Quality Indicators and Clinical Outcomes of Acute Stroke: Results from a Prospective Multicenter Registry in Greece (SUN4P)

AIM

The Stroke Units Necessity for Patients (SUN4P) project aims to provide essential data on stroke healthcare in Greece. Herein, we present results on established quality indicators and outcomes after first-ever stroke occurrences.

METHODS

This prospective multicenter study included consecutive patients admitted to nine hospitals across Greece in 2019-2021. Descriptive statistics were used to present patients' characteristics, key performance measures and stroke outcomes.

RESULTS

Among 892 patients, 755 had ischemic stroke (IS) (mean age 75.6 ± 13.6, 48.7% males) and 137 had hemorrhagic stroke (HS) (mean age 75.8 ± 13.2, 57.7% males). Of those, 15.4% of IS and 8% of HS patients were treated in the acute stroke unit (ASU) and 20.7% and 33.8% were admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) or high-dependency unit (HDU), respectively. A total of 35 (4.6%) out of 125 eligible patients received intravenous alteplase with a door-to needle time of 60 min (21-90). The time to first scan for IS patients was 60 min (31-105) with 53.2% undergoing a CT scan within 60 min post presentation. Furthermore, 94.4% were discharged on antiplatelets, 69.8% on lipid-lowering therapy and 61.6% on antihypertensives. Oral anticoagulants (OAC) were initiated in 73.2% of the 153 IS patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Among the 687 IS patients who survived, 85.4% were discharged home, 12% were transferred to rehabilitation centers, 1.2% to nursing homes and 1.3% to another hospital.

CONCLUSIONS

The SUN4P Registry is the first study to provide data from a prospectively collected cohort of consecutive patients from nine representative national hospitals. It represents an important step in the evaluation and improvement of the quality of acute stroke care in Greece.

Requirements for design and function of blood pressure measuring devices used for the management of hypertension: Consensus Statement by the European Society of Hypertension Working Group on Blood Pressure Monitoring and Cardiovascular Variability and STRIDE BP

OBJECTIVE

To develop scientific consensus recommendations for the optimal design and functions of different types of blood pressure (BP) measuring devices used in clinical practice for the detection, management, and long-term follow-up of hypertension.

METHODS

A scientific consensus meeting was performed by the European Society of Hypertension (ESH) Working Group on BP Monitoring and Cardiovascular Variability and STRIDE BP (Science and Technology for Regional Innovation and Development in Europe) during the 2022 Scientific Meeting of the ESH in Athens, Greece. Manufacturers were also invited to provide their feedback on BP device design and development. Thirty-one international experts in clinical hypertension and BP monitoring contributed to the development of consensus recommendations on the optimal design of BP devices.

STATEMENT

International consensus was reached on the requirements for the design and features of five types of BP monitors, including office (or clinic) BP monitors, ambulatory BP monitors, home BP monitors, home BP telemonitors, and kiosk BP monitors for public spaces. For each device type "essential" requirements (must have), and "optional" ones (may have) are presented, as well as additional comments on the optimal device design and features.

CONCLUSIONS

These consensus recommendations aim at providing manufacturers of BP devices with the requirements that are considered mandatory, or optional, by clinical experts involved in the detection and management of hypertension. They are also directed to administrative healthcare personnel involved in the provision and purchase of BP devices so that they can recommend the most appropriate ones.

The Cost and the Value of Stroke Care in Greece: Results from the SUN4P Study

The aim of this study was to measure the one-year total cost of strokes and to investigate the value of stroke care, defined as cost per QALY. The study population included 892 patients with first-ever acute strokes, hemorrhagic strokes, and ischemic strokes, (ICD-10 codes: I61, I63, and I64) admitted within 48 h of symptoms onset to nine public hospitals located in six cities. We conducted a bottom-up cost analysis from the societal point of view. All cost components including direct medical costs, productivity losses due to morbidity and mortality, and informal care costs were considered. We used an annual time horizon, including all costs for 2021, irrespective of the time of disease onset. The average cost (direct and indirect) was extrapolated in order to estimate the national annual burden associated with stroke. We estimated the total cost of stroke in Greece at EUR 343.1 mil. a year in 2021, (EUR 10,722/patient or EUR 23,308 per QALY). Out of EUR 343.1 mil., 53.3% (EUR 182.9 mil.) consisted of direct healthcare costs, representing 1.1% of current health expenditure in 2021. Overall, productivity losses were calculated at EUR 160.2 mil. The mean productivity losses were estimated to be 116 work days with 55.1 days lost due to premature retirement and absenteeism from work, 18.5 days lost due to mortality, and 42.4 days lost due to informal caregiving by family members. This study highlights the burden of stroke and underlines the need for stakeholders and policymakers to re-organize stroke care and promote interventions that have been proven cost-effective.

Stroke Patients' Management During COVID-19 Pandemic: Results from the Sun4Patients Web-Based Registry

Covid-19 pandemic has influenced stroke care in different ways. Recent reports demonstrated a sharp decline in acute stroke admissions worldwide. Even for patients presented to dedicated healthcare services, management at the acute phase may be sub-optimal. On the other hand, Greece has been praised for the early initiation of restriction measures which were associated with a 'milder' surge of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Methods Data derived from a prospective cohort multicenter registry. The study population consisted of first-ever acute stroke patients, hemorrhagic or ischemic, admitted within 48 hours of symptom onset in seven national healthcare system (NHS) and University hospitals in Greece. Two different time periods have been considered, defined as "before Covid-19" (15/12/2019-15/02/2020) and "during Covid-19" (16/02/2020-15/04-2020) era. Statistical comparisons on acute stroke admission characteristics between the two different time periods have been performed. Results This exploratory analysis of 112 consecutive patients showed a reduction of acute stroke admissions by 40during Covid-19 period. No significant differences were observed regarding stroke severity, risk factor profile and baseline characteristics for patients admitted before and during Covid-19 pandemic period. There is a significant delay between symptom onset to CT scan during Covid-19 era compared to the period before pandemic reached Greece (p=0.03). Conclusions The rate of acute stroke admissions has been reduced by 40% during Covid-19 pandemic. Further research is needed to clarify whether the reduction in stroke volume is actual or not and identifying the reasons underlying the paradox.

Blood pressure variability: methodological aspects, clinical relevance and practical indications for management - a European Society of Hypertension position paper ∗

Blood pressure is not a static parameter, but rather undergoes continuous fluctuations over time, as a result of the interaction between environmental and behavioural factors on one side and intrinsic cardiovascular regulatory mechanisms on the other side. Increased blood pressure variability (BPV) may indicate an impaired cardiovascular regulation and may represent a cardiovascular risk factor itself, having been associated with increased all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, stroke, coronary artery disease, heart failure, end-stage renal disease, and dementia incidence. Nonetheless, BPV was considered only a research issue in previous hypertension management guidelines, because the available evidence on its clinical relevance presents several gaps and is based on heterogeneous studies with limited standardization of methods for BPV assessment. The aim of this position paper, with contributions from members of the European Society of Hypertension Working Group on Blood Pressure Monitoring and Cardiovascular Variability and from a number of international experts, is to summarize the available evidence in the field of BPV assessment methodology and clinical applications and to provide practical indications on how to measure and interpret BPV in research and clinical settings based on currently available data. Pending issues and clinical and methodological recommendations supported by available evidence are also reported. The information provided by this paper should contribute to a better standardization of future studies on BPV, but should also provide clinicians with some indications on how BPV can be managed based on currently available data.

Sinus rhythm restoration and improved outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke and in-hospital paroxysmal atrial fibrillation

AIMS

It is unclear whether early cardiac rhythm control is beneficial in patients with acute ischemic stroke and paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF). We sought to investigate whether PAF self-termination and in-hospital sinus rhythm (SR) restoration is associated with improved outcome in ischemic stroke patients with PAF, compared to those with sustained atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS

Consecutive patients with first-ever acute stroke and confirmed PAF during hospitalization were followed for up to 10 years after the index stroke or until death. We investigated the association of in-hospital self-terminated PAF and PAF conversion to SR compared to sustained AF with 10-year all-cause mortality, stroke recurrence, and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Cox regression analysis was performed to identify independent predictors of each outcome.

RESULTS

Among 297 ischemic stroke patients with in-hospital PAF detection, PAF was self-terminated in 87 (29.3%) patients, while 143 (48.1%) patients received antiarrhythmic medication in order to achieve PAF conversion to SR. During a median (Interquartile range, IQR) period of 28 (4-68) months, among patients with self-terminated PAF there were 13.5 deaths, 3.6 stroke recurrences, and 5.3 MACE per 100 patient-year while in patients who underwent medical PAF conversion there were 11.7 deaths, 4.6 stroke recurrences, and 5.8 MACE per 100 patient-year. Patients with sustained AF experienced 23.8 deaths, 8.7 stroke recurrences, and 13.9 MACE per 100 patient-years. In multivariable analysis, compared to patients with sustained AF, PAF self-termination was associated with significantly lower 10 years-risk of death (adjusted hazards ratio (adjHR): HR: 0.63, 95% Confidence interval: 0.40-0.96), stroke recurrence (adjHR: HR: 0.41, 95% CI: 0.19-0.91), and MACE (adjHR: 0.43, 95% CI: 0.23-0.81), while PAF medical conversion to SR was associated with lower 10 years-risk of death (adjHR: 0.65, 95% CI: 0.44-0.97) and MACE (adjHR: 0.56, 95% CI: 0.33-0.95).

