Identifying Key Drivers of the Impact of an HIV Cure Intervention in Sub-Saharan Africa

BACKGROUND

It is unknown what properties would be required to make an intervention in low income countries that can eradicate or control human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) without antiretroviral therapy (ART) cost-effective.

METHODS

We used a model of HIV and ART to investigate the effect of introducing an ART-free viral suppression intervention in 2022 using Zimbabwe as an example country. We assumed that the intervention (cost: $500) would be accessible for 90% of the population, be given to those receiving effective ART, have sufficient efficacy to allow ART interruption in 95%, with a rate of viral rebound of 5% per year in the first 3 months, and a 50% decline in rate with each successive year.

RESULTS

An ART-free viral suppression intervention with these properties would result in >0.53 million disability-adjusted-life-years averted over 2022-2042, with a reduction in HIV program costs of $300 million (8.7% saving). An intervention of this efficacy costing anything up to $1400 is likely to be cost-effective in this setting.

CONCLUSIONS

Interventions aimed at curing HIV infection have the potential to improve overall disease burden and to reduce costs. Given the effectiveness and cost of ART, such interventions would have to be inexpensive and highly effective.

Correlates of preserved CD4(+) T cell homeostasis during natural, nonpathogenic simian immunodeficiency virus infection of sooty mangabeys: implications for AIDS pathogenesis

In contrast to HIV-infected humans, naturally SIV-infected sooty mangabeys (SMs) very rarely progress to AIDS. Although the mechanisms underlying this disease resistance are unknown, a consistent feature of natural SIV infection is the absence of the generalized immune activation associated with HIV infection. To define the correlates of preserved CD4(+) T cell counts in SMs, we conducted a cross-sectional immunological study of 110 naturally SIV-infected SMs. The nonpathogenic nature of the infection was confirmed by an average CD4(+) T cell count of 1,076 +/- 589/mm(3) despite chronic infection with a highly replicating virus. No correlation was found between CD4(+) T cell counts and either age (used as a surrogate marker for length of infection) or viremia. The strongest correlates of preserved CD4(+) T cell counts were a low percentage of circulating effector T cells (CD28(-)CD95(+) and/or IL-7R/CD127(-)) and a high percentage of CD4(+)CD25(+) T cells. These findings support the hypothesis that the level of immune activation is a key determinant of CD4(+) T cell counts in SIV-infected SMs. Interestingly, we identified 14 animals with CD4(+) T cell counts of <500/mm(3), of which two show severe and persistent CD4(+) T cell depletion (<50/mm(3)). Thus, significant CD4(+) T cell depletion does occasionally follow SIV infection of SMs even in the context of generally low levels of immune activation, lending support to the hypothesis of multifactorial control of CD4(+) T cell homeostasis in this model of infection. The absence of AIDS in these "CD4(low)" naturally SIV-infected SMs defines a protective role of the reduced immune activation even in the context of a significant CD4(+) T cell depletion.

Chronic morphine exposure causes pronounced virus replication in cerebral compartment and accelerated onset of AIDS in SIV/SHIV-infected Indian rhesus macaques

Six morphine-exposed and 3 control male Indian rhesus macaques were intravenously inoculated with mixture of SHIV(KU), SHIV(89.6)P and SIV/17E-Fr. These animals were followed for a period of 56 weeks in order to determine CD4 and CD8 profile, viral loads in plasma and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), relative distribution of 3 pathogenic viruses in blood and brain, binding as well neutralizing antibody levels and cellular immune responses. Both morphine-exposed and control macaques showed a precipitous loss of CD4+ T cells; control animals, however, showed a greater tendency to recover these cells than did their morphine-exposed counterparts. The plasma and CSF viral loads were significantly higher in morphine-exposed group than those in the control group. Four morphine-exposed animals succumbed to SIV/SHIV-induced AIDS at week 18, 19, 20 and 51; post-infection with neurological disorders was found in 3 of the 4 animals. At the end of the 56-week observation period, 2 morphine-exposed and 3 control animals were still alive. All 3 viruses replicated in the blood of both morphine-exposed and control macaques, but the cerebral compartment showed a selection phenomenon; only SIV/17E-Fr and SHIV(KU) successfully crossed the blood brain barrier (BBB). The morphine-exposed macaques further favored viral migration through the blood brain barrier (BBB). SIV/17E-Fr crossed the BBB within 2 weeks in both morphine-exposed and control macaques, whereas SHIV(KU) crossed the BBB more rapidly in morphine-exposed than in control macaques. Three morphine-exposed macaques (euthanized at weeks 18, 19 and 20) did not develop cellular or humoral immune responses, whereas the other 3 morphine-exposed and 3 control macaques developed both cellular and humoral immune responses.

