Analysis of a nurse-provided on-call peritoneal dialysis support in an outpatient reference care centre

BACKGROUND

To analyse the nature of medical or technical emergency issues of ambulatory peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients calling a nurse-provided emergency PD support service of a reference centre that is provided all year in the after-hours.

METHODS

We retrospectively analysed patients' chief complaint, urgency, resolution of and association to current PD treatment and modality directed to an on-call nurse-provided PD support service from 2015-2021 based on routinely collected health data. Calls were systematically categorized being technical/procedural-, medical-, material-related or type of correspondence. Call urgency was categorized to have "immediate consequence", inquiry was eligible for "processing next working day" or whether there was "no need for further action". Call outcomes were classified according to whether patients were able to initiate, resume or finalize their treatments or whether additional interventions were required. Unexpected adverse events such as patients' acute hospitalization or need for nurses' home visits were evaluated and quantified.

RESULTS

In total 753 calls were documented. Most calls were made around 7:30 a.m. (5:00-9:00; median, 25-75th CI) and 6:30 p.m. (5:00-8:15). 645 calls were assigned to continuous ambulatory- (CAPD) or automated PD (APD). Of those, 430 calls (66.7%) had an "immediate consequence". Of those 77% (N = 331) were technical/procedural-, 12.8% (N = 55) medical- and 6.3% (N = 27) material related issues. 4% (N = 17) were categorized as other correspondence. Issues disrupting the course of PD were identified in 413 cases. In 77.5% (N = 320) patients were able to initiate, resume or finalize their treatment after phone consultation. Last-bag exchange was used in 6.1% enabling continued therapy in 83.6%. In 35 cases a nurse visit at patients' home or patients' visit to the practice at the earliest possible date were required, while hospitalization was required in seven medical category cases (5.4% and 1.09% of total assessed calls, respectively).

CONCLUSION

The on-call PD-nurse provides patient support for acute and imminent issues enabling them to successfully initiate, resume or finalize their prescribed treatment. Nurses triage of acute conditions facilitated rapid diagnostics and therapy. Maintaining quality PD homecare, the provision of trained personnel is indispensable. The information gathered in this study may therefore be used as a foundation to tailor educational programs for nephrology nurses and doctors to further develop their competencies in PD.

Effects of empagliflozin on progression of chronic kidney disease: a prespecified secondary analysis from the empa-kidney trial

BACKGROUND

Sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors reduce progression of chronic kidney disease and the risk of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in a wide range of patients. However, their effects on kidney disease progression in some patients with chronic kidney disease are unclear because few clinical kidney outcomes occurred among such patients in the completed trials. In particular, some guidelines stratify their level of recommendation about who should be treated with SGLT2 inhibitors based on diabetes status and albuminuria. We aimed to assess the effects of empagliflozin on progression of chronic kidney disease both overall and among specific types of participants in the EMPA-KIDNEY trial.

METHODS

EMPA-KIDNEY, a randomised, controlled, phase 3 trial, was conducted at 241 centres in eight countries (Canada, China, Germany, Italy, Japan, Malaysia, the UK, and the USA), and included individuals aged 18 years or older with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of 20 to less than 45 mL/min per 1·73 m2, or with an eGFR of 45 to less than 90 mL/min per 1·73 m2 with a urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (uACR) of 200 mg/g or higher. We explored the effects of 10 mg oral empagliflozin once daily versus placebo on the annualised rate of change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR slope), a tertiary outcome. We studied the acute slope (from randomisation to 2 months) and chronic slope (from 2 months onwards) separately, using shared parameter models to estimate the latter. Analyses were done in all randomly assigned participants by intention to treat. EMPA-KIDNEY is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03594110.

FINDINGS

Between May 15, 2019, and April 16, 2021, 6609 participants were randomly assigned and then followed up for a median of 2·0 years (IQR 1·5-2·4). Prespecified subgroups of eGFR included 2282 (34·5%) participants with an eGFR of less than 30 mL/min per 1·73 m2, 2928 (44·3%) with an eGFR of 30 to less than 45 mL/min per 1·73 m2, and 1399 (21·2%) with an eGFR 45 mL/min per 1·73 m2 or higher. Prespecified subgroups of uACR included 1328 (20·1%) with a uACR of less than 30 mg/g, 1864 (28·2%) with a uACR of 30 to 300 mg/g, and 3417 (51·7%) with a uACR of more than 300 mg/g. Overall, allocation to empagliflozin caused an acute 2·12 mL/min per 1·73 m2 (95% CI 1·83-2·41) reduction in eGFR, equivalent to a 6% (5-6) dip in the first 2 months. After this, it halved the chronic slope from -2·75 to -1·37 mL/min per 1·73 m2 per year (relative difference 50%, 95% CI 42-58). The absolute and relative benefits of empagliflozin on the magnitude of the chronic slope varied significantly depending on diabetes status and baseline levels of eGFR and uACR. In particular, the absolute difference in chronic slopes was lower in patients with lower baseline uACR, but because this group progressed more slowly than those with higher uACR, this translated to a larger relative difference in chronic slopes in this group (86% [36-136] reduction in the chronic slope among those with baseline uACR <30 mg/g compared with a 29% [19-38] reduction for those with baseline uACR ≥2000 mg/g; ptrend<0·0001).

INTERPRETATION

Empagliflozin slowed the rate of progression of chronic kidney disease among all types of participant in the EMPA-KIDNEY trial, including those with little albuminuria. Albuminuria alone should not be used to determine whether to treat with an SGLT2 inhibitor.

FUNDING

Boehringer Ingelheim and Eli Lilly.

Impact of primary kidney disease on the effects of empagliflozin in patients with chronic kidney disease: secondary analyses of the EMPA-KIDNEY trial

BACKGROUND

The EMPA-KIDNEY trial showed that empagliflozin reduced the risk of the primary composite outcome of kidney disease progression or cardiovascular death in patients with chronic kidney disease mainly through slowing progression. We aimed to assess how effects of empagliflozin might differ by primary kidney disease across its broad population.

METHODS

EMPA-KIDNEY, a randomised, controlled, phase 3 trial, was conducted at 241 centres in eight countries (Canada, China, Germany, Italy, Japan, Malaysia, the UK, and the USA). Patients were eligible if their estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was 20 to less than 45 mL/min per 1·73 m2, or 45 to less than 90 mL/min per 1·73 m2 with a urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (uACR) of 200 mg/g or higher at screening. They were randomly assigned (1:1) to 10 mg oral empagliflozin once daily or matching placebo. Effects on kidney disease progression (defined as a sustained ≥40% eGFR decline from randomisation, end-stage kidney disease, a sustained eGFR below 10 mL/min per 1·73 m2, or death from kidney failure) were assessed using prespecified Cox models, and eGFR slope analyses used shared parameter models. Subgroup comparisons were performed by including relevant interaction terms in models. EMPA-KIDNEY is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03594110.

FINDINGS

Between May 15, 2019, and April 16, 2021, 6609 participants were randomly assigned and followed up for a median of 2·0 years (IQR 1·5-2·4). Prespecified subgroupings by primary kidney disease included 2057 (31·1%) participants with diabetic kidney disease, 1669 (25·3%) with glomerular disease, 1445 (21·9%) with hypertensive or renovascular disease, and 1438 (21·8%) with other or unknown causes. Kidney disease progression occurred in 384 (11·6%) of 3304 patients in the empagliflozin group and 504 (15·2%) of 3305 patients in the placebo group (hazard ratio 0·71 [95% CI 0·62-0·81]), with no evidence that the relative effect size varied significantly by primary kidney disease (pheterogeneity=0·62). The between-group difference in chronic eGFR slopes (ie, from 2 months to final follow-up) was 1·37 mL/min per 1·73 m2 per year (95% CI 1·16-1·59), representing a 50% (42-58) reduction in the rate of chronic eGFR decline. This relative effect of empagliflozin on chronic eGFR slope was similar in analyses by different primary kidney diseases, including in explorations by type of glomerular disease and diabetes (p values for heterogeneity all >0·1).

INTERPRETATION

In a broad range of patients with chronic kidney disease at risk of progression, including a wide range of non-diabetic causes of chronic kidney disease, empagliflozin reduced risk of kidney disease progression. Relative effect sizes were broadly similar irrespective of the cause of primary kidney disease, suggesting that SGLT2 inhibitors should be part of a standard of care to minimise risk of kidney failure in chronic kidney disease.

