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Madson A, Dimson M, Fortini LB, Kawelo K, Ticktin T, Keir M, Dong C, Ma Z, Beilman DW, Kay K, Ocón JP, Gallerani E, Pau S, Gillespie TW. A Near Four-Decade Time Series Shows the Hawaiian Islands Have Been Browning Since the 1980s. Environ Manage 2023; 71:965-980. [PMID: 36414689 PMCID: PMC10083158 DOI: 10.1007/s00267-022-01749-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/26/2022] [Accepted: 11/07/2022] [Indexed: 06/16/2023]
Abstract
The Hawaiian Islands have been identified as a global biodiversity hotspot. We examine the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) using Climate Data Records products (0.05 × 0.05°) to identify significant differences in NDVI between neutral El Niño-Southern Oscillation years (1984, 2019) and significant long-term changes over the entire time series (1982-2019) for the Hawaiian Islands and six land cover classes. Overall, there has been a significant decline in NDVI (i.e., browning) across the Hawaiian Islands from 1982 to 2019 with the islands of Lāna'i and Hawai'i experiencing the greatest decreases in NDVI (≥44%). All land cover classes significantly decreased in NDVI for most months, especially during the wet season month of March. Native vegetation cover across all islands also experienced significant declines in NDVI, with the leeward, southwestern side of the island of Hawai'i experiencing the greatest declines. The long-term trends in the annual total precipitation and annual mean Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) for 1982-2019 on the Hawaiian Islands show significant concurrent declines. Primarily positive correlations between the native ecosystem NDVI and precipitation imply that significant decreases in precipitation may exacerbate the decrease in NDVI of native ecosystems. NDVI-PDSI correlations were primarily negative on the windward side of the islands and positive on the leeward sides, suggesting a higher sensitivity to drought for leeward native ecosystems. Multi-decadal time series and spatially explicit data for native landscapes provide natural resource managers with long-term trends and monthly changes associated with vegetation health and stability.
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Affiliation(s)
- Austin Madson
- Wyoming Geographic Information Science Center, University of Wyoming, Laramie, WY, USA.
| | - Monica Dimson
- Department of Geography, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Lucas Berio Fortini
- U.S. Geological Survey, Pacific Island Ecosystem Research Center, Honolulu, HI, USA
| | - Kapua Kawelo
- Army Natural Resources Program, Schofield Barracks, HI, USA
| | - Tamara Ticktin
- School of Life Sciences, University of Hawai'i at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI, USA
| | - Matt Keir
- Department of Land and Natural Resources, Division of Forestry and Wildlife, Honolulu, HI, USA
| | - Chunyu Dong
- School of Civil Engineering, Sun Yat-sen University, Zhuhai, China
| | - Zhimin Ma
- School of Civil Engineering, Sun Yat-sen University, Zhuhai, China
| | - David W Beilman
- Department of Geography and Environment, University of Hawai'i at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI, USA
| | - Kelly Kay
- Department of Geography, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Jonathan Pando Ocón
- Department of Geography, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Erica Gallerani
- Department of Geography, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - Stephanie Pau
- Department of Geography, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, USA
| | - Thomas W Gillespie
- Department of Geography, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA
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Wang Y, Pedersen MW, Alsos IG, De Sanctis B, Racimo F, Prohaska A, Coissac E, Owens HL, Merkel MKF, Fernandez-Guerra A, Rouillard A, Lammers Y, Alberti A, Denoeud F, Money D, Ruter AH, McColl H, Larsen NK, Cherezova AA, Edwards ME, Fedorov GB, Haile J, Orlando L, Vinner L, Korneliussen TS, Beilman DW, Bjørk AA, Cao J, Dockter C, Esdale J, Gusarova G, Kjeldsen KK, Mangerud J, Rasic JT, Skadhauge B, Svendsen JI, Tikhonov A, Wincker P, Xing Y, Zhang Y, Froese DG, Rahbek C, Bravo DN, Holden PB, Edwards NR, Durbin R, Meltzer DJ, Kjær KH, Möller P, Willerslev E. Late Quaternary dynamics of Arctic biota from ancient environmental genomics. Nature 2021; 600:86-92. [PMID: 34671161 PMCID: PMC8636272 DOI: 10.1038/s41586-021-04016-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 37] [Impact Index Per Article: 12.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/21/2021] [Accepted: 09/13/2021] [Indexed: 11/08/2022]
Abstract
During the last glacial-interglacial cycle, Arctic biotas experienced substantial climatic changes, yet the nature, extent and rate of their responses are not fully understood1-8. Here we report a large-scale environmental DNA metagenomic study of ancient plant and mammal communities, analysing 535 permafrost and lake sediment samples from across the Arctic spanning the past 50,000 years. Furthermore, we present 1,541 contemporary plant genome assemblies that were generated as reference sequences. Our study provides several insights into the long-term dynamics of the Arctic biota at the circumpolar and regional scales. Our key findings include: (1) a relatively homogeneous steppe-tundra flora dominated the Arctic during the Last Glacial Maximum, followed by regional divergence of vegetation during the Holocene epoch; (2) certain grazing animals consistently co-occurred in space and time; (3) humans appear to have been a minor factor in driving animal distributions; (4) higher effective precipitation, as well as an increase in the proportion of wetland plants, show negative effects on animal diversity; (5) the persistence of the steppe-tundra vegetation in northern Siberia enabled the late survival of several now-extinct megafauna species, including the woolly mammoth until 3.9 ± 0.2 thousand years ago (ka) and the woolly rhinoceros until 9.8 ± 0.2 ka; and (6) phylogenetic analysis of mammoth environmental DNA reveals a previously unsampled mitochondrial lineage. Our findings highlight the power of ancient environmental metagenomics analyses to advance understanding of population histories and long-term ecological dynamics.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yucheng Wang
- Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
- Lundbeck Foundation GeoGenetics Centre, GLOBE Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Mikkel Winther Pedersen
