A polygenic risk score for alcohol-associated cirrhosis among heavy drinkers with European ancestry

BACKGROUND

Polygenic Risk Scores (PRS) based on results from genome-wide association studies offer the prospect of risk stratification for many common and complex diseases. We developed a PRS for alcohol-associated cirrhosis by comparing single-nucleotide polymorphisms among patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis (ALC) versus drinkers who did not have evidence of liver fibrosis/cirrhosis.

METHODS

Using a data-driven approach, a PRS for ALC was generated using a meta-genome-wide association study of ALC (N=4305) and an independent cohort of heavy drinkers with ALC and without significant liver disease (N=3037). It was validated in 2 additional independent cohorts from the UK Biobank with diagnosed ALC (N=467) and high-risk drinking controls (N=8981) and participants in the Indiana Biobank Liver cohort with alcohol-associated liver disease (N=121) and controls without liver disease (N=3239).

RESULTS

A 20-single-nucleotide polymorphisms PRS for ALC (PRSALC) was generated that stratified risk for ALC comparing the top and bottom deciles of PRS in the 2 validation cohorts (ORs: 2.83 [95% CI: 1.82 -4.39] in UK Biobank; 4.40 [1.56 -12.44] in Indiana Biobank Liver cohort). Furthermore, PRSALC improved the prediction of ALC risk when added to the models of clinically known predictors of ALC risk. It also stratified the risk for metabolic dysfunction -associated steatotic liver disease -cirrhosis (3.94 [2.23 -6.95]) in the Indiana Biobank Liver cohort -based exploratory analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

PRSALC incorporates 20 single-nucleotide polymorphisms, predicts increased risk for ALC, and improves risk stratification for ALC compared with the models that only include clinical risk factors. This new score has the potential for early detection of heavy drinking patients who are at high risk for ALC.

A genetic basis of mitochondrial DNAJA3 in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis-related hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

NAFLD is the most common form of liver disease worldwide, but only a subset of individuals with NAFLD may progress to NASH. While NASH is an important etiology of HCC, the underlying mechanisms responsible for the conversion of NAFLD to NASH and then to HCC are poorly understood. We aimed to identify genetic risk genes that drive NASH and NASH-related HCC.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We searched genetic alleles among the 24 most significant alleles associated with body fat distribution from a genome-wide association study of 344,369 individuals and validated the top allele in 3 independent cohorts of American and European patients (N=1380) with NAFLD/NASH/HCC. We identified an rs3747579-TT variant significantly associated with NASH-related HCC and demonstrated that rs3747579 is expression quantitative trait loci of a mitochondrial DnaJ Heat Shock Protein Family (Hsp40) Member A3 ( DNAJA3 ). We also found that rs3747579-TT and a previously identified PNPLA3 as a functional variant of NAFLD to have significant additional interactions with NASH/HCC risk. Patients with HCC with rs3747579-TT had a reduced expression of DNAJA3 and had an unfavorable prognosis. Furthermore, mice with hepatocyte-specific Dnaja3 depletion developed NASH-dependent HCC either spontaneously under a normal diet or enhanced by diethylnitrosamine. Dnaja3 -deficient mice developed NASH/HCC characterized by significant mitochondrial dysfunction, which was accompanied by excessive lipid accumulation and inflammatory responses. The molecular features of NASH/HCC in the Dnaja3 -deficient mice were closely associated with human NASH/HCC.

CONCLUSIONS

We uncovered a genetic basis of DNAJA3 as a key player of NASH-related HCC.

Dietary strategies in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease patients: From evidence to daily clinical practice, a systematic review

Lifestyle modification comprising calorie restriction (CR) and increased physical activity enabling weight loss is the first-line of treatment for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). However, CR alone is not optimal and evidence suggests that dietary pattern and composition are also critical in NAFLD management. Accordingly, high consumption of red and processed meat, saturated fat, added sugar, and sweetened beverages are associated with an increased risk of developing NAFLD and hepatocellular carcinoma, while other foods and compounds such as fish, olive oil, and polyphenols are, in contrast, beneficial for metabolic disorders. Therefore, several dietary interventions have been studied in order to determine which strategy would be the most beneficial for NAFLD. The evidence regarding the effectiveness of different dietary interventions such as low carbohydrate/low-fat diet, time-restricted eating diet, CR, and the well-studied Mediterranean diet is summarized.

A model for individualized prediction of liver-related death in outpatients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis

INTRODUCTION

In alcohol-associated cirrhosis, an accurate estimate of the risk of death is essential for patient care. We developed individualized prediction charts for 5-year liver-related mortality among outpatients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis that take into account the impact of abstinence.

METHODS

We collected data on outpatients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis in a prospective registry. The model was derived, internally and externally validated, and compared with the Child-Pugh and the Model For End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores.

RESULTS

A total of 527 and 127 patients were included in the derivation and validation data sets, respectively. A model was developed based on the 3 variables independently associated with liver-related mortality in multivariate analyses (age, Child-Pugh score, and abstinence). In the derivation data set, the model combining age, Child-Pugh score, and abstinence outperformed the Child-Pugh and the MELD scores. In the validation data set, the Brier score was lower for the model (0.166) compared with the Child-Pugh score (0.196, p = 0.008) and numerically lower compared with the MELD score (0.190) (p = 0.06). The model had the greatest AUC (0.77; 95% CI 0.68-0.85) compared with the Child-Pugh score (AUC = 0.66; 95% CI 0.56-0.76, p = 0.01) and was numerically higher than that of the MELD score (AUC = 0.66; 95% CI 0.56-0.78, p = 0.06). Also, the Akaike and Bayesian information criterion scores were lower for the model (2163; 2172) compared with the Child-Pugh (2213; 2216) or the MELD score (2205; 2208).

CONCLUSION

A model combining age, Child-Pugh score, and abstinence accurately predicts liver-related death at 5 years among outpatients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis. In this study, the model outperformed the Child-Pugh and the MELD scores, although the AUC and the Brier score of the model were not statically different from the MELD score in the validation data set.

A machine learning-based classification of adult-onset diabetes identifies patients at risk of liver-related complications

Background & aims

Diabetes mellitus is a major risk factor for fatty liver disease development and progression. A novel machine learning method identified five clusters of patients with diabetes, with different characteristics and risk of diabetic complications using six clinical and biological variables. We evaluated whether this new classification could identify individuals with an increased risk of liver-related complications.

Methods

We used a prospective cohort of patients with a diagnosis of type 1 or type 2 diabetes without evidence of advanced fibrosis at baseline recruited between 2000 and 2020. We assessed the risk of each diabetic cluster of developing liver-related complications (i.e. ascites, encephalopathy, variceal haemorrhage, hepatocellular carcinoma), using competing risk analyses.

Results

We included 1,068 patients, of whom 162 (15.2%) were determined to be in the severe autoimmune diabetes subgroup, 266 (24.9%) had severe insulin-deficient diabetes, 95 (8.9%) had severe insulin-resistant diabetes (SIRD), 359 (33.6%) had mild obesity-related diabetes, and 186 (17.4%) were in the mild age-related diabetes subgroup. In multivariable analysis, patients in the SIRD cluster and those with excessive alcohol consumption at baseline had the highest risk for liver-related events. The SIRD cluster, excessive alcohol consumption, and hypertension were independently associated with clinically significant fibrosis, evaluated by liver biopsy or transient elastography. Using a simplified classification, patients assigned to the severe and mild insulin-resistant groups had a three- and twofold greater risk, respectively, of developing significant fibrosis compared with those in the insulin-deficient group.

Conclusions

A novel clustering classification adequately stratifies the risk of liver-related events in a population with diabetes. Our results also underline the impact of the severity of insulin resistance and alcohol consumption as key prognostic risk factors for liver-related complications.

Impact and implications

Diabetes represents a major risk factor for NAFLD development and progression. This study examined the ability of a novel machine-learning approach to identify at-risk diabetes subtypes for liver-related complications. Our results suggest that patients that had severe insulin resistance had the highest risk of liver-related outcomes and fibrosis progression. Moreover, excessive alcohol consumption at the diagnosis of diabetes was the strongest risk factor for developing liver-related events.