FUNDING

Boehringer Ingelheim, Eli Lilly, and UK Medical Research Council.

Neutrophil Gelatinase-Associated Lipocalin Cutoff Value Selection and Acute Kidney Injury Classification System Determine Phenotype Allocation and Associated Outcomes

Background

We explored the extent to which neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) cutoff value selection and the acute kidney injury (AKI) classification system determine clinical AKI-phenotype allocation and associated outcomes.

Methods

Cutoff values from ROC curves of data from two independent prospective cardiac surgery study cohorts (Magdeburg and Berlin, Germany) were used to predict Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcome (KDIGO)- or Risk, Injury, Failure, Loss of kidney function, End-stage (RIFLE)-defined AKI. Statistical methodologies (maximum Youden index, lowest distance to [0, 1] in ROC space, sensitivity≍specificity) and cutoff values from two NGAL meta-analyses were evaluated. Associated risks of adverse outcomes (acute dialysis initiation and in-hospital mortality) were compared.

Results

NGAL cutoff concentrations calculated from ROC curves to predict AKI varied according to the statistical methodology and AKI classification system (10.6-159.1 and 16.85-149.3 ng/mL in the Magdeburg and Berlin cohorts, respectively). Proportions of attributed subclinical AKI ranged 2%-33.0% and 10.1%-33.1% in the Magdeburg and Berlin cohorts, respectively. The difference in calculated risk for adverse outcomes (fraction of odds ratios for AKI-phenotype group differences) varied considerably when changing the cutoff concentration within the RIFLE or KDIGO classification (up to 18.33- and 16.11-times risk difference, respectively) and was even greater when comparing cutoff methodologies between RIFLE and KDIGO classifications (up to 25.7-times risk difference).

Conclusions

NGAL positivity adds prognostic information regardless of RIFLE or KDIGO classification or cutoff selection methodology. The risk of adverse events depends on the methodology of cutoff selection and AKI classification system.

Medical education during the Covid-19 pandemic long-term experiences of German clinical medical students

INTRODUCTION

Due to the Covid-19 pandemic and the accompanying hygiene regulations, medical students in Germany faced multiple educational and personal challenges. The challenges included the cancellation and digitalisation of courses, the closing of university institutions such as libraries, a decrease in social contacts, and the risk of a Covid-19 infection. The aim of this study was to understand medical students' pandemic experiences as well as the consequences of these experiences for the students' future work as physicians.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We performed 15 guided, one-on-one interviews with clinical medical students (third to fifth year) at the Otto-von-Guericke-University Magdeburg. Interviews were recorded, transcribed, and anonymised. We performed a qualitative content analysis in accordance with Mayring and thereby formed an inductive category system. The Consolidated Criteria for Reporting Qualitative Research (COREQ) were applied.

RESULTS

Five categories were inductively formed: "Changes in the teaching experience", "negative effects on the learning experience", "decrease in personal social contacts", "contact with covid-19", and "pandemic-associated stress increase". The participating students reported higher levels of stress due to isolation and uncertainty regarding their educational future. Furthermore, students welcomed the digitalisation of lectures, developed individual coping strategies, and voluntarily took part in the care of Covid-19 patients. Limitations to social interactions were perceived as the major restrictive factor to their educational structure, their perceived learning success and personal development.

CONCLUSION

This study identified social restrictions as well as didactic and academic structural challenges as relevant factors contributing to perceived stress and fear for medical students during the Covid-19 pandemic, especially as regards their learning experience. Students' acceptance of digitalised learning may enable regular interaction with university peers and may facilitate a structured educational life. However, the implementation of digital resources could not provide a sufficient substitute for in-person courses.

Mapping and assessing ecosystem services for sustainable policy and decision-making in Eritrea

The mapping and assessment of ecosystems and their services (MAES) is key to inform sustainable policy and decision-making at national and sub-national levels. Responding to the paucity of research in sub-Saharan Africa, we conduct a pilot study for Eritrea that aims to map and assess the temporal dynamics of key ecosystems and their services. We reviewed policy and legal documents, analyzed land cover changes and estimated the potential for ecosystem services supply through an expert-based matrix approach. Our results showed that from 2015 to 2019, the potential supply of the ecosystem services analyzed (e.g., crop provisioning, water supply and recreation) increased, with the exception of wood supply. Overall, our study presents policy-relevant insights as to where to conserve, develop, or restore ecosystem services supply in Eritrea. Our approach is transferable to similar data scarce contexts and can thereby support policies toward more sustainable land development for people and nature.

Virtual participatory mapping of nature-based solutions in the Grande de Tárcoles River basin, Costa Rica: Connecting diverse knowledge systems in a context of physical immobility

Co-design processes are of key importance in planning and implementing Nature-based Solutions (NBS), but require boundary management between diverse holders of local, practical and scientific knowledge. Participatory and map-based planning tools, such as Geodesign workshops, can facilitate such boundary management through mobilising knowledge holders, and translating and negotiating between different perspectives. The COVID-19 pandemic hindered physical mobility, but offered an, albeit unintended, opportunity to explore new ways of virtual mobility for facilitating boundary management in NBS co-design through digital participatory tools. This short communication aims to demonstrate how a spatial planning process for NBS can be facilitated in an online context. We draw on an international case study for co-designing NBS in Costa Rica, conducted during the severe lock-down restriction of the COVID-19 pandemic. This novel approach showcases how physical presence and movement is replaced by virtual mobility enabled through an online geographic map-based environment that allowed participants to communicate their opinions and co-create local and regional NBS actions. The case study included developing and testing a co-design tool to understand and map local perceptions of social-ecological problems, and an actual co-design process for siting NBS options and jointly exploring their implications. We present two levels of the process: 1) the adaptation of the co-design tool, and 2) the use and usefulness of the co-design tool. Our evaluation shows that the tool served its purpose well and provided useful support to local stakeholders. We recommend to test further strategical combinations of in-person and virtual methods in NBS co-design processes to improve NBS planning and implementation.

Access to urban green spaces in Hannover: An exploration considering age groups, recreational nature qualities and potential demand

City dwellers' accessibility of urban green spaces (UGS) has recently gained immense interest in research and policy. Related scientific studies thus far have focused primarily on spatial distances, largely missing considerations of UGS qualities. We analysed the entire UGS setting of Hannover considering the recreational nature quality and potential demands to identify age-appropriate green spaces by applying a geographic information system analysis of several data sets. Additionally, we assessed the accessibility of UGS for different age groups, varying recreational nature qualities, and potential demands. Results indicate that children and elderly people have poor access to UGS that offers age-related requirements to enable unrestricted nature-based recreation. Nature quality and age-related requirements play a significant role in the assessment of UGS for recreation and accessibility. We conclude that detected vulnerabilities regarding age-related recreation in cities are anchors to mainstream the issue and enhance future planning practices and research.

Innovative fakultative Seminarkonzepte besonders klinisch-praktisch ausgerichteter Lehre zur Famulatur- und PJ-Vorbereitung aus spezifisch chirurgischer Sicht

Hintergrund

Die großen Praxisphasen der Famulaturen und des Praktischen Jahres (PJ) nehmen für Medizinstudierende eine besondere Stellung innerhalb ihres Kurrikulums ein.

Ziel

Bezüglich Famulatur und PJ in der medizinischen Ausbildung wird exemplarisch ein Konzept zu vorbereitenden Seminarreihen einschließlich initialer Praxiserfahrungen vorgestellt.

Methode

Es wird eine narrative Übersicht gegeben.

Ergebnisse

Als gemeinsames Ziel der fakultativ initiierten Lehrveranstaltungen sollen die Studierenden zum Absolvieren von Famulatur und PJ besser qualifiziert und befähigt werden sowie das empfundene Zutrauen der Studierenden substanziell erhöhen. Die Erfahrungen in Famulaturen und PJ prägen Interesse und die Entscheidungen für ein Fach und den weiteren ärztlichen Berufsweg. Die Inhalte der hier vorgestellten Seminare zur Vorbereitung der ersten Famulatur und des ersten PJ-Tertials leisten einen Beitrag zur späteren selbstständigen ärztlichen Tätigkeit. Sie sollen vor dem folgenden Berufsstart für das Konzept einer umfassenden, d.h. komplexen interdisziplinären, -professionellen und -sektoralen Patientenversorgung sensibilisieren. Unter Berücksichtigung der jeweils unterschiedlichen Vorerfahrungen aus vorangegangenen Praktikumsabschnitten werden die Studierenden gezielt zu breit gefächerten, chirurgisch-interdisziplinären Lernzielen einer „Versorgungskompetenz“ unterrichtet. Studierende sollen auf diese Weise von den anregungsreich zu gestaltenden Phasen der Famulatur und des PJs vermehrt profitieren.

