Association between stringency of lockdown measures and emergency department visits during the COVID-19 pandemic: A Dutch multicentre study

INTRODUCTION

The COVID-19 outbreak disrupted regular health care, including the Emergency Department (ED), and resulted in insufficient ICU capacity. Lockdown measures were taken to prevent disease spread and hospital overcrowding. Little is known about the relationship of stringency of lockdown measures on ED utilization.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to compare the frequency and characteristics of ED visits during the COVID-19 outbreak in 2020 to 2019, and their relation to stringency of lockdown measures.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A retrospective multicentre study among five Dutch hospitals was performed. The primary outcome was the absolute number of ED visits (year 2018 and 2019 compared to 2020). Secondary outcomes were age, sex, triage category, way of transportation, referral, disposition, and treating medical specialty. The relation between stringency of lockdown measures, measured with the Oxford Stringency Index (OSI) and number and characteristics of ED visits was analysed.

RESULTS

The total number of ED visits in the five hospitals in 2019 was 165,894, whereas the total number of visits in 2020 was 135,762, which was a decrease of 18.2% (range per hospital: 10.5%-30.7%). The reduction in ED visits was greater during periods of high stringency lockdown measures, as indicated by OSI.

CONCLUSION

The number of ED visits in the Netherlands has significantly dropped during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic, with a clear association between decreasing ED visits and increasing lockdown measures. The OSI could be used as an indicator in the management of ED visits during a future pandemic.

Towards clinical implementation of an AI-algorithm for detection of cervical spine fractures on computed tomography

BACKGROUND

Artificial intelligence (AI) applications can facilitate detection of cervical spine fractures on CT and reduce time to diagnosis by prioritizing suspected cases.

PURPOSE

To assess the effect on time to diagnose cervical spine fractures on CT and diagnostic accuracy of a commercially available AI application.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this study (June 2020 - March 2022) with historic controls and prospective evaluation, we evaluated regulatory-cleared AI-software to prioritize cervical spine fractures on CT. All patients underwent non-contrast CT of the cervical spine. The time between CT acquisition and the moment the scan was first opened (DNT) was compared between the retrospective and prospective cohorts. The reference standard for determining diagnostic accuracy was the radiology report created in routine clinical workflow and adjusted by a senior radiologist. Discrepant cases were reviewed and clinical relevance of missed fractures was determined.

RESULTS

2973 (mean age, 55.4 ± 19.7 [standard deviation]; 1857 men) patients were analyzed by AI, including 2036 retrospective and 938 prospective cases. Overall prevalence of cervical spine fractures was 7.6 %. The DNT was 18 % (5 min) shorter in the prospective cohort. In scans positive for cervical spine fracture according to the reference standard, DNT was 46 % (16 min) shorter in the prospective cohort. Overall sensitivity of the AI application was 89.8 % (95 % CI: 84.2-94.0 %), specificity was 95.3 % (95 % CI: 94.2-96.2 %), and diagnostic accuracy was 94.8 % (95 % CI: 93.8-95.8 %). Negative predictive value was 99.1 % (95 % CI: 98.5-99.4 %) and positive predictive value was 63.0 % (95 % CI: 58.0-67.8 %). 22 fractures were missed by AI of which 5 required stabilizing therapy.

CONCLUSION

A time gain of 16 min to diagnosis for fractured cases was observed after introducing AI. Although AI-assisted workflow prioritization of cervical spine fractures on CT shows high diagnostic accuracy, clinically relevant cases were missed.

Effect of helmet use on maxillofacial injuries due to bicycle and scooter accidents: a systematic literature review and meta-analysis

Maxillofacial injury is a common injury resulting from bicycle (including e-bike) and scooter accidents. With 80,000 admissions to emergency departments in 2019, bicycle accidents account for more than half of all traffic-related emergency department visits in the Netherlands. The United States reports approximately 130,000 injuries and 1000 fatalities related to cycling annually. This systematic review and meta-analysis was performed to examine the protective effect of helmets against maxillofacial injuries resulting from bicycle and scooter (including e-bike and e-scooter) accidents. After a systematic literature search, 14 studies were found to be eligible for this systematic review. Of these, 11 were included in the meta-analysis. None of the included studies focused on vehicles with motors (e-bikes and e-scooters); all focused only on non-motorized vehicles. All included studies were non-randomized, which could have led to bias in the pooled results. Data from the included studies were tested for heterogeneity using the binary random-effects model (DerSimonian-Laird method), and the odds ratio for the occurrence of maxillofacial injury in cyclists wearing a helmet versus those not wearing a helmet was calculated by random-effects meta-analysis. Patients who had worn a helmet suffered significantly fewer maxillofacial injuries than patients who had not, in bicycle accidents (odds ratio 0.682). In conclusion, wearing a helmet has a significant protective effect against maxillofacial injury, indicating the need for strict helmet legislation.

Cardiac Rhythm Changes During Transfer from the Emergency Medical Service to the Emergency Department: A Retrospective Tertiary Single-Center Analysis on Prevalence and Outcomes

BACKGROUND

Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is a leading cause of death worldwide. Cardiac rhythms of OHCA patients can change during transportation and transfer from emergency medical services (EMS) to the emergency department (ED).