Increased viral replication in simian immunodeficiency virus/simian-HIV-infected macaques with self-administering model of chronic alcohol consumption

Alcohol abuse constitutes a major cohort among HIV-infected individuals. The precise effect of alcohol addiction on HIV pathogenesis remains inconclusive, however. This study was designed to determine the effect of alcohol dependence on virus replication and CD4 profiles in simian immunodeficiency virus/simian-HIV-infected rhesus macaques. A group of 3 male Indian rhesus macaques was adapted to a self-drinking model of alcohol consumption, whereas another group of 3 macaques was provided a Nutrasweet solution. After 7 weeks of alcohol consumption, the alcohol-dependent animals along with controls were intravenously inoculated with a mixture of SHIV(KU), SHIV(89.6)P, and SIV/17E-Fr. These animals were followed for a period of 24 weeks for complete blood cell counts, CD4 cell profiles, and viral loads in the blood and cerebral compartments. The alcohol and control groups showed comparable peak viral loads in the blood. The plasma viral load in the alcohol group was 31- to 85-fold higher than that in the control group at weeks 18 through 24 after infection, however. The pattern of cerebrospinal fluid viral replication was also comparable during the acute phase; however, the virus continued to replicate in the brain of alcohol-dependent animals, whereas it became undetectable in the controls. The extent of CD4 cell loss in the alcohol group was significantly higher than that in the control animals at week 1 after infection.

Molecular epidemiology of simian immunodeficiency virus SIVsm in U.S. primate centers unravels the origin of SIVmac and SIVstm

Retrospective molecular epidemiology was performed on samples from four sooty mangabey (SM) colonies in the United States to characterize simian immunodeficiency virus SIVsm diversity in SMs and to trace virus circulation among different primate centers (PCs) over the past 30 years. The following SIVsm sequences were collected from different monkeys: 55 SIVsm isolates from the Tulane PC sampled between 1984 and 2004, 10 SIVsm isolates from the Yerkes PC sampled in 2002, 7 SIVsm isolates from the New Iberia PC sampled between 1979 and 1986, and 8 SIVsm isolates from the California PC sampled between 1975 and 1977. PCR and sequencing were done to characterize the gag, pol, and env gp36 genes. Phylogenetic analyses were correlated with the epidemiological data. Our analysis identified nine different divergent phylogenetic lineages that cocirculated in these four SM colonies in the Unites States in the past 30 years. Lineages 1 to 5 have been identified previously. Two of the newly identified SIVsm lineages found in SMs are ancestral to SIVmac251/SIVmac239/SIVmne and SIVstm. We further identified the origin of these two macaque viruses in SMs from the California National Primate Research Center. The diversity of SIVsm isolates in PCs in the United States mirrors that of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) group M subtypes and offers a model for the molecular epidemiology of HIV and a new approach to vaccine testing. The cocirculation of divergent SIVsm strains in PCs resulted in founder effects, superinfections, and recombinations. This large array of SIVsm strains showing the same magnitude of diversity as HIV-1 group M subtypes should be extremely useful for modeling the efficacy of vaccination strategies under the real-world conditions of HIV-1 diversity. The genetic variability of SIVsm strains among PCs may influence the diagnosis and monitoring of SIVsm infection and, consequently, may bias the results of pathogenesis studies.

Modulation by morphine of viral set point in rhesus macaques infected with simian immunodeficiency virus and simian-human immunodeficiency virus

Six rhesus macaques were adapted to morphine dependence by injecting three doses of morphine (5 mg/kg of body weight) for a total of 20 weeks. These animals along with six control macaques were infected intravenously with mixture of simian-human immunodeficiency virus KU-1B (SHIV(KU-1B)), SHIV(89.6P), and simian immunodeficiency virus 17E-Fr. Levels of circulating CD4(+) T cells and viral loads in the plasma and the cerebrospinal fluid were monitored in these macaques for a period of 12 weeks. Both morphine and control groups showed precipitous loss of CD4(+) T cells. However this loss was more prominent in the morphine group at week 2 (P = 0.04). Again both morphine and control groups showed comparable peak plasma viral load at week 2, but the viral set points were higher in the morphine group than that in the control group. Likewise, the extent of virus replication in the cerebral compartment was more pronounced in the morphine group. These results provide a definitive evidence for a positive correlation between morphine and levels of viral replication.

