestinal bleeding, n = 1 lower gastrointestinal bleeding, n = 1 hepatocellular carcinoma rupture), 7 minor bleedings, and 1 major procedure-related bleeding (4.5%; 2.2 per 100 patient-years) occurred during DOAC therapy. Overall transplant-free survival was 91.6% at 5 years.

CONCLUSIONS

DOACs seem to be effective and safe for long-term anticoagulation in patients with BCS, but confirmation by larger prospective studies is needed.

Clinical risk factors for ascites in metastatic pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND

Malignant ascites is common in metastatic pancreatic cancer (mPC) and its management still remains a clinical challenge. Early identification of patients at risk for ascites development may support and guide treatment decisions.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data of patients treated for mPC at the Medical University of Vienna between 2010 and 2019 were collected by retrospective chart review. Ascites was defined as clinically relevant accumulation of intraperitoneal fluid diagnosed by ultrasound or computer tomography scan of the abdomen. We investigated the association between general risk factors, metastatic sites, liver function, systemic inflammation as well as portal vein obstruction (PVO) and ascites development.

RESULTS

Among 581 patients with mPC included in this study, 122 (21.0%) developed ascites after a median of 8.7 months after diagnosis of metastatic disease. The occurrence of ascites led to an 8.9-fold increased risk of death [confidence interval (CI) 7.2-11, P < 0.001] with a median overall survival of 1 month thereafter. Clinical risk factors for ascites were male sex [hazard ratio (HR) 1.71, CI 1.00-2.90, P = 0.048], peritoneal carcinomatosis (HR 6.79, CI 4.09-11.3, P < 0.001), liver metastases (HR 2.16, CI 1.19-3.91, P = 0.011), an albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score grade 3 (HR 6.79, CI 2.11-21.8, P = 0.001), PVO (HR 2.28, CI 1.15-4.52, P = 0.019), and an elevated C-reactive protein (CRP) (HR 4.19, CI 1.58-11.1, P = 0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

Survival after diagnosis of ascites is very limited in mPC patients. Male sex, liver and peritoneal metastases, impaired liver function, PVO, as well as systemic inflammation were identified as independent risk factors for ascites development in this uniquely large real-life patient cohort.

Progression patterns and therapeutic sequencing following immune checkpoint inhibition for hepatocellular carcinoma: An international observational study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Different approaches are available after the progression of disease (PD) to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), including the continuation of ICI, treatment switching to tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) and cessation of anticancer therapy. We sought to characterise the relationship between radiological patterns of progression and survival post-ICI, also appraising treatment strategies.

METHODS

We screened 604 HCC patients treated with ICIs, including only those who experienced PD by data cut-off. We evaluated post-progression survival (PPS) according to the treatment strategy at PD and verified its relationship with radiological patterns of progression: intrahepatic growth (IHG), new intrahepatic lesion (NIH), extrahepatic growth (EHG), new extrahepatic lesion (NEH) and new vascular invasion (nVI).

RESULTS

Of 604 patients, 364 (60.3%) experienced PD during observation. Median PPS was 5.3 months (95% CI: 4.4-6.9; 271 events). At the data cut-off, 165 patients (45%) received no post-progression anticancer therapy; 64 patients (17.6%) continued ICI beyond PD. IHG (HR 1.64 [95% CI: 1.21-2.22]; p = .0013) and nVI (HR 2.15 [95% CI: 1.38-3.35]; p = .0007) were associated with shorter PPS. Multivariate models adjusted for progression patterns, treatment line and albumin-bilirubin grade and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status at PD confirmed receipt of ICI beyond PD with (HR 0.17, 95% CI: 0.09-0.32; p < .0001) or without subsequent TKI (HR 0.39, 95% CI: 0.26-0.58; p < .0001) as predictors of prolonged PPS versus no anticancer therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

ICI-TKI sequencing is a consolidated option in advanced HCC. nVI and IHG predict a poorer prognosis. Despite lack of recommendation, the continuation of ICI beyond progression in HCC is adopted clinically: future efforts should appraise which patients benefit from this approach.