Integrating genetic variants into clinical models for hepatocellular carcinoma risk stratification in cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Identifying individuals at higher risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is pivotal to improve the performance of surveillance strategies. Herein, we aimed to evaluate the ability of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) to refine HCC risk stratification.

METHODS

Six SNPs in PNPLA3, TM6SF2, HSD17B13, APOE, and MBOAT7 affecting lipid turnover and one variant involved in the Wnt-β-catenin pathway (WNT3A-WNT9A rs708113) were assessed in patients with alcohol-related and/or HCV-cured cirrhosis included in HCC surveillance programmes (prospective CirVir and CIRRAL cohorts). Their prognostic value for HCC occurrence was assessed using Fine-Gray models combined into a 7-SNP genetic risk score (GRS). The predictive ability of two clinical scores (a routine non-genetic model determined by multivariate analysis and the external aMAP score) with/without the GRS was evaluated by C-indices. The standardised net benefit was derived from decision curves.

RESULTS

Among 1,145 patients, 86 (7.5%) developed HCC after 43.7 months. PNPLA3 and WNT3A-WNT9A variants were independently associated with HCC occurrence. The GRS stratified the population into three groups with progressively increased 5-year HCC incidence (Group 1 [n = 627, 5.4%], Group 2 [n = 276, 10.7%], and Group 3 [n = 242, 15.3%]; p <0.001). The multivariate model identified age, male sex, diabetes, platelet count, gamma-glutamyltransferase levels, albuminemia and the GRS as independent risk factors. The clinical model performance for 5-year HCC prediction was similar to that of the aMAP score (C-Index 0.769). The addition of the GRS to both scores modestly improved their performance (C-Indices of 0.786 and 0.783, respectively). This finding was confirmed by decision curve analyses showing only fair clinical net benefit.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with cirrhosis can be stratified into HCC risk classes by variants affecting lipid turnover and the Wnt-β-catenin pathway. The incorporation of this genetic information modestly improves the performance of clinical scores.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

The identification of patients at higher risk of developing liver cancer is pivotal to improve the performance of surveillance. Risk assessment can be achieved by combining several clinical and biological parameters used in routine practice. The addition of patients' genetic characteristics can modestly improve this prediction and will ultimately pave the way for precision medicine in patients eligible for HCC surveillance, allowing physicians to trigger personalised screening strategies.

Salvage transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt in patients with cirrhosis and refractory variceal bleeding: A systematic review with meta-analysis

Background

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) may be used as a salvage treatment in patients with cirrhosis and refractory variceal bleeding.

Aim

To synthesize the available evidence on the efficacy of TIPS in patients with cirrhosis and refractory variceal bleeding.

Methods

Meta‐analysis of trials evaluating TIPS in patients with cirrhosis and refractory variceal bleeding, including subgroup analysis to assess the impact of recent changes in the management of variceal bleeding (i.e., the use of Polytetrafluoroethylene‐covered TIPS and the availability of pre‐emptive TIPS as a first‐line treatment for acute variceal bleeding).

Results

Twenty‐three studies with 1430 patients were included. The pooled estimate rates were 0.33 (95% CI = 0.29–0.37) for death at 1 month–6 weeks, 0.46 (95% CI = 0.40–0.52) for death at 1 year, and 0.09 (95% CI = 0.06–0.11) for death due to rebleeding in the follow‐up. The pooled estimate rates for death at 1 month or 6 weeks were similar in subgroup analyses including studies that did not use covered TIPS or that did not include patients after the pre‐emptive TIPS area compared to the ones that did (pooled estimate rate 0.33 [95% CI = 0.28–0.38] and 0.32 [95% CI = 0.25–0.39], respectively). The pooled estimate rates were 0.16 (95% CI = 0.13–0.18) for rebleeding, 0.25 (95% CI = 0.17–0.36) for occurrence of hepatic encephalopathy, and 0.08 (95% CI = 0.05–0.13) for access to liver transplantation after TIPS insertion.

Conclusions

One third of patients with cirrhosis and refractory variceal bleeding treated with salvage TIPS died within the first 6 weeks. Recent improvements in the management of variceal bleeding did not improve the survival of patients presenting with refractory variceal bleeding.

Bi-allelic hydroxymethylbilane synthase inactivation defines a homogenous clinico-molecular subtype of hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Acute intermittent porphyria (AIP), caused by heterozygous germline mutations of the heme synthesis pathway enzyme HMBS (hydroxymethylbilane synthase), confers a high risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development. Yet, the role of HMBS in liver tumorigenesis remains unclear.

METHODS

Herein, we explore HMBS alterations in a large series of 758 HCC cases, including 4 patients with AIP. We quantify the impact of HMBS mutations on heme biosynthesis pathway intermediates and we investigate the molecular and clinical features of HMBS-mutated tumors.

RESULTS

We identify recurrent bi-allelic HMBS inactivation, both in patients with AIP acquiring a second somatic HMBS mutation and in sporadic HCC with 2 somatic hits. HMBS alterations are enriched in truncating mutations, in particular in splice regions, leading to abnormal transcript structures. Bi-allelic HMBS inactivation results in a massive accumulation of its toxic substrate porphobilinogen and synergizes with CTNNB1-activating mutations, leading to the development of well-differentiated tumors with a transcriptomic signature of Wnt/β-catenin pathway activation and a DNA methylation signature related to ageing. HMBS-inactivated HCC mostly affects females, in the absence of fibrosis and classical HCC risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

These data identify HMBS as a tumor suppressor gene whose bi-allelic inactivation defines a homogenous clinical and molecular HCC subtype.

LAY SUMMARY

Heme (the precursor to hemoglobin, which plays a key role in oxygen transport around the body) synthesis occurs in the liver and involves several enzymes including hydroxymethylbilane synthase (HMBS). HMBS mutations cause acute intermittent porphyria, a disease caused by the accumulation of toxic porphyrin precursors. Herein, we show that HMBS inactivation is also involved in the development of liver cancers with distinct clinical and molecular characteristics.

Clinical, histological and molecular profiling of different stages of alcohol-related liver disease

OBJECTIVE

Alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) ranges from never-decompensated ALD (ndALD) to the life-threatening decompensated phenotype, known as alcohol-related hepatitis (AH). A multidimensional study of the clinical, histological and molecular features of these subtypes is lacking.

DESIGN

Two large cohorts of patients were recruited in an international, observational multicentre study: a retrospective cohort of patients with ndALD (n=110) and a prospective cohort of patients with AH (n=225). Clinical, analytical, immunohistochemistry and hepatic RNA microarray analysis of both disease phenotypes were performed.

RESULTS

Age and mean alcohol intake were similar in both groups. AH patients had greater aspartate amino transferase/alanine amino transferase ratio and lower gamma-glutamyl transferase levels than in ndALD patients. Patients with AH demonstrated profound liver failure and increased mortality. One-year mortality was 10% in ndALD and 50% in AH. Histologically, steatosis grade, ballooning and pericellular fibrosis were similar in both groups, while advanced fibrosis, Mallory-Denk bodies, bilirubinostasis, severe neutrophil infiltration and ductular reaction were more frequent among AH patients. Transcriptome analysis revealed a profound gene dysregulation within both phenotypes when compare to controls. While ndALD was characterised by deregulated expression of genes involved in matrisome and immune response, the development of AH resulted in a marked deregulation of genes involved in hepatocyte reprogramming and bile acid metabolism.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite comparable alcohol intake, AH patients presented with worse liver function compared with ndALD patients. Bilirubinostasis, severe fibrosis and ductular reaction were prominent features of AH. AH patients exhibited a more profound deregulation of gene expression compared with ndALD patients.

New concepts in the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the third most common cause of cancer-related death and occurs mainly in the context of chronic liver disease at cirrhosis stage. The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer classification, first established in 1999, is the most commonly used staging system for HCC in Western countries that link tumor burden, liver function and performance status with prognosis and therapeutic management. Since the first publication of this classification, it has been implemented in several clinical guidelines and recent major therapeutic advances in the management of HCC have modified the therapeutic landscape of HCC. Accordingly, an updated version was recently published in 2022, incorporating an expert clinical decision-making component and the concept of treatment stage migration. This update also introduces the positive results of recent randomized clinical trials, and introduces atezolizumab/bevacizumab (A/B) as a first-line combination regimen for patients with advanced HCC. Finally, the complexity of the management of patients with HCC highlights the need for a multidisciplinary approach including input from hepatology, surgery, radiology, medical oncology, and radiation oncology.