Schlussfolgerung

Von einer Verbesserung der Lehre durch eine statusgerechte Vorbereitung, die neben typischen Tätigkeiten Studierender des Praktikums auch unmittelbar auf den ärztlichen Alltag vorbereitet, sind ein größerer Lernerfolg und ein verbessertes Praktikumserleben zu erwarten.

Quasicontinuous Exhaust Scenario for a Fusion Reactor: The Renaissance of Small Edge Localized Modes

Tokamak operational regimes with small edge localized modes (ELMs) could be a solution to the problem of large transient heat loads in fusion reactors. A ballooning mode near the last closed flux surface governed by the pressure gradient and the magnetic shear there has been proposed for small ELMs. In this Letter, we experimentally investigate several stabilizing effects near the last closed flux surface and present linear ideal simulations that indeed develop ballooninglike fluctuations there and connect them with nonlinear resistive simulations. The dimensionless parameters of the small ELM regime in the region of interest are very similar to those in a reactor, making this regime the ideal exhaust scenario for a future device.

Monobody adapter for functional antibody display on nanoparticles for adaptable targeted delivery applications

Vascular endothelial cells (ECs) play a central role in the pathophysiology of many diseases. The use of targeted nanoparticles (NPs) to deliver therapeutics to ECs could dramatically improve efficacy by providing elevated and sustained intracellular drug levels. However, achieving sufficient levels of NP targeting in human settings remains elusive. Here, we overcome this barrier by engineering a monobody adapter that presents antibodies on the NP surface in a manner that fully preserves their antigen-binding function. This system improves targeting efficacy in cultured ECs under flow by >1000-fold over conventional antibody immobilization using amine coupling and enables robust delivery of NPs to the ECs of human kidneys undergoing ex vivo perfusion, a clinical setting used for organ transplant. Our monobody adapter also enables a simple plug-and-play capacity that facilitates the evaluation of a diverse array of targeted NPs. This technology has the potential to simplify and possibly accelerate both the development and clinical translation of EC-targeted nanomedicines.

Students' perception and learning experience in the first medical clerkship

BACKGROUND

The German clerkship ("Famulatur") is the first phase in medical education, in which students learn from a physician's perspective. According to the German Licensing Regulations for Physicians, students shall "familiarise" with providing care. However, specific learning objectives for the clerkship are not defined, although the acquisition of different competencies is implicitly demanded. Therefore, an additional understanding of the clerkship students' learning experience is needed. The goal of this study is to explore the student's learning perspective and experiences in the clerkship.

METHODS

Twelve guideline-based interviews were conducted with third year medical students. All participants completed their first clerkship. A qualitative content analysis was performed. The inductively identified categories were transferred into a quantitative questionnaire using a 5-point Likert-scale to explore their relevance in a validation cohort. The questionnaire was completed by 222 clinical students of the Otto-von-Guericke-Universität Magdeburg.

RESULTS

The qualitative analysis led to 26 individual items assigned to 4 main categories that describe the clerkship experience: 1) "coping with insecurities", 2) "the clerkship as a social arrangement", 3) "the clerkship as a learning opportunity" and 4) "the clerkship as a teaching opportunity". In the quantitative validation cohort, category one yielded a well-balanced result (median 3 = "neither agree nor disagree"; IQR 2-4), items addressed in categories 2-4 were generally supported by the students, predominantly selecting "strongly agree" or "agree" (Median 2; IQR 1-2 for each category). Students rated the role of the clinical team as especially important for their learning success and feared exclusion or negative reactions.

CONCLUSIONS

The medical clerkship provides an institutional, professional, and social framework, in which students are learning. Insecurities arose from curricular inconsistencies, a high dependency on the clinical team as well as the absence of specific learning objectives. Therefore, a better curricular integration regarding the semester structure and the learning objectives of the German clerkship is needed.

Deliberating options for nature-based river development: Insights from a participatory multi-criteria evaluation

To address societal challenges in river landscapes, various options are conceivable that differ in the degree of adopting nature-based solutions (NBS) and the respective impacts on people and nature. Multi-criteria evaluation (MCE) can aid participatory deliberations about the performance and significance of such options. However, little experience and evidence exist from the application of participatory MCE in planning NBS in river landscapes. This study aims to expand the understanding of individual and collaborative judgments of agency representatives about river development options with varying levels of NBS interventions. A process tracing approach with a rigorous participatory MCE for four alternatives to develop an exemplary river in Germany is adopted, as well as weighted linear aggregation, descriptive statistics, principal component analysis, and decision tree modelling for data analysis. The results reveal a wide agreement among participants on the positive impacts of NBS on biodiversity and water quality. Participants also tended to judge those ecological dimensions as more important than non-ecological ones. The rankings of alternatives differed when elicited individually but seemed to converge during the deliberation process. Overall, the results indicate a relative preference of participants for medium NBS interventions, but also shed light on potential implementation hurdles. The study closes by proposing key questions to consider for MCE of NBS.

Advancing Sustainable Development Goals with localised nature-based solutions: Opportunity spaces in the Lahn river landscape, Germany

Nature-based solutions (NBS) are recognized as promising actions to alleviate societal challenges and achieve the United Nation's Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). One scientific challenge to implement NBS in practice is to locate areas suitable for an effective implementation of NBS (opportunity spaces). Opportunity spaces either already host NBS that need to be safeguarded or restored, or provide the socio-ecological conditions for establishing new NBS. Complex methods have been proposed to model potential locations of selected NBS, but they are often too data and resource intensive to be applied in practice for landscape planning. The aim of this article is to put forward a pragmatic method for identifying NBS opportunity spaces that contribute to advance multiple SDGs, and to test its application in a participatory, extended peer-review process in the Lahn river landscape, Germany. Our method includes: (i) synthesizing a generic catalogue of NBS in river landscapes, (ii) estimating the potential of NBS to achieve simultaneously Lahn development goals (LDGs) and SDGs, and (iii) applying key spatial indicators and best available data to explore opportunity spaces for selected NBS. The generic catalogue provides a systematic overview of 650 individual NBS for river landscapes and their respective potentials for addressing LDGs and SDGs. The NBS Renaturalising floodplains through land use changes, Revitalising historic floodplains, and Creating buffer strips are those actions contributing to the greatest number of local SDGs (locally adapted SDGs that include LDGs). Results of the spatial analysis in the Lahn river landscape showed about 4739 ha of areas where NBS were already in place and need to be safeguarded and additional 1323 ha with opportunities for further NBS creation. The proposed method presents a robust and transferable approach that facilitates spatial mapping of NBS to local SDGs for planning practitioners facing time and resource constraints.

Identifying Spatial Patterns and Ecosystem Service Delivery of Nature-Based Solutions

Compared to technical infrastructure, nature-based solutions, NBS, strive to work with nature and to move beyond business-as-usual practices in order to address societal challenges such as flood risks. This research aims to spatially identify possible NBS areas and evaluate the areas capacity to provide selected ecosystem services, ES, for the Lahn river landscape in Germany. The research follows the functional landscape approach using hydromorphological landscape units, HLU, based on specific biophysical spatial criteria, such as slope, to then identify locations which may be considered suitable for NBS. The current ES delivery of these possible NBS areas is then evaluated. The three ES assessed are carbon storage, nutrient retention and recreation. We then undertake a geospatial comparison analysis to show the spatial relationships and patterns that emerge in regards to the ES configuration of the distinct NBS apt areas. Results show the HLU method serves to delineate and identify areas where NBS may exist or be implemented. The data depicts a distinct spatial pattern for each possible NBS space and complementary ES delivery. This explorative method is a useful spatial approach that can support NBS implementation and serve to investigate the multiple benefits NBS provide. The use of ecosystem services to compare and understand NBS is a viable prospect that must, however, be cautiously, locally and scientifically approached. Noticeable limitations regarding ES assessment remain, as available methods are often insufficiently inclusive of natural ecosystem processes and functions. Further research should assess a broader spectrum of NBS and their delivery of ES.