PETAL protocol: a phase Ib study of pembrolizumab after transarterial chemoembolization in hepatocellular carcinoma

Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is the treatment of choice for intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Recent data suggest that TACE may boost the efficacy of anti-PD-1 immunotherapy. The authors present the trial protocol for PETAL, a phase Ib study, which will assess the safety and bioactivity of pembrolizumab, an anti-PD-1 antibody, following TACE in HCC. After a run-in phase evaluating six patients to establish preliminary safety, up to 26 additional participants will be enrolled. Pembrolizumab will be administered three-times weekly for 1 year or until progression, starting 30-45 days after TACE. The primary objective is to determine safety and the secondary objective is to preliminarily evaluate efficacy. Radiological responses will be evaluated every four cycles. Clinical Trial Registration: NCT03397654 (ClinicalTrials.gov).

Outcomes of beta blocker use in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors

Background

In patients with cirrhosis, portal hypertension increases intestinal permeability, dysbiosis, and bacterial translocation, promoting an inflammatory state that can lead to the progression of liver disease and development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to investigate whether beta blockers (BBs), which can mediate portal hypertension, conferred survival benefits in patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs).

Methods

We conducted a retrospective, observational study of 578 patients with unresectable HCC treated with ICI from 2017 to 2019 at 13 institutions across three continents. BB use was defined as exposure to BBs at any time during ICI therapy. The primary objective was to assess the association of BB exposure with overall survival (OS). Secondary objectives were to evaluate the association of BB use with progression-free survival (PFS) and objective response rate (ORR) according to RECIST 1.1 criteria.

Results

In our study cohort, 203 (35%) patients used BBs at any point during ICI therapy. Of these, 51% were taking a nonselective BB. BB use was not significantly correlated with OS (hazard ratio [HR] 1.12, 95% CI 0.9-1.39, P = 0.298), PFS (HR 1.02, 95% CI 0.83-1.26, P = 0.844) or ORR (odds ratio [OR] 0.84, 95% CI 0.54-1.31, P = 0.451) in univariate or multivariate analyses. BB use was also not associated with incidence of adverse events (OR 1.38, 95% CI 0.96-1.97, P = 0.079). Specifically, nonselective BB use was not correlated with OS (HR 0.94, 95% CI 0.66-1.33, P = 0.721), PFS (HR 0.92, 0.66-1.29, P = 0.629), ORR (OR 1.20, 95% CI 0.58-2.49, P = 0.623), or rate of adverse events (OR 0.82, 95% CI 0.46-1.47, P = 0.510).

Conclusion

In this real-world population of patients with unresectable HCC treated with immunotherapy, BB use was not associated with OS, PFS or ORR.

Clinical characteristics and outcome of patients with combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma-a European multicenter cohort

BACKGROUND

There is no clear consensus on the optimal systemic treatment regimen in combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC-CCA) patients. We describe clinical characteristics and outcome of cHCC-CCA patients, with a special focus on patients receiving palliative systemic therapy, including immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs).

METHODS

In this European retrospective, multicenter study, patients with histologically proven cHCC-CCA treated at four institutions between April 2003 and June 2022 were included. In patients receiving palliative systemic therapy, outcome was compared between cytotoxic chemotherapy (CHT)- and non-cytotoxic CHT (nCHT)-treated patients.

RESULTS

Of 101 patients, the majority were male (n = 70, 69%) with a mean age of 64.6 ± 10.6 years. Only type of first-line treatment was independently associated with overall survival (OS). Palliative systemic therapy was administered to 44 (44%) patients. Of those, 25 (57%) patients received CHT and 19 (43%) had nCHT (n = 16 of them sorafenib) in systemic first line. Although there was no significant difference in overall response rate (ORR; CHT versus nCHT: 8% versus 5%), disease control rate (24% versus 21%), and median progression-free survival {3.0 months [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.4-4.6 months] versus 3.2 months (95% CI 2.8-3.6 months), P = 0.725}, there was a trend towards longer median OS in the CHT group [15.5 months (95% CI 8.0-23.0 months) versus 5.3 months (95% CI 0-12.5 months), P = 0.052]. However, in multivariable analysis, type of first-line regimen (CHT versus sorafenib) was not associated with OS. ORR in patients receiving ICIs (n = 7) was 29%.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with cHCC-CCA, OS, progression-free survival, ORR, and disease control rate were not significantly different between individuals receiving CHT and patients receiving nCHT. Immunotherapy may be effective in a subset of patients. Prospective studies are needed to identify optimal systemic treatment regimens in cHCC-CCA.