Plasma-Signature-Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Score to Predict Survival in Severe Alcoholic Hepatitis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Severe alcoholic hepatitis (AH) is a highly lethal condition and it is still a challenge to predict the outcome. We previously identified and validated a composite score of hepatic 123-gene prognostic signature and the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score: gene signature-MELD. However, the need for liver biopsy limits its clinical application. Therefore, we aimed to identify a plasma protein-based surrogate of the gene signature and independently validate its prognostic capability.

METHODS

All patients were diagnosed with severe AH at Cliniques universitaires de Bruxelles Hôpital Erasme (Brussels, Belgium), and the plasma samples were collected at admission before any treatment. The primary outcome was death or liver transplantation within 90 days. Using our computational pipeline, named translation of tissue expression to secretome (TexSEC), a hepatic-transcriptome-based prognostic signature was converted to a plasma-based secretome signature, which was optimized in 50 patients by comparing their hepatic molecular dysregulation status and combining it with the MELD score. The composite score was validated independently in 57 patients.

RESULTS

The TexSEC and optimization process identified a 6-plasma-protein panel as a surrogate for the 123-gene signature. A composite score with the MELD score, the plasma-signature (ps)-MELD score, was created by using the coefficients of the gene signature-MELD equation. In the validation cohort, the high-risk ps-MELD (n = 23; 40%) was associated significantly with death or liver transplantation within 90 days (adjusted hazard ratio, 4.57; 95% CI, 2.15-9.30; P < .001). The ps-MELD score showed a stable, high prognostic association (time-dependent area under receiver operating characteristics curve, >0.80) and was well calibrated over time; it consistently outperformed existing clinical scores as indicated by various model performance indices.

CONCLUSIONS

The high-risk ps-MELD score was associated with short-term survival in patients with severe AH.

A genetic risk score and diabetes predict development of alcohol-related cirrhosis in drinkers

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Only a minority of excess alcohol drinkers develop cirrhosis. We developed and evaluated risk stratification scores to identify those at highest risk.

METHODS

Three cohorts (GenomALC-1: n = 1,690, GenomALC-2: n = 3,037, UK Biobank: relevant n = 6,898) with a history of heavy alcohol consumption (≥80 g/day (men), ≥50 g/day (women), for ≥10 years) were included. Cases were participants with alcohol-related cirrhosis. Controls had a history of similar alcohol consumption but no evidence of liver disease. Risk scores were computed from up to 8 genetic loci identified previously as associated with alcohol-related cirrhosis and 3 clinical risk factors. Score performance for the stratification of alcohol-related cirrhosis risk was assessed and compared across the alcohol-related liver disease spectrum, including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

RESULTS

A combination of 3 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) (PNPLA3:rs738409, SUGP1-TM6SF2:rs10401969, HSD17B13:rs6834314) and diabetes status best discriminated cirrhosis risk. The odds ratios (ORs) and (95% CIs) between the lowest (Q1) and highest (Q5) score quintiles of the 3-SNP score, based on independent allelic effect size estimates, were 5.99 (4.18-8.60) (GenomALC-1), 2.81 (2.03-3.89) (GenomALC-2), and 3.10 (2.32-4.14) (UK Biobank). Patients with diabetes and high risk scores had ORs of 14.7 (7.69-28.1) (GenomALC-1) and 17.1 (11.3-25.7) (UK Biobank) compared to those without diabetes and with low risk scores. Patients with cirrhosis and HCC had significantly higher mean risk scores than patients with cirrhosis alone (0.76 ± 0.06 vs. 0.61 ± 0.02, p = 0.007). Score performance was not significantly enhanced by information on additional genetic risk variants, body mass index or coffee consumption.

CONCLUSIONS

A risk score based on 3 genetic risk variants and diabetes status enables the stratification of heavy drinkers based on their risk of cirrhosis, allowing for the provision of earlier preventative interventions.

LAY SUMMARY

Excessive chronic drinking leads to cirrhosis in some people, but so far there is no way to identify those at high risk of developing this debilitating disease. We developed a genetic risk score that can identify patients at high risk. The risk of cirrhosis is increased >10-fold with just two risk factors - diabetes and a high genetic risk score. Risk assessment using this test could enable the early and personalised management of this disease in high-risk patients.

Endoscopic duodenal mucosal resurfacing for nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH): a pilot study

Background and study aims  Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is a leading cause of chronic liver disease worldwide with limited treatment options. Duodenal mucosal resurfacing (DMR) has been associated with improvement in glycaemic parameters and liver function tests (LFTs) in type 2 diabetes. This study aimed to assess the effect of DMR in patients with NASH. Patients and methods  This was a single-center, open-label pilot study. Patients with definite, biopsy-proven NASH (nonalcoholic fatty liver disease activity score [NAS] ≥ 4) underwent a single DMR procedure followed by a 2-week postprocedural diet, without lifestyle intervention. The primary outcome was either resolution of NASH with no worsening of fibrosis or improvement in fibrosis (≥ 1 stage) with no worsening of NASH at 12 months. Secondary outcomes were changes in key histological parameters of NASH, surrogate markers of fibrosis, LFTs, and metabolic factors at 12 months. Results  From 2017 to 2019, 14 patients underwent successful DMR, of whom 11 were included in the analysis. After 12 months, no resolution of NASH was observed, while three patients (27 %) had marginal improvement in fibrosis with no worsening of NASH. Serious adverse events related to the procedure were reported in two patients out of 14 (14 %). Neither weight loss nor improvement in NAS score, or in the other secondary outcomes, were observed at 12 months. Conclusions  In this small and heterogenous study population, we found that DMR, in the absence of lifestyle intervention, did not induce NASH resolution and marginally improved liver fibrosis at 12 months.

Combination of Model for End-Stage Liver Disease and Lactate Predicts Death in Patients Treated With Salvage Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt for Refractory Variceal Bleeding

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Data about the prognosis of salvage transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) using covered stents for refractory variceal bleeding caused by portal hypertension are scarce. We aimed to assess survival and to identify predictors of mortality in these patients.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

One hundred sixty-four patients with cirrhosis from five centers treated with salvage TIPS between 2007 and 2017 were retrospectively divided into a derivation cohort (83 patients) and a validation cohort (81 patients). Comparisons were performed using the Mann-Whitney and Fischer's exact test. Six-week overall survival (OS) was correlated with variables on the day of the TIPS using Kaplan-Meier curves with log-rank test and univariate/multivariate analyses using the Cox model. Eighty-three patients were included in the derivation cohort (male, 78%; age, 55 years, alcohol-associated cirrhosis, 88%; Model for End-Stage Liver Disease [MELD], 19 [15-27]; arterial lactate, 3.7 mmol/L [2.0-8.3]). Six-week OS rate was 58%. At multivariate analysis, the MELD score (OR, 1.064; 95% CI, 1.005-1.126; P = 0.028) and arterial lactate (OR, 1.063; 95% CI, 1.013-1.114; P = 0.032) were associated with 6-week OS. Six-week OS rates were 100% in patients with arterial lactate ≤2.5 mmol/L and MELD score ≤ 15 and 5% in patients with lactate ≥12 mmol/L and/or MELD score ≥ 30. The 81 patients of the validation cohort had similar MELD and arterial lactate level but lower creatinine level (94 vs 106 µmol/L, P = 0.008); 6-week OS was 67%. Six-week OS rates were 86% in patients with arterial lactate ≤2.5 mmol/L and MELD score ≤ 15 and 10% for patients with lactate ≥12 mmol/L and/or MELD score ≥ 30. In the overall cohort, rebleeding rate was 15.8% at 6 weeks, and the acute-on-chronic liver failure grade (OR, 1.699; 95% CI, 1.056-1.663; P = 0.040) was independently associated with rebleeding.

CONCLUSIONS

After salvage TIPS, 6-week mortality remains high and can be predicted by MELD score and lactate. Survival rate at 6 weeks was >85% in patients with arterial lactate ≤2.5 mmol/L and MELD score ≤ 15, while mortality was >90% for lactate ≥12 mmol/L and/or MELD score ≥ 30.