DISCUSSION

This study showed that in-hospital PAF self-termination was associated with lower risk of 10-year mortality, stroke recurrence, and MACE, potentially attributed to the lower burden of AF, whereas in-hospital PAF conversion to SR was associated with lower risk of 10-year mortality and MACE.

CONCLUSION

Early restoration of sinus rhythm is associated with improved survival and MACE in patients with acute ischemic stroke and PAF.

Assessing Staff's and Stroke Patients' Experiences in 8 Hospitals in Greece: Results from a Prospective Multi-Center Study ("SUN4Patients")

To assess stroke patient-reported experiences and hospital staff experiences, during hospital stay.

METHODS

Stroke patient-reported experiences (n=387) were recorded using the translated and culturally adapted NHS-Stroke Questionnaire into Greek and staff experiences (n=236) were investigated using the Compassion Satisfaction and Burnout subscales of the ProQOL questionnaire.

RESULTS

Staff's mean compassion satisfaction score was 39.2 (SD=6.3) and mean burnout score was 24.3 (SD=5.6). Only 38.5% of the staff stated that there is smooth cooperation with healthcare professionals of other specialties/disciplines. Personnel working in an NHS Hospital was more satisfied and less burned-out when compared to personnel working at a University Hospital (p=0.02 and p<0.001, respectively). Mean total patient-reported experiences score was 81.9 (SD=9.5). Bivariate analysis revealed statistically significant differences for total patient-reported experiences among the eight study hospitals (p>0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Health policy planners and decision-makers must take into consideration the results of such self-reported measures to establish innovative techniques to accomplish goals such as staff-specialization, continuous training and applying formal frameworks for efficient cooperation amongst different disciplines.

Inpatient Cost of Stroke Care in Greece: Preliminary Results of the Web-Based "SUN4P" Registry

The aim of this study was to calculate the average operational cost per sub-type of stroke patient and to investigate cost drivers (e.g. ALoS, NIHSS score, age) correlated to cost.

METHODS

Direct medical costs (diagnostic imaging and clinical laboratory exams, overheads/bed cost, pharmaceuticals, ringers and other non-durables and inpatient rehabilitation) per patient were calculated from the providers' (hospitals') perspective. Resource use data derived from the "SUN4P" web-based registry and unit costs were retrieved from publically available sources and were assigned to resource use.

RESULTS

The sample comprised 6,282 inpatient days of 750 patients (mean age: 75.5±13.3 years) admitted from July 2019 to July 2021, in nine public hospitals. Mean length of stay was 8.4±7.6 days and mean total operational cost was calculated to €1,239.4 (from which 45% and 35% related to diagnostic exams and overheads/bed cost respectively). Mean cost related to hemorrhagic stroke patients that were discharged alive was calculated significantly higher compared to mean cost related to ischemic stroke patients who didn't undertake thrombolysis and were also discharged alive from the hospital (€2,155.2 vs. €945.2, p<0.001). Linear regression analysis revealed that length of stay was significantly correlated with cost (coefficient beta=232, 95% CI confidence interval = 220-243, p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

These findings are in accordance with current evidence and should be thoroughly assessed to rationalize inpatient reimbursement rates in order to achieve improved value of care.

Stroke Units Necessity for Patients, Web-Based "SUN4P" Registry: Descriptive Characteristics of the Population

The aim of this study was to present the descriptive characteristics of the Stroke Units Necessity for Patients (SUN4P) registry.

METHODS

The study population derived from the web-based SUN4P registry included 823 patients with first-ever acute stroke. Descriptive statistics were used to present patients' characteristics.

RESULTS

The vast majority of patients (80.4%) had an ischemic stroke, whereas 15.4% had a hemorrhagic stroke. Hypertension was the leading risk factor in both patients. The patients with ischemic stroke had higher prevalence of traditional cardiovascular risk factors such as diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia and smoking and most commonly cryptogenic stroke (39%). National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) was higher among patients with hemorrhagic in comparison to those with ischemic stroke (10.5 vs 6 respectively). Moreover, all patients had similar rate of disability prior to stroke, as shown by Modified Rankin Scale (mRS=0).

CONCLUSIONS

These data are in accordance with current evidence and should be thoroughly assessed in order to ensure optimal therapeutic management of stroke patients.

Home blood pressure monitoring: methodology, clinical relevance and practical application: a 2021 position paper by the Working Group on Blood Pressure Monitoring and Cardiovascular Variability of the European Society of Hypertension

The present paper provides an update of previous recommendations on Home Blood Pressure Monitoring from the European Society of Hypertension (ESH) Working Group on Blood Pressure Monitoring and Cardiovascular Variability sequentially published in years 2000, 2008 and 2010. This update has taken into account new evidence in this field, including a recent statement by the American Heart association, as well as technological developments, which have occurred over the past 20 years. The present document has been developed by the same ESH Working Group with inputs from an international team of experts, and has been endorsed by the ESH.

Statin treatment and outcomes after embolic stroke of undetermined source

The association of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol lowering with outcomes in embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) patients is unclear. In these patients we aimed to assess the effect of statin on stroke recurrence, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and death rates. Consecutive ESUS patients in the Athens Stroke Registry were prospectively followed-up to 10 years for stroke recurrence, MACE, and death. The Nelson-Aalen estimator was used to estimate the cumulative probability by statin allocation at discharge and cox-regression analyses to investigate whether statin at discharge was a predictor of outcomes. Among 264 ESUS patients who were discharged and followed for 4 years, 89 (33.7%) were treated with statin at discharge. Patients who were discharged on statin had lower rates of stroke recurrence (3.58 vs. 7.23/100 patient-years, HR: 0.48; 95% CI 0.26-0.90), MACE (4.98 vs. 9.89/100 patient-years, HR: 0.49; 95% CI 0.29-0.85), and death (3.93 vs. 8.21/100 patient-years, HR: 0.50; 95% CI: 0.28-0.89). In the multivariate analysis, statin treatment at discharge was an independent predictor of stroke recurrence (adjusted HR: 0.48; 95% CI 0.26-0.91), MACE (adjusted HR: 0.48; 95% CI 0.28-0.82), and death (adjusted HR: 0.50; 95% CI 0.27-0.93). Patients with ESUS discharged on statins have lower rates of stroke recurrence, MACE, and death compared to those not receiving statin therapy.

Machine-Learning-Derived Model for the Stratification of Cardiovascular risk in Patients with Ischemic Stroke

Background Stratification of cardiovascular risk in patients with ischemic stroke is important as it may inform management strategies. We aimed to develop a machine-learning-derived prognostic model for the prediction of cardiovascular risk in ischemic stroke patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Two prospective stroke registries with consecutive acute ischemic stroke patients were used as training/validation and test datasets. The outcome assessed was major adverse cardiovascular event, defined as non-fatal stroke, non-fatal myocardial infarction, and cardiovascular death during 2-year follow-up. The variables selection was performed with the LASSO technique. The algorithms XGBoost (Extreme Gradient Boosting), Random Forest and Support Vector Machines were selected according to their performance. The evaluation of the classifier was performed by bootstrapping the dataset 1000 times and performing cross-validation by splitting in 60% for the training samples and 40% for the validation samples.

RESULTS

The model included age, gender, atrial fibrillation, heart failure, peripheral artery disease, arterial hypertension, statin treatment before stroke onset, prior anticoagulant treatment (in case of atrial fibrillation), creatinine, cervical artery stenosis, anticoagulant treatment at discharge (in case of atrial fibrillation), and statin treatment at discharge. The best accuracy was measured by the XGBoost classifier. In the validation dataset, the area under the curve was 0.648 (95%CI:0.619-0.675) and the balanced accuracy was 0.58 ± 0.14. In the test dataset, the corresponding values were 0.59 and 0.576.

CONCLUSIONS

We propose an externally validated machine-learning-derived model which includes readily available parameters and can be used for the estimation of cardiovascular risk in ischemic stroke patients.