Green infrastructure connectivity analysis across spatiotemporal scales: A transferable approach in the Ruhr Metropolitan Area, Germany

Developing green infrastructure (GI) has drawn increasing attention as a strategic planning approach for advancing urban sustainability. The connectivity of green spaces, a central principle of GI, has been considered in planning studies regarding its structure and functions for biodiversity conservation and ecosystem services delivery; however, aspects of GI connectivity across temporal and spatial scales are rarely addressed. This paper aims to develop and apply a method for the GI connectivity analysis at multiple spatiotemporal scales. A transferable and multi-scale workable approach is presented to reveal the changes of structural and spatial heterogeneity of urban GI. Our method includes i) morphological spatial patterns analysis for central and green corridors recognition, ii) a graph-based quantification of GI connectivity based on the Conefor model, and iii) least-cost path analysis for identifying potential green corridors. We apply the GI connectivity analysis method in the Ruhr Metropolitan Area (RMA), one of Europe's largest agglomerations. We use spatial Urban Atlas data from 2006 to 2018. At the metropolitan scale, we find that GI connectivity in the RMA decreases 3.9% from 2006 to 2018, even though the general distributions of GI changes only slightly. With reference to the municipal scale from 2006 to 2018, four major types of GI connectivity changes were discovered in RMA's 15 cities, namely consistent decreasing, consistent increasing, increase followed by decrease, and vice-versa. Our findings provide new evidence on GI connectivity changes across a twelve-year difference and at metropolitan and municipal scales, as well as the identification of priority areas for increasing GI connectivity. It provides insights on the evolving and heterogenous nature of GI connectivity in support of decision-making for more sustainable metropolitan development for people and nature.

Urinary Neutrophil Gelatinase-Associated Lipocalin/Hepcidin-25 Ratio for Early Identification of Patients at Risk for Renal Replacement Therapy After Cardiac Surgery: A Substudy of the BICARBONATE Trial

BACKGROUND

Acute kidney injury requiring renal replacement therapy (AKI-RRT) is strongly associated with mortality after cardiac surgery; however, options for early identification of patients at high risk for AKI-RRT are extremely limited. Early after cardiac surgery, the predictive ability for AKI-RRT even of one of the most extensively evaluated novel urinary biomarkers, neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL), appears to be only moderate. We aimed to determine whether the NGAL/hepcidin-25 ratio (urinary concentrations of NGAL divided by that of hepcidin-25) early after surgery may compare favorably to NGAL for identification of high-risk patients after cardiac surgery.

METHODS

This is a prospective substudy of the BICARBONATE trial, a multicenter parallel-randomized controlled trial comparing perioperative bicarbonate infusion for AKI prevention to usual patient care. At a tertiary referral center, 198 patients at increased kidney risk undergoing cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass were included into the present study. The primary outcome measure was defined as AKI-RRT. Secondary outcomes were in-hospital mortality and long-term mortality. We compared area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic (AUC-ROC) of urinary NGAL with that of the urinary NGAL/hepcidin-25 ratio within 60 minutes after end of surgery. We compared adjusted AUC and performed cross-validated reclassification statistics of the (logarithmic) urinary NGAL/hepcidin-25 ratio adjusted to Cleveland risk score/EuroScore, cross-clamp time, age, volume of packed red blood cells, and (logarithmic) urinary NGAL concentration. The association of the NGAL/hepcidin-25 ratio with long-term patient survival was assessed using Cox proportional hazard regression analysis adjusting for EuroScore, aortic cross-clamp time, packed red blood cells and urinary NGAL.

RESULTS

Patients with AKI-RRT (n = 13) had 13.7-times higher NGAL and 3.3-times lower hepcidin-25 concentrations resulting in 46.9-times higher NGAL/hepcidin-25 ratio early after surgery compared to patients without AKI-RRT. The NGAL/hepcidin-25 ratio had higher AUC-ROC compared with NGAL for risk of AKI-RRT and in-hospital mortality (unadjusted AUC-ROC difference 0.087, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.036-0.138, P < .001; 0.082, 95% CI, 0.018-0.146, P = .012). For AKI-RRT, the NGAL/hepcidin-25 ratio increased adjusted category-free net reclassification improvement (cfNRI; 0.952, 95% CI, 0.437-1.468; P < .001) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI; 0.040, 95% CI, 0.008-0.073; P = .016) but not AUC difference. For in-hospital mortality, the ratio improved AUC of the reference model (AUC difference 0.056, 95% CI, 0.003-0.108; P = .037) and cfNRI but not IDI. The urinary NGAL/hepcidin-25 ratio remained significantly associated with long-term mortality after adjusting for the model covariates.

CONCLUSIONS

The urinary NGAL/hepcidin-25 ratio appears to early identify high-risk patients and outperform NGAL after cardiac surgery. Confirmation of our findings in other cardiac surgery centers is now needed.

Uncertainties in land use data may have substantial effects on environmental planning recommendations: A plea for careful consideration

A key challenge of environmental planning is to craft recommendations for future sustainable spatial development amid ubiquitous uncertainties. This paper aims to explore how different data uncertainties, usually unknown to the planner, may influence environmental planning recommendations. We apply a case study-based approach, in which we provide three illustrative examples of how data with different kinds and levels of uncertainty affect environmental assessments and, by that, the decision-support provided by environmental planning. The cases stem from different spatial levels in Germany and consider 'Regional soil-based climate change mitigation' in the region of Hannover, 'State-wide habitat conservation siting' in the federal state of Saxony-Anhalt, and 'National renewable energy planning'. Based on the three examples, we discuss implications for planning practice and derive recommendations for further research. The three cases studies illustrate the substantial effects of data uncertainty on environmental assessments and planning recommendations derived from those results. We identify four problem constellations of dealing with data uncertainty in environmental planning that relate to the severeness of uncertainty impacts, the responsibility of the decision-maker, and the kinds of impacts that wrong decisions may have. We close with recommendations for further research, among others to develop robust and pragmatic methods for identifying the uncertainty levels in environmental data and assessment results.

Integrating nature-based solutions in flood risk management plans: A matter of individual beliefs?

The formulation of management plans as required by EU environmental policies such as the Floods Directive may facilitate the uptake of nature-based solutions (NBS) into practice. Previous research has indicated that the uptake of NBS in water management plans is still low and hindered by various elements of the existing water governance system. However, research so far neglected the role of water managers as "plan-makers" of solution strategies and programs of measures, as well as their beliefs in choosing certain measures in the plan-making process. The aim of this study is to shed more light on the plan-makers' reasoning for integrating, or not integrating, NBS into specific flood risk management plans (FRMPs). We conducted ten qualitative interviews with plan-makers from Germany and adopted a grounded theory approach to identify their beliefs that underlie the process of formulating FRMPs as well as their perceived role in this process. The analysis reveals a dominance of shared substantive and relational beliefs that are obstructive to a greater uptake of NBS in FRMPs. In particular, identified beliefs about NBS often do not align with their self-perception of their role in being the "plan-makers". We present a differentiated portrait of water managers as key actors in the decision-making on FRMPs, illustrating that while water managers are belonging to the same distinct professional group with a similar social role in the decision-making process, they do not necessarily share the same preferences.

Urinary biomarkers to predict severe fluid overload after cardiac surgery: a pilot study

Aim: To assess the predictive ability of urinary and plasma biomarkers and clinical routine parameters for subsequent severe fluid overload. Patients & methods: In a pilot study, we studied 100 adult patients after cardiac surgery. On intensive care unit admission, we measured biomarkers in urine (midkine, IL-6, neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin [NGAL], hepcidin-25) and plasma (creatinine, urea, B-type natriuretic peptide, lactate, C-reactive protein, leukocytes, IL-6, NGAL, hepcidin-25) to predict postoperative severe fluid overload. Results: Urinary midkine, IL-6, NGAL and hepcidin-25 (all AUCs ≥0.79) predicted postoperative severe fluid overload (n = 5 patients). Urinary NGAL/hepcidin-25 ratio (AUC 0.867) predicted postoperative severe fluid overload after adjustment to EuroScore and need for norepinephrine on surgery day (odds ratio: 2.4). Conclusion: Urinary biomarkers on intensive care unit admission might be helpful to predict subsequent severe fluid overload after cardiac surgery.