Characterization of a prothrombotic phenotype using thrombin generation and thrombin activity in cirrhosis and portal hypertension

BACKGROUND

Patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) may develop a prothrombotic phenotype that seems to be more pronounced with more severe liver dysfunction. An imbalance of endogenous pro- and anticoagulants is not fully captured by routine coagulation assays.

METHODS

In a cohort of ACLD patients undergoing hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement, we assessed thrombin generation (TGA) using two commercially available assays (Technothrombin and Thrombinoscope) with and without addition of soluble thrombomodulin (TM), as well as thrombin activity, alongside a panel of coagulation parameters.

RESULTS

The cohort encompassed 37 patients (median age 55.3 years, mean HVPG 16 ± 5 mm Hg). In the TM-modified Thrombinoscope TGA, the endogenous thrombin generation potential (ETP) was significantly increased in Child-Pugh-Score (CPS) B/C patients (N = 23, 62 %) compared to CPS A patients (N = 14, 38 %) (ETP: 546 nM∗min (443-696) vs. 404 nM∗min (289-573), p = 0.028). Using the Technothrombin TGA without TM, patients with CPS B/C had decreased ETP compared to CPS A patients (ETP: 2792 ± 1336 nM∗min vs. 5040 ± 816 nM∗min, p < 0.001) and with addition of TM (final concentration: 5 nM; ETP: 2545 ± 1327 nM∗min vs. 4824 ± 929 nM∗min, p < 0.001). Thrombin activity levels were 0.6pM in median (0.2-1.6pM) and above the level of detectability (0.10pM) in 94.6 % of patients but were not correlated to severity of cirrhosis (CPS A 0.7pM vs CPS B/C 0.4pM, p = 0.377) nor to parameters of TGA.

CONCLUSION

Thrombin plasma levels are elevated in liver disease patients without apparent correlation to TGA or severity of cirrhosis. TGAs can be modified with TM to enable protein C-dependent anticoagulation, but result in differences with regard to severity of liver disease.

Efficacy and safety of frontline systemic therapy for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (aHCC): A network meta-analysis of landmark phase III trials

549

Background: First line systemic therapy for advanced aHCC is rapidly expanding with new treatment options. However, direct comparisons across regimens are not available. We performed a network meta-analysis of phase III of trials to compare first line systemic treatments for aHCC in terms of overall survival (OS), progression free survival (PFS) and incidence of grade >3 adverse events (AEs). Methods: After performing a literature review from January 2008 to September 2022, we identified 6329 studies for screening, 3009 for revision, leading to identification of 15 phase III trials for the analysis: SHARP, Asia Pacific, Cheng 2013, Johnson 2013, Cainap 2015, REFLECT, CheckMate459, IMbrave150, ORIENT-32, HIMALAYA, COSMIC-312 and Qin 2021, Qin 2022, LEAP-002 and RATIONALE-301. These tested respectively: sorafenib (S) vs placebo (SHARP and Asia Pacific), sunitinib (Sun) vs S, brivanib (Bri) vs S, linifanib (Lin) vs S, lenvatinib (L) vs S, nivolumab (Nivo) vs S, atezolizumab+bevacizumab (A+B) vs S, sintilimab+IBI-305 vs S, durvalumab+tremelimumab (D+T) vs S, atezolizumab+cabozantinib (A+C) vs S, donafenib vs S, camrelizumab plus rivoceranib (C+R) vs S, pembrolizumab plus lenvatinib (P+L) vs L, and tislelizumab (TS) vs S as first line treatments for aHCC. Relative risks (RR) for grade >3 adverse events (AEs), and hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) for overall (OS) and progression free survival (PFS) were extracted for each study. A frequentist network meta-analysis, with fixed effect multivariable meta-regression models to estimate the indirect pooled HRs, RRs and corresponding 95%CI, was performed considering S as reference. Results: In total, 10820 patients were included in the analysis, among them, 10444 received active treatment and 376 placebo. Sintilimab plus IBI-350 and A+B provided the greatest reduction in the risk of death compared to S, with a HR of 0.57 (95%CI:0.43-0.75), and 0.58 (95%CI:0.42-0.82), respectively; followed by C+R (HR:0.62; 95%CI:0.49-0-79), P+L (HR:0.77; 95%CI:0.62-0.97) and D+T (HR:0.78; 95%CI:0.66-0.93). Considering PFS, C+R and P+L were associated with the greatest reduction in the risk of PFS events compared to S, with HR of 0.52 (95%CI:0.41-0.65; 0.35-0.77, respectively). When looking at the risk of AEs, the combination of A+C (RR: 1.55;95%CI:0.80-3.02), C+R (RR:1.54;95%CI:0.95-2.50) and P+L (RR:1.23;95%CI:0.72-2.11) were associated with the highest risk of grade >3 AEs; whereas immune-checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) monotherapy (Nivo and TS) had the lowest risk (RR:0.46; 95%CI:0.20-1.05 and RR: 0.74; 95%CI:0.45-1.21). Conclusions: Combination of ICI + anti-VEGF antibodies leads to the greatest OS benefit compared to sorafenib, whereas ICI + kinase inhibitor regimens are associated with greater PFS benefit at the cost of higher toxicity rates.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) as prognostic biomarkers in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (atezo-bev)