Opportunistic screening for hypertension in the general population in Greece: International Society of Hypertension May Measurement Month 2019

Hypertension remains a major public health issue with inadequate control worldwide. The May Measurement Month (MMM) initiative by the International Society of Hypertension was implemented in Greece in 2019 aiming to raise hypertension awareness and control. Adult volunteers (≥18 years) were recruited through opportunistic screening in five urban areas. Information on medical history and triplicate sitting blood pressure (BP) measurements were obtained using validated automated upper-arm devices. Hypertension was defined as systolic BP ≥140 mmHg and/or diastolic ≥90 mmHg, and/or self-reported use of drugs for hypertension. A total of 5727 were analysed [mean age 52.7 (SD 16.6) years, men 46.5%, 88.3% had BP measurement in the last 18 months]. The prevalence of hypertension was (41.6%) and was higher in men and in older individuals. Among individuals with hypertension, 78.7% were diagnosed, 73.1% treated, and 48.3% controlled. Awareness, treatment, and control of hypertension were higher in women and in older individuals. Hypertensives had a higher body mass index (BMI) and were more likely to have diabetes, myocardial infarction and stroke, and less likely to smoke than normotensives (all P < 0.001). Among treated hypertensives, 65.1% were on monotherapy, and with increasing number of antihypertensive drugs the BP levels were higher and hypertension control rates lower. The prevalence of hypertension in Greece is high, with considerable potential for improving awareness, treatment, and control. Screening programmes, such as MMM, need to be widely implemented at the population level, together with training programmes for healthcare professionals aiming to optimise management and control.

Opportunistic screening for hypertension: what does it say about the true epidemiology?

This study aimed to assess the reliability of opportunistic screening programs in estimating the prevalence, treatment, and control rate of hypertension in the general population. Two recent epidemiological surveys obtained data on hypertension in the adult general population in Greece. The EMENO (2013-2016) applied a multi-stage stratified random sampling method to collect nationwide data. The MMM (2019) collected data through opportunistic (voluntary) screening in five large cities. Hypertension was defined as blood pressure (BP) ≥ 140/90 mmHg (single occasion; average of 2nd-3rd measurement; electronic devices) and/or use of antihypertensive drugs. Data from a total of 10,426 adults were analyzed (EMENO 4,699; MMM 5,727). Mean age (SD) was 49.2 (18.6)/52.7 (16.6) years (EMENO/MMM, p < 0.001), men 48.6/46.5% (p < 0.05) and body mass index 28.2 (5.7)/27.1 (5.0) kg/m² (p < 0.001). The prevalence of hypertension in ΕΜΕΝΟ/MMM was 39.6/41.6% (p < 0.05) and was higher in men (42.7/50.9%, p < 0.001) than in women (36.5/33.6%, p < 0.05). Among hypertensive subjects, unaware were 31.8/21.3% (EMENO/MMM, p < 0.001), aware untreated 2.7/5.6% (p < 0.001), treated uncontrolled 35.1/24.8% (p < 0.001), and treated controlled 30.5/48.3% (p < 0.001). In conclusion, the prevalence of hypertension was similar with random sampling (EMENO) and opportunistic screening (MMM). However, opportunistic screening underestimated the prevalence of undiagnosed hypertension and overestimated the rate of hypertension treatment and control. Thus, random sampling national epidemiological studies are necessary for assessing the epidemiology of hypertension. Screening programs are useful for increasing awareness of hypertension in the general population, yet the generalization of such findings should be interpreted with caution.

Vascular Inflammation and Cardiovascular Burden in Metastatic Breast Cancer Female Patients Receiving Hormonal Treatment and CDK 4/6 Inhibitors or Everolimus

Background: Chemotherapy regimens for breast cancer treatment can promote vascular dysfunction and lead to high cardiovascular risk. Purpose: To investigate the cardiovascular burden and vascular inflammation in metastatic breast cancer patients receiving CDK 4/6 inhibitors or everolimus in addition to standard hormonal treatment. Methods: 22 consecutive female patients with metastatic breast cancer were enrolled. Relative wall thickness (RWT) and left ventricle mass (LVM) measurements by transthoracic echocardiography were obtained followed by 24-h ambulatory blood pressure monitoring, and ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron-emission tomography/computed tomography imaging. Uptake of the radiotracer in the aortic wall was estimated as tissue-to-background ratio (TBR). Each patient was assessed for the aforementioned parameters before the initiation and after 6 months of treatment. Results: At follow up, patients assigned to CDK 4/6 treatment demonstrated increased 24-h systolic blood pressure (SBP) (p = 0.004), daytime SBP (p = 0.004) and night time SBP (p = 0.012) (Group effect). The 24-h mean arterial pressure measurements were also higher in CDK 4/6 population, in comparison to everolimus that displayed firm values (Group effect- p = 0.035, Interaction effect-p = 0.023). Additionally, 24 h diastolic blood pressure recordings in CDK 4/6 therapy were higher opposed to everolimus that remained consistent (Interaction effect- p = 0.010). In CDK 4/6 group, TBR aorta also increased significantly, whereas TBR values in everolimus remained stable (Interaction effect-p = 0.049). Both therapeutic regimens displayed statistically significant damaging effect to RWT and LVM. Conclusion: CDK 4/6 inhibitors and hormonal treatment can lead to increased vascular inflammation, and higher blood pressure compared to the combination of everolimus and hormonal treatment. Moreover, both treatment strategies promoted left ventricle remodeling.

Carfilzomib-induced endothelial dysfunction, recovery of proteasome activity, and prediction of cardiovascular complications: a prospective study

Carfilzomib (CFZ) improves survival in relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma but is associated with cardiovascular adverse events (CVAEs). We prospectively investigated the effect of CFZ on endothelial function and associations with CVAEs. Forty-eight patients treated with Kd (CFZ 20/56 mg/m² and dexamethasone) underwent serial endothelial function evaluation, using brachial artery flow-mediated dilatation (FMD) and 26S proteasome activity (PrA) measurement in PBMCs; patients were followed until disease progression or cycle 6 for a median of 10 months. FMD and PrA decreased acutely after the first dose (p < 0.01) and FMD decreased at cycles 3 and 6 compared to baseline (p ≤ 0.05). FMD changes were associated with CFZ-induced PrA changes (p < 0.05) and lower PrA recovery during first cycle was associated with more prominent FMD decrease (p = 0.034 for group interaction). During treatment, 25 patients developed Grade ≥3 CVAEs. Low baseline FMD (HR 2.57 lowest vs. higher tertiles, 95% CI 1.081-6.1) was an independent predictor of CVAEs. During treatment, an acute FMD decrease >40% at the end of first cycle was also independently associated with CVAEs (HR = 3.91, 95% CI 1.29-11.83). Kd treatment impairs endothelial function which is associated with PrA inhibition and recovery. Both pre- and posttreatment FMD predicted CFZ-related CVAEs supporting its role as a possible cardiovascular toxicity biomarker.

Routine assessment of cognitive function in older patients with hypertension seen by primary care physicians: why and how-a decision-making support from the working group on 'hypertension and the brain' of the European Society of Hypertension and from the European Geriatric Medicine Society

: The guidelines on hypertension recently published by the European Societies of Hypertension and Cardiology, have acknowledged cognitive function (and its decline) as a hypertension-mediated organ damage. In fact, brain damage can be the only hypertension-mediated organ damage in more than 30% of hypertensive patients, evolving undetected for several years if not appropriately screened; as long as undetected it cannot provide either corrective measures, nor adequate risk stratification of the hypertensive patient.The medical community dealing with older hypertensive patients should have a simple and pragmatic approach to early identify and precisely treat these patients. Both hypertension and cognitive decline are undeniably growing pandemics in developed or epidemiologically transitioning societies. Furthermore, there is a clear-cut connection between exposure to the increased blood pressure and development of cognitive decline.Therefore, a group of experts in the field from the European Society of Hypertension and from the European Geriatric Medicine Society gathered together to answer practical clinical questions that often face the physician when dealing with their hypertensive patients in a routine clinical practice. They elaborated a decision-making approach to help standardize such clinical evaluation.

Significant reduction in the visits to the emergency room department during the COVID-19 pandemic in a tertiary hospital in Greece: Indirect victims of the pandemic?

COVID-19 pandemic caused a major crisis, affecting and straining health care systems, including some very advanced ones. The pandemic may have also indirectly affected access to health care for patients with other conditions, not related to COVID-19, even in countries not overwhelmed by an outbreak.We analyzed and compared visits to the emergency room (ER) department during the same calendar period of 2019 and 2020 (from March 1 to March 31 of each year) in our hospital, a medium size, tertiary center, located in the center of Athens, which is not a referral center for COVID-19.Total ER visits were reduced by 42.3% and the number of those requiring hospitalization by 34.8%. This reduction was driven by lower numbers of visits for low risk, non-specific symptoms and causes. However, there was a significant decrease in admissions for cardiovascular symptoms and complications (chest pain of cardiac origin, acute coronary syndromes, and stroke) by 39.7% and for suspected or confirmed GI hemorrhage by 54.7%. Importantly, number of ER visits for infections remained unchanged, as well as the number of patients that required hospitalization for infection management; only few patients were diagnosed with COVID-19.During the initial period of the pandemic and lock-down in Greece, there was a major decrease in the patients visiting ER department, including decrease in the numbers of admissions for cardiovascular symptoms and complications. These observations may have implications for the management of non-COVID-19 diseases during the pandemic.