Predictive Value of Plasma NGAL:Hepcidin-25 for Major Adverse Kidney Events After Cardiac Surgery with Cardiopulmonary Bypass: A Pilot Study

Background

Neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) and hepcidin-25 are involved in catalytic iron-related kidney injury after cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass. We explored the predictive value of plasma NGAL, plasma hepcidin-25, and the plasma NGAL:hepcidin-25 ratio for major adverse kidney events (MAKE) after cardiac surgery.

Methods

We compared the predictive value of plasma NGAL, hepcidin-25, and plasma NGAL:hepcidin-25 with that of serum creatinine (Cr) and urinary output and protein for primary-endpoint MAKE (acute kidney injury [AKI] stages 2 and 3, persistent AKI >48 hours, acute dialysis, and in-hospital mortality) and secondary-endpoint AKI in 100 cardiac surgery patients at intensive care unit (ICU) admission. We performed ROC curve, logistic regression, and reclassification analyses.

Results

At ICU admission, plasma NGAL, plasma NGAL:hepcidin-25, plasma interleukin-6, and Cr predicted MAKE (area under the ROC curve [AUC]: 0.77, 0.79, 0.74, and 0.74, respectively) and AKI (0.73, 0.89, 0.70, and 0.69). For AKI prediction, plasma NGAL:hepcidin-25 had a higher discriminatory power than Cr (AUC difference 0.26 [95% CI 0.00-0.53]). Urinary output and protein, plasma lactate, C-reactive protein, creatine kinase myocardial band, and brain natriuretic peptide did not predict MAKE or AKI (AUC <0.70). Only plasma NGAL:hepcidin-25 correctly reclassified patients according to their MAKE and AKI status (category-free net reclassification improvement: 0.82 [95% CI 0.12-1.52], 1.03 [0.29-1.77]). After adjustment to the Cleveland risk score, plasma NGAL:hepcidin-25 ≥0.9 independently predicted MAKE (adjusted odds ratio 16.34 [95% CI 1.77-150.49], P=0.014).

Conclusions

Plasma NGAL:hepcidin-25 is a promising marker for predicting postoperative MAKE.

O-214 Undisturbed embryo culture under High Humidity atmosphere in a time-lapse system increases pregnancy rates

Study question

Does culture in high relative humidity conditions (HC) improve pregnancy rates when using a time-lapse system (TLS) and single-step (SS) culture medium?

Summary answer

Using an integrated-TLS and SS medium, culture under HC increases the likelihood of embryos to achieve a pregnancy with respect to those cultured in DC.

What is known already

Many variables affect embryo development, and need to be precisely tuned in every IVF laboratory, especially inside the incubators. TLS provide stability during embryo culture, which is a well-known key factor for a proper embryo development. The humidity content of culture atmosphere is especially relevant in order to avoid oscillations in culture media osmolality. It has been previously reported that culture under HC has a significant effect on embryo quality and morphokinetics. However, studies assessing the effect of HC in clinical outcome are rare and inconclusive, mostly due to the variability in the incubator device used and insufficient sample size.

Study design, size, duration

The present is a retrospective study performed over 1624 ICSI treatments from 3 fertility clinics from December 2017 to October 2020. Zygote cohorts were randomly assigned to dry (N = 794) or humid conditions (N = 830). It includes autologous treatments with (N = 555) and without (N = 368) pre-implantation genetic testing (PGT) and egg donation treatments (N = 701). Following selection by combining morphological and morphokinetic criteria, 1611 mostly single embryo transfers (92%) were performed, 779 from DC and 832 from HC.

Participants/materials, setting, methods

Stimulation, oocyte pickup and fertilization were performed according to the standard procedures of the clinic. We used a GERI incubator (Genea Biomedx), with 6 separated chambers for individual patients, 3 of them configured to work in DC, and 3 in HC. Embryos were cultured in specific 16-well GERI trays with single-step Gems® culture medium (Genea Biomedx). The effect of HC in pregnancy rate was assessed by multivariate logistic regression and Pearson Chi Square Test.

Main results and the role of chance

Types of treatment and patient demographics were homogeneously distributed in the two study groups. Mean patient age was 39.88±4.47 years, BMI: 23.54±4.21 Kg/m2 and number of correctly fertilized oocytes: 7.86±3.87. A logistic regression was performed, including other possible affecting factors: ovum age and origin, transfer day, fresh or frozen-warmed embryo transfer, number of transferred embryos and the use of PGT. Said analysis revealed that embryos cultured in HC are more likely to achieve a pregnancy than those cultured in DC (OR = 1.30, 95% CI (1.05-1.59), p=0.014). Pregnancy rate was significantly higher in HC (66.7%) than in DC (60.9%) in the total embryo transfers (p = 0.017). Pregnancy rate was also higher in HC in fresh embryo transfers (68.6% in HC vs 63.2% in DC; p = 0.133) and frozen-thawed transfers (65.2% in HC vs 59.1% in DC; p = 0.062), although differences were not statistically significant due to the reduced sample size. Stratifying the results, the significant difference remained in transfers belonging to autologous cycles (68.4% HC vs 56.5% in DC; p = 0.030) and in treatments in which PGT was performed (67.1% HC vs 56.0% in DC; p = 0.023), but the difference in egg donation procedures was not statistically significant (66.4% in HC vs 64.7% in DC, p = 0.577).

Limitations, reasons for caution

This is a retrospective analysis performed over the clinics’ treatments, so it might be compromised by some bias, although multivariable analysis may overcome them. For further assessing the effect of HC in clinical results a prospective controlled study, with a larger sample size could be performed, also comparing life-birth rates.

Wider implications of the findings

These results, alongside our previous findings (Valera et al. 2020, Albert et al. 2020), support that HC contributes to optimize embryo development and clinical results in undisturbed culture in TLS with single-step medium. To our knowledge, this is the largest study on the matter and the first performing multivariable analysis.

Trial registration number

Not applicable

Planning and governing nature-based solutions in river landscapes: Concepts, cases, and insights

Nature-based solutions (NBS), understood as actions that use ecosystem processes to address societal needs, can play important roles to future-proof river landscape development for people and nature. However, knowledge gaps exist how NBS can be planned and implemented at landscape scales. This Special Issue brings together insights and experiences from studies of assessing, planning, and implementing NBS in river landscapes in Europe and beyond. It addresses three research fields: (i) NBS effects, looking at the effectiveness of NBS to achieve ecological, social, and/or economic outcomes, (ii) NBS planning, focusing on approaches for planning and designing NBS, and (iii) NBS governance, relating to governance and business models for implementation. The twelve contributions deliver evidence on how NBS outperform conventional, rather technical solutions, provide guidance and tools to operationalize the NBS concept into practice, and showcase successful governance models of NBS in different contexts. The editorial ends with an outlook on further research needs.

Planning nature-based solutions: Principles, steps, and insights

Nature-based solutions (NBS) find increasing attention as actions to address societal challenges through harnessing ecological processes, yet knowledge gaps exist regarding approaches to landscape planning with NBS. This paper aims to provide suggestions of how planning NBS can be conceptualized and applied in practice. We develop a framework for planning NBS by merging insights from literature and a case study in the Lahn river landscape, Germany. Our framework relates to three key criteria that define NBS, and consists of six steps of planning: Co-define setting, Understand challenges, Create visions and scenarios, Assess potential impacts, Develop solution strategies, and Realize and monitor. Its implementation is guided by five principles, namely Place-specificity, Evidence base, Integration, Equity, and Transdisciplinarity. Drawing on the empirical insights from the case study, we suggest suitable methods and a checklist of supportive procedures for applying the framework in practice. Taken together, our framework can facilitate planning NBS and provides further steps towards mainstreaming.