- Lundbeck Foundation GeoGenetics Centre, GLOBE Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Inger Greve Alsos
- The Arctic University Museum of Norway, UiT- The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, Norway
| | - Bianca De Sanctis
- Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
- Department of Genetics, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Fernando Racimo
- Lundbeck Foundation GeoGenetics Centre, GLOBE Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Ana Prohaska
- Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Eric Coissac
- The Arctic University Museum of Norway, UiT- The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, Norway
- Université Grenoble Alpes, Université Savoie Mont Blanc, CNRS, LECA, Grenoble, France
| | - Hannah Lois Owens
- Center for Macroecology, Evolution and Climate, GLOBE Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | | | - Antonio Fernandez-Guerra
- Lundbeck Foundation GeoGenetics Centre, GLOBE Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Alexandra Rouillard
- Lundbeck Foundation GeoGenetics Centre, GLOBE Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
- Department of Geosciences, UiT-The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, Norway
| | - Youri Lammers
- The Arctic University Museum of Norway, UiT- The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, Norway
| | - Adriana Alberti
- Université Paris-Saclay, CEA, CNRS, Institute for Integrative Biology of the Cell (I2BC), Gif-sur-Yvette, France
- Génomique Métabolique, Genoscope, Institut François Jacob, CEA, CNRS, Université Evry, Université Paris-Saclay, Evry, France
| | - France Denoeud
- Génomique Métabolique, Genoscope, Institut François Jacob, CEA, CNRS, Université Evry, Université Paris-Saclay, Evry, France
| | - Daniel Money
- Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Anthony H Ruter
- Lundbeck Foundation GeoGenetics Centre, GLOBE Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Hugh McColl
- Lundbeck Foundation GeoGenetics Centre, GLOBE Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Nicolaj Krog Larsen
- Lundbeck Foundation GeoGenetics Centre, GLOBE Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Anna A Cherezova
- Institute of Earth Sciences, St Petersburg State University, St Petersburg, Russia
- Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute, St Petersburg, Russia
| | - Mary E Edwards
- School of Geography and Environmental Science, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
- Alaska Quaternary Center, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK, USA
| | - Grigory B Fedorov
- Institute of Earth Sciences, St Petersburg State University, St Petersburg, Russia
- Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute, St Petersburg, Russia
| | - James Haile
- Lundbeck Foundation GeoGenetics Centre, GLOBE Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Ludovic Orlando
- Centre d'Anthropobiologie et de Génomique de Toulouse, Université Paul Sabatier, Faculté de Médecine Purpan, Toulouse, France
| | - Lasse Vinner
- Lundbeck Foundation GeoGenetics Centre, GLOBE Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Thorfinn Sand Korneliussen
- Lundbeck Foundation GeoGenetics Centre, GLOBE Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
- National Research University, Higher School of Economics, Moscow, Russia
| | - David W Beilman
- Department of Geography and Environment, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI, USA
| | - Anders A Bjørk
- Department of Geosciences and Natural Resource Management, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Jialu Cao
- Lundbeck Foundation GeoGenetics Centre, GLOBE Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | | | - Julie Esdale
- Center for Environmental Management of Military Lands, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA
| | - Galina Gusarova
- The Arctic University Museum of Norway, UiT- The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, Norway
- Faculty of Biology, St Petersburg State University, St Petersburg, Russia
| | - Kristian K Kjeldsen
- Department of Glaciology and Climate, Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Jan Mangerud
- Department of Earth Science, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway
- Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway
| | - Jeffrey T Rasic
- US National Park Service, Gates of the Arctic National Park and Preserve, Fairbanks, AK, USA
| | | | - John Inge Svendsen
- Department of Earth Science, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway
- Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway
| | - Alexei Tikhonov
- Zoological Institute, , Russian Academy of Sciences, St Petersburg, Russia
| | - Patrick Wincker
- Génomique Métabolique, Genoscope, Institut François Jacob, CEA, CNRS, Université Evry, Université Paris-Saclay, Evry, France
| | - Yingchun Xing
- Resource and Environmental Research Center, Chinese Academy of Fishery Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Yubin Zhang
- College of Plant Science, Jilin University, Changchun, China
| | - Duane G Froese
- Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
| | - Carsten Rahbek
- Center for Macroecology, Evolution and Climate, GLOBE Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
- Center for Global Mountain Biodiversity, GLOBE Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - David Nogues Bravo
- Center for Macroecology, Evolution and Climate, GLOBE Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Philip B Holden
- School of Environment, Earth and Ecosystem Sciences, The Open University, Milton Keynes, UK
| | - Neil R Edwards
- School of Environment, Earth and Ecosystem Sciences, The Open University, Milton Keynes, UK
| | - Richard Durbin
- Department of Genetics, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - David J Meltzer
- Lundbeck Foundation GeoGenetics Centre, GLOBE Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
- Department of Anthropology, Southern Methodist University, Dallas, TX, USA
| | - Kurt H Kjær
- Lundbeck Foundation GeoGenetics Centre, GLOBE Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Per Möller
- Department of Geology, Quaternary Sciences, Lund University, Lund, Sweden
| | - Eske Willerslev
- Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
- Lundbeck Foundation GeoGenetics Centre, GLOBE Institute, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
- Wellcome Trust Sanger Institute, Wellcome Genome Campus, Cambridge, UK.
- MARUM, University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany.
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