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Background: Although Atezo-Bev is the standard of care front line therapy for patients with unresectable HCC, a clinically relevant proportion of patients do not respond, underscoring the need to identify patients most likely to benefit from this therapy. Systemic inflammation is a key risk factor for HCC tumorigenesis and progression and has been associated with poor clinical outcomes. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of the inflammatory markers, NLR and PLR, in patients with HCC treated with Atezo-Bev. These markers also have the advantage of being readily available in routine practice and inexpensive. Methods: The association of NLR and PLR with overall survival (OS) was analyzed using a retrospective database of patients with unresectable HCC treated with Atezo-Bev at 14 institutions across the United States, Europe, and Asia from 2019 to 2022. The effect of NLR and PLR on progression-free survival (PFS), objective response rate (ORR), and disease control rate (DCR) was also assessed. Outcomes of patients with NLR ≥ 5 vs. NLR < 5 and PLR ≥ 300 vs. PLR < 300 were compared. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression models were used to evaluate associations, and survival analyses were performed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Results: The cohort consisted of 296 patients, with a median age of 66 years. The majority of the patients were male (83%), cirrhotic (75%), and had a viral etiology of HCC (66%). All included patients had Child Pugh class A liver disease and good performance status with ECOG score either 0 (47%) or 1 (53%). After a median follow-up of 9.93 months, patients with NLR ≥ 5 had a shorter OS compared to patients with NLR < 5 in univariate analysis (hazard ratio [HR] 2.71, 95% CI 1.71-4.27, P < 0.001), and in multivariate analysis, NLR ≥ 5 remained an independent prognosticator of worse OS (HR 2.01, 95% CI 1.22-3.56, P = 0.007). PLR ≥ 300, compared to PLR < 300, was also associated with shorter OS (HR 2.24, 95% CI 1.71-4.27, P = 0.007) in univariate analysis but not in multivariate analysis (HR 1.01, 95% CI 0.52-1.96, P = 0.99). Both NLR ≥ 5 and PLR ≥ 300 were correlated with shorter PFS on univariate analysis (HR 1.54, 95% CI 1.05-2.25, P = 0.03; HR 1.72, 95% CI 1.04-2.83, P = 0.04; respectively) but not in multivariate analysis (HR 1.31, 95% CI 0.84-2.04, P = 0.24; HR 1.18, 95% CI 0.65-2.13, P = 0.59; respectively). NLR ≥ 5 and NLR < 5 did not differ in ORR (24% vs. 32%, P = 0.39) or DCR (71% vs. 79%, P = 0.24). No differences were observed between patients with PLR ≥ 300 vs. patients with PLR < 300 in ORR (33% vs. 30%, P = 0.81) or DCR (62% vs. 70%, P = 0.09). Conclusions: NLR ≥ 5 was an independent prognosticator of worse OS in patients with unresectable HCC treated with Atezo-Bev and is a prognostic marker worthy of further study and validation.

Genetic variation in TERT modifies the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in alcohol-related cirrhosis: results from a genome-wide case-control study

OBJECTIVE

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) often develops in patients with alcohol-related cirrhosis at an annual risk of up to 2.5%. Some host genetic risk factors have been identified but do not account for the majority of the variance in occurrence. This study aimed to identify novel susceptibility loci for the development of HCC in people with alcohol related cirrhosis.