Vascular inflammation and cardiovascular burden in metastatic breast cancer female patients receiving hormonal treatment and CDK 4/6 inhibitors or everolimus

Background

Chemotherapy regimens for breast cancer treatment can promote vascular dysfunction and lead to high cardiovascular risk.

Purpose

The aim of this study was to investigate the cardiovascular burden and vascular inflammation in metastatic breast cancer patients receiving either CDK 4/6 inhibitors and hormonal treatment or standard everolimus and hormonal treatment.

Methods

22 consecutive female patients with metastatic breast cancer that expressed estrogen and /or progesteron receptor and were HER2-negative were enrolled. Patients with active infection, chronic autoimmune disease and history of chemotherapy for the metastatic disease and/or adjuvant chemotherapy during the past 3 years were excluded. All subjects received hormonal treatment and of those, 10 received everolimus and 12 received therapy with CDK 4/6 inhibitors. The two groups were matched for age, history of hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, smoking and all were free of major cardiovascular events for the past 6 months. Regional wall thickness (RWT) and left ventricle mass (LVM) measurements by transthoracic echocardiographic study were obtained followed by 24 hour ambulatory blood pressure monitoring, and 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron-emission tomography/computed tomography imaging. Radiotracer uptake in the aortic wall (ascending, arch, descending, abdominal), was quantified as tissue-to-background ratio (TBR).Each patient was assessed for the aforementioned parameters before the initiation and after 6 months of treatment.

Results

At follow up, patients assigned to CDK4/6 treatment demonstrated increased measurements of 24 hour systolic blood pressure (SBP) (p=0.004), daytime SBP(p=0.004) and night time SBP (p=0.012) (Group effect). The 24 hour mean arterial pressure measurements were also higher in CDK 4/6 population, in comparison to everolimus that displayed firm values. (Group effect- p=0.035, Interaction effect-p=0.023).Additionally, 24 hour diastolic blood pressure recordings in CDK 4/6 therapy were higher opposed to everolimus that remained consistent (Interaction effect- p=0.010). In CDK 4/6 group, TBR aorta measurements also increased significantly, whereas TBR values in everolimus remained stable. (Interaction effect-p=0.049). Both therapeutic regimens displayed statistically significant damaging effect with regards to the following variables: Night-time SBP (p=0.032), RWT (p&lt;0.001), and LVM (p&lt;0.001).

Conclusion

Chemotherapy with novel CDK 4/6 inhibitors and hormonal treatment can lead to increased vascular inflammation, and higher blood pressure values compared to the combination of everolimus and hormonal treatment in female patients with HR-positive HER2-negative metastatic breast cancer. Moreover, both treatment strategies promote remodelling of the left ventricle by means of increased RWT and mass. Further research and longitudinal studies in this field are required to validate the above findings.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Carotid Atherosclerosis and Patent Foramen Ovale in Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source

BACKGROUND

Carotid atherosclerosis and likely pathogenic patent foramen ovale (PFO) are two potential embolic sources in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS). The relationship between these two mechanisms among ESUS patients remains unclear.

AIM

To investigate the relation between carotid atherosclerosis and likely pathogenic PFO in patients with ESUS. We hypothesized that ipsilateral carotid atherosclerotic plaques are less prevalent in ESUS with likely pathogenic PFO compared to patients with likely incidental PFO or without PFO.

METHODS

The presence of PFO was assessed with transthoracic echocardiography with microbubble test and, when deemed necessary, through trans-oesophageal echocardiography. The presence of PFO was considered as likely incidental if the RoPE (Risk of Paradoxical Embolism) score was 0-6 and likely pathogenic if 7-10.

RESULTS

Among 374 ESUS patients (median age: 61years, 40.4% women), there were 63 (49.6%) with likely incidental PFO, 64 (50.4%) with likely pathogenic PFO and 165 (44.1%) with ipsilateral carotid atherosclerosis. The prevalence of ipsilateral carotid atherosclerosis was lower in patients with likely pathogenic PFO (7.8%) compared to patients with likely incidental PFO (46.0%) or patients without PFO (53.0%) (p<0.001). After adjustment for multiple confounders, the prevalence of ipsilateral carotid atherosclerosis remained lower in patients with likely pathogenic PFO compared to patients with likely incidental PFO or without PFO (adjusted OR=0.32, 95%CI:0.104-0.994, p=0.049).

CONCLUSIONS

The presence of carotid atherosclerosis is inversely related to the presence of likely pathogenic PFO in patients with ESUS.

Data-driven machine-learning analysis of potential embolic sources in embolic stroke of undetermined source

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Hierarchical clustering, a common 'unsupervised' machine-learning algorithm, is advantageous for exploring potential underlying aetiology in particularly heterogeneous diseases. We investigated potential embolic sources in embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) using a data-driven machine-learning method, and explored variation in stroke recurrence between clusters.

METHODS

We used a hierarchical k-means clustering algorithm on patients' baseline data, which assigned each individual into a unique clustering group, using a minimum-variance method to calculate the similarity between ESUS patients based on all baseline features. Potential embolic sources were categorised into atrial cardiopathy, atrial fibrillation, arterial disease, left ventricular disease, cardiac valvulopathy, patent foramen ovale (PFO) and cancer.

RESULTS

Among 800 consecutive ESUS patients (43.3% women, median age 67 years), the optimal number of clusters was four. Left ventricular disease was most prevalent in cluster 1 (present in all patients) and perfectly associated with cluster 1. PFO was most prevalent in cluster 2 (38.9% of patients) and associated significantly with increased likelihood of cluster 2 [adjusted odds ratio: 2.69, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.64-4.41]. Arterial disease was most prevalent in cluster 3 (57.7%) and associated with increased likelihood of cluster 3 (adjusted odds ratio: 2.21, 95% CI: 1.43-3.13). Atrial cardiopathy was most prevalent in cluster 4 (100%) and perfectly associated with cluster 4. Cluster 3 was the largest cluster involving 53.7% of patients. Atrial fibrillation was not significantly associated with any cluster.

CONCLUSIONS

This data-driven machine-learning analysis identified four clusters of ESUS that were strongly associated with arterial disease, atrial cardiopathy, PFO and left ventricular disease, respectively. More than half of the patients were assigned to the cluster associated with arterial disease.

Atrial Cardiopathy and Likely Pathogenic Patent Foramen Ovale in Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source

BACKGROUND

 Atrial cardiopathy and likely pathogenic patent foramen ovale (PFO) are two potential embolic sources in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS). The relationship between these two mechanisms among ESUS patients remains unclear.

METHODS

 Atrial cardiopathy was defined as increased left atrial diameter index (> 23 mm/m²) or left atrial volume index (> 34 mL/m²), or PR prolongation (≥ 200 ms), or presence of supraventricular extrasystoles in the electrocardiograms performed during hospitalization for the index stoke. The presence of PFO was assessed by transthoracic echocardiography with microbubble test or by transesophageal echocardiography. The presence of PFO was considered as likely pathogenic if the Risk of Paradoxical Embolism score was 7 to 10.

RESULTS

 Among 367 ESUS patients with available information about the presence of PFO and the presence of atrial cardiopathy (median age: 61 years, 40.6% women), likely pathogenic PFO was diagnosed in 62 (16.9%) and atrial cardiopathy in 122 (33.2%). Only 4 patients (1.1%) had both likely pathogenic PFO and atrial cardiopathy. The prevalence of atrial cardiopathy was lower in patients with likely pathogenic PFO (6.5%) compared with patients with likely incidental PFO (31.2%) or without PFO (40.6%) (Pearson's chi-square test: 26.08, p < 0.001; adjusted odds ratio [OR]: 0.28, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.09-0.86). The prevalence of likely pathogenic PFO was lower in patients with atrial cardiopathy compared with patients without atrial cardiopathy (3.3% vs. 23.7%, respectively [Pearson's chi-square test: 24.13, p < 0.001; adjusted OR: 0.2, 95% CI: 0.02-0.6]).

CONCLUSION

 The presence of atrial cardiopathy is inversely related to the presence of likely pathogenic PFO in patients with ESUS.

Access of Stroke Patients' to Optimal Healthcare Technology in Greece: Messages to Policy Makers

The aim of this study was to evaluate accessibility of stroke patients to optimal healthcare technology in Greece. Methods: The study population consisted of 313 first ever stroke patients derived from the "Stroke Units Necessity for Patients, SUN4P" registry. Descriptive statistics were used, to present patients' characteristics and resources utilization Results: The vast majority of patients (91.7%) conducted a CT scan during the acute phase (within the first 24hours). Almost, (65%) were admitted to wards of Internal Medicine Departments, whereas only 21% of patients were admitted to a Stroke Unit. Of note, a total of 6.9% of ischemic stroke patients received intravenous thrombolytic therapy with recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (rtPA). Conclusions: Preliminary results from SUN4P underline the urgent necessity for the re-organization of acute stroke care in Greece, as rates of admissions to stroke units and rtPA treatment during the acute phase are currently below optimal.