Oxidative stress in obesity-associated hepatocellular carcinoma: sources, signaling and therapeutic challenges

Obesity affects more than 650 million individuals worldwide and is a well-established risk factor for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Oxidative stress can be considered as a bona fide tumor promoter, contributing to the initiation and progression of liver cancer. Indeed, one of the key events involved in HCC progression is excessive levels of reactive oxygen species (ROS) resulting from the fatty acid influx and chronic inflammation. This review provides insights into the different intracellular sources of obesity-induced ROS and molecular mechanisms responsible for hepatic tumorigenesis. In addition, we highlight recent findings pointing to the role of the dysregulated activity of BCL-2 proteins and protein tyrosine phosphatases (PTPs) in the generation of hepatic oxidative stress and ROS-mediated dysfunctional signaling, respectively. Finally, we discuss the potential and challenges of novel nanotechnology strategies to prevent ROS formation in obesity-associated HCC.

Vasomodulators and Liver Transplantation for Portopulmonary Hypertension: Evidence From a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Untreated portopulmonary hypertension (PoPH) carries a poor prognosis. Previous reports have described vasomodulator (VM) therapy and liver transplantation (LT) as treatment options. We aimed to provide summary estimates on the endpoints of pulmonary hemodynamics and survival in patients with PoPH, treated with different modalities.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

We performed a systematic review with meta-analysis of mainly observational and case-control studies describing no treatment, VM, LT, or VM + LT in patients with PoPH. Twenty-six studies (1,019 patients) were included. Both VM and VM + LT improve pulmonary hemodynamics. A substantial proportion of patients treated with VM become eligible for LT (44%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 31-58). Pooled estimates for 1-, and 3-year postdiagnosis survival in patients treated with VM were 86% (95% CI, 81-90) and 69% (95% CI, 50-84) versus 82% (95% CI, 52-95) and 67% (95% CI, 53-78) in patients treated with VM + LT. Of note, studies reporting on the effect of VM mainly included Child-Pugh A/B patients, whereas studies reporting on VM + LT mainly included Child-Pugh B/C. Seven studies (238 patients) included both patients who received VM only and patients who received VM + LT. Risk of death in VM-only-treated patients was significantly higher than in patients who could be transplanted as well (odds ratio, 3.5; 95% CI, 1.4-8.8); however, importantly, patients who proceeded to transplant had been selected very strictly. In 50% of patients, VM can be discontinued post-LT (95% CI, 38-62).

CONCLUSIONS

VM and VM + LT both improve pulmonary hemodynamics and prognosis in PoPH. In a strictly selected subpopulation of cases where LT is indicated based on severe liver disease and where LT is considered safe and feasible, treatment with VM + LT confers a better prognosis. Considering successful VM, 44% can proceed to LT, with half being able to postoperatively stop medication.

Histologic parameter score does not predict short-term survival in severe alcoholic hepatitis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The alcoholic hepatitis histologic score has been proposed as a new prognostic tool to assess the risk of death in alcoholic hepatitis. We aimed to evaluate its prognostic value in patients with severe alcoholic hepatitis.

METHODS

Liver biopsies were analysed independently by two pathologists according to the alcoholic hepatitis histologic score. The Laennec staging system was also used to evaluate fibrosis.

RESULTS

One hundred and seven patients were included, and 89% of the patients received corticosteroids. The alcoholic hepatitis histologic score was available in 105 patients. Histologic scoring showed mild, moderate and severe scores in 10, 29 and 66 patients, respectively. Laennec staging was available for 53 patients, among whom 49 had cirrhosis, including 7 with Laennec 4A, 15 with 4B and 27 with 4C. Survival rates in mild, moderate and severe alcoholic hepatitis histologic score groups were 90%, 72% and 69% at 28 days (p = 0.6), 80%, 52% and 63% at 3 months (p = 0.3), and 70%, 41% and 58% at 6 months (p = 0.3), respectively. Within the alcoholic hepatitis histologic score, fibrosis demonstrated the best interobserver reproducibility (agreement = 100%, Κ = 1.00). Compared to patients with Laennec 4B or 4C cirrhosis, survival rates for patients without cirrhosis or with Laennec 4A cirrhosis were 100% vs 83% at 28 days (p = 0.16), 91% vs 68% at 3 months (p = 0.13), and 82% vs 64% at 6 months (p = 0.2), respectively. In multivariate analysis adjusted for age and for model for end-stage liver disease score, the alcoholic hepatitis histologic score and Laennec stage were not associated with 6-month mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

The alcoholic hepatitis histologic score is not predictive of short-term survival in this cohort of patients with severe alcoholic hepatitis.

Update on NAFLD genetics: From new variants to the clinic

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the leading cause of liver diseases in high-income countries and the burden of NAFLD is increasing at an alarming rate. The risk of developing NAFLD and related complications is highly variable among individuals and is determined by environmental and genetic factors. Genome-wide association studies have uncovered robust and reproducible associations between variations in genes such as PNPLA3, TM6SF2, MBOAT7, GCKR, HSD17B13 and the natural history of NAFLD. These findings have provided compelling new insights into the biology of NAFLD and highlighted potentially attractive pharmaceutical targets. More recently the development of polygenic risk scores, which have shown promising results for the clinical risk prediction of other complex traits (such as cardiovascular disease and breast cancer), have provided new impetus for the clinical validation of genetic variants in NAFLD risk stratification. Herein, we review current knowledge on the genetic architecture of NAFLD, including gene-environment interactions, and discuss the implications for disease pathobiology, drug discovery and risk prediction. We particularly focus on the potential clinical translation of recent genetic advances, discussing methodological hurdles that must be overcome before these discoveries can be implemented in everyday practice.

Gene signature-MELD score and alcohol relapse determine long-term prognosis of patients with severe alcoholic hepatitis

BACKGROUND

The gene-signature-model for end stage liver disease (gs-MELD) score has been shown to be a strong predictor of 6-month survival in severe alcoholic hepatitis (AH). Currently, only a few studies have evaluated the long-term prognosis of patients with severe AH.

AIM

To assess the prognostic value of the gs-MELD score at 5 years in patients with severe AH.

METHODS

Forty-eight consecutive patients with AH (25 males, median age 52 years [95% IC: 48-56]) were included.

RESULTS

The median gs-MELD score was 2.6 (95% CI: 2.2-3.0). According to the gs-MELD score, 22 patients (46%) were considered to have a poor prognosis. During a median follow-up of 29 months (95% CI: 4-43), 19 patients (40%) were abstinent and 24 patients (50%) died. At 5 years, rates of survival were 61% (95% CI: 41-81) and 26% (95% CI: 11-55) in patients with low and high gs-MELD scores (P = .001), and 81% (95% CI: 58-96) and 22% (95% CI: 10-47) in abstainers and in consumers (P < .001) respectively. In multivariable competing risk regression modelling, gs-MELD score (subdistribution hazard ratio: 5.78, 95% CI: 2.17-15.38, P < .001) and recurrent alcohol consumption (subdistribution hazard ratio: 12.18, 95% CI: 3.16-46.95, P < .001) were independently associated with 5-year mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Both gs-MELD score and alcohol consumption drive AH long-term prognosis. The gs-MELD score may guide the development of molecularly targeted therapies in AH.

Noninvasive diagnosis in alcohol-related liver disease

Background

Alcohol‐related liver disease (ALD) represents a major cause of death worldwide, and unfortunately, most patients are diagnosed at an advanced stage of the disease, which is related to poorer outcomes. Liver biopsy has historically been the gold standard for identifying advanced hepatic fibrosis, but this approach has several limitations, including invasiveness, low applicability, sampling variability, and cost.

Main Text

In order to detect earlier features of advanced liver fibrosis, surrogate biomarkers and techniques have been developed. While these were initially developed for chronic liver diseases such as viral hepatitis and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), their performance in ALD has also been recently studied. Among the noninvasive surrogate markers and techniques used to detect liver fibrosis, the Enhanced Liver Fibrosis test, FibroTest, and Transient Elastography are the most accurate and validated techniques. In this review, we summarize the current status of the noninvasive assessment of liver disease in ALD and provide a synthesis of how these noninvasive tools can be used in clinical practice. Finally, we briefly outline novel biomarkers that are currently being investigated and discuss future directions and new opportunities in the noninvasive diagnosis of ALD.