DESIGN

Patients with alcohol-related cirrhosis and HCC (cases: n=1214) and controls without HCC (n=1866), recruited from Germany, Austria, Switzerland, Italy and the UK, were included in a two-stage genome-wide association study using a case-control design. A validation cohort of 1520 people misusing alcohol but with no evidence of liver disease was included to control for possible association effects with alcohol misuse. Genotyping was performed using the InfiniumGlobal Screening Array (V.24v2, Illumina) and the OmniExpress Array (V.24v1-0a, Illumina).

RESULTS

Associations with variants rs738409 in PNPLA3 and rs58542926 in TM6SF2 previously associated with an increased risk of HCC in patients with alcohol-related cirrhosis were confirmed at genome-wide significance. A novel locus rs2242652(A) in TERT (telomerase reverse transcriptase) was also associated with a decreased risk of HCC, in the combined meta-analysis, at genome-wide significance (p=6.41×10-9, OR=0.61 (95% CI 0.52 to 0.70). This protective association remained significant after correction for sex, age, body mass index and type 2 diabetes (p=7.94×10-5, OR=0.63 (95% CI 0.50 to 0.79). Carriage of rs2242652(A) in TERT was associated with an increased leucocyte telomere length (p=2.12×10-44).

CONCLUSION

This study identifies rs2242652 in TERT as a novel protective factor for HCC in patients with alcohol-related cirrhosis.

Effect of early antibiotic exposure on survival of patients receiving atezolizumab plus bevacizumab but not sorafenib for unresectable HCC: A sub-analysis of the phase III IMbrave150 study

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Background: The combination of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (A+B) is the standard of care for patients (pts) with unresectable/advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Emerging evidence suggest a detrimental role of early antibiotics (ATB) exposure in immunotherapy recipients. However, it is unclear whether ATB affect outcomes of pts receiving A+B. Methods: We conducted a patient-level analysis of subjects receiving either A+B or Sorafenib (Sor) within the IMbrave150 trial to assess the impact of early ATB exposure (ATB+, i.e. +/-30 from treatment initiation) on overall (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). Differences in median (m) OS and mPFS were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method. Cox proportional regression models were used to assess the prognostic impact of ATB+ adjusting for race, age, baseline AFP, baseline ALBI grade, continent of origin and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, a measure of systemic inflammation. Results: Data of 420 IMbrave150 participants were made available by Vivli. Among them, 278 received A+B and 142 Sor. Most pts were of ECOG performance status 0 (65%); 47% had extrahepatic spread, 40% had macrovascular invasion and 35% had AFP>400 ng/mL. Viral aetiology (39% HBV and 24% HCV) was the most common risk factor for HCC. Overall, 60 pts in the A+B arm (21.5%) and 31 (21.8%) in the Sor group were ATB+. Baseline characteristics were well balanced across ATB groups, except for region of origin, with a higher proportion of Asian pts in ATB+ (60% vs 45%; p=0.01). After a median follow-up of 10.38 months (95%CI:8.6-12.5), OS and PFS rates at 12 months were 72.3% and 9.7% in A+B; 64.8%, and 1.4% in Sor, respectively. ATB+ exposure was associated with increased risk of death both in univariate (HR 1.67; 95%CI 1.04-2.69) and multivariate models (HR 1.62; 95%CI 1.40-1.89) in the A+B (p for interaction <0.001), but not in the Sor arm (univariate HR 0.63; 95%CI 0.32-1.25; multivariate HR 0.70; 95%CI 0.31-1.60). Similarly, the risk of progression was increased for ATB+ pts in the A+B arm (univariate HR 1.68; 95%CI 1.03-2.71; multivariate HR 1.59; 95%CI 1.40-1.81), but not in the Sor arm (univariate HR 0.51;95%CI 0.26-1.01; multivariate HR 0.53; 95%CI 0.21-1.30) with positive p for interaction (p=0.002). Objective response rate (ORR) according to RECIST v.1.1 did not differ between ATB+ (28.0%) and ATB- (30.0%) in A+B (p=0.68). Conclusions: In a post-hoc sub-analysis of IMbrave150 we demonstrate for the first time the negative impact of early antibiotics exposure on outcomes of patients receiving A+B but not in those treated with Sor. Prospective translational studies should evaluate the role of ATB-mediated gut dysbiosis as a proposed mechanism underlying the adverse outcome in immunotherapy-recipients.