Involvement of small nerve fibres and autonomic nervous system in AL amyloidosis: comprehensive characteristics and clinical implications

Peripheral nerve involvement in immunoglobulin light chain (AL) amyloidosis is common, characterised by severe progressive mixed neuropathy with autonomic dysfunction but there is limited data on the implications and the characteristics of small nerve fibres dysfunction (SNFD). The aim of our prospective study was to evaluate SNFD and its clinical implications in newly diagnosed AL patients. Twenty-three consecutive patients (10 male, mean age 61.78 years) and 21 age- and gender-matched healthy controls (8 male, mean age 61.28 years) underwent clinical evaluation and standard nerve conduction studies (NCS), baroreflex sensitivity (BRS) test, quantitative sensory testing (QST) and skin biopsy at the lower leg for measuring the density of the nerve fibres innervating the epidermis (IENFD). Axonal degeneration of the large nerve fibres was revealed in 15 out of 23 patients while SNFD was indicated by QST and skin biopsy in 56% and 61% of the patients respectively. BRS index significantly correlated with the IENFD and the QST results while low IENFD was associated with significantly poorer survival. Our study provides new insights and also an initial evaluation of new tools for assessment of the involvement of autonomic and small nerve fibres in AL amyloidosis. These findings also appear to have prognostic implications.

Identification of patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source and low risk of new incident atrial fibrillation: The AF-ESUS score

Background and aims

Only a minority of patients with Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source (ESUS) receive prolonged cardiac monitoring despite current recommendations. The identification of ESUS patients who have low probability of new diagnosis of atrial fibrillation (AF) could potentially support a strategy of more individualized allocation of available resources and hence, increase their diagnostic yield. We aimed to develop a tool that can identify ESUS patients who have low probability of new incident AF.

Methods

We performed multivariate stepwise regression in a pooled dataset of consecutive ESUS patients from three prospective stroke registries to identify predictors of new incident AF. The coefficient of each independent covariate of the fitted multivariable model was used to generate an integer-based point scoring system.

Results

Among 839 patients (43.1% women, median age 67.0 years) followed-up for a median of 24.3 months (2999 patient-years), 125 (14.9%) had new incident AF. The proposed score assigns 3 points for age ≥ 60 years; 2 points for hypertension; −1 point for left ventricular hypertrophy reported at echocardiography; 2 points for left atrial diameter >40 mm; −3 points for left ventricular ejection fraction <35%; 1 point for the presence of any supraventricular extrasystole recorded during all available 12-lead standard electrocardiograms performed during hospitalization for the ESUS; −2 points for subcortical infarct; −3 points for the presence of non-stenotic carotid plaques. The rate of new incident AF during follow-up was 1.97% among the 42.3% of the cohort who had a score of ≤0, compared to 26.9% in patients with > 0 (relative risk: 13.7, 95%CI: 5.9--31.5). The area under the curve of the score was 84.8% (95%CI: 79.9--86.9%). The sensitivity and negative predictive value of a score of ≤0 for new incident AF during follow-up were 94.9% (95%CI: 89.3--98.1%) and 98.0% (95%CI: 95.8--99.3%), respectively.

Conclusions

The proposed AF-ESUS score has high sensitivity and high negative predictive value to identify ESUS patients who have low probability of new incident AF. Patients with a score of 1 or more may be better candidates for prolonged automated cardiac monitoring.

Clinical trial registration

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov / Unique identifier: NCT02766205.

Left atrial diameter thresholds and new incident atrial fibrillation in embolic stroke of undetermined source

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

We analyzed consecutive patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) from three prospective stroke registries to compare the prognostic performance of different LAD thresholds for the prediction of new incident AF.

METHODS

We calculated the sensitivity, specificity, positive prognostic value (PPV), negative prognostic value (NPV) and Youden's J-statistic of different LAD thresholds to predict new incident AF. We performed multivariate stepwise regression with forward selection of covariates to assess the association between the LAD threshold with the highest Youden's J-statistic and AF detection.

RESULTS

Among 675 patients followed for 2437 patient-years, the mean LAD was 38.5 ± 6.8 mm. New incident AF was diagnosed in 115 (17.0%) patients. The LAD threshold of 40mm yielded the highest Youden's J-statistic of 0.35 with sensitivity 0.69, specificity 0.66, PPV 0.27 and NPV 0.92. The likelihood of new incident AF was nearly twice in patients with LAD > 40 mm compared to LAD ≤ 40 mm (HR:1.92, 95%CI:1.24-2.97, p = 0.004). The 10-year cumulative probability of new incident AF was higher in patients with LAD>40 mm compared to LAD ≤ 40 mm (53.5% and 22.4% respectively, log-rank-test: 28.2, p < 0.001). The annualized rate of stroke recurrence of 4.0% in the overall population did not differ significantly in patient above vs. below this LAD threshold (HR:0.96, 95%CI:0.62-1.48, p = 0.85).

CONCLUSIONS

The LAD threshold of 40 mm has the best prognostic performance among other LAD values to predict new incident AF after ESUS. The diagnostic yield of prolonged cardiac rhythm monitoring in patients with LAD ≤ 40 mm seems low; therefore, such patients may have lower priority for prolonged cardiac monitoring.

External Performance of the HAVOC Score for the Prediction of New Incident Atrial Fibrillation

Background and Purpose—

The HAVOC score (hypertension, age, valvular heart disease, peripheral vascular disease, obesity, congestive heart failure, coronary artery disease) was proposed for the prediction of atrial fibrillation (AF) after cryptogenic stroke. It showed good model discrimination (area under the curve, 0.77). Only 2.5% of patients with a low-risk HAVOC score (ie, 0–4) were diagnosed with new incident AF. We aimed to assess its performance in an external cohort of patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source.

Methods—

In the AF-embolic stroke of undetermined source dataset, we assessed the discriminatory power, calibration, specificity, negative predictive value, and accuracy of the HAVOC score to predict new incident AF. Patients with a HAVOC score of 0 to 4 were considered as low-risk, as proposed in its original publication.

Results—

In 658 embolic stroke of undetermined source patients (median age, 67 years; 44% women), the median HAVOC score was 2 (interquartile range, 3). There were 540 (82%) patients with a HAVOC score of 0 to 4 and 118 (18%) with a score of ≥5. New incident AF was diagnosed in 95 (14.4%) patients (28.8% among patients with HAVOC score ≥5 and 11.3% among patients with HAVOC score 0–4 [age- and sex-adjusted odds ratio, 2.29 (95% CI, 1.37–3.82)]). The specificity of low-risk HAVOC score to identify patients without new incident AF was 88.7%. The negative predictive value of low-risk HAVOC score was 85.1%. The accuracy was 78.0%, and the area under the curve was 68.7% (95% CI, 62.1%–73.3%).

Conclusions—

The previously reported low rate of AF among embolic stroke of undetermined source patients with low-risk HAVOC score was not confirmed in our cohort. Further assessment of the HAVOC score is warranted before it is routinely implemented in clinical practice.

A tool to identify patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source at high recurrence risk

OBJECTIVE

A tool to stratify the risk of stroke recurrence in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) could be useful in research and clinical practice. We aimed to determine whether a score can be developed and externally validated for the identification of patients with ESUS at high risk for stroke recurrence.

METHODS

We pooled the data of all consecutive patients with ESUS from 11 prospective stroke registries. We performed multivariable Cox regression analysis to identify predictors of stroke recurrence. Based on the coefficient of each covariate of the fitted multivariable model, we generated an integer-based point scoring system. We validated the score externally assessing its discrimination and calibration.

RESULTS

In 3 registries (884 patients) that were used as the derivation cohort, age, leukoaraiosis, and multiterritorial infarct were identified as independent predictors of stroke recurrence and were included in the final score, which assigns 1 point per every decade after 35 years of age, 2 points for leukoaraiosis, and 3 points for multiterritorial infarcts (acute or old nonlacunar). The rate of stroke recurrence was 2.1 per 100 patient-years (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.44-3.06) in patients with a score of 0-4 (low risk), 3.74 (95% CI 2.77-5.04) in patients with a score of 5-6 (intermediate risk), and 8.23 (95% CI 5.99-11.3) in patients with a score of 7-12 (high risk). Compared to low-risk patients, the risk of stroke recurrence was significantly higher in intermediate-risk (hazard ratio [HR] 1.78, 95% CI 1.1-2.88) and high-risk patients (HR 4.67, 95% CI 2.83-7.7). The score was well-calibrated in both derivation and external validation cohorts (8 registries, 820 patients) (Hosmer-Lemeshow test χ²: 12.1 [p = 0.357] and χ²: 21.7 [p = 0.753], respectively). The area under the curve of the score was 0.63 (95% CI 0.58-0.68) and 0.60 (95% CI 0.54-0.66), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed score can assist in the identification of patients with ESUS at high risk for stroke recurrence.