Governance models for nature-based solutions: Seventeen cases from Germany

Nature-based solutions (NBS) for mitigating climate change are gaining popularity. The number of NBS is increasing, but research gaps still exist at the governance level. The objectives of this paper are (i) to give an overview of the implemented NBS for flood risk management and mitigation in Germany, (ii) to identify governance models that are applied, and (iii) to explore the differences between these models. The results of a hierarchical clustering procedure and a qualitative analysis show that while no one-size-fits-all governance model exists, polycentricism is an important commonality between the projects. The study concludes by highlighting the need for further research on traditional governance model reconversion and paradigm changes. We expect the findings to identify what has worked in the past, as well as what is important for the implementation of NBS for flood risk management in future projects.

Using Geodesign as a boundary management process for planning nature-based solutions in river landscapes

Planning with nature-based solutions (NBS) presents a participatory approach that harnesses actions supported by nature to address societal challenges. Whilst Geodesign may facilitate participatory planning, manage boundaries between participants, and assess impacts of NBS, empirical insights remain scarce. This paper aims to develop and test a Geodesign process for planning with NBS, and to evaluate its contributions to boundary management. In a one-day Geodesign process, eleven stakeholders delineated priority areas, changed land uses, and observed resulting impacts on ecosystem services. Contributions to boundary management were evaluated regarding translation, communication and mediation functions, as well as perceived attributions of credibility, salience, and legitimacy. Results include spatial NBS scenarios and insights into contributions to boundary management: translating scenario stories into maps differed depending on the stakeholders involved; communication can be easily facilitated; yet mediation using an indicator tool led to frustration. Geodesign can indeed facilitate NBS co-design but needs to be integrated into a larger collaborative process.

Digitalization of presence events in the COVID-19 pandemia - the lecturers' perspective

Objective: Due to the COVID-19 pandemic a large part of attendance in medical education became impossible for reasons of disease control. Teachers had to switch to online courses at short notice. The associated developmental push of digital teaching methods, such as online teaching, has anticipated changes, some of which are tantamount to establishment. This study examines the experiences and effects of these changes from the teachers' perspective. Methods: We conducted ten guideline-based anonymized e-mail interviews with lecturers of the Medical Faculty of the Otto-von-Guericke University Magdeburg. Questions were asked on the subject areas of advantages and disadvantages, teaching experience and the future of digital teaching. The qualitative evaluation was based on Mayring. Results: The assessment of the digitization of face-to-face courses could be described by the inductively formed categories "social aspects", "methodological aspects", "institutional aspects", "technical aspects" and "temporal-spatial aspects". These revealed in particular concerns about the lack of personal exchange, temporal-spatial advantages, technical barriers and disagreement about the future role of digital teaching. Conclusion: In the context of the COVID-19 pandemic, face-to-face courses were replaced by online teaching, which is currently an accepted part of the curriculum. The results show, that teachers were able to implement the comprehensive ad-hoc digitization of theoretical courses well, although previously known problem areas were aggravated. Furthermore, a fundamental examination of the future role of digitized courses in medical education must take place.

Meta-analysis of diagnostic accuracy studies with multiple thresholds: Comparison of different approaches

Methods for standard meta-analysis of diagnostic test accuracy studies are well established and understood. For the more complex case in which studies report test accuracy across multiple thresholds, several approaches have recently been proposed. These are based on similar ideas, but make different assumptions. In this article, we apply four different approaches to data from a recent systematic review in the area of nephrology and compare the results. The four approaches use: a linear mixed effects model, a Bayesian multinomial random effects model, a time-to-event model and a nonparametric model, respectively. In the case study data, the accuracy of neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin for the diagnosis of acute kidney injury was assessed in different scenarios, with sensitivity and specificity estimates available for three thresholds in each primary study. All approaches led to plausible and mostly similar summary results. However, we found considerable differences in results for some scenarios, for example, differences in the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of up to 0.13. The Bayesian approach tended to lead to the highest values of the AUC, and the nonparametric approach tended to produce the lowest values across the different scenarios. Though we recommend using these approaches, our findings motivate the need for a simulation study to explore optimal choice of method in various scenarios.

Biomarker-Guided Risk Assessment for Acute Kidney Injury: Time for Clinical Implementation?

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common and serious complication in hospitalized patients, which continues to pose a clinical challenge for treating physicians. The most recent Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes practice guidelines for AKI have restated the importance of earliest possible detection of AKI and adjusting treatment accordingly. Since the emergence of initial studies examining the use of neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) and cycle arrest biomarkers, tissue inhibitor metalloproteinase-2 (TIMP-2) and insulin-like growth factor-binding protein (IGFBP7), for early diagnosis of AKI, a vast number of studies have investigated the accuracy and additional clinical benefits of these biomarkers. As proposed by the Acute Dialysis Quality Initiative, new AKI diagnostic criteria should equally utilize glomerular function and tubular injury markers for AKI diagnosis. In addition to refining our capabilities in kidney risk prediction with kidney injury biomarkers, structural disorder phenotypes referred to as "preclinical-" and "subclinical AKI" have been described and are increasingly recognized. Additionally, positive biomarker test findings were found to provide prognostic information regardless of an acute decline in renal function (positive serum creatinine criteria). We summarize and discuss the recent findings focusing on two of the most promising and clinically available kidney injury biomarkers, NGAL and cell cycle arrest markers, in the context of AKI phenotypes. Finally, we draw conclusions regarding the clinical implications for kidney risk prediction.

Neutrophil Gelatinase-Associated Lipocalin Measured on Clinical Laboratory Platforms for the Prediction of Acute Kidney Injury and the Associated Need for Dialysis Therapy: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

The usefulness of measures of neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) in urine or plasma obtained on clinical laboratory platforms for predicting acute kidney injury (AKI) and AKI requiring dialysis (AKI-D) has not been fully evaluated. We sought to quantitatively summarize published data to evaluate the value of urinary and plasma NGAL for kidney risk prediction.

STUDY DESIGN

Literature-based meta-analysis and individual-study-data meta-analysis of diagnostic studies following PRISMA-IPD guidelines.

SETTING & STUDY POPULATIONS

Studies of adults investigating AKI, severe AKI, and AKI-D in the setting of cardiac surgery, intensive care, or emergency department care using either urinary or plasma NGAL measured on clinical laboratory platforms.

SELECTION CRITERIA FOR STUDIES

PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, Scopus, and congress abstracts ever published through February 2020 reporting diagnostic test studies of NGAL measured on clinical laboratory platforms to predict AKI.

DATA EXTRACTION

Individual-study-data meta-analysis was accomplished by giving authors data specifications tailored to their studies and requesting standardized patient-level data analysis.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Individual-study-data meta-analysis used a bivariate time-to-event model for interval-censored data from which discriminative ability (AUC) was characterized. NGAL cutoff concentrations at 95% sensitivity, 95% specificity, and optimal sensitivity and specificity were also estimated. Models incorporated as confounders the clinical setting and use versus nonuse of urine output as a criterion for AKI. A literature-based meta-analysis was also performed for all published studies including those for which the authors were unable to provide individual-study data analyses.

RESULTS

We included 52 observational studies involving 13,040 patients. We analyzed 30 data sets for the individual-study-data meta-analysis. For AKI, severe AKI, and AKI-D, numbers of events were 837, 304, and 103 for analyses of urinary NGAL, respectively; these values were 705, 271, and 178 for analyses of plasma NGAL. Discriminative performance was similar in both meta-analyses. Individual-study-data meta-analysis AUCs for urinary NGAL were 0.75 (95% CI, 0.73-0.76) and 0.80 (95% CI, 0.79-0.81) for severe AKI and AKI-D, respectively; for plasma NGAL, the corresponding AUCs were 0.80 (95% CI, 0.79-0.81) and 0.86 (95% CI, 0.84-0.86). Cutoff concentrations at 95% specificity for urinary NGAL were>580ng/mL with 27% sensitivity for severe AKI and>589ng/mL with 24% sensitivity for AKI-D. Corresponding cutoffs for plasma NGAL were>364ng/mL with 44% sensitivity and>546ng/mL with 26% sensitivity, respectively.

LIMITATIONS

Practice variability in initiation of dialysis. Imperfect harmonization of data across studies.

CONCLUSIONS

Urinary and plasma NGAL concentrations may identify patients at high risk for AKI in clinical research and practice. The cutoff concentrations reported in this study require prospective evaluation.

The Effects of Intensive Versus Routine Treatment in Patients with Acute Kidney Injury

BACKGROUND

In patients with acute kidney injury (AKI), specialized treatment-initiated in response to an early-warning system- may be beneficial compared with routine treatment.