OBJECTIVE

Our objective was to study the prevalence of cardiac rhythm changes during transfer from the EMS to the ED in OHCA patients and the possible association with clinical outcomes.

METHODS

We retrospectively studied adult OHCA patients admitted to the ED between January 2017 and December 2019. The primary outcome was the incidence of cardiac rhythm changes during transfer from EMS to the ED. Secondary outcomes were: ED survival, intensive care unit survival, hospital survival, and maximum Glasgow Coma Scale score during admission.

RESULTS

We included 625 patients, of whom there were 49 (7.8%) in the rhythm change group and 576 in the no rhythm change group. ED survival was significantly lower in the rhythm change group (26.5%) vs. the no rhythm change group (78.5%, p < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Cardiac rhythm changes can occur in OHCA patients during transfer from EMS to the ED. Our results showed some evidence that these changes are associated with a lower ED survival.

Affective Symptoms and Oropharyngeal Dysphagia in Head-and-Neck Cancer Patients: A Systematic Review

Oropharyngeal dysphagia (OD) is a high impact morbidity in head-and-neck cancer (HNC) patients. A wide variety of instruments are developed to screen for affective symptoms and OD. The current paper aims to systematically review and appraise the literature to obtain insight into the prevalence, strength, and causal direction of the relationship between affective symptoms and OD in HNC patients. This review was conducted in accordance with the PRISMA statement. A systematic search of the literature was performed using PubMed, PsycINFO, Cochrane, and Embase. All available publications reporting on the relationship between affective conditions and swallowing function in HNC patients were included. Conference papers, tutorials, reviews, and studies with less than 5 patients were excluded. Fifteen studies met the inclusion criteria. The level of evidence and methodological quality were assessed using the ABC-rating scale and QualSyst critical appraisal tool. Eleven studies reported a positive relationship between affective symptoms and OD. The findings of this paper highlight the importance of affective symptom screening in dysphagic HNC patients as clinically relevant affective symptoms and OD seems to be prevalent and coincident in this population. Considering the impact of affective symptoms and OD on patients' daily life, early detection and an integrated interdisciplinary approach are recommended. However, due to the heterogeneity of study designs, outcomes, and outcome measures, the generalization of study results is limited.

COVID outcome prediction in the emergency department (COPE): using retrospective Dutch hospital data to develop simple and valid models for predicting mortality and need for intensive care unit admission in patients who present at the emergency department with suspected COVID-19

OBJECTIVES

Develop simple and valid models for predicting mortality and need for intensive care unit (ICU) admission in patients who present at the emergency department (ED) with suspected COVID-19.

DESIGN

Retrospective.

SETTING

Secondary care in four large Dutch hospitals.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients who presented at the ED and were admitted to hospital with suspected COVID-19. We used 5831 first-wave patients who presented between March and August 2020 for model development and 3252 second-wave patients who presented between September and December 2020 for model validation.

OUTCOME MEASURES

We developed separate logistic regression models for in-hospital death and for need for ICU admission, both within 28 days after hospital admission. Based on prior literature, we considered quickly and objectively obtainable patient characteristics, vital parameters and blood test values as predictors. We assessed model performance by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and by calibration plots.

RESULTS

Of 5831 first-wave patients, 629 (10.8%) died within 28 days after admission. ICU admission was fully recorded for 2633 first-wave patients in 2 hospitals, with 214 (8.1%) ICU admissions within 28 days. A simple model-COVID outcome prediction in the emergency department (COPE)-with age, respiratory rate, C reactive protein, lactate dehydrogenase, albumin and urea captured most of the ability to predict death. COPE was well calibrated and showed good discrimination for mortality in second-wave patients (AUC in four hospitals: 0.82 (95% CI 0.78 to 0.86); 0.82 (95% CI 0.74 to 0.90); 0.79 (95% CI 0.70 to 0.88); 0.83 (95% CI 0.79 to 0.86)). COPE was also able to identify patients at high risk of needing ICU admission in second-wave patients (AUC in two hospitals: 0.84 (95% CI 0.78 to 0.90); 0.81 (95% CI 0.66 to 0.95)).

CONCLUSIONS

COPE is a simple tool that is well able to predict mortality and need for ICU admission in patients who present to the ED with suspected COVID-19 and may help patients and doctors in decision making.

Medically Unexplained Oropharyngeal Dysphagia at the University Hospital ENT Outpatient Clinic for Dysphagia: A Cross-Sectional Cohort Study

Medically unexplained oropharyngeal dysphagia (MUNOD) is a rare condition. It presents without demonstrable abnormalities in the anatomy of the upper aero-digestive tract and/or swallowing physiology. This study investigates whether MUNOD is related to affective or other psychiatric conditions. The study included patients with dysphagic complaints who had no detectible structural or physiological abnormalities upon swallowing examination. Patients with any underlying disease or disorder that could explain the oropharyngeal dysphagia were excluded. All patients underwent a standardized examination protocol, with FEES examination, the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS), and the Dysphagia Severity Scale (DSS). Two blinded judges scored five different FEES variables. None of the 14 patients included in this study showed any structural or physiological abnormalities during FEES examination. However, the majority did show abnormal piecemeal deglutition, which could be a symptom of MUNOD. Six patients (42.8%) had clinically relevant symptoms of anxiety and/or depression. The DSS scores did not differ significantly between patients with and without affective symptoms. Affective symptoms are common in patients with MUNOD, and their psychiatric conditions could possibly be related to their swallowing problems.