Renal Function and Risk Stratification of Patients With Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source

Background and Purpose- We aimed to assess if renal function can aid in risk stratification for ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) recurrence and death in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS). Methods- We pooled 12 ESUS datasets from Europe and America. Renal function was evaluated using the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and analyzed in continuous, binary, and categorical way. Cox-regression analyses assessed if renal function was independently associated with the risk for ischemic stroke/TIA recurrence and death. The Kaplan-Meier product limit method estimated the cumulative probability of ischemic stroke/TIA recurrence and death. Results- In 1530 patients with ESUS followed for 3260 patient-years, there were 237 recurrences (15.9%) and 201 deaths (13.4%), corresponding to 7.3 ischemic stroke/TIA recurrences and 5.6 deaths per 100 patient-years, respectively. Renal function was not associated with the risk for ischemic stroke/TIA recurrence when forced into the final multivariate model, regardless if it was analyzed as continuous (hazard ratio, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.99-1.00 for every 1 mL/min), binary (hazard ratio, 1.27; 95% CI, 0.87-1.73) or categorical covariate (likelihood-ratio test 2.59, P=0.63 for stroke recurrence). The probability of ischemic stroke/TIA recurrence across stages of renal function was 11.9% for eGFR ≥90, 16.6% for eGFR 60-89, 21.7% for eGFR 45-59, 19.2% for eGFR 30-44, and 24.9% for eGFR <30 (likelihood-ratio test 2.59, P=0.63). The results were similar for the outcome of death. Conclusions- The present study is the largest pooled individual patient-level ESUS dataset, and does not provide evidence that renal function can be used to stratify the risk of ischemic stroke/TIA recurrence or death in patients with ESUS.

Reactive Vasodilation Predicts Mortality in Primary Systemic Light-Chain Amyloidosis

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text.

Cardiac involvement and hypotension dominate the prognosis of light-chain amyloidosis (AL). Evidence suggests that there is also peripheral vascular involvement in AL but its prognostic significance is unknown.

Prevalence and Overlap of Potential Embolic Sources in Patients With Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source

Background

We aimed to assess the prevalence and degree of overlap of potential embolic sources (PES) in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS).

Methods and Results

In a pooled data set derived from 3 prospective stroke registries, patients were categorized in ≥1 groups according to the PES that was/were identified. We categorized PES as follows: atrial cardiopathy, atrial fibrillation diagnosed during follow‐up, arterial disease, left ventricular disease, cardiac valvular disease, patent foramen ovale, and cancer. In 800 patients with ESUS (43.1% women; median age, 67.0 years), 3 most prevalent PES were left ventricular disease, arterial disease, and atrial cardiopathy, which were present in 54.4%, 48.5%, and 45.0% of patients, respectively. Most patients (65.5%) had >1 PES, whereas only 29.7% and 4.8% of patients had a single or no PES, respectively. In 31.1% of patients, there were ≥3 PES present. On average, each patient had 2 PES (median, 2). During a median follow‐up of 3.7 years, stroke recurrence occurred in 101 (12.6%) of patients (23.3 recurrences per 100 patient‐years). In multivariate analysis, the risk of stroke recurrence was higher in the atrial fibrillation group compared with other PES, but not statistically different between patients with 0 to 1, 2, or ≥3 PES.

Conclusions

There is major overlap of PES in patients with ESUS. This may possibly explain the negative results of the recent large randomized controlled trials of secondary prevention in patients with ESUS and offer a rationale for a randomized controlled trial of combination of anticoagulation and aspirin for the prevention of stroke recurrence in patients with ESUS.

Clinical Trial Registration

URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT02766205.

Carotid plaques and detection of atrial fibrillation in embolic stroke of undetermined source

Objective

To investigate the association between the presence of ipsilateral nonstenotic carotid plaques and the rate of detection of atrial fibrillation (AF) during follow-up in patients with embolic strokes of undetermined source (ESUS).

Methods

We pooled data of all consecutive ESUS patients from 3 prospective stroke registries. Multivariate stepwise regression assessed the association between the presence of nonstenotic carotid plaques and AF detection. The 10-year cumulative probabilities of AF detection were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier product limit method.

Results

Among 777 patients followed for 2,642 patient-years, 341 (38.6%) patients had an ipsilateral nonstenotic carotid plaque. AF was detected in 112 (14.4%) patients in the overall population during follow-up. The overall rate of AF detection was 8.5% in patients with nonstenotic carotid plaques (2.9% per 100 patient-years) and 19.0% in patients without (5.0% per 100 patient-years) (unadjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.56, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.37–0.84). The presence of ipsilateral nonstenotic carotid plaques was associated with lower probability for AF detection (adjusted HR 0.57, 95% CI 0.34–0.96, p = 0.03). The 10-year cumulative probability of AF detection was lower in patients with ipsilateral nonstenotic carotid plaques compared to those without (34.5%, 95% CI 21.8–47.2 vs 49.0%, 95% CI 40.4–57.6 respectively, log-rank-test: 11.8, p = 0.001).

Conclusions

AF is less frequently detected in ESUS patients with nonstenotic carotid plaques compared to those without.

Clinicaltrials.gov identifier

NCT02766205.

Abstract WP102: Association of Elevated Blood Pressure Levels With Outcomes in Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients Treated With Intravenous Thrombolysis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Introduction: Although arbitrary blood pressure (BP) thresholds exist for acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients eligible for intravenous thrombolysis (IVT), current international recommendations lack clarity on the impact of mean pre- and post-IVT BP levels on clinical outcomes.

Methods: We identified eligible studies involving IVT-treated AIS patients that reported the association of mean systolic (SBP) or diastolic BP (DBP) levels before and after IVT with the following outcomes: three-month favorable functional outcome (FFO; mRS-scores of 0-1), three-month functional independence (FI; mRS-scores of 0-2)], three-month mortality and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH). Unadjusted analyses of standardized mean differences (SMD) for individual outcomes and adjusted analyses of studies reporting odds ratios (ORadj) per 10mmHg BP increment were performed using the random-effects models.

Results: We identified 26 studies comprising 56,513 patients. Higher pre- (SMD: 0.24; 95%CI: 0.04 to 0.43; p=0.02) and post-treatment (SMD: 0.50; 95%CI: 0.14 to 0.86; p=0.006) SBP levels were observed in patients with sICH. Patients with 3-month FI had lower pre- (SMD: -0.18; 95%CI: -0.34 to -0.01; p=0.04) and post-treatment (SMD: -0.19; 95%CI: -0.23 to -0.15; p<0.001) SBP. In adjusted analyses, elevated pre- (ORadj: 1.08; 95%CI: 1.01 to 1.16) and post-treatment (ORadj: 1.13; 95%CI: 1.01 to 1.25) SBP levels were associated with increased likelihood of sICH. Increasing pre- (ORadj: 0.91; 95%CI: 0.84 to 0.98) and post-treatment (ORadj: 0.70; 95%CI: 0.57 to 0.87) SBP values were also related to lower odds of 3-month FI. No association was noted between either mean pre-treatment or post-treatment SBP levels with three-month mortality. Likewise, no associations were observed with either mean pre-treatment or post-treatment DBP levels and three-month FFO, three-month FI, sICH, or three-month mortality.

Conclusions: We found that elevated BP levels adversely impact AIS outcomes in patients receiving IVT. Future randomized-controlled clinical trials will provide definitive data regarding the potential association of BP control with improved outcomes of AIS patients treated with IVT.

Association of Elevated Blood Pressure Levels with Outcomes in Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients Treated with Intravenous Thrombolysis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Although arbitrary blood pressure (BP) thresholds exist for acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients eligible for intravenous thrombolysis (IVT), current international recommendations lack clarity on the impact of mean pre- and post-IVT BP levels on clinical outcomes.

METHODS

Eligible studies involving IVT-treated AIS patients were identified that reported the association of mean systolic BP (SBP) or diastolic BP levels before and after IVT with the following outcomes: 3-month favorable functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale [mRS] scores of 0-1) and 3-month functional independence (mRS scores of 0-2), 3-month mortality and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH). Unadjusted analyses of standardized mean differences and adjusted analyses of studies reporting odds ratios (ORadj) per 10 mm Hg BP increment were performed using random-effects models.

RESULTS

We identified 26 studies comprising 56,513 patients. Higher pre- (P=0.02) and posttreatment (P=0.006) SBP levels were observed in patients with sICH. Patients with 3-month functional independence had lower post-treatment (P<0.001) SBP whereas trended towards lower pre-treatment (P=0.06) SBP. In adjusted analyses, elevated pre- (ORadj, 1.08; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01 to 1.16) and post-treatment (ORadj, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.01 to 1.25) SBP levels were associated with increased likelihood of sICH. Increasing pre- (ORadj, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.84 to 0.98) and post-treatment (ORadj, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.57 to 0.87) SBP values were also related to lower odds of 3-month functional independence.

CONCLUSION

s We found that elevated BP levels adversely impact AIS outcomes in patients receiving IVT. Future randomized-controlled clinical trials will provide definitive data on the aforementioned association.