Systematic review with meta-analysis: automated low-flow ascites pump therapy for refractory ascites

BACKGROUND

Few effective treatments are available for patients with cirrhosis and refractory ascites. New treatment modalities are needed for these patients.

AIM

To synthesise the available evidence on the efficacy and safety of automated low-flow ascites pump therapy in patients with cirrhosis and refractory ascites.

METHODS

Electronic databases were searched for trials evaluating automated low-flow ascites pump therapy in patients with refractory ascites.

RESULTS

Nine studies were included. Eight were case series, one was a randomised controlled trial. Pooled estimate rates were 0.62 (95% CI = 0.49-0.74) for the absence of requirement of large volume paracentesis (LVP) after pump insertion, 0.30 (95% CI = 0.17-0.47) for acute kidney injury, 0.27 (95% CI = 0.13-0.49) for bacterial peritonitis and 0.20 (95% CI = 0.09-0.37) for urinary tract infection. There was high heterogeneity between studies which was often reduced or eliminated in sensitivity analyses by excluding studies of patients with a mean or median model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score > 15. Results of sensitivity analyses were similar to those of overall analyses. Mean increase in serum creatinine level after pump insertion was 23 µmol/L (95% CI = 10-35) with no heterogeneity between studies. The pooled estimate rate for pump-related side effects was 0.77 (95% CI = 0.64-0.87) with low heterogeneity between studies.

CONCLUSION

This meta-analysis demonstrates that most patients treated with automated low-flow ascites pump therapy do not require LVP after pump insertion. Acute kidney injury occurs in 30% of patients and creatinine levels increase by a mean of 23 µmol/L after pump insertion. Bacterial peritonitis and urinary tract infection occur in 27% and 20% of patients respectively.

A 17-Beta-Hydroxysteroid Dehydrogenase 13 Variant Protects From Hepatocellular Carcinoma Development in Alcoholic Liver Disease

Recently, a loss of function variant (rs72613567) in 17-beta-hydroxysteroid dehydrogenase 13 (HSD17B13) has been identified as protective of nonalcoholic (NAFLD) and alcoholic liver disease (ALD). However, the role of this single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) in the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is currently unknown. A total of 3,315 European patients with HCC (n = 1,109) or without HCC, but with chronic liver disease (CLD; n = 2,206), from four centers were analyzed either by whole-exome sequencing (WES; exploratory cohort, 285 HCC) or genotyped for HSD17B13 rs72613567 (validation cohort, 824 HCC and all CLD). We included a control group of 33,337 healthy European individuals from the Exome Aggregation Consortium. We compared distribution of genotype using the chi-square test and logistic regression. In the exploratory cohort analyzed by WES, frequency of the TA allele of HSD17B13 rs72613567 was significantly decreased in HCC patients compared to healthy controls (P = 1.52 × 10^-06 ). In the validation cohort, frequency of TA allele carriers was also decreased in patients with CLD and without HCC (39%) compared to healthy individuals (47%; P < 0.0001). The protective effect of the TA allele of HSD17B13 rs72613567 was identified in patients with ALD (odds ratio [OR] = 0.73; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.65-0.82; P < 0.0001), NAFLD (OR = 0.64; 95% CI, 0.49-0.83; P = 0.0007), and hepatitis C (OR = 0.71; 95% CI, 0.60-0.85; P = 0.0002). In patients with ALD, the proportion of TA allele carriers with HCC was significantly lower (32%) than in CLD patients without HCC (40%), even after adjustment for age, sex, and fibrosis (OR = 0.64; 95% CI, 0.46-0.87; P = 0.005). Conclusion: The HSD17B13 rs72613567 loss of function variant is protective of HCC development in patients with ALD.

PNPLA3 and TM6SF2 variants as risk factors of hepatocellular carcinoma across various etiologies and severity of underlying liver diseases

Few single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) have been reproducibly associated with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Our aim was to test the association between nine SNPs and HCC occurrence. SNPs in genes linked to HCC (DEPDC5, GRIK1, KIF1B, STAT4, MICA, DLC1, DDX18) or to liver damage (PNPLA3-rs738409, TM6SF2-rs58542926) in GWAS were genotyped in discovery cohorts including 1,020 HCC, 2,021 controls with chronic liver disease and 2,484 healthy individuals and replication was performed in prospective cohorts of cirrhotic patients with alcoholic liver disease (ALD, n = 249) and hepatitis C (n = 268). In the discovery cohort, PNPLA3 and TM6SF2 SNPs were associated with HCC (OR = 1.67 [CI95%:1.16-2.40], p = 0.005; OR = 1.45 [CI95%:1.08-1.94], p = 0.01) after adjustment for fibrosis, age, gender and etiology. In contrast, STAT4-rs7574865 was associated with HCC only in HBV infected patients (p = 0.03) and the other tested SNP were not linked with HCC risk. PNPLA3 and TM6SF2 variants were independently associated with HCC in patients with ALD (OR = 3.91 [CI95%:2.52-6.06], p = 1.14E-09; OR = 1.79 [CI95%:1.25-2.56], p = 0.001) but not with other etiologies. PNPLA3 SNP was also significantly associated with HCC developed on a nonfibrotic liver (OR = 2.19 [CI95%:1.22-3.92], p = 0.007). The association of PNPLA3 and TM6SF2 with HCC risk was confirmed in the prospective cohort with ALD. A genetic score including PNPLA3 and TM6SF2 minor alleles showed a progressive significant increased risk of HCC in ALD patients. In conclusion, PNPLA3-rs738409 and TM6SF2-rs58542926 are inherited risk variants of HCC development in patients with ALD in a dose dependent manner. The link between PNPLA3 and HCC on nonfibrotic liver suggests a direct role in liver carcinogenesis.

Epidemiology and Elimination of HCV-Related Liver Disease

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, defined by active carriage of HCV RNA, affects nearly 1.0% of the worldwide population. The main risk factors include unsafe injection drug use and iatrogenic infections. Chronic HCV infection can promote liver damage, cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in affected individuals. The advent of new second-generation, direct-acting antiviral (DAA) agents allow a virological cure in more than 90% of treated patients, and therefore prevent HCV-related complications. Recently, concerns have been raised regarding the safety of DAA-regimens in cirrhotic patients with respect to the occurrence and the recurrence of HCC. Here, we review the current available data on HCV epidemiology, the beneficial effects of therapy, and discuss the recent controversy with respect to the potential link with liver cancer. We also highlight the challenges that have to be overcome to achieve the ambitious World Health Organization objective of HCV eradication by 2030.

The prognostic value of acute-on-chronic liver failure during the course of severe alcoholic hepatitis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

A better identification of factors predicting death is needed in alcoholic hepatitis (AH). Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) occurs during the course of liver disease and can be identified when AH is diagnosed (prevalent ACLF [pACLF]) or during follow-up (incidental ACLF [iACLF]). This study analyzed the impact of ACLF on outcomes in AH and the role of infection on the onset of ACLF and death.

METHODS

Patients admitted from July 2006 to July 2015 suffering from biopsy-proven severe (s)AH with a Maddrey discriminant function (mDF) ≥32 were included. Infectious episodes, ACLF, and mortality were assessed during a 168-day follow-up period. Results were validated on an independent cohort.

RESULTS

One hundred sixty-five patients were included. Mean mDF was 66.3 ± 20.7 and mean model for end-stage liver disease score was 26.8 ± 7.4. The 28-day cumulative incidence of death (CID) was 31% (95% CI 24-39%). Seventy-nine patients (47.9%) had pACLF. The 28-day CID without pACLF and with pACLF-1, pACLF-2, and pACLF-3 were 10.4% (95% CI 5.1-18.0), 30.8% (95% CI 14.3-49.0), 58.3% (95% CI 35.6-75.5), and 72.4% (95% CI 51.3-85.5), respectively, p <0.0001. Twenty-nine patients (17.5%) developed iACLF. The 28-day relative risk of death in patients developing iACLF was 41.87 (95% CI 5.2-335.1; p <0.001). A previous infection was the only independent risk factor for developing iACLF during the follow-up. Prevalence, incidence, and impact on prognosis of ACLF were confirmed in a validation cohort of 97 patients with probable sAH.

CONCLUSIONS

ACLF is frequent during the course of sAH and is associated with high mortality. Infection strongly predicts the development of ACLF in this setting.