METHOD

To explore effect estimators in a pilot trial (DRKS00010530), patients with AKI on regular wards of a university hospital were treated either in the usual way (control group) or more intensively (intervention group). The subjects were allotted randomly to the two treatment groups. The more intensive treatment consisted of an early warning system for a rise in the serum creatinine concentration, immediate consultation of a specialist, and the issuance of a patient kidney passport. The primary endpoint was recovery of renal function after AKI during the index hospitalization. Renal complications and process indicators were the secondary endpoints.

RESULTS

The proportion of patients whose renal function returned to baseline after AKI was 50% in the intervention group (N = 26) and 42% in the control group (N = 26) (odds ratio 1.4, 95% confidence interval [0.5; 4.0], p = 0.58). The calculated glomerular filtration rate went down, from hospital admission to discharge, by 3 mL/min/1.73 m2 (1st-3rd quartile: [6; -20]) in the intervention group and by 13 mL/min/1.73 m2 in the control group (1st-3rd quartile: [0; -25]; p = 0.09). Complications of AKI such as hyperkalemia, pulmonary edema, and renal acidosis were rarer in the intervention group (15% versus 39%; p = 0.03). In the intervention group, compared with the control group, the cause of AKI was identified more frequently (27% versus 4%; p = 0.05); drugs with relevance to the kidney were discontinued more frequently (65% versus 31%; p = 0.01); and the diagnosis of AKI was more frequently documented in the patient's chart (58% versus 37%; p = 0.03).

CONCLUSION

Specialized consultations supported by an early warning system for AKI seem to be beneficial for patients. The findings of this pilot trial should be verified in larger-scale randomized controlled trials.

FRI0095 SARILUMAB IMPROVED PATIENT-PERCEIVED IMPACT OF RHEUMATOID ARTHRITIS WHATEVER THE BASELINE DISEASE ACTIVITY: FIRST RESULTS FROM AN INTERVENTIONAL NON CONTROLLED STUDY: SARIPRO, IN MODERATE AND SEVERE RHEUMATOID ARTHRITIS PATIENTS

Background:

Sarilumab, an anti-IL-6R antibody, is approved for the treatment of moderate to severe RA and shown efficacy on disease activity and patient-reported outcomes (PROs). Detailed analyses of drug efficacy from the patient point of view is important. SariPRO is a pragmatic interventional study close to the daily practice.

Objectives:

To assess the effectiveness of sarilumab on several PROs using the RAID (Rheumatoid Arthritis Impact of Disease) score.

Methods:

The SariPRO study (NCT 03449758) was a French multicenter interventional study assessing the effects of sarilumab 200 mg on PROs in patients with moderately to severely active RA with an inadequate response or intolerance to conventional synthetic or biologic DMARDs. The primary endpoint was change in total RAID score from baseline to week 24 (RAID ranges 0-10 where 10 is maximal impact). Changes from baseline for RAID, DAS28-ESR and CDAI according to baseline disease activity were analyzed as secondary outcomes. Safety was assessed by monitoring adverse events (AE). All statistical analyses were descriptive, 95% CI was given when appropriate.

Results:

84 patients were included in 31 centers and 62 were evaluable and analyzed for effectiveness. They had similar characteristics to the 84 patients at baseline and were as expected for an RA population initiating a biologic: mean (SD) age: 59.9 (12.4) years, 71.0% female, disease duration 9.7 (10.3) years, rheumatoid factor positivity 82.5%, ACPA positivity 86.4%, and DAS28=4.9 (11). Total RAID score decreased significantly from 5.7 (2.0) at baseline to 3.3 (2.5) at W24; mean change was -2.4 [95% CI: -3.0; -1.8]. Furthermore, this improvement was noted both for highly and less active patients at baseline: for patients with DAS28-ESR < 5.1 (n=31), mean change was -1.56 [-2.28; -0.83] and for patients with DAS28-ESR≥5.1 (n=27), mean change was -1.98 [-2.91; -1.05]. Changes in DAS28-ESR and CDAI were significant (-2.8 [-3.2; -2.4] and -15.2 [-18.5; -11.8], respectively). AEs were consistent with the safety profile of anti-IL-6R antibodies and with results from RCTs (data not shown).

Conclusion:

In this real world study, treatment with sarilumab during 24 weeks in RA patients led to an improvement in the total RAID score irrespective of baseline levels of disease activity. This is the first time RAID score is used as the primary endpoint in a study.

References:

[1]Study was sponsored by Sanofi Genzyme

Disclosure of Interests:

Laure Gossec Grant/research support from: Lilly, Mylan, Pfizer, Sandoz, Consultant of: AbbVie, Amgen, Biogen, Celgene, Janssen, Lilly, Novartis, Pfizer, Sandoz, Sanofi-Aventis, UCB, René-Marc Flipo Consultant of: Johnson and Johnson, MSD France, Novartis, Sanofi, Speakers bureau: Johnson and Johnson, MSD France, Novartis, Sanofi, Thierry Schaeverbeke: None declared, Christine Albert: None declared, Athan Baillet Consultant of: Athan BAILLET has received honorarium fees from Abbvie for his participation as the coordinator of the systematic literature review, marie-Christophe Boissier: None declared, Cyrille Confavreux: None declared, Gregoire CORMIER: None declared, Emmanuelle Dernis Speakers bureau: Lilly, Novartis, Elisabeth Gervais Solau: None declared, Sophie Godot: None declared, Jacques-Eric Gottenberg Grant/research support from: BMS, Pfizer, Consultant of: BMS, Sanofi-Genzyme, UCB, Speakers bureau: Abbvie, Eli Lilly and Co., Roche, Sanofi-Genzyme, UCB, Philippe Goupille Grant/research support from: AbbVie, Amgen, Biogen, BMS, Celgene, Chugai, Lilly, Janssen, Medac, MSD France, Nordic Pharma, Novartis, Pfizer, Sanofi and UCB, Consultant of: AbbVie, Amgen, Biogen, BMS, Celgene, Chugai, Lilly, Janssen, Medac, MSD France, Nordic Pharma, Novartis, Pfizer, Sanofi and UCB, Speakers bureau: AbbVie, Amgen, Biogen, BMS, Celgene, Chugai, Lilly, Janssen, Medac, MSD France, Nordic Pharma, Novartis, Pfizer, Sanofi and UCB, Slim Lassoued: None declared, Thierry Lequerre: None declared, Frederic Lioté Consultant of: CME: Nordic Pharma, Christian Marcelli: None declared, Yves Maugars: None declared, Minh Nguyen: None declared, Aleth Perdriger: None declared, Yves-Marie Pers: None declared, Edouard Pertuiset: None declared, Lucile Poiroux: None declared, Carole Rosenberg: None declared, Christian Roux: None declared, Adeline Ruyssen-Witrand Grant/research support from: Abbvie, Pfizer, Consultant of: Abbvie, BMS, Lilly, Mylan, Novartis, Pfizer, Sandoz, Sanofi-Genzyme, Martin SOUBRIER: None declared, Pascale Vergne-Salle: None declared, Charles Zarnitsky: None declared, Eric Fakra Consultant of: Janssen, Lundbeck, Otsuka, Sanofi, Hubert MAROTTE Grant/research support from: Bristol Myers Sqibb, Lilly France, MSD, Novartis, Nordic Pharma, Pfizer, SanofiAventis, Consultant of: AbbVie, Amgen, Bristol Myers Sqibb, Lilly France, MSD, Novartis, Nordic Pharma, Pfizer, SanofiAventis, Paid instructor for: Sanofi-Aventis, Speakers bureau: Sanofi-Aventis, Florence E Lévy-Weil Employee of: Sanofi Genzyme employee

Urinary Biomarkers may Complement the Cleveland Score for Prediction of Adverse Kidney Events After Cardiac Surgery: A Pilot Study

Background

The ability of urinary biomarkers to complement established clinical risk prediction models for postoperative adverse kidney events is unclear. We assessed the effect of urinary biomarkers linked to suspected pathogenesis of cardiac surgery-induced acute kidney injury (AKI) on the performance of the Cleveland Score, a risk assessment model for postoperative adverse kidney events.