Highly uneven distribution of tenofovir-selected simian immunodeficiency virus in different anatomical sites of rhesus macaques

Antiviral tenofovir monotherapy was used to determine whether drug-selected simian immunodeficiency virus (SIV) variants replaced their wild-type progenitors at the same rate in different tissues of six rhesus macaques. The relative frequencies of drug-resistant and wild-type genotypes were measured longitudinally in blood and in 23 lymphoid and nonlymphoid tissues collected at necropsy. The mutant/wild-type genotype ratio was measured using a heteroduplex tracking assay targeting tenofovir-selected SIV reverse transcriptase codons. After the initiation of tenofovir treatment in animals with high steady-state viremia levels, resistant genotypes emerged in the plasma within 1 to 8 weeks and in five of six cases reached frequencies of nearly 100% within 4 to 25 weeks. The appearance of tenofovir-resistant genotypes in peripheral blood mononuclear cell (PBMC) DNA was generally delayed by 1 to 2 weeks and in one case was completely absent. Necropsies performed 8 to 55 weeks after the initiation of tenofovir treatment showed the frequency of resistant SIV genotypes to be generally higher in tissue RNA than DNA fractions. The frequency of drug-resistant genotypes varied widely between anatomical sites, including different lymph nodes of the same animal. Except for the epidydimis, the tissues with the lowest rates of proviral replacement by tenofovir-resistant genotypes differed between animals. The highly uneven distribution of tenofovir-resistant genotypes in different tissues seen shortly after the initiation of tenofovir monotherapy may reflect differences in local antiviral drug selection pressures and/or the stochastic effect of small effective populations of drug-resistant variants randomly seeding different anatomical sites early in therapy.

Recombinant CD4-IgG2 in human immunodeficiency virus type 1-infected children: phase 1/2 study. The Pediatric AIDS Clinical Trials Group Protocol 351 Study Team

The use of recombinant CD4-IgG2 in pediatric human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) infection was evaluated by single and multidose intravenous infusions in 18 children in a phase 1/2 study. The study drug was well tolerated, and dose proportionality was observed in terms of area under time-concentration curve and peak serum concentration. Acute decreases of >0.7 log(10) copies/mL in serum HIV-1 RNA concentration were seen in 4 of the 6 children treated with 4 weekly 10 mg/kg doses. At 14 days after treatment, 3 children had sustained reductions in serum HIV-1 RNA; the other children had rebounded to baseline levels or above. By 28 days after therapy, the peak HIV-1 cellular infectious units was reduced in all 6 children, including the 2 who had experienced an earlier transient increase in values. Thus, recombinant CD4-IgG2 treatment of HIV-1-infected children appears to be well tolerated and capable of reducing HIV-1 burden.

Time course of cerebrospinal fluid responses to antiretroviral therapy: evidence for variable compartmentalization of infection

OBJECTIVES

To compare the kinetics and magnitude of HIV-1 RNA responses to antiretroviral therapy (ART) in the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and plasma.

DESIGN

Repeated lumbar punctures (LPs) were performed after the initiation or change in ART in 15 HIV-1-infected subjects, with the focus on two phases of response: an acute phase within the first 11 days, for which crude estimates of viral RNA half-lives and decay rates were derived and CSF:plasma relative decay ratios quantitatively analysed; and a longer-term phase beyond 4 weeks that was descriptively assessed.

RESULTS

In 13 subjects studied during the acute phase, the crude HIV-1 RNA half-life was longer (median 2.0 compared with 1.9 days), the decay rate slower (median 0.13 compared with 0.16 log10 copies/day) and, most notably, the variability greater (intraquartile range of half-life 1.8-4.3 compared with 1.7-2.1 days) in the CSF than in the plasma. A slower decay in the CSF correlated with lower initial blood CD4 T lymphocyte counts (P = 0.001). Seven of 11 subjects studied at 4 weeks or later, including some with slower acute-phase CSF responses, showed greater or more durable viral suppression in the CSF.

CONCLUSION

Divergent acute-phase viral kinetics in the CSF and plasma, and proportionally greater long-term decrements in CSF HIV-1 RNA in slow early-responders or poor overall plasma responders indicate variable compartmentalization of CSF infection, consistent with a model of two prototypes of CSF infection: short-lived, transitory infection that predominates in early HIV-1 infection and longer-lived, more autonomous CSF infection predominating in late HIV-1 infection. Additional studies will be needed to define more precisely the acute and longer-term CSF kinetics in different clinical settings and to assess this model.