LAY SUMMARY

In patients with chronic liver disease, an acute deterioration of liver function combined with single or multiple organ failures is known as acute-on-chronic liver failure. This study shows that acute-on-chronic liver failure is frequent during the course of severe alcoholic hepatitis. In severe alcoholic hepatitis, acute-on-chronic liver failure is associated with high mortality and frequently occurs after an infection.

Combination of Gene Expression Signature and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Score Predicts Survival of Patients With Severe Alcoholic Hepatitis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Patients with severe alcoholic hepatitis (AH) have a high risk of death within 90 days. Corticosteroids, which can cause severe adverse events, are the only treatment that increases short-term survival. It is a challenge to predict outcomes of patients with severe AH. Therefore, we developed a scoring system to predict patient survival, integrating baseline molecular and clinical variables.

METHODS

We obtained fixed liver biopsy samples from 71 consecutive patients diagnosed with severe AH and treated with corticosteroids from July 2006 through December 2013 in Brussels, Belgium (derivation cohort). Gene expression patterns were analyzed by microarrays and clinical data were collected for 180 days. We identified gene expression signatures and clinical data that are associated with survival without liver transplantation at 90 and 180 days after initiation of corticosteroid therapy. Findings were validated using liver biopsies from 48 consecutive patients with severe AH treated with corticosteroids, collected from March 2010 through February 2015 at hospitals in Belgium and Switzerland (validation cohort 1) and in liver biopsies from 20 patients (9 received corticosteroid treatment), collected from January 2012 through May 2015 in the United States (validation cohort 2).

RESULTS

We integrated data on expression patterns of 123 genes and the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores to assign patients to groups with poor survival (29% survived 90 days and 26% survived 180 days) and good survival (76% survived 90 days and 65% survived 180 days) (P < .001) in the derivation cohort. We named this assignment system the gene signature-MELD (gs-MELD) score. In validation cohort 1, the gs-MELD score discriminated patients with poor survival (43% survived 90 days) from those with good survival (96% survived 90 days) (P < .001). The gs-MELD score also discriminated between patients with a poor survival at 180 days (34% survived) and a good survival at 180 days (84% survived) (P < .001). The time-dependent area under the receiver operator characteristic curve for the score was 0.86 (95% confidence interval 0.73-0.99) for survival at 90 days, and 0.83 (95% confidence interval 0.71-0.96) for survival at 180 days. This score outperformed other clinical models to predict survival of patients with severe AH in validation cohort 1. In validation cohort 2, the gs-MELD discriminated patients with a poor survival at 90 days (12% survived) from those with a good survival at 90 days (100%) (P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

We integrated data on baseline liver gene expression pattern and the MELD score to create the gs-MELD scoring system, which identifies patients with severe AH, treated or not with corticosteroids, most and least likely to survive for 90 and 180 days.

Liver transplantation for alcoholic hepatitis: A systematic review with meta-analysis

Background

The rate of alcohol relapse among patients who underwent liver transplantation for alcoholic hepatitis (AH) is not precisely known.

Aim

Synthesize the available evidence on liver transplantation for AH to assess alcohol relapse and 6-month survival.

Methods

Meta-analysis of trials evaluating liver transplantation for AH, either clinically severe or diagnosed on the explant.

Results

Eleven studies were included. The pooled estimate rate for alcohol relapse was 0.22 (95% CI = 0.12–0.36) in overall analysis with high heterogeneity between studies (I² = 76%), 0.20 (95% CI = 0.07–0.43) in the subgroup analysis including patients with clinically severe AH (I² = 84%), 0.14 (95% CI = 0.08–0.23) among patients with clinically severe AH in sensitivity analysis excluding the discrepant studies that did not use stringent selection criteria for liver transplantation (I² = 0%), and 0.15 (95% CI = 0.07–0.27) for recurrent harmful alcohol consumption among patients with clinically severe AH (I² = 3%). The risk of alcohol relapse was not different between AH transplanted patients and patients with alcoholic cirrhosis who underwent elective liver transplantation in sensitivity analysis excluding the discrepant studies (OR = 1.68, 95%CI = 0.79–3.58, p = 0.2, I² = 16%). The pooled estimate rate for 6-month survival was 0.85 (95% CI = 0.77–0.91, I² = 49%), and 0.80 among patients transplanted for clinically severe AH (95% CI = 0.69–0.88, I² = 30%). AH transplanted patients had similar 6-month survival to patients with alcoholic cirrhosis who underwent elective liver transplantation (OR = 2.00, 95% CI = 0.95–4.23, p = 0.07, I² = 0%).

Conclusion

Using stringent selection criteria, 14% of patients with clinically severe AH have alcohol relapse after liver transplantation. The percentage of alcohol relapse of AH transplanted patients is similar than that of patients who underwent elective liver transplantation.

The Belgian Association for Study of the Liver Guidance Document on the Management of Adult and Paediatric Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD) is highly prevalent and associated with considerable liver-related and non-liverrelated morbidity and mortality. There is, however, a lot of uncertainty on how to handle NAFLD in clinical practice. The current guidance document, compiled under the aegis of the Belgian Association for the Study of the Liver by a panel of experts in NAFLD, from a broad range of different specialties, covers many questions encountered in daily clinical practice regarding diagnosis, screening, therapy and follow-up in adult and paediatric patients. Guidance statements in this document are based on the available evidence whenever possible. In case of absence of evidence or inconsistency of the data, guidance statements were formulated based on consensus of the expert panel. This guidance document is intended as a help for clinicians (general practitioners and all involved specialties) to implement the most recent evidence and insights in the field of NAFLD within a Belgian perspective.

Liver stiffness and platelet count for identifying patients with compensated liver disease at low risk of variceal bleeding

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The 2015 Baveno VI guidelines recommend against performing upper gastrointestinal endoscopy in patients with compensated cirrhosis who have a liver stiffness <20 kPa and a platelet count >150 000/mm³ because of a low prevalence of varices at risk of bleeding in this population. The aim was to synthesize the available evidence on the usefulness of the combined use of liver stiffness and platelet count to identify patients without oesophageal varices.

METHODS

Meta-analysis of trials evaluating the usefulness of a given cut-off for liver stiffness and platelet count to rule out the presence of oesophageal varices.

RESULTS

Fifteen studies were included. All studies excepting five used the Baveno VI criteria. Compared to patients with either high liver stiffness or low platelet count, those with low liver stiffness and normal platelet count had a lower risk of varices at risk of bleeding (OR=0.22, 95% CI=0.13-0.39, P<.001) with low heterogeneity between studies (I² =21%). They also had a lower risk of varices (OR=0.23, 95% CI=0.17-0.32, P<.001) with moderate heterogeneity between studies (I² =28%). In patients with low liver stiffness and normal platelet count, the pooled estimate rates for varices at risk of bleeding was 0.040 (95% CI=0.027-0.059) with low heterogeneity between studies (I² =3%).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with low liver stiffness and normal platelet count have a lower risk of varices than those with either high liver stiffness or low platelet count. Varices at risk of bleeding are found in no more than 4% of patients when liver stiffness is <20 kPa and platelet count is normal.

Contribution of PNPLA3 gene to the natural history of liver diseases

n 2008, a genome-wide association studies (GWAS) showed a strong association between a variant (rs738409 C>G p.I148M) in the PNPLA3 and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. Further replication studies have shown robust associations between PNPLA3 and steatosis, fibrosis/cirrhosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma on a background of metabolic, alcoholic, and viral insults. The PNPLA3 protein has lipase activity towards triglycerides in hepatocytes and retinyl esters in hepatic stellate cells. The I148M substitution leads to a loss of function promoting triglyceride accumulation in hepatocytes. Although PNPLA3 function has been extensively studied, the molecular mechanisms leading to hepatic fibrosis and carcinogenesis remain unclear. This unsuspected association has highlighted the fact that liver fat metabolism may have a major impact on the pathophysiology of liver disease. Conversely, alone, this locus may have limited predictive value with regard to liver disease outcomes in clinical practice. Additional studies at the genome-wide level will be required to identify new variants associated with liver damage and cancer to explain a greater proportion of the heritability of these phenotypes. Thus, incorporating PNPLA3 and other genetic variants in combination with clinical data will allow for the development of tailored predictive models. This attractive approach should be evaluated in prospective cohorts. (Acta gastroenterol. belg., 2017, 80, 43-51).