Affective symptoms in patients with oropharyngeal dysphagia: A systematic review

OBJECTIVE

Affective disorders are prevalent in different somatic conditions and influence somatic symptom bother and quality of life. Mood and anxiety disorders impact patients' compliance and adherence to treatment. This systematic review summarizes published studies on affective complaints in patients with oropharyngeal dysphagia (OD) in order to determine the quality of studies concerning any association of OD with symptoms of depression and/or anxiety.

METHODS

A literature search was carried out using electronic databases Embase, Medline, Web-of-science, PsycINFO, Cochrane Library, and Google scholar. Two reviewers made the preselecting cut by screening all articles on title and abstract and independently screened the full texts of this initial set of articles. Methodological quality of the studies that met the inclusion criteria was assessed independently.

RESULTS

Twenty-six articles were included in the analysis after full-text screening and by applying the inclusion and exclusion criteria. All studies concluded that symptoms of depression were associated with impaired swallowing function, and 9 out of 12 studies concluded that symptoms of anxiety were associated with functional impairment of swallowing. The reviewers found heterogeneous outcomes and methodological limitations, which prevented data from pooling.

CONCLUSION

Although no meta-analytic conclusions can be drawn, it appears that symptoms of anxiety and depression are common in OD. Caregivers have to be aware of this in order to detect affective comorbidity. Given that affective conditions influence patients' treatment adherence and compliance, integrated care approaches should be advocated in case of comorbidity. Studies on treatment effect are lacking and well-designed prospective research is needed.

The relationship between fiberoptic endoscopic evaluation of swallowing outcome and symptoms of anxiety and depression in dysphagic patients

OBJECTIVES/HYPOTHESIS

Affective complaints are involved in bothersome oropharyngeal dysphagia (OD). The aim was to determine the relationship between the severity of OD and affective symptoms.

STUDY DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

METHODS

One hundred seven patients underwent a standardized examination protocol including the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale and fiberoptic endoscopic evaluation of swallowing (FEES). Two observers independently assessed patient performance on four ordinal FEES-variables (for thin and thick liquid consistency, blindly assessed). The relationship between FEES outcome and the presence of clinically relevant symptoms of anxiety and depression was analyzed using binary logistic regression.

RESULTS

Significant associations were found between clinically relevant symptoms of anxiety and two variables: piecemeal deglutition (thin liquid consistency only) (P = .026) and postswallow vallecular pooling (thick liquid consistency only) (P = .015). The probability of presenting with anxiety symptoms decreased as the severity of piecemeal deglutition and postswallow vallecular pooling increased. No significant association was found between clinically relevant symptoms of depression and any specific FEES variable.

CONCLUSIONS

These data revealed few associations between anxiety symptoms and the measured FEES variables. However, the more severe the score on FEES variables, the less important the affective complaints were. Anxiety seems to play a role in OD, but no causal relationship was found, commensurate with a cross-sectional study design. The contribution of affective symptoms to the development and treatment of OD warrants longitudinal research.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

2b Laryngoscope, 126:E199-E207, 2016.

Symptoms of anxiety and depression assessed with the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale in patients with oropharyngeal dysphagia

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the present study is to determine the presence and severity of symptoms of anxiety and depression in patients with oropharyngeal dysphagia who visit the outpatient clinic for dysphagia.

METHODS

Symptoms of anxiety and depression (affective symptoms) were prospectively assessed in 96 patients using the validated Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale. In addition, all patients underwent a standardized examination protocol used for regular healthcare in the outpatient setting for dysphagia. The protocol included the following: otorhinolaryngological examination, logopedic observation of oral intake, fiber optic endoscopic evaluation of swallowing, videofluoroscopy of swallowing, the Functional Oral Intake Scale, a dysphagia severity scale, and the M.D. Anderson Dysphagia Inventory. Depending on the presence/absence of symptoms of anxiety and depression, several groups were distinguished. Descriptive statistics and the Mann-Whitney U test were used to test for group differences. Logistic regression models were used to identify factors associated with symptoms of anxiety and/or depression (cut-off score >8).

RESULTS

Clinically relevant symptoms of anxiety were observed in 37% (N=34) and clinically relevant symptoms of depression in 32.6% (N=31) of the present patient population, with 21.3% having symptoms of both anxiety and depression. In total, 47.3% (N=43) of this population showed affective symptoms.

CONCLUSION

Given that psychological burden can enhance somatic complaints, the high number of patients suffering from affective symptoms is a relevant clinical outcome in dysphagic patients. The contribution of anxiety or depression to the development or worsening of oropharyngeal dysphagia and their role in interdisciplinary treatment strategy is warranting further research.