20-year trends of characteristics and outcomes of stroke patients with atrial fibrillation

Background

The accurate knowledge of secular trends in prevalence, characteristics and outcomes of patients with ischemic stroke and atrial fibrillation allows better projections into the future.

Aim

We aimed to report the overall, age- and sex-specific secular trends of characteristics and outcomes of patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) and atrial fibrillation between 1993 and 2012 in the Athens Stroke Registry.

Methods

We used Joinpoint regression analysis to calculate the average annual percent changes and 95% confidence intervals.

Results

Among 3314 stroke patients, 1044 (31.5%) had atrial fibrillation. Between 1993 and 2012, there was an average annual reduction of 0.8% (95% CI: −1.5%; 0.0%) in the proportion of atrial fibrillation patients among all AIS patients, whereas the proportion of newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation patients among all atrial fibrillation patients increased annually by an average of 7.1% (95% CI: 5.4%;8.9%). Among all atrial fibrillation patients, there was an average annual reduction of 2.9% (95% CI: −2.7; −3.2%) in the proportion of previously known atrial fibrillation patients, followed by an annual average reduction of 2.4% (95% CI: −1.2; −3.6%) in the proportion of previously known atrial fibrillation patients not receiving any antithrombotic treatment at admission. During that period, there was an increase in the average annual proportion of previously known atrial fibrillation patients treated with anticoagulants (6.4%, 95% CI: 1.2;11.9%) and aspirin (2.3%, 95% CI: −0.4;5.0%) at admission; an average annual increase in the proportion of atrial fibrillation patients who were prescribed anticoagulant was apparent both for patients with mRS<4 (3.5%) and mRS: 4–5 (7.2%), while the proportion of atrial fibrillation patients who were prescribed aspirin or no antithrombotic at discharge was annually reduced (5.8% for mRS<4; 1.6% for mRS: 4–5 and 7.1% for mRS<4;5.3% for mRS: 4–5 respectively). Stroke recurrences were annually reduced by an average of 5.8% (95% CI: −8.6; −3.0%), along with cardiovascular events (6.5%, 95% CI: −8.3; −4.7%) and deaths (7.9%, 95% CI: −9.2; −6.5%).

Conclusions

Between 1993 and 2012, the proportion of atrial fibrillation patients on proper antithrombotic treatment and the rate of newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation increased significantly. Rates of stroke recurrence, cardiovascular events, and mortality reduced significantly.

Fibroblast Growth Factor 23 (FGF23) and the kidney

Phosphate homeostasis in humans is a complex phenomenon involving the interplay of several different organs and circulating hormones. Among the latter, parathyroid hormone (PTH), and vitamin D3 (Vit D3) were thought to be the main regulators of serum phosphate concentration since they mediated the intestinal, renal and bone responses that follow fluctuations in serum phosphate levels. The study of three rare disorders – tumor-induced osteomalacia (TIO), autosomal dominant hypophosphatemic rickets (ADHR) and X-linked hypophosphatemic rickets (XLH) – has offered a completely new insight into phosphate metabolism by unraveling the role of a group of peptides that can directly affect serum phosphate concentration by increasing urinary phosphate excretion. Fibroblast growth factor-23 (FGF-23) is the most extensively studied “phosphatonin”. The production, mechanism of action, effects in various target tissues, and its role in common clinical disorders are the focus of this review.

Muscle microcirculation alterations and relation to dipping status in newly diagnosed untreated patients with arterial hypertension-A pilot study

OBJECTIVE

The importance of abnormalities observed in the microcirculation of patients with arterial hypertension (AH) is being increasingly recognized. The authors aimed to evaluate skeletal muscle microcirculation in untreated, newly diagnosed hypertensive patients with NIRS, a noninvasive method that evaluates microcirculation.

METHODS

We evaluated 34 subjects, 17 patients with AH (13 males, 49±13 years, BMI: 26±2 kg/m² ) and 17 healthy controls (12 males, 49±15 years, BMI: 25±3 kg/m² ). The thenar muscle StO₂ (%) was measured by NIRS before, during and after 3-minutes vascular occlusion to calculate OCR (%/min), EF (%/min), and RHT (minute). The dipping status of hypertensive patients was assessed.

RESULTS

The RHT differed between AH patients and healthy subjects (2.6±0.3 vs 2.1±0.3 minutes, P<.001). Dippers had higher EF than nondippers (939±280 vs 710±164%/min, P=.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The study suggests an impaired muscle microcirculation in newly diagnosed, untreated AH patients.

Differential associations of systolic and diastolic time rate of blood pressure variation with carotid atherosclerosis and plaque echogenicity

In the current study, the authors sought to assess whether the time rate of systolic and diastolic blood pressure variation is associated with advanced subclinical stages of carotid atherosclerosis and plaque echogenicity assessed by gray scale median. The authors recruited 237 consecutive patients with normotension and hypertension who underwent 24-hour ambulatory blood pressure monitoring and carotid artery ultrasonography. There was an independent association between low 24-hour systolic time rate and increased echogenicity of carotid plaques (adjusted odds ratio for highest vs lower tertiles of gray scale median, 0.470; 95% confidence interval, 0.245-0.902 [P = .023]). Moreover, increased nighttime diastolic time rate independently correlated with the presence (adjusted odds ratio, 1.328; P = .015) and number of carotid plaques (adjusted odds ratio, 1.410; P = .003). These results indicate differential associations of the systolic and diastolic components of time rate of blood pressure variation with the presence, extent, and composition of carotid plaques and suggest that when blood pressure variation is assessed, both components should be considered.

Aspirin Versus Clopidogrel for Type 2 Diabetic Patients with First-Ever Noncardioembolic Acute Ischemic Stroke: Ten-Year Survival Data from the Athens Stroke Outcome Project

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Diabetes mellitus is associated with an increased risk of stroke and poor outcome following a stroke event. We assessed the impact of discharge treatment with aspirin versus clopidogrel on the 10-year survival of patients with type 2 diabetes after a first-ever noncardioembolic acute ischemic stroke (AIS).

METHODS

This was a post hoc analysis of the Athens Stroke Outcome Project. Study outcomes included death, stroke recurrence, and a composite cardiovascular disease (CVD) end point (recurrent stroke, myocardial infarction, unstable angina, coronary revascularization, aortic aneurysm rupture, or sudden death). Kaplan-Meier survival curve and Cox regression analyses were performed.

RESULTS

A total of 304 (93 women) diabetic patients receiving either aspirin (n = 197) or clopidogrel (n = 107) were studied. The 10-year survival was better in clopidogrel-treated patients than in aspirin-treated patients (19 deaths [17.7%] for clopidogrel versus 55 deaths [27.9%] for aspirin; log-rank test: 4.91, P = .027). Similarly, clopidogrel was associated with a favorable impact on recurrent stroke (12 events [11.2%] for clopidogrel versus 39 events [19.7%] for aspirin; log-rank test: 4.46, P = .035) and on the composite CVD end point (21 events [19.6%] for clopidogrel versus 54 events [27.4%] for aspirin; log-rank test: 4.17, P = .041). In the multivariable analysis, the beneficial effect of clopidogrel over aspirin on both primary and secondary end points was independent of age, gender, the presence of CVD or CVD risk factors, and stroke severity.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings indicate a favorable effect of clopidogrel at discharge compared with aspirin in preventing death, recurrent stroke, and CVD events in diabetic patients with a first-ever noncardioembolic AIS.

Age- and sex-specific analysis of patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether the correlation of age and sex with the risk of recurrence and death seen in patients with previous ischemic stroke is also evident in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS).

METHODS

We pooled datasets of 11 stroke registries from Europe and America. ESUS was defined according to the Cryptogenic Stroke/ESUS International Working Group. We performed Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier product limit analyses to investigate whether age (<60, 60-80, >80 years) and sex were independently associated with the risk for ischemic stroke/TIA recurrence or death.

RESULTS

Ischemic stroke/TIA recurrences and deaths per 100 patient-years were 2.46 and 1.01 in patients <60 years old, 5.76 and 5.23 in patients 60 to 80 years old, 7.88 and 11.58 in those >80 years old, 3.53 and 3.48 in women, and 4.49 and 3.98 in men, respectively. Female sex was not associated with increased risk for recurrent ischemic stroke/TIA (hazard ratio [HR] 1.15, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.84-1.58) or death (HR 1.35, 95% CI 0.97-1.86). Compared with the group <60 years old, the 60- to 80- and >80-year groups had higher 10-year cumulative probability of recurrent ischemic stroke/TIA (14.0%, 47.9%, and 37.0%, respectively, p < 0.001) and death (6.4%, 40.6%, and 100%, respectively, p < 0.001) and higher risk for recurrent ischemic stroke/TIA (HR 1.90, 95% CI 1.21-2.98 and HR 2.71, 95% CI 1.57-4.70, respectively) and death (HR 4.43, 95% CI 2.32-8.44 and HR 8.01, 95% CI 3.98-16.10, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Age, but not sex, is a strong predictor of stroke recurrence and death in ESUS. The risk is ≈3- and 8-fold higher in patients >80 years compared with those <60 years of age, respectively. The age distribution in the ongoing ESUS trials may potentially influence their power to detect a significant treatment association.