Alcohol intake increases the risk of HCC in hepatitis C virus-related compensated cirrhosis: A prospective study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Whether alcohol intake increases the risk of complications in patients with HCV-related cirrhosis remains unclear. The aim of this study was to determine the impact of alcohol intake and viral eradication on the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), decompensation of cirrhosis and death.

METHODS

Data on alcohol intake and viral eradication were prospectively collected in 192 patients with compensated HCV-related cirrhosis.

RESULTS

74 patients consumed alcohol (median alcohol intake: 15g/day); 68 reached viral eradication. During a median follow-up of 58months, 33 patients developed HCC, 53 experienced at least one decompensation event, and 39 died. The 5-year cumulative incidence rate of HCC was 10.6% (95% CI: 4.6-16.6) in abstainers vs. 23.8% (95% CI: 13.5-34.1) in consumers (p=0.087), and 2.0% (95% CI: 0-5.8) vs. 21.7% (95% CI: 14.2-29.2) in patients with and without viral eradication (p=0.002), respectively. The lowest risk of HCC was observed for patients without alcohol intake and with viral eradication (0%) followed by patients with alcohol intake and viral eradication (6.2% [95% CI: 0-18.4]), patients without alcohol intake and no viral eradication (15.9% [95% CI: 7.1-24.7]), and patients with alcohol intake and no viral eradication (29.2% [95% CI: 16.5-41.9]) (p=0.009). In multivariate analysis, lack of viral eradication and alcohol consumption were associated with the risk of HCC (hazard ratio for alcohol consumption: 3.43, 95% CI: 1.49-7.92, p=0.004). Alcohol intake did not influence the risk of decompensation or death.

CONCLUSIONS

Light-to-moderate alcohol intake increases the risk of HCC in patients with HCV-related cirrhosis. Patient care should include measures to ensure abstinence.

LAY SUMMARY

Whether alcohol intake increases the risk of complications in patients with HCV-related cirrhosis remains unclear. In this prospective study, light-to-moderate alcohol intake was associated with the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in multivariate analysis. No patients who did not use alcohol and who reached viral eradication developed hepatocellular carcinoma during follow-up. The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma increased with alcohol intake or in patients without viral eradication and was highest when alcohol intake was present in the absence of viral eradication. Patients with HCV-related cirrhosis should be strongly advised against any alcohol intake. Patient care should include measures to ensure abstinence.

Intensive Enteral Nutrition Is Ineffective for Patients With Severe Alcoholic Hepatitis Treated With Corticosteroids

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Severe alcoholic hepatitis (AH) is a life-threatening disease for which adequate oral nutritional support is recommended. We performed a randomized controlled trial to determine whether the combination of corticosteroid and intensive enteral nutrition therapy is more effective than corticosteroid therapy alone in patients with severe AH.

METHODS

We enrolled 136 heavy consumers of alcohol (age, 18-75 y) with recent onset of jaundice and biopsy-proven severe AH in our study, performed at 18 hospitals in Belgium and 2 in France, from February 2010 through February 2013. Subjects were assigned randomly (1:1) to groups that received either intensive enteral nutrition plus methylprednisolone or conventional nutrition plus methylprednisolone (controls). In the intensive enteral nutrition group, enteral nutrition was given via feeding tube for 14 days. The primary end point was patient survival for 6 months.

RESULTS

In an intention-to-treat analysis, we found no significant difference between groups in 6-month cumulative mortality: 44.4% of patients died in the intensive enteral nutrition group (95% confidence interval [CI], 32.2%-55.9%) and 52.1% of controls died (95% CI, 39.4%-63.4%) (P = .406). The enteral feeding tube was withdrawn prematurely from 48.5% of patients, and serious adverse events considered to be related to enteral nutrition occurred in 5 patients. Regardless of group, a greater proportion of patients with a daily calorie intake less than 21.5 kcal/kg/day died (65.8%; 95% CI, 48.8-78.4) than patients with a higher intake of calories (33.1%; 95% CI, 23.1%-43.4%) (P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

In a randomized trial of patients with severe AH treated with corticosteroids, we found that intensive enteral nutrition was difficult to implement and did not increase survival. However, low daily energy intake was associated with greater mortality, so adequate nutritional intake should be a main goal for treatment. ClinicalTrials.gov number: NCT01801332.

Systematic review with meta-analysis: self-expanding metal stents in patients with cirrhosis and severe or refractory oesophageal variceal bleeding

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of patients with cirrhosis and acute variceal bleeding is very poor when the standard-of-care fails to control bleeding. New treatment modalities are needed in these patients.

AIM

To synthesise the available evidence on the efficacy of self-expanding metal stents (SEMS) in patients with cirrhosis and severe or refractory oesophageal variceal bleeding.

METHODS

Meta-analysis of trials evaluating SEMS in patients with cirrhosis and severe or refractory oesophageal variceal bleeding.

RESULTS

Thirteen studies were included. The pooled estimate rates were 0.40 (95% confidence interval, CI = 0.31-0.49) for death, 0.41 (95% CI = 0.29-0.53) for liver-related death and 0.36 (95% CI = 0.26-0.47) for death at day 30, with low heterogeneity between studies. The pooled estimate rates were 0.12 (95% CI = 0.07-0.21) for mortality related to variceal bleeding, and 0.18 (95% CI = 0.11-0.29) for failure to control bleeding with SEMS, with no or low heterogeneity between studies. The pooled estimate rate were 0.16 (95% CI = 0.04-0.48) for rebleeding after stent removal and 0.28 (95% CI = 0.17-0.43) for stent migration, with high heterogeneity. A significant proportion of patients had access to liver transplantation or to TIPSS [pooled estimate rate 0.10 (95% CI = 0.04-0.21) and 0.26 (95% CI = 0.18-0.36), respectively].

CONCLUSIONS

Fewer than 40% of patients treated with SEMS were dead at 1 month. SEMS can be used as a bridge to TIPSS or to liver transplantation in a significant proportion of patients. Additional studies are required to identify potential risk factors leading to a poor prognosis in patients with acute variceal bleeding in whom the use of SEMS could be considered.

Transient elastography using Fibroscan is the most reliable noninvasive method for the diagnosis of advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in alcoholic liver disease

OBJECTIVE

Fibroscan (FS) is a reliable noninvasive method for the diagnosis of advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in chronic liver disease. However, there is no clear consensus with respect to the best FS cut-off values for use in alcoholic liver disease (ALD). The aims of this study were as follows: (a) to compare the performance of FS and different biochemical markers in ALD patients; (b) to assess the best FS cut-off values for the prediction of fibrosis stage in our ALD population; and (c) to assess the influence of aspartate aminotransferase (AST) values on FS.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This retrospective study included 135 consecutive and compensated ALD patients who underwent liver biopsy between November 2006 and March 2012 at Erasme Hospital. FS, Fibrotest, FIB-4, aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI), and Forns' scores were tested in all patients.

RESULTS

The diagnostic accuracy of FS was 0.89 (95% confidence interval: 0.83-0.95) for the diagnosis of advanced fibrosis and 0.93 (95% confidence interval 0.90-0.97) for the diagnosis of cirrhosis. FS performed better than Fibrotest (0.81 and 0.88), APRI (0.65 and 0.75), Forns' (0.64 and 0.78), and FIB-4 (0.70 and 0.73). The optimal cut-off values of liver stiffness (LS) for predicting METAVIR fibrosis stage F≥3 and F4 disease were 10.3 and 18.0 kPa, respectively. AST showed a significant positive correlation with LS (r=0.24, P=0.001). However, exclusion of patients with AST more than 50 IU/l only lowered the LS cut-off for the diagnosis of F4 (14 vs. 18.0 kPa).

CONCLUSION

FS is currently the most reliable noninvasive method for the diagnosis of advanced liver fibrosis and cirrhosis in ALD.

Combining Data From Liver Disease Scoring Systems Better Predicts Outcomes of Patients With Alcoholic Hepatitis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Several models have been used to determine prognoses of patients with alcoholic hepatitis. These include static systems (the Maddrey discriminant function; age, bilirubin, international normalized ratio, creatinine [ABIC] score; and model for end-stage liver disease [MELD] score) and dynamic models (the Lille model). We aimed to combine features of all of these models to develop a better method to predict outcomes of patients with alcoholic hepatitis.