Methods

This pilot study included 100 patients who underwent open-heart surgery. We determined improvements to the Cleveland Score when adding urinary biomarkers measured using clinical laboratory platforms (neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin [NGAL], interleukin-6) and those in the preclinical stage (hepcidin-25, midkine, alpha-1 microglobulin), all sampled immediately post-surgery. The primary endpoint was major adverse kidney events (MAKE), and the secondary endpoint was AKI. We performed ROC curve analysis, assessed baseline model performance (odds ratios [OR], 95% CI), and carried out statistical reclassification analyses to assess model improvement.

Results

NGAL (OR [95% CI] per 20 concentration-units wherever applicable): (1.07 [1.01–1.14]), Interleukin-6 (1.51 [1.01–2.26]), midkine (1.01 [1.00–1.02]), 1-hepcidin-25 (1.08 [1.00–1.17]), and NGAL/hepcidin-ratio (2.91 [1.30–6.49]) were independent predictors of MAKE and AKI (1.38 [1.03–1.85], 1.08 [1.01–1.15], 1.01 [1.00–1.02], 1.09 [1.01–1.18], and 3.45 [1.54–7.72]). Category-free net reclassification improvement identified interleukin-6 as a model-improving biomarker for MAKE and NGAL for AKI. However, only NGAL/hepcidin-25 improved model performance for event- and event-free patients for MAKE and AKI.

Conclusions

NGAL and interleukin-6 measured immediately post cardiac surgery may complement the Cleveland Score. The combination of biomarkers with hepcidin-25 may further improve diagnostic discrimination.

Fingolimod after a first unilateral episode of acute optic neuritis (MOVING) - preliminary results from a randomized, rater-blind, active-controlled, phase 2 trial

Background

Neuroprotection and promotion of remyelination represent important therapeutic gaps in multiple sclerosis (MS). Acute optic neuritis (ON) is a frequent MS manifestation. Based on the presence and properties of sphingosine-1-phosphate receptors (S1PR) on astrocytes and oligodendrocytes, we hypothesized that remyelination can be enhanced by treatment with fingolimod, a S1PR modulator currently licensed for relapsing-remitting MS.

Methods

MOVING was an investigator-driven, rater-blind, randomized clinical trial. Patients with acute unilateral ON, occurring as a clinically isolated syndrome or MS relapse, were randomized to 6 months of treatment with 0.5 mg oral fingolimod or subcutaneous IFN-β 1b 250 μg every other day. The change in multifocal visual evoked potential (mfVEP) latency of the qualifying eye was examined as the primary (month 6 vs. baseline) and secondary (months 3, 6 and 12 vs. baseline) outcome. In addition, full field visual evoked potentials, visual acuity, optical coherence tomography as well as clinical relapses and measures of disability, cerebral MRI, and self-reported visual quality of life were obtained for follow-up. The study was halted due to insufficient recruitment (n = 15), and available results are reported.

Results

Per protocol analysis of the primary endpoint revealed a significantly larger reduction of mfVEP latency at 6 months compared to baseline with fingolimod treatment (n = 5; median decrease, 15.7 ms) than with IFN-β 1b treatment (n = 4; median increase, 8.15 ms) (p <  0.001 for interaction). Statistical significance was maintained in the secondary endpoint analysis. Descriptive results are reported for other endpoints.

Conclusion

Preliminary results of the MOVING trial argue in support of a beneficial effect of fingolimod on optic nerve remyelination when compared to IFN-β treatment. Interpretation is limited by the small number of complete observations, an unexpected deterioration of the control group and a difference in baseline mfVEP latencies. The findings need to be confirmed in larger studies.

Trial registration

The trial was registered as EUDRA-CT 2011–004787-30 on October 26, 2012 and as NCT01647880 on July 24, 2012.

[Treatment, clinical course, and cross-sectoral information transmission in patients with acute-on-chronic kidney injury]

BACKGROUND

Delayed diagnosis and undertherapy of acute-on-chronic kidney injury (AKI-on-CKD) may trigger multiple organ injury and worsen clinical outcome.

OBJECTIVES

This study focused on description of in-hospital care and cross-sectoral information transmission of patients with AKI-on-CKD including subgroup analyses (under surgical vs. non-surgical and nephrology vs. non-nephrology care).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

At a university clinic, we analysed clinical measures and documentation in patients with AKI-on-CKD. Cox regression was performed to identify independent risk factors for in-hospital-mortality and 180-day mortality.

RESULTS

In 38 (25.3%) of 150 patients, progressing AKI-on-CKD was found. Nineteen patients (12.7%) received acute dialysis. Thirty patients (20.0%) died in hospital. Systemic hypotension (n = 76, 50.7%) and nephrotoxins (n = 26, 17.3%), both considered as causes for AKI-on-CKD, were treated in 36.8 and 19.2%, respectively, of affected patients. Fluid balance was documented in one third of patients. Nephrology referral was requested in 38 (25.3%) of patients (median 24.0 h after AKI-on-CKD start). Acute renal complications (n = 74, 49.3%) were an independent risk factor for in-hospital mortality (ExpB 6.5, p = 0.022) or 180-day mortality (ExpB 3.3, p = 0.034). Rarely, outpatient physicians were informed about AKI-on-CKD (n = 42, 28.0%) or renal function follow-up was recommended (n = 14, 11.7% of surviving patients).

CONCLUSIONS

Care gaps in therapy and cross-sectoral information transmission in patients with AKI-on-CKD were identified.

Large amplicon droplet digital PCR for DNA-based monitoring of pediatric chronic myeloid leukaemia

Quantification of tumour‐specific molecular markers at the RNA and DNA level for treatment response monitoring is crucial for risk‐adapted stratification and guidance of individualized therapy in leukaemia and other malignancies. Most pediatric leukaemias and solid tumours of mesenchymal origin are characterized by a relatively low mutation burden at the single nucleotide level and the presence of recurrent chromosomal translocations. The genomic fusion sites resulting from translocations are stable molecular tumour markers; however, repeat‐rich DNA sequences flanking intronic breakpoints limit the design of high sensitivity PCR assays for minimal residual disease (MRD) monitoring. Here, we quantitatively evaluated the impact of repeat elements on assay selection and the feasibility of using extended amplicons (≤1330 bp) amplified by droplet digital PCR to monitor pediatric chronic myeloid leukaemia (CML). Molecular characterization of 178 genomic BCR‐ABL1 fusion sites showed that 64% were located within sequence repeat elements, impeding optimal primer/probe design. Comparative quantification of DNA and RNA BCR‐ABL1 copy numbers in 687 specimens from 55 pediatric patients revealed that their levels were highly correlated. The combination of droplet digital PCR, double quenched probes and extended amplicons represents a valuable tool for sensitive MRD assessment in CML and may be adapted to other translocation‐positive tumours.

Incorporating environmental costs of ecosystem service loss in political decision making: A synthesis of monetary values for Germany

Germany faces on-going degradation and biodiversity loss. As a consequence, goods and services provided by biodiversity for human well-being, so-called ecosystem services, are being lost. The associated economic costs and benefits are often unknown. To fill this gap, we conducted a literature review and developed a database of monetary values for the changes in ecosystem services that result from ecosystem change in Germany. In total, 109 monetary valuation studies of regulating and cultural ecosystem services were identified, with the majority focusing on forests and wetlands. In collaboration with valuation experts and the German Federal Environment Agency-Umweltbundesamt (UBA), we defined a set of criteria that economic valuation studies should meet in order to qualify for being used in decision making on national policies. Only 6 out of 109 valuation studies (5.5%) fulfilled the quality criteria for informing such decisions. Overall, monetary information on regulating and cultural ecosystem services is scattered and scarce compared to information on provisioning services, which is accounted for in detail in national statistics. This imbalance in information likely contributes to the distortion in land-use policies, giving preference to maximizing provisioning services in agricultural production and forestry, while neglecting the societal relevance of regulating and cultural services. Decision makers have to rely on only a few cost estimates that are scientifically robust, while being pragmatic to include also vague estimates in cases where data is lacking. The transferability of the monetary values included in our database depends on the biophysical and socio-economic site conditions as well as the decision context of the intended application. Case specific adjustments following guidance for benefit transfer are recommended. Given the lack of applicable studies, we call for more decision-relevant economic assessments. Even in cases where monetary estimates are available, we suggest decision makers to consider also other benefit information available to capture the multiple values ecosystems provide to humans.