Failure to detect nelfinavir in the cerebrospinal fluid of HIV-1--infected patients with and without AIDS dementia complex

OBJECTIVE

To assess the penetration of the HIV-1 protease inhibitor, nelfinavir, into cerebrospinal fluid (CSF).

DESIGN

Nelfinavir, a commonly used HIV-1 protease inhibitor (PI), is highly effective for reducing plasma viral load. It is deployed clinically in combination with other antiretroviral agents, including nucleoside and nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NRTIs and NNRTIs). Despite its potency based on plasma HIV-1 RNA results, its effectiveness in reducing HIV-1 RNA levels (i.e., viral load) in the central nervous system (CNS) is less certain. We sampled the CSF as a surrogate for brain because this fluid also is separated from the blood by a barrier to free diffusion, the blood-CSF barrier (BCB), which shares properties with the blood-brain barrier (BBB). These studies of nelfinavir CSF pharmacokinetics exploited the multiple CSF samples derived from individual study subjects who were enrolled in studies the primary objective of which was to compare viral kinetics in CSF and blood in response to antiviral therapy.

METHODS

Six study subjects, four with and two without AIDS dementia complex, underwent multiple lumbar punctures (LP). Intervals of CSF sampling after drug dosing were varied (from 0.48 hours to 10.3 hours after nelfinavir administration) to quantitate nelfinavir concentrations throughout the steady-state dosing interval. In four study subjects, CSF sampling was accompanied by assessment of nelfinavir levels in plasma before and after LP, whereas in the other two subjects, a single plasma sample was obtained before or after the LP. In total, 25 CSF samples were analyzed. Nelfinavir concentrations in CSF and plasma were determined using an high-performance liquid chromatography (HPLC) method with a limit of quantitation of 25 and 50 ng/ml, respectively.

RESULTS

Plasma concentrations before and after LP averaged 2420+/-1365 ng/ml and 2528+/-1132 ng/ml, respectively. Nelfinavir was not detected in any of the CSF samples and levels >25 ng/ml were not present in the CSF. Thus, standard therapy with nelfinavir does not result in CSF drug concentrations at or exceeding the IC95 level for most HIV-1 isolates. However, study subjects with high CSF viral loads experienced a marked reduction in the context of the combination-drug regimen including nelfinavir with two subjects showing a comparable CSF response with that in plasma.

CONCLUSIONS

Nelfinavir does not appreciably penetrate into the CSF. The clinical importance of this observation is not certain, in that in four study subjects who initiated nelfinavir in combination with other antiretroviral therapy, a comparable degree of viral suppression was obtained in both the CSF and the blood when sampled 4 weeks or later after initiating therapy.

Mutations affecting hepadnavirus plus-strand DNA synthesis dissociate primer cleavage from translocation and reveal the origin of linear viral DNA

Hepadnaviruses replicate their circular DNA genomes via reverse transcription of an RNA intermediate. The initial product of reverse transcription, minus-strand DNA, contains two copies of a short direct repeat (DR) sequence, termed DR1 and DR2. Plus-strand DNA synthesis initiates at DR2 on minus-strand DNA, using as a primer a short, DR1-containing oligoribonucleotide derived by cleavage and translocation from the 5' end of pregenomic RNA. To clarify the sequence requirements for plus-strand primer cleavage and translocation, we have constructed mutants of the duck hepatitis B virus bearing base changes in or around the DR1 sequence in the primer. A point mutation at the terminal nucleotide of DR1 has a striking phenotype: normal levels of duplex viral DNA are produced, but nearly all of the DNA is linear rather than circular. Mapping of the 5' end of plus-strand DNA reveals that primer cleavage occurs with normal efficiency and accuracy, but the primer is not translocated to DR2; rather, it is extended in situ to generate duplex linear DNA. Other mutations just 3' to DR1 similarly affect primer translocation, although with differing efficiencies. Linear DNA found in wild-type virus preparations has the same fine structure as the mutant linears described above. These results indicate that (i) plus-strand primer cleavage and translocation are distinct steps that can be dissociated by mutation, (ii) lesions in sequences not included in the primer can severely inhibit primer translocation, and (iii) elongation of such untranslocated primers is responsible for the variable quantities of linear DNA that are found in all hepadnaviral stocks.