METHODS

We collected data from several databases of patients with severe alcoholic hepatitis treated with corticosteroids in France and the United Kingdom to create a model to predict patient survival (derivation cohort, n = 538 patients). We compared the performances of 3 joint-effect models (Maddrey+Lille, MELD+Lille, and ABIC+Lille) to determine which combination had the best prognostic value, based on known patient outcomes. The model was validated using data from trials of the effects of corticosteroids in patients in the United States, France, Korea, and Belgium (n = 604 patients).

RESULTS

We created a joint-effect model to predict patient survival after 2 and 6 months; in the derivation and validation cohorts it predicted outcome significantly better than either static or dynamic models alone (P < .01 for all comparisons). The joint model accurately predicted patient survival regardless of patient risk level. The MELD+Lille combination was better than the Maddrey+Lille or ABIC+Lille combination in predicting patient survival, with Akaike information criterion values of 1305, 1313, and 1312, respectively. For example, based on the MELD+Lille combination model, the predicted 6-month mortality of complete responders with MELD scores of 15-45 (Lille score, 0.16) was 8.5% to 49.7%, compared with 16.4%-75.2% for nonresponders (Lille score, 0.45). According to the joint-effect model, for 2 patients with the same baseline MELD score of 21, the patient with a Lille score of 0.45 had a 1.9-fold higher risk of death than the patient with a Lille score of 0.16 (23.7% vs 12.5%).

CONCLUSIONS

By combining results from static and dynamic scoring systems for liver disease, we can better predict outcomes of patients with alcoholic hepatitis, compared with either model alone. This may help patient management and design of clinical trials.

The use of beta-blockers is associated with the occurrence of acute kidney injury in severe alcoholic hepatitis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The beneficial effect of nonselective beta-blockers (NSBB) has recently been questioned in patients with end-stage cirrhosis. We analysed the impact of NSBB on outcomes in severe alcoholic hepatitis (AH).

METHODS

This study was based on a prospective database of patients with severe, biopsy-proven AH. Patients admitted from July, 2006 to July, 2014 were retrospectively studied. Patients were divided into two groups (with and without NSBB) and assessed for the occurrence of Acute Kidney Injury (AKI) and transplant-free mortality during a 168-day follow-up period.

RESULTS

One hundred thirty-nine patients were included, the mean Maddrey score was 71 ± 34 and 86 patients (61.9%) developed AKI. Forty-eight patients (34.5%) received NSBB. The overall 168-day transplant-free mortality was 50.5% (95%CI, 41.3-60.0%). The overall 168-day cumulative incidence of AKI was 61.9% (95%CI, 53.2-69.4%). When compared, patients with NSBB had a lower heart rate (65 ± 13 vs 92 ± 12, P < 0.0001) and a lower mean arterial pressure (MAP, 78 ± 3 vs 87 ± 5, P < 0.0001). Patients with NSBB had comparable MELD scores, Maddrey scores, and medical histories. The 168-day transplant-free mortality was 56.8% (95%CI, 41.3-69.7%) in patients with NSBB and 46.7% (95%CI, 35.0-57.6%) without NSBB (P = 0.25). The 168-day cumulative incidence of AKI was 89.6% (95%CI, 74.9-95.9%) with NSBB compared to 50.4% (95%CI: 39.0-60.7) for no NSBB (P = 0.0001). The independent factors predicting AKI were a higher MELD score and the presence of NSBB.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of NSBB in patients with severe AH is independently associated with a higher cumulative incidence of AKI.

PNPLA3 genetic variation in alcoholic steatosis and liver disease progression

Alcoholic liver disease (ALD) accounts for the majority of chronic liver diseases in Western countries, and alcoholic cirrhosis is among the premier causes of liver failure, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and liver-related mortality causes. Studies in different genders and ethnic groups, as well as in twins provide strong evidence for a significant contribution of host genetic factors to liver disease development in drinkers. The intense quest for genetic modifiers of alcohol-induced fibrosis progression have identified and repeatedly confirmed a genetic polymorphism in the gene coding for patatin-like phospholipase domain-containing 3 (PNPLA3; adiponutrin; rs738409 C/G, M148I) as a risk factor for alcoholic cirrhosis and its related complication, HCC, in different populations. Although carriership of one or both mutated PNPLA3 alleles does not explain the entire liver phenotypic variability in drinkers, it clearly represents one of the strongest single genetic modulators in a complex trait such as ALD. As more genetic data supporting its important role aggregates, novel insight as to PNPLA3's function and that of its genetic variation in liver injury is unveiled pointing to an important novel pathway in alcohol-mediated hepatic lipid turnover with strong implications on inflammation, extra cellular matrix remodelling, and hepatocarcinogenesis. Future study shall decipher whether the gathered knowledge can be translated into therapeutic benefits of patients.

Association between the PNPLA3 (rs738409 C>G) variant and hepatocellular carcinoma: Evidence from a meta-analysis of individual participant data

The incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increasing in Western countries. Although several clinical factors have been identified, many individuals never develop HCC, suggesting a genetic susceptibility. However, to date, only a few single-nucleotide polymorphisms have been reproducibly shown to be linked to HCC onset. A variant (rs738409 C>G, encoding for p.I148M) in the PNPLA3 gene is associated with liver damage in chronic liver diseases. Interestingly, several studies have reported that the minor rs738409[G] allele is more represented in HCC cases in chronic hepatitis C (CHC) and alcoholic liver disease (ALD). However, a significant association with HCC related to CHC has not been consistently observed, and the strength of the association between rs738409 and HCC remains unclear. We performed a meta-analysis of individual participant data including 2,503 European patients with cirrhosis to assess the association between rs738409 and HCC, particularly in ALD and CHC. We found that rs738409 was strongly associated with overall HCC (odds ratio [OR] per G allele, additive model=1.77; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.42-2.19; P=2.78 × 10(-7) ). This association was more pronounced in ALD (OR=2.20; 95% CI: 1.80-2.67; P=4.71 × 10(-15) ) than in CHC patients (OR=1.55; 95% CI: 1.03-2.34; P=3.52 × 10(-2) ). After adjustment for age, sex, and body mass index, the variant remained strongly associated with HCC.

CONCLUSION

Overall, these results suggest that rs738409 exerts a marked influence on hepatocarcinogenesis in patients with cirrhosis of European descent and provide a strong argument for performing further mechanistic studies to better understand the role of PNPLA3 in HCC development.

Correction of all-trans retinoic acid deficiency in alcoholic cirrhosis lessens the excessive inflammatory monocyte response: a translational study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Patients with alcoholic liver disease (ALD) have vitamin A (VA) deficiency and an enhanced immune response associated with disease severity. All-trans retinoic acid (ATRA), a VA-active metabolite, has anti-inflammatory effects and its deficiency could contribute to the exacerbated proinflammatory reaction. The aim of this study was to investigate the effects of ATRA/VA deficiency and supplementation on the monocyte response in ALD.

METHODS

Vitamin A and ATRA plasma levels were quantified in ALD patients and healthy subjects (HS). The in vitro effect of ATRA on lipopolysaccharide (LPS)-induced TNF-α production by human peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) was assessed by ELISA and RT-PCR. The activation pattern of peritoneal macrophages (PerMΦ) and circulating monocytes isolated from VA-deficient mice and ALD patients, respectively, was evaluated by flow cytometry, quantification of TNF-α and NO2 production.

RESULTS

Alcoholic liver disease patients (n = 85) showed plasmatic VA deficiency that was correlated with scores of severity and with the hepatic venous pressure gradient. ATRA levels correlated significantly with VA levels. In vitro, ATRA pretreatment decreased the overproduction of TNF-α by LPS-stimulated PBMC of ALD patients. In vivo, VA deficiency in mice was associated with increased activation of PerMΦ, while oral ATRA supplementation normalized it.

CONCLUSION

For the first time, we show that VA/ATRA deficiencies in ALD patients are associated with disease severity. Furthermore, our data strongly suggest that the VA deficiency observed in ALD patients might participate in the pathophysiology of the disease by priming immune cells, and that ATRA supplementation could downregulate the deleterious proinflammatory state in cirrhosis and might thus be of therapeutic use.