Association of Ambulatory Blood Pressure Monitoring parameters with the Framingham Stroke Risk Profile

The Framingham Stroke Risk Profile (FSRP) is a novel and reliable tool for estimating the 10-year probability for incident stroke in stroke-free individuals, while the predictive value of ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (ABPM) for first-ever and recurrent stroke has been well established. We sought to evaluate cross-sectionally the association of ABPM parameters with FSRP score in a large sample of 2343 consecutive stroke-free individuals (mean age: 56.0±12.9, 49.1% male) who underwent 24-hour ABPM. True hypertensives showed significantly higher FSRP (11.2±5.0) compared to the normotensives (8.2±5.0, p<0.001), while subjects with white coat hypertension also had higher FSRP (10.2±4.7) than normotensives (8.2±5.0, p<0.001). Compared to dippers that exhibited the lowest FSRP, non-dippers and reverse-dippers exhibited significantly higher FSRP (9.8±4.8 for dippers vs 10.6±5.2 and 11.5±5.0 for non-dippers and reverse-dippers respectively, p≤0.001 for comparisons). In univariate analyses, the ABPM parameters that had the strongest correlation with FSRP were 24-hour (r=0.440, p<0.001), daytime (r=0.435, p<0.001) and night-time (r=0.423; p<0.001) pulse pressure (PP). The best fitting model for predicting FSRP (R²=24.6%) on multiple linear regression analyses after adjustment for vascular risk factors not included in FSRP comprised the following parameters in descending order: 24-hour PP (β=0.349, p<0.001), daytime SBP variability (β=0.124, p<0.001), 24-hour HR variability (β=-0.091, p<0.001), mean 24-hour HR (β=-0.107, p<0.001), BMI (β=0.081, p<0.001) and dipping percentage (β=-0.063, p=0.001). 24-hour PP and daytime SBP variability are the two ABPM parameters that were more strongly associated with FSRP-score. Reverse dippers had the highest FSRP among all dipping status profiles.

Addition of cyclophosphamide and higher doses of dexamethasone do not improve outcomes of patients with AL amyloidosis treated with bortezomib

Bortezomib, in combination with dexamethasone (VD) or with the addition of cyclophosphamide (VCD), is highly effective in patients with amyloid light-chain (AL) amyloidosis. Currently, VCD is considered as a primary regimen for patients with AL, but it is not clear whether the addition of cyclophosphamide to VD further and significantly improves efficacy, given the substantial activity of bortezomib itself. We retrospectively compared the outcomes of 101 patients with AL amyloidosis who received VD (n=59) or VCD (n=42) in two consecutive periods. Early mortality after adjustment for Mayo stage was similar. On intent to treat, a hematologic response rate was 68% for patients treated with VD and 78% for VCD (P=0.26), while complete response+very good partial response (CR+VGPR) rate was 47.5% and 35%, respectively. Higher doses of dexamethasone or twice-weekly bortezomib were not associated with significantly higher CR+VGPR rates. Organ responses occurred in similar rates between the two groups. Median survival was similar (33 vs 36 months, P=0.45) even after adjustment for Mayo stage and dose and schedule of bortezomib and dexamethasone. In conclusion, bortezomib even with low doses of dexamethasone is effective for the treatment of AL amyloidosis; higher doses of dexamethasone and addition of cyclophosphamide do not seem to have a profound effect on efficacy and survival.

Predictors of colorectal cancer screening awareness among people working in a hospital environment

Background

Compliance rates for colorectal cancer (CRC) screening are much lower than those desired. Appropriate information on CRC risks and screening methods is supposed to stimulate motivation for screening. We aimed to identify parameters associated with the decision for CRC screening and colonoscopy in a population expected to have high awareness of disease prevention.

Methods

In a single-center, cross-sectional study, we used an anonymous questionnaire (AQ) to record the demographics, habits and screening behavior for cancers and other common diseases of all employees older than 50 years in our hospital.

Results

Among 287 active employees, 83% (n=237) answered the AQ (age 55±4 years). Thirty percent (n=70) underwent colonoscopy while 17% (n=40) underwent CRC screening (39/40) colonoscopy). Comparatively, among women 97% had a Pap-smear, 92% a mammography, while among men 83% had been tested for serum prostate-specific antigen. Age, male sex, alcohol consumption and university education correlated positively with CRC screening (P<0.05 for all). After multivariate analysis, university education remained an independent determinant of CRC screening (OR 2.488, 95%CI 1.096-5.648; P=0.029). Among subjects who had not undergone colonoscopy in the past, ignorance of the need for CRC screening (OR 0.360, 95%CI 0.150-0.867; P=0.023) and indifference to undergo such a procedure (OR 0.188, 95%CI 0.066-0.537; P=0.002) were independent determinants for not planning a future screening colonoscopy.

Conclusions

Education was the most important factor in the decision to undergo CRC screening. Colonoscopy was the preferred screening method. Ignorance of and indifference to CRC risks were the major obstacles for a future screening colonoscopy.

Abstract 77: Intensity of Blood Pressure Reduction and Secondary Stroke Prevention: A Systematic Review and Meta-regression Analysis of Randomized Clinical Trials

Background & Purpose: Current recommendations do not specifically address the optimal blood pressure (BP) cut-off for secondary stroke prevention in patients with previous cerebrovascular events. We conducted a systematic review and meta-regression analysis on the association of BP reduction with recurrent stroke and cardiovascular events using data from randomized-controlled clinical trials (RCTs) of secondary stroke prevention.

Methods: For all reported events during each eligible study period we calculated the corresponding risk ratios (RRs) to express the comparison of event occurrence risk between patients randomized to antihypertensive treatment and those randomized to placebo. Based on the reported BP values, we performed univariate meta-regression analyses according to achieved BP values under the random-effects model (Method of Moments) for those outcome events reported in ≥10 total subgroups of included RCTs.

Results: In pairwise meta-analyses of 14 RCTs comprising 42,736 patients antihypertensive treatment lowered the risk for recurrent stroke (RR=0.73, 95%CI: 0.62-0.87, p<0.001), disabling or fatal stroke (RR=0.71, 95%CI: 0.59-0.85, p<0.001) and cardiovascular death (RR=0.85, 95%CI: 0.75-0.96, p=0.010). In meta-regression analyses systolic BP reduction was linearly related to lower risk of recurrent stroke (p=0.049; Figure A), myocardial infarction (p=0.024), death from any cause (p=0.001) and cardiovascular death (p<0.001). Similarly, diastolic BP reduction was linearly related to a lower risk of recurrent stroke (p=0.026; Figure B) and all-cause mortality (p=0.009). Funnel plot inspection and Egger’s statistical test revealed no evidence of publication bias.

Conclusion: The extent of BP reduction is linearly associated with the magnitude of risk reduction in recurrent cerebro- and cardio-vascular events. Strict and aggressive BP control appears to be essential for effective secondary stroke prevention.

Blood Pressure Reduction and Secondary Stroke Prevention

Current recommendations do not specifically address the optimal blood pressure (BP) reduction for secondary stroke prevention in patients with previous cerebrovascular events. We conducted a systematic review and metaregression analysis on the association of BP reduction with recurrent stroke and cardiovascular events using data from randomized controlled clinical trials of secondary stroke prevention. For all reported events during each eligible study period, we calculated the corresponding risk ratios to express the comparison of event occurrence risk between patients randomized to antihypertensive treatment and those randomized to placebo. On the basis of the reported BP values, we performed univariate metaregression analyses according to the achieved BP values under the random-effects model (Method of Moments) for those adverse events reported in ≥10 total subgroups of included randomized controlled clinical trials. In pairwise meta-analyses, antihypertensive treatment lowered the risk for recurrent stroke (risk ratio, 0.73; 95% confidence interval, 0.62–0.87; P <0.001), disabling or fatal stroke (risk ratio, 0.71; 95% confidence interval, 0.59–0.85; P <0.001), and cardiovascular death (risk ratio, 0.85; 95% confidence interval, 0.75–0.96; P =0.01). In metaregression analyses, systolic BP reduction was linearly related to the lower risk of recurrent stroke ( P =0.049), myocardial infarction ( P =0.024), death from any cause ( P =0.001), and cardiovascular death ( P <0.001). Similarly, diastolic BP reduction was linearly related to a lower risk of recurrent stroke ( P =0.026) and all-cause mortality ( P =0.009). Funnel plot inspection and Egger statistical test revealed no evidence of publication bias. The extent of BP reduction is linearly associated with the magnitude of risk reduction in recurrent cerebrovascular and cardiovascular events. Strict and aggressive BP control seems to be essential for effective secondary stroke prevention.